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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2003

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Spr NoodyG 23:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
good sized stop 1.0710 as well

Tallinn viies 23:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
125,70

Reading Tomko 23:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallin viies

What is your target for short Eur/Jpy please?

Rome Tony 23:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
hello traders
where's Raden & Qindex ?

NYC jk 23:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi all, I am new to the forum. Spotforex - your models looking for a couple big figs in cable...is that bullish, do you run trendfollowing models just out of curiousity? NYCC re your post on the bank that never sleeps....I find their research to be good overall but I must say their strategists have been bearish EUR now for about the last 10% up so not sure how to take it that they are getting rid of that view now......

Tallinn viies 23:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 22:54 - I dont like that there is only buyers on the market. would like to see more sellers.
moved my stop order to 126,37.
im not brave enough with that position

Spotforex NY 23:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
I agree that my Cable model are indicating a large move in the near future..at least a few more big figs.

The Yen is Bearish on my cross models - with only the Dollar model in dis-agreement....

prague mark 23:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies 20:19 GMT
isnt it the same as to think about whatever eur/usd top at 1,0700?

prague mark 23:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
any1 can give me last hours traded cable bid, pls

Ga Lee 23:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Thank you JJM..will do :-)

hk ab 22:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
viies, your eur/jpy short call is a very sexy one. Like it a lot.

Tallinn viies 22:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
not yet, more room to go

hk ab 22:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
1.07 is a uptrend peak resistance in weekly. Morning viies, do you set a TP for this eur longs?

izmir 22:27 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Anybody think that, GBPJPY may touch down 187.50 arround in 1 week time?

Port Charlotte WN 22:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
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And if you do not want it you can return it.

I didn't try it yet and I don't know more about than what this note says.

Burnaby thr 22:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Can anybody tells me where to find training couses in the web?

NC JJM 22:17 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
keep atuned to cable, appears ready to move 5-7 big figs at least in next month or so......vol studies are showing indications that a large and furious move is upcoming........which way is anyone's guess...using 1.6200 as topside which should lead above 1.6500 and then toward 1.6700..using 1.5950 on the dowside which should lead to break below 1.5900 and then quickly toward 1.5660...WATCH OUT this thing getting ready to move.....good luck and imvho

hk ab 22:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
eur/gbp near the top of the second uptrend line.

St. Pete islander 21:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
1.07 could happen in the next 20 minutes!

London ADK 21:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
1.07 in a month? Hardly putting his cock on a block here.

NYCC 21:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
In a signal of the widespread sour sentiment towards the dollar, Citigroup, the largest dealer in the foreign exchange market, has downgraded its dollar forecasts, citing the ebbing capital flows into the U.S. Citigroup is now calling for the euro to rise to $1.07 in a month and $1.10 in three months time, according to official forecasts published by the bank's analysts Friday in their weekly `CitiFX Views' report. The bank's prior one-month forecast for the euro was $1.00 while its three-month projection was $0.9700. "This is the first significant change to our forecasts, as far as the direction is concerned, in several months," said Steven Saywell, currency strategist at Citigroup in London. On Monday afternoon in New York, the euro was trading at $1.0686 and flirting with fresh 39-month highs. Citigroup is one of the last of those big foreign exchange banks that had held a bullish view on the dollar in late 2002 to reverse its view. The bank's currency strategy group said it has eliminated all long dollar positions - or trades that anticipate a strengthening in the dollar - as well as all conditional recommendations to sell the euro against the dollar. Over the past few months, a growing number of currency strategists have conceded that the factors forcing the greenback lower aren't likely to offer the dollar a reprieve over the near or medium term. The most compelling elements dragging the greenback down, aside from worries about a potential U.S.-led war with Iraq, are the increasing difficulty of the U.S. in funding its widening current account gap and the tide of fixed-income flows seeking higher yielding sovereigns outside the U.S. In part to acknowledge the negative effects of such capital shifts, "we are pushing back our expectations for the dollar to rally (into) the second half of the year," Saywell said. With U.S. interest rates now at a four-decade low, the federal funds rate at 1.25% is substantially lower than the European Central Bank's 2.75% minimum bid rate. In reaction, global bond fund managers have increasingly shifted out of U.S. Treasury bonds into European government bonds and higher-yielding sovereigns in other major industrialized economies in search of greater returns. That drain is weighing on U.S. Treasury prices, Citigroup analysts noted in Friday's report. They recalled that in early 1994, "during the initial rise in U.S. bond yields the total return underperformance often leads to liquidation of U.S. bond holdings" and may be doing so again now. Bond yields and prices move inversely. "The euro could remain the major beneficiary of global bond flows during the months ahead," the report stated. owever, the single currency should retreat back to parity with the dollar in 12 months, Citigroup forecasts. During the first half of this year, the wide U.S. current account deficit, currently at 5.0% of gross domestic product, will act as a foil to burnish the attraction of the euro-zone, which sports a modest current account surplus. Although Citigroup expects other global sovereigns' yield differentials will play to the Treasury market and dollar's detriment in the first half, this hasn't transformed the bank's analysts into long- term dollar bears, they wrote.
rts.

Gen dk 21:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 21:32 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
jpy weakness comes more from usdjpy I think (or hope)
euro ag usd still doesnt give clear sell signal

Houston MB 21:12 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies 20:19 GMT January 20, 2003

I had the same thoughts about eur/yen. I sold my long and reversed short at 126.04 stop at 126.40 Do you think that the euro in general is weakening a bit or does it seem that the USD is gaining a bit of strength? tia gl and gt

chicago km 21:06 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
euryen gives sell signal headed south for 125.68

waterloo yong 20:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas // hi.. do u still think we should short GBP for target 1.6007.? thx

Tallinn viies 20:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
here is the chart

Tallinn viies 20:19 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
if euryen close will come under 126,25 I start to think about double top...

Tallinn viies 19:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
good evening boyz n galz

sold the eur/yen at 126,10. stop 126,39. fwiw

Berkeley AG 19:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Once in awhile, miracles can occur during countertrade/hedging positions. My short on the GBP/USD took profit while my Eur/USD position is still profitable.

Planning to make bid on the Yen, all this stalling, theres bound to be some action soon..does anybody have any thoughts?

Sialkot EUR/USD 18:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Is EUR/USD go at 1.0700? What's ur opinions ...

Sialkot Hyderabad 18:39 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi. Are you from Pakistan or India.

Gen dk 18:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hyderabad Dusant 18:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gotta go ... sleeping on my short

Hyderabad Dusant 17:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
The only divergence I see right now is the EUR:GBP and have just shorted EUR at 0.6637

Gen dk 17:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hyderabad Dusant 17:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
PMB Deeee 16:16 GMT
I do not anticipate the AUD weakening, becoz of a neg div ONLY for the short term.
If you're a long term player ... risk a short on AUD:USD.
Basically USD is weak and could weaken further. All other currencies (whether weak or strong themselves) will look strong against the USD. MVHO

Gen dk 17:44 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 17:25 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 16:44 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PMB Deeee 16:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Anybody still see a pullback on the AUD/USD??? GL & GT

Toronto VY 16:12 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HK Quindex:On your CAD view,OK,let see closing today it must be >1.537.

Nairobi Tn 16:07 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Kenya Joe
Hi pal! Glad to see another Kenyan!

Sofia Alex 15:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 15:52 GMT , Mate I am only kidding you know, I agree with you

Tokyo Jon 15:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Athens freelander 15:39,
send me an email, at [email protected]
I will get in touch with you.

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 15:52 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Alex..

Did u hear that soon will see 1.0718 Euro?

nk

Kenya Joe 15:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Dr. Qindex, for now on usdjpy is trading @ 118.15 do you have a view for further strenght or will have a correction?


TIA

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 15:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex..

In ur Dreams..LOL!

nk

van Gecko 15:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road EUR/JPY may be on the verge of level shifting up to the 126/128 levels after the recent consolidation above 123.50..
;
ab.. $/Cad should see some consolidation above the 1.5300/1.5250 support band for an initial 2 to 3 figure rise..

Singapore WN 15:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good Night all no `US time to sleep .. Ldn dead ... Tokyo Jon great work .. speak tom ...GL to all

Athens freelander 15:39 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo jon. appreciate to send me an email too. all the best
nnnn

Tokyo Jon 15:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Buenos Aires DB, will send you email soon. just signing off for a little while.

Buenos Aires DB 15:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Tokyo Jon: I have interest in your web site too so, please e-mail me: [email protected]
Thanks & GT.

Gen dk 15:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sofia Alex 15:01 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 14:58 GMT , Good evening mate.Did you heear that Greece is ready to give back Thessaloniki to Bulgaria?:))))LOL

beijing road 14:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gecko, your view on EUR/JPY pls? 126 level is really tough?

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 14:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good Evening all..
Good Evening Euro!

nk

Tallinn viies 14:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
prague mark 14:41 - some fools never learn :)

hk ab 14:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gecko, did you fly geese at the 1.5330 tongiht?/

Tokyo Jon 14:44 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 14:33,
I am not permitted to advertise the name of my site here,
and for professional reasons wont do so ethier,
do you have my email address, if so send me an email and I will send you the address.

Prague New 14:43 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
And what time (GMT) london is opening?

prague mark 14:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
viies
do not understand 1 thing: if u see order book(s), why u shorted eur/usd below 1.0576?

ny jc 14:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
IMM committments are very long Euros.

prague mark 14:39 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
what time (GMT) london is closing?

pd cumino 14:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
tallinn. My friend, I see positions of one of the largest dealer at world. Spec. accounts (i.e. margin a/c) are long, very long EUR.
Corporated is another story. Probably we look at different things.

beijing road 14:33 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jon, your web site pls?

warsaw tmsmp 14:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Kiev, if I may, dont look at the spread your broker offers you, but at the service u can get from him. if u have 3 or 5 pips spread, its not so important.

Tallinn viies 14:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino 14:22 GMT - spot market is not long euro my friend. there are tons of corporates who still trying to get rid of their long usd positions...

in my orderbook there are only couple of order to sell the euros..
most of them are buying order under the market levels.
first euro sell orders starts under 1,08.
this what I see, think it is similar everywhere....

Tokyo Jon 14:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
England Joe 14:26,
no just click on traders lounge

Sofia Alex 14:27 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville MKT 14:23 GMT no problem mate

England Joe 14:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To: Tokyo Jon...Hi I am in your site do i need to register..to access your traders lounge..

Shelbyville MKT 14:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Jon,

Shelbyville MKT 14:23 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex, I don't know what ICQ stands for.

pd cumino 14:22 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallin. Today is a US holiday. So it becomes important London 1/2 hours before closing. During a day like this, the driver (if there will be a move) is the order book at dealers-brokers. If you assume market longEUR, there could be some stop-orders lower. If 1.0615/20 is taken (because dealers are tryng to hunt stops) probably is just where there are some stops, so I think EUR could go lower and you could buy lower.

Tokyo Jon 14:21 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville MKT,
I will send you an email now with the directions to the Traders Lounge

Sofia Alex 14:17 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville MKT 14:10 GMT mate drop me a note if you have ICQ at 17868998

van Gecko 14:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
in the 6 months leading up to the January 1991 war with Saddam GBP/USD shot up 3000+ pips with a very bullish 6 month bull flag.. back then, just when almost everybody & their British bulldogs was screaming for another 3000 pip rise up to the moon, her Highness did an above face U-turn with the 6 months 4000 pip great GBP slide of '91..
since mid '02 GBP/USD is repeating the same 6 month bullish flag, but with reduced amplitude consistent with the recent year's decrease voliatity in her Majesty (and across the board for all major pairs).. will her Highness repeat history this year ?
a monthly closing at/near/below 1.5850 could be the trigger for the start of another 6 months reverse backflip dive.. circa '03 ..
Cheerios..
Gaza Ibiza 11:39.. good luck with your GBP possies..
cheers..
hk revdax 04:30.. 3 cheers for the upcoming euro slide!
gl..



kiev vlad 14:11 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
can any1 recommend broker with 3pips sprad on mini acc - thanks

Shelbyville MKT 14:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jon, Where is the Trader Lounge??

Tokyo Jon 14:07 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Singapore WN, I am sitting in Traders Lounge, if you wish to join me

Tallinn viies 14:06 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Buenos Aires DB 12:46 GMT - no idera.
if it comes down to 1,0615-25 area, I would consider buying...

beijing road 13:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Dr.Q, thanks. I was lucky to take profit at 190.20 last Friday.

Melb RS 13:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 13:20
Nah I saw Nalbandian beat Federer in a 5 setter ... catchya tom.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Projected resistance is 191.50 - 191.58.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 13:48 GMT - GBP/JPY : Short term target is 188.91 - 188.94.

Helsinki iw 13:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
These days there are alot of studies made on how markets
reacted to Desert Storm, at various timeframes after the ev-
ent. One should bear in mind, however, that not all underly-
ing frameworks remain the same. At the time of Desert Storm
the US economy was coming out of a mini-recession (two
quarters) whereas now it looks as it is sinking deeper in to a
more severe period of woes. More importantly P/E-ratios in
the market are at totally different levels. History may not re-
peat itself, even if it is likely that we will see a sell-the-rumour
-buy-the-fact type of rally. And yes, Europe and Japan are
worse off than the USA.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 13:48 GMT - GBP/JPY : 189.37.

beijing road 13:48 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Dr.Q, If GBP/JPY closes below 190, it will be very negetive?

sing jdlf 13:48 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
anybody dare venture what time table we can see the aud at .58, a good entry point?

pd cumino 13:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Bejiing. It's questionable if tech.analysis works. (Some studies show it doesn't very well). But keep in mind two things.
1) in fx market tech.an. works no doubt less well than in other markets, because every theory is founded on prices AND volumes, and in fx you don't know volumes.
2)if something is to bring from tech, is not any magical level (tech is a easy art, everyone is able to do) but is what are thinking about levels "the crowd". So I think is not reccomandable to use "personal" indicators, but to use the most common indicators that "the crowd" use. The very different thing about to gain or to loss is not tech analysis, but risk management.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:39 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Kaunas DP 13:37 GMT - We have to wait and see how it goes.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
USD/CAD : The market has been stablized around 1.5331 and it can move forward step by step towards 1.5797. (1.5331 - 1.5486 - 1.5642 - 1.5797).

Kaunas DP 13:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex
do u think USD/JPY and EUR/JPY will allow to do it? - TIA

Den Bosch 13:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good day everybody. I took a Desert Storm Chronology starting begin of july1990 until end of march 1991 with all the important events. Next to it I have worked out a table of closing rates for USD-CHF for the same period. They are both Word documents. If you are interested let me know on [email protected] and i will send it to you.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 13:32 GMT - I have a feeling that GBP/JPY wants to go lower eventually.

beijing road 13:32 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Dr Q, Thanks for your reminding. Actually these days I try to understand why the cable is so strange . One reason, maybe i am wrong, is that GBP want to push EUR and chf higher and higher?

Singapore WN 13:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 13:18 - Waiting Brother

Gen dk 13:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

beijing road 13:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To ab: Due to weaker than other EU currencies, I adjusted 30D SMA as my trend indicator while EUR and CHf still respect 20D SMA.

Hong Kong Qindex 13:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 13:22 GMT - GBP/USD is trading outside my daily cycle's normal trading range already.

beijing road 13:22 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
to AB; yes, GBP looks very weak against EUR and Chf, but it is still strong against usd. Maybe it need a little bit more than EUR and chf to go higher and higher.

melbourne farmacia 13:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS - Thanks , did you see Hewitt go down?

Tokyo Jon 13:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hello all,

just pop up to say hello

Melb RS 13:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 05:54 GMT
Hi...sry late reply, just got in from the tennis.
They did do the AUD for the BRL Hardy deal, but I think they did it all in one hit last Wednesday morn.

hk ab 13:14 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Road, do you have any idea what bust the queen so hard today? eur/gbp crosses?

beijing road 13:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
analysis on GBP/USD:
Pivot S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
weekly 1.6094 -1.5992 -1.5856-1.5719-1.6230-1.6332-1.6433

Hong Kong Qindex 13:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HK Jeri 13:03 GMT - Technically GBP/USD doesn't look good in system.

HK Jeri 13:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
It's seem GBP/US is support at 1.6050?

beijing road 13:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
to Cumino, thank you very much.

prague mark 12:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies
do u ever exceed 20:1 margin ratio when trading (meaning for position trading)? - TIA

pd cumino 12:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijng. Very sintetichally, reasonable points may be those coincident with breakevens Vol cone and technicals. (Being equals other considerations as position, sentiment, geopolitical, flows, liquidity.....).
These are often good stop-reverse points, not only stop-loss points.

Tallinn viies 12:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
prague marka 12:41 - yep, actually my breakeven is lower.
cut half of it at 1,0609 and now running tiny tiny short.
planning to add twice as much as I have short at the mom, but havnt decided yet where should I sell,
waiting for houlry overbought situation...

melbourne farmacia 12:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
RSA abk - cheers.

Baghdad 12:48 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Saddam offers co-operation!

Buenos Aires DB 12:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Tallinn Viies: Hello, friend !!! Are you expecting any retracement on Eur for today ? Thanks & GT.

RSA abk 12:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Farmacia,
Agree with you 100%. I`m getting the idea there are too many guys here looking for trades, especially from Raden Mas who is too nice a person to ignore them, without doing there their own homework and evaluations. Guys, there is NO easy way of doing this and NO holy grail.

prague marka 12:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies
are u still short eur/usd from 1,0576?

beijing road 12:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To PD: The aim to analysis on IV is to help me to entry and exit at "best level"with good stoploss, do you think it is reasonable to find them on spot forex based on fores option IV. I am beginner to trading forex, pls help me out.

sofia joyrex 12:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallin,viies & Raden Mas//Quit funny, looks like i`m using such levels that nobody else me calculates :)).....

melbourne farmacia 12:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Please please people, read, study your charts understand your charts inside out - use any info given by someone on the site To Confirm Your own views and NOt trade only on one persons view. I can see many people losing loads of cash this year.

Sofia joyrex - agree with you regarding GBP

Tallinn viies 12:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino 11:31 - nok will not give up this year.

Tallinn viies 12:32 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
sofia joyrex 12:20 GMT - cant see anything there at that level.
my targets moved higher - 1,0860-1,0890

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sofia joyrex
I think 1.6028 is not critical level.thanks

Tallinn viies 12:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
MMS free report:'
The euro continues to attract demand as it settles just beneath the recent multi-year highs against the dollar of 1.0680. With the economic fundmentals taking a backseat as the markets weigh up the implications of a military conflict in Iraq, the latest dovish developments - Iraqi Presisdent Hussein could be offered an olive branch to seek exile in another country - has fueled speculation that the dollar could experience a sharp relief rally if such a scenario does in fact play out. However, although much of the recent appreciation of the EUR-USD has been on the coattails of the spec community, there has been an underlying trend of real money demand behind recent activity as corporates hedge themselves against the likelihood of another surge in the rate of EUR-USD. With latest M&A data also euro supportive, upside appeal of the euro is still the preferred route.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Swk s
yes I do.thanks

sofia joyrex 12:23 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas// don`t you think we need to see at first 1.6028 on Cable triggered?

swk s 12:21 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas - thanks a lot

pd cumino 12:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
bejiing road. Calculate pips cost ATMF for call and put on the various horizons. Pips+fwrd are the breakevens.

swk s 12:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas - You still have selling signal on AUD?

sofia joyrex 12:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn, viies//hello, do you see 1.072 on EUR/USD?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Swk s
AUD/USD will down to area 0.5865 - 0.575. (give sell signal).thanks

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Let's Welcome 1.6006 - 1.6016 for GBP/USD !

Tallinn viies 12:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
hello !

swk s 12:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good day, any views on AUD/USD? please

Gen dk 12:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Have a nice again friends... for GBP/USD target at 1.6035.thanks

Malaga boqueron 12:12 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sterling will get sold off, get weaker, much weaker.

Jerusalem Serge 12:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Boqueron what do you mean with olympic flip do you mean it will get stronger or weaker

Malaga boqueron 12:05 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Seems like sterling will take one of its olympic size flips

Jerualem Serge 12:04 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas what do you think about GbpChf to buy at current level
@ 2.20 do you see further downside to that pair.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
I think enough difficult to answer, better wait and look chart pattern there .thanks.

Calcutta Vikram 11:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Must keep in mind that the US is closed today. We may just be seeing some normal position squaring or some stop loss hunting by yon gentlemen in the City.

Think 1.0635, 118.45, 1.3741 and 1.6050 are important levels. While they hold, the trend remains intact. All IMHO. Cheers

beijing road 11:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Anybody knows how to calculate the spot forex trading range based on forex option Implied Volatilite pls?

melb th 11:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Qindex// Thank you for the wise counsel.

Jerusalem Serge 11:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi Raden Mas. After your target of 1.0580 is met do you see an upmove to 1.07 or further correction to 1.05

Baroda Vaibhav 11:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Any views on euro will it drop too?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:48 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Eur/USD change target low not at 1.0618 that I suggest before but at 1.0579 - 1.0589. GL & GT.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Friends.. next target GBP/USD is 1.6035 - 1.6045 or 1.6006 - 1.6016. This area give potensial for pullback. Now is start sell signal again. thanks

Gaza Ibiza 11:39 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gecko hats off nice call re her highness.

Gen dk 11:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
have a nice friends for GBP/USD have "done" target at 1.6065 (5.15 GMT 21-1-03) .thanks

. 11:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
gbp/usd dropping like a rock! any news?

pd cumino 11:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
WAR. In 1990-1991 Iraq crisis, we saw USD weakening during the months before attack (JAN 17 91)then rallying (on trade weighted basis +9%, but much more us DEM and CHF). S&P500 rallied since the Day Attack, while USD around 1 week later, when was clear US victory. But I.R. were very differents from now. Swap 3mnth was circa 8,5% during crisis but after attack US cut several times. (A year later, in Jan 92 swap was circa 4%). This sparked a stock rally which helped USD.
As I posted yesterday is not sure the ripetition of the same pattern.
If someone likes to trade war risk (i.e. the end of war risk) the best bet seems to be not USD strong, but NOK weakness.

Kaunas DP 11:25 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
does any1 know when cable option at 1,6200 expire and how large is it - TIA

Baroda Vaibhav 11:23 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
I'm new to this field but the euro daily candlestick is showing to a top formation have I read the charts correctly. What you think of the euro

Hong Kong Qindex 11:06 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
USD/CHF : 1.4208 is a projected chart point in my monthly cycle charts and the critical point is positioning at 1.3714.

Rome Tony 11:00 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex
Excuse me , the answer might be obvious to experts like you , but for biginners like me and others here , really , it might be not and the Archive of this forum proves what i'm saying.
thnx

la GOLDD 10:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
at present the $ is under pressure, and not too many people
are willing to go long $. personally i have orders to buy $ @
1.0740, i am temted to pull the trigger @ 1.0685.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony 10:51 GMT - The answer is obvious!

Rome Tony 10:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex
Which January plz ( 2004 ) or you mean within the next 10 days of this January ??? TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 10:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 10:40 GMT - It can be achieved in January.

Rome Tony 10:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
hey a weaker Dollar wouldn't mean more export and less import to US ?

Riyad AH 10:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
la GOLDD
the other question is : once the waris finnished ( and it will finish shortly ) how high the Dollar will go, espicially after the great victory of US in addition to Rome Tony said the US would control the oil resources ( and that's what all this war about )

beijing road 10:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
The point, I think, is that US DO NOT need strong USD!

Plovdiv Gotin 10:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
to Qindex/Do yu see pullback in $/SF to 1.4158?TIA.

la GOLDD 10:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
once the war as started, the question becomes, how low can
the $ dip against the euro? maybe 1.09-1.10. against the swiss 1.33-1.32. against the yen 112.20-111.00.if the war goes well bounce back.

Buenos Aires DB 10:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
To Manchester Daniel: Hello, are you here friend ? If yes, please share with me your view on GBP. Thanks & GT.

Rome Tony 10:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
100% there WILL BE NO WAR , it is only a Strike of Iraq by American forces, and that's it , coz Iraq cant even retaliate . since he has nothing left. America will settle in the Gulf controling oil resources. END ( forgot to say USD wll fly again )

Plovdiv Gotin 10:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
I dont understand why I must sell $?What shall I do with SF for example in my pockets?In the time of war in Yugoslavia $ was up not down as I remember.

Milano Xav 10:25 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Ref Savannah - Well i agree war will be done soon, but I personally think mkt hopes for an agreement between Arabs and Turks to pull out Saddam and send him to exile.
I think this is the only possibilty to avoid caos in the short term.
Overall I agree with you, war shoould already be discounted by the mkt, but hope is the last to die.
imvho

savannah USA 10:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
War, War, War. Political markets can always turn on a dime. Just a few comments about "potential" war. It is amazing to me that the market is not yet convincd that the US is going to war in Iraq. If war looks likely, the Dollar loses...If there is a glimmer of hope that there will not be a war, the Dollar gains. War should have been priced in months ago. Anyone holding Dollars in hopes that a war will not take place is going to get hurt unfortunately. The fact is, whether or not there will be war is not even a question. Of course there is going to be a war...it isn't even a question of "if" but "when." The air force base in my city has been bustling fr nearly a year now. Soldiers have been leaving for the mid-east in herds for the last month. Think it's possble that Saddam may step down and go into exile? Think again. He's not going anywhere. e has shown that he will go to any length to keep his power...he is not going to just leave. Don't be fooled by wishful thinking. None of us want war, but it is going to happen. Having said that, how do we trade the war? The only question in my mind is how the war will play out. It could be that the US wil storm into Iraq, kick butt, take names, mop up and be done in a year. OR, the US could get bogged down in Baghdad, unable to find Saddam, and be stuck there for several years. Both are possible, but I think number one is the most likely. If you recall, there was great worry of the US going to war in Afghanistan, and we heard things like, "this is going to be another Vietnam...the US will be stuck there for years...the Soviets fought for years and years and werestill defeated." But as we now know, what happened was the exact opposite. The same people said that the US would get stuck for years in Iraq back in 1991. I think with the war, euro goes up to around 108 and maybe 110, and after a relatviely quick defeat of Iraq, major sell off sending the pair to settle down around parity. The other scenario calls for a longer conflict, and in that cas we could see 115, maye even 120. Again, I think the first is more likely. But it isamazing to me that the market looks like it is setting itself up for a surprise in the event of war. The trend of the Dollar certainly suggests that the market thinks a war is about 80% likely...no doubt. But in reality, war is more like 99% likely.

Gen dk 10:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Vienna we 10:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Good morning!

Does anybody know a free charting software which is able to draw fibo-retracements (automatically) on (realtime or neartime) intraday currencies?

Sofia Alex 10:11 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 10:07 GMT , Thank you I got your point now

Hong Kong Qindex 10:07 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex 10:00 GMT - It can't be exactly the same. We update our clients' webpages every trading day.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 09:57 GMT - I don't have my daily cycle available on this pair.

Sofia Alex 10:00 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 09:52 GMT , Well Dr. Q I think you missed the main point in Tokyo Jon's question ............is there anything different that you provide to your clients?

Helsinki iw 09:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Riyadh AH/ It is also called a U-turn, and once you have done
three or four it is no longer called a strategy, but a tradgedy

beijing road 09:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Dr. Q, EUR/JPY seems to take a break at 126 level?

bangkok aum 09:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   


I think this week jpy should be tested at 117.0
and this week remain weak dollar .

Hong Kong Qindex 09:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 09:52 GMT - I do not have a strong view on these two pairs, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:52 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 02:02 GMT - The key reference point is 1.0505 and the market can easily trade below this projected chart point within the next two months. When the market is running against our expectation we have to adjust it with our other cycle analyses (daily and weekly). Usually I will be very upset when I guess it wrong.

beijing road 09:52 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
to Dr. Q, whats your view on EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY

Riyad AH 09:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas , Thanx , i was already doing this even without knowing that this is a strategey and it has a name !! ( man never stop learning )

NY PL 09:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas, Thanks.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
NY PL
Eur/USD sell signal
GBP/USD sell signal
USD/JPY buy signal
USD/CHF buy signal
AUD/USD sell signal
thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 09:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melb th 04:35 GMT - It makes everyone nervous when the the market is sitting at the current levels in general. They may not need to do anything and the market will adjust itself.

wendeng 09:42 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
usd/jpy
any advice appriciate.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:42 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
MALAYSIA CAIN 02:07 GMT - The correlation between AUD/CAD, EUR/CHF and USD are not strong.

NY PL 09:33 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi everybody, Raden Mas do you have a signals on euro and cable. Thank you.

Toronto BA 09:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Go with the trend is what I think to be very good advice-

Den Bosch 09:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
gbp/usd rejected 1.6090 level for the 4th time... Did take small long on that level

Den Bosch 09:12 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge // Let this be a good lesson. Lesson number in forex trading (always put in a stop loss order) Last week somebody on the forum said 1. capital protection then 2nd is gain....

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Riyad AH
If you have buy position 1 lot and then price go down and you open sell again 2 lot ( 1 lot for locking you loss and 1 lot is new).This case is double cover.thanks

Melb mpfx 09:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge
Short term if eur breaks 1.0588 today there is a good chance we will see lower.
Long term if it breaks above 1.0750/75 i do not think that it would be good for your position.
GL...

Riyad AH, 09:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Riyad AH 09:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas
Thanx, but what is Double Cover Strategy plz ?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:01 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Riyadh AH,
My based suggest is RSI-14; especially specific pattern that I can feel if I look chart. thanks

Nairobi Tn 08:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Does current break of GBP/USD suggest a new trend?

Jerusalem Serge 08:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi Raden and Den thanks for your advice.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge..
you can overcome your position with double cover strategy, because Eur/USD still not yet give selling for reversal (still only corection). My forcast will give big corection is at 1.0698 - 1.0708 area or 1.0730 - 1.0740 area. Your buy position can be settled there. I think your position is not too far and you can look USD/CHF if get 1.3505 will give pressure "good for USD again". thanks.

Helsinki iw 08:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge/ Dont wish to meddle in other peoples tra-
ding, but if you take stops either when you`re money runs out
or when someone tells you to, maybe you should oversee your
trading style?

Helsinki iw 08:42 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
FWIW/ EUR/USD has been pretty resilient in Asian trading as
initial support at 1,0530/35 has held already. Price action at
moment looks slightly bullish to me now, and if we can trade
above Fridays top, I think we can see a test to the 1,0735/45
level, which could be tough nut to crack. More support at
1,0590/95. This move still looks good.

Jerusalem Serge 08:41 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Den Bosch. I foolishly sold euro @ 1.0480 i am at almost 200 pip loss

Den Bosch 08:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge oops sorry got your rate wrong. That might be a long wait to get that one back!

Rome Tony 08:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
London AL
Thnx

Den Bosch 08:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jerusalem Serge if you're short the euro form 1.06681 you should be in the money. If you're long you should be allright. Looks like euro is going to try another time. GL

London AL 08:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony 07:29 . today is a US holiday to celebrate martin Luther King

Jerusalem Serge 08:28 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi Raden Mas. I still have a euro short position open from
1.0480 which i foolishly did not protect with stop loss.
do you see such a target in the near future. as I have plenty of equity left and i have patience to wait. my question will this come back or any other ideas on what i should do now.

HK 07:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melb th agree a reduction in rates would give the Aud a further lift.

NY Morwen 07:43 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Any comments on selling euro/usd Now. 1.0643?
thanks

sofia joyrex 07:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas//Thanks!

Riyad AH 07:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas , would you please tell what is the basis of your suggestions , i mean which tools you use for your analysis ? TIA

NY Morwen 07:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HI, GL AND GT TO ALL

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Joyrex
Friday highest is 1.0679 (bid).thanks

sofia joyrex 07:34 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Could anyone tell me the friday`s high on EUR/USD. TIA.

Rome Tony 07:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Helloo friends , what's wrong with the market today, it is so quiet and boring ?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:25 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi Jn,
Please look my suggest at 2.21 GMT (20 jan 03) and 15.15 GMT (20 jan 03).thanks

Stockholm za 07:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD at the moment .. Keep watching...
10705-10693
10658::>(10641)::>10631
10617
10588::>10570::>::>10564
10556
10548::>(10534)::>10512

Happy trades

Nairobi Tn 07:01 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas
Hi! Just started my morning. Any short term view on GBP/USD, and EUR/USD?

Toronto BA 06:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

I think with the US holiday there will be little support and the USD may fall against other currencies-

Hong Kong AB 06:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
boring day. Can go out for a tennis.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 06:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Beijing Road
Eur/JPY still will up to 126.10 - 126.20 (potensial pullback)
GBP/JPY has finished target area 190.92 - 191.02 and next target is 191.64 - 191.74 .thanks

London Joe 06:52 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road which way though??

beijing road 06:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Some majors seem to break out very soon.

NYCC. 06:33 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
DAMASCUS (AP)--An Iraqi Shiite opposition group on Sunday said it has given the United Nations evidence that Saddam Hussein has ordered army chiefs to use chemical weapons in southern Iraq to quell future "uprisings."

Bayan Jabor, the representative of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq for Syria and Lebanon, said information obtained from within Iraq shows that rebellious Shiite Muslims in southern Iraq could be targeted by chemical attacks.

"Specific units of the Iraqi army have been given orders to use chemical weapons," Jabor told the Associated Press. "The information we have is that a popular movement at an inappropriate time will be exposed to chemical weapons."

Iraqi officials have repeatedly denied possessing such weapons, claims rejected by the United States. Iraqi forces used chemical weapons against Kurds in northern Iraq in 1988 and Iranian forces in their 1980-88 border war.

Jabor did not say whether the Iraqi orders referred to U.S. and British forces, which are gathering in the region ahead of a possible invasion of Iraq over Baghdad's suspected weapons of mass destruction programs.

Jabor's comments follow claims last month by the Tehran-based group's leader, Mohammed Baqir al-Hakim, that Saddam is "hiding" weapons from U.N. arms inspectors charged with verifying Iraq's declarations that it no longer possess chemical, biological and nuclear weapons.

The opposition group said the United Nations has not responded to its offer.

Jabor said the Iraqi regime has ordered officials of the ruling Baath Party and Saddam's Fedayeen militia to withdraw from southern Iraq - in the event of fighting and a popular uprising - to the Mahaweel area, 50 kilometers south of Baghdad, to establish a defensive line to defend the capital.

No-fly zones patrolled by U.S. and British warplanes over southern Iraq have protected Shiite Muslims since the 1991 Gulf War.

Jabor said the opposition believes Iraqi forces could not withstand U.S.-led attacks across Iraq and will limit resistance to the capital, supporting a warning given Friday by Saddam that invaders would face "suicide" at the gates of Baghdad.

Jabor also said existing U.N. resolutions should be strengthened to encourage Iraqis to rise up against Saddam as an alternative to a U.S. invasion.

Jabor said U.N. Security Council Resolutions 688 and 949, which demand Baghdad respect its people's human rights and prohibit it from deploying heavy weapons in southern Iraq, should be placed under Chapter 7 of the U.N. Charter that sanctions the use of military force.

Pressuring Saddam to implement the resolutions would give Iraqis freedom to protest, vote and express opinions, leading to the regime's demise, Jabor said.

The Supreme Council is one of the most active Iraqi opposition groups with some 60,000 fighters in vast marshes near the Iranian border in Iraq's Shiite south and in the northern Kurdish region.

beijing road 06:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
TO MAs: your view on EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY pls?

beijing road 06:28 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
BA: Take a look at FXtrader's postings this morning. His longterm target is 1.40-1.42 level( If 1.50 is taken out---I added).

Toronto BA 06:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Thx beijing- maybe better to short at that level-

beijing road 06:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
TO BA: I think 1.5450 is tough resistance , whcih is former nickline and now as trendline resistance.

melb th 06:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HK. 05:49 GMT // From my basic arithmetic The AUD has done little more than keep up with USD weakness to date. Despite or perhaps because of the drough it is generally thought to be 20% undervalued in real terms against the full basket. Its level IMO is a result of deliberate policy over the last decade, which was both desirable and necessecary. This policy had the effect of achieving what China, Japan and US are wanting to achieve now. The AU economy is in a position where it should ideally capitalise and further build on the results of that reform. Two things would help that process. The AUD at realistic levels and interest rates in line with its trading partners.
You Quoted " Another well noted Australian dollar bear, Clifford Bennett analysts argues that Australian interest rates are too high and are boosting the currency to unsustainable levels."
That argument (not yours) is essentially moronic. If we look carefully at recent rate movements we find high rates (over a period greater than ten minutes) damage a currency because most fx traders have the sense to realise the damage it can do to the productive capacity of the country especially if the country is reliant on day to day investment and confident upgrading of capacity by the legion of small "c" business that Large "C" business is reliant upon. If RBA were to drop AU rates by 25 or ideally do basic points then you would see a real rally. The speculator is not that worried by the odd pip in interest when it costs 50 to 100 in performance.

swk s 06:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melb th Thanks a lot friend. I have new version of forum now. GL & GT

Toronto BA 05:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

U.S. holiday means CADUSD pair may fall with little U.S. support around?

Any comments?

Baroda Vaibhav 05:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
thank you
Gold Coast th and Ga Lee

melb th 05:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
swk s// Log on to:- http://www.global-view.com/files/bbs/post.phtml?frm=fx&format=full
Some brokers offer an abbreviated link to site which does not have the rest. Copy and post the link above into the address at the top of browser window.

melbourne farmacia 05:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS - hi , hear citibank was buying AUD for BRL Hardy takeover, Do you think they're finish ?

Brisbane JL 05:53 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gold Coast th 05:47 GMT
what is your experience/best features with them?
your detailed feedback much appreciated.

swk s 05:50 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
how do I get a sidebar on this screen if there is nothing?

HK. 05:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
TD Securities' Stephen Koukoulas; This AUD bear is sounding more and more like a broken record DowJones recently did a report on him which was place on GV late last week , do advise any new traders to be careful not to read too much into his reports.
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Over the past four years, selling Australian dollar rallies has ultimately proved rewarding, but those trying this tactic now may find standing contrary to market sentiment too painful.

The main difference, and perhaps the defining difference, between the Australian dollar's current rally and those of previous years, is the shape of the U.S. dollar.

Previous rallies in the Australian dollar - in 1999, January 2001, and February to May 2002 - have all taken place against a backdrop of a strong U.S. dollar.

But now the U.S. dollar is in the grip of a major correction after years of punishing the world's currencies, changing a key element of the backdrop for the Australian dollar's current rally.

The Australian currency has risen from US$0.5600 at the end of December to around US$0.5870 Wednesday, a gain of almost 3 U.S. cents in a little over two weeks, and while most analysts acknowledge it has run hard, they believe more gains are likely in coming months.

Its performance against other major currencies has been less impressive, indicating that the prime driver of the current rally is U.S. dollar weakness.

There are, of course, other factors supporting the Australian dollar's rally, such as Japanese investor interest in bonds, falling global risk aversion despite the looming Iraq conflict, and a cash interest rate advantage of 300 basis points over the that of U.S.

Greg McKenna, market strategist at National Australia Bank, said while it is possible that the Australian dollar may pull back in the short term, the medium-term trend is for the rally to continue to at least US$0.6200.

"If you want to be short Aussie, you have to believe in a U.S. dollar turnaround," McKenna said, adding that this is unlikely before the second half of 2003.

Even then, a return to strength for the U.S. dollar is likely only if the U.S. economy posts a strong recovery in the latter part of this year and equity markets also rally.

If this does happen, world growth prospects will brighten and this should support the Australian dollar, meaning it could hold steady against an appreciating U.S. dollar and make gains against the major crosses.

McKenna said the current Australian dollar rally shouldn't be viewed in isolation, and points out that the currency is now at about its five-year average and still well below most models of fair value.

So what do contrarians argue will cause the Australian dollar to reverse its most recent winning streak and head south once again?

In the short term the argument is that the Australian dollar is now overbought and due for a correction, which could well happen, but this wouldn't necessarily spell the end of the current uptrend.

On a longer-term basis, it is argued that a stronger Australian dollar will lead to ever wider trade and current account deficits. .

Stephen Koukoulas, chief economist at TD Securities, said in a recent research note that other negatives for the Australian dollar include a slowing domestic economy and weakness in exports.

"The Australian dollar gains have largely been a factor of U.S. dollar weakness, rather than any inherent Australian dollar strength," he said.

"There is some risk that the U.S. dollar capitulation continues. In the event, the Australian dollar could move higher, but in the event of a U.S. dollar consolidation, even around current levels, the Australian dollar is prone to a move lower," Koukoulas said.

Another well noted Australian dollar bear, Clifford Bennett analysts argues that Australian interest rates are too high and are boosting the currency to unsustainable levels.

But he acknowledges that as long as the central bank maintains its cash rate at 4.75%, this will attract yield-chasing offshore investors and keep the Australian dollar buoyant.

This means the market consensus for a higher Australian dollar over 2003 is still the safe bet, with evidence of narrowing interest differentials and U.S. dollar weakness needed to justify betting against the Aussie battler.

THESE GUYS MUST HAVE SOME VERY PAINFUL SHORT POSITIONS FROM THE LOW 50'S AS THEY ARE MEGA BEARS.

Gold Coast th 05:47 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Baroda Vaibhav Go to "fx services" on side bar..contact f..x..c...m ,,gl

Ga Lee 05:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Vaibnav-check the homepage here, on the left border..

Baroda Vaibhav 05:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hi I'm new to this line and dont know much. Where can I find a mini account please and some good advice service or sites.

Singapore WN 05:25 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
USDJPY must break 118.30/40 area old support now acting as resistance , if we ca break there expect 118.80 to be seen ...
GL to all

beijing road 05:19 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
If EUR/JPY 126.20 level is seen today, trail stop to 125.50 and keep target unchanged.

beijing road 05:17 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 125.63 last Friday, now trailing stop to 125.20 and expecting to target 127 within 2-3 trading day.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 05:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
My friends..
short term targets are :
Eur/USD 1.0618
GBP/USD 1.6065
AUD/USD 0.5875
USD/JPY 118.64
USD/CHF 1.3743
Be carefull at that level about pullback.
Thanks GL & GT

Toronto BA 05:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

test

Bel Air KK 04:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Just a word of caution for Usd/Yen traders: NY is off today due to MLK Jr.'s B-Day, thus volume will be thin. Also, IMM info shows market very short USD across the board w/ Yen longs at 3 year highs. MoF/BOJ may take this opportunity to finally walk the walk instead of just talking the talk. Best to keep tight stops if going short Usd/Yen today.

GL & GT.

Toronto BA 04:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Anyone shorting CAD/USD here?

beijing road 04:44 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
In the Eur/JPY daily chart, the bullish rising three soldiers was formed last Friday. If 126 level is taken out, the next target would be 126.70-127 level, any view pls?

beijing road 04:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Fxtrader: whats your view on usd/jpy, eur/jpy and gbp/jpy pls?

melb th 04:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong Qindex 02:02 // I thought that there was no NY today because of Martin Luther King Day?
If that is the case then I would be surprised if FED, MOF or any other shark-like creature didnt think it an appropriate time to try to correct the market to their ideas.

Sydney FXtrader 04:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
1.0625/40 level was taken out during london time on Friday. No change in view yet. I still think 1.0695 will be tough enough to push EURUSD back to the low range of 1.0500 and probably consolidate between 1.0500-1.0700 for a while before we see a wider range of 1.0500-1.0800. The rate is now in the middle of the range.
USDCAD may consolidate between 1.5295-1.5450 before heading lower again. (I'm targeting year low at 1.4200 and below)
AUDUSD 0.5800-0.5945.
EURGBP 0.6650-0.6550.
GBPUSD 1.6195 objective met after taking out 1.6160/65. Breaking of 1.6195 may open 1.6230-1.6350 range.

Provo John 04:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Fayetteville BDH 04:19, I like $Cad the best because I have made more with that ccy pair then any other. I think it is a matter of what ccy pair you seem to be the most successful with. Some do well with $Jpy or $Chf. Some are good at several pairs. Just concentrate on what you do best with the pair(s) you do the best with.

hk revdax 04:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
van geckco//Euro will slide on its behind when you will be doing that on yours at Whistle. That is a promise. Thus the harder you will slide, the harder Euro will...

London Marek 04:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
good evening.

London Marek 04:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
good evening.

beijing road 04:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
If EUR/JPY 126 level gives away, what would happened to usd/jpy pls?

Porto PJT 04:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Fayetteville, i like vm nzd too, but i suppose is maybe too much expect a good rise now, since 50 didnt make any kind of correction until 55 ,10% rise in a few days, maybe you can buy it at better levels.Just my opinion.

Toronto BA 04:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Jan 19 7:30 PM:

According to data from the CFTC IMM futures, with the exception of the Swiss franc, speculators extended their net shorts in dollar contracts for the week ending January 14th.

Speculators increased their net longs in yen contracts to its highest level since November 1999 at 32,944 contracts, up from 27,227 a week earlier. Net longs in euro/dollar contracts were extended to 28,773 contracts, up slightly from the previous week at 28,157 contracts.

Speculators increased their net longs in cable contracts to its highest level in three months at 10,165 contracts, from 8,814 contracts in the prior week.

Meanwhile, speculators marginally reduced their net longs in swissie contracts at 23,030, down from 23,050 contracts the week before.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Waterloo yong; Dubai DTD ; Rye NY
welcome friends...

Fayetteville BDH 04:21 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
The interest rollover is much better for NZD/USD, and it has a great longterm trend intact.

Toronto BA 04:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Fayetteville- with so many calling for the Eurusd to rise to 1.08 and beyond, I think it makes sense to just stay long, with enough margin for a 2 cent or so correction- what do you think-

Fayetteville BDH 04:19 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Provo John 04:15 - What currency pair(s) do you like the best now for this kind of trading? I like NZD/USD, but I am just starting to think in this manner. Any advice would greatly be apprecated.

Provo John 04:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Fayetteville BDH 04:11, I am one.

Dubai DTD 04:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good morning friends

Rye, NY et 04:14 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas : Hi, I tried to catch you the other day...
I just wanted to say Thank You for your recommendations and insights; also to say how much I appreciate your advice to traders to "remember the poor..." Thank you...

Fayetteville BDH 04:11 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Any longterm positional players out there?

Porto PJT 04:09 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Provo John, good antecipation you have made , well done, i will try to catch the downtrend on usd cad if i can buy above 54 because the stop should be around 55.GL GT.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:08 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Waterloo yong,
sure..

Tokyo Jon 04:04 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Singapore WN 04:00, 8pm whos time, singapore or shanghai

waterloo yong 04:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia solo Raden Mas // thank you your review for today.. keep in contact on GV..

Singapore WN 04:00 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 03:16 - can we make it this evening ? 8 pm our time ?Paltalk

Provo John 03:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
FWIW:
0354 GMT [Dow Jones] Several hundred million EURs in double-no-touch EUR/USD range-binary options expiring around January-end rumored to have traded recently, say dealers; upside strikes understood to be 1.0700, downside strikes 1.0400. Options holders apparently have placed defense-related offers below upside strikes.

Tokyo Jon 03:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Singapore WN 02:55,
just organising some time this afternoon

Kenya Joe 03:14 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Van Gecko and Qindex, thanks for your view, very helpful.


TIA.

Provo John 03:06 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Porto PJT 02:55, I expect 1.5385 to cap for today. And will addon here with a bit of a tight stop (I am short from 1.5790 and a few more levels below that). Should 1.5385 not cap then 1.5460- 1.5488 (32% retracement of 1.58-1.53) would be the next place to short. However, should that level give, I will close all shorts. Until the rate decision I doubt we will see those levels. I would love to see 1.54+ again to short more...just not sure we will get that oppurtunity. GL GT

Stockholm za 02:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Orlando Learn4x 02:52
No offence but ::::> Why pay for something when you can get it free........?????

Porto PJT 02:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Provo John, thanks for your comment, usd cad is in a downtrend but the oversold status could provide better levels to short.Just my opinion.

Singapore WN 02:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 02:36 - Hello mate Are you free to talk ?

Orlando Learn4x 02:52 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Regarding CAD - The cad is in a sellzone since breakdown
predicted by P&F at 15580 . But it has bounced slightly.
Anyone needing a P&F chart can get one on any currency.
email fore[email protected]

Provo John 02:48 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good Day everyone. Hope your weekend was a good one!

Porto PJT 02:27, Do not be concerned about Cad being "oversold." Rallys should be sold until BoC rate decision and/or while $Cad remains below 1.5460. Should the BoC keep rates on hold (rather than hike as is the expectation) you should be prepared to go short Cad. If on the other hand BoC does raise rates a test of 1.52 is more probable.

Bel Air KK 02:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB 02:44 GMT January 20, 2003

Gecko is in Vancouver, Canada, thus Van Gecko

Cheers

Hong Kong AB 02:44 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Gecko, any thoughts at the moment? btw, r u stationed in US?

Porto PJT 02:40 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Malasia, i could add nok sek, gbp chf and nzd aud.

beijing road 02:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Some analysis on usd/jpy:
Timecycle Pivotpoint Support1 S2 S3 Resistance1 R2 R3
daily 117.80 117.39 117 116.62 118.45 118.75 119.06
Weekly 118.23 116.97 116.16 115.34 119.04 120.31 121.58

Tokyo Jon 02:36 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
MALAYSIA CAIN 02:27, sorry not replying to your earlier queries,
but this is a very obvious question, and I am sure people didnot want to waste time.
if you want to trade a currency that is not related to USD try eurgbp, euraud, gbpjpy or chfjpy. basically any combination that doesnot include the usd.
However all currency in a way is affected by the usd, as this is the most popular currency around the world. When you consider, say china, all exports from here, the payments is in usd, it is a universal currency which is loosing ground to the euro.

los angeles dat 02:35 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Porto PJT. thanks.
for some reason rueters website didn't update. i just went to the site to see what was going on, did a search on reuters, and that is what i came up with. however, now that i look again, rueters is calling for a more bearish scenario for the dollar.

Porto PJT 02:27 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
dat, its from 7 january? i see a head and shoulders in gbp usd in 1 hour chart and usd cad very oversold on daily.

Tokyo Jon 02:27 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK 02:16,
My partner Paris JOM, is busy with legal work at this point in time, He has taken a temp. break from trading but should rejoin us by the beginning of feb. He is sadly missed by all misses you all. Securing an incoming is a must in this business as you cannot live on forex alone.

MALAYSIA CAIN 02:27 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
TOKYO JON , i post my message sinc morning , but nobody answer my qouestion, can you please tell me which pair of cross currency not related to usdollar. thanks

los angeles dat 02:26 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
tokyo... Jon

what is your web address.

los angeles dat 02:24 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
granted there is a need for more stimulus. however, economic indicators have been grossly overlooked the past several sessions. perhaps the market is just looking for a breath of fresh air. however, if the bush plan is all that good, then maybe this might be the start of a slow correction in the euro's monstrous climb.

Tokyo Jon 02:23 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 02:14
I am still living in shanghai and will be here for atleast another 4 months. All this time though is giving me a chance to improve on my system and dare I say it, my website.

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 02:22 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Friends... I have scenario like this.
USD/JPY up to target 119.00 (potensial for pullback)
USD/CHF up to target 1.3780 (potensial for pullback)
Eur/USD down to 1.0585 (potensial for pullback)
GBP/USD down to 1.5960 (potensial for pullback)
AUD/USD down to 0.5980 (potensial for pullback)
Thanks and GL - GT

los angeles dat 02:21 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
can't see how this would move the market too terribly much, but apparently it is.



FOREX-Dollar gains on hopes for Bush stimulus plan

Tokyo Jon 02:20 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
My eurusd view for the asain and euro session, There is no update today as US is on holi's. the expected High 1.0681, Low 1.0625
My key trading levels are, 1.0701 - 1.0681 - 1.0647 - 1.0625 - 1.0603
Todays suggestion, buy at 1.0625, target 1.0681 with a stop at 1,06003

beijing road 02:19 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Based on my system, if usd/JPY can close above 118.23, it is a little bit positive. Your view on this pair is appreciated!

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 02:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good morning to all..

Bel Air KK 02:16 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon - Do you know where Paris Jom is? or when he will return? Thanks.

van Gecko 02:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 20:14 GMT January 17, 2003.. sorry to had missed your views for i was in a hurry to get away for some sliding down the slippery slopes of Whistler on my behind since the mighty euro was refusing to slide.. that said, it's nice to see another euro bull throwing in the towel!
have a nice trading week..
Kenya Joe.. sorry for the late reply, seems like your enquiry was 'buried' along with the recent 'cyber attacks' on Jay's site.. Usd/jpy seems to be forming an multi-hour sushi saucer bottom targeting the 119's..
gl..


Melb RS 02:15 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
barcelona tony 02:05
FWIW a lot of margin type guys are calling me up asking the same question here now.

beijing road 02:14 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Jon, good morning! You has returned from china, how is your trip to shanghai?

Melb RS 02:13 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
barcelona tony 02:05
Range has been 1.6087 - 1.6123
There was a bad chart update earlier up to 1.6190, but I can assure you this was not the case.

barcelona tony 02:10 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK : I'm dealing with 3 firms and all 3 have the same spike gbpusd to 6192 and gbpjpy to 191.30 ....then there must be a common mistake outhere....

Bel Air KK 02:09 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
barcelona tony 02:05 GMT January 20, 2003

Looks like your bank had a misquote Tony. It happens every once in a while.

MALAYSIA CAIN 02:07 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HONGKONG QINDEX, thanks to tell me your website, can yOU please let me known which cross curreny are not related to usd. thanks

barcelona tony 02:05 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Nobody knows about those gbp spikes?????

Hong Kong Qindex 02:05 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 02:02 GMT - I will come back and answer your question later.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
MALAYSIA CAIN 02:02 GMT - Good morning! Add dot com to qindex and you will find my site.

Tokyo Jon 02:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Qindex, what happened to your monthly view of seeing EURUSD reach 1.0256. Do you supply the same information to us as you do your clients or is there a secret agenda behind it all?
Your USDJPY call is looking the biz, but that of-course goes completley against what you had said about EURUSD.
You havent been around for just under 2 weeks to ask this question.

Tokyo Jon 02:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Qindex, what happened to your monthly view of seeing EURUSD reach 1.0256. Do you supply the same information to us as you do your clients or is there a secret agenda behind it all?
Your USDJPY call is looking the biz, but that of-course goes completley against what you had said about EURUSD.
You havent been around for just under 2 weeks to ask this question.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Kenya Joe 01:58 GMT - USD/JPY : It is very promising if it can overcome the resistance at 118.41 and closes above this level in New York. Okay, I need to attend a meeting and will be back later today.

MALAYSIA CAIN 02:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
HONG KONG, MR. QINDEX, which cross currency are not related to usd,
and can i have your own website?

barcelona tony 02:01 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
hey guys!!! did you see those spikes on gbp/jpy and gbp/usd??? what was that???? TIA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Kenya Joe 01:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good morning Dr. Qindex. Nice to see you!
What is your view on usdjpy?
Too much strenght, do you see a retracement in the medium term at 119?
TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 01:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD : My daily cycle charts indicate that it is negative if the market is trading below 1.0633.

d d 01:57 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
look at the 1hr charts! euro is dropping like a rock!
any war news?

Philly brm 01:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Toronta BA - I am long Euro/usd at 1.0625 with stop at 1.0547 (which is 5 pips below the 45 moving average on the 4 hour chart. fwiw. Not looking good now but my biggest mistake has been to set stops too close to entry - sometimes get stopped out of a good position. I have a longer term perspective - not a day trader.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 01:51 GMT - Good morning! I have too many other things to do in Hong Kong and will not update my website every month.

Stockholm za 01:54 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Welkom.SA j.w. 23:52
ps...I will also like you to know that most of the times the results of my analyst normaly correspond with many GOOD ones on this forum.. in that fact it is normaly of no intrest to repeat.... Happy trades to all

beijing road 01:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Dr. Q. ,welcome back. Your website updated already?

MALAYSIA CAIN 01:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
TO EVERYBODY,which cross currency are not related to usd,please

NC JJM 01:49 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
this forum has become a haven for people selling their stuff,....in the old days, this was a place for clean idea sharing with only traders sharing ideas not people constantly pumping their products....i have not posted very much this new year as it has become a chore to get through all the junk just to read this forum anymore and do not have the time or patience to wade through it.............

if people could make money trading and support a good living they would not be selling their magical levels/systems...be careful friends, there are many scoundrels about looking for all the newbies in the beginning of the year to profit from and there are many in this forex game who think its easy and will purchase anything to try and get rich quick...

as an old wise trader once told me, "it's much easier to be selling the shovels than the one digging for gold".....good luck and here's to the good old days of this forum......

singapore jt 01:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS
Thanks for that...have a small long at 117.80...just wondering how far this run up will go as looks like we may have seen a temp bottom for now. Possibly 118.60-119.00 imho and thinking would be a sell if we do see those upper levels. Thanks again RS.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:38 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD (monthly cycle) : As shown in my monthly cycle charts the critical point is located at 1.0509. The market has a tendency to trade around 1.0509 with a magnitude of 1.0357 - 1.0661. Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below 1.0357.

Stockholm za 01:37 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Welkom.SA j.w. 23:52
Hi.. yes I am willing to share what ever i can with this forum..
However first i will like you to know that i am not here to give any one entry & exit signals or tell anyone - how, when, where...etc. etc. For in the end it`s all about interpretation....
We can look at it this way::> if you do not know how to drive a car or handle it in trafick, would you go try to do that in the down town rush hour ??? We all knows what it takes before we can even think about doing such a thing... Happy trades

Melb RS 01:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
singapore jt 00:46
I've had topside stops all the way from 118.00 up to 35 - looks like a lot of those have been cleared out now. Selling interest emerges 118.40-80 now.
Thru 118.10 I've seen the usual model type guys whose systems are signalling a buy, but they have run into exporters in mid 20's.

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 01:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Test..

Toronto BA 01:14 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
FWIW
I have one advisory service that says go long EUR/USD
at $1.06, sl at 1.0575, tp at $1.07-

Plant City MT 01:13 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
thx all, 'ppreciate it!

St-Petersburg Jam 01:12 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Marketview for 20.01.03

EURUSD
Correction to 1.0625 is very possible. If touched some euros could be bought with stops below 1.0585 and target 1.0675 and above. If 1.0585-75 is taken, a move to 1.0525-40 comes next. At these levels a new attempt to buy some euros could be taken.

USDCHF
Swiss has potential to go to 1.3800. Some dollars could be sold in 1.3775-1.3815 zone. Stops could be placed above 1.3860. Target 1.3675-1.3700 and below. Above 1.3800, 1.3940-60 comes next. At these levels new sell attempt could be taken.

GDPUSD
Pound possibly is looking to go to 1.6000 zone. So, if seen at around 1.6125-50, it looks good to sell some with stops above 1.6200.

USDJPY
Trying to get to 118.50. If seen in 118.50-75 looks good to be sold some dollars with stops above 119.15 for a move to 117.50 and below.

These prognoses are just my own view on market and do not require anyone to follow.

Ga Lee 01:09 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
MT..Jay can be reached at [email protected]

Orlando Learn4x 01:02 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
I will send anyone a Point and Figure chart on any currency. Just email: [email protected]

Orlando Learn4x 00:59 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Point and Figures are showing momentum for breakout of resistance of CHF and JPY For updates check www.learn4x.com

Rye, NY et 00:58 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Plant City MT : Very bottom of Forum Home Page:"Contact..."

Rye, NY et 00:56 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Pta ZA Remora : Sure, no problem...

Plant City MT 00:55 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
thx et. Don't see a link to the moderator. Jay - if watching can you send me et's email? thx

d d 00:51 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
how come euro is dropping?

singapore jt 00:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
melbourne rs
could I ask what's your take on Usdyen today please?

Pta ZA Remora 00:46 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
et, mind if I join in?

Toronto BA 00:45 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

Anyone long the EUR/USD? What have you set your stop loss at?

Thx in advance-

Rye, NY et 00:43 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Plant City MRT : Ask Jay, the forum moderator, for my email. I have a list of free online resources on Technical Analysis that I use with my university students.

OZ deanobravo 00:42 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA good one mate

Toronto BA 00:33 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   

OZ- here is a joke I heard around Toronto a while ago-

Celine Dion walks into a bar-





Bartender, "Why the long face?"

Plant City MRT 00:31 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Hello all, I am VERY new to 4X (<2 wks) and always seem to be trading in the wrong direction on my demo account. Can anyone recommend a few good sites for someone like me where I can do some research and maybe learn how to trade a little more safely? Thanks so much in advance, Marc

melbourne farmacia 00:30 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Some figures to ponder on a slow start.

melbourne farmacia 06:06 GMT January 9, 2003
EUR/USD - Fibonacci Projection Studies.

Update from 12:37GMT December 30, 2002

Base at 2/12 - 0.9858 to new rolling high.
0.9858 - 1.0029 = 1.0094 ( done ) support 0.9988
0.9858 - 1.0139 = 1.0246 ( done ) support 1.0072
0.9858 - 1.0194 = 1.0332 ( done ) support 1.0114
0.9858 - 1.0258 = 1.0410 ( done ) support 1.0163
0.9858 - 1.0333 = 1.0514 ( done ) support 1.0220
0.9858 - 1.0446 = 1.0670 ( done ) support 1.0307*
0.9858 - 1.0536 = 1.0794 ( target )
* support confirms up trend.

For international forum members, you might want to see www.abc.net.au about the Canberra fires over the weekend.
368 houses destroyed - four dead.

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 00:29 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning..
Euro/GBP....
Looking the Monthly BIG Pict..u can see maybe +1000pips..
I like to use my screen Upsidown sometimes making the Tops bottoms and the Bottoms Tops..
I hope Smart traders here get the msg..

nk


Melbourne MK. 00:23 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Market pointers remain positive for AUD/USD with U.S. fund managers seeing pair as safe haven from geopolitical fears, say Macquarie Bank strategists; add even if USD bounces on short-covering, resulting pull-backs on AUD likely limited to base around 0.5800. Uridashi bond demand also helping to keep pair supported. reuters

Sydney 00:18 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Welkom.SA j.w come on then lets hear the joke while its quiet

Welkom.SA j.w. 00:06 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Londen ADK,
Thanks for the sound advice, I am just unsure as to how much questions to be asked here? but find the posting very informative.

Gold Coast th 00:03 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
US Defense Secretary Rumsfeld offers amnesty to Iraqi leaders from war crimes prosecution if they were exiled to a third country. sp

London ADK 00:00 GMT January 20, 2003 Reply   
Welkom // You are always welcome to listen look and learn. Teh best way to do that is by asking thought provoking questions and learning from other people.

Remember, its your money. Keep a close eye on it. Manage it well.

 




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Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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