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Forex Forum Archive for 11/12/2019

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dc CB 23:59 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

your problem is not aversion to past tenses.
you have been posting about the big cold and Nat Gas---how much to keep you posteriors war...for the past couple of days. citing weather hysteria.
I'm just showing why the PoP higher, which you seemed to be suggesting, didn't happen. Normal to above temps were forecast 15-20days out. Plus the US has more Nat Gas than they know what to do with....Plus that Nat Gas can't get to where it needs to be---NY State and North to New England because there are no pipelines. NatGas in those regions it multiples higher that the Traded Futures Price. That price is for Henry Hub...you figure out what that means.

You have no idea how to trade this vehicle.

Mtl JP 23:51 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



CB 21:30 Here in Mtl I am currently sitting at -17°C (1.4°F).
My passionate hate of and aversion to verbs in past tense is legend.
How about what will happen (as redemption - ha) plz?
See pic.
TIA

dc CB 22:57 GMT November 12, 2019
Braking NooZe
Reply   
French Revolution reDux - history rhymes: Robespierre and the Jacobins v OrangeManBad.
____________________________________________
WaPo (via Outline link) 'splains whot's whot---a little history of 'mpeachmints

Nixon and Clinton faced televised impeachment hearings. Now so will Trump.

dc CB 21:30 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



natty gas

what happened

dc CB 21:22 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

campaign tease. the democrat candyDates all pledge to increase taxes.
imho - with the 'public hearings' starting Wed, and the hollydays nearing expect major PR pushes from both the demos and Trump to seed the discussion points for the upcoming foodfest gatherings and brandy chats, hearthside. To be rescued only by football games on the big screen.

Mtl JP 21:15 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

that would be from 22% ?
a 31.8% reduction


with his deficit running close to a trillion ...
who is he going to ding for the diff?

dc CB 21:15 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

REPOs done earlier today.
One day: 76.943Bln
14 Day: 34.966Bln

unimportant?...Not on the radar? just another thing that dosen't matter because the FinPress never puts out the daily 100's of Billions of FED money in the MarkIT. (or to those 'tinfoil hat' guys, **the FinPress got the word not to mention a word about it. You know those 'tin hat guys', the ones who said for Years that the Gold/Sliver makets were rigged, that interest rate markets were rigged, that SToX were being spoffed by Algos...etc etc etc.

dc CB 21:00 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

TRUMP AIDES MULLING TAX PLAN TO CUT MIDDLE CLASS RATE TO 15%:WP

AT Trader 20:19 GMT November 12, 2019
Wednesday Amazing Trader Checklist

Late Tuesday
DJ: -32
SP: +0.3


2-yr 1.660% -0.6 bp
Spread 10s-2s +26.4 bp (+25.3 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.924% -0.9
UK: 0.804% -0.4
DE: -0.254% -0.9


EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1011
Pivot Point: 1.1018
This Week 1.1003-1.1039 (36) pips)

tue: 1.1003-1.1039 (36)
mon: 1.1017-1.1033 (16)
fri: 1.1017-1.1056 (39)
thu: 1.1037-1.1092 (55)
wed: 1.1065-1.1094 (29)


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20-day avg: 1.1104
50-day avg: 1.1043
100-day avg: 1.1103
200-day avg: 1.1182

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GVI Forex Blog 20:01 GMT November 12, 2019
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 November 2019
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 November 2019

dc CB 19:23 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

AT Trader john 12:05 GMT November 12, 2019
Chair Powell testifies to Congress on Wednesday and Thursday of this week.
______________________________________
Wed - before the Joint Economic Comitee. 11AM
Thurs - before the House Budget Comitee. 10AM.
_______________________________________
OF NOTE:
On Wednesday, Powell will be in the shadow as the Big Show launches. Robespierre and his feloow Jacobins begin the Public Hearings.
Chairman Adam Schiff announced that on Wednesday, November 13, 2019, and Friday, November 15, 2019 the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence will hold its first open hearings as part of the impeachment inquiry into President Donald J. Trump.

AT Trader john 19:10 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Nothing newsworthy was released in this Trump campaign speech. It was a little more high-brow than most of his speeches. due this audience but we learned nothing.

GVI Forex 17:35 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Watch the Q&A

Houston TE 17:27 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Campaign speech?

Mtl JP 17:20 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

djr just re-hashing old lines
Bottom Line
boring

harker and kashkari next can be ignored
2x boring

AT Trader john 16:56 GMT November 12, 2019
Wednesday Amazing Trader Checklist
Reply   


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 13 November 2019
AA 08:30 UK- CPI
AA 13:30 US- CPI
A 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 14 November 2019
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 UK- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- PPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Fri 15 Movember 2019
AA 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production


AT Trader john 16:49 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Trump Speech

Live Streaming

London Trader 16:17 GMT November 12, 2019
eurusd

Options defence of 1,10?

PAR 15:51 GMT November 12, 2019
SPAIN
Reply   
Sanchez turning Spain into Venezuela on the Mediterranean.

Mtl JP 15:48 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

euro N of 1.1035 would nix
target in 15:42

Mtl JP 15:43 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

1.004
s/b 1.1004

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



EURO 1.004
-
letsee if techs reach trgt

Mtl JP 15:30 GMT November 12, 2019
Donald in the Econ's Den

USDMXN 19.180x

I d have a slight buy bias
IF I traded the pup
sl <19.08

Livingston nh 15:08 GMT November 12, 2019
Donald in the Econ's Den

JP - Any president travels w/ logistic chaos in the locale -- NYC gets more than its share of high profile traffic problems - So likely President in early and out quickly

PREZ likely takes a poke at the Fed and Powell gets to joke a bit
__________
As an aside what do you think about Mexico South American currency trades -- USD/BRL bumping up against 4.20 l/t resistance -- USD/MXN at risk if NEW nafta gets banged by gangs and Morales in Congress hearings

A lot more than coffe brewing down south

Mtl JP 14:56 GMT November 12, 2019
Donald in the Econ's Den

nh 14:22 trump and powell yak essentially about same topic
think trump made the choice to yak before powell ?
IF he did not like the order he could always find an alternative

Toronto Abb 14:43 GMT November 12, 2019
Brent
Reply   
possibility to 64 price now 62.80 let see..

Livingston nh 14:22 GMT November 12, 2019
Donald in the Econ's Den
Reply   
The President's modus operandi in a hostile environment has been to poke eyes with a sharp stick -- we'll see if he riles the pointy heads and which markets will respond

Livingston nh 13:33 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Bond market is trying to find a level after yesterday's absence

10 yr stuck in a range but 2% beckons - different interests in a tug of war

Mtl JP 13:18 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

john 12:05 ... the 10-yr yield is 1.945%, +1.2%. ...
playing loosey with the meaning of the up/down digits in the bond yield ?

U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note

Mtl JP 12:45 GMT November 12, 2019
Forex View: How to Trade in a Political Market

How to Trade in a Political Market
Second view
--------------
Political headlines keeping you up? Focus on the data, says UBS portfolio manager

Sherry Paul, private wealth adviser and senior portfolio manager at UBS Global Wealth Management

Mtl JP 12:14 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



current USD's bias
in the form of DLRX

AT Trader john 12:09 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Trump Speech to the NY Economic Club is at 12:00 EST. (17:00 GMT). I doubt the markets will take his comments too seriously, except if he says something VERY SPECIFIC about Chinese trade talks.

AT Trader john 12:05 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

FWIW odds on a 25bp fed Funds rate cut on December 11 are a scant 3%. Chair Powell testifies to Congress on Wednesday and Thursday of this week. If he is unhappy with market expectations, this will be his chance to adjust those expectations. Personally I see no sign those expectations will change. Keep in mind he botched his policy signals after the last Fed meeting. It would behoove him to clarify his last signals.

On that score, the 10-yr yield is 1.945%, +1.2%. Looks like it is targeting 2.00%.

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Global stocks wishi-washi looking shifty-eyed as they eyeball

"The market rally will soon be tested by a big Trump speech and testimony from the Fed chief

- President Trump speaks to the Economic Club of New York, and Fed Chairman Powell speaks to Congress in the week ahead.

- Trump’s comments Tuesday could create more volatility because of the market’s intense focus on trade negotiations with China, while Powell is likely to be more bland, repeating that the Fed is on hold but will be ready to cut interest rates if the economy turns down." .../..

Mtl JP 11:53 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

EURO 1.1016
-
IF it is relative interest rates that drive ccy moves
keep in mind powell however whimsical he may be:

“I think we would need to see a really significant move up in inflation that’s persistent before we even consider raising rates to address inflation concerns.”

London Trader 11:49 GMT November 12, 2019
eurusd

Look at eurgbp

Tallinn viies 11:43 GMT November 12, 2019
eurusd
Reply   
euro took out previous week low. now 1,0990 target for today and 1,0910 for this week. close above 1,1090 would change my view. otherwise starting my trades with a short first.

Mtl JP 11:35 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

GBP 1.2830
s/t puppy needs to hold 1.28
IF it is hold posi biasand head
for 1.29 ++

AT Trader 10:56 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

EARLY TUESDAY
DJ: +22
SP: +4.8


2-yr 1.680% +0.3 bp
Spread 10s-2s +25.3 bp (+26.5 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.933% 0.0
UK: 0.802% -0.1
DE: -0.241% +0.7


EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1023
Pivot Point: 1.1059
Last Week 1.1017-1.1039 (22) pips)

tue: 1.1019-1.1039 (20)
mon: 1.1017-1.1033 (16)
fri: 1.1017-1.1056 (39)
thu: 1.1037-1.1092 (55)
wed: 1.1065-1.1094 (29)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1106
50-day avg: 1.1043
100-day avg: 1.1110
200-day avg: 1.1185

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 10:35 GMT November 12, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 13 November 2019
AA 08:30 UK- CPI
AA 13:30 US- CPI
A 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 14 November 2019
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 UK- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- PPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 13:15 US- Industial Production
Fri 15 Movember 2019
AA 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production


AT Trader 10:25 GMT November 12, 2019
BREAKING NEWS

German ZEW Survey November 2019



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: -24.7 vs. -22.5 exp. vs. -25.3 prev.
Expectations: -2.1 vs. -13.0 exp. vs. -22.6 prev.





Central Kwun 06:31 GMT November 12, 2019
Gold is changed to sell mode

Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

doing the opposite bring you good profit? stupid ab= Ben Dover, LOL

-----------------------------------------------
Hk Ab 02:47 GMT 11/12/2019
Kwun, sadly I need to tell ya that we are 1000% not the same person, you can ask Jay to confirm that :).

But I agree that playing your contra always bring good profit

-----------------------------------------------
HK Ben Dover 02:09 GMT 11/11/2019
KWAN...from now on you will be known as the person that likes : Double Entry Penetration. Enjoy the selling . You sold the bottom this time

HK [email protected] 06:09 GMT November 12, 2019
It's Halloween in HK...
Reply   
.
Minneapolis DRS2 17:02 GMT 11/11/2019 - My Profile

It's Halloween in HK...

Indeed a state of madness. Continues today.

But nothing compared to the civil war eventually coming to the US.
You bet.
And there are more ideological reasons for a civil war to happen between the Patriots and liberals in the US.

Anyway intervention by China is still an option to save HK, even if tanks and APC will have to come in and produce some street-meat out of the mad protester.
Not suggesting anyone to be on the wrong side of the markets on that day; As someone named it: A Global Black Swan event.

Mtl JP 04:55 GMT November 12, 2019
Winners and Losers

winners and losers
--------------------
Mtl JP 13:51 Nov 8, 2019
Trump Won't Hit EU With Threatened Car Tariffs, Juncker Says - BBRG

“Trump will ruffle a bit, but there will not be any automobile tariffs,” Juncker said in the interview, which was published online Thursday. “He won’t do it. You’re talking to a fully informed man.”


POLITICO -11/11/2019 04:41 PM EST
Trump expected to delay auto tariff decision for 6 more months
The president faces a Wednesday deadline on whether to slap duties on imports of vehicles.

President Donald Trump is expected to announce this week that he is putting off a decision on whether to impose tariffs on European Union autos for another six months, a person familiar with the decision said.

nw kw 04:16 GMT November 12, 2019
Gold is changed to sell mode

IS FEAR IN GOLD NZD NEXT. so sos up gold for bit.

Hk Ab 02:47 GMT November 12, 2019
Gold is changed to sell mode

Kwun, sadly I need to tell ya that we are 1000% not the same person, you can ask Jay to confirm that :).

But I agree that playing your contra always bring good profit.

Central Kwun 01:20 GMT November 12, 2019
Gold is changed to sell mode

Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

stupid ab= Ben Dover, LOL

-----------------------------------------------
HK Ben Dover 02:09 GMT 11/11/2019
KWAN...from now on you will be known as the person that likes : Double Entry Penetration. Enjoy the selling . You sold the bottom this time.

Central Kwun 01:19 GMT November 12, 2019
Gold is changed to sell mode

Sell Gold
Entry: 1463 Target: Stop: 1473

my prediction is right, TP already at 1452

dc CB 01:09 GMT November 12, 2019
Monday Amazing Trader Agends



OOOPPPs U Lose

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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