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Mtl JP  18:34:12 GMT - 02/22/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Planning new winners and losers,
here is planner and schemer Clarida alluding to “makeup” strategies as he described the communications review the central bank is undertaking:

Fed’s Clarida says central bank may adopt ‘makeup’ strategy after inflation undershoots



dc CB  17:58:30 GMT - 02/22/2019  
 
JP
thanks for your concern :)))
I'm gonna hang on. It'll be back at 90, on my 90th birthday.


Mtl JP  17:36:40 GMT - 02/22/2019  
DC in case you need consolation:
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway loses more than $4 billion in a single day after Kraft Heinz revealed a string of disappointing news.
"They're still very, very good businesses," Buffett said as recently as May 2018 chirps CNBC

28% price dump ... maybe it s a BTFD
but at your risk naturally


dc CB  17:12:23 GMT - 02/22/2019  
 
Ouch my IRA, my 401K.
"safe and stable, people gotta eat" Portfolio foundation stock.


PAR 08:28:27 GMT - 02/22/2019  
How to keep inflation low

Good morning from #Germany, where consumer basket for tracking inflation has been changed. The weight of housing costs rose to 32.5% from 31.7%. But that will dampen inflation as rent increases due to modernisation are not considered inflation b/c Stats Office uses hedonic method

Germany in better shape than its reputation, ING says after GDP data have been published. Growth components show an econ which is running on almost all cylinders. Private consumption +0.2% QoQ, govt consumption +1.6%, investments +0.9% & desp all trade war fears net exports flat.


Frankfurt 06:20:10 GMT - 02/22/2019  
Looks like another rally on oil is ahead. After significant downtrend during Q42018, resistance at $55 is currently tested. Does this news means that we are going to see oil again at $44?


Mtl JP  11:31:34 GMT - 02/20/2019  
winners and losers
(in the making)
--------------------
some good news for change:
according to transunion canadian consumer credit debt (ie minus mortgage) is 30200K
Avg Credit Card balance per consumer: $4K


Mtl JP  20:03:03 GMT - 02/16/2019  
more
winners and losers
first there were the 7 million murrikans who are 90 + days overdue on car payments
----------
now bloomberg celebrates a new milestone:

U.S. Student Debt in ‘Serious Delinquency’ Tops $166 Billion

Amount in arrears reaches a record high as college costs rise
If the loans aren’t repaid, federal deficits also will rise



london red  07:47:57 GMT - 02/13/2019  
uk cpi likely to be poor but they will buy dip given risk off hence 12886 shud be good entry for risk on long. stx likely to price in move thru 200dma's initially at least (whether close there is another matter) so euro and cable boosted frm this risk on environment


Mtl JP  07:10:13 GMT - 02/13/2019  
WINNERS AND LOSERS
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new profit opps in the making

experts said ...

... the fact that this particular type of loan is getting into arrears is economically alarming, experts said.

The substantial and growing number of distressed borrowers suggests that not all Americans have benefitted from the strong labor market and warrants continued monitoring and analysis of this sector.
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2019/02/just-released-auto-loans-in-high-gear.html

Record number of Americans 3 months behind on auto loans, an economic red flag: Federal Reserve Bank of New York



Mtl JP  22:16:25 GMT - 02/09/2019  
WINNERS AND LOSERS
--------------------------
Another crisis is coming.
Who will strike first / be stricken and how to prepare?
Some Questions and Answers

Preamble: Lehman Brothers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on September 15, 2008. DJIA dropped 4.5% that day.
–-
--
How to recognize a crisis

Conventional thinking and propaganda by establishments various experts (ministers - authorities - economists):
The crisis is known only when it hits. The crisis can not be predicted. If we could foresee it, I believe we would do our best to prevent it.

A crisis is more than just a normal cycle of the economy - a recession that is simply defined as the performance of the economy declines consecutively in two quarters. The crisis is a big problem, the order is collapsing as a house of cards - one problem infects the rest and as a rapid contagion spreads through the whole organism - the economy. It requires rapid intervention.

How long does it take.
• How long do the crisis last and how do we know the crisis is over?
Most crises in the advanced world are counted in units of years. In emerging economies it may be the decade - the decade lost.

A crisis ends when the economy collapses and the situation stabilizes. Theoretically, this is simply defined as the economy is growing two quarters in succession. But the crisis is often the father of a deep recession from which the economy can wobble for a long time, and then it can only grow poorly, as was the case with the latest global financial crisis. In this context, there is talk of so-called secular stagnation.

How to avoid it?
• How do crises come about and why they can be avoided, for example, by state economies being satisfied with "sustainable" stagnation and unwilling to show just steady growth?

A crisis is in some way a radical cleansing process, separating "weak from strong", something like evolution. It fully reveals what is wrong, and separates the grain from the chaff. The crisis is a crash of accumulated problems. The earlier the accumulated problems cause a crisis, the more bearable and less devastating the crisis.

However, the economy can not be "preserved", protecting it from change, so as the state of "sustainable" stagnation could come to a crisis.

The most vulnerable sector(s).
• Which sectors are the most vulnerable in a crisis?
Which sectors can - on the contrary - profit?

A crisis can be of several species. In today's world, the most vulnerable are finances that trigger financial crises. This is due to their size, which has grown paradoxically after the global financial crisis, and their connection to the economy mainly through loans or debts.

Commercial wars can trigger business crises and mineral crisis can occur in a situation where a rare and hardly substitutable mineral occurs.

Irrespective of the type of crisis, the sectors most heavily affected are the sectors heavily dependent on consumption. The so-called "early birds" are, for example, adventurous businesses and, in the case of production, transport services - namely truck transport.

The most vulnerable sector - luxury goes aside.
• We must not forget the automotive industry, which is the representative of the so-called "luxury goods" that people stop buying as soon as they experience the first signs of uncertainty and fear. Once people are afraid of the future, they will not buy a new car, jewelry, or a luxury holiday.

By contrast, fields that are more connected to the state and are handling state orders are more stable. But in the event of sudden cuts in purchases and orders by the state these sectors will not be spared either. In general, however, the recession will come later.

The crisis can also be a catastrophe of change, and "Revolution" can bring new opportunities for new or existing but flexible firms. Today we call this the start-ups sector.

How to handle a crisis as an employee.
• From an employee's point of view, how can one prepare self to best survive a crisis ?
Do not sleep on laurels. Watch what's happening in the world. Everyone should have some alternative solutions to what to do when the situation in the field becomes complicated and be ready for change and lifelong learning.

The employee, as well as the firm or the state, should create reserves, saving for worse times, always thinking of the back door and mitigating risks.

When the next crisis strikes.
• When is the next crisis more likely to happen and in what sector will it occur?

Allegedly crisis can not be predicted. It can be sened, be documented and disused and argued about partial problems such as, and still (even greater) government and household indebtedness, rising borrowing rates, cooling economies, lack of people in the labor market, enormous pressure on wage growth, trade wars, unpleasant fears of brexit, financial problems of emerging economies, China's rapid cooling

The above-mentioned factors are so-called known unknowns according to the English term "known unknowns". "Known unknowns" (for example, still high debt) are a well-known problem. If we do not address them, it is threatened, as happened in 2007-8, that one problem will break into other problems.

The crisis of poor mortgages will become a financial crisis (huge losses of banks from poor credit), a crisis of confidence (financial institutions have not trusted and stopped lending each other) and all this leads to a deep economic downturn. One problem, as a harmful and insidious bacillus spreads throughout the body - the economy - and the result is all that affects the recession.

When the next crisis strikes - the sequel.
• The problem of today's economy is in the interconnectedness of everything with everything. The global financial crisis has clearly shown how an overwhelming financial sector can strike a deep blow to the whole economy by shutting it off from sources - loans that hae turned into addition.

But the problem can come in the form of the so-called black swan entirely from another side ... then we have to deal with "unknown unknowns," with strangers unknown. They can not be predicted at all, nor can they be prepared for them.

Due to all the signals, fear is that the world economy is on the verge of a slowdown. If we are slowing down into recession, one can not guess yet. So far we know of partial problems that have potential and strength together with other unfavorable factors of recession.

Thus, the crisis can come from the financial sector again due to the amount of debt. However, the states themselves can well make a crisis, since they are the ones who have been the most indebted for the last decade and their debt is still growing. There may be a number of even partial state bankruptcies, particularly in emerging economies, which claim to be unable to pay the bond issue - and trigger the earthquake on the financial markets.

However, the crisis may also come from the real economy - innovation and the so-called Industry 4.0 can bring about changes, that some firms and then entire sectors and then whole economy "will not digest". Before emerging and establishing new businesses / sectors, the economy may experience a severe recession. An example may be the electrification of cars which, if overburdened and hurried by government intervention (regulation or too expensive price subsidies), can lead to the rapid disappearance of sectors such as parts suppliers to cars with internal combustion engines. Before creating new companies supplying electrical components, the entire eco-system of automotive suppliers may be considerably less sophisticated. And this is an example of a significant risk for countries where the automotive industry plays an important role

How to prepare for the crisis.
• How should people in general be prepared to cope with a crisis so as to best withstand it?
The golden rule is to have financial reserves and to think backwards, specifically to make a reserve in advance that is sufficient to cover family expenses for 4 to 5 months.

And it's important to realize that nothing lasts forever. Best not to be subject to the illusion that the current real estate price growth, historically highest employment, rapid wage growth, and so on are here for ever.

On the other hand, when it's not about life, it's about nothing. We have to learn to live with crises and take them as a natural part of being.

Luck favours those who are prepared.


Mtl JP  10:46:32 GMT - 02/09/2019  
winners and losers
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BREXIT
.
Michel Barnier
Verified account
@MichelBarnier
21h21 hours ago
I am looking forward to meeting @SteveBarclay in Brussels on Mon evening. I will listen to how the UK sees the way through. The EU will not reopen the Withdrawal Agreement. But I will reaffirm our openness to rework the Political Declaration in full respect of #EUCO guidelines.


Mtl JP  09:59:48 GMT - 02/09/2019  
winners and losers
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Of Strategy and Tactics
.
Exclusive: Russia's Sechin raises pressure on Putin to end OPEC deal

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Igor Sechin, head of Russian oil giant Rosneft and one of Vladimir Putin’s closest allies, has written to the Russian president saying Moscow’s deal with OPEC to cut oil output is a strategic threat and plays into the hands of the United States.



Mtl JP  17:38:15 GMT - 02/04/2019  
winners and losers
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piece mentions uncomfortable twice:

The size of the average fixed-rate mortgage last week nationally was $280,900.
The size of the average adjustable-rate mortgage was $688,400

courtesy of

the Mortgage Bankers Association



Mtl JP  17:11:41 GMT - 01/30/2019  
 
winners and losers
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Tesla reports after hrs today


Mtl JP  02:04:07 GMT - 01/30/2019  
 
Winners and Losers
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bbrg: Tesla Has Just 4 Weeks to Rally 21% or Pay $920 Million on Bonds
as

The clock is now ticking for Elon Musk to avoid a $920 million bill for Tesla Inc.



dc CB  22:11:00 GMT - 01/26/2019  
Armed forces leaders know that ‘if Maduro falls, they fall’.

Vladimir Padrino is Venezuela’s defense minister. Gerardo Rangel is a major general in the army. Nestor Reverol is a former National Guard commander who oversees the Interior and Justice Ministry.
They are also, according to the U.S. Treasury, drug runners and graft-schemers who operate within the criminal enterprise that is the Nicolas Maduro regime.

Bloomberg

Cocaine, Payola: How Maduro Keeps Top Military Brass in Line



Mtl JP  20:32:24 GMT - 01/25/2019  
winners and losers
--------------------
a reminder about the difference between owning and having (in possession) and revalidating the old saw that says that he who HAS gold: rules.

i.e. having gold in a - some - bank deposit box in its basement runs the risk of being "carney-ied" IF the bank decides to shut the door to the safebox room.

Bank of England denies Maduro's bid to pull $1.2 bln in gold: report



Mtl JP  10:01:28 GMT - 01/21/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
no boundaries to ambition ...

Chinese Drone Giant DJI Unearths $150 Million Losses From Fraud



Mtl JP  20:53:12 GMT - 01/20/2019  
Winners and Losers
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... experts and decision makers ....

The Global Risks Report 2019, published by the World Economic Forum and based on a survey or more than 1,000 experts and decision makers around the world, found climate change risks at their highest-ever level, accounting for more than half of the top 10 risks. Experts are increasingly concerned ... .. ... and Mindy Lubber, chief executive of the sustainability-oriented nonprofit Ceres, said the report’s findings on climate change are “more compelling, more concerning and more extreme” than in previous years.

now IF .... if you expect / think / hope that you will still be around by 2040 here is the kicker of mother for massive profit opportunities:

“To effectively respond to climate change requires a significant increase in infrastructure to adapt to this new environment and transition to a low-carbon economy,” Alison Martin, Group Chief Risk Officer at Zurich Insurance Group, said in the report. “By 2040, the investment gap in global infrastructure is forecast to reach $18 trillion against a projected requirement of $97 trillion. Against this backdrop, we strongly recommend that businesses develop a climate resilience adaptation strategy and act on it now.”



Mtl JP  11:44:27 GMT - 01/17/2019  
a long-term consideration for new profit opps:

according to The EAT–Lancet Commission (a bunch of PhDs)

... Unhealthy diets pose a greater risk to morbidity and mortality than does unsafe

sex, and alcohol, drug, and tobacco use combined. Because much of the world's population is inadequately nourished and many environmental systems and processes are pushed beyond safe boundaries by food production, a global transformation of the food system is urgently needed.



Mtl JP  10:40:38 GMT - 01/17/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
according to Zillow

Across the U.S., 25.1% of newly constructed homes had a price cut during the fourth quarter of 2018,



Mtl JP  00:17:40 GMT - 01/17/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
nh ... u recievee or a payer
money in(to) wrong hands about to move :

Congressional Democrats roll out $15 minimum wage legislation

The federal minimum wage has been at $7.25 since July 2009. The Raise the Wage Act would only gradually lift that wage, reaching $15 per hour by 2024. It would then index future minimum wage increases to median wage growth. It would also phase out subminimum wages for tipped, youth and disabled workers.



dc CB  18:59:44 GMT - 01/15/2019  
just a guess, but running away from Missy May's transparent Scam on the British voter PLUS Dragggggiiiiiiiii admitting the Zone is falling apart.


Mtl JP  18:43:46 GMT - 01/15/2019  
CB 18:39 I was waiting for ester
and ... what is dlx doing ?


dc CB  18:39:36 GMT - 01/15/2019  
The Mouth that Failed...what did she say??
Never mind.
According to JPMorgan, Kansas City Fed president Ester George is the Fed's most prominent (voting) hawk
*GEORGE: IT MIGHT BE GOOD TIME TO PAUSE FED RATE NORMALIZATION


dc CB  16:31:26 GMT - 01/15/2019  
Earnings reporting started.
Big diff this round 4th Quart Earnings --- few companies IF ANY will annc Billions in Buy Backs. As tthat money was spent last Quarter---buying at the high.


dc CB  13:16:56 GMT - 01/15/2019  
Jamie-I'm Smarter Than You-Dimon's bank --- not so smart after all.
ICYMI- but Earnings reporting started.
Please Excuse this is Non-Brexit:)

JPM Reports Huge Trading Miss As FICC Revenue Plunges To Lowest Since Financial Crisis



Mtl JP  11:44:03 GMT - 01/15/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
love ...

My wife swears she's not leaving and that she still loves me.



Mtl JP  10:51:40 GMT - 01/15/2019  
Winners and Losers
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possible glory in the making to macron and his “must pay for pollution” co-peddlers

this skirmish with yellow jackets has very interesting potential

French Banks Reportedly Begin To CLOSE, NOT ALLOWING WITHDRAWALS Ahead Of Yellow Vest Bank Run



Mtl JP  00:19:43 GMT - 01/15/2019  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
I ve been yakking about jerome taking money from wrong hands.
looks like I am not alone in that perception

here is quote of beautiful words and a fantastic market milking idea I d have tuff time beating:

“With every single bubble, money is not destroyed; it’s just transferred. It becomes more concentrated,” he explained. “So [the] bubble bursts and the money goes from the hands of the many to the hands of the few.”



dc CB  01:54:26 GMT - 01/14/2019  
Launching an assualt on 108
Battle of the Yenny Penny


dc CB  01:48:40 GMT - 01/14/2019  
do U mean of Taylor Telford mated with Telford Taylor(he's dead-Nuremberg), but she sure does know how to invert a fakename. I guess that's what the BezosPost "editors" found sooooo appealing about her "wit"


Mtl JP  01:09:39 GMT - 01/14/2019  
CB what kind of off-spring will they make ?


dc CB  22:05:22 GMT - 01/13/2019  
Reporter covering national and breaking news Education: Indiana University, BA in Journalism and Spanish

Taylor Telford is a reporter covering national and breaking news at The Washington Post, where she has worked since June 2018. Previously, Telford was a features intern with The Post.

She also worked in metro at the Tampa Bay Times and the Daily Hampshire Gazette.

Taylor Telford -- WaPo page



dc CB  21:26:38 GMT - 01/13/2019  
 
sunday funnies
These 2 Agree!!!


Mtl JP  16:04:53 GMT - 01/13/2019  
Winners and Losers
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In a cry me a river piece by Taylor Telford in a bezos-owned rag

Now on Craigslist, Facebook: Household items from furloughed workers trying to make ends meet

..."In the United States, living paycheck to paycheck is disturbingly common, regardless of profession or location. A recent report from the Federal Reserve revealed how little cushion most Americans have in their budgets: Four in 10 adults (how 4/10 is "most" taylor does not explain) say they couldn’t produce $400 in an emergency without sliding into debt or selling something, according to the figures that surveyed households in 2017, a relatively prosperous year for the American economy." ...


Mtl JP  12:17:45 GMT - 01/06/2019  
To correct his mistake of last Friday

jerome will "take two" on

January 10th 2019 at

12:45 p.m. Discussion -- Chairman Jerome H. Powell At the Economic Club of Washington, D.C., Washington, D.C.



Livingston nh  00:19:11 GMT - 01/06/2019  
jp- I am sticking w/ USD/CAD -- I don't think BOC hikes this time - most of the move away from 1.37 was based on oil's rebound and "EZ" Fed // If it can move back above 21dma I will add (1.5 x the bit I sold) -- my risk is a hike PLUS higher oil (bit I don't want to repeat AUD mistake)


Mtl JP  22:44:06 GMT - 01/05/2019  
nh - now I have two pet peeves on the FF
(verbs in past tense and now "watch xyz" rather than "trade")
-
so now me curious, do u dare make a (rate/trade) call:
tia

BoC // Jan 9 - Int rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report



Livingston nh  19:46:26 GMT - 01/05/2019  
jp - watch what they DO, not what they SAY -- markets can/will often misinterpret or selectively hear what they SAY - it is hard to misunderstand a new tax, rate hike, or declaration of war


dc CB  18:00:35 GMT - 01/05/2019  
Pondering Powell.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The Fed deliberately created the "Everything Bubble" so that it could be deliberately imploded at the proper time - in other words, the crash we have been witnessing so far during the final quarter of 2018 and continuing into 2019 is a controlled demolition of the economy. Jerome Powell is not some "rebel" going against the easy money dictates of the Fed. Jerome Powell is playing the role that has been given to him. Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen's job was to inflate the bubble. Jerome Powell's job is to crash the bubble.

This process of controlled demolition needs a considerable distraction so that the central banks and the globalists ultimately avoid blame for the painful consequences of the event.

Enter Donald Trump and the false Trump vs. Globalist paradigm.

Brandon Smith: Trump Is A Pied Piper For The New World Order Agenda



dc CB  17:40:17 GMT - 01/05/2019  
"The movement, which began as a protest against a fuel tax, evolved into a general movement against the Macron administration. France is notably the most taxed country in the world."

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I wonder if the new crop of Democrat freshman Congresspeople calling for Moar Taxes, have a clue what's going on with the Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vest) movement. Esp Alexandra Occaional-Cortex, who will call for a 70% Fed Tax rate on the 60 Minutes show tomorrow. LOL

France Ablaze Again; Yellow Vests Rage After Founder Arrested; Cops Punched, Tear Gas Deployed



Mtl JP  14:28:13 GMT - 01/05/2019  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Because "could" is not "will"
week-end study
plan the trade + trade the plan
-
An interesting couple of observations in the piece that - to me - serve as reminder of the insidiousness of things "investing" and "financial"

"The spot energy index in the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) gained 25 percent between January and October. But with the books closed on 2018, the index ended the year down 21 percent. "

However a more impactful / instructional number is the difference between the Index's high and year's close: Oct 3rd 2018 505.55 (367.29 dec 24 low) and 374.33 dec 31 = -25.96%.

The other - again to me - noteworthy clip is ..."the strategy for oil and gas executives to appease investors is to focus on “quick cash, quarterly payouts and fast talk,” Sanzillo says. “Either way the stocks lack a long-term value rationale.”

which relates to my earlier screams on the forum that jerome FED's duty and mission is to take and keep away money from wrong hands.

Looking at jerome's Friday performance and market reaction evidence it would appear that, at least in round one, I was wrong about jerome as he blinked.

Bloodbath In Oil & Gas Stocks Could Continue



Mtl JP  22:14:13 GMT - 12/30/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
New tax law eliminates alimony deductions —

but not for everybody



Mtl JP  03:03:34 GMT - 12/26/2018  
According to Bloomberg

Trump told reporters at the White House on Christmas morning that Mnuchin is a “very talented guy, very smart person.”



Mtl JP  02:35:15 GMT - 12/26/2018  
Trump Urges Buying the Dip After Stocks Sink on D.C. Dysfunction
December 25, 2018, 11:08 AM EST - Bloomberg

“We have companies -- the greatest in the world, and they’re doing really well,” Trump told reporters at the White House on Tuesday. “They have record kinds of numbers. So I think it’s a tremendous opportunity to buy. Really a great opportunity to buy.”



Mtl JP  02:33:45 GMT - 12/26/2018  
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
The only problem our economy has is the Fed. They don’t have a feel for the Market, they don’t understand necessary Trade Wars or Strong Dollars or even Democrat Shutdowns over Borders. The Fed is like a powerful golfer who can’t score because he has no touch - he can’t putt!
7:55 AM - 24 Dec 2018
-----------------


Mtl JP  21:50:26 GMT - 12/25/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
.... Asked about Monday’s stock market plunge and his attitude toward Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whom he appointed but has also blamed for the recent market woes, Trump said: “We’ll see” and that he lacked confidence in Powell.

The president has been enraged over the Fed’s decision to raise interest rates in light of the strong overall economy.

“They’re raising interest rates too fast, that’s my opinion. I shouldn’t have confidence. They’re raising rates too fast because they think the economy is so good. But I think they will get it pretty soon. I really do,” Trump said, a day after the Dow lost more than 650 points and fell 2.9 percent — the worst Christmas Eve performance ever.

“I mean, the fact is that the economy is doing so well that they raised interest rates and. President Obama had a very low-interest rate. We have a normalized interest rate, a normalized interest rate, it’s good for a lot of people. They have money in the bank, they get interest on their money,” he said. .../..

Trump celebrates Christmas by complaining about economy, border wall



dc CB  05:23:06 GMT - 12/20/2018  
PS: presaged in the 1980's ----er 1984/85.
in need of some tweeking? only took 35 or so years.

Meet Max Headroom



dc CB  05:16:09 GMT - 12/20/2018  
Hello the Presidential CandyDates for 2020.
Presenting................

Nvidia's Scary AI Generates Humans That Look 100% Real



Livingston nh  21:52:01 GMT - 12/19/2018  
Post FED -- Italian 10 yr and US 10 yr both @2.77% yield AND the 30 yr is under 3% // tick tick tick


dc CB  21:40:46 GMT - 12/19/2018  
interesting intv from Nov 3, on USA Watchdog: Chas Nenner a cycle guy. fwiw said he was buying Bonds the following week, as the cycle has turned. didn't know what wud cause it, but the Cycle has turned up for bonds.
So what happened, starting the week of Nov 12.

Chas Nenner, USA Watchdog Nov 3rd



Mtl JP  19:38:36 GMT - 12/19/2018  
Winners and Losers
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Americans could pay $2.4 billion more on their credit-card debt after Fed rate hike - MarketWatch

Now think... not who is going to be paying BUT
WHO is going to be receiving the extra cash


Mtl JP  16:16:39 GMT - 12/09/2018  
Winners and Losers
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market playing wisdom:

“The human mind feels most comfortable if there is a logic to what is going on in the world. This is also the case for investors in markets. We need a story, and markets get anxious if there are too many unquantifiable signals and no clear signs of a consistent narrative,”
- Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank Securities,

via

A bruised stock market looks to the Fed for relief



Livingston nh  14:06:31 GMT - 12/03/2018  
red - might May and Carney welcome a drop in Pound to focus the Tory fence sitters on the last crash out


london red  13:54:38 GMT - 12/03/2018  
big losses for cable on cards if moves under 12700/05. daily close below fatal technically.


Mtl JP  12:38:47 GMT - 12/03/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
9h9 hours ago

China has agreed to reduce and remove tariffs on cars coming into China from the U.S. Currently the tariff is 40%.


Mtl JP  11:38:26 GMT - 12/03/2018  
Canadian province Alberta's socio-communist premier Rachel Naughtley has decided to meddle in the alberta crude oil production mandating an 8.7% reduction starting in january (325,000bbls/day) for one year.

She thinks she will achieve a $4/bbl price hike.

Currently alberta's crap is fetching $16.93.


Bali Sja  04:26:43 GMT - 12/02/2018  
There will be no tariffs in the end. Stox will rally. World leaders are puppets of asset holders all around the world. They are the rich-gets-richer protectors. What else can they play? Screw the low to mid income earners, the great slaves of all


Mtl JP  23:39:09 GMT - 12/01/2018  
Co-operation is the best choice for China and the United States, Chinese President Xi Jinping told U.S. President Donald Trump during a Saturday dinner meeting in Argentina, state news agency Xinhua reported.

Then co-operate Xi. President Trump is an awfully patient type, listening to Xi spout the same thing over n over except co-operatively comply with Trump's list.

On the other hand, there could be some good trade opps IF Xi continues to insist on some "equality" fantasy.


Mtl JP  13:15:27 GMT - 12/01/2018  
according to news peddlers

Trump, China's Xi poised for high-stakes summit over trade war - rtrs

...With the trade war weighing on the global economy, world financial markets are hanging on every development and will be watching closely to see if any compromise can be struck between Trump and Xi....

Maybe President Trump should plan on tariff-icating 550 billion worth of trade instead of the piddly

Beijing hopes to persuade Trump to abandon plans to hike tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25 percent in January, from 10 percent at present. Trump has threatened to go ahead with that and possibly add tariffs on $267 billion of imports if there is no progress in the talks.



Livingston nh  13:05:59 GMT - 11/29/2018  
jp - tariffs are a tax so Treasury coffers fill -- the folks who ultimately pay those taxes are companies who pass at least some of the tax on to consumers // see if that gets picked up in the CPI


Mtl JP  12:54:40 GMT - 11/29/2018  
looks like President Trump is pissing on chinese suits threats IF they are not treated as an "equal"

Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
22 minutes ago
Billions of Dollars are pouring into the coffers of the U.S.A. because of the Tariffs being charged to China, and there is a long way to go. If companies don’t want to pay Tariffs, build in the U.S.A. Otherwise, lets just make our Country richer than ever before!



Mtl JP  11:53:16 GMT - 11/28/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
This is starting to look like a brat kid going to rebellious teen-ager to arogue adult neighberhood bully:

Exclusive: China envoy warns of dire consequences if U.S. hardliners hold sway - RTRS

..."China and the United States had a shared responsibility to cooperate in the interests of the global economy."...

shared responsibility ... world wars, Great Depression... repetition of history



Mtl JP  15:22:36 GMT - 11/17/2018  
attaboy pence:

PORT MORESBY (Reuters) - The United States will not back down from its trade dispute with China, and might even double its tariffs, unless Beijing bows to U.S. demands, Vice President Mike Pence said on Saturday.

Pence vows no end to tariffs until China bows



dc CB  23:16:36 GMT - 11/10/2018  
Last week's shooting in California, rather than spurning another big push for more gun control in California------ USA Today reports.

At the only gun shop in Thousand Oaks, fearful residents decide it's time to buy a gun



dc CB  21:24:00 GMT - 11/10/2018  
also there were many watching this MidTerm across the Pond.
ZeroHedge posts a compilation of press reactions.

Europeans React To US Elections



dc CB  20:36:16 GMT - 11/10/2018  
As I noted earlier this week, what the Demos taking majority in the House means that they will shut it down. The WSJ notes as well.

""Arguably the most important power at stake in Tuesday’s election was Congressional oversight, and the most important change may be Adam Schiff at the House Intelligence Committee. The Democrat says his top priority is re-opening the Trump-Russia collusion probe, but more important may be his intention to stop investigating how the FBI and Justice Department abused their power in 2016""

Burying The Other Russia Story: WSJ Editors Expose The House Democrats' Real Plan



dc CB  19:52:52 GMT - 11/10/2018  
also when will the other 3 FISAs --- the last of which was apparently signed by Rod Rosenstein --- in 2017 ---after Trump took office...that's the biggie...

When? the block on Trump's recent order was assumed to be Sessions. Methinks it's something he will keep in his pocket. But nonetheless - the gloves are off.
Watch some of the answers he gave to reporters yest on teh WH lawn as he headed off on his way to Paris. Clips on the net.


Mtl JP  18:15:59 GMT - 11/10/2018  
What are the odds and timeline that the

FISA warrant that authorized the FBI to spy on the Trump campaign before the 2016 elections

gets DECLASSIFIED?


Mtl JP  12:22:43 GMT - 11/10/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Republican majority in the US Senate = end of leftist Dem's impeachment fantasy


Mtl JP  11:50:14 GMT - 11/10/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Let it be a LESSON :

Bank of England , personified by self avowed globalist Mark "rockstar of central banking" Carney, "...has refused to release the gold bars, worth about £420 million ..."

Maduro scrambles to bring Venezuela’s gold back from the UK



Mtl JP  22:17:08 GMT - 11/09/2018  
The Federal Reserve said it will start publishing a semiannual report on financial stability. The report, the first of which will come on Nov. 28, will include a summary of the central bank's framework for assessing the resilience of the U.S. financial system and a discussion of key indicators related to the main financial stability vulnerabilities: asset valuations, borrowing by businesses and households, leverage in the financial sector, and funding risks. The Fed said the report will complement the annual report of the Financial Stability Oversight Council. The Fed said the annual review of whether to activate the countercyclical capital buffer will be conducted in January.

Fed to start publishing new semiannual review of financial stability



london red  09:21:42 GMT - 11/07/2018  
euro. v lrg expiries today and tom by 115 with good res 11550/60 to reset shorts


london red  09:19:09 GMT - 11/07/2018  
speaking of winners and losers, it looks like brexit talks have exhausted the thesaurus in terms of stating how well talks are progressing and after a good run to the downside, the eurgbp may now be exhausted by 8700 and may need to correct esp in absence of any news. it will still be a news driven cross but with any breakthru now unlikely for a few days, we could see some retracement to topside towards 8800


Mtl JP  08:52:17 GMT - 11/07/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
now that the fun party is over
onto another one:

Household Debt Continues to Climb in the Second Quarter of 2018

newyorkfed



Mtl JP  15:40:48 GMT - 11/04/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Lets take a look at what is strategic mistake:

U.S. says SWIFT could be sanctioned if it deals with sanctioned entities - RTRS
(U.S. says = the brilliant U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin)

And now at a tactical countermove:

Russia's alternative to SWIFT payment system poised to eclipse the original – MP - RT.com
Meet System for Transfer of Financial Messages (SPFS)

Livingston nh 17:29 GMT December 31, 2015
The US may find out that the "new" improved sanctions (soft power) play right into the hands of the oil nations - and the Climate Changers -- and the Fed -- nobody wants cheap oil anymore

Iran is still using a copy of the successful NK Playbook to diddle the US

The risk is that US sanctions on Russia and Iran may be ignored by most of its allies so enforcement becomes questionable - if that happens you can't put the toothpaste back in the tube // never ever confuse a suggestion with a law -- enforcement is the key -otherwise "so what who cares" is the response

VERY USD negative

Only Qtn now is how SWIFTly.


Mtl JP  16:31:30 GMT - 11/03/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
One could think the general could trade the FOREX market with his strategies, tactics and poetic ideas.
The We Win They Lose Plan:

‘A Perfect Harmony Of Intense Violence’:
Army Chief Milley On Future War



Mtl JP  17:36:45 GMT - 11/02/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Taking on Goldman Sachs and the New York Fed: A whistleblower tells her story

Segarra sat down with MarketWatch to discuss what she thinks should be done to make the U.S. financial system safer and her new book “Noncompliant A Lone Whistleblower Exposes the Giants of Wall Street.”



Mtl JP  20:17:37 GMT - 11/01/2018  
jamie says

The “long-term health of Europe is important for the whole world,” Dimon told German newspaper Handelsblatt in an interview published Thursday.

The “long-term health of Europe is important for the whole world,” Dimon told German newspaper Handelsblatt in an interview published Thursday.



Mtl JP  19:36:20 GMT - 11/01/2018  
haha talking of the "professor", look what the cat dragged out:

‘Godfather’ of chart analysis says damage done to the stock market is ‘much, much worse’ than anyone is talking about
Published: Nov 1, 2018 2:22 p.m. ET

Acampora tells MarketWatch that the action under way in the stock market reminds him of the 1987 crash



PAR 19:24:37 GMT - 11/01/2018  
I learned my lesson in 1987 . A few day before the crash of 1987 ,Acampora turned extremely bullish on the US matkets.

Do your own homework and don't listen to oracles of Delphi


london red  18:28:04 GMT - 11/01/2018  
ralph acampora dow 30000 back at the start of the millenium. but gents i do believe we finally have something to top that prediction


Mtl JP  18:25:38 GMT - 11/01/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
‘We believe the selloff is behind us,’ and the bull market ‘could last to 2035... That’s going to coincide with millennials peaking.’

for future reference his name is Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors
(it takes balls, or maybe not seeing as he is not offering any guarantees outside of urgings)

Market strategist urges aggressive buying, says bull market could last decades



dc CB  00:33:29 GMT - 10/29/2018  
8:20 p.m. Orson Welles interviewed the day after War of the Worlds broadcast
(in Today's interpretation===mind U Well's was 22yo nad had just managed to frighten the entire world===== "Have U not shame? U scared the pantaloons off GrandMa! How dare U be so CONvincing!...CENSOR TOO REAL CENSOR)

8:30 p.m. Dragnet
“The Big Mail” Program #153 (NBC, Original air date May 15, 1952) (Running time 26:42)

9 p.m. War of the Worlds
“The Mercury Theatre” (CBS, Original air date October 30, 1938) (Running time 59:34)

10 p.m. Interview with Orson Welles and HG Wells
(Radio KTSA San Antonio, Original air date October 28, 1940) (Running time 7:45)

On The Web (everywhere) Happy Halloween.



Mtl JP  23:56:11 GMT - 10/28/2018  
BofA's CIO Michael Hartnett likes to remind his readers,
"markets stop panicking when central banks start panicking."
- from zh link


Livingston nh  23:35:48 GMT - 10/28/2018  
AND Rates Rates Rates will determine the USD Vs. the world


Livingston nh  23:24:38 GMT - 10/28/2018  
These Hair on Fire guys drive me crazy - market always gives you one last chance -- ignore the end look at the year before

May 2006 - January 2000 - October 1987 -- you need the event to confirm a recession -- it doesn't ALWAYS happen

Does the guy that has the MAGIC KEY tell anybody --NOOO!
What is their TIME Bubble on all these wonderful predictions and how long can you wait?
Powell is NOT an economist like Bernanke's Depression Theory nor is he Yellen's Phillips Curve Theory


Mtl JP  23:10:51 GMT - 10/28/2018  
a) GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT October 11, 2018
Fed Should Take A Breather On Policy Tightening Before It's Too Late

b) (courtesy zh) Goldman: "The Fed Will Deliver Significantly More Hikes Than Are Priced In"


Don't Expect A Fed Bail Out: What Convexity Flows Mean For Repricing Of The "Fed Put" - zh

and the squawking continues:

Fed needs to pause here to stabilize battered market, Ed Yardeni says



Livingston nh  23:07:44 GMT - 10/28/2018  
cb - the politicization of these tragedies is obnoxious beyond comment -- you remember the texas tower gunman - it wasn't condoned or explained by politics

THE OK City bombing was an attack on OUR government by a homegrown whacko - neither side took "credit or blame"
__

The Ireland issue scares the Brexit issues when it should be dealt w/ as an economic issue - the loony toons need to be dealt w/ thru elimination and it should be made clear

SPECIAL interests whether legal folks or religious folks need to be suppressed


Dillon AL  22:57:34 GMT - 10/28/2018  
As Jeff Bezos had a reduction of 14 billion last week
so
The Chinese billionaires on the list of the 500 richest people on the planet have lost a combined $86 billion so far this year

66 pct down from the top



dc CB  22:38:04 GMT - 10/28/2018  
nh
Two weeks until the election - a slaughter house because of religion
++++++++++++++++++++

I fear what that grim reality in the cuurent Game of Thrones will be.
Keep killing until the last HeadLine Sticks in the mind of the Voter in the Booth.

In the Accountant's book, enter in the column- deductions: 'culling the heard"(sic) --- no one cud say


Livingston nh  22:05:19 GMT - 10/28/2018  
Two weeks until the election - a slaughter house because of religion - but this is nothing new - bombs in a church drive by, a bible thumper because the attendees were not the right color - kids in an elementary school -- BUT I'm not guilty because I'm crazy - not an islamic terrorist or an immigrant the perpetrators are HOME GROWN losers // HOMELAND SECURITY -- don't you feel safer

Move along there's no winners here
__________

As far as the STOX go - if you believe the financial myths you get what you deserve













dc CB  21:31:56 GMT - 10/28/2018  
"Jeffie Boy" -- William Randolph Hearst


dc CB  21:29:13 GMT - 10/28/2018  
 
Losers!!??
how many Billions did Jeffie Boy "lose" this week?
Means NOTHING...most Peoples in the world are Math challenged.
1bln = 5X lifetimes of daily million spending(correct me if U R knot Math Challenged)

“But I don’t want to go among mad people," Alice remarked.
"Oh, you can’t help that," said the Cat: "we’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad."
"How do you know I’m mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn’t have come here.”
― Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland


Mtl JP  19:19:54 GMT - 10/28/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
the condescension and cynicism is undeniable
courtesy wapo - Perspective (Thomas Heath)
How I learned to love a good downturn in the stock market

some plums:

If you are losing sleep over market swings, then you should probably not own stocks.
You see, corrections aren’t all bad. In fact, if you don’t need the money any time soon, you should love your corrections.
“Corrections can be very healthy,” said Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the Wharton School
Market declines create opportunities.
Geniuses who pick stocks for a living even have difficulty pulling it off.
“We can use volatility to our advantage, as it provides opportunities to purchase quality growth companies at attractive prices,”
If you are retired or close to it, you should have already diversified into some cash and fixed income to avoid the market swings. (haha, should huff)
“Declines in stock prices are your friend, because you can buy more stocks,”
another silver lining to downturns. Corrections can weed out investors like hedge funds who are not in for the long term.



Mtl JP  15:09:32 GMT - 10/26/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Why, often times, it is a good idea to NOT read news:

Opinion: Don’t sell now — we’re not heading into a bear market for stocks
Published: Oct 26, 2018 8:45 a.m. ET
The economy is still strong, which could extend the bull market

11:01 A wild market ride
10:56 Here’s how stock market investors can emotionally handle today’s decline
10:55 The Wall Street analyst who called this stock-market rout sees another nasty drop for the S&P 500
10:53 Dow falls 400 points, S&P 500 edges toward correction territory
-- MarketWatch



Mtl JP  21:23:07 GMT - 10/20/2018  
On Friday chinese "leaders" were out swinging against markets selling off.
Reports FT thusly on "soundbites from three China regulators" :

China regulators try to reassure investors as stock market wobbles
Concerns over economic growth and trade prompt rare statements from agency heads



Mtl JP  17:43:17 GMT - 10/19/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
what does it take to be one and not the other ?

Do not despair. With some skill, knowledge, patience, self-discipline and proper guidance, most investors have the potential to make millions, or a lot of money, in marijuana. Consider adopting a sophisticated approach. Sophistication takes more work but it is well worth it.



Mtl JP  01:44:21 GMT - 10/18/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
The Future of Battery Production for Electric Vehicles
..."global capacity for battery cell production will exceed market demand by approximately 40% in 2021"...

Interesting article saying the Chinese will shoot themselves again in the foot. The expected capacity for high power cells for the automotive industry will overshoot demand by 40% just as Elon just announced he bought the land to build his 3rd giga battery factory...

Odds are high that musk is trying to run a ponzi scheme on the Chinese to fund his desperately short of cash north American operations

clink for link



Mtl JP  17:55:21 GMT - 10/15/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Over the med term, which do you think will trump as the directional driver for USD:
A) relative yield / interest rate
or
B) US structural deficits

AND ... in which direction ? TIA


Mtl JP  13:16:39 GMT - 10/13/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
The 2018 Bavarian state election will be held on 14 October 2018 to elect the 180 members of the 18th Landtag of Bavaria.


Mtl JP  12:43:57 GMT - 10/13/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Goldman Sachs on
when it does not matter that insider trading is illegal

“Not if you don’t get caught,”



Mtl JP  12:28:36 GMT - 10/13/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Case study: ‘Colossal Failure’
sometimes they have nothing to do with the economy

Hedge Fund Billionaire Rode the Worst Trade of His Life All the Way Down



Mtl JP  22:13:03 GMT - 10/12/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
(I think the most valuable take-away is the para that starts with “Human beings hate two things,”)

POLITICO's JOHN F. HARRIS and SARAH ZIMMERMAN
on who is making money off who

Psychologists’ couches are filling up as Americans seek relief from Trump Anxiety Disorder.



Mtl JP  01:12:08 GMT - 10/12/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Some FBI employees recalled from Asia amid probe into prostitution, partying - headline

should make for good highschool recruiting poster
really.. why aspire to work as a (for ex) welder


Mtl JP  16:07:24 GMT - 10/10/2018  
Winners and Losers
VIX 18.82 up 2.87 or 17.99%
damn that is a nice gain for those in long


Mtl JP  05:20:00 GMT - 10/04/2018  
USDCNY near 7...
should be playable


Dillon AL  01:20:41 GMT - 10/04/2018  
methinks he takes himself too seriously


Mtl JP  00:38:59 GMT - 10/04/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Fed Chairman Powell says that when it comes to this economy, ‘everything’ keeps him up at night

I wonder how (a survey?) Powell knows that

Powell: ‘Nobody wants a central banker who sleeps well’



Mtl JP  20:26:53 GMT - 10/02/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
president Trump said that:
- he expects to “top” the deal to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement by striking a deal with China or the European Union.
- they "are working on
--- China,
-----on Japan and on
------ [the] EU


Mtl JP  18:24:31 GMT - 10/02/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
---------------------
uP $15.30 (1.3%) settled at $1,207/oz


Mtl JP  16:17:48 GMT - 10/01/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
---------------------
I am posting this only as evidence that
a phenomenon that I have never seen been before
than an opening GAP can be closed by another GAP


Mtl JP  12:35:18 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Winners and Winners
------------------------
11:00am NYT
President Trump is scheduled to spin USMCA


Mtl JP  09:56:25 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Winners and Losers - wooo...hooo
---------------------
Should investors fear October, a historic ‘jinx month’ for stocks?
The average stock is overvalued somewhere between tremendously and enormously
Stock investors can no longer ignore the next bear market
Fasten your seat belt for stocks: October is almost here
- MarketWatch

for the record:
DJIA 26458.31
S&P 500 2,913.98


Mtl JP  06:36:00 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Winners and Losers
-
NAFTA is now called the USMCA.
“It's a good day for Canada,” according to Trudeau


Mtl JP  06:20:36 GMT - 10/01/2018  
 
Gap & USDCAD 1,2818
channel support
plz mind your risk


dc CB  02:40:34 GMT - 10/01/2018  
"We Have A Trilateral Deal": US, Canada Agree To Update Nafta Ahead Of Midnight Deadline


Jkt Abel  01:42:55 GMT - 10/01/2018  
JP, you gonna long usdcad for closing the gap game?


dc CB  01:18:38 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Canada PM Trudeau Calls 10PM Cabinet Meeting With Nafta Deal Announcement Imminent


dc CB  00:27:16 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Tin Foil Hats on???
Take a peak at the Supreme Court nomination, Kavanaugh v Sex Misconduct while in HS and a Freshman in college to guage how the Democrats are doing---making fools of themselves---However they are doubling/tripling down and All the MSM appears to be on their side. The DiViDe is widening and about to get real viscious...

with retail going All-In --- see last post. The conditions are ripe for Stage 3. With 5 weeks to go to get the "Blue Wave" to materialize.


Mtl JP  00:21:42 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
..."California Gov. Jerry Brown signed on Sunday a landmark bill mandating that all publicly traded companies with headquarters in the state have at least one woman on their boards by the end of next year. By 2021, companies with at least five directors would need to have two or three female directors, depending on the size of the board, according to the new law. Those that don’t face financial penalties." ...
- wires


Mtl JP  00:00:38 GMT - 10/01/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
From the "told u so" file on GVI - partial post, relating to seasonality of stocks:
Mtl JP 19:01 GMT September 13, 2018
------------------------
Wall street bonuses are usually paid on Sept 30th numbers as year end is set that way for investment houses vs regular companies that usually use year end or November 30th ( to be able to pay xmas bonuses). I would be VERY surprised if we don’t hit all New FRESH highs by then.

And then we have October the black sheep Month of the year where basically Stats rule the day as long as whisper numbers that only the mega rich and powerful are privy to ahead of the releases . .../..

gl


dc CB  22:34:56 GMT - 09/30/2018  
even as strategists at big banks from Goldman, to Citi, to Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan have recommended fading the rally in American stocks while forecasting the second-weakest year-end period of the market's now-record long bull run. And, as we enter Q4, sellside analysts, traditionally cheerleaders for further market gains, look "timid", and according to the average year-end S&P 500 target of 2,956, they forecast just a 1.4% gain in the fourth quarter. That would be the worst close to a year since 2012. ZeroHedge

Charles Schwab Client Cash Hits All Time Low As Retail Investors Flood The Market



GVI Forex  22:33:43 GMT - 09/30/2018  
USDCAD gaps lower on NAFTA hopes ahead of a midnight deadline.


dc CB  19:28:17 GMT - 09/30/2018  
Sans the "Coasts", this is what sells in the USA, not electric kool-kar that don't travel very far w/o a stop off at a charging station.

F-150, Ram, Silverado: 'The best 3 trucks ever built' go to war



Mtl JP  19:48:50 GMT - 09/28/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Tesla:
Yesty close: 307.59
Quote: 260.50

Margin
- allows to buy more securities that one could with cash only.
- is the difference between the market value of a stock and the loan amount.

100 shares x $10 x 50% margin rate = $500 required cash in account to buy $1000 worth of shares.

Always, ALWAYS KNOW the amount by which a stock falling in price will wipe out your position so that will lose all your money, plus interest and commissions.

The BEAUTY of a margin account vs a cash account is that when things go south, they get ugly really fast. In fact so ugly as to lead to personal or corporate bankruptcy, possibly suicide.

Everything in your account - ALL you assets - as well as your personal guarantee, are held as assurance by the broker. You WILL repay the debt no matter what happens in the trading account itself.

IF the account blows up you are on the hook for the money immediately (usually within 3 days max).
No payment plan.
No terms.

If you don't pay the broker can haul you to court to get judgments to seize your other assets. You may have to borrow new money (ie go into debt) to pay off the broker's judgement.


dc CB  14:41:16 GMT - 09/28/2018  
https://www.wsj.com/articles/elon-musk-sued-by-the-sec-for-securities-fraud-1538079650

Elon's Dream



Mtl JP  11:53:05 GMT - 09/28/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Tesla yesty close: $307.60

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Pre-Market Trading
$267.19 40.3313.11%

Puppy has good odds of seeing $242
Should be BoD to $200/180
due dilligence mandatory


Mtl JP  14:52:22 GMT - 09/27/2018  
As an aside
that Mika piece's "intelligence" about women's trillion of student loans should also as a vetting question to anyone entertaining a serious personal relationship with a woman with an albatross around her neck.

Bottom Line
there are two kinds of women:
with student loan debt
without student loan debt


Mtl JP  14:52:11 GMT - 09/27/2018  
As an aside
that Mika piece's "intelligence" about women's trillion of student loans should also as a vetting question to anyone entertaining a serious personal relationship with a woman with an albatross around her neck.

Bottom Line
there are two kinds of women:
with student loan debt
without student loan debt


Mtl JP  14:41:14 GMT - 09/27/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
so now apparently "women hold roughly $1 trillion worth of student loans"

as an employer, I would say it is good "intelligence" to know coz it offers tactical leverage

courtesy

Mika Brzezinski says she had to ask her boss ‘five times’ to get a raise



Mtl JP  05:37:42 GMT - 09/27/2018  
Winners and Losers
when social peace, financial security peddle defines albatross
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Flashback
..."Owning a home lies at the heart of the American dream. A home is a foundation for families and a source of stability for communities. It serves as the foundation of many Americans' financial security."...june 15 2002

dubya announced his "American Dream Downpayment Act" in 2003

You work three jobs? Uniquely American, isn't it? I mean, that is fantastic that you're doing that." W. Bush, to a divorced mother of three, Omaha, Nebraska, Feb. 4, 2005

FFRWD:
A decade after the housing crisis, foreclosures still haunt homeowners

“It is like when a building starts to fall down and just crumples piece by piece,” “It affected the relationship I have with my kids, it was a big cause of my divorce, and caused me major health issues.”



dc CB  01:02:52 GMT - 09/27/2018  
Tomrow morning the Senate Judiciary Commtee will hold a performance of Arthur Miller's - The Crucible.
Begins at 9:30 AM.


Mtl JP  00:32:45 GMT - 09/27/2018  
darmmn !

House overwhelmingly passes spending bill that will keep government open - wires

like this we wont find how un-necessary gov't is OR
how badly it would (not) be missed


Dillon AL  21:36:28 GMT - 09/26/2018  
Why is it that adverts on my TV screen are not considered political interference. They certainly are trying to persuade a point of view and most importantly influence an outcome. ...???


Mtl JP  20:07:48 GMT - 09/26/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
a while ago:
China is actually placing propaganda ads in the Des Moines Register and other papers, made to look like news. That’s because we are beating them on Trade, opening markets, and the farmers will make a fortune when this is over! - President Trump

Trump Today: President accuses China of attempting to interfere in U.S. midterm elections



Dubai MA  14:21:28 GMT - 09/25/2018  
Is anyone long eurusd?

Is anyone looking to go short ahead of fed tomorrow?


Mtl JP  14:08:46 GMT - 09/25/2018  
Winners and Loser
--------------------
It is not exactly clear if Louis is a Winner or Loser as
Luis Caputo

argentine CBanker goes POOF !



Mtl JP  12:33:04 GMT - 09/25/2018  
Volatility Winners and Losers
--------------------------------
VIX represents option traders’ expectations about the S&P 500’s SPX volatility over the next month:

VIX



Mtl JP  12:33:04 GMT - 09/25/2018  
Volatility Winners and Losers
--------------------------------
VIX represents option traders’ expectations about the S&P 500’s SPX volatility over the next month:

VIX



Mtl JP  12:05:53 GMT - 09/25/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Volatility is fun only for Winners


Mtl JP  11:13:18 GMT - 09/25/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Reports RTRS: China says U.S. putting 'knife to its neck', hard to proceed on trade (Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwe)

Chinese apparatchiks still tone deaf, still not getting it despite hearing the message, still delusional about some notions of equality:

... It’s not an equal negotiation,” Wang



Mtl JP  20:01:59 GMT - 09/24/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
----------------------
EURO 1.1745
1.1750-1.1812-1.1750 = full circle now from this morning
On the chart one could say zero sum game
but unlikely in one's wallet
=
I am thinking 1.1720 is still at risk as is 1.1700
BUT also think 1.1720/00 is a support zone
that should hold , odds wise


Mtl JP  07:28:16 GMT - 09/22/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
From: President Trump
To: President Jinping

We’re going to go $200 billion at 25 percent on Chinese made goods. And we will come back with more if they retaliate. We have a lot more to come back with. We are cracking down on the unfair trade practices of China… We have rebuilt China. We have given them such wealth. And we are changing it. So we charged 25 percent on $50 billion worth of merchandise tariffs coming in. And then they said, 'We're going to do the same thing'. And I've said: 'That is okay. We have far more bullets'.” - Trump at a packed rally in Missouri for Republican Senate candidate Josh Hawley. Sept 21, 2018
source: most MSM

China Cancels Trade Talks With U.S. Amid Escalation in Tariff Threats - WSJ

China scotched trade talks with the U.S. that were planned for the coming days, according to people briefed on the matter, further dimming prospects for resolving a trade battle between the world’s two largest economies.


Mtl JP  10:54:36 GMT - 09/20/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
FWIW here is my take on Jay's Amazing Trader's epiphany:
(lest you think I get an endorsement fee: perish the thought)

A Brief Summary About Amazing Trader and
about trading opps (quotes pulled from Archive):
> AT not only gives you a strategy and patterns to trade but its trading lines give you levels to trade in all types of market conditions.
> AT always gives you a level and pattern to trade, no matter what the trend or market condition
> AT gives you trading opportunities all the time for all types of traders, whether a scalper, daytrader, swing trader or position trader. We even have a strategy for trading binary options.
> AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.
> Note how the news algos and CB speak are driving air pocket trading. This is where the Amazing Trader can be invaluable as it gives levels to trade against in what would otherwise seem like a black hole.
> the Amazing Trader is dynamic and gives you a clear picture of the structure of the market at any time.
> Take a look at the blue resistance line and how it checked the upside. It was drawn well in advance as a key level and is an example how Amazing Trader levels are amazing across all time frames.
> "The Amazing Trader if used correctly is one of the best tools one can use to trade. It truly gives you an idea of the different levels the market may hit in a bearish or bullish market when sometimes we have no clue. Most important it gives great entry and exit points."

The last point is , chronologically in the Archive, is one of the earlier ones Jay made.
I think, from my experience with AT, it is the best one.

It is a tuff offer to beat: comes with 30 day moneyback



Mtl JP  18:57:41 GMT - 09/19/2018  
USDCAD 1.2913
puppy continues sneaking down
likely to test 1.2886 previous low
200day at 1.2854 = support


Mtl JP  15:46:44 GMT - 09/19/2018  
Abel 14:32 it is better to trade vs discuss
"theory meets the road"


Mtl JP  15:00:47 GMT - 09/19/2018  
now protecting usdcad 1.2980 short
looking for ~100 pips, maybe bit more


Mtl JP  14:39:50 GMT - 09/19/2018  
usdcad 1.2980
short here, sl 1.30+


Jkt Abel  14:32:28 GMT - 09/19/2018  
Cheers JP, very ideal entry. We discussed about this 11650 being solid support


Mtl JP  14:16:00 GMT - 09/19/2018  
 
EURDLR 1.1652
I am going long here
see chart why


Mtl JP  11:39:01 GMT - 09/19/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
FWIW here is my take on Jay's Amazing Trader's epiphany:
(lest you think I get an endorsement fee: perish the thought)

A Brief Summary About Amazing Trader and
about trading opps (quotes pulled from Archive):
> AT not only gives you a strategy and patterns to trade but its trading lines give you levels to trade in all types of market conditions.
> AT always gives you a level and pattern to trade, no matter what the trend or market condition
> AT gives you trading opportunities all the time for all types of traders, whether a scalper, daytrader, swing trader or position trader. We even have a strategy for trading binary options.
> AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.
> Note how the news algos and CB speak are driving air pocket trading. This is where the Amazing Trader can be invaluable as it gives levels to trade against in what would otherwise seem like a black hole.
> the Amazing Trader is dynamic and gives you a clear picture of the structure of the market at any time.
> Take a look at the blue resistance line and how it checked the upside. It was drawn well in advance as a key level and is an example how Amazing Trader levels are amazing across all time frames.
> "The Amazing Trader if used correctly is one of the best tools one can use to trade. It truly gives you an idea of the different levels the market may hit in a bearish or bullish market when sometimes we have no clue. Most important it gives great entry and exit points."

The last point is , chronologically in the Archive, is one of the earlier ones Jay made.
I think, from my experience with AT, it is the best one.

It is a tuff offer to beat: comes with 30 day moneyback



jkt abel  03:11:40 GMT - 09/19/2018  
yes kl fs, buy dips scaling in can be tried IMO


kl fs  02:59:21 GMT - 09/19/2018  
euro seems bottoming in this 1.15-1.16 for mid term


Mtl JP  20:41:49 GMT - 09/18/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
fwiw an OPINION from one reporter I actually usually read:
Caroline Baum

Fed officials are playing with fire if they deliberately invert the yield curve



Mtl JP  16:11:12 GMT - 09/18/2018  
how-ever....
odds are the opposite that is going to happen that is that stock is going to sky rocket: probable stellar production numbersfor Q3.
You are NOT Allowed to talk to analysts in the month prior to releasing results.

Here we get some dumbo CNBC reporter to launch a non NEWS story for the shorts to cover a bad trade, so odds are that the stock will be higher than today just the day before the release of Q3 results on October 30th
curr: ~282 LoD 275.43

The issue is who will lead the $3bb round? That is the billion dollar question!


Mtl JP  15:56:58 GMT - 09/18/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Tesla Faces U.S. Criminal Probe Over Musk Statements - BBRG
stock doing the right thing


Mtl JP  21:42:09 GMT - 09/17/2018  
 
Winners and Losers
---------------------
nzd's jacinda's tongue (stupidly) wagging made some wealthier others less so. No recourse , of course.


Mtl JP  19:05:47 GMT - 09/14/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Oh oh..ooow... a peeping sound from the crypt
(could ≠will)

Janet Yellen sees risk of economy overheating

‘I don’t think it could be very rapid,’ former Fed chair says



HK [email protected]  10:09:01 GMT - 09/13/2018  
!
First effect; Feedback of a dilettante appointing himsel:............. ........................Turkey Wealth Fund Chairman............................


Mtl JP  09:38:34 GMT - 09/13/2018  
 
Erdogan came out with some platitudes (and measures) earlier about some things that - according to him - must happen.

Currently market is saying hog-wash: you are ON brother.


Mtl JP  09:34:15 GMT - 09/13/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
This came out yesterday but it it still appears to be alive as it is not resolved rather it is simmering and bubbling and I suspect it is NOT as one-sided as wsj paints it : Xi is leary , once burnt twice shy so likely spitting on the sticks sh!tty end Trump is allegedly extending:

U.S. Proposing New Round of Trade Talks With China - wsj
BUT
Some Trump officials said they sense a new vulnerability—and possibly more flexibility—among Chinese officials

The Trump administration is giving Beijing another chance to try to stave off new tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese exports, asking top officials for a fresh round of trade talks later this month, people briefed on the matter said.



dc CB  20:36:55 GMT - 09/12/2018  
Mtl JP 20:00 GMT
Geithner never ran or managed anything. He was always just a very well paid Tool --- with a capital T --- and that rhymes with pool. For that matterr so was Bernanke, but at least he had a PhD and an Ivy League cap to hang on his hatrack.


Mtl JP  20:00:10 GMT - 09/12/2018  
Think Dimon is better scheister than Geithner ?
the tot of Dimon as president is epic


dc CB  19:47:27 GMT - 09/12/2018  
 
he's smarter than Trump because 10ys ago he got away with one of the biggest heists in history and is still standing "proud".
Meanwhile almost the entire Justice system is after Trumpster and anyone ever associated with him.


Mtl JP  19:41:15 GMT - 09/12/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Dimon says he could beat Trump in a presidential race because he’s ‘smarter than he is’

That makes for a 2nd bombasting windbag, first being that alleged $130K whore's lawyer spewing similar "could"


Mtl JP  17:42:53 GMT - 09/12/2018  
a "deal in principle" is bullsh!t: it is NOT a deal, period.

as long as there are things left to negotiate , there is NO agreement.

all that "agreement in principle" is , is JUST an expression of intention.

Bottom Line
IF n when such a thing hits the wires, wait for the reaction to stop reacting and then fade it.


dc CB  17:33:14 GMT - 09/12/2018  
MOST OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO IS FOR CANADA AND U.S. TO GET A DEAL IN PRINCIPLE ON NAFTA NEXT WEEK: RTRS



dc CB  17:31:51 GMT - 09/12/2018  
2.957%, effectively no change in the yield since August 8. Today's 9 year 11 month reopening stopped through the When Issued by 0.5bps,

10Y Treasury Auction Shows Blistering Demand Despite Supply Deluge



Livingston nh  17:30:15 GMT - 09/12/2018  
jp - my BET is the next "Financial crisis" originates in the Government not the banks -- the Fed is dishoarding and the national, state and local governments face serious problems when inflation gets traction


Mtl JP  17:25:25 GMT - 09/12/2018  
Lets say that their "The so-called living wills that the largest banks have to submit every year would not work in a financial panic" is TRUE.

Should the "experts" NOT be sharing this "intelligence" ?
what IF merkel or vlad or xi or hassan or recep tayyip

ahh perish the thought, the "experts" HAD to have weighted what steak they hang in the display window... maybe it's fake plastic

I can not believe they could/would be THAT stupid, could they be ?


Mtl JP  17:17:22 GMT - 09/12/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Bank ‘living wills’ won’t save financial system from a panic, Bernanke and Geithner agree

"Fighting the next financial crisis is a ‘forever war,’ experts say"

The so-called living wills that the largest banks have to submit every year would not work in a financial panic, said Timothy Geithner and Ben Bernanke on Wednesday.



Mtl JP  11:26:27 GMT - 09/11/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
SEPTEMBER 11, 2018
China seeks WTO backing for sanctions on U.S. over dumping duties

GENEVA (Reuters) - China will ask the World Trade Organization (WTO) next week for permission to impose sanctions on the United States, for Washington’s non-compliance with a ruling in a dispute over U.S. dumping duties, a meeting agenda showed on Tuesday.



Mtl JP  09:18:03 GMT - 09/11/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
what is there NOT to LOVE about the New York Times?

U.S. Weighs Sanctions Against Chinese Officials Over Muslim Detention Camps - NYT Sept. 10, 2018

阅读简体中文版閱讀繁體中文版 WASHINGTON — The Trump administration is considering sanctions against Chinese senior officials and companies to punish Beijing’s detention of hundreds of thousands of ethnic Uighurs and other minority Muslims in large internment camps, according to current and former American officials.



Mtl JP  16:49:46 GMT - 09/07/2018  
Short while ago President Trump announced that another $267B of trade ready for tariffs that is on top of the earleir $200 billion announced earlier.

I start to wonder if he is ready to blockade china from selling to the US


Mtl JP  16:33:22 GMT - 09/07/2018  
IF only... could it be so ??

Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
I’m draining the Swamp, and the Swamp is trying to fight back. Don’t worry, we will win!


Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Does the so-called “Senior Administration Official” really exist, or is it just the Failing New York Times with another phony source? If the GUTLESS anonymous person does indeed exist, the Times must, for National Security purposes, turn him/her over to government at once!

Don't worry... hmmm
I saw a betting pool somewhere on who the anonymous hero is
Dillon AL predicted we'll know by Monday


dc CB  03:04:56 GMT - 09/06/2018  
where is your US Supreme Court Nominee???
Still in the Senate Hearing Room---since 9:30 this morning...it's now 11PM (ET)


Dillon AL  02:03:12 GMT - 09/06/2018  
oh it would be The President's personal pleasure to enact that torture
Not a case of should but would


Mtl JP  01:37:10 GMT - 09/06/2018  
AL 23:24 u really think that a coward to some hero to others hiding behind anonymity would need to be waterboarded to sing ?


Dillon AL  00:42:00 GMT - 09/06/2018  
by next Monday we will know who the fool is


Livingston nh  00:25:44 GMT - 09/06/2018  
The poor fool who wrote this OP-ED may not be covered by the First Amendment protection extended to the Press and its EMPLOYEES // a REPORTER can protect his source for a story but a "letters to the editor" author may not fall under the NYT shield


dc CB  00:01:26 GMT - 09/06/2018  
Trump Orders NYTimes To Reveal Op-Ed Source For "National Security" Purposes

ZeroHedge



Dillon AL  23:24:40 GMT - 09/05/2018  
a matter of time before he is outed with a leak coming from inside The NY Times and then booted out by Trump but likely not before he is waterboarded into telling who are the rest of them....


Mtl JP  22:06:35 GMT - 09/05/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
New York Times is at it yet again, once more unashamedly claiming higher moral ground to justify another anonymously penned anti-presidential shill piece. What is impressive (to me) is the President's patience if not his relatively tame reaction to the NYT dog sinking its canines into the President's bacon trying to bring him down:

Opinion
I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration
I work for the president but like-minded colleagues and I have vowed to thwart parts of his agenda and his worst inclinations.

The Times today is taking the rare step of publishing an anonymous Op-Ed essay. We have done so at the request of the author, a senior official in the Trump administration whose identity is known to us and whose job would be jeopardized by its disclosure. We believe publishing this essay anonymously is the only way to deliver an important perspective to our readers. We invite you to submit a question about the essay or our vetting process here.



Mtl JP  15:22:00 GMT - 09/05/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
In poke at President Trump

Amazon Orders 20,000 Mercedes-Benz Vans for New Delivery Service
Fleet operators will own the vehicles as part of a plan to have small businesses carry packages - Sept. 5, 2018 - wsj


Mtl JP  11:54:08 GMT - 09/05/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
hope

"Argentina's government (Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne) said on Tuesday it hopes the International Monetary Fund will agree in the second half of September to a deal giving the country more financial support as it seeks to escape a deepening economic crisis.

Nicolas is about to taste the meaning of IMF's version of rapidly concluded "more financial support".

more moRE


Mtl JP  11:28:13 GMT - 09/05/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
nh re Contagion / I am not prepared to believe marko's last point:

JP Morgan's top quant warns next crisis to have flash crashes and social unrest not seen in 50 years

J.P. Morgan's top quant, Marko Kolanovic, predicts a "Great Liquidity Crisis" will hit financial markets, marked by flash crashes in stock prices and social unrest.

The trillion-dollar shift to passive investments, computerized trading strategies and electronic trading desks will exacerbate sudden, severe stock drops, Kolanovic said.

Central banks will be forced to make unprecedented moves, including direct purchases of equities, or there could even be negative income taxes.

Timing of when this next crisis will occur is uncertain but markets appear to be safe through the first half of 2019, he said.



dc CB  01:23:08 GMT - 09/05/2018  
dc CB 12:51 GMT September 4
Virtue Signaling, banking on the "Blue Wave" with your Company, has proven again -- It Loses Money.
_________________________________________________
Some small publishers have seen their income slashed over 50%.
“One of the Facebook policy changes that kind of went under the radar and it went into effect in February was the branded content policy. And it decreased my income from Facebook by 60 percent, overnight. No explanation.” said Holly Homer, a Texas entrepreneur who runs the Facebook pages for “Quirky Mama” and “Kids Activities.”

Last month, Facebook was once again in the news after a top executive allegedly told a group of digital publishers that Mark Zuckerberg "doesn't care" about news publishers, and is happy to let them die if they don't cooperate with the company.
"I’ll be holding your hands with your dying business like in a hospice," said Facebook global head of partnerships, Campbell Brown.

Small Businesses Flee Facebook After Algos Hobble Revenue-Generating Traffic



Mtl JP  14:48:13 GMT - 09/04/2018  
earlier 1.1550 short euro will now get stopped if it backs up to entry


Mtl JP  13:53:17 GMT - 09/04/2018  
 
PAR ... a bit late (u missed 12:32)
sad


PAR 13:49:04 GMT - 09/04/2018  
Anticipation is building for Mercedes-Benz's (OTCPK:DDAIF) electric SUV, which is set to be unveiled tomorrow.

Models from BMW (OTCPK:BAMXF), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Porsche (OTCPK:POAHF) are also in the making.

"While Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) currently has a strong hold on the luxury electric market, I don't think this will be the case after the arrival of the German premium offerings," said Wajih Hossenally, an automotive analyst with IHS Markit. "Tesla has virtually zero competition - but this will change from 2019 onwards."


Mtl JP  13:17:33 GMT - 09/04/2018  

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: approach to 1.29 Target: south Stop: slightly above 1.29
.


Mtl JP  13:12:12 GMT - 09/04/2018  

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.1550 Target: 1.1520 maybe lower Stop: >1.16
Obviously not thrilled with the risk allocation


dc CB  12:51:05 GMT - 09/04/2018  
Virtue Signaling, banking on the "Blue Wave" with your Company, has proven again -- It Loses Money.
Dow Component Nike (NKE)

Nike's Kaepernick Ad Has Cost The Company Over $3 Billion So Far



Mtl JP  12:50:15 GMT - 09/04/2018  
Carney just plead either "stupid" or "ignorant" about his forecast for a no-deal Brexit

Odds currently appear to favor 200-300 pips down (curr 1.2850ish)


Fukuoka joyya  12:36:56 GMT - 09/04/2018  
turkey and india buying s400 from russia and not release pastor...

look like now no one afraid from america...


Mtl JP  12:32:33 GMT - 09/04/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
TSL ~$302

Tesla shares to drop 30% in the next 6 months due to increased competition

Goldman's David Tamberrino



dc CB  18:51:46 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Mtl JP 14:04 GMT
ya ... political gamesmanship alright
trudeau pizzing away MY money (on some merikan-owned)..

in some merikan-owned niteclub.
What IS The Donald thinking -----

Back in The Donald's heyday



Mtl JP  18:31:38 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
time for heuristic economists to step up
or maybe time soon for magnanimity from Pres Trump as

"Hog Prices Rise as Disease Strikes Pigs in China"

but in typically chinese manner

“the press and government there may be understating the problem



Mtl JP  18:10:33 GMT - 08/31/2018  
what is wrong w/mixing missiles and oil ?
-
maybe the russian - in his own brand of humor - would celebrate john - “I have no illusions or worry about the long-term future of Russia. Russia is now a gas station masquerading as a country" - mccain and see things differently 3 yrs later.

The russian has known for a while now that the US is a crap paper factory.


lkwd jj  16:19:09 GMT - 08/31/2018  
crude may rally .... missiles and oil not good combo.


Mtl JP  16:09:47 GMT - 08/31/2018  
c mon bolton ... RESPOND !!

just in time for long week-end:

Sink the destroyers – they will not start a war: Bagdasarov calls for a powerful Russian response to a US strike on Syria

Russia must respond to US strikes against Syria by destroying not only missiles, but also the ships that launch them.

Bogdasarov: A Russian Response To A New US Attack On Syria Should Include Sinking The Warships
Destroy not just the missiles, but the ships that launch them.



Mtl JP  15:56:47 GMT - 08/31/2018  
when IMF says it is confident about meddling in argentina
when President Trump lets it be percieved that he prefers nafta to go way of the dodo...
reasonable traders get skittish


Fukuoka joyya  15:49:21 GMT - 08/31/2018  
usdtry possible next 10....


Mtl JP  15:44:30 GMT - 08/31/2018  
usdtry approach to 6.7 violently repulsed
draw u r own view of that


Fukuoka joyya  15:42:40 GMT - 08/31/2018  
collapse of aud nzd cad eur gbp?


Fukuoka joyya  15:27:48 GMT - 08/31/2018  
maybe big move tonight 10/30% in jpy.....


Mtl JP  15:18:54 GMT - 08/31/2018  
usd in demand


Mtl JP  15:07:31 GMT - 08/31/2018  
time ripe to start ripping nuts off usdtry shorts



Mtl JP  14:54:19 GMT - 08/31/2018  
some last minute hanki panki going on into london close


Mtl JP  14:04:30 GMT - 08/31/2018  
ya ... political gamesmanship alright
trudeau pizzing away MY money on some merikan-owned pipeline so he can try to sell alberta's crap to china (rofl), his carbon tax scheme pizzing ME off as he's trying to tax me OUT of my boat while he flies his donkey around the world on MY dime in a 737... claiming that he will always protect canadian milk producers supply side (luckily for him I do not drink milk (just wine) because milk makes folks aggressive and ADD'red, so currently I am happy to report that his current popularity standing is approx even w/opposition.

Expect some funny stuff come out of justin/christia's donkey if n when Pres Trump starts to talk "fair" milk deal and auto tariffs.


Livingston nh  13:51:25 GMT - 08/31/2018  
jp - IMO Canada likely to drag its feet as they understand President better than most -- this is political gamesmanship


Mtl JP  13:45:56 GMT - 08/31/2018  
I think President Trump trumps anything coming out of "canadian officials" donkey:
“Canada’s going to make a deal at some point. It may be by Friday or it may be within a period of time, but ultimately they have no choice,” Trump said Thursday in an interview with Bloomberg News in Washington as bargainers struggled to resolve critical issues. “I think we’re close to a deal.”
-
DLRX still under 95
looking to go short USDCAD under 1.3050
preferably with help from euro back N of 1.1640/50


Mtl JP  13:40:07 GMT - 08/31/2018  
nh there is a need for panic to "go contagious"
need to fill boat with gas (burns ~$600worth/day) for the long week-end !


Livingston nh  13:34:44 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Erdogan looks at Argentina rate hike and feels vindicated as peso declines further so Turkish CB stays out of play -- Brazil intervenes at 4.20 and gets temporary reprieve

Bigger risk is India and Indonesia // Italy yield rises a bit as German yield drops again -- EU has a lot on its plate --Barnier unmasked as GBP held hostage to Ireland deal

TURKEY still on the MENU @7


Mtl JP  13:29:33 GMT - 08/31/2018  
wanna buy some Italian crap paper ?

GBTPGR10:IND
Italy Generic Govt 10Y Yield



Fukuoka joyya  11:51:36 GMT - 08/31/2018  
look like audjpy easly reach 75/65 area....


Fukuoka joyya  11:18:14 GMT - 08/31/2018  
audtry short doing well....

aud nzd gbp eur more bearish than turk lira now...


Fukuoka joyya  11:16:56 GMT - 08/31/2018  
just sold usdtry 6.57 seems turkey ok...


Mtl JP  11:03:11 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Good odds of market gaining in perception that turkey will default.
Maybe not today or next week. Or even in a month or two.

What matters as a trade-able is the growth in player perceptions.


Mtl JP  10:34:42 GMT - 08/31/2018  
Trump Threatens to Pull U.S. Out of WTO If It Doesn’t ‘Shape Up’ - BBRG August 30, 2018


Mtl JP  23:19:42 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Winners and Losers
----------------------
Federal court quashes Trans Mountain approval in setback for Trudeau

haha, allegedly a setback for the boy also known for his selfies, pretty sox and hair and.... spending OPM

and making Kinder Morgan executives and shareholders double over rofl

Market Reaction
Shares of Canadian oil companies



Mtl JP  18:21:38 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Argentine peso going direction of H3LL
will make for good holiday / medical destination


Mtl JP  17:41:33 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Text of a Letter from the President to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President of the Senate

I have determined that for 2019, both across‑the‑board pay increases and locality pay increases will be set at zero.



Mtl JP  17:36:23 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Trump cancels pay raises for civilian federal workers in 2019


Mtl JP  12:12:00 GMT - 08/30/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
47m47 minutes ago
The news from the Financial Markets is even better than anticipated. For all of you that have made a fortune in the markets, or seen your 401k’s rise beyond your wildest expectations, more good news is coming!
-
hint hint ?


Mtl JP  22:11:19 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Winners and Losers
they are always there and everywhere
-------------------------------------------
Why a trend divergence in the S&P 500 and the VIX may spell trouble for stocks

The FEAR index...

The fear index is not behaving as it should



Mtl JP  21:37:20 GMT - 08/28/2018  
yiieee-ha , having been ignored for last 5 or so weeks ...

Trudeau 'encouraged' by NAFTA progress as Canada faces pressure to sign or face auto tariffs

pretty sox and hair is encouraged ...



dc CB  21:27:20 GMT - 08/28/2018  
ok, sorry I was looking at the Treas page. I see what u r looking at now.
by the way, the NYFRD is actually pretty transparent - if U know where to look and finding out where to look is hard. IF we had a real Journalists working in the Financial Press --- they wud be doing the looking and reporting. But recall that post FOMC pressser when Pedro da Costa, then at the WSJ, asked Gammy Yellen the wrong question...he got shown the door ---

Pedro's twitter link



Livingston nh  21:25:19 GMT - 08/28/2018  
I'm just a simple fella - the Fed has a make believe target //
CPI @2.9% Fed funds @ 2% -- folks smarter than me think this a good deal!!


lkwd jj  20:49:36 GMT - 08/28/2018  
i was surprised that info as such was public, i guess.


dc CB  20:48:25 GMT - 08/28/2018  
jj don't understand the question


lkwd jj  20:38:45 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Cb did you see that the forex holdings are assets in euro and jpy ? are we getting a glimpse of the "hidden hand"?


lkwd jj  20:38:45 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Cb did you see that the forex holdings are assets in euro and jpy ? are we getting a glimpse of the "hidden hand"?


dc CB  20:30:26 GMT - 08/28/2018  
while on that SOMA page Note Well the size of the exirys(aka Mature) on Nov 15 --- $34bln ++. This will happen 10 days after the Mid Term US voting.


dc CB  20:18:12 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Friday is another QT day...last was the 15th ... $22bln and change...Hit the TNote TBond tab

SOMA



Mtl JP  20:16:02 GMT - 08/28/2018  
10-yr -> 2.882%
2--yr -> 2.669%
-------------------
0.213 which is uP from yesty's 0.18
which under 0.20 starts to tighten the donkeyhole in those to whom such matter matters


Mtl JP  20:09:31 GMT - 08/28/2018  
as IF by coincidence San Fran FED came out w/ piece yesterday,
pizzing of jerome's August 24, 2018 Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy which used "risk" 21x in an attempt to deflect and minimize attention from "the yield curve"

The SanFran gang, comedians that they are are "on the other hand"-ists, make Yield Curve front n center. See link below.

August 27, 2018 - Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions

Pretend-Innocently starting out The ability of the Treasury yield curve to predict future recessions has recently received a great deal of public attention. they kick jerome right on the kneecap with their 2nd assertion that

An inversion of the yield curve—when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates—has been a reliable predictor of recessions.



dc CB  20:08:25 GMT - 08/28/2018  
nh
Bernake's Curse on the Fed was to set an Inflation Target -- Contex
==========================================

that was the Cohiba Smoke he blew up yr azimuth. the Mirrors: keep changing the way "inflation" is calculated so it never registers higher for more than a few months..

anecdote: I cut my finger and went to a chain drug store to buy some Neosporin ---- an OH SO common topical Over the Counter Med. been around for decades----costs near $8 for a 1oz tube. and don't get me started on the price of gauze pads.

Gouging my gouge...bleeding PAY UP or get infected.


Mtl JP  19:51:27 GMT - 08/28/2018  
nh 19:37 ya don't think his jackson hole drivel was written, edited and approved by... da chairman himself ?


Livingston nh  19:50:20 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Bernake's Curse on the Fed was to set an Inflation Target -- Context


dc CB  19:41:25 GMT - 08/28/2018  
JP
"Gammy Yellen" was the perfect face the bank propagandists, to tell us that we must accept a 0.001% Rate on OUR savings "just a few months longer"

And a brilliant choice by the O, to follow the "bearded academic" , the Professor Most Learned --- holding the Princeton Chair: Dean of The Great Depression. These credentials allowed him(them) to experiment and thus get away with never before seen give-aways...all with the Ivy League stamp of knowledge


Livingston nh  19:37:10 GMT - 08/28/2018  
He's a lawyer and if he was well trained the econ pointyheads are in trouble


Mtl JP  19:30:48 GMT - 08/28/2018  
nh 19:15 one huge advantage jerome has over janet is that his body / face / tone of voice language is much much more deadpan evolved.
it is an essential propaganda (the formation of folks attitudes) tool to fool the plebs into desired behavior when all you have to peddle is credibility.


Livingston nh  19:15:44 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Past few days listening to "Experts" about the yield curve effect and Fed folks - clueless, ignoring the negative real yield

How long will Powell bow to the economic unprovable ??


Mtl JP  17:08:25 GMT - 08/28/2018  
Winners and Losers
---------------------
The road to fresh stock-market highs is littered with these awful correction calls

One thing they all have in common:

Complete wrongness.



Mtl JP  12:27:47 GMT - 08/27/2018  
It is designed to destroy aircraft, cruise and ballistic missiles, and can also be used against ground installations. The S-400 can engage targets at a distance of 400 km and at an altitude of up to 30 km.
-
Maybe the S-400 commands respect but how the heck is one supposed to make pips off just gumflap ?

PM praises Russia-Israel dialogue on Middle East

"We are colleagues with Russia that respect each other and conduct a sincere dialogue," Lithuanian National Radio and Television quoted Netanyahu as saying on Monday.



Fukuoka joyya  12:25:35 GMT - 08/27/2018  

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:
just keep buying gold silver......

stox go down some time lots debt around the world.....


HK [email protected]  12:13:33 GMT - 08/27/2018  
!
Trump with classical bold capitalism will impoverish the whole world first.
And if removed from office and stox indeed will crash, the US will be added to the list:(


Mtl JP  12:09:26 GMT - 08/27/2018  
Usd/TurkLira 6.2445
lira is down about 4.7% from earlier 5.9634-ish base
good sized move
odds are more good sized moves a-coming
and elsewhere too
brazil, s/africa, agrentina, italy...

kids... feel free to take positions


Dillon AL  05:23:36 GMT - 08/26/2018  
re yeast causes dough to rise

he obviously hasn't cooked at 10000 feet and above


Mtl JP  23:17:20 GMT - 08/25/2018  
Instead of recognizing cause and effect and giving credit

in wsj - a BIS "expert" Agustín Carstens expresses that Global Monetary-Policy Official Decries U.S. Trade Measures

claiming that

‘It’s paradoxical that the United States is starting to put obstacles in the road at a time when its economy is firing on all cylinders,’ official says at Jackson Hole gathering



Dillon AL  22:08:01 GMT - 08/25/2018  
actually the paper says "winner takes most/all" as a variation on the winner takes all. Lets face it podium means that 2nd place is not good enough and hence winner always takes all as demonstrated further into the paper because that is exactly what superstar firms do . AMZN AAPL MSFT GOOG and then the odd one out FB


Mtl JP  19:27:10 GMT - 08/25/2018  
BoC's poloz on Winners and Losers

..."If growth were evenly spread, in the way yeast causes dough to rise, everyone would be a winner. But because it is like mushrooms, the associated disruption means that some will lose out while others win. In certain conditions, the winners can even become superstars; hence, the term “winner takes most,” ...

..."It is human nature to focus on the negative. In the process of creative destruction, destruction gets more headlines than creation does. This is because the threats to individuals are concrete and easily identifiable..."

The Fourth Industrial Revolution and Central Banking
Remarks Stephen S. Poloz - Governor
Jackson Hole, Wyoming
August 25, 2018



Mtl JP  18:26:59 GMT - 08/23/2018  
In WSJ Rob Copeland tortures himself:
At Hedge Funds, Where Are the Women?
Women run only two of the top 50 funds; instead they cluster in positions away from the money

but to the successful ones:

“We don’t really think of anyone’s gender, including mine,”



Mtl JP  17:54:27 GMT - 08/23/2018  
but to its credit BTC approximately steady around ~$6400


Mtl JP  17:51:49 GMT - 08/23/2018  
so the supposedly understaffed and underfunded SEC had the skill and time to

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
(Release No. 34-83904; File No. SR-NYSEArca-2017-139)
August 22, 2018
Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE Arca, Inc.; Order Disapproving a Proposed Rule Change
to List and Trade the Shares of the ProShares Bitcoin ETF and the ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF

IV. CONCLUSION
IT IS THEREFORE ORDERED, pursuant to Section 19(b)(2) of the Exchange Act, that proposed rule change SR-NYSEArca-2017-139 is disapproved. Eduardo A. Aleman Assistant Secretary



Mtl JP  15:36:35 GMT - 08/23/2018  
and so in the fight for fairness and justice not available from taxpayer funded "authority" one available tactic to the non-insiders is as public as possible and then more public dissemination into the court of populism

Wall Street analysts tore down a Tesla Model 3 and found 'significant fit & finish issues' (TSLA)



Mtl JP  15:13:48 GMT - 08/23/2018  
Why is Donald cavalier with the notion of his impeachment ?
Because knows all too well that impeachment is a political and not a criminal trial.

That is how clinton escaped and before nixon could get impeached resigned:
1) the House by majority needs to agree that an impeachable offense has occured.
2) then the senate must pass judgment by two thirds majority to remove a sitting pres


Mtl JP  14:56:04 GMT - 08/23/2018  
It is the Discretionary Function Exception to the Federal Tort Claims Act (FTCA), 28 U.S.C. 2680(a) that says to the naive taxpayer to f-u.

Bottom Line
is that those who know how to bag (pay off) the so-called lawmakers have the upper hand.
Not a question of fairness / justice,
just power


Mtl JP  14:45:19 GMT - 08/23/2018  
what is really really pathetic is that, referring to jurisprudence of folks suing the SEC over its incompetence and inaction around Madoff, is that "The court said the SEC’s actions and “regrettable inaction” were protected by a law that shields federal agencies from liability."

Bottom Line being:
so many bottom lines I don't know where to begin


Mtl JP  14:32:58 GMT - 08/23/2018  
what a LOAD of krapp !
wonder who is behind this cop-out bbrg shill piece

Elon Musk and Tesla Might Not Have to Worry About the SEC

The hesitant, understaffed regulator may have a hard time applying its outdated rules to the founder’s tweets.

Elon Musk and Tesla Might Not Have to Worry About the SEC
The hesitant, understaffed regulator may have a hard time applying its outdated rules to the founder’s tweets.



Mtl JP  13:35:56 GMT - 08/23/2018  
call of the day (yet to be seen so) :

The stage is set for a ‘violent’ drop in stocks, says Saxo Bank

courtsey Peter Garnry Saxo Bank



Mtl JP  13:21:51 GMT - 08/23/2018  
apparently too expensive for the 50% of chinese pop still living in stone age as Xi's measures to boost domestic demand not producing propagandized traction

and as folks around world becoming increasingly conscious of Xi's honey on lips poison in heart


PAR 13:12:42 GMT - 08/23/2018  
Huawei . Great phones at great prices .


Mtl JP  13:10:40 GMT - 08/23/2018  
followup to
JP 03:21 GMT August 22, 2018
so who u gonna blame punk, eh ?!
Doors Slam Shut for China Deals Around the World - bbrg


... angers Beijing.... haha, beijing = slysmile Xi

Australia bans China's Huawei from mobile network project, angers Beijing



Mtl JP  11:10:24 GMT - 08/23/2018  
President Trump short while ago on FOX:

“If I ever got impeached, I think the market would crash. I think everybody would be very poor. Because without this thinking [points to head] you would see, you would see numbers that you wouldn’t believe in reverse.”

Note: odds of impeaching Trump are 0.0001%
In the meantime Trump is hogging headlines and dictates what the journos talk about.


Mtl JP  08:32:17 GMT - 08/23/2018  
Winners vs Losers
-
Skipping over the manifest ignorance of the difference between "value" and "price" , a theme:

Home-value growth slows as buyers become more apprehensive



Mtl JP  03:21:53 GMT - 08/22/2018  
so who u gonna blame punk, eh ?!

Doors Slam Shut for China Deals Around the World - bbrg

Tighter rules for CFIUS are echoed in great scrutiny from Europe to Australia.



Mtl JP  17:06:42 GMT - 08/21/2018  
euro HoD 1.15717


Mtl JP  17:05:12 GMT - 08/21/2018  
50 day 1.1618
still resistance


Mtl JP  17:03:43 GMT - 08/21/2018  
EURO 1.1562
20day = 1.1550


Mtl JP  15:10:11 GMT - 08/21/2018  
HIGHLIGHTS-Key quotes from Reuters interview with Trump

ON WHETHER HE HAS A TIME FRAME TO END TRADE DISPUTES WITH CHINA “No. No time frame. I’m like them, I have a long horizon.”


ON WHETHER HE WOULD CONSIDER LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA “No. I haven’t thought about it. But no, I’m not considering it at all. No. I would consider it if they do something that would be good for us. But I wouldn’t consider it without that. In other words, I wouldn’t consider it, even for a moment, unless something was go — we have a lot of things in common. We have a lot of things we can do good for each other. You have Syria. You have Ukraine. You have many other things. I think they would like economic development. And that’s a big thing for them.”

today's tr dep's new sanctions on russians



Mtl JP  12:48:38 GMT - 08/21/2018  
with nothing worthwhile on data calendar
NY session likely to be victim to headlines, sharks and/or tweets


Mtl JP  12:45:49 GMT - 08/21/2018  
EURO 1.1503
planning out my NY session trading am trying to figure where is likely be biggest mover and 2) which way

Bottom Line
euro in uP bias while above 1.1490/75


Mtl JP  11:42:52 GMT - 08/21/2018  
Winners and Losers and paradigm shifts

feel the earth... move... under my feet....
Share of discount brokerages fell in premarket trade Tuesday, after a report that J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. JPM, -0.13% was taking aim with a plan to launch a new digital brokerage service that comes with free trades. TD Ameritrade Holding Corp.'s stock AMTD, -4.41% dropped 2.1% and Charles Schwab Corp. shares SCHW, +1.02% shed 3.2% ahead of the open, while shares of E*Trade Financial Corp. ETFC, -3.18% were indicated down over 3%. J.P. Morgan's stock gained 0.7% in the premarket.

Get Paid To Watch Porn(™) — Disruptive Blockchain Revolution In The Adult Industry

JP Morgan to unveil new investing app with an eye-catching, disruptive price: Free


Fukuoka joyya  12:51:26 GMT - 08/19/2018  
Putin, Merkel meet amid rift with US


Kl Fs  11:30:30 GMT - 08/19/2018  
Joyya, sell usd at market open, may gap down.


Fukuoka joyya  04:50:27 GMT - 08/19/2018  
Trump is Pushing US Into Scripted and Pre-Planned World War III

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1suZ3PM97pM&t=264s


Fukuoka joyya  11:12:04 GMT - 08/18/2018  
Trumped Up Prophecies: How Kabbalah Wizards & Christian Zionists Are Trying to Build a Third Temple

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iUc9GefmjTY

reason behind turkish lira selling must watch video...


Fukuoka joyya  05:18:44 GMT - 08/18/2018  
China bombers are training to strike US targets in the Pacific, Pentagon claims


dc CB  01:47:41 GMT - 08/18/2018  
Mtl JP 15:07 GMT August 17, 2018
that GAP .... I ve been yapping about
one of the nicest I have ever played !

TSLA Dude --- U R crowing about UR win shorting TSLA What nerve.

LOL

Mtl JP 20:29:34 GMT - 07/16/2018
GV is foreX orientated
why should foreX players care if tesla or facebook or catterpillar or some other non-bank entity reports posi or nega earnings
tia 4 light


dc CB 20:13:40 GMT - 07/16/2018
it is earnings season...but then this is GV and noOneCares.


Kl Fs  00:50:56 GMT - 08/18/2018  
Tide has turned for usd IMO. Sell usd from now on.


Mtl JP  21:07:26 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Feel free to take a position:

"Turkey's incomplete policy response to the lira's depreciation is unlikely on its own to sustainably stabilise the currency and the economy," Fitch Ratings

and to load heavy or not is a personal decision



Mtl JP  19:53:32 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Livingston nh jerome is scheduled to yak in jackson hole
8/24
10:00 a.m.
Speech - Chairman Jerome H. Powell
Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy
At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyo.
---------------------
Sofar he is on record being ambivalent what happens to the likes of turkey (EMs). I think regardless of his poetry, he is watching w/accute interest.

I suspect his 2nd point of focus has to be interest -- nterest as a FED tool to fight next econ downturn. It makes me rofl just thinking about it and how "they" / he is worried about having or not the ammunition for their (his) tool to "fight" (haha) the next econ downturn as night follows day.

They (he jerome) ONLY have/has not even 2% to play with atm in light of their / his benchmark interest in 1.75% to 2% range.


Mtl JP  19:19:26 GMT - 08/17/2018  
looking today at Donald J. TrumpVerified account

@realDonaldTrump
I can not help thinking about “Banning Donald Trump From Twitter Is a Misguided Liberal Fantasy,” Twitter C.E.O. Jack Dorsey's possible change of mind.


Livingston nh  19:12:56 GMT - 08/17/2018  
jp- CB types might worry that rates (weapon of choice) will be ineffective in the event of recession // disruptive is the uncoordinated retreat from the Money Swamp


Kl Fs  16:56:47 GMT - 08/17/2018  
I was betting on short the puppy from 13150ish down to 12950, protected at BE now and taking some off for weekend. Hoping to see target early next week


Mtl JP  16:52:34 GMT - 08/17/2018  
Fs 16:31 what exxatly is ur bet ?


Mtl JP  16:47:33 GMT - 08/17/2018  
yes... a very very warm feeling indeed
-
Livingston nh earlier Jamie suggested "You better be prepared to deal with rates 5 percent or higher."

yesty rba's lowe allowed that he is not relaxed about ... "possibly disruptive consequences in financial markets."

Can u please explain what is wrong with "possibly disruptive consequences in financial markets" -- what is the(ir) fear ?


Kl Fs  16:31:41 GMT - 08/17/2018  
JP, puppy seems to be heading to 12940-50


Livingston nh  15:50:44 GMT - 08/17/2018  
jp - well played gap


lkwd jj  15:16:11 GMT - 08/17/2018  
like they say "trade 'em like you see 'em". nice one Jp.


Mtl JP  15:07:32 GMT - 08/17/2018  
 
that GAP .... I ve been yapping about
one of the nicest I have ever played !



Mtl JP  09:24:11 GMT - 08/17/2018  
 
in relation to the GAP - still has 35 bux in it - I mentioned few times

elon in NYT (where else) fluff piece:

... “I thought the worst of it was over — I thought it was,” he said. “The worst is over from a Tesla operational standpoint.” He continued: “But from a personal pain standpoint, the worst is yet to come.”...

... He blamed short-sellers — investors who bet that Tesla’s shares will lose value — for much of his stress. He said he was bracing for “at least a few months of extreme torture from the short-sellers, who are desperately pushing a narrative that will possibly result in Tesla’s destruction.” ...

Referring to the short-sellers, he added: “They’re not dumb guys, but they’re not supersmart. They’re O.K. They’re smartish.”



Mtl JP  15:16:27 GMT - 08/16/2018  
For the HaHa File
-------------------
Citi fined over $10 million by SEC over controls, supervision

Published: Aug 16, 2018 10:50 a.m. ET

Citigroup C, +1.49% will pay $10.5 million to settle two lawsuits from the Securities and Exchange Commission, one stemming from $81 million of losses due to trader mismarking and unauthorized proprietary trading and another from $475 million of losses due to fraudulently-induced loans made by a Mexican subsidiary. ... blablabla ... Citi did not admit or deny either finding.

And so no-one loses hand or two (just their job) , citi pays a fine (or Permit to Fraudulate fee) and .... beat goes on.


Mtl JP  10:00:25 GMT - 08/16/2018  
Turkey's crushing annual inflation rate is running at an estimated 101% - cnbc

Currency Board ...
- why is it better than a loan from IMF ?
- why do govvys resist it ?

Hong Kong currency board warns banks to watch for rate spike, tighter liquidity



Mtl JP  23:58:47 GMT - 08/15/2018  
dc CB one could think it should be supportive of short players/

that outfit needs more institutional players to start dumping their holdings. Preferably all at once (say in a panic stampede looking to beat one the other to the exit door)


dc CB  23:17:12 GMT - 08/15/2018  
Elon

New Model 3 Owner takes delivery



dc CB  23:00:09 GMT - 08/15/2018  
Mtl JP 15:33 GMT

If Tesla's PR department thought today's reported SEC subpoenas and 'formal' investigation transition by the regulator would be the worst of its problems, they got a very unpleasant surprise when Tesla whistleblower Martin Tripp started tweeting photos, internal emails, and Vehicle Identification Numbers of Model 3 VIN numbers that allegedly have damaged or punctured battery packs in them, and which he says are evidence of flawed manufacturing practices at Tesla's battery factory, and could put drivers' lives at risk.

One month ago, we reported that Martin Tripp - the former Tesla engineer who on June 20 was sued by Tesla for allegedly trying to "sabotage" the company - and who subsequently turned out to be a whistleblower who was fired in retaliation for his attempts to warn Tesla execs of severe quality control production problems, was alleging several egregious safety violations that, if true, would likely destroy what remains of Musk's tattered credibility, which the SEC is currently subpoenaing.

Blowin' da whistle



Fukuoka joyya  15:58:32 GMT - 08/15/2018  
news said pastor had contacts with terriorist groups and they have strong evidence photos and emails of terriorist cars in airbase.....


Fukuoka joyya  15:50:50 GMT - 08/15/2018  
it was expected i said that wont release pastor might take to inter pool with proof might be not good for trump...

any comment?


Dillon AL 15:45 GMT 08/15/2018

thanx mate....


Dillon AL  15:45:19 GMT - 08/15/2018  
joyya there is too much cash on the sidelines for that to happen.
NB how Fidelity and others having been raising cash recently.
The fact that there is talk (Which I haven't heard but then what do I know) suggests that it wont come to pass. IE the expected does not happen and even if it did patience waiting for the turn and confirmation will be just as good as trying to anticipate something that may not come to pass.

reminder
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.


Mtl JP  15:44:54 GMT - 08/15/2018  
as Wednesday 6pm dealine looms
and so Qatar has approx 6 hrs to try to save some of its money

Court rejects appeal for American pastor's release from detention, Turkish media says



Mtl JP  15:41:09 GMT - 08/15/2018  
so now President Trump knows who is newly conspiring against him:

Turkish financial crisis: lira rallies as Qatar invests $15bn in Turkey



Mtl JP  15:33:48 GMT - 08/15/2018  
AL I like H&S formations for breakout and measured target
-
IF I can bag ~70ish bux I ll be very very happy
short from

Aug 8th



Fukuoka joyya  15:32:26 GMT - 08/15/2018  
many peoples saying big crash like 1929 in us markeet which never ex bfore so peoples leavin us.....


Fukuoka joyya  15:24:07 GMT - 08/15/2018  
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfCBdIjO4x4



The Resident: Time to get the hell out of the US

really?many peoples moving from us?


Dillon AL  15:18:29 GMT - 08/15/2018  
jp look on the right side exhaustion gap following by measureing move gap


dc CB  15:08:48 GMT - 08/15/2018  
SEC ramps up investigation into Tesla privatization plans; sends subpoenas to Tesla regarding privatization plans and Musk's statements involving "funding secured"--sources Subpoenas signal investigation has reached the "formal" stages -- sources more now @FoxBusiness


dc CB  15:05:03 GMT - 08/15/2018  
Wimpy and QT were pretty spectacular this time out.


Mtl JP  15:03:10 GMT - 08/15/2018  
herd usually follows when bell tolls as

institutional investors divest



Mtl JP  14:41:59 GMT - 08/15/2018  
 
That GAP Ive been raving on and on about...
has less than 40 bux in it now


Mtl JP  12:54:55 GMT - 08/15/2018  
That warm and fuzzy feeling of a loss by rationalizing that it “represents a very small part of our overall credit business.”

some principles like:
- redeployed billions of pounds of assets into riskier and more lucrative trading activities in a bid to boost returns and
- seeks to take on more risk to chase higher returns

Bloomberg report



Mtl JP  22:02:31 GMT - 08/14/2018  
aka old wisdom by old coot Rockefeller:
"Own nothing, control everything"


Mtl JP  22:00:03 GMT - 08/14/2018  
probably best to leave your Gold watch / ring(s) at home


PAR 21:53:21 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Wine , only wine or Champagne if FED keeps buying Russian Rouble and Turkish Lira .

Of to holiday in Bodrum and Kusadassi before it becomes to expensive .

Enjoy the beach .


Mtl JP  21:47:21 GMT - 08/14/2018  
PAR u prefer genever or beer to celebrate ?


PAR 21:40:38 GMT - 08/14/2018  
Thank you supreme leader Trump


Mtl JP  21:33:20 GMT - 08/14/2018  
The stock market is about to make history

Depending on how you date it, the bull market is set to become the longest in history

Barring a breathtaking plunge, the bull market in U.S. stocks on Aug. 22 will become the longest in history, and optimistic investors argue it has miles to go before it rests.



Mtl JP  21:26:54 GMT - 08/14/2018  
A corporation issues five-year fixed-rate bonds. Its treasurer expects interest rates to decline for all maturities for at least the next year. She enters into a one-year agreement with a bank to receive quarterly fixed-rate payments and to make payments based on floating rates benchmarked on three-month Libor. This agreement is best described as a:

futures contract.
forward contract.
swap.


Mtl JP  21:22:25 GMT - 08/14/2018  
One more:
Which of the following statements is least accurate regarding the factors that affect the interest rate risk characteristics of an option-free bond?

The lower the coupon rate, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The higher the yield, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The longer the bond's maturity, the greater the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates.


Mtl JP  21:17:59 GMT - 08/14/2018  
HELP plz (w / exam Q)
As a monetary policy tool, quantitative easing (QE) will most likely help revive an ailing economy in which of the following environments?

Declining bank reserves and economic activity
Liquidity trap
Deflationary trap


Mtl JP  15:46:53 GMT - 08/11/2018  
Winners and Losers

u must do your own diligence
UBS: These are the companies most at risk from President Trump's trade war

Here's their list of most at-risk names:



Mtl JP  15:41:39 GMT - 08/11/2018  
Winners and Losers
-
Australia’s big banks have stranglehold on consumers, government says

SYDNEY — Australia’s four biggest banks have used their dominant position to exploit customers, deliver inferior products, charge exorbitant fees and block competition, according to a new government report calling for more competition and integrity in the industry.



Mtl JP  13:38:02 GMT - 08/11/2018  
August 10, 2018
Donald Trump: ‘Canada must wait’ on trade deal, but Mexican one is coming nicely


Mtl JP  11:24:10 GMT - 08/11/2018  
Following the golden rule:

Iran & Venezuela prime examples of intrinsic value of money vs. gold






Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 18 Jan 2019
A 13:30 CA- CPI
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 15:00 US- Prelim University Of Mich Survey


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium



Wed 30 Jan 2019
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
A 14:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 31 Jan 2019
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Personal Income/PCE
Fri 1 Fed 2019
A all day Flash PMIs
AA 08:30 US- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 4 Feb 2019
A 09:30 GB- Construction PMI
Tue 5 Feb 2019
A all day Service PMIs
A 04:30 AU- Reserve Bank Of Australia
Wed 6 Feb 2019
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 7 Feb 2019
A 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 8 Feb 2019
A 13:30 CA- Employment


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Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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