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30/01/15 7:00 A DE Ret Sales mo con: 0.30% pre: 1.00%
30/01/15 7:00 A DE Ret Sales yr con: 3.50% pre: -0.80%
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GVI Forex Blog 06:10 GMT 01/30/2015  - My Profile
- (JP) JAPAN DEC NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 2.4% V 2.3%E; CPI EX FRESH FOOD Y/Y: 2.5% (9-month low) V 2.6%E - (JP) JAPAN JAN TOKYO CPI Y/Y: 2.3% V 2.2%E; CPI EX FRESH FOOD Y/Y: 2.2% (10-month low) V 2.2%E - (J

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: Japan upgrades industrial output view while CPIs hit fresh multi-month lows ***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com


Terry McCrann RBA RATE MOVE
Syd 04:32 GMT 01/30/2015
Terry McCrann Exclusive

RBA


Professor Warwick Mckibbin talks inflation
Syd 03:32 GMT 01/30/2015
Professor Warwick Mckibbin talks inflation

RBA


Silver and Gold
HK Kwun 03:01 GMT 01/30/2015
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Exchange operator CME hikes margins on silver futures, effective after the close of business Friday, following a volatile trading session that saw the precious metal tumble 7.3% to $16.758 an ounce, the biggest one-day decline since June 2013. Investors now will have to put up $7,920 per contract for delivery within the next four months when putting on new bets. That’s an 11% increase from the current level. The Fed’s relatively upbeat take on the U.S. economy in its statement on Wednesday hammered precious-metals, which tend to perform well when investors are wringing their hands. Gold slid 2.4% to $1,254.60 an ounce. Higher margins make wagers on the direction of prices less lucrative. That can squeeze out investors already holding losing positions, and the general aim is to discourage excessive risk-taking

AceTrader Jan 30: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:58 GMT 01/30/2015
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
30 Jan 2015 01:33GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Reuters reported earlier Japan's core consumer inflation slowed for a 5th straight month in December hit by collapsing oil prices, keeping the central bank under pressure to meet its ambitious 2% inflation target.

But factory output rose 1.0% in December helped by a much-awaited rebound in exports n manufacturers expect to increase production in January, boding well for an economy emerging from recession.
The pick-up in output backs up the BoJ's argument that a solid economic recovery will help accelerate inflation toward its target early next year, although oil price falls will continue to weigh on inflation in the short run.

The gov't raised its assessment on output to say it is "picking up moderately." In the previous month, it said output was flat.
Japan's economy slipped into recession in the 3rd quarter of last year as exports failed to pick up n last Apr's sales tax hike cooled consumer spending.

Analysts expect the economy to have expanded an annualised 3.2% in Oct-Dec as the tax-hike pain subsides, a Reuters poll showed.
In a sign the recovery will be fragile, however, household spending fell 3.4% in the year to December, separate data showed on Friday, more than a median market forecast.

Yesterday despite dlr's brief bounce from 117.88 to 117.16 in NY morning after the release of lower-than-expected U.S. jobless claims, selling interest below European high of 117.18 capped such gain there n price later retreated to 117.83.
The U.S. Department of Labor said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending January 24 decreased by 43K to a seasonally adjusted 265K from the previous week's total of 308K. Market had expected U.S. initial jobless claims to decline by 8K to 300K last week.

Friday will see the release of Japan's Unemployment Rate, All Household Spending, CPI, Industrial output, Construction orders, Housing Starts, Australia's PPI, France's Producer Prices, KOF indicator, Italy's Unemployment Rate, Producer Prices, U.K.'s Gfk Consumer Confidence, Mortgage Approvals, euro zone's Unemployment Rate, Inflation ex Food & Energy, Canada's GDP, U.S. PCE, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment.

DJ Homeowner Rate Falls To A Level Seen In '94
Syd 01:29 GMT 01/30/2015
The U.S. homeownership rate fell to its lowest level in 20 years at the end of 2014 -- a level last seen when national leaders embarked on a broad push to expand homeownership in the mid-1990s.

Estimates published Thursday show that, after adjusting for seasonal factors, 63.9% of U.S. households owned their homes in the fourth quarter, a rate last recorded in 1994, according to the Commerce Department. Homeownership hasn't fallen below that level since 1988. The rate stood at 65.1% at the end of 2013.

The sharp drop over the past year reflects, in part, a substantial increase in household formation, which is good for the economy. That can cause the homeownership rate to fall if more of those households rent, which is what happened over the past year.

The report showed that household formation grew over the past year at the fastest pace since 2005, according to J.P. Morgan Chase, which could indicate that an improving economy is finally encouraging more young Americans to strike out on their own.

The homeownership rate has fallen steadily since 2005, when it peaked at 69.2%. That followed a decadelong campaign to expand homeownership, launched by President Bill Clinton in 1995 and embraced by President George W. Bush in the early 2000s.

Rampant real estate speculation and loose lending standards inflated housing bubbles across the country, and when prices collapsed, millions of Americans faced foreclosure.

Over the past year, President Barack Obama and other administration officials have voiced alarm that lending has gone from one extreme during the bubble -- too loose -- to the other -- too tight -- in the aftermath of the bust.

Officials have walked a fine line to prevent a return of the reckless loan products and practices that allowed the bubble to inflate while loosening some standards elsewhere to provide broader access to home buyers without strong credit or big down payments.

BREAKING NEWS
mumbai pkc 01:25 GMT 01/30/2015
Talking Points:
Euro Unlikely to Find Potent Catalyst in Weak German Inflation Figures
Swiss Franc Pressured, NZ Dollar and Yen in Corrective Mode Overnight
See Economic News Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App
January’s preliminary set of German CPI figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year inflation rate is expected to slip into negative territory for the first time since September 2009, when price growth was crafting a bottom in the aftermath of the Great Recession. While the outcome will serve to support the case for aggressive monetary stimulus, its impact on the Euro may prove limited. Mario Draghi and company have just unveiled a sizable QE program and have surely moved to wait-and-see mode, at least for now. That means another soft CPI print will mean relatively little for forward-looking policy bets, offering little impetus for FX volatility.
The Swiss Franc underperformed in overnight trade, sliding as much as 0.8 percent on average against its leading counterparts. A singular, clearly-defined catalyst for the move was not readily apparent. The SNB is due to report on it’s the allocation of its FX reserves tomorrow, which may help investors gauge how officials might go about dealing with CHF495 billion in holdings accumulated as part of maintaining the now-defunct EURCHF floor. Elsewhere, a worrisome Business Times article warned of on-coming capital flight from Swiss banks that opt to pass on SNB-imposed negative rates to clients.
The New Zealand Dollar corrected higher having slumped following a dovish RBNZ monetary policy announcement. The central bank backed off hawkish rhetoric presented in December, saying it expected to keep borrowing costs on hold “for some time” and conspicuously noted that future adjustments can take rates “either up or down”, seemingly opening the door for easing. Indeed, the markets’ priced-in 12 month RBNZ outlook now stands at its most dovish in over three years, with traders leaning toward at least one 25bps reduction. The Japanese Yen retraced downward having bested all of its G10 FX counterparts in the prior session.

Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 01:22 GMT 01/30/2015
Today's Yellen Bottom.

5 min SPY chart


Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 01:12 GMT 01/30/2015
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Thursday offered an upbeat assessment on the U.S. economy in a meeting with Senate Democrats, even as she noted risks from overseas, according to media reports.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia told reporters after a private luncheon with Yellen that she said "things are going well" for the U.S. economy.

"She feels the economy is strong, a lot is good," Manchin said, according to the Journal.

New York Senator Chuck Schumer told Bloomberg: "Her message is that the economy’s getting better but there’s still a ways to go in terms of job creation.

"That worry seems, in her mind, to be paramount and that's why she is not going to raise rates immediately," he said.

Yellen tells Senate Democrats U.S. economy looks good


aus
Syd 00:56 GMT 01/30/2015
DJ Australian Housing-Sector Credit +0.6% in Dec Vs Nov
Australian Business-Sector Credit +0.5% in Dec Vs Nov
Australia 4Q Final PPI +0.1% On Qtr

UK GfK Jan Consumer Confidence +1 Vs -4 Dec
Syd 00:23 GMT 01/30/2015
UK GfK Jan Consumer Confidence +1 Vs -4 Dec

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 23:58 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
* Dollar-bloc currencies fall to fresh multi-year lows

* Aussie hit hard as market eyes imminent rate cut

* Swiss franc also under pressure

FOREX-Commodity currencies feel heat as G3 consolidate


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 23:18 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile


January 29, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 30, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- cPI, DE- Retail Sales, CH- KOF, EZ- flash EZ HICP, Unemployment, CA- GDP US- GDP, Chicago PMI, University of Micigan Sentiment, Personal Income, PCE Deflator
  • Far East: JP- cPI
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, CH- KOF, EZ- flash EZ HICP, Unemployment
  • North America: CA- GDP US- GDP, Chicago PMI, University of Micigan Sentiment, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, COT Report



Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 22:00 GMT 01/29/2015
Goldman Sachs is about to become the most heavily-weighted component of the Dow Jones "Industrial" Average. Following Visa's moments ago announced 4:1 stock split, Goldman will now represent just shy of 7.00% of the DJIA.

After VISA's Stock Split, The Most Important Company In The Dow Jones "Industrial" Average Is...


Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 21:43 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





Janet Yellen Saves The Day
PAR 21:40 GMT 01/29/2015
Another FED induced stock market rally. One day after the meeting the comments change. Central bank insider trading a go go .

EUR
gc sf 21:39 GMT 01/29/2015
Credit Agricole's EUR Suggestion

"We sold EUR/USD at 1.1340 with a stop at 1.1680 and a target of 1.0600."

$Yen
gc sf 21:33 GMT 01/29/2015
someone posted an article about Japanese Margin traders hitting the highest level of $Yen longs on record last week

+ you can see that yesterday .. really we had a chance to roll over on that and close below 117.40 and run lower into the end of the week

but with no follow though stock weakness - a $30 fall in Gold and now we start the slow grind higher to pay off their positions.

I wish it was more technical in nature -- but just seems the BOJ has no interest in destroying the market like the SNB did.

As far as AUD goes -- you have to imagine this sort of relentless selling is from Russian Reserves based on Oil + Gold falls.

I just don't see a Rate Cut as necessary with the market doing the RBA's work for it -- but with this sort of momentum you don't stand in front of trains short term.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 21:32 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile

Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 21:27 GMT 01/29/2015
The Gammy Neck is saved...

or rather the Gammy Herself Saves the Neck

That's POWER

Emini


Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 21:23 GMT 01/29/2015
Dow Component Visa ancs 4 for 1 Split
AMZN Beats.

Janet Yellen Saves The Day
dc CB 21:18 GMT 01/29/2015
YELLEN TOLD DEMOCRATS NO RATE INCREASE `IMMEDIATELY': SCHUMER

Because everyone knows you BTFD when Janet Yellen speaks (and Sell The F**king censored out of precious metals in the middle of surging currency volatility and monetray policy chaos...)

Thank The Market Gods for Janet Yellen... Stocks were rescued back above their 100DMAs to prove everything is fine...

Stocks Soar After Fed Chairwoman Tells Democrats To BTFD


AUDUAD
SaaR KaL 20:52 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
EURAUD
xtrem next day
1.4557 1.3742
1.4787 1.3528

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


AUDUAD
SaaR KaL 20:46 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
EURUSD for xtrem worried traders
order at xtrems
and sleep well
next day
1.1333 to 1.1490
tgt xtrem?
then..1.0936 to 1.0780

AUDUAD
SaaR KaL 20:41 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
.7724 to .7596
would be my entry
for xtrem tgt
.8020 to 0.8140

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex 20:36 GMT 01/29/2015
djia +204
s&p +14
10-yr 1.764% +4.7bp

RISK ON

AUDUAD
KL KL 20:35 GMT 01/29/2015
from >>>> the other side

Also like AUDUSD here .7745...for safe heaven...




Getting out now 3/5 .7772...rest trailing to .7752...and start engine to long again .7743......relentless is the game, take profit is KING!!...any profit...even 1 cent!!...the Ninja way!!...off to bed/rest/breakfast......still thinking.....LOL DYOR..DFM..imvho gl gt!!

worst case
SaaR KaL 20:26 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
worst case
Next day

gold
1333.76 1233.85

EURJPY
135.43321 127.63063

cable
1.54099 1.47795

USDCHF
0.95020 0.86681



swissy
SaaR KaL 20:20 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
worst case levels for next day (Most likely)
EURUSD
1.13334 1.09360

swissy
SaaR KaL 20:13 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
USDCHF
Looks like might goofy over the next 1-2 weeks Red
would probably short it next week above .9500 area
for possible visit to lower then .74

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:07 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    THURSDAY
    23:30 JP CPI yy BOJ Target
    23:30 JP Unemploy Jobs
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    9:00 CH KOF Ind Sentiment Survey
    10:00 EZ FL HICP yy ECB Target
    13:30 CA GDP mm Widest Econ Measure
    13:30 US GDP 4Q14 Widest Econ Measure
    14:45 US Chicago PMI Regional Sentiment
    14:55 US U Mich final Sentiment Survey

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


Markets Over Mixed Fed Policy Signals for Now. German January Employment Steady
GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
TOP NEWS ITEMS: JP- CPI, DE- Retail Sales, CH- KOF, EZ- flash EZ HICP, Unemployment, CA- GDP US- GDP, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan

Markets Over Mixed Fed Policy Signals for Now. German January Employment Steady


swissy
london red 19:35 GMT 01/29/2015
usdchf. 200 day ma 9285. pre snb trade data is not gonna drop out of this average til towards the end of the year and a lot of trade to come til then. but its certainly a lvl for distresses sellers to come in. if cant beat tomorrow, important that any fall is held by 9150 on a closing basis.

USD/RUB
london red 19:19 GMT 01/29/2015
interest not spread zeus, i may have put some figures backwards. theoretically if you want to do that sort of thing, best to do it in person. you may get only 8-10% p/a for cash at the big 3 but they are safe banks. and use top watches in and out. lighter than gold, nobody notices and always a market for them across the globe. the thinking mans bitcoin i call them. they used to say nobody got fired for buying ibm, well nobody lost on a good patek either.

USD/RUB
dc CB 19:03 GMT 01/29/2015
Par
no, also margin very high

CME


Intervention
PAR 18:58 GMT 01/29/2015
Coordinated intervention by SNB and BOJ to keep EURO strong ?

US Stocks
PAR 18:54 GMT 01/29/2015
Us stocks rally on good economic news , low interest rates and good earning reports . Market expecting brilliant figures from Goog and AMZN after the close ..

USD/RUB
PAR 18:48 GMT 01/29/2015
Any liquidity on CME ?

USD/RUB
USA ZEUS 18:27 GMT 01/29/2015
* "one of the lowest.. " should read "one of the lowest cost..."

USD/RUB
USA ZEUS 18:24 GMT 01/29/2015
Russian oil services are paid domestically in RUB, not USD.
The US Midwest is where the price of crude oil risk dominates. Over-leveraged, Over-supplied Overly- Expensive exploration and production.
Cheers!

USD/RUB
USA ZEUS 18:17 GMT 01/29/2015
No bet on the horses No 15-18% spread, more like 1.5% thanks.
Saying it can go to 100 or 20 is just fodder. Either way, I'm fine. Tactically scaling in without frantic efforts. Will hedge when appropriate. Russia has been keenly smart to accumulate so much gold and globally one of the lowest and richest producers of crude oil and other natural resources. Let the West play checkers. I'll play chess. Nice long term reserve currency.

Cheers!

USDRUB
PAR 18:16 GMT 01/29/2015
Spread 69.00/69.05 . With very well capitalised banks .

USD/RUB
london red 18:10 GMT 01/29/2015
just looked at a couple of camo buckets that offer. you are getting a spread of about 0.15 to 0.30 and cost/paid is 12-15/15-18%.
problem with it is that it can easily go to 100 first. you may as well bet on the horses. and they want oil down further so risk is against the ruble for now.

USD/RUB
USA ZEUS 18:09 GMT 01/29/2015
There is no "agree" or "disagree". I have begun exchanging savings from USD to RUB. No leverage.
It is what it is.

Cheers!

USD/RUB
PAR 18:04 GMT 01/29/2015
You can only trade it during Russian hours . Swiss platforms provide reasonable spreads. Dont use too much leverage and keep a close eye on the forward rates and on rollover pips .

USD/RUB
Mtl JP 18:01 GMT 01/29/2015  - My Profile
so far usd/rub accumulation trade is just a claim

I would like, please, to see a layout of the real-life tactical issues of the accumulation trade:
- account in Russian bank ?
- physical delivery of Rubles in some Utah bank account?
- maybe some FX bucket-shop ?

or... _____.
tia

USD/RUB
london red 17:59 GMT 01/29/2015
i disagree, but we are talking about rub here and not usd. surely easier/safer/less risky ways to make money.

USD/RUB
dc CB 17:51 GMT 01/29/2015
S&P downgrading Russia is a joke.

part of the settlement with the DOJ ?????

S&P Near $1.37 Billion Settlement of Crisis-Era Suits


USD/RUB
PAR 17:49 GMT 01/29/2015
Thats exactly the same with the USD .


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