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FOREX FORUM
01/10/14 8:28 A GB MFG PMI con: 52.7 pre: 52.5
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eurusd
Tallinn viies 08:09 GMT 10/01/2014
new month and new lows. this has been the game since april.
how low is only question.

Swiss PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:04 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile




Earlier data

50.4 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.


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Japan final PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:02 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile




EARLIER NEWS ALERT
51.1 vs. 51.1 exp. vs. 51.1 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



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EZ- Final MFG PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile




ALERT

EZ- Final MFG PMI
50.3 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.5 (flash)
France
48.8 vs. 48.8 exp. vs. 48.8 (flash)
Germany
49.9 vs. 50.3 exp. vs. 50.3 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release



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China NBS PMI September 2014
GVI Forex john 07:59 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile




EARLIER: China PMI's
NBS: 51.1 vs. 51.1 exp vs. 51.1 prev.


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Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 07:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
EURUSD short Layer
1.2667 1.2633
tgt 1.2559

cable
shorts
1.6272 1.6233 TGT 1.6136

European Defalation - Russia
PAR 06:52 GMT 10/01/2014
European sanctions against Russia put so much pressure in Agricultural prices and on other products that this lead to lower prices . Instead of reducing production Europ is giving subsidies to farmers and other industies to keep production going .

To beat deflation it would be better to stop subsidies than to lower interest rates.

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
The Holiday week begins in China & Hong Kong markets along with a very long weekend in

Morning Briefing : 01-Oct-2014 -0349 GMT


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 02:35 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
CHFJPY shorts
115.3534 115.0945
tgt 114.4092

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 02:16 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
Closing AUDUSD shorts

Longing AUDNZD
1.1187 1.1131

TGT 1.1373


Global Markets News
Mtl JP 00:27 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
David Cameron: The UK is 1000 times more important than the EU - telegraph
-
I still have some coasters from way back: "EU lets get shot of it"

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 00:14 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
* Euro falls to fresh two-year low of $1.2571

* Euro zone inflation cools further in September

* China PMI & Australian retail trade data next in focus

FOREX-Euro pressured as low inflation puts heat on ECB


Japan
GVI Forec 00:02 GMT 10/01/2014  - My Profile
MNI: BOJ SEP TANKAN LARGE MFG INDEX +13; JUNE +12; MNI MEDIAN +10

Friski Trade Ideas
sd sf 23:53 GMT 09/30/2014
CAD

selling out of its $cad - eurcad and gbpcad - about 42 pts combined.

about as much as you can expect at this time of day... which it is programmed to trade in.


The Last POMOs
dc CB 23:50 GMT 09/30/2014
staring reality in the face.
No friday Juice, a few Monday's are good for a run.

POMO October


October Newsletter
NY Global Traders Association 23:29 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

Thoughts from the Trading Trenches
October 1, 2014
In this issue:

- Currency Wars: Open Warfare
- Forex Trading Outlook for October (video update)

October Newsletter- Thoughts from the Trading Trenches

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
Mtl JP 22:20 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
TSX records biggest monthly drop since May 2012 rtrs

losing about 4.3 percent ... “There seems to be some downward pressure. The mood has changed here," said Ian Nakamoto, director of research at MacDougall, MacDougall & MacTier. “People are starting to question whether the fundamentals are still intact,” he added
-
Sounds reasonable.

Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System
GVI Forex john 21:36 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile


Selected daily USD & EUR Pivots. Complete Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System



Current Conditions: RISK-ON
Mtl JP 21:26 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
CDC - A patient at a Texas hospital has the Ebola virus, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control says. The patient is the first case diagnosed in the U.S.

Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
GVI Forex john 20:42 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile


September 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 1. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Tankan, PMI, CN- PMI, AU- Retail Sales, EZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- PMIs, US- ADP Jobs, PMIs


  • Far East: JP- Tankan, PMI, CN- PMI, AU- Retail Sales
  • Europe: eZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- PMIs
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP Jobs, PMIs, Construction Spending, Weekly Crude



Weekly US API Data
GVI Forex john 20:39 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -0.463 vs. +1.000 exp vs. -4.300 prev.
Gasoline: -2.500 vs. -3.00exp vs. -0.400 prev.
Distillates -1.800: vs.0.0 exp vs. +0.820 prev.
Cap/Util: 92.80% vs. n/a exp vs. 92.3% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




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Repos
dc CB 20:33 GMT 09/30/2014
today at 8:30 am when the Fed announced the result of today's "special" window-dressing Reverse Repo operation. What was unveiled blew our socks right off, because not only was the Reverse Repo an absolutely whopping $407 billion, but the low rate on the auction was an unprecedented -0.20%!

What this means is that today's offering was done at a rate below the fixed rate of 5 bps, and thus today the floor aspect of the ON RRP program was not effective. This will probably be the situation at most future quarter-end offerings.

What Just Happened In Today's "Crazy" And Biggest Ever "Window-Dressing" Reverse Repo?


Friski Trade Ideas
sd sf 20:27 GMT 09/30/2014
its got 15 pt stops on the CAD related things

and

"sf, can you contact me by email tia"

yes in a few minutes .. just bit busy at the moment.

Friski Trade Ideas
sd sf 20:18 GMT 09/30/2014
got bids @7 in the gbp
buying $cad at mkt
buying eurcad at mkt
buying gbpcad at mkt

Weekly Trading Planner
GVI Forex john 19:53 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
TUESDAY
23:50 A JP Tankan (lg mfg) Top production indicator
WEDNESDAY
00:13 JP Final PMI Closely-followed production index
01:00  CN NBS PMI Closely-followed production index
01:30 AU Retail Sales Consumer activity
01:45 CN HSBC final PMI Closely-followed production index
07:30 CH PMI Closely-followed production index
07:55 DE MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
07:58 EZ MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
08:28  GB MFG PMI Closely-followed production index
12:15  US ADP Jobs Predictor of non-farm payrolls
13:45  US MKT MFG PMI final Closely-followed production index
14:00  US ISM MFG PMI Closely-followed production index
14:00  US Construction  Economic activity measure
THURSDAY
01:30 AU Trade Important Trade measure
08:28 GB Construction PMI Closely-followed production index
11:45 EZ Europe Cntl Bank More ease to be signaled?
12:30  US Initial Claims 300 293
14:00  US Factory Orders Future production predictor
FRIDAY
07:55 DE SVC PMI final Key Service Sector index
07:58  EZ SVC PMI final Key Service Sector index
08:28 GB SVC PMI Key Service Sector index
12:30  CA Trade External sector measure 
12:30  US Payrolls Major Fed Target
12:30  US Trade Impacts GDP calculation
13:45  US Markit SVC PM Key Service Sector index
14:00  US ISM SVC PMI Key Service Sector index

Chart Points - Free FX Database
GVI Forex john 19:32 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.


Chart Points -- Trading Points
GVI Forex john 19:26 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Pre-Closing...


Friski Trade Ideas
Mtl JP 19:26 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
close short gbpusd, waiting for eurusd to go sub 1.2610

USD/CAD
london red 19:08 GMT 09/30/2014
nh, ive read the leaflet. last time dxy was this high loonie was 115+. last 3 quarters we traded 1.06 despite the odd 1.12 thrown in there. if the dollar rally broadens youd fancy loonie gets swept higher to 115/116 with less of this heaviness. im hoping we see 11125/30 on a pullback and will take it from there as thus far its never paid to chase it higher as dips a plenty. but once clear of 113 it should accelerate youd think. should.

GVI Forex Blog 19:00 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
The US dollar extended its impressive three-month rally. Eurozone core inflation printed lower than expected (0.7% yoy), and German unemployment was higher than expected, both adding to arguments for the ECB to loosen policy further. Also supporting the dollar were reports Russia was considering capital controls.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts


update
sd sf 18:59 GMT 09/30/2014
what I see on my books

t/p buy signal triggered on breakout bots @82 in eur and @69 in gbp

then range bots have sold 22 25 31 with stops @41 44 and 50

I just closed these manually as those seem pretty weak levels to stop trades ,, so it probably means at some point we see a test @1.2660

Just wait for it to reassess the ranges in early Asia and see what new trades come up.

USD/CAD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:58 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
nh, can you email me pls jay@global-view.com

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
london red 18:57 GMT 09/30/2014
john, dollar given benefit of doubt today, but bonds maybe not so much. maybe slight flight to safety. dec 10yr still higher lows since then low but top i mentioned before holding still. by end of week will make its move.
re draghi, hes stuck til dec tltro but oil 2 month rally and euro fall will save inflation for now plus a negative print drops out of equation next month. so all things equal, it should be 0.5% or, if things deteriorate, still a higher 0.4%. its should just about give them space til the end of the year but in the meantime draghi is going to be as dovish as can be while they wait and see. they dont want this lead balloon bouncing.

USD/CAD
Livingston nh 18:49 GMT 09/30/2014
USD/CAD looks to make highest monthly chart close in 5 yrs - this one can grind some more for a yearly high above 1.15

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
GVI Forex john 18:16 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
10-yr 2.488%

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:57 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
for all oct/2014
EURUSD

( 1.2663 ,1.0059 ,0.9924 )

So for accumulation and tgt
1.2759 1.2588


Forex Trade of the Day
Mtl JP 17:50 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
red 17:22 ECB Thursday.
what can, what should but more importantly what will the ex GS banker do to advance his war against (to him) low inflation , lower still economic growth and an unwilling to change its ways govt apparatus that the market already does not know or expect and has not yet priced in ?

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:46 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
run a demo
I am sure you will be happy with amount of work Vs. Returns
USDCHF...Longs
( 0.9551 ,1.0044 ,0.9964 )

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:43 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
So really what one needs is (Pivot, offset to short, offset to Long)

Gold
(1215.1829 ,1.007 ,0.993 )

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
Mtl JP 17:42 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
US stox still very lethargic, no steam sofar

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:35 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
GBPNZD
2.1042
Parameters
1.0078 0.9942
so i placed Longs and tgt
2.0958 2.0676


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:33 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
cable shorts above 1.6198
parameter
1.0044 0.9962

the math is yours
placed 1.6281 1.6149
red...what do you say?..easy method?

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 17:27 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
wanna try my Auto parameters for EURUSD trading?
If and if EURUSD is above 1.2628
Place short orders using any period open with an offset multipale
1.0033 0.9958
Lets say it is trading at 1.2634
Then place an order to short
at 1.2634*1.0033
Pt at 1.2634*0.9958
No worries it will work

Forex Trade of the Day
london red 17:22 GMT 09/30/2014
looking at quarterly euro chart back to mid 80's, the euro has traded within the prev quarters range by at least 1 and a half figures. so a good retracement will come at some point by the end of the year. i dont expect we are bottoming soon, so to end the next quarter lower, we are liking to retrace earlier.

Current Conditions: RISK-ON
GVI Forex john 16:23 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Markets have remained in a mild RISK-ON posture following weak flash Eurozone HICP (revised) data and weaker than expected German unemployment figures ahead of the ECB decision on Thursday.. The EURUSD is still trading lower on the day.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. The 10-yr bund is 0.950%,  -1.0% bp. Peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.427% -1.3 bp. BOE Gov Carney has continued to signal a Spring 2015 rate hike.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.490%, +0.2bp.The Psychological focus is now back to 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mixed. Bourses in Europe are ending modestly higher.  U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).



Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:35 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
The Euro remains under pressure from the low core CPI print early in the session. It did bounce more than 40 pips from fresh 2+ year lows after news filtered out that Eurostat revised higher the unrounded figures.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Russia concerns abate


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 15:23 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY is more east as well

110.1255 109.2004
all week

Chickens
Mtl JP 15:17 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Catalonia Suspends Independence Referendum Campaign

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 15:11 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
I think an east direction for Gold this week
On average 1224 to 1207 all week

Forex Trade of the Day
NY JM 15:04 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Quiet 4 PM Ldn end of quarter fixing


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