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18/12/14 9:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 105.5 pre: 104.7
18/12/14 9:00 A DE IFO Current con: 110.3 pre: 110
18/12/14 9:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 101.1 pre: 99.7
FOREX FORUM
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Morning
Mtl JP 07:07 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
eurrchf 1.21 on radar

Morning
Mtl JP 07:01 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
eurchf on the run UP

Morning
gc sf 06:50 GMT 12/18/2014
EUR + GBP have to set the tone today -- they either try to break some levels and head down to 1.2250 + 1.5500

and subsequently see $yen up to 119.35

or the whole thing just fizzles out to nothing.

I think we have Putin + Draghi - Putin's one lasts 3-4 hours so that could be quite comprehensive .. Draghi who knows what he would say at this point with everyone seemingly turning against him LOL.

Morning
gc sf 06:46 GMT 12/18/2014
some points made in Asia but ntg to write home about

see what the data brings in Europe.

GVI Forex Blog 06:19 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q3 GDP Q/Q: 1.0% V 0.7%E; Y/Y: 3.2% V 3.3%E - (CN) CHINA NOV NEW HOME PRICES M/M: PRICES RISE IN 0 OF 70 CITIES V 0 PRIOR; Y/Y: PRICES RISE IN 2 OF 70 CITIES V 3 PRIOR ***Index Snap

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: Yellen's dollar rally helps Nikkei rebound; Yuan slumps on reports of more flexible currency regime - Source TradeTheNews.com


GVI Forex Blog 06:16 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
(JP) JAPAN NOV MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE: -892B V -992BE; ADJ TRADE BALANCE: -925B V -983BE - (CN) China Dec ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index: 155.5 v 157.1 prior - (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV SKIL

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: ADB cuts Asia and China GDP forecasts; Japan trade deficit smaller as imports fall ***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com


sell usdjpy
kl shawn 03:56 GMT 12/18/2014
adding if pops to 118.80-119

sell usdjpy
kl shawn 03:55 GMT 12/18/2014
sold 118.52, stop 119.28, target 116

Morning
gc sf 03:44 GMT 12/18/2014
$yen + 44 and EUR - @49

GVI Forex Blog 03:26 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
The FED's statement and later press conference were more hawkish than expected. The only

Morning Briefing : 18-Dec-2014 -0327 GMT


Long Audusd
KL KL 03:25 GMT 12/18/2014
Closing another account on AUDUSD long here @ .8154.....no need to be too greedy...fields of dream again.....an amazing day.....now to whack DOW futures....or Long Crude west texas??? so many options in life.....DYOR..DLTM.. DFM..IMVHO...& LOL

Morning
gc sf 03:08 GMT 12/18/2014
Update... all morning positions liquidated

now long $yen @49-50 and short gbp 87 89

eur shorts haven't been opened as yet.

Euro/Usd
Sanibel Is. Fl sir Ignore 03:03 GMT 12/18/2014
2405/20 area achieved now would make for next short adds
and or 2320 add
high side welcome.

AceTrader Dec 18: Intra-Day News and Views (GBP/USD) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:54 GMT 12/18/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

18 Dec 2014 02:40GMT
GBP/USD - ...... Cable is nursing yesterdays sharp losses in quiet Asian trading on Thursday after o/n sell off below December's 1.5541 low to a fresh 14-1/2 month trough of 1.5530 after Fed Chair Yellen's hawkish remarks at the post-FOMC press conference.
Despite tripping stops in a rather illiquid late NY session, short covering quickly lifted the pound once the sell stops were done.
Price briefly bounced to 1.5603 n then moved narrowly in Australia. Asian traders are happy to stay on the sideline until European open.

Looks like Wednesday's low print would continue to hold until release of key U.K. retail sales data at 09:30GMT. Street forecasts are looking for a weakish Novmeber number with M/M to be 0.3% vs previous reading of +0.8% whilst Y/Y figure is expected to be 4.4% vs previous reading of 4.3%.
If both readings come in weaker than forecast, one can expect another round of pound bashing.
Until then, offers are noted at 1.5600/10 and more above with stops reported above 1.5630.
Initial bids are noted at 1.5505-00 with some stops below there.

Thursday will see the release of New Zealand's GDP, Australia's RBA Bulletin, China's House Prices, Switzerland's Trade, Germany's IFO Business Climates, IFO Current Conditions, IFO Expectations, U.K.'s Retail sales, U.S. Markit Service PMI, Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Business and Leading index change. Japan's BoJ will begin its 2-day meeting.

BREAKING NEWS
jkt abel 01:40 GMT 12/18/2014
sell euro and buy usdjpy is still indeed the theme to play

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 01:19 GMT 12/18/2014
But for now, Obama says: "My recommendation would be that people go to the movies."

NYT


Cuba Libre
dc CB 00:19 GMT 12/18/2014
give it 6 months, and UBER will have a Cigarette Boat service running from Miami and the Keys to Havana.

Cuba Libre
dc CB 00:15 GMT 12/18/2014
Wot a week: bankers get DoddFrank pesky rule Unruled. Cuban Cigars and Rum are legal again.

Perhaps the TBTF banks should gift every US taxpayer a box of Cohibas and a case of fine Havana rum. Book it as an Expense and write it off...

That would be a nice Christmas gesture, from the Winners to the Sheeple.

I see Casinos in Havana's future.

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:10 GMT 12/18/2014  - My Profile
* Dollar index posts best day since Oct. 3

* Dollar hits 8-day highs against euro, franc

* Traders eye Fed rate hike in 2015

* Dollar falls against rouble

FOREX-Dollar rallies broadly after Fed signals 2015 rate hike


eurusd
Tallinn viies 23:38 GMT 12/17/2014
I expect euro trading range today will be 1,2375-1,2250

Poll: More Britons favour leaving EU than want to stay
Syd 22:58 GMT 12/17/2014
More Brits would opt to leave the European Union than would choose to stay in it if there was a referendum today, a new ITV poll has found.

A survey of 2,000 adults for Europe - the People's Poll:Tonight Progamme found that 42% would vote for Britain to break its ties with the union, while 31% would opt to stay in.

Just over a quarter (26%) remained undecided, according to the poll.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 22:48 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile


December 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, December 18, 2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- IFO Survey, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, Markit Service PMI, Philly Fed, Lead Indicators
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- IFO Survey, GB- Retail Sales
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Markit Service PMI, Philly Fed, Lead Indicators, Natural Gas



AUD/NZD
HK RF@ 22:37 GMT 12/17/2014


An easy break of 1.0450, may herald parity within few months.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 22:29 GMT 12/17/2014
russian roulette really good expression ..
this week bid ask spreads exploded. panic is name of the game.
spot spread at midday 1,5 rouble and people are saying "mine". they just do not care the price they want out. 0,50 roubles spread which is bit less than 1% normal guess ;)
today CBR and fin min and all kind of people tried really hard to get it under control but ...
they still didn't get it under previous day low so technically still buy buy and testing of highs matter of days.

BREAKING NEWS
gc sf 22:04 GMT 12/17/2014
its turned into a game of Russian Roulette

you know its coming .. but your trying to squeeze every last % profit out of the portfolio - to add to your compensation.

it is what we call a Clayton's Rate Hike - the Rate Hike you have when your not having a rate hike.

Claytons - Wikipedia


Rouble
Mtl JP 21:58 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
huh... Deputy finance minister Alexei Moiseyev said Russia was going to sell foreign currency from its treasury accounts "as much as necessary and as long as necessary" - another SNB-like promise ?

Rouble
gc sf 21:55 GMT 12/17/2014
another 10% day .. story below

Russia plans new measures to stabilise the rouble


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 21:54 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
CLOSING LEVELS...


Morning
gc sf 21:53 GMT 12/17/2014
$Yen - bots sold @118.73

I expect 118.35/119.35 today (Asia) - obviously we are again looking for an early dip

gbpyen - bots are looking to sell 185.40 - have quite a position in this built up.

EUR

bots buy 37 38 39

expecting 30-65 range (Asia)

GBP

bots bought already and are looking to t/p ard 87-90

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:37 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
     THURSDAY
    9:00 DE IFO Climate top German survey
    9:30 GB Ret Sls mm consumer demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims current job indicator
    14:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash Key current sentiment survey
    15:00 US Philly Fed Key current sentiment survey
    FRIDAY
    4:30 JP Bank of Japan policy decision
    5:00 JP Lead Indicators composite indicator
    13:30 CA BOC CPI BOC targets inflation
    13:30 CA Retail Sales consumer demand

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 21:32 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile



EUR and USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System






Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 21:24 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile


Equity, Oil (wti) and Gold Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point

tables
. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 20:58 GMT 12/17/2014


this is Quad Witching week for the final quarter of 2014.

CHART POINTS- Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 20:55 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


BREAKING NEWS
PAR 20:53 GMT 12/17/2014
Two more days like today or a few more FED comments and ...Champagne . Ho Ho Ho .

DJ Fed's Yellen Says No Rate Hike Likely For a Couple of Fed Meetings
Syd 20:40 GMT 12/17/2014
WASHINGTON-- Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said Wednesday the U.S. central bank is unlikely to raise short-term interest rates until at least the spring.

"The committee considers it unlikely to begin the normalization process for at least the next couple of meetings," Ms. Yellen said at a press conference following the U.S. central bank's latest monetary policy meeting. She added, "this assessment, of course, is completely data dependent."

Ms. Yellen was speaking in the wake of a Fed meeting that saw officials continue to edge toward lifting interest rates off of near zero levels that have been in place since the end of 2008. The Fed said in its statement that it will be patient about the timing of rate rises.

While some regional Fed officials would like to see rate increases begin in the spring, key central bankers such as New York Fed President William Dudley , who have suggested the middle of the year is the most likely time for the Fed to act, as long as the economy develops along the path expected by policymakers.

"A number of committee participants have indicated that in their view, conditions could be appropriate by the middle of next year, but there is no preset time and there are a range of views as to when the appropriate conditions will likely fall in place," Ms. Yellen said.

The Fed chief's comments were consistent with the outlook held by Mr. Dudley. Ms. Yellen also pushed back against those who believe the Fed can only make a big policy shift at one of the four meetings, out of eight, that are followed by a press conference.

"Every meeting that we have is a live meeting at which the committee could make a policy decision and we will feel free to do so," Ms. Yellen said. "I would really like to strongly discourage the expectation that policy moves can only occur when there's a scheduled press conference," she said.

Ms. Yellen's contention addresses a fear given voice to by St. Louis Fed leader James Bullard . He has expressed concern about how the logistics of Fed policy meetings were shaping the monetary policy outlook. Mr. Bullard has worried broad market expectations of a summer 2015 rate increase were being driven largely by the fact that the June Fed meeting was the only gathering with a press conference.

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 20:38 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
PAR - A new record high would be a big ask at this juncture.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:37 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
wti 56.03 well off its 54.21 LOD
not sure if crude helped stocks or vice-versa.
but they are acting together.


BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 20:33 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
MOSCOW, November 25 (Sputnik) Russian President Vladimir Putin will hold a large press conference on December 18, the Kremlin said Tuesday.

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 20:31 GMT 12/17/2014
New record highs in stock markets before end of the year thanks to promises from Yellen & Draghi . How simple economics have become .

Fed Decision Less Hawkish Than Feared. Russia Worries Fade. UK Jobs Better
GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
>b> TOP NEWS ITEMS: DE- IFO Survey, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, Markit Service PMI, Philly Fed, Lead Indicators

Fed Decision Less Hawkish Than Feared. Russia Worries Fade. UK Jobs Better


BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 20:29 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
is not Putin lined up to step up to a microphone tomorrow ?
might it or not matter ?

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 20:27 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
That is Draghi will likely boost the stock market rally and the USD rally.

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 20:26 GMT 12/17/2014  - My Profile
CB - the U.S. does not rely on 30 year funding. 30 year yields are almost irrelevant. 1.4 trillion is in less than one year bills. And the average duration is 6 years, with lots of paper in the 2 to 5 year area. And funding in that area is getting more expensive all the time.

Draghi tomorrow is likely to pour oil on the fire.

eurusd
london red 20:25 GMT 12/17/2014
2235/36 trendline and 200 month ma

Yellen
dc CB 20:22 GMT 12/17/2014
meh

emni


Yellen
dc CB 20:11 GMT 12/17/2014
She seems to have learned that the trick to these Pressers is to bore the sheite out of everyone. Never answer a question in less than 5 droning minutes

Long Audusd
KL KL 20:10 GMT 12/17/2014
covering audusd short here where I started... roughly....81416...chased it to .8109...... scary....wait again .812 to long audusd again... DYOR...DFM..DLTM..imvho and gl gt

as GVI says ....don't over stay your position when trading counter trend....well said....also known as Ninja Trade....scalp...whatever

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 20:08 GMT 12/17/2014


30Y yields are still lower than the last auction.

"Lift-Off" who decided to start using that phrase?

eurusd
Tallinn viies 20:06 GMT 12/17/2014
tommorow new lows of the year. 1,2195 before week is over and 1,2055 before year is over.
upside level which should bring stop on the market is 1,2475/80


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