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RISK ON
UK JY 15:54 GMT 12/06/2016
PAR, send me your address and size and I will send you a cheerleading outfit.

RISK ON
PAR 15:53 GMT 12/06/2016
EU Commission in close contact with Italy over banks - Dombrovskis

Reuters ReutersDecember 6, 2016Comment
BRUSSELS, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The European Commission is in contact with Italian authorities over the situation of its banks, the EU commissioner for the euro said on Tuesday, signaling authorities in Italy were ready to act if needed.

"As regards the current banking situation in Italy, we are in close contact with the Italian authorities," Valdis Dombrovskis told a news conference in Brussels after a meeting of EU finance ministers.

"Authorities are prepared and ready to follow up if and where needed," he added.

RISK ON
PAR 15:38 GMT 12/06/2016
Strong US economic data boosting world stock markets . Italy up over
3.5 % . The Santa Claus rally has started.

True Reason Why the EURUSD Rose Sharply After the italian Referendum
GVI Forex Blog 15:34 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile

I get a kick out of reporters trying to explain what may seem unexplainable after the fact, such as the price action in the EURUSD following the Italian referendum result that showed a resounding NO vote against constitutional reforms

True Reason Why the EURUSD Rose Sharply After the italian Referendum


Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 15:28 GMT 12/06/2016


nh 14:31 / ei eye..
posipips

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 15:16 GMT 12/06/2016
according to marktwatch:
2-year Treasury yield at 1.1199%
10:04 10-year Treasury yield at 2.3915%

feels eerie quiet (and still way too low for my x-mass wish)

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Ivey PMI Improves
GVI Forex Blog 15:06 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Ivey PMI stronger. It is always hard to trust the Ivey PMI.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Ivey PMI Improves


BREAKING NEWS:
Mtl JP 15:01 GMT 12/06/2016
that Canadian Ivy thingie is not worth the weight of mosquito's turd

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 15:01 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Canada Ivey PMI (sa) October 2016




ALERT
56.5vs. 59.2 exp. vs. 59.7 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 15:00 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Factory Orders October 2016
U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
+2.70% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +0.30% (r )prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer




Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 14:56 GMT 12/06/2016
re Goremoron
it was once pointed out on gvi: shanghai bc 23:24 GMT November 23, 2006 Reply
Mtl JP 18:35 GMT November 23, 2006
... .. ...
If a person is important,people will line up to visit him even if he lives in a remote mountain village..If a person is not important,nobody will visit him even if he lives in the centre of a busy town"..(Chinese proverb).


from the short post-meeting clips I cought on MSM Goremoron was not happy. Expect him to re-double his efforts, he ll probably re-appear.

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 14:49 GMT 12/06/2016
nh that was 0's parting gift to D lol
hard to think of it as anything else

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 14:47 GMT 12/06/2016
JP - agree -- on energy: Pres elect met w/ Goremoron, The Wild-eyed Prophet of Climate Doom - Pres Obama threw a Firecracker into the Pipeline on his way out the Door // Be a good test for new Prez to disappoint both - we'll see

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 14:35 GMT 12/06/2016
nh - I am thinking usdcad goes up more , 1.3230 holds
-
donald has not seen the last of rising costs yet: "Boeing is building a brand new 747 Air Force One for future presidents, but costs are out of control, more than $4 billion. Cancel order!"

while yellen and her 2% inflation promoting gang should be thrilled

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 14:31 GMT 12/06/2016
jp - keep one eye on oil -- CAD and stox - Wile E. Coyote don't look down

Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading john bland 14:29 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
DAX +32
DJ +10-
SP +2

10-yr 2.389% +0.2bp

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 14:10 GMT 12/06/2016
looks like us stox r going to open at an all-time high
fwiw

Trump - Trade Deficit
PAR 13:49 GMT 12/06/2016
Any Trump tweet on worsening US trade deficits ?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Worsen
GVI Forex Blog 13:44 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Trade Deficit widens.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Worsen


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 13:33 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade October 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-42.6b vs. -41.6b exp. vs. -34.6b (r -36.2b) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-1.18 vs. -2.00 exp. vs. -4.18 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Tuesday Trading
dc CB 13:32 GMT 12/06/2016
zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 7m7 minutes ago

10Y -2.75% in repo

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 13:30 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
U.S. Productivity 3Q16
U.S. Data Charts



   MORE: U.S. Charts


NEWS ALERT

+3.10% vs. +3.20% exp. vs. +3.10% (R ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS:
PAR 12:30 GMT 12/06/2016
Fake news ?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-06/euro-btps-hit-local-reports-italy-may-hold-early-elections


The Euro has been hit this morning, losing some 50 pips following reports in both La Repubblica and Correre, that Matteo Renzi may stay in power for several weeks before potential early elections in January-February of 2017. According to La Repubblica, Renzi may ask that early elections are held in near future in return for staying in power until then. As previously reported, the next Italian general election must be held no later than 23rd May 2018.

BREAKING NEWS:
PAR 12:22 GMT 12/06/2016
Bankers are running out of private sector solutions for Banca Monte dei Paschi (OTCPK:BMDPY) and have told the Italian lender to prepare for a state bailout this weekend after Matteo Renzi suffered a referendum defeat. While financial markets responded relatively calmly, sources told FT that the political upheaval made it "more difficult" to secure a €1B investment from Qatar on which BMPS's €5B capital-raising plan hinges. Shares in the bank have shed more than 85% in value this year.

BREAKING NEWS:
PAR 11:51 GMT 12/06/2016
He is no longer in power . Probably to join GS . LOL.

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading 11:50 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
EUR may have taken a hit on this:

06:38 (IT) Italy Interior Min: Renzi stated he saw new elections likely in Feb 2017 - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Amazing Trader Meeting
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:39 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


For those who missed our Monday meeting, John pointed this out on the Forex Forum: It showed the risk and why. The Amazing Trader gave you the structure and levels to trade.

In the morning meeting today, Jay said the markets are "de-risking" or taking the risk premium associated with the Italian referendum out of the market by unwinding EUR cross shorts. This could be why EUR is stronger than it "should" be. He said this has to run is course, but should not last.


All are invited to attend -

Daily meeting starts promptly at

Tuesday, December 5

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url: https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler


https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler


Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading john bland 11:18 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading john bland 10:59 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
Paris ib 10:13 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
The Australian economy is in serious trouble - referred to locally as a slow patch. The banks have started to raise rates on mortgages already. The RBA controls NOTHING because Aussie banks fund themselves offshore and rates - for this hugely indebted nation - have risen. You can't get much in the way of fixed rate loans out beyond 5 years and even if you can Australian banks have what they call a Unilateral Variance Clause. This charming clause allows the banks to change any condition - rate, term, or even call in the loan at will - and you - the peon - get to appeal to the ombudsman - good luck with that. The ball less Turnbull government is having trouble even getting the banks to agree to this ombudsman. This the government which grants these arseholes banking licences. Meanwhile mortgage rates are travelling a around 4.5 to 5 percent, the Australian household is in hock to its eyeballs, property prices are in the stratosphere, China has clamped down on capital exodus - Cate Blanchett's house sale just folded because the Chinese purchaser can't get the cash out of China - wages are going nowhere and GDP out tomorrow is expected to be negative. They haven't had a recession in 20 odd years but thus next be should be a doozy. AUD implications? Do you have to ask?

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone GDP Revised Higher
GVI Forex Blog 10:06 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Eurozone 3Q16 GDP yy revised up slightly.

Eurozone GDP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone GDP Revised Higher


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 10:00 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Eurozone GDP 3Q16
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts





Data News ALERT
qq: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
yy: +1.70% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Tuesday Trading
GVI Trading john bland 09:49 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • The USD remains on the back foot early Tuesday as dealers continue to rebalance oversold EUR positions. Many are looking ahead to the ECB monetary policy decision Thursday. No policy changes are expected, but some expect the central bank to start to set prepare the markets for the start of a gradual exit from a very generous monetary policy posture.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its Cash Rate target steady at 1.50%. as expected.

  • The U.S. November employment data on Friday was a mixed bag. The 178K increase in Jobs was in line with street estimates, but was nothing to write home about.

  • We see no chance the data will change Fed intentions to raise rates on December 14. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the two top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets are running 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is an ongoing uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets


Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
GVI Trading john bland 09:41 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
At its meeting today, the (RBA) Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent.

The global economy is continuing to grow, at a lower than average pace. Labour market conditions in the advanced economies have improved over the past year. Economic conditions in China have steadied, supported by growth in infrastructure and property construction, although medium-term risks to growth remain. Inflation remains below most central banks’ targets, although headline inflation rates have increased recently. Globally, the outlook for inflation is more balanced than it has been for some time...

Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision


ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Paris ib 09:29 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
PAR is now running for office: either at the ECB or political office where he will 'fix everything'. Meanwhile may I suggest an aspirin and a lie down?

ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Paris ib 09:27 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
There you go, more useless space filler.

ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Paris ib 09:27 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
There you go, more useless space filler.

ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
PAR 09:22 GMT 12/06/2016
Draghi seems to be addicted to NIRP and QE which in the new world economic environment ( Trump boosting world stock markets - Opec boosting crude prices - FED raising rates ) makes no sense.

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Retail PMI Steady
GVI Forex Blog 09:19 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
EZ Retail PMI. Steady. but still in contraction...

Eurozone Retail PMI graph

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Retail PMI Steady


Paul Donovan UBS
Paris ib 09:15 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Time for some inane mafia / ponzi / ECB comments from you. Fills space, helps you reduce your b lood pressure.

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading john bland 09:14 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Retail PMI November 2016





ALERT

48.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 48.6

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paul Donovan UBS
Paris ib 09:13 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
Really? Reporting after the fact - what he should have known before - and he still doesn't understand the nature of the vote or that the Italian government is still there together with the Premier who may or may not resign after the budget passes the Senate. Thanks mate for telling us the Euro rallied. F@cking priceless.

Paul Donovan UBS
PAR 09:09 GMT 12/06/2016
A really good and funny UBS economist .

Renzi - the smiley face
Paris ib 09:07 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
PAR could you please inform yourself before spouting opinions. The referendum was about the constitution not the budget.

CAZENEUVE
PAR 09:07 GMT 12/06/2016
Cazeneuve new French PM

Paul Donovan UBS
Paris ib 09:06 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
The Italian government has not lost office. Who is this guy?

Renzi - the smiley face
PAR 09:06 GMT 12/06/2016
After the referendum Renzi starts working on the Italian budget .

If he had first worked on the budget he could maybe have won the referendum .

BREAKING NEWS: Swiss Deflation Persists
GVI Forex Blog 08:59 GMT 12/06/2016  - My Profile
EARLIER: Swiss CPI (y/y) Deflation persists

Switzerland CPI graph

BREAKING NEWS: Swiss Deflation Persists



Paul Donovan UBS
PAR 08:51 GMT 12/06/2016
Summary

Tuesday 06 December – La Dolce Vita

The euro rallied after the Italian referendum result, which should not necessarily be that surprising. The Eurozone is a current account surplus bloc, meaning that the price of the euro is dictated by Europeans' willingness to sell their currency.
Europeans can be supposed to have a better understanding of the nuances of their political situation, and therefore perhaps less inclined to panic into selling just because another Italian government has lost office. No European selling, no euro sell-off.
Eurozone GDP is due out (a revised number, but markets never pay as much attention to revisions as they should). The growth picture should be perfectly reasonable. One might question why the ECB is likely to offer additional accommodation at their meeting this week at a time of reasonable economic growth and rising inflation.
The UK Supreme Court starts its hearing into whether the UK government needs parliamentary approval to exit the EU; the parliament will grant such approval, but the question is whether conditions are attached.
US labor cost data (which is important for inflation) and durable goods data are due.


Next Page





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WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • The USD remains on the back foot early Tuesday as dealers continue to rebalance oversold EUR positions. Many are looking ahead to the ECB monetary policy decision Thursday. No policy changes are expected, but some expect the central bank to start to set prepare the markets for the start of a gradual exit from a very generous monetary policy posture.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its Cash Rate target steady at 1.50%. as expected.

  • The U.S. November employment data on Friday was a mixed bag. The 178K increase in Jobs was in line with street estimates, but was nothing to write home about.

  • We see no chance the data will change Fed intentions to raise rates on December 14. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the two top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets are running 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is an ongoing uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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