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23/12/14 9:30 A GB GDP QQ con: 0.80% pre: 0.70%
23/12/14 9:30 A GB GDP YY con: 2.60% pre: 3.00%
FOREX FORUM
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GVI Forex Blog 03:18 GMT 12/23/2014  - My Profile
Dow (17,989.44, +0.87%) traded up on small volumes. With lack of data and volumes, the levels

Morning Briefing : 23-Dec-2014 -0319 GMT


AceTrader Dec 23: Intra-Day News and Views (EUR/USD) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:35 GMT 12/23/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
23 Dec 2014 02:16GMT

EUR/USD - ....... The single currency met renewed selling interest at 1.2272 on Monday and fell to a fresh 27-month low at 1.2217 new New York close due to dollar's broad-based strength on renewed risk appetite following the rise in global stock markets.
Offers are now tipped at 1.2245-50 and more at 1.2265-70.
On the downside, some bids are located at 1.2220-15 with mixture of bids and stops seen at 1.2200.

Euro is expected to remain under pressure for the rest of this year on speculation the European Central Bank will add stimulus next year as the Federal Reserve prepares to raise interest rates.

In other news, S&P said on Monday that it still sees the first rate hike in June 2015, and says the Fed Funds rate can go as high as 1.25% by 2015 end. This corresponds with the Fed's own projection which had the range of Fed Funds between 1.000 and 1.25% (or 1.125% for the average of the low to high range).

Tuesday will see the release of New Zealand's Trade Balance, Exports and Imports, China's CB Leading Economic Index, France's GDP, Producer Prices, Italy's Retail Sales, U.K.'s BBA Mortgage Approvals, Current Account, GDP, U.S.'s GDP, Personal Consumption, Redbook, Housing Price Index, Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment, New Home Sales, Personal Income, Personal Spending.

Deep Thoughts
dc CB 02:19 GMT 12/23/2014
traders song

Mr Cynic


Deep Thoughts
dc CB 01:53 GMT 12/23/2014


The Good Life

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Houston MW 00:55 GMT 12/23/2014
JP, I still think there is only a 20% chance of QE coming from the ECB. The question becomes is what happens to the EUR should Draghi and his hacks do nothing but give the same old song and dance?

Deep Thoughts
dc CB 23:06 GMT 12/22/2014
if the SONY Hack isn't enough diversion.

The WashPost(Jeff Bezos- we don't make any profit, we make it up on Volume, OWNED) gives something newANDpressing to clog your brain and then chat about at partieees.



Why women are dyeing their armpit hair


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 22:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile


December 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, December 23, 2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: Ca- GDP US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, 2 & 5-yr Auctions, Weekly Energy



Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 22:49 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile


USD and EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





Deep Thoughts
nw kw 22:25 GMT 12/22/2014
usa and cad are not cold enough ngas is to big not to track

Deep Thoughts
nw kw 22:13 GMT 12/22/2014
bund hesitating,usd strength if ngass stops unwinding reversal for usd but risk I still see rush to usd,


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Mtl JP 21:26 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
EU low(er) rates are front-running the ECB's would-be printers
ECB runs the risk of looking stupider than it already is.

The task here is to skin posi-pips off the theater.


Deep Thoughts
dc CB 21:16 GMT 12/22/2014
THE TOP STORY now and has been all weekend...The SONY Hack.

totally Voided any discussion of the CITI Corp written rider that was inserted into the "Don't Shut Down the Government" Bill, that was the Top Story in the US last weekend. (PS the one that Voided the Derivitive Prohibiton.....YADA YADA YADA. Putting YOUR bank deposits at Risk.

OOOOOO.....my head hurts, it's tooooo hard to unnnerstan....whots a deri-vartation mean anyway.

YEH Doses Commie bastrds North Koreans stopped me from seeing a MOVIE.....DAT I UNERTAN'

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
nw kw 21:14 GMT 12/22/2014
ECB turning on its printer did see can be a ploy to keep flood rushing from rub commentated on swiss implanting -intrest for this reason,will Germany give in to qe /now im lost

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 20:38 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Oil
dc CB 20:33 GMT 12/22/2014
How low can oil prices go? In the current price war, the global market price needed to support government budgets isn't really the main issue. Nor are the total costs for exploration, drilling and transportation.

What matters are marginal costs -- the expense of retrieving oil once the holes have been drilled and pipelines laid. That number is more like $10 to $20 a barrel in the Persian Gulf, and about the same for U.S. shale-oil producers.

Ready for $20 Oil?


Oil
dc CB 20:15 GMT 12/22/2014
yes WE built it. Now they want to put US out of business. :)))

a View from the 50's featuring BECHTEL, a holiday diversion 45Min.

Watch it with the kids on Christmas Day.

Oil Across Arabia - 1950 Middle East Oil Field Educational Documentary


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Mtl JP 20:07 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
john 19:51 how do you plan playing German 10-yr plumbing 0.597 against the prospect of ECB turning on its printer ?
tia

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:02 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    TUESDAY
    JP Holiday
    9:30 GB GDP broadest economic statistic
    13:30 US GDP 3Q14p broadest economic statistic
    13:30 US PCE defl y Fed inflation target
    13:30 US Per Inc consumer earnings
    13:30 US Dur Goods industrial orders
    14:55 US U Mich final sentiment survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales key housing statistic
    16:30 UST TRY 5-yr auction
    18:00 UST TRY 2-yr auction
    WEDNESDAY Christmas Eve
    13:30 US Initial Claims weekly jobs data
    15:30 US EIA Crude mn crude supplies
    18:00 UST TRY 7-yr auction
    US- Early Close
    THURSDAY Christmas
    AU Holiday
    CA Holiday
    CH Holiday
    EZ Holiday
    GB Holiday
    NZ Holiday
    US Holiday
    23:30 JP CPI key BOJ measure
    23:50 JP Retail Sales consumer demand
    FRIDAY Boxing Day
    AU Holiday
    CA Holiday
    CH Holiday
    EZ Holiday
    GB Holiday
    NZ Holiday
    4:30 JP Ind Out  production
    US- Early Close

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


RISK ON Posture Monday. Heavy Pre-Holiday Data Calendar in Store. Japan Closed Tuesday
GVI Forex Blog 19:58 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
TOP NEWS ITEMS: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions


RISK ON Posture Monday. Heavy Pre-Holiday Data Calendar in Store. Japan Closed Tuesday


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 19:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

22 December-- 19:45 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets have been in  RISK ON posture all day Monday which has given USD demand a lift. This should be a relatively quiet holiday-shortened week. After a holiday Wednesday in Japan, the U.S. will see a fairly heavy pre-yearend data  


  • In forex, the USD has been recovering over the day. The EUR is mostly higher on its key crosses  
  • The Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD and NZD) are weaker vs. the USD. Gold and oil prices are lower.
  • In the Far East, equities closed higher. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield is 0.343%. -1.7 bp. Japanese Markets are closed Tuesday
  • Key European bourses closed higher. The 10-yr bund yield is 0.597%, +0.3bp. The U.K. yield is 1.822%,  -2.6bp. European peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.S 10-yr note yield is 2.162%, 0.0bp Equities are higher.
The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 17:39 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
example of how gov't meddling tries to solve a crisis of no confidence
Belarus closes currency exchanges to shield against crisis - RT

GVI Forex Blog 16:13 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions

GVI Forex Data Outlook for December 23, 2014


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 16:10 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile


December 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, December 23, 2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: Ca- GDP US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, 2 & 5-yr Auctions, Weekly Energy



Gold 1188.00
Amman wfakhoury 16:00 GMT 12/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 21:20 GMT December 18, 2014
Gold
====
1188 confirmed will be reached .
sell -add sell at 1210 .
return 1199.00 any rise above it will return to it.
we need the close of 1 hr bar below 1199.00 if price rise


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


1188 reached

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 15:51 GMT 12/22/2014
Joseph A. LaVorgna @Lavorgnanomics
Nov existing home sales fell 6.1% to 4.93M-the lowest level since last May (4.91M). Lack of supply continues to weigh on the #housing market
10:16 AM - 22 Dec 2014
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Pure BS.

within a mile of my house there are 5 "existing homes" that have been Empty or ForRent over 2 years. With in a 5 mile radius there are 20 "existing homes" that have For Sale signs hanging since the start of 2014. These are suburbans on 1/2 acre plots.

EURUSD 12210 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 15:29 GMT 12/22/2014
EURUSD has 12210 confirmed level from friday. will be reached
return 12250 any rise will return to it..


The only one in the world who confirms the next level



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Existing Homes Sales most significant housing statistic. Weaker than expected.

U.S. Data Charts


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Consumer Confidence preliminary November 2014





ALERT
-10.8 vs. -11.0 vs. -11.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
4.930. vs. 5.150 exp. vs. 5.260 (r 5.25) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

sell euro
london red 14:47 GMT 12/22/2014
This weeks high may be 12350/60, a level of strong support so logical they test but likely fail then 12040/90

Oil - another manipulated market
Paris ib 14:23 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
"If... dominant producers can support prices at a high level with other people's money then they will. This behavior has applied... above all in a 10-year-long multi-billion-dollar copper market manipulation by Japan's Sumitomo.... But all of these pale into insignificance by comparison with the manipulation of the crude oil market of the past decade."

Oil


sell euro
Jay Meisler 14:08 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
You can also say upside will be limited unless 1.2302 is broken.

sell euro
jkt abel 14:02 GMT 12/22/2014
i think 1.23 should be tested

sell euro
manila tom 13:42 GMT 12/22/2014
sold 1.2258 also, stop above today's high, target 1.2093

sell euro
perth wtr 13:40 GMT 12/22/2014
sold 1.2258, stop 1.2285, target 1.2070

EUR/RUB
Paris ib 13:23 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
EUR/RUB is down nearly 10 percent on Friday's close (more than that on Friday's high). The spread is not much concern in that type of market. The Chinese are buyers of Rouble and starting to hear of hedge fund buying. Yes it's a manipulated market but the attack dogs don't actually have Roubles to sell so they are sitting short or will be forced to close.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile


As I posted earlier on GVI Forex (current rate is back near the 1.2149 pivot, so far holding above it)

See why 1.2302 is important -- one hour trendlnes tested

Intra day high 1.2272, R1 1.2279



EUR/RUB
Mtl JP 12:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
the "fwiw seeing USDRUB 55.08 -450 "
the fwiw = approximately 0
given the spread and govvy meddling : who is trading it ?
-
better trades elsewhere (like usdyen for example)

EUR/RUB
GVI Forex john 12:06 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
fwiw seeing USDRUB 55.08 -450

EUR/RUB
Paris ib 12:02 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Now down 6.5%

EUR/RUB
Mtl JP 11:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Belarus blocks online sites and closes shops to stem currency panic - guardian

.."The Belarussian currency was dragged down by the slide of the Russian ruble last week, leading authorities to impose draconian measures, forbid price increases even for imported goods, and warn people against panic ... With foreign currency swiftly depleted in exchange offices, Belarussians even launched a black market website, dollarnash.com, where individuals can buy and sell dollars and euros.

While the central bank’s exchange rate on Sunday was 10,900 rubles to the dollar, rates on the website were up to 17,000"...

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:49 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD
R1 1.2279 (intact, but an obvious target)
Pivot 1.2249 (where we trade relative to the Pivot sets tone)
S1 1.2197 (intact 1.2220 session LOD)

SUBJECTIVELY, based on the latest COT data, even though the markets are SHORT EURUSD, they do not look over-extended to me.

Click on chart for EUR COT Details


Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile


USD and EUT Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon

stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





EURUSD big drop
Amman wfakhoury 10:49 GMT 12/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 06:32 GMT November 28, 2014
EURUSD big drop: Reply
EURUSD is ready for big drop 200-300 pips...change buy into sell.

Amman wfakhoury 17:49 GMT November 26, 2014
EURUSD 12540 confirmed: Reply
12540 confirmed will be reached , any decline will return to 12500.
______________----
for the 2 stupid in this forum




EURUSD big drop
manila tom 10:24 GMT 12/22/2014
Haifa ac, never argue with the one, he is always right


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 10:08 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

22 December-- 10:10 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets are in a  RISK ON posture early Monday in what will be generally a holiday-shortened week. This is a slow day on the data front,bu the U.S. calendar picks up on Tuesday and early Wednesday. 


  • In forex, the USD is trading mixed to weaker. The EUR is mostly higher on its key crosses  
  • The Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD and NZD) are narrowly weaker vs. the USD. Gold and oil prices are up.
  • In the Far East, equities closed higher. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield is 0.339%. -2.1 bp. Japanese Markets are closed Tuesday
  • Key European bourses are higher. The 10-yr bund yield is 0.595%, +0.1bp. The U.K. yield is 1.835%,  -1.3bp. European peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.S 10-yr note yield is 2.155%, -0.7bp Equities are higher.
The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


AceTrader Dec 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (GBP/USD)
Hong Kong AceTrader 09:46 GMT 12/22/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
22 Dec 2014 09:31GMT

GBP/USD - ..... Although the British pound traded with a firm bias in Asia and gained briefly to session high at 1.5665 at European open, cable pared its gains and retreated sharply to 1.5618 in European morning, due partly to cross-selling of sterling especially vs euro.

Offers are now seen at 1.5650/60 and more above at 1.5670/80 with stops building up above there whilst initial bids are noted at 1.5590/00.
Since there is no eco. data out from UK today, price is expected to trade in choppy fashion till NY open.

Bank of England's Weale says hearing of pay freezes much more rarely from UK businesses.

This morning the British pound move narrowly in subdued Asian trading as some traders have closed their books in this holiday-abbreviated week. Despite Friday's rebound after intra-day retreat from 1.5682 to 1.5605 (NY low), anticipated renewed weakness in the eur/usd shud limit intra-day gain.
As no U.K. eco. data are due out today, cable is expected to track intra-day swings in the euro.
Order book was very thin on this Monday morning

EURUSD big drop
Haifa ac 08:41 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
LOL

"Unless 1 hr bar closed above 12415."
between 12/2/14 and today eur/usd reached 125.69 and then dropped to 122 area.
You funny guy.


Next Page



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