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My Friday Trades
london red 17:57 GMT 02/12/2016
broken fib at 11330. short covering abv there to 50 then 80. while stocks keep going you can buy usd pull back vs yen. euro is getting sup from yen cross hence not moving under sup.

GVI Data Calendar for 15 February 2016
GVI Forex Blog 17:07 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile

February 12, 2016 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: CN- Trade
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Holiday

15-Feb Monday
US- Holiday
16-Feb Tuesday
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
17-Feb Wednesday
13:30 US- PPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
18-Feb Thursday
00:30 AU- Employment
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
19-Feb Friday
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 US/CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 15 February 2016

Monday Japan Stox up!!!
HK RF@ 17:05 GMT 02/12/2016

'''''Singapore''''' '''''SGFXTrader'''''

Just took profit and now on sideline.

Seems too, there is an urgency to prevent a big decline this Mon. of China Mkts.

'Israel' 'Dil' 16:43 GMT 02/12/2016
Yuri Gripas / Reuters

The head of Russia’s Investigative Committee, Aleksandr Bastrykin, has called for the creation of an international coalition of states to fight the “dictatorship” imposed by the US on the rest of the world, and to reject the use the US dollar as a reserve currency.

Speaking at a roundtable in Moscow, Bastrykin said that the world urgently needed a new system of checks and balances that would allow equal representation of all nations on the international political arena.

He said an alliance of countries was needed which could act in concert as “a feasible pole to counter the dictatorship imposed by the Americans together with their Western allies,” according to the minutes of the roundtable

Monday Japan Stox up!!!
'''''Singapore''''' '''''SGFXTrader''''' 16:39 GMT 02/12/2016
Did u long usdjpy? i give lotsa tips yesterday. if u long, u make good pips now!

HK RF@ 16:34 GMT 02/12/2016

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:36 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
the greek is desperate
the italian spaniard portugese are desperate
Vlad is making the turk desperate
Saudis are rapping in their pants
desperate over debts = popular upheaval
do bankers likes idea of popular upheaval ?
I doubt killer Henry went to see Vlad for his blue eyes

Monday Japan Stox up!!!
HK RF@ 16:34 GMT 02/12/2016

Short covering may enhance USD/JPY up-move to the close.
All that on background of BOJ doing something(???)

'Israel' 'Dil' 16:29 GMT 02/12/2016

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and UN Special Envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura (L-R) arrive for a news conference after the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) meeting in Munich, Germany, February 12, 2016. © Michael Dalder / Reuters

An ambitious plan to end hostilities in Syria with verifiable results within a week, revive the Geneva-3 peace talks, and immediately begin delivering humanitarian aid to civilians has been unveiled in Munich, Germany after talks including the US, Russia, and the UN.

Hostilities in Syria could come to a halt within a week after confirmation by the government of President Bashar Assad and the opposition, according to an official communiqué from the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) meeting.

My Friday Trades
GVI 16:26 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
... and now the dollar is following

My Friday Trades
\'GVI 16:10 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
WTI +10%... stocks following

Deutsche Bank
'Mtl' 'JP' 16:05 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
'Dil' say heads chopping ally Saudis send boots to syria
what could be new profit opps would u see out of that ?

My Friday Trades
GVI john 16:04 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
No one here has commented on it, but one Senator yesterday complained about the muddled messages coming out of the Fed. Yellen seemed ready for the comment and said that the policy at the central bank is for Fed members to indicate when they are speaking for themselves and when they are talking about Fed policy.

I am now watching anything these guys say to see if their behavior has changed. If they start to toe a party line rather than freelancing it, their comments could become useful for trading as they once were.

'GVI 'Jay 15:56 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
10:50 (US) Fed's Dudley (Voter, Dove): Turmoil in market mostly tied to overseas events and not US economy - Q&A

- if financial conditions tighten, Fed takes that into account
- difficult to tell how much market turmoil recently is based on market fundamentals- still expects to meet inflation target in the longer term but it will be slow going
- seen dollar weaken a bit in recent weeks
- completely agrees wtih Chairwoman Yellen's assessment of policy environment
- won't commit on rate decisions because data could change before March meeting; recent events will factor into March decision
- policy decisions overseas will not have much impact on US economy, negative rates abroad have only small effects on the US economy
- Talk of negative rates for the US is premature, not spending a lot of time thinking about it, there are many other actions the Fed would take before resorting to negative rates
- US banks are in good shape; not concerned about bank stock weakness

- Source

\'GVI \'john 15:51 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Fed's Dudley
-- Policy data dependent
-- Significant tightening in U.S. financial conditions
-- Market turmoil tied to overseas events
-- Can't predict what Fed will do in upcoming meetings

Deutsche Bank
'Israel' 'Dil' 15:46 GMT 02/12/2016
what I can do for you Jay? what do you need?

Crude Oil
'Livingston' 'nh' 15:44 GMT 02/12/2016
WTI was about 15% undervalued at yesterday's low - a move back above 30.20 (21dma declining) would also take out 4 hr 89 ema -- that move probably depends on China Monday // Stox and the Fed still chasing oil around the block -- time to break the leash

Deutsche Bank
GVI Jay 15:44 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Dll me at

PAR 15:43 GMT 02/12/2016
In Europe lower crude oil prices are not deflationary as most european governments used lower oil prices to increase taxes on gasoline and gasoil .

European consumer is hit by negative rates and only slightly lower energy prices .


Deutsche Bank
'Israel' 'Dil' 15:41 GMT 02/12/2016
3x round trades completed - €5.25 gain in total

Crude Oil
PAR 15:33 GMT 02/12/2016
Crude oil +6.5% . INFLATION is coming . Be happy. Lets make Saudi Arabia rich again. Draghi sponsored by OPEC ?

london red 15:30 GMT 02/12/2016
weve got the nice tail on hourly s&p ahead of time, you can see how everyones now waiting to see if it sticks on the close to pile in or if not to run the bitch down.

Correction today
HK Kuwn 15:26 GMT 02/12/2016
Sell Gold
Entry: 1243 Target: Stop: 1253

seem not willing to fall, TP at 1138

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses
'GVI 'john 15:19 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
U of M misses, but Retail Sales data was the more significant statistic today

Russian sanctions killing European agriculture
PAR 15:19 GMT 02/12/2016
Greek Farmers Clash With Police in Protest Over Tax Increases and Pension Reform

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses
GVI Forex Blog 15:13 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile

Preliminary February Michigan Survey weaker than expected. Data revision in two weeks.

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses

london red 15:11 GMT 02/12/2016
hourly close for s&p and euro will tell you all you need to know as to whether up/dwn /1870 tested and 11220 fib retested

'Mtl' 'JP' 15:06 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Dudley: Key US sectors in good shape, financial system clearly stronger

GVI john 15:02 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Business Inventories December 2015
U.S. Data Charts

+0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% (r -0.10%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI john 15:01 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index February 2016
U.S. Data Charts

90.7 vs. 92.5 exp. vs. 92.0 prev

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment

TTN: Live News Special Offer

My Friday Trades
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:57 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
players react to some Citings by unnameds

My Friday Trades
london red 14:40 GMT 02/12/2016
thats a v sharp bounce off 23 i would use that as a marker and fib is compromised as just 3 pips away.

My Friday Trades
GVI Jay 14:37 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
EURUSD popped off the low on this:

09:36ECB support for a March deposit rate cut is firm; little desire for radical action - press

- Citing unnamed central bank governors and other high ranking officials, they indicate that ECB appears to be locked in on 10 basis point cut

- one bank governor believes doing nothing in March is highly unlikely given how monetary conditions have tightened

- another official says that a cut of more than 10 basis points is unlikely as it would hurt bank profitability, which would be undesirable given what is happening in the bank sector right now

- Source

My Friday Trades
london red 14:32 GMT 02/12/2016
no problem, glad my rap is of some use!
euro a bit sticky here but watch the hourly close for euro. if they test 20 into the close they can move lower into new hour before a bounce and thats where youd want to cover to get the hours low and reload higher if necessary. a test of 20 well before the close of the hour might mean a rebound first and maybe or maybe not lower. 20 is the 23.6 fib so once tested and bounced doesnt have to go dwn again. prob will but not a sure thing.

My Friday Trades
''''Singapore'''' ''''SGFXTrader'''' 14:15 GMT 02/12/2016
Red as always, your inputs are much appreciated! Thank you

My Friday Trades
london red 14:12 GMT 02/12/2016
while below 11280 look for a retest of lows in euro with some stops below 112 and sup near 11160 with stops below. yen hasnt seen 11330 yet but they frontran the last charge higher to high teens. strong early spoos have given the s&p every chance to run to 1870 but if they cannot do it then 1790 will be tested today. it should go to one or the other.

My Friday Trades
GVI john 13:43 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Sentiment improving on solid data. Feeding on short-covering bias into weekend.

'Mtl' 'JP' 13:43 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
so lower energy costs are like tax kut
people blow the ekstra ash on teddy bears

more more lower oil !

Breaking News: U.S. Retail Sales Beat Estimates
GVI Forex Blog 13:40 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile

U.S. January Retail Sales Beat Estimates.

Breaking News: U.S. Retail Sales Beat Estimates

GVI john 13:33 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
Retail Sales data better across the board.

GVI john 13:32 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Import Prices January 2016
U.S. Data Charts

-1.10% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -1.20% (r -1.10%) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI john 13:32 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Advance Retail Sales January 2015
U.S. Data Charts

+0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% (r +0.20%)

x-autos & gas +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.30% (r.+0.10%)

TTN: Live News Special Offer

My Friday Trades
''''Singapore'''' ''''SGFXTrader'''' 13:17 GMT 02/12/2016
Thanks John for the sharing. Much appreciated.

Tips for you, USD going up i think!

GVI john 11:48 GMT 02/12/2016 - My Profile
I don't have their source but saw this on earlier

My Friday Trades
london red 12:22 GMT 02/12/2016
daily straddle euro yen about 55 and 60 pips respectively. so not much. i suspect they may bid usdjpy on dip to 112/11220 if retail sales a small miss. theres a good 11350 expiry which may draw later and you can build a nice straddle but taking on towards 112 and other side a bit higher up if draws. ready for any fireworks if 110.30 or 113.50/115 seen later.

My Friday Trades
london red 12:18 GMT 02/12/2016
intervention. if uncorodinated tends not to last more than a few hours or days if going against the trend/flows. however, as a last line of defence it may be required as a lesser evil than doing nothing. the CB intervening is naturally going to want to get biggest bang for buck and to hit speculators hardest...
back in the day the break between cme pit and globax left 45 min window to hit the market. today, friday, they can consider late US session when market is thinnest, many has clocked off. in the last hour they can do a lot of damage for relatively little money and technically "correct" some bad looking charts on the wkly close (115/116). do it earlier and they will fade, but that late on and everyone will be sent packing as nobody will hold lrg over long weekend and with china set to return.
ultimately you cant fight flows but if they want to slow things down and burn a few fingers, they can.

Daily TA trade
'Belgrade' 'TD' 12:03 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
another 1/3 out from ~3917 long at ~4007 ... nasdag fut /NQ ... new stop ~ 3950

My Friday Trades
PAR 11:56 GMT 02/12/2016
Interest rates should be in line with GDP growth and not be used as a currency
manipulating tool. NIR should never be used
Power of central banks should be cut drastically.

My Friday Trades
GVI john 11:54 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
BTW- is a very reliable source for forex news as it happens.

Its a lot easier for traders to hear the news over a box while watching a chart and/or quotes over a screen.

My Friday Trades
GVI john 11:48 GMT 02/12/2016  - My Profile
I don't have their source but saw this on earlier

"03:37 (JP) Japan ruling LDP party official Yamamoto: Japan needs to hold emergency economic summit and act in coordination with other central banks
-Japan should lead an international economic summit on market turbulence
-Japan should lead responsibility for global slowdown and market volatility
- Does not believe Abenomics is a failure.
**Yamamoto said to be one of the architects of Abenomics. - Source"

Also a number of other press comments out of Japan. When there is this much noise, something could be in the works. But the question arises, what can they do that will work? We could see some extreme volatility around any announcement. Whether it lasts or no might not matter to short-term traders.

My Friday Trades
'''Singapore''' '''SGFXTrader''' 11:33 GMT 02/12/2016
John can share the source?

Next Page

Cautious Trade After Verbal Intervention By Japan To Curb Strong JPY. U.S. Retail Sales Strong


15-Feb Monday
US- Holiday
16-Feb Tuesday
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
17-Feb Wednesday
13:30 US- PPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
18-Feb Thursday
00:30 AU- Employment
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
19-Feb Friday
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 US/CA- CPI

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On Into European Close

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses

EXCLUSIVE: U.S. Retail Sales Beat Estimates s

EXCLUSIVE: Eurozone And German 4Q15 GDP In Line With Estimates

Yen on track for strongest week since late 2008, Japan steps up rhetoric --

EXCLUSIVE: Will the Bank of Japan Intervene in USDJPY?

Asian shares slip as bank fears add to global gloom --

OPEC ready to cooperate on cut - UAE energy minister

Latest News On U.S. Presidential Primaries --

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated


Fed Chair Yellen Starts To Open Up On Policy

How to Test an Algo, System or Signals Service

OPINION: Yen Strength Revisited

My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week of February 8, 2016

Yellen Testimony This Week Critical

The Monday Effect; A Forex Trading Pattern Revealed


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