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26/08/16 14:00 A US final U of MIch con: 90.6 pre: 90.4
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Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 13:12 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile

1.




EURUSD hit exactly at Amazing Trader 1.1311 resistance.

As I noted in the trading room the only levels that matter are 1.1240/45 and 1.1355/66


Note to self, if you want to be President
Livingston nh 13:08 GMT 08/26/2016
JP -- Has Hilsenrath joined Liesman in the threatened Press pass contingent - LINK - WARSH and Hilsenrath banging the Fed in WSJ -- Maybe there is no Wizard behind the curtain?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP Revised Down Slightly
PAR 13:03 GMT 08/26/2016
Imho US economic growth could decline further in H2 and US economy could be heading into recession .

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP Revised Down Slightly
PAR 12:57 GMT 08/26/2016
A $ 4 trillion FED balance sheet leads to 1.1% growth .

That the Soviet Unions Central Plan Bureau revisited . This will be leading to economic collaps.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP Revised Down Slightly
PAR 12:54 GMT 08/26/2016
US decelerating growth shows that low interest rates have not stimulated the economy and that FED policies have only boosted asset prices , not the economy .


AUD/NZD
Livingston nh 12:41 GMT 08/26/2016
For those who trade this pair - LINK

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP Revised Down Slightly
GVI Forex Blog 12:37 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
Headline 2Q16 GDP revised down slightly.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP Revised Down Slightly


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:31 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance July 2016
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-59.3 vs. -62.3 exp. vs. -63.3 prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


TTN: Live News Special Offer


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:30 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
in line minor revision.

Friday Trading
Livingston nh 12:30 GMT 08/26/2016
If the Fed will truly substitute "political" uncertainty as another of its myriad excuses then September hike might be more dangerous than November -- took some time for the reaction to last hike to set in -- "OCTOBER: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks in. The other are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February" (M. Twain)

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:30 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
U.S. GDP 2Q16
U.S. Data Charts
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Day trading strategies on the currency pair AUDNZD 26-08-201
London AzaForex 12:14 GMT 08/26/2016


Sell AUDNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on the currency pair AUDNZD 26-08-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:10 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
For the record
I put Sep rate hike odds at 28% at the moment. Depends on your assumptions. This is the "high side" estimate.

Odds on a December hike are roughly 75% (assumes no Sep hike). .

10-yr 1.568% -1.0bp

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:49 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
St Louis Fed President Bullard:
-- agnostic on when to raise rates
-- ideal to raise on "good news".
-- inflation not far from Fed target
-- doesn't see asset bubbles now

Friday Trading
london red 11:42 GMT 08/26/2016
us gdp likely a slight miss given data since first print. maybe 1%.

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:40 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
Revisions to early GDP estimates can be large.

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:39 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
Markets could react to the GDP revision at 12:30 GMT. News Algos don't know about Yellen yet.

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 11:35 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
2 hours and 25 minutes until Yellen speaks. All we know is that the market will react. Until then hibernation.

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:10 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
Personal attacks are not tolerated on Global-View Forums.

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 11:06 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
DAX -31
DJ -8
SP -1

10-yr 1.571% -0.7bp

September Fed Bets Jump to 1-in-3 From Zero as Yellen Speech Key -- bloomberg.com
PAR 10:24 GMT 08/26/2016
Fed meetings are like an english tea party where some old white people discuss the same old stories over and over again and seem to have forgotten that there is a real world where things have changed completely .

Bernanke and Yellen , probably the worst Fed presidents ever . Draghi the world worst central banker .

September Fed Bets Jump to 1-in-3 From Zero as Yellen Speech Key -- bloomberg.com
GVI Trading Room 10:19 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
"Traders see one-in-three odds of higher U.S. interest rates next month as more Federal Reserve officials joined the chorus arguing the case for policy tightening before Chair Janet Yellen speaks Friday.

Implied probability in futures markets of 32 percent is double what it was two weeks ago, and up from zero after the U.K. voted to exit the European Union in June. Two-year Treasury yields, which are more sensitive than longer maturities to the monetary policy outlook, were poised to rise for a second week after Kansas City Fed President Esther George reiterated her call that higher rates are warranted, while Dallas Fed chief Robert Kaplan said “the case is strengthening” for another increase..."

September Fed Bets Jump to 1-in-3 From Zero as Yellen Speech Key -- bloomberg.com


GBPUSD and GOLD move big
london red 10:07 GMT 08/26/2016
13161 is the key on downside. while holds risk is topside squeeze. bears need to take out that sup. eod options soft euro gbp yen, all around 50-65 pips. so they are not expecting much from yellen. but mkt has coiled all week and all of these will move at least a fig, direction depending on whats said.

GBPUSD and GOLD move big
Amman wfakhoury 09:09 GMT 08/26/2016
First I want to see 13200 and if it will go below it.

CRUDE
PAR 09:00 GMT 08/26/2016
The Clinton fondation received so much money from Saudi Arabia and other arab opec members that Hilary has a moral obligation to do whatever it takes to push crude prices higer .

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Unrevised
GVI Forex Blog 08:35 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
U.K. 2Q16 GDP unrevised.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Unrevised


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 08:30 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
GDP unrevised

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 08:30 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile

UK GDP-- 2Q16
U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. +0.60% prev.
YY +2.20% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Friday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 08:24 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile

26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole

29-Aug MON
00:00 GB- Holiday
12:30 US- PCE Deflator
30-Aug TUE
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
31-Aug WED
06:00 DE- Retail Sales
07:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Employment
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
1-Sep THU
All Day Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-SEP FRI
12:30 US- Employment
12:30 US/CA- Trade


Trading Themes --
  • The focus finally is on the Yellen speech today. Most expect a more hawkish tone. She speaks at14:00 GMT) at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Most expect a message that the economy is strong enough to withstand a modest step towards a policy normalization.

  • Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley already have laid the groundwork for a December rate hike. This is a political decision for the Fed. Waiting for the December meeting would be the easiest path.

  • Japanese July CPI released today indicated that the economy remains mired in deflation.

  • Monday is a holiday for London. Manny feel now the U.K. economy could flourish once it is out from under the control of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp GDP decline since Brexit has been an immediate economic stimulus.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 07:57 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
Earlier: Japanese core and national CPI Deflation persists






GBPUSD and GOLD move big
Kaunas DP 07:52 GMT 08/26/2016
which WAY, bro

gold
hk ab 07:47 GMT 08/26/2016
fs,

$5 intervals from 1330 down. Now filled down to 1320, Average 1322.

Deutsche Bank
PAR 07:29 GMT 08/26/2016
Here Are the Signs That Deutsche Bank Is in Big Trouble

 Investors should worry when government ministers and executives insist everything is OK.

https://www.thestreet.com/story/13684780/1/here-are-the-signs-that-deutsche-bank-is-in-big-trouble.html

GBPUSD and GOLD move big
Amman wfakhoury 07:12 GMT 08/26/2016
GOLD 20-25 $
GBPUSD 120-150 pips.

Good Luck.

CRUDE
PAR 07:11 GMT 08/26/2016
Don t fight OPEC and the USA . Crude must go higher , GS must be heavily long crude .

DRAGHI NIRP
PAR 07:08 GMT 08/26/2016
The head of Germany’s largest bank says negative rates are ‘fatal’

Cryan says negative interest-rate policy could have ‘fatal consequences’

Add John Cryan to the ensemble of Wall Street heavyweights decrying the emergence of negative-yielding debt.

Cryan, the chief executive of Deutsche Bank—Germany’s largest and most prominent bank, with some €­­1.7 trillion ($1.9 trillion) in assets—cautioned that the negative interest-rate policy could have “fatal consequences.” He made is remarks as part of a guest commentary published in the German newspaper Handelsblatt on Aug. 23.

“Monetary policy is now running counter to the aims of strengthening the economy and making the European banking system safer,” Cryan said, ahead of a bank summit starting Aug. 31.

Cryan also said negative rates punish savers and could have disastrous implications for pensions, which attempt to match their liabilities with safe, interest-bearing assets like bonds.

For Deutsche Bank’s DB, -1.20% part, the institution has been among the large European banks that have more acutely felt the pinch of negative interest rates in Europe, which has crimped the profitability of lenders.

Ultralow and below-zero rates have helped to push Deutsche Bank’s shares down nearly 45% on year-to-date basis. The bank has been hard hit in the wake of the U.K.’s vote on June 23 to exit from the European Union, which briefly rocked markets. Given its elevated profile among global financial institutions and its inability to shake of the hangover of the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the German bank has spent years under the Klieg lights of regulatory and investor scrutiny.

The International Monetary Fund in June referred to Deutsche Bank as the riskiest financial institution in the world. The bank was among the worst performers, including Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p. A BMPS, +8.96% on a European test of the ability of banks to withstand unexpected shocks to the system.



The November Suprise. No skin off my back.
dc CB 06:32 GMT 08/26/2016
If elected. POT or Weed or whatever you kids call it WILL No longer be agaist the LAW.

Just Like stuff I've done errrr
bill has done.

HEY DUDES and Dude ettes. NO Mo Law.

Vote Hillary Clinton....Bill said he didn't inhale...AWE
WTF do you expect it was the 70's or was it the 60's or was ti the 80's...oh that wa coke...I didn't snort.

GBP Fundamentals contradictorily to Experts Tech.
kl fs 04:42 GMT 08/26/2016
RF@, which one do you believe?
buy cable first?

gold
kl fs 04:36 GMT 08/26/2016
hk ab, how is your relentless doing?

GBP Fundamentals contradictorily to Experts Tech.
HK RF@ 03:51 GMT 08/26/2016

UK newspapers, are all praise for the stamina and resistance of the UK economy, to the Brexit doomsday predictions and expectations.
That is also supported by data released last few days.

On the contrary, not even one analyst is found around, not to predict, but a limited recovery of the currency before a drop back to the post Brexit referendum low.

This may happen only if the USD will show an extreme coming strength, if one likes to believe.

Anyone is puzeled?

But it maybe that many of those analysts(if not all) represent investors badly stuck in record Hi number shorts.

Note to self, if you want to be President
dc CB 03:24 GMT 08/26/2016
THEATER, THEATER

Hope you are smokin that Illegal weed.



1/3 of Abedin emails 100% redacted


Note to self, if you want to be President
dc CB 03:10 GMT 08/26/2016
Mtl JP 00:59 GMT 08/26/2016 -
CB 22:28 / re weather...better than...

a Trend


http://www.stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$corn&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&i=p70737928148&r=5930

http://www.stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$soyb&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&i=p70737928148&r=5930

no triggered headline algos need apply


Note to self, if you want to be President
dc CB 02:40 GMT 08/26/2016
Mtl JP 00:59 GMT

so it this happens....yes you can get Updates/Predictions
What does that mean to the bets

No Gulf, not threat Bust


Note to self, if you want to be President
dc CB 02:31 GMT 08/26/2016
JP

if you base your trades on these Aholes Talking points...U'd better be quicker than the millsecond Algos on any given day

Otherwise you are just spewing smoke ....Like john---- who dosen't get why ---- t's not like the script that I got handed is not working.....oH oh it's a SUPRISE or some other line of BS, it's supposed to take into account....that those who are stealing out money ARE NOT Criminals....they are Just Traders.



AceTrader Aug 26: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Hong Kong 02:06 GMT 08/26/2016
26 Aug 2016 01:05GMT

USD/JPY - ....... Despite staging a rebound after finding renewed buying at 100.30 in Europe today, the greenback retreated sharply at Tokyo open today due to data which showed Japan July consumer prices post its biggest annual fall in three years.

Although market focus is on Fed Yellen's testimony at 14:00GMT due to the guidance she might provide on the central bank's monetary policy, traders should also keep an eye on the release of U.S. GDP and GDP deflector at 12:30GMT.
Street forecasts are 1.1% and 2.4$ vs previous readings of 1.2% and 2.2% respectively.

Bids are now lowered to 100.20/30 and more below at 100.00/10 with stops building up above there whilst initial offers are noted at 100.80/90, suggesting further choppy trading would be seen ahead of Fed's Yellen speech.

Friday Trading
nw kw 01:07 GMT 08/26/2016
Stubbornly low inflation and low or sub-zero interest rates in many countries have sparked discussion among global central bankers about alternative policy goals, including price-level and nominal gross domestic product targeting.

Canada will likely maintain its 2 percent inflation target and bypass alternative policy goals when the central bank renews its inflation-control agreement this year, strategists say, but the main measure of core inflation may change.

http://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/topstories/bank-of-canada-seen-keeping-inflation-target-as-poloz-hits-jackson-hole/ar-BBw3GZd?li=AA54rW&ocid=spartandhp


Note to self, if you want to be President
Mtl JP 00:59 GMT 08/26/2016  - My Profile
CB 22:28 / re weather...better than...

Look at all the willing reverence - as if these people were some deity when all they have is other folks willingness to kisstheirass and swallow their bs. So as log as that is a market element, one can either ignore it or try to co-op it into preferably posi-pip making:

Some 100 economists and Fed officials — each one able to fill a room if they gave a speech in New York or Washington

A handful of reporters are invited into the closed-door discussions, while others linger in the lodge’s beautiful lobby.

three cable business news outlets — CNBC, Bloomberg Television and Fox Business Network — now set up tents side-by-side, and Fed officials and economists move among them like the Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers players did last January

Inside the Fed’s Jackson Hole retreat



Next Page





Amazing Trader is a unique approach developed by Jay Meisler to trading that utilizes proprietary technology to deliver global-view's exclusive trading levels directly to your platform in real-time.

The goal is to take your trading performance to a higher level.

Amazing Trader




26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole

29-Aug MON
00:00 GB- Holiday
12:30 US- PCE Deflator
30-Aug TUE
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
31-Aug WED
06:00 DE- Retail Sales
07:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Employment
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
1-Sep THU
All Day Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-SEP FRI
12:30 US- Employment
12:30 US/CA- Trade


Trading Themes --

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