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25/05/16 8:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 105.8 pre: 106.6
25/05/16 8:00 A DE IFO Current con: 113.3 pre: 113.2
25/05/16 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 100.8 pre: 100.4
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Wednesday's Trading
Mtl JP 02:55 GMT 05/25/2016  - My Profile
0.72
triple top : audusd is a sell

Join the tour again
HK Kwun 02:45 GMT 05/25/2016
Sell Gold
Entry: 1228 Target: Stop: 1238

sell is the key

short gbp!
tokyo joyya 01:38 GMT 05/25/2016
atleast eurjpy down holding short from 124.5

short gbp!
tokyo joyya 01:26 GMT 05/25/2016
Mtl JP 19:20 GMT 05/24/2016

sorry i slept early last night....i was talking about dow last night it was going but again up....wtf markeet

Wednesday's Trading
nw kw 01:14 GMT 05/25/2016
long oil 55 get them stops.

Wednesday's Trading
nw kw 01:13 GMT 05/25/2016
cad strength with strong gbp, poss oil

Wednesday's Trading
nw kw 01:05 GMT 05/25/2016
staring soft jpy wiht soft eur , pos eurgbp short

Wednesday's Trading
Dillon AL 00:21 GMT 05/25/2016  - My Profile
Just to show the opposite direction. 1.1140 1.1160 1.12. The market is s/t oversold so what I am suggesting is a return to a 2way risk

Wednesday's Trading
GVI Trading Room 23:48 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
EURUSD: 1.1135

1.1168 = 100 day mva
1.1100 = 200 day mva

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 22:00 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
yes strange.

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 21:25 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
gbp zzzzs...
because of time of release, pollster or news wire credibility caliber ?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 21:17 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
New Brexit poll 41% vs. 41% (Remain vs. Leave).

Source: TTN

Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 21:05 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
25-May WEDNESDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 CA- BOC Rates
14:30 US- EIA Crude
26-May THURSDAY
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
13:45 US- flash Service PMI
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Fed's Yellen Speaks


Trading Themes --
  • The USD gained Tuesday on the back of an unexpectedly strong New Home sales Report. Usually this report is not closely followed. Some feel the Fed could use the data as a pretext to hike rates in June or July, conditions permitting. The EURUSD finally is closing back below the psychological 1.1200 line. The EUR is lower on its crosses.

  • The GBP gained on mounting speculation that the Brexit referendum is likely to go down to defeat on June 23. Some still doubt that view. The AUD weakened on mounting speculation about an imminent RBA interest rate cut.

  • The German ZEW Survey came in mixed for the second straight month with the "Current Situation" improving but "Expectations" were weak.

  • Interest is growing in a scheduled speech by Fed Chair Yellen at Harvard Friday at 17:15 GMT. The hope is she will clarify the outlook for Fed policy heading into the long U.S. weekend.

John M.Bland MBA
co-founder global-View.com



Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 20:51 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
The Fed Funds sentiment (blue line) ultimately sets the bias for for EURUSD (red line).

Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 20:46 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
GVI Trading Room Bias/Sentiment indicator
has been behaving just as it should.

Below these levels bias remains down.
20-day avg 1.1348
Pivot 1.1167

Fed Funds futures have been leading the EURUSD lower.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading Room john 20:34 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly -5.100 mn vs. -2.500 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john 20:31 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
WTI up sharply following private release of the API data. Waiting for the public data.

DEBT
Mtl JP 20:24 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
thanks NH, it would fun to watch her bitch-slap her 2-3-4 rate hike cretins lending themselves out to public humiliation spectacle.

DEBT
Livingston nh 20:13 GMT 05/24/2016
JP - I have some faith in past performance - Yellen is lost in Ben's Money Swamp - all the recent LIVE JUNE commentary is just a plea for balance and I doubt that Yellen will rein in the talk like she did the end of March -- BUT see here
LINK

Rates are lower than last year and the 2/10 spread is back to Bear Stearns summer levels -- a hike puts the spread near inversion

Market may get to 50/50 balance but Yellen's history says "NO HIKE" in June - what if she is dovish on June 6 after all the Chicken Hawk commentary?? The June meeting will be interesting even if it's not LIVE

Magicians and illusionist at ECB
Mtl JP 20:12 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
PAR 13:57 / your call "It is time for Friedrich von Hayek" is echo-less: Keynes encephalitis rules in the collective brains of those in policy-making power towers.


DEBT
Mtl JP 19:47 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
nh 17:29 so who, do u think, will be proven wrong ?

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:37 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database


short gbp!
Mtl JP 19:20 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
on what platform Joy ?

snp at new HoD , eurdlr at new LoD

DEBT
dc CB 18:11 GMT 05/24/2016
freed from the paranoia of hike-itis, free money buybacks continue proof in the auction...NEW HIGHS Kill the Shorts.

short gbp!
tokyo joyya 17:43 GMT 05/24/2016
ok stox starts fallig

DEBT
Livingston nh 17:29 GMT 05/24/2016
2 yr Treasury auction went better than last - 3to1 bid to cover and buy side took 80% // Primary Dealers only got about 8% of what they bid for

Believe in slow and gradual hikes

Goldman Sachs - MAY 18 , 2016
PAR 17:08 GMT 05/24/2016
Goldman Sachs just downgraded stocks all over the world
May 18, 2016, 1:17 PM
889

Goldman Sachs doesn't find stocks appealing anymore.

In a note Tuesday, the firm downgraded equities to "Neutral" over the next year.

"Until we see sustained earnings growth, equities do not look attractive, especially on a risk-adjusted basis," wrote Christian Mueller-Glissmann, an equity strategist.

short gbp!
tokyo joyya 16:57 GMT 05/24/2016
ok time to go down its seems toping here stox...

Gold
Kl Shawn 16:52 GMT 05/24/2016
Mammamia gold is saying Fed will hike

SToX
dc CB 16:51 GMT 05/24/2016


notice the Low Vol from Fri
180? by the weekend happy Memorial Day thoughts to kick off the summer....cauz we be in a "recovery".

Buy a new house this weekend ....feeling good 'Merica feeling good,

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
dc CB 16:26 GMT 05/24/2016
The key here is the agency doing the reporting

The Census Bureau collects new home sales...........A Gov Agency
VS
Existing home sales data are provided by the National Association of Realtors.....

draw yr own conclusions.


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
dc CB 16:20 GMT 05/24/2016
The Census Bureau collects new home sales based upon the following definition: "A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit." The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. Typically about 25% of the houses are sold at the time of completion. The remaining 75% are evenly split between those not yet started and those under construction.

Existing home sales data are provided by the National Association of Realtors®. According to them, "the majority of transactions are reported when the sales contract is closed." Most transactions usually involve a mortgage which takes 30-60 days to close. Therefore an existing home sale (closing) most likely involves a sales contract that was signed a month or two prior.

Given the difference in definition, new home sales usually lead existing home sales regarding changes in the residential sales market by a month or two. For example, an existing home sale in January, was probably signed 30 to 45 days earlier which would have been in November or December. This is based on the usual time it takes to obtain and close a mortgage.e year the house was built or the year after it was built.


Using Crosses to Trade Spot
GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 16:03 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
Using crosses to trade spot 101:

GBPUSD moves up, EURUSD follows with a lag, EURUSD sells off after GBPUSD runs into resistance.

I have offered my free videos on this before and will do so again as part of our trader advocacy.

If you want to see these videos, which are perfect for the current market, send me EMAIL

GVI Data Calendar for 25 May 2016
GVI Forex Blog 15:41 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile

May 24, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 25, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- IFo Survey
  • North America: CA- Bank of Canada Decision, US- Motrgages, Advance Trade, Weekly Crude, 5 -yr

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
25-May WEDNESDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 CA- BOC Rates
14:30 US- EIA Crude
26-May THURSDAY
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
13:45 US- flash Service PMI
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US= Yellen Speech

GVI Data Calendar for 25 May 2016


short gbp!
tokyo joyya 15:34 GMT 05/24/2016
look like nice reversal in stox next 2hours....if not then tomorrow..

short gbp!
tokyo joyya 15:27 GMT 05/24/2016
look like nice reverse in stop in next 2hours....if not then tomorrow..

DEBT
PAR 15:26 GMT 05/24/2016
DJ Mortgages Drive Americans' 1Q Debt Growth -- Market Talk

11:15 ET - The New York Fed says US household debt rose $136B in 1Q to $12.55T, with mortgage balances up $120B in the period and student-loan debt up $29B. Meanwhile, credit-card and home-equity balances declined slightly. Overall the picture is steadily improving as delinquency rates are at their lowest level since 2007, suggesting the new debt accumulation is mostly healthy for a growing economy. But money owed on student loans continues to hit quarterly records; the total is now $1.26T. And while delinquencies eased to 11% from 4Q's 11.5%, don't take much comfort in the decline. The New York Fed says 1Q's read is "likely to understate effective delinquency rates because about half of these loans are currently in deferment, in grace periods or in forbearance and therefore temporarily not in the repayment cycle." (josh.zumbrun@wsj.com; @

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
Mtl JP 15:25 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
so if U.S. New Homes Sales are a $1000 down + 2-3 month closing process, then the "Sales" part is a mis-characterization by too an eager and optimistic outfit.
Should go in file 13.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
dc CB 15:18 GMT 05/24/2016
Another week, and another quiet exodus by the "smart money" clients of Bank of America (hedge funds, institutionals and private money), who collective sold $218 million in stocks, the 17th consecutive week of selling completely oblivious of a market that "wants to go higher" according to Bob Pisani, and as BofA notes, "continuing the longest uninterrupted selling streak in our data history (since '08)."

Despite Rising Market, "Smart Money" Sells For Record 17th Consecutive Week


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
dc CB 15:15 GMT 05/24/2016
Home sales in the NE, where the gains took place, were strong because that's where those who had made the most gains in SToX live. They sold out and bougth nice big new houses.
IMHO

ps the Volume yesterday in SPY, the S&P ETF, was 58mil shares. That is Low even for the the 1/2 day session after Thanksgiving.

The volumes are so low, the market can be "moved" by a 7 yold with a swizzel stick.

Let interest rates rise!!!
HK RF@ 15:07 GMT 05/24/2016

Richmond Fed Crashes Into Contraction From 6 Year Highs, Biggest Drop In History.

The drop in the last 2 months is the largest in the 23 year history of the survey.

@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
dc CB 15:03 GMT 05/24/2016
"The Future Fair ("A fair for all and no fair to anybody!")
While the fair is a smooth-running machine spouting revisionist historical/political dogma and doing its best to maintain order on the fairgrounds, nothing is what it seems""
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

There was a lot of headscratching in today's New Home Sales reported released moments ago by the Census Bureau. The head-scratching is most prevalent among the 75 economists who attempted to forecast this number... but missed by 17 standard deviations!!

Finally, adding fabricated data insult to intellectual injury, we learn that Americans - the same consumers who according to recent retail data are loath to even go out and buy clothes - rushed out to buy new homes in the month when the median new home sale price just hit an all time high of $321,100.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-05-24/americans-bought-most-new-homes-8-years-just-median-price-hit-all-time-high


E/$ Support at 1.1153. Not yet broken
HK RF@ 14:46 GMT 05/24/2016


TskTsk...........

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
GVI Trading Room john 14:40 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
They are counting different items by different sources (NAR and U.S. govt)

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
Mtl JP 14:26 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
how different is it from 'Pending Home Sales Index - PHSI' An index created by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) that tracks homes sales in which a contract is signed but the sale has not yet closed - does this one refer to exclusively to used homes ?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
GVI Trading Room john 14:22 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
contracts signed. You look at a house and say you want to buy it. You put up a token "binder", say $1K. and start the process of inspections, getting a mortgage etc. Deal can fall apart for a myriad of reasons. Its just the very first step in a transaction which can take 2-3 months.



BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
Mtl JP 14:18 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
pray tell what exactly is the subtlety of "contracts signed" ?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates
GVI Trading Room john 14:18 GMT 05/24/2016  - My Profile
Fed is likely to want to use this report to help justify a hike in rates, which they wanted to do anyway.


Next Page





WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
25-May WEDNESDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
09:00 EZ- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Rates
14:30 US- EIA Crude
26-May THURSDAY
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
13:45 US- flash Service PMI
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Fed's Yellen Speaks


Trading Themes --
  • The USD gained Tuesday on the back of an unexpectedly strong New Home sales Report. Usually this report is not closely followed. Some feel the Fed could use the data as a pretext to hike rates in June or July, conditions permitting. The EURUSD finally is closing back below the psychological 1.1200 line. The EUR is lower on its crosses.

  • The GBP gained on mounting speculation that the Brexit referendum is likely to go down to defeat on June 23. Some still doubt that view. The AUD weakened on mounting speculation about an imminent RBA interest rate cut.

  • The German ZEW Survey came in mixed for the second straight month with the "Current Situation" improving but "Expectations" were weak.

  • Interest is growing in a scheduled speech by Fed Chair Yellen at Harvard Friday at 17:15 GMT. The hope is she will clarify the outlook for Fed policy heading into the long U.S. weekend.

John M.Bland MBA
co-founder global-View.com


If you would like to earn up to $200 working with us, send me an EMAIL






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The UK's EU referendum: All you need to know-- BBC.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On At NY Close.


Dollar hits eight-week high on Fed views; stocks jump -- Reuters.com


Sony Rises After Earnings as Investors Take Long View on Games -- Bloomberg.com

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales Beat Estimates

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed


Aussie tumbles on talk of more interest rate cuts-- Reuters.com


Using Fed Funds Futures To Predict EURUSD Sentiment

Latest News On U.S. Presidential Primaries -- Realclearpolitics.com

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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