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Forex Forum Archive for 01/22/2003

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Rome Tony 23:54 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Japan Nov METI index -0.8%

St-Petersburg Jam 23:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Marketview for 23.01.03

EURUSD
Unlucky attempt to go through 1.0750 today gives more probability for a retracement. First level – 1.0640-60, next – 1.0550-75. Better to buy at these levels, than to sell for them.

USDCHF
Correction levels for swiss are 1.3730-50 and 1.3800-15. Both levels are good enough for sells with stops above 1.3830. There’s no signal for any buy yet.

GBPUSD
Recommendations are the same as yesterday. Price figure on dailies suggest that a new acceleration of up-move is high probable after short correction. Buy points should be watched in 1.6050-1.6100 zone. Stops below 1.5975.

USDJPY
Yen’s reluctance to go through 118.00 enlarges probability of a move to 119.50. Better to close any shorts and wait for a while.

These prognoses are just my own view on market and do not require anyone to follow.

OZ deanobravo 23:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
corp seeling aussie in decent amount..but bids at 45/50 and stops below......apparently.. good mng everybody by the way....

yvr maxxim 23:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Provo John - Yes, went cold turkey from forex for 8 weeks, 10 month's of forex 24/7(2002), we all need time off. GL/GT.

LA saint3 23:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GBP/USD is going to retrace again?

Melbourne Swiss Guru 23:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good rejection of EUR and GBP high's.... sub 1.0680 we see mid 1.05's

Provo John 23:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
yvr maxxim 22:59, You have been absent for awhile. You have made some pretty good Gbp$ calls in the past (my worst performer!). Nice to see you posting again. Re $Cad, a few pips may be made on your trade, but would not expect more than a high of 1.5340/50 if that.

yvr maxxim 23:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Van Gecko - if you are around any views on USD/CAD at these levels, TIA. Tons of snow in Whistler maybe go for spin this weekend if the weather clears.

yvr maxxim 22:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
TY Provo John - for your input re: CAD. GL/GT will wait and see.

Provo John 22:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 22:40, Have often been mistaken for a Canadian ( a compliment in my book...great people), born/raised in US. Given weak Cad data of late, weakness in US may be showing some signs in the Cad economy. Think we are in a consolidation through the rest of the week until the rest of the Cad data is out. I am BEGINING to think there will NOT be a test of the 1.52 trendline as I have been hoping. TSX stayed positive despite Dow and Cad data and $Cad finished flat on the day so things are very confusing here. and momemtum has waned. So I am CONSIDERING closing my shorts, though not sure yet.

Mex Osk 22:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hello again Gecko R U around? Do you have any position trades on Cable?

hk ab 22:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Morning John,
I remember that you are a Canadian rt? r u in Toronto or In Vancouver?
I think we need to watch the brothers of cad: aud and nzd. Especially nzd is shaking today on excuse of rate decision.

Seattle MrHuckFin 22:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
To be sure the GBP/USD will rally in faver of the dollar now and again, but it's over all trend will be in faver of the GBP. I know that war can be a good economic "shot in the arm" for the U.S. economy but that will be temporary at best I would be more then a little surprised if it could sustain it's self after the war for any length of time as there are some real under lying reasons why are economy is in such a bad way, not the least of which will be the onset of the time delay effects of the previous administration, this does not mean "The Good Ol Yanky Dollar" wont come back to it's own at some point but this has been a LONG time coming and the correction needs to take place for a while longer.

Provo John 22:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
yvr maxxim 22:34, depends are target and timefame

NYC ED 22:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Buck, it looks like you may be right. The old combo money drive move. I guess when the center is done buying GBP we may see some sort of sell off. I like your stop at 1.0825 for 1.0325 then 1.000. GL see you there.

)toronto Dr Unken Kat 22:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
cable is getting boost from yesterday's inlation data

yvr maxxim 22:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Buying USD/CAD at 1.53 level, s/l at 1.5280, limit 1.5350 (yes or no)!
any comments please TY

melbourne allan 22:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
When trading stocks, a trader has access to volume & market depth. In forex only the banks and larger institutions have some idea of the actual volume and market depth of any currency pair, they also may have some information on open trades. I have been trying to think of a way of making this information “public” so that independent traders can use this information to make trades. I believe that I can write a small program that runs on every trader’s computer and, in the background, sends anonymous information on that traders open positions and orders back to a central database. Information in that database would then be available to all traders with the application on their computer. The information would include volume, market depth, and trader commitment.

My question for the GV Forum is: if I build this, will you use it?

If interested in this technology send an email to [email protected], and I shall keep you informed as to it’s progress.

hk ab 22:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
eur/gbp almost breaks that .6620

Toronto Herb 22:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hi forum, I posted this a while ago and it seemed to be appreciated. For those who did not see it then, a little humor now.

Thought you may appreciate these stock market terms:

>BULL MARKET -- A random market movement causing an investor to mistake
>himself for a financial genius.
>
>BEAR MARKET -- A 6 to 18 month period when the kids get no allowance, the
>wife gets no jewelry, and the husband gets no sex.
>
>VALUE INVESTING -- The art of buying low and selling lower
>
>
>BROKER -- What my broker has made me.
>
>STANDARD & POOR -- Your life in a nutshell.
>
>STOCK ANALYST! -- Idiot who just downgraded your stock.
>
>FINANCIAL PLANNER -- A guy whose phone has been disconnected.
>
>MARKET CORRECTION -- The day after you buy stocks.
>
>CASH FLOW -- The movement your money makes as it disappears down the
>toilet.
>
>WINDOWS 2000 -- What you jump out of when you're the sucker who bought
>Yahoo @ $240 per share.
>
>PROFIT -- an archaic word no longer in use

GoldCoast fxi 22:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GBP/USD - just closed my long

Sydney 22:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Is it a possibility the USD could Rally on the Start of the WAR. just a thought

Seattle MrHuckFin 22:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
LA saint3:Next stop will be the 1.6400 mark but not tell spring or late winter. I think at some point we'll even see 1.6800 but after that all bets are off. I don't know what will happen after that point.

LA saint3 22:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
who believe GBP/USD will reach 16250?

. 22:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
......

melb th 22:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
LA#// It is very tempting to try to read something into the symmetry. But more realistically such a view questions questions assumptions of limits to total change and rate of change. My indicators are all directional (ie they work from left to right). Does anyone use indicators that are bi-directional? It might seem pointless but they would have a very satisfying mathematical completeness. That raises the question as to the application of special or general relativity to fx charting? A serious philosophical problem.

LA SNP 22:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
nyc jcs 21:48 GMT

RSI follows price - so look for divergence (price action is @ a high but RSI is NOT - is a sign of impending reversal) ... RSI above 70 = top and below 30 = bottom

hk ab 22:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Gecko//if nz drops like a stone, what's a possible support level? should I look at fib or the ma's I think it is a clearance sale on the meeting news. TIA!! and Good trade.

NYCC 21:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Gold rally likely to continue as gold still cheap relative to U.S. equities, says State Street analyst Harvinder Kalirai; adds gold would have to reach US$550/oz to return to long-term ratio of 1.61 with S&P 500, assuming S&P index remains steady at current levels, or S&P would have to fall to 580 points from current 878.38. Given expectations of gold rally continuing, this will be positive for commodity currencies.

NC JJM 21:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
la erik>>>> if u need how to calculate those 2 indicators send me an e-mail through jay(head of gvi)and i'll send u how they are calculated........good luck

LA 3 21:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb th and what do you conclude ?? (:-)

LA saint3 21:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
wohooo... gbp breaks 6200

nyc jcs 21:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Can someone explain how to read RSI?

Los Angeles erik 21:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
yvr maxxim 21:39:
site doesnt explain *how* to calculate the SAR, right? probably have to buy the book for that, same for ADX i think..

melb th 21:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Just for fun. Draw a horizontal line through current quote to the left on all the major and AUDUSD weekly charts.
Dont forget to do the same with the monthlies.
If nothing else I wouldnt be too worried about the rate of movement nor how much.

NC JJM 21:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
toronto herb and ba>>> i have found wilder's parabolic to be a great tool for using to establish s/l's.....i use other stuff for entries but parabolic is usually how i trail my s/l if/when position moves my way....

NC JJM 21:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb mpfx>> roddick won 21-19 in 5th set..thanks for the scoop on aussie.....good luck today and talk to u soon....

yvr maxxim 21:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
FWIW - To all newbies, here's a site for TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 101
" www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/ "

ny 21:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
van gecko : looks like the market still not ready for the double wishbone reversal yet . May still get " i dont have enough of these euros" rally still. no reason to sell yet market is still trying to pick tops . Stay the course

Atlanta web 21:33 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any strong views on how high GPB/USD will go in the short term? Should we see a signiicant jump if it breaks 1.6200?

Toronto BA 21:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

Toronto Herb- cold today ain't it?
No sign of global warming in TO today.

Thx for the SAR info, which of the settings do you change?

Toronto Herb 21:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Boertjie from Welkom SA. Howzit down there. I use the SAR to indicate when to buy and when to sell. When the parabolic is on top it normally indicates a down trend and when it is below it normally indicates an uptrend.

You can however tighten it up a lot by setting it to .06/07/08/09. 06/07 is what I normally use.

Toronto BA 21:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

CAD dropping or just a teaser?

LA SNP 21:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Welkom.SA J.W 20:37 GMT January 22, 2003

assuming you're referring to Parabolic SAR (stop & reverse) - its used to set trailing price stops and provides exit/entry points when used with MAs
preferably .... go long when SAR < price action and short when SAR > price ... hope this helps

Gen dk 20:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melb mpfx 20:54 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NC JJM 20:35 // Thanks JJM, agree with your view with eur above 1.0750. 3 days ago my system gave a pull back signal for aud after 11 consec buy days which is my only concern. All others have parked themselves in neutral except for cable which has buy around 1.6125/35 today if seen.
Always appreiciate your view as ur approach is different to mine, but excellent in its own right. Still remember at the end of last year your post on eur that this is something big.. :)
I fell asleep in the 5th set at 6 games all, no kidding :(( , did roddick win ??
GT to u....

Kaunas DP 20:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
can any one let me know when cable option at 1.6200 expire and how large is it (slightly surprised with cable over the last 2h or so) - TIA

Livingston nh 20:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA - 1.5380 area on USD/CAD - (I'm long + nervous GBP/CAD) - USD may gain while CAD may suffer a bit more on Venezuela news as may EUR (but that dog bites)

yvr maxxim 20:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Welkom.SA J.W - FWIW - Search on Google gave 57000 search result for parabolic indicator. :-) GL/GT

Welkom.SA J.W 20:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Greetings to the Forum,
Can anyone give me info as to how to interpret the parabolic indicator?

NC JJM 20:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb mpfx 19:45>>>> hi friend, 1.0750-55 is .618 of decline from 1.23's in euro and a channel top comes in there...watching that level closely as above will lead to quick accleration to 1.0845 and then 1.0910, can easily see why people are selling against this level as it is so important....i lean to further topside break scenario cause so many trying to pick top and say o/bought etc etc........only below 1.0630 would begin to indicate some sort of short-term top in place, until then the path of least resistance is up.........

cable is the most interesting to me and is setting up for a huge 5-7 cent in a rapip manner as vol/trend studies i look at are indicating a big move is upcoming...above 1.6200 and i would go with breakout toward 1.6410 and higher.....below 1.6010 and i would target the downside...

hope that helps and i'm flattered by yur request...how bout u, any strong thoughts?

how bout that roddick match

nyc jcs 20:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
any thoughts on cable dropping over night?

Abu Dhabi Hassan 20:21 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any one to tell about jpy closing for the night .

St.-Petersburg Demiurg 19:58 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Why $EUR is going down?
Will it reach 1.075 before the weekend?

Bucharest Mihai 19:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 19:46 GMT / do not worry much, there are enough Chinamen in between 750 and 780.
agree Gecko - did not follow all his candles chess much lately, but on eurgbp we recently found same ultimate verdict. [GT]

Melb mpfx 19:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NC JJM if u r around would love to hear your eveluation of the markets at present, or drop me an email if u prefer.. thks
GT to u frd....

JHB SA 19:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Yebo all. Sold more eur ....& me b....s are acking!!! GL GT. Me thinx more cold showers required!! Enjoy....

Livingston nh 19:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto - last few days range on CAD is contained by 1.54 on top - daily may need one more run before breaking thru - in the 80 area I'd look for a pullback or hold w/ a tight stop if u think it can break out towards 20 da mva

ny 19:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
great he has been calling this since 1.03. .Everytime you think it is stalling it comes up and bites you . More downside in the dollar . no need to keep focusing on the reversal lose to much money that way

Toronto BA 19:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

CAD/USD dropping- this thing is a bucking bronco sometimes-

Helsinki iw 19:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Looks like van Gecko will be the man they all want to talk to
soon. Definetly these moves are stalling now, and all those
short dollars will get itchy fingers soon, while there is still pro-
fits to protect. FWIW/ Sold a few euros, stop 1,0755. I`ll
trust the Chinaman to save me. Good Luck.

Toronto BA 19:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

oops- 1.5380

Toronto BA 19:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

nh- what are you seeing about the $153.80 area?

Gen dk 19:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Livingston nh 19:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA - 1.5380 area on USD/CAD - (I'm long + nervous GBP/CAD) - USD may gain while CAD may suffer a bit more on Venezuela news as may EUR (but that dog bites)

nyc JOE 19:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Oslo, YIPPEE just pullin our leg

Oslo Klewer 19:33 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Yippee, do you mean it is 3:00 pm ET? tx..

nyc mpo 19:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
WOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
LOLOLOLOLOL

nyc DTA 19:28 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Muhahahaha

nyc DTA 19:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
mpo not who, but what is DTA thats the question.
D= Don't T= Trust A= Anyone

nyc mpo 19:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Remember I am old man

NYC FatTony 19:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
MPO...you really have a short memory if you dont know who DTA is...lol

Bel Air KK 19:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Yippee - I've got my stopwatch started...BTW, do you have any bridges in New York City you can sell me...

NYC YIPPEE 19:21 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Oslo Klewer 19:15 GMT January 22, 2003

Yes sorry I'll answer that... 37 minutes and 24 seconds!

Toronto BA 19:16 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

Anyone see any hints on what the CAD/USD will do?

thx-

Oslo Klewer 19:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Does anyone can tell how long we gonna wait for the market to break out the high 1.0744 on the eur/us?

nyc mpo 19:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
DTA that is

nyc mpo 19:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Fat Tony who is DAT?

NYC FatTony 19:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
BTW Bas...got 50+pips on that...a week ago...smell the coffee my friend..lol

NYC FatTony 19:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
DTA...MPO...Bas..reunion

NYC FatTony 19:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
welcome back BasRock

Netherlands 18:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
eur/usd has resistence point on 10 year chart linking 03/26/1997, 05/22/1997, 10/11/1997 and todays levels if not my target is 1.13.

Netherlands 18:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC jk thanks
have found one resistence point on the 10 years chart for usd/chf linking 07/08/1994, 08/26/1994, 12/14/1998 and the current levels. If not in my opinion the next resitence is somewhere around 1.32 in my opinion. Any comment on this?

pd cumino 18:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
At some point (1.09?) when supply will become thin, dealers will be tempted primarily to switch longEUR-USD into longEUR-JPY via USD/JPY.
This, if seen, may well signal the begin of EUR-USD retracement.

NYC jk 18:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Netherlands - these upcoming monthly budget figures generally have no significant impact on the FX market

nyc DTA 18:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hey Bas don't bad mouth "Fat Tony". at leaste not behind his back you puss.

nyc mpo 18:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
AN INDIAN FAN HAS SHOWN HIS FACE LOL

Netherlands 18:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Looks to me eur/usd is going to test upperline of upward trading channel at 1.0755 again.

cleveland bas 18:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
where "fat tony" look at aussie should've stayed in you chickenshit

los angeles dat 18:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
brekeley ag... cable is in a pretty tight range for the last month. doesn't seem to want to go above 1.62 nor below 1.60. we are at the higher end of the range so we should see a pull-back from here. go with th trend. also, britian is in with america regarding the war. therefore the tendency will be to sell off this currnency as well.
fwiw...i am looking to sell cable at these levels.

Jerusalem Serge 18:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
U.S stockmarkets back in the green.maybe Euro rally wil catch some breath or if it keeps running like this it will just collapse from heart seizure.

Berkeley AG 18:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Your thoughts are much appreciated Kaunas. You may say your not a cable expert, but i must say you and Bel Air have provided me a great analysis on the cable! Much appreciated..thanks!

Stockholm za 18:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG 17:40 GMT
This is what i am seeing on my charts-
on the small scale it is forming a triangle being at the top end now so a pull back could see 16128 area witch is the bottom-
on the big scale it is forming a wedge with a flat top at ~16200 - potential pull back to the bottom of the wedge ~16080... however the general trend is up.. so i am in agreement with bel air-- happy trades

Berkeley AG 18:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I shorted cable at 65/70. T/P at 1.6120.
Gotta go with my gut feeling...the biggest risk in life is not taking one!

van Gecko 18:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
ny.. you're welcome..
btw, if you're into Japanese Candle.. those weekly spike tops mentioned in my 16:48 from the TA school of modified candle speaks are;
modified weekly Gravestone top for eur/gbp, &
modified double Gravestone weekly tops for aud/usd & nzd/usd..



Kaunas DP 18:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG 17:40 GMT
I am not cable expert like London Mitch or others, but...
indeed for intraday 1.6085 was support as it represents 61.8% fibo of 1.6020-1.6185 as we are still playing 1.6000-1.6200 range;
for the time beeing 1.6200 is well protected by option + there are heavy sellers at 1.6250 (according to IFR);
from risk factors we have important data tomorrow and on Friday;
right now I do not expect any major movement, unless we have eur/usd strong direction (same scenario as yesterday after the day hight was reached)
hope the above will help u plan your trade and trade your plan
GL and GT

Netherlands 18:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Will federal budget have any impact in one hour? Have never payed any attention to it but as there is very little news these days. Anybody has any experience? Also the USD index has below 100 any impact? TIA

Gen dk 17:58 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Berkeley AG 17:58 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Bel Air. Ive decided to remain flat for now. Will take a short position at 1.6170/80 though

Gen dk 17:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bel Air KK 17:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
AG - haven't been trading cable too much since I was a prop trader for a British bank, so take this FWIW: Immediate resistance at 80/85 w/ stronger resistance at 200 and currently at 60/64. Seems to be divergence between Euro and cable. Euro still in uptrend, but cable may be stalling. I see support @ 1.6085, thus I would either stay flat and buy a break of 200 or sell at failure of 200.

IMHO

GL & GT

nyc mpo 17:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Speech over

Moscow Sigurd 17:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bush finished.
Good by USD.

Moscow Sigurd 17:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bush finished.
Good by USD.

Berkeley AG 17:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia, I understand your statements, and my system gives me a buy signal on the cable. However, I have this gut feeling that its going to retrace back to at least 1.6120 either today or tomorrow.

Does anybody have any advice what i should do?

pd cumino 17:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
1)Very good amount in LND of buying short-dated EURPUT/USDCALL today as P/L protection.
2)USD TWIN bullish sentiment at minimum (10%). EUR-USD bullish sentiment at 92%,max optimist since Jan 99. They are contrarian indicators, but they work well only when there is a momentum divergence, i.e. they are not sufficient to buck a trend.
3)IMM spec and no rep. pos. ShortUSD slightly increased, but 6w and 26w maw not yet worrying. LongUSD not far from Nov top, so it's suggest in the markets are good hands.
4)In RR analysis nothing to suggest that current vol skews are overextended.
5)M.T. investors distribution EUR exposure calculated around 1.0350/1.04.

Plovdiv Gotin 17:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
When will he(Bush)finish?

Moscow Sigurd 17:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bush said-tax cuts 670 bln next 10 years;
the war=100%

Berkeley AG 17:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I have this theory, that whenever bush speaks, the dollar and the market goes down. No matter what he says.

nyc mpo 17:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Rah Rah speech
tax cut talk

kaunas 17:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
what Bush said???

beijing road 17:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Jon, Have not seen JOM for couples of days, how is he going?

Netherlands 17:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bush speaking now..........

St. Pete islander 17:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Mr. Bush is speaking now on CNBC. Hang on!

Moscow Sigurd 17:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Anybody-close Bushs mouth,plzzzzz.

los angeles dat 17:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
athens mk 17:11... i don't think so. we would need more war rhetoric... which isn't unlikely, but the dollar is getting pretty hammered lately. it takes a good deal more to convince traders to sell off the dollar even more at these levels. i think most are favoring a pullback of some kind. just about then though, dubbya says something that sends the currency down even further.

ny 17:16 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Van Gecko:

Netherlands 17:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
usd index 100.19

Athens mk 17:11 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
USD/CHF could break 1.3600 within the hour. Any opinions?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 17:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Friends..I look and found scenario like this :
Eur/USD still on the way to get top at 1.0815
GBP/USD still on the way to get top at 1.6305
USD/JPY still on the way to get bottom at 116.35
USD/CHF still on the way to get bottom at 1.3505
AUD/USD still on the way to get top at 0.6005
Dow Jone still on the way to get bottom at 8300
Gold still on the way to get top at 361.70 or 367.15

GL & GT

Gen dk 17:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

LA saint3 17:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GBP will break 16210?

Toronto VY 17:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
What time London close?

Bel Air KK 16:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Road - read:LA ARTOFYEN 16:14 GMT January 22, 2003

Should answer your question regarding 118.00

Netherlands 16:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Panic measure tool gold price 359.70, interesting..

prague mark 16:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 16:56 GMT
china

beijing road 16:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
who is sitting on 118 level?

singapore jt 16:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hk Newbie
If you look along this page you should be able to find some sites
with excellent charts free.

singapore jt 16:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hk Newbie
If you look along this page you should be able to find some sites
with excellent charts free.

Gen dk 16:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hk Newbie 16:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Where goes everyone gets Fx charts?

los angeles dat 16:47 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
the dollar looks like it is having a bit of a tough time around the 1.07 figure. i seem to remember a few chart points over the past several of sessions that the dollar would correct somewhat, but have problems at certain levels. then there would be a huge sell-off in the dollar. this typically happpened at the london cloase which is a little over an hour from now. i wonder how high t will go this time.

van Gecko 16:47 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
i sure hope you had undergone a TA renaissance since your usd/jpy 134 buy & hold from last year..
:)
ny.. nice to see you again...:)


Tokyo Jon 16:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
USDJPY, looking to see 117.80 before asian session.

beijing road 16:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Cable seems to pave the way to Eur recently.

Tokyo Jon 16:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
EURUSD next hurdle is set at 1.0765 this is my target for tomorrow. looking for a slight pull back to the high 1.06's where I will enter long again, during asian session.

Hk Newbie 16:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I would appreciate if anyone get give me information about FX chart
I am trying to look for better FX chart but going no where.
I know bloomberg and Reuter offers good FX chart but couldn't offer it.

Tokyo Jon 16:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hello all, just to see whats happening
After spending a busy day in restaurants anf yumcha, I have had a chance to analyse.
USDJPY wil trade lower tomorrow and if we dont see a high above 1.0740 tonight, we will break this barrier tomorrow. suggested trading style, buy on dips, duhh

Hk Newbie 16:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bang Bang!
cheer up

Babylon JT10 16:33 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

Been sitting here since 2:00am some one shoot me PLEASE

ny 16:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
van gecko : That is all you talk about , maybe the pip eating currency bulls are not all fed yet . maybe 1.09-1.10 before fatcat cb bankers scream uncle. Once again you may be 2 or 3 big figures to early .

van Gecko 16:28 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 14:48.. good point.. eur/gbp, aud/uad, & nzd/usd are all forming weekly exhaustive spike tops.. when the end game comes.. it may not be a pretty picture for some pip eating fat bulls..


Gen dk 16:21 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Helsinki iw 16:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good one Spotforex...

Spotforex NY 16:19 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 16:06 - MCD added the term "super size" in honor of the forgotton brother Richard......

Helsinki iw 16:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Beijing road/ No, the market looks very neutral to me at the
moment. I´ll go with ARTOFYEN`s assesment that it is 80/20
now. Also agree with Athens that the support at 1,0630ish is
critical now. Best go spend some money in a nearby bar per-
haps.

Netherlands 16:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Bel Air. Thought that somebody somewhere spoke about it.

LA ARTOFYEN 16:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
A classic battle usd/yen with guys sitting on top from 118.50-119.50 and good base being provided by rumored Bank of China just below figure and by BOJ at 117.50 area. Seems like a little more range bound trading is iin store for us until we make a mad rush to one side. Still fancy usd/yen much lower this year (sub 105) but leaning more towards a 122 test, minimum, before hand. fwiw

beijing road 16:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
to IW: do you see any new signal (hourly) on eur.gbp usd/usd pls? TIA

LA ARTOFYEN 16:11 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I'm sure the "Big Dick" would be a best seller on Santa Monica Blvd but i don't think it would be anywhere else.

Bel Air KK 16:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Netherlands 16:04 GMT January 22, 2003

I am not aware of any public speaking engagement for Bush today. On Jan 28, Bush will do his "State of the Union" address.

Helsinki iw 16:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
One thing has always puzzled me regarding McDonalds, namely
that of the two founders and brothers, Mack and Dick McDon-
ald, only Mack got his name on a product which is of course
the world famous Big Mac. How come not Dick? Boy, he must
be pissed off.

Netherlands 16:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
At what time will Bush speak? And on what occasion? TIA

LA ARTOFYEN 16:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
LA ARTOFYEN 15:51 GMT January 22, 2003
I guess we play 1.0680-1.0720 until one side cracks. If we go by the last several days, i guess the topside is vulnerable for a run to 1.0750 test.

LA ARTOFYEN 16:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Oh she lost the case? I'm sure it's a super-sized dissapointment on her END, no pun intended!

NYC jk 16:01 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good points Athens. Threw that quote out there to provoke some thought/discussion....Although I tend to favour a trend following approach most of the time, I agree there are certain times contra-trend trades can be favourable and that money management is key, especially in a well established trend. I also agree with your assertion about the importance of time ,however I don't believe it could ever be more important that price as ultimately our profitablity and viability depends on units of price (ie we need to buy lower than we sell)

Tierra del Fuego Magellan 16:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Bel Air KK// what a ridiculuos case !!!

one big mac wasnot enough for this guy...

GT & GL

LA ARTOFYEN 15:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
A lady is sueing McDonald's for lack of proper warning on their food items about risk of obesity. Apperntly she has been supersizing the entire menu for the past 20 years and "got" obese, the poor thing! I am contacting a sharp lawyer as we speak regarding trading losses because I have never seen a warning on Global view about the risk of losing money when entering into a position. So look out for a class action suit, Jay, Athens, Qindex, ART of YEN, oh crap I'm gonna sue myself................

Netherlands 15:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I do have a small buy signal on gbp/usd

Gen dk 15:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bel Air KK 15:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tierra del Fuego Magellan 15:50 GMT January 22, 2003

Someone was suing McD's for becoming fat by eating their food all their life. The judge just dismissed the case. The implications would have been HUGE if this case would have been heard and a negative ruling against McD's happened.

Tierra del Fuego Magellan 15:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
DJI up on Mcdonalds´ obesity case...????

Can anyone enlighten me on this issue?

I´d appreciate it.

Tallinn viies 15:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
got to run now, cu
planning to buy more near 1,0645 if sh.t happen
target 1,0749

Netherlands 15:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Dollar index 100.29. Will 100 go today????

Singapore BT 15:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies
Gee..... that's not too exciting. Yesterday night's Euro rally after Ldn was impressive. Are you still long EUR.

Athens 15:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Re my last night's on GVI "Athens 02:10 GMT January 22, 2003 Re $/JPY my model turned on Tuesday and now is favoring buying-on-dips tactics", a minor resistance 118.55 is still holding, stronger levels 119.15 and 119.60. Good luck,

Tallinn viies 15:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
85/90 is past tense I guess

Gen dk 15:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Johannesburg CA 15:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air

Good one for you mate!!! GL & GT

Singapore BT 15:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies
Do you mean still buying or done and past tense? TIA

Bel Air KK 15:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
CA, my dealer went to 48/52 only. Saved by the skin of my teeth.

Johannesburg CA 15:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air

Your s/l should have triggered. My price showed 118.56 just now.

Tallinn viies 15:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
MMS reporting US funds buying good size euro

hk ab 15:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
AS// yes, am watching the aud behaviour under .58.

Toronto VY 15:33 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
ATHENS:Good thoughts man!

Bel Air KK 15:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
A good r/r trade playing the range in Usd/Yen:

Sell pair @ 40, s/l 55, t/p @ 118.00

GL & GT

Athens 15:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
In 1992 I meant.

Cape Town AS 15:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 14:55 GMT
Do you by any chance follow the Aus/USD?????

Athens 15:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC jk 14:55, in my opinion it is less a matter of going with or against a trend and much more a matter of timing. Going with the trend could be disastrous if entering late. Trde against the trend and it would equally be a disaster if entering too early. Time is an equally if not more important parameter than price. P.S. Soros also made a killing by selling cable in 1991 against the then prevailing trend "killing" those poor trend followers (and the BoE):)

Gaza Ibiza 15:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallin ..today there is no war talk and Euro is behaving differnetly from the time it broke 1.06..GL.

Tallinn viies 15:13 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
like always on wednesday´s, euro closes higher

rtfx nico 15:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Venezuela's central bank was closing the fx market for 5 trading days as the the government moved to stem capital flight during a crippling seven-week opposition strike agst leftist President Chavez.
Chavez has authorised the FinMin and Central Bk to establish temporary restrictions on currency exchange and the transfer of funds out of the country...
Bad news for south america and for the dollar as well.

madrid val 15:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
USDMXN read 10.9

madrid val 15:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
USDMXN 9.9, Venezuela closed, BRL 3.50

Buenos Aires gus 15:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Latam markets collapsing??
Where did you get that info?

Sao Paulo -1.2
Mex -.1
Buenos Aires -1.2
dj -0.4

Sure it is not the best,but neither collapsing,mate!

hk ab 15:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
viies, I will be a bit wary of jap taking their huge profit from eur/jpy in feb. However, do see your call very nice. Thanks.

hk ab 15:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
viies, I will be a bit wary of jap taking their huge profit from eur/jpy in feb. However, do see your call very nice. Thanks.

Tallinn viies 15:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
like it has been lately - after Ldn close euro up and after new highs....

cu near 1,0750

madrid val 15:01 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Not at all GVI just USD weakness is hurting severely MX, and now the outflow is accelerating

GVI john 14:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Val- Mexico had a major earthquake overnight. I believe it was about 300 miles west of Mexico City. Could be a reason for peso weakness?

hk ab 14:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
nzd, looks like that MA40 in 4hr turns from support to a resistance.

NYC jk 14:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Food for thought : " Those who are inclined to fight the trend are progressively eliminated and in the end only trend followers survive as active participants. As speculation gains in importance, other factors lose their influence. There is nothing to guide speculators but the market itself, and the market is dominated by trendfollowers." George Soros, The Alchemy of Finance

madrid val 14:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Latam mkts specially MXN are collapsing Poland, maybe something related to global panic going on

hk ab 14:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Noody, did swissy threat us somehow?

poland 14:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
To Val Madrid, spekulative movements on usdpln, london banks sell polish zloty, it has happend since yesterday

hk ab 14:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Morning GEcko and Val,
Do you note that eur/gbp reached upside target but eur was not breaking new high..... in the past, usually their uptrend ends with a sharp upspike but seems price action has changed.

NC JJM 14:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
pretty good bids down there in the 85-90 range for sure.........

kkk 14:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I think EUR up until 1.0750

NC JJM 14:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
tks for info RSA....will watch closely for a reaction from there..good trades friend

madrid val 14:18 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any idea about what,s happening with PLN pls? TIA

Nairobi, Kenya TN 14:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good forum , New york and Asia please take back the GBPUSd and EURUSD to the levels we found it our morning today. Indonesia Raden Mas what do u suppose?-A tall day for me it was!
Good night all.

Shelbyville MKT 14:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Cash Dollar Index: 100.32 >>> UP +.09

RSA abk 14:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NC JJM, Glad someone confirms my analysis..I have quite a few lines converging at (at present) the 13680/90 area, which should offer strong resistance and which i`m hoping will be a resumption point for the short trend. GL GL

NYC ED 14:13 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I am looking for GBP to make a beautiful drop from here soon. Personally I think we see sub 1.6000 sooner than later. GL

NYC BUCK 14:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
nyc ed and china bd ,good call with the gbp young jedi, good morning all

China BD 13:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC ED- I couldnt agree with you more but the timing for a well needed dollar recovery might not come until early febuary...i myself am looking to sell any euro rallies below 1.0750 and yourself dam u called the cable drop....who was the fat lady on that elevator

NC JJM 13:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
1.3685-90 steep trend-line in $/chf on hrlies....should offer strong resistance..imvho

NYC ED 13:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
China...I feel some drops from the sky. My neighbor tells me it is a short term dollar rally at its early stage. Could you please tell me if you feel the same?

Sofia Red 13:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bollinger Bands, direct from John's rules ))

Helsinki iw 13:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Noody, action is deja-vu all over again. Blip lower, then the
buyers come in. You think this Chinaman is in good size at
50?

van Gecko 13:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
morning nk 1.18 *!* ..;))
life is not a one way street.. same goes for fx..


Pecs Andras 13:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Portsmut amateur 13:30
I have a nice recent example for that. USD/YEN on the 1 hour chart reached the upper Bolinger band yesterday while trading at 119 lows. it was moving sideways for 2-3 hours but the slow stock K D lines posted a crossover and started falling. later price went down to the lower B band at 118.15.
helsinki iv, please correct me if I am wrong.

Helsinki iw 13:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Portsmut, say the price is moving along the lower Bollinger
Band and then leaves it and closes over the midpoint. If
stochastics at the same time show a cross-over at low levels,
the price will usually keep moving in that direction then for
additional time periods. Works pretty well actually.

Spr NoodyG 13:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Interesting tech discussion
for myself I've always use candles for Dlr/Yen

Portsmut amateur 13:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw Thanks what do you mean that stochastics support the move?

Helsinki iw 13:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
it is hard getting around the spread in rangy markets, sorry

wendeng 13:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
usd/jpy any adivse plz

Helsinki iw 13:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Andras, yes that is correct. I look at dailies (and sometimes
weeklies) to try and determine the trend, and possible turn
levels. Intraday i use hourlies and also often look at 5 mins
charts. The 5 mins work pretty well, but it has getting around
the spread in rangy markets, so seldom trade with them.

Spr NoodyG 13:28 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hahaha you are catching on
how's the action?

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 13:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning teacher..
Table points on Usd/Cfr down to 1.3488??

nk

Pecs Andras 13:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 13:21 GMT
And which charts dou you use for trading decisions? Longer term charts for figuring out main s/m term trends and and shorter charts for deciding on entry/exit levels?

Helsinki iw 13:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Noody, you trying to give us a hint or what?

Spr NoodyG 13:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
has SNB finally say "stop mucking around" ?

Helsinki iw 13:21 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Portsmut, I mainly use Bollinger Bands and stochastics for my
trading. There are some signals there that work some 80% of
the time, so pretty good indicators to me. One such is when
stochastics support a move from either end of Bollingers
over/under the midpoint and the price closes there. I do look
at other things as well, mainly how the price behaves, i.e.
rejections at levels and such. Hope this helps.

Spr NoodyG 13:19 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
will China sell one more to defend 1.0750 KO ?

Tartu kuues 13:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
its just old no-fly zone game

Portsmut amateur 13:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw Hi mate how do you define bottoming proces ( for eur) ? Thanks

van Gecko 13:13 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens 01:29.. thank you for sharing your views.. all the best for you & yours..


ny 03:00.. imo the odds for you to sing Hello Dolly in your fx dreams are limited..
Good-bye Charlie, toast & Cheerios..


lmn 13:11 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
*DJ Iraq Says It Has Shot Down Unmanned Spy Plane -

Tartu kuues 13:10 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
London AL 13:06 GMT - it happend often

Helsinki iw 13:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD back in buy-on dips mode intraday now.

London AL 13:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
on reuters: ina agency; Iraq shoots down US unmanned spy plane coming from kuwait

Msc rocket 12:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Margin accounts are accumulating long eur today also.

London AL 12:47 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
beijing road 12:18 Web in due course working on it. for now it s all my analysis based off Market Profile. Something that a lot of Chicago futures traders use but few understand

NC JJM 12:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
athens>>>> nice to cya around again adam....hope u have been taking it easy and have re-charged the battery...all the best

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 12:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Euro is almost ready to push higher..

nk

warsaw tmsmp 12:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
tks Viies

Athens 12:18 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino, I never said that your argument is nor remarkable. I just alaborated on my earlier comment using yours as a trigger. Thanks for yor interesting points anyway.

beijing road 12:18 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
AL: Any web site related to your information PLs? TIA

Tallinn viies 12:10 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
warsaw tmsmp 12:05 - no mate, I can see corporate orders mostly and they are near 1,0750-1,08 area (sell) and no euro buying orders before 1,0550-1,06 area...

London AL 12:10 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
US 12:03 GMT . GBP via March futures (BPH3)
yesterday was a double distribution day with points of control centred 1.6004 and 1.6098 (add 60 pips for spot equivalent)
we should roock and roll between these points today . a break and hold >1.6120 particularly on a close would start the new up leg. prefer fading the two points of control first

Toronto BA 12:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

THX LDN- I have heard 2% before but not 1% -that is very safe- need proper capitalization to start I guess-

Anyways off to sleep- good luck to all

Tallinn viies 12:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hehe,
so, stochastic on hourlu euro chart crossed higher.
I hope NYC knows what to do. especially when usdjpy will be sold under the last lows...

warsaw tmsmp 12:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
first s/l are building below 1,0680. Viies, did u see some of them?

pd cumino 12:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens. We speak about 2 different arguments. Mine is not growth or U.S. deficit a/c. Is investments. Asian investments in US and the reflection on their balance sheets and rel competitvness.
If USD weakens against JPY strongly, Jap l.t. investors may be forced to repatriate some. This is not in US or Japan interest, neither in the interest of a orderly lower USD. So I think the limit is much more Jpy than EUR. If you look at Jap quote of US assets (namely Treasuries, agencies, corporated bonds) perhaps you may say that other arguments may be more remarkable, not that this is not remarkable. Cheers

US 12:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any commentary on GBP/USD ?

Ldn Cashman 11:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
That's a tough one mate. Don't they reckon you should not really commit more than 1 pct of your capital on each trade therefore virtually eliminating risk of losing it all. Thats the theory anyway. Whilst aiming to make twice as much as you lose on each trade...

amman 11:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Yeeterday i was with one of the professional technical traders and he said that for each currency ... commodity ... indexes and for each period daily weekly monthly 15 min ... or 60 min the settings for the indicators should optimized for better analysis and better entries ... so let us say for example slow stochastic 20,3,3 on daily eur/usd it will not be the best if we look at hourly chart we could use 14,3,3 ... there are softwares that calculate such settings and even what is the best indicators for each ... so settings that apply for eur when it is in up trend could be otimized to be differnet when it is in down trend ...

If any one know about above kindly advise and if you can give us what are the indicators constants that you one should use for each time periods ..

Toronto BA 11:47 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

LDN- What stop loss guidelines do you find work best?

Ldn Cashman 11:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Joking aside BA that one piece of advice alone is key. Once you are wrong,,, get out....... It only gets worse, every time believe me...

Toronto BA 11:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I have a feeling you are making dough while I am losing!!

I will retain your advice-thx

Ldn Cashman 11:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
BA- that'll teach me for trying to be smart...

Kaunas DP 11:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Johannesburg CA 11:19 GMT
no, untill it holds 1,6085 fibo
GL

Toronto BA 11:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

LDN Cashman- that song was actually written by Cat Stevens believe it or not-
I have a beef with Rod Stewart- he keeps ruining my favorite songs by singing them-
His early stuff was so good-
Gladbags and Handrags is killer (in my humble opinion)


Gen dk 11:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

LA. 11:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas where did you have the low on the Aud possible thks

hk revdax 11:21 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Raden Mas//Can we expect 200 pips drop on Euro over the next day and half?

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony,
USD/CAD still bearish pattern. My forcast price will down for get level 1.5260 - 1.5270 area.thanks

Johannesburg CA 11:19 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any views on the GBP please. Do you think it will go much lower than its current levels today?

Ldn Cashman 11:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA- another thing to remember. In the words of Rod Stewart "The first cut is the cheapest"

Athens 11:13 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino 10:50, I don't think that the prime concern of US poicy makers is the trade deficit (this has become a chronic non event) but growth. And Japan in its plight certainly cannot plat the role of a global locomotive. I really don't feel the JPY has been the market driving force but it is the EUR instead and this is obvious by looking at the Euro crosses (Japan being quite happy with a slowly but steadiy rising EUR/JPY). Well, my opinion only.

Toronto BA 11:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

Moscow- I am new to Forex, so I'm still figuring things out-

Go with the trend is all I have to say-

The advisory service says CAD down Wednesday then up-

Tallinn viies 11:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
good afternoon

uuh, lunch wasnt too good.


so - eurusd tested 1,0685/90 last break out level and it managed to hold. I guess an hour consolidation in the range 1,0695-1,0715 and after NYC starts, new push higher to 1,0750 level.
cu later

Moscow VIS 11:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA / Well, I think we can see this level today. But what do you think about next level - 1.5245?

Toronto BA 10:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

Moscow- an advisory service I get say down to the level you said, then upwards for the CAD/USD

pd cumino 10:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens. About your considerations on US policy. I think EUR is not central. It is JPY, as importance of Asian investments. Eur may be a consequence, not a driver. What I want to say is that EUR may appreciate until JPY doesn't appreciate very much, and it is what we are seeing. In the last Feb/Jul USD bearish trend, it retraced when JPY arrived on about 115, and then resumes on JPY 125.

Moscow VIS 10:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
My charts talk me that CAD want to try 1.5280-1.5270. Your options pls

Spr NoodyG 10:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC. 04:09 GMT January 22, 2003
believe it was 1.5bln USD

Athens 10:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw, thank you, too, for your kind words.

Helsinki iw 10:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens, thank you very much, and you do not sound obscure
at all to me, on the contrary. As you say, the question is not
an easy one. I am reasoning along the same lines as you obvi-
ously are, and your input is therefore a much needed confirm-
ation to me about my larger view of the current market. As al-
ways your thoughts are much appreciated and respected.

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 10:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
1.02-1.18....1.2002

nk

Athens 10:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw, that's a very tough question to answer. However, even if we assume (sounds realistic to me) that US poicy makers have put the Dollar on a long term depreciation path and we further assume that on capital outflows concerns the policy makers don't want the USD to collapse (again sound realistic), then we must take into account that EUR/$ is already 25% higher than early 2002. Hard to imagine a desire for much higher annual losses, hence my thoughts that maybe 1.02-1.09 or e.g. 1.00-1.08 seem to serve such a goal. Besides, the EU can't afford a skyrocketing EUR given its fragile growth. The previous long lasting platform (July-December 2002) gives me the impression that both the US and EU follow a wait-and-see policy with the recent bias (one year) towards a lower Dollar. Sorry if I sound a little obscure.

Helsinki iw 10:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Have to go for a few hours, but before that I would like to say
that EUR/USD hourlies are showing early warning signs of bot-
toming. Nothing definite yet, but if I was short, I would think
about protecting at least part of my profit. Good luck all.

Toronto BA 10:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   

PD- good advice thx-
where do you buy the options from?

thx
BA

pd cumino 10:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hi guys. If someone remember, I posted 1week ago my opinion on trade EUR-USD. (We were 1.0540) It was: long EUR spot, an buy PUTEUR 3months strike=spot, with KI 1.07, for only a cost of 50/60 pips. Now this KI is taken and who have heard my call now are sitting on a position protected from 1.0540 to lower and may consider spot very quietly without anxiety of brief stop-loss. To say, if you want to be long EUR now you are protected at 1.0540 during 3 months and your spot trade will be alive during this period. If you think EUR will retrace lower you go to sleep and if correct you will gain with the option, and you will entry long EUR withouth any risk. No a bad advice for 60 pips cost.

Gen dk 10:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Helsinki iw 10:16 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens, any thoughts on what kind of trading range would
suit the powers that be now on EUR/USD?

London Rhood 10:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
No need to buy foreign bonds to supply liquidity-MOF

Athens 10:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Re my 1:29 (bigger EUR/$ picture), first tech resistance 1.0750 has stayed intact. Critical support 1.0630-35, my turning signal a break of 1.0620, nearest support line today 1.0560.

Seattle MrHuckFin 10:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG:I see now what your talking about, I should have looked at the daily chart's 1st before saying anything, but still if you think about it the USD was WAY over bought the last 10 years or so and in that light there is still some room for the GBP and/or the JPY to gain more value over the dollar, but that's just me thinking out loud. ;-)

PMB D 10:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia solo Raden Mas 09:42 GMT Good day my friend. IF you please could give me the PULLBACK for the AUD/USD??? The trend remain bullish. Thank you very much.

Taipei Lee 10:01 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Lnd PM I did the same and confirmed my flight to Abu Dhabi on Monday. Where did this rumor start? First I heard of it today here. TIA

Ldn pm 09:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
This cancellation of flights to Dubai talk - just phoned British Airways flight reservations they have no knowledge of this. Able to book flights after 25 Jan as far as they are concerned.

LA SNP 09:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
dear friendly FX folks
good day/evening ...

EURUSD is going to bounce off 1.0560/70 which provides us great opportunities to Bid on the EZ right now ... in case 1.0430 breaks by this weekend, ride her down till 1.03X is breached

GL GT :-)

Rome Tony 09:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Dear Raden what about the CAD ? TIA

Berkeley AG 09:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Seattle, if you looked at the RSI and Slow Stochastics, the cable was EXTREMELY overbought the past few days.

As of late, the Yen and Cable seem to be more responsive to fundamentals news, (the BOE deciding NOT to cut rates) I was shorting the cable, unfortunately, i took my profits too early.
Still losing out on my long dollar yen position though..

warsaw tmsmp 09:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
tks Viies

BULGARIA IKO 09:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
1.0665/60 1st > euro Low 1.0630>1.0580

Tallinn viies 09:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
madrid val 09:41- yes, all those who missed it yesterday are tyring to take some at 9,20-21 area

Tallinn viies 09:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
warsaw - 1,0625

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 09:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Friends...
Eur/USD give sell signal for 1.0665 soon
GBP/USD give sell signal for 1.6065 soon
USD/JPY give buy signal for 118.85
USD/CHF beter wait & see
thanks

madrid val 09:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn, I c u,re reluctant to sell any Eur eh?, not bad going with the trend. Today personally think we can see a bounce for 9.20 again...let,s see if the contra is good..

warsaw tmsmp 09:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hi all, Viies, where do u put yr s/l pls?

Seattle MrHuckFin 09:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Does anybody here have a good "feel" for where the GBP/USD is going to turn aound at tonight? (if at all) I can't quite see what is causing this huge sell direction it's going in right now, I admit that I was a little surprised in how far LONG it went yesterday but at least that was proper direction for it to take, but now this equally huge retracement is some what uncalled for, I'm also noticing that the USD/JPY isn't honoring proper technical market direction as well and I can't help but feel the two are related some how. Does anybody have any input on this?

Tallinn viies 09:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
val - Im waiting for 9,35-38 area. there are lot o´f orders waiting

prague mark 09:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Msc rocket 09:24 GMT
can u be more specific - TIA

madrid val 09:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn, looks like Eursek reached top channel, and looking set for a fall again???

Tallinn viies 09:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
bought euros at 1,0695 fwiw

Indonesia solo Raden Mas 09:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony ; waterloo yong ; nairobi Kenya TN and others..
Yes.. we should correct with targets level of middle although there is news that can disturb that targets level. We still remember top target Euro at 1.0735 - 1.0745 and GBP 1.6200 AUD/USD 0.5940 USD/CHF 1.3680 and USD/JPY 117.35 - 117.45. But we still make confuse by corection wave. Any opinion for next movement ?Sure I will appreciate with that.thanks

vienna exlod 09:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
where and what ist "Goldies"?

Haifa ac 09:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
"Russian military source "US decided to attack Iraq second half of Feb"
Valentine's day is Feb.14

BULGARIA IKO 09:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
EURUSD sell at market tg 1.0635 daily

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 09:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning..

nk

Msc rocket 09:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
For info Gbp/$: yesterday numerous klients shorts hv gone, now they switched to buying mode.

Tallinn viies 09:17 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
support at 1,0690.
planning to add little more

la GOLDD 09:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
long $/chf @ 1.3628, out @ 1.3657. $ retracement are very
shalow. i did not to wait for my t/p order @ 1.3680. exit with
my live broker. gl all

Singapore WN 09:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Cashman 09:02 and MONACO OGA 09:03 - Thks the sooner the better also have been told that via sources here

Tallinn viies 09:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hahahaha

headline on reuters
Russian military sources said US is going to attack Iraq on second half of febryary.


I guess some russian army captains and majors are keeping short usd postions there...

MONACO OGA 09:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
reuters: russian military source says US decided to attack Irak second half feb....

Ldn Cashman 09:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Russian military source "US decided to attack Iraq second half of Feb"

Singapore WN 09:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Now Goldies buying EUR ?? or who is it this time ...LOL

Ldn Cashman 08:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tks viies and Geo, that will cheer him up... NOT..

Edi Geo 08:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
dunno whats been said on it b4 mate...but fwiw I believe that if u got a middle east stamp on ur passport then entry to Dubai will be somewhat tough

Tallinn viies 08:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Cashman 08:46 GMT - was there 1 month ago,
my friend has booked tickets and yesterday he got message from travel agency that last flights to Dubai on 25th of january. no flight until further notice!

funny is that in autumn he booked tickets to Bali and flights cancelled....

Ldn Cashman 08:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallin viies-any more news about that travelling to Dubai ban. It's just my boss is supposed to be going out there soon.

Gold Coast L 08:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn viies agree it will fall , however think the maximum will be 1045o-60 JIMHO

NYCC 08:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Reuters
Welteke says sees no need to support dollar-paper
Wednesday January 22, 3:08 am ET


FRANKFURT, Jan 22 (Reuters) - European Central Bank council member Ernst Welteke said on Wednesday the dollar was NOT too weak on foreign exchange markets and needed no support.
"I don't believe that the dollar is too weak at the moment. I see no need to support the dollar," he said in an interview with the Financial Times Deutschland newspaper.

The U.S. dollar has depreciated by nearly 25 percent against the euro since its low point at the start of last year.


Tallinn viies 08:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
kuues - yes, exactly. 500-600 pips correction from 1,08 looks possible.
and then after 500-600 points fall euro looks cheap! so so cheap! isnt it?

melbourne farmacia 08:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
singapore WN - I second that. GT

los angeles dat 08:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
i wonder how many stops are below 1.07. something tells me that if euro goes below this level, we could see 1.0680 very quickly.

beijing road 08:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
IW: agree with you. Wait to buy more cable at1.6050-1.608 level( stop at 1.5990) for 1.6250 this week.

PARIS 08:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Welteke is vice president of Iraq and Greenspan is the president of Bundesbank. Don't mix them up!

Helsinki iw 08:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
FWIW/ Bought some EUR/USD here now.The 1,0735/45 level
proved strong, but hourlies have unwound overbought status
during the night, so expect another go at it later. It is becom-
ing clear now that there is official acceptance of a weaker
dollar, so I think there is room now for another leg. Supports
at 1,0690/95 and 1,0660/65, expect latter one to hold.

los angeles dat 08:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
ya know... maybe that short $/¥ position i was thinking about isn't such a great idea right now. however, the short euro position is working out ok. i just added to my short euro with a stop in at my original position entry point. looking for 1.0655 for starters

Singapore WN 08:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Got to love this market

Time frame -
EUR looking like going lower

Welteke comment

Goldies selling EUR

Love it .. another well engineered move

Rome Tony 08:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC 08:22 GMT
wll as far as i know yes he is
or you appointed him in other place ?

SAR 08:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bundesbank I think

Tartu kuues 08:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
viies - yes i see such level like 1,12 as well
but fibo is joing us around 1,08 and monthly
chart range top around 1,09 and last time
when EUR fall from 1,1 to 1,02 and then up
to 1,09 again and i am not even talking about RSI
so dont you think its time to let steam out some
500-600 pips TIA?

MONACO OGA 08:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Morning, hearing Goldie selling EUR/USD @ 1.0730. good luck++

NYC 08:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony is he?

Rome Tony 08:18 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
of course i know who is greenspan also i know that Welteke is the presedent of Duetche Bank , but it was just a comment,

NYCC. 08:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Rome Tony not being funny but do you know who greenspan is?

los angeles dat 08:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
looking for a price to short the $/¥. dollar is having trouble accross the board as of late, and i think the 117.50 level will be taken out soon.

Tallinn viies 08:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
kuues - I bet yearly low at best 1,0000. possibly not lower than 1,02.

if everything goes wrong euro may fall to 0,9600, but not lower.

although it is wiser to talk about it on the first week of february. 7-8 times out of 10 yearly extremes are made in january.
last year we saw yearly low on 1 feb.
this year probably again yearly low in january (if euro doesnt go directly to 1,12 within next 2 10 days).

waterloo yong 08:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas // hi.. any view for GBP now?..

Tartu kuues 08:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I am not listening ECB`s bla,bla...

Tallinn viies 08:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
guy from the nextdoor

Tallinn viies 08:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
guy from the nextdoor

Rome Tony 08:04 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
but who is Welteke ??

Singapore WN 08:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Bur the EUR till kingdom come... seems there will be no end or major flush out

Madras KR 08:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
No need to support USD.Welteke says.

Tallinn viies 07:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
did u see ...
Welteke said he dont believe dollar is too weak at the mom

Tartu kuues 07:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good morning !

Viies - I see u r still on EUR buy side. Well done so far!
Do you have any longer term view on EURUSD
For example in feb there is a war in iraq ? then what ?
My view 100 -200 pips up and end of party ... 0.82 again?

Rome Tony 07:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Any views on CAD today ?

Tallinn viies 07:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
from technical point of view only possibility today is long euro position. stop at 1,0684.

but as I mentioned yesterday, there are corporates (who are long on the euro) on the scene who are starting to sell euro calls at 1,07-1,08 range this could limit upside...

Rome Tony 07:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning Raden
in fact Bush comments were totaly against your signals yesterday

swk s 07:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I get a buying signal on Ausie now, anyone with different opinion please?

ST ST 07:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Software for trading : http://www.bestsoftnet.tk/

Nairobi, Kenya TN 07:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
R. Mas 7.22 Bush comments appears as explanation-Looks like. I gottabit bruised. today my system shows Gbpusd a buy for 1.6160 for 1.6195 then 1.6225 for pullback. eur tight rage 1.715 for 1.745 looks abit uncertain tight stop loss. any similar or opposing views? intraday.

Tallinn viies 07:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Porto PJT 07:09 - wise thing to so if Nok rates 5,4% per annum :)

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good morning to all...
Wow !! market change direction last night.
Because Bush comment ?

Porto PJT 07:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
viies, thanks, usually i am always positive on nok.

Nairobi Tn 07:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I see cable long at 1.6160 for 1.6195 then 1.6220 before pullback for intraday IMHO. Anyone with similar or opposing sentiments

Tallinn viies 07:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Porto PJT 06:49 GMT - against the euro I wouldnt be suprised to see it up to 7,4650 BUT
those levels are super cheap to accumulate the nok
against the usd I need to check the charts....

Singapore WN 06:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Maybe starting to see some weakness here in EUR could see it trade 1.0705 levels , not a trend change but price/action strength weakening .. on toy .. GL to all...

Porto PJT 06:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Viies, good morning, how do you see nok against eur and usd, still bullish trend ?

Tallinn viies 06:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
re intervention talks.
In my view there will be no intervention rethoric before we see the level near 1,10-1,12.

RSA abk 06:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good day mates, good trades for all today!!

Fayetteville, trading without a stoploss is like driving without brakes..you might get away with it a few times, but then...wham!

Tallinn viies 06:33 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good morning world!
another day and same old story.
buying the euro is the name of the game.
1,0710/15 good support,next at 1,0685/90.
higher levels it is hard to guess but I go with the old fibos,
also daily and weekly bollinger level are good to indicate something.

London MISHA 06:28 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Fayetteville - used to have clients who did that.. mainly $GRD, till they got burned!

Tokyo WALL 06:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
USD will only stop sliding until the war break up. What is really killing USD is the uncertainty.
EU economy will mostly get hurt by close-to-door war in middle east. And the oil... most of them on earth is controled by US already. Any one played Red Alert before here?

beijing road 06:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Analysis on USD/JPY daily:
Pivot S1-S2-S3-R1-R2-R3
118.42-117.64-117.23-116.81-118.83-119.60-120.38
It seems to get more volatile.

Calcutta Vikram 06:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS....hopefully that investor will take USDJPY up a bit too.

Baroda Vaibhav....please see my 05.31 post below.

Melb RS 06:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 05:43 GMT
Wouldn't say a bad trade mate.... just wouldn't stand int the way of jap investor demand for EURYEN at the mom... good luck

Baroda Vaibhav 05:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram what do you think of euro tia

Rivonia Pippirate 05:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Toronto Sparker 04:41 Hey this is fun, also starring Gene Wylder as Toronto Sparker.

Calcutta Vikram 05:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Melb RS....guess it was a BAD trade in the first place as it was against the trend....

In my last post, missed the word "Resistance"

Singapore WN 05:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Very interesting news on CNBC now discussing EU Savings tax and how they are going to tax offshore money in the future ...
Interesting talk of Singapore as new offshore centre ..
Know of at least 2 major players already moving thier offshore assets to Singapore ... Long term EUR, CHF etc negative maybe ?
Comments appreciated...

Singapore WN 05:37 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good Day all - Market seems brusied and battered by wild night .. I am ... but made some back with USDJPY break below 50 ....
We need clear direction from here currency longs cannot keep winning have to see pull back .. so in short sq till later ..GL to all

Melb RS 05:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 05:31 GMT
To be honest mate it really only traded a handful of times below 50

Fayetteville BDH 05:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Does anyone here trade without S/Ls or T/Ps purely to gain from the interest rollover on a leveraged account on a currency pair that may have a sideways or positive bias?

Calcutta Vikram 05:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
My SL (126.80) DID get hit on the bunce back....was Short at 126.62, with TP 126.34 and SL 126.80.....c'est la vie.

On Euro.....Based on the Weekly Candles (Bars), see in the 1.0700-1.0756 region by joining highs at 0.9240 (week ended 24.08.01), 0.9333 (21.09.01) and 1.0197 (19.07.02).

ST ST 05:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Software for trading : http://www.bestsoftnet.tk/

Fairfax mk 05:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
If it had been a stoploss, Vikram, it would have been taken. :>

Toronto VY 05:14 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Just took a look at USD/JPY weekly and perfect Head&Shoulders to appear,head max apr135,neckline 116,and considering wave 3 down starts at 133.8 at 01.04.2002,ends at 115.5 on 15.07.2002 then fibo target 161.8 for 5 gives us 104.5.Any suge.???

Calcutta Vikram 05:11 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Fairfax mk and Melb RS.....many thanks. Missed TP by 3 pips :-)

hk ab 05:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Sparky, pan out your view then.

Melbourne MK 04:54 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate review Thursday. "Though no one expects the OCR to change, some people are speculating (Governor Alan) Bollard may signal an easing bias," he said.

The dealer noted that Bollard's speech Friday on the rising exchange rate will also be closely watched by the currency market.

Fairfax mk 04:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
37 bid, Vikram.

LA goldenpants 04:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Great , I will fax the Contacts over to the boys, mrs goldenpants is Very happy. what about ..pip and D _ _ _

Melb RS 04:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 04:41 GMT
EURYEN low NY session 126.46

Ga Lee 04:49 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Vikram- I'm seeing 126.38..fwiw...anyone else seeing something drastically different ?

Toronto Sparker 04:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
LA goldenpants 04:30 ...:)))) ..gotta have Q... and Gecko...in featuring roles...Title of the video would be: 'Love me a pip at a time!!'...

Calcutta Vikram 04:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
'Morning Friends.
Does anybody know the traded low/ Low Offered in EUR-JPY in the US session yesterday, please? TIA

melbouren 04:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Mkt Talk: EUR-USD option barriers heard at 1.0750 & 1.0780

LA goldenpants 04:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hey Toronto Sparker , u should come over to LA to make some home movies with Mrs goldenpants and me. GT

nyc sa 04:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
does anyone have a target for USD/EUR 0.87 or 0.84 ? Any speculation as to a time frame and the equivalent target for EUR/USD ? does anyone see 120 before the end of 2003 ?

Toronto Sparker 04:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
New York Times - census tech trading data: Alert.."Record sales of crystal balls sold to itchy elderly women and very itchy young males. The cry of the people in response of this disturbing trend was, "THEY MUST BE RIGHT!!""

Brrrrrrrrrr.....! :(

hk ab 04:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
don't forget early feb to mid-march jap repat. flow.

waterloo yong 04:10 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
is there anyone can tell me what level i can get entry for Eur.. and target ? thx

NYC. 04:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
EUR-USD decent size of 1-yr 1.0850 EUR calls with KO at 1.0150 traded last night, and the size was said to be between EUR1.5-2 bln. Original interest was thought to be seller of EUR calls, following 1-yr 1.0750 EUR calls with KO at 1.0025 traded on Jan 9. In addition, option barriers are thought to be layered at every 10 pt above 1.0750. Market-makers seem to have caught excessive long gamma positions on the topside.

hk revdax 04:08 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Today's Special(Jan 22)//Sell Euro, risking 10753 on bid.

Seattle MrHuckFin 04:07 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I came in last night on the GBP/USD with a LONG @ 1.6040 and I've been riding it up ever since I have my stop set at 1.6145 right now but I'm not sure if I should hang on for more move up or look to close now. Any advice? Thanks.

NYC YIPPEE 04:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
FWIW USD/JPY 117.98 your choice

syd 03:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
DJ N Korea: Nuclear Issue Can Be Resolved Via US Dialogue

syd 03:54 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Spot Gold Breaches Key US$360/Oz On Iraq, Weak USD

Syd 03:53 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Fairfax mk just phoned broker he says 10744 prob got the same updates as me reuters.

Fairfax mk 03:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Syd, highs thus far from my two sources 34 and 32 bid.

Sydn 03:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Kenya Joe Well normally Bad Tick, but can see 10742 now so guess its correct. no its just bounced back down think this is bad updates,

OZ deanobravo 03:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GO GOLD....$360 !!

beijing road 03:45 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
already long cable at 1.6175 with stop at 1.6150 and target at 1.6250 (intraday)

Kenya Joe 03:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Syd, what does that mean?

TIA

Kenya Joe 03:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Me... i see it!

Syd 03:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Did anyone see a tick up on the Euro to 44 please .

beijing road 03:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Break out!

MALAYSIA ALBERT 03:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
TOKYO JON,hi , what is your today view for GBP,EUR & YEN , Thanks.

Oslo Klewer 03:24 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hi anyone,
could you share your comment or views on the eur/us, please? thanks..

beijing road 03:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Noodygal: any information about EUR/JPY?

Spr NoodyG 03:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
HSBC rumoured to hold that 1.6250 option KO
still a lame duck the Dlr
heard UBS starts to sell clients idea of DlrSwissy being dumped big time
Japs have stops 117.80 but needs to break 118 first on 1.0740/50 P/T out of the way
Have a truly wonderful day

ny 03:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
van gecko : You don't still think that the dollar is going to rally , do you? Oh yes one day it will,but how long do we have to wait . The dollar is toast and is being replaced by other currencies at the top dog level. You should throw in the towel on the dollar bullish story for once and for all before they carry you out.

melbourne farmacia 02:58 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GBP/USD - Major 22 year Resistance line at 1.6250. If this is the case S/R any longs around this level.

Tokyo Jon 02:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning all,
late start to the day for me

beijing road 02:55 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
LA: I do not the dirction but I like to see weaker USD. I see BB contracting now(10,1.5).

beijing road 02:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
In hourly chart, EUR.GBP.JPY and Chf/usd is all going to break out soon!

LA saint3 02:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
hi beijing .. what do you mean by break out? fall?

beijing road 02:47 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
GBP/USD is going to break out soon.

Toronto Sparker 02:38 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
van Gecko 01:11 ...lol..

Hong Kong AB 02:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
THANKS! farm

Hong Kong AB 02:30 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Note the movement of gbp...

melbourne farmacia 02:26 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB - www.abc.net.au , first story developing as I write.

Van jv 02:23 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Athens///// would not be surprised to see some ECB intervention talk at your 1.08+ - levels; on the other hand , considering overall world disenchantement with the US and........, we might get a sharp slide to 1.14-1.2 levels, CBs or not CBs.

Hong Kong AB 02:19 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
farmacia, are you sure the Aud PM announce that?

NYC YIPPEE 02:16 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
In the beer tents most probably!!!!

melbourne farmacia 02:16 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NYC Yippee - You could be right on that. The local bank spin doctors have been talking up the fall in AUD a the start of war. Anyway keep your stops in place for early Feb. Australias PM has just send Aussie boys and girls off to war today. GOOD ON YA HOWARD!!!!!.

Sunshine Coast (Oz) Flip 02:05 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I think post war it is quite likely we see a week or two of pent up US dollar(and stock-market) buying. This may prove to be the rally to sell for a future rout.

London 02:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB The War scenario has already been factored into the Australian and Kiwi Dollars , whereas 9/11 was a shock to the Markets - affecting the VIX index dramatically however, Equity shocks also become a way of life.. Therefore would be very careful what you short when the time comes.. Favourite is Big Dollar you may get short rally but use it to flog it off

NYC YIPPEE 02:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 01:52 GMT January 22, 2003
I have the opposite view in this case. AUD should benefit from several factors.. The overall Global recovery.. Continued strength of commodties and the end of conflict (Because of verbal of actual battle)

Sunshine Coast (Oz) Flip 02:02 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Deano I recall
The ozz collapsed after 9/11 because an ozzie bank sold "at worst" for it's "infrastructure group offshoot" in the illiquid markets that followed.(very strange way of doing business)
I think every situation (or event) will play out a different scenarion sequence.

Hong Kong AB 02:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
thanks both mates. Like we can get a good consensus in this way. NZD is a pair to watch since it gains more than 1500 pips since its last year low. more than 30%. Phew.

OZ deanobravo 01:56 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB 01:46 GMT i am really quite confused on this as well....it can def be argued both ways...historically aud should be a kinda safe haven....but if Australia is involved in the conflict then maybe not. As you mentioned 9/11 the aussie rose first and then collapsed in a heap...The only people who will be sure of the outcome for the aussie will be the Bank economists....after the event of course....!!

melbourne farmacia 01:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB - AUD will drop like a rock. Not a safe place to park cash.

Sunshine Coast (Oz) Flip 01:51 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
I think the dollarbahers articles are most welcome.
It would be preferable to have links but on a quiet day background analysis consumption is certainly appropriate.

anyway

surfs up

Hong Kong AB 01:46 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Deano, just curious to know. If a war is in place. Do you expect aud and other commodities to drop like the time at 911? I have people of diveresed idea on this.

OZ deanobravo 01:43 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Lurker 01:41 GMT oooppp you get my vote mate

OZ deanobravo 01:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Lurker 01:41 GMT

OZ deanobravo 01:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Lurker 01:41 GMT

OZ deanobravo 01:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Lurker 01:41 GMT

Ldn Lurker 01:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
C'mon GV - that dollarbasher post is not whats needed here. I thought this was a forum for personal opinion, shall I post the entire morning edition of the Telegrapph on the morrow?

Provo John 01:36 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
OZ deanobravo 01:27, I guess the market is telling Koizumi...IN Your Ear!

nyc js 01:35 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
any thoughts on yen?

Sunshine Coast (Oz) Flip 01:31 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
dollarbasher....

Just be wary of the power of " The Gloat" in trading.
Like in sport it is often closely followed by a dose of market- inflicted "Humility"

Athens 01:29 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Looking at EUR/CHF my suspicion is that the so called war premium market factor is a "cultivated" fairy tale. This cross has stabilised above 1.46 with no serious attempts to fall under. Then, my second thoughts are that the recent/current EUR/$ "stubborn" trend (without any serious correction) probably is a planned policy to mark the new "platform" where the Dollar will spend the next several months in. It is reasonable that this new trading range will not enter very deep inside the old 6-month one 0.96-1.02, hence perhaps the effort to mark the upper edge as high as possible without causing disorderly market conditions. The theoretical limit I have in mind is 1.0820-1.0910 without this necessarily meaning that we shall see these levels. Based on my time parameter (exceptionally high), I consider anything above 1.07 as a medium term selling opportunity. Of course, this kind of market is not recommended for day trading, particularly since the model hasn't given the selling signal yet and thus intraday stops are very vulnerable.

Re some earlier comments, personally I consider van Gecko an asset for this forum and he has proven his clinical analytical skills ovr a very long time here, always daring to stick his neck out and voice his market views.

OZ deanobravo 01:27 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
KOIZUMI - will take appropriate action on fx as needed...don't think we usually get this rhetoric from the pm do we?

Sunshine Coast (Oz) Flip 01:22 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks for the post dollarbasher.

It is amazing that this sort of anaylisis which was considered a bit left field 18/24 months ago now has garnered some fairly mainstream high profile press coverage.I guess it goes with the currently fashionable doomsday scenario.

HangZhou 01:19 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Anyone from chinese?
Please contact me.
qq: 27337034

Hong Kong AB 01:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Thanks RS and Deano.
The key lies on aud/jpy imvho.

van Gecko 01:11 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
ny 23:07.. i am here.. phew!! just about missed you with all these dollar bashing posts blasting Jay's site..
if you want 3 stoogie stories, go to the movies..
but if you want more fx'ing bs stories, please stay tuned..:)



Melb RS 01:06 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
HK ab: Seeing pretty good demand for kiwi here this morn - out of your centre and from guys who were on top towards the highs yesterday.

OZ deanobravo 01:03 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Hong Kong AB 00:59 was lucky enough to have a small short given to me yest arvo which I did not cover...but to be honest ab, I concentrate on the aussie....just find the liquidity factor helps me sleep at night. True tho the tail has been wagging the dog so to speak , to some extent of late.... gl to you

Hong Kong AB 00:59 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Deano// r u interested the nzd? last night the mkt was trying the sma40 in 4hrs. looks like another failure, your view highly appreciated.

Stockholm za 00:57 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Shoot and misss.:::> Ha ha

melb th 00:54 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Deano. no. That reminds me to thank you and Noody for the Yens a few days ago.

NYC YIPPEE 00:52 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Simple rule.. Stick to your guns... Posts on the FF help, but don't let them change your view... USD/JPY last night great example... 119.40 ?? Come on!!!! Use comments to lay confidence in your own trading.. Not just to follow others...

St-Petersburg Jam 00:50 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Marketview for 22.01.03

EURUSD
The move is on with no lack in power. Buying points should be looked for in correction to 1.0650-75. Stops below 1.0625. Still no signals and need for sells. In a fast move down, market can reach 1.0575-1.0600. If these levels are seen – new buys can be tried with stops below 1.0500.

USDCHF
Correction levels for swiss are 1.3700-15 and 1.3775-00. Both levels are good enough for sells with stops above 1.3825-30. There’s no signal for any buy yet.

GBPUSD
Price figure on dailies suggest that a new acceleration of up-move is high probable after short correction. Buy points should be watched in 1.6050-1.6100 zone. Stops below 1.5975.

USDJPY
If position was taken on a move up – keep it, but low stops to 119.00-10. If it was not taken – try to sell at 118?50-75, if seen. Stops above 119.0 as well.

These prognoses are just my own view on market and do not require anyone to follow.

OZ deanobravo 00:48 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb th 00:44 GMT glad to hear....but hope its not me!!!

melb th 00:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Starting to get worried. Doing too well! Found a great contrarian indicator on this forum. Wont go into details lest some tender souls are offended.

H.K. Trading8 00:44 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
NoodyG--did you keep ur short USD/JPY possy last nite.

Seems quiet trading in Asian hours today from this hour's price action.

Any tips for us?

Sydney FXtrader 00:42 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Shorted at 1.0680 and covered part of my short position around 1.0650. And the rest were stopped out above 1.07.
It looks like Bush wants the War and he certainly wants to see a lower USD. That's Bush!!
€/$ should be capped within 1.0695 - 1.0805. We're very very close to the upper side of the range 1.0500-1.0800. Watch out!
€/¥ broke through 126.75 and closed back below. This is difficult. Stay aside for now.
$/¥ demand yesterday should have no lasting effect. It might be a good opportunity to jump back the short side from hindsight.
Nothing else for now.

MALAYSIA ALBERT 00:41 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
TOKYO JON, what is your view for gbp & jpy today?

OZ deanobravo 00:40 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb th 00:34 GMT bit of a anticlimax eh? was expecting a firmer number to be honest...i am sitting long and was looking to add on the release of the number, but think I will forget it for now...
hows things...keeping your head above water?

OZ deanobravo 00:39 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
melb th 00:34 GMT bit of a anticlimax eh? was expecting a firmer number to be honest...i am sitting long and was looking to censored on the release of the number, but think I will forget it for now...
hows things...keeping your head above water?

melb th 00:34 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
thanks deano.

OZ deanobravo 00:32 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
AUST CPI +0.7 M/M 3% Y/Y bang on forcasts...

GER ad 00:25 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
From GVI-Archive:
beijing bc 09:21 GMT January 9, 2003
Buying Eur/Usd at 1.04 seems a bit expensive short-term but still looks like a bargain some months down the road..
How true and this only after 12 days.

Stockholm za 00:20 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
This forum is geting TOO crazy... seems like it`s loosing prospective ::::> true or false...?????

OZ deanobravo 00:15 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
US dollarbasher 23:53 wots the computer forum equiv of liking to hear the sound of your own voice! stll some of it was amusing...

Tallinn viies 00:12 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
next achievable target for the euro within 24 hours is 1,0790/95 IMHO

Spr NoodyG 00:09 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
Are you from the moon ?

Brisbane 00:00 GMT January 22, 2003 Reply   
US dollarbasher that could have been link you know

 




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