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GVI Trading john bland  13:06:46 GMT - 01/12/2017  
fwiw to understand Trump remember that he is a populist not a pure Conservative.


Livingston nh  13:04:06 GMT - 01/12/2017  
Alimin -- on the charts the USD run-up has been choppy to weakening as it was extended against its MAs (21 MA) - the USD index (not my favorite indicator) broke thru 55 ema first time since election night yesterday but had looked lower since last week -- so I don't think yesterday was a game changer for a longer term trend because Nothing Actually Changed except some interpretation -- the Game Changer was the election

Algo meet Tweet -- now we wait for next one


singapore td  09:47:29 GMT - 01/12/2017  
lol all you want haifa ac
the next decade is not the same as last decade


haifa ac  09:40:47 GMT - 01/12/2017  
"usd has seen the top for the next decade"

LOL

Tell this to the : Iranians, Turks; Egyptians; Chinese; Japanese.
and the Brits too.



singapore td  08:25:15 GMT - 01/12/2017  
i especially like audusd and commodities in general against usd


singapore td  08:18:43 GMT - 01/12/2017  
usd has seen the top for the next decade


bali sja  06:59:34 GMT - 01/12/2017  
byebye or buybuy


singapore td  06:51:05 GMT - 01/12/2017  
byebye usd


singapore td  05:13:51 GMT - 01/12/2017  
yeah volatility to weaken usd


Sydney ACC  05:07:48 GMT - 01/12/2017  
This was a press conference for the general press not the financial press.
The main focus was with regard to the Russians and Trumps business interests.
Market is used to press conferences focusing on matters that relates to them.
See more volatility on the horizon.


bali sja  04:33:19 GMT - 01/12/2017  
are you sure about that? all we need is just one tweet away to reverse direction....welcome to new style of communication


jkt abel  03:47:25 GMT - 01/12/2017  
euro sees no censored parity! all hype


manila tom  03:40:36 GMT - 01/12/2017  
td, it is gone with the wind


singapore td  03:34:00 GMT - 01/12/2017  
ab, what will happen to usdjpy? back to 100?


hk ab  03:02:13 GMT - 01/12/2017  
maybe -5% interest rate first.......


Singapore Td  02:16:26 GMT - 01/12/2017  
Yes, Trump doesnt need strong usd to make America great again. He wants more jobs created so he needs more manufacturing going as well and so he needs to export those goods and thus he needs a lot weaker usd! Last december hike will be the famous last hike by the Fed, next is cut cut cut to join NIRP. Currency war is next.


Makassar Alimin  01:38:27 GMT - 01/12/2017  
Nh, looks like recipe for usd sell off? Game changer?


Livingston nh  22:53:27 GMT - 01/11/2017  
Even the TRY managed a recovery - the EUR traded like it was Takeover Target

But the BIG news should be in bonds - anybody that thinks the Fed should be holding Treasurys with a maturity greater than a year is NUTZ - should have been and should be feeding demand

What happens when the new Prez actually tries to do something? NK, Iran, etc have a few days left to make something happen


dc CB  21:06:11 GMT - 01/11/2017  
looking very much like the Twin 20s will be crossed this week.
Dow 20K
Gold 2000

BitCoin at $788 just pushes more into Gold and silver, which you can Hold in your hand. Chinese learn the hard way about digital currencies.


dc CB  20:33:20 GMT - 01/11/2017  
the Onion?
CNN?
Stuff You Can Get Away Making Up?

LOL - Today's Funnies (what they used to call the Comics page in the twice daily newspaper)

It's the Ruskies



Livingston nh  20:28:19 GMT - 01/11/2017  
Welcome to the Brave New World -- supply and demand on hold // Treasurys in demand despite built in losses as Fed hoards supply -- Oil not in demand but jumps nearly 2 bucks on more supply

There is a White Rabbit somewhere -- next four years will be a Thing of Wonder






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Trading Ideas for 24 Feb 2017

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
24 Feb Fri
13:30 CA- CPI
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final Univ of Mich Survey

13 Feb Mon
No Major Data
27 Feb Mon
13:30 US- Durable Goods
28 Feb Tues
07:00 DE- Retail Sales
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
15:30 US- EIA Crude
1 Mar Wed
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
08:55 DE- Jobless
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 CA- Bank of Canada Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Beige Book
2 Mar Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
3 Mar Fri
All-Day SVC PMIs

Forex Trading Outlook

  • Markets are heading into the weekend with a risk-off posture. Worries about European elections over the next several weeks appear to be fading for the moment. On the other hand, all the hysteria about the Trump Presidency has begun to abate. The new administration is starting to learn that the U.S. political system with its checcks and balances is designed constitutionally to be slow to change.

  • Some have been pushing the date for a Fed rate hike back to May. I don't see much of asentiment shift in Fed Funds futures. I still feel the Fed hikes in March barring a significantly weaker than expected February jobs report on March 10. The FOMC Minutes left open the door to the RISK of a Rate hike as early as the March 15 FOMC ("fairly soon"). No clear signal was sent. The Fed would like to embark on a policy "normalization". Some have trouble believing they have the courage to go through with a rate hike. For Yellen to build market credibility, she should hike rates soon. Fed Funds futures odds for a March Fed rate hike are only 38% (34%), suggesting they are skeptical. Markets now place the odds for rate hikes by June at 112% (116%).

  • On top of the Fed muddle, investors have begun to worry about the risk from key leadership elections in Europe over the rest of the year. Many worry about the possibility of a swing to right as has been seen in the U.K. (Brexit) and U.S. (Trump). Such could be a challenge to the status quo in the EU.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    Risf-Off Early in Equities Early Friday. Bond Yields Broadly Lower on 24 Feb 2017

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