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USD/CHF next to 0.8960
HK RF@ 12:21 GMT 01/26/2015

This on condition that the relentless intervention will continue.

GVI Forex john 12:10 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
I noticed that in that the Greek 10-yr yield is 8.75% +37. That is LOW relative to levels seen in recent week. Watch this level as a barometer of confidence in upcoming weeks. So far markets are in a wait and see posture.

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GVI Forex john 12:03 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Pivot 1.4993 (clearly +/- 1.5000 sets the tone)

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GVI Forex john 12:00 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
S1 117.30 (117.27 LOD)
Pivot 118.08 (last= 118.22 =Neutrality)
R1 118.57

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NY JM 12:00 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
John, your pivot point levels still amaze me, even in these volatile markets, S1 held overnight.

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GVI Forex john 11:57 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
S1 1.1099 (1.1098 LOD)
PIVOT 1.1237 (last 1.1229 =NEUTRALITY)
R1 1.1358

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GVI Forex john 11:41 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:35 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Market Focal Points/Key Themes: Equity markets open lower amid focus on Greek elections; Athens Stock Exchange trades lower by over 5%, then pares losses; Banks mixed after Greek election results; Lower commodity prices weigh on mining sector; German IFO data mixed; Markets pare losses amid IFO data release, DAX briefly trades at fresh record high; Event risks for the week include Fed decision (Jan 28th), US Q4 advance GDP (Jan 30th), Germany Prelim Jan CPI (Jan 29th), UK Q4 advance GDP (Jan 27th) EU Mid-Market Update: Greece turns a new page on austerity after Syriza party steps into power; German IFO Survey continues to improve

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 11:33 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
even though eurusd tgt < 1.06
but i do not think you should short
1.16 would nice
but could even hit 1.18 to the very bad odds of 1.20
Just saying do not let the trend fool you

The Euro bandwagon is ready, all on board. Let's try for a change:::
HK RF@ 10:50 GMT 01/26/2015

1.1000 as the next target.

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for January 26, 2015
GVI Forex Jay Meislerp 10:35 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Addendum: As noted in my video there was a buy the rumor sell the fact reaction risk following the Greek vote although this happened despite a better than expected showing by Syriza.

I also pointed out how Mondays can be counter intuitive days and so far working out that way as a typical Monday.

EURUSD 1.1289 was the rebound high on Friday following the 1.1115 low so a key level on top.

There is also 1.1315 but not as important a level as it was on Friday. The key level is not until 1.1460

Meanwhile 1.1250 sets the tone when within 1.12-1.13 but 1.12 is more important setting the tone going forwards.

Key event week lies ahead

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for January 26, 2015

GVI Forex john 10:19 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile

26 January-- 10:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. Markets are in a† MIXED RISK posture at this hour as they digest the implications of the Syriza Party Victory in Greece and continue to react to the ECB QE decision on Thursday. Today has seen a better than expected German January IFO Survey. Forex Markets have seen considerable† volatlity today. The USD is mixed, while the EUR is mostly higher on its crosses. In Europe, 10-yr bond yields are mixed and equities have rallied. U.S., equity futures are lower and bond yields are down.In Far East trade, equities closed up and JGB yields fell.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 10:11 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
AUDUSD will short only above 0.8400
seems bullish for 2 weeks

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 10:08 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Planing to short eurusd this above 1.16
tops seems around 1.18ish
TGT < 1.06 this time

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 09:52 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Gold Longs till 1270
tgt 1340

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 09:37 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
Gold Looks like time to buy for 1340

london red 09:29 GMT 01/26/2015
easier to defend a turret near top of the mountain than from the base.
snb let the chf go to its own level. that it actually had no choice, as fighting ebc would mean snb balance sheet overtakes swiss economy, is a moot point.
so because of ecb and european recession, the focus is made on usa/china and so usdchf becomes paramount. usa has better fundamentals and it looks like they expect rate rises in usa or at least the expectation of rate rises, which will support the dollar. they could of course be wrong, but better to side with the strongest economy in western world and most liquid asset, usd. there are worse ways to go. the situation for them was far from ideal, but they did the right thing. some poor traders on the wrong end of a hiding may complain, but there was no option otherwise.

GVI Forex john 09:23 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile

German Ifo data: German data mostly better than expected.

HK RF@ 09:17 GMT 01/26/2015


If all will agree to our opinion, do you think the SNB, will take us for a free ride to profits?

london red 09:12 GMT 01/26/2015
stops abv lt fib of 46 now done. initial res likely 11310/20. v good res expected at 11450/60. good spot to enter mt short if seen. will not return to pre qe (abv 11640) unless things dramatically change for eu or usa.

london red 09:09 GMT 01/26/2015
close abv 8699 for january avoids close below prev major low.

london red 20:28 GMT January 16, 2015
its important to get this clear. snb was on a hiding to nothing defending eurchf. but now they will concentrate on usdchf and the chf index. they do a third of business in US and this proportion along with china trade will grow. with austerity in europe and the likelyhood of recession, they are betting on growth outside of europe to help them out. from here, trade of the year could be usdchf, thats the one they will be defending if necessary.

london red 18:43 GMT January 16, 2015
USD/CHF: Reply
agree, when dust settles trajectory of swissy should be higher. in a perfect storm for dollar (q2 us inflation pickup/wages/fed action) the pair can move to parity again eventually. also it should be a cleaner risk on/off trade now that eurchf peg gone as will be free of euro woes. for eurchf ive seen projections of 95-parity range for this quarter.

HK RF@ 09:07 GMT 01/26/2015

Again a reminder:

HK RF@ 23:55 GMT 01/25/2015

HK RF@ 02:50 GMT 01/25/2015

To make it clearer:

Entry: Around Friday close Target: 0.9000 Stop: 0.8740
REMEMBER: Those who are in worse situation and in heavy losses, are the big institutions, with losses on short CHF by the billions(the small specs. have mostly closed positions or wiped out).

They will do everything to manipulate USD/CHF upward as possible.
Now keep on watching the action as close as possible.
Jump on their back and let them take you for a ride to profits.

0.89 target is almost sure!!!
Jump on their back!!! Ye bottom feeders!

HK RF@ 09:03 GMT 01/26/2015

My call to all bottom feeders to ride the CHF devaluation were very correct.
No analyst will ever tell you, that the distressed institutions will join to minimize their losses.
Read back all my post about the Swiss frank coming weakness, since weekend.

This is an intervention as I suggested since last week!!!

GVI Forex john 09:03 GMT 01/26/2015  - My Profile
German IFO Survey January 2015
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts


Climate: 106.7 vs. 106.5 exp. vs. 105.5 prev
Conditions: 111.7 vs. 110.0 exp. vs. 109.8 prev.
Expectations: 102.0 vs. 102.5 exp. vs. 101.4 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 08:52 GMT 01/26/2015

hk ab 08:42 GMT 01/26/2015
Time to exit those XAU/EUR for m/t correction..... on the next spike, maybe.

hk ab 07:47 GMT 01/26/2015
candles are all telling you the eur has bottomed.....

Bangsters may do otherwise......

jkt abel 06:57 GMT 01/26/2015
Zeus, gap is filled, if we continue up from here then you are right, looks like a swing trade is developing and temp bottom is in

USA ZEUS 06:50 GMT 01/26/2015
EUR/USD Stop now at B/E. Objective upgraded to a swing from scalp.

USA ZEUS 06:40 GMT 01/26/2015
Long GBP/USD at 1.5012. Poised for a nice surge higher.

HK RF@ 06:16 GMT 01/26/2015

Seems large resources are being pumped in to devalue the CHF.
Up to now moderate range bound movements.

But an inner week could bring 2 more weeks of higher prices.

USA ZEUS 03:54 GMT 01/26/2015
At present, am fully convinced EUR/USD will NOT trade below 1.11 before 1.12+. Will look to take profits at 100+ pips gain on this scalp.


USA ZEUS 03:50 GMT 01/26/2015
gc sf 22:50 GMT 01/25/2015

Were bought on the swing low and sold into the rally.


AceTrader Jan 26: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:34 GMT 01/26/2015
Intra-Day Market Moving News and View
26 Jan 2015 02:10GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Despite early brief drop to 117.27 due to the decline in Nikkei-225 index after Greek official projections showed Greece's anti-austerity Syriza party wins the Greek election, the greenback rebounded on short-covering together with cross unwinding in jpy (eur/jpy dropped briefly to 130.15 b4 rebounding strongly to 132.10).
However, offers at 117.85-95 are likely to cap dlr's upside somewhat with stops only seen above 118.00.
On the downside, some bids are located at 117.60-50 and more at 117.30-20 with stops seen at 117.00.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Friday that the lender may need to get creative in any further monetary stimulus, reiterating that if inflation expectations are "seriously" affected by disinflation, policy can be changed.

On the data front, Japan's exports rose more than forecast in December, reaching the highest level in six years and paring a record annual trade deficit caused by energy purchases and a surge in imports before April's sales-tax increase.

Japan's annual trade deficit widened for a third straight year, rising to 12.8 trillion yen in 2014 from the previous year's 11.5 trillion yen.
That was the largest in comparable data back to 1979. Japan's trade balance turned negative in 2011 for the first time.

Data to be released this week:

Australia market holiday. Japan's Trade Balance, Exports, Imports, BoJ meeting minutes, Germany's Ifo Business Climate, Ifo Current Conditions, Ifo Expectations, Eurogroup meeting, U.K.'s BBA Mortgage Approvals, euro zone's Retail Sales on Monday.

Australia's NAB Business Conditions, NAB Business Confidence, China's CB leading economic index, France's Business Climate, EU FinMin meeting, U.K.'s GDP, U.S.'s Durable goods orders, Redbook, Markit Service PMI, New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence on Tuesday.

Australia's CPI, RBA Trimmed Mean CPI, Switzerland UBS Consumption indicator, Germany's Gfk Consumer Sentiment, Import Price index, France's Consumer Confidence, FOMC rate decision and monetary policy statement, RBNZ rate decision on Wednesday.

New Zealand's Trade Balance, Exports, Imports, Japan's Retail Sales, Australia's Exports, Imports, France's Consumer Spending, Germany's Unemployment rate, unemployment change, CPI, HICP, Italy's Wage Inflation, euro zone's Business Climate, Consumer Inflation Expectation, Consumer Confidence, Economic Sentiment, Industrial Sentiment, Italy's Consumer Confidence, U.K.'s CBI Distributive Trades, U.S.'s Pending home sales on Thursday.

Japan's Unemployment Rate, All Household Spending, CPI, Industrial output, Construction orders, Housing Starts, Australia's PPI, France's Producer Prices, KOF indicator, Italy's Unemployment Rate, Producer Prices, U.K.'s Gfk Consumer Confidence, Mortgage Approvals, euro zone's Unemployment Rate, Inflation ex Food & Energy, Canada's GDP, U.S. PCE, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

3mth aud forward rate libor
nw kw 02:09 GMT 01/26/2015
Chaos in Shanghai

China is NOT selling copper! I repeat, China is NOT selling copper! In fact, itís buying a lot of physical copper.
So why does everyone think China is selling copper lately?

3mth aud forward rate libor
tokyo ginko 01:30 GMT 01/26/2015
Thank you Sydney ACC

much appreciated

3mth aud forward rate libor
Sydney ACC 00:44 GMT 01/26/2015
Neiher Bank Bill utures or the 30 day Interbank Cash Rate Contracts have factored ina cut to the cash rate as yet.

The Bank Bill Contract has an indicative rate of 2.5% for March and 2.38% for June.

The 30 day Interbank Cash Rate is 2.495% for January and 2.425% for February.

Happy times behind the corner for Greece.
HK RF@ 00:42 GMT 01/26/2015

Lot of street parades, marches, red flags, ceremonies, heated speeches and slogans(How about Down with the USA) and political debates, all in fanfare celebration atmosphere.

What is the right way: Leninism, Marxism, Trotskyism, Stalinism or maybe even Maoism

Fitting well for lazy people:(

The last resort of the CHEATERS: SOCIALISM!!!
Livingston nh 00:25 GMT 01/26/2015
from reuters --

"Unlike at the height of the debt crisis in 2011-12, European banks now have limited exposure to Greece and European policymakers have frameworks to deal with indebted countries, analysts say."

This might be the biggest underestimation of the year

hk ab 00:24 GMT 01/26/2015
tight means discipline in a sense.

hk ab 00:24 GMT 01/26/2015
I think they are eyeing e/j rather, under 130, a strong waterfall cannot be ruled out.

I would buy and tight stop under.

When people are despaired, they will follow any ideology.
HK RF@ 00:22 GMT 01/26/2015

Far Left wing wins!!!

Soon US navy to be kicked out of Crete.

ECB in market today.. free lunch!
Brussels ecb 00:06 GMT 01/26/2015
ECB buying euro today....take advantage of a free lunch..compliments of me .

3mth aud forward rate libor
tokyo ginko 00:00 GMT 01/26/2015
just checking ..
what is 3 month libor rate for aud deposit?

have market already priced in a rate cute yet ?


HK RF@ 23:55 GMT 01/25/2015

HK RF@ 02:50 GMT 01/25/2015

To make it clearer:

Entry: Around Friday close Target: 0.9000 Stop: 0.8740
REMEMBER: Those who are in worse situation and in heavy losses, are the big institutions, with losses on short CHF by the billions(the small specs. have mostly closed positions or wiped out).

They will do everything to manipulate USD/CHF upward as possible.
Now keep on watching the action as close as possible.
Jump on their back and let them take you for a ride to profits.

0.89 target is almost sure!!!
Jump on their back!!! Ye bottom feeders!

DJ Syriza's Big Post-Election Challenge: an Empty Greek Treasury
Syd 22:58 GMT 01/25/2015
The clock is ticking for Syriza--the victorious antiausterity party in Greece's elections--to strike a deal with creditors to keep the country solvent and in the euro.

It wasn't clear yet on Sunday evening whether the left-wing party had won more than half of the 300 seats in Greece's parliament. If it falls short, Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras's first test will be to form a pact with another party, to guarantee his government a majority. But the bigger challenge lies in Greece's empty treasury, and in a game of chicken with Europe.

Greece--one of 19 countries that use the euro--needs billions of euros in coming months from other eurozone governments and the International Monetary Fund to avoid defaulting on public debts. Greek banks also need continual liquidity from the European Central Bank. Europe's current bailout plan for Greece expires on Feb. 28. A successor can't wait too long.

Syriza says it wants to replace the bailout plan, with its tough requirements on budget rigor and economic overhauls, with a new agreement that relaxes austerity, reverses free-market reforms, and relieves some of Greece's debt burden. Officials in Berlin and other key eurozone capitals say Greece must stick to the agreed path of rigor and reform if it wants further financing.

The stated positions are miles apart. A deal on the budget and debt looks difficult but possible. Syriza wants to run a primary budget surplus (excluding interest) of 2% of gross domestic product, instead of the current target of 4.5%.

A budget compromise would probably entail some restructuring of European bailout loans, to make Greece's debt trajectory look sustainable. Eurozone governments could promise to further extend loan maturities while further reducing and postponing interest payments. They have done it before.

Structural reforms could be thornier still. Syriza wants to reverse steps already taken to deregulate and privatize parts of Greece's economy. Germany and other creditors want such overhauls taken further: They see them as essential for making Greece's economy more viable inside the euro. An about-face by Syriza could test its internal unity.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Europe's most powerful leader, wants to avoid a Greek exit from the common currency, which would risk inflicting heavy losses on eurozone taxpayers and could hurt Germany's reputation, people familiar with her thinking say. But she needs a counterparty in Athens, these people say: a government that is willing to make Greece more frugal and competitive.

Unless Syriza caves in, and is helped by face-saving concessions by Europe, Greece risks running out of money by summer or earlier. That looming prospect would have the potential to trigger bank runs and capital controls. If Greece can't finance its government or banks in euros, it would be forced to print drachmas.

Greece lacks the cash to repay bonds held by the ECB that fall due in July and August. Eurozone officials say that they fear Greece might even run short of cash to repay its IMF loans that are falling due in March, because this winter's Greek political turmoil has hurt the economy and tax revenues.

Even before those deadlines, rising anxiety that Syriza won't be able to meet Europe's terms for new credits could spook Greeks into accelerating their recent withdrawals of bank deposits.

If deposit flight were to take off and talks with creditors got stuck, the ECB could find it increasingly hard to justify financial support for Greek banks--even in the form of so-called Emergency Liquidity Assistance from Greece's central bank. The ECB would need at least the prospect of a likely deal on a new Greek bailout program, or it would likely have to pull the plug at some point, analysts say.

Finding agreement looks "extraordinarily difficult," but the costs of failure would be huge for everyone, said Gabriel Sterne, head of global research at Oxford Economics. "Someone has to blink quickly."


GVI Forex john 22:52 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
Laying off 100K or 25% of its global payroll.

gc sf 22:50 GMT 01/25/2015
Zeus - what did you do with all the 1.15 + 1.16 buys ? what sort of stop are you looking at for all your positions ?

HK RF@ 22:35 GMT 01/25/2015

Euro will probably touch 1.1090 before bouncing(if will bounce at all) and not continue deteriorating.

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