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24/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 108.5 pre: 108.3
24/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Current con: 114.9 pre: 114.7
24/08/16 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 102.5 pre: 102.2
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Philippines a drug consumption based economy is contracting .
HK RF@ 02:09 GMT 08/24/2016


Philippine president's brutal war on drugs claims 36 lives a day with 300 cops suspected to be dealers
................................................................................................
More than 1,900 people, or about 36 per day, have been killed in a violent campaign against drugs in the Philippines since President Rodrigo Duterte came to office seven weeks ago, the country's national police chief said on Tuesday(not too much, not too bad)
................................................................................................

A bizarre memorandum also urged officers not to scratch body parts(don't monkey thyself), take selfies, play online games, smoke or chew gum while on shift, the Philippine Star reports.
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
10M users cut of supply.
Some are passing to inhaling BUTANE, which is responsible for 52% liquid drugs deaths in the UK.

LINK


Thailand and all Far-E. in the toilet. Another one.
HK RF@ 01:51 GMT 08/24/2016

Bomb blasts kill one, wound 30 in southern Thailand: police

GO HOME you foreigners prostitutes chasers and pedophiles!!!

LINK


Very goos US business!
HK RF@ 01:49 GMT 08/24/2016

U.S. business borrowing for equipment falls 17 percent in July - ELFA

LINK


Wednesday Trading
dc CB 01:47 GMT 08/24/2016
actually the FB page gives the FED a way to track those who don't LIKE the FED. You have to be "on" FB to cmmt.

FB knows who you are and where you live.


Wednesday Trading
Mtl JP 01:14 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
DC the FED gang writes it off to being democratic and inclusive.
the fcbk page serves as a vent for the plebs similarly as Letters to the Editor: no real effect. plebs vent but do not bend to pickup forks for a run on the castle.

Wednesday Trading
dc CB 01:03 GMT 08/24/2016
JP

Overnight, even American Banker chimed in, reported that "when the Federal Reserve Board finally launched its own Facebook page last week, the response was as swift as it was predictable. The page was quickly overrun by critics, who angrily denounced the central bank as a tool of Wall Street and accused it of working against the American public. "The Federal Reserve is the root of all problems in the United States," Luke Peets, a libertarian, wrote in a response that earned nearly 500 likes on its own and was typical of the commentary on the page."

Ironically, while the Fed racked up "likes" for the page, topping 11,000 by Monday afternoon leading many to wonder just which Bangladeshi clickfarm Janet was printing money for to burnish the Fed's image, the comments it received were universally negative

How The Fed's Facebook PR Campaign Went Terribly Wrong


Wednesday Trading
Mtl JP 00:54 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
usdcad 1.29215
100 day 1.2926
I suspect Iranian friends will crude come off some which will help usdcad vault the 100ma.
Robot is ready.

Wednesday Trading
Mtl JP 00:48 GMT 08/24/2016  - My Profile
nh how - besides via priceaction - do you suggest "the FX traders should indicate" it ?

BREAKING NEWS:
Livingston nh 21:34 GMT 08/23/2016
Its a supply problem -- READ the FKin memo

WHY is this a BIG deal?

BREAKING NEWS:
Livingston nh 21:30 GMT 08/23/2016
assume this fig is even close -- these MOPES about an OPEC/producer Agreement should just kill themselves

BREAKING NEWS:
GVI Trading Room john bland 21:27 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly +4.500 mn vs. -0.800 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Wednesday Trading
Livingston nh 21:11 GMT 08/23/2016
We keep hearing about polls BUT it seems FX don't take the Fed as seriously as Treasury types -- SO maybe the FX traders should indicate whether they believe the Fed will EVER hike

Wednesday Trading
Livingston nh 20:58 GMT 08/23/2016
Carney is the KEY to Cable - the guy is one of the True Believers - the economy can survive Brexit easily but the currency can't survive silly walks by BoE

Wednesday Trading
GVI Trading Room john bland 19:52 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
24-Aug WED
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • The market started the week initially marking EURUSD lower in anticipation of the Yellen speech Friday, where many expect her to take a more hawkish tone. Fed Chair Yellen speaks Friday morning at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. I expect her to send a hopeful message that the economy is strong enough now to withstand a modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy.

  • Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley recently laid the groundwork for a December rate hike signal. Politically, I feel Yellen would like to avoid making a rate hike this close to a national election. Waiting until December would be easy.

  • Mixed flash PMI releases from Europe and the U.S. today were disappointing. The Japanese flash PMI improved. On the other hand, new homes sales data were better.

  • Markets have been starting to reconsider the pervasively negative GBP outlook as some are now saying that the UK economy could flourish once it is out from under the thumb of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp decline of the GBP since Brexit is expected already to have been a significant economic stimulus. According to the latest COT report, the market is already heavily short the GBP. This is not a contra trade you will want to get into its too early. Its one to jump on once the momentum has turned.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com




STOX
Livingston nh 19:46 GMT 08/23/2016
Book Talk warning - SPX 2172 tomorrow OPEN

CABLE
Livingston nh 19:42 GMT 08/23/2016
Book talk warning - sell this // short covering looks done

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex Blog 19:34 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile



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STOX
Livingston nh 19:24 GMT 08/23/2016
SPX 2184 is the bottom of the GAP

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 19:20 GMT 08/23/2016
JP - we're running across lines // G'span didn't know what a democrat would do so he cut President Clinton, the First of his Name, a lot of TIME before the first hike / earlier W. M. MARTIN worried about the Fed's existence if LBJ was further offended

There is no such thing as an independent Federal agency

Post Jackson Hole
dc CB 19:20 GMT 08/23/2016
Next week...Sun to Wed.
Fiona
99L
Gaston
east coast, Gulf?
Will get to the forefront of the NUZ cycle this weekend.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 19:13 GMT 08/23/2016
JP - there is no yield - the GOAL of the FED is 2% inflation - assume they succeed - what do you have?

Assumptions that the market KNOWS anything is absurd - Price is the Price // good or bad -- only if your horse wins

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Mtl JP 19:12 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
nh can u clarify "there is no way the FED takes on a non-conformist President": takes on... as in battles?

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Mtl JP 19:08 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
that somebody would have to be the bondmarket going by size ?
somebody is still buying 30-yr paper. for its yield.

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 18:55 GMT 08/23/2016
JP - a clarification - she has always talked the talk - and the idiot market has responded to words - until they call her out she is the schoolyard bully who talks "next time I'll KYOA" until somebody says NOW

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 18:41 GMT 08/23/2016
JP - she can't let the plebes get offsides

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 18:40 GMT 08/23/2016
And for wonks the BIG idea is a real old idea - the neutral(natural) Real interest rate (see Wicksell) -------- this is the monetary/financial equivalent of Economic "potential GDP"

Expect to see a lot of this "abominable snowman" (aka YETI) talk

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Mtl JP 18:37 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
nh Janet will "at least swing in that hawk direction" , given her ultra conservative chicken character seems a bit rich

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Livingston nh 18:21 GMT 08/23/2016
In the context of the JH topic Yellen needs to talk about "normalization" - she can't let the market stray so if Dudley and Fischer are spouting hawks then she will at least swing in that direction // all of this talk is BS but go along

If you want to find out who's really Ballsy see if the market ignores a Yellen hawkish speech -- that sets the table for a PUT UP or SHUT UP meeting (as an aside those folks "betting" on a december hike might want to consider a TRUMP TRIUMPH - there is no way the FED takes on a non-conformist President)

Treasurys will stay screwed up until (or forever) the Fed releases its stash into the market

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Mtl JP 17:56 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
sep and dec probabilities of Janet rate hike according to

CME FedWatch Tool


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Mtl JP 17:45 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
CB 17:22 / thks. what does it say about Dudley, Stanley and Co who have prepared a very low bar for Janet ?

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
dc CB 17:22 GMT 08/23/2016
If today's 2 Year auction was supposed to telegraph what the bond market thinks of Janet Yellen's Jackson Hole statement, then the message is clear: there won't even be a sliver of hawkishness, because while the When Issued market was expecting the note to price at 0.771%, it stopped through the When Issued by 1.1bps, printing at 0.76%, which incidentally is where the July 2 Year auction priced as well, only that particular auction tailed by 1.2 bps.

The internals were strong, with the Bid to Cover jumping from last month's multi year low of 2.52 to a far more stable 2.831, the second highest since February. Dealers took down 29%, the lowest since July 2014, offset by an unexpcted surge in Direct bids which were allotted 25.2% of the final paper, up solidly from last month's 10.3%. This meant Indirects were left holding 45.8% of the paper.

And while foreign central banks were somewhat leery to bid today, the key message from this auction is that 3 days ahead of Janet Yellen's speech on Friday, the bond market is convinced: there won't even be a trace of hawkishness when the Fed Chair speaks on Friday.

Bond Market Gives Its Verdict On Yellen's Jackson Hole Speech With Stellar 2 Year Auction


BREAKING NEWS:
HK RF@ 17:03 GMT 08/23/2016

The more violations she has, the more mental, or nerve problem she has, she could be easier controlled by those who own America.

Anyway seems that her mental state is a showcase of half of America.
Trumps sums it up for the other half.

So most of the US are ....


..
JEddah Abb 16:27 GMT 08/23/2016
Pressure is high over the above gbpjpy..


BREAKING NEWS:
Mtl JP 16:17 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
first time opening of a jar of pickles is usually no easy feat
was it defective ?

BREAKING NEWS:
dc CB 16:15 GMT 08/23/2016
Another reason why we are doomed.

won't release health records, but will go on a late nite talk show.

no this is not the Onion

Hillary Clinton Laughs Off Health Rumors by Opening a Jar of Pickles on Jimmy Kimmel


BREAKING NEWS:
dc CB 16:11 GMT 08/23/2016
Unemcumbered by the thought process

Algos gone Wild


BREAKING NEWS:
Mtl JP 16:11 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
dc CB bloomberg is a bit late on the "news" trigger
Abadi is spouting some cooling words already

EURUSD
PAR 16:10 GMT 08/23/2016
Long EURUSD and adding on any dip . 1.1500 after Yellen s speech .

SARKOZY
PAR 16:07 GMT 08/23/2016
Another looser who is going to rescue Europe .

BREAKING NEWS:
dc CB 16:05 GMT 08/23/2016
More BULL Sheeet ALGO BAIT....works everytime.

Bloomberg: "Iran to Shun Oil Freeze While Neighbors Boost Output"

IRAN SAID TO SEND SIGNALS MAY SUPPORT JOINT ACTION ON OIL:RTRS.

Iran 'Reportedly' "May Support Actions To Prop Up Oil Market"

IRAN SENDING POSITIVE SIGNALS THAT IT MAY SUPPORT JOINT ACTION TO PROP UP OIL MARKET - SOURCES IN OPEC, OIL INDUSTRY

Monday Trading
PAR 16:05 GMT 08/23/2016
Hank Paulson sold all his shares in GS just before the whole market collapsed . Lucky timing ? He probably advised the Clintons to do the same .

EURUSD
Mtl JP 16:05 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
PAR 15:59 why not try to co-op the ECB into making mountains of posi-pips instead ? European citizens will take care of themselves, u ll see.

BREAKING NEWS:
Mtl JP 16:02 GMT 08/23/2016  - My Profile
Iran may..
half hour later ... it may not
good yanking of the goat ?

would long usdcad on break N of 100ma

NO FREEZE BEFORE PRE-SANCTION LEVELS ACHIEVED - IRAN


EURUSD
PAR 15:59 GMT 08/23/2016
Who can stop the ECB madness ? The ECB is responsible to nobody , creates and changes its own rules and that is becoming a huge problem for European citizens .

The ECB has become the Central Plan Bureau creating its own oligarchs by leaking inside info and buying at crazy prices without any audit .

Monday Trading
dc CB 15:57 GMT 08/23/2016
hey IB
I also said Siun nite that crude was a short

Monday Trading
dc CB 15:56 GMT 08/23/2016
hey IB
ZH said that early in the weekend.
If you had shorted crude on the open Sunday nite at 49 ....it fell to 46.60 this morning.


Monday Trading
PAR 15:25 GMT 08/23/2016
Never follow GS. Crude is a screaming buy.


Next Page





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WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
24-Aug WED
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
25-Aug THU
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
26-Aug FRI
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- University of Michigan
14:00 US- Yellen at Jackson Hole


Trading Themes --
  • The market started the week initially marking EUREUSD lower in anticipation of the Yellen speech Friday, where many expect her to take a more hawkish tone. Fed Chair Yellen speaks Friday morning at the Kansas City Fed symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. I expect her to send a hopeful message that the economy is strong enough now to withstand a modest step towards a normalization of monetary policy.

  • Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley recently laid the groundwork for a December rate hike signal. Politically, I feel Yellen would like to avoid making a rate hike this close to a national election. Waiting until December would be easy.

  • Mixed flash PMI releases from Europe and the U.S. today were disappointing. The Japanese flash PMI improved. On the other hand, new homes sales data were better.

  • Markets have been starting to reconsider the pervasively negative GBP outlook as some are now saying that the UK economy could flourish once it is out from under the thumb of Brussels. Furthermore, the sharp decline of the GBP since Brexit is expected already to have been a significant economic stimulus. According to the latest COT report, the market is already heavily short the GBP. This is not a contra trade you will want to get into its too early. Its one to jump on once the momentum has turned.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk On

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