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BREAKING NEWS
Dillon AL 00:46 GMT 01/24/2018  - My Profile


A pic of traffic near me taken Jan 10 and this is a regular sight especially on a weekend. Traffic up 80 miles west of Denver and even in Denver does not get slowed by weather unless its an avalanche

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 00:42 GMT 01/24/2018
Livingston nh 22:49 GMT

less cars were driven due to the weather?

therefore less gasoline used. can't it be so simple?

Dil

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 22:49 GMT 01/23/2018
Gasoline continues to build - OPEC can screw w/ supply but can't affect demand

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 22:37 GMT 01/23/2018
Jerome Powell confirmed as next chairman of the Fed

BREAKING NEWS
AT Amazing Trader john bland 22:29 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile
API (mln)
CO -5.11
Gasoline +1.80
Distillates +0.60

markets
Livingston nh 22:20 GMT 01/23/2018
Catching up here so I'll put a couple of comments together

1. Musk is a showman (better than Bezos who is really good) but like any good showman (Magicians?) he deflects the reality -- when he had trouble here he offered to "save" Australia w/ a GIANT battery // TSLA can't be worth 650 bio because the competitors will grind him down -- maybe he gets bought but there is no new technology in his operation and he hasn't mastered PRODUCTION

2. Re: 2 yr yield - market sees a slower FED - keep in mind the BLITZ of last MARCH -- market sees what it wants and the opportunity is when it is WRONG

3. "an ever declining dollar" - currency is related to inflation not GDP - no CB targets GDP // a strong economy will pull imports which theory says will weaken currency (see gold standard) BUT post Bretton Woods demise it's different

4. Climate Change (aka Global Warming) - winner of the Golden Acorn awarded by the Chicken Little Institute of Dubious Science multiple years -- people that don't understand this silliness voted for "guess WHO?"

Oh phleezzz.... bite me!
Mtl JP 22:17 GMT 01/23/2018
warning: put on your diapers first
.
.
.
.
.
got'em ?
.
... "Hawaii Democratic Gov. David Ige said Monday that one of the reasons it took so long to inform the public that a ballistic missile alert in the state was in fact a false alarm was because he couldn’t remember his Twitter password."

Wednesday Trading Checklist 24 January 2018
AT Amazing Trader john bland 22:00 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 88% (88%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive
This Week: 1.2307-1.2213
Spot EURUSD: 1.2289
Pivot Point: 1.2273

20-day avg: 1.2096
50-day avg: 1.1931
100-day avg: 1.1860
200-day avg: 1.1619



markets
Mtl JP 20:58 GMT 01/23/2018
One of a king ballzy

PALO ALTO, Calif., Jan. 23, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tesla today announced a new 10-year CEO performance award for Elon Musk with vesting entirely contingent on achieving market cap and operational milestones that would make Tesla one of the most valuable companies in the world. In order to fully vest, Tesla's market cap would have to grow to $650 billion (an increase of almost $600 billion), and important revenue and profitability goals would also have to be achieved. ../.

Tesla Announces New Long-Term Performance Award for Elon Musk


markets
Mtl JP 20:43 GMT 01/23/2018
nh ... what the 2yr thinks about the FED ?

"The 2-year note yield TMUBMUSD02Y, -0.80% was down 3.1 basis points to 2.042%, the largest one-day yield decline since Dec. 13. That snapped a 14-day streak of yields gain."

Nat Gas
Mtl JP 20:39 GMT 01/23/2018
Oklahoma blast may be deadliest since start of U.S. shale boom

5 workers presumed dead after gas well explodes


Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 January 2018
GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 January 2018


Wednesday Trading Checklist 24 January 2018
GVI Forex Blog 20:00 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile

Trading Ideas for 24 January 2018

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 24 Jan 2018
All Day Flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Employment
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Jan 2018
00:00 AU- Holiday 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- Core CPI
Fri 26 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Wed-- All Day-- flash PMIs

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: High Wed--08:30 GMT-- GB- Employment

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Wed--15:00 GMT-- US- Existing Homes Sales

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed--15:00 GMT-- US- EIA Crude


  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Wednesday Trading Checklist 24 January 2018


THE TRUMP DOLLAR
PAR 19:55 GMT 01/23/2018
An ever declining dollar since America First became president.


Nat Gas
lkwd jj 19:47 GMT 01/23/2018
with 6 days left in feb large specs who were short in last CoT report are running for the hills even as weather is improving.


gold
lkwd jj 19:30 GMT 01/23/2018
1339 correction sorry

gold
lkwd jj 19:30 GMT 01/23/2018
1340 new hod

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 19:29 GMT 01/23/2018
No chemistry there and oil trades $80 while gold passes $1.43k soon

BREAKING: Trump to call Turkey's Erdogan amid concern over Syria offensive, US official says

America First . Dollar last .
Mtl JP 19:16 GMT 01/23/2018
concider... u.s. has already raised rates, is public about more rate hikes AND is peddling the idea of ending QE stimulation AND is - apparently by general consensus - firing on all cylinders AND sees its ccy gone down 15% vs euro going UP by 15% AND is not seeing its exports hurting AND is still attracting capital is basically in a not too shabby competitive advantage.

So as much as we have been flooded by an amazing, co-ordinated amount of fiats by up-till-now colluding central banks, the intensely interesting next phase of reversing the flood flow (on orders of BIS I pointed to here before) in a "normalizing" phase (BoJ currently appearing rogue) expect a little hiss-n-piss between central bankers. And along with that some trade disturbances and economic problems offering new, possibly massive trade opportunities.

ref,: ..."while recognizing that some turbulence in financial markets will have to be negotiated along the way. ... Even if there are some short-term bumps in the road ... whatever we do, we will have to do it in a very careful way,� BIS�s head of research, Hyun Song Shin, told Reuters." - Mtl JP 15:06 GMT September 18, 2017

BREAKING NEWS
AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:00 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile
Par good observation

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 18:51 GMT 01/23/2018
US stocks rise as US dollar keeps dropping.

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 18:43 GMT 01/23/2018
Trump teach them how to use Twitter :-)))


@EmmanuelMacron

Thank you @BillRMcDermott, we welcome SAP's significant investment in France to accelerate our digital ecosystem and spur economic growth. #ChooseFrance

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 18:37 GMT 01/23/2018
nh - with or without voting rights? :-)))

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 18:34 GMT 01/23/2018
dil - the easiest solution is for Congress to annex both countries - we probably should have done this years ago but they are both troublesome folks// no Nafta, no border wall, multi-lingual minority problem -- maybe we sell Quebec to Macron (a reverse Louisiana Purchase)

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 18:23 GMT 01/23/2018
hahaha - is it a stupid president or stupid voters trusting wall to solve problems. then also a wall between Canada and USA needed. :-)))

"Mexicans will soon be able to travel to Canada without a visa. And they might actually want to, as newly elected Prime Minister Justin Trudeau makes strides to improve strained relations between the two countries. ... Trudeau, however, has brought a breath of fresh air to the stale relations.Nov 19, 2015



BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 18:16 GMT 01/23/2018
nh 17:54 there have to be a few Maschinengewehr 34 available at reasonable cost but practicality and cost effectiveness is antithesis to anything government

BREAKING NEWS
Provo John 18:04 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile
Or sell ladders.

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 17:54 GMT 01/23/2018
This Border WALL Funding is a joke played by both sides - The Executive wants to build A WALL for Security purposes so build the WALL - Homeland Security budget, Pentagon, State Department // the money is there and Congress can't stop him without the Supreme Court

It's a @#**ing game - unless you trade barbed wire futures it's irrelevant

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader (AT) 17:54 GMT 01/23/2018
It is starting to look like February 8 could be another problem date.

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader (AT) 17:54 GMT 01/23/2018
It is starting to look like February 8 could be another problem date.

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader (AT) 17:48 GMT 01/23/2018
Reportedly Democratic Leader Schumer has withdrawn offer for border wall funding in immigration reform negotiations - press

-- Source TradeTheNews.com

markets
Livingston nh 17:47 GMT 01/23/2018
jp - RATES RATES RATES -- we'll see in 15 min what the 2yr thinks about the FED

markets
Mtl JP 17:44 GMT 01/23/2018
Dallio : “You can’t have a significant rise in interest rates without knocking over the whole asset markets,” ... the Fed will need to figure out the optimal level for real interest rates.

His is the allegedly current biggest HFund ya ?

America First . Dollar last .
Israel Dil 17:38 GMT 01/23/2018
PAR 17:21 GMT 

weak local ccy is every hotelier's wish

markets
Livingston nh 17:37 GMT 01/23/2018
par - this what dalio was saying 2 weeks ago

"The problem is that with interest rates and risk premia near all-time lows and debt and asset values near all-time highs, there's little fuel to repeat the process. Just as the Fed can't cut rates much, it can't raise them much either, or debt servicing would swamp cash flow and asset prices would sink. Thus Mr. Dalio sees years of low interest rates, and while he thinks stocks are fairly valued, returns to a typical stock-bond portfolio over the next decade will be around zero after inflation and taxes. Whatever you need to retire, save it now: Don't count on portfolio returns."

AND now we are in a sweet spot? watch what they do and not what they say

America First . Dollar last .
PAR 17:21 GMT 01/23/2018
Trump is lower dollar man .

gasoline
lkwd jj 17:19 GMT 01/23/2018
just saw increase from 2.69 to 2.77. come spring/summer 3.50 easy. wheres all the shale ?

Trend and Pivot Friendly positions
SaaR KaL 17:11 GMT 01/23/2018  - My Profile
For today
AUD/JPY Buy
AUD/NZD Buy
AUD/USD Buy
CAD/JPY
EUR/AUD Sell
EUR/CAD
EUR/GBP Sell
EUR/JPY Buy
EUR/NZD Buy
EUR/USD
GBP/AUD Sell
GBP/JPY Buy
GBP/NZD Buy
GBP/USD
NAS100 Sell
NZD/USD Sell
USD/CAD Buy
USD/JPY
USOil Sell
XAU/USD Sell


markets
PAR 17:05 GMT 01/23/2018
Dalio. Thats the man who manages money fr the IMF , the World. Bank and advises Draghi . He has plenty of inside

DAVOS
Livingston nh 17:04 GMT 01/23/2018
jp - that's a big turnaround for this mope - he was telling the Fed to CUT a while back // talking his book

America First . Dollar last .
PAR 17:03 GMT 01/23/2018
Big jump in Bitcoin.

DAVOS
Mtl JP 16:55 GMT 01/23/2018
why ? “We are in this Goldilocks period right now. Inflation isn’t a problem. Growth is good, everything is pretty good with a big jolt of stimulation coming from changes in tax laws,” Dalio said

markets
Mtl JP 16:45 GMT 01/23/2018
‘If you’re holding cash, you’re going to feel pretty stupid.’
according to Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates founder

DAVOS
Livingston nh 16:43 GMT 01/23/2018
Doom and Gloom -- if you guys want to set your hair on fire William White (formerly of BIS and now OECD) is banging the drum at Davos --

"The world financial system is as dangerously stretched today as it was at the peak of the last bubble but this time the authorities are caught in a “policy trap” with few defences left, a veteran central banker has warned.
Nine years of emergency money has had a string of perverse effects and lured emerging markets into debt dependency, without addressing the structural causes of the global disorder.
“All the market indicators right now look very similar to what we saw before the Lehman crisis, but the lesson has somehow been forgotten,” said William White, the Swiss-based head of the OECD’s review board and ex-chief economist for the Bank for International Settlements.
Professor White said disturbing evidence of credit degradation is emerging almost daily. The latest is the disclosure that distressed UK construction group Carillion quietly raised £112m through German Schuldschein bonds. South African retailer Steinhoff also tapped this obscure market, borrowing €730m."

LINK

Unfortunately the most dangerous influence is a GOOD ANALOGY -- the guy was right 10 years ago and now can't let go // he was saying similar things 2 years ago at DAVOS
_______
so again RATES RATES RATES

copper canary
lkwd jj 16:25 GMT 01/23/2018
other side of the coin is china fooling around in copper market....

CRUDE
PAR 16:23 GMT 01/23/2018
Expect huge draw in us crude inventories . Pure manipulation .

CRUDE
Mtl JP 16:09 GMT 01/23/2018
higher crude will excite the pro-inflationists
"hooray higher prices" !

America First . Dollar last .
PAR 16:06 GMT 01/23/2018
Maybe US economy heading into recession ? Car sales declining . Credit card defaults rising . Real estate too expensive for people to buy .


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Trading Ideas for 15 January 2018

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 15 Jan 2018
00:00 US- Holiday
Tue 16 Jan 2018
09:00 GB- CPI
20:00 US- Beige Book
Wed 17 Jan 2018
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
10:00 EZ- final HICP
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA- Bank of Canada Decision
Thu 17 Jan 2018
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 18 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim) Survey


PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Tue -- 09:30 GMT-- GB- CPI


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Wed -- 00:30 GMT-- AU- Employment

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed -- 10:00 GMT-- EZ- Final HICP

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH to Medium- Wed --14:15 GMT-- US- Industrial Production

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Wed -- 15:00 GMT-- CA- Bank Of Canada Decision


  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com




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