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5/26/15 20:13
Target   3-Mo
2.25 Aust 2.96
0.10 Japan 0.12
0.50 U.K. 0.56
0.05 E-Z 0.06
-0.75 Switz 0.01
0.75 Cda 1.17
0.25 U.S. 0.23
2-YR % bp chg
Aust 1.99 -3
Japan 0.00 0
U.K. 0.53 -1
E-Z -0.23 -2
Switz -0.87 -2
Cda 0.66 -2
U.S. 0.62 1
   
10-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.84 -8
Japan 0.42 0
U.K. 1.87 -5
E-Z 0.54 -7
Switz -0.01 -3
Cda 1.71 -7
U.S. 2.14 -7

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27/05/15 14:00 A CA BOC Rates con: 0.75% pre: 0.75%
FOREX FORUM
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Your Forex Trading Clue: The Reaction to News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:06 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile


The trading adage, itís not the news but the reaction to news that matters was proved once again this past week and gave a valuable clue that the risk had shifted to the dollar upside. This is especially relevant in the current environment where the Fed has made its decision on when to start raise rates data dependent. This has seen the market push out expectations for a rate hike following weak first quarter economic growth and a slow start to the4 second quarter. This puts the Fed in the same boat as the market scrutinizing the latest piece of data to gauge the strength of the economy and degree of inflation.

<

Watch the Reaction, Not the News

Your Forex Trading Clue: The Reaction to News


Wednesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex john 11:06 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
DE 10-yr 0.552% +1.4 bp
US 10-yr 2.160 % +2.3bp

DAX +20
S&P Futures +2

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 10:49 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
GBPUSD BIAS: mixed

Split pattern for GBPUSD vis-a-vis its key moving averages. It looks like the pivot point (1.5388 use 1.5400) will set the tone.




GOLD
HK RF@ 10:38 GMT 05/27/2015


Chart gazing: Gold targeting 1095 for now! Indeed not too far.

USD/JPY
HK RF@ 10:36 GMT 05/27/2015

U/J is targeting 133.70 longer term.

Ret. can be played at 123.90 124.5 and 125.4.

TradeTheNews.com EU Mid-Market Update: ECB keeps its ELA funding for Greece banking sector unchanged
GVI Forex Blog 10:35 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
***Notes/Observations***
- G7 finance ministers and central bankers begin 3-day meeting in Germany
- BOJ Minutes show continued rift among Board members
- German consumer confidence hits fresh 14-year high
- ECB said to have kept its ELA funding for Greece unchanged

TradeTheNews.com EU Mid-Market Update: ECB keeps its ELA funding for Greece banking sector unchanged for 1st time in over 3 months


uk
london red 10:34 GMT 05/27/2015
queens speech due now. may affect sterling if eu ref early.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 10:21 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
USDJPY Bias up

USD clearly has broken out to the upside. Spot trading close to its HOD. 20-day average is way below spot at 120.20. It appears that Tokyo may have dropped out of the game of supporting the JPY?


AUD/NZD to 1.0640
HK RF@ 10:20 GMT 05/27/2015
.

Wednesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:19 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
I posted this on GVI Forex last night

Wednesday's Trade
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:10 GMT 05/26/2015 - My Profile
Light news day, watch stocks and bonds to set the risk mood.

EURUSD

1.0850 is important as it needs to hold to keep the focus on 1,09 to set its tone and away from 1.0843 (61,8%) and 1,0800.

50 day mva = 1.0960, sell bias as long as below it.
Reply

eurusd
HK RF@ 10:15 GMT 05/27/2015

prague viktor

1,085-1,10

A drop below range is a S/L

Wednesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:13 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
USDJPY breakout remains the key focus and if it can establish 123.50+ then talk will build for 125.

Thete has been no obvious catalyst other than a shift to looking for a Fed rate hike and a technical breakout.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 10:05 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
EURUSD Bias down

sport below major moving averages Spot close to pivot point (1.0906) which should set the tone. It appeared yesterday that EURUSD was dragging equities lower. We don't think this relationship can last. Not much in the way of data is due until Friday.


eurusd
prague viktor 09:55 GMT 05/27/2015
how wide the range do u think..

1,08-1,12

1,085-1,1060

1,075-1,10

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 09:54 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System






eurusd
HK RF@ 09:16 GMT 05/27/2015


Tallinn viies

Until next meeting on Wed., Euro may be on range trading.
At least until Wed. nothing happens, so some certainty comes in(and hope too for some settlement).

AceTrader May 27: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Hong Kong AceTrader 09:15 GMT 05/27/2015
Update Time: 27 May 2015 08:08 GMT

USD/JPY - 123.01
Dollar's rally to a fresh near 8-year peak at 123.33 on Tuesday signals long-term uptrend from 2011 record low at 75.32 has resumed and further gain to 124.14 (2007 top) is envisaged after consolidation
However, loss of momentum should prevent sharp move beyond there and yield retreat later.

On the downside, only a daily close below 122.03 (previous 2015 peak in March, now support) would indicate a temporary top is made instead and shift risk to downside for a retracement to 121.45 (Monday's low).

Markets Following Lead of Forex To Equity Relationship. Bank of Canada Decision Due
GVI Forex Blog 09:12 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
TOP NEWS ITEMS: CA- Bank of Canada, US- Weekly Mortgages, 2-yr, Weekly Crude

Markets Following Lead of Forex To Equity Relationship. Bank of Canada Decision Due


eurusd
Tallinn viies 09:08 GMT 05/27/2015
ECB didnt increase ELA funding to Greece today.
next wednesday next meeting

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile

STILL VALID!
nw kw 06:06 GMT 05/27/2015
long u/j + g/y need help from chf/jpy see who wins, yen to the moon


Wednesday's Trading Thread
HK RF@ 04:20 GMT 05/27/2015

Mtl JP

What is preventing usd/yen from hitting 124.00 ?

A bit O.B.

STILL VALID!
HK RF@ 04:16 GMT 05/27/2015

EURO
HK RF@ 13:17 GMT 05/26/2015
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.0890 Target: 1.0960 Stop: 1.0860
................................................................................
For the faint hearted Target 1.0940

For risk-takers Target 1.1000

Wednesday's Trading Thread
nw kw 03:56 GMT 05/27/2015
0117 GMT [Dow Jones] USD/KRW gaps higher Wednesday in reaction to the sharp USD/JPY rally overnight which saw the Japanese yen fall to an 8-year low. The pair are closely-correlated due to the Bank of Korea's vigilance in keeping the won relatively weak versus the yen - to maintain exporters' price-competitiveness. If USD/KRW ends the day above the 1,110 top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud resistance zone, more upside for the pair is highly likely

AceTrader May 27: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Livingston nh 02:11 GMT 05/27/2015
The problem w/ fakeout rallies is that there is nothing underneath when the reversal comes so the decline is more dramatic - EUR/USD 1.04 could show by next week

Too many folks looking for the big reversal on bottom picking -- nothing has changed in the EURo ZONE

AceTrader May 27: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:02 GMT 05/27/2015
Update Time: 27 May 2015 01:30 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0867
Euro's sell off below Monday's low at 1.0959 (now resistance) to 1.0863 yesterday signals fall from May's 3-month peak at 1.1467 to retrace erratic upmove from March's 12-year trough at 1.0457 remains in progress and further weakness to 1.0843/49 and then 1.0800 would be seen before rebound occurs due to 'loss of momentum'.

On the upside, only a daily close above 1.0959 (previous support) would indicate a low is possibly made and shift risk to upside for subsequent gain towards 1.1008/10.

Trader's Conflict
Livingston nh 01:50 GMT 05/27/2015
treasurys are being yanked between fear (Greece now Spain) and a Fed hike earlier than some mopes thought -- STOX will respond once Treasury rates start to rise // higher US rates will send fear into EM and Eur

MAYBE the compromise for Yellen is JULY --BUT like the Spanish Inquisition, NOBODY expects it

Wednesday's Trading Thread
Livingston nh 00:36 GMT 05/27/2015
JP - there is no more overhead resistance on the charts - this move would be the third measured move since 2012 - see wkly chart for surge and pause

Fundamental - Japan may be hitting the wall w/ jgb issuance

Wednesday's Trading Thread
Mtl JP 00:04 GMT 05/27/2015  - My Profile
what is preventing usdyen from hitting 124.00 ?
tia

long EURUSD
KL KL 22:56 GMT 05/26/2015
out ...close 3rd cherry bite on long eurusd here 1.0886....nice day actually....wait now 1.0875...wait means wait...not rush in at that point...with Life Savings....more like with 2 year old child savings....LOL

Wednesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex 22:07 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Light calendar so little in the way of news to drive the market so watch equities, watch bonds for risk mood..

UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:57 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile


May 26, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 27, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA- Bank of Canada, US- Weekly Mortgages, 2-yr, Weekly Crude
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: CA- Bank of Canada, US- Weekly Mortgages, 2-yr, Weekly Crude



Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 21:55 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





eurusd
Tallinn viies 21:36 GMT 05/26/2015
closed long euro at 1.0875. plan to buy lower again.
by my charts euro could fall today as low as 1,0750.

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


long EURUSD
KL KL 19:25 GMT 05/26/2015
out 5/6 eurusd long here 1.0872...waitiagain 1.0860...still too early to hold for a few more hours...wait for the Yankees to hurt those long euros from 1.0950...then again they may get hut...wh knows...just trade and take profit...the target is always to take profit against the noise you hear everywhere....looks like last post...all fingers on deck...LOL...also long AUDUSD .77292

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 19:05 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
New EURUSD LOD 1.0864

long EURUSD
KL KL 19:04 GMT 05/26/2015
Dooomshhhh

Ninja woke up to loud ding dings and noise.....

Now wait to clear some syops under 1.0895...then I appear again ...and NOT necessary at that point but could be 1.079....LOL...who knows.....

Taking long now eurusd now 1.0866....Happily relentless Long here..... same happiness levels to cover...and when the sound of parity gets louder the better it is for me...looks like 1.095 distant memories now....

Covering 1/2 nikkie futures shorts here and so many like DAX and FTSE...and DOW...... leave the rest trailing 40-70 points
from now THIS moment trailing stop profit..... Very Happy trade on indices expecially DAX...really suprise it drop with falling EURUSD......take profit wonder later.....LOL

DYOR...DFM..DLTM...imvho!!

UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 18:26 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Re data BOC Wednesday then Friday sees a busy day for GDP's and other items.

UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 18:23 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT)
    WEDNESDAY
    14:00 CA BOC Rates
    17:00 UST TRY 5-yr
    23:50 JP Retail Sales yy
    23:50 JP BOJ Minutes
    THURSDAY
    12:30 CA Cur/Acct C$b
    14:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Sales
    15:00 US EIA Crude mn major price indicator
    17:00 UST TRY 7-yr
    23:30 JP Unemploy jobs data
    23:30 JP core CPI BOJ targets Inflation
    23:30 JP CPI BOJ targets Inflation
    FRIDAY
    6:00 DE Retail Sales mm consumer demand measure
    6:00 DE Retail Sales yy
    8:30 GB GDP QQ widest measure of economy
    8:30 GB GDP YY widest measure of economy
    12:30 CA GDP mm
    12:30 US GDP q/q widest measure of economy
    13:45 US Chicago PMI Regional PMI
    14:00 US final U of Mich Sentiment Survey

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar for key items, such as consensus estimates, previous data and links to charts of recent data).



Tuesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex john 18:03 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Nice correlation over the day between Stocks and EURUSD. Stocks cleraly are not liking the stronger USD.

STOX
Livingston nh 18:00 GMT 05/26/2015
the next gap below a 2100 break is ~SPX2089


Tuesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex john 17:50 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Looks like EURUSD has been sliding today in quiet trade. Personally I think a lot of people don't like the ERU or the USD and are not ready to stand in the way of price moves in either direction.

Tuesday's Trading Thread
GVI Forex john 17:08 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
2-yr 0.648%
bid-to-cover 3.40 vs. 3.40
unimpressive.

Your Forex Trading Clue: The Reaction to News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:07 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile

The trading adage, itís not the news but the reaction to news that matters was proved once again this past week and gave a valuable clue that the risk had shifted to the dollar upside. This is especially relevant in the current environment where the Fed has made its decision on when to start raise rates data dependent. This has seen the market push out expectations for a rate hike following weak first quarter economic growth and a slow start to the4 second quarter.† This puts the Fed in the same boat as the market scrutinizing the latest piece of data to gauge the strength of the economy and degree of inflation.


Watch the Reaction, Not the News

Your Forex Trading Clue: The Reaction to News


UPCOMING NEWS
Mtl JP 16:38 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
The Federal Reserve and the Global Economy

promises to continue to meddle in markets
bit of a dud of a speech

UPCOMING NEWS
Mtl JP 16:16 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
fwiw Fischer on deck at bottom of hour
"the FED and the global economy"
with Q/A

S an P - After the Record
Mtl JP 15:55 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
Liquidation can not be a developing process.
Liquidation is a massive event over a short period of time.
Similar to holding a post x-mass sale on decorations
or bears feasting on a beehive's honeycombs one fine day in the fall

In communication amongst humans meeting this or that definition is a prerequisite for mutual respect unless one intends to play the Central Bank communication style of a joke taking players for dunces.


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