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FOREX FORUM
24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP QQ con: 0.70% pre: 0.90%
24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP YY con: 3.00% pre: 3.20%
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USDJPY
Livingston nh 15:38 GMT 10/23/2014
Europe stox closed higher - even FTSE recovered - so now we see whether US stox can hold in the face of higher treasury yields // if USD/JPY fades if stox fade or if USD/JPY rallies if yields hold or rise -- of course, the three could confound us all

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US equity markets are filling the gap from yesterday afternoon and ripping higher. Meanwhile the benchmark 10-year UST yield is zipping higher, at 2.275% as of writing, up nearly six points. The move in USTs follow on a move higher in the German bund yields, which were supported by improved preliminary euro zone and German manufacturing PMI data

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Better Euro Data, Solid Blue Chip Earnings Drive US Gains


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
GVI Forex john 15:32 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

15:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Late in European trade, markets are in a RISK-ON posture following a slew of flash PMI releases that broadly have been mixed to stronger than expected.  In Far East trade, equities ended weaker. European bourses are up strongly into their close.  U.S. shares are diving equities higher.

U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are up as well.. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down sharply again.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.



CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Paris ib 15:31 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
On hold for the moment. We got FOMC, the November 4 elections, the Christmas rally and the Soros put squeeze. Let's get through all that then we can take another look at it.

USDJPY
london red 15:30 GMT 10/23/2014
10yr dec low today is a whisker under 50% of sept low to black wed high this month (126.99). its a potential support but if it can move below then we can move to top of prev range and breakout lvl at 126.37. we are at 127.02 so worth keeping an eye on this today and friday.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
London Chris 15:28 GMT 10/23/2014
What happened to the Gartman bear market?

Where's Ginko?
Paris ib 15:26 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Ginko you still gunning for 2000 ?

BREAKING NEWS
Paris ib 15:22 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Taking the other side of the Soros put anyone? ..... well for now the whole market is. The put is now apparently worth 2 billion USD. What I'd like to know is that mark to market? I mean considering he's been holding it for over a year (I don't know how long but easily at least a year) and considering he has lost time value and the market has gone against him over that time then he must have ADDED hugely to that position. Otherwise by now he would have a piddling little put. Of course if he could get WWIII going or something similar he might be able to make money. Want world peace? Bankrupt Soros. :-)

USDJPY
Mtl JP 15:20 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
john and on my chart it has been us int rate driving usdyen in an inverse ralationship.

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Art Cashin says HF leading stocks higher. That could explain the JPY carry trade. This s a 5% day already for pivot point resistance in USDJPY.

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 15:16 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
As I indicated earlier S&P clearly is driving USDJPY higher when you look at the overlay chart. Bullish day for stox.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
red so its likely to start to leak at any time? If I recall correctly U.S. banks got the results beforehand so they could prepare for the release, and those leaked.


BREAKING NEWS
tokyo ginko 15:07 GMT 10/23/2014
Warmonger....put him down...

maybe he got caught shorting global equities...

BREAKING NEWS
london red 15:06 GMT 10/23/2014
Banks get these today or tomorrow i believe john. Worth looking at the bank stocks

TIPS
Livingston nh 15:04 GMT 10/23/2014
Leap of Faith auction today - 7 bio of 30 yr inflation protected securities - some folks think the rates on these are evidence of level of inflation expectations

When Mr. Rubin introduced these I called them VAMPIREs (Variable Appreciation Money Purchase Interest Reduction EQUITIES) and I still do --- but at least they don't exclude food and energy

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
The bulk of the major data for the week is now behind us. Sunday sees the release of the European bank stress tests. I have seen no time for these announcements yet.

GVI Forex Blog 14:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
October 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- GDP, US- New Homes Sales

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 24, 2014


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:52 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


October 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- GDP, US- New Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: US- New Homes Sales, COT




BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)




ALERT
+94 vs. +95 exp vs. +94 prev.

EIA Press Release




TTN: Live News Special Offer

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Leading Indicators September 2014



NEWS ALERT
+0.80% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
: Consumer Confidence preliminary October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -12.6 vs. -11.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

USDJPY
shanghai bc 13:58 GMT 10/23/2014

Well-managed Kuroda's gambit so far..100-105 range for some months and watch others like Eur and Gbp..If Eur starts weakening,then move the range to 105-110.."Do not blame me mate" ..Yen is likely to stay in 110-105 range for the remainder of the year unless Eur makes new lows before year end..

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:54 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
I am still distrustful of the U.S.Markit PMI numbers. The ISM figures are the established survey from way back. I only trust them when the two are in line with each other.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:50 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI misses expectations and weakens.


USDJPY
london red 13:49 GMT 10/23/2014
nh 95 also 23.6 of 101/110. With 21 day there as well they need to close abv it as you say. But while yields on the up im not a seller. Nxt move is to buy 64 stop under 40 or trendline whichever comes first.

STOX
Livingston nh 13:49 GMT 10/23/2014
Stox popped on a no news day again - a reversal to test the opening gap - big gap at around 200 dma needs testing but August gaps took over a month to close

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Markit flash Mfg PMI October 2014



ALERT
56.2 vs. 57.5 exp. vs. 57.5 prelim


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

USDJPY
Livingston nh 13:44 GMT 10/23/2014
On the daily 107.95 is the declining 21 dma and the first time above since the last failed run at 110 - should be "easy" to break above a declining ma if we are truly in a bull move - but it must hold above long enough to turn the 21 dma upwards

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 13:26 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

RISK-ON

10-yr 2.262%
DJ +136
SP +15

USDJPY being bought on carry trade flows into stocks ??

EURUSD negative as well

R3 tested 108.02 trades...

USDJPY
london red 13:20 GMT 10/23/2014
10 yr moving further dwn now well under black wednesday levels. Yen 61.8 at 10821 abv there i see 10900/10

USDJPY
Mtl JP 13:07 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 107.88 Target: south Stop: above R3

5% risk hard to find beter odds

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 13:06 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY and S&P trading closely in synch. I'm not certain but it looks to me like S&P has been leading.

USDJPY
GVI Forex john 13:01 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
R3= 108.01 extreme resistance level
statistically R3 is not broken 95% of the time

Interestingly the pivot = 107.11 (LOD =107.11)


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:42 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
"frictional lows" means that there is a level below which claims cannot fall. This is because in the normal course of events there is a fairly constant number of people moving between jobs.

USDJPY
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:39 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

107.97 = 20 day mva

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...



Click on chart for over ten-year history

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims





NEWS ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
283K vs. 285K exp. vs. 264K (r 266 K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.351 vs. 2.380 exp. vs. 2.389 (r none ) prev.
Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
GVI Forex john 12:29 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
10yr 2.246%
DJ +122
SP +12.5

Chipping Away
Mtl JP 12:10 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


ib, bc.. it takes a KID
to invent new money

AMAZON
PAR 11:50 GMT 10/23/2014
What would happen if AMZN as most other US companies bought back some of its own shares . The loss per share actually would become bigger .

What would happen if aapl as amzn did , almost sold no phones of it latest model ?

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/24/technology/amazon-spends-and-grows-but-still-wants-for-money.html?ref=business

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?
GVI Forex 11:36 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile

Question for Your Advocate: Skeptic always said retail traders will always lose money when we trade via a market maker. How true is that?

Ask Your Advocate: Are Forex Brokers to Blame for Traders Losing Money?

eurusd
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:34 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile


EURUSD one hour

Paused above 1.2609 and also below 1.2680 - chart is pretty clear

BREAKING NEWS
sd sf 11:25 GMT 10/23/2014
I was just looking at some strategy updates and saw this:

sold 100 eur @1.2550 - bought 100 eur @ 1.2820

sold 200 eur @1.2650

after reading this I am closing down my eurusd strategies till next week when all the tests etc are done... and see where it ends up... as that sort of trading record doesn't inspire me to stay short... its been a fun few days with it - but probably time to pull up stumps.

.. I agree on the $yen its broken up and should go to 80-90 on the day.

Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 11:18 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EUR/USD managed to overcome initial losses and off 2-week lows in the session aided by beats in the German and Euro Zone PMI Manufacturing data. Hoever, most traders stilll believed the outlook for the EUR currency remained bearish

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Better German and Eurozone PMI Manufacturing data aids risk appetite in session; Corp earnings mixed


PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 11:06 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Pivot today in EURUSD 1.2673 so a cluster of key levels here. You can see on the 5 min charts how that level was run (I show 1.2677 high).

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
NY JM 11:01 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
Red I am using 1.2680 as the pivotal resistance.. High has been 1.2675

EUR Heat Map
GVI Forex john 10:58 GMT 10/23/2014  - My Profile
EUR-based Heat Map: Forex from a EUR point of view. Positive bias for the EUR. EURUSD is better.





PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
london red 10:47 GMT 10/23/2014
yen. good res at 10764 (50% fib) bringing focus back down to support at 39/43. below there trendline at 107.20 with neck of inverse shs at 14. focus on upside still viable while that trendline holds. abv 10764 former fib at 10790.


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