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5/22/15 20:00
Target   3-Mo
2.25 Aust 2.96
0.10 Japan 0.12
0.50 U.K. 0.56
0.05 E-Z 0.06
-0.75 Switz 0.01
0.75 Cda 1.17
0.25 U.S. 0.23
2-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.01 -1
Japan 0.00 0
U.K. 0.54 -1
E-Z -0.21 1
Switz -0.86 -1
Cda 0.68 0
U.S. 0.62 4
10-YR % bp chg
Aust 2.91 -4
Japan 0.42 1
U.K. 1.92 -5
E-Z 0.61 -2
Switz 0.01 -2
Cda 1.78 1
U.S. 2.21 3

Market Tracker



Click to refresh 5 mins after data release to update clock
26/05/15 12:30 A US Dur Goods con: -0.50% pre: 4.70%
26/05/15 12:30 A US D/G ex-trans con: n/a pre: 0.30%
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Mtl JP 13:03 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
Mester on yak deck in a few minutes; w/Q&A

China Market Fundamentals
Mtl JP 13:00 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
China shares surge anew, Tokyo shares hit 15-Year highs

“The enormous demand for stocks isn’t met with sufficient supply of new stocks” - Fang Yan, analyst at Guosen Securities EU Mid-Market Update: Little progress seen in Greece bailout extension talks ; part
Mtl JP 12:31 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
light participation leaves the door open to comedian players and their kind of sense of price humor

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 10:49 GMT 05/25/2015
I don't think , it will break up 11060 , so sell and add sell if rise.

Global-View Trading Systemsl
GVI Forex john 10:48 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
london red 10:32 GMT 05/25/2015
euro. after stronger cpi its possible the dollar breaks out further and id go along with the possibility of a good move of a couple of figs. but one cannot first rule out a test of 11050/62/84 and poss 11114/24, so stops need to be abv there or put option. we are ight at bottom of last weeks range so either it does 2 or 3 figs from here or it fills back a bit before a more gradual move lower over the week.

GVI Forex john 10:28 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

May 25, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 26, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, flash Markit PMI, CB Consumer Confidence. Richmond Fed, New Home Sales, 2-yr Auction
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Durable Goods, Case Shiller, flash Markit PMI, CB Consumer Confidence. Richmond Fed, New Home Sales, 2-yr Auction,

GVI Forex john 10:22 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
GVI Forex 10:16 GMT 05/25/2015  - My Profile
European stocks fell in early trading after a Greek minister said that Athens would struggle to meet its upcoming debt payments. (from a BBC report)

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 10:00 GMT 05/25/2015
Sell any where , stop loss 11060.

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Bahrain MI 09:58 GMT 05/25/2015
Are you saying sell here at 1.0975 with stop loss above 1.1060?

EURUSD 200-300 pips move
Amman wfakhoury 09:52 GMT 05/25/2015

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

EURUSD ready to go down for 200-300 pips from 1.1060
Sell stop loss 1.1060.

Tallinn viies 08:08 GMT 05/25/2015
bought euros at 1,0964. stop at 1,0914. target 1,1010

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:11 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile

>> Open Access <<

What a difference a week can make! At this time last week I posed whether EURUSD would test 1.15 and now we are looking at whether 1.10 can hold. There were some clues this past week to the shift in risk to the dollar upside that I reveal in the following video: 

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
Mtl JP 22:31 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
here is a reason ... G7 finance ministers to address faltering global growth rtrs

Similar to Yellen's misguiding prattle, concerned with "faltering global growth" instead of too much debt and consequent issues in the financial / banking markets.

KL KL 22:25 GMT 05/24/2015
ha ha...covering the rest here...1.0999 than negative cash in the profit indicator.......LOL

KL KL 22:06 GMT 05/24/2015
While everyone snooring and sleeping ..>Doomsh arrive and Long EURUSD 1.1070.....what funny biznes is this...Ultra Relentless....means in big chunks and as fast as HFT fingers can take the trade in 3 Armada account......when there is something so obvious...take the gamble and cover quick

DYOR..DFM..DLTM and...wheee.... no need to be cocky...cover one Armada here 1.09813...just in case taken to the cleaners have one more account of Starship proportion to eke out a living .......

covered another 5/6 Armada left one more out 1.09801... 4/5 out and wait to start long again...

now to do research why the sudden dip....LOL...does it really matter...Naah...forget it...just trade and take profit!!

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
Livingston nh 21:53 GMT 05/24/2015
BEWARE the CHARTS - fundamentals are like gravity - if you can't see it you can still get crushed

Max McKegg's AUDNZD Forecast
GVI Forex Blog 18:38 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile

Since calling the end of Ozzy’s multi-year Bear market versus the Kiwi (refer Weekly Chart below) the Ozzy has rallied strongly and continues to trace-out an “impulsive” wave sequence to the upside.

Max McKegg's AUDNZD Forecast

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Global-View Economic Chart Directory

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: Smoothed moving averages turning soft. US and CAD turning down. AUD and China tend follow one another with Australia dependent on demand for exports from China.

Charts : Fundamentals for Trading
GVI Forex john 13:38 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Global-View Economic Chart Directory

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART:
Latest Manufacturing PMI. Relative economic strengths are converging at a slow expansion level. The U.S. Markit PMI has slowed substantially, while the Eurozone has converged with the U.S. The chart generally supports my view of trading range markets.

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
HK RF@ 12:28 GMT 05/24/2015

Good timing for the freeloaders on a long weekend, enough time extort some more money.

HK RF@ 11:31 GMT 05/24/2015

Porto Cubriclas

Agree! That is the reason, I mention that, so waiting for the action.

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister
GVI Forex 10:54 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Is this just posturing or some minister shooting from the hip?

Greece will not make June IMF repayment: interior minister

Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:35 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
For those who missed my article on market liquidity

Ask Your Advocate: What is the difference between trading volumes and market liquidity?

Your Advocate Says: There is a big difference between trading volumes and liquidity. The greater the liquidity, the easier it is for the market to absorb large trading volumes. The opposite is true when liquidity is thin. I have seen large volumes go through the forex market and the price of a currency barely move while other times I have seen relatively small orders have an exaggerated impact on the price of a currency.

Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Mtl JP 00:45 GMT 05/24/2015  - My Profile
Trouble with Yellen making some claims about economic projections is that they are irrelevant.

What is more relevant is what is draining the blood from money managers' and investors' faces when they think about their portfolio: market liquidity, "one of the most under-appreciated risk factors facing most investors today."

Liquidity is, more or less, the ability for investors to move in and out of positions without having to take big losses.

..."Discussions, as such, were dominated by the broader issues of liquidity, positioning, market dynamics, and fundamentals. And in fact fundamentals at present seem to be taking a back seat for most. Market liquidity has unambiguously shifted up investors’ hierarchy of issues. While it seems that large investors have already been managing a larger share of their portfolios with an eye on market liquidity than was the case pre-crisis, the range of clients factoring liquidity into their investment decisions has broadened further.”

That’s not how it is supposed to be, given that central banks have been injecting liquidity into markets for years.

Equally if, as clients have told Yetsenga, they are already positioning for a lack of liquidity, this can further exacerbate that very lack of liquidity. That is, as traders and investors shrink position sizes, become move tentative, and less certain of their conviction in their positions, they are likely to hold them for shorter periods and exit more quickly.

They may even step aside completely for a time.

This puts further pressure on liquidity, indeed it can plunge it into a downward spiral. ".../..

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Dillon AL 20:13 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
FED chair effectively confirms with her words that she is useless and is a reactionary to events. Something we have always known just as they cannot see bubbles

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
dc CB 16:02 GMT 05/23/2015
“I am describing the outlook that I see as most likely, but based on many years of making economic projections, I can assure you that any specific projection that I write down will turn out to be wrong, perhaps markedly so,”

Janet Yellen. Friday, May 22, 2015

Fed chair affirms plans for rate hike this year

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
Mtl JP 14:01 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
When will the theme of relative QE – I.e printing - policy between the ECB and the FED kick into players' calculations if it is not doing so already with eurdlr frolicking around 1.10 instead of challenging 1.15 ?

Porto Cubriclas 13:03 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile
HK RF@ 07:54 GMT

All expert opinions now about NZD negative.

Hi RF!
Who are "all"?
90% of experts fail...

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead
GVI Forex Blog 11:30 GMT 05/23/2015  - My Profile

John M. Bland

New Dollar Scenario Unfolding The new dollar trading scenario we have been developing over the past few weeks continues to unfold. The bull dollar trend continues run out of steam as markets reassess the potential strength of the U.S. economy. On the other hand, the outlook for the European economy has improved.

Forex Prices Moving Into Range Markets: Week Ahead

HK RF@ 07:54 GMT 05/23/2015

All expert opinions now about NZD negative.

For an AAA economy eh.

Will think a buy at about 0.7150

dc CB 00:35 GMT 05/23/2015
zerohedge @zerohedge ·
Surely economists realize that thanks to "double seasonal adjustments" they just became the laughing stock of the whole world

nw kw 23:39 GMT 05/22/2015
nzd/usd and gbp/nzd looks like gbp/usd is soft / see if home builders support a good usd econ. next week

Mtl JP 22:45 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile
Statement by the Bank of England
22 May 2015
Today, information related to planned confidential Bank work on the potential implications of a renegotiation and national referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union made its way into the public domain, due to an internal email sent inadvertently to an external party.

It should not come as a surprise that the Bank is undertaking such work about a stated government policy. There are a range of economic and financial issues that arise in the context of the renegotiation and national referendum. It is one of the Bank’s responsibilities to assess those that relate to its objectives.

It is not sensible to talk about this work publicly, in advance. But as with work done prior to the Scottish referendum, we will disclose the details of such work at the appropriate time.

While it is unfortunate that this information has entered the public domain in this way, the Bank will maintain this approach.

GVI Forex 20:19 GMT 05/22/2015
Wire Report
BOE Accidentally Emails Brexit Plan To UK Newspaper -- Report

Commitment of Traders Report
dc CB 20:15 GMT 05/22/2015
Radical positioning for a big move?



GVI Forex john 19:59 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile

Commitment of Traders Report
GVI Forex john 19:39 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for EUR COT Details

Click on chart forJPY COT Details

Net GBP and CHF COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

Net AUD and CAD COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

CHART POINTS- Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 19:12 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

gc sf 18:35 GMT 05/22/2015
slept through most of the move

but can add a couple of levels for reference

1.1040 is going to be a resistance point - as it would be the B/E on what you could have dealt on this morning... options wise

the next one obv where we are at 1.1000

probably the more interesting one is this 1.0940/1.0960 - which is the b/e on the purchase of the put + call ... if we punch through there then 1.0765-1.0800 would be right in play.

you guys have been great this week with tonnes of top notch views + thoughts - looking forward to seeing what comes up next week.

Thanks also to GVI John for all his hard work -- nice weekend everyone.

dc CB 18:12 GMT 05/22/2015
And since economists pride themselves in giving complex names to what even 5 years olds now grasp is open data manipulation, the technical term the BEA will use to goalseek historical data is now also clear: "residual seasonality"

"Although the agency adjusts its figures for seasonal variations, growth in any given first quarter still tends to be weaker than in the remaining three, economists have found, a sign there may be some bias in the data. It’s a phenomenon economists call “residual seasonality.”

• BEA will review all series entering the GDP calculations to identify, and where feasible, mitigate any residual seasonality within its existing seasonal adjustment methodologies.

• Time frame to implement: Review will take place with the release of second-quarter GDP on July 30. Period covered: 2012, 2013, 2014, and forward.


PS: to me this looks perrrrrfffect to show that Yes Virginia, the Economy DID recover Spectacularly during the second Obama term. Anyone who doubts it will be proven Wrong by the New Numbers.

US Department Of Commerce Officially Jumps The Shark, Will "Double Seasonally Adjust" GDP Data

Mtl JP 18:06 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile
fwiw euro day Pivot Sup 3 at 1.0973

dc CB 18:05 GMT 05/22/2015
In a blog post published Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis listed a series of alterations it will make in seasonally adjusting data used to calculate economic growth. The changes will be implemented with the release of the initial second-quarter GDP estimate on July 30, the BEA said.

“BEA is aware of the potential for residual seasonality in GDP and its components, and the agency is looking for ways to minimize this phenomenon,” the division said in the post. More information will be available in a BEA Survey of Current Business report scheduled for mid-June publication.

The U.S. Is About to Change the Way It Calculates GDP

Mtl JP 17:36 GMT 05/22/2015  - My Profile
all u need to remember is that

- ECB is printing 100billion/month now up from 60billion/m (66% boost) - while the FED is scaremogering to hike rates

to set your bias
unless the dynamic changes on new input

dc CB 17:28 GMT 05/22/2015
@zerohedge the weather count is now3 no no 4


The Fed considers shelving rate hike plans as it realizes it will snow again in 6 months.

Next Page


Ask Your Advocate: What is the Difference Between Forex Trading Volumes and Liquidity?

What Level Would be Fatal for the EURUSD?

Will EURUSD Test 1.15? Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Strong USD Scenario Fading Into The Sunset: Week Ahead

Forex 101: It's the Reaction to News that Matters!


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