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24/10/14 14:00 A US New Homes Sales con: 470 pre: 504
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Global Marklets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:15 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
The USD/JPY pair was back above the 108 level aided by reports that BOJ saw a much bigger possibility of inflation slipping below 1%, pushed down by falling crude oil prices then opening the door for more potential QE

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Looming weekend for event risk with ECB stress test results; also elections in Brazil and Ukraine


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:59 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
I am covering my longs near 1.6130
then relong <1.60 again

Day's Trades
london red 09:39 GMT 10/24/2014
cable. back under 200 hour, thats the near term topside marker. focus on 16018 while below.
gdp details worse than headline. servs soft, propped by construction. servs always uk ace, so if slowing, gdp will tail off further. oct servs data now pivotal.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:30 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD most likely from here into above 1.2800
might back down to 1.2600 again
it will take a while to get to 1.38 folks

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:26 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Longing USDJPY here is dangerous
IMO dips again to 106
then again north to 108.6
for the bigger wave drop

UK & EUROPE
london red 09:25 GMT 10/24/2014
people blame italy france for slow reform but how can anyone expect reforms by member states in euroland when there is no financial benefit in doing so.
everyone equal. communism.
uk votes out of this bs outfit 2017. or earlier depending on the election result next year.

BREAKING NEWS
sd sf 09:23 GMT 10/24/2014
gbpyen as well is pretty important

was couple of highs 60-65 and now tested 90 and rejected.

I'm not that confident $yen can track up through 30 till we see US Stock Performance -- because really it has just bailed out some weakish longs from Asia .. I doubt there is any fresh new longs going in at these prices.

EUR you can see its tough to push it lower or to get it higher - which spells bad news for someone on the open Monday depending how things turn out... as not much chance to do anything with a bad position... in such a small range.

AUD I was wrong on that I thought it would stay 30-65 and Gold 27-32... but that's the market for you.

Back at it Tuesday .. all the best.



RISK OFF: U.K. 3Q14 Solid and in Line With Street Estimates. Light U.S. Data Calendar. ECB Bank Stre
GVI Forex Blog 09:23 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- New Homes Sales

Preliminary 3Q14 U.K. GDP grew solidly and in line with street expectations. The GBP is up on the news. Today has a light data calendar with U.S. New Homes Sales due, Over the weekend, European clocks are turned back one hour. North American clocks change a week later.

RISK OFF: U.K. 3Q14 Solid and in Line With Street Estimates. Light U.S. Data Calendar. ECB Bank Stress Tests Sunday


UK & EUROPE
PAR 09:21 GMT 10/24/2014
If you are member of a club you have fom time to time pay your membership fee . If you find it too expensive ,look for a cheaper less exclusive club .

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile

09:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Early in European trade, markets are in a mild RISK-Off posture heading into the ECB bank stress tests due on Sunday. We would not be surprised to see results leaked at any time.  In Far East trade, equities ended mixed.  European bourses are broadly weaker.  U.S. share futures are lower.

U.S. 10-yr yields are lower. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are down as well. Peripheral bond yields are higher.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



BREAKING NEWS
london red 08:58 GMT 10/24/2014
eurgbp. 70-74 v imp for direction.

BREAKING NEWS
london red 08:49 GMT 10/24/2014
data probably a slight relief hence the bounce but think 16080-16112 good lvl to sell stop over over 6132

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:35 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
U.K. preliminary 3Q14 GDP down slightly. Solid data.



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:30 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
UK GDP-- 3Q14 preliminary



-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.
YY +0.30% vs. +3.00% exp. vs. +3.20% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 07:57 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
will buy a put on aapl today
Nov/2014
strike 100
will close the option when aapl gets near
99

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 07:39 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Few pairs that are IMO all year position
USDJPY shorts above 107 tgt 98
USDCAD SHorts above 1.13 tgt 1.04

GBPJPY short from above 176 TGT < 150
GBPNZD shorts from above 2.06 tgt 1.95

NDX Shorts from above 4070 tgt 3200
DJI Shorts from above 17200 tgt 15500
AAPL Shorts from above 106 tgt 75
Silver longs from around 17 tgt 23
Gold Longs from 1220 tgt 1400
AUDUSD Longs from below 0.8650 tgt 0.96

AMZN
SaaR KaL 07:18 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
not from 370 mid next year ---->
Heading to 150 the following 4 years
:)

AMZN
PAR 07:07 GMT 10/24/2014
Is Amazon too big to fail ?

morning thoughts
london red 07:02 GMT 10/24/2014
yen. 107.65 is the figure of note today, the top channel line. vital for the pair to close abv this support, but allow for a bear trap to 39 intraday.
cable. position taking this morning suggests little support for a gdp north of +0.7. with servs still at prev levels but manufacturing down a bit, its prob a fair print to expect. fib at 15994 guards the downside, below there it targets 1.5948/50 whatever the outcome of the gdp. even at 0.7 growth is slowing from 0.9, its an argument the bears could take hold of so watch the support. topside, res found at 6068/79 then 6108/12 on any relief rally.
euro. pivoting 12649. pocket of res at 86/07, support at 22/16. hourly charts suggest a further wave lower to support, but needs to stay under 49 to keep that in plat, otherwise its likely more pivoting waiting for us session.

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 07:00 GMT 10/24/2014
Ebola is no longer a market factor .
By tonight NY is ebola free .

The Ebola story will no longer impact markets , on the contrary positive for certain drug companies;

AceTrader Oct 24: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (GBP/USD)
Hong Kong AceTrader 06:35 GMT 10/24/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

24 Oct 2014 05:00GMT

GBP/USD - ...... Cable fell yesterday to a near 1-week low after U.K. retail sales showed continued slowdown consumer spending & industrial orders, damping expectation on timing of the BoE's rate hike in 2015.

Britain's brisk economic recovery is showing more signs of cooling after shoppers bought less, exporters took a hit fm Europe's slump and banks approved the fewest mortgages in more than a year.
Data released on Thursday underscored why the BoE is signalling that it is in no rush to raise interest rates, even as U.K.'s economic growth continues to outpace that of most other industrialised nations.

Earlier, BoE deputy governor Ben Broadbent had said that any future rise in interest rates was likely to be gradual, and that underlying interest rates - which dictate investment returns n BoE policy - would stay low for some time.
In a third set of figures, factory export orders in the 3 months to Oct fell to their lowest level since the start of last year as Europe's slowdown took its toll on British manufacturers.

Today's prelim. Q3 GDP data are expected to show growth cooled in the 3 months to Sep to a quarterly 0.7% fm 0.9% in the Apr-Jun period. A further slowdown is possible in the final 3 months of the year.
The recovery in Britain's economy has pushed the unemployment rate down to 6%. But pay is still lagging behind inflation, a reflection in part of how many people have found work in low-paying industries.

A survey published on Thursday showed the biggest fall in 4 years in one measure of consumer confidence as many of those workers feared they could lose their jobs as the economy cools off.


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 05:31 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
AUDUSD
NZDUSD Cable EURUSD...all Buying

GVI Forex Blog 05:13 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
- (CN) CHINA SEPT NEW HOME PRICES M/M: PRICES RISE IN 0 OF 70 CITIES V 1 PRIOR; Y/Y: PRICES RISE IN 10 OF 70 CITIES V 48 PRIOR - (CN) CHINA SEPT CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX M/M: 0.9% V 0.7

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Rebound infected by NYC Ebola scare; China property prices continue to slide - Source TradeTheNews.com


Morning
sd sf 05:07 GMT 10/24/2014
just coming into this 3 hour period in EUR - where we have been trading 50 pips a day .. I am slightly biased to the upside

so I will go with 40-90 .. but am aware it could well stay 25-75 with maybe some late sellers into that weekend stuff... blocking much past 75.

thoughts/comments ?

Morning
Mtl JP 03:15 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
sd sf 01:34 tks 4 insight !

Morning
sd sf 02:41 GMT 10/24/2014
I know the AUD got whacked early on -- but it should stay offered - as well as Gold .. as when you get these type of factors there is no place to really hide .. despite the $yen softer tone here in Asia.

imo ... EUR + GBP should benefit more .. maybe we see that in early London.

AceTrader Oct 24: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:15 GMT 10/24/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

24 Oct 2014 01:49GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Just when the market gave a green light to buy the dlr/sell the yen on Thursday after yesterday's upbeat data in the euro zone (PMIs) and the U.S. (falling jobless claims, rising leading indicators), news on the 1st diagnosed case of Ebola in New York knocked the wind off the USD, knocking the pair briefly to 107.87 in Tokyo as the news triggered a bout of yen buying on risk aversion.
Nikkei pared initial gain after the N225 futures rallied 300 points (Nikkei spot index is currently up 142 points at 15280) & S&P futures are trading in negative territory.

Unless the Nikkei heads higher again later in the day once current Ebola scare subsides, range trading with downside bias is seen.
For now, offers are tipped at 108.10/20 and more above with stops above yesterday's NY high at 108.36.
Initial bids are noted at 107.85-80 and more below with stops touted below 107.40-35.

Japan's FinMin Taro Aso talked about the importance to proceed with sales tax plan as scheduled to maintain trust in JGB market.
Aso continued to say that the MoF will continue to communicate with markets to make sure discount bills and JGBs are auctioned smoothly.

Last night the greenback maintained a firm undertone due to renewed risk aversion as Dow Jones index rallied by more than 225 points or 1.37% to 16654. Besides, U.S. 2-year treasuries note yield climbs near 0.4%, highest in more than a week.
Bids were located at 108.10-05 n more at 107.90-80.
On the upside, some offers were tipped at 108.40-45 with mixture of stops n offers is seen at 108.50.

Friday will see the release of New Zealand trade balance, imports, exports, China house prices, Germany consumer sentiment, Italy retail sales, UK GDP and U.S. new home sales.

Morning
sd sf 01:49 GMT 10/24/2014
2 things about that

* at the moment the market is still bullish in $yen - but your right Stocks later will be important... which I can't know just yet what they will do.

* this is how the Japanese traders will trade it - all bets are off when other markets enter of course... Tokyo will have bids just in front of 80 and 60 ... you will have to gauge the rebounds/price action... as to how solid they will be if something changes.

Morning
NY JM 01:41 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Much will depend on how far stocks slip on the Ebola news??


Morning
sd sf 01:34 GMT 10/24/2014
just as a guide in bullish $yen markets

normally you see 78 hold on the pullback -- if that breaks then it tends to run down to 58 before recovering back above 78.

so those are the 2 levels I'd be looking at.

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:43 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
* Yen down broadly, hits two-week lows vs USD

* Wall Street rally & higher U.S. yields lift dollar/yen

* New Zealand dollar nursing post-CPI blues

* Ebola scare in New York watched

FOREX-Yen stumbles as strong US earnings revive risk trades


BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 00:36 GMT 10/24/2014
NYTimes reports

A doctor in New York City who recently returned from treating Ebola patients in Guinea tested positive for the Ebola virus Thursday, becoming the city’s first diagnosed case.

Patient in New York City Tests Positive for Ebola


Morning
sd sf 23:17 GMT 10/23/2014
our PM here pointing out the risks of a terror attack here at some point this morning on radio.

"Prime Minister Tony Abbott concedes the Australian War Memorial could be a target for terrorists wanting to attack a symbol of the nation's identity.

Mr Abbott said there was a "copy cat tendency" among people who thought they were called by God to kill.

"It's difficult to be constantly on top of this," he said.

"We must be constantly vigilant because it only takes a very small number of fanatical extremists that are reckless as to their own life and prepared to kill without mercy or pity to cause mayhem."


As far as Asia goes - not trading any automated strategies for today or monday .. the only thought I have is in $yen we will have some exporters come in and sell initially and once it finds a base probably rise again.

This Ebola rumor is a concern which is why I'd think people will wait for any early selling to end .. and look for that base to start buying from.

Yes or No
Mtl JP 23:02 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
any idea if or not

http://www.fdic.gov/regulations/laws/rules/8000-1200.html#8000cla1014

§ 1014. Loan and credit applications generally; renewals and discounts; crop insurance.

is not only a valid law but is applicable and if yes but is not, why not ?

Yes or No
dc CB 22:49 GMT 10/23/2014
Once upon a time, those who made loans would profit only if the loan were paid back. If the borrower defaulted, the lender would suffer.

That idea must have seemed quaint in 2005, as the mortgage lending boom reached a peak on the back of mushrooming private securitizations of mortgages, which were intended to transfer the risk away from those who made the loans to investors with no real knowledge of what was going on.

Less well remembered is that there was a raft of real estate securitizations once before, in the 1920s. The securities were not as complicated, but they had the same goal — making it possible for lenders to profit without risking capital.

Banks Again Avoid Having Any Skin in the Game


Yes or No
dc CB 22:22 GMT 10/23/2014
There may be worse things to worry about.
__________________________________________

Just when you thought it was safe to assume that Ebola-in-America was fixed (one day into Ron Klain's tenure as Ebola Czar), NYPost reports some rather disquieting news. A New York City doctor - who returned from treating Ebola patients in Guinea 10 days ago - has been rushed under police escort to Bellevue Hospital... He is being tested for Ebola.

Market liquidity has dried up instantly!

*PATIENT BEING TESTED AT BELLEVUE FOR POSSIBLE EBOLA, NYC SAYS
*NYC HEALTH DEPARTMENT TO ISSUE STATEMENT SOON, SPOKESMAN SAYS
*NYC: PATIENT WITH FEVER, GASTROINTESTINAL SYMPTOMS AT BELLEVUE
*NYC SAYS PATIENT EBOLA TEST RESULTS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS
*NYC TRACING ALL OF PATIENT'S CONTACTS
*NYC HEALTH DEPARTMENT ALSO WORKING CLOSELY WITH HHC

Update #2:

POSSIBLE NYC EBOLA PATIENT DID NOT SELF-QUARANTINE: CNN
POSSIBLE NYC EBOLA PATIENT TOOK UBER TO BOWLING ALLEY YDAY: CNN

New York's First Ebola Case?


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 22:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


October 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- GDP, US- New Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: US- New Homes Sales, COT



Yes or No
Livingston nh 22:16 GMT 10/23/2014
I reference the AIG case here and on the poli forum because it is evidence to refute the conspiracy theorists who attribute mystical powers to gov't employees most of whom couldn't begin to spell conspiracy -- why does regulation fail because one smart ass can outwit twenty of these dweebs -- the banks would never settle for the extortion if it was their money - they would hire good lawyers who would destroy the gov't droids in court


Yes or No
Mtl JP 22:12 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Fed lays out scenarios for 2015 bank stress tests - RTRS

(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve said on Thursday it would assume wider corporate bond spreads and a higher oil price in the most strenuous scenario it will use in next year's run of its annual check of banks' health. ... . .. the Fed said its "severely adverse" scenario was largely similar to the one it had used in its 2014.../..
-
Qtn to myself: were the banks loaded with $2 trillion worth of bonds and more liabilities (i.e deposits) than "assets" (i.e. performing loans) then they are today and will be tomorrow ?

Yes or No
Livingston nh 22:01 GMT 10/23/2014
AND NO it wasn't a thought out response to send this to the FED - it was Hank and Ben with their hair or lack thereof ON FIRE panic response

Yes or No
Livingston nh 21:56 GMT 10/23/2014
CB - they only went bankrupt because the Gov't didn't direct the funds to a US entity - the morons didn't understand the problem so the solution was wrong -- every "bad" mortgage could have been bought out for a lot less than the various QE solutions - for reference see the Fed balance sheet

the AIG case is representative of the clueless folks decision making ability

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 21:55 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
I ve been wondering about some lurking version of Stuxnet , sitting waiting for some trigger : what would go up in price and what down if cell comm were shut down for ... some time

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 21:51 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
nh 21:45 ok. not good nuff for profit generation as no way to put some sort of meter / toll on that. so I wait for new improved version.

Yes or No
dc CB 21:47 GMT 10/23/2014
Livingston nh 21:15 GMT
One of the problems w/ housing/mortgage since 2007 was the failure to use Fannie Freddie as the primary conduit for MBS and new mortgage money

in case you hadn't noticed, Fannie and Freddie went bankrupt.

I made a bit of change on them. FNM traded on the NYSE at $35 a share, when I shorted it....went to 0

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 21:45 GMT 10/23/2014
JP - when I want the attention of the next generation I merely unplug the router - BUT I am open to other ideas

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:44 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
 
FRIDAY
08:30 GB GDP-- broadest measure of economy
14:00 US New Homes Sales-- housing measure


BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 21:42 GMT 10/23/2014
JP - sorry I missed your plague inquiry - yes // another reason to sell EUR - the spread of Ebola beyond previous outbreaks is a do-gooder problem in Europe - Trading vessels (and occupants) might be burned in prior centuries - this is no longer ACCEPTABLE -- the new improved Europe allows refugee immigrants so the spread should be quick

In the US we think the do-gooder volunteers should be allowed to spread the virus and the pres, always reluctant to offend, agrees - hence no travel ban or containment until (WAIT FOR IT) the pharma companies gear up (no cure but a daily pill)

the Great Unwashed won't panic because all previous alerts (swine, HK, bird flu etc.- faux science) have been false alarms -- ahh, but when the WOLF finally appears nobody takes warning seriously

ah but I'm sure it will be different this time

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 21:37 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
nh 20:49 pray tell how far/close you are to "breaking bad social habits" . I might have a business proposal.

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 21:36 GMT 10/23/2014


The state Department of Health is closely monitoring this potential case and is working with the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene and the Federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to ensure that all appropriate protocols are being followed to protect public health and safety.
This patient is undergoing testing at Bellevue Hospital, which is one of the eight hospitals statewide that Governor Cuomo designated earlier this month as part of his Ebola Preparedness Plan to handle potential cases.

++++++++++++++++
So go about your business, spend, consume, walk around, use Uber... and we'll let u know in 12 hours if this chap that's been in NYC for 10 days is infected with a deadly disease



New York Department Of Health Issues Statement On Suspected Ebola Case


BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 21:21 GMT 10/23/2014


GOPRO RATED NEW UNDERPERFORM AT OPPENHEIMER, PT $45: BBG

sorry Selfie Crowd...get a great shot of the flames and post it on Vimeo.


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