WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS: 13-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
15:00 US- preliminary University of Michigan
I was not sure what to expect from the Trump press conference Wednesday, but it certainly generated some substantial market volatility. The volatility appeared to stem from disappointment that the President-elect did not come up with statements that were supportive of the equity markets and this saw the USD fall after the markets had set up for a positive outcome.
Thurrsday's calendar is light again in the way of potential market-moving news. U.S. weekly Jobless Claims are always a key release for economists, but markets rarely find anything in the data at current levels to elicit price volatility.
Trump will be inaugurated as President one week from Friday, on January 20.
The top item of the week is retail sales data due on Friday. Next Monday, U.S. markets will be closed for the Martin Luther King Holiday. President-elect Trump will be inaugurated as President one week from Friday, on January 20.
WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar: 29 Mar Wed
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- EIA Crude 30 Mar Thu
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- GDP
23:30 JP- CPI 31 Mar Fri
7:55 DE- Jobless
8:30 GB- GDP
9:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
14:00 US- final Univ of Mich 2 Apr Sun
00:00 AU/NZ- Clocks "Fall Back"
Forex Market: items driving the forex market:
Event Risk: Solid U.S. data have helped stabilize the USD today. It appears now that unless the Trump Administration can get its legislative act together that the Fed will be forced pursue a cautious policy tightening posture, as opposed to an aggressive one.
Event Risk: Article 50 was signed late Tuesday UK hours by PM May. It will be presented to the EU today at 13:30 CET to the EU. (11:30 GMT).
As expected, a request to the U.K. Parliament for a second Scotland Independence referendum was approved by the Scottish Parliament Tuesday. Odds are the request will not be considered immediately.
There is a growing perception that the ECB might start to consider stepping back from excessive policy ease. Watch flash HICP data Friday. The March German Ifo Survey (Monday) was considerably stronger than expected and will be noted by the ECB.
Lots to consider. Please comment...
John M. Bland, MBA co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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