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USD: Dow -1000 points coming, and USD likely declining disorderly. tokyo ginko 00:01 GMT 03/12/2014 sorry, please ignore the misleading Headline Subject.
USD: Dow -1000 points coming, and USD likely declining disorderly. tokyo ginko 23:53 GMT 03/11/2014 add back 40% 14990...NK.. GT ALL!
China Property Trust Defaults Forecast as Risks Flagged Syd 23:00 GMT 03/11/2014 China’s property trusts, grappling with repayments equivalent to the size of Puerto Rico’s economy, face rising default risks as a former central bank adviser dubs real estate the biggest threat to the economy.
AUD CHINA Syd 22:56 GMT 03/11/2014 Weakness in commodity prices can be expected to continue weighing on the Australian dollar, says Emma Lawson, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank. She says news from China that another company has been suspended over concerns about its ability to meet debt payments has further fanned concerns about the broader credit market in that country, and on from that, the broader state of economic growth. Lawson adds this tension is reported to have had a negative effect on copper prices, and yesterday, the news was iron-ore prices. "This is big news for Australia, as it remains our largest export market," Ms. Lawson said. "The Australian dollar has some of this negativity on commodity prices already in the price, but if risk sentiment drops and commodities fall further, you can expect a follow on in the AUD to continue."
aud dj Syd 22:52 GMT 03/11/2014 The Australian and New Zealand dollars are under pressure as markets "extended the previous day's defensive posture," says Westpac currency strategist Imre Speizer. He says weak Chinese data had weighed on commodity prices, in turn souring risk sentiment. A further fall in copper prices had weighed on currencies perceived as more risky. AUD/USD last at 0.8975 from 0.9028 late last session. Speizer says there's scope for the pair to slip below 0.8950 particularly if metal prices keep declining. NZD/USD last at 0.8471 from 0.8482. Speizer says the pair could fall to 0.8430, although RBNZ on Thursday could lend some support.
Calm towards weekend. HK RF@ 22:45 GMT 03/11/2014 Russians have deployed a large army and hardware to keep the Sunday referendum peaceful. And so will it be. Next week things may heatup with the coming sanctions, economical tit for tat maybe interesting for the Mkt. Cable on the way to bottom, and triple-top gold driven by fundamentals may have some correction, but it's bullish tone may return on any fundamental chirp.
Asia Syd sf 22:14 GMT 03/11/2014 simple formula today - if $yen rallies buy Stock Futures - if $yen stays the same or falls - sell Stock Futures. plenty of room for stocks to drop given the right formula audusd is a pretty funny currency - took a full 24 hours to fall while everything else was .... I guess this is what is going to make it so offered when it gets down to 85 cents - all these buyers will be puking it out. oil worked pretty well and hit at the targeted area. actually square position wise at the moment - will start things up again when tokyo opens.
Everyone BUT ME dc CB 21:41 GMT 03/11/2014 from the when it goes around it comes around: Spy on the F$%^ing World for all I care, but Spy on Me and I'll come after you MFKA hahahahahahahahahaha
cable london red 21:40 GMT 03/11/2014 looking for some info on a big option structure in cable. worth 1bln, a 1.66 call with 1.69 KO. set to expire this week but looking for exact date.
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? dc CB 21:27 GMT 03/11/2014 LONDON – The Bank of England’s reputation is at stake as its independent directors conduct a review into whether bank officials knew of or condoned potential manipulation of the currency markets, Mark J. Carney, the bank’s governor, told lawmakers on Tuesday. Bank of England Governor Pledges More Integrity After Currency Inquiry
Wednesday is shaping up to be another quiet session with many sidelined dc CB 21:18 GMT 03/11/2014  Go for the March End of Month, First Quarter BOOOOOONUS. Then ? How long can the Truman Market keep going. as every 'Truman' under Bernanke’s dome knows the environment is phony." Seth Klarman On "Born Bulls", Bitcoin, & "The Truman Show" Market
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News GVI Forex john 21:05 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile  March 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, March 12. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: US- 10-yr auction
Weekly US API Data GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile  (Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey) Crude Oil: +2.630 vs. +2.000 exp vs. +1.43 prev. Gasoline: -2.150 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -1.600 prev. Distillates:-1.500 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +1.400 prev. Cap/Util: vs. n/a exp vs. 86.80% prev. TTN: Live News Special Offer 
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? dc CB 19:52 GMT 03/11/2014 This was posted earlier today on ZH. yesterday there was a post on this HFT Hedge Fund which is planning to go public(linked to in this post) The Holy Grail Of Trading Has Been Found: HFT Firm Reveals 1 Losing Trading Day In 1238 Days Of Trading The Is The One Financial Product Now Targeted By The HFT Swarm
Chart Points - Free FX Database GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile 
 UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.
Wednesday is shaping up to be another quiet session with many sidelined dc CB 19:47 GMT 03/11/2014 considering all the threats that were thrown about last week...."We'll dump your Treasuries if you sanction", etc.... and the 10 and the 30 auctions coming up, one could logically expect that Stox will be "kept" under pressure...with none of the illogical "good news is bad or bad news is good" Algo Ramps toward new(er) highs. But SnP futures Roll this week and next week is Quad witching...So 1900 or 1899.75 on the March contract is not out of the question, once we get thru the important stuff...like selling those 10s.
Chart Points -- Trading Points GVI Forex john 19:20 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Pre-Closing Trading Points...
 many more chart pointsAbout Moving Averages About Bollinger Bands 
AUD and NZD GVI Forex Blog 19:14 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Markets extended the previous day's defensive posture. US data was minor but disappointing nonetheless, small business confidence and wholesale trade both falling. Ukrainian tensions continued. The S&P500 is currently down 0.4%, US interest rates are lower, and copper is another 2.5% lower to June 2013 levels.
fwiw... Caribbean! Rafe... 19:09 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Fwiw... This will not sit well with you guys but I am working without a model... Those calls made since I came back are the first in 2.5-3 years as one of the guys mentioned a few days back... so better to trade off naked charts and let's see if my calls are worth their mettle... It will help me to fine tune my accuracy if nothing else. Also on the yen call, I picked up a 79 level many years before (but kept quiet about it), and this level if I remember correctly was reached when they had the nuclear incident in Japan and it breached that and stitched through that level for almost 1 year dipping to I think 75 and then broke out headed to current levels. So I think it's worth it even though it's a naked call...
Wednesday is shaping up to be another quiet session with many sidelined GVI Forex Blog 19:03 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: NZ- RBNZ Decision, US- 10-yr auction Tuesday has seen a mixed performance in major markets as traders seemed to be looking for a new trading theme. The Fed taper theme is no longer an issue, the ECB has clarified its policy stance and Ukraine seems to be fading as a source of uncertainty. Wednesday is shaping up to be another quiet session with many sidelined
Your Best Trade Today nw kw 18:51 GMT 03/11/2014 Copper to CNY correlation /you get a copper con. in usd than you have usd in china in copper and convert it to physical so you can invest in ch. stocks at 15% interest// I forget the terminology for this but like carry trade//reported 80% of copper is in this trade
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? Caribbean! Rafe... 18:47 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile It's nothing new Jay. Ever seen a group of race cars getting ready to take off even before the go signal? Same principle applies... They will always do their vroom vroom. That's what makes the market, let the banks screw around because one day or the other new people that work in those positions/posts will come in with a different mindsets and that's when they will start butchering each other... Anyhow's I don't believe in messing with the laws of nature, just let the market decide where it wants to go or let the chips just fall where they may.
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:40 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Front running an order or stops is one thing but manipulating the market in collusion with other banks to get the price up or down at fixing time is another.
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? Caribbean! Rafe... 18:38 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Jay, I think that is very easy to do meaning finding a solution, provided we know their modus. But anyhow's, banks running their customers stops isn't that how it always has been? Moreover if the central banks did not bless this then who are the banks to avoid joining and forming their own cartels?
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:30 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Rafe, when I worked for a bank there were too many players to collude and manipulate the market. Even if we could in those days we wouldn't, too much pride in trading. Now you have fewer large players and the collusion was for fixing orders at the expense of their customers. How about stopping the data leaks?
NFA Proposal to Impose Capital Requirements on CTAs and CPO's Caribbean! Rafe... 18:02 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Nice point... it's a way of making every Joe outside of the USA go long on dollars to invest with these guys who can target them as customers and then they can survive with the same or less capital requirement... if it's too expensive at the theater then we go to the drive-in...? Hope you see where I am coming from...
Your Best Trade Today GVI Forex john 18:00 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Copper to CNY correlation is in the headlines because the Chinese Mfg economy is a major consumer of copper. Also many of the non-performing loans are collateralized by copper. Another relationship to monitor.
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? Caribbean! Rafe... 17:57 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Moreover why are they now accusing the banks in 2014? Where were they all these decades, squeezing each others t-its or giving Joe Blow what he demanded? what now?
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? Caribbean! Rafe... 17:54 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Do retail banks manipulate the FX markets? I seriously did not know that... I know that central banks covertly manipulate them but they do this to guard against economic disequilibrium that results from wild fluctuations in market rates. Retail banking? I never heard of this unless of course the retail banks customers collectively hound them into auctioning for dollars, customers like exporters, corporates, maybe a few hedge funds, a few rich muaa muaah people. Maybe then I think the retail banks go to the wholesale banks who in turn go to the banks of banks who have customers like central banks in their pockets too and maybe the shadow bankers who work for narcos and the shadow armies of various countries who demand and supply dollars according to their illicit trade and requirements. Maybe banks don't do this willingly but have to unwillingly and unknowingly help their customers to profit while in turn making sure they make enough money to pay their helpful shadow bankers and their staff and in turn line the pockets of the shareholders and stakeholders some of whom may be the very same customers that demand and supply dollars. How can this be called market manipulation and more over how can one blame banks who are authorized by the centrals banks to auction or rig the markets so all on 1 side see to profit from disequilibrium as a natural process of everyday authorized and legal business?
Fixed Income Snapshot Livingston nh 16:39 GMT 03/11/2014 US 10 yr again fails at 2.80 yield - SPX first target would be yesterday's low - the big gap from last Tues "silly spike" is below 1845
Fixed Income Snapshot Paris ib 16:24 GMT 03/11/2014 About the only way the U.S. can lower its funding costs is if the stock market crashes. A temporary fix for a big problem.
Fixed Income Snapshot GVI Forex john 16:22 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are lower in mixed "risk-on"? trading as markets look for direction. European equity prices are wind uo higher, but U.S. shares are down. Peripheral European bond prices are mostly lower. 
Libya, Ukraine and the USD NY JM 15:47 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile And now stocks dip into - territory. That kind of day about nothing.
GVI Forex Blog 15:36 GMT 03/11/2014
- My Profile
March 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, March 12. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: NZ- RBNZ Decision, US- 10-yr auction
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News GVI Forex john 15:26 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile March 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, March 12. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: NZ- RBNZ Decision, US- 10-yr auction
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? Memphis Charles 15:21 GMT 03/11/2014 Back when I first starting visiting this site, couldn't have been all that many years after it was started, we often referred to Forex as the most manipulated market on the planet. I don't recall anybody seriously asserting otherwise. Is somebody asserting this is something new?
Fixed Income Snapshot Paris ib 15:18 GMT 03/11/2014 The Treasury Department will sell $30 billion of 3-year notes, $21 billion of 10-year notes, and $13 billion of 30-year bonds. Today, tomorrow and Thursday. But that's not a huge deal. There is a lot of paper expiring this year (3 trillion?)... and the deficit to finance as well. The auction schedule remains sketchy. Last year - with a lot rolling over -yields rose sharply in the second half. Same deal this year? The U.S. has to now roll paper with yields sharply higher yields (the bottom line will be ugly). The Chinese mostly hold shorter dated paper - all they have to do is NOT roll over all their U.S. paper if they want to repatriate. No idea what type of paper the Japanese hold.
Global Markets News GVI Forex Blog 15:05 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Stocks have little in the way of top tier data to trade off of and movement has been sporadic and mostly company specific. The DAX is leading the way higher in Europe up 0.8% while major US indices are posting marginal gains.
Fixed Income Snapshot Livingston nh 14:55 GMT 03/11/2014 Ahead of tomorrow's treasury 10 yr auction, yields are moving back above 2.8% - risk on / risk off
Libya, Ukraine and the USD NY JM 14:51 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Ib. Keep shadow boxing. Stocks now + on the day.
Libya, Ukraine and the USD Mtl JP 14:23 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile western pundits are known to try to get a pulse on Chinese economy via its electricity production / consumption. did automobiles in the US double in their gas mileage efficiency or does this chart say something else than FED & poodle pundits about their so-called "recovery" ?
Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market? GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:11 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile Have you ever noticed how forex rates often move ahead of fixing times? Have you ever wondered whether banks front run customer orders to their advantage? Is the answer more regulation or more business transacted on electronic platforms? An investigation into whether banks colluded to manipulate benchmark foreign exchange rates for their own gain…is a blow to the "hands off" approach to regulating the world's largest financial market.
January 2014 U.S. Wholesale Inventories GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile +0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev. TTN: Live News Special Offer Direct links to primary data sources
Libya, Ukraine and the USD Paris ib 13:56 GMT 03/11/2014 or Gold !!! I feel like we are boxing shadows here. There is the "news" and then there is the murky underbelly which we can only guess at. Makes it hard. Still feel we are being fed a pack of lies (and the paranoid alternative commentators only make it worse - they have no idea.... the U.S. is going to be invaded by foreign mercenaries who take away their guns - I mean please). Why is the S n P taking a hit (after its little run up)? Anyone know?
Libya, Ukraine and the USD jkt abel 13:53 GMT 03/11/2014 yes buy gold and sell usd when the sanctions imposed, that is the only play
Sanctions. HK RF@ 13:53 GMT 03/11/2014 European Union is set to impose sanctions on Russia starting March 17, Poland's PM Tusk says - @Reuters
Libya, Ukraine and the USD Mtl JP 13:47 GMT 03/11/2014 - My Profile headline: "Sanctions on Russia could come this week, France says" - suggest to keep an eye out for the Russian to demand payment for its gas and crude oil in either Rubles or .... Gold. |
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