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21/10/14 20:30 C US API Energy con: n/a pre: n/a
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Day's Trades
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:38 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
It has been more of a sell EUR than buy USD day.

Perhaps it is expectations of a flat CPI tomorrow and a dovish Fed next week? Whatever the case, USD is mixed. USDJPY is the confusing one and living up to its devil reputation.

By the way EURUSD has yet to test its trendline or 20 day mva.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:30 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
cable shorts from 1.6260 area tgt < 1.6060
for next week
Although I am bullish in general

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
dc CB 16:26 GMT 10/21/2014
IBM is still holding back the Dow...would be up 250

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:23 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Longing EURJPY Here 135.7ish
Tgt > 136.6

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 16:11 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
will long cable
from 1.6130 to 1.6120
tgt 1.6170 ish

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
dc CB 16:03 GMT 10/21/2014

Nothing to see here, move along, nothing rigged, move along.

Paris ib 16:01 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Good question. The Japanese have been less keen on the weak JPY recently, but that can't explain it. Interesting times.

Global Markets News
PAR 15:59 GMT 10/21/2014
JoeSixpack stops buying Coca Cola and stops going to Mcdonalds . He just keeps buying a few beers .

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
Mtl JP 15:57 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
it is tuff to ahead-time sudden massive vertical moves

GVI Forex john 15:57 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile

15:35 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Late in European trade, equity markets have extended their early rally into the close. They generally are in a RISK-ON posture. Equities in Far East trade ended mixed. European bourses are broadly higher. U.S. shares are up.

U.S. 10-yr yields are higher. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are roughly steady. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Global Markets News
dc CB 15:53 GMT 10/21/2014
Having confirmed that RBS, UBS, JPMorgan,,and Credit Suisse operated a cartell to manipulate bid-ask spreads of Swiss Franc libor, the European Commission has unleashed unmerciless vengeance on these law-breaking institutions:

JPMorgan fined EUR 72.2 Million, UBS fined EUR 12.7 Million, Credit Suisse fined EUR 9.17 Million, & RBS Nothing (for whistle-blowing).

The commission found that these four entities 'influenced' interest rate derivatives prices between March 2008 and July 2009 - probably the most volatile and price-sensitive period of American financial history.. and they get fined "an hour's pay?"

Europe Demands Banks Hand Over Their Lunch Money Following Swiss Franc Libor Rigging

Miami JN 15:51 GMT 10/21/2014
Can anyone explain why usdjpy is not higher with stocks in rally mode?

Looking Ahead
Dillon AL 15:51 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
that would also be a .382 of the most recent micro leg

Tallinn viies 15:49 GMT 10/21/2014
order to buy euros at 1,2712 and add at 1,2682.
stop at 1,2647.
target 1,2885

ECB - BlackRock
PAR 15:46 GMT 10/21/2014
Will there be any transparency when the ECB reports on its bond buying . Which bonds , what size, at what price and from which counterparties . How much it paid blackrock , how much it paid to brokers ?

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:37 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Heartburn from lousy McDonalds and Coca-Cola results is not preventing markets from racking up impressive gains this morning, as traders home in on possible ECB stimulus talk and Apple's big quarter. Note that the September existing home numbers hit a one-year high. US Market Update: Apple, Possible ECB Stimulus Drives Markets Higher

Where's Ginko?
Paris ib 15:36 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Mind you I guess he's tempted to fund yet another colour revolution somewhere sensitive to try to tip things over..... the forces of darkness never give up. :-)

Where's Ginko?
Paris ib 15:34 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
IMVHO the Ginko stock market rally doesn't end until Soros is forced to close his position. FWIW.

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
Mtl JP 15:27 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile

amuzingly market "volatility" - there has yet to be even a single 3% loss day - drew Bullard out to spout some bullsh!t and looksee here: so-called "crash" is now poof.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 15:01 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
although I am bullish in general
Shorts 1253 is ok today IMO

Day's Trades
London Chris 14:57 GMT 10/21/2014
Kal, you should be a science fiction writer. I will take the other side of that wager.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 14:22 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD could be heading back to 1.2820 today from here

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
GVI Forex john 14:21 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
This election is a set up for 2016. The day after the election Obama will be a lame duck. I don't think the market reacts strongly to the vote, although a strong Republican outcome could give the USD a temporary lift.

GVI Forex john 14:16 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
PAR- frankly I don't know why Bullard made those comments. All I know is that the Fed has a dysfunctional communications system. I don't pay much attention to most of what they say, except Yellen, Dudley or Stanley Fischer. The rest of them are speaking for themselves.

GVI Forex john 14:07 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Existing Homes Sales is by far the most significant housing statistic. Data were better than expected.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:05 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Red, we keep our own database using US closes (see below).

Global-View Forex Chart Points

PAR 14:03 GMT 10/21/2014
Good numbers . Will James Bullard change his opinion on QE4 ? CanCNBC interview him ?

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
Paris ib 14:03 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
So Jay it's a pointless election? Sounds familiar. :-)

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
Paris ib 14:01 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Thanks John. I had the vague impression that the 'halt' had already taken place. The FED is still doing stuff. So is the military. But other than that I didn't get the impression there was a lot happening. Maybe I am missing something.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) September 2014

5.170 vs. 5.100 exp. vs. 5.050 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:59 GMT 10/21/2014
Jay its all down to your provider. my couple are showing 32 and 34.

Draghi - How to spend it
PAR 13:58 GMT 10/21/2014
FXStreet (Łódź) - Jim Reid, Head of Global Fundamental Credit Strategy at Deutsche Bank, comments on ECB's launching of its covered bond-purchase program on Monday.

Key quotes

"Yesterday saw the ECB begin their purchases of covered bonds in the market. We will get their updated balance sheet numbers every Monday afternoon (starting next week) where we'll get a good idea how successful they are going to be at getting close to their soft target for the balance sheet."

"So every Monday's release will now be important in this regard but for now we had some early indications from the FT which suggested that the ECB purchases included Spanish, German and French issues."

"These purchases weren't enough to stabilise peripheral debt as Italian, Spanish and Portuguese 10Y yields rose +10bps, +9bps and +18bps respectively whilst German and US 10Y yields both fell slightly, by -1bp and -5bps respectively."

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
GVI Forex john 13:58 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
In general. Republicans are seen increasing their majority in the House and they have a decent shot at taking control of the Senate, but that is by no means certain.

I'm not certain how the markets would react to a new government. One problem we have in the U.S. is that either party can grind everything to a halt because of the rules BOTH parties have put into place. Election is to weeks from today.

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
Livingston nh 13:57 GMT 10/21/2014
Yields backing up if Housing Data is decent the mood shift in bondland might scare stox again -- basically a no news day rally is usually suspect

london red 13:57 GMT 10/21/2014
just on a side note which may affect euro. eurgbp prev low at 7874 and 61.8 at 7873. below there the cross looks bearish but i am hopeful the test will clash with 12700/86 test in euro.

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:56 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Republicans are widely expected to gain in the mid-terms and may even take the Senate. I have no idea why as they are as hopeless and clueless as the Democrats. This would insure 2 more years of gridlock and solidify Obama as a lame duck. Should not impact markets as Congress is seen as inept no matter who is in charge.

RISK-ON? European Equities Consolidate Recent Losses. China GDP In Line. Housing Data Due
GVI Forex john 13:51 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
S&P +18
DJ +72
DAX +155

US. 10-yr 2.218%

Rising Stox Risk ON and USD positive.

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
Paris ib 13:47 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Correction: not looked into at all. I've just seen headlines flitting by. But have no clue how significant an event this is (albeit assuming S and P will benefit).

Livingston nh 13:47 GMT 10/21/2014
Since the beginning of Sept the markets, except commods, have not been guided by facts on the ground but hearsay - Fed "dots" mean something then not, Minutes, ECB implication of purchases or not, plus the distortions of negative rates that are poking through, and finally the Great Unconfirmed Global Growth Slowdown

Nervous markets get whipsawed by the slightest breeze - nothing has really changed in the past two months except prices

U.S. Elections - Market Implications?
Paris ib 13:46 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
I've heard (though looked into at all) that the Democrats are unlikely to do well in the mid term elections. What's the deal with this? Should we care or just ignore the entire event?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:43 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
We show the 10 day mva at 1.2721

PAR 13:42 GMT 10/21/2014
Buy the dip in EURUSD . Buy any dip in the stock market .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:42 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
I have found newswires like to make up news by getting quotes from finance and monetary officials and then reporting it as news.

Then you have monetary officials trying to promote their own agendas using newswires.

I would not be surprised if it was a French official tossing out the trial balloon and a German official using the FT to push against it.

london red 13:40 GMT 10/21/2014
quite a good bounce off 10 day at 35 but hampered at 47 and no higher intraday high yet. so thats the band to watch. potential inverse shs with 47 neck if we can get down to 40 and up. might decide the 35/47 conundrum.

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
Draghi is like my wife. I love my wife. Therefore I love Draghi.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 13:37 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
S1 1.2754 breached
S2 1.2701

Paris ib 13:37 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
JM - whatever. Why do you think Reuters produced this spurious headline? It's obviously complete rubbish. And what's more it's OLD rubbish. Certain elements of the Anglo-Saxon press have been flashing this headline for YEARS, that is for the past five or so. Why do that in your opinion?

NY JM 13:37 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
So PAR are you bearish EUR?

PAR 13:36 GMT 10/21/2014
If Draghi is not buying corporate bonds , than he will buy something else . Sovereign bonds , italian municipalities ,notes issued by Montei Paschi or Spirito Santo etc . But buying he will .

He is like my wife , if she does not find the right shoes ,she buys a purse.

NY JM 13:32 GMT 10/21/2014  - My Profile
ib, that assumes a conspiracy theory.

ECB is looking for anything other than outright QE.

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