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FOREX FORUM
18/04/14 19:30 US COT Report con: n/a pre: n/a
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Global Markets News
Mtl JP 21:59 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
tky. crude probably tells the best story

Fixed Income Snapshot
nw kw 21:41 GMT 04/17/2014
gbp can move us bond

Oil
nw kw 21:38 GMT 04/17/2014


see it in chart but gbp/aud reversing .8 and g/cat strong

Oil
nw kw 21:32 GMT 04/17/2014
xaugbp strongest so then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the GBP

tracking gbp in new week, BoE april.23

Oil
Cambridge Joe 21:19 GMT 04/17/2014
Looks to me like oil is still very high. Wednesday Thursday sees a significant turn south IMO.

Perhaps conflict is still only at the rumour stage. (rumor) !

Global Markets News
Cambridge Joe 21:08 GMT 04/17/2014
CB Good and valid points well made.

I was thinking on a smaller scale ie. a position floating at the time of a suspension assuming zero notice period, would remain in stasis until the market re-opened.

A gap of a few hundred pips, or more, would have no respect for a stop-loss.

That said, these gaps always seem to respect TPs.... Hmmmm.

Funny that !

Global Markets News
dc CB 20:33 GMT 04/17/2014
Joe

I'm less worried about a shootin war that will shut down the markets...than a cyber war that will "take out" some important thingie...that then will shut down the markets along with communications - so I won't even know the markets are shut, along my ability to grind coffee beans in the AM...get water from my well.

Global Markets News
Cambridge Joe 20:12 GMT 04/17/2014
CB just a quick point before some rest, if it does go septic over UKR, the markets might well be shut down / suspended....

Peace out .

Global Markets News
dc CB 20:09 GMT 04/17/2014


In 50 Years, when the students open up their history books, I want them to be reading my name. And not just for being the First Black President of the USA.

Barack Obama

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:38 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Global Markets News
dc CB 19:23 GMT 04/17/2014

So it seems like the US Bond market woke up today and said "Who TF is going to pay for this new Obama War...with the F&*&in Ruskies". Hey Ketchup Man...how much you gonna kick in?

Grandma 'splain it to me pleeeze!

GL to anyone trading on "the day we hung Him on the Cross"

GWE

Long Weekend Reads
dc CB 19:16 GMT 04/17/2014
The Sleepwalkers: How Europe went to war in 1914
Christopher Clark

1913 The Year Before the Storm
Florian Illies


Global Markets News
dc CB 18:53 GMT 04/17/2014


Mtl JP 17:55 GMT
dc CB did the 4-some have their pressconf finally ?

yes, just after 1:00 ET...that's when those Kerry quotes hit

(they left out the Andri remark which of course was censored in the US: "Dude your face is pulled so tight, but we can all see the folds on your neck")

But according to RT, it was all for nought.

Kiev: Military operation in Ukraine southeast to go on despite Geneva agreement


Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 18:27 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are ending weaker in response the equity rallies. It is looking like another short squeeze? The peripheral European bond prices are mixed.

European bourses closied higher. U.S. bourses are stronger. Far East stock markets closed mixed earlier. The U.S. 10-yr was last 2.72%, +8 bp.



Global Markets News
Mtl JP 17:55 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
dc CB did the 4-some have their pressconf finally ?
-
Canada's PM Harper is sending 6 F-18s and 20 military "advisor's to NATO european HQ.

USD
london red 17:11 GMT 04/17/2014
usdjpy res 44 55 ultimately 84 should cap if 101 to stay within view. If higher then 104.50 will be possible.

Global Markets News
dc CB 17:11 GMT 04/17/2014
no more reason to run for "safe havens" ...oh and so much for $105 oil...


KERRY SAYS GENEVA MEETING AMOUNTS TO `GOOD DAY'S WORK'
KERRY: UKRAINE REAFFIRMED COMMITMENT TO REFORM CONSTITUTION
KERRY: UKRAINE GOVT WILL HOLD BROAD NATIONAL DIALOG ON CRISIS
KERRY: ALL PARTIES TO SECURE UKRAINE FINCL, ECONOMIC STABILITY
KERRY SAYS GENEVA PARTIES MUST FOLLOW WORDS WITH ACTIONS
KERRY: MORE SANCTIONS IF NO ACTIONS FROM RUSSIA THIS WEEKEND
KERRY SAYS GENEVA TALKS ON UKRAINE ARE `JUST THE BEGINNING'

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 17:01 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile


April 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, April 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU/nZ, Europe/US/CA- Holiday.
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- Commitment of Traders Report.



EURUSD
Cambridge Joe 16:39 GMT 04/17/2014


Cambridge Joe 08:02:47 GMT - 04/17/2014
Eurusd softer going forward and across into the new trading week.... !! IMO. GL

------------------

That's more or less what I had in mind.... more to follow in the new trading period I believe... GL GT & good a Easter break to all.

USD
tokyo ginko 16:38 GMT 04/17/2014
usd across the board, strengthening into the long weekend, perhaps some short covering or safe haven movement..

April 2014 U.S. Philly Fed Index
dc CB 16:33 GMT 04/17/2014


EKG reading today is getting back to where Gammy said ---Oh about 6 months!===
They brouhgt in the crash cart and yelled Clear a bunch of times.
And the family ---but Gammy didn't really mean it---Gammy dosen't really want to kill us.
Gammy dosen't want to see it flatlines.

And this morning, up in Canuck land, they peered over the snowpile and saw INFLATION!!!!


Global Markets News
GVI Forex 16:31 GMT 04/17/2014
Bond yields up, dollar up

4/17/2014 12:16:25 PM (UR) Four-party talks on Ukraine in Geneva joint statement: Approves initial steps to de-escalate situation in Ukraine; illegal armed groups should be disarmed
- Parties have agreed to continue to meet in other formats

Russia Foreign Min Lavrov:
- Ukraine buildings must be freed
- Parties call for dialog
- OSCE will expand its monitoring mission in Ukraine
- There must be constitutional change in Ukraine
- Ukrainians must resolve the crisis themselves
- Russia wants broader authority for Ukraine regions and more scope for Russian language in Ukraine

- Note: The US, Russia, Ukraine and the EU are discussing Ukraine today in Geneva.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Your Best Trade of the Day
Mtl JP 16:28 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
sl 102.325 hit

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:49 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
The FX market has been pretty quiet heading into the Easter holiday, even in the wake of the negative German March PPI reading. This marks the third consecutive month that German PPI has been flat or down, which bodes ill for the threat of deflation. EUR/USD barely reacted and pivoted around 1.3837 overnight.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Markets Calm Ahead of Easter Holiday


NEWS: MERSCH: IF FOREX DEVELS CONTINUE, REACTION BY ECB INEVITABLE...
Mtl JP 15:42 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
DEVELS .. is that
DEV!LS or
LEVELS ?
no need to comment ...

NEWS: MERSCH: IF FOREX DEVELS CONTINUE, REACTION BY ECB INEVITABLE...
GVI Forex 15:39 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
NEWS: MERSCH: IF FOREX DEVELS CONTINUE, REACTION BY ECB INEVITABLE
MERSCH: FOREX DEVELS INCREASINGLY IMPACTING EUROZONE INFLATION
MERSCH: WE DON'T REACT TO VOLATILE MONTHLY DATA

Source: Market News International (MNI) – A Deutsche Börse company

Your Best Trade of the Day
eu pat 15:23 GMT 04/17/2014
I am checking my position now and I want toupdate it before going to church. Today was very clear setup Eur long. It worked during EU seanse but it changed very strongly. Maybe due US and CAD datas, maybe about worries about Ukraine during long weekend, maybe only a lot of small trades is at long side...For me is now bias flat or slightly down..or better say mess..I do not trade setup like this (50:50), it is gambling for me. So closed long eur/usd for a few pips..

Is it Safe to Fiollow a Trade Call?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:33 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
This is a good article for our forum

Is it Safe to Fiollow a Trade Call?


US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Change (bcf)
GVI Forex john 14:31 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile



ALERT
+24 vs. +40 exp vs. +4 prev.

EIA Press Release




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my analysis
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:29 GMT 04/17/2014


tq
raden

Relaxing story
NY Bob 14:07 GMT 04/17/2014
Read this and relax during this tough trading session guyz......

The Dog in the Well


April 2014 U.S. Philly Fed Index
GVI Forex john 14:01 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
Philly Fed much stronger than expected. EURUSD lower.

April 2014 U.S. Philly Fed Index
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile



NEWS ALERT
+16.6 vs. +9.5 exp. vs. +9.0 prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

Your Best Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:57 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
I keep it simple and take a common sense approach. Has served me well.

Your Best Trade of the Day
Paris ib 13:55 GMT 04/17/2014
Very pragmatic Jay. I always saw them as rules of nature!!

Your Best Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:50 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
ib, like any indicator the more who use it the more predictable the reaction if it holds or is broken.

Your Best Trade of the Day
Paris ib 13:48 GMT 04/17/2014
Jay.... hmmm. Sometimes I wonder about these gap theories. Should they be updated and amended? Anyway far as I'm concerned that gap is closed. Now we will see. :-)

Your Best Trade of the Day
london red 13:47 GMT 04/17/2014
s&p fibs 61 and 65. last 76 v important. above that new high. while below then risk to 1800 remains.
cable. breaks 16823 res to suggest 16870/16950/17000/17300 but needs weekly close above 168 to give dip buys next week a good chance. support at 16790 and 50. next week the 10 week ma is going to come in just above 1.67 which really should contain dips if we are to progress higher. still, good close required first.

Your Best Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:45 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
ib, this is what I have been saying in my videos since Monday but some like to use the closing rate as a gap.

Using the low (1.3860-65) as the gap has worked nicely.

Your Best Trade of the Day
Mtl JP 13:25 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
sl 102.325 tp 101.925

Your Best Trade of the Day
Mtl JP 13:02 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
usdyen - would sell 102.13 or buy 102.33 print

Your Best Trade of the Day
Paris ib 13:00 GMT 04/17/2014
I was always told that the gap is a day to day comparison, so you take the range of the previous day, not the closing level (which for these purposes is irrelevant). Based on your chart the gap has been closed already.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
GVI Forex john 12:58 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Jobless Claims continue to fall. The red four week moving average used by the government attempt to smooth out some of its week to week volatility. In normal times falling claims should be a positive omen for the economy and future jobs, but this far into the economic slowdown, these data have started to lose their predictive ability?

usd/cad
eu pat 12:51 GMT 04/17/2014
I will hold long eur/usd till my sl o profit tomorrow or on new week ( new year high)...

And this is the end of my working week .. Now I'm going to strengthen my mental strength ..

Happy and peaceful Easter everyone!

usd/cad
eu pat 12:48 GMT 04/17/2014
ok, closed short usd/cad after CPI...this move was not so deep as I d like but any profit is better as nothing...pair is in uptrend so I stopped it

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
GVI Forex john 12:42 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly jobless claims trend working lower.



Click on chart for ten-year history

March 2014 Canada: Consumer Prices & Bank of Canada Core
GVI Forex john 12:40 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile


Canada: Headline and BOC Core CPI... Headline rising..

March 2014 Canada: Consumer Prices & Bank of Canada Core
GVI Forex john 12:33 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile




NEWS ALERT
yy: +1.30% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.30% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.60% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.
yy: +1.50% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile




ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
304K vs. 315K exp. vs. 300K (r 302 K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.738 vs. 2.795 exp. vs. 2.776 (r 2.750 ) prev.

Press Release



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