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29/08/16 23:50 A JP Retail Sales yy con: -0.90% pre: -1.40%
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The democratic party has accused Donald Trump of enjoying implicit support from the Kremlin.
Mtl JP 23:23 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
RF@ pray tell what do you think is the purpose of your 23:13 post on this "purpose is to GENERATE TRADING IDEAS website? tia

The democratic party has accused Donald Trump of enjoying implicit support from the Kremlin.
HK RF@ 23:13 GMT 08/29/2016

After the US administration, has created troubles in the Ukraine and creating tension in Europe by moving missiles to the east, will not one wonder if the Russians are in Trump favor.

Probably Trump will diffuse the current tension with Russia, which weapon manufacturers will not be too happy about.

This kind of accusations against the Russians, may add some more paranoia feelings to the mentally distressed population in the US.

Explicit evidence was not yet presented anyway.

Welcome to the USA:(
dc CB 22:00 GMT 08/29/2016
It will not come as a surprise to anyone that in the latest manifestation of McCarthyism, the democratic party has accused Donald Trump of enjoying implicit support from the Kremlin, which has led to the anecdotal narraative that any Russian-sponsored hacks would benefit Trump.

Which is why we find it surprising that the FBI would come out with this story 70 days before the election, because if anything, it would serve as a strawman to "explain" a potential Hillary loss: should the shock outcome take place (a la Brexit), in which all polls were wrong, the media can then pivot to blaming the Kremlin for rigging the vote, perhaps leading to a voiding of the electoral outcome.

Will The Election Be Hacked: FBI Finds "Foreigners" Breached Two State Election Databases


Monday Trading
nw kw 21:57 GMT 08/29/2016
confident about recession
ya right

down gbp,

cant fight fed

world deleveraging

production weeding out week co.

trade and tariffs

immigration shifted

clean air act.

so u see we fell but cant get nocked out?

still cheap eur cow means commodity based





Monday Trading
dc CB 21:52 GMT 08/29/2016
Gulf

thur 1st map forecast


Monday Trading
Mtl JP 21:39 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
CB I am almost addicted to what the crowds are mad(ly in love) about
remember that I prefer gv's chart-points
they are simple/r to integrate into my MT4's trading robot
ps / I like simple/city :-)

Monday Trading
dc CB 21:32 GMT 08/29/2016
JP
why do you pay any attention to what Murdock's organization decides to have 25 yo
Ellie
Ismailidou
Markets reporter

write at the behest of her editors?

about as usefull as waiting for the next FED Mouth and Hope you can beat the algos...and front run that trade.

Monday Trading
dc CB 21:27 GMT 08/29/2016
BP SHUTTING OIL PRODUCTION AT THUNDER HORSE, NA KIKA, ATLANTIS: HESS EVACUATING NONESSENTIAL STAFF FROM FACILITIES IN U.S. GULF: BBG

time for some more OPEC production cap rumors....need those Nigerain Rebals to hit their Twitter Acct and declare "we're back"

Oil to 50 yeah LOL

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 21:21 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
to some alarm bells
to some others trading opps:

..."the most crowded overweight positions include U.K. government bonds TMBMKGB-10Y, +0.00% U.S. stocks SPX, +0.52% emerging market sovereign debt, developed market credit and gold GCZ6, +0.06% At the other end of the spectrum, investors are significantly underweight eurozone equities"...

These crowded trading positions are ringing alarm bells


Monday Trading
dc CB 20:55 GMT 08/29/2016
Stock up for the fun times after Labor Day...

The Manly Drink, Steel yourself for the Sheitstorm


Monday Trading
dc CB 20:51 GMT 08/29/2016
JP

this will prob never go farther than here, certianly not anywhere in the US....but it is an interesting take.

Charles Ortel


Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 20:24 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile

1.



Blue line (inverted) indicates the odds of a Fed rate hike by year end.

Market Sentiment Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are:
+83% from +88% late Friday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.1185
20-day avg: 1.1212
Pivot Point: 1.1184




Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 20:21 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile

30-Aug TUE
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
31-Aug WED
06:00 DE- Retail Sales
07:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Employment
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
1-Sep THU
All Day Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-SEP FRI
12:30 US- Employment
12:30 US/CA- Trade


Trading Themes --
  • Equity markets are closing higher as markets are digesting the Fed policy tightening signal from Friday. Some are interpreting the signal as an indication that the economy is improving. U.S. inflation data Monday indicated price pressures should not be a cause for Fed worry.

  • Fed Chair Yellen calls the shots at the Fed. She said Friday "I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months. Of course, our decisions always depend on the degree to which incoming data continues to confirm the Committee's outlook..." In other words, the Fed is ready to raise rates as soon as possible.

  • The next policy decision is scheduled for September 21. Before then we will see August employment data. Barring unusual weakness, the Fed may want to raise the Fed Funds target range by 25bps at that meeting. Fed Funds futures place about 32% odds on a September hike.

  • With good reason, markets simply don't trust the unreliable verbal signals from the Fed. As an institution, it has lost all credibility with its poorly executed policy "transparency". I would not be surprised by a September 21 hike, but feel certain the current plan is to hike no later than the December 21 meeting. Market odds on one rate hike by yearend are 83%.

  • Many feel now the U.K. economy could flourish once it is out from under the control of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp GDP decline since Brexit has been an immediate economic stimulus.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com



Monday Trading
Mtl JP 20:18 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
for the record about we are confident about recession:
eurdlr at 1.1187
usdyen at 101.90
gold at 1322

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 20:15 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
.."we (zerohedge?) are confident that whoever made this prediction will be proven correct in under a year."...

sounds like trade idea: that gamma will be not only scaling back her rate hike optimism how-ever guarded but be back with new QE/negarates which she currently denies is even being discussed

Monday Trading
dc CB 19:46 GMT 08/29/2016
or whatever FED dweeb happens to be running his mouth at any particular hour of the day.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

* Sometime after the election, historical data will show that in 2016 the U.S. was in recession.

Dallas Fed Respondent



Monday Trading
dc CB 19:41 GMT 08/29/2016
take a peek at Soybeans, Corn, Wheat.

Yes Virginia, there are markets that still respond to Fundamentals, supply and demand, and not just the USD/JPY, Treas Yield, Crude Algo Correlations.

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:29 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database



Monday Trading
Livingston nh 16:33 GMT 08/29/2016
JP - GC MArtin use to refer to milk price for NZD -- the rate cut saw a bounce but NZD/USD hasn't recovered much from Friday's Yellen scare -- a close below the 21 dma w/ the MACD not confirming recent high would seem a good short


Monday Trading
Mtl JP 16:14 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
nh r u trading
usdcad stalling in line with crude price-action just sitting
-
also , and this is exceptional for me, looking at going short nzdusd around 7275 if seen. have a view on this chart ? tia

Sure win trade
HK Kwun 15:58 GMT 08/29/2016
Sell Gold
Entry: 1322 Target: Stop: 1324

seem market act differently again, especially silver is leading gold right now, close at 1324 first, sleep now

No US rate hike
PAR 15:55 GMT 08/29/2016
Unless BMPS collapses , Brexit goes wrong or Draghi cuts rates to -1% and makes QE perpetual ..

No US rate hike
Mtl JP 15:49 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
so... long eurdlr with stop n reverse under 200dma ?

No US rate hike
PAR 15:46 GMT 08/29/2016
Bond and stocks rally as market realizes that Yellen is a barking dog and that no interest rate hike is on the horizon .

The US economy is growing at 1.1% in Q2 , maybe a little faster in Q3 . No exactly a booming economy .

US unemployment figures in reality are much higher than the BLS reports . Seasonal adjustments have become a joke .

In the past august unemployment figures usually have been mostly weak.

Feds mantra is : If you cannot convince , confuse .

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 15:42 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
as if the FED, ECB or BoJ are there for nothing (or horror of horrors they get blamed for all the non-performance) according to Roach's opinion

Global Growth – Still Made in China



BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 15:21 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
Atlanta Fed GDP now tracking estimate for 3Q16 GDP 3.50% (annualized) vs 3.40% on August 25.

Source: TTN

GBP/JPY
HK RF@ 15:05 GMT 08/29/2016
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 1.3350+- Target: 1.3310 Stop: 1.34

.

Sure win trade
HK Kwun 15:00 GMT 08/29/2016
sell because risk on, dow up 100pts, USD rate hike, sell sell sell

Sure win trade
HK Kwun 14:59 GMT 08/29/2016
Sell Gold
Entry: 1322 Target: Stop: 1332

Sell now

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 14:50 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
30% odds Janet and gang raise in September
43.6% odds Janet and gang raise in December

CME FedWatch tool


Monday Trading
Livingston nh 14:43 GMT 08/29/2016
JP - agree - JPY and CAD getting interesting again // maybe some US stox turmoil first

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 14:40 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile


nh in my current optique usdyen = bod to 102
for break N of 38 FIB

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 14:31 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
crude must be off some judging from usdcad finally above 50dma

Monday Trading
Livingston nh 14:31 GMT 08/29/2016
Bonds, Stox and most currencies post Asia o/n seem to express no fear of an imminent rate hike -- yen as always moving on its own issues

Monday Trading
Mtl JP 14:28 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
nh r u judging from the 0.5% up opening in DJIA ?

Monday Trading
Livingston nh 14:16 GMT 08/29/2016
It appears that the market has rejected September FOMC zombie resurrection -- it appears dead again until Friday


Seems the UK Gov. is wobbling about Brexit.
HK RF@ 13:28 GMT 08/29/2016

Anyone here has an idea, what will happen to the GBP, if Brexit will not push through and cancelled?

GVI Data Calendar for 30 August 2016
GVI Forex Blog 13:22 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile



August 29, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, August 30, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- Retail Salles
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Case-Shiller, CB Consumer Confidence, API Crude

GVI Data Calendar for 30 August 2016


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
Livingston nh 13:21 GMT 08/29/2016
Jp - maybe convict would be better // re Fiscal "help" - the US has increased its deficit well beyond earlier levels (altho it has been declining as tax receipts have increased) but most of the increase has been for "lifestyle maintenance" - other countries are more constrained because of legal or financial impediments -- in general, inflation by fiscal moves (short of war) is not as effective as a "loose" Central Bank that makes MONEY MOVE

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
Mtl JP 13:13 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
re convince the FED
you have got to LOVE the lexicon: the FED.... is in-animate image when in fact the FED is a collection of PhDs and self and otherwise proclaimed to-be-respected and revered "experts" who, collectively, makeup the FED.

But for a tiny momentary flash I had misread convince as convict.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
Mtl JP 13:05 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
nh 12:53 do not despair, see JP 00:01
"help" was and is called, matter of time now it arriving
patience

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
Livingston nh 13:03 GMT 08/29/2016
John - now if we could just convince the Fed (or maybe Yellen should go back to her Pre KoolAde Opinion of Inflation Target)

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:56 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
If you can't hit the target, ignore it or change the target.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
Livingston nh 12:53 GMT 08/29/2016
Is there anything to suggest that the FOMC can be reasonably confident that the inflation target will be reached ?? -- Brainard & Co. may want MORE data

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady
GVI Forex Blog 12:39 GMT 08/29/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Core PCE Deflator steady at 1.60%. Fed Targets PCE Deflator.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. PCE Deflator Steady



Next Page





Amazing Trader is a unique approach developed by Jay Meisler to trading that utilizes proprietary technology to deliver global-view's exclusive trading levels directly to your platform in real-time.

The goal is to take your trading performance to a higher level.

Amazing Trader




30-Aug TUE
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
31-Aug WED
06:00 DE- Retail Sales
07:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Employment
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
1-Sep THU
All Day Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-SEP FRI
12:30 US- Employment
12:30 US/CA- Trade


Trading Themes --
  • Equity markets are closing higher as markets are digesting the Fed policy tightening signal from Friday. Some are interpreting the signal as an indication that the economy is improving. U.S. inflation data Monday indicated price pressures should not be a cause for Fed worry.

  • Fed Chair Yellen calls the shots at the Fed. She said Friday "I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months. Of course, our decisions always depend on the degree to which incoming data continues to confirm the Committee's outlook..." In other words, the Fed is ready to raise rates as soon as possible.

  • The next policy decision is scheduled for September 21. Before then we will see August employment data. Barring unusual weakness, the Fed may want to raise the Fed Funds target range by 25bps at that meeting. Fed Funds futures place about 32% odds on a September hike.

  • With good reason, markets simply don't trust the unreliable verbal signals from the Fed. As an institution, it has lost all credibility with its poorly executed policy "transparency". I would not be surprised by a September 21 hike, but feel certain the current plan is to hike no later than the December 21 meeting. Market odds on one rate hike by yearend are 83%.

  • Many feel now the U.K. economy could flourish once it is out from under the control of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp GDP decline since Brexit has been an immediate economic stimulus.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


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