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FOREX FORUM
30/10/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf con: 85 pre: 94
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BREAKING NEWS
Miami JN 13:34 GMT 10/30/2014
Red, can the dollar move higher if bond yields do not move higher?

CPI
gc sf 13:33 GMT 10/30/2014
Problem is that it kills full time jobs and encourages part-time.

Jay - I can't open your chart - but 1.2614 is Bollinger Mid.

US GDP > 0 .. shows an actual Pulse
Europe is still a race to the bottom.

FED seems way too concerned with the level of the Stock Market for my liking -- and who these days is an actual end holder besides the Fed

Russia - nope, China -100 billion, Japan nope more interested in pumping up their Stock Market

it is never an issue getting into these trades - but it has been shown that getting out can be a real killer .. whether it happens again is yet to be seen I suppose.

see what it looks like on Asian Open.

BREAKING NEWS
london red 13:31 GMT 10/30/2014
dec 10yr squeezing higher all day. 50% fib of sept low and black wed high is yest hih at 127. price stopped a whisker short of 61.8% yesterday. maybe an inside today and move outside of those two confines tomorrow.

CPI
PAR 13:21 GMT 10/30/2014
CPI going down on low food and oil prices is good for the economy . Draghi should keep his hands off that and stops complaining about too low prices . IT IS GOOD , NOT BAD .

ECB
PAR 13:16 GMT 10/30/2014
ECB buying peripheral bonds ?

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile


... and the current 4 hour chart - notice how 1.2614 held

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
GDP data growth being dismissed as driven by government spending. I believe there are national elections in a week???

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:11 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile


4 hour chart posted earlier on GVI Forex so you can see where 1,.2614 came from.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:06 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
On the other side, 1.2632 = 38.2% of 1.2770-1.2547.

Resistance starts at 1.2614 (former low) - holding

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:59 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD low 1.2547 vs. S2 = 1.2545

Close enough?

Central Bankers
PAR 12:55 GMT 10/30/2014
Imho ZERO rates is still extremely easy monetary policy . Replacing maturing bonds in the FED balance sheet is still a form of QE . US Monetary policy is way out of control .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:46 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...



Click on chart for over ten-year history

BREAKING NEWS
london red 12:43 GMT 10/30/2014
yen. usd should gain support at 10835/50.
euro. looks to be ready to rebound given reaction to gdp. probably trendline caps at 12655 14/16 res ahead of this. key pivot 12686, keeps low test in play.
cad data quite good. ~11100 +-10 pips good area to go long.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:35 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims





NEWS ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
287K vs. 281K exp. vs. 283K (r 284K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.384 vs.2.351exp. vs. 2.389 (r 2.355) prev.
Press Release



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BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP 3QQ14p





ALERT
+3.50% vs. +3.00% exp. vs.+4.60% prev.


RELEASE: U.S. GDP


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Central Bankers
Mtl JP 12:29 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Fed Closes Chapter on Easy Money - Hilsenrath, wsj
Benefit of Bond-Buying Experiment Remains Unclear as Central Bank’s Focus Returns to Interest Rates

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 12:17 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
USDCHF
	High	Low
Avg 0.9627 0.9369
Max 0.9678 0.9418
Min 0.9553 0.9297

12/1/2014 0.9058 0.9002

starting to short

Central Bankers
Livingston nh 11:56 GMT 10/30/2014
Greece - “The reality is that there will be a climate of
uncertainty until February,” Mitsotakis, 46, said in his Athens
office overlooking the Acropolis. “Volatility is caused by the
fear of snap elections and the possibility that these will be
won by a party which is not normal.” Mitsotakis is Ministare of Administrative Reform (a whole ministry devoted to reform??) -- this issue of elections has been under the radar the past few weeks (ECB, AQR etc.)
_________
Fed avoided a 3 member dissent by acknowledging on the ground facts re: labor - Kocherlakota dissent was a freebie
for the QE4ever wing

But overnight shakeup as markets moved thru countries that could be affected by an ACTUAL rate hike has been pretty good -- the next two days see GDP (today) and Fed preferred inflation (tomorrow) that if both are higher than Fed expectations could really roil things // BUT yesterday at least set the stage


Russia
PAR 11:43 GMT 10/30/2014
Ukraine and Russia were unsuccessful in reaching a gas agreement at their overnight talks with the EU, but another round of negotiations will take place Thursday evening. The EU, which depends on Russia for one-third of its gas, is trying to help negotiate the payment plan, fearing disruptions to its supply. Alexei Miller, head of Russia's Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) says the deal can be completed only after Ukraine and the EU reach an agreement on financial guarantees from Brussels to Kiev.

Central Bankers
london red 11:42 GMT 10/30/2014
end of meth folks, here come the withdrawal symptoms. but there a call to be bought down there somewhere. lets wait and see.

Central Bankers
NY JM 11:37 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Peripheral spreads widening as well.

Central Bankers
PAR 11:33 GMT 10/30/2014
Athens stock market down 3.6%, bank index plunges 7.3%

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:12 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile



USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System



Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
USD strength emerged after the FED statement reaffirmed it was moving toward a tighter monetary policy more quickly than its peers. FOMC ended its 2-year bond buying program (QE3) and took on a less dovish tone. It now saw the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2% diminishing compared to its view from early 2014 and acknowledged the improvement in the labor market.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: European inflation data remains soft; German net unemployment improves for the first time in 7 months


Central Bankers
PAR 10:08 GMT 10/30/2014
Central bankers telling is that lower oil is bad are crazy . Lower oil prices are boosting discretionary spending for
99 % o the people and boosting confidence .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 10:06 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Consumer Confidence final October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -11.1 vs. -11.1 prev.


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Central Bankers
PAR 10:06 GMT 10/30/2014
We should go back to free markets and dramatically reduce the role of central banks . The world would have been in much better shape without all the actions of the FED, ECB , BOJ etc . Creative destruction is much better than the communist and keynesian policies of the central planners protecting established interests .

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:49 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
AUDNZD will crash
	High	Low
Avg 1.1274 1.0981
Max 1.1417 1.1122
Min 1.1165 1.0875

12/1/2014 1.0907 1.0835

Gemany
london red 09:45 GMT 10/30/2014
all lower, less than f/c PAR
not sure how you got to steady/higher from there

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:44 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
CADCHF is ok short
	High	Low
Avg 0.8582 0.8323
Max 0.8662 0.8401
Min 0.8479 0.8224

12/1/2014 0.8282 0.8221

Gemany
PAR 09:39 GMT 10/30/2014
German state CPIs steady to higher, more signs inflation may have bottomed out. Saxony 1.04% vs low 0.758% in May

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:29 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
EURGBP
	High	Low
Avg 0.7980 0.7801
Max 0.8005 0.7826
Min 0.7965 0.7787

12/1/2014 0.8138 0.8095

Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen
GVI Forex Blog 09:23 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr

U.S. 3Q14 GDP is the key release today. German unemployment data were better than expected but the unemployment rate remains remarkably steady. The RBNZ kept interest rate policy steady as expected. Once again they talked down the NZD..

Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
GVI Forex john 09:15 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Incorrect table was loaded . Manually refresh page to update.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:07 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Dax
	High	Low
Avg 9,199.8899 8,623.0086
Max 9,439.7519 8,847.8301
Min 8,913.1338 8,354.2336

11/30/2014 9,549.0183 9,435.8973

FTSE
	High	Low
Avg 6,498.7907 6,197.8648
Max 6,573.1892 6,268.8183
Min 6,344.5325 6,050.7495

11/30/2014 6,718.7571 6,658.9753

DJIA
	High	Low
Avg 17,052.5930 16,134.4003
Max 17,482.2459 16,540.9186
Min 16,570.6849 15,678.4404

11/30/2014 16,646.5337 16,430.0965

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 09:03 GMT 10/30/2014
German economy in very good shape despite bad weather and Russian sanctions .

BREAKING NEWS
london red 09:02 GMT 10/30/2014
saxony and bavaria inflation -0.2 and -0.3 repectively. dragged lower by fuel and food. not suggestive of good things for german or european inflation.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German October JOBLESS fall faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate is steady.



Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:57 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY
	High	Low
Avg 109.6292 105.8812
Max 110.7883 107.0006
Min 108.8102 105.0902

12/1/2014 103.7600 103.1213


NZDUSD
	High	Low
Avg 0.8027 0.7763
Max 0.8099 0.7833
Min 0.7932 0.7671

12/1/2014 0.8433 0.8363

USDCAD
	High	Low
Avg 1.1356 1.1103
Max 1.1409 1.1155
Min 1.1291 1.1040

12/1/2014 1.0974 1.0909

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German unemployment BETTER than expected.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:56 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German Unemployment October 2014




NEWS ALERT
rate: 6.70% vs. 6.70% exp. vs. 6.70% prev.
change: -22K vs. +4k exp. vs. +12K (r +9K ) prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
GVI Forex john 08:43 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile

08:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Markets are in a mild RISK-ON posture early in European  following the more hawkish than expected FOMC policy decision yesterday. Traders had been leaning the wrong way following muddled comments by Fed speakers in the midst of the stock correction a couple of weeks ago. Generally we recommend listening only to the Chair and Vice-Chair on policy.  In Far East trade, equities ended  mostly higher.  European bourses are mostly higher. U.S. share futures are up at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are higher. 10-yr bund and gilts yields are mixed.Peripheral European bond yields are mostly up.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



EUR/USD
USA ZEUS 08:40 GMT 10/30/2014
EUR/USD Low of the week has been put in. Rally on my friends!

QE
PAR 08:38 GMT 10/30/2014
Fed owns 30% of US treasuries making this market completely manipulated .

EUR/USD
USA ZEUS 08:27 GMT 10/30/2014
Added mucho size long at 1.2558

usd
london red 08:18 GMT 10/30/2014
prev low of 2571 now broken. sets up test of 12500/15 today/coming days. should get a rebound between here and 12500 for 12650 (trendline currently 55) for next shorts. if no rebound, going down fast a couple of figs. close abv 12686 unlikely while downside persists.
yen. above channel line, its targeting 109,76 but that should cap for today. need a daily close abv magic 110 to breakout. would mean euro under 125 and staying there.
cable. 15994 fib capping. 40/50 while below.

Where's Ginko?
tokyo ginko 08:07 GMT 10/30/2014
USDJPY out 109.25

will look to reload again...

GT all

Russia
PAR 07:26 GMT 10/30/2014
Russia should go for a currency board instead of trying to intervene in the markets . Malalaysia did it with great succes in 1998 .

Generally bullish outlook for Equities?
HK RF@ 07:01 GMT 10/30/2014


Time to be on the guard:(

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 06:50 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Gold
	High	Low
Avg 1,269.5824 1,198.6158
Max 1,284.8360 1,213.0167
Min 1,247.1990 1,177.4835

30 Days 1,294.1080 1,278.9567

SIlver
	High	Low
Avg 18.0946 16.3936
Max 18.3760 16.6486
Min 17.9285 16.2431

30 Days 19.7844 19.4102



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