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FOREX FORUM
30/10/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims con: 2.350 pre: 2.351
30/10/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims con: 281 pre: 283
30/10/14 12:30 A US GDP 3Q14p con: 3.00% pre: 4.60%
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Central Bankers
Livingston nh 11:56 GMT 10/30/2014
Greece - “The reality is that there will be a climate of
uncertainty until February,” Mitsotakis, 46, said in his Athens
office overlooking the Acropolis. “Volatility is caused by the
fear of snap elections and the possibility that these will be
won by a party which is not normal.” Mitsotakis is Ministare of Administrative Reform (a whole ministry devoted to reform??) -- this issue of elections has been under the radar the past few weeks (ECB, AQR etc.)
_________
Fed avoided a 3 member dissent by acknowledging on the ground facts re: labor - Kocherlakota dissent was a freebie
for the QE4ever wing

But overnight shakeup as markets moved thru countries that could be affected by an ACTUAL rate hike has been pretty good -- the next two days see GDP (today) and Fed preferred inflation (tomorrow) that if both are higher than Fed expectations could really roil things // BUT yesterday at least set the stage


Russia
PAR 11:43 GMT 10/30/2014
Ukraine and Russia were unsuccessful in reaching a gas agreement at their overnight talks with the EU, but another round of negotiations will take place Thursday evening. The EU, which depends on Russia for one-third of its gas, is trying to help negotiate the payment plan, fearing disruptions to its supply. Alexei Miller, head of Russia's Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) says the deal can be completed only after Ukraine and the EU reach an agreement on financial guarantees from Brussels to Kiev.

Central Bankers
london red 11:42 GMT 10/30/2014
end of meth folks, here come the withdrawal symptoms. but there a call to be bought down there somewhere. lets wait and see.

Central Bankers
NY JM 11:37 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Peripheral spreads widening as well.

Central Bankers
PAR 11:33 GMT 10/30/2014
Athens stock market down 3.6%, bank index plunges 7.3%

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:12 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile



USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System



Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
USD strength emerged after the FED statement reaffirmed it was moving toward a tighter monetary policy more quickly than its peers. FOMC ended its 2-year bond buying program (QE3) and took on a less dovish tone. It now saw the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2% diminishing compared to its view from early 2014 and acknowledged the improvement in the labor market.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: European inflation data remains soft; German net unemployment improves for the first time in 7 months


Central Bankers
PAR 10:08 GMT 10/30/2014
Central bankers telling is that lower oil is bad are crazy . Lower oil prices are boosting discretionary spending for
99 % o the people and boosting confidence .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 10:06 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Consumer Confidence final October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -11.1 vs. -11.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Central Bankers
PAR 10:06 GMT 10/30/2014
We should go back to free markets and dramatically reduce the role of central banks . The world would have been in much better shape without all the actions of the FED, ECB , BOJ etc . Creative destruction is much better than the communist and keynesian policies of the central planners protecting established interests .

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:49 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
AUDNZD will crash
	High	Low
Avg 1.1274 1.0981
Max 1.1417 1.1122
Min 1.1165 1.0875

12/1/2014 1.0907 1.0835

Gemany
london red 09:45 GMT 10/30/2014
all lower, less than f/c PAR
not sure how you got to steady/higher from there

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:44 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
CADCHF is ok short
	High	Low
Avg 0.8582 0.8323
Max 0.8662 0.8401
Min 0.8479 0.8224

12/1/2014 0.8282 0.8221

Gemany
PAR 09:39 GMT 10/30/2014
German state CPIs steady to higher, more signs inflation may have bottomed out. Saxony 1.04% vs low 0.758% in May

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:29 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
EURGBP
	High	Low
Avg 0.7980 0.7801
Max 0.8005 0.7826
Min 0.7965 0.7787

12/1/2014 0.8138 0.8095

Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen
GVI Forex Blog 09:23 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr

U.S. 3Q14 GDP is the key release today. German unemployment data were better than expected but the unemployment rate remains remarkably steady. The RBNZ kept interest rate policy steady as expected. Once again they talked down the NZD..

Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
GVI Forex john 09:15 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Incorrect table was loaded . Manually refresh page to update.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 09:07 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Dax
	High	Low
Avg 9,199.8899 8,623.0086
Max 9,439.7519 8,847.8301
Min 8,913.1338 8,354.2336

11/30/2014 9,549.0183 9,435.8973

FTSE
	High	Low
Avg 6,498.7907 6,197.8648
Max 6,573.1892 6,268.8183
Min 6,344.5325 6,050.7495

11/30/2014 6,718.7571 6,658.9753

DJIA
	High	Low
Avg 17,052.5930 16,134.4003
Max 17,482.2459 16,540.9186
Min 16,570.6849 15,678.4404

11/30/2014 16,646.5337 16,430.0965

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 09:03 GMT 10/30/2014
German economy in very good shape despite bad weather and Russian sanctions .

BREAKING NEWS
london red 09:02 GMT 10/30/2014
saxony and bavaria inflation -0.2 and -0.3 repectively. dragged lower by fuel and food. not suggestive of good things for german or european inflation.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German October JOBLESS fall faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate is steady.



Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 08:57 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY
	High	Low
Avg 109.6292 105.8812
Max 110.7883 107.0006
Min 108.8102 105.0902

12/1/2014 103.7600 103.1213


NZDUSD
	High	Low
Avg 0.8027 0.7763
Max 0.8099 0.7833
Min 0.7932 0.7671

12/1/2014 0.8433 0.8363

USDCAD
	High	Low
Avg 1.1356 1.1103
Max 1.1409 1.1155
Min 1.1291 1.1040

12/1/2014 1.0974 1.0909

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German unemployment BETTER than expected.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 08:56 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
German Unemployment October 2014




NEWS ALERT
rate: 6.70% vs. 6.70% exp. vs. 6.70% prev.
change: -22K vs. +4k exp. vs. +12K (r +9K ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
GVI Forex john 08:43 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile

08:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Markets are in a mild RISK-ON posture early in European  following the more hawkish than expected FOMC policy decision yesterday. Traders had been leaning the wrong way following muddled comments by Fed speakers in the midst of the stock correction a couple of weeks ago. Generally we recommend listening only to the Chair and Vice-Chair on policy.  In Far East trade, equities ended  mostly higher.  European bourses are mostly higher. U.S. share futures are up at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are higher. 10-yr bund and gilts yields are mixed.Peripheral European bond yields are mostly up.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



EUR/USD
USA ZEUS 08:40 GMT 10/30/2014
EUR/USD Low of the week has been put in. Rally on my friends!

QE
PAR 08:38 GMT 10/30/2014
Fed owns 30% of US treasuries making this market completely manipulated .

EUR/USD
USA ZEUS 08:27 GMT 10/30/2014
Added mucho size long at 1.2558

usd
london red 08:18 GMT 10/30/2014
prev low of 2571 now broken. sets up test of 12500/15 today/coming days. should get a rebound between here and 12500 for 12650 (trendline currently 55) for next shorts. if no rebound, going down fast a couple of figs. close abv 12686 unlikely while downside persists.
yen. above channel line, its targeting 109,76 but that should cap for today. need a daily close abv magic 110 to breakout. would mean euro under 125 and staying there.
cable. 15994 fib capping. 40/50 while below.

Where's Ginko?
tokyo ginko 08:07 GMT 10/30/2014
USDJPY out 109.25

will look to reload again...

GT all

Russia
PAR 07:26 GMT 10/30/2014
Russia should go for a currency board instead of trying to intervene in the markets . Malalaysia did it with great succes in 1998 .

Generally bullish outlook for Equities?
HK RF@ 07:01 GMT 10/30/2014


Time to be on the guard:(

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 06:50 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Gold
	High	Low
Avg 1,269.5824 1,198.6158
Max 1,284.8360 1,213.0167
Min 1,247.1990 1,177.4835

30 Days 1,294.1080 1,278.9567

SIlver
	High	Low
Avg 18.0946 16.3936
Max 18.3760 16.6486
Min 17.9285 16.2431

30 Days 19.7844 19.4102


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 06:46 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Orders placed
for 30 days TGT

AUDUSD
	High	Low
Avg 0.8938 0.8642
Max 0.9002 0.8704
Min 0.8905 0.8611

30 Days 0.9225 0.9157

EURUSD
	High	Low
Avg 1.2856 1.2543
Max 1.2955 1.2640
Min 1.2786 1.2475

30 Days 1.3477 1.3409


	High	Low
Avg 1.6266 1.5909
Max 1.6341 1.5984
Min 1.6188 1.5834

30 Days 1.6706 1.6625

GVI Forex Blog 05:54 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) LEAVES OFFICIAL CASH RATE UNCHANGED AT 3.50%, AS EXPECTED - (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT RPDATA/RISMARK HOUSE PRICE INDEX: 1.2% (5th consecutive increase) V 0.1% PRIOR- (AU)

chris_r_cliff@hotmail.com


EUR/USD
USA ZEUS 05:12 GMT 10/30/2014
Initiated a long EUR/USD at 1.2589 for a swing scalp trade higher.

GVI Forex Blog 03:14 GMT 10/30/2014  - My Profile
Generally bullish outlook for Equities despite the end of QE with the exception of the Dax and

Morning Briefing : 30-Oct-2014 -0313 GMT


AceTrader Oct 30: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:33 GMT 10/30/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

30 Oct 2014 02:13GMT

USD/JPY - .....statement from PM Abe:
"need to flexibly review composition of GPIF's pension fund management reflecting end to deflation;
won't use pension fund management directly to boost stock prices, but change in allocation will indirectly help Japan's economy.
whether Japan can return growth path in Jul-Sep quarter will be key on if proceed with next sales tax hike to 10%;
it's true sales tax hike weakens consumers' purchasing power, must scrutinise how it effects prospects for ending deflation;
economic growth is continuing as a whole;
want to look at various data for Jul-Sep in deciding if to compile extra budget to stimulate economy."

Thursday will see the release of RBNZ rate decision, Australia's HIA new home sales, import and export prices, U.K. Nationwide house prices, Swiss KOF indicator, German unemployment rate, EU business climate, economic sentiment and final consumer confidence, U.S. jobless claims, GDP in Q3 and core PCE, German CPI and HICP.

NZD/USD
USA ZEUS 22:57 GMT 10/29/2014
USA ZEUS 20:01 GMT 10/29/2014
$NZDUSD Long at .7771

Closed at .7816 for + 45 pips

BREAKING NEWS
Sydney ACC 22:01 GMT 10/29/2014
The cash rate is 3.5%. The latest 12 months CPI was 1.3%. That leaves NZ together with NZ as the only countries with positive real rates of return. Australia has, however, only 0.2% real rate of return. This alone makes NZD really attractive.
On the other hand fundamentals are weak. Plus China and other emerging market economies are weakening. Its possible that with FOMC now behind us the market may concentrate on the fundamentals.
AUD/NZD is probably the best indicator.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:50 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
Bottom-line, the RBNZ is trying to jawbone its currency lower again. Do the markets care?

I don't think so, any other thoughts?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:32 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
OCR unchanged at 3.5 percent

Statement issued by Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler:

The global economy is growing at a moderate rate although recent data suggests some softening in the major economies, apart from the United States. Monetary policy is expected to remain supportive for longer in all the major economies.

Growth in the New Zealand economy has been faster than trend over 2014, reducing unemployment and adding to demands on productive capacity. Strong construction sector activity, high net immigration, and interest rates, which remain low by historic standards, continue to support the expansion. Output growth is expected to moderate over coming years, towards a more sustainable rate.

Lower commodity prices and increased global financial market volatility have taken some pressure off the New Zealand dollar. However, its current level remains unjustified and unsustainable and continues to constrain growth in the tradables sector. We expect a further significant depreciation.

CPI inflation remains modest, and was 1 percent in the year to September. Contributing factors are subdued wage inflation, well-anchored inflation expectations, weak global inflation, falls in oil prices, and the high New Zealand dollar. House price inflation has fallen significantly since late-2013, in part due to interest rate increases and the LVR restrictions.

The economy appears to be adjusting to the policy measures undertaken by the Bank over the past year. CPI inflation is currently at a low level despite above-trend growth. However, inflation is expected to increase as the expansion continues. A period of assessment remains appropriate before considering further policy adjustment

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 21:27 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile


October 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 30. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: NZ- RBNZ decision, DE- Unemployment, US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr
  • Far East: NZ- RBNZ decision
  • Europe: CH- KOF Index, DE- Unemployment, EZ- Consumer Confidence
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, Natural Gas, 7-yr.



eurusd
Tallinn viies 21:22 GMT 10/29/2014
not planning t buy euro at 20 anymore.
sell order loewred to 1,2650 with stop at 1,2700.
we will see 1,2550 before 1,2700

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:43 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

THURSDAY
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey


PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:42 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile


USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:26 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
BOC's Poloz:
- Continued policy stimulus needed to close output gap
- Considerable excess capacity in economy
- Current policy appropriate

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 20:19 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
Closing Values...


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 20:06 GMT 10/29/2014  - My Profile
RBNZ: NZD level is still unjustifiable and unsustainable..

NZD/USD
USA ZEUS 20:01 GMT 10/29/2014
$NZDUSD Long at .7771


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