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Forex Forum Archive for 10/19/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


haifa ac 23:53 GMT October 19, 2020
Kelly: Trump incredibly inept!

"TRUMP CALLS BIDEN 'CRIMINAL'
REPORTER IS 'CRIMINAL'
CNN 'DUMB BASTARDS'
LOCK HER UP, LOCK HIM UP, LOCK THEM ALL UP

Sorry. But this guy is a wacko.

Mtl JP 23:33 GMT October 19, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 19 October 2020

john 10:24 ... but who knows if they can be trusted?
-
I expect that is just an erotema

Mtl JP 22:52 GMT October 19, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 20 October 2020

... a trading political market lesson ...
"go with the flow but DON'T OVERSTAY YOUR WELCOME" - Jay

Mtl JP 22:46 GMT October 19, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 20 October 2020

GBP 1.2947
-
earlier slight pop over 1.30 on a hope of a deal between uk+eu was rather fleeting. is there a lesson ...

Mtl JP 22:30 GMT October 19, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 20 October 2020

stocks down; DLRx uP
rule of thumb holding

AT Trader john 20:08 GMT October 19, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 20 October 2020

LATE MONDAY: RISK OFF
DJ: 28,198 -409
SP: 3,427 -57
NQ: 11,479 -193

2-yr 0.147% +0.2bp
Spread 10s-2s +62.7 bp (+62.5)
10-yr

US: 0.764% +0.2 bp
UK: 0.170% -0.1 bp
DE: -0.626% -0.1 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1778 (1.1758)
GBPUSD 1.2963 (1.2913)
EURGBP 0.9083 (0.9084)
USDJPY 105.44 (105.66)

LAST Week 1.1792-1.1703 (89 pips)
mon: 1.1792-1.1703 (89)
fri: 1.1745-1.1694 (51)
thu: 1.1759-1.1689 (70)
wed: 1.1771-1.1720 (51)
tue: 1.1817-1.1731 (86)

20-d avg: 1.1727
50-day avg: 1.1792
100-day avg: 1.1612
200-day avg: 1.1286

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





GVI Forex Blog 18:24 GMT October 19, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 October 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 October 2020

AT Trader john 16:12 GMT October 19, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 20 October 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Price Risk Scale--
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 20 Oct 2020
AA 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Oct 2020
AA 06:00 UK- CPI
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 22 May 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Lead indicators
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 23 Jan 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales


London Trader 14:46 GMT October 19, 2020
BREXIT

Brexit headlines saying nothing new but news algos whipping gbp around on each one.

GVI Forex 14:23 GMT October 19, 2020
BREXIT

No news but price action told you something about liquidity.

AT Trader john 14:00 GMT October 19, 2020
News
Reply   
U.S. NAHB Index October 2020



-- LATEST DATA --

85.0 vs. 83.0 vs. 83.0 prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index



Dubai MA 13:48 GMT October 19, 2020
BREXIT

Is there any news out? GBP up.

GVI Forex 12:28 GMT October 19, 2020
Master Class: How to Use Crosses to Trade Spot FX

I posted this article last month and it is worth repeating (note hpw EURGBP is driving EURUSD and GBPUSD)


If I told you that there was a large order in the market to buy EUR and sell GBP would you be looking to sell EURUSD and buy GBPUSD, do the opposite or step aside as the order gets executed? As outsiders, we are not privy to the flows in the market and due to increased regulation, banks that are executing the orders no longer pass on the information. All we are left with is guesswork but the price action in major crosses, such as EURGBP, EURJPY, GBPJPY, etc. can give a clue to the cross flows and how to use this information to trade spot fx.


Master Class: How to Use Crosses to Trade Spot FX

london red 12:17 GMT October 19, 2020
BREXIT

boris on wires. saying no return to negotiations next year. from that it appears eu offered them an extension to transition? if so they should be thoroughly ashamed of themselves for showing so little backbone. that sort they used to drown at birth.
boris also said would be willing to talk now if eu changes its position but deal must be done by january.

PAR 11:50 GMT October 19, 2020
BREXIT
Reply   
Looks like Merkel wants a deal, whatever.

AT Trader john 10:24 GMT October 19, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 19 October 2020

Personal Observations:
Initially it looks like markets MIGHT be flipping to a Risk ON from a RISK-OFF posture as of the end of last week. I am wondering if the EURUSD low of the week might already have been set (1.1703)? U.S. equities are up early in NY.

On the other hand, U.S. interest rates are pressing higher again. This SHOULD be a source of USD strength, but it is not at the moment. Rising interest rates can either be a sign of strength or weakness for a currency.

Looks like we are back with EURGBP dominating as the Brexit negotiations drag on.

U.S. economic stimulus is waiting for the Presidential election to be resolved. Polls continue to predict a Biden victory, but who knows if they can be trusted?

the USD is on the back foot vs. CAD and Aussie.

AT Trader john 09:49 GMT October 19, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 19 October 2020

MONDAY: RISK ON
DJ: 28,635 +145
SP: 3,494 +18
NQ: 11,934 +14

2-yr 0.151% +0.6bp
Spread 10s-2s +62.5 bp (+59.9)
10-yr

US: 0.776% +3.2
UK: 0.199% +1.4
DE: -0.612% -1.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1758 (1.1719)
GBPUSD 1.2309 (1.2918)
EURGBP 0.9040 (0.9072)
USDJPY 105.34 (105.35)

LAST Week 1.1828-1.1689 (139 pips)
mon: 1.1762-1.1703 (59)
fri: 1.1745-1.1694 (51)
thu: 1.1759-1.1689 (70)
wed: 1.1771-1.1720 (51)
tue: 1.1817-1.1731 (86)

20-d avg: 1.1729
50-day avg: 1.1792
100-day avg: 1.1609
200-day avg: 1.1283

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:35 GMT October 19, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 19 October 2020

GVI Trading. Price Risk Scale--
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 19 Oct 2020
B 14:00 US- NAHB
Tue 20 Oct 2020
AA 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Oct 2020
AA 06:00 UK- CPI
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 22 May 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Lead indicators
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 23 Jan 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales


hk ab 08:44 GMT October 19, 2020
Chinese Digital currencies
Reply   
With this enforcement in the forseeable year, will this affect the gold status?

Mtl JP 07:17 GMT October 19, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 19 October 2020

Pelosi gives White House 48 hours to reach coronavirus stimulus deal before election

...“Instead of recognizing the need for a strategic plan, they have changed words including ‘shall’ to ‘may,’ ‘requirement’ to ‘recommendation,’ and ‘strategic plan’ to ‘strategy,‘” Pelosi wrote .../..

They agreed to speak again on Monday.

jkt abel 06:17 GMT October 19, 2020
buy gold?
Reply   
anybody into gold this week?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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