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Click to refresh 5 mins after data release to update clock
26/01/15 9:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 106.5 pre: 105.5
26/01/15 9:00 A DE IFO Current con: 110 pre: 110
26/01/15 9:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 102.5 pre: 101.1
FOREX FORUM
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charts
hk ab 07:47 GMT 01/26/2015
candles are all telling you the eur has bottomed.....

Bangsters may do otherwise......

EURUSD
jkt abel 06:57 GMT 01/26/2015
Zeus, gap is filled, if we continue up from here then you are right, looks like a swing trade is developing and temp bottom is in

EURUSD
USA ZEUS 06:50 GMT 01/26/2015
EUR/USD Stop now at B/E. Objective upgraded to a swing from scalp.

GBP/USD
USA ZEUS 06:40 GMT 01/26/2015
Long GBP/USD at 1.5012. Poised for a nice surge higher.

(USD,EUR)/CHF
HK RF@ 06:16 GMT 01/26/2015


Seems large resources are being pumped in to devalue the CHF.
Up to now moderate range bound movements.

But an inner week could bring 2 more weeks of higher prices.

EURUSD
USA ZEUS 03:54 GMT 01/26/2015
At present, am fully convinced EUR/USD will NOT trade below 1.11 before 1.12+. Will look to take profits at 100+ pips gain on this scalp.

Cheers!

EURUSD
USA ZEUS 03:50 GMT 01/26/2015
gc sf 22:50 GMT 01/25/2015

Were bought on the swing low and sold into the rally.

Cheers!

AceTrader Jan 26: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:34 GMT 01/26/2015
Intra-Day Market Moving News and View
26 Jan 2015 02:10GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Despite early brief drop to 117.27 due to the decline in Nikkei-225 index after Greek official projections showed Greece's anti-austerity Syriza party wins the Greek election, the greenback rebounded on short-covering together with cross unwinding in jpy (eur/jpy dropped briefly to 130.15 b4 rebounding strongly to 132.10).
However, offers at 117.85-95 are likely to cap dlr's upside somewhat with stops only seen above 118.00.
On the downside, some bids are located at 117.60-50 and more at 117.30-20 with stops seen at 117.00.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Friday that the lender may need to get creative in any further monetary stimulus, reiterating that if inflation expectations are "seriously" affected by disinflation, policy can be changed.

On the data front, Japan's exports rose more than forecast in December, reaching the highest level in six years and paring a record annual trade deficit caused by energy purchases and a surge in imports before April's sales-tax increase.

Japan's annual trade deficit widened for a third straight year, rising to 12.8 trillion yen in 2014 from the previous year's 11.5 trillion yen.
That was the largest in comparable data back to 1979. Japan's trade balance turned negative in 2011 for the first time.

Data to be released this week:

Australia market holiday. Japan's Trade Balance, Exports, Imports, BoJ meeting minutes, Germany's Ifo Business Climate, Ifo Current Conditions, Ifo Expectations, Eurogroup meeting, U.K.'s BBA Mortgage Approvals, euro zone's Retail Sales on Monday.

Australia's NAB Business Conditions, NAB Business Confidence, China's CB leading economic index, France's Business Climate, EU FinMin meeting, U.K.'s GDP, U.S.'s Durable goods orders, Redbook, Markit Service PMI, New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence on Tuesday.

Australia's CPI, RBA Trimmed Mean CPI, Switzerland UBS Consumption indicator, Germany's Gfk Consumer Sentiment, Import Price index, France's Consumer Confidence, FOMC rate decision and monetary policy statement, RBNZ rate decision on Wednesday.

New Zealand's Trade Balance, Exports, Imports, Japan's Retail Sales, Australia's Exports, Imports, France's Consumer Spending, Germany's Unemployment rate, unemployment change, CPI, HICP, Italy's Wage Inflation, euro zone's Business Climate, Consumer Inflation Expectation, Consumer Confidence, Economic Sentiment, Industrial Sentiment, Italy's Consumer Confidence, U.K.'s CBI Distributive Trades, U.S.'s Pending home sales on Thursday.

Japan's Unemployment Rate, All Household Spending, CPI, Industrial output, Construction orders, Housing Starts, Australia's PPI, France's Producer Prices, KOF indicator, Italy's Unemployment Rate, Producer Prices, U.K.'s Gfk Consumer Confidence, Mortgage Approvals, euro zone's Unemployment Rate, Inflation ex Food & Energy, Canada's GDP, U.S. PCE, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

3mth aud forward rate libor
nw kw 02:09 GMT 01/26/2015
Chaos in Shanghai

China is NOT selling copper! I repeat, China is NOT selling copper! In fact, itís buying a lot of physical copper.
So why does everyone think China is selling copper lately?

http://www.investing.com/analysis/chinese-copper-conspiracy-unveiled-239577


3mth aud forward rate libor
tokyo ginko 01:30 GMT 01/26/2015
Thank you Sydney ACC

much appreciated

3mth aud forward rate libor
Sydney ACC 00:44 GMT 01/26/2015
Neiher Bank Bill utures or the 30 day Interbank Cash Rate Contracts have factored ina cut to the cash rate as yet.

The Bank Bill Contract has an indicative rate of 2.5% for March and 2.38% for June.

The 30 day Interbank Cash Rate is 2.495% for January and 2.425% for February.

Happy times behind the corner for Greece.
HK RF@ 00:42 GMT 01/26/2015


Lot of street parades, marches, red flags, ceremonies, heated speeches and slogans(How about Down with the USA) and political debates, all in fanfare celebration atmosphere.

What is the right way: Leninism, Marxism, Trotskyism, Stalinism or maybe even Maoism

Fitting well for lazy people:(

The last resort of the CHEATERS: SOCIALISM!!!
Livingston nh 00:25 GMT 01/26/2015
from reuters --

"Unlike at the height of the debt crisis in 2011-12, European banks now have limited exposure to Greece and European policymakers have frameworks to deal with indebted countries, analysts say."

This might be the biggest underestimation of the year

eur
hk ab 00:24 GMT 01/26/2015
tight means discipline in a sense.

eur
hk ab 00:24 GMT 01/26/2015
I think they are eyeing e/j rather, under 130, a strong waterfall cannot be ruled out.

I would buy and tight stop under.

When people are despaired, they will follow any ideology.
HK RF@ 00:22 GMT 01/26/2015


Far Left wing wins!!!

Soon US navy to be kicked out of Crete.

ECB in market today.. free lunch!
Brussels ecb 00:06 GMT 01/26/2015
ECB buying euro today....take advantage of a free lunch..compliments of me .

3mth aud forward rate libor
tokyo ginko 00:00 GMT 01/26/2015
just checking ..
what is 3 month libor rate for aud deposit?

have market already priced in a rate cute yet ?

regards

BUY USD/CHF
HK RF@ 23:55 GMT 01/25/2015

HK RF@ 02:50 GMT 01/25/2015

To make it clearer:

BUY USDCHF
Entry: Around Friday close Target: 0.9000 Stop: 0.8740
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
REMEMBER: Those who are in worse situation and in heavy losses, are the big institutions, with losses on short CHF by the billions(the small specs. have mostly closed positions or wiped out).

They will do everything to manipulate USD/CHF upward as possible.
Now keep on watching the action as close as possible.
Jump on their back and let them take you for a ride to profits.

0.89 target is almost sure!!!
Jump on their back!!! Ye bottom feeders!

DJ Syriza's Big Post-Election Challenge: an Empty Greek Treasury
Syd 22:58 GMT 01/25/2015
The clock is ticking for Syriza--the victorious antiausterity party in Greece's elections--to strike a deal with creditors to keep the country solvent and in the euro.

It wasn't clear yet on Sunday evening whether the left-wing party had won more than half of the 300 seats in Greece's parliament. If it falls short, Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras's first test will be to form a pact with another party, to guarantee his government a majority. But the bigger challenge lies in Greece's empty treasury, and in a game of chicken with Europe.

Greece--one of 19 countries that use the euro--needs billions of euros in coming months from other eurozone governments and the International Monetary Fund to avoid defaulting on public debts. Greek banks also need continual liquidity from the European Central Bank. Europe's current bailout plan for Greece expires on Feb. 28. A successor can't wait too long.

Syriza says it wants to replace the bailout plan, with its tough requirements on budget rigor and economic overhauls, with a new agreement that relaxes austerity, reverses free-market reforms, and relieves some of Greece's debt burden. Officials in Berlin and other key eurozone capitals say Greece must stick to the agreed path of rigor and reform if it wants further financing.

The stated positions are miles apart. A deal on the budget and debt looks difficult but possible. Syriza wants to run a primary budget surplus (excluding interest) of 2% of gross domestic product, instead of the current target of 4.5%.

A budget compromise would probably entail some restructuring of European bailout loans, to make Greece's debt trajectory look sustainable. Eurozone governments could promise to further extend loan maturities while further reducing and postponing interest payments. They have done it before.

Structural reforms could be thornier still. Syriza wants to reverse steps already taken to deregulate and privatize parts of Greece's economy. Germany and other creditors want such overhauls taken further: They see them as essential for making Greece's economy more viable inside the euro. An about-face by Syriza could test its internal unity.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Europe's most powerful leader, wants to avoid a Greek exit from the common currency, which would risk inflicting heavy losses on eurozone taxpayers and could hurt Germany's reputation, people familiar with her thinking say. But she needs a counterparty in Athens, these people say: a government that is willing to make Greece more frugal and competitive.

Unless Syriza caves in, and is helped by face-saving concessions by Europe, Greece risks running out of money by summer or earlier. That looming prospect would have the potential to trigger bank runs and capital controls. If Greece can't finance its government or banks in euros, it would be forced to print drachmas.

Greece lacks the cash to repay bonds held by the ECB that fall due in July and August. Eurozone officials say that they fear Greece might even run short of cash to repay its IMF loans that are falling due in March, because this winter's Greek political turmoil has hurt the economy and tax revenues.

Even before those deadlines, rising anxiety that Syriza won't be able to meet Europe's terms for new credits could spook Greeks into accelerating their recent withdrawals of bank deposits.

If deposit flight were to take off and talks with creditors got stuck, the ECB could find it increasingly hard to justify financial support for Greek banks--even in the form of so-called Emergency Liquidity Assistance from Greece's central bank. The ECB would need at least the prospect of a likely deal on a new Greek bailout program, or it would likely have to pull the plug at some point, analysts say.

Finding agreement looks "extraordinarily difficult," but the costs of failure would be huge for everyone, said Gabriel Sterne, head of global research at Oxford Economics. "Someone has to blink quickly."

DowJones

IBM
GVI Forex john 22:52 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
Laying off 100K or 25% of its global payroll.

EURUSD
gc sf 22:50 GMT 01/25/2015
Zeus - what did you do with all the 1.15 + 1.16 buys ? what sort of stop are you looking at for all your positions ?

EURUSD
HK RF@ 22:35 GMT 01/25/2015


Euro will probably touch 1.1090 before bouncing(if will bounce at all) and not continue deteriorating.

EURUSD
HK RF@ 22:35 GMT 01/25/2015


Euro will probably touch 1.1090 before bouncing(if will bounce at all) and not continue deteriorating.

EURUSD
USA ZEUS 22:20 GMT 01/25/2015
Low buy point at 1.1137 offer for a scalp or possibly smth more if you prefer.
Cheers!

U.S. Stocks Could Be In For A Rough Ride--Market Talk
Syd 21:43 GMT 01/25/2015
A first-place finish for Greece's left-wing Syriza party was widely expected, but investors will be looking to see whether party leader Alexis Tsipras strikes a conciliatory tone in the days after the vote, said Sam Stovall, U.S. equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ. If not, "I think it would instantly create uncertainty," Stovall says. Stocks ended lower Friday after four sessions of gains, indicating some concern among investors. "Investors just decided to take gains from Thursday, pocket them because who knows what's going to happen on Sunday," says Stovall.

WSJ

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:23 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    MONDAY
    AU Holiday
    9:00 DE IFO Climate Closely followed Survey
    TUESDAY
    0:30 AU CPI q/q RBA Target
    9:30 GB GDP YY Widest Econ Measure
    13:30 US Dur Goods Ind Production
    14:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash Latest Service View
    15:00 US CB Consumer Conf Sentiment Survey
    18:00 UST TRY 2-yr Auction
    WEDNESDAY
    15:30 US EIA Crude mn Key to Crude Price
    16:30 UST TRY 5-yr Auction
    19:00 USFRB Fed Rates No Change Seen
    20:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rate No Change Seen
    23:50 JP Retail Sales yy Consumer Demand
    THURSDAY
    4:30 JP Ind Out yy Ind Production
    7:00 DE fl HICP ECB Target
    8:55 DE unem Kchg Employment
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobs
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes
    18:00 UST TRY 7-yr Auction
    23:30 JP CPI yy BOJ Target
    23:30 JP Unemploy Jobs
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    9:00 CH KOF Ind Sentiment Survey
    10:00 EZ FL HICP yy ECB Target
    13:30 CA GDP mm Widest Econ Measure
    13:30 US GDP 4Q14 Widest Econ Measure
    14:45 US Chicago PMI Regional Sentiment
    14:55 US U Mich final Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US PCE defl y Fed Target
    15:00 US Per Inc Income

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


Strong Dollar Policy
Paris ib 20:53 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
"The Strong Dollar Is Always Good, Except When It Isnít".... starting to notice some concern about exchange rates creeping into the 'narrative'.

NYTimes


The last resort of the CHEATERS: SOCIALISM!!!
Sydney ACC 20:21 GMT 01/25/2015
I do not agree with Syriza's plans for the Greek economy, nevertheless there us a need for drastic action. Youth unemployment is stuck at 50%, unemployment overall is at 27%, by 2018 it is projected to decline to 16%, this was the rate that was predicted two years ago for this year.

I read that families are living off the pension of elderly relatives. In one case quoted five persons are living off the monthly pension of EUR 400. I have a family of four we spend AUD 7,000 per month on food, utilities etc. That's before such things as rates, insurance and school fees.

You can't blame the people for wanting a way out. The government will have to default on iys debt and leave the euro.

A third of Greece's exports is refined petroleum, which is imported in the raw form. After that packaged medicaments (3.1%), aluminiem plating (1.9%), Fresh fish (1.7%) Raw Cotton (1.7%).

Bu comparison 22.5 million visit Greece each year. Tourism is worth 18% of GDP. Most of these. however, come from the EU. Reintroduction of the GRD will make it cheaper for European tourists especially boosting Greece's major foreign exchange earner.

The last resort of the CHEATERS: SOCIALISM!!!
HK RF@ 19:56 GMT 01/25/2015


I can just guess, that if Greece, will push through with their plan to act as they want...The situation in Greece will become even worse.


GREECE
PAR 19:40 GMT 01/25/2015
BREAKING: Greek election: Official projection shows Syriza governing majority too close to call


U.S. Weather
GVI Forex john 18:22 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
It looks like the Northeast corridor of the U.S. will be getting "significant" snow Monday through Tuesday. Expected totals range form one to two feet from Philly to Boston. NYC should get hit very heavily. This could adversely impact trading participation Monday and Tuesday.

Syriza Defeats Samaras to Win Greek Election: Exit Poll
GVI Forex 17:44 GMT 01/25/2015
Alexis Tsiprasís Syriza party defeated Prime Minister Antonis Samarasís New Democracy to place first in Greek elections, exit polls showed, after a backlash against years of budget cuts demanded by international creditors.

Tsiprasís Coalition of the Radical Left, known by its Greek acronym, took between 35.5 percent and 39.5 percent compared with 23 percent to 27 percent for New Democracy in Sundayís election, according to the exit poll on state-run Nerit TV. To Potami, a party formed less than a year ago thatís a potential Syriza coalition partner, tied for third place with the far-right Golden Dawn on 6.4 percent to 8 percent.


More...

Syriza Defeats Samaras to Win Greek Election: Exit Poll



Global-View Trading Systems
GVI Forex john 15:36 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile


USD & EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.

Greek Elections
Ath lk 14:58 GMT 01/25/2015
Early polls Syriza win 10% plus the difference with N.D.

Greece update?
HK Kevin 13:58 GMT 01/25/2015
Reuters reports the polls close at 7 p.m. (1700 GMT), with 9.8 million Greeks eligible to vote. An exit poll is expected immediately after voting ends, with the first official projections due at 9.30 p.m. with results updated into the night.

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for January 26, 2015
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:17 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile

Key event week lies ahead

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for January 26, 2015






Greece update?
tokyo ginko 12:42 GMT 01/25/2015
anyone has latest update?

thanks in advance ...

Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 10:19 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile
Oil Reversal into next month
Pivot ----------High ---- Low
48.1394 53.9379 42.3410
I doubt goes lower then 39
I know i posted last week
Seems that hourly had turned into sell

NGAS is turning as well into the month

Pivot ----------High ---- Low
3.0032 3.4144 2.5920


Into week 1 Feb/2015
SaaR KaL 10:02 GMT 01/25/2015  - My Profile


Pair Pivot High Low Rec'd
EURUSD 1.1534 1.1865 1.1203 Sell
NZDJPY 90.0293 93.4142 86.6443 Sell
Gold 1,294.74 1,306.54 1,282.95 Buy
Cable 1.5130 1.5318 1.4943 Sell
USDJPY 117.72 119.52 115.93 Sell
EURJPY 135.72 139.44 132.00 Sell
GBPJPY 177.92 180.42 175.42 Sell
USDCHF 0.8668 0.8864 0.8473 Sell
GBPCHF 1.3076 1.3268 1.2883 Sell
USDCAD 1.2151 1.2654 1.1647 Buy
NZDUSD 0.7622 0.7924 0.7320 Sell
GBPAUD 1.8616 1.9062 1.8169 Sell
EURCAD 1.4021 1.4470 1.3572 Buy
AUDCAD 0.9897 1.0096 0.9699 Buy
NGAS 2.9101 3.0323 2.7879 Flat
GBPNZD 1.9854 2.0450 1.9259 Buy
Oil 46.41 48.32 44.51 Sell
AUDUSD 0.8119 0.8379 0.7859 Buy

Manipulation and intervention through short squeeze.
HK RF@ 02:50 GMT 01/25/2015


To make it clearer:

BUY USDCHF
Entry: Around Friday close Target: 0.9000 Stop: 0.8740

Manipulation and intervention through short squeeze.
HK RF@ 02:47 GMT 01/25/2015


CORRECTION: SHOULD BE BUY NOT SELL USD/CHF

Manipulation and intervention through short squeeze.
HK RF@ 02:40 GMT 01/25/2015
Sell USDCHF
Entry: Around Friday close Target: 0.9000 Stop: 0.8740



It is very clear that the USD/CHF, is being upwardly manipulated by several big market elements(probably the Fed is in again giving cheap loans, hehehe).

So if you like it, you may join the wounded lions pack, and benefit:))

Trade proposal above.

Err...
uk rg 22:02 GMT 01/24/2015
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

A week ago this pair was a buy
It found itself trying to climb up a wall

crude oil revisit $32 anytime soon?
nw kw 20:35 GMT 01/24/2015
do you see fed sets price of oil with soft bonds

crude oil revisit $32 anytime soon?
nw kw 19:39 GMT 01/24/2015
can bet this on fed or eur/ aud for copper

crude oil revisit $32 anytime soon?
nw kw 19:06 GMT 01/24/2015
Canada insurance to cheap oil they did rate cut a so china gets cheap oil 50 to 60 no support from new cars

We Want More - Encore
nw kw 18:14 GMT 01/24/2015
Canadaís big banks have yet to lower mortgage rates after the central bankís surprise rate cut this week, but once one of them does the rest will ďclamour for the market share




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