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24/07/14 7:00 B FR MFG PMI flash con: 48 pre: 48.2
24/07/14 7:00 B FR SVC PMI flash con: 48.2 pre: 48.2
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jkt abel 05:37 GMT 07/24/2014
bought usdjpy 101.45, limit buy more 101.10-101.30, stop all below 100.75, target open

AceTrader Jul 24: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:06 GMT 07/24/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

24 Jul 2014 00:42GMT

USD/JPY - 101.53... BoJ's board member Shirai gave the following statements:
'BoJ sees long-term inflation expectations in moderate rising trend, must closely monitor whether this trend will continue;
transforming public's deflation mindset will take some time but positive developments gradually starting to spread;
BoJ's goal of "sustaining 2% inflation in stable manner" is equivalent to stabilizing long-term inflation expectations at around 2%;
assigning too many objectives to monetary policy without allocating sufficient policy tools may be potentially problematic.'

Japan June trade balance -822.2 bln yen, exports -2.0% y/y n imports +8.4%.

24 Jul 2014 01:54GMT
AUD/USD - .... Despite Aussie's retreat from yesterday's high of 0.9463 ahead of Asian open, price staged a strong rebound from 0.9435 after release of better-than-expected China HSBC manufacturing PMI and rose to 0.9470.

China HSBC July flash PMI came in at 18-month high of 52.0.

Thursday will see NZ RBNZ rate decision, trade balance, imports, exports, Japan exports, imports, manufacturing PMI, China HSBC manufacturing PMI, France manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, services PMI, EU manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Italy retail sales, UK retail sales, U.S. jobless claims, manufacturing PMI and new home sales.

KL KL 02:04 GMT 07/24/2014
meanwhile short AUDUSD again the POP......9467 relentless sell aussie...last post busy day...very busy..>>>

no problem shorting aussie battler dollar here and covering now .9463

going to play this .9468-9463 till cows come home...its call relentless Ninja HFT Scalping.....LOL...DYOR..DFM..imvho and gl gt

KL KL 02:04 GMT 07/24/2014
meanwhile short AUDUSD again the POP......9467 relentless sell aussie...last post busy day...very busy..>>>

no problem shorting aussie battler dollar here and covering now .9463

going to play this .9468-9463 till cows come home...its call relentless Ninja HFT Scalping.....LOL...DYOR..DFM..imvho and gl gt

China PMI
GVI Forex 01:47 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile

AUD pops higher

Psst. Want to buy a cheap Aussie dollar?
Syd 01:00 GMT 07/24/2014
Psst. Want to buy a cheap Aussie dollar? Well, you might have to wait for Christmas, and wouldn’t it make a nice present for you if you were heading to the States over the holidays? Not!

But it would be good for your stock portfolio and your super funds as many companies that are dollar sensitive, such as BHP, Rio, Woodside, Santos, Flight Centre, QBE, CSL and a whole lot more would push our S&P/ASX 200 index higher.

Note, the Americans are in all-time high territory for the Dow Jones Index and the S&P 500, but we are still only at 5576.7 when our all-time high of November 2007 was 6828.7. That means we are 1252 points away from our best-ever close.

History says stock markets will beat previous highs before they dive again, though the Nasdaq and the Japanese stock market have shown that does not always happen. However, those markets were historically significant bubbles and our market has never gone near that sort of thing.

Experts I trust argue that the next leg up will be when our dollar dives and it’s likely when the Americans have such a strong economy that the Fed boss, Janet Yellen, starts to raise interest rates.

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:32 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
* NZ dollar falls sharply after RBNZ sounds less hawkish

* RBNZ lift rates again but presses pause button

* G3 currencies sidelined in absence of fresh drivers * Next focus on China PMI, due 0145 GMT

FOREX-Kiwi hits skids, others buy time before China PMI

Mtl JP 23:11 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile

livingston nh 22:17 10-yr may have to come off in price some before dlryen rallies

July 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Mtl JP 22:31 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
Nostalgic Blast from the Past

New Zealand has a fairly small economy, and using options Krieger is able to ultimately short the entire money supply of New Zealand

according to Investopedia "One part of the legend recounts a worried New Zealand government official calling up Krieger's bosses and threatening Bankers Trust to try to get Krieger out of the kiwi."

Livingston nh 22:17 GMT 07/23/2014
21 dma looks ready to give up - 101.80 and then 102.25

July 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:54 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
RBNZ Quick Thoughts.
Imre Speizer

The RBNZ's OCR Review this morning announced a 25bp increase in the OCR to 3.50%, which was widely expected. It also explicitly signalled a pause in the tightening cycle, again widely expected, although some market participants may interpret it as a halt to the tightening cycle. (Westpac)

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 21:43 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile

July 23, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, July 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: NZ- RBNZ, JP- CPI, flash PMI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR, DE, EZ- flash PMIs. GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI, New Homes Sales
  • Far East: NZ- RBNZ, JP- CPI, flash PMI, CN- flash HSBC PMI.
  • Europe: FR, DE, EZ- flash PMIs. GB- Retail Sales.
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI, New Homes Sales, Natural Gas.

Livingston nh 21:39 GMT 07/23/2014
This is all political theater until somebody alters the script -- this is not south Africa, iran or north korea -- this is russia and if putin decides to ad lib the market will go crazy

dc CB 21:32 GMT 07/23/2014
JP 21:18

the reason I posted that was the Twitter thing. "unconfirmed"

why does a statement from a "gov" official come out on Twitter? and why does the US press report it.

it's one thing for a Twitter report from a demonstrator in the square, quite another from an "Official" with access to "REAL MEDIA Channels".

this is just more of the same using Social Media to make the case.

Weekly Trading Planner
GVI Forex john 21:18 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile


EZ  MFG &SVC PMI flash
GB Ret Sls & x-fuel 
US Initial Claims
US Mfg PMI flash


DE IFO Climate  
US Dur Goods & ex-trans

Mtl JP 21:18 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
dc CB 20:55 unless the "potentially serious diplomatic consequences" morph from "potentially" to tangible and "serious" to live ammunition exchange (i.e harsh diplomacy a la Israel / Palestine) he is just a blowhard of hot air.

July 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
GVI Forex john 21:16 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
Strong words by RBNZ trying to jawbone the kiwi weaker. Last 0.8613 from 0.8700 level before the announcement.

July 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
GVI Forex john 21:11 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
"... Over recent months, export prices for dairy and timber have fallen, and these will reduce primary sector incomes over the coming year. With the exchange rate yet to adjust to weakening commodity prices, the level of the New Zealand dollar is unjustified and unsustainable and there is potential for a significant fall..."

July 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
GVI Forex john 21:06 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
" ...The speed and extent to which the OCR will need to rise will depend on the assessment of the impact of the tightening in monetary policy to date, and the implications of future economic and financial data for inflationary pressures...."

dc CB 20:55 GMT 07/23/2014
Andriy Lysenko, a spokesman for the Ukrainian National Defense and Security Council, said the two jets had been hit by fire from the Russian side of the border.

“The planes were shot down from Russian territory,” Mr. Lysenko said in a statement on Twitter.

The allegation, which could not be independently verified, carries potentially serious diplomatic consequences

2 Ukraine Fighter Jets Shot Down as Fighting Intensifies

london red 20:39 GMT 07/23/2014
rbnz event should be a belter. an increase is almost fully priced in which gives for an interesting move if they signal a pause after lower than expected inflation. nzdjpy is struggling for breath running along a 2 year trendline from 2012 low. expect fireworks and plenty heading for the narrow exit door on a rate increase today plus pause. if they dare do nothing then someones hedge fund is going to the wall - this pair is on the first page of which carry trade. but for nzdusd the levels to watch are 8735, 8725, 8670, 8650, 8620.

dc CB 20:17 GMT 07/23/2014
"It's hard to believe but State may not have enough "old Hands" dealing with Russia"

You mean you don't like the Prom Planning Team from the Student Council.
Yea Team....whot? You want to see that RedHead Jen Psaki instead of me?

Oh you Sexist Pig. Just YOU Wait til Hillary "takes the reins"

Global Markets News
dc CB 20:10 GMT 07/23/2014
dc CB 17:45 GMT
it's because of the WEATHER.


Livingston nh 20:08 GMT 07/23/2014
It's hard to believe but State may not have enough "old Hands" dealing with Russia - Putin moved on Georgia w/o a problem so moving into Ukraine is a no brainer

US can't respond militarily (not worth the candle) so EU won't risk further sanction regime // military always trumps financial concerns

Paris ib 20:07 GMT 07/23/2014
Kiev or Separists ?

A bit of to and fro

dc CB 19:44 GMT 07/23/2014

Fear? non here.
Yet 10Y 2.46
5y 1.65
USD almost 81

Auctions next week. The "follow the script" sell off so far has yet to materialize. Perhaps wars are no in the re-write for now.

Livingston nh 19:41 GMT 07/23/2014
cb - this is SOP - Kerry in Israel and sanctions in Ukraine - same old same old - no problem /// BUT Putin's got the ball so only he can change the game // market doesn't care until the game changes

jeddah Abb 19:36 GMT 07/23/2014
hope to see joe's posts for oil and Belgrade TD for other pairs..

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:35 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

dc CB 19:29 GMT 07/23/2014
"Risk is sanctions and response -- Putin has a hammer so every response looks like a nail "

The problem is...this is the Face and the Reasoning the the State Dept is presenting. I wish it were not so.

State Dept press briefing

jeddah Abb 19:29 GMT 07/23/2014
sell from actual pice

jeddah Abb 19:26 GMT 07/23/2014
i see gby jpy in weekly..can some sahre his view?

Paris ib 19:13 GMT 07/23/2014
CB... so when do we start talking about sanctions against the U.S.? Given the U.S. support, arming and training of the Kiev regime? At any rate that doesn't seem to be happening on the other side of this conflict. What is happening is just an ongoing move away from the USD towards bilateral currency and trade agreements which by-pass the USD. The latest being Switzerland and China.

Livingston nh 19:13 GMT 07/23/2014
The system used to knock down the passenger jet (and fighters) was a Russian system and it requires a modicum of training (e.g., Russian operators) -- this is irrelevant to markets until somebody fights over the issue (see my 4/14 comment)

Risk is sanctions and response -- Putin has a hammer so every response looks like a nail

Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 19:12 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile

PAR 19:06 GMT 07/23/2014
Rumors Facebooks earnoing will be incredible ! This will send USA stock markets to Multi century highs. USA , has never been stonger . I hear Obama singing USA, USA, USA, and the to lost to ....... the smallest of al countries Belgium .

dc CB 19:00 GMT 07/23/2014

Mish is not a conspiracy tinhat type.

MISH'S Global Economic Trend Analysis

Canadian Retail Sales Mixed. BOE Minutes Send Mixed Message. Thursday is a Major Data Day
GVI Forex Blog 18:56 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- RBNZ, JP- CPI, fl PMI, CN- fl HSBC PMI, FR, DE, EZ- fl PMI. GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Claims, fl PMI, New Homes Sales

Early Thursday sees the latest Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision. also a slew of flash PMI releases are due along with U.K. Retail Sales data. Canadian Retail Sales data are the North American open were mixed and saw the USDCAD gain.

Canadian Retail Sales Mixed. BOE Minutes Send Mixed Message. Thursday is a Major Data Day

Global Markets News
Livingston nh 18:37 GMT 07/23/2014
The cost of living did not rise at a slower pace - the CPI rose at a slower pace -- BLS asserts that CPI is not a ' cost of living" index (there is a recent Atlanta Fed mope opining about why the Great Unwashed don't get it)

Inflation is a process not an event

Global Markets News
dc CB 18:16 GMT 07/23/2014
which lie do you bet yo' money on??
Quote from Bloomberg artcl this morning

"The cost of living in the U.S. rose at a slower pace in June and home sales climbed to an eight-month high, showing the economy is generating little price pressure as growth accelerates.:

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 17:55 GMT 07/23/2014
POMO today
$2.774bln at 11:00AM

thurs: $2.00 - $2.50 billion

The Fix is in
dc CB 17:49 GMT 07/23/2014
ZH is pretty spot on about this:

Clearly, everyone understand that the only purpose behind implementing "gates" is to redirect the herd. And with some $2.6 trillion in assets, money markets can serve as a convenient source of "forced buying" now that QE is tapering if only for the time being. The only question is whether the herd will agree to this latest massive behavioral experiment by the Fed, and allocate their funds to a stock market which is now trading at a higher P/E multiple than during the last market peak.

And should this particular exercise in inflating stock bubbles fail, then gating bond funds, another "reform" which as we reported last month is in the works, should certainly force equities to unseen bubble proportions.

The "Gates" Are Closing: SEC Votes Through Money Market Reform

Global Markets News
dc CB 17:45 GMT 07/23/2014
it's because of the WEATHER.
Yes this is still being voiced. Now for retail sales, it's because of the "cooler tha normal" summer.
just keep saying the same line over and over and soon everyone is saying it. Even if it's the end of July.

In this month's Monthly Economic Review, Kleinhenz noted, “…one of the worst winters in recent memory kept shoppers home during the first quarter, and weak numbers for real estate, inventories and exports continued to hamper the economy through the second quarter

The Fix is in
GVI Forex john 17:42 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
I love these arrogant lawyers who feel they are smarter than everyone else and feel they can legislate financial security by making a rule or passing a law. I was around when Glass-Steagall was in place and we had major bank failures all the time. The reason why Greenspan agreed to the creation of mega-banks was to provide them with fortress balance sheets so they could not fail. We all know how that worked out!

A word to the wise, extending loans is an inherently risky business and no Harvard lawyer is going to be able to make that risk go away. Financial institutions have been failing forever. Get used to it. How does taking away the fixed pice value of a money market mutual fund make them safer?

Global Markets News
Livingston nh 17:32 GMT 07/23/2014
jp - IMF (like most) base their GDP figs on "real" (post inflation) estimates -- nominal is the more important - BUT since the US deflator does not exclude food and energy it is usually the place where inflation shows first (used to be the Fed's preferred and then CPI, and now PCE excluding everything) // rule of thumb q/q GDP deflator ~ 60% of CPI so "real" Q2 could be held down by even the "soft CPI" that analysts are calling yesterday's fig

The Fix is in
dc CB 17:28 GMT 07/23/2014
Regulators have voted by a narrow margin to end a longtime staple of the investment industry — the fixed $1 share price for money-market mutual funds — at least for some money funds used by big investors.

The idea is to minimize the risk of a mass withdrawal from the funds during a financial panic.

The Securities and Exchange Commission also is letting money funds block withdrawals when their assets fall below certain levels or impose fees for withdrawals.

The SEC action "will reduce the risk of runs in money-market funds and provide important new tools that will help further protect investors and the financial system in a crisis," SEC Chair Mary Jo White said.

Daniel Gallagher, a Republican SEC commissioner, said the regulators' action puts the industry and investors on notice that there won't be a government rescue of money-market funds.

"We are taking action to correct any impression of a federal backstop," Gallagher said. The SEC "can't bail out any firm or product."

S.E.C. Votes to End Fixed Share Price for Some Money Funds

Risk On/Off Heat Map
GVI Forex john 17:14 GMT 07/23/2014  - My Profile
10-yr 2.451% -3ps on the day. Looks like continued political risk and a failure of the DJIA to hold onto early gains giving the 10-yr a bid.

Global Markets News
nw kw 16:40 GMT 07/23/2014
rand aud rush. are strong ?

but usa is so down it can snap back

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