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FOREX FORUM
26/11/14 18:00 A UST TRY 7-yr con: n/a pre: n/a
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BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 15:47 GMT 11/26/2014


VIX going to the 11 handle...

2080 +++ Fri, Monday?

emini


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:31 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
US EIA Weekly Inventories
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +1.950 vs. 0.000 exp vs. +2.610 prev.
Gasoline: +1.800 vs. -1.000 exp vs. +1.000 prev.
Distillates: -1.650 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -2.100 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.50% vs. n/a exp vs. 91.20% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




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Gold is sick
Central Kwun 15:24 GMT 11/26/2014
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

all data today also not benefit to USD, non USD are all rebound, only gold not rise, manipulate?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:17 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
CB- the majority of today's stats were not produced or released by the government. We might want to start to take notice?

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 15:16 GMT 11/26/2014
US consumers only buying IPhones .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:11 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
Pending Homes Sales weaker than forecast. Alarming chart since the red line is a reliable leading indicator for the most important housing Statistic.


BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 15:11 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
CB - lol well that made me laugh anyhow. :-)


BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 15:10 GMT 11/26/2014
From: The Cynics Corner
Re: Today's crap-ola Stats.

Well the Elections over.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:07 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
New Homes Sales in October miss estimates.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
more misses on housing

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Pending Homes Sales October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-1.10% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.60%) prev.
RELEASE: Pending Home Sales


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BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. New Home Sales October 2014



ALERT
458 vs. 471K exp. vs. 467K (r 455 ) prev.


New Residential Sales


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BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 14:59 GMT 11/26/2014
Those 7Y issues are going to fly off the shelves this afternoon... likes is Black Friday at BestBuy

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:58 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Data Charts
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final data revised down from preliminary reading.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:55 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U of M misses

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:55 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
88.8 vs. 90.0 exp. vs. 89.4 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


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BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:45 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
Chi PMI another miss

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:45 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Chicago PMI November 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
60.8 vs. 63.0 exp. vs. 66.2 prev.

RELEASE: Chicago PMI



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Direct links to primary data sources

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 14:41 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
10-yr 2.240% -2bp.
We noted early yesterday that 2.30% was a key support level.

Reports of heavy overseas demand for U.S. treasuries due to "relatively high" yields compared to EZ and Japan. View is those flows would continue, which is USD positive. These are not my views., They are what I have read.

BREAKING NEWS
london red 14:36 GMT 11/26/2014
euro pivot last months low 12485

YIELDS
PAR 14:18 GMT 11/26/2014
GERMANY SELLS 10-YEAR BUNDS AT RECORD-LOW YIELD OF 0.74%

The punchline: this was another technically "failed" auction as it was uncovered, the 10th of the year, as there was not enough investor demand at this low yield, and so the Buba had to retain a whopping 18.8% - the most since May - with just €3.250Bn of the €4Bn target sold, after receiving €3.67Bn in bids.

BREAKING NEWS
Miami JN 14:18 GMT 11/26/2014
Par, why post something like that? It is only s recap and really days nothing we don't already know,.

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 14:09 GMT 11/26/2014
FXStreet (Córdoba) - EUR/USD rose from 1.2480 and climbed above 1.2500, reaching at 1.2506 the strongest level since last Friday after the release of economic data in the US, that weakened the US dollar across the board.

In the US three important economic reports were released with the majority below the consensus. The positive report was the durable goods orders that climbed 0.4%, analysts projected a decline of 0.6%. Personal income rose 0.2% in October, below the 0.4% expected, while personal spending increase 0.2% versus the 0.3% analysts were expecting. Initial jobless claims rose from 292.00 to 313.000 during the week of November 21.



Before Thanksgiving holiday volumes are non existant .

sell gbpusd
manila tom 14:05 GMT 11/26/2014
sold small cable 1.5780, adding later

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:53 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Jobless are notoriously volatile, but no special factors were reported to be in the data. We need to look at the data over several weeks to confirm, but we have to watch them closely.

EURUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:52 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
1.2508 (high) also 61.8% of 1.2600-1.2360 (posted yesterday) and R1 (see our pivot points). 1.2492 = 20 day mva

sell gbpusd
perth wtr 13:50 GMT 11/26/2014
sold cable 1.5784, stop 1.5825, target open

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:49 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims back above 300K. Trend developing?...
Click on chart for over ten-year history

sell gbpusd
kl fs 13:48 GMT 11/26/2014
short 1.5782, stop above today's high!!

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:41 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. CPI and Core PCE Deflator. Fed Targets PCE Deflator. Rising,



GVI Forex Blog 13:40 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
The Forex market is an action packed destination. When you fund your stakes on a global level, any single mistake can transform your hard-earned money into worthless ash.

Taking Advantage of Market Reports


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:37 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
313K vs. 288K exp. vs. 291K (r 292K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.316 vs. n/a exp. vs. 2.370 (r 2.333) prev.
Press Release




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Jobless Claims
PAR 13:37 GMT 11/26/2014
United States Initial Jobless Claims above forecasts (288K) in November 21: Actual (313K)

Above the magical 300.000 .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Personal Income +0.20% v +0.40% exp v +0.20% pre
PCE Defl +1.60% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.

RELEASE: Personal Income



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BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:32 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Durable Goods Orders October 2014
U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: +0.40% vs. -0.60 exp. vs. -1.30% prev.
Ex-Trans: -0.90% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.




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GBPUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile


One hour chart

Breakout level 1.5735

Little on top so suggest using the daily pivot point levels

EURUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:43 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile


I posted this one hour chart yesterday and pointed out the key trendline - note how it held today and 1.2444 held as the low.

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 12:32 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
USD/JPY stayed below the 118 handle in the session. Former Japan MoF Official Sakakibara (Mr. Yen) believed that the current yen weakness phase was nearing an end and would unlikely to match its low of 124.14 before financial crisis in 2007.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: OPEC members stressing unity and cooperation ahead of Thursday bi-annual meeting


PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 12:15 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile


USD & EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System






BREAKING NEWS
PAR 12:13 GMT 11/26/2014
Data released by the US Mortgage Brokers Association indicated that mortgage applications fell 4.3 percent in the week ended 21 November. The fall comes after a 4.0 percent rise the previous week and is the first drop since 7 November.

House purchases declined 4.8 percent after an 11.7 percent gain the previous week.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage approved was 4.15 percent versus 4.18 percent the previous week.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 11:51 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
FWIW- U.S. markets should wind down early for the week this afternoon in the U.S. In addition to the Thanksgiving holidays, parts of the Northeast U.S. will see a significant snowfall. This would be about a month earlier than normal. This could add to the rush to the doors this afternoon!

So look out for thin markets later today, but there should a lot of interest in the OPEC decision on Thursday.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 11:33 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    WEDNESDAY
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    THURSDAY
    US Holiday
    OPEC Meeting All day
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian External Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    16:00 US Markets Close Early


EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2348
Melbourne Qindex 11:20 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : The weekly cycle normal limits are positioning at 1.2520 - 1.2566 - 1.2778. The odds are in favour of maintaining a long position when the market is able to close above 1.2520 in the New York session.


Qindex.com


===========================================

Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT November 24, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2348 : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Weekly Cycle Projected Series


... 1.2179 - 1.2211* - 1.2244 - 1.2260 // 1.2276* - 1.2292 - 1.2308 - 1.2324 - 1.2340* - 1.2357 - [1.2373 - 1.2389 - 1.2405* - 1.2421 - 1.2437 - 1.2453 - 1.2469* // 1.2486 - 1.2502 - 1.2534* - 1.2566 ...

Quantum Index Analysis


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 11:08 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
November 2014 UK CBI Distributive Trades
U.K. Charts



-- NEWS ALERT --
+27 vs. +29 exp. vs. +31 prev.

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A Thanksgiving Trading Tale
kl fs 10:57 GMT 11/26/2014
abel, so sell gbpusd again now?

A Thanksgiving Trading Tale
jkt abel 10:51 GMT 11/26/2014
kl fs, i warned you already...

RISK ON: U.K. 3Q14 GDP Were Unrevised. Pre-Holiday Data Dump From the U.S. Today
GVI Forex Blog 10:13 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile
TOP NEWS ITEMS: US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan, New Home Sales, Pending Homes, Weekly Crude, 7-yr

RISK ON: U.K. 3Q14 GDP Were Unrevised. Pre-Holiday Data Dump From the U.S. Today


ECB BUYING SOUVEREIGNS AT ALLTIME HIGH. WHO IS SELLING ?
PAR 10:12 GMT 11/26/2014
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Analysts at Deutsche Bank note that the prospect of ECB buying in is being priced in the Bunds and European Government Bonds, which is the replication of the kind of rally that happens in US between bouts of QE.

Key Quotes

“Staying on core rates it is also worth noting that 10yr Bund yields went through the October 15th's flight to quality all time closing lows of 0.756%. Indeed the 10yr Bund yield fell by 3bp to 0.748% yesterday. Its an impressive achievement as when we were at these levels in the stress of 6 weeks ago, Crossover closed at 401bp (now 334bp) and Stoxx 600 at 311 (now 346) so European Government bonds and even Bunds just keep on performing even with risk-on back in vogue.”

“Obviously the prospect of ECB buying is increasingly being priced in. One thing that makes us slightly nervous of this trade continuing is that the experience of the US was that Treasuries tended to rally most between bouts of QE and not during. So will it be a case of "buy the rumour sell the fact" if and when QE happens?”

“However Japan's mega QE and still ultra low yields is a cautionary tale that the US experience isn't necessarily a fool proof template but maybe the BoJ are buying far more of the JGB market than their peers thus really completely distorting the price. So there are a number of things to consider but it’s not a slam dunk that bunds will continue to be strong after QE.”

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 10:07 GMT 11/26/2014  - My Profile

26 November-- 10:10 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Markets remain in a mild RISK ON posture early on Wednesday as equities are trading mostly higher. U.K. revised 3Q14 headline GDP  saw no changes, as expected. Today sees a pre-holiday data dump for the U.S. Markets in the States effectively are closed after midday.
  • In forex, the USD is mostly higher into data releases. The EUR is mostly lower on its major crosses. Gold is weaker and oil prices are steady heading into the OPEC decisions on Thursday.
  • In the Far East, equities ended mostly higher. In Japan, the Nikkei lost slightly and JGB yields fell.
  • European bourses are mostly higher. 10-yr bund and UK Gilt yields are down. European peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.S 10-yr note yield is easier. U.S. share futures are up.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


ITALY
PAR 09:47 GMT 11/26/2014
Draghi has to do more to help ITALY .

FXStreet (London) - Italian consumer confidence declined in November, defying consensus expectations on a strengthening of October’s figure.

The index came in at 100.2, down on the 101.2 October print and below expectations of a strengthening to 101.6.


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