GVI Forex Blog 20:49 GMT June 18, 2013
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Event risk today: The FOMC announcement (Thu 6:00 NZT) will be the day’s (and month’s) market highlight. It will be scrutinised for any signs of a shift towards a tapering of QE, the Bernanke press conference plus the Fed’s economic forecasts the most obvious signposts. Before that, in NZ there’s the Q1 current account to watch this morning, plus the NZDMO’s announcement of the NZGB tender program for the coming quarter. Australia has a couple of leading indices.
Forex - Westpac Morning Report
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:33 GMT June 18, 2013
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United States:
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-- ALERT --
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -4.290 vs. n/a exp vs. +2.500 prev.
Gasoline: +0.920 vs. n/a exp vs. +2.750 prev.
Distillates: -0.610 vs. n/a exp vs. -1.200 prev.
Cap/Util: vs. n/a exp. vs. 87.50% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:29 GMT June 18, 2013
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Mixed German ZEW. U.K. inflation elevated. Fed Wednesday:
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- HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: CN- HSBC PMI, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Fed Decision. Bernanke
Press Conference
- Weaker than expected U.S.
housing data were a weight on the USD. from the U.S. Tuesday.
- The Fed policy decision and
Bernanke press conference
on Wednesday will be major events this week. Its not 100% certain, but
Fed reporter Jon Hilsenrath,
who can be a mouthpiece of the Fed, told the markets last
week not to expect much.
- Odds are the Bernanke press
conference
will be the most significant part of the Fed meeting, with the odds
strongly favoring no policy changes. Note in the latest week that U.S.
economic data has generally not showed much improvement. .
- June German ZEW survey data
were mixed. Many view it as a precursor of the respected IFO Survey in
about a week..
- U.K. inflation data generally
were higher than hoped for. They should keep the BOE on the defensive.
- FT ran a story Monday
indicating in their opinion the Fed could be more hawkish than
expected. This was not a leak.
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3130
|
JGB
0.83% 0bp
|
Asia
Close Higher
|
USDJPY
98.69
|
Bund
1.53% -1bp
|
Europe
Mostly Higher
|
EURJPY
129.54
|
U.S.
2.18% +4bp
|
U.S.
Higher |
ed kw 20:20 GMT June 18, 2013
USD/SGD:
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long USD/SGD play. In my view, this is a market that is showing tremendous upside potential over the coming months, with the added bonus of a baby carry.
Cambridge Joe 20:12 GMT June 18, 2013
eur/usd:
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No names no pack drill...... but a few years ago I had a free trial with a firm offering trade signals. They didn't 'do' Mondays as there might be news out over the weekend to unsettle things. They did the London session only and avoided NY because anything can happen !
They were almost always consistently useless / wrong with the occasional unsettling flash of brilliance (Luck)!
They wanted Ł500 per month for their rubbish and reckoned that they had well over a thousand clients. Pension funds, banks and high net worth persons.
The blind leading the blind ?
I do make errors of judgement and get things wrong.... but nothing on their scale ! :-))
Cambridge Joe 19:51 GMT June 18, 2013
eur/usd:
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JP. Sorry for the delay, we just got back from a walk with the dogs to the burial-ground in remembrance of a dear departed one. A beautiful summer's evening here !
OK e/$ my take is that there is an accumulation of sell, or at least not buy signals across various time-frames.
15 min no-buy 00:30 GMT
30 min no-buy 02:00 GMT
1 Hr SELL 02:00 GMT
Down-side limit, I don't really have, but seeing that it is from the hourly, that might mean 1.3 as with Raden... OR... given the frantic violent chop we have seen, it might only be good for ... well... 100... 150.. I don't know.
It will certainly meet with res around 3366 3355 3327. IF / as /when it breaks below 3310, it's got a nice way down to go. My view is, it's going there. Hence short @ 3403.
IMO. GL
JERUSALEM kb 18:27 GMT June 18, 2013
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Trading the sup & ress. levels:
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Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3305 Target: 1.3610 Stop: 1.3350
JERUSALEM KB 18:59:13 GMT - 06/11/2013
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3305 Target: 1.3470 Stop: 1.3230
bought
-----------
out of 1/2 with 100pips +
sl at 1.3350
Mtl JP 17:53 GMT June 18, 2013
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eur/usd:
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Cambridge Joe 16:21 outside of market going after 1.34 in some cat n mouse chase n tag game euro is UP because Draghi sounded bubbly and green-shooty
-
what is "significantly" numero-wise ? tia
Cambridge Joe 16:21 GMT June 18, 2013
eur/usd:
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Thanks for the heads up Raden.
Looks like early Asia sees e/$ significantly south-bound.
I've been too caught up in the blender to look.
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:11 GMT June 18, 2013
eur/usd:
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will not admire if in several days later euro/usd drop till 1.3000
come on !!!!!!
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:57 GMT June 18, 2013
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Fixed Income:
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Prices in prime fixed income prices mostly down late in Europe. Prices in periphery are better.
GVI Forex Blog 15:24 GMT June 18, 2013
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June 18, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 19. Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- HSBC PMI, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Fed Decision. Bernanke Press Conference
GVI Forex Data Outlook for 19 June 2013
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:22 GMT June 18, 2013
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Calendar :
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June 18, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 19.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- HSBC PMI, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Fed Decision. Bernanke Press Conference
- Far East: CN- HSBC flash PMI.
- Europe: GB- BOE Minutes.
- North America: US- Mortgage Statistics, Weekly Crude, Fed Decision, Bernanke Press Conference.
Direct links to primary data sources
jkt acce 14:34 GMT June 18, 2013
sell usd
:
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Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:
sold usdchf 0.9203 as well, stop 0.9271, target open for tomorrow's action
Amman wfakhoury 14:32 GMT June 18, 2013
EURJPY 128.00:
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Amman wfakhoury 12:35 GMT June 18, 2013
EURJPY 127.75: Reply
EURJPY reached 127.75 as per my signal.
still possible to reach 128.00
if price breaks 127.81 and keep above it
-----------it is now 128.00..and will continue to 128.50 if keeps above 128.00
jkt acce 14:30 GMT June 18, 2013
sell usd
:
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Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
short usdcad 1.0203 stop 1.0241, target open
Amman wfakhoury 13:16 GMT June 18, 2013
GBPUSD 15642:
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PT JR 13:00 GMT June 18, 2013
GBPUSD 15642: Reply
...BEST DAY TRADER IN THE FORUM..THANK U
-------------
Thank you..you are welcome
PT JR 13:00 GMT June 18, 2013
GBPUSD 15642:
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...BEST DAY TRADER IN THE FORUM..THANK U
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:43 GMT June 18, 2013
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United States:
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New Homes Sales, Starts and Permits mixed. Stalling?
SaR KaL 12:39 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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selling USDJPY
One week Trade Sell Above 92.5699
tgt 87.00 next week
day trade entries
95.5907 93.2131
95.7478 93.0225
95.8525 92.8955
95.9573 92.7685
96.1144 92.5779
96.6381 91.9428
Amman wfakhoury 12:35 GMT June 18, 2013
EURJPY 127.75:
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EURJPY reached 127.75 as per my signal.
still possible to reach 128.00
if price breaks 127.81 and keep above it
SaR KaL 12:33 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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GBPJPY shorts
149.4260 147.4530
150.2568 146.5745
150.5060 146.3109
150.6722 146.1352
150.8383 145.9595
151.0876 145.6959
151.9183 144.8173
143 next week baby
SaR KaL 12:10 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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AUDUSD
Going Funny IMO
sort of East Trading for next week
One week Trade Buy Below 0.954
I am still short
will get out very soon
and Longing
0.9617 0.9439
0.9624 0.9431
0.9631 0.9423
0.9641 0.9411
0.9676 0.9370
chfjpy
shorts
103.6345 100.9994
103.8192 100.8129
103.9423 100.6886
104.0654 100.5643
104.2501 100.3779
104.8657 99.7564
One week Trade Sell Above 103.2322
expect 102.0 next week
SaR KaL 11:53 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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It's really the USDJPY causing this
EURJPY
One week Trade Sell Above 125.474
expect 121 and lower next week
shorts
127.2408 125.3215
128.0755 124.4407
128.3259 124.1764
128.4928 124.0003
128.6597 123.8241
128.9101 123.5598
129.7448 122.6790
SaR KaL 11:49 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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cable buying
below 1.5880 this week
for tgt 1.63
1.5820 1.5617
1.5833 1.5603
1.5842 1.5594
1.5851 1.5584
1.5864 1.5571
1.5909 1.5525
SaR KaL 11:42 GMT June 18, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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AUDNZD Longs
1.2024 1.1867
1.2030 1.1862
1.2037 1.1856
1.2047 1.1848
1.2081 1.1821
tgt max 1.21 next week
sort of slow up
Amman wfakhoury 11:19 GMT June 18, 2013
EURJPY move big:
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Amman wfakhoury 18:45 GMT June 17, 2013
EURJPY move big: Reply
Be ready to move big more than 150 pips
-------------------
moved 150 pips and more
Amman wfakhoury 11:13 GMT June 18, 2013
GBPUSD 15642:
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Amman wfakhoury 07:19 GMT June 18, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5642: Reply
1.5642 confirmed , will be reached..sell and add sell if rise.
------------15642 reached
London Misha 11:07 GMT June 18, 2013
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Observations:
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EURUSD - Bullish Piercing Pattern & possible Ascending Triangle on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Opening White Marubozo & Bullish Harami as bounces for a 3rd time up off 94.11-92.95 Fib support on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - New high for Jun & 3rd close over Long MA but also an indecisive Spinning Top Pattern on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart. Dead Cross of Short MA down through Short/Medium MA!
EURGBP - Tests & rejects Lower Uptrend in Sideways Coil/Triangle on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Possible Bearish Spinning Top after Tweezer Top o Daily Chart, close below key 0.9578 Centre Tine of AP & May 12 low.
USDINR - Bullish Closing White Marubozo on Daily Chart & possible Pipe Bottom!
USDZAR - Still possible Tweezer Bottom bounce off 9.7830 combination Fibs on Daily Chart.
USDBRL - 2nd White Soldier follows Bullish Piercing Pattern on Daily Chart.
Cambridge Joe 10:49 GMT June 18, 2013
Cable :
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cable escaping... now looking closer to 12 GMT. IMO.
Cambridge Joe 09:33 GMT June 18, 2013
Cable :
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Cable buying ~ 11:00 GMT. IMO. GL