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Forex Forum Archive for 02/23/2020

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Hk Ab 23:26 GMT February 23, 2020
As said, bangsters were infected by corona.....

Me pocketed 1670 1/2, see what can be done with the rest

HK [email protected] 23:21 GMT February 23, 2020

HOD 1680.6; It may also be the Hi of the week.

Early Asia pockets the Hi, B4 Gap closes.

Mtl JP 23:16 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

Gold s losing touch with gravity
HoD 1679+ so-far

HK [email protected] 23:16 GMT February 23, 2020
From all analysts on the web, no one was able to predict the price action of gold this morning.

It is fine to close longs now B4 gap closes.

All shorts are killed.

Mtl JP 22:58 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

winners and losers
how convenient are (ie who benefits?)

Concerns of a widening threat from coronavirus are growing as millions of Israelis are preparing to gather at polling places for national elections next week, following reports that a group of South Koreans who had visited some of the country's most popular religious and tourist spots tested positive for the infection.

keywords ="coronavirus Israel, coronavirus Israel election, Coronavirus Netanyahu

dc CB 22:55 GMT February 23, 2020
China's nationalist propaganda mouthpiece, the Global Times

I don't believe any reports...I'm just posting what is being reported.

HK [email protected] 22:52 GMT February 23, 2020
China's nationalist propaganda mouthpiece, the Global Times
So you prefer believing in AP=AMERICAN PROPAGANDA:)

dc CB 22:52 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

President Trump was reportedly livid after 14 Diamond Princess passengers infected with coronavirus were flown back to the United States without notifying him and against his wishes, according to the Washington Post.

Trump 'Furious' At Rogue Bureaucrats Who Let Coronavirus Patients Fly Home Without Telling Him

Mtl JP 22:44 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

Italy cancels Venice Carnival in bid to halt spread of virus
ABC News·1 hour ago

Austria stops train services with Italy - media
Reuters·2 hours ago

dc CB 22:44 GMT February 23, 2020
A story that everyone knows is not a story anymore.

none other than China's nationalist propaganda mouthpiece, the Global Times, published a report overnight which dramatically changes the narrative, namely that a "New Chinese study indicates novel coronavirus did not originate in Huanan seafood market."

According to the brand new study by Chinese researchers published on Feb 21, the novel coronavirus may have begun human-to-human transmission in late November from a place other than the Huanan seafood market in Wuhan.

Chinese Scientists Find Coronavirus Did Not Originate In Wuhan Seafood Market

HK [email protected] 22:38 GMT February 23, 2020
A story that everyone knows is not a story anymore.
Can expect Hi volatility in gold this opening.

Mtl JP 22:33 GMT February 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 24 Feb 2020

as Germany is sinking into an economic abyss

but the current opening GAP-down is puney for me

AT Trader john 22:27 GMT February 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 24 Feb 2020

LOD in EURUSD already 1.0811 in early activity. Quite a decline from late Friday NY level! Only German IFO survey due later today. Tuesday's calendar is relatively light as well.

GVI Forex 22:19 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

Concern over coronavirus spread as cases jump in South Korea, Italy and Iran...Rtrs

london red 22:09 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

yen. gap is now filled. all bets are now off.

AT Trader john 22:03 GMT February 23, 2020
Breaking News

Worry about the spread of the COVID-19 virus continues. Skepticism about the reliability of various government reports remains high.

AT Trader john 21:58 GMT February 23, 2020
Breaking News
Merkel's CDU party in Hamburg Germany has suffered major losses in regional elections.

Israel MacroMicro 21:46 GMT February 23, 2020
where is WFAK?
Entry: Target: Stop:

earth's most colorful character is well missed, please come back Mr TOO (The Only One)


Israel MacroMicro 21:43 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

Entry: 08270-08350 Target: 08550 Stop: 08250

accumulation mode
scalping is well allowed :)

valid strategy for the next four 4h candles before updating in case stop not get kissed

Israel MacroMicro 21:32 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

good and fruitful trading to all

london red 21:28 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off

yen daily channel moves up to 111,25. a break below there and prev low of 111,10 could mean a quick drop to low 110s. however, while 111,25 holds the odds are to fill opening gap.

Minneapolis DRS2 21:17 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

Ya I still read WSJ...China's actions are yet another example of "face" culture in action. Basically, all media outlets throughout the world are expected to say wonderful things about China, its people, and especially its government. If they say anything that is even slightly negative, then they are punished by the CCP.

GVI Forex 21:07 GMT February 23, 2020
Risk off
Early fx suggests risk off start

Mtl JP 20:49 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

DRS2 are you still reading the WSJ ?
China Expels Three Wall Street Journal Reporters - Feb. 19, 2020

China’s Foreign Ministry says move was punishment for a recent opinion piece published by the Journal

AT Trader john 17:59 GMT February 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 24 Feb 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 24 Feb 2020
A 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
Tue 25 Feb 2020
C 14:00 US- Case-Shiller
A 15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
B 15:00 US- Richmond Fed
Wed 26 Feb 2019
A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 27 Feb 2019
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 13:30 US- GDP
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 28 Feb 2019
A 09:00 DE- Employment
A 13:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

AT Trader john 17:55 GMT February 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 24 Feb 2020

LATE Friday
DJ: -262
SP: -39.8

2-yr 1.346% -4.9
Spread 10s-2s +12.2 (+10.8)

US: 1.468% -5.7
UK: 0.573% -0.1
DE: -0.438% -0.5

Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0855 (1.0834)
GBPUSD 1.2977 (1.2946)
EURGBP 0.8363 (0.8364)
USDJPY 111.71 (111.77)

This week 1.0778-1.0851 (73) pips

fri: 1.0784-1.0864 (38)
thu: 1.0778-1.0821 (43)
wed: 1.0782-1.0808 (26)
tue: 1.0786-1.0838 (52)
mon: 1.0821-1.0851 (30)

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20-day avg: 1.0931
50-day avg: 1.1046
100-day avg: 1.1056
200-day avg: 1.1103

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Minneapolis DRS2 17:35 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

From what I've been told of Chinese domestic politics, there is a constant tension between the central government (the "inner CCP") and the regional and city governing bodies (which I'll call the "outer CCP" for want of a better term). When something happens, it seems that the first thing to happen is figuring out who gets the credit, or who gets blamed.

When you couple this ongoing tension with the "face" culture that is common to Asia, one can see pretty easily where things can go awry. Policy making and executive orders are given as much for appearance as for actually being effective.

Israel MacroMicro 17:32 GMT February 23, 2020
Entry: Target: Stop:

starting from Wednesday's late Australian morning buying AUD may be act of more wisdom than bravery.

Mtl JP 15:50 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

my friend ... Costco has been ordered to prevent large crowds forming at its Minhang store - but no metted punishment mentioned:
- Minhang District market regulatory body as well as the district's public health department have found the retailer failed to take due public health measures, including insufficient action to prevent large crowds from forming.
- bla
- bla
- bla (more directives)
- The store must exactly follow directives from the district government, officials said.

Minhang District acts to prevent Costco crowds

Israel MacroMicro 13:02 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

from your friends JP

dc CB 12:47 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

Masks are NOW available, for those who believe there is a need.

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

180 Israeli students quarantined after coronavirus exposure ... 4 hours ago

Over 200 residents of Israel who may have been in contact with South Korean nationals who tested positive to the novel coronavirus COVID-19 - - 3 hours ago

Note: in Israel up to 7yrs jail-time for skipping on quarantine order

Mtl JP 12:11 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

mnuchin says
Speaking to CNBC’s Hadley Gamble at the G-20 summit in Riyadh, Mnuchin said it was difficult to make strong predictions about the economic impact of the outbreak right now.

Economic impact of coronavirus will be clearer in ‘three or four weeks,’

Mtl JP 11:46 GMT February 23, 2020
North Italy Has 51 Cases; South Korea Hospital Hit: Virus Update

GVI Forex 16:44 - it is as good a justification as any to support what 10 (1.475%) & 30 yr (1.917 %) bonds are trying to tell you (a looming recession)

There are two principal sentiment considerations:
every msm economist, politician and would-be assorted do-gooder peddle the idea that prospects, threat (promise is too harsh and banned term) and the coming about of a recession must be faught tooth n nail because ... well according to that crowd a recessionary redressing would be too sufferening for too many.

Thing is ... that things suffering are not universal - all vs none absolute: some benefit. once-in-a-lifetime outsized (huge in a short time-period) benefit.

Bottom Line
It is one's own prerogative to recognize gathering sentiment turning into trend and taking action or not. really no different from that of a 1hr chart. only the chips are bigger.

"should have"s is not a tactic. preparing to take advantage of the crowd - including the FED, currently insisting that 1.50-1.75% is appropriate and rate cut not - is.

HK [email protected] 10:11 GMT February 23, 2020
Weekend celebration. All bank are superbullish on gold.
Interesting to see the open.


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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