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20/11/18 20:30 B US API Crude con: n/a pre: n/a
 

FOREX FORUM
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NVDA islikelya buy here
haifa ac 16:45 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
around 153
daily 200 MA is near

Breaking News
GVI Forex 16:33 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
GBPUSD just took a hiot on this

11:28 (UK) Ireland Foreign Min Coveney: Brexit text will not be reopened; withdrawal agreement is not a draft text, it is 'the text'

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Breaking News
GVI 15:41 GMT 11/20/2018
Reportedly German concerned that UK may try to reopen Brexit deal negotiations - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Breaking News
GVI Forex 15:16 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
GBPUSD took a hit on this

10:15 (UK) Northern Ireland DUP Dep Leader Dodds: 'stubborn determination' by PM May to offer binary choice of this deal or no deal is not in the UK's interests; it's time to work for a better deal - Brexit deal will not pass in parliament - DUP will continue to use our influence for the good of everyone in the UK; govt will require our support to pass domestic agenda

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
GVI Trader john 15:14 GMT 11/20/2018
-575
3.039%

EUR
Singapore SC 15:12 GMT 11/20/2018
Where are all the trade calls? A$ joining the risk off party.

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
London ET 15:03 GMT 11/20/2018
Where is PAR when stocks are going down?

Breaking News
GVI 15:02 GMT 11/20/2018
Atlanta Fed cuts Q4 GDP forecast to 2.5% from 2.8% prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
Livingston nh 15:02 GMT 11/20/2018
John - feels like capitulation day in STOX (8 to 1 A/D and 12 to 1 pos /neg volume) -- 10 yr yield has to pop higher next few days to confirm the end of correction

EUR
Livingston nh 14:50 GMT 11/20/2018
Brexit shifts to headline comments from EU and away from the UK -- 1.1375 EUR/USD is the 4 hr 55 EMA and the daily 21 MA so the key breakpoint on a comment

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
GVI Trader john 14:47 GMT 11/20/2018
10s 3.054%
-398

Post U.S. equity opens
10-yr yield holding...

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:40 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler


Breaking News
GVI 14:19 GMT 11/20/2018
White House Econ Adviser Kudlow: Pres Trump's pro-growth policies will not be overturned by the new Congress - Fox Business interview - The US economy is roaring - Stock market corrections come and go - Reiterates Pres Trump believes China wants a trade deal and Trump is optimistic about trade talks- Very detailed talks are going on with China at all levels

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
GVI Trader john 13:48 GMT 11/20/2018
10s 3.048%
DJ -330


Breaking News
GVI Trader john 13:32 GMT 11/20/2018
Data dead on forecasts.

Breaking News
GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT 11/20/2018
U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) October 2018




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.228 vs. 1.230 exp. vs. 1.200 (r 1.210) prev.
Permits: 1.263 vs. 1.260 exp. vs. 1.270 (r )prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Trader john 12:54 GMT 11/20/2018
DJ -255
10s 3.041%

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Jay 12:35 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
Risk is generally on side where stops are lying and the Amazing Trader shows you where. We are always wary of 3rd tests and this time saw stops run below EURUSD low of the day.

To put it in perspective below 1.1393 would be needed for an outside day. Standing the way are Amazing Trader supports at 1.1412=15, 1.1400-03.Meanwhile 1.1420 becomes pivotal.

The Amazing Trader


Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT 11/20/2018
10s 3.050%
DJ -190

Risk- off

Breaking News
london red 12:12 GMT 11/20/2018
what the eu fears most is a no deal. it will be less painful than in the case of the uk, but the uk will have an easier time coming out of it given the floating currency. but i digress. the issue is no deal has always been off the table, hence the eu's heavy no compromise appraoch when negotiating. the nearer we get to march 2019, the more chance that this approach gets reversed and the eu becomes more willing. that might not be compromising on its 4 pillars but certainly a proper kicking of the can, on terms the uk can accept.

Breaking News
Mtl JP 11:54 GMT 11/20/2018
of course he does, carney is a globalist
UK's national interest is, to him, secondary

Breaking News
GVI Jay 11:44 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
This may have been a factor in GBP (but again failed above 1.2880)

From earlier

Sterling gains as BOE's Carney backs PM May's Brexit deal

Breaking News
Mtl JP 11:34 GMT 11/20/2018
theresa trying to go over barnier's head

Breaking News
GVI 11:07 GMT 11/20/2018
PM May to head to Brussels to meet EU's Juncker for Brexit talks on Wed, Nov 21st - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Breaking News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
red, clearly a eurgbp flow. I heard 2nd hand that Carney said something about intervening in GBP weakness if Brexit deal fell through or something like that.

Offsets from EURGBP are weighing on EURUSD but still above 1.1420..

Breaking News
Sydney ACC 10:55 GMT 11/20/2018
Aussie and Kiwi incurred similar falls.

Aussie dropped from 0,7297 to 0.7251

Kiwi drop was less severe nevertheless it declined from 0.6864 to 0.6847

I don't think think the volatility can be isolated just to EUR/GBP cross trading.

There were significant falls in most equity indices at the same time.

Simple explanation might just be panic selling.

Breaking News
london red 10:47 GMT 11/20/2018
italy germany spread has increased as well as eu decision on italy budget tomorrow. seems a few folks viewed little bounce of late as over and faded morning rally. large expiries at 115 today may also be making their presence felt.

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed
GVI Trader john 10:40 GMT 11/20/2018
Weak day globally in equities following lead of U.S. Monday. Recently, "risk-off" trade has been a weight on EURUSD. Hard to believe that the yield on the U.S. 10-yr note is back in range of 3.00%. Last 3.048%. Falling 10-yr yields positive for USD if its on a flight to safety, but its bad if its on fears of an economic slowdown in the States. We are seeing a little bit of each today.

Breaking News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:37 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile
I just got an email asking if there is any news in the EURUSD and why it fell off a cliff. No news I have seen but it appears EUR cross selling has been a factor (note EURGBP is at its day low) in a market thinning out for the extended US break.

I had to look at an Amazing Trader one minute chart for a signal as other time frames were straight lines down. On the downside, it should be limited as long as it stays above 1.1420.

Check your AT charts for key levels.

The Amazing Trader


Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018
GVI Trader john 10:29 GMT 11/20/2018
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1433
Pivot Point: 1.1438

This Week: 1.1394-1.1472
Tue: 1.1422-1.1472
Mon: 1.1394-1.1465

Fri: 1.1263-1.1420
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347

20-day avg: 1.1375
50-day avg: 1.1511
100-day avg: 1.1562
200-day avg: 1.1809

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (72%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.045% -2.3bp
DE: 0.358% -1.7
GB: 1.383% +0.5
JP: 0.102% +0.6

DAX: -134
Implied Open
DJ: -125
SP: -16.7



See the Amazing Trader Live!




Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018
GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT 11/20/2018

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018


Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader
GVI Jay 09:42 GMT 11/20/2018  - My Profile

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler


GBPUSD ready to move big
Amman wfakhoury 08:41 GMT 11/20/2018
no close above 12880 no buy..we are still in sell as my previous signal.

GBPUSD ready to move big
Amman wfakhoury 08:33 GMT 11/20/2018


Invite you to buy my book for your children

GBPUSD ready to move big
Amman wfakhoury 08:18 GMT 11/20/2018
the close one hour bar above 12880 ..will buy to continue the big move

GBPUSD ready to move big
london red 08:01 GMT 11/20/2018
abv 12875/80 can run some stops.

BREXIT
PAR 07:37 GMT 11/20/2018
Rebels of UK PM May’s Tory party seemed to have failed to collect the necessary 48 votes to call for a no-confidence vote, keeping May in place (for now). Today, she will visit Brussels to discuss the direction of future trade.

gold
nw kw 06:34 GMT 11/20/2018
few munts ago gov. restoking for ngas was soft, pit, reported then.// but trough the north hear not cold so when it hits gas to moon

http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html


GBPUSD ready to move big
Amman wfakhoury 06:24 GMT 11/20/2018
Take care

.lert AAAlert lert lert
dc CB 04:35 GMT 11/20/2018
and if U think this a North American problem, U ain't been SubScribing to the Real NUZ
Europe-----Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Oh yeh it's lack of SunSpots...WhoCudaSeenThat....the guy who wasn't crucified for claiming "it's not Warming"

Oh Wait--- A Poem or Song

Missey May Missey May
What SCAM will U Run today
Getting OLD I must say
Missey May Missey May
Ice on Your Rolls
and it isn't even Boxing Day

.lert AAAlert lert lert
dc CB 04:23 GMT 11/20/2018
To all my Subscribers
BUY NAT GAS NOW LMAO

According to new weather models, the US mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions are expected to experience the coldest/earliest temperatures to the start of any winter season on record.

Weather Prediction Center: "Highs 20-35 degrees below normal"

(But wait...Weather Models? Warm Winter? wait...this is too Stupd to be considered STUPID (aka Blindsided/BlackSwan/Din't See It Comin')

After Gold/Silver, Oil, Stocks, Bonds...whots left to LIE/Manipulate about

THE Weather Man
Manny I Pulation
never thot U'd find me here...anywhere a rigged profit
Cheers
And enjoy the Cheap Gasoline as U Pump that petro product into the Heating device.

Manny for Eva.

Weather Models Forecast Coldest Thanksgiving On Record In Northeast


Breaking News
dc CB 00:56 GMT 11/20/2018
GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT
More weak news from the housing sector.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Not exactly a foward looking group.

Whot about all those who lost their homes in the past 6 months due to Natural Disasters ----North/South Carolina, Virginia, Florida, and currently Super Hi End houses burning in California.
And Yes my dears, many, many of those people have a lot of money plus Insurance.

Not a normal week
dc CB 00:18 GMT 11/20/2018
WaPO...brrrrrrr

of course not a peep about how WRONG the US "Climate Prediction" Short Range models were ----NOAA. That wud dent the FaithBased ---Climate Change(our Computer Models) tell us is the cause for All That Our Models Did Not SEE Coming.
(AKA Trust what we SEZ about the ECONomy---same programmers-LOL)

Humans are the Cause 'cause out Computer Model SEZ it's so.
Doubt ---we have a crucifix, just cleaned, ready for U.

Coldest Thanksgiving in decades possible in Washington from Arctic blast


gold
HK [email protected] 00:16 GMT 11/20/2018
.
Gold:
Short term bullish price action, but under cast by longer time frame bearish trend.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What happens with Bitcoin, though is a different kind of instrument, may unnerve other sectors which seem more safe.
Billions are lost in Bitcoin, so will that affect other instruments too?
Or just amuse other investors?

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader
GVI Trader john 21:20 GMT 11/19/2018

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler


Tuesday Trading Highlights 20 November 2018
GVI Trader john 21:20 GMT 11/19/2018
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1464
Pivot Point: 1.1438

This Week: 1.1394-1.1465

Mon: 1.1394-1.1465

Fri: 1.1263-1.1420
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258


20-day avg: 1.1375
50-day avg: 1.1511
100-day avg: 1.1562
200-day avg: 1.1809

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (72%).

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:04 GMT 11/19/2018  - My Profile

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler


Not a normal week
Livingston nh 20:53 GMT 11/19/2018
There are a lot of folks who are going to be VERY VERY WRONG -- the media now is featuring OW&B folks who think the BEAR is loose in STOX (but for a lot of different reasons) and Buy the Dips is out of fashion -- the interest rate crowd is ignoring one of the hoariest of maxims i.e., "Don't Fight the FED" (it's different this time???) // To be fair, the Powell Fed is trying to exit the Money Swamp w/o the "we know best ideological wisdom" of its immediate predecessors that brought us here so policy is a bit ad hoc (it would be useful to dump the "data dependent" mantra)

Over the next 3 weeks the Treasury Market needs to adjust quickly because the FED will hike and Santa will probably show up w/STOX in SOX -- the USD will benefit because of RATES RATES RATES

The Risk is sub 56 WTI - this will catch the Fed's eye and more important than the Iran "almost" sanctions is the MBS drama -- he made powerful enemies w/ his Hotel Hostages and he is now at risk because he overplayed his hand in Turkey -- he is cornered, unable to protect his underlings, so he may not go quietly


Monday Trading Strategy 19 November 2018
GVI Trader john 20:40 GMT 11/19/2018
Just checking the odds on a 25 bp Fed rate on December 19. The have eared to 70%. I believe I have seen the odds on a hike at this meeting as high as 90% about a month ago. These odds are a useful measure of market sentiment and are something the FOMC watches. Declining odds on a Fed rate for a meeting just one month away is a weight on the USD.

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 November 2018
GVI Forex Blog 20:07 GMT 11/19/2018

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 November 2018


Not a normal week
dc CB 19:37 GMT 11/19/2018


treas futures start rolling to March---out of Dec next week
Shorts no confidence in more "hikes"?????
Run away, run away

Not a normal week
dc CB 19:28 GMT 11/19/2018
FYI
Nov 30---is another large QT day
$25bln or so
click on TNotes and Bonds tab

Super cold on Thanksgiving for Mid Atlantic and NE --- Maryland in the upper 20s at best.
NatGas going wacko. American weather models that foresaw a Warm Nov/Dec/Jan really screwed NatGas Tading firms.

SOMA


Monday Trading Strategy 19 November 2018
GVI Trader john 19:02 GMT 11/19/2018
DJ -494
10-yr 3.059%

Tuesday Trading Highlights 20 November 2018
GVI Forex Blog 18:54 GMT 11/19/2018

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Tuesday Trading Highlights 20 November 2018


GOLD FORUM
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