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28/06/16 12:30 A US GDP con: 1.00% pre: 0.80%
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GBP: Only an idiot can't see that this month will become a horrible outside bearish month.
HK RF@ 02:38 GMT 06/28/2016

Engulfing (after rise) 4 previous months.

So can be found on other shorter time frames.

Not every dead cat bounce or relief rally , is a reason for celebration, as 1.2970 blinks.


long gbp!
tokyo joyya 01:42 GMT 06/28/2016
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

long avg now 1.3310 target 1.45/1.50 and more....happy trade

still think is too much
HK Kwun 01:32 GMT 06/28/2016
Sell Gold
Entry: 1330 Target: Stop:

already said too much, TP at 1320

Why the UK went in to the EU
dc CB 00:39 GMT 06/28/2016


Here's the Ticket...to be formally annc'd later this summer.

And of course the "problem" is xenophobia, outright rascism, and those Old People...anyone who dosen't vote this was will be tarred with that brush.

The "turmoil" in the markets, just the begining

2016 - Vote Blonde.

And The White haired one would still be in charge of money. The un-elected mmeber of the Ticket.

The Next Pres and VP - USA


Wkly GBP/USD Chart gazing, suggest Min. target 1.2760 FWIW.
HK RF@ 23:52 GMT 06/27/2016



Inverted C&H.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 23:46 GMT 06/27/2016
Australia’s Treasurer: No Need for Fiscal Stimulus Post-Brexit

Japan Ruling LDP’s Nikai Calls for 20t Yen Stimulus: Nikkei

K.I.S: GBP/USD; Daily Stoch. far from being O.S. and seems that the British....
HK RF@ 23:15 GMT 06/27/2016


Really enjoy the mess they have created...including the Bremain camp!!!:)

So no need to be in a hurry jump into this mess.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 22:44 GMT 06/27/2016
just wondering how big in size next global quantitative easing should be to help central bank put to work?
BOE announced alreadu how much liquidity they are ready to provide. others hasnt mentioned certain amounts but would be really interesting to know. trillion or two most likely doesnt help at this stage?

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Mtl JP 22:30 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
RF@ 19:25 sounds like a mother-of-trade opportunity to backup the 10-wheeler and load it up, even at current 1.32-ish. Takeout a 2nd mortgage as well to really juice from the situation.
Naturally caution should be thrown into the wind under these circumstances.

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 22:18 GMT 06/27/2016
John - no criticism of the chart - the numbers are the numbers -- a RATE CUT expectation or even More QE is so bizarre that I can't imagine people putting money into that market

Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 20:35 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
The Chart below is NOT WRONG! It just says the markets are completely out of phase. At present I don't see the mechanism by which they fix themselves.

Market Sentiment Indicators
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are -27% (= rate cut) from -11% late Friday.

Downward bias:
Spot EURUSD: 1.1020
20-day avg: 1.1268
Pivot Point: 1.1023

WIDE DIVERGENCE as Brexit fallout remains in play. 27% odds now on one rate CUT by year end.


Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 20:18 GMT 06/27/2016
Two days of selling in stox should be sufficient for those who needed adjustment - in US SPX filled the first sub2000 gap (2 more below) -- the crazy expectations for a rate cut in US are part of the "Panic" but there will be bigger issues between now and December // UK trade won't be affected for at least a year - so far no Locusts or Pale Horses on the Horizon

Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 20:07 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile

Trading Themes --
  • Germany says there are no informal Brexit talks underway with the U.K. I take that denial with a grain of salt. It is only logical that both sides might want to feel the other side out to get an idea about what the outlines are of an accord that might fly. However, to admit that they are talking could step on many toes, so they deny it. Furthermore, both sides have a lot to gain from an agreement.

  • Calls by some of the louder voices in the EU for the UK to invoke Article 50 immediately were rejected Monday by U.K. PM Cameron in an address to Parliament. He also rejected calls for a second referendum. He said that the U.K. is a democracy and the people have spoken. A new government will have been formed by October.

  • Markets will have to figure out by trial and error on their own what to do now. Key financial markets remain in a risk-off posture wuth equities, the GBP and EUR trading weak. Prices in safe-haven sovereign debt markets continue to rise (lower yields). Some are talking now about "twin parities" in EURUSD and the GBPUSD. I view that as a doomsday scenario.

  • This is a fairly active week on the U.S. data front which ends with the long Independence Day weekend. Next week will see the critical June U.S. employment data.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com




British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Ldn Cashman 19:53 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
My last comment on the subject. With regards "project fear". Not many people mentioning that Carney is an ex-Goldman employee. Doom and Gloom before the vote. Funny isn't it that Goldmans were one of the main donors of the Remain campaign.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Ldn Cashman 19:49 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
And the FTSE is down about 5.5 pct since the vote. Doesn't seem as though the sky has fallen in to me. Franklin Templeton , one of the largest investment managers in the world announced that they were overweight in UK equities going into the vote. I'm sure they're not stupid.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Maribor 19:39 GMT 06/27/2016
RF, range is narrowing in cable and rate keeps returning to the middle. My scenario is that movement will start after end of the day during night time and it may go so far up that all would be just shorting (and be wrong again)...

Shall see...

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:36 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile



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British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
HK RF@ 19:25 GMT 06/27/2016

I am afraid to say, that we are in a runaway almost out of control deteriorating relations among the parties involved in the BREXIT event.

The strength of the USD, is curbing everything; Even gold and JPY.

Not a very normal and pleasant situation.

Trying not to be too smart in picking bottoms.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Ldn Cashman 19:25 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
Parity ? Come on a bit of sense please.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Ldn Cashman 19:24 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
The way the press are talking it seems as everyone is surprised Sterling as taken a hit after the Brexit vote. To be honest I think it has been relatively orderly. If somebody had said prior to the vote where they thought cable would be on a Brexit vote I'm sure 1.30 wouldn't be out of the question. I think it's the fact that everyone is running round like headless chickens after the capitulation from 1.50 when most of the players were wrong footed.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
Maribor 19:17 GMT 06/27/2016
I love this kind of extrapolation. It is common exactly on market extremes like this one with cable.

Careful observation of cable movement lead me to believe we are already past bottom (1,31181). Now it is just time for accumulation and patience and yes, my account suffered in large extent during last moves.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016
HK RF@ 18:43 GMT 06/27/2016

Investors should prepare for the British pound to hit parity with the U.S. dollar by the end of the year or early in 2017, said at least one analyst — and should parity happen, it’ll be a first.

After last week’s surprise U.K. vote to exit the European Union trading bloc, sterling fell more than 12% against the dollar on Friday before trimming some of its unprecedented drop late in the U.S. trading day. But bears regained the upper hand on Monday, sending the currency to a fresh 30-year low at $1.3121.

British pound could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016


Stop looking for a bottom price for the GBP.
HK RF@ 18:40 GMT 06/27/2016

S&P cuts UK credit rating on Brexit fears.

And relations are turning too ugly between UK and the EU.

It is already like a war atmosphere without guns.


Why the UK went in to the EU
dc CB 18:26 GMT 06/27/2016
The only reason that is an issue is that REMIAN lost.


Why the UK went in to the EU
Sydney ACC 18:16 GMT 06/27/2016
As was the case with the Scottish referendum also, the EU referendum required only a simple majority of the votes cast. Given that voting is not compulsory it was unlikely a turnout of much higher than 75% was going to be achieved. That 52% voted in favour of leaving the EU proves that less than 50% of the entire population approved the departure.

Given the consequences a majority of 60% should have been required.

The referendum should have sought the voter's views twice, say over a two-year period to eliminate any flight of fancy.

They don't like!
HK RF@ 17:29 GMT 06/27/2016

EU leaders reject informal talks with UK

EU leaders reject informal talks with UK



Why the UK went in to the EU
dc CB 16:19 GMT 06/27/2016
Wash Post front page today

BERLIN — The vote in Britain to leave the European Union lays bare the most dangerous obstacle confronting the world’s most ambitious economic and political bloc: the voice of the European people.

The E.U.’s biggest threat is the will of its people


Why the UK went in to the EU
dc CB 16:00 GMT 06/27/2016
Headlines in the Europhile press have included: “How old people have screwed over the younger generation” from the Independent, and “EU Referendum Results: Young ‘Screwed By Older Generations’…” from the Huffington Post.

VICE gave us: “Old People Seem Intent on censored Us Over Forever”, and, “Brexit Proves Baby Boomers Should Get Less of a Vote”.

GQ Magazine went all out, producing: “WE SHOULD BAN OLD PEOPLE FROM VOTING”. Writing about “them” as if the older generations are some foreign species, the reasons given by the author included:

“The EU referendum result will have less effect on older people”; “Over 65s read the Daily Mail”; “There was no ‘golden age’ of Britain”; and “We take pensioners’ driving licences away… why not their right to vote?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Oh yes and Trump is a fascist...a modern day Hitler

Media Pushes ‘Ban’ On Old People Voting After Brexit


gold
hk ab 15:46 GMT 06/27/2016
leading all cousins to retreat now............

Yen, as usual, the slowest......

Why the UK went in to the EU
Sydney ACC 15:37 GMT 06/27/2016
Sir Humphrey Appleby, in 1980:

"Minister, Britain has had the same foreign policy objective for at least the last 500 years. To create a disunited Europe ... We have fought with the Dutch against the Spanish. With the Germans against the French. With the French and Italians against the Germans. And with the French against the Germans and the Italians. Divide and rule you see ... We had to break the whole thing up, so we had to get inside. We tried to break it up from the outside but that wouldn't work. Now that we're inside we can make a complete pigs breakfast of the whole thing ... The Foreign Office is terribly pleased. It's just like old times."


Link to Yes Minister clip


long aud!
tokyo joyya 14:45 GMT 06/27/2016
Buy AUDJPY
Entry: 74.85 Target: open Stop: keep adding on 100pips

going long here...

yen
hk ab 14:44 GMT 06/27/2016
Also 103.10 for yen intervention.

Monday Trading
dc CB 14:44 GMT 06/27/2016


oh oh oh the world is coming to an end. SToX failed to makea new all time high last week.

It's all because of BREXIT. Those damn racist xenophobic basta**ds. That's what happens when you allow the unwashed to have a vote.

Oh Lordy the "Eeeelites" have lost control.

and Oh yes Trump is a fascist.

gbp
hk ab 14:41 GMT 06/27/2016
Leave an order at 1.30 see if it will ring me up tonight.

GVI Data Calendar for 28 June 2016
GVI Forex Blog 14:40 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile



June 27, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 28, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- GDP, Case-Shiller, Richmond Fed, Consumer Confidence, API

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
28-Jun TUESDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- CB Confidence

29-Jun WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude

30-Jun THURSDAY
07:55 DE- Employment
08:30 GB- GDP
09:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless

1-Jul FRIDAY
23:30 JP- CPI
23:50:JP- Tankan Survey
00:00 CA- Holiday ALL DAY- final Mfg PMIs

GVI Data Calendar for 28 June 2016


Monday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 14:22 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
Market Sentiment Indicators
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are -25% (= rate cut) from -11%% late Friday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.1110
20-day avg: 1.1278
Pivot Point: 1.1153

Brexit fallout in play. 25% odd now on one rate CUT by year end.


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Markit Service PMI Flat
GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile

U.S. Markit flash Services PMI June 2016

Markit flash Services PMI flat. Misses estimates.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Markit Service PMI Flat


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 13:45 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Markit flash Services PMI June 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
51.3 vs. 51.9 exp. vs. 51.3

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Markit flash Services PMI weaker approaching contraction.

Cultural war and hatred, we split.
HK RF@ 13:37 GMT 06/27/2016

Watch if we are getting some more of this stuff of both sides.

Now things may turn emotional.


boj
hk ab 13:35 GMT 06/27/2016
Intervention signal???

Cultural war and hatred, we split.
HK RF@ 13:22 GMT 06/27/2016


Au revoir, English? Now French say the language has 'no legitimacy' and should be kicked out of Europe too after Brexit
•English is currently one of 24 'official languages' of the European Union
•Also one of the 'working languages' used to conduct every day business
•Mayor of French town of Béziers insists its use in Brussels should be axed

Au revoir, English? Now French say the language has 'no legitimacy' and should be kicked out of Europe too after Brexit


Monday Trading
LONDON SFH 13:20 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
Are they seriosuly all going on holiday in between rather than sort out their leader!?

Monday Trading
Livingston nh 13:17 GMT 06/27/2016
Conservative Party to have nominations for Leader this week and 2 mos of campaign

Monday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 13:14 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
PM Cameron to address Parliament @ 14:30 GMT on where they go next. Speech likely will be televised.

Day trading strategies USDCAD by AzaForex
London 13:09 GMT 06/27/2016


Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.3100 Target: 1.3190 Stop:

Review these tips if you are an aspiring foreign exchange trader.
The referendum in the UK broke all the trends in almost all currency pairs in the Forex market. All more or less predictable trends on the chart were changed to no recognition. Technical analysis is not working on many markets for some time the psychology of traders and investors panic and can not be predictable in linear dimension. The currency pair US and Canadian dollar is one of the few trading tools where the situation is clear. Shown to a moderate upward trend, which is now braced to resistance level 1.3100. In the currency pair there is all chances to pass this level and allow traders to earn about 100 pips. If the US dollar, on the background of events in the world, will be strengthened, our recommendation will bring the desired results in our trading account

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 13:04 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
and yes I believe the BOJ will do whatever it wants.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 13:03 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
THat was my interpretation of his comment. I noted he very carefully chose his words.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 12:30 GMT 06/27/2016  - My Profile
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance May 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-60.6 vs. -59.5 exp. vs. -57.5 prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


TTN: Live News Special Offer





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28-Jun TUESDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- CB Confidence

29-Jun WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude

30-Jun THURSDAY
07:55 DE- Employment
08:30 GB- GDP
09:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless

1-Jul FRIDAY
23:30 JP- CPI
23:50:JP- Tankan Survey
00:00 CA- Holiday ALL DAY- final Mfg PMIs


Trading Themes --
  • Germany says there are no informal Brexit talks underway with the U.K. I take that denial with a grain of salt. It is only logical that both sides might want to feel the other side out to get an idea about what the outlines are of an accord that might fly. However, to admit that they are talking could step on many toes, so they deny it. Furthermore, both sides have a lot to gain from an agreement.

  • Calls by some of the louder voices in the EU for the UK to invoke Article 50 immediately were rejected Monday by U.K. PM Cameron in an address to Parliament. He also rejected calls for a second referendum. He said that the U.K. is a democracy and the people have spoken. A new government will have been formed by October.

  • Markets will have to figure out by trial and error on their own what to do now. Key financial markets remain in a risk-off posture wuth equities, the GBP and EUR trading weak. Prices in safe-haven sovereign debt markets continue to rise (lower yields). Some are talking now about "twin parities" in EURUSD and the GBPUSD. I view that as a doomsday scenario.

  • This is a fairly active week on the U.S. data front which ends with the long Independence Day weekend. Next week will see the critical June U.S. employment data.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk Off

Banks pull stocks lower as Brexit continues global rout -- Reuters.com

European Stocks Slide as Brexit Fallout Concern Spurs Bank Rout --Bloomberg.com

EU leaders reject informal talks with UK -- bbc.com

Billionaire Soros Was ‘Long’ on Pound Before Vote on Brexit --Bloomberg.com

Latest News On U.S. Presidential Election -- Realclearpolitics.com

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




TRADER ADVOCACY ARTICLES
Poor Jobs Data; Secret Agreement To Manage USD

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Latest Brexit Poll Results: Traders Expect the UK to leave the EU

Brexit Poll results: Will the UK Leave or Stay in the EU?

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