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China rate cut
nw kw 21:58 GMT 02/28/2015
Chinas PM. calling for stimulus for growth this week.

GVI Forex john 16:56 GMT 02/28/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    1:00 CN NBS PMI Latest view on economy
    22:30 AU MFG PMI Latest view on economy
    1:35 JP final PMI Latest view on economy
    1:45 CN HSBC final PMI Latest view on economy
    7:00 DE Retail Sales consumer demand measure
    8:30 CH PMI Latest view on economy
    8:50 FR MKT PMI Lastest view on economy
    8:55 DE final MFG PMI Latest view on economy
    8:58 EZ MKT PMI Latest view on economy
    9:28 GB Mfg PMI Latest view on economy
    10:00 EZ flash HICP y ECB targets inflation
    10:00 EZ fl core HICP y m ECB targets inflation
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct C$b Broadest Economic Measure
    13:30 US PCE defl y Fed inflation target
    13:30 US Per Income consumer income
    14:30 CA RBC-Markit PMI Latest view on economy
    14:45 US final MKT MFG PMI Latest view on economy
    15:00 US Construction Spend construction
    15:00 US ISM MFG PMI Latest view on economy
    4:30 AU Australia Reserve Bank 25bp cut expected
    9:28 GB Construct PMI Latest view on economy
    13:30 CA GDP
    21:30 US Weekly Energy
    0:30 AU GDP broadest view of economy
    8:50 FR SVC PMI Lastest view on economy
    8:55 DE final SVC PMI Latest view on economy
    8:58 EZ SVC PMI Latest view on economy
    9:28 GB SvC PMI Latest view on economy
    10:00 EZ Retail Sls consumer demand
    12:00 US WK Mortgage Stats
    13:15 US ADP JOBs predictor of payrolls
    14:45 US final MKT SVC PMI Latest view on economy
    15:00 CA BOC Rates No Rate Change Expected
    15:00 US Factory Orders future production
    15:00 US ISM SVC PMI Latest view on economy
    15:30 US EIA Crude mn major price indicator
    19:00 USFRB Beige Book Fed Economic Report
    0:30 AU Trade A$bln External accounts
    0:30 AU Retail Sales External accounts
    7:00 DE Factory Ord future demand
    12:45 EZ Europe Cntl Bank NO rate Change Expected
    13:30 US Weekly Jobless weekly jobs data
    13:30 US Productivity Key to growth
    15:00 CA Ivey PMI Latest view on economy
    15:30 US Nat Gas bcf
    7:00 DE Ind Output yy output
    8:15 CH CPI SNB Target
    10:00 EZ GDP mm broadest view of economy
    10:00 EZ GDP yy broadest view of economy
    13:30 CA Trade C$bn external accounts
    13:30 US Unemployment % unemployment rate
    13:30 US Payrolls Key Jobs data
    13:30 US Trade external Accunts
    20:30 US COT Report

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

Forex Markets Ready to Blossom? - March 1, 2015
GVI Forex john 12:24 GMT 02/28/2015  - My Profile

ECB QE In March
Last week it appeared that interest rates in the Eurozone were falling in anticipation of the start of a strong dose of Quantitative Ease (QE) due to start in March. QE means the central bank will be force-feeding a lot of cash into the banking system in hopes of stimulating growth and triggering rising prices (inflation). The effectiveness of QE in other economies has been widely debated. Anticipation of the additional liquidity has seen the DAX trading repeatedly to new record highs recently and the yield on the 10-yr bund falling to below 0.30%. Furthermore, the EURUSD has traded out of its latest 1.1300 to 1.1400 range. On Thursday March 5, the ECB holds its next policy board meeting. This will give President Draghi a chance to provide additional guidance on the upcoming QE.

Forex Markets Ready to Blossom? - March 1, 2015

China rate cut
GVI Forex john 11:53 GMT 02/28/2015  - My Profile
USDCNY has risen from a low of 6.1086 in November to a peak Friday of 6.7000. The currency wars continue

Early Sunday sees the newest (February) NBS (National Bureau of Statistics)official PMI data. Recent data have not been promising.

China rate cut
HK Kevin 10:30 GMT 02/28/2015
People Bank of China cuts rate by 0.25% to 5.35%. How it impacts AUD on Asian opening next Monday?

Sydney sellers rush to market as prices surge
Syd 03:30 GMT 02/28/2015
The city is bracing for the biggest February auction day ever on Saturday, as almost 800 homes are put under the hammer. And auction numbers are expected to continue building until the weekend before Easter - on March 28 - which is usually one of the busiest auction days of the year. The corresponding weekend in 2014 was Sydney's biggest auction day, with 1100 properties, and experts say there is a good chance there will be a similar number this year.

Competition for homes means many properties are not making it to auction.

March Newsletter
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:52 GMT 02/28/2015  - My Profile

In this issue:<

- Slam Dunk Month for the Dollar?

- Video: Forex Trading Outlook for March

March Newsletter: Thoughts from the Trading Trenches

I doubt the stories about Greeks gold buying.
HK RF@ 00:59 GMT 02/28/2015

Circulating stories that the Greeks are buying gold as a hedge against the present crisis, do not make sense.

The difference between buy/sell may bite into the returns when come to be sold.

Seems more reasonable they will buy USD(which is safer and easy to dispose) than the Euro for this time.

Just making stories to prop gold prices: Not too successfully for this weekend.

Second attempt to breach 119.70 Res. failed, and a temporary double top may have formed.
Back to 118.50 is still a possibility, especially when most calls are for 120 and above.

In Europe, Bond Yields and Interest Rates Go Through the Looking Glass
dc CB 00:41 GMT 02/28/2015
HVIDOVRE, Denmark — At first, Eva Christiansen barely noticed the number. Her bank called to say that Ms. Christiansen, a 36-year-old entrepreneur here, had been approved for a small business loan. She whooped. She danced. A friend took pictures.

“I think I was so happy I got the loan, I didn’t hear everything he said,” she recalled.

And then she was told again about her interest rate. It was -0.0172 percent — less than zero. While there would be fees to pay, the bank would also pay interest to her. It was just a little over $1 a month. ...........

Some other Danes are facing a related, if somewhat opposite, issue.

Last month, Ida Mottelson, a 27-year-old student, received an email from her bank telling her that it would start charging her one-half of 1 percent to hold her money.

“At first I thought I had misunderstood this, but I hadn’t,” she said.

“I’m not an expert,” Ms. Mottelson said, “but to me it sounds so weird that you have to pay to have your account at a bank.”

NIRP in Denmark

Bad spirit in Athens: The Athex Composite can't recover.
dc CB 23:59 GMT 02/27/2015
HK RF@ 15:17 GMT February 27, 2015
The video below though not informative and not humorous to all, attest to how relations between the two nations went bad.

quite the production .

have you seen the Dutch take... Rap Vid

RAP BATTLE [English + GREEK SUBS] - Dijsselbloem vs Βαρουφάκης (Varoufakis)

Fischer: Fed won’t be predictable after lifting rates
Mtl JP 22:38 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
and Bloomberg says that
Fischer Says Odds Greatest for Rate Rise in June, September

.. “I don’t think there is an emphasis on June instead of September” Fischer told a monetary policy forum in New York. He added that judged by the views of Fed officials and investors “it seems those two months get the main weight of probability.”
At the same time, he said, “things could happen” that could change those assumptions. “We will make a decision and we will make it on the basis of evidence.” .../..

CHART POINTS- Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 20:55 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Commitment of Traders Report
GVI Forex john 20:43 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for EUR COT Details

Click on chart forJPY COT Details

Net GBP and CHF COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

Net AUD and CAD COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

GVI Forex john 20:10 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Late in the day

10-yr 1.996% -3.9bp

OIL What's Going On?
dc CB 19:39 GMT 02/27/2015
as the NYMEX pit closes the Brent/WTI spread is $12.85+-

In general for a week
SaaR KaL 19:25 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
want to buy the eurusd till 2017?
Long Generally around 1.1
Specifically 1.08
worst case 1.04
Target 1.50 +
And sleep till 2017

GVI Forex john 19:14 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

Week Ahead
GVI Forex Blog 19:12 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
•ECB to give more detail on QE programme

•Employment and wage growth to provide guidance on when the Fed will hike


Bad spirit in Athens: The Athex Composite can't recover.
Mtl JP 18:47 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Not that long ago I recall S&P claiming Greek banks carrying 40% NPLs.
I have not seen - which does not mean it does not exist - a new report that the situation has improved for Greek banks. Odds are, if I were a Greek patriot, that I would not be keeping more than 100 euros in any Greek bank.

Theme change in currencies and commodities
Maribor 18:44 GMT 02/27/2015
Dil, my expectations are similar. My guess is that DAX30, CAC40 and Nikkei reached top for quite some time or at least, will soon change direction despite QE. Others will follow.

Theme change in currencies and commodities
Israel Dil 18:18 GMT 02/27/2015
Next week we may experience medium term theme/trend change... what went DOWN/UP going to change its course for a while...

MM / Dil

dc CB 18:16 GMT 02/27/2015
well Dudley speaks for Goldman and all the other NY TBTF FDIC Insured HedgeFund "Banks".

Mtl JP 18:01 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
did I expect a Laurel and Hardy circus clown act from Dudley and Mester ?

Dudley calls for rate-hike caution while Mester suggests quicker move

warning: put on your Depends before clicking the link
(the economists claim that they do not know)

dc CB 17:25 GMT 02/27/2015
nw kw 16:49 GMT
us 30 Yr. T-Bond [Futures]
148. spiked up to 161.72 / on this cfd plaform

it's because of the Roll to the June contract. And is due to the underlying deliverable Bonds in that contract. Suggest you do a Google search or go to the CME website.

Screws up the continuation charts too,

In general for a week
Livingston nh 17:14 GMT 02/27/2015
jp - it's been frustrating back and forth over the 21 dma BUT there seems a lot of white space between the 21 and 55 // and oil won't BREAK despite the builds (decl cap util) -- now there's leakage into the "do gooder" industries, ethanol producers taking a hit and solar being put on hold - see if the buyers can hold@50

In general for a week
Mtl JP 17:00 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
nh cad$ is still trapped 1.2350-ish - 1.2795-ish (see daily chart, draw some horiz lines)
basically a zzz ccy sofar

In general for a week
jkt abel 16:58 GMT 02/27/2015
nh, looks like the most probable scenario...

In general for a week
Livingston nh 16:57 GMT 02/27/2015
abel - sure if QE in EU does the same as here the new liquidity has to go somewhere (oil only broke when the taper crossed the point of no return)

GVI Forex john 16:56 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile

27 February-- 16:30 GMT-
MIXED RISK Market Conditions.

CALENDAR: Moderately active monthend 
Japan- January/February CPI easing as tax increase starts to fall out
Germany- flash February HICP generally higher
U.S. data mixed. Some distorted by difficult winter weather

FOREX-: USD modestly lower. EUR mixed
EQUITIES- Asia and Europe higher. U.S.shares mixed
FIXED INCOME- EZ yields up: Periphery down U.K up. US down
COMMODITIES- Gold up, Oil up, Commodity currencies up

In general for a week
jkt abel 16:54 GMT 02/27/2015
nh, oil up and stocks up?

GVI Forex john 16:51 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile

February 27, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, March 2, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP/AU/CN- PMIs, DE- Retail Sales. CH/EZ/UK, EZ- flash HICP, US- PMIs, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Construction Spending
  • Far East: JP/AU/CN- PMIs
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales. CH/EZ/UK, EZ- flash HICP
  • North America: US- PMIs, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Construction Spending

nw kw 16:49 GMT 02/27/2015
us 30 Yr. T-Bond [Futures]
148. spiked up to 161.72 / on this cfd plaform

In general for a week
Livingston nh 16:43 GMT 02/27/2015
Last day of trading for wkly and mthly charts -- some interesting divergences daily and longer term in cable, USD/CAD and AUD/USD -- CAD daily looks like maybe a spike in oil prices (EU QE liquidty) and longer term charts look extended (pause?)

jkt abel 16:42 GMT 02/27/2015
shawn, sharks smells stops building above your mentioned levels in usdjpy and usdcad, watch....

kl shawn 16:35 GMT 02/27/2015
closed my euro long now at 1.1217, watching usdjpy and usdcad

New Record High on the DAX
Paris ib 16:35 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
DAX up over 16 percent since January 1.
CAC 40 up nearly 16 percent since January.
FTSE MIB up over 17 percent since January 1.
Portugal up over 18 percent.
Russia up 13 percent.

In general for a week
dc CB 16:25 GMT 02/27/2015
European Stocks Close Algo
USD/JPY to 120 as ignition to US Stox --- pushing NAS Comp to 5000. Just needs 20 points.

Seems a done deal, the question is what happens when it Tags and/or Crosses above. Sells off? Continues on for 20 more points.

In this Single Stock Market, AAPL refusing to climb far. Maybe Algos are worried that Winter Weather will crimp Apple's iPhone sales :)))

New Record High on the DAX
Paris ib 16:23 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Another day. Another record high for the DAX. Another record close.

In general for a week
SaaR KaL 16:23 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
I see That Cape...Thanks
Placed orders till there
with every 12 pips

In general for a week
SaaR KaL 16:22 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Expected at 1180 area next week

EURUSD Seems Like buy at will now

In general for a week
Cape May JB 16:14 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
KaL I have my eye on a possible run at USDJPY stops at 120.00 later. This might be a long shot. Trigger would have to come from bonds?

Not too diplomatic words.
Mtl JP 16:11 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Wilsch judging folks on looks ? ?

In general for a week
SaaR KaL 16:03 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
Any sees a short here? for 118.9 area?

Not too diplomatic words.
HK RF@ 16:00 GMT 02/27/2015

"Look at Tsipras, look at Varoufakis," the dissident Christian Democrat Klaus-Peter Wilsch said in parliament on Friday. "Would you buy a used car from them?"

Bad spirit in Athens: The Athex Composite can't recover.
HK RF@ 15:47 GMT 02/27/2015

Naturally, seems some people would like to stuff their pillows with gold ahead of an unpredictable weekend.

Bad spirit in Athens: The Athex Composite can't recover.
HK RF@ 15:39 GMT 02/27/2015

Bail-in with what?

All money has been withdrawn, hehehe

Bad spirit in Athens: The Athex Composite can't recover.
Mtl JP 15:35 GMT 02/27/2015  - My Profile
what do you think of the chance for greek bank holiday over the weekend to do a bail-in?

Nice paper object with subject to place on a pictureframe.
HK RF@ 15:32 GMT 02/27/2015

Greece to auction 875 mln euros of 6-month T-bills on March 4

Next Page


Forex Markets Ready to Blossom? - March 1, 2015

Thoughts from the Trading Trenches for March 2015

Ask Your Advocate: Can Forex Trading Be Made Easy?

A Must Read Lesson for All Forex Traders

It’s All about Yellen


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