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FOREX FORUM
21/05/13 0:00 TUESDAY con: pre:
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Syd 09:06 GMT May 20, 2013
UK: Reply   
london red 07:53 agree they will probably win next election

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2324112/Lord-Mandelson-Immigrants-We-sent-search-parties-hard-Britons-work.html



GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:03 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
Fixed Income: Reply   
Major bond market prices mostly weaker. Peripheral prices up.



SaR KaL 09:03 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
CADCHF now a little bearish for a few days
Planing to long it from .93 on thursaday
this baby wants 0.99 in June



JERUSALEM KB 08:52 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
OTHER
Entry: SILVER,PLATINUM Target: Stop:

TIME TO MONITOR SILVER & PLATINUM BESIDE GOLD FOR SURE



Cambridge Joe 08:28 GMT May 20, 2013
The EU Waiting Game Is Over for Cameron: Reply   
red they only have themselves to blame..... they fail to deal with real issues and instead make a big deal with non-issue like guymarriage or some s*H&%.

It is little wonder that ordinary people have been roused from their slumber to swat the mosquito of main-stream politics.



london red 07:53 GMT May 20, 2013
The EU Waiting Game Is Over for Cameron: Reply   
if they dont do it soon it may be out of there hands, as ukip is becoming ever stronger



Syd 07:45 GMT May 20, 2013
The EU Waiting Game Is Over for Cameron: Reply   
U.K. prime minister has to get off the fence over referendum on his country's futuEven Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg—the most pro-EU party leader in the U.K.—acknow-ledges that it is now a question of when rather than if the country has an in/out referendum. That in turn means there is a real risk of a U.K exit or “Brexit”.re in Europe.

LINK



Cambridge Joe 07:45 GMT May 20, 2013
GBPNZD: Reply   
GBPNZD about to long scalp. IMO. GL



SaR KaL 07:37 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
gold shorts anyone
for tgt 1300?...no?



Syd 07:35 GMT May 20, 2013
Yen: Reply   
FXstreet The research team at TD Securities have noted that the Topix is up +1.5%, despite the USDJPY easing -0.5% to 102.70, after punching through 103 on Friday.

They explained that the appreciation of the yen has been blamed on comments by Japan’s economy minister Amari, who was quoted as saying in an interview with national broadcaster NHK on Sunday that further weakness of the yen could be ‘harmful’.



Melbourne Qindex 07:27 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply   
Buy EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:





EUR/CAD (1.32146) : I am expecting the market to move high towards 1.3222 - 1.3288.


Qindex.com

EUR/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts



Tel Aviv 07:25 GMT May 20, 2013
Banco Santander Stock : Reply   
Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Banco Santander’s performance is intimately related to the Spanish economy, and if we are to believe the political leaders, the prospects are optimistic for 2013. Economy Minister claims that the economy is on the mend and will continue to strengthen in the next months, and what is certain is that the worst is behind us.

Banco Santander Stock to profit Binary Traders



GVI Forex Blog 06:51 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
*Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA APR NEW HOME PRICES M/M: RISES IN 67 OF 70 CITIES VS 68 PRIOR; Y/Y: PRICES RISES IN 68 OF 70 CITIES VS 67 PRIOR - (TH) THAILAND Q1 Q/Q: -2.2% V -1.5%E; Y/Y: 5.3% V 6.0%E

radeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Bullish sentiment undettered by sharp gains in China housing prices and North Korean rocket launch - Source TradeTheNews.com



Hong Kong AceTrader 06:51 GMT May 20, 2013
AceTrader May 20, 2013: DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK: Reply   
DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK - +0.9770

20 May 2013 02:04GMT

Fri's selloff to a fresh 11-month trough at 0.9711 suggests erratic decline fm 1.0625 (Sep 12') remains in progress n marginal weakness below 0.9700 is likely, however, near term 'loss of momentum' wud limit downside to 0.9662/70 n yield rebound.

Sell on recovery with stop as indicated, break wud risk stronger gain to 0.9831

STRATEGY : Hold short

POSITION : Short at 0.9770

OBJECTIVE : 0.9700

STOP-LOSS : 0.9805

RES : 0.9771/0.9797/0.9831

SUP : 0.9711/0.9662/0.9616



SaR KaL 05:43 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Gold SHorts
around 1349 to 1356
tgt 1300



Singapore SGFXTrader 05:36 GMT May 20, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Thanks KaL. A short from 0.99 level is safer but provided that we are open to that opportunity window. Meanwhile i reckon that there is a fibo retracement based on technical rebound as Audusd has dropped 700+ pips since 1.05x level, starting 11 April 2013. Elliot is showing a recovery wave too.

Just my 2 cents thoughts.

SaR KaL 05:21 GMT May 20, 2013 - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply
singapore
0.9858 to .9870 for audusd
wants 0.9000 is a couple of weeks

IMO EURUSD shorts should be around 1.2890 area
into 1.2670 today



SaR KaL 05:33 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Dil
I agree
Time frame slightly different.

I know AudUSD is a little bulish now
wont stay bullish for long



Israel Dil 05:23 GMT May 20, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   

Your actual position is the one to make the week good or bad, so take the right one :-)



SaR KaL 05:21 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
singapore
0.9858 to .9870 for audusd
wants 0.9000 is a couple of weeks

IMO EURUSD shorts should be around 1.2890 area
into 1.2670 today
this is gonna be a bad day and week



Israel Dil 05:17 GMT May 20, 2013
US oil: Reply   
Sell Crude
Entry: next 72 hrs Target: 66.66 Stop: 106.66



dorot.capital@gmail.com



Israel Dil 05:14 GMT May 20, 2013
US oil: Reply   
2-3 days to establish sort of medium term TOP and then a fortune making dive. Sub 70$ this summer is a dream for the main stream, it's to the trader to decide if main stream is about survival or money making.


good luck and we will see how wrong I am, or not :-)



Singapore SGFXTrader 04:10 GMT May 20, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Thanks KaL for providing your trade idea. I will use this as a guiding pole. Will long Audusd.

Cheers


SaR KaL 03:29 GMT May 20, 2013 - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply
starting this week with audusd shorts and nzdusd shorts

audusd should close less then .95
nzdusd less then 0.79



GVI Forex Blog 03:54 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
Nifty 6187.3, +17.40) closed on a bullish note last week.

Morning Briefing : 20-May-2013 -0351 GMT



SaR KaL 03:29 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
starting this week with audusd shorts and nzdusd shorts

audusd should close less then .95
nzdusd less then 0.79



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:14 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
Try A Better Broker: Reply   
jay meisler

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GVI Forex 00:06 GMT May 20, 2013  - My Profile
Forex News: Reply   
* Yen jumps on report Japanese govt may be happy with current level

* Other major currencies subdued ahead of key events this week

* BOJ meeting, Bernanke's Congressional testimony in focus

FOREX NEWS - Yen bounces off lows, eyes on BOJ and Bernanke



dc CB 23:14 GMT May 19, 2013
USA USA: Reply   


meanwhile back in the hall of power



JERUSALEM kb 22:41 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
out of gold with 470pips+



JERUSALEM kb 22:39 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Trading the sup & ress. levels: Reply   
thanks kaprikon



london red 22:27 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
think it has ramifications for wednesdays boj meeting. market was looking at possibility of more of the same, while now it looks like some caution is warranted.
as you say, may go higher initially after gap is filled, but dips may now be deeper towards wednesday as this news is taken on board.



tokyo ginko 22:09 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
i guess BOJ is setting a range target of 95-105 for now

whether the market wants to take it higher is another thing. just ensure that; when the music stop, you have a chair to sit on.

GL all



Brisbane Flip 21:54 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
usd/jpy : Reply   
Economy minister Akira Amari spoke on a Sunday talk show on national TV broadcaster NHK...

“it’s being said that the correction of the strong yen is largely completed. If the yen keeps on weakening a lot more, it will have a negative impact on peoples’ lives.”



london red 21:54 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
Amari says yen strength corrected further weakness undesirable



Sydney ACC 21:53 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
Japan Economy Minister: “yen’s excessive strength has been largely corrected; further weakness could be harmful”



tokyo ginko 21:49 GMT May 19, 2013
usd/jpy : Reply   
any news out from Ausland for USD/JPY down 1% from New York close, big orders from?

tks



Miami JN 21:47 GMT May 19, 2013
Chart Points: Reply   
Any jpy news? Its going nuts



City JP 21:38 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
It jives with COT numbers showing net long USD increased to $25 billion, of which short yen against the USD were at $11bn.
-
Bottom line: short yen trade is potentially most at risk



GVI Forex Inner Circle 21:28 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
All the red in the table below indicates currency downtrends vs. the USD in all time frames . Pretty impressive!



GVI Forex Inner Circle 21:23 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Chart Points: Reply   
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands




GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:39 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Calendar : Reply   


May 17, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, May 20. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CH/CA- Holiday.





Cambridge Joe 18:45 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
USDCAD: Riding high on borrowed time IMO.

If 0303 get revisited in the first three hours of the new week and remains above 0283 until that time, then it will sell into London, NY and beyond. IMO. GL

At any rate... 3 hours in looks pretty hectic across the board. IMO

Anyone else picking these vibes ? KaL ?



Cambridge Joe 17:20 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Ooooh ! A bit late to the party, but just took a look at AUSNZD.

It's selling...of course... but the major south move is only just begun. Possible upswing about 1 hour in... the selling with conviction looks to begin about three hours in.

All IMO. GL



Cambridge Joe 16:33 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Not too sure what you might mean by 'scam' trade JP.....

Apart from that, my Broker doesn't offer USD vs Sheckels...

:-))



Mtl JP 16:27 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Various: Reply   
Another good scam trade is gaming Sheckel's strenght



ed kw 16:09 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
MXN/gold is dropped the most in the gold pairs can be a looong term trend for us/mxn,carts on gold side us the link gold. org for charts/mxn is printing strong econo numbers



Cambridge Joe 15:49 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
USDMXN putting a top around 4 hours into the new week.

IMO. GL



GVI Forex Inner Circle 14:58 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile
Holidays should subdue activity on Monday. Key week for data: Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:CH +Others- Holiday, CA- Holiday
  • Fundamental sentiment in favor of the USD has continued to improve in the latest week, even though the general tendency of USD positive economic data in favor of the currency appeared to be cooling. The currency is being given a lift by a growing perception that the Fed is now considering an early start to tapering off its quantitative Easing (QE) program. Presumably, this tapering off of purchases of government bonds would happen over an extended period of time. The pace of the tapering would be determined by economic conditions. 
  • A BOJ decision is due on Tuesday along with key UK CPI data.
  • The week ahead will see the minutes from the latest Fed Meeting (May 1)and testimony by Chairman Bernanke to the House. This testimony will give him ample opportunity to signal to the markets What the current intentions of the central bank may be.
  • Thursday sees a number of flash PMI reports  U.K. data could also influence the GBP The critical German IFO Survey is due on Friday.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3027
JGB 0.79% -2bp
Asia:Higher
USDJPY 99.83
Bund 1.32% -4bp
Europe Higher
EURJPY 130.06
U.S.1.95%  +8bp
U.S.:Higher



GVI Forex Blog 14:57 GMT May 19, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:CH +Others- Holiday, CA- Holiday Fundamental sentiment in favor of the USD has continued to improve in the latest week, even though the general tendency of USD positive economic data in favor of the currency appeared to be cooling. The currency is being given a lift by a growing perception that the Fed is now considering an early start to tapering off its quantitative Easing (QE) program. Presumably, this tapering off of purchases of government bonds would happen over an extended period of time. The pace of the tapering would be determined by economic conditions.

Holidays should subdue activity on Monday. Key week for data



Cambridge Joe 13:31 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
AUSUSD : If AUDUSD touches 9710 within the first three hours of the new week AND remains below 9735 until then, it buys for a decent session or two !

It may of course buy anyway, but meeting these criteria make it a much higher probability..... IMO. GL



Cambridge Joe 13:21 GMT May 19, 2013
Various: Reply   
Cambridge Joe 10:47 GMT May 17, 2013
Various: Reply
Looking like eurusd gets a lift late NY into Asia. IMO...

############

Any early softness should be seen as a BOD opportunity.

IMO. GL




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