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Soft Aussie CPI. China Flash PMI Mixed. Eurozone PMIs Better
GVI Forex Blog 09:10 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

In Far East Trade easier than expected Australian CPI data saw the Aussie dollar fall on lessened expectations for a central bank policy tightening later in the year. The headline HSBC flash PMI was about as expected although some of the internal data in the report were weak.

Soft Aussie CPI. China Flash PMI Mixed. Eurozone PMIs Better


AceTrader Apr 23: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 08:59 GMT 04/23/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD

23 Apr 2014 08:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.3824... Eurozone Apr manufacturing PMI came in at 53.3, better than the forecast of 53.0. Apr Service PMI came in at 54.0, stronger than the forecast of 52.5.

The single currency found renewed buying at 1.3799 in Asian morning n strengthened to 1.3819 n rose briefly to 1.3837 at European open, however, the release of weaker-than-expected French manf. PMI pressured the pair lower n price retreated to 1.3799 again. Euro found support there after the release of upbeat German manf. PMI n price recovered to 1.3820.

Offers are now seen at 1.3830/40 n more abv at 1.3850/60 with stops building up abv there whilst initial bids are noted at 1.3785/90.

German Apr Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.2, better than the forecast of 53.8. Service PMI came in at 55.0, stronger than the foreacst of 53.3.

Mr Wfakhoury
CT LV 08:50 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
Mr Wfakhoury
Amman wfakhoury 08:48 GMT 04/23/2014
CT LV 08:37 GMT 04/23/2014 - My Profile
Dear Sir, what is your levels for the EUR/USD?
-----------------------------------------------
EURUSD reached its high at 13855 ..we are heading down unless 1 hr bar closed above 13855 then 13880 will be seen.
if 1 hr bar closed below 13842 then first target 13825.
-----------------------------------------------
Thank you so much and GT

Mr Wfakhoury
Amman wfakhoury 08:48 GMT 04/23/2014
CT LV 08:37 GMT 04/23/2014 - My Profile
Dear Sir, what is your levels for the EUR/USD?
-----------------------------------------------
EURUSD reached its high at 13855 ..we are heading down unless 1 hr bar closed above 13855 then 13880 will be seen.
if 1 hr bar closed below 13842 then first target 13825.

Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 08:47 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
Early in European trading hours, markets have gotten off to an active start following the release of mostly better than expected flash April PMI data. Next week will see the critical monthly U.S. employment reports and a Fed policy decision. Prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed. The peripheral European bond prices are higher. Equity markets in the Far East closed mixed. European shares are mixed to higher.

U.S. equity futures are steady. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.72% -2bp.


Mr Wfakhry
CT LV 08:37 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
Dear Sir, what is your levels for the EUR/USD?

AceTrader Apr 23: Daily Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/IDR
Hong Kong AceTrader 08:30 GMT 04/23/2014
USD/IDR DAILY OUTLOOK - 11625
23 Apr 2014 06:36GMT

Usd's rally to 11645 confirms erratic rise from
Mar's low at 11255 has resumed n further gain to
11665 is seen, above would extend to 11690.

Hold long with stop as indicated n below would
risk stronger pullback but 11525 should hold.


STRATEGY : Long at 11630

POSITION : Long at 11630

OBJECTIVE : 11690

STOP-LOSS : 11600

RES : 11665/11690/11760

SUP : 11525/11465/11400


Latest BOE Policy Vote and Minutes
GVI Forex john 08:30 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile



-- NEWS ALERT --

Rates:Tighten = 0 Unchanged =9 Ease =0
QE: Add = 0 Unchanged =9 Reduce =0


Bank of England





TTN: Live News Special Offer

Now it is official.
jkt abel 08:25 GMT 04/23/2014
RF@, time for you to move on too, nobody cares about Ukraine and Russia

Now it is official.
HK RF@ 08:23 GMT 04/23/2014


Ukraine's government says Easter truce is over, says it will act to eliminate militant groups in country's east in coming days - @Reuters (They are always acting, hehe)

Probably more impact on European tax payer than on the FX market.

All is contained to the satisfaction of the US and the Russian bear which was made to bite a slice of the Ukraine, thus creating troubles among friends and brothers. More military expenses for Europe and more income to the US weapon industry, more territory for Russia.

This will go on. Don't expect WW3.
Probably the world will learn to live with it, like we live with the Syrian conflict.

1Q14 Australia CPI
GVI Forex john 08:18 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile






EARLIER

QQ: +0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.80 prev.
YY: +2.90% vs. +3.20% exp. vs. +2.700% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


1Q14 CPI Mixed. AUD falls..


" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 08:11 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9445 Target: 0.88 Stop: 0.9370 for half

Lahore FM 09:42:52 GMT - 04/10/2014

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9445 Target: 0.88 Stop: 0.9535
sold now.
--
half part of short from 0.9445 closed now at 0.9278.stops for remainder at 0.9370 with target at 0.8800.

April 2014 EZ Flash PMI Estimates
GVI Forex john 08:09 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
EZ Mfg PMI stronger than forecast.




EZ Services PMI better than expected.




EZ, GE flash Mfg PMIs better, but France turns lower.





EZ, German and French flash Services PMIs. France weaker.




April 2014 EZ Flash PMI Estimates
GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile




ALERT
EZ
mfg:53.3 vs. 53.1 exp. vs. 53.0 prev.
svc: 53.1 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 51.5 prev.

France
mfg: 50.9 vs. 51.9 exp. vs. 52.1
svc: 50.3 vs. 51.3 exp. vs. 51.5

German
mfg: 54.2 vs. 53.9 exp. vs. 53.7
svc: 55.0 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.3


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Direct links to primary data sources

April 2014 China flash HSBC PMI
GVI Forex john 07:58 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile


HSBC flash PMI rebounds in line with estimates.


April 2014 China flash HSBC PMI
GVI Forex john 07:53 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile




Earlier
HSBC: 48.3 vs. 48.4 exp. vs. 48.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 07:44 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
dc CB 00:39 trumping in interest in your link is the bit about Argentine bonds and "orders applying to commercial property outside the United States, but not to things such as military or diplomatic holdings" as seize-able assets to make good defaulting govvy bonds

TradeTheNews.com
Syd 06:45 GMT 04/23/2014
Australian dollar vs US Dollar Falls over 40pips below $0.9330 following lower than expected Q1 CPI - Source TradeTheNews.com

RBA TradeTheNews.com
Syd 06:43 GMT 04/23/2014
ANZ economist: Lower than expected inflation to allow RBA to continue to pursue the current very accommodative setting of monetary policy - The Australian- Says "RBA will buttress the economy from the expected drag on growth from weaker mining investment and tighter fiscal policy... It suggests the period of stability in the Australian official interest rate can continue for some time further." - Says inflation "does not suggest an intensification in the pace of currency pass-through or a widening of retail margins in the quarter, which will be of comfort to the RBA." - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 06:41 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
(CN) CHINA APR HSBC/MARKIT FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI: 48.3 V 48.3E (first sequential rise in 4 months; 4th consecutive contraction) >- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q1 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: 0.6% (3-quarter low)

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: AUD sinks on lower than expected Australia Q1 CPI; China flash PMI remains in contraction - Source TradeTheNews.com


AUD/USD May Fall to 0.9203 and Farther on Bearish Technicals
Syd 05:42 GMT 04/23/2014
Spot AUD/USD hit a two-week low of 0.9274 Wednesday after Australian 1Q inflation data came in softer than expected. Dow Jones technical analysis shows AUD/USD short-term technical outlook is tilting negative as the five-day moving average is falling below the 15-day moving average, the MACD indicator is bearish, while the slow stochastic measure is falling and isn't yet in oversold territory. Spot AUD/USD in the near term may decline to 0.9203 (April 3 reaction low), and then to its 200-day moving average (now at 0.9149). A rise above Tuesday's high of 0.9377 would temper the bearish short-term AUD/USD view. Spot AUD/USD was recently at 0.9283.

Market
dc CB 05:06 GMT 04/23/2014
syd sf 01:02 GMT
every commentary I have read this morning says we have to wait for this speech or that speech .. or this number or that number.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

That's because all of us have been trained by pain- Pavlov style- to fear the headline reading bots

who will take out stops 2X sigma either side and then continue on

willkommen

lookie how the majors stay in a range Until OMG Out O the Range....But Who knew to trigger the BOTs to go to another range.

OH THE HUMANITY ...ya totally explosive aircraft envelope carrin' People....WHOT could go wrong. We are CAREFUL.

Rinse and repeat.

GVI Forex Blog 03:25 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
The Chinese PMI data from HSBC has come at 48.3, still below 50, which is not taken as a

Morning Briefing : 23-Apr-2014 -0324 GMT


AceTrader Apr 23: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Hong Kong 02:25 GMT 04/23/2014

23 Apr 2014 02:00GMT

USD/JPY - 102.59 ... U.S. dollar ratcheted higher from yesterday's low at 102.41 to 102.69 in Tokyo morning due to the rise in Nikkei-225 index which rose by more than 100 points, however, selling interest emerged below yesterday's high at 102.73 n price retreated to 102.57 after the release of less-than-expected Australian CPI data. Offers are tipped at 102.70 whilst bids are located at 102.45/50 with stops building up above 102.75 n below 102.40.

Japan FinMin Aso says 'need more time before Abeconomic reaches entire economy.'

BoJ's Nakaso says 'if change to BoJ's outlook, will make needed adjustment; thinks Japan economy resilient enough to ABSorb tax hike.'

Japan FinMin Taro Aso says 'Must ensure to keep Japan economy strong this year so government can proceed with next sales tax hike to 10%.'

BoJ's Kuroda sayswon't aim to lower fiscal burden after BoJ hits target; sustainable government finances need for sustainable growth; strongly hope government steadily tackles fiscal reform.'
Japan FinMin Taro Aso says 'Japan's regional economies are recovering.'

23 Apr 2014 01:31GMT

AUD/USD - 0.9328... Australia 1Q CPI came in at 0.6% Q/Q n 2.9% Y/Y, lower than the forecast of 0.8% n 3.2% respectively.

Aud sharply retreats from 0.9377 to 0.9325 after the release of CPI data.

China HSBC manufacturing PMI came in at 48.3, same as expectation.

Market
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:05 GMT 04/23/2014  - My Profile
Kuroda just spoke..nothing new

... Then Australia's Q1 CPI data are due at 1130 Sydney (0130 GMT). Headline CPI for Q4 came in at +2.7% y/y and +0.8% q/q. Economists surveyed by MNI expect headline inflation to rise 0.8% q/q in Q1, taking y/y inflation to 3.2%, which would be above the RBA's 2% to 3% target range. In Q4, y/y headline CPI rose 2.7%. This is followed 15 minutes later (0145 GMT) by HSBC's China April flash manufacturing PMI...

Source: Market News International (MNI) – A Deutsche Börse company

Market
syd sf 01:02 GMT 04/23/2014
every commentary I have read this morning says we have to wait for this speech or that speech .. or this number or that number.

pretty funny that we have fallen so low as a market.

Chart Points -- Trading Points
dc CB 00:39 GMT 04/23/2014
nh

meanwhile the Supremes spend their time considering pressing issues that are so velllly important to the Amurican CONsumer and the Court's master, Corporate Amurica.

that this was presented to the Supremes, not even to mention that they took it on, says so so so so much about what this country has become.

What did that lead into the old Superman TV show used to say...
Truth, Justice, and the American Way.

Court to determine what constitutes pomegranate juice


Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation
HK RF@ 00:27 GMT 04/23/2014


The 50 Mil$ prostitution fee, is much money for the government thieves in Ukraine.

After US sponsored failed revolution, they throw them under the bus.

The stupid US admin. didn't learn ahead about the social structure of this society, and now the Ukrainian are left with a fractured country.

The only true thing Biden told them is: "You are corrupt".

And the 50Mil, is a: "Just take it and you are on your own".

The real troubles will begin when/if the insurgent army will march on Kiev.
And it seems they are decided to do so!

The only thing US can do this time is impose more sanctions and counter sanctions from the Russians which is the only thing which may affect the markets.

Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation
Livingston nh 23:12 GMT 04/22/2014
jp - talk about "chump change" 50 mio -what ?? // if the US cared we'd put a trip wire in - we don't care 'cause eastern UKRAINE is gone

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Livingston nh 23:07 GMT 04/22/2014
cb - "and as someday it may happen that a victim (buyer) must be found I have a little list of ... "" -- we'll see what happens to all the smart guys -- they'll be on the beggar cup circuit again // always the chance that the rubes wake up and say "nobody too big too fail"

Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation
Mtl JP 22:59 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
what an insult !

woosh ... Biden shows support for Ukrainian leaders and promises another $50 million in aid - cbsnews

Ukraine the dolt ... and down the toilet

Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation
HK RF@ 21:39 GMT 04/22/2014

KIEV, Ukraine (AP) -- Ukraine's acting president ordered security forces to resume "anti-terror" operations in the country's east Tuesday after the bodies of two people allegedly abducted by pro-Russia insurgents were found and a military aircraft was reported to be hit by gunfire.

The twin developments - which came just hours after U.S. Vice President Joe Biden left Kiev, the Ukrainian capital - raised fears that last week's international agreement on easing Ukraine's crisis was failing.

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 21:12 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
* March U.S. existing home sales dip less than expected

* ECB's Draghi speech may weigh on euro

* Euro zone PMIs and German IFO a key focus

FOREX-Dollar strength ebbs, threats of ECB action keep euro subdued


Chart Points -- Trading Points
dc CB 21:06 GMT 04/22/2014
those that Barnum was speaking of do not get to borrow money at 0.25%, which can be leveraged up to 10x, and continuously "rolled over" at essentially Zero cost. "Buying" aka Putting a 30Y "on the books" as just provides more collateral which enable more leverage. They are also doing the FEDs work by "helping" to keep long term interest rates low.

there is no intention of holding for 30Y.

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 20:54 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
nh your ref to Barnum made me chuckle

Weekly US API Data
GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +0.520 vs. +2.500 exp vs. +10.000 prev.
Gasoline: -3.400 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +0.155 prev.
Distillates:+0.570 vs. -0.500 exp vs. -1.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.80% vs. n/a exp vs. 88.80% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Livingston nh 20:29 GMT 04/22/2014
jp - nobody wanted 11% 30 yrs ago - and now they're lining up to get less than 4% // Barnum was right


Chart Points -- Trading Points
Mtl JP 20:18 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
you want to be long 30-yr Lew paper ?
to expiry ?

Chart Points -- Trading Points
Livingston nh 20:07 GMT 04/22/2014
From Market Watch -
"But when the entire market thinks one thing is about to happen, the opposite outcome is often in store, notes James Camp, managing director of fixed income at Eagle Asset Management. So don’t count out that result with Treasurys, he advises.

“It’s the most hated asset class,” says Camp, but Treasurys are some of the best performers year-to-date."

And sometimes the market is right

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


FWIW
dc CB 19:34 GMT 04/22/2014
Even with the Putin factor...looks like none of the Specs really wanted to hold WTI for delivery at $104. The expiring May contract went off the boards at the low $101.69, from its high today of 104.34.


FWIW
dc CB 19:19 GMT 04/22/2014
The proud recipient of today's $250,000 invoice for propaganda rendered by Ben Bernanke will be the Economic Club of Canada...

BERNANKE: FED ACTIONS DIDN'T FAVOR WALL STREET OVER MAIN STREET
Bernanke Says US Economy Is Heading Towards Complete Recovery

Cable
Cambridge Joe 18:57 GMT 04/22/2014
Short term turbulence, but selling well thru Asia. IMO. GL

GVI Forex Blog 18:44 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
April 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 23, 2014


Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 18:42 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands



Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
GVI Forex john 18:38 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile


April 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr
  • Far East: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI.
  • Europe: FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, Weekly Crude, 5-yr.



U.S. Housing Flat. Flash Global PMIs Releases Wednesday
GVI Forex Blog 18:32 GMT 04/22/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

Tuesday turned into a "risk-on" session and this was favorable for the USD. Furthermore, early in the day, a ECB official explicitly talked down the EURUSD. This reinforces the view that the strength of the EUR is a major concern at the central bank. So far the USD gains vs. the EUR have been modest .

U.S. Housing Flat. Flash Global PMIs Releases Wednesday


Cable
Cambridge Joe 18:30 GMT 04/22/2014
Cable HOD in place. Now to travel South . 6800 / 6770 f0r starters.

IMO. GL.

STOX
Chicago LS 18:30 GMT 04/22/2014
SP 1 hour rsi hanging on to >85 for what looks like too long also

STOX
Livingston nh 18:00 GMT 04/22/2014
STOX - if you are watching Yen - there is a good chance stox drop big here - lunchtime rally not impressive - MACD rolling over


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