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FOREX FORUM
23/10/14 10:00 B GB CBI Ind Output Trends con: n/a pre: 27
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Chipping Away
shanghai bc 09:18 GMT 10/23/2014

IB --Looking back,Prof.Keynes' idea of a truely international and non-national reserve currency was a far better idea..Neither Pound nor Dollar, but an independent world cuurency..China is not interested in making RMB a world reserve currency at all..But only interested in Keynes' truely independent international reserve currency..Nither Euro nor Dollar nor RMB..But an independent new world reserve currency..It may be better for USA in the long run too..Britain has done very well after Pound stopped being the only world reserve currency ..

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 09:07 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

09:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Early  in European trade, markets are in  MIXED RISK posture following a slew of flash PMI releases that broadly have been mixed to stronger than expected.  In Far East trade, equities ended weaker. European bourses are modestly higher at this hour  U.S. share futures are up.

U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are up as well.. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down sharply again.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



Chipping Away
Paris ib 08:53 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
bc - I agree but the U.S. seems completely paranoid about any attempt to develop outside the current international financial framework. Indeed I think there has been a concerted effort by some elements of the media to suggest that should the USD stop being the world reserve currency then disaster will ensue. Personally I think a move away from the USD as a reserve currency is already underway and is likely to continue and I really don't see an economic disaster coming as a result. That said the level of paranoia on the issue is spectacular. :-)

Chipping Away
shanghai bc 08:50 GMT 10/23/2014

On Infrastructure bank,China is the largest trading partner of some 120 countries..Having one's own Banks to provide credit and finance for trade in each continent is a necessity..China obviously cannot ask IMF or World Bank to provide loans and credit to those countries to carry out China trade..

BREAKING NEWS
london red 08:49 GMT 10/23/2014
yen. 64 res attempted twice hopefully a bit of consolidation into us session around 40 for another test and then break to 90.

BREAKING NEWS
london red 08:46 GMT 10/23/2014
one of the reasons sales are being squeezed lower. price war will only increase as tesco needs to reduce prices further to stop the rot and with a quarter market share, its pricing will have an effect on uk sales.

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London London 08:46 GMT 10/23/2014
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BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 08:42 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Forgot to link.

The Tesco Saga


BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 08:41 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
"Tesco's share price dive-bombed today after it was revealed profits slumped 91.9 per cent, its chairman quit and a £250million accounting scandal was even worse than predicted."

"Police are also expected to launch a criminal investigation over an accounting scandal that saw its first half profits artificially inflated by £263million, more than the £250million estimated last month."

Don't know what is going on over there, but it sounds ugly.


BREAKING NEWS
london red 08:41 GMT 10/23/2014
10yr dec now below yr low and black wed low. yen res 64 abv 90

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:40 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.K. Retail Sales data fall and miss expectations. GBPUSD lower.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:35 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
weaker than expected.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

GB Retail Sales September 2014




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -0.30% vs.- 0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
yy: +2.70% vs. +2.90% exp. vs. +3.90% (-3.70%) prev.

x-fuel
mm: -0.30% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% (+0.30%) prev.
yy: +3.10% vs. +3.50% exp. vs. +4.50% (+4.40%) prev.


RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Chipping Away
Paris ib 08:26 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Bit more argy bargy going on in that part of the world, largely unreported in the Western corporate media.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank


Chipping Away
Paris ib 08:21 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
"China will officially launch a new $50bn Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank on Friday as it steps up its challenge to global financial institutions like the World Bank that it feels are dominated by America and its allies."

Australia has yet to decide if it will sign on or not. Should it not it seems relations between the two countries are likely to be somewhat damaged, to the detriment of Australia.

China and Global Financial Infrastructure


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:17 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EARLIER: Japan flash PMI. improved data.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:13 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Japan flash PMI October 2014





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
52.8 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 51.7 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 08:13 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
"Other factors also augur for continued recovery. The fiscal drags on the economy that persisted during the crisis are dissipating. Drastic ECB easing programs including negative deposit rates and a low-interest loan program for Eurozone banks should spark more bank lending and thus more economic activity. While many banks have been reducing lending to strengthen their balance sheets ahead of the central bank’s impending Asset Quality Review process, that process will be over by autumn."

From Credit Suisse


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:10 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EZ, GE flash Mfg PMIs. Mostly better, except France.



EZ, German and French flash Services PMIs. Flat to weaker

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 08:08 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Paris ib 18:07 GMT October 16, 2014
EUR/USD: Reply

"Although it sounds trivial, a calendar issue likely exaggerated the drop in industrial production. When bank holidays fall on a Thursday in Europe, workers tend to take Friday off as well to have a long weekend. But official statistics still count the Friday as a full working day, which puts a damper on output. Over the past 30 years, Eurozone industrial production has contracted an average of nearly 2 percent in May in years when May Day occurred on a Thursday."

I posted this on the 16th and it's still worth a read.

Right "the market" consensus seems to be: Europe is going down the toilet, it would be a tragedy for everyone if the USD stops being the world reserve currency, the U.S. economic recovery continues..... I would question pretty much all of that.

Don't believe the bad news


BREAKING NEWS
PAR 08:03 GMT 10/23/2014
Exception made for France , Europe is doing really well . After some weather related summer slowdown ,Europe is growing rather fast despite all the problems created by the ECB.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EZ Flash PMI Estimates October 2014






ALERT
EZ
mfg:50.7 vs. 49.9 exp. vs. 50.3 prev.
svc: 52.4 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.4 prev.

France
mfg: 47.3 vs. 48.5 exp. vs. 48.8
svc: 48.1 vs. 48.3 exp. vs. 48.4

German
mfg: 51.8 vs. 49.9 exp. vs. 50.3
svc: 54.8 vs. 55.0 exp. vs. 55.7


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

eurusd
sd sf 08:00 GMT 10/23/2014
you can see today was a bit different - in terms of how they traded it.

we got the jam down to 10-20 and now we are seeing where the top is

given the range has been 50 pips then 15-65 probably.

(this would have been much easier if Asia had done it first though)

FRANCE
PAR 07:58 GMT 10/23/2014
France Markit Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (48.5) in October: Actual (47.3)


France Markit Services PMI registered at 48.1, below expectations (48.2) in October

Germany
PAR 07:56 GMT 10/23/2014
FXStreet (Łódź) - Preliminary German PMI Manufacturing increased to 51.8 in October, from 49.9 in September, according to data released today by Markit. The result is against market consensus of a drop to 49.5.

PMI Services fell to 54.8, following a 55.7 and below expectations of a slide to 55.0.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 07:55 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EARLIER: HSBC Headline flash PMI improves modestly.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 07:50 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
China flash HSBC PMI October 2014





Earlier
HSBC: 50.4 vs. 50.2 exp. vs. 50.2 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

eurusd
london red 07:45 GMT 10/23/2014
got short again at 50 stop abv flash high. if abv its doing 70-90. gap to 22 and reassess.

eurusd
london red 07:06 GMT 10/23/2014
if we dont do much of a retracement we could do some big downside today. historically candles/bars with minimal retracement tend to extend strongly to the opposite side. trigger below 18 for more, but beware consolidation thursday. often calm before the friday storm.

eurusd
london red 06:57 GMT 10/23/2014
just trying an outside hour here but needs to move thru 50 to have any chance of a bit of retracement. except everyone is looking to sell and thats the problem which is hampering any retracement. data starts shortly. more from germany later.

Day's Trades
Haifa ac 06:24 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
SaaR KaL 01:55 GMT 10/23/2014 - My Profile
US Oil
is a great buy here folks..

True. and will be even a greater buy around 71.

eurusd
sd sf 05:47 GMT 10/23/2014
over the last 2 days in this period of roughly the next 3 hours from now

we traded 1.2790/1.2840 we started around 1.2810 and bought for about 2.5 hours

yesterday we traded 1.2685/1.2740 and we bought for about 2.5 hours and we started around 1.2723

so about 50 points basically ... interesting if we can do 50 3 days in a row.

GVI Forex Blog 05:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
**Economic Data***- (CN) CHINA HSBC OCT FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.4 V 50.2E (3-month high) - (JP) JAPAN OCT PRELIM MARKIT/JMMA MANUFACTURING PMI: 52.8 V 51.7E (5th straight month of expansion, highe

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China HSBC Flash PMI hits 3-month highs, though Output component slows; Kiwi falls 1% on slower CPI growth - Source TradeTheNews.com


eurusd
sd sf 02:30 GMT 10/23/2014
$yen just seeing range t/p offers coming in now @31 32 .. not expecting much more in Asia on this one.

EUR drifting lower that is about all you can say about it.

AceTrader Oct 23: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:57 GMT 10/23/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
23 Oct 2014 01:26GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Dlr pares Wed's gain in early Tokyo trading as intra-day retreat in the Nikkei (currently down 102 points at 15093 after yesterday's 2.5% rally) has led to intra-day renewed buying in yen.

Although the pair climbed in NY morning after U.S. CPI ticked higher and touched session high of 107.38, offers at Monday's 107.39 top checked intra-day gain and price edged lower near NY close.
Looks like range trading would continue in Asia, unless the Nikkei falls sharply, re-test of 107.28/39 is on the card.
Bids are noted at 107.00 and more below would stops below 106.80-75.
On the upside, offers are tipped at 107.45/50 with stops above there, however, more selling interest is reported at 107.80/00 area.

Thursday will see the release of New Zealand CPI, Japan manufacturing PMI, China HSBC manufacturing PMI, France business climate, manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, services PMI, EU manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Italy trade balance, UK retail sales, CBI trends, U.S. home price index, jobless claims, manufacturing PMI, leading index and consumer confidence.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 01:55 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US Oil
is a great buy here folks
I do not trade oil...Just that a friend asked me to do so..
a pick over the next day IMO
tgt > 100

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex 01:46 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
MNI: CHINA HSBC OCT FLASH PMI 50.4 VS SEPT FINAL 50.2

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 01:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
* Dollar underpinned after uptick in U.S. CPI

* Bank sector concerns weigh on euro

* Euro zone PMI awaited for market cues

FOREX-Dollar holds steady, supported by Treasury yields, sagging euro


eurusd
shanghai bc 00:55 GMT 10/23/2014

Please contact Jay the boss via email..He will relay your mail to me..


All the best to you..



BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 00:54 GMT 10/23/2014
The EUR/USD closed below the 21 dma for the first time in a week - the next two days should see more weakness into the AQR weekend -- maybe the big drop in Greek yield has been last minute shoppers ?

eurusd
GVI Forex 00:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD upside limited ahead of PMI reports.

1.2650 clearly sets bias (and currently resistance) while within 1.26-1.27. 1.2609-25 targeted while below it, then 1.2580

On top, 1.2680 blocks return to 1.27.

BREAKING NEWS
sd sf 23:08 GMT 10/22/2014
I'm surprised we couldn't put more effort into moving the markets around - given the o/n moves and then this NZD number.

may as well head out and come back in 3 hours for the CNY HSBC number.

Looking past that .. French/Spanish/German Data - none of those seem like they will be good.

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:43 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Red, always, thanks for your insights.

To be clear, we are not soliciting for a broker but in our role as a trader advocate, we try to pass on to our members anything we come across that we think can improve their trading.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:54 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile


October 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators
  • Far East: JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, CBI Output
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators, Natural Gas



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:52 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
NZ CPI disinflation.


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:46 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
New Zealand 3Q14 CPI

-- NEWS ALERT--
QQ: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
YY: 1.00% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 20:44 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Closing Levels...



" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 20:30 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
" Trade Ideas "
london red 20:25 GMT 10/22/2014


Red Sir, my pleasure !

" Trade Ideas "
london red 20:25 GMT 10/22/2014
FM king of the long term, nothing changes. thanks for your calls. always take note when you open a fresh page.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:24 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile


USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




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