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Mtl JP 17:39 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
example of how gov't meddling tries to solve a crisis of no confidence
Belarus closes currency exchanges to shield against crisis - RT

GVI Forex Blog 16:13 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions

GVI Forex Data Outlook for December 23, 2014

GVI Forex john 16:10 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

December 22, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, December 23, 2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, GB- GDP, US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, 2 & 5-yr Auctions
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: Ca- GDP US- GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Durable Goods, University of Michigan Survey, New Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, 2 & 5-yr Auctions, Weekly Energy

Gold 1188.00
Amman wfakhoury 16:00 GMT 12/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 21:20 GMT December 18, 2014
1188 confirmed will be reached .
sell -add sell at 1210 .
return 1199.00 any rise above it will return to it.
we need the close of 1 hr bar below 1199.00 if price rise

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

1188 reached

dc CB 15:51 GMT 12/22/2014
Joseph A. LaVorgna @Lavorgnanomics
Nov existing home sales fell 6.1% to 4.93M-the lowest level since last May (4.91M). Lack of supply continues to weigh on the #housing market
10:16 AM - 22 Dec 2014
Pure BS.

within a mile of my house there are 5 "existing homes" that have been Empty or ForRent over 2 years. With in a 5 mile radius there are 20 "existing homes" that have For Sale signs hanging since the start of 2014. These are suburbans on 1/2 acre plots.

EURUSD 12210 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 15:29 GMT 12/22/2014
EURUSD has 12210 confirmed level from friday. will be reached
return 12250 any rise will return to it..

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Existing Homes Sales most significant housing statistic. Weaker than expected.

U.S. Data Charts

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Consumer Confidence preliminary November 2014

-10.8 vs. -11.0 vs. -11.1 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) November 2014
U.S. Data Charts

4.930. vs. 5.150 exp. vs. 5.260 (r 5.25) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

sell euro
london red 14:47 GMT 12/22/2014
This weeks high may be 12350/60, a level of strong support so logical they test but likely fail then 12040/90

Oil - another manipulated market
Paris ib 14:23 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
"If... dominant producers can support prices at a high level with other people's money then they will. This behavior has applied... above all in a 10-year-long multi-billion-dollar copper market manipulation by Japan's Sumitomo.... But all of these pale into insignificance by comparison with the manipulation of the crude oil market of the past decade."


sell euro
Jay Meisler 14:08 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
You can also say upside will be limited unless 1.2302 is broken.

sell euro
jkt abel 14:02 GMT 12/22/2014
i think 1.23 should be tested

sell euro
manila tom 13:42 GMT 12/22/2014
sold 1.2258 also, stop above today's high, target 1.2093

sell euro
perth wtr 13:40 GMT 12/22/2014
sold 1.2258, stop 1.2285, target 1.2070

Paris ib 13:23 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
EUR/RUB is down nearly 10 percent on Friday's close (more than that on Friday's high). The spread is not much concern in that type of market. The Chinese are buyers of Rouble and starting to hear of hedge fund buying. Yes it's a manipulated market but the attack dogs don't actually have Roubles to sell so they are sitting short or will be forced to close.

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

As I posted earlier on GVI Forex (current rate is back near the 1.2149 pivot, so far holding above it)

See why 1.2302 is important -- one hour trendlnes tested

Intra day high 1.2272, R1 1.2279

Mtl JP 12:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
the "fwiw seeing USDRUB 55.08 -450 "
the fwiw = approximately 0
given the spread and govvy meddling : who is trading it ?
better trades elsewhere (like usdyen for example)

GVI Forex john 12:06 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
fwiw seeing USDRUB 55.08 -450

Paris ib 12:02 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Now down 6.5%

Mtl JP 11:51 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
Belarus blocks online sites and closes shops to stem currency panic - guardian

.."The Belarussian currency was dragged down by the slide of the Russian ruble last week, leading authorities to impose draconian measures, forbid price increases even for imported goods, and warn people against panic ... With foreign currency swiftly depleted in exchange offices, Belarussians even launched a black market website,, where individuals can buy and sell dollars and euros.

While the central bank’s exchange rate on Sunday was 10,900 rubles to the dollar, rates on the website were up to 17,000"...

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GVI Forex john 11:49 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
R1 1.2279 (intact, but an obvious target)
Pivot 1.2249 (where we trade relative to the Pivot sets tone)
S1 1.2197 (intact 1.2220 session LOD)

SUBJECTIVELY, based on the latest COT data, even though the markets are SHORT EURUSD, they do not look over-extended to me.

Click on chart for EUR COT Details

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GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

USD and EUT Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon

stores in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

EURUSD big drop
Amman wfakhoury 10:49 GMT 12/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 06:32 GMT November 28, 2014
EURUSD big drop: Reply
EURUSD is ready for big drop 200-300 pips...change buy into sell.

Amman wfakhoury 17:49 GMT November 26, 2014
EURUSD 12540 confirmed: Reply
12540 confirmed will be reached , any decline will return to 12500.
for the 2 stupid in this forum

EURUSD big drop
manila tom 10:24 GMT 12/22/2014
Haifa ac, never argue with the one, he is always right

GVI Forex john 10:08 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

22 December-- 10:10 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets are in a  RISK ON posture early Monday in what will be generally a holiday-shortened week. This is a slow day on the data front,bu the U.S. calendar picks up on Tuesday and early Wednesday. 

  • In forex, the USD is trading mixed to weaker. The EUR is mostly higher on its key crosses  
  • The Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD and NZD) are narrowly weaker vs. the USD. Gold and oil prices are up.
  • In the Far East, equities closed higher. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield is 0.339%. -2.1 bp. Japanese Markets are closed Tuesday
  • Key European bourses are higher. The 10-yr bund yield is 0.595%, +0.1bp. The U.K. yield is 1.835%,  -1.3bp. European peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.S 10-yr note yield is 2.155%, -0.7bp Equities are higher.
The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

AceTrader Dec 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (GBP/USD)
Hong Kong AceTrader 09:46 GMT 12/22/2014

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
22 Dec 2014 09:31GMT

GBP/USD - ..... Although the British pound traded with a firm bias in Asia and gained briefly to session high at 1.5665 at European open, cable pared its gains and retreated sharply to 1.5618 in European morning, due partly to cross-selling of sterling especially vs euro.

Offers are now seen at 1.5650/60 and more above at 1.5670/80 with stops building up above there whilst initial bids are noted at 1.5590/00.
Since there is no eco. data out from UK today, price is expected to trade in choppy fashion till NY open.

Bank of England's Weale says hearing of pay freezes much more rarely from UK businesses.

This morning the British pound move narrowly in subdued Asian trading as some traders have closed their books in this holiday-abbreviated week. Despite Friday's rebound after intra-day retreat from 1.5682 to 1.5605 (NY low), anticipated renewed weakness in the eur/usd shud limit intra-day gain.
As no U.K. eco. data are due out today, cable is expected to track intra-day swings in the euro.
Order book was very thin on this Monday morning

EURUSD big drop
Haifa ac 08:41 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

"Unless 1 hr bar closed above 12415."
between 12/2/14 and today eur/usd reached 125.69 and then dropped to 122 area.
You funny guy.

EURUSD big drop
Amman wfakhoury 07:58 GMT 12/22/2014
Amman wfakhoury 15:21 GMT December 2, 2014
EURUSD big drop: Reply
Unless 1 hr bar closed above 12415.
200-300 pips drop is coming.

The only one in the world who confirms the next level
200 pips drop reached .

Paris ib 07:40 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
"Nor did the Kremlin team seem to fully grasp that Russia is far more vulnerable to sanctions now that it depends on foreign capital and is tied into global finance. For the last decade, an elite cell at the US Treasury has been sharpening the tools of economic war, crafting ways to bring countries to their knees without firing a shot.

The strategy relies on hegemonic control over the global banking system..... Iran has felt its grim effects. “It is a new kind of war..... unprecedented in its reach,” says Juan Zarate, who once led the team."

The Elite Time

Paris ib 07:29 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
"BEIJING, December 22. /TASS/. China believes Russia will be able to overcome the current economic problems, and is ready to offer whatever assistance if needed, China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi said in an interview with Hong Kong’s Fenghuang television channel on Sunday.

“We believe that Russia has opportunities and knowledge to overcome the current problems in the economy. The Chinese-Russian relations of strategic partnership are at a high level, we are always supporting and helping our friend. If the Russian side needs it, we shall offer all possible support we may have,” the foreign minister said."

China is calm

John Pilger

Paris ib 07:17 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
EUR/RUB is down in early trade (right now down 5% but fluctuations are wild) and the Rouble is still a screaming buy. Someone told the "West" to call off the attack dogs, which is why the speculators were shut down the other day. I still find it interesting why Hollande dropped in on Putin by surprise (seriously?) the other day. There is lots we're not being told but price action is price action.

The surprise visit

GVI Forex Blog 07:01 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 114.8 v 116.7 PRIOR; 3rd straight decline, 7-quarter low- (TW) TAIWAN NOV UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.9% V 3.9%E***Index Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)***- Nikk Asian Mid-session Update: South Korea cuts growth and inflation forecasts; OPEC leaders stand firm on output volume - Source

Mtl JP 06:20 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile

ACC 03:37 // COT and USDx seem to confirm one another
Bottom Line:
Softening of dlr bull sentiment

Sydney ACC 03:58 GMT 12/22/2014
Other poisitive signs:

1. All Ords is up 80 points at 3:00pm. This follows Friday's triple point gain.

2. The small iron ore miners have recorded significant gains today. Arrium is 23%. The short sellers may be looking to lock in their profits. Its been downhill all the way for Arrium it was $1.80 at the beginning of the year.

Sydney ACC 03:37 GMT 12/22/2014
Interesting (if not humorous) article from Michael Pascoe in today's SMH. He poses the trivial question to pose over Christmas lunch: what do Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden and Switzerland have in common?

The answer is they all currently have negative yields on their two year bonds.

Australian bonds by comparison yield 2.32%.

That poses the question whether AUD may be ready to bottom out or at least lessen the decline versus the USD. With AUD/USD at 0.8150 a 2.5% decline would take us to 0.7950. Not that far away from Stevens' preferred level of 0.7500.

Read more:

AceTrader Dec 22: Intra-Day News and Views (EUR/USD) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:33 GMT 12/22/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
22 Dec 2014 02:20GMT

EUR/USD - ........ The single currency remained under pressure in Asian morning today after last Friday's breach of 1.2247 (Dec 08 low) to 1.2220 due to the dovish comments from European Central Bank Vice President Vitor Constancio who said in a magazine interview he expected the euro zone inflation rate to turn negative in the coming months but that if this was just a temporary phenomenon, he did not see a risk of deflation.

Offers are now tipped at 1.2245-50 and more at 1.2270 whilst bids are located at 1.2220 with mixture of bids and stops seen at 1.2200.

On Sunday, Greek PM Antonis Samaras urged lawmakers to elect a new president and offered the prospect of general elections by the end of next year once negotiations with international creditors are complete.
Speaking in an unscheduled television address on Sunday, he said Greece had a duty to finish negotiations with the European Union and the IMF.
The unexpected announcement comes 2 days ahead of the 2nd round of voting in parliament to elect a new president n follows a disappointing result for the goverment't in the 1st round last week when it won less support than expected.

If parliament does not elect a president by the 3rd and final round of voting on Dec. 29, a snap general election would have to be held by early Feb., putting talks on ending Greece's international bailout programme at risk.

This week will see the release of:

New Zealand's Westpac consumer survey, Japan's BoJ Monthly Economic Survey, Germany's Import Price Index, Italy's Trade Balance, Eurozone's U.S.'s Existing Home Sales on Monday.

New Zealand's Trade Balance, Exports and Imports, China's CB Leading Economic Index, France's GDP, Producer Prices, Italy's Retail Sales, U.K.'s BBA Mortgage Approvals, Current Account, GDP, U.S.'s GDP, Personal Consumption, Redbook, Housing Price Index, Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment, New Home Sales, Personal Income, Personal Spending on Tuesday.

Australia's CB Leading Indicator, Switzerland's KOF Leading Indicator; U.S. Initial Jobless Claims on Wednesday.

Japan's BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes. New Zealand, Australia, China, Eurozone countries and North America are on Christmas Holiday on Thursday.

New Zealand, Australia, Italy, Germany, Canada are on Boxing day holiday on Friday.

Correlation Trades - December 21, 2014
Mtl JP 01:56 GMT 12/22/2014  - My Profile
jkt abel 13:46 / Always... always know where the exits are at what is the price to reach and go thru them. Be it in personal life contracts, business contracts or trade bets.

When it comes to market risk always be aware what kind of risk can not be "hedged". In other words what kind of risk will see no takers on the other side of the trade. Forget computers and their algos. Algos have built-in limits. Find that limit, push on it and find out when the algos stop trading. You will have found the PMI (Point of Market Instability) and NLAP - No Liquidity at Any Price.

That is what happened to Ben in 2008. It is happening to Vlad. Qtn is who is next to be tagged in the globalized world's round robin of unsound money and even more unsound credit.

Lets think about how to
1) be prepared to mitigate any such potential conflagration and
2) how prepare to profit it.

I think the 2015 "Those who are still here to see" game is likely to intensify.

Australian Retail Sales - Forewarning
gc sf 00:45 GMT 12/22/2014
I'm surprised Katmandu sells much @XMAS given how warm it is here at that time .. their clothes are winter or hiking type stuff (pretty sure)

Only Feature of trading here in Asia is Nikkei -100 and so $yen is stuck to lower.

Not sure how many people will be trading the next couple of weeks but I'm leaving a few strategies on - just to see how it does perform.

That one article about that Guy in the UK - is pretty disturbing .. and another reason I suppose FX will always be niche and not mainstream.

Australian Retail Sales - Forewarning
Sydney ACC 22:27 GMT 12/21/2014
Kathmandu is the latest retailer to issue a profit warning due to lacklustre performance in the Australian domestic market.

Same store sales in NZ and UK are up on the same period last year, however, Australian sales in the last five weeks are markedly down on last year's figures.

Correlation Trades - December 21, 2014
nw kw 22:21 GMT 12/21/2014
buy usd theme but swiss cot moved to soft usd why?

GVI Forex john 22:18 GMT 12/21/2014  - My Profile

December 18, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, December 22, 2014. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Consumer Confidence, Existing Homes Sales
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- Consumer Confidence
  • North America: Existing Homes Sales

Tallinn viies 21:12 GMT 12/21/2014
eurusd downside target this week 1,2090.

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT 12/21/2014  - My Profile
North Korea Claims Launch of ‘Counteraction’ Against U.S. - wsj

SEOUL—North Korea said it was launching a “counteraction” against the U.S. that was “thousands of times greater” than the recent cyberattack on Sony Pictures that has roiled the U.S. government and entertainment industry. .../..

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GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT 12/21/2014  - My Profile

Equity, Oil (wti) and Gold Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

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GVI Forex john 14:49 GMT 12/21/2014  - My Profile

USD & EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon

stores in browser tab.

Correlation Trades - December 21, 2014
jkt abel 13:46 GMT 12/21/2014
JP, AL has been preaching buy usd theme

Mtl JP 13:02 GMT 12/21/2014  - My Profile
Trader goes missing after £130m of clients' cash disappears telegraph
Police are investigating an alleged fraud over claims almost $200m has vanished from an investment company run by a 59-year-old Yorkshireman

A currency trader has vanished along with £130 million in investors’ cash in an alleged fraud that could be one of the biggest in recent British history.

Next Page

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