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Wednesday November 14, 2007 - 22:37:59 GMT
Reuters - www.reuters.com

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FOREX NEWS-Dollar drops as U.S. growth fears dog market

Wed Nov 14, 2007 4:08pm EST

(Recasts, updates prices)

By Nick Olivari

NEW YORK, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped on Wednesday as worries about the struggling U.S. housing sector and lingering credit problems weighed on sentiment, leaving the dollar's long-term downtrend intact.

Data showing U.S. retail sales growth slowed slightly in October, in line with expectations, and flat producer prices sustained investors' decisions to keep pushing the dollar toward record lows against the euro.

"Retail and sales and PPI at the margin support a weaker dollar," said Meg Browne, senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York. "Retail sales supports the view that growth is slowing."

The euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.4643 <EUR=>, within sight of record highs of $1.4752 reached last week. Against the Swiss franc, the dollar fell to the lowest level since April 1995, at 1.1178 francs <CHF=> before recovering to trade at 1.1243, still down 0.2 percent on the day.

Another prominent theme in the market was the rebound in investors' willingness to take bigger risks for a higher return.

Earlier this week, nervousness about the difficult lending environment caused the yen to surge across the board, rising to an 18-month high against the dollar as investors unwound carry trades, in which a low-yielding currency such as the yen is borrowed to fund purchases of higher-yielding ones.

But by Wednesday carry trades were being put back on.

The euro gained 0.7 percent to 163.05 yen <EURJPY=>, pulling away from a two-month low of 158.66 yen hit on Tuesday. The dollar was up 0.4 percent to 111.36 yen <JPY=>.

The Australian dollar, often a target of carry traders because of its relatively high interest rate, ended the day little changed against the greenback at $0.8964 <AUD=>, though it was well off a 23-year high of $0.9401 reached last week.

Against the yen, the Australian dollar rose 0.4 percent to 99.79 yen <AUDJPY=R>.

"The recent rise in risk aversion reflects the broadly anticipated aftershock in the financial sector of the liquidity crisis earthquake of August," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist with Bank of New York Mellon.

"Risk aversion is likely to abate as incoming data reflect ongoing consumer spending," he said in a note.

Sterling fell against the euro after the Bank of England's Quarterly Inflation Report signaled that the benchmark interest rate would need to be cut in the future. The euro climbed to a four-year high against the pound at 71.36 pence <EURGBP=> and remained near that high at 71.33 pence.

Thus far, global growth has held up fairly well outside the United States, but the report added to uncertainty about global economic growth in the wake of this summer's crisis stemming from the U.S. subprime mortgage market.

A report earlier on Wednesday showed euro zone economic growth rebounded more than expected in the third quarter, but economists expected a slowdown in the current quarter would keep the European Central Bank on hold. (Additional reporting by Kevin Plumberg; editing by Leslie Adler)

© Reuters 2006. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

 

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