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Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
london red 07:44 GMT 05/24/2018
that said if euro is going to be supported today it will be tough for cable to move lower and stay lower. eurgbp would be a good fade around 8800-05. only abv 8840 does the picture change.

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
london red 07:38 GMT 05/24/2018
uk retail sales. brc april sales where down 4.2% y/y, the lowest since 2005. while not always perfectly correlated, the risks are to the downside particularly given the earlier easter this year.

TARIFF s
PAR 07:34 GMT 05/24/2018
Stock markets rally as Trump wants to introduce new tariff's .

Tariff's are good as US companies make more money .

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
london red 07:25 GMT 05/24/2018
euro moving abv hourly kijun can extend to 11750 on an hourly close abv. thinning hourly cloud whose base is by 11773 may well be as far as it gets. a further extension to 11790-11831 poss if cloud base breached. only abv 11831 can you look to 200dma. while below 200dma u shud still be fading rallies imo.

Turkish Lira
bali sja 07:07 GMT 05/24/2018
it is also more about political reason, some want Erdogan to be toppled out, but that's another forum to talk about

Turkish Lira
Sydney ACC 07:06 GMT 05/24/2018
And probably more important if there is a meltdown, it is adjacent to the EU.

Turkish Lira
Belgrade Knez 06:59 GMT 05/24/2018
london red

thank you.

Turkish Lira
london red 06:56 GMT 05/24/2018
The lira is in the EM sphere which is pressurised by rising US rates/usd (one eg is a lot of bonds issued in usd which become more expennsive to pay). Eventually collapsing EM assets hit DM stocks and commodities. There comes a point of no return. We are close but not there yet, hence eyes on Turkey to do whats need, raise rates and make changes to their economy.

Turkish Lira
Belgrade Knez 06:45 GMT 05/24/2018
why is Turkish Lira so important that everyone talks about it?

does it effect major currency movement, or simply interested to those that trading Turkish Lira?

RISK ON
PAR 06:45 GMT 05/24/2018
Risk on as the great US cheerleader will appear on Fox & Friends.

Turkish Lira
Sydney ACC 06:41 GMT 05/24/2018
Down 3% in the last two hours since Europe kicked in.

Import Tax on European Cars
PAR 06:34 GMT 05/24/2018
US president wants 25% import tax on European cars.

America first .

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Texas City 06:18 GMT 05/24/2018  - My Profile
The US Dollar, though concluded Wednesday's session cautiously far and wide afield along, pulled serve some of its gains as the FOMC meeting minutes crossed the wires. Heading into the official pardon of the document, the markets were already widely anticipating a rate hike at the Feds moreover-door-door monetary policy flyer in June. In fact, this months merged rate decision prepped the markets for it as the central bank upgraded its views in this area inflation.
This in incline made officials expectations on prices arguably the most important aspect of the declaration as the markets gauge the likelihood of new tightening thereafter. On this front, policymakers noted that it was premature to conclude that inflation would remain at levels in the region of 2 percent. In append, members noted that a modest inflation overshoot could be obliging.
The US giving out goodwill yields from all ends of the maturity date spectrum declined to signal ebbing hawkish Fed rate hike expectations. Stocks concerning the calculation hand climbed bearing in mind the S&P 500 closing not quite 0.32% progressive. It seems that the comments indicated that Federal Reserve officials are perhaps in no hurry to tighten more speedily. But do save in mind that in the US, well along rates are still utterly much likely concerning the enlargement this year.

It is furthermore important to note that the Fed is back to monitoring the current global trading atmosphere. The minutes showed that in regards to trade policies, a number of participants viewed the range of attainable outcomes for economic ruckus and inflation to be particularly broad. They noted that uncertainty surrounding trade issues could wet issue sentiment and spending.
Speaking of that, as the markets transitioned into Thursday's session, US President Donald Trump was behind weighing Section 232 to believe to be tariffs of occurring to 25% in this area auto imports. The justification for it was via national security grounds.

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 04:32 GMT 05/24/2018
yo kids ... note that :

@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Will be interviewed on @foxandfriends tomorrow morning at 6:00 A.M. Enjoy!

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
ithaca sjm 03:33 GMT 05/24/2018
Lots of numbers...…

don't have a Phd in quantum physics, but short usd against Yen, gbp & eur within last hour, 1 month timeframe. 5 % s/l.no interest in loonie until >1.3150 or below 1.25. $ is done.

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
bali sja 03:31 GMT 05/24/2018
i share your sentiment nh re. usd
ultimately rates are the determining factor, everybody is looking after yield which is a rare thing lately
for buy and hold play and less stress usd is the choice, of course intraday and short term noises at overbought levels can produce some two way action but ultimately usd is still going strong on longer time frame
still looking for DX 100

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
STG AndersenBands 02:54 GMT 05/24/2018


Daily list of top 5 and bottom 5 short-term and long-term momentum rankings out of 28 primary currency pairs and crosses:

Top 5 short-term momentum: $AUDNZD $USDCHF $USDJPY $USDCAD $AUDJPY

Bottom 5 short-term momentum: $GBPCAD $EURAUD $EURUSD $GBPAUD $GBPUSD

Top 5 long-term momentum: $USDCHF $USDJPY $CADCHF $AUDNZD $AUDCHF

Bottom 5 long-term momentum: $CHFJPY $AUDCAD $NZDUSD $EURUSD $GBPUSD

Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
STG AndersenBands 02:53 GMT 05/24/2018


Highlights going into Thursday, 24 May-

Volatility has increased substantially. All 8 of the major currencies exceeded 100% of the normalized typical range (see image).

Short-term momentum changes:

Positive - $USDCAD

Negative - $USDCAD

Long-term momentum changes:

Positive - none

Negative - $NZDCHF



The structure has turned negative for $AUDCHF $AUDJPY $USDJPY



The image with this post highlights the daily range as a percentage of the normalized typical range for the 8 major currencies. Values shaded in blue exceed 1 standard deviation above typical range. Values shaded in orange exceed 1 standard deviation below typical range. Values highlighted in yellow exceed 2 standard deviations above or below typical range. Bold black values are highest or lowest of at least 20 days. Underlined values are lower than prior day.


Make it a great day!

Extra Extra Read All About It.
Livingston nh 01:41 GMT 05/24/2018
NK has been the poster boy over the last 40 yrs for BAD negotiation - like extramarital affairs never negotiate DOWN -- WHAT has the US gained? What's the upside for US?

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Livingston nh 01:31 GMT 05/24/2018
jp - re:CAD - the intraday moves of the past two weeks has been frustrating (and costly for selling/buying around flat 21 dma) - I still believe rates conquer all so 1.31 is still first target

re: USD - the move since April is modest given the decline in 2017 - the earlier taper move was based on talk, now we have a tightening Fed - the wkly chart is still in a strong uptrend (the yen is still a weight but...) -- what can go wrong?

Extra Extra Read All About It.
Mtl JP 01:19 GMT 05/24/2018
no market reaction yet - not even from yen - so just for entertainment value for now:

(wsj) North Korea Threatens to Call Off Summit, Calls Pence a ‘Political Dummy

North Korea’s senior envoy for U.S. affairs renewed a threat to call off a planned summit with President Donald Trump and warned that Pyongyang could “make the U.S. taste an appalling tragedy it has neither experienced nor even imagined.”


AT Master Class
GVI Trader Jay Meisler 01:17 GMT 05/24/2018  - My Profile
We will be presenting our first AT Master Class designed to introduce you to our advanced trading techniques.

Contact us for details

Giuseppe Conte asked to form Italian government
GVI Trader 23:05 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile
ROME — Italian President Sergio Mattarella on Wednesday asked Giuseppe Conte to oversee the creation of a new government made up of two populist parties.

Conte, 53, said he wants to be “the defense lawyer of the Italian people” at home and abroad and is “fully aware of the challenges we face” as he prepares to become prime minister at the head of a governing coalition of the anti-establishment 5Star Movement and the far-right League.

Giuseppe Conte asked to form Italian government


Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 22:40 GMT 05/23/2018
NZD Trade Balance in 5mins

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
GVI Trader john 20:25 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile
10-yr 2.990% last. Key psychological level 3.00%...

Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
GVI Trader john 19:57 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.1676-1.1830
Wed: 1.1676-1.1789
Tue: 1.1757-1.1830
Mon: 1.1717-1.1779



Spot EURUSD: 1.1696
Pivot Point: 1.1789

20-day avg: 1.1907
50-day avg: 1.2151
100-day avg: 1.2223
200-day avg: 1.2024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 19:56 GMT 05/23/2018
3.005%
Yield High Today 3.07%
Yield Low Today 3.00%

US 10-YR (US10Y:U.S.)


Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 19:47 GMT 05/23/2018


kids ... it is my increasing perception that the USD rally is close to topping out if it has not done so already.
and odds of a correction r growing
plz mind your risk

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 19:26 GMT 05/23/2018
usdcad
nh 1.2830 = middle of range I keep pointing out
your move next

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 May 2018
GVI Forex Blog 19:12 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 23 May 2018


BREAKING NEWS
PAR 19:01 GMT 05/23/2018
FED more interested in a booming stock market than in fighting inflation .

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 18:54 GMT 05/23/2018
Fed promises for one year out but confidence exceeds competence - "this time is different" (yield curve) - Dudley's next meeting is his last, replaced by R* Guru Williams


"accommodative", "gradual" and lower for longer -- snowflakes that may not survive the Summer

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
PAR 18:49 GMT 05/23/2018
Painful

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
dc CB 18:47 GMT 05/23/2018
Fed mins offer nothing to the large number of shorts in Treas futures who must roll out of June contracts and into Septs.


Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 18:37 GMT 05/23/2018


so post-minutes players will have some time to justify-trade on u.s. fiscal structurals / interspersed with reactions to President Trump's bellicose outburst antics.
-
USDCAD still in old 1.2730 - 1.2930 range as no breakout yet
May 30th: BoC rates
June 12-13 FOMC

odds are puppy oscillates until it does

EURUSD
london red 18:34 GMT 05/23/2018
mix of offers and stops by 11710, big lt fib. daily close below bearish.

VIX
PAR 18:34 GMT 05/23/2018
Algos dumping VIX .

EURUSD
london red 18:32 GMT 05/23/2018
mkt fighting ending trend in st term at least. the 10 now approaching 3%. stops below.

EURUSD
PAR 18:28 GMT 05/23/2018
Long EURUS 1.1690 . Stop 1.1645 . Target open .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI 18:21 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile
FOMC MINUTES FROM MAY 2ND MEETING: FEDERAL FUNDS RATE COULD REACH NEUTRAL LEVEL 'BEFORE TOO LONG' IF RATE HIKES CONTINUED; OFFICIALS SAW TRADE AND FISCAL POLICIES AS SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY
- Modest inflation overshoot 'could be helpful'- See above trend GDP growth through 2020- It's important to monitor the yield curve slope
- Officials saw trajectory of fiscal policy difficult to forecast
- Participants generally viewed the risks to the economic outlook to be roughly balanced.
- Most participants judged that if incoming information broadly confirmed their current economic outlook, it would likely soon be appropriate for the Committee to take another step in removing policy accommodation

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 18:16 GMT 05/23/2018
18:15 kashkari yakking

Algos Fed
PAR 18:13 GMT 05/23/2018
Algos go on buying bonanza after Fed minutes.

BTFD .

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 18:13 GMT 05/23/2018  - My Profile
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. May 2, 2018 Fed Policy Minutes



NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes
Mildly dovish


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 18:05 GMT 05/23/2018
no raging hike bulls type minutes
turning that mester was da one with a hint:
market has it right expecting 2-3 hikes
players zzzz

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
london red 18:01 GMT 05/23/2018
seems around the edges a bit worried about going overboard on hikes etc nothing to hang a long hat on. if rallies, fade.

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
london red 17:58 GMT 05/23/2018
11710/35 initial fading spots if fed talks about overshoot as reason to hold back for longer. not much sup til 11635

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 17:49 GMT 05/23/2018
kids... that time again:
housekeeping reminder IF u trade using MT4

Tactical Stuff for MT4
MT's speed negatively affected by
- Number of MT4 running
- Number of Charts opened
- How long MT4 has been running

Posi-effects on speed:
- reduce number of Max bars in history
- disable news
- restart MT

Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
Mtl JP 17:49 GMT 05/23/2018
kids... that time again:
housekeeping reminder IF u trade using MT4

Tactical Stuff for MT4
MT's speed negatively affected by
- Number of MT4 running
- Number of Charts opened
- How long MT4 has been running

Posi-effects on speed:
- reduce number of Max bars in history
- disable news
- restart MT

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 17:42 GMT 05/23/2018
will seek to affirm Italy's place in Europe:
haha NO getting rid of the leach of EU
give me giveme gimmee !


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