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FOREX FORUM
19/06/13 11:00 US WK Mortgage Stats con: n/a pre: n/a
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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:10 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
Global Markets News: Reply   
FX market price action was well contained under the shadow of today's FOMC policy outcome. The USD directional trend hinges on the outcome. Dealers seem keen on the Fed's forecasts for guidance on QE tapering

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Risk appetite/aversion sentiment hinges on FOMC economic outlook



Cambridge Joe 10:04 GMT June 19, 2013
AUDUSD: Reply   
Bad quality..... if I'm not getting positives in the next 10 mins, I'll kill it.



Cambridge Joe 09:52 GMT June 19, 2013
AUDUSD: Reply   
AUSUSD short here 9502. GL.



Amman wfakhoury 09:31 GMT June 19, 2013
GBPUSD 15600: Reply   
Belgrade Knez

Thks .



SaR KaL 09:30 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
GBPUSD 1.5600: Reply   
AUDCAD shorts
Day's High Day's Low
0.9691 0.9578
0.9835 0.9431



Belgrade Knez 09:23 GMT June 19, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5600: Reply   
Amman,

well done for your GU call.



SaR KaL 09:18 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
GBPCHF
Short
Day's High Day's Low
1.4457 1.4349
1.4562 1.4224



GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:59 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
Fed Decision today. BOE Minutes hold no surprises: Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Fed Decision. Bernanke Press Conference
  • The Fed policy decision and Bernanke press conference today will be major events. Odds are the Bernanke press conference will be the most significant part of the Fed meeting, with the odds strongly favoring no policy changes. Note in the latest week that U.S. economic data has generally not showed much improvement.
  •  In the U.K. the latest Bank of England Minutes vote was 9-0 for no rate change an 6-3 to keep the size of the Asset Purchase program steady. The three voted foe an increase.
  • Thursday sees the release of a slew of preliminary  (flash) PMI reports, which are always closely followed.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3130
JGB 0.80%  -3bp
Asia Close Higher
USDJPY 98.69
Bund 1.56% +3bp
Europe: Lower
EURJPY 129.54
U.S. 2.18% 0bp
U.S. Mixed



GVI Forex Blog 08:58 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Fed Decision. Bernanke Press Conference The Fed policy decision and Bernanke press conference today will be major events. Odds are the Bernanke press conference will be the most significant part of the Fed meeting, with the odds strongly favoring no policy changes. Note in the latest week that U.S. economic data has generally not showed much improvement.

Fed Decision today. BOE Minutes hold no surprises



SaR KaL 08:49 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
More cable longs here
expect
Day's High Day's Low
1.5909 1.5811
1.6125 1.5627



London BenDover 08:44 GMT June 19, 2013
long GBP/USD : Reply   
stopped out on GBP/USD for -12 pips, will renter long on any 1 minute bar closing price above 1.5640



SaR KaL 08:43 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
CHFJPY
Now @ 103.154

	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 103.0918

Day's High Day's Low
103.8462 102.1606
104.8644 100.9847
105.1189 100.6907



SaR KaL 08:41 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
USDJPY
Now @ 94.976

	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 91.972
Day's High Day's Low
94.2168 92.4980
95.7440 90.1687
96.1259 89.5863



SaR KaL 08:38 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
Silver
Now @ 21.668

	Buy
One week Trade Buy Below 22.1563

Day's High Day's Low
21.9913 21.6810
22.6314 20.5549
22.7915 20.2733
buying



SaR KaL 08:36 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
SP500
Now @ 1650.6

	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 1588.0125

Day's High Day's Low
1,635.9043 1,618.1048
1,663.1438 1,586.1647
1,669.9536 1,578.1796
this a sell folks



SaR KaL 08:35 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
GBPNZD
Now @ 1.95031

	Buy
One week Trade Buy Below 2.0028

Day's High Day's Low
1.9984 1.9680
2.0410 1.9318
2.0517 1.9228
will buy



SaR KaL 08:33 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
EURAUD: Reply   
EURAUD
Now @ 1.40853

	Buy
One week Trade Buy Below 1.423

Buying with dips
Day's High Day's Low
1.4269 1.4056
1.4473 1.3870
1.4525 1.3823

you buying Joe?



SaR KaL 08:31 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
GBPAUD
I think is not finished with Bull

Now @ 1.64609

	Buy
One week Trade Buy Below 1.674
Day's High Day's Low
1.6764 1.6550
1.7048 1.6285
1.7119 1.6219

buying with dips



GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:30 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
United Kingdom: Reply   

-- ALERT --
Latest BOE Policy Vote and Minutes
Rates:Tighten = 0 Unchanged =9 Ease =0
QE: Add = 3 Unchanged =6 Reduce =0


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:28 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
Fixed Income: Reply   
Early in Europe, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed. Peripheral prices are mixed as well.



london Bendover 08:27 GMT June 19, 2013
EURAUD: Reply   
With you on this one Joe 1.40 and below



Cambridge Joe 08:24 GMT June 19, 2013
EURAUD: Reply   
EURAUD Look at it now..... come end of NY, look for it under the desk !

IMO. GL.



SaR KaL 08:23 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
AUDJPY
Now @ 90.318

	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 87.6644
Day's High Day's Low
89.9741 88.1512
91.3010 85.8893
91.6328 85.3238
expect a big drop
======

AUDCHF
Now @ 0.8749
	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 0.8507

Day's High Day's Low
0.8713 0.8579
0.8867 0.8399
0.8906 0.8354



SaR KaL 08:19 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
audusud
could long
Now @ 0.95149

	Buy
One week Trade Buy Below 0.9545
Day's High Day's Low
0.9596 0.9455
0.9734 0.9341
0.9768 0.9313



GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:19 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
United Kingdom: Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data Due shortly
(Details top of page. Manually refresh to update.)
EURUSD= 1.3400
GBPUSD= 1.5660
USDJPY= 94.95

Direct links to primary data sources



SaR KaL 08:17 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
GBPJPY
Now @ 148.733

	Sell
One week Trade Sell Above 147.2868
day's levels expected

High Low

149.5231 147.2304
151.2037 144.9297
151.6238 144.3546



kl fs 08:13 GMT June 19, 2013
long GBP/USD : Reply   
guys, i just went long 1.5655, stop under 1.5610, target open



jkt abel 08:08 GMT June 19, 2013
long GBP/USD : Reply   
i have the same view BenDover, prefer going long gbpusd to euro, data have been encouraging for several months now



Amman wfakhoury 08:05 GMT June 19, 2013
GOLD 1371: Reply   
1371 first confirmed level.



london BenDover 08:04 GMT June 19, 2013
long GBP/USD : Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I Have GBP/USD heading North as long as above 1.5630, should see 1.57 and more within 12 hours



Syd 08:04 GMT June 19, 2013
aus: Reply   
her = here



Syd 08:03 GMT June 19, 2013
Aus employment: Reply   
After the financial year her , more layoffs been planned everywhere chatter about town



Minneapolis DRS2 07:51 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
IBM quietly slashing Australian jobs: Reply   
IBM is firing people all over the world -- it's part of the company's business model. While the loss of staff is not a pretty sight, it should not be viewed as anything more than what it is...a company firing a bunch of employees.



Syd 07:34 GMT June 19, 2013
IBM quietly slashing Australian jobs: Reply   
IBM quietly slashing Australian jobs
IBM Australia is in the midst of axing up to 1500 Australian staff in a reshuffle that will send many jobs offshore to Asia and New Zealand, according to sources.

Affected staff have told Fairfax Media between 1200 and 1500 local jobs are being made redundant this year in several waves.

It's another reason why it's important to review the 457 visa program.

These figures rival the minimum 1200 jobs that Ford Motor announced it would cut when it exits Australia in 2016.


These figures rival the minimum 1200 jobs that Ford Motor announced it would cut when it exits Australia in 2016.



Syd 07:28 GMT June 19, 2013
A nest egg in peril: Savers have bet £1.4bn on high interest bonds - but many are in companies they': Reply   
Savers desperate for income are gambling around £4million a day on companies many had never heard of before.

Pensioners are among those who have turned to so-called retail bonds from shops, energy companies and charities — offering interest of 6 per cent-plus — because the rates they get in traditional High Street accounts keep falling to record lows.

Around £3.4billion has now been bet on bonds, but some investors may have unwittingly put their life savings at risk.


This week, a £1.5billion bailout for Co-op Bank laid bare the danger for those who abandon High Street savings for bonds. As part of a rescue bid to shore up the mutual, 7,000 who invested £1,000 or more in the bank’s bonds face a drastic income cut — and a likely loss of capital. Many who handed over cash to the ethically minded bank, including pensioners, thought they’d made a safe bet.



Amman wfakhoury 07:27 GMT June 19, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5600: Reply   
Is ready to go below 15600..sell add another if rise.






GVI Forex Blog 07:15 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAY DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES: -0.5% V -1.0% PRIOR (2nd consecutive decline) - (AU) AUSTRALIA APR WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: 0.6% V 0.1% PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA APR CONFERENCE BO

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China markets slump on liquidity concerns; Nikkei helped by improved Japan trade data; All eyes on the Fed***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com



jkt acce 07:08 GMT June 19, 2013
sell usd: Reply   
both positions still running well

jkt acce 14:34 GMT June 18, 2013
sell usd : Reply
Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

sold usdchf 0.9203 as well, stop 0.9271, target open for tomorrow's action

jkt acce 14:30 GMT June 18, 2013
sell usd : Reply
Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

short usdcad 1.0203 stop 1.0241, target open



Hong Kong AceTrader 06:55 GMT June 19, 2013
Jun 19, 2013 : Minor daily AUD/USD OUTLOOK: Reply   
DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK - 0.9488

19 Jun 2013 04:53GMT

Although aud's erratic decline fm 0.9665 signals 1st leg of correction fm last Tue's 2-1/2 year low at 0.9325 has ended, intra-day bounce fm 0.9435 suggests consolidation with upside bias is in store, abv 0.9516 wud extend gain twd 0.9574 later.

Turn long for this move n only below 0.9429 risks marginal fall but 0.9393 shud hold, yield rebound.

STRATEGY : Buy at 0.9460

OBJECTIVE : 0.9560

STOP-LOSS : 0.9425

RES : 0.9516/0.9574/0.9641

SUP : 0.9435/0.9393/0.9325



SaR KaL 04:48 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply   
EURUSD and GBPUSD are still bullish
i am buying at mkt ..Small and slow



Sydney ACC 04:39 GMT June 19, 2013
Paying the price for having it so good: Reply   
Article from SMH chock full of graphs including:
Real Appreciation of AUD Against Long Term Average of Individual Currencies 1983-2003

CAD 29%
USD 51%
NOK 33%
EUR 44%
GBP 40%
JPY 64%

To my mind the most interesting comparison is NOK the currency of an economy that has also benefited from a resource boom.

http://www.smh.com.au/business/paying-the-price-for-having-it-so-good-20130619-2oiai.html



GVI Forex Blog 03:38 GMT June 19, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
Divergent moves in Equities. But not very bullish overall.

Morning Briefing : 19-Jun-2013 -0336 GMT



Hong Kong AceTrader 03:15 GMT June 19, 2013
Jun 19, 2013 : Dollar rises against yen ahead of Fed rate decision: Reply   
Market Review - 18/06/2013 22:24GMT

Dollar rises against yen ahead of Fed rate decision

The greenback strengthened against the Japanese yen on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy announcement on Wednesday as traders bet the central bank may imply it will soon reduce its bond buying program.

Versus the Japanese yen, the greenback edged higher in Asian morning on dollar's broad-based strength and rose above Monday's top at 95.22 to 95.44 in European session. U.S. CPI and housing data supported the pair and price climbed to 95.77 in New York morning before retreating to 95.05 in U.S. afternoon.

U.S. CPI in May came in at 0.1% m/m and 1.4% y/y, versus the forecast of 0.2% and 1.4% respectively. U.S. housing starts number in May was 0.914M, less than the expectation of 0.950M. Building permits in May came in at 0.974M, versus the forecast of 0.975M.

The single currency went through a roller-coaster session on Tuesday. Although euro edged lower from Monday's top at 1.3382 in Asia and fell sharply to an intra-day low of 1.3325 in European morning after the dovish comments from ECB's Draghi, cross buying of euro versus other currencies pushed the pair to 1.3399 but failure to penetrate option barrier at 1.3400 prompted profit-taking and price retreated to 1.3338 in New York morning. However, renewed buying interest emerged and the pair penetrated 1.3400 to a 4-month top at 1.3416 before stabilizing in U.S. afternoon.

ECB's President Draghi said 'do not think materially challenged in ability to deliver price stability by low level of interest rate; euro zone economy still in phase of adjustment; recent survey data suggest some improvement, but from low levels; monetary policy has regained sterling positive development.'

Earlier in European morning, the single currency was supported after the release of German ZEW economic sentiment and current condition, which came in at 38.5 and 8.6, versus the forecast of 38.1 and 9.5.

The British pound edged lower in Asia and dropped below Monday's low at 1.5680 to 1.5663 in European morning due to cross selling of sterling versus euro. Later, despite brief bounce to 1.5709 after the release of U.K. economic data, the selloff of eur/gbp sent the pair further lower to 1.5565 in New York morning before staging a strong recovery to 1.5656 in U.S. afternoon on short-covering.

U.K. CPI in May came in at 0.2% m/m and 2.7% y/y, higher than the forecast of 0.1% and 2.6% respectively. U.K. RPI in May came in at 0.2% m/m and 3.1% y/y, same as the expectation. U.K. ONS house price in April was released at 2.6% y/y, higher than the expectation of 2.5%.

Data to be released on Wednesday:

New Zealand current account, Australia Westpac leading economic indicator, Japan export, import, trade balance, U.K. BOE MPC vote, Swiss ZEW index, Canada wholesale sales, U.S. rate decision.



dc CB 22:36 GMT June 18, 2013
United States: Reply   
Joe.
________________________________________

But just how did the SEC come up with this startling conclusion which flies in the fact of all the factual evidence we have presented over the past 3 years?

""Berman heads up a new initiative at the SEC that analyzes market data using a platform launched in January called Market Information Data Analytics System, or MIDAS, which was developed by Red Bank, New Jersey-based automated trading firm Tradeworx.""


So, to summarize, the SEC which admits it was clueless in analyzing the modern, fragmented market (yet which found definitively that the culprit for the May 2010 flash crash was Waddell and Reed, and nobody else, using what technology at the time, nobody knows), uses a platform developed by High Frequency Trading firm Tradeworx... to reach a conclusion that High Frequency Trading firms are innocent of every flash crash resulting from an HFT algo gone haywire...

That sound, dear reader, is your head just going splat.



dc CB 22:27 GMT June 18, 2013
United States: Reply   


But this is the SEC. This is Mary Jo White's SEC....the New Cop on Wall Street. The one who busted Mafia bosses.

It must be true. There are no algos.



Cambridge Joe 22:09 GMT June 18, 2013
United States: Reply   
Dillon Al

Berman knows not about which he spouts

Thank you for much needed clarification. Too much heed is paid to people whose job it is to 'say something'.

If in doubt... hold a press conference !



Dillon AL 22:04 GMT June 18, 2013  - My Profile
United States: Reply   
Berman knows not about which he spouts
EG: " portfolio managers accidentally requesting a large order be immediately executed"... Now I wonder how that conversation goes cos that order is NEVER accidental
EG: The flash crash occurred because the Algo was overwhelmed and then put its hands in its pockets. (IE did not answer the phone...... for those that try to get through to their broker in a fast market they know this one well or in Futures terms the local put his hands down)
Anyone who wants a link to the Flash Crash lost 13+ minutes contact me through the GV Profile link



Mtl JP 22:02 GMT June 18, 2013  - My Profile Reply   
at risk of repeat: Obama Says Bernanke Has Been at Fed ‘Longer Than He Wanted’ bbrg

Ben is as good as gone.. poof.
-
Stanley Fischer to step down early from Bank of Israel ... - Haaretz 29, 2013 - Fischer was the thesis adviser of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and a former teacher of European Central Bank Governor Mario...

Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer doesn’t rule out taking top job at U.S. Fed

...“When I first entered the job market, a professor said to us ‘never accept a job offer that you haven’t been given.’ I haven’t been given any job offer. I’m not about to accept it. I’m certainly not about to reject it because it doesn’t exist,” he said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “No, I don’t want to retire. I won’t retire. We’ll see what happens next.” ...

Fischer coming fix what Ben has screwed ?



Cambridge Joe 21:53 GMT June 18, 2013
United States: Reply   
CB you listen to Reuters ? Why ?




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