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FOREX FORUM
20/05/13 0:00 CA Holiday con: n/a pre: n/a
20/05/13 0:00 CH Holiday con: n/a pre: n/a
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dc CB 23:14 GMT May 19, 2013
USA USA: Reply   


meanwhile back in the hall of power



JERUSALEM kb 22:41 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
out of gold with 470pips+



JERUSALEM kb 22:39 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
thanks kaprikon



london red 22:27 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
think it has ramifications for wednesdays boj meeting. market was looking at possibility of more of the same, while now it looks like some caution is warranted.
as you say, may go higher initially after gap is filled, but dips may now be deeper towards wednesday as this news is taken on board.



tokyo ginko 22:09 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
i guess BOJ is setting a range target of 95-105 for now

whether the market wants to take it higher is another thing. just ensure that; when the music stop, you have a chair to sit on.

GL all



Brisbane Flip 21:54 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
usd/jpy : Reply   
Economy minister Akira Amari spoke on a Sunday talk show on national TV broadcaster NHK...

“it’s being said that the correction of the strong yen is largely completed. If the yen keeps on weakening a lot more, it will have a negative impact on peoples’ lives.”



london red 21:54 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
Amari says yen strength corrected further weakness undesirable



Sydney ACC 21:53 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
Japan Economy Minister: “yen’s excessive strength has been largely corrected; further weakness could be harmful”



tokyo ginko 21:49 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
any news out from Ausland for USD/JPY down 1% from New York close, big orders from?

tks



Miami JN 21:47 GMT May 19, 2013
Chart Points: Reply   
Any jpy news? Its going nuts



City JP 21:38 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
It jives with COT numbers showing net long USD increased to $25 billion, of which short yen against the USD were at $11bn.
-
Bottom line: short yen trade is potentially most at risk



GVI Forex Inner Circle 21:28 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
All the red in the table below indicates currency downtrends vs. the USD in all time frames . Pretty impressive!



GVI Forex Inner Circle 21:23 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands




GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:39 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Calendar : Reply   


May 17, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, May 20. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CH/CA- Holiday.





Cambridge Joe 18:45 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
USDCAD: Riding high on borrowed time IMO.

If 0303 get revisited in the first three hours of the new week and remains above 0283 until that time, then it will sell into London, NY and beyond. IMO. GL

At any rate... 3 hours in looks pretty hectic across the board. IMO

Anyone else picking these vibes ? KaL ?



Cambridge Joe 17:20 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Ooooh ! A bit late to the party, but just took a look at AUSNZD.

It's selling...of course... but the major south move is only just begun. Possible upswing about 1 hour in... the selling with conviction looks to begin about three hours in.

All IMO. GL



Cambridge Joe 16:33 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Not too sure what you might mean by 'scam' trade JP.....

Apart from that, my Broker doesn't offer USD vs Sheckels...

:-))



Mtl JP 16:27 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Various: Reply   
Another good scam trade is gaming Sheckel's strenght



ed kw 16:09 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
MXN/gold is dropped the most in the gold pairs can be a looong term trend for us/mxn,carts on gold side us the link gold. org for charts/mxn is printing strong econo numbers



Cambridge Joe 15:49 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
USDMXN putting a top around 4 hours into the new week.

IMO. GL



GVI Forex Inner Circle 14:58 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Holidays should subdue activity on Monday. Key week for data: Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:CH +Others- Holiday, CA- Holiday
  • Fundamental sentiment in favor of the USD has continued to improve in the latest week, even though the general tendency of USD positive economic data in favor of the currency appeared to be cooling. The currency is being given a lift by a growing perception that the Fed is now considering an early start to tapering off its quantitative Easing (QE) program. Presumably, this tapering off of purchases of government bonds would happen over an extended period of time. The pace of the tapering would be determined by economic conditions. 
  • A BOJ decision is due on Tuesday along with key UK CPI data.
  • The week ahead will see the minutes from the latest Fed Meeting (May 1)and testimony by Chairman Bernanke to the House. This testimony will give him ample opportunity to signal to the markets What the current intentions of the central bank may be.
  • Thursday sees a number of flash PMI reports  U.K. data could also influence the GBP The critical German IFO Survey is due on Friday.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3027
JGB 0.79% -2bp
Asia:Higher
USDJPY 99.83
Bund 1.32% -4bp
Europe Higher
EURJPY 130.06
U.S.1.95%  +8bp
U.S.:Higher



GVI Forex Blog 14:57 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:CH +Others- Holiday, CA- Holiday Fundamental sentiment in favor of the USD has continued to improve in the latest week, even though the general tendency of USD positive economic data in favor of the currency appeared to be cooling. The currency is being given a lift by a growing perception that the Fed is now considering an early start to tapering off its quantitative Easing (QE) program. Presumably, this tapering off of purchases of government bonds would happen over an extended period of time. The pace of the tapering would be determined by economic conditions.

Holidays should subdue activity on Monday. Key week for data



Cambridge Joe 13:31 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
AUSUSD : If AUDUSD touches 9710 within the first three hours of the new week AND remains below 9735 until then, it buys for a decent session or two !

It may of course buy anyway, but meeting these criteria make it a much higher probability..... IMO. GL



Cambridge Joe 13:21 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Cambridge Joe 10:47 GMT May 17, 2013
Various: Reply
Looking like eurusd gets a lift late NY into Asia. IMO...

############

Any early softness should be seen as a BOD opportunity.

IMO. GL



Mtl JP 12:06 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Cyprused: Reply   
May 19, 2013 LONDON (Reuters) - Independent Scotland open to Cyprus-style bank risks, says Britain

..."An independent Scotland would have an exceptionally large banking sector compared to the size of its economy - with banking assets of more than 1250 percent of Scottish GDP - making it more vulnerable to financial shocks and the volatility of the sector,"...
--
So I ask: who does not like a crisis ?



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:38 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
A Better Broker: Reply   
jay meisler

-- We Challenge You to Try a Better Broker --

Click for Details



beijing kaprikorn 04:46 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
Jerusalem kb
----

Really good trading!



ed kw 03:18 GMT May 19, 2013
MORE STEAM: Reply   
Gillard is doomed: Reply
Syd do you see support for aud/usd using it for aud/gold its not dropping to support like us/gold /why is aud/gold laging us,gold



ed kw 00:57 GMT May 19, 2013
MORE STEAM: Reply   
1 high paying tech job creates up to 3 to 6 part time jobs



ed kw 00:30 GMT May 19, 2013
Forex Trading Theme for the Week : Reply   
AL--- the fed will back of when the us has better growth but that will be the game changer in the s/p think whut selling all the deviant stocks for new growth stocks will do just like the big selling of appall did for new better stockes will be biggest volatility. and you called the charts over bought you have think like commodity charts, run until supply and demand are equal,that is how i recognised e/y big move pending up it was behaving like commodity charts do, have to use the fibs as you are doing, staring at commodity charts for 22years



Mtl JP 21:34 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
Cyprused: Reply   
Bundestag approves bank reform to protect taxpayers

"When the rules come into force in 2015, bank executives may face prison terms of up to five years if they demonstrably violate the new principles of risk management and cause damage to their institutions."
-
Is that to make one laugh or cry ?



Mtl JP 20:57 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
Cyprused: Reply   
Insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones team in Brussels:

How Safe Should Bank Deposits Be? - wsj
---
Key Attributes of Effective Resolution Regimes for Financial Institutions - FSB (.pdf)

What / who is the Financial Stability Board: (from FSB website)

"The FSB has been established to coordinate at the international level the work of national financial authorities and international standard setting bodies and to develop and promote the implementation of effective regulatory, supervisory and other financial sector policies. It brings together national authorities responsible for financial stability in significant international financial centres, international financial institutions, sector-specific international groupings of regulators and supervisors, and committees of central bank experts."

A list of FSB member institutions

The FSB is currently chaired by Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of Canada. Its Secretariat is located in Basel, Switzerland, and hosted by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). It is funded by the BIS.
----------------------------
Bottom line: the FSA is charged with the development of a "policy framework to address the systemic and and moral hazard risks associated with systemically important financial institutions” under the leadership of ex GS men, a bail-in scheme for all of G20 to try to mitigate the potential socio-financial terror posed by TBTF banks.



Mtl JP 17:37 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
Cyprused: Reply   
CYPRUSED !

Crisis at Amanath Co-operative Bank escalates
RBI restricts withdrawals; depositors rendered helpless

..."RBI, over the past week, issued a circular directing depositors not to withdraw more than Rs 1,000 over a six-month period, which has led to large-scale crisis at Amanath’s head office in Bangalore."...



GVI Forex Inner Circle 11:51 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
Forex Trading Theme for the Week : Reply   

-- GVI Forex Trading Theme of the Week--

Fundamental sentiment in favor of the USD has continued to improve in the latest week, even though the general tendency of USD positive economic data in favor of the currency appeared to be cooling. The currency is being given a lift by a growing perception that the Fed is now considering an early start to tapering off its quantitative Easing (QE) program. Presumably, this tapering off of purchases of government bonds would happen over an extended period of time. The pace of the tapering would be determined by economic conditions. The big surprise of the week was a comment late Thursday by San Francisco Fed President Williams (dove), who said that the central bank might be able to start to trim its bond purchases by the summer. Given the source, his comments were seen as significant. The official start of summer is less than a month away.

The week ahead will see the minutes from the latest Fed Meeting (May 1)and testimony by Chairman Bernanke to the House. This testimony will give him ample opportunity to signal to the markets What the current intentions of the central bank may be. Early in the week, U.K. data could influence the GBP after several European and a Canadian holiday on Monday. A BOJ decision is due on Tuesday. The second half of the week sees a number of flash PMI reports and then the critical German IFO Survey on Friday.

For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to visit the Global-View.com Economic Calendar and the

Forex Forum as key items are released.

-- John M. Bland, www.global-view.com



manila tom 02:41 GMT May 18, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

agree Dr. Qindex, 4hr chart showing bullish divergence from oversold condition, odds are better with long position with stop below friday's low, still seeing 1.2970 and 1.3020 before month is over



Melbourne Qindex 01:49 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
EUR-GOLD (1059.12) : Critical Point 1050.9 : Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR-GOLD : The following is still valid :


==============================================


Melbourne Qindex 11:42 GMT May 16, 2013 - My Profile
EUR/USD and Gold : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR-GOLD : The market is going to tackle the barrier at 1060.3 // 1062.9. Panic selling will be triggered if the market is trading below 1059.6. On the other hand the market is stable if it can close above 1100.7 in the New York session.


Qindex.

EUR-GOLD : Monthly Cycle Charts



Melbourne Qindex 01:25 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797


The market has fired a warning signal that it is going to reverse its course after hitting the critical point at 1.2797 in the last trading session and EUR/USD was able to close within 1.2814 // 1.2830 this week in the New York session. On this Monday I am expecting the market to tackle 1.2886 in the Asian session.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts



Dillon AL 00:21 GMT May 18, 2013  - My Profile
Forex Trading Theme for the Week : Reply   


Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD


See what is in store for the week ahead

DX has been added to the Euro and Gbp/Jpy and Usd/Jpy added to the Cable video
See what is in store for the week ahead

To access the videos Click here

Want More then Click here



dc CB 23:53 GMT May 17, 2013
While Europe struggle with national youth unemployment levels exceeding 50%: Reply   
same game different product.

The U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously ruled in favor of Monsanto in a case about the use of its patented seeds. Indiana farmer Vernon Hugh Bowman had been ordered by a lower court to pay more than $84,000 after planting a mix of seeds he bought from a grain elevator. Some of the plants contained Monsanto’s herbicide-resistant genetic trait known as Roundup Ready, which is found in roughly 90 percent of U.S. soybeans. Monsanto accused Bowman of using their technology without paying for it, and the Supreme Court agreed, finding farmers must pay Monsanto every time they plant its seeds. While the case could have wide implications beyond agriculture, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that Monday’s ruling was "limited — addressing the situation before us, rather than every one involving a self-replicating product."

May 14



Sydney ACC 22:11 GMT May 17, 2013
While Europe struggle with national youth unemployment levels exceeding 50%: Reply   
Another decision akin to the Emulsified High-Fat Offal Tube.

EU to ban olive oil jugs from restaurants

From next year olive oil "presented at a restaurant table" must be in pre-packaged, factory bottles with a tamper-proof dispensing nozzle and labelling in line with EU industrial standards.

The use of classic, refillable glass jugs or glazed terracotta dipping bowls and the choice of a restaurateur to buy olive oil from a small artisan producer or family business will be outlawed.

"It will seem bonkers that olive oil jugs must go while vinegar bottles or refillable wine jugs can stay."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/10064787/EU-to-ban-olive-oil-jugs-from-restaurants.html



dc CB 20:54 GMT May 17, 2013
POMO: Reply   
10bln Mon thru Thurs next week....then Mem 3 Day Weekend.
SnP 1700++
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


dc CB 18:36 GMT April 30, 2013
POMO: Reply
May sched out

interesting how the 2nd 1/2 of the month has some of the largest "releases" of $$$ from May 16 on (May 16/17 last 2 days of OPEX week)

more the better to crush any of those "sell in May" shorters and make them regret those bad thoughts....around Memorial Day....just in time for the first rental payment and deposit on that Hampton summer beach house.

POMO May



Mtl JP 20:23 GMT May 17, 2013  - My Profile
tax on stupidity: Reply   
megamillions ticket costs $1.00
odds: 1/175,000,000
Prize: 195,000,000
--
Powerball: ticket costs $2.00
odds: 1/175,000,000
Prize: 550,000,000
(Almost worth a consideration to take out a 175 million dollar loan and buy all mutations)
-----------------
Dow industrials and the S&P 500 at all-time closes



JERUSALEM kb 20:16 GMT May 17, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3020 Target: 1.2670-1.2250 Stop: 1.2910

sl now at 1.2910 with new target



JERUSALEM kb 20:03 GMT May 17, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1389 Target: Stop: 1371.5

sl now at 1371.5



GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:56 GMT May 17, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.



GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:45 GMT May 17, 2013  - My Profile
Commitment of Traders Report: Reply   




COT EUR vs. USD Positions. In week ending Tuesday, EURUSD Longs steady and shorts up. Market shorter EUR.






COT NET EUR Positions. In week ending Tuesday,






COT JPY vs USD Positions. In week ended Tuesday, JPY shorts up and longs up slightly. Market shorter JPY.







COT NET JPY vs. USD Positions. In the week ended Tuesday.










dc CB 19:18 GMT May 17, 2013
Dax Future Triggers Stops, Goes Parablic, Launching Late Day Megaramp: Reply   
Presented with little comment because frankly everything is now full retard. That is the Dax; This is the Dax on low-volume, mega levitation drugs, at 9pm on a Friday in Germany, when out of nowhere someone goes on a mega buying spree in the Dax futures, and send global risk assets, and FX pairs, surging. Is Bernanke LBOing Germany?

ZH



Syd 19:04 GMT May 17, 2013
Where is the Bottom in AUD/USD?: Reply   

ts been an extremely quiet night in the currency market on the last trading session of the week with the exception of the commodity dollar which continue to be pounded on all sides by liquidation flows,

The Aussie hits a fresh low today dropping to 9727 as account in Asia sold the unit mercilessly




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