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Week Ahead - ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS FRIDAY 28 AUGUST 2015
GVI Forex Blog 12:01 GMT 08/29/2015  - My Profile

CHINA UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES TO CLOUD US POLICY OUTLOOK


STOX
nw kw 09:24 GMT 08/29/2015
if usd is that ok

STOX
nw kw 09:23 GMT 08/29/2015
jp- is your profit in usd or cad if cad is that ok with tax man tki

STOX
nw kw 09:13 GMT 08/29/2015
nh - shell stopped cad tar oil imports and cad oil flowing to east of cad now so oil is smaller part in cad to usa price gives usa oil help now and les cad moving with oil, don't no about mxn

GVI Data Calendar for 31 August 2015
GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT 08/29/2015  - My Profile


August 29, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, August 31, 2015. Trading News Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: - GB- Holiday, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- flash HICP, US- Chicago PMI, CA- Current Account

  • Far East: no Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Holiday, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- flash HICP
  • North America: us- Chicago PMI, CA- Current Account



GVI Data Calendar for 31 August 2015


Markets Stabilize Following Equity Correction
GVI Forex Blog 08:51 GMT 08/29/2015  - My Profile

John M. Bland


Previous Correction Spills Over into Last week

Monday of last week saw the equity correction that had started on the previous Friday continue

Markets Stabilize Following Equity Correction


STOX
nw kw 08:40 GMT 08/29/2015
xaucad was dogging it last month this is common on large fib markers, so u/c prepared for breakout


Fed's Fischer: Too early to decide on Sept hike
Syd 05:44 GMT 08/29/2015
too early to determine if recent market turmoil has made a September rate hike more or less compelling, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer told CNBC on Friday.

Fischer conceded that the recent market volatility will affect the Fed's decision making.


just got bottle of whiskey from a neighbour
jkt abel 02:45 GMT 08/29/2015
what comes next though ....

just got bottle of whiskey from a neighbour
dc CB 02:13 GMT 08/29/2015
a PS to my earlier screeds:

when was the last time you heard a "financal advisor" tout:

THE POWER OF COMPOUND INTEREST.

DOUBLE YOUR MONEY IN 5-7 YEARS!!!!

EA Strategy
gc sf 00:47 GMT 08/29/2015
gc I saved your post but removed the contents. Can you contact me as I have a few questions and a suggestion. TIA

just got bottle of whiskey from a neighbour
Israel Dil 21:11 GMT 08/28/2015

Israel Dil 13:10 GMT August 24, 2015
Euro a run ro 1.1670: Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.16-1.18 Target: below parity Stop:

the coming three weeks will bring us a weekly close sub 1.12 at least

STOX
dc CB 20:25 GMT 08/28/2015


The Hero of the Week.
The New Bullard!


STOX
Mtl JP 20:05 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile
and when financial engineers are inadequate... bring in the warmongers:

..."“Yemen would be, from a speculative perspective, the trigger for a much bigger conflict between the Gulf leaders with Saudi alignment, and Iran,” said Hastings. “If that were to unfold, then of course $40 oil would be missing at least one zero.”.../.. - Richard Hastings, Global Hunter Securities

STOX
nw kw 20:04 GMT 08/28/2015
value buying that's good

STOX
dc CB 20:03 GMT 08/28/2015
Mtl JP 18:36

zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 15m15 minutes ago

RBC Helima Kroft, Dec 2014, WTI at $65, "Oil nearing a bottom" http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000337282 …, "Oil in $70 range" April 2015 http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000370480 …

STOX
Mtl JP 20:01 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile
dc CB 19:39 / it is an interesting race calculation; gotta love financial engineers !

STOX
nw kw 19:59 GMT 08/28/2015
JP- you must us commodity ind. chart compare it to cad Jhon

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:56 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database


STOX
nw kw 19:55 GMT 08/28/2015
CB can you share a crb chart tka

STOX
dc CB 19:53 GMT 08/28/2015
yen to 122 will turn stocks Green 6 mins to the bell

STOX
dc CB 19:39 GMT 08/28/2015
Mtl JP 18:36 GMT

as I wrote last evening...it's cheaper for the banks to run up the price of crude via the futures market with 0% money, than to take a hit on the loans.

$37.75 to almost $45.90 Mon-Fri.

Commitment of Traders Report
GVI Forex john bland 19:38 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


STOX
nw kw 19:35 GMT 08/28/2015
soft commodity's still, I see wheat sort from strong usd and dropping market share stressing drop in farm land starting.

STOX
nw kw 19:25 GMT 08/28/2015
cad trades with crb ind I keep I on it, if commodities stay hit from fed

STOX
london red 19:20 GMT 08/28/2015
loonie. Weekly candle long wick, suggests dwnside to channel at c. 12950/55. This channel sup gave us test of prev lows 13262. But no weekly/monthly close abv so far. The break over 13062 leads to anything from 13262 to 16000, it depends on how far fundamentals allow. 135-140 is realistically as far as one can look to as we are now.

STOX
nw kw 19:12 GMT 08/28/2015
using 2002 chart u/c fib 61.8 ap 1.33ish /poss runner/

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 18:50 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile
rainin yakkers

Lockhart says chances of rate hike '50-50' in September

50/50 = pure 100% do not know noffin'..
like a weathercaster saying 50-50 odds of rain... duh do I take or not an umbrella w/me .. why do I need an "expert" for ?

STOX
Livingston nh 18:45 GMT 08/28/2015
jp - 1.3250 was my bias - exit in pieces up to 1.36 // moving avgs across daily wkly and mthly still good but .......

STOX
nw kw 18:40 GMT 08/28/2015
its prised at 25 from soft cad they need 50, poss more stress if cheaper oil next year 55 usa range


STOX
Mtl JP 18:33 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile
nh suggest using usdcad 1.3180 for bias

STOX
nw kw 18:33 GMT 08/28/2015
usa inflation might be long gold in new year

STOX
Livingston nh 18:31 GMT 08/28/2015
I'm looking for the exit on USD/CAD it got to my initial target so if it continues to move up with oil weakness I will unload // there was discontinuity last week but I think that was interest rate related -- CAD banks (TD and RCB) may have some energy related issues?

STOX
nw kw 18:30 GMT 08/28/2015
cad needs to hike for homes toping to fast in some provinces/ usa food can it give usa inflation now

STOX
nw kw 18:27 GMT 08/28/2015
looking for 1 year cad difference to usa /for a trade long u/c

STOX
Livingston nh 18:25 GMT 08/28/2015
kw - depends on whether you are a do-gooder - organic lettuce is 4 times more expensive than its poor relation -- organic milk is more expensive than the plastic version -- BEEF is outrageous (surprising giving the calving cycle) but pigs (not bacon) and chicken are OK

STOX
nw kw 18:21 GMT 08/28/2015
but cad press pushing for cut, in pass constant in cad prices,, bad inflation from food and auto parts

how much is food in usa

STOX
Livingston nh 18:17 GMT 08/28/2015
jp - YES

STOX
Mtl JP 18:16 GMT 08/28/2015  - My Profile
nh sept take-off: y/n ?

STOX
nw kw 18:12 GMT 08/28/2015
floor in oil moves 30y t bill, lag 3 weeks

STOX
Livingston nh 18:09 GMT 08/28/2015
kw - We are in the soft half of the year (seas adjusted) for NFP but I don't see much change in employment report next week -- the folks who can't work still can't work and those who can are already employed - the participation rate is demographic and that will just deteriorate // 215k looks doable

STOX
dc CB 18:06 GMT 08/28/2015


it will be essential to close Stox UP today to reinforce the "advice" that was given out last Fri and early this week to -stay the course, do not panic --

Must have happy thoughts going into the last vacation week of the summer as LaborDay approaches.

(wmBanzai) --chart)

Friday's Trading Thread
Livingston nh 18:03 GMT 08/28/2015
David Stockman never learned that treasurys are currency w/
a coupon - he still is a member of the "fret the debt" club // FT rant paper money risk is HOARDING, a concept most economists found hard to believe in a FIAT money regime until Japan (remember when computers were going to do away with paper files - I get more dam useless paper from brokers, banks and insurance companies than ever) -- watch for print your own currency

STOX
nw kw 17:59 GMT 08/28/2015
swiss market hesitates at r pivot

STOX
nw kw 17:57 GMT 08/28/2015
do you see a soft NFP from part timers to school and auto refit

CHINA
PAR 17:54 GMT 08/28/2015
Raising margins on stock trading a good idea in the long term , but short term will lead to more margin calls and forced stelling . Fasten your seatbells and have a nice weekend. Enjoy.

STOX
Livingston nh 17:53 GMT 08/28/2015
Eur STOX improved late in Europe but now closed so US swing in a narrowing band but exchange options still price for wide swings but SPX 1980 is middle (pivot?) - market internals are still positive and new lows have dried up -- Fischer tipped his speech // IMO Stox will follow FI next week and oil price will be wild (CAD and NOK)


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