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Day's Trades SaaR KaL 07:46 GMT 07/28/2014 - My Profile Can not do Hang Sing Now But USDCAD is more Like 2 O'clock Trend Week Close USDCAD 1.095 1.067 Oil is a sell Oil 102.220 94.280
Day's Trades SaaR KaL 07:36 GMT 07/28/2014 - My Profile KW I can not get the data now will do it soon something is stuck
Day's Trades nw kw 07:08 GMT 07/28/2014 KaL - do you have time line tks, I have compounded H SING up move for 6days, what do you see next tks do yoy see usd/cad to 1.00 bigger time from herring this call
Day's Trades SaaR KaL 06:45 GMT 07/28/2014 - My Profile friday close P.I Aud/2nd I am just gonna order GTC on these Levels and trends
Source TradeTheNews.com Syd 04:35 GMT 07/28/2014 (US) Fed's Fisher (FOMC voter, hawk) writes and reiterates that there are dangers in leaving policy too loose for too long - US financial press- Suggests there is risk the Fed could start to be behind the curve amid the improvements in the US labor market and rise in inflation. - Reiterates the Fed is closer to reaching its targets for employment than most people believe. Says the household survey unemployment rate has hit near 6% before many FOMC officials expected. - Says wage growth is starting to rebound, cites the rise in the median weekly earnings index of the Current Population Survey. - In terms of inflation, says PCE Inflation is moving towards the Fed's 2% target more quickly than the FOMC expected. - Reiterates concerns related to financial excesses. - Notes the risk in tightening policy after the economy has already moved past sustainably capacity limits. - Says the Fed should consider tapering the reinvestment of maturing securities and start to shrink the balance sheet, as he believes ending asset purchases during the fall will not be ample. - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex Blog 04:34 GMT 07/28/2014
- My Profile
***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 +0.5%, S&P/ASX flat, Kospi +0.5%, Shanghai Composite +1.6%, Hang Seng +0.7%, Sept S&P500 -0.1% at 1,969 ***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - A
GVI Forex Blog 04:16 GMT 07/28/2014
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The US market corrected not on geopolitical concerns
AceTrader Jul 28: Intra-Day Market Moving News,Views & data to be released today Hong Kong AceTrader 03:01 GMT 07/28/2014 Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY 28 Jul 2014 02:43GMT USD/JPY - .... The greenback continues to trade with a soft bias in Tokyo this morning after cross-inspired retreat from Friday's 2-week peak at 101.94 to 101.72 in NY as weekend's events in Russia-Ukraine n Middle East boosted yen demand at Tokyo open (eur/yen weakened 1 tick below Fri's 136.65 low). Expect range trading to continue in Asia until European open, however, as the N225 index has shrugged off initial loss after Fri's decline in the Dow n has climbed to a fresh 6-month peak of 15.556, suggesting buying on dips is favoured. Later today, investors should pay attention to the release of Markit service PMI for U.S. n U.S. pending home sales data due at 13:45GMT n 14:00GMT respectively. At the moment, offers are noted at 101.90-00 n around 102.10 with stops emerging above 102.30. On the downside, bids are placed at 101.50-40 n then 101.30/25 with stops located below 101.20. Next week will see the release of U.S. Markit Services PMI Flash, pending Homes Index and pending sales change on Monday; Japan’s unemployment rate and retail sales, Australian HIA home sales, Germany import prices, U.S. Redbook and consumer confidence on Tuesday. Japan’s industrial output, industrial production forecast, Swiss KOF indicator, Eurozone business climate, economic and services sentiment, Germany’s CPI and HICP, U.S. ADP employment, Canada’s producer prices, U.S. GDP and FOMC rate decision on Wednesday. U.K. GfK consumer confidence, Australia’s building approvals and private home approval, Japan’s housing start and construction orders, Germany’s unemployment rate, Canada’s GDP and U.S. Challenger layoffs and Chicago PMI on Thursday. China’s NBS manufacturing PMI, Australia’s PPI, Japan’s manufacturing PMI, China HSBC manufacturing PMI final, U.S. unemployment rate, Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI, unemployment rate, PCE price index, private payrolls and non-farm payrolls, University of Michigan consumer confidence and ISM manufacturing PMI on Friday.
Commitment of Traders Report dc CB 01:07 GMT 07/28/2014 also Auctions this week 2,5,7. 29, 35, 29 billion $, respectively DXY over 81 makes the low yield offered even dearer to the foreign buyer.
Forex News GVI Forex Blog 00:24 GMT 07/28/2014 - My Profile * Dollar index holding near a six-month peak * Euro wallows at an eight-month trough vs USD * FOMC, U.S. GDP and nonfarm payrolls main focus this week
Commitment of Traders Report Mtl JP 23:54 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile I am pretty sure the net short euro (not just long reduction but also short buildup) is at , if not, near 52 week high. which may or not mean anything, but odds are growing of some unwind: always on the look out for lopsided positionning
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War dc CB 22:52 GMT 07/27/2014 they were taken by Mr. Magoo
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War Mtl JP 22:39 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile dc CB / even the Washingtonpost poohpohs them as "grainy photographs" ...
The Times, they are a changin' dc CB 21:49 GMT 07/27/2014 Yes, we can — bring back talk of hope and change.
Advice to Europeans in WSJ Mtl JP 21:33 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile Clinton to Europe: Loosen Russia’s Energy Grip - in WSJ - Obama Aide: Europe Willing to Impose Stronger Sanctions - in WSJ
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War dc CB 21:27 GMT 07/27/2014 Pictures U.S. releases images it says show Russia has fired artillery over border into Ukraine
The Central Bank of the Russian Federation (Bank of Russia) Mtl JP 20:31 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile Press Service On Bank of Russia key rate On 25 July 2014 the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to raise the the Bank of Russia key rate to 8.0 percent per annum.
Commitment of Traders Report dc CB 16:31 GMT 07/27/2014 Mtl JP 22:21 GMT July 25, 2014 - Commitment of Traders Report john 19:44 that short euro build looks massive ============================================= makes you wonder, since this is the last week in July and August is Vacation time for Europe and the US, whether Gammy Yellen's crew will put something in the statement that triggers a "Take Profits and head to the yacht and the beach" move. COT with "sides" on the trade
The Times, they are a chnagin' dc CB 16:22 GMT 07/27/2014 Mark Knoller ✔ @markknoller Pres Obama played about 5 hrs of golf at Congressional and then returned to the WH. 7:35 PM - 26 Jul 2014 (CBS News White House Correspondent. Washington, D.C..)
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:20 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile You can't use past history as central banks have rewritten the book. Read my last newsletter for what to watch out for.
The Times, they are a changin' dc CB 16:19 GMT 07/27/2014 Repeal Prohibition, Again The federal government should repeal the ban on marijuana. We reached that conclusion after a great deal of discussion among the members of The Times’s Editorial Board, inspired by a rapidly growing movement among the states to reform marijuana laws.
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds sofia kaprikorn 14:57 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile GVI Forex john --- If I may ask when it becomes obvious for the market that the Fed is behind the curve and needs to tighten? Asking you to share your view based on the experience you have from the previous tightening cycles. TIA.
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds GVI Forex john 14:32 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile JP- You can never know if the markets have it "right". That is why we focus on "High Impact" data releases. They are high impact releases because they can CHANGE the outlook for monetary policy. By correctly anticipating how the OUTLOOK for policy is going to be impacted by a data event, you can get a jump on the markets. this is what trading on the "fundamentals" is all about. Personally, I think you cannot trade on the fundamentals alone. The technicals are indispensable for proper trade execution once you figure out how you want to position yourself.
Eurozone 2y vs ECB refi rate sofia kaprikorn 14:18 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile GVI john --- Great chart reg. EUR/USD vs. 2Y EZ rate - a picture is worth a thousand words.
Markets setting up for Fed Decision and U.S. Employment data. GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Retail Sales, US- flash Mkt SVC PMI, Pending Home Sales Monday sees the U.S. flash Markit Service PMI estimate and Pending Homes Sales. These data will set the stage for an exceptionally full week of high impact news releases.. Markets setting up for Fed Decision and U.S. Employment data.
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds Mtl JP 14:07 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile john how do we know when the players have it all fully priced in, or more importantly not, and therefor spot a potential trade opportunity as a "catch up" trade ?
Commitment of Traders Report nw kw 13:57 GMT 07/27/2014 bond cot has open interest spike see if it reverses looks crowded
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News GVI Forex john 13:41 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile  July 27, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, July 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Retail Sales, US- flash Mkt SVC PMI, Pending Home Sales
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds GVI Forex john 11:13 GMT 07/27/2014 - My Profile Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: Here is a further explanation of the chart below for the current state of the U.S, money markets ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday. I have not included a currency pair. The cost of money is interest rates. higher interest rates increase demand for a given currency and lower interest rates mean reduced demand. There are two interest rate lines. The RED dashed line is the official Fed administered cost of overnight funds (Fed Funds). It does not change frequently. The other RED line is the free market cost of funds for two years. The market two year rate amounts to a forecast for the official administered rate for the next two years. When it is below the official rate, depositors and lenders are saying that they expect the official rate is going to fall. If the market rate is above the official rate, it means they agree that oficial rates are going to rise. This chart says that professional traders agree that the FED is going to increase rates sometime in the near future. Rising interest rates should be EURUSD positive. So you can see that rational traders have ALREADY tightened monetary policy FOR the Fed. The cost of money in the two year time frame is already higher. A Fed rate hike now would only confirm what the markets already have discounted. This is how the wholesale markets for money have always operated. They MUST operate this way if the institutions are going to survive. 
Eurozone 2y vs ECB refi rate GVI Forex john 21:59 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: Some have asked me to re-explain this chart It consists of two elements; interest rates and EURUSD spot. 1) interest rates: forex is all about MONEY. The cost of money is interest rates. higher interest rates increase demand for a given currency and lower interest rates mean reduced demand. There are two interest rate lines. The blue dashed line is the official ECB administered cost of overnight funds. It does not change frequently. The other blue line is the free market cost of funds for two years. The market two year rate amounts to a forecast for the official administered rate for the next two years. When it is below the official rate, depositors and lenders are saying that they expect the official rate is going to fall. If the market rate is above the official rate, it means they agree that rates are going to rise. This chart says that professional traders agree that the ECB is going to reduce rates in the future. falling interest rates are EURUSD negative. 2) EURUSD line. The grey EURUSD line shows the interaction of the EURUSD pair with rises and falls in EUR interest rates. Moves are not always as fast as they once were, but they generally move together. Note the EURUSD has been following interest rates lower, This is how the fundamentals determine forex values. 
USD?CAD
Montreal Hesham 21:58 GMT 07/26/2014 Buy USDCAD Entry: 1.0639 Target: 1.08 and higher Stop: 1.05 I will add more on dips ___________________________________________________ I closed 1/4 at 1.0735 and the rest at the previously mentioned targets. I raised the stop loss to be at 1.065. It is sunny today in Montreal. I will go to the swimming pool Have a nice week end to all. ______________________________________________________ The second target was achieved on Friday (1/4 of the position) Now, the target is 1.15 and the s/l is raised to 1.076 I may buy again if the market hits my s/l
Hot Items: Weekly Trading Planner GVI Forex john 15:46 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile MONDAY US Pending Homes TRY TRY 2-yr TUESDAY US CB Consumer Conf TRY TRY 5-yr WEDNESDAY US ADP Jobs US GDP 1Q14r TRY TRY 7-yr FRB Fed Rates THURSDAY DE unemployment EZ flash HICP (CPI) yy CA GDP mm US Initial Claims US Chicago PMI FRIDAY CH Holiday JP Mfg PMI CN NBS PMI CN HSBC final PMI DE MFG PMI final EZ MFG PMI final GB MFG PMI US Employment US PCE defl y US Personal Income CA RBC-Markit PMI US MKT MFG PMI final US U Mich final US ISM MFG PMI
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War dc CB 14:27 GMT 07/26/2014 The Pentagon warned of an “imminent” delivery from Russia of sophisticated and powerful rocket launchers to pro-Russia separatists fighting government forces in eastern Ukraine. The Russian Foreign Ministry accused the United States of conducting a “smear campaign” against Russia with “unsubstantiated public insinuations.” It said the United States had supported “a coup d’etat in Kiev, and then in fact urged the regime toward the brutal massacre of the Russian-speaking population.
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War dc CB 14:10 GMT 07/26/2014 Resource scarcity, competition to dominate Eurasian energy corridors, are behind Russian militarism and US interference Dr.Nafeez Ahmed theguardian.com Ukraine crisis is about Great Power oil, gas pipeline rivalry
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War dc CB 13:51 GMT 07/26/2014 The people of Slavyansk, which is located in the heart of the Yzovka shale gas field, staged numerous protest actions in the past against its development Countries like the Czech Republic, the Netherlands and France have given up plans to develop shale gas deposits in their territories. In May 2012, Ukraine’s State Service for Geology and Mineral Resources announced a tender for the right to develop the Yuzovka shale gas deposit that was won by British-Dutch Shell. Burisma, Ukraine’s oil and gas production holdings, also has the right to develop the shale gas fields in the Dnieper-Donetsk basin of Eastern Ukraine. A son of U.S. Vice-President Joe Biden has recently become a member of Burisma’s board of directors. Ukrainian army helps installing shale gas production equipment near Slavyansk
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War Mtl JP 13:16 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile Rather than backing down ... according to some David Herszenhorn and Peter Baker. Right, they write for New York Times.
FOMC and Monthly Jobs Due: Outlook- July 27, 2014 GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile
Knowledge is Power GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:18 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile We posted some great articles this past week with unique insights you might not find elsewhere. Remember, knowledge is power!. - FOMC and Monthly Jobs Due - Outlook - July 27, 2014 - Last Gasp Reversal: Another Secret Forex Trading Pattern Revealed - EXCLUSIVE: If You Trade or Plan to Trade the GBP, You Need This Indicator - Why the EURUSD Will Move Lower - EXCLUSIVE: There is No Free Lunch, 400% Forex Broker Bonus Offer
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War GVI Forex 01:25 GMT 07/26/2014 - My Profile KIEV, Ukraine — Rather than backing down after last week’s downing of a civilian passenger jet, Russia appears to be intervening more aggressively in the war in eastern Ukraine in what American and Ukrainian officials call a dangerous escalation that will almost certainly force more robust retaliation from the United States and Europe.
Commitment of Traders Report Mtl JP 22:21 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile john 19:44 that short euro build looks massive makes me think it probably equates or comes close to the sentiment buildup level of Sep 2012 which inspired Mario bazooka believe me it will be enough yikyak. how times change <<-sigh->>
this is not from the Onion Mtl JP 21:47 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile dc CB / I am from the government and I here to help / save you CFPB Begins Accepting Consumer Complaints on Prepaid Cards and Additional Nonbank Products - CFPB - just do not bring up the Dimon / Blankfein / Paulson / Corzine / Mozilo (just to name a few) god's workers -- It never ceases to amaze me how adept the govt bureaucrats are justifying their bureaucracy, how to grow/expand it and how to assure their own jobs and pensions.
EU edges to economic sanctions on Russia but narrows scope GVI Forex 21:02 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile (Reuters) - The European Union reached outline agreement on Friday to impose the first economic sanctions on Russia over its behavior in Ukraine but scaled back their scope to exclude technology for the crucial gas sector.
Chart Points - Free FX Database GVI Forex john 19:59 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile 
 UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.
Commitment of Traders Report GVI Forex john 19:44 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP Net EUR JPY COT Positions   Net GBP and CHF COT Positions  
Week Ahead london red 19:33 GMT 07/25/2014 wednesday gets US gdp thursday gets canadian gdp. potentially a lot of pips to play for here.
Week Ahead GVI Forex Blog 19:15 GMT 07/25/2014 - My Profile •No surprises expected from FOMC; prelim US Q2 GDP and July payrolls stand out •Euro area CPI inflation may have fallen below 0.5% in July •July surveys to provide early clues about UK Q3 GDP momentum ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - DATA TO HIGHLIGHT US/EURO AREA DIVERGENCE |
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It hard to believe that we are back to focusing on another Fed meeting this week. There is always the possibility of a surprise but it will take time before the Fed can even consider raising short term interest rates and we see no reason why the central bank should not be able to meet its scheduled October end to its asset purchase program. 
