Cambridge Joe 20:42 GMT May 24, 2013
AUDUSD:
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AUDUSD flagging a structural shift of direction. Getting around 12:00 GMT in the new week.
IMO. GL
Cambridge Joe 20:37 GMT May 24, 2013
USDCAD:
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USDCAD firms into the new week. IMO. GL
HK RF@ 20:26 GMT May 24, 2013
DJIA:
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Propping up the Dow today starts looking pathetic.
Will cause more damage/worries than confidence among serious investors.
So no surprise if next week Nikkei will start the week with additional drops.
Exodus B4 ruins!!!
The safest temporary alternative investment: Place your money in savings account with 0% interest:)
GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:07 GMT May 24, 2013
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Chart Points:
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UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.
Porto Cubriclas 19:22 GMT May 24, 2013
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audnzd:
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Hi FM.
Do you have an opinion about audnzd for next couple months?
TIA and nice weekend. ;)
ed kw 18:18 GMT May 24, 2013
JPY:
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swiss pairs more to this
london red 18:16 GMT May 24, 2013
JPY:
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weekly reversal now looks certain with close under low. next week should be another week of forced profit taking. will look to sell 102/102,60 next week
GVI Forex Inner Circle 18:11 GMT May 24, 2013
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JPY:
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Stops at 100.80 in USDJPY triggered.
ed kw 18:10 GMT May 24, 2013
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there is already a wodwaky hear
ed kw 18:08 GMT May 24, 2013
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your system call yen free fall nada
ed kw 18:06 GMT May 24, 2013
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i will need automated system when im i a pine boxxx
GVI Forex Inner Circle 18:06 GMT May 24, 2013
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divergence :
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We are tolerating you but please keep to one identity. (Alaska et al)
ed kw 18:03 GMT May 24, 2013
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go back to fishing or call a trade so yen is free falling
ed kw 15:53 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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aud/yen 9764 next chop zone 97.50 to 95.00
GVI Forex Inner Circle 15:40 GMT May 24, 2013
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Fixed Income:
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Prices in prime fixed income markets mostly higher late in Europe. Prices lower in periphery.
ed kw 15:30 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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chf/jpy under 105 can start yen free fall
ed kw 15:26 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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gold and s/p are to quiet so pik on yen day
ed kw 15:20 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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gbp/usd is getting the floes //e/chf busted /u/chf to //flight to safety for weekend nikkei looks busted
ed kw 15:14 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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We still could see a little more selling of the US Dollar in the sessions ahead, but these declines will continue to be very well supported. Look no further than AUD/USD and NZD/USD to understand that there has been a major change in antipodean sentiment. Aussie and Kiwi used to sell off against the US Dollar and rally back even harder, and now we are seeing the materialization of a contrasting dynamic.
divergence to this post
london red 15:10 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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derivatives market suggests a bounce for aussie and with usdjpy at lows for week, early next week audjpy could snap back so would watch out if selling here. longer term i agree there is a case for short aud vs a host of currencies. futures positioning later will give us a further indication.
ed kw 15:04 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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yen pairs are suitable shorts aud/yen under pressure
london red 14:59 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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close below last weeks low would be bearish, but think 102,30/60 would be a good level to sell into as its sure to trade some of this weeks range.
SaR KaL 14:46 GMT May 24, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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IMO GBPJPY wants 215 by Jan 2014
eurcad wants 1.25
just watch it over the this week and next
will slowly turn
USDJPY Getting 147 tgt
HK Kevin 14:26 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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Look like sharks is around to clean up USD/JPY long. Cancel my short order at 102.60.
ed kw 12:38 GMT May 24, 2013
United States:
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u/y i did hear that exporters hedged at 98
ed kw 12:34 GMT May 24, 2013
United States:
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bloom its not good news mostly aircraft orders ,some gov,poss drop GDP a bit
london red 12:34 GMT May 24, 2013
United States:
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interesting to see, initially at least, stocks treating good news as bad. dollar popped higher but not yet following thru on yen
GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:33 GMT May 24, 2013
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United States:
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Durable Goods better than expected. This series tends to be volatile because it includes a number of big ticket items.
london red 12:18 GMT May 24, 2013
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watch yen 101,25. last weeks low. with it being end of week, weak longs may just throw in the towel. if so target around 100. does look sticky and risk has taken a hit this week, but risk reward better at high levels if seen, as still packs the biggest punch.
eurchf making some headway to downside, but need to make a lower low. if does hourly reversal here, think shorts covered and try again higher up.
Mtl JP 12:01 GMT May 24, 2013
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Fixed Income:
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when the JGB cost the Japan treasury approx 0.57%, the Economist had a piece claiming that "At over {Yen}1,000 trillion, the sheer size of the debt weighs ever more heavily. The cost of servicing it eats up over half of tax revenues".
beijing kaprikon 11:05 GMT May 24, 2013
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EUR/USD at critical Resistance @ 1.30
:
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EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
This is my view on the EURUSD Daily chart:
Following the better than expected IFO data the EURUSD surged to an intraday High 1.2992, just shy of Wednesday’s Ben Bernanke induced whipsaw High 1.2997. While that sparked a lot of EUR buying against the USD and on the other EUR crosses the overall USD strength is still present as the GBPUSD and AUD USD lagged that counter trend move.
Technically the EURUSD is running into a very solid layer of Resistance: the 50-Day MVA is right at 1.2980 and above it is the 20-Day MVA at 1.30 which would be a tough level to break. The move up would be only confirmed by a close above 1.3040-50 which a more important level based on the previous chart points.
While my view is biased towards a down trend continuation there is a counter argument based on the turning Momentum represented by the buy signal generated by the Stochastic Oscillator and the fact that the recent Low around 1.28 is actually higher than the previous Lows around 1.2750 made in the start of March.
Constellation1976 - EUR/USD at critical Resistance
GVI Forex Inner Circle 08:54 GMT May 24, 2013
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German IFO data due Friday. Pre-holiday U.S. calendar light:
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- HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: US- Durable Goods
- The critical German IFO Survey
came in stronger than predicted for May and has given the EURUSD a
lift. It might be that the data are flattening (Chart on Forex forum).
- There is no reason why
markets Friday should not spend a pre-holiday session continuing to
digest the short-term implications of the testimony
by Chairman
Bernanke on Wednesday. Traders have come to the REALIZATION
that the Fed is moving into a transition period for policy. A
policy transition implies that interest rates (read bond yields) will
be moving higher and if the move to fast or too far they could weigh on
stock prices. One fear at the Fed is that this transition could weigh
on the economy and on the pace of jobs growth.
- It is a fear of the "shock
effect" on the market that has Bernanke trying to desensitize the
markets to this change in policy well
before it hits. The transition back to a more "normal" policy
will be gradual and governed by the performance of the economy and
mostly jobs. In terms of trading, expect USD values to be heavily
influenced by stock and bond markets and for stock and bond markets to
be highly sensitive to economic data reports.
- U.S. Durable Goods orders for
April today are seen better vs. March. This tends to be a
volatile data survey.
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3002
|
JGB
0.83% -2bp
|
Asia
Close Mixed
|
USDJPY
100.44
|
Bund
1.46% +2bp
|
Europe
Currently Higher
|
EURJPY
130.58
|
U.S.2.01%
-1bp
|
U.S
Pre-Open.:Mixed
|
london red 08:11 GMT May 24, 2013
Germany:
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think 1.06 longer term is possible on cad while above 10260. but if struggles at 10370/80 today then might be some profit taking on it back to 100 hour and trendline which are just about together c. 1.03