Mtl JP 18:26 GMT May 20, 2013
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US oil:
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still Mtl JP.. some update of the browser I did overnite is playing gremlin with saving settings (and navigation between pages on the forum)
City JP 18:21 GMT May 20, 2013
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US oil:
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unlike operators of diesel VW Golfs farmers get all sorts of tax breaks and subsidies.
City JP 18:17 GMT May 20, 2013
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EURO - sell sell sell:
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adding to The Dutch run 250% household debt to income.
Dutch banks have 650 billion euros on outstanding mortgages.
Dutch real-estate prices continue to tank.
tic toc tik tok ABN to Cut 400 Jobs After First-Quarter Profit Drops 17%
love those "customers with increased risk awareness": "House prices have plunged by about 20 percent since 2008. They might not start to recover until 2014, according to ABN Amro estimates. Mortgage lending by Dutch banks is equivalent to about 90 percent of the country’s economy, double the average in the euro area, the central bank said in April.
ABN Amro had 153 billion euros in mortgage loans in the first quarter, with an average loan-to-value ratio of 82 percent. That was unchanged from year-end as the declining house prices were offset by additional repayments by customers with increased risk awareness. Loans exceeded property values in 21 percent of the outstanding mortgage values as of March 31, ABN Amro said."
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Maybe Holland is the stilt that when it finally breaks it pulls and shreds the Eu and euro apart IF only the customers with increased risk awareness pulled their deposit accounts out of their banks before they they get the Cyprus treatment lesson
dc CB 18:15 GMT May 20, 2013
US oil:
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notice that, with the exception of Calif, the highest prices for Gas are in the "Heartland". Diesel is priced higher than gas. It's planting season in the midWest....all those tractors and trucks and pick-ups.
Almost Enron like targeting???
dc CB 17:11 GMT May 20, 2013
US oil:
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this Sunday.
According to AAA Oklahoma's gas price tracking website, on Sunday, the average price in Oklahoma City for a gallon of self-serve regular gasoline is at its highest point ever, $3.963, breaking Saturday's price of $3.952, which was also a record high.
"It appears at least part of the reason for these breathtaking price spikes is limited gas supplies caused by a couple of refineries in the upper Midwest going offline," said Mai. "But these shortages have only impacted selected locations. For example, the average price for regular gasoline in Texas today is $3.43, which is 47 cents below that of Oklahoma. And Arkansas' average today is 48 cents below Oklahoma's."
In the contiguous 48 states, six have gas price averages Sunday above $4 per gallon: Minnesota, $4.272; North Dakota, $4.204; California, $4.057; Illinois, $4.05; Nebraska, $4.031; and Iowa, $4.002.
Cambridge Joe 16:49 GMT May 20, 2013
Cable:
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Just back to the screen..... hmmmmmm... not the best entry for cable shorts...
Apologies to anyone wrong footed by my post.
london hmk 16:42 GMT May 20, 2013
KAL gold silver:
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SaR KaL 16:34 GMT May 20, 2013 - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply
gold tgt 1250
silver 20
i just shorted a few lots on both
amazing
GVI Forex Inner Circle 15:43 GMT May 20, 2013
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Fixed Income:
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Prices in prime fixed income market end weak in Europe. Peripheral prices ending higher.
SaR KaL 15:27 GMT May 20, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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for those that like to stay in position for 1-2 weeks
here are my tgts
eurusd 1.24
usdjpy 110
cable 1.47
usdchf 1.03
audusd 0.90
nzdusd 0.76
usdcad 1.06
eurjpy 1.37
gbpjpy 1.62
gbpnzd 1.98 (**)
Cambridge Joe 15:05 GMT May 20, 2013
Cable:
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Plz feel free to buy it ! :-)
SaR KaL 15:00 GMT May 20, 2013
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Cable:
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I am short joe
adding till 1.5250
tgt 1.5050
next week 1.47
Amman wfakhoury 14:56 GMT May 20, 2013
Cable:
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Joe
we have no softer in forex , only up , down and sideways.
Cambridge Joe 14:53 GMT May 20, 2013
Cable:
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Looking like softer Cable about 40 mins out from here...
IMO. GL
Amman wfakhoury 14:46 GMT May 20, 2013
EURJPY 132.35:
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132.35 confirmed .. also we have a gap.131.73 also consolidation level.
buy and buy another @131 .10 if decline.
NY JM 14:41 GMT May 20, 2013
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Actually world is trying to inllate but thwarted by various factors.
Inflation is in equity prices as flood of lliquidity has trouble getting to the real economies.
london red 14:33 GMT May 20, 2013
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whole world deflating (gold), uk should be no different.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:32 GMT May 20, 2013
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This was from the Lloyds Bank Daily Economic Outlook report:
While Bernanke�s JEC testimony is the key event, closer to home its a busy week for UK data and events: CPI , PPI, retail sales, public finances and the May MPC minutes are all released. We, and the rest of the market, expect CPI inflation to have dipped from 2.8% to 2.6% in April, due to Budget effects and the fall in oil prices. The risks, however, are skewed towards a weaker reading. The other main event to watch for is any change in the voting pattern at the MPC meeting. We believe the vote to keep the APF unchanged at �375bn was unchanged at 6:3, although there is a risk that one or two dissenters, including the Governor, may have shifted camp following the more upbeat economic assessment in the latest Inflation Report.
london red 14:29 GMT May 20, 2013
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often good days to run stops. would be nice to run above 5220 for a good level to sell. after inflation (i expect weak) will want to take advantage of any strength seen in eurgbp to set up short intraday but strictly until retail sales as other data indicates weak outcome.
NY JM 14:20 GMT May 20, 2013
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tks
holiday market spinning its wheels today except in precious metals
london red 14:14 GMT May 20, 2013
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ny, i actually ran line across the two top prior to recent high and ran lower channel off that. from my experience, single tails can often be discounted on intraday charts, often they are data based and not always trend changing. so no i didnt , but looking for a move just below that if channel breaks, then will buy 101.50/80 if seen. still holding under 10 hour so still a chance, not keen on chasing it up though. prefer to buy dips, before boj and bernanke.
NY JM 13:50 GMT May 20, 2013
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Red, one hour trendline? Did you include the early Asia plunge to around 101.80=00?
london red 13:46 GMT May 20, 2013
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yen pair holding trendline for now but still no close above 10 hour sma which has capped it since the open. should resolve within a couple of hours if not before. but think if stops under 102 target can be bought at 10150/80. most of market looking for higher so should work out. if not likely towards 100.
london red 12:48 GMT May 20, 2013
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from 102.30 down to 101.80
london red 12:46 GMT May 20, 2013
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usdjpy...very close to 100 hour sma which is a hair above the lower channel line, below here may see weakness down to 102.30/101.80
Cambridge Joe 12:31 GMT May 20, 2013
AUDNZD:
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Cambridge Joe 17:20 GMT May 19, 2013
Various:
AUSNZD.
It's selling...of course... but the major south move is only just begun. Possible upswing about 1 hour in... the selling with conviction looks to begin about three hours in.
########
AUDNZD shorts might like to secure their positions.... risk of an up-tick close at hand. IMO. GL
Melbourne Qindex 12:05 GMT May 20, 2013
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EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797
:
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Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EURUSD : The market is going to overcome the resistance point at 1.2886.
Qindex.com
=============================================
Melbourne Qindex 01:25:19 GMT - 05/18/2013
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797
The market has fired a warning signal that it is going to reverse its course after hitting the critical point at 1.2797 in the last trading session and EUR/USD was able to close within 1.2814 // 1.2830 this week in the New York session. On this Monday I am expecting the market to tackle 1.2886 in the Asian session.
Qindex.com
EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
Cambridge Joe 11:39 GMT May 20, 2013
EURUSD:
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**IF** EURUSD strikes 2874 before 13:00 GMT and remains above 2863 until that time, then it would sell well into NY.
So it seems to me !
IMO. GL
London Chris 10:57 GMT May 20, 2013
Global Markets News:
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Holidays today
Bernanke Wednesday
Dollar should be softer waiting for Ben
Softer could mean consolidating or could mean stops are at risk
london red 10:55 GMT May 20, 2013
Inner Circle:
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Would add to that run higher today failed a little below friday high, so may accelerate any move higher.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 10:24 GMT May 20, 2013
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Inner Circle:
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This was posted last night on the Inner Circle
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:10 GMT May 20, 2013 - My Profile
Week Ahead: Reply
Not sure where the USD goes after Bernanke testifies but it will turn defensive before he testifies on the assumption he will stay dovish.
eurusd 1.2850 is pivotal resistance on top. Upside capped unless broken, obvious level for buy stops.
1.28 will be that level that sets the tone going forwards.
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