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GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Stress tests due at 11:00 GMT on Sunday

Paris ib 14:59 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
As Paul Craig Roberts put it:

My Ph.D. dissertation chairman, who became a high Pentagon official assigned to wind down the Vietnam war, in answer to my question about how Washington gets Europeans to always do what Washington wants replied: “Money, we give them money.” “Foreign aid?” I asked. “No, we give the European political leaders bagfuls of money. They are for sale, We bought them. They report to us.”

So when Europeans or Japanese make decisions which are clearly not in their interests the explanation is relatively simple. It remains to be seen if the U.S. has bought enough politicians to push a European QE through. They managed with Japan. We shall see.

We bought them

PAR 14:58 GMT 10/24/2014
FXStreet (Mumbai) - WTI Crude Oil declined today as markets gained more clarity over Saudi’s Crude policy.

WTI Crude is trading 2% down at USD 80.44/barrels, down from a high of USD 82.37/barrel. Moreover, Saudi Arabia ‘s crude oil production increased in September, even though the supply was reduced. The sell-off in crude prices indicates that markets are more interested in seeing an actual cut in the crude oil production.

Crude prices also came under pressure after a first case of Ebola was confirmed in the US, which sparked fresh concerns over the spread of the virus. Moreover, Risk assets across the globe came under pressure today due to the Ebola concerns.

WTI Crude Technical levels

WTI crude has an immediate support of 80.05, below which prices can fall to 79.38 levels. Meanwhile, prices may rise to 82.36 levels if the immediate resistance of 81.17 is breached.

GVI Forex john 14:56 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
After European Clocks move back by an hour early Sunday, the time gap between New York and London markets will shrink to four hours from five until North American clocks move back an hour one week later.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 14:55 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Out of AUDUSD Longs ...relongs from 0.8620 area

GVI Forex Blog 14:51 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
October 24, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 27. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB/EZ- Clocks Back one hour, DE- IFO Survey, US- flash Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 27, 2014

Fed Decision next Wednesday
Mtl JP 14:51 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
the benevolence displayed by the FED out of "fear of the future damage it may do" is surely worthy of some Nobel recognition , particularly in light of recent global growth fears that polluted recent headlines.

GVI Forex john 14:49 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile

October 24, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 27. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB/EZ- Clocks Back one hour, DE- IFO Survey, US- flash Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB/EZ- Clocks Back one hour, DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: US- flash Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales

GVI Forex john 14:36 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

For Example, Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.

Fed Decision next Wednesday
GVI Forex john 14:31 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
As I look at the markets, economy etc., as a comprehensive picture, I don't see any pressing need for the Fed to do much next week. We know that the Asset Purchase Program has outlived its useful life and the central Bank would love to be done with this program for fear of the future damage it may do. I expect it to be trimmed again or eliminated, but for the doves to keep interest rate policy on hold.

I don't expect this meeting to have a major impact on the USD, but we will be keeping a constant watch into the meeting.

Mtl JP 14:24 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
ib 13:58 the German does count. Probably as an anti-character in the Kabuki. The printer , however, trumps. There is a reason why the German is still occupied by American boot. His submission and ultimate impotence is so well illustrated by his "decision" to stop repatriation of his Gold from the Fed

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 14:11 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
NDX Most likely dips again into 3800 to get coffee and then back over 4070 next week
Not doing anything with it yet

GVI Forex john 14:09 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
New Homes Sales (blue line) dead flat from early 2013.

buy euro
jkt abel 14:07 GMT 10/24/2014
bought 1.2691
stop 1.2647
target 1.2850

GVI Forex john 14:06 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
New Homes Sales in September unchanged from downwardly revised August data.

Livingston nh 14:05 GMT 10/24/2014
JP - there's a lag of up to 3 months to closing - contract usually has contingencies, i.e., mortgage

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
what is the dif signed contracts vs closed sales?

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
New Homes sales unchanged AFTER revisions. These are signed contracts, not closed sales, as in Existing Homes Sales.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
U.S. New Home Sales September 2014

467K vs. 470K exp. vs. 504K (r 466K)prev.

New Residential Sales

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:00 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile

interest currently approximately calm and steady

Paris ib 13:58 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
JP - whatever that means. The Americans printed. It didn't work. So far the market has mostly ignored how badly it didn't work. However, when you add in all the tragic geopolitical mistakes the Americans have made, to compound the problem, then we are likely to see fairly soon just how badly it hasn't worked. And no, despite all the encouragement from these right wing think tanks and publications, the ECB is not about to embark on QE to save the USD. Even if half Europe's politicians and bankers are on the U.S. payroll. And yes Germany does count. And from where I'm standing: thank god for that.

Paris ib 13:55 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Europe - or rather the Euro Area - is currently running a current account surplus equivalent to 2.5% of annual GDP. The capital available in Europe is plenty. But if you think 'the end is nigh' and the Euro area is going to break up and so and so forth then may I suggest taking a short position on the Euro, which is currently trading at 1.2685. I have no problem taking the other side of that trade.

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
don't forget that Europeans have relatively recent experience with restructuring public and private debt: default thru hyper-printing (in Germany) and finally money exchange a la Française. It is a formula that has worked with all its pains (to most) and pleasures (to some). And a historical suggestion to leave aside personal indignation and accept that bankers have less than zero sympathy for the great unwashed.

Livingston nh 13:51 GMT 10/24/2014
EURzone banks got the AQR news last night - the joint fund is 50 bio EUR -- so how much is required? raising capital in some country banks will be difficult especially if bank stocks in question sell off after the report

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 13:41 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
recommended short here folks
tgt 1.10 area

Paris ib 13:40 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
From the Economist: 'central bankers are not providing the world with the inflation it needs'

There is so much wrong with that sentence. Suffice to say: I stopped reading the Economist years ago. I don't need ideology rammed down my throat by a bunch of people who have never even had a real job.

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
ib ... a (trade suggestion) bone or you:

The dangers of deflation Economist

Print they will. It does not matter what the German wants.
Too much bank and fin institution debt trumps.

PAR 13:37 GMT 10/24/2014
Ebola fears are over . Stocks up .

london red 13:30 GMT 10/24/2014
Euro feeling bid. Res at 86 might give as its making a bit of a coiled spring but expect trendline to hold at 12735 and price to close below 10 day ma at 2721 and poss 20 at 2685. Close below 12686 on the week is bearish.

Paris ib 13:24 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Our friends in the media and on the newswires have been pressing too hard on the 'sell Euro' button lately. All the spooky headlines based on nothing much (ECB to buy corporate bonds, then there was another 'scare' story I can't even remember now)...... all the boo stuff is starting to undermine their credibility. Meanwhile lurking in the shadows another story waits to break....

"unless it can continue rolling over trillions of dollars in short-term debt every month at record-low interest rates, it won't be able to pay the interest on its debt or its bills....... causing a financial stampede to the exits just requires somebody to yell “Boo!” loudly and frighteningly enough."

In the Shadows

GVI Forex john 13:08 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Belgian Consumer Confidence -6.8 vs -7.9. Usually a predictor of German IFO due on Monday.

Mtl JP 13:07 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
it might be .. maybe the expection was for 80+ banks failing

London Chris 13:00 GMT 10/24/2014
This is not being borne out by the price action.

GVI Forex john 12:53 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Hearing report 25 of 130 banks failed AQR stress tests. Not an authoritative report.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
london red 12:21 GMT 10/24/2014
yen. home sales. buy dip to 64/39. if below there it aint coming back. but, i think upside will win out today so short side wont get triggered today.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 12:19 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Of course you cannot trade USDJPY without following S&P. The two generally have been trading together today, but not as closely as it has been in the recent past. The relationship tends to tighten as U.S. activity gathers steam.

GVI Forex john 12:14 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
SP -7
DJ -41
DAX -56

10-yr 2.243%

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 12:08 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD is roughly at neutrality with its pivot 1.2647 and key 20-day avg 1.2684.
R1 1.2680
S1 1.2617

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:58 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
The first thing that jumps out at me is that the USDJPY LOD is 107.86 and the pivot point is 107.88. A pivot point can be a break-out level, a determinator of market tone or support/resistance. At the moment it is support, and the USD tone above 107.88 should be positive and below it should turn negative.

R1 is distant at 108.62

Day's Trades
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:53 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
As I posted earlier on GVI Forex

Since it is hard to suggest aggressive new positioning into this weekend the question is how much is taken off the table. Have to watch eurusd 1.2650 as that will give a clue as to whether there is profit taking. Same true for usdjpy 108.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:38 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile

USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 11:22 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Now watching

I love propaganda movies by Hollywood financed by the CIA / NSA using other peoples tax money
propaganda movies have become comedy to me since 2000...LOL
Continuous cover up,,,is really funny

Global Marklets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:15 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
The USD/JPY pair was back above the 108 level aided by reports that BOJ saw a much bigger possibility of inflation slipping below 1%, pushed down by falling crude oil prices then opening the door for more potential QE EU Market Update: Looming weekend for event risk with ECB stress test results; also elections in Brazil and Ukraine

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:59 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
I am covering my longs near 1.6130
then relong <1.60 again

Day's Trades
london red 09:39 GMT 10/24/2014
cable. back under 200 hour, thats the near term topside marker. focus on 16018 while below.
gdp details worse than headline. servs soft, propped by construction. servs always uk ace, so if slowing, gdp will tail off further. oct servs data now pivotal.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:30 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD most likely from here into above 1.2800
might back down to 1.2600 again
it will take a while to get to 1.38 folks

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:26 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile
Longing USDJPY here is dangerous
IMO dips again to 106
then again north to 108.6
for the bigger wave drop

london red 09:25 GMT 10/24/2014
people blame italy france for slow reform but how can anyone expect reforms by member states in euroland when there is no financial benefit in doing so.
everyone equal. communism.
uk votes out of this bs outfit 2017. or earlier depending on the election result next year.

sd sf 09:23 GMT 10/24/2014
gbpyen as well is pretty important

was couple of highs 60-65 and now tested 90 and rejected.

I'm not that confident $yen can track up through 30 till we see US Stock Performance -- because really it has just bailed out some weakish longs from Asia .. I doubt there is any fresh new longs going in at these prices.

EUR you can see its tough to push it lower or to get it higher - which spells bad news for someone on the open Monday depending how things turn out... as not much chance to do anything with a bad position... in such a small range.

AUD I was wrong on that I thought it would stay 30-65 and Gold 27-32... but that's the market for you.

Back at it Tuesday .. all the best.

RISK OFF: U.K. 3Q14 Solid and in Line With Street Estimates. Light U.S. Data Calendar. ECB Bank Stre
GVI Forex Blog 09:23 GMT 10/24/2014  - My Profile

Preliminary 3Q14 U.K. GDP grew solidly and in line with street expectations. The GBP is up on the news. Today has a light data calendar with U.S. New Homes Sales due, Over the weekend, European clocks are turned back one hour. North American clocks change a week later.

RISK OFF: U.K. 3Q14 Solid and in Line With Street Estimates. Light U.S. Data Calendar. ECB Bank Stress Tests Sunday

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