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FOREX FORUM
30/09/14 20:30 C US API Energy con: n/a pre: n/a
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Global Markets News
GVI Forex Blog 15:35 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
The Euro remains under pressure from the low core CPI print early in the session. It did bounce more than 40 pips from fresh 2+ year lows after news filtered out that Eurostat revised higher the unrounded figures.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Russia concerns abate


Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 15:23 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
USDJPY is more east as well

110.1255 109.2004
all week

Chickens
Mtl JP 15:17 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Catalonia Suspends Independence Referendum Campaign

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 15:11 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
I think an east direction for Gold this week
On average 1224 to 1207 all week

Forex Trade of the Day
NY JM 15:04 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Quiet 4 PM Ldn end of quarter fixing

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:49 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
High so far 1.2634 vs. 1.2637 = 50%

Friski Trade Ideas
Mtl JP 14:39 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Sell EURUSD
Entry: market Target: few pips under 1.6210 Stop: couple pips above 1.6250

similar trade and paras : short gbpusd

hicp
GVI Forex 14:09 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
10:09 (EU) Eurostat revises today's earlier Euro Zone Sept Advance CPI Core Estimate higher from 0.7% to 0.8% - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

U.S. Conference Board Survey September 2014
GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Pretty clearly a correction in CB survey? Looks like exuberance had been getting out of hand.

Repos
dc CB 14:05 GMT 09/30/2014
Today's Special WindowDressing -

Submitted: 407.167 Billion
Accepted: 300.000 Billion- because of cap.


U.S. Conference Board Survey September 2014
GVI Forex john 14:04 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
CHART: Univ of Michigan & Conference Board Sentiment. Conference Board Survey much weaker than expected.





Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 14:02 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
placed shorts cable
1.6306 1.6266
TGT 1.6141

EURUSD
1.2736 1.2697

tgt 1.2580


U.S. Conference Board Survey September 2014
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile




NEWS ALERT

86.0 vs. 92.4 exp. vs. 92.4 prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer




Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 13:52 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
AUDCAD Shorts
0.9782 0.9762
tgt
0.9672

hicp
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:52 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
This suggests the HICP may not have been as deflationary as appeared.

09:49 [EUR/USD] Rise after comments that Eurostat may have tweaked rounding on Euro zone CPI numbers that were out earlier today

- the talks suggest an unrounded y/y number +0.74% v 0.9%e

Source TradeTheNews.com

- Source TradeTheNews.com


Russian Ruble
GVI Forex john 13:40 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Talk of a currency run. Currency controls and intervention.
Will they have to sell EUR?? Have they been?

cable
london red 13:33 GMT 09/30/2014
sold off from 6215 res but now watching potential inverse shs. low of 6193 keep that particular game in play with 6215 neck. target would be somewhere around yes you guessed it 6240 which is probably a good point to sar. for a look at 6160 eventually.

U.S. Case Shiller-20 July 2014
Mtl JP 13:30 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
haha Omen , right . Only for central banker fraudsters printing madly to not only put a floor under but preferably boost prices of "assets" and consumer prices inflating in the official belief that higher prices are reflective symbols of economic growth. The Omen ... is about their six yrs of near zero % of multi-trillions sized "stimulus" having produced approximately zero economic growth. The only thing missing from the zilch economic growth is price-inflation

Forex Trade of the Day
Plovdiv Gotin 13:29 GMT 09/30/2014
Between 1.2600/10 is 1.2604-->1.1875/1.1640.

U.S. Case Shiller-20 July 2014
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Pay attention to what John says about fundamentals - he was the first one to point out weakness in the German economy when everyone else was touting how strong it was.

U.S. Case Shiller-20 July 2014
GVI Forex john 13:05 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
I don't watch this number at all. What's the point of two month old home prices? Nevertheless I seem to recall the y/y figures were running in double digits at the beginning of the year. 10-12%?

Now rate of increase has been tumbling. Omen?

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:02 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
To add to what Red just posted. This is from my post on GVI Forex

Tuesday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:39 GMT 09/30/2014 - My Profile
Intra-day EURUSD 1.2610 is a (minor) key resistance as little above it until 1.2620/50/62. Trades bearish while below 1.2610 but also 1.26 will be a pivotal bias setter while within the new 1.2550-1.2650 range (suggests 1.2600-10 as a no man's land band).

Forex Trade of the Day
Mtl JP 13:01 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
JN 12:46 1.2670

U.S. Case Shiller-20 July 2014
GVI Forex john 13:00 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile



ALERT
6.75% vs. +7.40% exp. vs. +8.10% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Forex Trade of the Day
london red 12:48 GMT 09/30/2014
miami, for now i hve 12607, stop over 12611. but its end q3 today and fix will be even more important. i dont know what will happen but it wont pass without a bang. so i have 12619 and 12629 as further points to get involved should eurgbp buying rear its head end of month.

Forex Trade of the Day
Miami JN 12:46 GMT 09/30/2014
Any suggested eurusd sell levels? tia

Canada: GDP August 2014
london red 12:35 GMT 09/30/2014
cad. thats a surprise. should remove some weight from this pair now. 11214 144 month ema.

Canada: GDP August 2014
GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
big miss on Canadian GDP. Some estimates were for as high as +0.30%.

Canada: GDP August 2014
GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile




ALERT
m/m +0.00% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System
GVI Forex john 12:05 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile


Selected daily USD & EUR Pivots. Complete Chart Point tables.Click chart icon to store in top browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:55 GMT 09/30/2014
Outside day GBPUSD but paused above S3 = 1.6158

EURUSD through S3 (1.2613), rare occurrence but one of those days.

Forex Trade of the Day
london red 11:54 GMT 09/30/2014
jay, 12664.4 high pre data. using 1 min chart. theyve done the 23.6 and sadly my ride ends there as stop was at 97. looking to re enter on 38.2 at 12607 with stop over that high at 12610.4.

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:53 GMT 09/30/2014
Using that range (1.2702-1.2571)
1.2602 = 23.6%
1.2621 = 38.2%
1.2637 = 50%
1.2652 = 61,8%

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:47 GMT 09/30/2014
Red, by pre-data high, do you mean the 1.2702 high for the day (making the range 1.2702-1.2571) - just trying tio get on the same page with what you are posting.

Forex Trade of the Day
London Chris 11:42 GMT 09/30/2014
It is hard not to be bearish but price action and lack of sell calls here says otherwise.

Forex Trade of the Day
london red 11:30 GMT 09/30/2014
using pre data high to day low. so far they did the 23.6 off lows a couple of times with a really weak bull trap on the second. still v weak. usually you get the 38.2 or 50 so still strongly points to downside. i have an interim level at 12562, but the fib at 12502 is the main lvl of focus as you say.
re calls, pretty much majority of board is bearish i would have thought. and rightly so. but to put it in black and white, 11700 before 13020.

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:23 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile


Weekly chart - little until 1.2040 following the 1.2662 break

Red, are you using fibs for the day's range?

Forex Trade of the Day
london red 11:14 GMT 09/30/2014
john think best realistically now is a return to 12610 but all things being equal data wise, probably not today, maybe tomorrow. its the unbeaten, thus far, prev high. i had my stop abv it until recently, now hve abv 12596, the most recent high and a couple of pips abv the 23.6 of data high to low.

hicp
London Chris 11:13 GMT 09/30/2014
John I was reacting to what red said about rounding but it matters little since the reaction to news is what matters.

What I am surprised at is how few sell euro calls there have been here and perhaps that is why it continues to fall as it is harder and harder for traders to sell the lower it gets. This is why I asked for possible support levels, more as a target than a place to buy.

Forex Trade of the Day
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:00 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
So much for the hope the fixing gives us better sell levels scenario. Still have to watch the fixing times but close below 1.2662 is bearish and 1.25 is now on the radar as long as below 1.2650.

hicp
GVI Forex john 10:48 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Chris- I suggest you look at the HICP chart and stop worrying about "rounding errors". CPI data tend to change by about only one tenth of a percent or so m/m. To say a change of that magnitude is a "rounding error" is not helpful when the markets are going to react.

Eurozone Flash HICP Sees Prices Continuing To Fall. Weak German Employment Figures
GVI Forex Blog 10:40 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CA- GDP, US- Case-Shiller, Chicago PMI, CB Confidence

Eurozone flash September HICP saw prices continue to fall. This will intensify the pressure on the ECB to stabilize prices at its meeting this week. German unemployment figures were weaker than expected, but retail Sales data were mixed.

Eurozone Flash HICP Sees Prices Continuing To Fall. Weak German Employment Figures. Final U.K. QQ GDP Revised Higher


Current Conditions: RISK-ON
GVI Forex john 10:28 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Markets appear to be movning into  a RISK-ON posture today following weak flsh Eurozone HICP data and weaker than expected German unemployment data ahead of the ECB decision on Thursday.. The EURUSD is trading lower on the day.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher. The 10-yr bund is 0.980%,  +2.0% bp. Peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.490% +5.0bp. BOE Gov Carney has continued to signal a Spring 2015 rate hike.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.520%, +3.2bp.The Psychological focus is now 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mixed. Bourses in Europe are mostly higher.  U.S. share futures are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).



Day's Trades
london red 10:17 GMT 09/30/2014
euro thru 23.6 fib at 08 lets see if they set a bull trap to the 38.2 at 12619.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:15 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Red
You are a great trader my friend.. :)
always...hates off to you brother

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:13 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
USDCAD Pivot for the week
1.1183

day 1.1158

Long layer
1.1113 1.1099

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:09 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Red/
I can not comment here my friend

Just that i look at my differential alternatives at the same time...
there are other pairs
Like AUDUSD seems more importatnt to me at this level

Pivot for the week 0.8688
day 0.8721
short layer
0.8782 0.8776
Not messing with cable


Day's Trades
london red 10:04 GMT 09/30/2014
kal re cable you always get your chances. the gap low at 77 was tested yest and today. today i got stopped following upside initially, but back under the move came. cable is outperforming now due to eurgbp but 16160 should come evenually while under 6240. for now last low at 6215 caps.

Day's Trades
SaaR KaL 10:00 GMT 09/30/2014  - My Profile
Red/
It might get over volatile and keep south (Generally south for sure)

Just that I can not work on these terms on average (Over all trading if you know what i mean)


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