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5/16/12 8:58
Target   3-Mo
4.25 Aust 4.18
0.10 Japan 0.20
0.50 U.K. 1.01
1.00 E-Z 0.62
0.00 Switz 0.11
1.00 Cda 1.35
0.13 U.S. 0.47
2-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.62 -4
Japan 0.11 0
U.K. 0.39 0
E-Z 0.07 0
Switz -0.02 0
Cda 1.28 0
U.S. 0.28 1
   
10-YR % bp chg
Aust 3.23 -3
Japan 0.83 -2
U.K. 1.89 0
E-Z 1.46 -1
Switz 0.62 0
Cda 1.83 -1
U.S. 1.76 -2

Market Tracker

 


 

Forex-Trading Talk

Forex Analysis

   Trade Talk: What's Moving Markets continuous on Forex Forum

  • Key Items: JP- GDP, Industrial Output. US- Weekly Jobs, Philly Fed, LEI, Natural Gas.

  • Markets are on headline watch. Greece today installed an interim caretaker government. Reports are that new national elections will take place on June 17. Worries about what is to follow has seen capital flight from Greek banks, weak equities and flows into safe-haven investments. Gold is down.

  • The German Chancellor Merkel and French President Hollande meetings saw no major agreements announced. Nevertheless, something will have to be done to address this growing EZ financial crisis.

  • The 10-yr bund is 1.47%, 0 bp. The key EURUSD 20-day average is 1.3090. Key European bourses are trading lower. The U.S. 10-yr is 1.78%, 0 bp.

  • Key Asian bourses closed down. The 10-yr JGB was 0.83%, -2bp. The USDJPY is steady. The key USDJPY 20-day average is 80.46. EURJPY is steady. Its 20-day average is 105.33. 

Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.

Forex pairs vs 2-yr note spreads

 

Forex   #REF!     GBP vs. 20:05
EUR 1.2709 -23 JPY 102.05 -11 JPY 127.76 -62
GBP 1.5910 -89 GBP 79.88 30 CHF 150.33 -57
CHF 0.9449 17 CHF 1.2009 0 CHF vs.    
JPY 80.30 6       JPY 84.98 -9

Some traders focus intently on the Japan vs. U.S. 2-yr note spread (only the U.S. 2-yr moves much).

.

COMMODITIES and Commodity Currencies


Click on Chart to Enlarge

Commodity         20:05
CAD 1.0125 64 AUD 0.9906 -27 Gold 1539 -3.74
CNY 6.3224 37 NZD 0.0000 0 WTI 92.77 -0.34

EQUITIES & INTEREST RATES

Bonds are a counter to risk trades because risk investments must be financed. When the cost of money moves up (higher interest rates), the return and allure of risk trades such as equities falls. 

Equities           20:05
NIK 8801 -100 DAX 6384 -17 DJIA 12613 -31
HSI 19260 -634 FTSE 5405 -33 S&P 1326 -5
SSEC 2898 0 SMI 0 0 NAS 2874 -20
ASX 4166 -101       TSE 12529 0

See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.

John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school.

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The Daily Forex View is produced on most sessions by the forex trading professionals at Global-View.com. The Daily Forex View report is not intended to be a market recap. Market recaps are available in hundreds of places on the web. The Daily Forex View mission is to support forex traders by zeroing in on what we feel factors (economic, political, technical, etc.) are that will likely to be driving forex markets in the days and weeks ahead. That means that on one day The Daily Forex View might be focused on sovereign debt issues in Europe and the next day a Bank of Canada policy decision. The point is that the analysis methodology changes as the markets evolve. Some experts describe forex analysis as similar to solving an intricate puzzle. It is always a question each day of fitting the pieces together and the Daily Forex View is your guide.

One dimension that characterizes this analysis is a broad view of the inter-relationships of markets. Each day The Daily Forex View focuses on major international equity markets, commodities, commodity currencies, short- and long-term interest rates, central bank monetary policies, major dollar and cross-currency forex relationships. Global financial markets become more closely integrated with each passing day. You cannot grasp what’s happening in any piece of the markets without having a feel for the whole. The Daily Forex View is your resource to help you make better trading decisions.

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