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FOREX FORUM
23/05/13 14:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Mayp con: -21.8 pre: -22.3
23/05/13 14:00 US N-Homek Apr con: 425 pre: 417
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GVI Forex Inner Circle 13:01 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   


U.S. flash Markit (not ISM) Mfg PMI a touch weaker mo/mo.



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:58 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   

-- ALERT --
U.S. Markit (not ISM) flash Manufacturing PMI May 2013
51.9 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.1 prev


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Direct links to primary data sources



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:52 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data Due shortly.
Details at top of the page
(Manually refresh forum to update)
EURUSD= 1.2905
GBPUSD= 1.5068
USDJPY= 101.60
AUDUSD= 0.9702
USDCAD= 1.0344

Direct links to primary data sources



HK RF@ 12:44 GMT May 23, 2013
The point is not any US data.: Reply   


But the burst-start of the Japanese bubble.

What happened today in Japan should raise the battle cry of the small investor:"Let me out of here NOWWWW!!!"

US Data is a fool's comfort, just to distract the investors of the real problem!!! BUBBLES BUBBLES UNJUSTIFIES INFLATED MARKET LEVELS.

Ben and his surrogates will try to stabilize, but maybe people are getting tired of this dangerous BUBBLESH!T and leave.

Take off any profit from the table and run for your lives.



hk ab 12:43 GMT May 23, 2013
United States: Reply   
If that's the case, let's speed up the crash of all the indices then.



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:40 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   
Not a barn-burner, but the data keep the possibility of an earlier Fed tapering alive.



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:36 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   
U.S. Weekly jobless claims back below the key 350K line. New recent low for continued claims. Recall benefits eventually run out.


Click on chart for ten-year history



london red 12:34 GMT May 23, 2013
United States: Reply   
Imo a market calming number. Not too strong to talk about tapering, but strong enough to suggest economy stumbles along at 2/2.5%. Should be dollar positive, stocks shouldnt crumble either once hit 1630



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:31 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
340K vs. 346K exp. vs. 360K (r.363 ) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.912 vs. n/a exp. vs. 3.009 (r. 3.102) prev.



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Amman wfakhoury 12:22 GMT May 23, 2013
EURUSD 1.2910: Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:50 GMT May 23, 2013
EURUSD 1.2910: Reply
1.2910 confirmed ..will be reached.


-----------------
first target 12910 reached.



ed kw 12:09 GMT May 23, 2013
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
In any risk off market there comes a time when higher bond yields encourage buying in the underlying currency //BNN reported that higher bonds can be not a flight to usd



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:09 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
red- yes I agree



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:08 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data Due shortly.
Details top of page. Refresh forum manually to update
EURUSD= 1.2885
GBPUSD= 1.5072
USDJPY= 101.70
AUDUSD= 0.9690
USDCAD= 1.0345

Direct links to primary data sources



london red 12:07 GMT May 23, 2013
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
Yes it can be/is misleading but market is edgy and will sell/buy first, ask questions later, hence the possible flip in trend after initial move.



GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:03 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
red - I agree 100% and have been using +/- 350 in initial jobless claims as my benchmark level of economic strength or weakness. Of course this tends to be a volatile series so it could be misleading to focus too heavily on any given report.



london red 11:48 GMT May 23, 2013
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
Coming up us jobless claims. This number is most important today and will most certainly drive the initial new york session move. I say initial as a strong number will almost certainly result in a dollar drive higher but the stockmarket may in time drive the dollar back down against the yen and swiss franc. In any risk off market there comes a time when higher bond yields encourage buying in the underlying currency so this can flip the dollar back up at some stage if lower.



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:30 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
Traders Wanted?Traders Needed: Reply   
For those who did not receive our email, see below:

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Melbourne Qindex 11:29 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : In the New York session the odds are against short position when the market is above 1.2982 // 1.2987.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts



Melbourne Qindex 11:18 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : The bias is on the upside when the market is above 1.2876. Speculative buying interest will increase when EUR/USD is trading above 1.2900 // 1.2904. The odds are in favor of maintaining a long position when the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the resistance at 1.2999.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts



GVI Forex Inner Circle 11:15 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
FED: Reply   
Fed's Bullard: Not Considering Implementing Any of Exit Steps



SaR KaL 11:03 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Linear Regression Belongs to idiota



ICSForex Jay Meisler 10:58 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
ICSForex Update: Reply   

I have been asked who is Institutional Liquidity (ILQ) and is it a reputable broker. The ILQ story is addressed in the following link and you will see why we chose to partner with this firm.

ICSForex Update



SaR KaL 10:54 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
"No Comments"..LOL
EURUSD short from 1.2957
for 1.24 tgt



Amman wfakhoury 10:51 GMT May 23, 2013
AUDUSD .9770: Reply   
0.9770 confirmed ..will be reached



Amman wfakhoury 10:50 GMT May 23, 2013
EURUSD 1.2910: Reply   
1.2910 confirmed ..will be reached.



Amman wfakhoury 10:49 GMT May 23, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5099: Reply   
1.5099 confirmed ..will be reached



SaR KaL 10:47 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
usdcad longs from 1.03 to 1.0277
for 1.0550 tgt



SaR KaL 10:42 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
nzdusd
adding shorts
.8120 to .8145
tgt .75



SaR KaL 10:37 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
watch gbpchf blow north guys



GVI Forex Blog 10:32 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
Risk aversion theme dominated the Asian session but sentiment calmed down a bit after major European PMI manufacturing data beat expectations

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Improvement in Major European PMI data helps to offset a degree of risk aversion



SaR KaL 10:31 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
cable will short from 1.5190
to 1.5237
for 1.47 tgt



SaR KaL 10:18 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
I Miss Amman WFakhawi today



SaR KaL 09:47 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
cadchf
bullish

longs
0.9296
0.9325
accumaltion

for .98 in 2 weeks



Cambridge Joe 09:47 GMT May 23, 2013
EURUSD: Reply   
May crash and burn, but I'm attempting a small e/$ short scalp here .2891 entry.



SaR KaL 09:40 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
Sell JPY : Reply   
Kwun
too risky

i am very long usdjpy now



Central Kwun 09:23 GMT May 23, 2013
Sell JPY : Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 101.3 Target: Stop: 99

can back below 100?



ed kw 09:21 GMT May 23, 2013
u/j: Reply   
ed kw 20:36 GMT May 16, 2013
u/j forecast : Reply
ed kw 22:06 GMT May 12, 2013 Reply
Analysis of the monthly chart reveals two major trend lines that lie at 108.66 and 112.27. This creates a powerful area of resistance. The long-term fair value chart shows that the beginnings of a long period of sideways price movement lurks just above par at 100.48. This level is significant as it is what I call a "Bull Trap." Traders see the break above a key technical level at par and think a new, higher leg is developing, only for price to reverse sharply. A close above 102.00 would then target the 112.12 distribution lows, and potentially the fair value from the 2001 highs at 117.96. Key support is at Friday's low at 0.9822.



london red 09:20 GMT May 23, 2013
cad: Reply   
its certainly overbought, right on upper daily bollinger.



Cambridge Joe 09:18 GMT May 23, 2013
cad: Reply   
red my hourly suggest usdcad has much more South side to offer... over days. IMO.



SaR KaL 09:18 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
usdjpy tgt 105.3



ed kw 09:15 GMT May 23, 2013
cad: Reply   
BNN did call 1.05 av for xsports to chin_a aren't strong ap 30 days old



Cambridge Joe 09:14 GMT May 23, 2013
USDCAD: Reply   
Cambridge Joe 06:44 GMT May 23, 2013
USDCAD: Reply
USDCAD softer here IMO. GL

#########

closed 1/3. sl to entry.



london red 09:11 GMT May 23, 2013
cad: Reply   
10343 was big res now big support, below then risks return to trendline. anything below 10250 suggests a reversal.



Amman wfakhoury 09:03 GMT May 23, 2013
GOLD 1391.50: Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:33 GMT May 23, 2013
GOLD 1391.50: Reply
Eyes on 1391.50


--------------
1391.50 reached



hk ab 08:54 GMT May 23, 2013
e/j: Reply   
it's called e/j - gold inverse relationship.



hk ab 08:53 GMT May 23, 2013
eur/jpy: Reply   
I think we are repeating the "mistake" made in 1995 and 2001 version but this time on eur/jpy.....

How deep can eur/jpy go? no one knows......

Maybe 110-115?



GVI Forex Inner Circle 08:41 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile
Markets digesting Bernanke. PMI data are mixed.: Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:  EZ- Consumer Confidence. GB- GDP, US- Weekly Jobs, flash Markit PMI, New Homes Sales
  • As markets have adjusted to testimony by Chairman Bernanke comments yesterday, the focus has shifted to the REALIZATION that we are moving into a transition period for Fed policy. This realization has seen bond and equity prices fall.
  • The bottom line message from Bernanke was that Fed bond purchases are not going to last forever. On the other hand, the transition back to a more "normal" policy is going to be gradual and governed by the performance of the economy and more specifically the jobs markets.
  • A slew of flash PMI reports for May are due on Thursday. Flash China (HSBC) PMI data fell below the key 50 expansion/contraction line, while German and French data were a touch stronger.
  • U.S. key Weekly Jobless claims, the Markit flash PMI and  New Home Sales are awaited today.
  • The critical German IFO Survey is due on Friday.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3006
JGB 0.88% 0bp
Asia:Sharply Weaker
USDJPY 100.31
Bund 1.40% -2bp
Europe Weaker
EURJPY 130.45
U.S.2.00%  -3bp
U.S.:Weaker



GVI Forex Blog 08:39 GMT May 23, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: EZ- Consumer Confidence. GB- GDP, US- Weekly Jobs, flash Markit PMI, New Homes Sales As markets have adjusted to testimony by Chairman Bernanke comments yesterday, the focus has shifted to the REALIZATION that we are moving into a transition period for Fed policy. This realization has seen bond and equity prices fall.

Markets digesting Bernanke. PMI data are mixed.



london red 08:38 GMT May 23, 2013
yen: Reply   
yen stops short of 23.6% retracement (100,73) of move from feb13 low. if revisited and taken, would suggest correction much deeper below 100.



Cambridge Joe 08:37 GMT May 23, 2013
Cable: Reply   
Cambridge Joe 06:33 GMT May 23, 2013
Cable: Reply
Buying Cable abt half an hour from here


###

Profit taking abt 10 mins out. Softr for a time. (down) late resumes upwsing.IMO.GL




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