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Even the Ukr. soldiers don't want to get orders from the CIA.
HK RF@ 10:19 GMT 04/16/2014

The vehicles stopped near the city administration building and flew Russian flags while residents chanted "Good job! Good job!"

One of the men who came in the vehicles, who identified himself only as Andrei, said the unit was part of Ukraine's 25th Brigade of Airborne Forces and that they have switched to the side of the pro-Russian forces.

Kramatorsk locals stop Ukrainian tanks, persuade soldiers to leave
If you read my previous post, I then suggested the UKR army will defect and join the Russian army.

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 10:05 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
The GBP was firmer after the UK employment picture continued its improvement. UK ILO Unemployment Rate moved below the BOE 7.0% threshold (**Note back in Feb the central bank stated that it would look at a broader range of economic indicators). The Claimant Count registered its 17 straight month of improvement. EU Market Update: Tensions escalate over Ukraine; European Q1 results remain mixed and negatively impacted by currencies

AceTrader :Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -GBP/USD, USD/JPY
Hong Kong AceTrader 10:01 GMT 04/16/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -GBP/USD, USD/JPY

16 Apr 2014 08:37GMT
GBP/USD - 1.6802... The British pound traded in a narrow range in Asia as traders awaited the release of UK jobs data. Price strengthened to 1.6763 in early European morning in tandem with euro b4 rallying to 1.6818 after the release of UK jobs report. However, selling interest below Feb's 4-year high at 1.6823 capped cable's rise n knocked the pair lower.

Bids are now seen at 1.6795/00 n more below at 1.6780/90 with stops building up below there, suggesting buying on dips is the way to go!

UK unemployment rate fell to a 5-year low at 6.9% fm prev. reading of 7.2%.

USD/JPY - 102.27... BoJ governor Kuroda says 'inflation expectation rising as a trend while long-term rates moving stably due to BoJ's massive bond buying; want to pull end deflation at an early date by steadily continuing with current QE policy.'

Improved U.K. Employment. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Expected
GVI Forex Blog 09:42 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: Housing Starts/Permits, Industrial Prod Cap Utilization Yellen, Beige Book, CA- Bank of Canada

Although tensions persist in Ukraine. a late-day rebound in equities appears to have caught many traders short and has seen shares rise elsewhere today. The move was exacerbated by thin markets due to upcoming holiday period starting at the end of this week.

Improved U.K. Employment. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Expected

Cambridge Joe 09:27 GMT 04/16/2014
Sold oil 104.60. .... ! This time.. Aaamm eatin FOOOD tonite !

New Zealand 1Q2014 CPI
GVI Forex john 09:12 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
-- Earlier --
QQ: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
YY: +1.5% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

Euro zone inflation stuck in 'danger zone', keeps pressure on ECB
GVI Forex 09:12 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
(Reuters) - A shock drop in March euro zone inflation to its lowest level since November 2009 was confirmed on Wednesday, keeping pressure on the European Central Bank to intervene should prices not rebound.

Euro zone inflation stuck in 'danger zone', keeps pressure on ECB

March 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)
GVI Forex john 09:11 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP unchanged. Core CPI lowered. ECB focuses mainly on headline CPI.

March 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)
GVI Forex john 09:04 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

mm: +0.90% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. 1.00% prev.
yy: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.

HICP core
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.

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Fixed Income Snapshot
GVI Forex john 08:54 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed to lower following the late day recovery
Tuesday in North America. The peripheral European bond prices are mostly higher.

Equity markets today are higher as noted, With Europe up and The Far East better. U.S. equity futures are up. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.65% +3bp.

buy cable! dont miss it!
bali sja 08:43 GMT 04/16/2014
great trades abel! yes, keep selling usd is the easiest, cheers!

buy cable! dont miss it!
jkt abel 08:40 GMT 04/16/2014
lovely to see it working so well

jkt abel 09:57 GMT April 15, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!: Reply
hehe, gbp long stop survived, now downside is done IMO, snap back rally can take us high high high, sky is the limit for cable

jkt abel 03:55 GMT April 15, 2014
buy cable: Reply
this is the original position, still running well:

jkt abel 09:23 GMT April 10, 2014
buy cable: Reply
closed half here at 1.6772 for +197 pips!! rest is still running for much higher, stop at BE, can't lose only win now

jkt abel 09:37 GMT April 7, 2014
buy cable: Reply
bought gbpusd 1.6575, stop 1.6527, target open!

February/March 2014 U.K. Employment Data
GVI Forex john 08:39 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

U.K. Claimant Count Unemployment about steady. 6.90% unemployment below previous 7.0% Carney target to consider raising rates. (Note: A declining Claimant Count is stronger and vice-versa.) GBP higher.

buy cable! dont miss it!
london red 08:33 GMT 04/16/2014
wages higher but not as high as expected, 16823 must be taken or risk is lower

Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag
Paris ib 08:33 GMT 04/16/2014
It has always been clear that the Russians want a peaceful outcome. However it has also always been clear, to anyone who cares to notice, that the Yanks prefer war. They are armed to the teeth, export arms pretty much indiscriminately and are actively engaged in overt and covert war all over the planet. I have no faith in American rhetoric. They want war, real war. A very strange nation.... or at least a very strange military industrial complex. Americans - to an extent - are like everyone else but their leaders (and their media) are weird in the extreme. Though everyone pretends not to notice.

buy cable! dont miss it!
jkt abel 08:32 GMT 04/16/2014
lalala, see dont you just love selling usd and buy gbp instead? ;) very easy

February/March 2014 U.K. Employment Data
GVI Forex john 08:31 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile


Claimant Count (000): -30.4 vs. -30.0 exp. vs. -34.5 prev.
ILO Unemployment: 6.90% vs. 7.10% exp. vs. 7.20% prev.
Average Earnings: 1.70% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.

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China GDP 1Q14yy
GVI Forex john 08:29 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

EARLIER: China GDP beat expectations +7.40% yy.

Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag
PAR 08:26 GMT 04/16/2014
Russia not interested in war rethoric just wants a diplomatic solution,hence the stronger Euro .

Russia has more similariries and common interest with Europe than can be imagined. Part of London and the Cote d'azur are already controled by Russia and things are just fine overthere.

China GDP 1Q14yy
GVI Forex john 08:22 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

+7.40% vs. +7.30% exp. vs. 7.70% prev.

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Direct links to primary data sources

Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag
Paris ib 08:22 GMT 04/16/2014
Euro up not down on this news. It doesn't look like we will get what the Yanks hoped for: a flight to USDs, except in the USD/JPY which is entirely margin related (ie. not real money).

Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag
HK RF@ 08:14 GMT 04/16/2014

Alec Luhn of The Guardian tweeted that "pro-Russian unmarked militia now has armored troop carriers & are driving from Kramatorsk to Slaviansk. A definite escalation of tensions."

Raniah Salloum, the foreign affairs editor of Spiegel Online, reports that he "just saw tanks that switched side[s] in #kramatorsk. Now anti Kiev."

buy cable! dont miss it!
london red 08:10 GMT 04/16/2014
Unemployment and wages up soon. 7.1% expected but a lot looking for below 7%. There has been some evidence of increase in productivity so its possible claims are negatively affected by this. However such will put upwards pressure on wages which are expected up 1.8% ie higher than inflation. Resistance 1.6823 support 1.6684 16605

buy cable! dont miss it!
london red 08:10 GMT 04/16/2014
Unemployment and wages up soon. 7.1% expected but a lot looking for below 7%. There has been some evidence of increase in productivity so its possible claims are negatively affected by this. However such will put upwards pressure on wages which are expected up 1.8% ie higher than inflation. Resistance 1.6823 support 1.6684 16605

buy cable! dont miss it!
jkt abel 08:08 GMT 04/16/2014
data have been leaked? ;)

buy cable! dont miss it!
jkt abel 07:58 GMT 04/16/2014
here we go again, UK data will trigger the necessary boost for gbpusd

sell usdchf
jkt abel 07:57 GMT 04/16/2014
go go go, sell usd!

jkt abel 10:00 GMT April 15, 2014
sell usdchf: Reply
sold 0.8809, stop 0.8857, open target too

Ukraine and China
Paris ib 07:56 GMT 04/16/2014
"There is no good will in Washington, only mendacity. Russian delay provides Washington with time to build up forces on Russia’s borders and in the Black Sea and to demonize Russia with propaganda and whip up the US population into a war frenzy. The latter is already occurring." Dr. Roberts

Slow build to real military confrontation? Is this possible? Based on numerous recent precedents IT IS!!

What happens next all depends on how the Chinese choose to respond to this provocation. Do they sell USD bonds or not?

How Far Will Washington Go?

Chinese GDP
PAR 07:50 GMT 04/16/2014
Wednesday 16 April 2014 - Prepare to overreact
Presented by Paul Donovan

• Chinese Q1 GDP came in 0.1% higher than consensus at 7.4% yoy. Let joy be unconfined (and under no circumstances reflect on the fact that previous months were revised lower, GDP is revised everywhere all the time, or that Chinese data quality may be questioned).

Amman Wfakhoury
FR 07:50 GMT 04/16/2014
Hello everyone,

May I know where is Mr. Amman Wfakhoury.?
I am not looking him in the forum?

China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?
Mtl JP 07:49 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
what matters more is that european stocks loved the Chinese data, massaged or otherwise
crude back above $104

Mtl JP 07:43 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
mind the GAP ... from approx 1.3882

PAR 07:08 GMT 04/16/2014
Well supported at 1.3800 and with potential to rise above 1.4000 on good economic date from Europe and disappointing macro figures from the USA .

Yellen speech will be another cheerleading for the Us stock markets which will go into the Easter Weekend on a high note boosted by more rate amphetamines .

China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?
KL KL 06:11 GMT 04/16/2014

Where have you been hiding.....? Hope all is well nicely retired and watching the waves roll by... ;-))

What is this Barry O'Farrell resigning over $3000 Wine ... If it was like Labor Craig Thompson....this is non issue...there lies the difference between the ideology of these two party....

also the Property prices is CRAZY...Mega Crazy in Sydney.... Now if we have bought in GFC...we would have more than double it by now......hind sight 20/20......LOL

Now we wait for the POP....goes the weasel in Aussie property in major cities....been an incredible parabolic to in Singapore, Malaysia and so many Asean cities....... anyway g'day to you!!

Your Best Trade Today
bali sja 05:06 GMT 04/16/2014
as I said before there is no stopping them buy stocks, it is all they care about
Dow 17k is a done deal soon and usd will go to toilet with it perhaps...

GVI Forex Blog 05:04 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
- (CN) CHINA Q1 REAL GDP Q/Q: 1.4% V 1.5%E; Y/Y: 7.4% V 7.3%E; YTD: 7.4% V 7.3%E >- (CN) CHINA MAR INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 8.8% V 9.0%E - (CN) CHINA MAR YTD FIXED URBAN ASSETS Y/Y: 17.6% V 18.0%E - Asian Market Update: China Q1 GDP slowed less than expected; Retail sales beat makes up for Industrial Production miss - Source

China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?
Syd 04:18 GMT 04/16/2014
China’s GDP growth fell in the first quarter to its slowest pace since September of 2012, slipping to 7.4% on-year growth from 7.7% the in the fourth quarter. The increase was slightly higher than economists’ expectations of a 7.3% gain.

Authorities released other data that suggested continuing weakness, but not at a quickening pace. Industrial production grew 8.8% on year in March below expectations of 9% but up from an average 8.6% expansion in January and February, combined to limit distortions from the Lunar New Year holidays. Retail sales were 12.2% higher on-year in March, up from 11.8% growth in January and February.

Fixed-asset investment, meanwhile, slipped to 17.6% on year in the first quarter from 17.9% growth in the first two months.

Some economists saw a massaging of the GDP figures. Others said the data showed a slight recovery in March. (Comments edited slightly for style):

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
The better than expected Chinese GDP (7.4% vs 7.7% on a Quarterly basis)

Morning Briefing : 16-Apr-2014 -0337 GMT

China growth slows but beats expectations
Syd 03:26 GMT 04/16/2014
China’s expansion slowed to the weakest pace in six quarters, testing leaders’ commitment to keep reining in a credit boom and pollution as risks mount of missing a 7.5 per cent annual growth target.

Gross domestic product rose 7.4 per cent in the January -to- March period from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today in Beijing, compared with the 7.3 per cent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of analysts. Industrial production increased 8.8 per cent in March, less than projected, while first-quarter fixed-asset investment trailed estimates.

An extended slowdown would put pressure on Premier Li Keqiang to add stimulus or ease up on efforts to curb financial risks and property-price gains after this month outlining spending and tax relief to support growth. A weaker Chinese economy would limit a pickup in global expansion forecast by the International Monetary Fund and restrain demand for commodities including copper and iron ore.

AceTrader Apr 16: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GPB/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:52 GMT 04/16/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GPB/USD

16 Apr 2014 02:21GMT

GBP/USD - 1.6721.. We mentioned in y'day's update short-term specs sold the pound in Asia in anticipation of a soft U.K. inflation number, European traders did the same when they entered the market n when CPI came out at a 4-year low of 1.6% as per market consensus, cable staged a ferocious rebound fm 1.6657 (Reuters) to as high as 1.6731 on broad-based short-covering/profit-taking (depending where you had ended there trade !), pric later ratcheted higher to session high of 1.6749 b4 retreating.

The intra-day sideways move despite y'day's strg rebound suggests Asian players are respecting the Tue's high print as offers were reported at 1.6745/55 with stops abv there, however, more selling interest is noted at 1.6780/90. On the downside, some bids are reported at 1.6710-00 n more below, so range trading is expected ahead of another batch of U.K. jobs data.

Pay attention to U.K. jobless claims, employment change & the unemployment rate at 08:30GMT, the employment change data is probably the more important figure to watch, street forecast is looking for an increase of 90k vs previous reading of 105k, if the increase falls short of expectation, then expect (pun intended) another round of sterling bashing to come in.

Your Best Trade Today
dc CB 02:48 GMT 04/16/2014

you can see where they want to take the SnP. If it weren't for the Ukraine mess this would have been straight up all day.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:32 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:31 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
102.33. = 50 day mva
102.50. = 20 day mva

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:22 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
Nikkei up => USDJPY up

Now watch 102 as it sets the tone from here

There is always a risk the Mkt. will catch with fundamentals.
HK RF@ 02:19 GMT 04/16/2014

Especially after a long weekend.

The most (if) to be affected is the Euro.

I don't see much optimism at the moment, so better close now and go for a longer weekend.

AceTrader April 16: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:01 GMT 04/16/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

16 Apr 2014 01:28GMT
USD/JPY - 102.04 Japan FinMin Aso says 'can't Ok crop. tax cut without alternative revenue.'
Japan FinMin Aso says 'pull back from sales tax hike not as big as expected; downturn in consumption from pent-up demand ahead of sales tax hike smaller than expected from now.'
Fed's Kocherlakota says 'wage growth has been slow because of low demand; makes goods, services seem more expensive; calls to "audit the Fed" are really calls for politicians to have more say on monetary policy; I am an active "learner" on Bitcoin, very interesting to monitor and keep track of; interested in Bitcoin as a payment system, not as a currency that competes with dollar; it is not clear whether raising the minimum wage adds to, or reduces, unemployment.'
Fed's Kocherlakota says 'we need to do a better job of letting people know "the Fed has economy's back; we can afford to stay accommodative as the recovery proceeds; I expect interest rates to rise gradually as recovery continue; If we see inflation rise rapidly, will raises rates rapidly in response; I am fully committed to doing whatever it takes to keep inflation, because of tools at Feds' disposal; a lot of unemployment is cyclical, and can be affected by monetary policy.'

AUD/USD - 0.9337 - Australia Mar Westpac leading index rose to 0.0% from -0.1% in Feb.
BoJ's Kuroday says 'expects wider range of prices in Japan to rise ahead.'
'BoJ's QE steadily showing effect on Japan economy; Japan making steady progress toward BoJ's 2% price target; Japan's economy to weaken Q2 on effect of sales tax hike but resume growth above a potential from around summer; Tankan showed board range of Japan firms seen cautious of economic outlook but think firms' positive stance on business maintained.'

syd sf 00:42 GMT 04/16/2014
I just bght the short back manually at 04 - its s/l is 15

after seeing Gold yesterday - not standing in front of any freight trains today.

Everyone with his own interests.
HK RF@ 00:38 GMT 04/16/2014

It seems that the US citizenry find it more interesting to read about yesterday Blood Moon eclipse than the Ukraine crisis.

Probably they believe it's a sign from the heavens LOL.

nw kw 00:25 GMT 04/16/2014
NZD Consumer Prices Index (YoY) (1Q)
1.5% 1.7% 1.6%

Mtl JP 00:15 GMT 04/16/2014  - My Profile
early Asia on some happy pill drugs

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