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23/10/14 7:00 B FR MFG PMI flash con: 48.5 pre: 48.8
23/10/14 7:00 B FR SVC PMI flash con: 48.3 pre: 48.4
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AceTrader Oct 23: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:57 GMT 10/23/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
23 Oct 2014 01:26GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Dlr pares Wed's gain in early Tokyo trading as intra-day retreat in the Nikkei (currently down 102 points at 15093 after yesterday's 2.5% rally) has led to intra-day renewed buying in yen.

Although the pair climbed in NY morning after U.S. CPI ticked higher and touched session high of 107.38, offers at Monday's 107.39 top checked intra-day gain and price edged lower near NY close.
Looks like range trading would continue in Asia, unless the Nikkei falls sharply, re-test of 107.28/39 is on the card.
Bids are noted at 107.00 and more below would stops below 106.80-75.
On the upside, offers are tipped at 107.45/50 with stops above there, however, more selling interest is reported at 107.80/00 area.

Thursday will see the release of New Zealand CPI, Japan manufacturing PMI, China HSBC manufacturing PMI, France business climate, manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, services PMI, EU manufacturing PMI, services PMI, Italy trade balance, UK retail sales, CBI trends, U.S. home price index, jobless claims, manufacturing PMI, leading index and consumer confidence.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 01:55 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US Oil
is a great buy here folks
I do not trade oil...Just that a friend asked me to do so..
a pick over the next day IMO
tgt > 100

GVI Forex 01:46 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 01:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
* Dollar underpinned after uptick in U.S. CPI

* Bank sector concerns weigh on euro

* Euro zone PMI awaited for market cues

FOREX-Dollar holds steady, supported by Treasury yields, sagging euro

shanghai bc 00:55 GMT 10/23/2014

Please contact Jay the boss via email..He will relay your mail to me..

All the best to you..

Livingston nh 00:54 GMT 10/23/2014
The EUR/USD closed below the 21 dma for the first time in a week - the next two days should see more weakness into the AQR weekend -- maybe the big drop in Greek yield has been last minute shoppers ?

GVI Forex 00:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD upside limited ahead of PMI reports.

1.2650 clearly sets bias (and currently resistance) while within 1.26-1.27. 1.2609-25 targeted while below it, then 1.2580

On top, 1.2680 blocks return to 1.27.

sd sf 23:08 GMT 10/22/2014
I'm surprised we couldn't put more effort into moving the markets around - given the o/n moves and then this NZD number.

may as well head out and come back in 3 hours for the CNY HSBC number.

Looking past that .. French/Spanish/German Data - none of those seem like they will be good.

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:43 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Red, always, thanks for your insights.

To be clear, we are not soliciting for a broker but in our role as a trader advocate, we try to pass on to our members anything we come across that we think can improve their trading.

GVI Forex john 21:54 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

October 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators
  • Far East: JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, CBI Output
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators, Natural Gas

GVI Forex john 21:52 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
NZ CPI disinflation.

GVI Forex john 21:46 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
New Zealand 3Q14 CPI

QQ: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
YY: 1.00% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 20:44 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Closing Levels...

" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 20:30 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
" Trade Ideas "
london red 20:25 GMT 10/22/2014

Red Sir, my pleasure !

" Trade Ideas "
london red 20:25 GMT 10/22/2014
FM king of the long term, nothing changes. thanks for your calls. always take note when you open a fresh page.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:24 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 20:15 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Buy usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

Buy usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:
Lahore FM 19:57:37 GMT - 08/21/2014

Buy usdx
Entry: Now Target: Three month exit Stop: To your tolerance
Just when some desperate usd bears are groping about thinking this is thetail end of usd bullrun a freaky spike further pushing usd higher makes most sense.several charts that reval upcoming usd strength or weakness point to more usd strength for another stretch of several weeks.

Crude and gold harbingers.usdchf and usdcad perhaps next two.

The boon continues with usd buy for all three of my posted pairs.usdchf audusd and usdcad.
time to relaod usdcad now. after dumping parts off above 1.11 today for the second time in a month.

usdchf will land around parity i another 2 months to 3.

with three trades turning in hundreds of pips of profits over past two months i find little need to update as the market updates the rates for me with still even higher usd.

as forum friends and foes know i will not come in thumping my chest every two hours when trades go right.

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
london red 20:03 GMT 10/22/2014
thanks Jay but not looking to switch as v happy with the ones i have but in that case id suggest anyone frustrated with their broker to contact Jay. it really is a v important part to trading. you are going to lose money, hopefully less than you make, but when you do lose, let it be down to your stop being hit and not poor service from your broker.

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:55 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Red, you can get similar with smaller minimum size accounts. Send me an EMAIL for details

GVI Forex john 19:50 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
21:45 NZ 3Q CPI RBNZ-- targets inflation
01:45 CN HSBC flash PM-- universal economic survey
07:28 DE MFG PMI flash-- universal economic survey
07:28 DE SVC PMI flash -- universal economic survey
07:58 EZ flash MFG PMI -- universal economic survey
07:58 EZ flash SVC PMI -- universal economic survey
08:30 GB Ret Sls --key demand measures
12:30 US Initial Claims--freshest jobs data  
13:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash-- universal economic survey
08:30 GB GDP-- broadest measure of economy
14:00 US New Homes Sales-- housing measure

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
london red 19:49 GMT 10/22/2014
Jay, I would say this to people on brokers.
Buckets have there uses so lets not bash them too much. You dont have to trade with them but beginners choose them as lots are small. But they do you no favours outside of static markets. so if you are trading data events, you will find delays, requotes, excess slippage, scalping bans and even system outage coming into play.
These days there is no excuse for not using a one click instant execution broker with liquidity provided by major banks and other institutions. minimum account sizes are about 10 grand upwards.

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 19:45 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:32 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Click on the title of any post and you can see the complete discussion of a topic.

Click on the BREAKING NEWS title and you will get all the data news, charts, calendar posts, etc. for the current week.

sd sf 19:07 GMT 10/22/2014
it is probably worth while to stick around for a few hours and t/p into 1st move down to 20

with the idea to resell bounce to 12670 for 12570

I don't think many people in Asia will want to hold onto other peoples crappy positions for too long.

most likely if it goes 38 offered that would be enough for a small dump from here.

london red 19:00 GMT 10/22/2014
sf, thanks. holding short at 86 and question for me is whether we get to see the trendline again tomorrow or even 86. coming up to the end of the session, we are going to trade partially in todays range tomorrow (high could be 50 70 86 2710) and its a question of can i get out and resell higher up (86-05) or is it going to drift to new lows in asia and test 2570 london am (euro pmis looming). pulling the stop down to just north of 70 makes some sense but gives up a good profit. if we see 25/26 before the close may well tempt me to cover but sitting short for now.

sd sf 18:42 GMT 10/22/2014
being b/o models their targets are wider .. but looking at where their t/p sits is in the 1.2550-70 region .. which is why they are selling so low now I suppose.

$yen bids coming in @ 12/14/16 .. but I only expect 05-35 range for now till we see what happens in EUR

as EURYEN may suffer for a while as well... if this eur does break down.

sd sf 18:35 GMT 10/22/2014
breakout models who sold @1.2768 are selling again @1.2655

would not surprise me to see 1.2610-20 on stops.. have to get above 70 to ease the pressure.

MIXED RISK. Canadian Terrorist Attack Puts Markets on Pause. PMI Flash Data Thursday
GVI Forex Blog 18:34 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- CPI, JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. LEI

Early Thursday NZ quarterly CPI data are out. The session also sees a slew of flash PMI data, Weekly U.S. Jobless Claims and Eurozone Consumer Confidence U.S. CPI for September were a touch hotter than expected and have no impact on Fed policy.

MIXED RISK. Canadian Terrorist Attack Puts Markets on Pause. PMI Flash Data Thursday

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:27 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

Notice how the overnight low (1,.2680) became resistance and kept the risk on the downside.

The Bounce...
Paris ib 17:58 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
CB - lol. There are no reliable sources out there !!

The Bounce...
dc CB 17:50 GMT 10/22/2014
it's too bad those guys in that interview got the day wrong. the big day was Wed the 15th.

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:50 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

Question for Your Advocate: Skeptic always said retail traders will always lose money when we trade via a market maker. How true is that?

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?

The Bounce...
Paris ib 17:27 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Seems like all that very elaborate market rigging is having a waning impact. Which leaves us with what? A better level to short the stock market ?

How they do it.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:30 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
If you want an all year position
It is USDCAD SHort
till parity
from there to 1.40
The USD drop is at it's last year next year
no more drops after dat

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:22 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
NDX crash level for the whole year is above 4000
I doubt will do more then 4100... Tops 4300 (If gets very volatile)
I see 2500 next year

Miami JN 16:21 GMT 10/22/2014
The market is more fun when it is dumping the usd.

The market is more easily explained when it is dumping the euro.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:17 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
GBPJPY heads to 175 to 176 from here
still bearish for for the whole year
til 140 area

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:17 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Low bid I show is 1.2647

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:37 GMT 10/22/2014 - My Profile
1.2648 = 61.8% of 1.2500-1.2887

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 16:02 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Full results of the European bank stress tests are due on Sunday and both the press and traders are having a field day with leaks. Note that the ECB's asset quality review (AQR) and the European Banking Authority's stress tests run concurrently. One Spanish source reported 11 of the 130 banks being tested by the ECB failed the review. PIMCO's Bodereau said he expects 18 banks to fail the ECB review US Market Update: On Track for Fifth Session of US Equity Gains

GVI Forex john 15:33 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

15:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Late in European trade, markets are in  MIXED RISK posture heading into a more active data period and ECB bank stress test results Sunday. Equities in Far East trade ended mostly higher. European bourses are closing mixed. U.S. share futures are up lower. The TSE is down at this hour while the outcome of a terrorist incident in Ottawa is unknown.

U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr yields in bunds are steady. In gilts they are up. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down sharply.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Weird Times
Paris ib 15:02 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
That chart pack does make you wonder about the sustainability of the current stock market rally. We got FOMC to get through, then the elections but medium term.... well not so exciting.

GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Second shooter being pursued in Ottawa. Shots fired. First shooter was shot a while ago.

BOC Press Conference has been postponed.

Weird Times
Paris ib 15:00 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
A chart pack for the doom and gloomers. :-)

Chart Pack

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 14:57 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Silver Longs

The rest later

GVI Forex Blog 14:47 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
October 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- CPI, JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 23, 2014

Moscow 14:46 GMT 10/22/2014

Entry: 105.189 Target: Stop: 107.725

Today we consider the USD/JPY currency pair on the D1 chart. The price made a reversal, touching the strong W1 resistance line. The daily uptrend channel is breached in the direction of the red zone, and now we have every reason to believe that a new bearish D1 trend is emerging. Parabolic confirms the trend direction and moves along the DonchianChannel lower boundary, verifying the price direction. The only alarming signal can be seen at the moment is the breach of RSI-Bars resistance line, which may be proved false. To confirm the bearish sentiment, you should wait for the oscillator level crossing at 31.0851%.
This event is expected to happen before the fractal support breach at 105.189. This mark is strengthened by DonchianChannel lower boundary and can be used for placing a pending sell order. Stop Loss can be placed at 107.725 or 109.971 (for conservative traders). It should be noted that the importance of the last fractal peak is confirmed by the Parabolic historical value, and also the bearish candlestick pattern “shooting star”, which is marked in yellow on the chart.
After position opening, Trailing Stop is to be moved after the Parabolic values, near the next fractal peak. Updating is enough to be done every day after the formation of 5 new candlesticks, needed for the Bill Williams fractal formation. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point.

What's going on with bonds?
Paris ib 14:44 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
A bit of a chat about systemic stress, market rigging, government bonds, the USD and gold. Worth a listen.

Volatility in Bonds

GVI Forex john 14:44 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile

October 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- CPI, JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators
  • Far East: NZ- CPI, JP- flash PMI, CN- HSBC PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs, Consumer Confidence, GB- Retail Sales, CBI Output
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. Lead Indicators, Natural Gas

Mtl JP 14:33 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
too much oil.. too many wells still pumping
I tried to tell oil co. do not fill tanks of hybrids, you shoot yourself in the foot ... did they listen ? nooooooo

GVI Forex john 14:32 GMT 10/22/2014  - My Profile
Bearish Crude.

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