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28/01/15 15:30 A US EIA Crude mn con: 4 pre: 10.1
28/01/15 15:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn con: 0.5 pre: 0.6
28/01/15 15:30 B US EIA Distillate mn con: 0.5 pre: -3.3
28/01/15 15:30 B US EIA Cap Util con: n/a pre: 85.50%
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GVI Forex 14:05 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
From what I read, FXCM will forgive 90% of its negative balances and go after the 10% from institutional and higher new worth individuals. The latter makes up about 60% of negative balances.

GVI Forex 13:59 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
TTN reporting FXCM said it is going to forgive most of the negative balances of its customers. Not sure what is meant by "most."

Cape Town LV 13:54 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
I am in , lets see what happens

Cape Town LV 13:50 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

HK RF@ 13:50 GMT 01/28/2015

Sometimes it seems immediate Interference with trade suggestion on this site or just a coincidence:)

Any smallest volume probably attracts attention.

HK RF@ 13:46 GMT 01/28/2015

Expect a Ret. to 1.22-1.23 range

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:44 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
As posted on GVI Forex

Wednesday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 01/28/2015 - My Profile
If the EURUSD trades lower (would be typical after a correction that paused below a key level -- 1.1460), it would be easy to explain given Greece post election jitters.

If it goes higher it would have to be USD weakness (FOMC)

Cape Town LV 13:35 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
Sell now?

HK RF@ 13:25 GMT 01/28/2015
Entry: Target: Stop:


HK RF@ 13:16 GMT 01/28/2015

Classical sell:)

Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
GVI Forex john 13:15 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
My view on the FED..

!00% odds for no rate changes. My major focus right now is the Fed policy statement today. Odds are the central bank will stick with "patience", but I will be looking for any softening of its view on the U.S. economy. With the USD tied to the performance of stocks (Risk On), further gains are tied to an improving outlook for the economy.

Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
dc CB 12:52 GMT 01/28/2015
So will Yellen save the day again?

if she continues ignoring the global deflationary pressures and not relent to delaying the rate hike, then the USD will surge even more ......Or will she admit that the myth of a US recovery was just that, for the 5th year in a row, and hint that all else equal, the Fed may not only keep ZIRP for longer, but even go NIRP or return to a QE regime?

We don't expect answers to all these questions, but today is certainly shaping up to be a dramatic session, one which will be that much more dramatic courtesy of the now pervasive lack of market liquidity.

p: All Eyes On Yellen Who Better Not Disappoint

London Chris 12:34 GMT 01/28/2015
What about a eurusd range?

1.05-1.20, 1.00-1.20, 1.08-1.2023?

hk nt 12:16 GMT 01/28/2015
USD/JPY may see 115-125 range this year.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:46 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
What jumps out at me today is the EURUSD range which is MOSTLY above the 1.1338 pivot.Where we are trading relative to the pivot could set the tone.

Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 11:42 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:28 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

Several forex brokers are now publicizing negative balance protection for their clients. This is good marketing after several brokers reported negative balances seen after the SNB fiasco but is it really significant? As we all know, forex brokers are not charities but for profit businesses and are not in the habit of giving away money to their clients. So, is negative balance protection a reason to open an account or is there a hidden factor that makes this look more than it is?

Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
The USD retraced some of its losses from Tuesday as the focus returned to the Greek situation. Greece PM Tsipras reiterated his view to negotiate debt relief. Greek yields continued to rise sharply amid the uncertainty about the future of Greece in the Euro Zone. EU Mid-Market Update: Greece new govt reiterates view to negotiate debt relief

london red 11:03 GMT 01/28/2015
117.20/118.90 has been the range for a while, maybe a slight descending triangle with flat base. dollar will take its cue from fed but not necessarily follow stocks today after fed eg. if fed dovish stocks go up but dollar falls.

kl shawn 10:57 GMT 01/28/2015
i think usdjpy still got that 115 level lurking

HK RF@ 10:54 GMT 01/28/2015

The same traders, pushing for stronger yen that had already a setback, continue their promo and action today.

Just remember, that a longer JPY-bearish waves can always come in and get the USD/JPY short easily.

Too much risk for few pips profit.

GVI Forex john 10:34 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile

28 January-- 10:40 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. Greek bond yields are up sharply today on worries about the new government  inflexibility. The 10-yr is 10.18% +51bp. Otherwise Markets are in a MIXED RISK posture after disappointing earnings and/or guidance data  Tuesday from several major firms. In forex,  the USD is broadly weaker. The EUR is mostly lower on its crosses. In Europe, 10-yr bond yields are mixed to higher. U.S., equities and bond yields are down.

In Far East trade, equities closed mostly up  and JGB yields are higher.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

GVI Forex john 09:55 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
EARLIER: 4Q14 CPI easier.

GVI Forex john 09:49 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
4Q14 Australia CPI


QQ: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY: +1.70% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Greece Jitters
GVI Forex 09:24 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
* Athens' atg equity index touches record lows

* Greek 3-year government bond yield rises 183 bps to 16.03 pct, highest in three weeks - Tradeweb

FXWire Pro

Greece Jitters
GVI Forex 09:17 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
Bond yields up, stocks down

New signal - Try our free trial
London 08:43 GMT 01/28/2015
Entry: 133.800 Target: 133.100 Stop: 133.900

Try our free signals service.

Posted with permission of

forex signals

london red 08:42 GMT 01/28/2015
overnight options are looking at something in the region of 80 pips. but of course they include the fed. for me fed not open and shut as part of mkt seems to look for some caution, while other side expects no change in normalisation.
big question is is yellen willing to look thru this latest headwind. if so, then the statement will be taken as hawkish by fx mkt. if theres any reference to external factors and a hint of hesitation, then dollar takes a hit. might boil down to whether considerable time stays in or not as to calling it either hawkish or dovish.

gc sf 08:28 GMT 01/28/2015
the question is do we see EUR + GBP test

1.1285 + 1.5120 before moving to 1.1460 + 1.5300

or do they just go sideways.

HK RF@ 08:21 GMT 01/28/2015

FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Nomura feels that CHF is extremely overvalued at the moment and with deflation worsening in Switzerland the SNB might be compelled to accommodate monetary policy further.


Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
Syd 08:11 GMT 01/28/2015
Gina Sanchez, Chairwoman & Founder of Chantico Global, expects any action from the central bank to be delayed since markets are experiencing an illusion of strong demand...


london red 08:09 GMT 01/28/2015
since the break higher, euro has been supported by 89 hour ema, there has been no close below this so far despite a few attempts below. currently 11337. if below there then support at 11314 prev low and 100 hour ma 11309. any further than that and selling could cascade but you wonder how much conviction any move will have with the fed approaching.

kl shawn 08:03 GMT 01/28/2015
good calls so far
go usd! looking to take some off the table here and leave the rest run

london red 07:52 GMT 01/28/2015
its that and the 200 hour that engulf it for me. direction either side of there. but probably not before fed.

Syd 07:40 GMT 01/28/2015
Gartman's dollar & gold trade How to play the dollar using ETFs, with Dennis Gartman of The Gartman Letter.


kl shawn 07:37 GMT 01/28/2015
ok, sold also cable 1.5177, looks like bounce is over, going down again soon hopefully

jkt abel 07:20 GMT 01/28/2015
red, has been very safe using the upper line to cap the upmove so far

london red 07:11 GMT 01/28/2015
cable. upper channel line today falls to 15195

jkt abel 06:39 GMT 01/28/2015
sold gbpusd 1.5185, adding later if better level seen, stop above yesterday's high

bali sja 06:37 GMT 01/28/2015
sold 1.5183, adding if 1.52 handle seen before setting stop (1.5285 tentative), target open

GVI Forex Blog 06:31 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: 0.2% (2-year low) V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 1.7% (2 1/2-year low) V 1.8%E; TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.5%E ; Y/Y: 2.2% (2 1/2 year low) V 2.2%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV S Asian Mid-session Update: Australia trimmed CPI in range, diminishing outlook for rate cut; MAS lowers inflation target in intermeeting move - Source

Another economic bear
Paris ib 06:24 GMT 01/28/2015  - My Profile
"After the 1987 crash, a friend of mine, then a young Director of Sotheby’s, was sent to consult an old Partner who had been at Sotheby’s during the 1930s and was still alive, albeit in a nursing home. My friend asked the question “What was it like in the 30s?” and the man replied “It was like being bitten by a tarantula.” My friend didn’t really understand that, but later on in the conversation the old Partner said“A spasm of activity followed by a death.”"

The era we are entering: beggar thy neighbour currency devaluations.

An interesting read

USD/CHF Probably targeting 0.95xx
HK RF@ 05:55 GMT 01/28/2015

bali sja 04:39

Sorry I don't follow this pair.

"bankruptcy cannot be dealt with by borrowing more,"
dc CB 05:54 GMT 01/28/2015
Mr. Tsipras, 40, assembled a new, streamlined cabinet dominated by members of his radical-left Syriza party, among them academics, labor activists and human rights advocates.

His most closely watched selection was his new finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, an economist and avid blogger who has described Europe’s austerity policies as “fiscal waterboarding.”

Greece’s New Left-Wing Cabinet Signals Willingness to Confront E.U. Over Policies

China Job Growth Accelerates in 4Q - Survey WSJ
Syd 05:40 GMT 01/28/2015
BEIJING--China's job market remained robust in the fourth quarter of last year despite slower economic growth, with the number of job postings rising faster than the previous quarter, according to a survey from, one of China's largest online recruitment companies.

The number of online job postings climbed 37% in the final quarter of 2014 from a year earlier, up from an on-year increase of 23% in the third quarter, the recruiter said in a statement released on Wednesday.

The survey results show that "the downward pressure on economic growth has not notably dragged on the entire employment market yet," Zhaopin said.

They also show that the government doesn't need to roll out aggressive easing measures to stimulate economic growth in the near future, the statement said.

The financial sector had the biggest appetite for talented workers, with the number of vacancies rising 48% on year in the fourth quarter. The number of job postings from trust companies, guarantee firms, auction firms and pawn shops surged 327%, while those from the banking sector rose 216%.

The financial sector will likely remain the most avid employer this year as the internet finance industry competes for job seekers who have skill sets in finance and telecommunications.

A prolonged property market downturn has directly hit the sector's job creation, with postings rising a mere 6% in the fourth quarter, the weakest among all sectors, the survey showed.

Job growth in regions surrounding Beijing and Shanghai are still vibrant. For the full year of 2014, smaller cities such as Hangzhou, Tianjin, Chengdu, Chongqing and Suzhou saw rapid job creation.

Private firms are more active than state-owned enterprises and foreign companies in hiring. The job postings from private companies rose 40% in the fourth quarter, much higher than that of both state and foreign companies.

Middle-sized employers, with between 1,000 and 10,000 employees, saw the number of jobs growing 33% in the last quarter, while those with more than 10,000 employees reported a job growth of 3% in the fourth quarter, following a contraction in jobs over the first three quarters.

China's economy expanded 7.3% in the fourth quarter of year, bringing the full-year economic growth rate to 7.4%, the slowest in decades for the world's second-largest economy.


AU) CommSec chief economist: Australia inflation remains healthy without being excessive - Source Tr
Syd 05:18 GMT 01/28/2015
(AU) CommSec chief economist: Australia inflation remains healthy without being excessive "Economic environment in Australia is far different from some other parts of the globe. The euro zone continues to worry about the deflationary threat from sluggish growth and sliding oil prices, while inflation remains below the Feds target rate in the US. But here in Australia inflation is holding at the low end of the Reserve Banks target 2-3%.... It is pretty clear that inflation is not a threat to the domestic economy, meaning that the Reserve Bank can comfortably keep interest rates at exceptionally low levels over the medium term. Domestic inflationary pressures remain well contained and given the slow growth in wages it is unlikely to result in a change to the domestic inflation landscape.... Interestingly despite the sharp slide in the Aussie dollar over the September and December quarters, it did not have a significant impact on lifting imported inflation at least, not yet. The tradeable component of the CPI result fell by 0.6% in the December quarter. The substantial slide in the oil price continues to offset the depreciation in the currency. In fact the fall in the petrol price was one of the main contributors to the subdued inflation result.... Whichever way you cut it, inflation is not a threat to the economy and the Reserve Bank will not be feeling any additional pressure to move rates in any direction any time soon." - Source

USD/CHF Probably targeting 0.95xx
bali sja 04:39 GMT 01/28/2015
RF@, any take on gbpusd? short on another failure of 1.52?

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