Mtl JP 18:06 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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I dont care for suggestions for Japan to try.
I care more about (hopefully profitable) trade ideas on the back of the so-called policy makers.
All I know is that:
1) no economy has ever gone down the drain because of a strong, sound currency
2) every time politicians and dishonest bankers dilluted their promisory paper notes one or two things have happened:
- a) working folk suffered bad economic hardship
- b) econimies collapsed
--
more immediately: last week players were served a lesson and (some) have become illuminated that CB-induced bubbles are subject to a two-directional moves both in stocks and bonds and that relying on CBs "to provide" may be becoming risky regardless if they become more flexible or tapering.
As players sell off JGBs they probably look for yield elsewhere. In part into places like Greece (and such similar others) whose 10-yr has gone sub 10%.
GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 17:41 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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JP- sorry that was John. I wonder if you have another suggestion for Japan to try. Two decades of deflation gets to be a bit much!
Mtl JP 16:29 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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Jay 15:32 - very unwelcome . Not looking good when money inflation races way ahead and from any economic growth and makes Abe and his nomics look foolish
ed kw 16:02 GMT May 25, 2013
Japan:
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Japan gold has no fear//but aud gold looks like fear
Cambridge Joe 15:33 GMT May 25, 2013
AUDUSD:
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A note of caution !
This is a BIG signal from the 4 hr. chart therefore there could easily be a 200 / 300 pip over-shoot..... you don't always turn a super-tanker on an tanner !
There may well prove to be some commonality with Dil's $250 north for gold post..... remains to be proved.
All IMO. GL
GVI Forex john Inner Circle 15:32 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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JP- BOJ is most interested in JGB yields. They injected a lot of JPY into the system buying JGBs to drive rates down. I gather the spike in yields late last week was veryunwelcome.
Mtl JP 13:53 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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john re "official interest rates would not be rising soon"
IF market misleading into mis-allocating and mis-pricing FED induced interest rates rise to a "normal" rate - i.e. 5% - bonds and stocks would re-price and correct by 40% or more.
To the downside.
-
Heat in JGB kitchen seems to be rising. I wonder what it will take to tits the Japanese economy
Amman wfakhoury 12:31 GMT May 25, 2013
EURUSD:
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EURUSD failed to break 1.2990 the critical level to go up to
to 1.3160 .Unless it breaks 12990 and keep above it we will see 1.2830 again.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:08 GMT May 25, 2013
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Forex Trading Theme for the Week :
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-- GVI Forex Trading Theme of the Week--
Fed Chairman Bernanke sent the markets mixed signals on Wednesday. One of the messages he sent was that Quantitative Ease in the form of Fed purchases of government debt COULD start to taper very soon. Markets paid no mind to the fact that the tapering would likely be very gradual and that official interest rates would not be rising soon. We feel that it was a fear of the "shock effect" on the markets of a policy change that had Bernanke trying to desensitize traders to this prospective policy change well before it hit. After all, bond yields are still at abnormally low levels and an adjustment back to more normal levels could happen abruptly and devastate stock prices and clobber the economy. The major fear at the Fed is that a sudden transition could weigh on the economy and arrest jobs growth.
The Week ahead sees Monday holidays in the U.S. and London that will constrain trading, and then a slew of data is scheduled over the week leading into month-end on Friday. Major items include German Retail Sales on Tuesday, a Bank of Canada policy decision Wednesday, U.S. Weekly Jobless data Thursday and early Friday the usual heavy end of month run of Japanese data. The U.S. sees a heavy Friday data calendar.
For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to visit the Global-View.com Economic
Calendar and the
Forex Forum as key items are released.
-- John M. Bland, www.global-view.com
Haifa ac 07:31 GMT May 25, 2013
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EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797
:
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Considring the fact that the Dollar index closed friday at the highest point in the last 3 years--if you believe in momentum-- the odds are better that the dollar is about to explode here -- which, mathematically means that the euro must implode.
manila tom 06:34 GMT May 25, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797
:
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now that FM has given green light to euro bottoming process and Qindex gave the upside target to play, euro is a buy from here.
another consideration is the COT chart which was clearly showing market is net short euro significantly, a recipe for a quick and sizeable run up
Melbourne Qindex 06:07 GMT May 25, 2013
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EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797
:
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Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : Weekly Target 1.3182
During early period of next week the market is going to consolidate further within 1.2905 - 1.2961 - 1.3049. The market is positive when it is able to trade within 1.3008 - 1.3049*. The short term targeting range is 1.3118 - 1.3182.
Qindex.com
EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
jkt abel 04:33 GMT May 25, 2013
" Trade Ideas "
:
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Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
agree with FM, i think it is time to explore the upside for the rest of this month
Lahore FM 18:12 GMT May 24, 2013
short term bottom in place imo!
Cambridge Joe 20:42 GMT May 24, 2013
AUDUSD:
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AUDUSD flagging a structural shift of direction. Getting around 12:00 GMT in the new week.
IMO. GL
Cambridge Joe 20:37 GMT May 24, 2013
USDCAD:
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USDCAD firms into the new week. IMO. GL
HK RF@ 20:26 GMT May 24, 2013
DJIA:
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Propping up the Dow today starts looking pathetic.
Will cause more damage/worries than confidence among serious investors.
So no surprise if next week Nikkei will start the week with additional drops.
Exodus B4 ruins!!!
The safest temporary alternative investment: Place your money in savings account with 0% interest:)
GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:07 GMT May 24, 2013
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Chart Points:
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UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.
Porto Cubriclas 19:22 GMT May 24, 2013
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audnzd:
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Hi FM.
Do you have an opinion about audnzd for next couple months?
TIA and nice weekend. ;)
ed kw 18:18 GMT May 24, 2013
JPY:
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swiss pairs more to this
london red 18:16 GMT May 24, 2013
JPY:
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weekly reversal now looks certain with close under low. next week should be another week of forced profit taking. will look to sell 102/102,60 next week
GVI Forex Inner Circle 18:11 GMT May 24, 2013
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JPY:
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Stops at 100.80 in USDJPY triggered.
ed kw 18:10 GMT May 24, 2013
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there is already a wodwaky hear
ed kw 18:08 GMT May 24, 2013
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your system call yen free fall nada
ed kw 18:06 GMT May 24, 2013
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i will need automated system when im i a pine boxxx
GVI Forex Inner Circle 18:06 GMT May 24, 2013
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divergence :
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We are tolerating you but please keep to one identity. (Alaska et al)
ed kw 18:03 GMT May 24, 2013
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go back to fishing or call a trade so yen is free falling
ed kw 15:53 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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aud/yen 9764 next chop zone 97.50 to 95.00
GVI Forex Inner Circle 15:40 GMT May 24, 2013
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Fixed Income:
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Prices in prime fixed income markets mostly higher late in Europe. Prices lower in periphery.
ed kw 15:30 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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chf/jpy under 105 can start yen free fall
ed kw 15:26 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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gold and s/p are to quiet so pik on yen day
ed kw 15:20 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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gbp/usd is getting the floes //e/chf busted /u/chf to //flight to safety for weekend nikkei looks busted
ed kw 15:14 GMT May 24, 2013
divergence :
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We still could see a little more selling of the US Dollar in the sessions ahead, but these declines will continue to be very well supported. Look no further than AUD/USD and NZD/USD to understand that there has been a major change in antipodean sentiment. Aussie and Kiwi used to sell off against the US Dollar and rally back even harder, and now we are seeing the materialization of a contrasting dynamic.
divergence to this post
london red 15:10 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
Reply
derivatives market suggests a bounce for aussie and with usdjpy at lows for week, early next week audjpy could snap back so would watch out if selling here. longer term i agree there is a case for short aud vs a host of currencies. futures positioning later will give us a further indication.
ed kw 15:04 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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yen pairs are suitable shorts aud/yen under pressure
london red 14:59 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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close below last weeks low would be bearish, but think 102,30/60 would be a good level to sell into as its sure to trade some of this weeks range.
SaR KaL 14:46 GMT May 24, 2013
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KaL's Trend and Level:
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IMO GBPJPY wants 215 by Jan 2014
eurcad wants 1.25
just watch it over the this week and next
will slowly turn
USDJPY Getting 147 tgt
HK Kevin 14:26 GMT May 24, 2013
USD/JPY:
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Look like sharks is around to clean up USD/JPY long. Cancel my short order at 102.60.
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