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21/10/14 14:00 A US Existing Homes con: 5.1 pre: 5.05
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london red 11:57 GMT 10/21/2014
some time has passed since the recent low at 1.25 so a lot of spec accts are going to be long but i think its a case of bailing first, asking questions later. euroland is threatening an official return to recession and is fighting the onset of deflation and the ecb because of this is the most dovish of central banks, japan excepted. compare that to whats happening in the states. i dont think anyone has called the bottom here, they are just doing their jobs and trading the move higher while it lasts, hence the nerves when anything remotely involving qe or abs is mentioned.

NY JM 11:44 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
ib, looking at the price action, the ECB headline caught the market long EURUSD

london red 11:40 GMT 10/21/2014
ditto from me. going years back now when times were tough, learnt the most from bc and Athens.

Global-View Forums
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:40 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
We don't get much feedback but I want to give some. I find our forums, even after all these years, still amazing and I find it hard to trade without them.

Take today as an example. I woke up around 5:30 AM, saw the EURUSD had fallen, looked at the Forex Forum and found the catalyst right away. Bulletin board forums are not designed for breaking news and why I find ours the best. Then there are those posting levels and trade ideas that completed the picture and gave me a head start on the day.

Our vision from the start was to create a global trading room, modeled after an old time bank dealing room, and in this regard we have done a good job. We would like to see more people posting rather than sitting in the background (hint!) as everyone has something to contribute.

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LJ BK 11:35 GMT 10/21/2014
BC, nice to see you back. So you haven't left the table yet. I hope you're still able to clean it. Looking forward to your contribution here again.

Paris ib 11:31 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
bc - it's pretty certain this is merely a headline, probably in aid of EUR short sellers. The U.S. Went for QE boots n all, so far the ECB has been extremely cautious on this issue and I can see no reason why that is likely to change.

Riga 11:23 GMT 10/21/2014
Tallin if you didn't catch stop you are good....:-)

shanghai bc 11:13 GMT 10/21/2014

Buying corporate bonds of major firms may do more help to the EU economy than buying useless government bonds..Chinese way of central bank helping the real economy..Money goes directly to the major firms..More effective that way..

shanghai bc 11:07 GMT 10/21/2014

Thanks,AB..very much impressed by the professional standard of the Forum..Much has been improved on Forum while I left the Forum for a few years on public duty..

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex 10:47 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Yesterday USDJPY high was dead on at R2 =107.39

Today EURISD high was 1 pip below R1 = 1.2839

S1 =1.2754
S2 = 1.2701 (20 day mva = 1.2702)

PAR 10:30 GMT 10/21/2014
UN Experts: Detroit Should Restore Water to Poor

DETROIT — Oct 20, 2014, 6:28 PM ET

By JEFF KAROUB Associated Press

United Nations human rights experts described Detroit's mass water shut-offs as "a man-made perfect storm" Monday and called on city officials to restore water to those unable to pay, including those with disabilities or chronic illnesses.

Meanwhile, Detroit's officials said the two lawyers' actions and conclusions were agenda-driven and not based on "facts" about the city's progress in helping residents keep or regain service.

Leilani Farha and Catarina de Albuquerque, who were in town to observe the effect of water service shut-offs, said they affect the poorest and most vulnerable — and particularly discriminate against Detroit's majority black population.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
london red 10:29 GMT 10/21/2014
downside targets while we remain under 88 are 47 35 then 12700 90 86. will be looking to buy 127 down with stop under 80

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 10:26 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile

USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

PAR 10:22 GMT 10/21/2014
FXStreet (Łódź) - Lee Hardman, FX Analyst at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ observes that EUR/USD continues to climb after bouncing off support at the 1.2500 at the beginning of October.

Key Quotes

"Euro selling pressures have eased in the near-term alongside dampened expectations for monetary tightening from the BoE and Fed which has helped narrow expectations for monetary policy divergence with the ECB in the year ahead The ECB has already committed to a “sizeable” expansion of its balance sheet through TLTROs and private asset purchases."

"The ECB confirmed that it began purchasing covered bonds yesterday and will reveal how much it purchased every Monday afternoon. The purchases of ABS are expected to begin later this year. Still with downside risks to inflation and growth in the euro-zone continuing to build, the ECB remains under pressure to deliver further easing which if delivered could trigger renewed euro weakness."

"French and German finance and economy ministers also pledged yesterday to help support economic growth in the euro-zone through boosting investment."

"German Economy Minister Gabriel stated that Germany was developing plans to help raise the share of investment as a % of GDP from 17% to 20% by promoting private investment which would bring it into line with the average for OECD members."

"French Finance Minister Sapin stated that each euro-zone member state must spell out by the end of year how it plans to boost investment with more specific proposals expected to be presented by early in December."

hk ab 10:04 GMT 10/21/2014
bc great call in work again. Short above 1250

Paris ib 09:52 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
This kind of reporting has a bit of a history.... if you look it up these 'sources' have been making these suggestions since 2009.

"The European Central Bank could start buying corporate bonds"

2009 Wall St Journal Article

Paris ib 09:50 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
'several sources familiar with the situation told Reuters'

Bit of Headline Trading for You

Paris ib 09:42 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
'Sources' not named. ECB spokesman apparently denied that a decision has been made. Still the picked their moment. Quiet market.... into lunch time.

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
GVI Forex Blog 09:42 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Existing Homes Sales

Today sees the the latest September U.S. Existing Homes Sales. This report is the most comprehensive housing statistic Markets are already starting to set up for the Fed meeting in a week's time. This is an important period for confidence in the financial markets. . Additionally markets have been setting up for the results of the ECB stress tests set for release on Sunday October 26.

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due

Paris ib 09:38 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Reuters headline that the ECB is considering buying corporate bonds caused the dip. It remains to be seen how accurate the information behind the headline is.

PAR 09:38 GMT 10/21/2014
ECB to buy corporate bonds ,especially peripheral .

sd sf 09:33 GMT 10/21/2014
EUR - its just closing its shorts @84-5

see how things look in Asia in the morning .. GT

GVI Forex john 09:22 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
09:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Early in European trade, equity markets have shifted to a consolidation or a RISK-ON posture depending on how the session pans out over the day  Usually, n the end, U.S. indices set the global tone for equities. Equities in Far East trade ended mixed. European bourses are broadly higher.  U.S. share futures are up modestly at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are down. 10-yr yields in the bund and gilt are roughly steady. Peripheral bond yields are up, Volatile Greek yields are higher.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Day's Trades
sd sf 09:07 GMT 10/21/2014
GBPUSD wise - GBPYEN should have resistance @50-60 which was tough level to break before eventually touching 173.00

so I guess for now 70-80 will be offered in GBPUSD

this type of stuff depends alot on how the US Session Starts - as they throw alot of our trading out the window at times.

Tallinn viies 08:59 GMT 10/21/2014
covered my short euro at1,2811 with 17 pips loss.

GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
EARLIER: China GDP slows less than expected to +7.3% yy.

New signal
London London 08:56 GMT 10/21/2014
Entry: Target: Stop:

New Signal: Sell NZD/USD @ 0.79867. at 2014.10.21
S.L - 55
T.P + 55

Visit us for 8 days free trial

forex signals

GVI Forex john 08:51 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
China GDP 2Q14yy


+7.30% vs. +7.20% exp. vs. 7.50% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:24 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
I would not be surprised if they are not shorting it here
tgt 1220

You guys think?

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:13 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Cable most likely to lower then 1.6040 from here

sd sf 08:10 GMT 10/21/2014
one of my best Auto Strategies gone short @28 - another failure around here ? .. we will see in a couple hours.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:09 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
I doubt EURUSD goes above 1.2890 ??

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:01 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Yes Red/
I am shorting around 107ish... and I see that 75 TGT very clear

IMO you guys should look at USDCAD is in middle of of turn
Normally Pairs Slow is doing it
I doubt it will make another High

USDCHF will short again above .9520

AUDUSD Long below 0.8750 tgt .9300

NZDUSD Longs Below 0.7860 tgt 0.85

Not a USD bear in sight
Paris ib 07:47 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
And still no USD bears.

Day's Trades
london red 07:41 GMT 10/21/2014
yen. looking for downside reaction at 64 and 77. while those cap, downside likely. if not, its 10750 and inverse shs time up there.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 07:25 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Cover all EURUSD Longs
relong around 1.270 area if seen
it wants 1.38 +

cable relong below 1.6100 area

BTW Gold wants 1400 +.. Maybe even 1500
Buying with dips near 1220 is a good idea

sd sf 07:25 GMT 10/21/2014
Gold is above 1250 -- so if there is a time for a weak USD - it is now .. but it needs to get moving to keep people interested FX wise.

london red 07:19 GMT 10/21/2014
we've got a long wick on the hourly but they're trying to negate that with another rally attempt. if we dont get a double wick here then its likely we'll do the overhead res. if we finish the hour at or below 10 (06) as you say, then downside is going to be explored.

sd sf 07:05 GMT 10/21/2014
if it is going to test 1.2870-80 then it would need to hold above 1.2810 as if it goes under there then -> the offers would come back pretty heavy @30-35.

london red 06:37 GMT 10/21/2014
fkiwi needs to make the 23.6 of 88/77 its own at 7974. a close abv there required to open up the topside this week.
euro. china gdp enable it to move higher allowing little pullback and so europe generally follows thru until it hits res. i have 59 and 87. once its up there i would chase it too much as the next pullback is never far behind. that said i do expect one last move into 1.29 at some point, with the high somewhere between 12965 and 13017. anything above there would suggest a move drawn out correction but it is not my base view as that would require fed to move away from current path.

sd sf 06:35 GMT 10/21/2014
apparently some corruption scandal involving some ministers of Abe's Govt - raising some doubts affecting Nikkei etc.. keeping $yen offered more than it would normally.

GVI Forex Blog 05:21 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
(CN) CHINA Q3 REAL GDP Q/Q: 1.9% V 1.8%E; Y/Y: 7.3% (5 1/2 year low) V 7.2%E; GDP YTD Y/Y: 7.4% V 7.4%E - (CN) CHINA SEPT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 8.0% V 7.5%E; INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION YTD Y/Y: 8.5% V Asian Market Update: China GDP edges above consensus but still slows to 5-year low; Apple posts strong earnings ***Economic Data*** - Source

sd sf 04:03 GMT 10/21/2014
$yen got down to here ... the range seems to be in 20 pt increments.


personally don't feel so negative on it now its down here - but if stock markets don't go along later then obviously further fall to 106.17 couldn't be ruled out.

GBP - just got offers coming in now @75 76 77

NZD is the one to watch this is right on the highs we have seen for some time @85-90

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Mostly a consolidation day for the indices after the sharp rallies. The Chinese Q3 GDP is to be

Morning Briefing : 21-Oct-2014 -0340 GMT

AceTrader Oct 21: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY AUD/USD)
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:57 GMT 10/21/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

21 Oct 2014 01:30GMT

USD/JPY - 106.78.. In total stark contrast to yesterday's biddish tone in Tokyo session, dlr remains under pressure in Tokyo morning as renewed weakness in global stocks on Mon pushed the Nikkei in the red (N225 index currently down 92 points at 15019 after yesterday's spectacular 578-points rally to 15111, being the strongest rise in over a year).

Light stops were tripped after dlr met renewed selling at 107.01 n briefly penetrated NY low of 106.79 to 106.70. The lack of a recovery suggests intra-day downside bias remains for a correction of y'day's rally from a 5-week low of 105.20.
Traders cited broad-based yen buying on risk aversion due to the upcoming China GDP as street forecast is looking for Q3 annual growth to slow down to 7.2% vs prev. reading of 7.5%.
So short-term specs are buying yen/selling dlr ahead of the downbeat China GDP.
Offers are noted at 107.00/10 n more abv with minor bids at 106.70, stops below 106.60-50 are now in focus.

21 Oct 2014
AUD/USD - .......RBA meeting minutes:
'most prudent course likely to be a period of stability for rates;
despite recent fall, a$ remained high by historical standards;
in recent months there had been a further pick up in lending to housing investors;
members discussed importance for banks to maintain strong lending standards;
range of indicators suggested labour market was subdued but had stabilised somewhat this year;
forward-looking indicators pointed to modest employment growth ahead; wage growth to remain relatively slow near term, help contain inflation even with A$ lower;
historically slow wage growth consistent with spare capacity in labour market;
more timely indicators suggested moderate growth overall had continued into Q3;
consumption was likely to be supported by ongoing strength in housing; members observed most Australian iron ore production remained profitable following price fall;
members were briefed that Chinese authorities had scope to ease policy if needed to support growth.'

Syd 02:01 GMT 10/21/2014
China 3Q GDP +7.3% On Year; Market Expected +7.2%

tokyo ginko 01:37 GMT 10/21/2014
still eye 109.30..


LA Bar 01:21 GMT 10/21/2014
Is this shorts before China gdp? It looks like a setup if number is not that bad.

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:42 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
* China GDP, retail sales and industrial output in focus

* Yen stands to gain if China data stokes growth worries

FOREX-Dollar steady as currency majors brace for China data

sd sf 00:16 GMT 10/21/2014
some of my better performing strategies that trade ranges .. have come in buying GBP just ahead of 50.

obviously greater than normal risk with data ahead but thought worth mentioning.

$yen we really haven't seriously threatened 75-76 in today's session so far ... probably all comes together a little bit later... gold still above 1245.

RBA Minutes in 15 minutes first up.

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