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Meet 108-year-old investor Irving Kahn
Mtl JP 19:35 GMT 08/23/2014  - My Profile
'I doubled my money in 1929 crash – and I'm still winning" - telegraph

Investment veteran Irving Kahn, who has weathered every financial storm since the 1920s, reveals everything he has learned
Also interesting note on how to make it to 108 yrs

Dollar Gaining Upside Momentum Outlook- August 24, 2014 .
GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT 08/23/2014  - My Profile

USD to Rise

Forex markets seem finally to be coming back to life as it seems that a substantial upside move in the U.S. currency has become more and more inevitable. Its hard to see how the key EURUSD relationship cannot work its way down into the 1.20's with the ECB in a monetary policy easing path and the U.S. preparing the markets for a policy tightening. European economic weakness could last for a good while because their basic problems are structural and not just cyclical.

Dollar Gaining Upside Momentum Outlook- August 24, 2014

Weekly Trading Planner
GVI Forex john 12:50 GMT 08/23/2014  - My Profile

00:00 GB Holiday
08:00 DE IFO Climate Important sentiment survey
14:00 US New Home Sales Key Housing data
12:30 US Durable Goods Orders  Industrial Demand
14:00 US CB Consumer Confidence Important sentiment survey
17:00 TRY 2-yr Auction
17:00 TRY 5-yr Auction
00:30 JP CPI BOJ Target
07:55 DE Unemployment Key ECB metric
12:30 US Initial Claims  Employmemt measure
12:30 US GDP 2Q14 preliminary  Broadest measure of economy
14:00 US Pending Homes Existing Homes Predictor
17:00 TRY 7-yr Auction
06:00 DE Retail Sales Consumer demand
09:00 EZ flash HICP  ECB Target
12:30 CA GDP  Broadest measure of economy
12:30 US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55 US U Mich Survey final Important sentiment survey

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:10 GMT 08/23/2014  - My Profile
This turned out to be a timely article this past week as support and resistance from the daily pivots proved to work well.

One of our GTA members has offered to share his simple but effective system with us.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

Pimco's Gross
Dillon AL 22:25 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
John I would refer you my post on GVI to
Fed Chair Yellen
Dillon AL 15:32 GMT 08/22/2014

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
Mtl JP 20:26 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
for the record... and fwiw
brent is around 102 and Gold 1280 heading into the close

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
Mtl JP 20:23 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
nh Poroshenko insinuated he might announce dissolution of parliament... as early as Sunday... the 24th ...
it was supposed be a "victory at any cost" parade, remember ?

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:58 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
Livingston nh 19:48 GMT 08/22/2014
after all the speeches we are closing w/ the geopolitical Friday blues --

Commitment of Traders Report
GVI Forex john 19:45 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

Week Ahead
GVI Forex Blog 19:42 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
•Upcoming data to highlight divergence between the UK and US, and euro area economies

•Further fall in euro area inflation likely in August

•In contrast, US inflation data watched for signs of a pickup


Pimco's Gross
GVI Forex john 19:29 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
On bubblevision. The "new neutral" in Fed Funds is 2.00%. That is half the "old neutral" of around 4.00%.

If true, this means that Fed Funds do not have much upside when the Fed starts to tighten.

Personally I don't agree or disagree, I just would be careful about extrapolating current trends, whatever they might be, too far into the future.

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
GVI Forex john 19:12 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
DE 10-yr 0.978% not sure if it has been updated, but this level would not surprise me.

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
GVI Forex john 19:06 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
US 10-yr 2.400% virtually unchanged from before Mario.

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:54 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Thin, market short, tepid buy rumor sell fact reaction, probably some defense of 1.32, but close below 1.3294 is bearish

ECB's Draghi
Mtl JP 18:50 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

pic of player reaction until mario stops talking and actually delivers all those nihili-euros that will make everyone as rich as trillionaires

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex john 18:47 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Speech by Mario Draghi, President of the ECB,
Annual central bank symposium in Jackson Hole,
22 August 2014

full text

Unemployment in the euro area

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex john 18:42 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
JP- I don't think he is being misread. I think this is just a case of market dynamics fueling a contrary move. Simply put, the market was already short EUR going into the weekend.

Personally, I think it will not be long before the EUR will be testing below 1.3000 and below.

ECB's Draghi
Mtl JP 18:37 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
eurdlr is UP 10-some pips and currently rising
maybe players are mis-interpreting mario ?

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex john 18:33 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Draghi very dovish and EUR negative. He still sounds very worried to me.

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex john 18:32 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Ready to ease policy further if needed.
Weaker EUR should support economy and EUR
Asset Back securities purcheses on fast track

ECB's Draghi
Mtl JP 18:32 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
no info on time lenght of mario's diatribe

ECB's Draghi
GVI Forex john 18:29 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Mario any time now.

Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 18:13 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
Global-View Chart Points updated daily. Seven currency bases and in printer-friendly format and over 50 currency pairs.

Foreign Currency Exchange Tables

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
GVI Forex john 17:28 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
10-yr = 2.398% heading into Draghi

Jackson Hole
Mtl JP 17:11 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
there is a difference between "can" and "is willing"

debt-based growth economy is seeing its "The world has changed" - Sara Stevens moment. Something the fiat money, credit and dept promoters like Evans-Pritchard , Krugman & Co still have not come to grips with.

What is really too bad is that the Keneysians still have highly influential perch from which to spout their "what is needed" prognostications.

Jackson Hole
Mtl JP 16:55 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
PAR I have posted what ails the printers before.
at risk of repetition:

Their money is not rotating

Jackson Hole
PAR 16:43 GMT 08/22/2014
Larry Summers Is On to Something

One possible indicator of secular stagnation is credit intensity -- that is, how many dollars of new credit are associated with each added dollar of gross domestic product. The higher the ratio, the more likely it is that the amount of credit being created is more than the underlying economy can bear.

GVI Forex Blog 16:30 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
August 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, August 25. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- Holiday, DE- IFO Survey, US- New Homes Sales

GVI Forex Data Outlook for August 25, 2014

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 16:21 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

August 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, August 25. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- Holiday, DE- IFO Survey, US- New Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Holiday DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: US- New Homes Sales

ECB's Draghi
Mtl JP 16:11 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

maybe mario will help complete what janet started

Jackson Hole
Mtl JP 15:58 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
419 = typo sb 449

Jackson Hole
Mtl JP 15:56 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
quite possibly 419 too many

Jackson Hole
PAR 15:54 GMT 08/22/2014
Thats called labor productivity.

Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
GVI Forex john 15:53 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile

Current Market Conditions:
I had low expectations for the  speeches today by Fer Chair Yellen in Jackson Hole.  ECB President Draghi will speak later. There is no reason for him to make a new policy declaration at this meeting either. Be careful when the market is sucked in by the media hype. The. EURUSD has been holding below 1.3300.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets have fallen ahead of Draghi on Friday. The 10-yr bund is 0.98% -1bp. The 10-yr 1.00% line remains an obvious market benchmark. Peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.41%  0bp. I expect a +25bp BOE rate hike in February 2015, subject to future data.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.42%, +2bp. The Yellen speech disappointed the doves.. The psychological pivot is 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly higher. Bourses in Europe have closed lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

EURUSD 140 pips in 16 days
Central Kwun 15:52 GMT 08/22/2014
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

thx, just few dollars,

EURUSD 140 pips in 16 days
Amman wfakhoury 15:46 GMT 08/22/2014
Gold 1285 cofirmed 1280 return any decline will return to it

Jackson Hole
Stockholm Max 15:45 GMT 08/22/2014
and let me guess - all 22 are from NSA

EURUSD 140 pips in 16 days
Central Kwun 15:44 GMT 08/22/2014
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

wfakhoury sir, may i know your direction on gold?

EURUSD 140 pips in 16 days
Amman wfakhoury 15:42 GMT 08/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 12:15 GMT August 6, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURJPY: Reply
EURUSD is heading twd 13200 unless it breaks up 13360 and 13400

it took EURUSD 16 days to move 140 pips

Jackson Hole
Mtl JP 15:26 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
hey... what waste ?

...Federal Reserve Board staff (450 staff members, about half of whom are Ph.D. economists) developed a labor market conditions index from 19 labor market indicators... - from john's text link

22 staffers per indicator, on average.
only at the FED

Sell Gold
Central Kwun 15:24 GMT 08/22/2014
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

what happened? suddenly gold turn around from 1274. any news?

dc CB 15:19 GMT 08/22/2014


Jackson Hole
PAR 15:12 GMT 08/22/2014
A waste of taxpayers money .

" Trade Ideas "
Mtl JP 15:10 GMT 08/22/2014  - My Profile
FM 14:56 may I ask what dealer spread on that DXY

PAR 15:09 GMT 08/22/2014
FXStreet (Córdoba) - Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen added nothing really new at her long-awaited Jackson Hole speech today, as she sounded "balanced" and "non-committal".

Among main remarks she stated that rates might be raised sooner if there is a faster recovery than anticipated in the labor market or inflation moves more rapidly. However she also said rates could also remain near zero for longer than currently anticipated if economic performance disappoints.

She didn't really gave much of a clue over when interest rates will go up. "Monetary policy is not on a preset path", Yellen reiterated. So in summary, rates hikes will be data-dependant, nothing new from Ms. Yellen.

Federal Reserve Chair speech was focused on employment as expected. She stressed the difficulty in gauging labor-market slack and concluded stating that many of the labor market issues will be at the center of FOMC discussions for some time to come.

london red 15:08 GMT 08/22/2014
Sorry thats 61.8 of 84x/78x

PAR 15:07 GMT 08/22/2014
Ukraine will solve it self . Financial media just try to create panic to sell more content .

london red 15:07 GMT 08/22/2014
Dxy 50% fib 82.52

ECB's Draghi
PAR 15:04 GMT 08/22/2014
Draghi just wants to keep peripheral Europe financing costs as low as possible. Italy and Spain ( and soon Greece ) can borrow cheaper than USA ? Does that make sense ?

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