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03/05/16 20:30 C US API Crude con: n/a pre: n/a
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short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 14:24 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
I did this trade because of the three day in a row up rule and i had a gap between 115-11526.
Entries where so so and hard to post but managed a few.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 14:24 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
I did this trade because of the three day in a row up rule and i had a gap between 115-11526.
Entries where so so and hard to post but managed a few.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 14:16 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 10:37 GMT 05/03/2016 - My Profile
short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 07:47 GMT 05/03/2016 - My Profile
Add (iction) 11594. 2 more left.

____________________________________
3/4 closed at 11584. 1/4 at b/e or profit 15555.
_____________________________________
last 1/4 closed at 11555.

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 14:15 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
mester on yak deck in 15 mins

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 13:59 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
I don't think it is a surprise that Saudi Arabia and Iran are at odds on policy. This is not your father's OPEC. They have less control over global supply and prices these days with more relative production coming from non-cartel sources. Oil dipped on this report.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 13:51 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Report OPEC governors disagree on long-term strategy due Iran and Saudi split on Price policy. Saudi does not want to return to quotas. Iran said to want price florr.

Source: TTN

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 13:48 GMT 05/03/2016
jp - down near near 2040, might be time for DOHA II -- that was the blast-off point last month

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 13:43 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
remember that 2044 is Dec 2015 close
probably fairly strong support on initial approach

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 13:37 GMT 05/03/2016
Looks like another Bad Air day for stox - first target yesterday's opening Good Air day Gap but then SPX 2052 low from friday (2055 is ~40 dma)

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 13:28 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
and crude at 44.20
if usdcad pops N of the 10ma it should give 50 posi-pips
-
trade w/caution

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 13:24 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
1.2614
dlrcad 10day 1.2622 = current R

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 12:54 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
going to be raining cretins today:
Mester, Poloz, Williams, Lockhart
-
anyone of them has ~50 pip potential to affect my account

92
Livingston nh 12:53 GMT 05/03/2016
Seems like Stevens would have preferred to hold rates but Yellen pushed him w/ her new mandates -- so Lew got more than jawboning this time

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 12:46 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: pops to 1.4650-ish Target: 1.45/4450 Stop: 20-30 pips

.

Coming up Next?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:45 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Paris IB can you email me EMAIL

92
Mtl JP 12:39 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile


dollar's frontier
Janet's dream

Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 12:21 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
us 2yr yield currently down at 0.7619 %
10-yr yield about flat atm at 1.8157 %

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 12:17 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
nh note that chief BoC cretin yaks today 1/2 past noon
something on "policy"

Tuesday Trading
Livingston nh 11:43 GMT 05/03/2016
John - USD flows might be the political angst but could be just the spread on real rates at the shorter end (Yen, EUR have real deflation) controlled by the CBs and the inflation expectations @ 5 yr and out //
US real rates are lower than some NIRP countries

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Livingston nh 11:36 GMT 05/03/2016
jp - good heads up on that rate cut -- if you would mention same strategy to Poloz next time you see him it would be helpful, too

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 10:59 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
The 11584 closed at 11578. On the look out for better entries.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 10:37 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 07:47 GMT 05/03/2016 - My Profile
Add (iction) 11594. 2 more left.

____________________________________
3/4 closed at 11584. 1/4 at b/e or profit 15555.

Tuesday Trading
GVI Forex john bland 10:29 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
equities Risk-Off
DAX -183
DJ -115
SP -15

10-yr flight to safety?
US 1.815% -5.2
DE 0.216% -5.8
GB 1.536% -4.7
JP -0.109% -0.5 (closed Tues)

EUR crosses up except vs. JPY and CHF
wti $44.37 -0.41

e/j
hk ab 09:54 GMT 05/03/2016
very suicidal trade recommendation....

long e/j here, 200 pips stop, multiple entries. target 130

Coming up Next?
Paris ib 09:47 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
"... the Baltic Dry Index... is key to track commodity demand. Two months ago, it was trading to all-time lows. Since then, it has increased over 130%. Precious metals prices have all moved higher in virtually all currencies. Why is this important? Because it tells us that faith in fiat currencies – the US dollar especially — is sharply declining."

Turbulence ahead


long eurusd
Lahore FM 09:45 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile

Entry: 1.1330 Target: 1.2300 Stop: 1.1390

Lahore FM 13:34 GMT April 29, 2016
long eurusd : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1330 Target: 1.2300 Stop: 1.1330

Lahore FM 13:22 GMT April 26, 2016
long eurusd : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1330 Target: 1.23 Stop: 1.1230

long eurusd for 1.2300
--
stop to entry now.
--
stop to 1.1390 now.

Coming up Next?
Paris ib 09:44 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
From the man who brought to you the plan to get OIL prices down in order to put pressure on the Ruble and the Russian economy...:

"As oil demand soars and supply contracts, Hybrid War practitioners across the spectrum will have to create a recession to keep the chaos going. A possible scenario is to let the embattled Italian banking system go down; that’s the next frontier in the EU."

It's still all geopolitics even if the deviants seem not to be the most popular or powerful people at the moment.

The Empire of Chaos


Tuesday Trading
GVI Forex john bland 09:22 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

4-May WEDNESDAY
JP- Holiday
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
14:30 US- EIA Crude
5-May THURSDAY
JP/CH- Holiday
8:28 GB- SVC PMI
6-May FRIDAY
12:30 CA/US- Employment
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes --
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia surprised some with a 25bp cut in the Cash Rate target to 1.75% from 2.00%. Many had felt the odds for a cut had been 50-50. The decision initially saw a major drop in the AUDUSD. The decision came on the heels of soft inflation figures for 1Q16. The RBA warned about the risks in the future of a rising currency.

  • Early Tuesday saw the April Chinese Caixin PMI, which remained in contraction at 49.4 vs. 49.7 in March. The rest of the week will see holidays in Japan due to "Golden Week" observances, plus a few holiday closures elsewhere. Then Friday will feature the latest key employment data (April) from the U.S. and Canada

  • The USD remains on the back foot, as it appears that some players, perhaps for reasons other than economic, continue to exit the currency. This liquidation could be for political or safety reasons. We don't know, but note the currency recently has not been reacting the way it should to economic data. I don't think these flows are near their conclusion


  • John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
    co-founder global-View.com



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Eurozone PPI April 2016





ALERT
mm: +0.30% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.70% (r ) prev.
yy: -4.20% vs. -4.40% exp. vs. -4.20% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


eurusd
kl fs 09:00 GMT 05/03/2016
viies, any levels to reload?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 08:45 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Earlier: Caixin PMI eases to 49.4 . Still sub-50.


eurusd
Tallinn viies 08:42 GMT 05/03/2016
closed long euro at 1,1605.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI In Contraction
GVI Forex Blog 08:40 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile

Manufacturing PMI April 2016

U.K. Manufacturing PMI at three year low.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI In Contraction


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 08:36 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Big miss in UK mfg PMI lowest level in three years.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 08:34 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
last friction 11614 out at 11590.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 08:31 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Firction 11614 3/4 out at 11597. Rest at b/e. others stay.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex john bland 08:30 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Manufacturing PMI April 2016
U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

49.2 vs. 51.2 exp. vs. 51.0 (r 50.7) prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer



euro
kl fs 08:17 GMT 05/03/2016
dont know why the urgency to sell euro here
weekly got double bottom, near term 1.19-1.20 is within reach

short e/u 11584
bali sja 08:14 GMT 05/03/2016
farms have been lost from long usdjpy position many moons ago

short e/u 11584
haifa ac 08:12 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
will be funny if ZEUS appears now with a small farm.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 08:10 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
add friction 11614. One left.

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 08:10 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
add friction 11614. One left.

EURUSD 11595 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 07:47 GMT 05/03/2016
11595 reached .

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 07:47 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
Add (iction) 11594. 2 more left.

Sell EURUSD
bali sja 07:45 GMT 05/03/2016
relax, keep shorting euro and give me your stops
i said 1.17 to be seen next

Sell EURUSD
haifa ac 07:37 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
About 16 more hours (give or take) of this blast and then a big reversal. Should be dramatic. The big question , of course is whether they are going to pick all the stops above 1.1711?!

short e/u 11584
Hillegom Purk 07:35 GMT 05/03/2016  - My Profile
lets see.. 20/40 pip profit

EURUSD 11595 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 07:19 GMT 05/03/2016
11595 confirmed 11557 return


The only one in the world who confirms the next level



CRAZY MARIO
PAR 06:40 GMT 05/03/2016
DJ ECB Chief Blames Berlin for Low Rates -- WSJ

Mario Draghi says low interest rates are 'a symptom of an underlying problem'
By Tom Fairless


FRANKFURT -- Top European Central Bank officials escalated a dispute with Berlin over the ECB's easy-money policies on Monday, warning that Germany itself is partly to blame for the ultralow interest rates that are harming savers and pensioners.

In a speech to Asian government officials and business leaders, ECB President Mario Draghi said low interest rates were merely a symptom of an underlying economic problem -- the compression of investment returns globally due to an excess of savings.

"There is a temptation to conclude that...very low rates...are the problem," Mr. Draghi said. "But they are not the problem. They are the symptom of an underlying problem."

The global savings glut, Mr. Draghi said, is being perpetuated by economies in Asia and in the eurozone, notably Germany. "Our largest economy, Germany, has had a [current account] surplus above 5% of GDP for almost a decade," Mr. Draghi said.

The comments are Mr. Draghi's latest response to a political backlash in Germany over the ECB's policies. Senior German politicians have been openly voicing their frustration with Frankfurt in recent weeks, particularly since the central bank ramped up its EUR1.5 trillion ($1.7 trillion) stimulus in March.

In unusually blunt criticism last month, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble called for an end to easy-money policies and warned that the ECB was partly to blame for the rise of a new populist party, the Alternative for Germany, suggesting its low interest rates had hurt savers.

Mr. Draghi directed criticism directly back at Berlin. "Those advocating a lesser role for monetary policy or a shorter period of monetary expansion necessarily imply a larger role for fiscal policy," he said, in an apparent reference to Germany's insistence on reining in government spending while policy makers elsewhere are focusing more on the need for fresh economic stimulus.

Amid the recent political attacks, Germany's central bankers have rushed to defend the ECB and its independence. Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann has argued that the ECB's expansionary policies are appropriate.

Speaking in Switzerland on Monday, Sabine Lautenschläger, the only German on the ECB's six-member executive board, warned that political attacks endangered the ECB's independence and undermined trust. She stressed that central banks couldn't solve Europe's institutional failures or structural problems.

"It seems very odd to me that politicians are now criticizing the European Central Bank," Ms. Lautenschläger said. "I would like to see a political class that has the courage to lead public opinion."

Mr. Draghi stressed that the ECB's policies are helping savers, and said governments, not central banks, should address the underlying economic causes of low rates. He also urged savers in Germany to boost their returns by diversifying their investments, mimicking their counterparts across the Atlantic.

"U.S. households allocate about a third of their financial assets to equities, whereas the equivalent figure for French and Italian households is about one- fifth, and for German households only one-tenth, " Mr. Draghi said.

Todd Buell contributed to this article.


Next Page





WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

4-May WEDNESDAY
JP- Holiday
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
14:30 US- EIA Crude
5-May THURSDAY
JP/CH- Holiday
8:28 GB- SVC PMI
6-May FRIDAY
12:30 CA/US- Employment
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes --

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