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5/25/15 17:57
Target   3-Mo
2.25 Aust 2.96
0.10 Japan 0.12
0.50 U.K. 0.56
0.05 E-Z 0.06
-0.75 Switz 0.01
0.75 Cda 1.17
0.25 U.S. 0.23
2-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.02 0
Japan 0.00 0
U.K. 0.54 0
E-Z -0.21 0
Switz -0.85 0
Cda 0.68 0
U.S. 0.62 0
10-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.92 0
Japan 0.42 0
U.K. 1.92 0
E-Z 0.61 0
Switz 0.02 0
Cda 1.78 0
U.S. 2.21 0

Market Tracker



Click to refresh 5 mins after data release to update clock
26/05/15 12:30 A US Dur Goods con: -0.50% pre: 4.70%
26/05/15 12:30 A US D/G ex-trans con: n/a pre: 0.30%
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AceTrader May 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:10 GMT 05/26/2015
Update Time: 26 May 2015 01:53 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0936
Despite trading narrowly in holiday-thinned North American session on Monday, euro-bearish news on Greek debt repayment which came out earlier in Australia sent the euro lower at Asian open today to a fresh 3-week low of 1.0931.
This is suggesting the recent decline from May's 3-month peak at 1.1467 would pressure price to 1.0900/10 after consolidation, near term 'loss of momentum' should keep euro above dynamic sup at 1.0843 today (being 61.8% r of 1.0457-1.1457).

On the upside, only above 1.1008/10 res would signal a temporary low is made, yield stronger retracement to 1.1040/43 but 1.1062 (previous sup, now res) should remain intact and yield another decline.

With Money Drying Up, Greece Is All but Bankrupt
Mtl JP 01:37 GMT 05/26/2015  - My Profile
"running out of money" in a world of fiat is an oxymoron

If the Greek runs out of printed money it will prove only one thing: it is a political decision by the powerful and a lesson as to the "benefits" of entrapment by something called EU - modern day version old European prince's castle fiefdoms.

With Money Drying Up, Greece Is All but Bankrupt
Syd 00:57 GMT 05/26/2015
With Money Drying Up, Greece Is All but Bankrupt ATHENS — Bulldozers lie abandoned on city streets. Exhausted surgeons operate through the night. And the wealthy bail out broke police departments.

A nearly bankrupt Greece is taking desperate measures to preserve cash. Absent a last-minute deal with its creditors, the nation will run out of money early next month.

HSBC fears world recession with no lifeboats left
Syd 23:42 GMT 05/25/2015
It leaves a thin safety buffer against any economic shock - most potently if China abandons its crawling dollar peg and resorts to 'beggar-thy-neighbour' policies, transmitting a further deflationary shock across the global economy.

The world authorities have run out of ammunition as rates remain stuck at zero. They have no margin for error as economy falters

Tallinn viies 20:51 GMT 05/25/2015
[Dow Jones] EUR/USD's slip below 1.10 breaks a key line of support at 1.0995, says BNZ FX Strategist Raiko Shareef. Overnight, EUR/USD bounced off the 50-day moving average at 1.0954 "but we don't imagine it would have held, had there been materially negative news," he says. He notes the push below 1.10 opens up the prospect of a quick test of 1.0640. EUR/USD is trading at 1.098 early in New Zealand. "From a fundamental perspective, the ongoing negotiations between Greece and its creditors remains front of mind, especially with the wall of repayments due to begin in just days," he says. While the market is positioned for a deal to be struck by end-May, events over the weekend would have caused some unease.

Mtl JP 20:39 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
Chinese State Paper Warns "War Will Be Inevitable" Unless U.S. Stops Meddling In Territorial Dispute - zerohedge
McCain and his ilk probably have a collective woodie

Perhaps more importantly I note that:
- US-China trade was approx $579 billion in 2014.
- Beijing holds $1.2 trillion of US Treasury paper

Tallinn viies 20:14 GMT 05/25/2015
closed long euro at 1.0978.

Global-View Trading Systemsl
GVI Forex john 19:01 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

CHART POINTS- Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 17:19 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Mtl JP 17:15 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
Fed's Fischer: Too much weight placed on Fed's first rate hike
Mon May 25, 2015 12:45pm

HERZLIYA, Israel (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said it was "misleading" to give so much importance to the Fed's first interest rate hike since the process of returning to a more normal level will take a few years.

Fischer, speaking in Israel, said that while markets largely expect the first rate hike in September, it will be determined by data and not by date.

"If the (U.S.) economy is growing very, very slowly we will wait. If the economy is growing faster we will do it quicker," he said in a speech.

"What we are thinking about is raising the interest rate from zero, which is an ultra expansionary monetary policy to a quarter percent, which is an extremely expansionary monetary policy. This will be a gradual process," he said.

Fischer noted that the Federal Reserve board expects the interest rate will reach 3.25 to 4 percent by 2017-2018.

GVI Forex john 17:03 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT)
    12:30 US Dur Goods production
    12:30 US D/G ex-trans production
    13:45 US flash MKT SVC PMI Latest view on economy
    14:00 US CB Cons Confidence Latest view on economy
    14:00 US New Home Sales Housing Statistic
    17:00 UST TRY 2-yr
    14:00 CA BOC Rates
    17:00 UST TRY 5-yr
    23:50 JP Retail Sales yy
    23:50 JP BOJ Minutes
    12:30 CA Cur/Acct C$b
    14:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Sales
    15:00 US EIA Crude mn major price indicator
    17:00 UST TRY 7-yr
    23:30 JP Unemploy jobs data
    23:30 JP core CPI BOJ targets Inflation
    23:30 JP CPI BOJ targets Inflation
    6:00 DE Retail Sales mm consumer demand measure
    6:00 DE Retail Sales yy
    8:30 GB GDP QQ widest measure of economy
    8:30 GB GDP YY widest measure of economy
    12:30 CA GDP mm
    12:30 US GDP q/q widest measure of economy
    13:45 US Chicago PMI Regional PMI
    14:00 US final U of MIch Sentiment Survey

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar for key items, such as consensus estimates, previous data and links to charts of recent data).

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
Mester on yak deck in a few minutes; w/Q&A

China Market Fundamentals
Mtl JP 13:00 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
China shares surge anew, Tokyo shares hit 15-Year highs

“The enormous demand for stocks isn’t met with sufficient supply of new stocks” - Fang Yan, analyst at Guosen Securities EU Mid-Market Update: Little progress seen in Greece bailout extension talks ; part
Mtl JP 12:31 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
light participation leaves the door open to comedian players and their kind of sense of price humor

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 10:49 GMT 05/25/2015
I don't think , it will break up 11060 , so sell and add sell if rise.

Global-View Trading Systemsl
GVI Forex john 10:48 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
london red 10:32 GMT 05/25/2015
euro. after stronger cpi its possible the dollar breaks out further and id go along with the possibility of a good move of a couple of figs. but one cannot first rule out a test of 11050/62/84 and poss 11114/24, so stops need to be abv there or put option. we are ight at bottom of last weeks range so either it does 2 or 3 figs from here or it fills back a bit before a more gradual move lower over the week.

GVI Forex john 10:28 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

May 25, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 26, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, flash Markit PMI, CB Consumer Confidence. Richmond Fed, New Home Sales, 2-yr Auction
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, flash Markit PMI, CB Consumer Confidence. Richmond Fed, New Home Sales, 2-yr Auction,

GVI Forex john 10:22 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
GVI Forex 10:16 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
European stocks fell in early trading after a Greek minister said that Athens would struggle to meet its upcoming debt payments. (from a BBC report)

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 10:00 GMT 05/25/2015
Sell any where , stop loss 11060.

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Bahrain MI 09:58 GMT 05/25/2015
Are you saying sell here at 1.0975 with stop loss above 1.1060?

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 09:52 GMT 05/25/2015

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

EURUSD ready to go down for 200-300 pips from 1.1060
Sell stop loss 1.1060.

Tallinn viies 08:08 GMT 05/25/2015
bought euros at 1,0964. stop at 1,0914. target 1,1010

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:11 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile

>> Open Access <<

What a difference a week can make! At this time last week I posed whether EURUSD would test 1.15 and now we are looking at whether 1.10 can hold. There were some clues this past week to the shift in risk to the dollar upside that I reveal in the following video: 

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
Mtl JP 22:31 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
here is a reason ... G7 finance ministers to address faltering global growth rtrs

Similar to Yellen's misguiding prattle, concerned with "faltering global growth" instead of too much debt and consequent issues in the financial / banking markets.

KL KL 22:25 GMT 05/24/2015
ha ha...covering the rest here...1.0999 than negative cash in the profit indicator.......LOL

KL KL 22:06 GMT 05/24/2015
While everyone snooring and sleeping ..>Doomsh arrive and Long EURUSD 1.1070.....what funny biznes is this...Ultra Relentless....means in big chunks and as fast as HFT fingers can take the trade in 3 Armada account......when there is something so obvious...take the gamble and cover quick

DYOR..DFM..DLTM and...wheee.... no need to be cocky...cover one Armada here 1.09813...just in case taken to the cleaners have one more account of Starship proportion to eke out a living .......

covered another 5/6 Armada left one more out 1.09801... 4/5 out and wait to start long again...

now to do research why the sudden dip....LOL...does it really matter...Naah...forget it...just trade and take profit!!

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
Livingston nh 21:53 GMT 05/24/2015
BEWARE the CHARTS - fundamentals are like gravity - if you can't see it you can still get crushed

Max McKegg's AUDNZD Forecast
GVI Forex Blog 18:38 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile

Since calling the end of Ozzy’s multi-year Bear market versus the Kiwi (refer Weekly Chart below) the Ozzy has rallied strongly and continues to trace-out an “impulsive” wave sequence to the upside.

Max McKegg's AUDNZD Forecast

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Global-View Economic Chart Directory

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: Smoothed moving averages turning soft. US and CAD turning down. AUD and China tend follow one another with Australia dependent on demand for exports from China.

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
GVI Forex john 13:38 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Global-View Economic Chart Directory

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART:
Latest Manufacturing PMI. Relative economic strengths are converging at a slow expansion level. The U.S. Markit PMI has slowed substantially, while the Eurozone has converged with the U.S. The chart generally supports my view of trading range markets.

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
HK RF@ 12:28 GMT 05/24/2015

Good timing for the freeloaders on a long weekend, enough time extort some more money.

HK RF@ 11:31 GMT 05/24/2015

Porto Cubriclas

Agree! That is the reason, I mention that, so waiting for the action.

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
GVI Forex 10:54 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Is this just posturing or some minister shooting from the hip?

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister

Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:35 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
For those who missed my article on market liquidity

Ask Your Advocate: What is the difference between trading volumes and market liquidity?

Your Advocate Says: There is a big difference between trading volumes and liquidity. The greater the liquidity, the easier it is for the market to absorb large trading volumes. The opposite is true when liquidity is thin. I have seen large volumes go through the forex market and the price of a currency barely move while other times I have seen relatively small orders have an exaggerated impact on the price of a currency.

Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Mtl JP 00:45 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Trouble with Yellen making some claims about economic projections is that they are irrelevant.

What is more relevant is what is draining the blood from money managers' and investors' faces when they think about their portfolio: market liquidity, "one of the most under-appreciated risk factors facing most investors today."

Liquidity is, more or less, the ability for investors to move in and out of positions without having to take big losses.

..."Discussions, as such, were dominated by the broader issues of liquidity, positioning, market dynamics, and fundamentals. And in fact fundamentals at present seem to be taking a back seat for most. Market liquidity has unambiguously shifted up investors’ hierarchy of issues. While it seems that large investors have already been managing a larger share of their portfolios with an eye on market liquidity than was the case pre-crisis, the range of clients factoring liquidity into their investment decisions has broadened further.”

That’s not how it is supposed to be, given that central banks have been injecting liquidity into markets for years.

Equally if, as clients have told Yetsenga, they are already positioning for a lack of liquidity, this can further exacerbate that very lack of liquidity. That is, as traders and investors shrink position sizes, become move tentative, and less certain of their conviction in their positions, they are likely to hold them for shorter periods and exit more quickly.

They may even step aside completely for a time.

This puts further pressure on liquidity, indeed it can plunge it into a downward spiral. ".../..

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Dillon AL 20:13 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
FED chair effectively confirms with her words that she is useless and is a reactionary to events. Something we have always known just as they cannot see bubbles

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
dc CB 16:02 GMT 05/23/2015
“I am describing the outlook that I see as most likely, but based on many years of making economic projections, I can assure you that any specific projection that I write down will turn out to be wrong, perhaps markedly so,”

Janet Yellen. Friday, May 22, 2015

Fed chair affirms plans for rate hike this year

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Mtl JP 14:01 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
When will the theme of relative QE – I.e printing - policy between the ECB and the FED kick into players' calculations if it is not doing so already with eurdlr frolicking around 1.10 instead of challenging 1.15 ?

Porto Cubriclas 13:03 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
HK RF@ 07:54 GMT

All expert opinions now about NZD negative.

Hi RF!
Who are "all"?
90% of experts fail...

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
GVI Forex Blog 11:30 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile

John M. Bland

New Dollar Scenario Unfolding The new dollar trading scenario we have been developing over the past few weeks continues to unfold. The bull dollar trend continues run out of steam as markets reassess the potential strength of the U.S. economy. On the other hand, the outlook for the European economy has improved.

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead

HK RF@ 07:54 GMT 05/23/2015

All expert opinions now about NZD negative.

For an AAA economy eh.

Will think a buy at about 0.7150

dc CB 00:35 GMT 05/23/2015
zerohedge @zerohedge ·
Surely economists realize that thanks to "double seasonal adjustments" they just became the laughing stock of the whole world

nw kw 23:39 GMT 05/22/2015
nzd/usd and gbp/nzd looks like gbp/usd is soft / see if home builders support a good usd econ. next week

Mtl JP 22:45 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile
Statement by the Bank of England
22 May 2015
Today, information related to planned confidential Bank work on the potential implications of a renegotiation and national referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union made its way into the public domain, due to an internal email sent inadvertently to an external party.

It should not come as a surprise that the Bank is undertaking such work about a stated government policy. There are a range of economic and financial issues that arise in the context of the renegotiation and national referendum. It is one of the Bank’s responsibilities to assess those that relate to its objectives.

It is not sensible to talk about this work publicly, in advance. But as with work done prior to the Scottish referendum, we will disclose the details of such work at the appropriate time.

While it is unfortunate that this information has entered the public domain in this way, the Bank will maintain this approach.

Next Page


Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?

What Level Would be Fatal for the EURUSD?

Will EURUSD Test 1.15? Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Strong USD Scenario Fading Into The Sunset: Week Ahead

Forex 101: It's the Reaction to News that Matters!


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