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28/01/15 16:30 A UST TRY 5-yr con: n/a pre: n/a
FOREX FORUM
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USD/CAD
HK RF@ 16:00 GMT 01/28/2015


With Weekly and Monthly RSI highest since last 15years, we can only say that the pair is a bit O.B.

But this is not a clear indication we topped, but with other indicators over different time frames, chances for retracement are existing this time.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:32 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +8.900 vs. 4.000 exp vs. +10.100 prev.
Gasoline: -2.590 vs. 0.500 exp vs. +0.600 prev.
Distillates: -3.900 vs. 0.500 exp vs. -3.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 88.0% vs. 85.6% exp vs. 85.50% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

RBNZ Decision Late Today
GVI Forex 15:19 GMT 01/28/2015
"...we expect the RBNZ to shift from an explicit tightening bias to a neutral one. The press release will say it is appropriate to leave the OCR on hold. We assign an 75% probability to this scenario, to which markets are unlikely to react. That is because markets have consistently been more dovish than the RBNZ during this tightening cycle and are now pricing in half a 25bp rate cut. A neutral bias won’t be enough of a signal for markets to price in more easing, nor is it hawkish enough to disappoint..."

Westpac NZ

EURUSD
Livingston nh 15:13 GMT 01/28/2015
There are two interesting divergences in EUR -- peripheral yields (Spain and Italy) are following Greece higher while bund yields decline - the bund rally and jgb decline puts 10 yr yields only 4bps between the two (I never saw it this close to inversion)

EURUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:08 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile


I posted the one hour EURUSD chart where potential support is 1.1295-05, 1.1295 (former high) was yesterday's mini breakout level and 1.1305 is the current 100 hour mva.

Price action, meanwhile, is typical after a correction falls shy of a key level (i.e. 1.1460).

What complicates today is the wait for the FOMC decision,


USD/CAD
nw kw 14:34 GMT 01/28/2015
SPI. 500 chart pending top side breakout
xauaud pivot support going give out
long aud/usa, stop small

EURUSD
Miami JN 14:34 GMT 01/28/2015
has anyone turned to bearish for eurusd or do we sit on our hand until fomc?

FXCM
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:14 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
Here is the FXCM press release

FXCM to Forgive Majority of Clients Who Incurred Negative Balances


FXCM
mia gw 14:07 GMT 01/28/2015
re: FXCM forgiving -debt... no stop. you're fooq'd

FXCM
GVI Forex 14:05 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
From what I read, FXCM will forgive 90% of its negative balances and go after the 10% from institutional and higher new worth individuals. The latter makes up about 60% of negative balances.

FXCM
GVI Forex 13:59 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
TTN reporting FXCM said it is going to forgive most of the negative balances of its customers. Not sure what is meant by "most."

USD/CAD
Cape Town LV 13:54 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
I am in , lets see what happens

USD/CAD
Cape Town LV 13:50 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
thanks

USD/CAD
HK RF@ 13:50 GMT 01/28/2015


Sometimes it seems immediate Interference with trade suggestion on this site or just a coincidence:)

Any smallest volume probably attracts attention.

USD/CAD
HK RF@ 13:46 GMT 01/28/2015


Expect a Ret. to 1.22-1.23 range

EURUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:44 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
As posted on GVI Forex

Wednesday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 01/28/2015 - My Profile
If the EURUSD trades lower (would be typical after a correction that paused below a key level -- 1.1460), it would be easy to explain given Greece post election jitters.

If it goes higher it would have to be USD weakness (FOMC)

USD/CAD
Cape Town LV 13:35 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
Sell now?

OR TRY THIS: Buy CAD/CHF
HK RF@ 13:25 GMT 01/28/2015
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

/

USD/CAD
HK RF@ 13:16 GMT 01/28/2015


Classical sell:)

Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
GVI Forex john 13:15 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
My view on the FED..

!00% odds for no rate changes. My major focus right now is the Fed policy statement today. Odds are the central bank will stick with "patience", but I will be looking for any softening of its view on the U.S. economy. With the USD tied to the performance of stocks (Risk On), further gains are tied to an improving outlook for the economy.


Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
dc CB 12:52 GMT 01/28/2015
So will Yellen save the day again?

if she continues ignoring the global deflationary pressures and not relent to delaying the rate hike, then the USD will surge even more ......Or will she admit that the myth of a US recovery was just that, for the 5th year in a row, and hint that all else equal, the Fed may not only keep ZIRP for longer, but even go NIRP or return to a QE regime?

We don't expect answers to all these questions, but today is certainly shaping up to be a dramatic session, one which will be that much more dramatic courtesy of the now pervasive lack of market liquidity.

p: All Eyes On Yellen Who Better Not Disappoint


EURUSD
London Chris 12:34 GMT 01/28/2015
What about a eurusd range?

1.05-1.20, 1.00-1.20, 1.08-1.2023?

USD/JPY
hk nt 12:16 GMT 01/28/2015
USD/JPY may see 115-125 range this year.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:46 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
What jumps out at me today is the EURUSD range which is MOSTLY above the 1.1338 pivot.Where we are trading relative to the pivot could set the tone.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:42 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:28 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

Several forex brokers are now publicizing negative balance protection for their clients. This is good marketing after several brokers reported negative balances seen after the SNB fiasco but is it really significant? As we all know, forex brokers are not charities but for profit businesses and are not in the habit of giving away money to their clients. So, is negative balance protection a reason to open an account or is there a hidden factor that makes this look more than it is?

Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
The USD retraced some of its losses from Tuesday as the focus returned to the Greek situation. Greece PM Tsipras reiterated his view to negotiate debt relief. Greek yields continued to rise sharply amid the uncertainty about the future of Greece in the Euro Zone.

TradeTheNews.com EU Mid-Market Update: Greece new govt reiterates view to negotiate debt relief


USD/JPY
london red 11:03 GMT 01/28/2015
117.20/118.90 has been the range for a while, maybe a slight descending triangle with flat base. dollar will take its cue from fed but not necessarily follow stocks today after fed eg. if fed dovish stocks go up but dollar falls.

USD/JPY
kl shawn 10:57 GMT 01/28/2015
i think usdjpy still got that 115 level lurking

USD/JPY
HK RF@ 10:54 GMT 01/28/2015


The same traders, pushing for stronger yen that had already a setback Y.day, continue their promo and action today.

Just remember, that a longer JPY-bearish waves can always come in and get the USD/JPY short easily.

Too much risk for few pips profit.


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 10:34 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

28 January-- 10:40 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. Greek bond yields are up sharply today on worries about the new government  inflexibility. The 10-yr is 10.18% +51bp. Otherwise Markets are in a MIXED RISK posture after disappointing earnings and/or guidance data  Tuesday from several major firms. In forex,  the USD is broadly weaker. The EUR is mostly lower on its crosses. In Europe, 10-yr bond yields are mixed to higher. U.S., equities and bond yields are down.

In Far East trade, equities closed mostly up  and JGB yields are higher.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:55 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
EARLIER: 4Q14 CPI easier.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:49 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
4Q14 Australia CPI





EARLIER

QQ: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY: +1.70% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Greece Jitters
GVI Forex 09:24 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
* Athens' atg equity index touches record lows

* Greek 3-year government bond yield rises 183 bps to 16.03 pct, highest in three weeks - Tradeweb

FXWire Pro


Greece Jitters
GVI Forex 09:17 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
Bond yields up, stocks down

New signal - Try our free trial
London 08:43 GMT 01/28/2015
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 133.800 Target: 133.100 Stop: 133.900

Try our free signals service.

Posted with permission of global-view.com

forex signals


Euro
london red 08:42 GMT 01/28/2015
overnight options are looking at something in the region of 80 pips. but of course they include the fed. for me fed not open and shut as part of mkt seems to look for some caution, while other side expects no change in normalisation.
big question is is yellen willing to look thru this latest headwind. if so, then the statement will be taken as hawkish by fx mkt. if theres any reference to external factors and a hint of hesitation, then dollar takes a hit. might boil down to whether considerable time stays in or not as to calling it either hawkish or dovish.

Euro
gc sf 08:28 GMT 01/28/2015
the question is do we see EUR + GBP test

1.1285 + 1.5120 before moving to 1.1460 + 1.5300

or do they just go sideways.

USD/CHF
HK RF@ 08:21 GMT 01/28/2015


FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Nomura feels that CHF is extremely overvalued at the moment and with deflation worsening in Switzerland the SNB might be compelled to accommodate monetary policy further.

READ MORE


Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
Syd 08:11 GMT 01/28/2015
Gina Sanchez, Chairwoman & Founder of Chantico Global, expects any action from the central bank to be delayed since markets are experiencing an illusion of strong demand...

Fed


Euro
london red 08:09 GMT 01/28/2015
since the break higher, euro has been supported by 89 hour ema, there has been no close below this so far despite a few attempts below. currently 11337. if below there then support at 11314 prev low and 100 hour ma 11309. any further than that and selling could cascade but you wonder how much conviction any move will have with the fed approaching.

SELL GBP/USD
kl shawn 08:03 GMT 01/28/2015
good calls so far
go usd! looking to take some off the table here and leave the rest run


SELL GBP/USD
london red 07:52 GMT 01/28/2015
its that and the 200 hour that engulf it for me. direction either side of there. but probably not before fed.

Euro
Syd 07:40 GMT 01/28/2015
Gartman's dollar & gold trade How to play the dollar using ETFs, with Dennis Gartman of The Gartman Letter.

euro/dlr


SELL GBP/USD
kl shawn 07:37 GMT 01/28/2015
ok, sold also cable 1.5177, looks like bounce is over, going down again soon hopefully

SELL GBP/USD
jkt abel 07:20 GMT 01/28/2015
red, has been very safe using the upper line to cap the upmove so far

SELL GBP/USD
london red 07:11 GMT 01/28/2015
cable. upper channel line today falls to 15195


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