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FOREX FORUM
25/07/14 8:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 109.4 pre: 109.7
25/07/14 8:00 A DE IFO Current con: 114.5 pre: 114.8
25/07/14 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 104.5 pre: 104.8
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High Frequency Trading: Clear and Present Danger?
Amman Amman 05:43 GMT 07/25/2014
As we look back on 2013, it has certainly been a year of increasing scrutiny and criticism of capital markets trading participants. One particular area of focus is so-called “High Frequency Trading” (HFT), the practice of automated trading algorithms rapidly taking market positions. HFT is seen by many as a major cause of market crashes and volatility. Most notably, many believe the automated withdrawal of liquidity by HFT algorithms accelerated the 2010 flash crash, where the Dow-Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 1000 points and then recovered most of the losses in only 30 minutes.

Hybrid Solutions


FCA keeps narrow scope in currency-rigging settlement
Amman Amman 05:37 GMT 07/25/2014
NDAQ reported 2Q14 adj. EPS of $0.70 (-3% q/q, +12% y/y) and diluted GAAP EPS of $0.59 (-1% q/q, +13% y/y), on revenues of $523m (-1% q/q, +16% y/y) an adj. OpEx of $308m (-2% q/q, +15% y/y) excluding M&A, extinguishment of debt and special legal expenses. NDAQ reduced OpEx guidance to $1.22b-$1.25b from $1.25b-$1.285b. NDAQ paid $100m of debt and returned to its long-term leverage target; and also repurchased $93m of stock. NDAQ declared a $0.15 dividend per share payable on September 26.

Akram Majed


Risk On/Off Heat Map
nw kw 05:33 GMT 07/25/2014
xaueur looks nuts ??strength eur

GVI Forex Blog 03:24 GMT 07/25/2014  - My Profile
Nothing, repeat nothing really happened in the US markets even after the jobless claims

Morning Briefing : 25-Jul-2014 -0323 GMT


AceTrader Jul 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:55 GMT 07/25/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views GBP/USD

25 Jul 2014 02:43GMT

GBP/USD - ... Cable gains respite in subdued Asian trading after tanking to a 4-week trough of 1.6967 on Thur as a tepid 0.1% m/m growth in Jun retails sales (vs forecast of 03% increase) triggered broad-based selling of sterling vs usd n eur.

As retail sales account for just under 6% of U.K. economic output, market is keenly awaiting the release of the 1st reading of Britain's Q2 GDP. Street forecast is looking for a q/q growth of 0.8% & an annual expansion of 3.1%. If actual quarterly figure disappoints, then recent expectation of the start of a rate hike near year-end wud be put in the back burner. If the reading is higher than forecast, then one can expect a short-covering rally back twd 1.7085/95.

Until then, offers are noted at 1.7000/10 n more abv, initial bids are reported at 1.6970-60 with more stops touted below 1.6950.

25 Jul 2014 02:21GMT

U.K. Telegraph :
The IMF cut its global growth forecast for 2014 from 3.7% to 3.4% in the latest update to its World Economic Outlook, warning that the advanced economies are still being weighed on by high levels of debt.

Ultra-low interest rates around the world are fuelling financial bubbles n pushing investors into overvalued assets, the IMF has warned in a marked shift of policy.

Olivier Blanchard, the IMF?s chief economist, said the fund is now watching financial markets "like a hawk" but said the world economy is still too fragile to withstand the introduction of tighter monetary policy. "The first line of defence should be macro-prudential tools; slowing down the housing market for example. The recovery is not very strong and really needs to be nurtured," he said. The report also said "Global growth could be weaker for longer, monetary policy should thus remain accommodative in all major advanced economies."


Friday will see the release of Japan National CPI, Tokyo CPI, Germany Gfk consumer confidence, Ifo current conditions, expectations, business climate, Italy unemployment, UK GDP and U.S. durable goods on Friday.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 01:37 GMT 07/25/2014
Mtl JP 22:45 GMT
with $193 billion revenue Amazon can not make a profit
+++++++++++++++++++
Two words:
Alibaba IPO

Wait til Jack Ma, the Chinese version of Bezos, sets up here and starts selling Stuff.

Jeff will have the WaPo running Chinese currency manipulation Editorials. :)))))))))

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:24 GMT 07/25/2014  - My Profile
* Upbeat employment data support dollar vs yen

* Japan CPI as expected, muted reaction from dollar/yen

* Euro off 8-mth low but longer-term view still bearish

FOREX-Dollar, euro supported by positive jobless claims, activity data


Risk On/Off Heat Map
Dillon AL 23:30 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
550x p/e based off some minor profits they once made a while ago.
stock up 400% since the bull was kick-started with QE

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 23:28 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
john that usdyen 101.86 is begging for a short against it for 101.40 target

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 22:50 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
the "love" appears to be a near 10% tank in Aamzon's shares sofar

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 22:45 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
with $193 billion revenue Amazon can not make a profit ....
are they peddling made-in-usa crap ?

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 22:14 GMT 07/24/2014
worse. Amazon reported bad numbers after the close.

Their business model : put everyone else out of business.
They still are losing money.. So Retail is really bad off, and you can't blane it on the WEATHER, when it's online.

But Jeff Bezos does now own the Washington Post...so I'm there will be some "love".

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 22:10 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
maybe Obama's gang can help Walmart whose US stores have suffered five straight quarters of sales declines at stores that have been open at least a year. By some sort of executive order.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 21:55 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
CB 21:47 oh oh ooooooohhh
what is next..... brownshirts ?

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 21:47 GMT 07/24/2014
Pres. Obama: Savvy investors know what goes up can come down

Obama and Liesman


Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 21:02 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
GVI Forex john 20:36 / merci beaucoup.
those tables valent leur pesant de cacahučtes

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 20:41 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile


July 24, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, July 25. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- IFO, GB- GDP.
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: DE- IFO, GB- GDP.
  • North America: US- Durable Goods, COT Report.



Chart Points -- Daily Forex Trading Points
GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Global-View Chart Points updated daily. Seven currency bases and in printer-friendly format andover 50 currency pairs.

Foreign Currency Exchange Tables


Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 20:34 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile


john 18:41 - it may or not be "pivotal" to the extent that it may or not excite the BIG players, who-ever they are.
ps/ fwiw I am not In the Circle.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 20:23 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
dc CB 19:21 / in this day and age of Bizarro overlordism making data fit the scrip and only the fringe fighting the Fed, I don' get it: what is wrong with "combined net income of zero" ?

Weekly Trading Planner
GVI Forex john 20:21 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile

FRIDAY
DE IFO Climate  
GB GDP
US Dur Goods & ex-trans


Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
Mtl JP 19:58 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Jay 18:13 - only a TRADE is evidence of a market.
the g-v chartpoints are amazing, more than
-
red 18:20 - thanks brother. one of us is going to be more right (but just slightly) :-)

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:43 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 19:21 GMT 07/24/2014
Zillow's stock is up over 22% on news that it will acquire rival real estate company Trulia for $2 billion. Trulia is up 32%, which is about half in absolute terms of the $1 billion Zillow's market cap has grown by in the past few moments to $6 billion.

Neither company is currently profitable on an annual basis - the combined net income of the two companies is... zero.

Zillow, Trulia Soar On Incomeless Acquisition Plan


Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 19:03 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Pre-Closing...


Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:50 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
As per my video,

1.6957 = 50 day mva
1.6950 = support => above it needed to keep focus on 1.70

Low was 1.6966

Risk On/Off Heat Map
GVI Forex john 18:41 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
10-yr late 2.507% +5bp

above the 2.50% pivotal level.

Flash PMI Data Mostly Better than Expected. U.S. Generally Improves. German IFO Friday
GVI Forex Blog 18:36 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: DE- IFO Survey, GB- GDP. US- Durable Goods Orders

Friday features the closely followed IFO Survey, UK GDP and U.S. Durable Goods data. The U.S. saw mixed data Thursday with weekly Jobless Claims falling decisively below the 300K line. Analysts will want to confirm the data in upcoming reports. The U.S. Markit flash Manufacturing PMI fell modestly from what looked to be a stretched level. New Homes Sales data fell sharply, but the report is not in line with other recent data.

Flash PMI Data Mostly Better than Expected. U.S. Generally Improves. German IFO Friday


Risk On/Off Heat Map
london red 18:25 GMT 07/24/2014
fwiw today bonds, dollar and metals stealthily edged towards higher rates. very orderly. and there was the fed worried it would happen in one day.
a couple more of these and the ball will roll faster but we're not there yet.

Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
london red 18:20 GMT 07/24/2014
JP, the 80 day ema is so much prettier :)
by my calcs there is v little chance of a 0.9 print tom. 0.83 0.84 maybe but we dont get those. i think the band is 0.77-0.84 so my guess would be 0.8% with the v outside chance of a point either side with a better chance of a revision higher of a tick after june full wad of data is collected.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 18:18 GMT 07/24/2014
by Wacking...I refer to the Gold and Silver market....silver down hard, prob will try to break into the 19xx

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 18:15 GMT 07/24/2014
the NYFED and the PDs who do the Fed/Treas bidding.

Auction "clear the decks sell off"

Hello FMOC Hello Gammy Yellen...just wacking early...maybe more to come thru Wednesday.

IMH(biased)Opinion

Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:13 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
JP, it is designed to stimulate discussion and have a subject title where you can read the full discussion. It also encourages opinions on both sides, which is what makes a market.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 18:08 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
dc CB 14:54 yields are actually UP.
can u essplain to me who is currently and atm trading - on both sides - paper Gold ?

Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
Mtl JP 17:57 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile


Jay 15:02 / for some time now I am really - and increasingly - perplexed by the treads "agree / disagree" monicker. I mean ... who cares , really ?

There is NO NEED for some insta reality-TV style show of hands poll question when john publishes (I expect with not a minute effort) g-v's chartpoints.

Example: GBPUSD
Res 3 1.7146
Res 2 1.7121
Res 1 1.7076
Pivot 1.7051
Sup 1 1.7006
Sup 2 1.6981
Sup 3 1.6936

and IF you want more, consider the 100 day 1.6841 for target when the puppy tilts and stays under the pivot. Above the Pivot are your R's for consideration.

June 2014 U.S. New Home Sales
nw kw 17:12 GMT 07/24/2014
some funds are getting out but sell 100 or so to next funds

Global Markets News
Mtl JP 17:01 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
I expect Lady Ashton sleeps deeply, restfully and worry-free

ANZ Business Confidence
Cape Town LV 16:15 GMT 07/24/2014
Any ideas on the news coming out later -ANZ Business Confidence and the effect of that on the NZD?

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 16:12 GMT 07/24/2014
cover's cartoon pretty on though.

ever see The Italian Job with Michael Caine, and that great Mini Cooper chase

Risk On/Off Heat Map
london red 16:04 GMT 07/24/2014
halligan has been a bear all the way up. had a lot of time for him a good few years back, but he kept the same tune for too long. either he was right back then or you could say a stopped clock tells the right time twice a day.

but eurjpy
jkt abel 16:03 GMT 07/24/2014
bought 137.11, buy more below 137, stop below today's low

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 15:54 GMT 07/24/2014


fun with covers

The Spectator UK


Global Markets News
dc CB 15:34 GMT 07/24/2014
*DRAFT EU SANCTIONS LIST TARGETS 15 INDIVIDUALS, 18 ENTITIES

*EU TARGETS BORTNIKOV, HEAD OF RUSSIAN FSB SECRET SERVICE
*EU TARGETS PATRUSHEV, HEAD OF RUSSIA SECURITY COUNCIL
*EU TARGETS CHECNYA LEADER KADYROV
*EU TARGETS FRADKOV, DIRECTOR OF RUSSIA FOREIGN INTEL SERVICE
*EU DRAFT LIST FOCUSES ON EAST UKRAINE, CRIMEAN ENTITIES

*EU DRAFT SANCTIONS LIST DOESN'T MENTION MAJOR RUSSIAN COMPANIES


Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:30 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
US equity trading has been choppy this morning as major earnings and some surprising US data keep participants on their toes

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Good Claims Data, Weak June Home Sales, Major Earnings Drive Choppy US Trading


Risk On/Off Heat Map
GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Late in Europe the focus seems mainly to be on the improving data in a session marked by a heavy calendar of releases. Most of the items beat expectations, but there were several notable misses. As a result markets have moved into a risk-on posture. The EURUSD is currently steady.


  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher, but remain well below levels from early last week .Yields on the European periphery are mixed. .EZ 10-yr 1.18%, +3bp.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.61%  +5bp. A +25bp BOE rate hike is still expected by yearend..
  • U.S.10-yr  yield  is 2.51%,  +5bp. The psychological pivot is2.50% .
  • Far East equities closed mostly higher. Bourses in Europe are closing up. U.S. shares are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).



Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 15:10 GMT 07/24/2014
POMO juice just in at 11:00

total Par Amt Accepted: $2.369bln

Agree or Disagree? GBPUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:02 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Last sub-1.70 close was on June 25 (1.6979)

Risk On/Off Heat Map
GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT 07/24/2014  - My Profile
Late morning in the U.S. is seeing equities try to rally.

The U.S. 10-yr is back above the 2.50% line at 2.509%.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
london red 15:00 GMT 07/24/2014
yields should come off here (we should have seen hod) into tomorrow if following trend. a new high sustained suggests a break out for 2.58/2.59.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
dc CB 14:54 GMT 07/24/2014


with the Wackage gold took today...ya's also think yeilds would be Lower.


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