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FOREX FORUM
24/11/14 14:45 A US Markit SVC PMI flash con: 57.2 pre: 57.1
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eurusd
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:35 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
So we have'

1.2444 = Friday breakdown
1.2447 + current one hour trendline
1.2452 = 38.2%

High has been 1.2422

JPY (AUD and NZD as well) the weak links

EUR in background, support out of these crosses vs opposite trend on Friday

eurusd
london red 14:31 GMT 11/24/2014
hourly chart lows 7th and 14th nov coincidentally at the same hour of day. Draw a line thru those two prs and thats the lower trendline im using

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Issue apparently has been on his conduct of policy against ISIS.

eurusd
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:30 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile


One hour chart - note the down trendline

eurusd
london red 14:24 GMT 11/24/2014
hourly trendline currently 12447 some offers at 35 ahead of that. abv there 12479-12502 should provide at least a pullback to 12450/or trendline, whichever happen to be higher at the time. from then its either continuing lower or 12480/125 retest.

eurusd
London Chris 14:24 GMT 11/24/2014
Those who were looking for a continuation of Friday's moves are sucking wind

I do not think we get this high but 1.2480 is my ideal sell level.

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 14:24 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Hagel not spending enuff ?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:19 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
U.S, Defense Secretary Hagel stepping down under pressure according to NYT.

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:53 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Draghi will try to bully the market again this week:

Thursday, 27 November 2014
Board member: Mario Draghi
Event: Speech by the President at seminar organised by the Bank of Finland in Helsinki, Finland.

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:47 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
sell 1.2450 and 1.25 if/when seen

eurusd
Singapore SC 13:39 GMT 11/24/2014
Tallin do you have an idea for the range after 1.2395 did not hold on the top?

Any suggestions for a eurus sell level?

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:02 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile

This is likely to be a thin week due a holiday in Japan, the US Thanksgiving break and month end but as we have seen, complacency can be your worst enemy as the market has been full of surprises. The weak close for the EUR after nearly three weeks of consolidation has shifted the focus to this currency, which faces some key event risks over the next few weeks. See my forex video outlook for the week ahead.

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 12:35 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
The EUR/USD hovered near the 1.24 level in quiet trading on Monday after German IFO Business Climate Survey registered its 1st MoM improvement in 7 months. Peripheral and other European yields continued to hit record lows.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: IFO Business Climate Survey registers its 1st MoM improvement in 7 months


Nota bene
Mtl JP 12:28 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
News Release
24 November 2014
Markit Global Business Outlook
Global business confidence slumps to five-year survey low

-
- Markit surveyed 6,100 companies
- A net 28% expecting higher activity, down from 39% in June - five-year low.
- "Of greatest concern is the slide in business optimism and expansion plans in the US to the weakest seenover the past five years. US growth therefore lookslikely to have peaked over the summer months, with aslowing trend signalled for coming months." - Chris Williamson, Chief Economist, Markit
--
This is likely to mean one thing: central bankers persist with more of same old policies. Never mind that they is not working. In fact because they are not working, all the more reason to not just keep but add more of the same old policies.

eurusd
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:09 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
- 1.2452 = 38.2% of 1.2600-1.2360, 1.2417 = 23.6%, high so far 1.2414

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
NEW CHART: Latest ZEW and IFO surveys "expectations" minus "current situation". This provides their implied forecasts. Surveys
are MIXED for the next six months. ZEW is head of the IFO.




PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:01 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile


EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels, Support and Resistance. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 10:56 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in

browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





CHINA
PAR 10:33 GMT 11/24/2014
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Research Team note PBoC entering the FX war fiasco by surprising the markets with a rate cut.

Key Quotes

“Only few weeks after the BoJ shocked the markets with a huge dose of fresh monetary policy stimulus, the People’s Bank of China unexpectedly cut its base 1-year lending rate by 40bps to 5.6% with the 1-year deposit rate trimmed by 25bps to 2.75%. “

“The PBoC also increased flexibility in the banking sector allowing banks to offer deposit rates at up to 20% above the benchmark from the previous cap of 10%. “

“While the central bank insisted that its first interest rate cut since 2012 (following somewhat insufficient targeted easing measures) is “a neutral operation and doesn’t mean any change in monetary policy direction”, it seems that China fired its first salvo in the currency war with the BoJ.”


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 10:05 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile

24 November--  10:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
The highlight today already has been a much stronger than expected German IFO Survey. Currently, markets are in a mild  RISK ON posture with equity values generally higher, and bond yields up.This will be a holiday shortened week in the U.S.
  • The USD is broadly lmodestly lower and the EUR is higher on its key crosses.
  • In the Far East, equities ended higher.10-yr JGB yields are steady.. 
  • European bourses are broadly higher at this hour. 10-yr bund and UK Gilt yields are a touch higher.. European peripheral bond yields are mixed to lower.
  • The U.S 10-yr note yield is higher. U.S. share futures are up.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


eurusd
Tallinn viies 10:00 GMT 11/24/2014
sell euro ag usd today should work. expect euro to test 1,2355 and then 1,2280, 1,2220 and 1,2065 during this week.
risk only if euro able to close over 1,2465

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:13 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts

German Ifo data: German data better than expected across the board for the first time in about a year. This is a broadly followed report EURUSD better.




BREAKING NEWS
PAR 09:05 GMT 11/24/2014
Draghi doesnt look at German data .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
IFo beats across the board. EURUSD higher. ZEW beat last week.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:01 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey November 2014




NEWS ALERT

Climate: 104.7 vs. 103.0 exp. vs. 103.2 prev.
Conditions: 110.0vs. 108.0 exp. vs. 108.4 prev.
Expectations:99.7 vs. 98.5 exp. vs. 98.3 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer

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London London 08:07 GMT 11/24/2014
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

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New Signal: Buy USD/JPY @ 117.883 at 2014.11.24
S.L - 55
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Oh My God De Can't...Like SPEND
dc CB 06:31 GMT 11/24/2014
Why Else would they give this job to a GAMMMY

Stonewalled


Oh My God De Can't...Like SPEND
dc CB 06:25 GMT 11/24/2014


Oh shock-O-rama

save us Gammy...we wants to vist you on that Thanksgiv day

But we can't SNOWSTORM...

Oh FUC*K

Oh My God De Can't...Like SPEND
dc CB 06:18 GMT 11/24/2014
GAMMMMMMMMMMY

Is it gonna be a "Suprise" or one of D'ose Udda tings Dat Youse say when it

Donna work out

MOAR QE QE QE

it BE NECESSARY

Kill Grandma and Grandpa's Interest on their savings.

DATS WHY I LOOOOOOOK LIKE A GRANDMA from Queens....

CONSULTANTS had it all figured out

Why Else would they give this job to a GAMMMY

East Coast storm, chance of widespread rain and snow, increasingly likely on Wednesday prior to Thanksgiving



GVI Forex Blog 05:23 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND OCT NET MIGRATION: 5.3K V 4.7K PRIOR (record high)- (TW) TAIWAN OCT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.9% V 3.9%E- (VN) Vietnam Nov Consumer Price Index (CPI) Y/Y: 2.6% v 3.0%e- (TH) Thailand Q3 U

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Asia equity markets trading higher following PBoC's rate cut over the weekend - Source TradeTheNews.com


sell usdjpy
perth wtr 04:52 GMT 11/24/2014
get ready to sell usdjpy on pops above 118

GVI Forex Blog 03:39 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
It seems to be a season of stimulus as ECB reiterated its intent of balance sheet expansion by

Morning Briefing : 24-Nov-2014 -0339 GMT


AceTrader Nov 24: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:56 GMT 11/24/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
24 Nov 2014 02:21GMT

EUR/USD - ..... The single currency weakened broadly on Friday after dovish comments from ECB's President Mario Draghi. Euro fell sharply against the greenback from 1.2553 to 1.2424 in European morning and continued to ratchet lower after a brief recovery to 1.2460.
Later, the pair fell to as low as 1.2375 in NY and then 1.2360 at Mon's NZ open before recovering in thin Asian session.

Although euro's failure to test Nov's 26-month trough at 1.2357 suggests price is likely to stage a recovery ahead of European open, the single currency is expected to undergo another round of selling pressure later in the day due to recent 'negative sentiment'.
Therefore, whilst investors may look to buy euro on dips for a recovery towards 1.2400 for st trade, preferred strategy is selling on intra-day rebound.
Bids are placed at 1.2370-60 with stops emerging just below 1.2350.
On the upside, offers are located at 1.2390-00 and then 1.2415/20 with mixture of offers and stops noted at 1.2440/45 and just above 1.2450.

Investors should pay close attention to the release of German IFO reports in European morning (09:00GMT). Market forecasts the headline IFO Business Climate Index to edge further down to 103.0 in Nov, below the 103.2 booked in October, which was the lowest level since Dec 2012.
Meanwhile, the Current Assessment sub-index is also seen edging down to 107.9, after posting a figure of 108.4 a month ago. Only the IFO Expectations Index is projected to rise to 98.6, from 98.3 in Oct.


This week will see the release of following economic data:

Swiss non-farm payrolls, German Ifo business climate and U.S. Markit services PMI on Monday;

Japan's BoJ meeting minutes, New Zealand's RBNZ inflation expectation, German GDP, U.S. prelimary GDP, PCE prices and Redbook, Canada's retails and U.S. monthly home price and consumer confidence on Tuesday;

German import prices U.S. GDP and CBI distributive trades, U.S. core PCE, durables, personal income, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan sentiment, new home sales, pending homes sales change and building permits on Wednesday;

New Zealand's trade balance, Australia's HIA new home sales, Swiss GDP, U.K. Nationwide house prices, German unemployment rate, EU business climate, consumer confidence, economic sentiment, Germn Gfk consumer sentiment, HICP and CPI on Thursday;

Japan's unemployment rate, CPI, prelimary industrial output, IP forecast, retails sales, New Zealand's NBNZ business outlook U.S. Gfk consumer confidence, Japan's construction orders, housing starts, Swiss KOF indicator, EU inflation and unemployment rate, Canada's GDP and producer prices on Friday

Nota bene
dc CB 02:38 GMT 11/24/2014
Fair Game
By GRETCHEN MORGENSON

The Fed announcement looks an awful lot like damage control. It came late Thursday afternoon, directly after one Senate hearing that was critical of Fed practices and before another on Friday. It also came after a bill proposed by Senator Jack Reed, a Rhode Island Democrat, that would change the way the head of the most powerful of the 12 district banks — the Federal Reserve Bank of New York — is appointed. Currently, the president of the New York Fed is selected by its so-called public board members — those not affiliated with financial institutions.

Senator Reed’s proposal would give the president of the United States, with Senate approval, responsibility for naming the president of the New York Fed....................

Increasing scrutiny of the Fed, and the New York Fed in particular, is absolutely justified, given the immense powers they enjoy. Lest we forget, it was the New York Fed, under Timothy F. Geithner, that let Citibank increase its risky assets in the years leading up to the crisis. And it was the same New York Fed that seemed more interested in bailing out the big-bank trading partners of the American International Group than in rescuing the insurer itself.

The Week That Shook the Fed


sell usdjpy
perth wtr 01:29 GMT 11/24/2014
selling on rallies as long as under 118.25

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2348
Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Weekly Cycle Projected Series


... 1.2179 - 1.2211* - 1.2244 - 1.2260 // 1.2276* - 1.2292 - 1.2308 - 1.2324 - 1.2340* - 1.2357 - [1.2373 - 1.2389 - 1.2405* - 1.2421 - 1.2437 - 1.2453 - 1.2469* // 1.2486 - 1.2502 - 1.2534* - 1.2566 ...


Qindex.com

Quantum Index Analysis


Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 23:11 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
* Euro stays under pressure after dovish comments from Draghi

* Aussie holds gains after surprise China rate cut

* Markets seen subdued with Japan shut for holiday

FOREX-Euro hobbled by chance of more ECB action, Aussie perkier


eurusd
NY JM 23:07 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Almost a gap down but quickly filled after someone had a bid ahead of the 1.2358 low.

Next key test is the German IFO later today.

eurusd
Mtl JP 22:33 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Exclusive: China ready to cut rates again on fears of deflation - sources - RTRS

Sun Nov 23, 2014 (Reuters) - China's leadership and central bank are ready to cut interest rates again and also loosen lending restrictions, concerned that falling prices could trigger a surge in debt defaults, business failures and job losses, said sources involved in policy-making. .../..

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:39 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile


November 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, DE- Ifo Survey, US- flash Markit Service PMI
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: DE- Ifo Survey
  • North America: US- flash Markit Service PMI, 2-yr



eurusd
gc sf 21:11 GMT 11/23/2014
Viies - 2 Things Today

1. Tokyo Holiday
2. We need to see how this China Stuff washes through first.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 20:19 GMT 11/23/2014
my prediction for the euro range today: 1,2395-1,2295.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:13 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile


EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels, Support and Resistance. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:03 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System






Nota bene
dc CB 18:59 GMT 11/23/2014
Mtl JP 20:49 GMT November 22, 2014 - My Profile
Amazing resilience by American public to getting screwed in the donkey by the Fed gang: Raise Interest Rates, Make Grandma Smile - CHARLES R. SCHWAB in WSJ
With the Fed’s near-zero policy, households headed by someone 75 or older have lost $2,700 annually in interest income. .../..

schwabby should have told the Trooooth. My parents, who lived thru the Depression, and were basic working class savers, by the time they were in their 70's has stashed away $400K. They used CDs, and voided the Stoc Mrkt. Even at a basic "passbook" interest rate of 5% ...they would have "lost" $20,000 in annual income. Perhaps if this Effect of ZIRP was out front discussed people would get more PO'd.

But that discussion only happens in the Tin-Foil-Hat Fringe. Because that's just wacko talk.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 16:06 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    MONDAY
    JP Holiday
    09:00 DE IFO Climate Top sentiment indicator. Seen steady
    14:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash  Key Sentiment Survey
    18:00 UST 2-yr Treasury Borrowing
    23:50 JP BOJ Minutes Policy insight
    TUESDAY
    07:00 DE GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    13:30 CA Retail Sales Consumer Demand
    13:30 US GDP 3Q14 Widest Economic Indicator
    15:00 US CB Consumer Conf Short Term Sentiment Indicator
    18:00 UST  5-yr Treasury Borrowing
    WEDNESDAY
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian external Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    23:30 JP Unemployment 3.60% 3.50%


PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 15:04 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Bollinger Bands
Trading System. USD: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.

WIDER BANDS THAN PIVOTS: ADJUST LEVERAGE ACCORDINGLY




PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 15:03 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Bollinger Bands
Trading System. EUR Crosses: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.

WIDER BANDS THAN PIVOTS: ADJUST LEVERAGE ACCORDINGLY





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