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FOREX FORUM
30/07/14 9:00 C EZ Cons Conf con: -8.4 pre: -7.5
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Forex
Dhaka 04:10 GMT 07/30/2014
Forex is the most popular business nowadays in this world where people invest money to earn money.For Forex training and mentoring: http://bit.ly/1jZEA32

Forex
Dhaka 04:08 GMT 07/30/2014
For Forex training and mentoring: http://bit.ly/1jZEA32

Watch Out for a Surprise
dc CB 03:40 GMT 07/30/2014
seems I'm with you on that thinking...

Vacation take those Lobsters to the Bank

neck snap trade

twist to the right or the left with Assurance

GVI Forex Blog 03:28 GMT 07/30/2014  - My Profile
Both the FOMC decision and the advance estimate of the US Q2 GDP are pending today and

Morning Briefing : 30-Jul-2014 -0328 GMT


Watch Out for a Surprise
to dk 03:18 GMT 07/30/2014


test ing th e line

Watch Out for a Surprise
dc CB 03:17 GMT 07/30/2014
Over the first six months of this year, the firm generated a profit of nearly $1 billion


and NOOOOO it ain't Zillow, It ain't Trulla, It Ain't Poloco, It ain't Amazon

It's Steven

Profits Soaring After Disgrace


AceTrader Jul 29: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:23 GMT 07/30/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY

30 Jul 2014 00:59GMT

USD/JPY - .... Statement Japan MTEI Official Quote:
'industrial production shows shipments falling for 5 straight months, which is similar to last time Japan entered recession.'

Last night U.S. President Obama announced expanded sanctions against Russia on Tuesday, just hours after the European Union imposed its most sweeping measures yet penalizing Moscow for its role in supporting separatists in neighboring Ukraine.


Wednesday will see the release of Japan’s industrial output, industrial production forecast, Swiss KOF indicator, Eurozone business climate, economic and services sentiment, Germany’s CPI and HICP, U.S. ADP employment, Canada’s producer prices, U.S. GDP and FOMC rate decision.

Watch Out for a Surprise
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:53 GMT 07/30/2014  - My Profile

I see a two-way surprise risk although market wants it to be one-way.

Watch Out for a Surprise


J'accuse; J'amuse
Livingston nh 00:40 GMT 07/30/2014
Oh well, send your co-ordinates and we wll nuke the bstrds

J'accuse; J'amuse
dc CB 00:36 GMT 07/30/2014
the really funny thing is that the "news" is filled with white people screaming at each other as "small towns" deBAIT whether or not to temporaily house all those ....

Map: See where immigrant kids find temporary shelter
USA TODAY ‎- 9 hours ago
An interactive map of data from the Office of Refugee Resettlement shows unaccompanied immigrant minors finding temporary homes as far ...

Even our (MD) governor (and Presidential Hopeful Challenger to Hillar) is now embattled and is to'd and fro'd on the editorial and opED pages of Jeff Bezo's very own WaPost.

Nicely played Diversion

J'accuse; J'amuse
Livingston nh 00:10 GMT 07/30/2014
This is so tedious -- Nuke'm and be done with them

Bailiff, call the next case

J'accuse; J'amuse
dc CB 23:43 GMT 07/29/2014
via ZH. Obama and Netanyahu on the phone.

The transcript, as shown by the Times of Israel was as follows:

The following is an English translation of the Hebrew account of the talk given in the report:

Barack Obama: I demand that Israel agrees to an immediate, unilateral ceasefire and halt all offensive activities, in particular airstrikes.

"Shocked" White House Slams "Fabrication" After Israel TV Leaks Damning Transcript Of Obama-Netanyahu Phone Call


Weekly Trading Planner
Livingston nh 23:40 GMT 07/29/2014
Better if it was 5 years instead of weeks

Weekly Trading Planner
dc CB 23:39 GMT 07/29/2014
You forgot an important US Event for Friday Aug 1

The US Congress goes on vacation for 5 (FIVE) WEEKS.




Calendar -- Daily Forex News
Livingston nh 23:39 GMT 07/29/2014
JP - in an earlier life I used ESOPs to allow closely held corp clients to convert profit sharing (retirement plans) funds into buyouts - these were tax subsidized job preservation programs -- big corps that could have utilized these had no incentive to do so - jobs went elsewhere

Congressional unintentional consequences -- always happens with tax provisions (mortgage interest deductions, OBAMACARE subsidy)

Calendar -- Daily Forex News
Mtl JP 23:31 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
talking of meatballs...

United States Employee Ownership Bank Act - by Bernie Sanders
.. to provide “loan guarantees, direct loans, and technical assistance to employees to buy their own companies. . .”
to “preserve and increase employment in the United States”
to preserve and expand jobs in the United States through Employee Stock Ownership Plans and worker-owned cooperatives
-
do I hear Vlad chuckle ?

Calendar -- Daily Forex News
Livingston nh 22:59 GMT 07/29/2014
The meatballs at the Fed are unlikely to see improvement in the US economy -- the CRISIS is still upon us // regardless of Q2 figs the TRUE BELIEVERS will whine about the myth of Great Financial Crisis -- get over it

This is what happens when you have government expertise running ANYTHING (see Soviet Union circa 1985)

Bots
sd sf 22:43 GMT 07/29/2014
GBP
as you will remember they got stopped quite a few times around 1.7095/1.7125 so they didn't hold longer term shorts on the move down to here

but what they are doing today is looking to sell 50 52 58
and buy 18 12 06 + 05

Eur
obviously a different type of move where they were able to build more of a position and trade around it.

this morning they are buying back shorts @8/9 and bid for more 97/98/99

you can see the reason why based on daily ranges - they just aren't large enough to stop them from taking profit every 40-50 points

AUDNZD

this one is the real mover in the automated FX Space with 1.1050 last line of defence before 1.1150-1.12

I actually don't have a position in this at this time - but I would put on a small manual long looking for a decent up move to clear out all the stale shorts.

eurcad/gbpcad - actually seen bids this morning rather than any profit taking from the lower buying .. continuation move I suppose is on the cards.

Looking at my book - the difference must come shortly where the daily ranges expand so the USD can rally some more .. and the automated strategies don't just t/p on every small move.... if we don't see that and we stay small ball then the USD rally will just end.

Calendar -- Daily Forex News
GVI Forex john 22:40 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile


July 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, July 30. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- ADP Jobs, GDP, FOMC Decision
  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- Consumer Confidence.
  • North America: US- Mortgage Statistics, ADP Private Jobs, GDP, Factory Orders, Weekly Crude, 7-yr Auction, Fed Decision.



AUD and NZD
GVI Forex Blog 21:43 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
US dollar strength and lower global interest rates were notable features overnight. Expectations the US central bank will slightly upgrade its economic outlook tomorrow, plus EU sanctions on Russia, appeared to be the main factors at play overnight. Equities were mixed, the Eurostoxx 50 closing up 0.6% but the S&P500 is currently down 0.4%.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts


Weekly Trading Planner
GVI Forex john 21:23 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile

WEDNESDAY
US ADP Jobs
US GDP 2Q14prelim
TRY TRY 7-yr
FRB Fed Rates
THURSDAY
DE Unemployment
EZ flash  HICP (CPI)  yy
CA GDP mm
US Initial Claims
US Chicago PMI
FRIDAY
CH Holiday
JP Mfg PMI
CN NBS PMI
CN HSBC final PMI
DE MFG PMI final
EZ MFG PMI final
GB MFG PMI
US Employment 
US PCE defl y
US Personal Income
CA RBC-Markit PMI
US MKT MFG PMI final
US U Mich final
US ISM MFG PMI

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Livingston nh 21:20 GMT 07/29/2014
jp - tomorrow a break above 92 locks in the rally

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 21:08 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
technically usdcad stayed above its 200dma gv chartpoint.
-
Bottom Line
It is now incumbent upon the (Fibonacci) retracement theory to prove itself next.

Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
Global-View Chart Points updated daily. Seven currency bases and in printer-friendly format andover 50 currency pairs.

Foreign Currency Exchange Tables


Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
dc CB 20:31 GMT 07/29/2014
it's all aTwitter.

4% GDP, up from -2.9% almost a 7% rise...all based on Tweets and Adverts.

Yes that will be the headline tom morning. :))))))

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
Livingston nh 20:05 GMT 07/29/2014
NOMINAL GDP - 4.4% // this is the key fig not some pointy head elite preferred number

If nominal is sub 4% there may be a real problem

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
Mtl JP 20:01 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
CB maybe the FED collective will spin things is such a way as to keep risk diluted, coz in a unified view lies both strength and vulnerability

GDP views range from recovery to—gasp!—recession - CNBC

a dispertion and divergence of views by the plebs is a good thing for the overlords

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
Livingston nh 19:57 GMT 07/29/2014
CB - FOMC may be lucky to keep status quo - any lovey dovey talk in statement (now a short story length rather than two simple paragraphs) risks a dissent or two // the looney toon BUBBLE guys need to get discredited before the bubble actually shows up

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
london red 19:56 GMT 07/29/2014
stocks...with gdp up before the open last chance to sell is now. im shooting for 2.5%. but will be a dip buyer of the greenback on any fallout on this figure as market has bit between its teeth and pre fomc wont let up for long.

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
dc CB 19:49 GMT 07/29/2014
Gammy and Group will have no choice tomorrow but to tweek the language just enough to hint at not being so devoted to possibly raising rates just a smidge or maybe a tad sometime in the next year or two.

'cause Jeeeeesuuuusssss the StoX Market is Crashing right before out eyes...Oh the humanity.

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:46 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Obama to Speak
dc CB 19:45 GMT 07/29/2014
Today the 2:15 Express left the station right on time.
It just ran the wrong way.

Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Livingston nh 19:41 GMT 07/29/2014
red - CAD JPY et al are breaking LT trendlines/Avgs --- when the LT support/Resistance collapses there is usually a test so EUR could go back towards 1.35 // Cable may be next - LT is still favorable (no avgs broken) but Gilts are now back below double digit Treasury spreads and could go negative like early Spring

Some Vol, some Vol, my kingdom for some vol

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
Mtl JP 19:40 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
from another Top Fed Watcher

Ron Paul: Stocks are in a bubble and will crash - on CNBC

"...The market has to correct, and who's going to call it a crash until it happens? We're in for a major correction, I think. I think we're very, very vulnerable," he said. "When it's artificial, it's distorted, it's vulnerable, and it's just looking for the correction."...

Obama to Speak
dc CB 19:38 GMT 07/29/2014


WilliamBanzai7

Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 19:33 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
Pre-Closing...


Obama to Speak
Paris ib 19:26 GMT 07/29/2014
"Russians have long been able to forgive domestic woes if an outside enemy is lurking."

hhahahahhahahahahahahah.... whereas Americans, no!! They have access to the real, absolute truth....

Let's make a list: Saddam Hussein, Osama Bin Laden, Putin..... who's next?

Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
london red 19:23 GMT 07/29/2014
nh, v interesting. i referred to these monthlies last week, not as a reason to buy but to just be wary. 50 month is just below the figure so it does seem we are at an infexion point. with the end of month fast approaching, its possible we will be 133xx by end thursday. but you'd look for a pullback then since its a new month and retracement theory applies 99% of time, the 1% is a major unexpected market moving event. in which case the following monthly bar is as big or bigger than the previous and retracement is minimal. so you'd be looking at 130-131 august low. as for major event? fed? russia? if you dont get this its quite possible 135xx trades august.

Obama to Speak
Livingston nh 19:15 GMT 07/29/2014
My wife just suggested afternoon soap operas affect his timing


Obama to Speak
Livingston nh 18:52 GMT 07/29/2014
John - my greater concern would be "when is he going to leave" (The Man Who Came To Dinner)

Obama to Speak
GVI Forex john 18:50 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
It must be fun having him to dinner. You would never know when he is going to show up!

Obama to Speak
GVI Forex john 18:47 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
Obama comments delayed until 20:10 GMT. So what is new here?

Risk On/Off Heat Map
Mtl JP 18:42 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
10-yr up in price => yield down => Gold uP in price
lets say 10-yr the leading leg

Obama to Speak
GVI Forex john 18:29 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
at around 18:50 GMT. Hearing its on EU sanctions against Russia.

Risk On/Off Heat Map
GVI Forex john 18:27 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
10-yr 2.464% -2bp after strong 5-yr auction yields are back down. Credit markets have had a deflationary feel today. It can't be the Fed decision tomorrow can it?

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday
GVI Forex Blog 18:16 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- ADP Jobs, GDP, FOMC Decision

The Wednesday focus is the ADP Private Payrolls Survey. The perennials problem is that the ADP data are not a reliable predictor of NFP. A steady Fed Policy Decision is expected as well.

Conference Board Survey Much Stronger than Expected. Latest Fed Decision on Wednesday


Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Mtl JP 18:14 GMT 07/29/2014  - My Profile


nh 17:54 - thx 4 that.
I ll be happy to see the red line fib (see pic) hit first if/when 1.34 breaks down

Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Livingston nh 17:54 GMT 07/29/2014
wkly 144 EMA (1.3419) has been broken for first time since Ben's penguinesque cold feet "NEVER Mind" taper last September - a close here or below this week opens a lot of white space until 1.28// the 1.34 lvl is just an option number - all the short term support is gone and now wkly may be gone
Further out the 21Month sma is 1.3401 (still below 55 mthly EMA @22) so there is a decent chance the monthly could also break by Thursday

Downtime reading.
dc CB 17:27 GMT 07/29/2014
lawyers for three traders filed a Second Amended Complaint in Federal Court against Duffy, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the Chicago Board of Trade and other individuals involved in leadership roles at the CME Group.

The conduct alleged in the lawsuit, backed by very specific examples, reads more like an organized crime rap sheet than the conduct of what is thought by the public to be a highly regulated futures exchange in the U.S.

Lawsuit Stunner: Half of Futures Trades in Chicago Are Illegal Wash Trades



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