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31/07/15 12:30 A CA GDP mm con: 0.00% pre: -0.10%
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GVI Forex john bland 09:16 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
Higher Core inflation mildly bullish for EUR0

BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Steady to Higher
GVI Forex Blog 09:08 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile

Global-VIew EZ and German Charts

EZ flash HICP (CPI) in line with street estimates

BREAKING NEWS: EZ Flash HICP Steady to Higher

PAR 09:03 GMT 07/31/2015
CORE CPI 1.0% vs exp 0.8%

GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
EZ Unemployment June 2015

11.10% vs. 11.10% exp. vs. 11.10% (r ) prev.

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GVI Forex john bland 09:00 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) July 2015

yy: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy: +1.00% vs. vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.

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Maribor 08:55 GMT 07/31/2015
EURCHF reached target 1,056 from few days ago; now channel edge is at 1,054 (=buy level);
-GBPUSD is probably targeting ~1,5518, which seems good buy level;
-GBPCHF targets ~1,4982.
EUR is technically in downtrend for at least the next few hours, must trade above approx. 1,098 to be in uptrend again.

German Retail Sales Miss. Mild Risk-On into Month-End
GVI Forex Blog 08:51 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile

31 JULY 2015, 08:50 GMT >> FOREX NEWS  >> JP-CPI in line >> DE- Retail Sales misses>> EZ- flash HICP DUE>> CA- GDP- DUE>> US- Chicago PMI & University of Michigan Survey DUE >> FOREX >> USD mixed,  EUR CROSSES: higher, COMMODITY CURRENCIES: weaker >> EQUITIES: FAR EAST- up, EUROPE- mixed, U

German Retail Sales Miss. Mild Risk-On into Month-End

PAR 08:35 GMT 07/31/2015

Bailout Money Goes to Greece, Only to Flow Out Again

AceTrader Jul 31: Intra-day Market Moving News and Views (EUR/USD)
Hong Kong AceTrader 08:32 GMT 07/31/2015
31 Jul 2015 08:06GMT

EUR/USD - ...... Although investors shrugged off the release of unexpectedly fall in Germany's retail sales last month and lifted price from 1.0928 to 1.0967 shortly after European morning, renewed selling interest quickly emerged there and knocked price lower to 1.0921 before recovering.

At present, investors are awaiting to the release of euro zone's inflation and unemployment, Italy's inflation reports and producer prices at 09:00GMT.
Bids are noted 1.0910/05 with mixture of bids and stop at 1.0900-1.0890 and around 1.0870.
On the upside, offers from various accounts are touted at 1.0970-80 and more at 1.0990-00 with stops building up above 1.1000.

BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales in June Weaker Than Expected
GVI Forex Blog 08:27 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile

EZ and German Charts EARLIER: German month on month Retail Sales much weaker than expected

BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales in June Weaker Than Expected

PAR 08:21 GMT 07/31/2015
DJ Italy's Unemployment Rate Rises Again in June -- Market Talk

0818 GMT [Dow Jones]--Italy unemployment rate is on the rise again in June as more people look for work, says national statistics institute Istat. June's jobless rate climbs to 12.7%--its highest since November 2014--from 12.5% in May. The rate had dropped in April, while stable in May. The youth unemployment rate also heads north, increasing to 44.2%--its highest ever on record--from 42.3% in May. Although the jobless figures, a key concerns of voters, will be disappointing for the government of Premier Matteo Renzi, Istat says part of the unemployment increase is due to more people looking for work, hence being more encouraged to find employment. (

GVI Forex john bland 08:16 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
Big miss in DE Retail Sales earlier.

GVI Forex john bland 08:15 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
German Real Retail Sales June 2015

Earlier NEWS Release
mm: -2.30% vs. 0.10% exp. vs. +0.50% (+0.40%) prev.
yy: +5.10% vs. +4.10% exp. vs. -0.40% (-1.0%) prev.

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Direct links to primary data sources

london red 07:51 GMT 07/31/2015
eurgbp month end buying has finally materialised and this has seen cable move under 15567 fib. as suggested yest, id be a buyer on dips. the channel ssup today comes in at 15508 with prev lows 15528/22 expected to offer some sup as well. only a close below the channel points to stronger downside to 152/153. but mkt is going to be focused on first new mpc day and will be long gbp into event.

PAR 07:02 GMT 07/31/2015
Entry: 1.0950 Target: 1.1550 Stop: 1.0924

Strong European economic data and stock markets supporting Euro.

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jkt abel 05:29 GMT 07/31/2015
JP, still playing for 1.12?

AceTrader Jul 31: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 04:19 GMT 07/31/2015
31 Jul 2015 02:34GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although dlr rose above previous July's peak at 124.48 to a fresh 7-week high of 124.58 in NY morning on Thursday after official preliminary data showed that U.S. economic growth accelerated in the second quarter, lack of follow-through buying prompted profit-taking and dlr later retreated to 124.09 in NY afternoon.
In early Friday's trading, dlr met renewed selling at 124.28 (AUS) and then fell to 123.93 after tripping light stops below 124.00 b4 staging a recovery.
Intra-day weakness in the Nikkei and Chinese stocks suggests sideways trading below said yesterday's 124.58 high would continue.

Today, looks like consolidation with mild downside bias would be seen in Asia n Europe b4 the release of U.S. Chicago PMI and Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index at 13:45GMT and 14:00GMT respectively. Having said that, investors should also take note to the release of Japan's construction orders and housing starts at 05:00GMT.

At present, offers are tipped at 124.10-20 and more at 124.35/40 with mixture of offers and stops at 124.50-60.
On the downside, bids are placed in 123.80-123.60 region and around 123.50 with buying interest from various accounts at 123.30-20.

Earlier on Friday, official data showed that the total work force that Japan’s unemployment rate rose unexpectedly last month to 3.4%, from 3.3% in the preceding month.
Meanwhile, data showed that household spending in Japan fell more-than-expected to a seasonally adjusted -2.0% from 4.8% in the preceding month, Tokyo's core CPI fell to at an annualized rate of -0.1% from 0.1% in the preceding month, and Japan's national core CPI remained unchanged unexpectedly at 0.1% last month.

RBA’s Stevens Says China Portfolio Flows Could Be $400 Billion
Syd 03:45 GMT 07/31/2015
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said China’s two-way portfolio flows following liberalization could be $400 billion a year and urged Asia to develop its financial markets to absorb the potential influx.
Speaking at the Boao Forum for Asia in Sydney Thursday, Stevens said China’s plan to free up its financial markets was a “big challenge” for the region, but one that would bring “considerable benefits” to Chinese savers and international investors.

“If you thought that possibly the size of portfolio flows in and out of China might be the same size relative to China’s GDP as such flows are around the rest of Asia, then those flows are going to end up being much, much bigger than they are right now,” Stevens said. “They could end up being something of the order of $400 billion a year.”

China's Great Short Seller Suddenly Turns Bullish
Syd 03:41 GMT 07/31/2015
Jon Carnes is about the last person on Earth you’d expect to turn bullish on China’s stock market.
This is a man who built his career on wagers against Chinese companies, bets so successful that one analyst ranks the 41-year-old among the best short sellers worldwide -- more effective than industry giants from Carson Block to David Einhorn. Carnes’s bearish research caused such a stir in 2011 that he fled China and had to fight off fraud allegations. The ordeal landed one of his colleagues in a Henan province prison.

So when Carnes says he’s now an advocate of investment in China Inc. -- with a 111 percent rally forecast for the Shanghai Composite Index -- it’s worth paying attention.

Australia's Central Bank Has Little to Do on Rates for Now -- Market Talk DJ
Livingston nh 02:00 GMT 07/31/2015
Australia is in a HOT ZONE of currency war - RBA is at little
risk of cutting rates -- seems mostly real estate domestic inflation // export based economies need to stay competitive // Australia population is too low to stimulate domestic demand sufficient to absorb its wealth // RBA will cut

AceTrader Jul 31: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:28 GMT 07/31/2015
Update Time: 31 Jul 2015 01:07 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0936
Euro's decline from this week's high of 1.1129 (Monday) to as low as 1.0894 yesterday signals correction from July's 12-week bottom at 1.0808 has ended there and as long as 1.1122 (previous support, now resistance) holds, consolidation with downside bias remains, a daily close below 1.0869 would retain bearishness for a re-test of 1.0808 next week.

On the upside, only a move back above 1.1122 would prolong choppy trading but price should falter below 1.1080 (post-FOMC high on Wed) and yield another fall.

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Mtl JP 00:38 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
forget guru. would pip thief be fine w/u ?

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:17 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
JP, I do not claim to be a guru, just a trader, but I am an expert at picking out key levels. I only pick them out in one way.

The timing of your question is good for after many years of trying to perfect it, I have just finished creating a system that incorporates my skill at picking levels.

If anyone would like details on my system, send me an EMAIL

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:15 GMT 07/31/2015  - 
My Profile

JP, I do not claim to be a guru but I am an expert at picking out key levels. After many years of trying to perfect it, I have just finished creating a system that incorporates my skill at picking levels.

If anyone would like details, send me an EMAIL

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Mtl JP 00:02 GMT 07/31/2015  - My Profile
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:13 / re key level: there are many ways to defifine "key" level.

how do u define yours ?

Australia's Central Bank Has Little to Do on Rates for Now -- Market Talk DJ
Syd 23:43 GMT 07/30/2015
If Australian central bank policy makers were content to leave policy steady a month ago, as tensions on Greece and China were escalating and bulk commodity prices were testing new lows, why would they seriously contemplate easing now?, says Stephen Walters, chief economist at J.P. Morgan, Australia. Most economists expect no change in rates. In the last month, key commodity prices are firmer, the Australian dollar is 2% lower, and financial-market tensions over Europe have eased, says Walters. The Australian dollar is adjusting broadly lower as officials had hoped, easing up financial conditions and boosting competitiveness, he adds.

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NY JM 23:09 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile

Entry: 4 PM London fix trade Target: Stop:

Month end flows can be tricky but if there is USD selling into the month end London fix, it would (IMHO) be a buying opportunity. Keep this on your blotter for Friday.

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gc sf 21:01 GMT 07/30/2015
if AUD were 7250 you could be sure that EUR would continue immediately down to 1.0840-50

but with it trading 7290 suggests there is still short covering interest that could see EUR up to 1.0965/70 at some point during the day.

also we know that GBP will be going bid again as soon as Europe comes in - despite whatever moves occur in Asia or NYK.

$Yen as well -- there is alot factored into $YEN @ 124.15 after a 58 high .. this is moving into what has been the top for Asia several times.

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NY JM 20:31 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
Note how 1.0935 res held

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nw kw 20:13 GMT 07/30/2015
aud/jpy inability to drop hold longs for now market adjusting need to find bias so test the market for now

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nw kw 20:01 GMT 07/30/2015
lets say your alert system rings you that price u/j droping so long eur small stop

Mixed Data From U.S. German Figures Miss. Active Month-End In Store
GVI Forex Blog 19:49 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile

31 JULY 2015, 00:00 GMT >> FOREX NEWS  >> DE- Employment misses>> US- Weekly Jobless in line, GDP mixed >> FOREX >> USD mixed,  EUR CROSSES: lower, COMMODITY CURRENCIES: mixed >> EQUITIES: FAR EAST- mixed, EUROPE- up, U

Mixed Data From U.S. German Figures Miss. Active Month-End In Store

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Mtl JP 19:39 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
lets say your alert system rings you that price has come to 1.0975

regardless of time of day at which it may occur, what will you (or your robot) do ?

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

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london red 19:23 GMT 07/30/2015
10846 10872/76 10885 10920 10952 10965/68 10998. selling 10960 stop a little over 110. your risk is event only.

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:13 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
Key levels

1.0870 and 1.0985

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:59 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
You saw how the big figure pattern worked today.

It depends on your time frame but it is possible that both ends hold until NFP. Otherwise 1.08 more at risk unless 1.10+

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Mtl JP 18:54 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
how do you see the risk of 1.10 -ish being tagged before euro goes for test 1.08, possibly lower ?

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:34 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
This is a good name for a thread and we hope it encourages more participation and trade calls or trade scenarios.

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NY JM 18:33 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
Entry: SOB bias while below 1.10 Target: Stop:

End of month can be tricky but sell on blips bias while below 1.10

Current res is at 1.0935 and 1.0955-60

nw kw 18:32 GMT 07/30/2015
bad in inflation give time

nw kw 18:26 GMT 07/30/2015
Alberta tax 30%, from oil

dc CB 18:03 GMT 07/30/2015
where DOES all the money come from??

your kidding.

Daily TA trade
Belgrade TD 18:00 GMT 07/30/2015  - My Profile
ong NAS100 ... Entry: ~4,530 Target: ~4,630 Stop: <4,500 ...
1/3 closed ~4,566 ... new stop at BE ...
another 1/3 out at 4.596 ... stop for last 1/3 at 4.57

nw kw 17:59 GMT 07/30/2015
30% tax hear

Livingston nh 17:53 GMT 07/30/2015
Health Care accounted for nearly 25% of NFP jobs in Q2 - pharma/insurance company mergers continue apace - and all this with Lower Costs (affordable??) --- where DOES all the money come from??

nw kw 17:41 GMT 07/30/2015
banks might be allowed increase dividend or will if hike in for the fed

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