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01/10/14 12:15 A US ADP Jobs con: 202 pre: 204
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Global Markets News
Mtl JP 11:36 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
In UK Daily Mail reports that
"More than a million workers got a pay rise today - after the minimum wage was increased by 19p £6.50 an hour. It means those on the lowest legal wage are set to see their pay rise by as much as £355 a year."

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 11:12 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
CHFJPY friday 114.9588 114.4153
will short at 115.0103

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 11:07 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
AUDCAD friday
0.9802 0.9747
could buy that

Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey 3Q14
GVI Forex john 11:02 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Big Mfg +13 vs. +10 exp. vs. +12 prev.

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EARLIER; BOJ Tankan Survey. Expect to see no improvement in three months time

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:59 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Gold friday range
1206 1196

i am shorting inside Layer 1214 1207
Let him have guys

October Newsletter
NY Global Traders Association 10:59 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Thoughts from the Trading Trenches
October 1, 2014
In this issue:

- Currency Wars: Open Warfare
- Forex Trading Outlook for October (video update)

October Newsletter- Thoughts from the Trading Trenches

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex 10:58 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
In the US, the manufacturing ISM index and ADP employment change figures for September are released along with August construction spending. The ISM index has risen strongly since the start of the year in line with the pickup in US activity. However, our global team expect the index to edge downwards from 59.0 in August to 58.9. Following August’s smaller-than-expected payroll gain, which helped persuade the FOMC to maintain its forward guidance, the ADP figures are likely to garner more attention than normal ahead of Friday’s September payrolls data. Finally, monthly construction spending is set to slow a little from last month’s 2-year high of 1.8% m/m.

Lloyds Bank

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:51 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
NDX friday
4079 to 4040
will buy today 4030 for the above range

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:48 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Interesting pair for friday close range
GBPNZD 2.1009 2.0843
I am Longing from

for friday

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 10:48 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
USD/RUB Traded higher in a range of approx 39.60-39.80 with lower oil prices and currency control rumors weighing on the Ruble. In addition the Ruble's level against the Dollar-Euro basket opened at 44.43 beyond the 44.40 at which the Central bank is set to defend the currency EU Market Update: Peripheral bonds continue to gain amid speculation related to the ECB's ABS program; Weaker German PMI weighs on the Euro

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:43 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Friday close ranges
EURUSD 1.2596 1.2533
Cable 1.6214 1.6129
USDJPY 110.2953 109.7592
USDCHF 0.9619 0.9566
AUDUSD 0.8735 0.8669
USDCAD 1.1264 1.1200

I would use these as option strikes for Friday expiry

Australia PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 10:37 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Earlier News ALERT
46.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 47.3 prev.

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Australian PMI remains weak.

Draghi helping hedge funds with taxpayers money ?
PAR 10:36 GMT 10/01/2014
Mario Draghi is set to push the ECB to buy junk-rated Greek and Cypriot bank loans, a move that will likely increase tensions between Germany and the bank.
The ECB's executive board will propose that existing requirements on the quality of assets accepted by the central bank be relaxed to allow for the purchase of safer slices of Greek and Cypriot ABS.
Despite Germany's opposition, the country may be outvoted if other eurozone members choose to back it.

Plovdiv Gotin 10:31 GMT 10/01/2014
1640/1376 is correct

Plovdiv Gotin 10:27 GMT 10/01/2014
With this speed 1.1640/1337 can be seen to the end of 2014, especially when strong sup 1.2617(upside 1.5145, downside 1.2515/1.1875) act like strong res.

Eurozone Final PMIs Soft. U.K. Mfg PMI Weak. PMIs Elsewhere Lackluster at Best
GVI Forex Blog 09:44 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Eurozone final manufacturing PMIs remained mostly soft . German production has moved into contraction. Swiss PMI remained soft. The U.K. Manufacturing PMI continued its strong negative divergence with the service sector.

Eurozone Final PMIs Soft. U.K. Mfg PMI Weak. PMIs Elsewhere Lackluster at Best

Current Conditions: Mixed RISK
GVI Forex john 09:29 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Markets have moved  into a MIXED RISK posture. Today has seen generally soft manufacturing PMI data. Additional reports are due later from the U.S.  The EURUSD is trading lower on the day.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. The 10-yr bund is 0.945%,  -0.4% bp. Peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.427% -1.3 bp. BOE Gov Carney has continued to signal a Spring 2015 rate hike.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.502%, -0.4bp.The Psychological focus remains on 2.50%.
  • Far East equities were mixed. Hong Kong was closed for a holiday. Bourses in Europe are mixed. U.S. shares futures are lower..

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

Manufacturing PMI September 2014
nw kw 09:21 GMT 10/01/2014
However, Sterling disappointed yesterday losing to Greenback due to the current account numbers showing a deficit of £23.1 billion, much higher than expected and GBP/USD currently trades at the 1.62 level. Since Mark Carney has reiterated that interest rate rises will be in small increments for the next two years

Manufacturing PMI September 2014
nw kw 09:05 GMT 10/01/2014
13 hours ago - GDP revisions present UK economy in a more positive light ... a wide-ranging methodological shake-up, the performance of the UK economy now ... ​Industrial production has continued to fall in the wake of April's sales tax

Manufacturing PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:55 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
I am not sure what is going on in the U.K. economy with the wide divergence between Manufacturing and the Services PMIs. Ominous pattern?

Manufacturing PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:39 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
U.K. Manufacturing PMI weaker than forecast. Divergence.

Manufacturing PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:38 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile


51.6 vs. 52.7 exp. vs. 52.5 (r 52.3)prev.

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Direct links to primary data sources

Tallinn viies 08:23 GMT 10/01/2014
I had 1,18 target for next year. 1,34 in 1Q15 and then down but now after stronger moves during last couple of months would need to think it over. could it be possible we see eur at 1,0000 during next year? wouldnt be suprised

EZ- Final MFG PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:23 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
EZ, GE flash Mfg PMIs. Mostly soft.

Japan final PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:19 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
EARLIER: Final Japanese PMI. flash PMI unrevised...

China NBS PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:18 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
China PMIs flat.

Haifa ac 08:16 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
It is not a "game". It is a bear market that will last years.

Swiss PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

EARLIER: Swiss PMI weakens

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
0.8792 0.8743 tgt 0.8689

Tallinn viies 08:09 GMT 10/01/2014
new month and new lows. this has been the game since april.
how low is only question.

Swiss PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:04 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Earlier data

50.4 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.

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Japan final PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:02 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

51.1 vs. 51.1 exp. vs. 51.1 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release

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EZ- Final MFG PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile


50.3 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.5 (flash)
48.8 vs. 48.8 exp. vs. 48.8 (flash)
49.9 vs. 50.3 exp. vs. 50.3 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release

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China NBS PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 07:59 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

NBS: 51.1 vs. 51.1 exp vs. 51.1 prev.

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Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 07:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD short Layer
1.2667 1.2633
tgt 1.2559

1.6272 1.6233 TGT 1.6136

European Defalation - Russia
PAR 06:52 GMT 10/01/2014
European sanctions against Russia put so much pressure in Agricultural prices and on other products that this lead to lower prices . Instead of reducing production Europ is giving subsidies to farmers and other industies to keep production going .

To beat deflation it would be better to stop subsidies than to lower interest rates.

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
The Holiday week begins in China & Hong Kong markets along with a very long weekend in

Morning Briefing : 01-Oct-2014 -0349 GMT

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 02:35 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
CHFJPY shorts
115.3534 115.0945
tgt 114.4092

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 02:16 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Closing AUDUSD shorts

Longing AUDNZD
1.1187 1.1131

TGT 1.1373

Global Markets News
Mtl JP 00:27 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
David Cameron: The UK is 1000 times more important than the EU - telegraph
I still have some coasters from way back: "EU lets get shot of it"

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
* Euro falls to fresh two-year low of $1.2571

* Euro zone inflation cools further in September

* China PMI & Australian retail trade data next in focus

FOREX-Euro pressured as low inflation puts heat on ECB

GVI Forec 00:02 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile

Friski Trade Ideas
sd sf 23:53 GMT 09/30/2014

selling out of its $cad - eurcad and gbpcad - about 42 pts combined.

about as much as you can expect at this time of day... which it is programmed to trade in.

The Last POMOs
dc CB 23:50 GMT 09/30/2014
staring reality in the face.
No friday Juice, a few Monday's are good for a run.

POMO October

October Newsletter
NY Global Traders Association 23:29 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

Thoughts from the Trading Trenches
October 1, 2014
In this issue:

- Currency Wars: Open Warfare
- Forex Trading Outlook for October (video update)

October Newsletter- Thoughts from the Trading Trenches

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
Mtl JP 22:20 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
TSX records biggest monthly drop since May 2012 rtrs

losing about 4.3 percent ... “There seems to be some downward pressure. The mood has changed here," said Ian Nakamoto, director of research at MacDougall, MacDougall & MacTier. “People are starting to question whether the fundamentals are still intact,” he added
Sounds reasonable.

Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System
GVI Forex john 21:36 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

Selected daily USD & EUR Pivots. Complete Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
Mtl JP 21:26 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
CDC - A patient at a Texas hospital has the Ebola virus, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control says. The patient is the first case diagnosed in the U.S.

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 20:42 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

September 30, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 1. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Tankan, PMI, CN- PMI, AU- Retail Sales, EZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- PMIs, US- ADP Jobs, PMIs

  • Far East: JP- Tankan, PMI, CN- PMI, AU- Retail Sales
  • Europe: eZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- PMIs
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP Jobs, PMIs, Construction Spending, Weekly Crude

Weekly US API Data
GVI Forex john 20:39 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -0.463 vs. +1.000 exp vs. -4.300 prev.
Gasoline: -2.500 vs. -3.00exp vs. -0.400 prev.
Distillates -1.800: vs.0.0 exp vs. +0.820 prev.
Cap/Util: 92.80% vs. n/a exp vs. 92.3% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report

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Next Page

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