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FOREX FORUM
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Aud/dlr
nw kw 04:35 GMT 02/08/2016
aud/jpy moving with usa/jpy some gbpjpy

Very bullish
HK Kwun 03:31 GMT 02/08/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1165 Target: Stop: 1155

Gong Xi Fa Cai, retracement is for you to enter a better level, buy gold, go go goal

My Monday Trades
'dc' 'CB' 02:37 GMT 02/08/2016
as for this week...China is Closed...so the European and and US MarkITs have No One to blame if the sell off continues. Wot O Wot AND Where will CNBC talking heads and guest shills point their fingers as they offer their studied ANALysis and recomnd StoX to BUY BUY BUY.

China china china china...Ah hey Dude China's closed all week.......OH..................China china chinachinachinachina

crude
'dc' 'CB' 02:24 GMT 02/08/2016
Vlad is not going to let the Saudi's and Quatar build a Nat Gas pipeline thru Syria to supply Europe...that is let his ally Assad become victim of a Coup. It's not about Oil...which moves around in tankers. What do U think Ukraine is all about anyway.. the West making it so so obvious, with Victoria Nuland (neoconQueen) bragging about the Coup and on top of that Joe Biden's Son on the board of a Nat Gas Company in Eastern Ukraine...which jus happen to be located right where all the fighting is taking place.

But keep on reading the "press" as buy into that story.

Aud/dlr
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:55 GMT 02/08/2016  - My Profile
seeking trade audusd views around 0.71 here
tia

crude
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:24 GMT 02/08/2016  - My Profile
Dil everyone has some vulnerability.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-07/exasperated-john-kerry-throws-towel-syria-what-do-you-want-me-do-go-war-russians

currently looks like Vlad's gambit paying off big-time,
but the Q is for how long

crude
Israel Dil 01:15 GMT 02/08/2016
The global oil situation continues to drag on.

Powerhouse oil producers are still being squeezed financially by lower prices and some of the more unstable OPEC members have seen upticks in violence and political chaos.

And in this environment, Russia increasingly looks like "the single biggest swing factor for oil prices in 2016," according to RBC Capital Markets' global head of commodity strategy Helima Croft.

_________

no sh!t, really?

Don't Fight The Fed's "owners"
'dc' 'CB' 00:41 GMT 02/08/2016


Despite a collapse in yields and implicit plunge in the odds of a rate-hike anytime soon, asset-gathering, commission-taking talking-heads continue to spew unrealities about the economy and where it goes next as excuse after excuse (low oil is good, services trump manufacturing etc) are discarded.

Even The Fed's "Owners" Aren't Buying What Janet Is Selling


BREAKING NEWS
'Mtl' 'JP' 23:12 GMT 02/07/2016  - My Profile
BERLIN (Reuters) - The euro zone needs to press ahead with structural reforms and closer integration, including an euro zone finance ministry, to deliver sustainable growth, the heads of the French and German central banks wrote in a German newspaper on Monday.

GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016
GVI Forex Blog 22:07 GMT 02/07/2016  - My Profile

February 7, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 8, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: No Major Data
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

8-Feb Monday
CN- Holiday
9-Feb Tuesday
CN- Holiday
10-Feb Wednesday
CN- Holiday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
11-Feb Thursday
CN- Holiday
JA- Holiday
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
12-Feb Friday
CN- Holiday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)

GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016


Merkel
PAR 19:20 GMT 02/07/2016
Merkel's popularity almost as low as that of Hollande.

Commitment Of Traders Report
GVI john 18:29 GMT 02/07/2016  - My Profile
To the extent that futures positions represent market positions as a whole, note that in the week ending last Tuesday EURUSD positions remained short, but they were further squared up. Odds are that pattern continued until the confusing employment report on Friday.


Has the Dollar Bottomed?
GVI Forex Blog 17:32 GMT 02/07/2016  - My Profile

The question for the week ahead is whether the washout of long dollar positions has run its course and wheter the currency has bottomed. In this week's video I make the case that all we have seen is a swing within ranges, at least for the EURUSD and USDJPY that have been in place for a year or longer.

Has the Dollar Bottomed?


Forex Analytics and Forecasts from R.Butko,
Amsterdam 17:02 GMT 02/07/2016
Forex Forecast for 8-12 February 2016

First, a review of last week’s forecast:
- initially everything was going according to plan for EUR/USD – it rebounded to resistance at 1.0990 but then, instead of reversing and going down, it soared up to the values of last September-October. The reason for that was simply comments by US Federal Reserve official William Dudley who expressed doubts about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in 2016;
- Mr. Dudley’s remarks helped the 50% of the experts who, backed by graphical analysis on D1, reckoned that GBP/USD would continue to move up to 1.4630. The pair reached this level on Wednesday and, as expected, went down, finishing the week around 1.4500;
- after the Bank of Japan introduced a negative interest rate policy, most experts were at a loss. Only one analyst believed that USD/JPY would return to the main support of January – 116.50, which happened, again thanks W. Dudley’s comments;
- graphical analysis on D1 insisted that USD/CHF should go down to support at 0.9920, and it did, mirroring EUR/USD’s movement.

Forecast for Upcoming Week
Summing up the views of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:
- in the shorter term, the indicators and graphical analysis on H1 point to EUR/USD entering a sideways trend in a 1.1250-1.1220 range. As the previous week showed, all major currency pairs’ movements will certainly depend a lot on Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen’s speech this Wednesday. After the speech, EUR/USD may rise to 1.1350. However, over 70% of the experts and graphical analysis on D1 believe that the market has almost recovered after the bad news from the Federal Reserve, and the pair should return to 1.0400-1.0600 in the next couple of weeks;
- the experts' opinions split almost 50/50 in regards to GBP/USD. According to the indicators and graphical analysis on H4, the pair will be moving in a horizontal 1.4400-1.4545 channel in the near future. In the longer term, 30% of the analysts and graphical analysis on D1 predict a rise to resistance at 1.4900. However, 60% of the experts don’t agree with this, insisting that the pair should fall and get to 1.4220 by the end of February;
- after USD/JPY nosedived last week, it’s clear that all indicators point downward. Considering the ‘war’ of interest rates between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, the experts seem unable to reach a consensus – 35% are for a fall, another 35% are for a rise, and the rest 30% are for a sideways trend in a 116.40-118.25 range;
- the analysts are undecided about USD/CHF. According to graphical analysis on H4 and D1, the pair will first go up to 0.9980, then fall to support at 0.9800, after which it is expected to rise to resistance at 1.0124 and return to around 1.025-1.032.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Fun with Covers
'dc' 'CB' 16:58 GMT 02/07/2016
The professors call this covenant banking. And it looks a lot like the kind of personal liability that was a fact of life among the top Wall Street firms when they were private partnerships.

With their own money at risk, partners of Salomon Brothers, Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs were much more careful about their business dealings. When these firms became public companies funded more by outsiders’ money, that self-discipline diminished.

“In the old days, because a partnership paid the fine, it would all come out of the partners’ pockets,”

Fining Bankers, Not Shareholders, for Banks’ Misconduct


Iran wants euro payment for new and outstanding oil sales
'dc' 'CB' 16:54 GMT 02/07/2016
"In our invoices we mention a clause that buyers of our oil will have to pay in euros, considering the exchange rate versus the dollar around the time of delivery," the NIOC source said.

Iran has also told its trading partners who owe it billions of dollars that it wants to be paid in euros rather than U.S. dollars, said the person, who has direct knowledge of the matter

Exclusive: Iran wants euro payment for new and outstanding oil sales - source


BREXIT
PAR 15:27 GMT 02/07/2016
Brexit will make life complicated for all those British retirees enjoying the easy life and the nice european health service in the South of Europe . They will instead have to rely on the NHS .

A Brexit should involve some reciprocity . If the UK gets into financial trouble it should not rely on Europe to pay its bills .

Imho UK has much more to loose than Europe . A Europe without UK could be more coherent .

N.Korea missile, and Taiwan E.Quake are no market events at all.
HK RF@ 14:45 GMT 02/07/2016

Will have no impact on nothing.

Get matured.

China's Foreign-Exchange Reserves Decline to $3.23 Trillion
nw kw 14:36 GMT 02/07/2016
aud/cad met with sellers gl.

Very bullish
HK Kwun 14:27 GMT 02/07/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1152 Target: Stop: 1142

tomorrow will be another great day for gold bulls, due to North Korea and Taiwan

China's Foreign-Exchange Reserves Decline to $3.23 Trillion
nw kw 14:11 GMT 02/07/2016
. 5966 for audy/ gold charts braking tops fast. 7year chart see fear in aud?

China's Foreign-Exchange Reserves Decline to $3.23 Trillion
'Sydney' 'ACC' 05:38 GMT 02/07/2016
China’s foreign-exchange reserves shrank to the smallest since 2012, indicating that the central bank sold dollars as the yuan’s retreat to a five-year low exacerbated depreciation pressure.
The world’s largest currency hoard declined by $99.5 billion in January to $3.23 trillion, according to a People’s Bank of China statement released on Sunday. The drop was less than a Bloomberg survey’s median estimate of a $120 billion loss.

Link


My Monday Trades
'Mtl' 'JP' 04:10 GMT 02/07/2016  - My Profile
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-central-bank-fine-tune-090130803.html
-
also due: FX reserves amount on the 8th

Four Highly Effective Trading Indicators Every Trader Should Know
Barlin 19:52 GMT 02/06/2016
Article Summary: When your forex trading adventure begins, you’ll likely be met with a swarm of different methods for trading. However, most trading opportunities can be easily identified with just one of four chart indicators.

My Monday Trades
GVI john 19:20 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile



WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

8-Feb Monday
CN- Holiday
9-Feb Tuesday
CN- Holiday
10-Feb Wednesday
CN- Holiday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
11-Feb Thursday
CN- Holiday
JA- Holiday
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
12-Feb Friday
CN- Holiday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)


Yellen Testimony Critical
'dc' 'CB' 18:36 GMT 02/06/2016
IF: Gold/Silver DOSEN'T get wacked this week --- as it has been for years like clockwork -- whenever Yellen appears for the Humphrey Hawkins and there is a simutaneous 10Y and 30Y Auction,

THEN: The game has really changed in that the CBs have Lost "HAND"

Yellen Testimony Critical
'dc' 'CB' 18:28 GMT 02/06/2016


Heard Wed or Thur...the future is Now!!

No Comment.
I plead the 5th.
You'll be sorry, really really really sorry if you decide to mess with the FED.

Fun with Covers
'dc' 'CB' 17:43 GMT 02/06/2016
not your average Panic Screamer, on one of the Most Panic Screaming sites on the Net.

20+ -year Barron’s Roundtable panelist, Felix Zulauf -
This year RT pt 2 Barron's 2 weeks ago.


...audio intv ....click play

I always joke that Deutsche Bank has the right name because it will eventually be owned by the German public. I think several banks could eventually be nationalized because otherwise they will not survive, or the risk of not surviving and taking down the system is too big…

Felix Zulauf


Fun with Covers
'dc' 'CB' 17:17 GMT 02/06/2016
Ruh Roh

Barron's


Yellen Testimony Critical
GVI john 17:09 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile
I doubt Yelen would ever admit an error of that type until after she retires and writes her memoirs. Admitting an error is not going to promote confidence. She is still trying to dig out of a hole.

Yellen Testimony Critical
'Mtl' 'JP' 16:38 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile
john // Think Janet would ever admit that her raising rate was done while the economy and financial markets were already pulling back was and is her / her gang's mistake ?

In light of recent market tumult some of her minions were claiming the FEDs are not concerning themselves with market's oscillations.

How credible is that assertion? It does look like the market is digging in its heels and now is telling the FEDs what it wants done rather than genuflecting to its so-called guidance . How will the FED prevent losing face - i,e lose credibility - and prevent the market from doing what the market wants to do ?

NZD/USD
HK RF@ 13:40 GMT 02/06/2016

Daily bearish key reversal.

Probably on the way back to 0.6450.
.................................................................................................
Paper gold can continue rising, but physical demand in the jewelry industry is minimal, and will decline more upon price rise.

Just to remember!: Gold is a; "Price rise with no backing fundamentals.

Now a clear manipulation by big traders, waiting close to weekend close, then placing a big demand on thinning volume.
An attempt to attract fleeing money from Stox on background of negative rates.

Probably to test 1184 Res.


Jpy seems to strengthen against most currencies!
HK RF@ 13:25 GMT 02/06/2016

Looks like currency of choice relative to others.

Yellen Testimony Critical
GVI Forex Blog 12:19 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA


EURUSD Reset

My view last week that the Fed was in the process of resetting its monetary policy appeared to have been accurate

Yellen Testimony Critical


Phhleeeze say it is soooo
'Mtl' 'JP' 04:44 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile
Just to be clear : I do not share neither the view nor the desire of the washpost headline

Phhleeeze say it is soooo
'Mtl' 'JP' 04:36 GMT 02/06/2016  - My Profile
European leaders losing patience with UK and minded to 'let British quit EU' - Irish Independent

European leaders are so exasperated with Britain's demands that they are privately saying "If the Brits want to leave, let them leave", the President of the European Parliament has said.

Cameron woos ‘unhappy’ EU leaders on deal to avert ‘Brexit’ - The Nation

Brexit campaign surges ahead with 9-point lead in first poll since David Cameron's EU deal as the PM kick-starts his Euro charm offensive in Poland and Denmark - dailymail

The U.K. leaving the European Union could mean the end of both of them - washpost

Very bullish
HK Kwun 02:04 GMT 02/06/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1152 Target: Stop: 1142

my target is hit, win big this time, who challenging me got kick out closed at 1173!!!


STOX
'Mtl' 'JP' 21:01 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile
well well not much enthusiasm from the BTFD crowd but at least SnP did not finish at a NEW LoD if only close to it

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 20:49 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile

 

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database


Commitment Of Traders Report
GVI Forex john bland 20:43 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





STOX
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:41 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile
dc CB see /smell rape-a-loser coming on into the close ?

GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016
GVI Forex Blog 20:20 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile

February 5, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 8, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: No Major Data
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

8-Feb Monday
CN- Holiday
9-Feb Tuesday
CN- Holiday
10-Feb Wednesday
CN- Holiday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
11-Feb Thursday
CN- Holiday
JA- Holiday
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
12-Feb Friday
CN- Holiday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)

GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016


STOX
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:19 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile


snp w/40 mins left
often BtfD bargain hunt time

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 19:49 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile




US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 571 vs 619 (-48) prev
US (oil): 467 vs. 498 (-31) prev

Canada 242 vs. 231 (+11) prev


TTN: Live News Special Offer



STOX
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:47 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile


with the gap talk I got inspired - and loaded a GapDetector
this one is set to 5 pips or more just to see if it works but it can be set to any number on any instrument
all it needs next is to play a sound alrt / send an e-mail

STOX
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:47 GMT 02/05/2016  - My Profile


with the gap talk I got inspired - and loaded a GapDetector
this one is set to 5 pips or more just to see if it works but it can be set to any number on any instrument
all it needs next is to play a sound alrt / send an e-mail

STOX
london red 19:32 GMT 02/05/2016
JP i dont mine data do backtesting but i notice that during regular trading hours get filled in a quick enough time frame to allow you decent r/r. sooner or later gap will be filled as they all do given time but realistically id say while above 1870 cash or last wks cash low 1858 holds youd expect it next wk (weekly chart is constructive for a st bottom for 1970/80). of course thats why i always suggest using calls to play this rather than futures as you dont need to worry about the drawdown so to speak. i bought 1900 calls today a couple points under the fig so while its gone much further down im just a few points down on the trade. some things dont go below zero ;)

STOX
'Livingston' 'nh' 18:49 GMT 02/05/2016
Jp- c'mon Hudson Bay Citrus Plantation


Next Page




MAJOR ITEMS THIS WEEK (GMT)

9-Feb Tuesday
New Hampshire Presidential Primary
10-Feb Wednesday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
11-Feb Thursday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
12-Feb Friday
13:30 US- Retail Sales


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off At NY Close

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated

jobs image EXCLUSIVE: U.S. Employment Data Mixed

EXCLUSIVE: Canadian Employment Data Miss

Payrolls in U.S. Climb as Jobless Rate Declines, Wages Rise -- Bloomberg.com

Global stocks fall after U.S. jobs report muddles Fed outlook -- Reuters.com

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ pressured by jobs loss, lower oil prices -- Reuters.com

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. Trade Data In Line

Campaign for 'Brexit' takes 9-point lead; poll -- Reuters.com

North Korea may be ready to launch a rocket by Super Bowl kickoff Sunday -- theguardian.com


TRADER ADVOCACY ARTICLES

Yellen Testimony This Week Critical

OPINION: Reaction to BOJ Ease Will Fade Quickly

My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week of February 1, 2016

Three Most Crowded Trades to Start 2016 Come Under Fire

The Monday Effect; A Forex Trading Pattern Revealed

More..


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