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Thursday Trade
Mtl JP 12:15 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
nh those "yields" you mention will start to look awful attractive to some
FED gang better not lose control else things go interesting rapidly n massively

Thursday Trade
Livingston nh 12:09 GMT 07/28/2016
JP - "But if yields merely rise back to where they started the year, it would be catastrophic for those who have chased longer duration. The 30-year Treasury would lose 14% of its value, while Japan’s 40-year would lose a quarter of its value, equal to 63 years of coupons. Has the long-run economic outlook really changed so much since January?"
WSJ - http://www.wsj.com/articles/buying-longer-bonds-holds-danger-1469661392

Bloomberg has a piece about risks to insurance and pensions from forced buying

Day trading strategies on currency pair AUDCAD 28-07-2016 by
London AzaForex 12:02 GMT 07/28/2016


Buy AUDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on currency pair AUDCAD 28-07-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

yen
tokyo joyya 11:51 GMT 07/28/2016
AB san well done your making money again nice short gbpjpy 138.72....

i am still holding 50% position long gbpjpy 136.75 avg......


just came home from work wtf jpy pairs again down repeatedly over and over.....nothing is getting better cars prices also going down down...


Thursday Trade
Mtl JP 11:43 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
one fine day in the future those 10-yr bonds are going to cause a lot of pain

Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john 11:38 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
Equities: Neutral
DAX -3
DJ -2
SP 0

10-yr 1.513% -0.3bp

Fed Begins Crawl Toward Rate Hike as Near-Term Risks Diminish -- Bloomberg.com
brampton dk 10:36 GMT 07/28/2016


Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

test

Fed Begins Crawl Toward Rate Hike as Near-Term Risks Diminish -- Bloomberg.com
kl fs 08:55 GMT 07/28/2016
come September, that dec rate hike odds become zero as we approach election
there is no hike further this year IMHO

Fed Begins Crawl Toward Rate Hike as Near-Term Risks Diminish -- Bloomberg.com
LONDON SFH 08:53 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
The tone of it to me was that they are looking more at hikes than before....but the reality is their hands are tied now,, It kind of seals a hike for Dec as odds on for me

Fed Begins Crawl Toward Rate Hike as Near-Term Risks Diminish -- Bloomberg.com
GVI Trading Room john 08:34 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
"Federal Reserve policy makers took a step toward raising interest rates later this year but stopped short of signaling that the move could come as soon as September.

Federal Open Market Committee members upgraded their assessment of the economy in their monetary policy statement, released on Wednesday after their two-day meeting. They declared that near-term risks to the outlook have diminished and said labor utilization has shown “some increase,” though inflation remains too low..."

Fed Begins Crawl Toward Rate Hike as Near-Term Risks Diminish -- Bloomberg.com


Dollar falls against yen as BOJ easing expectations pared --Reuters.com
GVI Trading Room john 08:30 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
"The dollar fell against the yen on Thursday as expectations faded of the Bank of Japan delivering the radical stimulus package some had expected this week, and after the U.S. Federal Reserve stopped short of flagging a near-term rate rise.

Japan's prime minister unveiled a surprisingly large 28 trillion yen ($265 billion) stimulus package on Wednesday...

...But sources told Reuters earlier on Thursday that the government is planning direct fiscal spending of 7 trillion yen to help fund the stimulus package which, at just a quarter of the total package, could disappoint some market players bracing for bigger outlays given the headline figure..."

Dollar falls against yen as BOJ easing expectations pared --Reuters.com


Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john 08:18 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The Federal Reserve policy decision saw no surprises yesterday with rates held steady. The central bank remained cautious but, as expected, took a modestly more hawkish tone, noting the recent improvement in labor markets and other data. Nevertheless, they did not signal a September rate hike. The Fed continues to say that policy is data dependent and that future rate hikes will only be gradual.

  • The EURUSD initially fell on the slightly more hawkish poilicy statement, but then the USD fell (EURUSD rose) when dollar demand did not follow through. Markets had already been set up for the Fed statement that was released and position-squaring saw the USD fall with the EURUSD taking out several upside key stop-loss levels.

  • The Bank of Japan meets Friday. BOJ Governor Kuroda has indicated the central bank would be supportive of a government fiscal stimulus program. We expect a BOJ commitment to additional monetary stimulus. PM Abe is now expected to announce a fiscal stimulus of around JPY 28 tln next Tuesday, August 2. Its exact size is to be determined and probably is still being finalized.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com



BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Data Steady
GVI Forex Blog 08:00 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
German June Jobless in line (lower is better).

BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Data Steady


BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john 07:56 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
German jobs data in line.

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john 07:55 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
German Unemployment July 2016




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 6.10% vs. 6.10% exp. vs. 6.10% prev.
Change:-7K vs. -3K exp. vs. -6K (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Is a canary you next helping?
haifa ac 06:55 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
Restaurant Recession Could Signal Tough Times for U.S. Economy

Analysts are forecasting a "restaurant recession" in the U.S., which is bad news for America's food and drink establishments and potentially even worse news for the economy at large.
Paul Westra, a senior research analyst at Stifel Financial Corp., said in a research note Tuesday that he'd turned "decidedly bearish" on the restaurant industry, downgrading Stifel's stance on 11 different restaurant stocks, including Chipotle Mexican Grill, Panera Bread and Cheesecake Factory.
He and his colleagues now "confidently believe" that the weak restaurant consumer spending seen in the second quarter of the year "reflects the start of a U.S. restaurant recession."
"The catalyst for the current weak pre-recessionary restaurant spending trend is likely multifaceted – U.S. politics, terrorism, social unrest, global geopolitics, economic uncertainty," Westra said. "But, if history is a guide, we warn investors that restaurant-industry sales tend to be the 'canary that lays the recessionary egg.'"
http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-07-27/restaurant-recession-could-signal-tough-times-for-us-economy

yen
hk ab 06:52 GMT 07/28/2016
SGFX, I don't mind to go parallel or opposite with joyya.

His one is much longer time frame than mine.


HELP! I have fallen and I cannot get up
haifa ac 06:30 GMT 07/28/2016  - My Profile
Pleeeeze send donations, good people!

Atlantic City is likely to default on $3.4 million of debt payments on Aug. 1 without an agreement with New Jersey on a $74 million bridge loan or other state action, according to Moody’s Investors Service.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-27/atlantic-city-risks-default-absent-new-jersey-aid-moody-s-says

yen
nw kw 06:30 GMT 07/28/2016
gold used for hedging for s&p, right on targets pl.

yen
Singapore SGFXTrader 06:21 GMT 07/28/2016
Nice short on GBPJPY. I knew that doing opposite of Joyya GBP call will make money!


hk ab 06:11 GMT 07/28/2016
short 139 2 lots, 138.7x added before the FOMC.....

yen
hk ab 06:11 GMT 07/28/2016
short 139 2 lots, 138.7x added before the FOMC.....

now can wait till 130................after a 5 day trip.....

yen
hk ab 05:41 GMT 07/28/2016
Yen and gold
hk ab 00:05 GMT 07/28/2016
gbp/jpy
Singapore SGFXTrader 17:23 GMT 07/27/2016
ab, did fs recommend a GBPJPY short too?

fs, are u here? care to give some commend on this pair?

hk ab 16:47 GMT 07/27/2016
138.72.
----------------------------------------------------------------
The day is still early. Not a worry at all. In fact, every pair has its turn. Yen will surprise soon
----------------------------------------------------------------


It's still EARLY!

Thursday Trade
Singapore SGFXTrader 05:00 GMT 07/28/2016
fs, thanks. Just got sell down to 138.0. 4 hour chart show a turnaround. Going down now. Hour chart weakening. The move up from 136 to 139.9 has turn around. So perhaps now going down from 139 to 138 this morning and then later perhaps 137?

kl fs 04:14 GMT 07/28/2016
play around 136-140 for a bit,

Thursday Trade
kl fs 04:14 GMT 07/28/2016
play around 136-140 for a bit, looks like it will need some sort of trigger

Thursday Trade
Singapore SGFXTrader 04:03 GMT 07/28/2016
fs, thanks for the advice earlier that GBPJPY is looking for 136. Target reached.

what do you think about GBPJPY now?

kl fs 03:28 GMT 07/28/2016

Thursday Trade
kl fs 03:28 GMT 07/28/2016
JP, they are all the same, not just Yellen, what can we expect from the cretins?

AceTrader Jul 28: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Hong Kong 02:43 GMT 07/28/2016
Update Time: 28 Jul 2016 02:27 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1067
Euro's spectacular rally yesterday from post-FOMC low at 1.0961 in New York to as high as 1.1076 in Australia earlier today has reinforced our previous view recent erratic decline has indeed formed a temporary low at Monday's 1-month trough at 1.0952 and consolidation with upside bias remains for further gain to 1.1120/30.
However, near term overbought condition would cap price well below res at 1.1165.

Expect 1.1030 (previous res, now sup) to hold for this move and only a daily close below there may risk stronger pullback but reckon 1.0978 would remain intact and yield another rise.

After FOMC Gold is quite bullish
HK Kwun 01:52 GMT 07/28/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1337 Target: Stop: 1327

buy now

Yen and gold
nw kw 01:36 GMT 07/28/2016
aud stats bad

Yen and gold
nw kw 00:54 GMT 07/28/2016
aud stats charts 2 way loaded?

Yen and gold
hk ab 00:05 GMT 07/28/2016
gbp/jpy
Singapore SGFXTrader 17:23 GMT 07/27/2016
ab, did fs recommend a GBPJPY short too?

fs, are u here? care to give some commend on this pair?

hk ab 16:47 GMT 07/27/2016
138.72.
----------------------------------------------------------------
The day is still early. Not a worry at all. In fact, every pair has its turn. Yen will surprise soon

Thursday Trade
Livingston nh 23:31 GMT 07/27/2016
JP =
"Near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished. "

So the FOMC saw and noted - Markets jumped on this but quickly reversed (algo read?) once it became clear that the same old lines were being repeated -- action and reaction on Fed WORDs

Thursday Trade
Mtl JP 22:54 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
john exactly from what specifics do you observe that the gang "took a modestly more hawkish tone" ? tia

Thursday Trade
Mtl JP 22:24 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
Yellen is proving to be a blabbing peddler:
- all talk. no action
-- lots to say. nothing to show.
--- lots of promises. no proofs.

Her words betray what she wants to be. Her actions prove who she is.

Thursday Trade
Livingston nh 21:37 GMT 07/27/2016
we have two indicators that the Fed's "see you in September" mission has failed -- US treasurys and EM currency moves into NY close

The JPY can only be weakened by expectations of higher US rates and that certainly did not happen today; the Japanese fiscal and monetary moves, if any, will be just more of the same - they don't understand the problem is their savers (20 yrs of this and maybe 20 more) and NIRP or new bridges or a weaker yen will not make them consumers -- money flowing into Japan from outside to buy yen while the local folks are sending money out to find a positive return (but w/ a currency risk)

Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john 21:03 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
10-yr falls to 1.501% -15 bp vs. today's close. Fueling rising EURUSD.

Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john 20:34 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile

Blue line (inverted) indicates the odds of a Fed rate hike by year end.

Market Sentiment Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are:
+56% from +59% late Tuesday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.1055
20-day avg: 1.1059
Pivot Point: 1.1025

Markets are wanting to close the gap.

Thursday Trade
GVI Trading Room john 20:17 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The Federal Reserve policy decision saw no surprises with rates held steady. The central bank remained cautious but took a modestly more hawkish tone. They did not signal a September rate hike, but kept that meeting potentially in play. The Fed said that policy is data dependent and that future rate hikes will only be gradual.

  • Fed Funds futures are lousy forecasts of future Fed policy but are an accurate barometer of current market sentiment. Post-Fed market odds on one Fed rate hike by year end are unchanged from beforehand at 59%.

  • The Bank of Japan meets Friday. BOJ Governor Kuroda has indicated the central bank would be supportive of a fiscal stimulus program. We expect a BOJ commitment to additional monetary stimulus.

  • PM Abe is now expected to announce a fiscal stimulus of around JPY 28 tln on Tuesday, August 2. Its exact size is uncertain and probably still being negotiated.

  • The Democratic Party Convention runs through Thursday. Last night, Hillary Clinton was nominated as the party candidate for President in the fall.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com



BREAKING NEWS:
Livingston nh 20:07 GMT 07/27/2016
Fed Says Risks Have Diminished as It Leaves Rate Unchanged - BBRG // this one is for the Rubes to be sure that September is LIVE (or at least fifty/fifty LIVE)

Fed Leaves Door Open to Move as Soon as September - WSJ // this one is for the RUBES who might have missed the fact that Sept is LIVE (see above)

Fed leaves rates unchanged in July meeting - CNBC // a headline that could have been written any time in the last month

Fed rate hike dithering signals still struggling economy - CNBC // balance to the SOOPRIZE headline above
__________
Talk is still cheap

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
GVI Trading Room john 20:00 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
10-yr closing at 1.508%.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
GVI Trading Room john 19:58 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
weak close in stox.


CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:34 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database


Amazing Trader
GVI Trading Room john 19:29 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile
EURUSD HOD 1.1065

Amazing Trader
GVI Trading Room john 19:28 GMT 07/27/2016  - My Profile


Jay cited EURUSD 1.1059/62 as the target for stops in the Amazing Traders presentation this morning.

You are crazy if you don't check it out....

email: jay@global-view.com

BREAKING NEWS:
dc CB 19:21 GMT 07/27/2016


Next to move

SToX
tokyo joyya 19:17 GMT 07/27/2016
tokyo joyya 16:11 GMT 07/27/2016
dc CB 16:05 GMT 07/27/2016


every thing as expected rall into aug......


C B san i think stox still rally dow 19000/20000 range next month....

hk ab 16:01 GMT 07/27/2016

AB san i am long gbpjpy yesterday avg 136.75 lets see.....

long usdjpy cable eurusd gbpaud gbpcad short usdcad......

good night......................


happy trade,

BREAKING NEWS:
dc CB 19:04 GMT 07/27/2016
J Yellen Scorecard:

Dolla DOWN - check
Yields on Treas DOWN - CHECK
SToX - no longer Falling Up a Bit - CHECK

ReAppointment - Postive - CHECK

The Plebes Savings - WTF Cares - CHECK


Next Page





Amazing Trader is a unique approach developed by Jay Meisler to trading that utilizes proprietary technology to deliver global-view's exclusive trading levels directly to your platform in real-time.

The goal is to take your trading performance to a higher level.

Amazing Trader




WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The Federal Reserve policy decision saw no surprises yesterday with rates held steady. The central bank remained cautious but, as expected, took a modestly more hawkish tone, noting the recent improvement in labor markets and other data. Nevertheless, they did not signal a September rate hike. The Fed continues to say that policy is data dependent and that future rate hikes will only be gradual.

  • The EURUSD initially fell on the slightly more hawkish poilicy statement, but then the USD fell (EURUSD rose) when dollar demand did not follow through. Markets had already been set up for the Fed statement that was released and position-squaring saw the USD fall with the EURUSD taking out several upside key stop-loss levels.

  • The Bank of Japan meets Friday. BOJ Governor Kuroda has indicated the central bank would be supportive of a government fiscal stimulus program. We expect a BOJ commitment to additional monetary stimulus. PM Abe is now expected to announce a fiscal stimulus of around JPY 28 tln next Tuesday, August 2. Its exact size is to be determined and probably is still being finalized.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

Latest News On U.S. Presidentia Election -- Realclearpolitics.com

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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