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FOREX FORUM
17/04/14 12:30 CA BOC CPI Feb y con: 1.30% pre: 1.20%
17/04/14 12:30 CA CPI mm con: 0.30% pre: 0.80%
17/04/14 12:30 CA CPI yy con: 1.40% pre: 1.10%
17/04/14 12:30 US Initial Claims con: 315 pre: 300
17/04/14 12:30 US Cont Claims con: 2.795 pre: 2.776
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Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:51 GMT 04/17/2014  - My Profile
* Yen nurses broad but modest losses as global stocks rally

* Sterling boosted by upbeat local data

* Yellen stresses need for interest rates to stay low

* BOJ governor speech next in focus

FOREX-Yen grinds lower as global stocks rally, dollar holds steady


Uh Oh
GVI Forex 23:54 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
(Reuters) - Google Inc's first-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street targets and margins narrowed as the price of its ads continued to decline, pushing its shares sharply lower.

Google first-quarter revenue misses Wall Street targets


It has Risen!!!
dc CB 23:05 GMT 04/16/2014
Crash? What crash?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
"""Net proceeds from the offering will be used for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditure, Zoosk said in the filing.

The company's net loss narrowed to $2.62 million from $20.66 million for 2013.""""

Online Dating Website Zoosk Files for IPO of Up to $100 Million


It has Risen!!!
dc CB 22:42 GMT 04/16/2014
""that's all that is needed to take away thought of CRASH for the weekend and bring on thoughts of "I shudda bought da dip" LOL""""


As Nasdaq falls, buying opportunity arises


It has Risen!!!
dc CB 21:58 GMT 04/16/2014


JP
I'm wondering how far it will sell off in futures after the 4PM cash close. Even if is flatlines in cash...that's all that is needed to take away thought of CRASH for the weekend and bring on thoughts of "I shudda bought da dip" LOL

By the way, the Flatner is reasserting itself.

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 21:49 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile


April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed.
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed, Natural Gas, Early Closes.



AUD and NZD
GVI Forex Blog 21:41 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
A mildly positive atmosphere, extended by Yellen. The Fed Chair's speech in NY about monetary policy and the economy contained few surprises but did have a dovish tilt, implying rate hikes may not start until 2016. US equities shrugged off a mixed bag of data to follow Yellen and a moderately upbeat Beige Book of regional economic anecdotes, the S&P500 currently up 0.9%.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts.


It has Risen!!!
Mtl JP 21:40 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
dc CB DJIA up 1% on the day just like the S&P (which, btw, is again in the + ytd even if barely)

I ll be watching curiously tom, if UP or Down, and it is not that I do not trust in your call.

It has Risen!!!
dc CB 21:15 GMT 04/16/2014


One more good push from Da Boys tomorrow

Oil
Cambridge Joe 20:53 GMT 04/16/2014
Yea CB ! According to this, that was a cat bounce... it has further to go. ATM 103.31 is a level to get past, then down like it means it.

104.05 is possibly a problem in the other direction...

If Kim Ill Junk decides to invade Harlem.... then who knows !

In the meantime.... GL & good night !

Oil
dc CB 20:43 GMT 04/16/2014
the Ukraine factor made for a wild ride...and it's still sticking there...otherwise that LARGE oversupply number would have tanked it back to 100.

when this warring shite stops...look out below

Oil
dc CB 20:43 GMT 04/16/2014
the Ukraine factor made for a wild ride...and it's still sticking there...otherwise that LARGE oversupply number would have tanked it back to 100.

when this warring shite stops...look out below

SnP
Cambridge Joe 20:29 GMT 04/16/2014
SnP looking like a roller-coaster move south from 00:00 GMT

Lock it or watch it evaporate, as they say.... IMO. GL

Cable
Cambridge Joe 19:59 GMT 04/16/2014
Looking for Cable selling approx 01:00 02:00 GMT. IMO. GL

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:41 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 19:00 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands



U.S. Fed Beige Book
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:53 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
vs 119 in the prior Beige Book

U.S. Fed Beige Book
PAR 18:19 GMT 04/16/2014
" Weather " mentioned 103 times in Beige Book

Fed late to realise what is happening

U.S. Fed Beige Book
PAR 18:19 GMT 04/16/2014
" Weather " mentioned 103 times in Beige Book

Fed late to realise what is happening

Mixed U.S. data. UK Jobs Better. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Seen
GVI Forex Blog 18:04 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed

Trading slowed late Wednesday as markets wound down ahead of the Easter break that starts as early as Thursday in some centers and can run through Monday for some. Thursday sees some important releases.

Mixed U.S. data. UK Jobs Better. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Seen


U.S. Fed Beige Book
GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile



NEWS ALERT
Economic activity improving with weather.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Yellen
PAR 17:38 GMT 04/16/2014
Clap along if you feel happy like a room without a roof

1 lower dollar boost Us exports

2 higher stock market boost bank and bankers capital

3 perpetual low rates protect $ 5 trillion fed bond portfolio

Yellen
GVI Forex 17:21 GMT 04/16/2014
Finished. No big news.

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:16 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Bottom line, no rush to raise rates but data dependent.

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:10 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Yellen: Dovish but...

Better chance of an inflation undershoot than overshoot.

Confident that Fed has tools to tighten policy when it is appropriate.

Fixed Income Snapshot
Mtl JP 17:06 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
stox will not be liking more expensive and less accessible money

Fixed Income Snapshot
Mtl JP 16:58 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
according to Yellen: healthy economy within reach
-
time for taper to zero, 10-yr to 5%+ and disband the FED ?

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:56 GMT 04/16/2014
Yellen prepared text dovish but should not be a surprise.

Q&A is coming up and the main focus

Fixed Income Snapshot
Mtl JP 16:39 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Yellen: Forward guidance will continue to evolve
Yellen: Forward guidance can serve as stabilizer
-
i.e trust bs at your own risk

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 16:32 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Soothing comments from Yellen

Your Best Trade Today
Mtl JP 16:10 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
pretty amazing how choosing the euro/dlr as "Best Trade Today" pony is probably the worst choice one could have made over that last few days

Your Best Trade Today
GVI Forex john 15:54 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Yellen Speech will have Q&A afterwards which will be carried live by CNBC. Her prepared text presumably will be released in advance on the wires. We assume that will be at 16:15 GMT.

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 15:51 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are ending weaker in response the rally today in equities. The peripheral European bond prices are higher.

European bourses are closing higher. U.S. bourses are stronger. Far East stock markets closed up earlier. The U.S. 10-yr was last 2.64%, +2 bp.



Oil
Cambridge Joe 15:45 GMT 04/16/2014


'Cambridge Joe 09:27 GMT 04/16/2014
Sold oil 104.60. .... ! This time.. Aaamm eatin FOOOD tonite !'

----------

Yess ! Thank you Mkt !

USDJPY
PAR 15:41 GMT 04/16/2014
Stops building in USDJPY above 102.50 could be rather big.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 15:39 GMT 04/16/2014
DJ story - A so-called fat finger error has seen the EUR/CHF exchange rate pushing to 1.2209 Wednesday, before settling back to the previous level around 1.217. A fat finger error describes a mistake made by hitting the wrong key in an electronic keyboard and this was the cause of the glitch according to a senior trader. EUR/CHF has been trading quietly for some weeks now. "We broke above 1.2210 following the ECB as USD strength was expressed more significantly against the CHF than the EUR," says Neil Staines, head of trading at ECU Group, adding that since then, the consistent unwinding of EUR/CHF positions has taken the currencies to a low of just above 1.2140.

Your Best Trade Today
GVI Forex john 15:38 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
10-yr last 2.643% +2bp

Your Best Trade Today
GVI Forex john 15:36 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Yellen speech at 16:15 GMT is expected to focus on policy. This is her chance to "correct" or adjust market perceptions about the course of future policy. This is an opportunity to clarify her comments made at her last press conference.

Its possible that she may choose to say nothing new simply because she has nothing new to say. If she says nothing it might be that she does not want to compound the error by saying something that will have to be changed again in the future.

EUR/CHF
NY JM 15:14 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Caba, Can you explain the fat finger move?

EUR/CHF
Phila Caba 15:04 GMT 04/16/2014
Fat finger?

STOX
Livingston nh 14:33 GMT 04/16/2014
One of the major Friday distortions is that this week April options expiration loses a day of underlying trading so today may trade like a Thurs (some of that yesterday) - and as Jay has reminded "thin is in"

US EIA Weekly Inventories
GVI Forex john 14:31 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile



NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +10.000 vs. +1.500 exp vs. +4.030 prev.
Gasoline: -0.155 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -5.190 prev.
Distillates:-1.300 vs. 0 exp vs. +0.240 prev.
Cap/Util: 88.80% vs. 87.60% exp vs. n/a prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 17, 201
GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed. Far East: JP- Industrial Output

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 17, 2014


Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 14:18 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile


April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed.
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed, Natural Gas, Early Closes.



Your Best Trade Today
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:11 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EURUSD 1.3831 (I am using 1.3830-35) has been flipping between support and resistance recently. it was intra-day support until the dip below it on the IP data so now a minor resistance although the key level is at 1.3845-50.

April 2014 Bank of Canada Policy Decision
GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
"...The lower Canadian dollar should provide additional support. We continue to believe that rising global demand for Canadian goods and services, combined with the assumed high level of oil prices, will stimulate business investment in Canada and shift the economy to a more sustainable growth track.

Recent developments are in line with the Bank’s expectation of a soft landing in the housing market and stabilizing debt-to-income ratios for households. Still, household imbalances remain elevated and would pose a significant risk should economic conditions deteriorate.

In sum, the Bank continues to see a gradual strengthening in the fundamental drivers of growth and inflation in Canada. This view hinges critically on the projected upturn in exports and investment. With underlying inflation expected to remain below target for some time, the downside risks to inflation remain important. At the same time, the risks associated with household imbalances remain elevated. The Bank judges that the balance of these risks remains within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and therefore has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The timing and direction of the next change to the policy rate will depend on how new information influences the balance of risks."



Yellen Speech
GVI Forex john 13:57 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Monetary Policy and the Economic Recovery
At the Economic Club of New York, New York, New York
12:25 p.m. ET

Bank of Canada
GVI Forex john 13:29 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
No rate change is expected at the top of the hour. The focus will be on the tone of the policy statement. Presumably the BOC will want to avoid any language that will drive the CAD higher.


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