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26/11/15 23:30 A JP Unemploy con: 3.40% pre: 3.40%
26/11/15 23:30 A JP core CPI con: -0.10% pre: -0.10%
26/11/15 23:30 A JP CPI con: 0.30% pre: 0.00%
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They are afraid, starting to shake.
HK RF@ 19:48 GMT 11/26/2015

President Erdogan says Turkey would have acted differently if it knew downed plane was Russian - @AFP

Turkey's President Erdogan says he tried to call Russia's Vladimir Putin but he did not return the call - @France24_en

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:35 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile


Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

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Few trades
Mtl JP 18:42 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
euro trying to test 1.06
below would be that 1.0550

Mtl JP 16:50 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
ECB, PBoC Say Bilateral Currency Swap Testing 'Successful'

11/26/2015 (RTTNews) - Central banks of Eurozone and China announced on Thursday that they have successfully tested their existing bilateral currency swap arrangement.

The bilateral currency swap serves as a backstop facility to address sudden and temporary disruptions in the renminbi market due to liquidity shortages in euro area banks, the European Central Bank said in a statement.

Liquidity providing arrangements contribute to global financial stability and the arrangement with the People's Bank of China was a recognition of the rapidly growing bilateral trade and investment between the euro area and China, the ECB added.

The currency swap between the ECB and the Chinese central bank was established in October 2013 with a maximum size of EUR 45 billion and CNY 350 billion.

The ECB carries out tests of facilities such as currency swaps to ensure operational readiness when needed. Two tests were conducted in April and November this year that provided symbolic amounts of euro and renminbi liquidity respectively. These tests also involved a limited number of Chinese and Eurosystem counterparties.

"The scheduling of such tests is not linked to market conditions and should not be seen as signalling any intention of the central banks to request funds from each other to provide counterparties with liquidity in the respective currency," the ECB noted.

Not yet Breaking News
Livingston nh 16:37 GMT 11/26/2015

JP - 2/10 spread has tightened by 23 bp since beginning of Nov - the picture of yield curve doesn't pick up the magnitude of change -- see the chart for the real story (WSJ chart)

Also FT Alphaville has an article w/ timely series of charts on velocity

Mtl JP 16:36 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
EU Says Risks To Financial Stability Prevail In Majority Of Euro States VIENNA Alliance News 26 November, 2015

..." Italy, France and Belgium were faced with "the combination of large stocks of public debt and a declining trend in potential growth or competitiveness", which was a source of concerns despite the absence of external sustainability risks, the report said. The mix increases the likelihood of unstable debt-to-GDP trajectories and the vulnerability to adverse shocks".../..

PAR 16:28 GMT 11/26/2015

GVI Forex john bland 16:13 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Belgium lowers terror risk level from "4" (highest) to "3" (Serious Probable).

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 16:09 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
ya .. toé Dec 16th Probability of a Rate Hike : 78%
players expecting 0.375% post-lift-off from current 0-0.25%
one could think Janet is doing a pretty good communications job steering players' expectations.
what could go wrong ?

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 15:38 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
what is the 10 - 2yr yield curve doing ?
is it boosting economic and earnings prospects optimism for 2016 ?

Not yet Breaking News
Livingston nh 15:27 GMT 11/26/2015

JP - moi?? - another chart of the failing monetary policy

SaaR KaL 15:27 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Thank you both

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 15:11 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
nh 14:50 do I detect sarcasm in your confidence declaration ?

Thursday trades
Mtl JP 15:07 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile

GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
-- U.S. Markets are closed today (Thursday) for the Thanksgiving Holiday.
-- Most U.S. markets Friday will be open for a half-day session with skeletal staffing.
-- Back to normal on Monday.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Few trades
GVI Forex john bland 15:00 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Yes U.S. closed today and trade will me very limited on Friday.

Few trades
SaaR KaL 14:57 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
US Market Closed today??
Jay Or John please?

Not yet Breaking News
Livingston nh 14:50 GMT 11/26/2015
JP - one of the things about recent M1 is the slowing rate of growth since Q2 - also the part of the Fed balance sheet held by banks reserve balances is not growing as quickly (loans, deposits) - other factors holding larger share

and still no Plan for maintaining s/t interest rate / monetary normalization as maturity of holdings accelerates - but I'm sure everything will be fine

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 14:39 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
nh 13:32 / re linked piece see 14:05 money stock pic
think Janet has vertigo ?

PAR 14:38 GMT 11/26/2015
Hollande playing " Around the world in 40 days ".

Turkey about to get kicked by NATO
Israel Dil 14:13 GMT 11/26/2015
those declared PKK as terror organisation are PKK's arms suppliers.

Hillary Clinton and Turkey

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 14:05 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
In some ways Law's idea that money is just a convenient means of exchange rather than a measure of wealth is good. When monetary conditions after a crisis are tight and there is a shortage of physical gold specie and banks and citizens hoard what cash they have, money supply diminishes and the velocity of money goes into free fall. (Sound familiar?)

Law's belief was that paper money was preferable to gold or silver as money is highly portable. And fungible. At will. Does that sound familiar as well?
And that ... is paper money's Achillie's heel.

Bottom Line Lesson
The bigger the bubble, the bigger the subsequent bust.
M1 Money Stock
Earlier today Eurozone M3 money supply Oct yy +5.3% vs +4.9% exp
ez stoxx rallied.

Not yet Breaking News
Israel Dil 13:52 GMT 11/26/2015
finally it's always about 'bad blood'

jesus, seen (face value of Christianity) by billions as direct son of God didn't manage with his dad's support to win a battle against money changers.

WWII brought IMF and here we are ;-)

Russian President Vladimir Putin says Turkey has yet to apologise or offer compensation for downing
HK RF@ 13:51 GMT 11/26/2015

Probably they will not apologize; It's like asking them to admit how stupid they are.


Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 13:44 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
John Law was sentenced to death because he skewered a love-rival which had nothing to do with his banking shenanigans.
He died penniless in obscure exile (from France)

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 13:33 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
history teaching , meet Viscount Takahashi Korekiyo

this character essentially aped John Law with the alleged good intention of helping to pull Japan out of the Great Depression - via aggressive monetary stimulus (today parading as “quantitative easing”) and monster deficit spending (which initially he did). When Takahashi tried to take the punch bowl away he found out the hard way how f*cking with addicticts to free and easy money works: he was assassinated by a bunch of army types. Takahashi's successors became highly reluctant to cut off funding to the government.

Think Janet is ignorant of money printing and taking away of punch bowl history lessons ?

Not yet Breaking News
Livingston nh 13:32 GMT 11/26/2015
LINK -- A little light reading about current conditions in money markets (from last week)

Not yet Breaking News
PAR 13:28 GMT 11/26/2015
Speculation gave way to panic as people flooded the market with future shares trading as high as fifteen thousand livres per share. By May 1720, prices fell to 4,000 livres per share, a 73% decrease within a year. The rush to convert paper money to coins led to sporadic bank hours and riots. Squatters now occupied the square of Palace Louis-le-Grand and openly attacked the financiers that inhabited the area. It was under these circumstances and the guise of night that John Law fled Paris some seven months later.

When will Draghi flee Frankfurt ?

Not yet Breaking News
Livingston nh 13:26 GMT 11/26/2015
Par - in a few years maybe the FOMC flees to Europe to escape angry mobs

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 13:19 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
PAR - John Law lives to this day. viz: John Law (baptised 21 April 1671 – 21 March 1729) was a Scottish economist who believed that money was only a means of exchange that did not constitute wealth in itself and that national wealth depended on trade. ... .. ... Though they failed, his theories ironically live on 300 years later and "captured many key conceptual points which are very much a part of modern monetary theorizing". - according to wiki

GVI Data Calendar for 27 November 2015
GVI Forex Blog 13:14 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile

November 26, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 27, 2015. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- unemployment, CPI
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: US- Early Closes

23:30 JP- CPI
09:30 GB- GDP
US- Partial Holiday (early closes)

GVI Data Calendar for 27 November 2015

Not yet Breaking News
PAR 13:06 GMT 11/26/2015
What happened to John Law ? Wasnt he chased from France and put into jail or led to the guillotine ?

Few trades
SaaR KaL 12:27 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Short GBPCHF tgt 1.53

Few trades
SaaR KaL 12:16 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Oil Bullish 42.5
tgt 44

Few trades
SaaR KaL 12:06 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
SP500 Still Bullish and adding
2120 is easy in 2 days

NDX the same
tgt 4750

Mtl JP 12:04 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Metals Jump as China Weighs Support Measures, Output Cuts

China regulators may be looking into short-selling of copper and other metals

Few trades
SaaR KaL 12:02 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Out of My dax Longs here
Relong at 11055

Few trades
SaaR KaL 11:51 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile

tgt 1.450

Few trades
SaaR KaL 11:49 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
IMO EURUSD range of 1.0650 to 1.0550 is good for next 2 trade days

Not yet Breaking News
Mtl JP 11:49 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Mario is channeling John Law who brought paper money to France in the mid- seventeen hundreds: hard to ignore that Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, +0.75% rose 0.6% to 383.14, on track for its highest close since Aug. 18, according to FactSet data. A win Thursday would follow Wednesday’s 1.4% rally, launched after a report about the European Central Bank’s considerations for expanding eurozone stimulus measures.

euro EURUSD sitting around seven-month lows, buying $1.0613 compared with $1.0619 late Thursday
what is there not to like ?

Migrant crisis could destroy the euro, warns Juncker: Collapse of the Schengen zone means a single c
PAR 11:14 GMT 11/26/2015
De facto French borders are closed. You can not enter or leave France without being ckecked .

Few trades
SaaR KaL 11:09 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Longing AUDUSD for 0.7300

Few trades
SaaR KaL 11:03 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
Cable will do a nice drop
from 1.5100 to 1.4970 IMO

EURGBP Longs for 0.7100 tgt

Longing NZDUSD with dips

Turkish goods under the microscope of Russian customs
HK RF@ 11:01 GMT 11/26/2015

Russian Agriculture Minister Aleksandr Tkachev said it wouldn’t be difficult to substitute Turkish fruit and vegetables with products from Morocco, Egypt, Iran, South Africa and Georgia. According to Tkachev, 15 percent of Turkish products don't meet Russian standards.

Turkish goods under the microscope of Russian customs

GVI Forex john bland 10:43 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile
-- U.S. Markets are closed today (Thursday) for the Thanksgiving Holiday.
-- Most U.S. markets Friday will be open for a half-day session with skeletal staffing.
-- Back to normal on Monday.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Global-View Trading Technologies
GVI Forex john bland 10:36 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile

Global-View Trading Technologies
GVI Forex Blog 10:32 GMT 11/26/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Global-View Trading Technologies

Migrant crisis could destroy the euro, warns Juncker: Collapse of the Schengen zone means a single c
Syd 10:30 GMT 11/26/2015

The single currency will be jeopardised if Europe's passport-free Schengen zone collapses, Jean-Claude Juncker has warned.
The 26-member zone has come under immense pressure as hundreds of thousands of refugees fleeing war and poverty in the Middle East and Africa stream across the continent.
With Greece in particular struggling to contain the human tide, countries from Hungary in the south to Denmark in the north have put up temporary border controls to stem the flows, making passport-free travel harder than at any time in decades.
But the European Commission President said allowing the Schengen system to erode with member states reimposing border controls could have consequences for the euro.

Euro will be jeopardised if passport-free zone unravels, Juncker has said Schengen zone under pressure as migrants stream across the continent European Commission President said single currency 'makes no sense' if Schengen falls

Next Page

Euro Vulnerable to Further Declines

The Fed’s US Dollar Dilemma

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week of November 16, 2015

The US Dollar and Monetary Policy Divergence

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