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FOREX FORUM
24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP QQ con: 0.70% pre: 0.90%
24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP YY con: 3.00% pre: 3.20%
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BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 18:24 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Actually old doesn't cover it. Decrepit does.

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 18:21 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
He is old. He is finished.

Strategy of Tension
Paris ib 18:21 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
What it is is 'The Strategy of Tension'. "The strategy of tension is a concept for control and manipulation of public opinion through the use of fear, propaganda, agents provacateurs, terrorism, etc. The aim was to instill fear into the populace while framing communist and left-wing political opponents for terrorist atrocities."

So same old, same old.

The Strategy


BREAKING NEWS
PAR 18:17 GMT 10/23/2014
He is rich . Money can buy everything , central bankers , politicians, inside tips etc

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 18:11 GMT 10/23/2014
JP,
what's the story on this?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Reuters reported moments ago, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said on Thursday the government will expedite plans to give more powers of detention and surveillance to security agencies in the wake of an attack on Parliament.

"They need to be much strengthened, and I assure you, Mr. Speaker, that work which is already under way will be expedited," he told the House of Commons, one day after a gunman launched an attack on Parliament and was shot dead.

On the other hand, instead of giving the government even more authoritarian power to do with civilian liberties as it sees fit and appropriate, perhaps the government's agencies could have simply done their work better under the existing laws and regulations, especially after the Sky News report that the Ottawa shooter, Canadian born Michael Zehaf-Bibeau, was already on a terror watch list:

The gunman who killed a soldier in Ottawa and stormed Canada's parliament had been put on a terror watch list, it has emerged.

The Canadian Patriot Act Arrives: Ottawa To Give Security Agencies More "Detention And Surveillance" Powers


BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 18:06 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
rafe - I very much doubt the independence of Soros. He is an insider. The whole BOE thing is a joke. He didn't break the bank. He did what was required of him and got the U.K. out of the European Monetary System by front running the collapse of the pound. He has very deep links with colour revolutions in Eastern Europe. There is no question that right now major geopolitical unrest would work in his financial interests. He may be 'no fool' but that's really not enough of an endorsement.

Soros and political unrest


SOROS
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:03 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
A lot of central bankers sit up at night worried about how much he will make if they decide to change macro policies and even more worried about how much more money he will make if they sit on their hands, some are worthy of nothing more than playing with their marbles or hiding with their Russian mistresses in Monaco.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
dc CB 17:58 GMT 10/23/2014
today's POMO was $1.496bln...juice to kill a few more shorts.
ONE MORE LEFT...OMG!
Mon: $0.85 - $1.05 billion

Yes or No
Mtl JP 17:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
should the United States Department of the Treasury be advised of a potential financial terrorism ?

Opinion: It will soon get easier to buy a home ó but donít do it - marketwatch

seeing as the opnion writer clearly goes against Yellen's asset building plan for and advice to the great unwashed

SOROS
Caribbean! Rafe... 17:53 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
BOE wants payback and they are not gonna get it not even in 100 years.

Soros... I first read a few things about him when I just started and observed some similarities in terms of FX etc.

SOROS
PAR 17:48 GMT 10/23/2014
Soros is no fool . He is smarter than all central bankers together . More importantly he is playing with his own money and faces the consequences of his actions .

BOE remembers Soros very well .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 17:45 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Its my understanding that Soros has always used money managers, especially when he financed the run on the Bank of England, I don't know who he used when he got slammed on his equally famous JPY trade.

BREAKING NEWS
Caribbean! Rafe... 17:39 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
IB//, Soros is no fool, with many yards on the line he cannot afford to employ others to misguide his decisions, he'd be throwing good money after bad money.

He may lose 2 yards but will cover with 5 in the bank.

That is a guarantee...

gl gt.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
dc CB 17:32 GMT 10/23/2014
it's comin' up roses

emini


USDJPY
Mtl JP 17:24 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
the linked bloomi piece is from oct 6th.

I note with great interest the Deposit Overflow part
coz as we all know , on a bank's book
deposits are in the liability column and
loans are in the assets column

"Lenders accumulated so much cash that deposits exceeded loans by the most on record last month. That gap has widened by more than $300 billion in the past year."

and as we all also know that when liabilities exceed assets, certain interesting things can happen.

USDJPY
london red 17:17 GMT 10/23/2014
that trendline, good spot JP. they are less sure of uber dovish fed but should provide some sort of bounce at the v least all the same

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 17:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
SCHEDULING ITEM:

U.K. and Eurozone clocks "fall back" one hour to winter time early on Sunday. The U.S. follows suit one week later.

USDJPY
Mtl JP 17:14 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
with reference to the chart in JP 16:58

American Banks Stockpile Treasuries as Deposits Top Loans - BBRG

..."Commercial lenders increased their holdings of Treasuries (BUSY) and debt from federal agencies in September by $54 billion to an unprecedented $1.99 trillion, data from the Federal Reserve show. Banks have now been net buyers for 12 straight months. "... /..
-
gents I have a feeling ... this is not a good thing to put American banks at such risk. coz it brings closer to front Yellen's 3rd mandate of "can and must safeguard the financial system" - Yellen October 9, 2013

I welcome your comments and trade idea(s)

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
dc CB 17:13 GMT 10/23/2014
Auction next week, 2s,5s,7s.
the gold smack down has begin with the FMOC meeting as the second bIG reason. Like clockwork.

USDJPY
Mtl JP 16:58 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


10-yr noteprice update

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
PAR 16:44 GMT 10/23/2014
Dow 17000 , NASDAQ 4600 by tomorrow . New highs by midterm elections . Wonderfull .

USDJPY
Livingston nh 16:31 GMT 10/23/2014
jp - absolutely, usually accompanied by money velocity -- this taper period has been like the time between the last rate cut and first hike -- but now we have period between the end of taper and first hike (the behind the curve period) // we are still missing the rise in yields

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 16:21 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
10-yr 2.2910% +6.8

cable
NY JM 16:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Hard to pick out the flows other than they are offset by jpy selling.

cable
london red 16:12 GMT 10/23/2014
cable moving thru hourly trendline and towards 200 hour ma. bid feel to it since fail at 1.60. is someone picking up some tesco i wonder. or a bet on gdp. 0.7 is a bit down on the year but there has been some slippage so while 0.8 is possible, 0.7 is probably a fair consensus.

Can Forex Brokers Make a Difference in Your Trading (follow up)?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:51 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

In response to our latest Ask Your Advocate article, I got the following reply from a highly respected trader. The reason I am doing this follow up is the reply brought up some good points and highlights the difference between brokers. Any broker can give good fills in a quiet market. It is in active markets that quality brokers can make a difference. See why.

Can Forex Brokers Make a Difference in Your Trading (follow up)?


USDJPY
Mtl JP 15:50 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
nh some claim that stocks rising and interst rising at same time is "very bullish if it continues as it indicates a strong economy"

USDJPY
Livingston nh 15:38 GMT 10/23/2014
Europe stox closed higher - even FTSE recovered - so now we see whether US stox can hold in the face of higher treasury yields // if USD/JPY fades if stox fade or if USD/JPY rallies if yields hold or rise -- of course, the three could confound us all

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US equity markets are filling the gap from yesterday afternoon and ripping higher. Meanwhile the benchmark 10-year UST yield is zipping higher, at 2.275% as of writing, up nearly six points. The move in USTs follow on a move higher in the German bund yields, which were supported by improved preliminary euro zone and German manufacturing PMI data

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Better Euro Data, Solid Blue Chip Earnings Drive US Gains


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 15:32 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

15:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Late in European trade, markets are in a RISK-ON posture following a slew of flash PMI releases that broadly have been mixed to stronger than expected.† In Far East trade, equities ended weaker. European bourses are up strongly into their close.† U.S. shares are diving equities higher.

U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are up as well.. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down sharply again.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Paris ib 15:31 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
On hold for the moment. We got FOMC, the November 4 elections, the Christmas rally and the Soros put squeeze. Let's get through all that then we can take another look at it.

USDJPY
london red 15:30 GMT 10/23/2014
10yr dec low today is a whisker under 50% of sept low to black wed high this month (126.99). its a potential support but if it can move below then we can move to top of prev range and breakout lvl at 126.37. we are at 127.02 so worth keeping an eye on this today and friday.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
London Chris 15:28 GMT 10/23/2014
What happened to the Gartman bear market?

Where's Ginko?
Paris ib 15:26 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Ginko you still gunning for 2000 ?

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 15:22 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Taking the other side of the Soros put anyone? ..... well for now the whole market is. The put is now apparently worth 2 billion USD. What I'd like to know is that mark to market? I mean considering he's been holding it for over a year (I don't know how long but easily at least a year) and considering he has lost time value and the market has gone against him over that time then he must have ADDED hugely to that position. Otherwise by now he would have a piddling little put. Of course if he could get WWIII going or something similar he might be able to make money. Want world peace? Bankrupt Soros. :-)

USDJPY
Mtl JP 15:20 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
john and on my chart it has been us int rate driving usdyen in an inverse ralationship.

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Art Cashin says HF leading stocks higher. That could explain the JPY carry trade. This s a 5% day already for pivot point resistance in USDJPY.

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 15:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
As I indicated earlier S&P clearly is driving USDJPY higher when you look at the overlay chart. Bullish day for stox.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
red so its likely to start to leak at any time? If I recall correctly U.S. banks got the results beforehand so they could prepare for the release, and those leaked.


BREAKING NEWS
tokyo ginko 15:07 GMT 10/23/2014
Warmonger....put him down...

maybe he got caught shorting global equities...

BREAKING NEWS
london red 15:06 GMT 10/23/2014
Banks get these today or tomorrow i believe john. Worth looking at the bank stocks

TIPS
Livingston nh 15:04 GMT 10/23/2014
Leap of Faith auction today - 7 bio of 30 yr inflation protected securities - some folks think the rates on these are evidence of level of inflation expectations

When Mr. Rubin introduced these I called them VAMPIREs (Variable Appreciation Money Purchase Interest Reduction EQUITIES) and I still do --- but at least they don't exclude food and energy

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
The bulk of the major data for the week is now behind us. Sunday sees the release of the European bank stress tests. I have seen no time for these announcements yet.

GVI Forex Blog 14:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
October 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- GDP, US- New Homes Sales

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 24, 2014


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:52 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


October 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- GDP, US- New Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: US- New Homes Sales, COT




BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)




ALERT
+94 vs. +95 exp vs. +94 prev.

EIA Press Release




TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Leading Indicators September 2014



NEWS ALERT
+0.80% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
: Consumer Confidence preliminary October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -12.6 vs. -11.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

USDJPY
shanghai bc 13:58 GMT 10/23/2014

Well-managed Kuroda's gambit so far..100-105 range for some months and watch others like Eur and Gbp..If Eur starts weakening,then move the range to 105-110.."Do not blame me mate" ..Yen is likely to stay in 110-105 range for the remainder of the year unless Eur makes new lows before year end..


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