Tallinn viies 20:45 GMT September 8, 2010
eurusd: Reply   
thnks John

GVI Forex john 20:33 GMT September 8, 2010
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API
Crude -7.3m
Gasoline +650K
Distillates +1.3m
C/U 86.2%

GVI Forex john 19:28 GMT September 8, 2010
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GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT September 8, 2010
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GVI Forex john 09:42 GMT September 8, 2010
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Syd 02:43 GMT September 8, 2010
Greeks are sure of one thing: they can’t trust their fellow Greeks.: Reply   
As Wall Street hangs on the question “Will Greece default?,” the author heads for riot-stricken Athens, and for the mysterious Vatopaidi monastery, which brought down the last government, laying bare the country’s economic insanity. But beyond a $1.2 trillion debt (roughly a quarter-million dollars for each working adult), there is a more frightening deficit. After systematically looting their own treasury, in a breathtaking binge of tax evasion, bribery, and creative accounting spurred on by Goldman Sachs, Greeks are sure of one thing: they can’t trust their fellow Greeks.
LINK

Syd 19:54 GMT September 7, 2010
The risk to mere consolidation: euro: Reply   
https://www.mcssl.com/content/166063/CC/090710_CC_final.pdf

GVI Forex john 18:12 GMT September 7, 2010
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GVI Forex john 14:29 GMT September 7, 2010
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CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
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Syd 12:53 GMT September 7, 2010
Crops, Crude & Coins: Reply   
Discussing whether commodities are the place to be this fall, with Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter.http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1579855327&play=1

Syd 11:53 GMT September 7, 2010
Yield Spreads In Periphery Continue To Widen: Reply   
Yield spreads on peripheral euro-zone government bonds over bunds continue to widen on niggling worries over the European banking system. Equities and EUR are also feeling the brunt, while safe-haven bund yields are trending lower. 10-year Irish/German bund yield spread 36bps wider at 377bps, another record high while Greece is 24.5bps wider at 939.1bps. Portugal is also under the cosh, with the yield spread over bunds 20.4bps wider at 350.5bps ahead of Wednesday's auction with data also showing the country's bank remain dependent on ECB funding.

GVI Forex john 09:38 GMT September 7, 2010
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Syd 06:48 GMT September 7, 2010
Get Out Of Gold and Stocks: Strategist : Reply   
“We are now entering what are normally the worst four months for markets and we will see new lows hit in October, at which point the market will discount the prospect of the mid-term elections,” he said. “The market will realize Obama is a lame duck one-term loser.”

“The real message has been coming from the bond market, which last month began to tell us there is really bad news out there. Following massive buying in August, we have seen some selling but this will not last.“
http://www.cnbc.com/id/39023697

Syd 06:39 GMT September 7, 2010
Political Uncertainties Weigh On Belgium Debt: Reply   
The 10-year Belgium/German bond yield spread widened more than 7 bps on the day Monday following the break up of coalition talks between the country's political parties. With no agreement after two months, the divisions between the French and Flemish speaking remain and this is weighing on country's government debt. The 10-year Belgium/German yield spread is unchanged in early Tuesday trading at 68 bps

Syd 06:03 GMT September 7, 2010
Euro Falls on Concern About Financial Health of European Banks; Yen Gains: Reply   
“Worries over fund-raising by Europe’s banks and governments are likely to persist,” said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd., Japan’s largest currency broker. “The bias is for the euro to be sold.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-06/euro-falls-for-second-day-on-concern-over-european-nations-fiscal-health.html

Syd 01:45 GMT September 7, 2010
Hidden perils for the RBA: Reply   
Australian interest rates have risen beyond the borrower pain barrier, so any further increase, whether it be next month or in three months' time, will curb consumer demand -especially as consumers know their power bills are going to double over four years and will rise even further if we have a carbon tax.

If the Reserve Bank tries to compensate for the looming mining investment boom by bashing the heads of those who live in the major cities, the unstable political situation will become even more unstable.
And overseas we should all be aware that the various bond markets are giving a totally different signals to the share markets. For example, in Europe, Greek bonds carry about a 9.4 per cent spread over the German 10-year bond rate, and Ireland and Portugal are just below a 3.5 per cent spread (Do not fall for talk of European solvency, September 6)
The simple fact is that Greece may be curbing expenditure, but will be required to suffer much more when it comes to forcing the bankers who have large Greek loans to take big losses. I am not sure the Greeks will stand for a second set of blows to help out German and French banks.

Portugal and Ireland are also in for tougher times as their bankers face up to losses in the loans they made. There may also be some nasties ahead for banks in the US before the US housing problems are finally sorted out.

All this means that it could become much harder for Australian banks to keep increasing their borrowing overseas to satisfy the credit appetite of Australian consumers. The RBA should beware of lumping further official interest rate increases on top of all this.
Robert Gottliebsen

Syd 22:53 GMT September 6, 2010
Troublesome Loans Rising At CBA: Reply   

The post-GFC bad debt pressure may be easing, but UBS notes CBA's loan book quality is deteriorating.

Syd 20:41 GMT September 6, 2010
Best Shorting Opportunity of 2010: Reply   
“Do not put risk on; we’re getting ready for the best shorting opportunity of the year,” Robin Griffiths, technical strategist at Cazenove Capital told CNBC, looking at the S&P 500 chart.http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1584533623&play=1

Syd 09:00 GMT September 6, 2010
Slower Economy Being Revealed: Reply   
The temporary factors supporting the recovery are fading and will likely reveal a much slower economy; a realization that is only just taking hold in the markets," Christian Blaabjerg from censored Bank told CNBC Monday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1584517908&play=1

Syd 06:42 GMT September 6, 2010
Australia's capital leak: : Reply   
Australia's capital leak
Institutional investors fear that a flight of capital overseas is a serious risk if Australia fails to find a means of pricing carbon. The chief concern for Australian-based Investor Group on Climate Change is of capital leakage, where Australian money is funneled overseas, seeking investments in low-carbon technology and industries because of limited opportunities in Australia.
This is already happening on a small scale. The only two Australian-based funds that specialise in clean technology investments both eschew Australia – not because of of its lack of R&D and innovation, but because the policies are not in place to support the right business models. “The risk for Australia is for our capital flows to go offshore,” says IGCC CEO Nathan Fabian. “Miners talk about carbon leakage, but there is just as great a risk of capital leakage – money moving offshore for low-carbon exposure, the money that will go to china, Europe or south America where governments are setting policies in place.www.climatespectator.com.au

Syd 20:43 GMT September 5, 2010
Fears rise as EU nations aim to raise borrowing: : Reply   
Fears rise as EU nations aim to raise borrowing:
The eurozone debt crisis is about to enter a critical phase as governments prepare to step up borrowing in the capital markets to fund their faltering economies.
Some strategists are warning that some of the weaker economies could fail to raise the amount of money they need as eurozone governments attempt to issue double the amount of debt this month compared with August.
Eurozone governments will try to raise €80bn ($103bn) in September compared with new bond issuance of €43bn in August. Spain is expected to attempt to borrow €7bn in September compared with €3.5bn in August, according to ING Financial Markets.
Padhraic Garvey, head of rates strategy for developed markets at ING Financial Markets, said: “We are heading into a critical period as the chances rise that a government may fail to raise the money it needs
“Spain, Portugal and Ireland are the obvious ones to worry about. Are investors willing to stay long, or buy the debt of these countries? I’m still not seeing investors willing to buy into the periphery.”Some strategists say the return of most investors from holidays this week could increase volatility in these markets because many have put decisions on their portfolios on hold during the summer.

With most investors back at their desks, some could start selling peripheral debt in the coming weeks, particularly as the outlook for the global economy has deteriorated. In spite of some better than expected data out of the US last week, worries about a double-dip recession have increased.

double-dip recession would hit the economies of Spain, Portugal and Ireland particularly hard, although even core countries, such as France and Germany, could struggle to attract investors, say strategists

new york 21:32 GMT September 3, 2010
credit card debt: Reply   
credit card debt

new york 21:29 GMT September 3, 2010
credit card debt : Reply   
Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:


Debt Consolidation

GVI Forex john 19:52 GMT September 3, 2010
CFTC COT Report Charts: Reply   
GVI index of long futures positions (weekly change). Range 0 to 100. A reading of 50 means longs and shorts are equal.

Commitment of Traders Report...





Recent History on Futures Forum GVI Index: History of long futures positions (weekly change). Range 0 to 100. A reading of 50 means longs and shorts are equal.

Commitment of Traders Report...

Syd 19:15 GMT September 3, 2010
'Equities are dead, long live bonds' : Reply   
If you have followed the advice of the great and the good in the financial world, you would have been investing your savings in equities. After all, you would have been told, equities outperform all other assets over the long term.

Yet if you believe the latest piece of research published by leading financial analysts at Citigroup, the so-called "cult of the equity" is dead and you might be wasting your time.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/7980640/Equities-are-dead-long-live-bonds.html

Syd 19:03 GMT September 3, 2010
Analysis: Irish Economy Faces Crunch Time, Investors Nervous: Reply   
By Emma CharltonnnBRUSSELS (MNI) - Crunch time is nearing for Ireland as the country's stricken banks try to roll over billions of euros worth of debt amid investor fears about just how big the final bill for bailing them out might be. nnWorries about the ability of the Irish government to manage the country's deficit, along with the dire state of the country's banking system, have pushed Irish bond yields sharply higher. Irish spreads over the benchmark German Bund hit a record high level of 371 basis points on August 31. By Friday morning, the spreads had narrowed only slightly to +356bps and remained the second widest in the Eurozone, after Greece. nnIreland's banking system all but collapsed in 2008 and through much of 2009 as its property boom imploded and the economy plunged into a deep recession. Lenders who had given out billions of euros in cheap credit were left with thousands of "bad loans" or "toxic assets" that will never be repaid. nnThe country's largest lenders are currently surviving on government nationalisation programmes and generous liquidity provisions from the European Central Bank. Economists say most of the government money will never be recouped. nn"Unlike in the UK, where the government looks pretty well placed to make a profit on its financial support measures, the Irish government will make a loss. The big question is how big it will be," said Colin Ellis, a London-based economist. nn"Clearly the recent revelations that the banking sector will need even more public money than previously thought will worry investors, and the outlook over the near term is bleak," Ellis added. nnA lack of detail about the exact figures involved has led to intense speculation and has spooked markets. nnAccording to analysts at the Royal Bank of Scotland, Irish banks
http://www.poten.com/NewsDetails.aspx?id=10623213

GVI Forex john 16:32 GMT September 3, 2010
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GVI Forex john 09:31 GMT September 3, 2010
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Syd 23:17 GMT September 2, 2010
Nothing Sustainable, Says Gartman: Reply   
Dennis Gartman doesn't think we are at the beginning of a sustainable share market rally.

GVI Forex john 18:59 GMT September 2, 2010
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GVI Forex john 09:39 GMT September 2, 2010
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KL KL 04:39 GMT September 2, 2010
The Greens plan for Australia: A big Tasmania: Reply   
Syd

How is it that the Liberal coalition costing gets a run thru treasury but not the Labor-Green Coalition......am I missing something here?? Lets hope Australian not hood winked on this. Wish I can be a NSW Labor minister........ the state of incompetence and yet many will get a ministerial pension. So how is the 2 party preferred counting going.....lets hope that would put a lid on the Gillard-Brown mouth!!....

Syd 03:30 GMT September 2, 2010
The Greens plan for Australia: A big Tasmania: Reply   
The Greens plan for Australia: A big Tasmania
The Australian Greens is a political party that comes to wreck and to not build
Modern Tasmania lives off the redistributionist largesse of Commonwealth subsidies and public service salaries. Two thirds of the island State is locked up in national parks and its population growth has been historically anaemic for many decades. Through the Hare-Clarke system, development and entrepreneurialism is gridlocked – a happy outcome if you are an advocate of zero population growth and genteel poverty.

http://www.thepunch.com.au/articles/the-greens-plan-for-australia-a-big-tasmania/

Syd 03:23 GMT September 2, 2010
Hello this may come to pass now electon is over !! Greens' high tax ambitions: Reply   

WHEN the new Senate sits after the election it is almost certain that the Australian Greens will control the balance of power.
Yet the party's economic agenda has barely been examined.

The Greens' support for higher personal income tax, higher company tax, death duties and a suite of other new or increased taxes has gone unremarked, along with their pandering to some of the hardest of hard-left trade unions.

The Greens' more outlandish social policies - free gender reassignment surgery for those born with an "intersex condition" and support for trials of state-supplied heroin on prescription - have received widespread coverage. They provide the perfect fodder for shock jocks and the tabloids.

Yet with one exception - the Victorian Master Builders Association - business groups have maintained an eerie on-the-record silence concerning the party's economic and workplace relations agendas. The economics consultants are also staying mum.
The Greens want to increase the company tax rate to 33 per cent. They want a new personal income tax bracket of 50 per cent. They also want to bring back death duties through what they call an estate tax. The party wants a so-called Tobin tax on foreign currency transactions - a levy of a 100th of 1 per cent - even though such a step will increase the cost of finance and flow on to mortgage interest rates, small business loans and industry borrowings.
The blossoming relationship between the Greens and the Left of the union movement is concerning other business groups.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/greens-high-tax-ambitions/story-fn59niix-1225906066002

KL KL 02:51 GMT September 2, 2010
Stks: Reply   
so quiet here....maybe time to short again...in HSI33 20965...keep adding 50pips above until bankrupt or reality strikes the HSI33....

Why wait....cover when first 50 pips seen then the 100 then the 200.....then wait for tomorrow

GL GT all...time to take position day is today...Not tomorrow.....LOL

KL KL 19:13 GMT September 1, 2010
Stks: Reply   
AL, GD

Good to see you guys occasionally....does it mean the Bears have come out to play??..... I can't trade Euro Stoxx50 cos my SCAM provider don't have it.....or I don't search hard enough.

I have been bearish since the begining of time....LOL....everything Gold included. Todays move in gold I attacked at 1253 but got out way too soon 1250 now regret did not keep more for 1245....such is life. DOW, FTSE all ninja stuff near the 10300 and 5360......selling Euro audusd....(till no PM and in Auto Pilot mode in Australia......but I think there will be a change soon)...... Sell is still my game...

Maybe Syd needs to bribe some Labor MP like in Malaysia previously to jump ship ...such is the difference in Democracy between first world and 3rd world...In the Perak state even the Sultan was bribed to delay the dissolution of the house to facilitate the change of government.....Now that state is a FARCE. some MPs were paid in the tune of $10-20 Million Ringgit to jump ship.....hope they die with their money!!

GVI Forex john 19:09 GMT September 1, 2010
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Vienna GD 16:19 GMT September 1, 2010
Stks: Reply   
Add this day to the 12 panic buying days and 13 panic buying days ... that is 26 of 88 trading days have been panic days

Boy these are healthy markets.

Any bets we see 95xx minimum low (if not 85xx) for the DOW within next 6 weeks?

Vienna GD 16:14 GMT September 1, 2010
Stks: Reply   
Congrats to that amazing call ... 2710 as of now!

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT September 1, 2010
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GVI Forex john 09:43 GMT September 1, 2010
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Tonbridge AL 09:05 GMT September 1, 2010
Stks: Reply   
EuroSTOXX50 well we now know the down and out level its 2610 but not before 2710 at least

Syd 23:17 GMT August 31, 2010
Wall Street Insiders Want Out, Selling $100 Million in Stock : Reply   
In a move that may reflect a growing unwillingness to tie their personal fortunes to those of their companies, Wall Street insiders this year have undertaken more than five times the number of stock sales of their corporate shares as they have purchases.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/38935380

Syd 21:41 GMT August 31, 2010
Worsening’ Equity Markets : Reply   
“In my opinion we’re going to see lower prices in the coming days and weeks, the overall picture for equities is worsening,” Roelof van den Akker told CNBC when asked if the sell off in the Nasdaq will continue.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=
1578979497&play=1


“We’ve been pretty careful about the economy for a while now…we’ve had a pretty good start of the year… I think the problem was we don’t believe in the euro at the rate it currently is now,” Pedro De Noronha, managing partner at Noster Capital, told CNBC why July was such a tough month.
link

Syd 20:45 GMT August 31, 2010
Stannard Sees Euro Falling as European Recovery Fades: Reply   
Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) — Ian Stannard, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at BNP Paribas SA, talks about a German-led recovery in Europe and its impact on the euro. He speaks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move.”
http://www.mefeedia.com/video/32633565

GVI Forex john 18:16 GMT August 31, 2010
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GVI Forex john 14:27 GMT August 31, 2010
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Aug 31 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see Australian GDP data. In Europe, Swiss, EZ and U.K. mfg PMI data are due. In North America, weekly mortgage Statistics, ADP Jobs, ISM mfg PMI and construction data are slated.  The weekly EIA energy inventory data are due.     WEDNESDAY     0:30 AU GDP qq 2Q 1.00% 0.50% 0:30 AU 1Q GDP yy 2Q 2.90% 2.70% 7:30 CH Mfg PMI Aug 66 66.9 7:58 EZ MFG PMI Aug 55 56.7 8:30 UK MFG PMI Aug 57 57.5 11:00 US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a 12:15 US ADP Jobs k Aug 17 42 14:00 US MFG PMI Aug 52.8 55.5 14:00 US Construction Aug -0.50% -0.10% 14:30 US EIA Crude mn 1.3 4.11 14:30 US EIA Distillate mn 1.1 1.8 14:30 US EIA Gasoline mn -0.2 -2.3 14:30 US EIA Cap Util 87.50% 87.70%

The Daily Forex View Looking for Theme 10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 31, 2010  Late summer markets seem to continue to lack a central trading theme even though there are a number of items  MORE