An imperfect GOOD analogy is more dangerous to good decisions than the more obviously flawed BAD analogies -- BUT, nevertheless, Turkey and Venezuela offer President Obama, and more likely his successor, the opportunity to prove the exception to the RULE
Venezuela will likely fall into President Obama's lap (his analogy challenge will be 1989 Panama) - the UN is starting to take flack about the "humanitarian" crisis and the need to DO something, and, right on cue, the nephews (in US custody) of the First Lady of Venezuela are back in the news about an alleged Cocaine Plot - so now we need agitation - two villains, one new (9/11) and one old (Monroe Doctrine/Cold War), are presented -- Islamic Terrorists seem a bit far fetched, and perhaps even unnecessary to the plot -- ah, but perhaps the Russians through their lackeys, the Cubans, will accommodate the Folks who need to DO something
And then to Turkey - again the two villains but this time they will both appear -- Erdogan may overplay his hand in the US with pressure to extradite his nemesis (will Prez Obama do a Jimmah Carter SHAH appeasement?) and will the EU resist the threat of an imminent immigration invasion from Anatolia // NATO, Democracy Pizza (hot and steamy) with desperate EU bankers and politicians will provide either direct intervention or a more SUCCESSFUL coup (see Diem, Viet Nam) -- Can't have the US State Department bogged down with "Who lost Turkey?" issues for the next 4 years
If this all works out the Powers that be might swing a Labour gov't in UK and an indefinite pause in Brexit -- in case you're saying NEVER I have a GOOD analogy for you
Livingston nh 19:06:55 GMT - 07/18/2016
From President Obama on down there seems to be a universal belief that the failure of attempted Coup in Turkey was a positive -- hmmm? // Folks that want to talk about the Reichstag fire might be better directed to Stalin's military purge
watch the fire next time
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