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Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
dc CB 19:01 GMT 05/01/2016
PS

Stock and Futures trading accts generally sweep Cash into a Money Market acct, which collects Interest. Once Upon a Time MM rates were 2 to 3%.

Hardly Notice the Cost

Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
dc CB 18:47 GMT 05/01/2016
"""Hardly a cost anyone would even notice""""
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
You apparently all miss the point. This is the first tiny step.

Oh my banks just sent me a notice that my acct will now "pay" me NEG 0.25%.....Hardly notice it????

The Savings in Your banks acct USED to pay you 5%, today you get 0.01%. "Hardly anyone will notice" TRUE, as theentire population of the World puts up with it. But it actually Costs you 5% a year...X 10 Years Compounded.


BREAKING NEWS: China NBS PMI Weakens
GVI Forex Blog 16:22 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile

China NBS PMI April 2016


EARLIER: China PMI
NBS: 50.1 vs. 50.3 exp vs. 50.2 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

China NBS PMI misses close to "50" boom or Bust line.


BREAKING NEWS: China NBS PMI Weakens


Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead
Mtl JP 14:52 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile


Jay 13:05 - see john bland 17:29: "either the EURUSD is over extended to the upside or the market odds for a rate hike this year are still too high."

Chart shows lower tops and lower bottoms.
IF u like straight lines, 10-yr is yield is heading to low 1.xx % (from current 1.835%)

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile

Central banks are supposed to calm markets but instead they have become a source of market volaitity as can be seen by the price action following the Bank of Japan's surprise decision to keep policy unchanged. This sets the stage for a new month and the questions seems when, not if EURUSD makes a run at 1.15. See what would trigger such a move and what would negate it. 

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead


Central Bank Roller Coaster
GVI Forex Blog 12:55 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA


Central Banks Never Fail To Generate Volatility

Traditionally, Central Banks have typically viewed as a source of market stability, but their role in the global economy ever since the start of the global financial crisis has grown to the point where any public utterance is a major event

Central Bank Roller Coaster


Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
GVI Forex john bland 11:35 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile
lets see $100,000 x.0025 =$250 pa
$250/360 days = $0.69 /per day. Hardly a cost anyone would even notice on an equivalent $100K position. Besides we all have been paying rollover "costs" all along since forex began on accounts of every size.

Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.
Bali Sja 11:33 GMT 05/01/2016
You kept saying gold to be under pressure from time to time but look at it flying

Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
NY JM 11:07 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile
The way I read it this impacts account balances held in JPY that exceed Y11,000,000

Swaps (rollovers) such as cadjpy already reflect interest rate differentials


Unless I read it wrong this is not a game changer and only impacts those who hold JPY balance ver the equivalent of USD 100k

Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.
Mtl JP 10:38 GMT 05/01/2016  - My Profile
Negative Interest Rates
Fear ... fear to some. Opportunity to others.
The betting, some of it forced and some of it enthusiastic, goes on:
--------------------------------------------

Investors in Canada’s bond market just got a major wakeup call

It’s getting dangerous out there in the bond market

Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.
HK RF@ 03:39 GMT 05/01/2016

Stronger USD?

Also gold may suffer for sometime!!!

Monday may be a very active and interesting day.


Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
HK RF@ 02:47 GMT 05/01/2016


So if one bought JPY/cad he will have to pay interest on the JPY as well for the Cad equivalent. Whatasqueeze;Eeeeeeeeeewww

How about JPY/E$, JPY/AUD? Let's see






Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
HK RF@ 02:26 GMT 05/01/2016

Weekend trap? Monday morning, all to the exits(or maybe one exit)?

There is no free meal in a trap:(

Friday was too good to be true for Yen traders(many well predicted the market up to the close)?




Fun with Covers
dc CB 22:31 GMT 04/30/2016
Rupert Murdock (I married Mick Jagger's EX) declares that ISIS is defeated!!!!
???????????????????????????????????????????????????

and brags about the "Call" on SunEdison SUNE

Barron's Cover


Central Bank Roller Coaster
dc CB 22:27 GMT 04/30/2016
As IB warns its FX traders, starting Monday, Interactive Brokers "will move to a credit interest policy which allows for negative rates on long cash balances held in JPY where accounts with balances over approximately 100 thousand USD will be subject to the current Benchmark Rate minus 0.25%."

Why? Because while initially the negative interest rate policies unveiled by "many central banks were viewed as short-term measures, they now appear to be policies with open-ended duration."

NIRP Has Officially Arrived: Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances


AUD/USD
HK RF@ 19:36 GMT 04/30/2016

AUD/USD

Most battered currency of the week; Fundamentally and Tech. sold against all the triumphant currencies.
Any idea where will it go next?


BaZooka needed.
HK RF@ 19:31 GMT 04/30/2016



Euro, Yen, gold. All ended near week Hi. but near significant Res.

Call in Nuclear-Bazooka-Joe to blast them.
If Bazooka fails, expect some Ret.

Dont Fight The Fed
GVI Forex john bland 17:29 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile
Chart says either the EURUSD is over extended to the upside or the market odds for a rate hike this year are still too high.

Dont Fight The Fed
GVI Forex john bland 17:10 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile


I've been sharpening up my Fed Funds futures probability calculations.

1) Expected avg value for FF in JULY 2016 =100-99.595=0.405%
effective fed Funds rate Friday was 0.37%. That puts the odds for a rate hike at the end of June at 14%

2) December 2016 single rate hike odds late Friday were 85%.

Central Bank Roller Coaster
Mtl JP 16:28 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile
Blog 15:46 / ..."Fed.. removing a reference to "global conditions" in its policy statement"

note dc CB 21:35 GMT April 28, 2016
Friday Trading: Reply
as to your third Point: However the removal of of the reference to global economic events has been taken as a sign that the risk of a rate hike has risen.

Pls note:
FOMC Statement, 2nd para last sentence.

"The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments."

The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.


Central Bank Roller Coaster
GVI Forex Blog 15:46 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA


Central Banks Never Fail To Generate Volatility

Traditionally, Central Banks have typically viewed as a source of market stability, but their role in the global economy ever since the start of the global financial crisis has grown to the point where any public utterance is a major event

Central Bank Roller Coaster


Amazing Global-View Offer
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:08 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile
Using Global-View's resources we have been able to arrange for a select group an extended free 6 month subscription to Max McKegg's highly regarded fx trading forecast service.

The window on this amaxing offer is closing and there are only a limited number of spaces available. Send me an EMAIL immediately for terms and conditions.


Max McKegg is an FX professional with three decades of FX trading/forecasting experience. Having worked in foreign exchange with the Bank of New Zealand for 8 years (1985-1993), in 1993 he ventured out in business on his own, managing to secure well in excess of 100 institutional, Bank and Hedge Fund subscribers the world-over as well as individual subscribers in more than 40 different countries. Max’s FX Service provides concise, Bottom Line trading forecasts of the Major currencies as well as the Australasians.

*Existing subscribers excluded

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead
GVI Forex Blog 10:16 GMT 04/30/2016  - My Profile

Central banks are supposed to calm markets but instead they have become a source of market volatility as can be seen by the price action following the Bank of Japan's surprise decision to keep policy unchanged

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead


Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 22:57 GMT 04/29/2016
enjoy

114th Running
drone's eye view

Springtime in Balt Co. Md


Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 22:55 GMT 04/29/2016
Mtl JP 21:59

VLO was actually down today.

enjoy

Don't fight the rigging
Mtl JP 21:59 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile


CB 20.59 I hope u r not whining rather are celebrating the price hike(s) coz you own Valero and other retailing refiners so the more they sock it to the non-pedestrians the better prospect for dividend.
-
2044 is 2015's SnP close (as I reminded earlier)
chart shows todays ramp uP love
--
some probably make a decent living gaming stox in the last 30 or minutes of trading.

INDIA
Mtl JP 21:48 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
PAR 19:09 and that India CBanker sounded soooo sanguine recently at some CBanker shindig ... so reasonable so rational so cool n collected preaching what other CBs and IMF should be doing
-
did Standard Chartered indicate to whom they were peddling their krapp loans ?

Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 20:59 GMT 04/29/2016
gas at the pump
$2.20
Last weekend 2.05

Enjoy your springtime pleasure drive...and remember, as the DATA showed today....THERE IS NO INFLATION

Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 20:16 GMT 04/29/2016
well me and Da Boys threw evertything we had at it this afternoon.

Casey Jones ran the 2:15 full throttle out of the station; we jammed crude; the PPT boys came in right on the dot at 3:30 and smashed the crap out of the VIX.

We failed to get the Dow green. But down 57 looks way better that down 177.

yrs
Manny I Pulation

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:51 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database



Commitment Of Traders Report
GVI Forex john bland 19:44 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






INDIA
PAR 19:09 GMT 04/29/2016
Credit Suisse estimated that bad loans in the final months of last year totaled nearly $128 billion, making up more than 11 percent of outstanding loans, and said India’s banking system had still more “unrecognized stress.”

The pain has rippled outside the country. Standard Chartered, a British bank, said in February that its India unit lost nearly $1 billion last year. The bank says it is selling problem loans.

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 18:33 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
some arguing about crude price going on back above 46

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 18:01 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
spoke too soon about crude
now taking a dump to 45.35-ish
usdcad prancing in inverse harmony

buy euro
HK RF@ 17:38 GMT 04/29/2016


buy euro
HK RF@ 10:30 GMT 04/29/2016


1.1460 too strong to breach. Needs nuclear Bazooka!

Now wait for the next nuclear Bazooka!

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 17:15 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
and the trade is.... oil zzs
wonder when crude will go reaction-uP as drillers continue to shut

Don't fight the rigging
Mtl JP 17:06 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
dc CB 16:53 you want respect for the old ones?
it is older men that declare war but it is the young that go to fight and to die.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 17:04 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 420 vs 431 (-11) prev
US (oil): 332 vs. 343 (-11) prev

Canada 37 vs. 43 (-3) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 16:53 GMT 04/29/2016


What was I supposed to say?
What?

I'm a bit deaf. Pity and old man. Respect your elder's Wisdom

What?

Don't fight the rigging
dc CB 16:50 GMT 04/29/2016
Hey
I'm workin' on it.
Green to come

yrs
Manny I Pulation

Don't fight the rigging
Mtl JP 16:48 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile


the significance of 2044


personae non gratae
HK RF@ 16:43 GMT 04/29/2016


China made Shaming to the USA.

personae non gratae
Mtl JP 16:30 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
China denies US aircraft carrier Hong Kong visit is like thinking that acting like a dick will make it bigger

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Revised Lower
Mtl JP 16:24 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
in absence of GVI Exclusive Fed Fends Sentiment indicator reading for eurdlr vs FFFutures

the next best thing:
0.7816 % Yield - 12:02:20 PM EDT
-0.007 (0%) change

U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield


personae non gratae
HK RF@ 16:14 GMT 04/29/2016

Obama bullys China; China denies US aircraft carrier Hong Kong visit

China denies US aircraft carrier Hong Kong visit


USD sell off PART II
Mtl JP 16:09 GMT 04/29/2016  - My Profile
... Unfortunately for the U.S. I think they squandered their status as the sole remaining global power...

Unfortunately ? Isn't there a trade opportunity there somehow , somewhere - IF true could one not expect the allegedly dying power to increase spending on bullets and bombs ?

USD sell off PART II
nw kw 16:08 GMT 04/29/2016
xagaud weely past 200 mv.

USD sell off PART II
nw kw 16:03 GMT 04/29/2016
xagaud at biggest r im out but planning to see event but not yet. if not rba set up.


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