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25/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 108.5 pre: 108.3
25/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Current con: 114.9 pre: 114.7
25/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 102.5 pre: 102.2
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EURUSD Sept Range
SaaR KaL 03:20 GMT 08/25/2016  - My Profile
IMO 1.1409 to 1.1500 is good entry short
tgt 1.0920 to 1.0890

Cable 1.3270 to 1.3400 tgt 1.2100

AceTrader Aug 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Hong Kong 01:55 GMT 08/25/2016
25 Aug 2016 01:01GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although price retreated from 100.52 to session low at 100.10 in European morning, the greenback pared its losses and rose to intra-day high at 100.61 in New York morning on dlr's broad-based strength before easing.
Dlr met renewed selling at 100.62 at Tokyo open and retreated to 100.39 in Tokyo morning.

Pay attention to the release of jobless claims and durable goods at 12:30GMT.
Street forecasts are 265K and 3.3% vs previous readings of 262K and -3.9% respectively.

Bids are now lowered to 100.10/20 and more below at 99.90/00 with stops building up below there whilst initial offers are noted at 100.90/00, suggesting further choppy trading would be seen.

The Donald vs Hillary
dc CB 00:08 GMT 08/25/2016
The November Suprise.
2017 requested rate hikes by state. chart

Hillary's Achilles heel

Obamacare requested rate hikes


Manipulating the Gold Price?
dc CB 00:05 GMT 08/25/2016
As we detailed earlier, it made perfect sense - someone just decided in keeping with their fiduciary duty, 0840ET was the perfect time to unleash $1.5 billion of gold notional into the futures markets....

Over 10,000 contracts dumped in 1 minute... "normal"

Someone Puked $1.5 Billion Of Notional Gold, And The Selling Continues


Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john bland 20:16 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile

25-Aug THU
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • Anticipation of the Yellen speech Friday, where many expect a more hawkish tone, continues to hang over the markets and weighed on EURUSD. Fed Chair Yellen speaks Friday morning (14:00 GMT) at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. I expect a hopeful message that the economy is strong enough to withstand an early modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy.

  • Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley recently have laid the groundwork for a December rate hike signal. Make no mistake, this is a political decision. Waiting for the December meeting would be their easiest path.

  • Markets continue to reconsider the pervasively negative GBP outlook. Some are now saying the UK economy could flourish once it is out from under the thumb of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp decline of the GBP since Brexit has been an immediate economic stimulus. The market is already heavily short the GBP according to COT data.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




BREAKING NEWS:
london red 20:10 GMT 08/24/2016
s&p. off 2070. bftd still holding up just. 2201 161.8% (fkg huge lvl) if 2070 holds. 2201 is as big as 666 was so may be one of handful of times we pull back more than 1 or 2%.

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:41 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database


Goldcrap; An old chart to remember:(
HK RF@ 19:37 GMT 08/24/2016


.

Brexit Armageddon was a terrifying vision – but it simply hasn’t happened -- the guardian.com
HK RF@ 19:29 GMT 08/24/2016

The Armageddon has happened already in the German car industry;, Though the Brits, didn't leave yet, layoffs have begun.

Worry not, the German will do the best to save their car industry by giving the UK most of what they want+Brexit.

If the UK, will have their dreams of free trade agreements with major economies, than the pound will turn back into THE reserve currency.

Brexit Armageddon was a terrifying vision – but it simply hasn’t happened -- the guardian.com
Paris ib 18:04 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Yeah, BREXIT hasn't actually happened either. All we've had was a vote so far and then.... nothing. Dead end.

These pundits have obviously nothing better to do with their time.

I don't know whether BREXIT will be good or bad for Britain in the short term or in the long term, nor how the situation will evolve from here but I certainly wouldn't be making predictions based on the last few weeks. I mean come on.... are they kidding?

Brexit Armageddon was a terrifying vision – but it simply hasn’t happened -- the guardian.com
GVI 17:20 GMT 08/24/2016
"Unemployment would rocket. Tumbleweed would billow through deserted high streets. Share prices would crash. The government would struggle to find buyers for UK bonds. Financial markets would be in meltdown. Britain would be plunged instantly into another deep recession.

Remember all that? It was hard to avoid the doom and gloom, not just in the weeks leading up to the referendum, but in those immediately after it. Many of those who voted remain comforted themselves with the certain knowledge that those who had voted for Brexit would suffer a bad case of buyer’s remorse.

It hasn’t worked out that way..."

Brexit Armageddon was a terrifying vision – but it simply hasn’t happened -- the guardian.com


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 17:04 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
5-yr 1.125%
bid to cover 2.54 vs 2.27

strong

Manipulating the Gold Price?
hk ab 16:10 GMT 08/24/2016
If I am the big shark, I will send gold to 2000 first before Trump win announcement..............

Just like the BREXIT.

Manipulating the Gold Price?
Paris ib 16:01 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Trump has a lot of headwind. We are a long way from being able to predict a Trump Presidency. :-)


Manipulating the Gold Price?
haifa ac 15:54 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
or predicting Trump win?!
that will send Gold below $1000.

GVI Data Calendar for 25 August 2016
GVI Forex Blog 15:39 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile

August 24, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, August 25, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods, flash Service PMI, Natural Gas, 7-yr Auction

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
24-Aug WED
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole

GVI Data Calendar for 25 August 2016



The Donald vs Hillary
Paris ib 15:13 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
"The CIA has demanded Trump is not elected. Pentagon generals have demanded he is not elected. The pro-war New York Times - taking a breather from its relentless low-rent Putin smears - demands that he is not elected. Something is up. These tribunes of “perpetual war” are terrified that the multi-billion-dollar business of war... will be undermined..."

The U.S. election farce continues.

Anyone have any idea where we really are on this? The press is continuing with the anti-Trump (you must vote for Hillary otherwise you are a red neck) stance... but where are we really? The polls are rubbish. So we don't know. Can they rig it? Well yes I think so.

FWIW Trump would be a positive for the USD and world markets IMVHO. It's not much but when your only alternative is a reality TV star you go with the reality TV star and hope for the best. :-)

The War Election


xau/eur
hk ab 14:51 GMT 08/24/2016
big bargain.....

loaded lots under 1180

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 14:32 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Larger than expected build in crude in line with API build yesterday. CO lower.

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 14:31 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +2.500 vs. -0.825 exp vs. -2.500 prev.
Gasoline: +0.400 vs. -0.800 exp vs. -2.720 prev.
Distillates: +0.100 vs. -0.200 exp vs. -2.700 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Weaker
GVI Trading Room john bland 14:10 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Weakest Existing Homes sales since March. Mot much USD impact.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Weaker
GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Most significant housing statistic. Data weaker than forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Weaker


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 14:05 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) July 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
5.39 vs. 5.550 exp. vs 5.570 (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

..
JEddah Abb 14:03 GMT 08/24/2016
.. my target of last friday..ok gbpusd 1.326-1.326
And gbpjpy above 133..

gold
Berlin DG 13:44 GMT 08/24/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1328 Target: ~ $100 Stop: $15

BUY SILVER

25C stop
$1.75-$2 target

yen
hk ab 13:32 GMT 08/24/2016
dlr/jpy next.......

Master Hui big gbp sell is killing a lot of small fishes again............

Don't forget they recommend sell crude and gold too

gold
hk ab 13:20 GMT 08/24/2016
RF, you may have forgotten the event in October.

gold
hk ab 13:20 GMT 08/24/2016
RF, you may have forgotten the event in October.

long gbp!
tokyo joyya 13:18 GMT 08/24/2016
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

buy buy buy cable....

Gold to 1290; Master Hui:(
HK RF@ 13:13 GMT 08/24/2016
.

gbp
hk ab 13:09 GMT 08/24/2016
summer exit squeeze.......

1.36.......

gold
hk ab 13:04 GMT 08/24/2016
slowly relentless.....

gold
hk ab 12:59 GMT 08/24/2016
HK Kwun 15:05 GMT August 23, 2016
USD soft : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1340 Target: Stop: 1330

Buy now and sell later
-----------------------------------------------------------

Very "generous" "advice"!

bought 1330.

GBP/USD; Sadistic short sqeeze, until where?
HK RF@ 12:58 GMT 08/24/2016

We can assume, that at any level there are more and more sellers.

Looks like a perpetuum mobile.

OIL
Livingston nh 12:10 GMT 08/24/2016
The day WTI breaks $45? -- and last week it was a Bull Market?

sell usd
london red 11:34 GMT 08/24/2016
cable pullback driven by euro tech break likely to stop no lower than 13217 before another crack toards 3250/60. euro sup 50 and 30 below latter not likely today.

Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:20 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
From Fed Website

August 26 Speech - Chair Janet L. Yellen
The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Toolkit
At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Symposium: Designing Resilient Monetary Policy Frameworks for the Future, Jackson Hole, Wyoming
10:00 a.m. ET


Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:11 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
Equities mild risk-on DAX +51
DJ +10
SP +2

10-yr 1.558% +0.7 bp

Day trading strategies on currency pair EURAUD 24-08-2016 by
London AzaForex 09:24 GMT 08/24/2016


Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on currency pair EURAUD 24-08-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Mt Fav TinHat today...OR NOT?
dc CB 09:19 GMT 08/24/2016
we at the starge of the the game where TRUTH...earnings and Politics no longer matters

Other than gamblers and those who MUST be investesd, it is time to pull back and only risk "track" stakes.

meaning Horse Race Bets.

You may become a Millionaire, just don't be the farm. Hold onto the seeds, the plow, the land.

it's a Wild Time

Drop at tab


Philippines a drug consumption based economy is contracting .
singapore td 08:46 GMT 08/24/2016
adding to that is the Abu Sayyaf group in the southern Phillipines, complete chaos for the future

Philippines a drug consumption based economy is contracting .
HK RF@ 08:44 GMT 08/24/2016

Haifa AC

"Rodrigo Duterte is a sample of a great leader, we need more like him."
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The problem with this kind of leadership is, that by the end of their term too many cases of human rights violations will be pending against them.

In the Philippines case, Duterte can't declare Martial law to save his neck from prosecution , because he will not get an approval of the congress, the upper house or the Supreme court.

This is the reason he wants a peace agreement with the communists, after which he will draft NPA rebels into his army as a core, to install a revolutionary military dictatorship, which will let him, stay in power until his last day.

The present army officers which were educated on values of democracy, will likely not join this move that acts against their values.

If he will have his way, Philippines will end like Nicaragua,Venezuela or the best like Cuba. BANKRUPT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I am afraid to say, that I don't see the Philippines sailing into calm waters.






Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 08:43 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
24-Aug WED
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • Reports Russia to possibly open a criminal case against Ukraine Defence Minister are a cause for some backround worry about the EUR today along with reports of a damaging earthquake in central Italy.

  • Anticipation of the Yellen speech Friday, where many expect her to take a more hawkish tone continues to hang over the markts. Fed Chair Yellen speaks Friday morning at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. I expect her to send a hopeful message that the economy is strong enough now to withstand a modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy.

  • Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley recently have laid the groundwork for a December rate hike signal. I feel Yellen would like to avoid making a rate hike this close to a national election for political reasons. Waiting until December would be easy.

  • Markets have been starting to reconsider a pervasively negative GBP outlook, as some are now saying that the UK economy could flourish once it is out from under the thumb of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp decline of the GBP since Brexit is expected already to have been a significant economic stimulus. According to the latest COT report, the market is already heavily short the GBP.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com



sell usd
london red 08:42 GMT 08/24/2016
res 3250/60. shud see c. 13200/10 off it. a break suggests 133/134 as a lot are short. but yes ultimately cable 1.20 and sub.

sell usd
Livingston nh 08:36 GMT 08/24/2016
Cable is SHORT for a reason -- you get the squeeze on the charts but fundamental is go with the majority

Mt Fav TinHat today...OR NOT?
Livingston nh 08:33 GMT 08/24/2016
Clinton is a True Believer - she has a pre-set value world view

Trump is more prone to "experts" - no political sense - very lo-grade BS antenna

Dollar benefits from Trump view



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25-Aug THU
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --

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