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27/03/17 8:00 AA DE IFO Climate con: 111.1 pre: 111
27/03/17 8:00 AA DE IFO Current con: 118.3 pre: 118.4
27/03/17 8:00 AA DE IFO Expectations con: 104.4 pre: 104
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Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 27 March 2017
GVI Forex Blog 14:53 GMT 03/26/2017  - My Profile

Trading Ideas for 27 Mar 2017

See The Amazing Trader In Action

1.

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
27 Mar Mon
08:00 DE- IFO
28 Mar Tue
14:00 US- CB Confidence
29 Mar Wed
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude
30 Mar Thu
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- GDP
23:30 JP- CPI
31 Mar Fri
7:55 DE- Jobless
8:30 GB- GDP
9:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
14:00 US- final Univ of Mich
2 Apr Sun
00:00 AU/NZ- Clocks "Fall Back"

Forex Trading Outlook

Forex Market: items driving the market to start the new week :
  • Event Risk: The Heathcare fiasco should see the Trump administration trying to change the subject to tax reform.

  • In the U.K., the May goverment will invoke EU Article 50 on Wednesday (March 29). Odds are the latest terrorist event will strengthen her hand.

  • March EZ PMI data were strong. There is a growing perception that the ECB will step back from excessive policy ease. Watch flash HICP data Friday.

  • Lots to consider. Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 27 March 2017


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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:00 GMT 03/26/2017  - My Profile

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Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCHF for 27 - 31 March 2017
Amsterdam NordFX 12:12 GMT 03/26/2017
First, a review of last week’s forecast:

- Speaking of the EUR/USD last week, analysts were not able to give a clear forecast. Indeed, the pair behaved quite sluggishly, and neither the meeting of the ECB, nor the speech of the Head of the Fed, nor even the Trump administration’s landmark vote in the US Congress on the healthcare reform and repeal of Obamacare, could make it more dynamic. The pair's volatility kept within 100 points. As it turned out, the most accurate forecast was given by graphic analysis, denoting a strong support at the 1.0700 horizon (in reality, the pair dropped to 1.0720) and the 1.0850 resistance (in reality, there followed a rise to 1.0824);

- Regarding the forecast for GBP/USD, the alternative scenario occurred, supported by 35% of the experts. As they expected, the pair continued the upward trend and climbed up to 1.2530, and came close to the highs of this February;

- USD/JPY. Here, graphical analysis, along with 40% of analysts, expected a fall of the pair to the lows of February-March in the area of 111.60. However, the bears’ striving towards the south was so strong that they were able to break through this support and push down the pair by another 100 points. After that the bears ran out of strength, and the pair passed into the sideways trend within the range 110.62-111.57;

- Evaluating the future of the pair USD/CHF, most experts agreed that it would continue to decline to the area of 0.9870-0.9900, and this forecast was correct by 100%. On Wednesday 22nd March the pair reached the local bottom at 0.9880, and completed the week-long session at around 0.9911.

***
Forecast for the coming week:
Summarizing the views of a number of analysts from leading banks and brokerage firms, as well as the forecasts made on the basis of a wide variety of technical and graphical analysis methods, we can say the following:

- EUR/USD. At the end of last week, the pair almost reached the upper border of the corridor, which was launched back in November 2016. That is why most experts (60%), supported by graphical analysis and oscillators on D1, believes that a further growth of the pair, although possible, will be negligible, and, having reached the 1.0850-1.0900 area, it is sure to make a U-turn towards the south. According to the remaining 40% of analysts, the bulls have run out of strength and in the next week the pair is expected to decrease first to the level of 1.0650, and then even lower - to the support of 1.0520;

- A similar forecast can be made for the GBP/USD. It is possible that for some time the pair may stay in the range of 1.2420-1.2570, but then, according to 85% of analysts, it will fall to the March lows in the 1.2100-1.2200 area. One should bear in mind that on Wednesday March 29th the British government is expected to launch the Brexit process and the reaction of major players in the market at that point in time could produce some surprises to traders;

- When forecasting the future of USD/JPY, indicators, supported by graphical analysis on D1, vote for the downward trend to continue and for the pair to go down to the 108.00-109.00 zone. As for the experts, opinions are divided equally – half support the fall, while half support the growth of the pair. If we take a look at the medium-term forecast, supporters of the movement to the north prevail significantly - about 75% of analysts vote for the pair's return to the upper boundary of the 2017 sideways channel at the height of 115.00-115.50;

- As for the USD/CHF pair, both experts and graphical analysis expect that it will continue to mirror the behaviour of EUR/USD. Thus, it is not excluded to temporarily go down to the 0.9860-0.9880 zone with a subsequent rise in an attempt to reach a height of 1.0330. About 70% of analysts voted for such a scenario.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets – they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#forex #forex_forecast #eurusd #signals_forex #binary_options
http://nordfx.com/

Monday Trading Ideas
GVI Trading john bland 19:31 GMT 03/25/2017  - My Profile

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbolThe Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for a 25bp Fed rate hike as of the June 17, 2017 meeting are 60% (56%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: HIGHER
Spot EURUSD: 1.0814

Pivot Point: 1.0797

20-day avg: 1.0661
50-day avg: 1.0671
200-day avg: 1.0882


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 25 March 2017
GVI Forex Blog 17:22 GMT 03/25/2017  - My Profile
Register for the Amazing Trader

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These charts tell an interesting story. EURUSD shorts continue to wind down while net GBPUSD short wiiden and USDJPY positions hold about steady. This snapshot was taken early in the week and illustrates how trading has been focused on the crosses rather than the USD.

EURUSD Commitment of Teaders Chart

USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart
GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 25 March 2017


When Trading, Avoid The Herd
nw nw 16:59 GMT 03/25/2017
where cash going? sharpen blades for gbp ???bets..

Commitment Of Traders Report for 21 March 2017
nw kw 16:06 GMT 03/25/2017
so gbpaud looks to be the mover in cot.

When Trading, Avoid The Herd
nw kw 15:57 GMT 03/25/2017
bogey mull are reversing usdgbp did last week in u/c cot.

When Trading, Avoid The Herd
GVI Forex Blog 21:12 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA



Stay Away From Conventional Wisdom Often in the financial markets things things just don't work out as planned. This is not just true in forex. Most of the financial markets, such as equities, got set up long for the Trump Presidency on the promise that he would pursue policies more supportive of economic growth than previous administrations in the recent past. There was also a widespread expectation that a strong USD would ensue and would ultimately see the EURUSD fall to "parity" vs. the USD...

When Trading, Avoid The Herd


BREAKING NEWS
Sydney ACC 20:34 GMT 03/24/2017
The art of politics is compromise.
Clinton suffered a similar fate with his health care plans in the first two years of his presidency where conservative democrats refused to compromise.
In Australia differences between parliamentarians of the same party are general in the party room away from the prying eyes of the press and the public. Afterwards a bill is presented to parliament which has the unified support of all members of the governing party.
No system is perfect but given the intransigence of some members of Congress over recent years it seems to me with my limited knowledge some changes need to be made.

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 20:21 GMT 03/24/2017
Keystone XL = $15B seems to be Trump's league.

Healthcare = +++ $300B is way too big for this president.
Travel ban = another example of president who completely lack the capacity to handle complexity.

have a nice weekend ;-)))

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 20:18 GMT 03/24/2017
This was a group of ideologues who need to be reined in - the obstructionists are the reason people got fed up w/ both parties - they wanted the whole cake and now they got nuthin' - we'll see how this shakes out - they can't use "OBAMACARE" as the bogeyman anymore

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 20:13 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
I agree. This could not have been handled worse. It was the job of Speaker Ryan to handle the legislation and he did a very poor job. Trump knows nothing about getting bills passed.

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 20:10 GMT 03/24/2017
John

this is not about pulling the vote, the US president was definitely in a position to avoid all that circus. by not avoiding the circus from the beginning, he deserves a ZERO for his presentation as the president of world's largest economy (yet)

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 19:52 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
No big surprise that they pulled the bill. There is no point in going down to defeat on a vote. This is not a sporting match...

Commitment Of Traders Report for 21 March 2017
GVI Trading john bland 19:47 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:45 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
15:33 (US) US President Trump says the GOP has just pulled the healthcare bill - press
- Hearing US House speaker Ryan to speak about the healthcare bill at 16:00EDT per Twitter post from account
- US President Trump asked Ryan to pull healthcare bill, Ryan agreed - Hearing President Trump is not blaming Speaker Ryan
- US House unexpectedly goes into recess ahead of the recently pulled healthcare bill vote

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed
Israel Dil 19:44 GMT 03/24/2017
there going to be a NO vote or he should chicken out the last moment into NO VOTE AT ALL ???


LOL

Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed
Israel Dil 19:44 GMT 03/24/2017
there going to be a NO vote or he should chicken out the last moment into NO VOTE AT ALL ???


LOL

The Donald
Ithaca sjm 19:40 GMT 03/24/2017
Who knew healthcare could be so complicated? Chuckle head.

Trump, end of mysterie
Israel Dil 19:31 GMT 03/24/2017
Putin, the Chinese, even the EU and the rest of politicians who hold an IQ higher than average shoe size get the Trump enigma solved, didn't take so long ... LOL

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 March 2017
GVI Forex Blog 19:28 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 March 2017


Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed
Israel Dil 19:27 GMT 03/24/2017
the real show is after the vote, all the stories from Donaldino about how wrong, hypocrite and corrup are those dared to vote a NO... so unsurprising ;-)))

Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed
GVI Trading john bland 19:02 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Heatlhcare vote slated to start in about 30 mins.

Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed
GVI Forex Blog 18:58 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile

U.S. equity markets are ending the day mixed ahead of the House healthcare vote shortly. Yields in the fixed income markets have fallen on a flight to safety. In forex, USD is ending mixed, while the EUR is up on its key crosses.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Equities Ending Week mixed. U.S. 10yr Yield Down. USD Mixed


BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 18:28 GMT 03/24/2017
WSJ had an op-ed criticizing "Freedom Caucus" because if the President shrugs and says "call the next case" he leaves these mopes w/ the burden of explaining to the home district

"sacrificing the good on the altar of the perfect"
_________
Ryan and Trump should make these mopes vote NO w/ their Dem "buddies" - see who is really serious

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 17:19 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
U.S. rigs have increased for the past ten weeks. Canadian rigs are in a virtual free-fall.

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 17:08 GMT 03/24/2017
Ryan has gone to the White House to tell Trump he does not have the votes.

everything you need to know about what's really going on...in 10 mins

The Apprentice - The Entire 1st Season in 10 minutes


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 17:05 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Baker Hughes Rig Count



NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 809 vs. 789 (+20) prev.
Oil: 652 vs. 631 (+21) prev.

Canada:
Total 185 vs. 276 (-91) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 16:59 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
latest report has been around for a while is Ryan has gone to the White House to tell Trump he does not have the votes.

If he is certain he lacks the votes, don't be surprised if he pulls the bill. There is nothing gained by taking a certain loss. They can pull the bill at any time before it goes up for a vote.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 16:22 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
S&P sells-off on vote rumors.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 16:16 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Report Republican leaders are not confident about the vote later today.
>>TTN.com

BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 16:04 GMT 03/24/2017
Dil 14:44

Trump’s core supporters regarded Ryan as at best unimportant during the presidential campaign and at worst a poster child for the sort of establishment, scripted politician they loathed.
Bloomberg

So is today's vote, which Trump is shoving down the throats of conservative holdouts, many of whom have warned they will not change their vote, just a complex charade to discredit the House speaker and rellieve him of his job? Find out some time around market close today.
ZeroHedge



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 15:37 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Quite a difference between Atlanta and NY with only one week to go in the quarter...

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 15:36 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
NY Fed 1Q17 GDP forecast 3.0% vs. 2.8% on 3/7

>>tradethenews.com

GVI Data Calendar for 27 March 2017
GVI Forex Blog 15:28 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

March 24, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, March 27, 2017.

  • Far East: JP- No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: No Major Data

 

 

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
26 Mar Sun
00:00 EZ/GB Clocks + One hour

27 Mar Mon
08:00 DE- IFO
28 Mar Tue
14:00 US- CB Confidence
29 Mar Wed
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude
30 Mar Thu
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- GDP
23:30 JP- CPI
31 Mar Fri
7:55 DE- Jobless
8:30 GB- GDP
9:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
14:00 US- final Univ of Mich
2 Apr Sun
00:00 AU/NZ- Clocks "Fall Back"

GVI Data Calendar for 27 March 2017


BILL
PTA AHG 15:07 GMT 03/24/2017
healthcare bill at 10AM EST. There is expected to be a 1 hour debate on rules and then 4 hours of general debate which sets the House up for a procedural vote around 11:15 am EST and a final vote expected around 4.45 pm.

eurusd
Belgrade Knez 15:05 GMT 03/24/2017

Anyone knows when news about healthcare is due, please?

thank you.

eurusd
GC FX 15:00 GMT 03/24/2017
auto EUR trader bought the lows and now have gone short again 1.0803 they target 1.0760-65 again... choppy range till news ?

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 14:44 GMT 03/24/2017
Trump says U.S. house speaker Ryan should stay on as leader even if healthcare bill fails

Source FxWire Pro

eurusd
Tallinn viies 14:37 GMT 03/24/2017
took small euro long at 1,0795. stop at 1,0745. target 1,0870

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 14:11 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Atlanta Fed 1Q17 GDP forecast 1.00% vs 0.90% on 3/16

Source: tradethenews.com

Friday Trading Ideas
Israel Dil 14:07 GMT 03/24/2017
Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: sub 110 Stop: 112.20

fw cs


BREAKING NEWS
dc CB 14:03 GMT 03/24/2017
PASS IT TO KNOW WHAT'S IN IT
Nancy Pelosi 2009

PASS IT TO KNOW WHAT'S IN IT
Paul Ryan 2017

Dueling banjos in the House.

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 14:02 GMT 03/24/2017
no vote or Trump losses... there are not enough stupid senators to what about something they even don't get the time to read/learn, or there are majority of stupid senators?

BREAKING NEWS
Israel Dil 13:59 GMT 03/24/2017
John

it means the senators going to vote WITHOUT reading/learning what they exactly vote about...

so, outcome should be NO VOTE at all or FAILURE to pass the Trumpcare, which personally I see as Obamacare... but Donaldino insists this gifts bag to be related to him as JOBLESS USA & over 60 voters decide who is the president... wonders of American democracy

Breaking News: U.S. flash Markit and Service PMIs for March 2017 Miss
GVI Forex Blog 13:55 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
U.S. flash Markit Mfg PMI. Miss versus estimates. This remains a second-tier release. Final data come out at the start of the new month.
U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI U.S. flash Markit Mfg & Service PMI. Miss versus estimates. U.S. flash Markit Service PMI

Breaking News: U.S. flash Markit and Service PMIs for March 2017 Miss


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 13:46 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
Big PMI Misses

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trading john bland 13:45 GMT 03/24/2017  - My Profile
U.S. Markit flash MFG and Services PMI March 2017
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
MFG:
53.4 vs. 54.8 exp. vs. 54.2 prev.
SVC:
52.9 vs. 54.2 exp. vs. 53.8

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


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Trading Ideas for 27 Mar 2017

See The Amazing Trader In Action

1.

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
27 Mar Mon
08:00 DE- IFO
28 Mar Tue
14:00 US- CB Confidence
29 Mar Wed
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude
30 Mar Thu
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- GDP
23:30 JP- CPI
31 Mar Fri
7:55 DE- Jobless
8:30 GB- GDP
9:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
14:00 US- final Univ of Mich
2 Apr Sun
00:00 AU/NZ- Clocks "Fall Back"

Forex Trading Outlook

Forex Market: items driving the market to start the new week :
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