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25/06/18 8:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 101.8 pre: 102.2
25/06/18 8:00 A DE IFO Current con: 105.7 pre: 106
25/06/18 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 98 pre: 98.5
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Bank of England More Hawkish Than Expected
GVI Trader john 21:41 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder,

BOE Decision Sends Hints Higher Rates Could be In Store For Future The closely-followed Bank Of England policy decision Thursday saw no change in the Repo Rate of 0.50% as widely expected. Also as forecast, there was a unanimous vote to keep total asset purchases (QE) steady at GBP435bn per month. As for the rate decision, three members voted for an immediate 25bp rate hike. The Previous vote had been 7-2. The new dissenter was Chief Economist Andy Haldane, who dissented for the first time. This marked the first dissenting vote for a hike by a Bank insider since 2011... more...

Bank Of England Decision More Hawkish Than Expected

Commitment Of Traders Report for 19 June 2018 Data
GVI Trader john 19:41 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for EUR COT Details

Click on chart forJPY COT Details

Net GBP and CHF COT Positions

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Net AUD and CAD COT Positions

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Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil

Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 22 June 2018
GVI Forex Blog 19:07 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 22 June 2018

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Livingston nh 18:06 GMT 06/22/2018
JP - the REAL longshot is Erdogan screws w/ US at Incirlik - that's the lottery ticket winner if he does that

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Livingston nh 18:01 GMT 06/22/2018
JP - Does the autocrat Erdogan win outright? Probably not on the first ballot so USD/TRY stays under 5 unless his Party loses control -- if the Party loses then IMO he starts to "take measures" and the lira weakens gradually (maybe CHF/TRY to be a good chance) thru the next election

IF he wins on first ballot and Party wins then IMO the USD/TRY pops thru 5 Monday - and continues higher until capital controls come in // what is the Reserve position? how long to move new CB members in?

I don't think this guy goes quietly - investment is at risk, inflation has been jumping as lira weakened and he is breaking ties w/ the West -- barring a military takeover (the usual cure) he will solidify his position

The EU response to his initial moves is key to his continued refugee cooperation - NATO is at risk if our President decides to support him

You pays your money - you takes your chance

GVI Trader john 17:37 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Baker Hughes Rig Count

Total: 1052 vs. 1059 (-7) prev.
Oil: 862 vs. 863 (-1) prev.

Canada: 160 vs. 139 (+21)

TTN: Live News Special Offer

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 17:21 GMT 06/22/2018
nh re turk lira
Turkey holds presidential elections this sunday
opening a bet on how the puppy will open on Monday

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT 06/22/2018
CB 14:58 why would a bully want a law even if it - allegely - would "allow the U.S. to sue the cartel for manipulating crude prices and global oil market that caused enormous damage for the American economy and consumers" ?

Mtl JP 16:56 GMT 06/22/2018
WTI now at 68.38
some guatemalan mother of a kid named Darwin (not a joke) sued Trump administration and ... won re-unification !

Maybe Trump himself will one day be glad the two Koreas remain separated so that he will be to seek and receive sanctuary in Kim's kingdom

GVI 16:09 GMT 06/22/2018
New York Fed Nowcast: cuts Q2 GDP forecast to 2.9% from 3.0% prior; cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 2.6% from 2.8% prior

- Source

PAR 16:07 GMT 06/22/2018
Trump is a communist. Wants to use Leaontiefs input output models for the US economy .

PAR 15:58 GMT 06/22/2018
Trump is a barking dog . So happy to meet the Queen of England .

PAR 15:54 GMT 06/22/2018
New low for the day . Stay short .

NFLX -----> will crash
SaaR KaL 15:35 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
This level is a sell
easy to 250

dc CB 15:27 GMT 06/22/2018
A 25% tariff would add around €10,000 to the sticker price of a European built car: BBG

Mtl JP 15:17 GMT 06/22/2018
President Trump - FYI
Vehicles made in Canada 2017

Vehicles made in Canada 2017

Extra Extra Read All About It.
SaaR KaL 15:14 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Shorted more Oil
tgt 65.32
avg 67.3 now

dc CB 14:58 GMT 06/22/2018
Trump’s open and repeated criticism of OPEC and its influence on oil prices provides credibility to the belief that he would sign into law the NOPEC legislation that is currently making its way through Congress.

The bill would allow America to pursue litigation against OPEC on anti trust grounds.

NOPEC isn’t a totally new concept, as it has been drafted and voted through Congress some 16 times over the past 18 years, but never made it past the President’s desk, whether it was Bush or Obama. But Trump could give NOPEC a different sort of ending, one which could see it taking up the status of US law.


dc CB 14:52 GMT 06/22/2018
Canada dosen't have any car companies.
Mercedes, BMW, and Volvo all have plants in the US.

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT 06/22/2018
President Trump : that is discriminatory !!!!

What about tariff-icating autos made-in-canada ?! chrystia has been working really hard for the last two days on a "detailed response" to such ... is her good diligence not worthy of being rewarded and is it to be left for naught ??

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:29 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Risk off, eurusd lower after this latest tewwet

10:25 (US) Trump tweets: "Based on the Tariffs and Trade Barriers long placed on the U.S. and it great companies and workers by the European Union, if these Tariffs and Barriers are not soon broken down and removed, we will be placing a 20% Tariff on all of their cars coming into the U.S. Build them here!"

** NOTE: 6/20 (US) Commerce Sec Ross: to hold hearings on Section 232 probe on auto tariffs on July 19-20th

- Source

Extra Extra Read All About It.
Mtl JP 14:26 GMT 06/22/2018
nota bene: "offering new customers" (i.e pigeons)

barely hot off the press "Fed says all banks met minimum capital requirements after stress tests" gloating that all-is-well headlines (The Fed said banks met the minimums after a “severely adverse” stress test that would cause $578 billion in losses for 35 lenders. --all hypothetical so assume propaganda bullsh!t)

when this is now making headlines du jour:

Banks want your deposits - and are willing to pay you for them

Banks are NOT in the do-good er charity business. What is good for them is extremely rarely good for the depositing plebes. Makes me wonder what the banks know ahead of the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review due to be announced next week.

lkwd jj 14:10 GMT 06/22/2018
opec increases production 600k-700 market was looking for more so its up 1.80

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash PMIs Miss in June 2018
HK [email protected] 14:00 GMT 06/22/2018
Now on, need to watch if US econo. parameters, are after their peak.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash PMIs Miss in June 2018
GVI Forex Blog 13:56 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
U.S. flash Markit Mfg & Service PMI. June 2018 data miss estimates. These remain second-tier releases. Final data come out at the start of the new month.
U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI

U.S. flash Markit Service PMI

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Flash PMIs Miss in June 2018

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
U.S. flash Markit Mfg & SVC PMI June 2018

mfg: 54.6 vs. 56.2 exp. vs. 56.4 prev.
svc: 56.5 vs. 56.8 exp. vs. 56.8 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 13:29 GMT 06/22/2018
one equalizing feature of trading FX is that rarily does it trade in a straight line (I define straight line as a minimum 1000pip drive with no more than 50pip counterpops - about as rare as pink spotted leapard)

and so ... now that eurdlr (1.1660) has held and bounced off 1,15 looks like odds are this pink leopard will go see what is hiding around approx 1.1850 as "parity next" screamers' vocals cords get ripped out and silenced.

GVI Trader john 13:19 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Belgium Confidence implies a stronger German IFO on Monday.

GVI 13:18 GMT 06/22/2018
(BE) Belgium Jun Business Confidence: 0.6 v 0.0e - Source

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 13:16 GMT 06/22/2018
munchkin still "getting away with murder"
US 10-YR (US10Y:U.S.) Yield - 9:13:59 AM EDT
2.924 % +0.027

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT 06/22/2018
the beyond reach of anti-collusion laws,
Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed in principle Friday to a deal that would lift output by a nominal 1 million barrels a day, though the effective increase would be smaller, reports said. According to The Wall Street Journal

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI And Retail Sales Miss in May/April 2018
GVI Forex Blog 12:51 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Canada: CPI falls short of expectations.

Canada: Retail Sales weaker vs. expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI And Retail Sales Miss in May/April 2018

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 12:47 GMT 06/22/2018
nh u still yanking the turklira and / or mexican puppies ?
change your mind about poloz as the nemesis ?

GVI Trader john 12:32 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Canada: CPI (May) Retail Sales (April) 2018

Headline CPI
mm: +0.10% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
yy: +2.20% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.

Retail Sales
Headline: -1.20% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.
X-Autos: -0.10% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 12:31 GMT 06/22/2018

Extra Extra Read All About It.
Mtl JP 12:30 GMT 06/22/2018
CB 12:26 sounds like a hackers' wet dream

Extra Extra Read All About It.
dc CB 12:26 GMT 06/22/2018
Four years after handing Amazon a $600 million contract to develop a cloud-storage service for the US intelligence community that can store information across the full range of data classifications - including Unclassified, Sensitive, Secret, and Top Secret - the NSA announced on Thursday that it has moved most of its mission data to a front-end cloud computing system developed by the agency that's supported by - you guessed it - Amazon and its CEO, Jeff Bezos.

NSA Launches Amazon-Backed Cloud-Computing Service

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
london red 12:21 GMT 06/22/2018
200hma supporting euro on closing basis so far. until close below, not going dwn. dont forget huge buying of 115 puts yest, most running off today at the cut, another reason mkt reluctant to move lower.11640-75 a bit of no mans land, once either side thats where we go.

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 12:19 GMT 06/22/2018
USDCAD 1.3270ish
puppy should see support around 1.3250/25 in ruff round numbers IF it dips on reaction to 8:30 data and an effort to price in a poloz rate hike in july

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 12:14 GMT 06/22/2018
IF u look at the hrly DLRX it is patently obvious that atm USD ...
tud-aaammm .... is offered

EU at NY cut
Belgrade Knez 11:59 GMT 06/22/2018

Stop loss belongs to pus..s
SaaR KaL 11:40 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Symbol_______ Short > Long < Adds
AUD/JPY(Close) 81.49 80.62 0.2905
CAD/JPY(Close) 82.93 82.20 0.2432
EUR/CAD(Close) 1.5489 1.5388 0.0034
EUR/JPY(Close) 128.06 126.82 0.4141
EUR/NZD(Close) 1.6955 1.6829 0.0042
EUR/USD(Close) 1.1614 1.1515 0.0033
GBP/AUD(Close) 1.7980 1.7836 0.0048
GBP/JPY(Close) 145.93 144.52 0.47
GBP/NZD(Close) 1.9318 1.9164 0.0051
GBP/USD(Close) 1.3229 1.3112 0.0039
JPN225(Close) 22,673 22,215 153
NAS100(Close) 7,330 7,204 42
NZD/USD(Close) 0.6882 0.6822 0.0020
SPX500(Close) 2,775 2,745 10
US30(Close) 24,648 24,385 88
USD/CAD(Close) 1.3376 1.3307 0.0023
USD/JPY(Close) 110.60 109.76 0.28
USOil(Close) 66.42 64.73 0.56
XAU/USD(Close) 1,269 1,258 4

Oil Shorts in place
SaaR KaL 11:31 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Now that oil is near entry...someone will blow a pipe somewhere

Watch the news when
SaaR KaL 11:29 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Cable drops into 1.3150
Brit exit stuff comes out

Oil Shorts in place
SaaR KaL 11:23 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
Will short Oil
USOil(Close) 66.42 64.73 0.56

67 67.5 should be ok

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
SaaR KaL 11:16 GMT 06/22/2018  - My Profile
JP I am now long USDCAD for 1.3350

AT Forex Trading Tips: Don't Ignore Your Charts
Mtl JP 11:12 GMT 06/22/2018
darn... oil is uP = usd is down -> usdcad DOwn some

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 19 June 2018
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
AFlash PMIs

John M. Bland, MBA
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