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Forex Forum Archive for 08/12/2020

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Tallinn viies 20:15 GMT August 12, 2020
eurusd
Reply   

Marathon Oil to drive break-even prices as low as $30/bbl in Bakken and Eagle Ford by reducing well costs by 10% in H2,
Wednesday, 12 August 2020 - 11:00
[Marathon Oil to drive break-even prices as low as $30/bbl in Bakken and Eagle Ford by reducing well costs by 10% in H2, ]

Following the release of Marathon Oil’s Q2 results;

Andrew Folse, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers his view on the current events:

“Marathon Oil’s net loss of US$750m in Q2 2020 was well anticipated due to the drop in oil prices and the current economic crisis that impacted domestic demand. However, despite the average realized price for US crude oil and condensate falling to US$ 21.65 per barrel – representing a 63% decrease from a year prior – the company upholds an optimistic outlook and is expected to be able to improve cost efficiency by reducing well costs and maintaining well productivity.

“Marathon Oil’s Bakken acreage is the company’s most promising, with high productivity and low well cost. If Marathon Oil is able to drive well costs below US$450 per lateral foot, and maintain oil productivity above 30 days initial production (IP-30) of 1,500 barrel of oil per day (bopd), the company will very likely be able to average a breakeven oil prices well below US$30/bbl in Bakken.

“As for its Eagle Ford acreage, if Marathon Oil is able to drive well costs below US$750 per lateral foot – while maintaining oil productivity above IP-30 of 970bopd – the company will be able to average a breakeven price below US$35/bbl.

“With a competitive breakeven oil price, Marathon Oil is confident in taking on an unhedged risk going into 2021 to maximise on potential gains if commodity prices were to recover from the current level. However, this poses a huge threat to the company as the economic crisis is yet to be over and industry volatility persists. However, Marathon Oil is backed by a strong liquidity profile, with a US$522m cash balance in Q2 2020 and US$3bn in its undrawn credit facility. The company has US$5.5bn in long-term debt value with US$1bn maturing in the second half of 2022.”
Source: Global Data

PAR 20:05 GMT August 12, 2020
US STOCKS
Reply   
Berkshire Hathaway considering 1 for 1000 stock split so that every homeless American can buy some shares on Robinhood.

PAR 19:44 GMT August 12, 2020
US STOCKS
Reply   
$ Billions of MOC buy orders.

Ideal moment to enter the markets. It is now or never.

AT Trader john 19:17 GMT August 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 August 2020

LATE Wednesday: RISK-ON
DJ: 27,977 +290
SP: 3,380.4 +46.7

2-yr 0.157% -0.4 bp
Spread 10s-2s +49.9 bp (+51.3)
10-yr

US: 0.656% -0.2
UK: 0.228% -0.1
DE: -0.457% -0.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1789 (1.1771)
GBPUSD 1.3030 (1.3035)
EURGBP 0.9045 (.9030)
USDJPY 106.84 (106.77)

This Week 1.1814-1.1711 (103 pips)
wed: 1.1814-1.1711 (51)
tue: 1.1807-1.1722 (85)
mon: 1.1801-1.1736 (65)
fri: 1.1884-1.1755 (129)
thu: 1.1916-1.1818 (98)

20-d avg: 1.1694
50-day avg: 1.1453
100-day avg: 1.1192
200-day avg: 1.1118

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





GVI Forex Blog 19:03 GMT August 12, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 August 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 August 2020

PAR 18:18 GMT August 12, 2020
S&P
Reply   
S & P on track for all time record high close.

Israel MacroMicro 17:49 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

JP

nice DXY picture sent to me

DXY chart

PAR 17:11 GMT August 12, 2020
USA
Reply   
I love America but it is sad that there are people who have no $ 1500 to buy one share of Tesla.

Suggestion. Executive order to give every American family a share of Tesla?

GVI Forex 16:50 GMT August 12, 2020
Trade to Win: Proof of Concept


Look below of a short video that will open your eyes to a world of trading opportunities. See why I call it Proof of Concept.


Trade to Win: Proof of Concept

PAR 16:30 GMT August 12, 2020
TESLA

Triggering automatic insider sales?

Kodak revisited?

PAR 16:17 GMT August 12, 2020
TESLA
Reply   
Magic. $ 5 becomes $ 5,5.

Nothing in the hands, nothing in the sky.

Musk the magician. Copperfield squared.

PAR 16:10 GMT August 12, 2020
RISK ON
Reply   
Even the sky is not the limit ?

AT Trader john 15:24 GMT August 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 August 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 13 Aug 2020
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 14 Aug 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- Productivity
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


Mtl JP 15:08 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

EURO 1.1792
-
sharks try N 1.18 = a failure,
they just got a sardine 1.1817 HoD
as I said earlier: no compelling reason to push it higher

HK Kevin 15:04 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

Stop above 1.18 done. If EUR/USD close above 1.1770 today, 1.19 level is the next.

Israel MacroMicro 14:47 GMT August 12, 2020
GBP/CAD

wrong
reopened 55 with 30 stop
looking for 1.7300 now

AT Trader john 14:35 GMT August 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -4.512 v -1.950 exp v +7.460 prev.
Distillates:-2.322 v -0.400 exp v -.453 prev.
Gasoline: -0.722 v -0.750 exp v -3.147 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



Israel MacroMicro 14:25 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

you can't control your mouth and emotions, how you would control a drone?
like a dishwasher?

London Bridges 14:24 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

Careful AHMED. There is a drone with your name on it.

Mtl JP 14:23 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

why not simply ignore what u don't like ?

Israel MacroMicro 14:17 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

terrorism it is, online terrorism,
but why here?

Israel MacroMicro 14:17 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

those sick posts attacking people are truly a signal how sick may be the soul around. so pity sick people post here.

PAR, no bother because of the sick ones.

tokyo ginko 14:12 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

tgt 102.10/15?

Israel MacroMicro 14:08 GMT August 12, 2020
GBP/CAD

Buy GBPCAD
Entry: 1.7279 Target: WFAK Stop: 1.7259

valid ONLY the current hour
enjoy

London Bridges 13:59 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

RE: USD/JPY: You let your sex life influence your trading Par. You did and early withdrawal on this pair. Deep Breathing will help you.

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT August 12, 2020
ADELSON CUTS OFF TRUMP?

Blast from the past
-
harris is on record advocating "trading tax" on stocks and bonds

PAR 13:43 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD

EURUSD. Taking profit at 1.1790.

Not much conviction.

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

10-yr yielding .67-.69ish
DLR slightly on back foot
Gold under 2k, soft
euro 1.1794 - still inside 1.17 - 1.19
atm puppy does not appear to have solid reason to run N of 1.18

PAR 13:21 GMT August 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

ECB and FED mission is to steal from the plebs to give to the wealthy.

Capital is too cheap. Labor is too expensive.
All this caused by stupid monetary ideologies.

Mtl JP 12:55 GMT August 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

exactly how do they get 1% y/y ?
when 0.6%, annualized, -> 7.2%
way above even FED gang's "symmetrical overshoot" of 4% (2 trgt +2 undershhoot).

The FED is here to ... Feel the pain peasants ?!

swiss frank 12:45 GMT August 12, 2020
CHF/JPY

Probably stating the obvious but CHF benefiting as a more stable safe haven then metals...

Eye on eur/jpy 126 the 50% of the 137.50-114.50 move. If one believes in those sort of things...

AT Trader john 12:43 GMT August 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. CPI July 2020



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.60% vs. +0.30% exp. v +0.60% pre
y/y: +1.00% vs. +0.70% exp. v +0.80% pre
Core:
y/y: 1.60% vs. +1.10% exp. v +1.20% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


PAR 12:39 GMT August 12, 2020
No inflation?
Reply   
U.S. consumer prices rose in July by more than expected in part on costs of used cars and apparel, though inflation remained broadly subdued as the pandemic suppressed demand.

The consumer price index rose 0.6% from the prior month, following a 0.6% gain in June, Labor Department figures showed Wednesday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.3% increase. Compared with a year earlier, the gauge increased 1%, after June’s 0.6% rise.

PAR 12:25 GMT August 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
How long do those central bankers go on holiday?

It looks like Lagarde disappeared from the surface of the earth.
Is she cruising on a superyacht in Italy?

Israel MacroMicro 12:19 GMT August 12, 2020
GBP/CAD

Buy GBPCAD
Entry: 1,7290 Target: 1,7330 Stop: tight

1.7290 entered
will raise stop as soon above 1.73

Israel MacroMicro 12:12 GMT August 12, 2020
GBP/CAD
Reply   
LONGS during the next 4h candle against 1.72 area may pay well
1.7450/1.7530 this week

imo

PAR 11:46 GMT August 12, 2020
Volatility

Most volatility is in the VIX. We are in an absurd situation where movements in the VIX seem to be leading movements in the markets.

Mathematicians found out computer programs to manipulate the VIX and make money in the markets. Just brilliant.

Israel MacroMicro 11:45 GMT August 12, 2020
CHF/JPY

DS

I totally agree with your view. the monthly chart is clear.

as we witnessed with gold, the "check the breakout level" is safe play.
this is the rational for this trade.

my system gives odds to 115.95 to happen before 118. I am waiting with entries for 117.20/60 (or when the system triggers SELL signal) spike and than I will activate RISK.

I am actively trading intraday with contra trades.

PAR 11:42 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD
Reply   
Raise stop to entry-level. We'll see.

Bern ds 11:37 GMT August 12, 2020
CHF/JPY

Buy CHFJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

chf jpy BROKE A MULTI MONTH trend line around 115 - which could make it fly higher… watch out for volatility on such very long term break - it is my favourite cross since some month… long

Israel MacroMicro 11:25 GMT August 12, 2020
CHF/JPY
Reply   
in case it is repeating the pattern of 31/07/2020 we may have temporary top in place for the rest of this week within 5hrs from now. that makes 115.95 a must happen level. with this pair STOP must be at the figure above.

so, selling 117+ with 118 STOP and 115.95 TARGET reasonable play.

imo

GVI Forex Blog 11:23 GMT August 12, 2020
Trade to Win: Proof of Concept
Reply   

Look below of a short video that will open your eyes to a world of trading opportunities. See why I call it Proof of Concept.

Trade to Win: Proof of Concept

Bern DS 11:11 GMT August 12, 2020
Volatility
Reply   
Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Following up on my comments from yesterday, it is amazing how fast people are running for the exits nowadays. As mentionned , nowadays all is driven by computers and goes faster and farther than one can think - a trend does not need to change only because of Artificial Intelligence driving the price… think Gold has closed (at least my gap :..) at 1890 and silver was something open at 23.90 … as the volatility increases may be it would be wise to reduce position size from 100 to 25 ? …. if you have 100 bucks in gold in one day then with 1/4 of the position, you can still make a lot of money - or loose less…

PAR 09:36 GMT August 12, 2020
Tesla
Reply   
I give you a 5 € bill or I give you 5 pieces of 1€.

Which has the most buying power? Yes.

PAR 09:32 GMT August 12, 2020
CORONA CRISIS
Reply   
The crisis is over. Greed is again stronger than fear.

PAR 09:18 GMT August 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
European inflation figures - as always - lower than expected.
While everybody is paying higher prices in the supermarket and European house prices going parabolic.


Time to change the management of the ECB. You can't continue with a team that has been losing for 10 years.

AT Trader john 09:00 GMT August 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Industrial Production June 2020





ALERT
+9.10% vs. +9.90% exp vs. +6.00% (r ) prev.



jkt abel 08:51 GMT August 12, 2020
gold

sure and the "other one"

hk ab 08:50 GMT August 12, 2020
gold
Reply   
Abel, game becomes much easier with Kwun.

AT Trader john 08:43 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

Wednesday: RISK-ON?
DJ: 27,858 +244
SP: 3,352.8 +25.5

2-yr 0.153% -0.8 bp
Spread 10s-2s +51.3 bp (+49.0)
10-yr

US: 0.670% +1.2
UK: 0.224% +2.2
DE: -0.449% +2.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1758 (1.1758)
GBPUSD 1.3068 (1.3084)
EURGBP 0.8998 (.8989)
USDJPY 106.76 (106.42)

This Week 1.1807-1.1711 (96 pips)
wsd: 1.1761-1.1711 (51)
tue: 1.1807-1.1722 (85)
mon: 1.1801-1.1736 (65)
fri: 1.1884-1.1755 (129)
thu: 1.1916-1.1818 (98)

20-d avg: 1.1682
50-day avg: 1.1445
100-day avg: 1.1185
200-day avg: 1.1114

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





hk ab 08:28 GMT August 12, 2020
gold
Reply   
selling may be resumed after killing the stop with 30 yard distance....

Adliyah KaL 08:25 GMT August 12, 2020
Forget it!!
Reply   
Politicians and religion is behind me ............ i trust my dogs more

PAR 08:15 GMT August 12, 2020
EURUSD
Reply   
Long EURUSD 1.1740. Stop 1.1690.

AT Trader john 08:12 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 12 Aug 2020
A 06:00 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
AA 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production
AA 12:30 US- CPI
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Aug 2020
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
<AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 14 Aug 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- Productivity
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


Adliyah KaL 07:53 GMT August 12, 2020
THIS IS NOT AMERICA!!!
Reply   
THIS IS NOT AMERICA!!!
I just can not believe these politicians!!!???


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XW5yXwpLdZ8

jkt abel 07:38 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold

out of gold long from 1870 at 1935 and SAR now for test lower

Adliyah KaL 07:38 GMT August 12, 2020
TSLA
Reply   
Wants 600

Adliyah KaL 07:36 GMT August 12, 2020
AUDUSD
Reply   
He likes 0.61
But!!..

NZDUSD he likes .58

Do your longer term before doing your day trades

jkt abel 07:34 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold

gold got the bounce, will sell again 1930-40 for test lower

Adliyah KaL 07:31 GMT August 12, 2020
Cable
Reply   
he likes 1.22 area

eurusd he likes 1.06

PAR 07:14 GMT August 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
#ECB balance sheet hit fresh ATH at €6,385.3bn as Lagarde keeps printing press rumbling and banks took more long-term loans. Total assets rose by another €24.5bn. The balance sheet now equal to 61% of Eurozone GDP if GDP is calculated on a rolling basis over the last 4 quarters

Hk Ab 06:56 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Never miss the gem of gvi bangster contra indicator

Israel MacroMicro 06:49 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

JP

vicious candles delivered fulfillment of limits, looking to see if it was one time deal or part of larger theme.

Israel MacroMicro 06:41 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold

Israel MacroMicro 15:17 GMT August 7, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 7 August 2020: Reply
1650/1750-2300/2400 with gold the same period. IF 1850 taken. 2300/2800 logical targets by end of Q2/Q4 2021

all IMO

_____________

it's all about trading MICRO when you have the MACRO view. yes, sometimes micro time-frame trades hit their stop. part of trading. 100% perfection not part of profitable traders in the LONG RUN.

imo

Hk Ab 06:26 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Someone may need the 3 soldiers to help...

Hk Ab 06:23 GMT August 12, 2020
gold

Is it because kwun reappears and sell? LOL

PAR 06:18 GMT August 12, 2020
Tesla
Reply   
After real engineering, Tesla moves into financial engineering. Boosting it's stock by 6 percent without changing anything or selling one car more.

Adliyah KaL 05:03 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Expecting 1600 to be the bottom

jkt abel 04:53 GMT August 12, 2020
gold

temp bottom already seen IMO, bounce underway

HK Kevin 04:28 GMT August 12, 2020
gold

hk ab 02:48 GMT, possibly 1830-50 bottom of this round downside move. Wait for opportunities to reload

Central Kwun 03:20 GMT August 12, 2020
The peak is seen
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1890 Target: Stop: 1910

sell for every rise, won't rise that much, also this trade wont loss

hk ab 02:48 GMT August 12, 2020
gold
Reply   
retest 1900.....

hk ab 02:19 GMT August 12, 2020
gold
Reply   
another dim sum day.

Mtl JP 02:14 GMT August 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 August 2020

early asian stocks action wishi-washi,
so is Gold

Mtl JP 02:08 GMT August 12, 2020
ADELSON CUTS OFF TRUMP?

CB 23:45 plz get a new keyboard, unless u have some handicap that makes the letters go small to big caps because it makes me - most of the time - ignore your posts (in which case I apologize for the impertinence)

w/that being out of the way, I suspect adelson has now goods odds of regretting HIS impertinence towards DJT

hk ab 01:41 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold

well said.

Bali Sja 01:40 GMT August 12, 2020
Gold

Well ab, when the other contra indicator guy was on the same side, i just quitted. And censored happened just at the right time LOL

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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