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28/04/15 17:00 A UST TRY 5-yr con: n/a pre: n/a
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UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:13 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile


April 28, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 29, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, EZ- Consumer Confidence, DE- flash HICP, GDP, Pending Homes Sales, Weekly Crude, FOMC Decision, 7-yr.
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: EZ- Consumer Confidence, DE- flash HICP,
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, GDP, Pending Homes Sales, Weekly Crude, FOMC Decision, 7-yr Case-Shiller, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed, 5-yr Auction, Weekly Energy



IRAN
Paris ib 15:11 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
So 'stuff' is going on. Just the noise about what the stuff going on actually is is a just a bit garbled. Then we have the Finnish firing warning shots... Merkel calling for more sanctions, Hollande refusing to hand over the ships the Russians bought and paying back 1 billion euros instead, stuff in Yemen, Syria, Israel. The chances of us actually finding out the facts on the ground are small. Specially when you consider so much lying is going on. Not the best trading environment I would say.

Ask Your Advoczate: Help! Stopped Out on Widening Spreads
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:06 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile

This is worth reading ahead of tomorrow's key events

Ask Your Advocate:  Is there anything I can do after my broker stopped me out by widening its spread when the market never traded at my stop level? It was around a data report and I got screwed by the wider spread. What can I do?

Ask Your Advoczate: Help! Stopped Out on Widening Spreads


IRAN
PAR 15:05 GMT 04/28/2015
Must have been " The Flying Dutchman " .

IRAN
GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Talk it was a Maersk Cargo Ship. Maersk is a Danish Company, but theship was flagged as Marsall Islands, if what I heard was correct.

IRAN
GVI Forex john 14:53 GMT 04/28/2015
U.S. Navy says no "no Navy Vessel" was captured.

PPT in action: US can't lose face in face of the Baltimore events!!!
Paris ib 14:47 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Seriously you may have noticed the DAX is down nearly 2 percent today. Baltimore is background noise.

PPT in action: US can't lose face in face of the Baltimore events!!!
HK RF@ 14:43 GMT 04/28/2015


A strong drop today might be blamed on the BLACKS of Baltimore.

Obama gets nervouz.

IRAN
PAR 14:41 GMT 04/28/2015
Looks a non event like Greece , Russia , Yemen etc .
Nothing important for financial markets .

Even Corporate QE no longer works
dc CB 14:40 GMT 04/28/2015


Apple upped its Stock Buy back by $50bln to $140bln

Now its just a weight on the Dow, the S&P, and bot NAS indexes.


USD, Treasuries, Stocks all Down
Paris ib 14:38 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
It will be interesting to see if the FOMC reacts to this. It's interesting to me to see U.S. Treasuries sell off as stocks and the USD take a hit.

S&P may test 2085 level.
HK RF@ 14:37 GMT 04/28/2015


2082 last week LO.

A break below very unpleasant. Much worse... a close below 2082 means Wkly key reversal.

IRAN
Paris ib 14:36 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Not in Europe they haven't. Heavy losses across the board.

IRAN
GVI Forex john 14:36 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Equities fel but have regained half of their losses.

IRAN
GVI Forex john 14:33 GMT 04/28/2015
I think it is a cargo ship. So far unconfirmed.

So that no animal will be harmed:(
HK RF@ 14:23 GMT 04/28/2015

National Aquarium in Baltimore says it will be closed Tuesday, cancels events!!!

IRAN
PAR 14:19 GMT 04/28/2015
U.S. VESSEL HELD BY IRANIANS HAS 24 PEOPLE ON BOARD: ARABIYA

IRAN
PAR 14:18 GMT 04/28/2015
IRANIAN FORCE SEIZES U.S. VESSEL: ARABIYA

Maybe this piece can lift the S.Mkt...So US will not lose face.
HK RF@ 14:14 GMT 04/28/2015


The only bad news which can lift the indices!!!...

Baltimore mayor's office reports 202 arrests, 144 vehicle fires, 15 structures burned since Monday afternoon - @baltimoresun

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:13 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Look at the chart. The two indices should run roughly in tandem even though their timefames differ.


French Stocks
PAR 14:10 GMT 04/28/2015
Now that he is used to Julie Gayet , Hollande has a new hobby "THE STOCKMARKET " .

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 14:09 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
john 14:08 where exactly is that ?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Looks to me Conference Board data coming back into line with where they SHOULD be.

eurusd
london red 14:06 GMT 04/28/2015
10985 is 5% off 10462 low
10998 is old fib. hampered trade in past
cable fibs at 15321 and 55

French Stocks
PAR 14:06 GMT 04/28/2015
French Stocks down . No problem Hollande & Macron will launch buy program . Caviar Socialists are entering the stock market with stealth buy programs . Armageddon is near.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:05 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
CHART: Univ of Michigan & Conference Board Sentiment. Conference Board Survey much weaker than expected.


eurusd
Tallinn viies 14:01 GMT 04/28/2015
closed euro long at 1,0960.
sq now

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
U.S. Conference Board Survey April 2015
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

95.2 vs. 102.2 exp. vs. 101.3 prev.


RELEASE: Consumer

Confidence Data




TTN: Live News Special Offer




BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
U.S. Richmond Fed Index April 2015
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
-3 vs. -1 exp. vs. -8 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:00 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
U.S. Case Shiller-20 February 2015
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+5.03% vs. +4.70% exp. vs. +4.56% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 12:45 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
IF u r trading Cad$ u probably know BoC's Poloz and his sidekick Wilkins are in delivering their optimism about Canadian economy to Parliamentarians ...
starting just about now

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 12:32 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
HK PW more often than not it is the pioneers that take arrows in their backs

suggestion:
- wait for dlr/x 95.50-95.00 see if it holds / or bet it will hold
- use gbpdlr turn back under its 100dma as a potential signal for euro sell signal.

In the meantime usd is offered.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:29 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
I posted this earlier on GVI Forex -- high so far 1.0949

Tuesday's Trade
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:48 GMT 04/28/2015 - My Profile
EURUSD: for damage to be fatal 1.1052 would need to be decisively taken out. All I have on charts are

1.0950 ("50" level but not a tech level)
1.1000 (psychological but not a chart level)
1.1035 chart res
1.1052 major res

Trades bid while above 1.0900 but 1.0950 would seem to hold the key today.

Global-View Trading Systems
HK PW 12:08 GMT 04/28/2015
Is anyone short usd or looking to fade the moves?

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 11:51 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
more about Liquidity or lack thereof

The market is getting nervous about something experts are struggling to define

... bond "flash crash," an event JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said is the kind of thing that happens "once every 3 billion years or so." .../..

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 11:31 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
Bond-Liquidity Desperation Sends Record Cash Into ETFs Worldwide - BBRG

“If times are good, ETFs can be more liquid than bonds because there is active secondary market trading, something which is lacking for bonds,” said Christoph Fick, Munich-based senior money manager at Pioneer Investments, which oversees $244 billion including ETFs. “But if everyone wants to get out of credit at the same time, owning the ETF won’t be an advantage.”

BLD ... bond liquidity desperation.

Global-View Trading Systems
london red 11:12 GMT 04/28/2015
dont know about 2% next month but they certainly cant wait for inflation to take off from where they are with rates now. monthly cpi last 3 months on a relative charge, now factor in rising oil. the next 2 months likely to get a further boost. as i said, to normalise they dont need to see inflation, just not see deflation. its what theyve been saying, but they have often been as dovish as they can without giving the game away, so while you should expect them to see thru tomorrow, you'll probably get more acknowledgement of weakness then the mkt reckoned for.

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 11:06 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
red - normalize
"normal" rate would equal to that of GDP growth rate.
that is the rate at which policy is neither supportive nor hindering
(at least according to conventional econ theory

How long before "the 40% run up in crude should swing it" starts to show up as having reached the famous 2% price inflation goal - a year ? less ?

3% GDP growth and 3% interest would be "normal"ized.
Not something I anticipate to happen next week or month.
You?

Short AUDUSD...usual relentless
KL KL 10:53 GMT 04/28/2015
Dooomsh Short AUDUSD .7932...relentless...cover lower or where I start....Armada Launched...DLTM DFM..imvho and gl gt

Global-View Trading Systems
london red 10:42 GMT 04/28/2015
to raise june they would poss need to alert mkt this time some ppl say but now there is normal formal forward guidance so they could raise without letting on the prev meet. tomorrow depends on whether they are looking thru current weakness or not. if yes, then you will get big bets put on long dollar again. but if no and they say risks are neutral or to downside, then dollar will come or some more. the bar is reasonably low since mkt is going in less long usd, but historically there has always been a reaction to a dovish fed despite any positioning so usd would still weaken.
one thing id add is that to raise rates fed doesnt need to see rising inflation, it just needs to be sure that risk of falling inflation is minimal which are two different things. at least thats what they have been saying. the need to normalise. i think the 40% run up in crude should swing it for now.

Global-View Trading Systems
Mtl JP 10:42 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
the FED gang knows two things:

1) their QE and zirp policies have been, continue and will be ineffective vs publicly stated goals of helping real economy grow consumption demand

2) that they are very, very worried about causing mayhem in the bond market with their meddling
("can and must safeguard the financial system" - yellen October 9, 2013)


Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 10:30 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
red- yes I think you right about the FOMC meeting. I expect them to be very neutral tomorrow. They don't know a lot more since their last meeting but will get two employment reports before June. It makes no sense for them to make a stand before the June meeting.

Global-View Trading Systems
kl fs 10:19 GMT 04/28/2015
"Even though the market is huge, it�s quite easy to get a clear picture of what�s happening."

This is not true and somewhat misleading. Quite easy to get a clear picture??? I believe the opposite is true.

Global-View Trading Systems
london red 10:08 GMT 04/28/2015
john, mkt is going into fomc by cutting long usd positions with the expectation of the fed being a bit more dovish than last time and setting back rates to sept/dec.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 09:55 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
GBPUSD
BIAS Upward 20-day 1.4894; 50-day 1.5024

PIVOTS
R1 1.5288 (HOD 1.5265)
PIVOT 1.5196 (call it 1.5200 sets the tone)
S1 1.5132 (LOD 1.5176)

Market has quickly shaken off the disappointing GDP report.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 09:47 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile
EURUSD
Broad Bias Higher 20-day average 1.0771; 50-day 1.0897

Pivots
R1 1.0932 (1.0919 HOD)
PIVOT 1.0875 (1.0897 50-day avg)
S1 1.0823 (1.0860 LOD)

pretty clear 1.0900 area (above or below) sets the tone.

BREAKING NEWS
london red 09:40 GMT 04/28/2015
id fade euro 10930-50 stops its not going to break away pre fomc although should stay firm. big option at 10880 will keep downside at bay.
cable. option at 15250 and poor data wont help gbp side. so rising by default from usd positioning ahead of fomc. again if 15320 smelt today would fade unless some gamechanger greek news out.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 09:40 GMT 04/28/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





AceTraderApr 28: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Hong Kong AceTrader 09:25 GMT 04/28/2015
DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
Update Time: 28 Apr 2015 08:02 GMT

USD/JPY - 119.07
Dollar's breach of 118.82 (Friday) to 118.78 yesterday strongly suggests the correction from last Monday's 3-week through at 118.53 has ended at 120.09 last Thursday and despite subsequent intra-day rebound to 119.44, reckon resistance at 119.59/66 would hold and downside bias remains for another decline later.

Below 118.78 would bring re-test of 118.53, break would signal erratic fall from March's near 8-year peak at 122.03 has resumed and bring re-test of 118.33 (reaction low from 122.03) and then towards 118.00.


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