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21/04/15 9:00 B DE ZEW Expectations con: 55.3 pre: 54.8
21/04/15 9:00 B DE ZEW Conditions con: 56.5 pre: 55.1
FOREX FORUM
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sell euro
kl shawn 04:12 GMT 04/21/2015
ok followed you fs, stop 1.0787

sell euro
kl fs 04:09 GMT 04/21/2015
adding short euro 1.0728, 4hr chart signals going short!!!

sell euro
kl fs 03:04 GMT 04/21/2015
still sell all bounces while below 1.08, 1.0580-1.0620 next target by end of week

AceTrader Apr 21: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:48 GMT 04/21/2015
DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major EUR/USD
Update Time: 21 Apr 2015 01:22 GMT

Despite euro's retreat after extending erratic rise from last Monday's 4-week trough at 1.0521 to 1.0849 Friday, as this move signals decline from March's peak at 1.1062 has formed a temporary low there, choppy trading with mild upside bias remains.
Reckon 1.0680/85 would contain weakness and yield rebound later.

Above 1.0805 (Monday's top in Europe) signals pullback over and bring another leg of correction to re-test 1.0849, break, 1.0880/90.

Asia
gc sf 01:43 GMT 04/21/2015
* Rates right for time being, board accepted easing might be needed
* In considering rate cut, discussed asset prices, AUD, uncertain response of savers and borrowers
* Board saw advantage in waiting for more data, including on inflation

Einhorn: Stocks are too high if earnings have peaked
HK RF@ 00:27 GMT 04/21/2015


It’s easy to find stocks to sell short—a bet that prices will fall—but opportunities to go long are “quite constrained,” David Einhorn, founder of hedge fund Greenlight Capital, said in a quarterly letter to investors.

........“All told, there is a good chance earnings will actually shrink this year. We think the market is too high if earnings have, in fact, peaked for the cycle, and we have reduced our net exposure by adding more shorts,” he wrote.

.......On the other hand, the “bull case” is that stocks haven’t yet reached bubble levels at a time when fixed income is “behaving bubbly,” and that the Federal Reserve will continue to support the market, Einhorn said. While that may prove to be true, Einhorn said he doesn’t like the proposition of betting on a bubble. As for the Fed, he says it’s clear the central bank won’t ease further unless there is a substantial deterioration in conditions.

In other words: BUY BUY BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Update
gc sf 23:36 GMT 04/20/2015
if you want to keep up with what MS have on :

- GBP 1.5000 sl 1.5120 tp 1.4600
- $YEN 120.20 tp 117 sl 119.80

Limits
-AUD 7950 sl 8050 tp 7300
+ $CAD 1.1800 sl 1.1700 tp 1.2200
+ $CHF 9450 sl 9350 tp 9850
- EUR 1.09 sl 1.1050 tp 1.000

3 month Total = +4206 pips

Asia
gc sf 23:33 GMT 04/20/2015
we have RBA minutes in 2 hours should cause some AUD movement even after last night.

the USD seemed to benefit from "No" News last night - which led to the traditional Greece talk... weaker EUR.

not much else to say - alot of trades have gone on at pretty much these prices .. so it is a bit of a waiting game still.

UPCOMING NEWS
Mtl JP 23:29 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Not on the list of Upcoming Events:

Beware the ‘super taper tantrum’

UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 22:16 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Global-View Week ahead Planning Guide for Trading

Conclusions:
The monetary Policy has been locked in until well into 2016. It increasingly has been resulting in negative interest rates well out the curve. They will be a chronic weight on the EUR until this policy can be lifted. The falling 2-yr German schatz is a manifestation of that policy.



Fed policy signals have been mixed. In sum, the Fed is preparing the markets for an eventual slight increase in the Fed Funds target, but is assuring markets that any policy tightening will be extremely gradual. U.S. economic indicators remain mixed.






Tuesday, April 21 sees the German Zew Survey. This is often used as a predictor of the IFO Survey due on Friday.

German ZEW Survey. Mixed, Expectations below Conditions.





On Wednesday April 22, quarterly Australian CPI data will be closely watched. U.S. Existing Homes Sales later that day is the most important U.S. Housing statistic.







Thursday April 23 sees a slew of flash PMI releases and U.S. New Homes Sales.





EZ flash Markit Manufacturing PMI's


US flash Markit Manufacturing PMI




On Friday April 24, the German IFO Survey and U.S. Durable Goods data are key features for traders.








UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:04 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile


April 20, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, April 21, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- ZEW Survey
  • North America: U.S API Energy



Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 20:59 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





UPCOMING NEWS
GVI Forex john 19:56 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT)

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar for key items, such as consensus estimates, previous data and links to charts of recent data).



CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 19:38 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


ECB
Mtl JP 18:45 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
PAR 17:43 would improving liquidity not fix the risk 0f ECB freezing repo market ? And if not and folks shun european bonds maybe that force higher interest rates ... and who would be against that ?

Besides Draghi is on record for not seeing a shortage of bonds.

ECB
Mtl JP 18:38 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
the French claim a long history of fortifications' experience in their genes

ECB
Livingston nh 18:26 GMT 04/20/2015
jp - European buffers? like the Maginot Line


ECB
Mtl JP 18:11 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
financial ebola ?
(Reuters) - It is Greece and not Europe which will be hurt by any problems stemming from the Greek financial situation, because Europe has built buffers to protect itself, French Finance Minister Michel Sapin said on Saturday
-
why financial ebola .. you no trust French Finance Minister Michel Sapin's statement of fact ?

ECB
Livingston nh 18:08 GMT 04/20/2015
ECB is laying off 80% of its QE to national CBs - still some NPL problems in many banks -- Maastricht debt level problem is not limited to the Greeks but in many of the EUR member states

a commentary w/ some charts on productivity, growth and debt levels (and bank haircuts) - greek contagion = financial ebola

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 17:59 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
When the Federal government confiscates the cash of local governments things are looking little desperate.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Livingston nh 17:49 GMT 04/20/2015
John - re Greece - 2yr trading nearly 29% -- Draghi should be buying all of it if he is really really confident

ECB
PAR 17:43 GMT 04/20/2015
ECB risks freezing repo market, ICMA official says

Penny Stock Chronicles
dc CB 17:32 GMT 04/20/2015
A time of Bread and Circuses indeed
_______________________________________

The transaction is valued at about 1.5 billion Canadian dollars

Cirque du Soleil Being Sold to TPG-Led Private Equity Group


Penny Stock Chronicles
dc CB 17:23 GMT 04/20/2015
Trader Ben by Banzai7

Citadel's New Hire


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 16:52 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Note in the table just below that Greek yields are trading thru recent highs at 13.33% +48bp as default worries persist.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 16:43 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
I am not seeing strong correlations between equities and USDJPY OR EURUSD today . I guess EURUSD is a little tighter than USDJPY.


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 16:38 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile



Targets
london red 16:35 GMT 04/20/2015
so far no hourly closes abv 10763 and 14916. needed to drum up upside interest or will trickle lower or drift at best.

Targets
Mtl JP 16:33 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
or maybe euro rallies on that Chinese liquidity squirt allegedly to help prop up the economy and maybe gbp tanks on alleged lack of electoral clarity

EUR
HK RF@ 16:11 GMT 04/20/2015


Probably de-linked(unfazed) from the Greece issue, so may move to 1.0850 first.

GREECE
HK RF@ 16:06 GMT 04/20/2015


Same trick in India where Mody and his rich fellows, want to convince temples to deposit their gold with the banks for interest.

That in a hope to get some of the 3000 tons stored in temples to be deposited in national banks.

He likes citizens too to bring their gold to the bank(estimated 17000 tons in people hands).

The next maybe same in the US, but what method will they use?:(

Targets
SaaR KaL 15:53 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Started shorting EURGBP for tgt 0.7090

GREECE
Mtl JP 15:43 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
ya ... it would not surprize me to see Lagarde personally extracting gold teeth in a bank lobby.

dc CB probably already has a ready photo of that

GREECE
HK RF@ 15:39 GMT 04/20/2015


Probably the next will be, to order all citizens to close oversea bank accounts and transfer the money to Greece.

Holding money at home will be limited to a certain amount(30 days for food), and all gold must be deposited with the CB for safe keeping(never to be returned)!

GREECE
Mtl JP 15:20 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
well... can we expect IMF-sponsored collection troopers with fixed bayonets going house-to-house , door-to-door digging up peoples gardens and floor tiles searching for cash, ultimately going "isis" and executing family members to find out where to cash is hidden ?

GREECE
Livingston nh 15:12 GMT 04/20/2015
jp - see how long it takes for the bank run to drain cash - businesses and the hoi polloi stop paying bank debts to preserve cash -- see if the dash for cash spreads to some prudent types in other EUR economies

GREECE
HK RF@ 15:08 GMT 04/20/2015


That is the right thing to do...transfer all the money to the CB

ᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥᆥJOSEPH STALIN.


Targets
SaaR KaL 15:05 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
1.4689 for cable
will eventually hit it

1.0550 for eurusd

USDCHF 0.9960 to parity soon

GREECE
Mtl JP 15:04 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
Greek government has ordered state agencies, pension funds and local government entities to transfer their cash reserves to the central bank, according to news reports Monday
-
wonder how Greek government expects to enforce the order in case folks resist

GREECE
Mtl JP 14:53 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
apparently Greek 10-year yield jumps to 13.07% as Athens calls for cash


STOX
Livingston nh 14:41 GMT 04/20/2015
Friday SPX Down gap open ~2105 just above but big opening gap is new downside target - Europe stox recovering // schizoid day to day

BREAKING NEWS
jkt abel 14:38 GMT 04/20/2015
stevens remarks got less and less impact, market just got bored by the same mantra

Global-View Trading Systems
london red 14:14 GMT 04/20/2015
ukip you would expect would be easier to deal with for tories, but a weak miliband has no chance with snp. shame since economy was doing well relatively for last couple of years. it could still do well initially but you get the feeling snp want to load uk with debt and try for another referendum. and high debt becomes a problem when rates rise.

Breaking News
GVI Forex john 14:13 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
AUDUSD falls by about 40 pips on RBA Governor comments. Not a lot new in what Stevens had to say.

Penny Stock Chronicles
dc CB 14:10 GMT 04/20/2015
crude futures

chart via ZH


Targets
SaaR KaL 14:09 GMT 04/20/2015  - My Profile
GBPCHF
Buying with dips till 1.4147...adding more till 1.4040
tgt 1.4660 easily

Breaking News
GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT 04/20/2015
RBA Governor Stevens

- A$ 'Will Very Likely Fall Further Yet
- The Question of Rate Cuts Should 'Be on the Table'
- RBA Has Clearly Signaled Willingness to Cut Rates


Next Page





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