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Forex Forum Archive for 01/31/2003

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Welkom J.W 23:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
When do you shoot yourself?
only joking

LONDON K.R 22:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
fOLLOW USD/YEN TO THE MOON.

JHB SA 22:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good nite GB....not good you.....may your soul....look after u...

JHB SA 22:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FX trading missing

JHB SA 22:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
censored why not cotactable? My dealfx not available...why?

murcia pedro 22:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
houston pichon 22:00 GMT January 31, 2003 => :-))) Nope, sorry for the late reply, just at market as it is said. If more or less opening sunday prices are as today's closing ones, then do it :-)) GL GT

houston pichon 22:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Murcia Pedro ,

estas dormido ??

Ga Lee 21:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toyko fix is about 19:50 EST time erik...the others I'm not sure of...

Toronto BA 21:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Erik- what do you mean by fixes?
when the market opens?

houston pichon 21:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Murcia Pedro,
your posting are for trading when ?? thanks

Toronto BA 21:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Anyone notice there is a lot of big moves between 8-10 New York time?

Toronto BA 21:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

It seems like the longer time frames work better for trading forex-
4-16 hours

murcia pedro 21:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
TO MY CALLS POSTED EARLIER, ADD :
BUY USDCAD @ MARKET (bought at 1.5210)

REMEMBER 15/20 PIP PROFIT (NET PROFIT)

LOSS SET 5 PIPS ABOVE OR BELOW THE LAST HIGH OR LOW DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION OF THE TRADE

Toronto Erik 21:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
can someone help me out? know when the various fixes are, NY, london, and asian? thanks alot

Berkeley AG 21:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
What a market. Luckily, i only had ONE Eur/usd long left before the dollar rally. Down 53 pips with it though. Don't like going to weekends with 2 positions. Long eur/usd at 1.0815 and 1.0730.

Bought dollar/Yen at 119.20 before going to sleep. Took a nice 80 pip profit.

Look for a profit taking retracement on forex or dow opening.

Have a nice weekend everybody, thanks for your opinions.

PT JR 20:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
MURCIA...OK..I SEE.. ..IM FROM PORTO.......THANKS HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND ALL.....GT

Buenos Aires Pedro 20:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Murcia Pedro... mismo nombre, mismo idioma!!!
Have a great w/e to all.

murcia pedro 20:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
PT JR 20:29 GMT January 31, 2003 => Nope, I'm from Spain, Murcia (capital of the autonomous region of the same name Murcia, in the east of Spain, seaside) :-)

PT JR 20:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
MURCIA_PEDRO U FROM PORTUGAL=MURCIA?

Toronto BA 20:24 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hey - I made some money by mistake- (for a change)
This is how- I had an OCO in on the CHF at 1.3572 that I forgot about and it kicked in after I went to sleep-

Didn't get out at the top however, I'll have to put another limit order in to capture more of the move in the future-

Hope this strategy helps- I think Dallas tipped me off to it-

Thx Dallas-







Melb mpfx 20:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
murcia pedro // Thank u, have a great w/e..

murcia pedro 20:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Melb mpfx 20:10 GMT : smart, elegant and respectful as always :-) GL GT

Melb mpfx 20:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ROME ANGELA 19:52 // Hi, the quicker u learn how to make ur own trading decissions the better off u will be. U have to imagine what would happen if there was no forum, could u still trade ?? Develop some kind of system, learn about T/A, funnymentals and other factors that effect the markets.
Some traders just use the simple old moving average for trading while others will use a squillion technical indicators.
You have to find a sytem and trading style that suits u.
Me, i use a mathematical model i developed in excell inconjuction with ma's on charts with indicators, RSI and MACD and prefer to look for convergence / divergence as opposed to over bought or O/Sold in these indicators.
This is in no way meant as criticism, just thought it may help.
Also fwiw do not enter a trade on a friday with only an hour or so to go, many things can happen over the w/e that may effect fx markets.
AMVHO.........
gt......

Sofia BgTrader 20:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi to all!
What do you think about USD/JPY?
Up down?
IMO it is in an emerging uptrend ,and any correction to 119.45-50 should be bought.
But on friday noone should trade IMO,that's why i am relaxing now.
Have a nice Weekend!

Monterrey Niman10-1 20:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela, people who want to learn are very much welcome, i think.. but asking for trading advice ONLY might not be nice in the long run. I suggest you read a lot more about the buisiness while you participate on this forum, because in the future the forum would like to have your valuable input in return for the advice it gives to you (me, or anyone).

Aside from that, i think its a terrible idea to open a position at this moment. Good luck.

ROME ANGELA 20:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
OK , i dont like it either but the price sounds attractive. but i guess i will wait

Buenos Aires Pedro 20:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi everyone!!

Angela... im agree with the others guys.. its better to wait sunday

ROME ANGELA 19:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
QUESTION

WHO THE F ARE YOU

yvr maxxim 19:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome Angela - It's better to wait till sunday, most of us square ( close - take profit ) posistions, to avoid parking charges, that is if they are in the black. GL.

Question 19:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela darling do your mommy and daddy know you are using the computer right now?

ROME ANGELA 19:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
THANK YOU DALLAS

Gen dk 19:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 19:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela, Your English is MUCH better than my Italian, I assure you. OK, IF you take EURO long from HERE 1.0750 then I would place a STOP LOSS @ 1.0675. It probably will touch 1.0710/20 again but IMO that should hold.

Rome Angela 19:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
MURCIA

thanks, where are you living. and what do you think of going long( buying eur/uds) at surrent rate and keep it over the weekend and how far up do you think it will go? thanks for the commene

murcia pedro 19:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
rome angela : beautiful city you live in, lucky you're ;-)) GL GT

Dallas GEP 19:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I am leaving for now guys because I have a date with a race car. See you guys Sunday night (Texas time).

ROME ANGELA 19:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS

sorry i am italian and bad in english. so you are saying that 1.075 is a good rate to go long(buy erou)?

murcia pedro 19:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi guys there in the forum, here are my calls :
SELL GBP/JPY @ MARKET
SELL USD/CHF @ MARKET
SELL USD/JPY @ MARKET
BUY EURO/USD @ MARKET
BUY AUD/USD @ MARKET

all calls for 15-20 pip net profit. GT & GL

ROME ANGELA 19:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
SORRY

Rome angela 19:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS
can you tell me if it is good to buy euro at 1.075 now? i really appreciate it

Dallas GEP 19:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela, I am not particularly fond of holding positions over the weekend. So I personally wouldn't take the postion. If you do take it long then your stop should probably be around 675.

Rome Angela 19:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS
can you answer my question pls

Dallas GEP 19:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Those of you not wanting to leave postions open over the weekend may wish to close USD/CHF short here or run a trailing profit @ 1.3660.

ROME ANGELA 19:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS

you were so right about euro, it did reach 1.072. you are so good at this. can you tell me if it is good to buy euro at 1.075 now? i really appreciate it hon

Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I will readily admit to having GOOD information but certainly nothing that is not readily available to anyone else.

Shelby, leave me the RED M&M's please!!!!

osaka eh 19:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
"motivation of others in regard to taking postions have to be considered ALWAYS." Sounds like you are watching order flow at the source...!

whatever works, thanks again

Shelbyville MKT 19:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Everyone have a good weekend.

Dallas GEP 19:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Eh, that has to with having a good sense of timing. While some of it can be learned, my opinion is you either have it or you don't. Events outside our control and the motivation of others in regard to taking postions have to be considered ALWAYS. Secondarily, consideration must be given to the relative strenghts of the parites that are taking oppossing positions. You then basically BET on the outcome of the fight trying to keep the emotional factors OUT of the equation.

swk s 19:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP Thank you very much for JPY opinion. I will have to wait.

Helsinki iw 19:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FWIW/ This move in EUR/USD could be over soon. It looks like
a classical correction, with a weak trend and lots of overlaps.
Will try and buy any spike lower now to below 1,0700, but it
might not materialise looking at how the market is trading now.
So Ill be square over the w/e, just long AUD/JPY ticking over,
will look again next week. I think that if we challenge the 1,09
again, it will break and at least 1,11 will be seen.

Revdax, if you are still here, sorry to have missed the top in
USD/JPY by 5 pips. It is toppish now.

Have a good w/e everybody.

Dallas GEP 18:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I meant 119.70

yvr maxxim 18:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
eu/us close above 60 lvl. will take us higher GL

Dallas GEP 18:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hello CAB. SWK S , my opinion is that it may have some trouble breaking back down through 80 and if USD/JPY goes long it probably will break back down short around 120.40/45. All in all though 120.70 is very possible again but maybe not today.

osaka eh 18:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
GEP Dallas it seems as though when you are calling trades, they are executing pretty fast--at least the last two days--and to my experience, the only thing REALLY hard about trading is getting in at the right time--most reasonable people can read price but time, thats the holy grail IMVHO

swk s 18:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP Thanks a lot, I got sell signal based on RSI divergence and MACD cross and BB, but now it is stuck. I will keep watching. GL

yvr maxxim 18:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
my screen gone blank

Dallas GEP 18:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Actually SWK S, I am somewhat undecided about USD/JPY. I will let you know though.

My tendancy would be to take it LONG from here but I don't know that I would want to leave it open over the weekend.

swk s 18:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dalla GEP Will you give me some opinion on JPY please. I sold at 119.71. Think it will go back there? Please

osaka eh 18:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
yes, but he timed it so anyone who took the call didnt have to wait more than a few minutes...in forex often you have to wait days for a call to materialize

yvr maxxim 18:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Osaka eh - what goes up must come down and vice versa.

Dallas GEP 18:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
How do I do what, EH????

Gen dk 18:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

yvr maxxim 18:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
us/chf res. - 1.3650 same for eu/us 50 lvl. res. for now

Gen dk 18:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

osaka eh 18:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS... HOW DO YOU DO THAT?

Paris ib 18:42 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. If my grandmother had wheels she would be a wheel barrow. Nevertheless, I will take a look at it. I have always preferred seat of my pants learning on the street. Nothing is ever the same as you read in a book, sadly.

Shelbyville MKT 18:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, If you would read the book (The New Options Advantage) Author, David L. Caplan. You might come up with some different ways to use options to your advantage.

Paris ib 18:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Cumino. Thanks. I trade options but I don't really bother much with the theory.

P.S. To some of the other participants here: I'm not French. I just live here (and even that is very recent). U'll have to try harder guys.

Gen dk 18:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

swk s 18:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP Nice call on CHF, do you see short on JPY as well?

Toronto VY 18:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas:Seems like time to show right time for broken watch,good job,GL,GT.

yvr maxxim 18:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Do not see much for the rest of today, wait till sunday pm to make next move. GL/Good trading to you all.

Dallas GEP 18:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Thanks MAXXIM. Even a broken watch is right twice a day. (no, I am not a broken watch!!!!)

Gen dk 18:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

yvr maxxim 18:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP - Good call there yesterday with s/l at 1.0840, very profitable. GL. :-)

Dallas GEP 18:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
370 = 3720

Dallas GEP 18:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
OK you could try USD/CHF SHORT from 3690 with STOP @ 3720 and Target @ 3570. Failure of 370 on upside and 3800 could be seen. However IMO Short scenario is more likely. Watch this because it can move FAST.

ny s car go 17:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Typical of the French to leap "frog" from one side of the fence to the other!

yvr maxxim 17:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
14 hours of nothing, zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz - and then 100 pips TKY,TKY - have good weekend you all. :-))))))))

pd cumino 17:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib 17:31 GMT January 31, 2003
European options are exercised only at expiry, American when you want. But it is not rationale to exercise AM. before expiry in almost all the events (the only is when are deeple ITM and interest rates are very high).
Options have two values: intrinsic (difference between strike and spot) and time value. If you exercise before expiry you receive only the intrinsic value, i.e. the difference between strike and spot. So you will never exercise before, but you will sell the option.
The only case the AM were exercised is when the time-value is lower than the future-value of the sum received, invested at free-risk.

Va Raven 17:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Walk, do not run in teh event of emergency.... but let her go first and no more push like yesterday......

Dallas GEP 17:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DOW +125 look for some USD strength for time being

Houston TDR 17:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Karachi 17:38 very funny

FW CS 17:40 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ib/ Looks like our definitions are a little different but whatever the case. In a given year I exercise maybe 1 option - the kind that can be exercised anytime.

osaka eh 17:40 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Karachi lol!

Toronto Erik 17:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
just read now from IFR that some fund came in at 6540 in futures to execute some 800 contracts. What's he doing man? =)

Karachi 17:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Going to war without france, is like going hunting without an accordian.

Paris ib 17:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I feel like searching around for another inflammatory quote so I can get them all rattling their cages again. Tut tut.

Houston TDR 17:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto Erik Looks like the EUR/CAD cross is moving the CAD

Paris ib 17:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FW. I thought American options were the ones that you can only exercise on expiry and European options are the ones you can exercise any time, but which are a lot more expensive. I trade Over the Counter American options (which I think is what most OTC are.... though the more expert may disagree) and I never hold to expiry (unless I am left with a dog by personal negligence and can't get out). I would rather roll to next expiry than exercise.

Genoa nic 17:28 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tks IB, of interest, Fiat CDA scheduled on tuesday. GL to you

Gen dk 17:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Paris ib 17:24 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Genoa. FWIW you can but Goldman June Fiat calls with a strike of 10 for 0,052 right now. They have been double that recently (maybe 10 days ago), but not much lower than current levels. We shall see. GL and GT.

Shelbyville MKT 17:24 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, If you want a Futures account email for a Brokers name to trade CME Options.

Gen dk 17:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Toronto Erik 17:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
what's with CAD all of a sudden ???

FW CS 17:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib
Are all the options there European style options where it can only be exercised on expiration? Or are there American sytle options there where you can exercise anytime? I don't think I would sell European style options

Genoa nic 17:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Maybe a good idea, IB. however I prefer a quick speculative and technical trade on that stock instead of position trading.

Paris ib 17:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. Yeah I know. You are the soul of caution. I gotta get me that CME a/c so I can do it too, here in Europe the whole system is SO anti unlimited risk (which is what you are doing if you sell... and they don't like it here). However, as you may have noticed I have been negligent and busy (well sort of) elsewhere. Pathetic really.

pd cumino 17:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Not good amount of stop-loss before 1.0650/60. This spot level is too far from that point, so day-traders (long USD) may become a little nervous as risk-reward are becoming negative.

Paris ib 17:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Genoa Nic. You can buy nice cheap June calls without bothering with the physical stuff. Bit of a lottery ticket but going cheap at the moment. Be a while before we close above 9. More bang for your buck.

Shelbyville MKT 17:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, You know Paris I'd rather write options than buy them.

Shelbyville MKT 17:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, On buying Calls or Puts I will risk only half of the cost of the option paid. If the option doubles I sell half of the position or sell a higher strike to turn the trade into a Free trade.

Genoa nic 17:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Wish you good luck on that car, might join you aboard on a daily close above 9, for a nice trip to 10!

FW CS 17:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
There will be a weekly buy signal on the cash Dow Jones if it can close above 8025. A single bar buy signal as the lower weekly band is at 8015. If it closes below that lower band will signal continuation to at least the 7532.60 low followed by 7197.40.

Toronto Erik 17:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
At what times are the London, NY, and Asian fixes? thanks

Paris ib 17:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. How do u decide entry and exit levels?

Perth pm 17:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
osaka eh 16:57 GMT January 31, 2003. I was given 1.3697 & 1.3725 / 48.GL

Paris ib 17:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. I have no method. Complete random walk. Mostly if I stay calm and watch closely I do pretty well. If I get myself into frenzy mode, well that's another story. I don't buy or sell based on the level of the calls but based on what's going on in the underlying market, works much better that way.

Genoa. Yeah really. Mind you I have always coveted the 600 multipla. Bought a used 500 once, had to get it trashed before it was even on the road.

Monterrey Niman10-1 17:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
GEP// I think the dollar LONGERS will be even more itchy about leaving their longs open in the Iraq scenario. I used to hear people saying fridays are dollar days, but maybe that was taken from the days of the uptrending dollar, which could reverse in present day, but even more imporant is: and how do I now..heh. GL.

osaka eh 16:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
USD/CHF from oversold to overbought in one day...where is the top on this leg?

Genoa nic 16:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi, IB, driving a nice "multipla"?!?

Shelbyville MKT 16:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, How do you decide when to sell your calls?

Paris ib 16:54 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Was also thinking of the Dax and the CAC. But, probably, like you am holding off.... was kidding myself into the idea that I am gonna build this up slowly. Like I ever do.

Dallas GEP 16:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Just a little Theory to Ponder. As you know This basically has been a SELL dollar month SO.......with month end today, you could expect some dollar BUYING to occurr EVEN if the DOW dips.

Now, BIG time players know they can't close ALL their SHORT dollar postions at the same time so one would have to assume that the dollar buys buyers would come in waves rather than rushes.

Sentiment has also been growing that some type of dollar correction was coming anyway so dollar shorters may become more uncomfortable in leaving postions open especially in lieu of the fact that actually armed conflict with IRAQ is probably at least 4-6 weeks away.

But WTH do I know????

Paris ib 16:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. Nasdaq 100, Nikkei and Fiat. Long June calls.

Shelbyville MKT 16:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, I would like to short Gold Calls but!!! I'm going to hold off for now.

Shelbyville MKT 16:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, Which stock futures are you trading??

Paris ib 16:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. How do you like the odds in shorting Gold calls?

Paris ib 16:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino. Do whatever u want.

Shelbyville MKT 16:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, I'm short Heating Oil calls, Short Euro Calls, Short Swiss Calls, Short Cocoa Calls, Long Soymeal, No S & P position at this time.

pd cumino 16:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib 16:26 GMT January 31, 2003
Perhaps the poll is manipulated, perhaps it really reflects the EU opinion. If so, because I am Euopean, I want to say that I'm ashamed for their sake and I beg US people pardon.

LA Mel 16:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
http://armageddononline.tripod.com/index.htm

Paris ib 16:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville. Yeah, how did u guess?

Paris ib 16:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Chicago Irish.... so I guess all the guys hoping for WWIII aren't so nuts after all. Maybe we should all join the Raelians.

Shelbyville MKT 16:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, Have you taken a position in stock futures lately??

Paris ib 16:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Shelbyville..... well it certainly looks like that, doesn't it. Guess all the trouble makers like me now know EXACTLY how to rattle the cages of the guys out there, which is always useful information on a quiet day.

Nice little reversal of fortune happening now. How's it going with you?

LA ARTOFYEN 16:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
A wave of usd buyer's coming in? More like white wash, pal. Play it 1.0720-1.0765 for rest of day or until a side gives way. Leaning towards 20 level giving way so continue to trade with that bias.

Paris ib 16:42 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Whatever guys.... chill. It's just an on-line poll. But most people in most places don't seem so keen on the war.

USD buying getting a kick along here as the great stock market melt-down fails to live up to its initial promise, despite all the bears and the nay-sayers and the Raelians. We could be on to a nice new trend here at least for the short term in both stocks and the USD (which means the AUD goes down...... which I guess gives the guy in LDN a chance to leap out of the dark, come on you've been consistent so far).

Shelbyville MKT 16:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib, You really got it going today!!

Sofia Red 16:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Aint all those posts properlly belonging to the Political Forum

LA Mel 16:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
think about the kind of people that answer polls. they are usually people who 1. have no life, and will talk to anyone. 2. have some sort of cause, and want to be heard by the world. 3. are ex-dollar mark dealers and have lost it completely years ago, and are wandering around aimlessly.

ny 16:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
here we go again the next wave of dollar buyers coming in !!!

Dallas GEP 16:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Yeah Shelby, I am about as happy as a puppy with two tails. Pass the M&M's

Chicago Irish 16:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Now if they polled Americans as to which country they would prefer to attack,France or Iraq........

LA ARTOFYEN 16:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
60% of people polled said less filling while 40% said taste's great..........

FW CS 16:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Euro almost at its 15 bar Bollinger Band midpoint which has acted as support and is also a magnet point. So expecting a bounce soon around 1.07 - 1.0680.

$/Yen has a mixed picture daily is painting a trend reversal if it closes here as this would be a close above its upper Bollinger Band. However the weeklly is approching its Middle 15 week band which has acted as resistance so can also expect a sellof from there around 120.30. We are close now.

LA ARTOFYEN 16:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris, was that pole conducted in Lebanon?

LA Mel 16:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Paris ib 16:26
and i thought americans were stupid....

Shelbyville MKT 16:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas, Looks like you having a good time today.

Gen dk 16:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 16:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
15:05 NY Just like we planned!!!! LOL

15:10 FXDH Thanks, dart board was working this morning.

15:12 IB NO, see earlier post

ny 16:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
it is interesting , the question should be asked. Who is the biggest threat to do nothing and watch the world destroy itself? The answer would be Germany and France 99 pct and Us 1 pct

Gen dk 16:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Paris ib 16:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
In a poll of more than 300,000 people by the European edition of Time magazine asked which country posed the greatest threat to world peace, 8percent nominated North Korea, 9percent said Iraq, and 83percent said the US.

NEW YORK fxdh 16:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
thanks see ya

Tallinn viies 16:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
bought also euro ag usd at 1,0774
bouight more at 1,0746.
b/e at 60
stop and reverse now at 1,0719.
target 1,0800/05.

talk to u later got to ru now

Tallinn viies 16:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
bought euro/yen at 128,73
this is what I call "once in a lifetime"! ;)
it is joke of course but it is good level top enter

slv sam 16:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
sorry s/l 778

osaka eh 16:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Well if YOU need help, we are doomed...

slv sam 16:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Just sold e/$ at 750 for 685 later today or max Monday,s/l 678.GL

Gen dk 16:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 16:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
EH, I need help MYSELF!!!!

pd cumino 16:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ny 16:00 GMT January 31, 2003 What are you saying? A foreign to cover US equity fx exposure and rehedge has to sell USD and buy his foreign currrency.

Bel Air KK 16:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
USD overbought across the board on all short term charts (1 hour and lower), thus we should see some retracement but keep eye on DJIA to see the strength in USD today. Should be high correlation.

GL & GT

Dallas GEP 16:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good time to close any existing CHF longs BTW IMO

osaka eh 16:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP that was an incredibly useful call. Thanks for your input here, you are helping a few of us make decent money here...not that most of us need help...right?

Dallas GEP 16:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA,
What did I tell you that SWISS??? Closed CHF @ +90PIPS profit.

ny 16:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd ; I heard it is the other way , these guys have dollars to buy to adjsut there hedgeds

Gen dk 15:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

pd cumino 15:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Today is end of the month hedging for the U.S. equity index, (from foreigners e.a.) They will be selling USD as rehedge themselves. Market doesn't knows size. Rumored may be at 11.00 E.T.

Chatham RD 15:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Fix Selling inthe euro going through right now

LA SNP 15:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
thinking of selling EURUSD ... T/P @ 1.0660/70
also buying USDCHF ... T/P @ 1.38 +/- 20

any suggestions ?
TIA GL GT :-)

Bel Air KK 15:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia VM 15:38 GMT January 31, 2003

Sorry for late reply, I was busy with a quick Euro short trade.

@ 16:00 GMT = 9 mins = Prices will be set for Friday's close in London. At this point we should see some USD demand for the weekend as well as month end.

Cheers.

osaka eh 15:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
does EUR need another test of top to REALLY push down? Wonder if we have enough time left today to find out...taking small long position here...1.0750

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 15:42 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Year of the Great GoaT...

Time for USD Correction ..

Germany im coming.......tom( how come to lose this Friday?..haha!)
nk

Gen dk 15:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sofia Alex 15:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia VM 15:36 GMT January 31, just was curious if there was a way to contact you. No problem mate

Sofia VM 15:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Bel Air KK 15:31
What u mean with this, pls?
TIA
GL

Chicago Irish 15:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Qindex,BC,Gecko and all Chinese traders on the Forum
Gung Hai Fat Choi and Xie Nien Quai Luh.

Sofia VM 15:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex 15:27
No I don`t have one!
Why?
GL

Guangzhou Joewoo 15:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!No matter you are Chinses or not,best wishes to you!
Have good trades in the new year!

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 15:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Year of the Great Goast...

Huppy New year..to all Chinese frds..

Actually GBP/USD still seems strong..
And Euro /usd still seems strong....
But i think was a good $ Friday and Dow seems to go up +200 points..
So take care if u are in long side..

nk

Bel Air KK 15:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
London Fix @ 16:00 GMT should prove further USD demand.

Gen dk 15:28 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sofia Alex 15:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia VM 15:19 GMT , Hello VM, do you have ICQ or MSN messenger

Helsinki iw 15:23 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia VM/ I use 21-hour moving averages, and 2,0 STD. I
know other people use different settings, so I guess it is
worthwhile experimenting and studying to find what you think
is best.

Sofia VM 15:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 15:09
What parametres do u prefer for the 1 hourly BB, pls?
TIA
GL

Gen dk 15:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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Gen dk 15:17 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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ger ib 15:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Would you buy chf at htese levels(1.3644) Dallas??

Sofia Alex 15:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 15:09 GMT , Thank you mate, much appreciated.IMHO if yesterday's low in EUR$ stays intact, perhaps another pull up is on its way

Gen dk 15:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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NEW YORK fxdh 15:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
great call in swiss dallas

Helsinki iw 15:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sofia Alex/ We are trading way outside Bollinger Bands in hou-
rly charts. They tend to contain the volatilty in the market
pretty well, so I expect at least range-trading for a while if
not some pullback.

Gen dk 15:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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Sofia Alex 15:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Helsinki iw 15:02 GMT January 31, on what time frame?

ny 15:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
dallas good call in swiss reached your profit objective in 10 mins . Good work

Gen dk 15:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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slv sam 15:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
slv sam 14:32 GMT January 31, 2003
Sold e/$ at 798 for 750 today target,s/l 838,GL

took profits sooner than expected!, good luck all. I could have waited for more profits but I decided to leave it to the other guy!

Helsinki iw 15:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
N.B. Oversold EUR/USD, overbought USD/CHF

uk 15:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
gbp/usd intraday bottom pickers stops getting hit

Helsinki iw 15:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Even though this we are now seeing might be the general dir-
ection forthe USD today, we are deeply oversold on an hourly
basis. FWIW

Toronto Erik 15:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pmi 56

Gen dk 15:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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Livingston nh 14:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
USD/CAD looks to make a run at the 1.54 ceiling - daily indicators have turned positive on this

uk 14:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
today will be the 1st dollar Friday in a long time

Gen dk 14:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 14:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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NY JS 14:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
U- MICHIGAN 82.4

pd cumino 14:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
uk 14:27 GMT January. Also from 3 JAN to 21JAN BOJ was less friendly than ECB, (and fx market knew this at least from 6 months) but USD/JPY vol was normally higher than EUR/USD...
Anyway thank you for your opinion. GL

Tempe KBB 14:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Dallas GEP Thanks took your suggestion and also shorted Euro at same time.Always appreciate your insights

LA saint3 14:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
what is gbp target?

uk 14:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
euro target 1.0710/1.0685

Spain javier 14:40 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tks all...

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
AJD 14:06 / did some checking but could not confirm, although it wouldn't be surprising given that it is month end.

Gen dk 14:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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Tallinn viies 14:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
planning to buy euros around 1,0775.
stops under 30

slv sam 14:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sold e/$ at 798 for 750 today target,s/l 838,GL

NYC NYC 14:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Mich sentiment comes out at 14:45 gmt, not 15:00

Bel Air KK 14:28 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
U of Michigan = 14:45 GMT = 17 min

uk 14:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino 14:14 not strange at all, since ECB is friendlier then BOJ, the players had designated eur/usd as the main dollar bashing instrutment from december. usd/jpy had been regulated to a second fiddle role.

NEW YORK fxdh 14:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
10am

Spain javier 14:24 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Is michigam to come out?

slv sam 14:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
slv sam 15:42 GMT January 24, 2003
bought E/Y at 127.43 for 130 target, s/l 126.88,GL

took profit at 129,35 and will watch for now.GL

pd cumino 14:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
SARASOTA JF.(Japan interventions)
If you look what I posted on JAN 21
I said "I suspect Central banks are in play....."
One of the reasons was that inusually implied vol in USD/JPY became lower than EUR/USD. A very strange fact!

Gen dk 14:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 14:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
thnks guys
personally planning to ride it until 129,85 at least,
moved my trailing stop to 128,54
fwiw

NEW YORK fxdh 14:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
heard same....looks good on charts too
mentioned earlier

Nairobi, Kenya JK 14:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tallin viies 9.46.
Thanks for the Eurojpy. Rode on your forecast and made some bucks. Thanks alot.

NYC AJD 14:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hearing that there will be large USD/CAD buying at the Ldn fix today. Anyone else hear the same ?

Dallas GEP 14:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronta BA,

Sorry about the delay. USD/CHF had spent SEVERAL hours consolidating @ the 3550 area. 3540/3550 support there appears to be VERY strong. DOW futures were up (sometimes though no correaltion to stock prices). PLUS risk 30 PIPS to get over a 100PIPS is IDEAL so IMO well worth taking the position. Trade is up +16 points at this time.

sofia joyrex 14:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
After EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY its time for EUR/USD to go up today, dont you think?

MUMBAI 14:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hats off to you tallin ....u the MAN!

NEW YORK fxdh 14:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
good call tallinn

Edi Geo 14:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
fine shout viies

Tallinn viies 13:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
SO - euryen 129,30/35 traded!

NYC NYC 13:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
NYC DTA. More cross flows than outright euro or usd.

Shelbyville MKT 13:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
US Cash Dollar Index: 99.50 >> Down - .02

nyc DTA 13:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I sure looks like the market just is afraid to be short euros for any length of time. Theres been some profit taking but no real selling to this point. Monday is a new month A guess we'll have to wait and see if the uptrend continues or the top is really in at 1.0900. This could also be a consolidation period for euro for the next leg up. ( alot of diff. seniaros indeed) GLGT all

GER ad 13:20 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Closed short Cable at 1.6498

CHICAGO KMFDM 13:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
smart prop guy w/a large bid at 70-75 lvl in gbp

CHICAGO KMFDM 13:17 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
gd supp in gbp at 70 lvl, expect to see it.

sarasota jf 13:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Nairobi, Kenya JK 13:12 GMT January 31, 2003
80 is 72 m.a on hourly so your stop in right place .. gl

uk 13:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
gbp/usd target 1.6455/05

NEW YORK fxdh 13:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
$cad looks great for 1.5445/50

Nairobi, Kenya JK 13:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi friends anyone with gbpusd support intraday. Am bit long and burning dont know whether my stop at 1.6470 will be touched to book me losses.

sarasota jf 13:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
CHICAGO KMFDM 13:09 GMT January 31, 2003
gbp leading the market today have to be patient for euro to tag along lower

CHICAGO KMFDM 13:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
LIKE THE EUR LWR TOO S/T. Seems a bit over done still.Maybe 1.0730

NEW YORK fxdh 13:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
totally agree that BOJ has" placed a floor "here in last few weeks..."firming " strategy

sarasota jf 12:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
they have been supporting the market w/o calling it public intervention for 2 weeks - i indicated so on the forum back then - its just the quiet approach rather than the public not driving the market but putting a floor under it

Global-View 12:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
o oo 12:51 GMT January 31, 2003 (and others), you must include a location when posting an update. TIA for your cooperation.

LA jj 12:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
http://www.bocm.com/bocmrs/Research_Root/
GOOD FX COMMENTARY

o oo 12:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
BOJ has already intervened several times in the past weeks according to MOF. The moves were intended to stabilize the currency rather than to weaken it.

pd cumino 12:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
portsmut amateur 12:27 GMT it is not a fee problem. Those banks offer this type of service (and others) only to corporated clients or institutionals. But, as I said, you can find some good large bank daily tech. analysis in the web for free. I don't know the rules in a forum, but I think I am not permitted to tell you where you can find.
A little advice: consider only those who declare their position, (today we are long/short...) and possibly the size (one position/ half position) and their confidence (small/high), so you may track their perfomance.
The others, in my view, are trash, useful only to try to sell later something of no worth (principally sistem trading) to the fools.

LONDON HJ 12:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Watch EUR for a break below the figure. Sell 95s tp @ 1.0750

Helsinki iw 12:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Thank you revdax, that is why I said USD/JPY COULD move to
my next levels, as I expect stoplosses above said 45/50.

SYDNEY SH 12:38 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
German names selling EUR 1.0815

hk revdax 12:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
it may, of course. That is why i use the word "necessarily".

hk revdax 12:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
iw//If it rains today, it does not mean it will rain tomorrow.

Helsinki iw 12:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Care to elaborate revdax, interested in your view?

portsmut amateur 12:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino Of course there is a fee. This is not a problem. Thanks

hk revdax 12:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
iw//not necessarily...

Helsinki iw 12:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FWIW/ USD/JPY testing resistance at 119,45/50, a break could
see some follow-through towards 120,10 and maybe 120,65/70

Ldn Cashman 12:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Nice one Tallinn- viiees. I'm with you on that one

gbp 12:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
diving ?

NY HJ 12:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
EXPECT SOME DOLLAR GAINS DURING N/A SESSION
EUR 1.0750/1.0830
GBP 1.6475/1.6515

CHEERS+++++

Almaty SZ 12:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn, 129.1 - right, but I can't find confirmation for 129.35 from chart.

pd cumino 11:59 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
portsmut amateur 11:14 GMT. You cannot find these for free. But on the web some other banks publish a daily tech. outlook for free.

Chicago ss 11:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
model guy gave me 30 EUR 20/22 lvl

Tallinn viies 11:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
eur/yen gathering strenght
129,10 taken very very soon ,
and we are going to fly!

Helsinki iw 11:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Ryanair orders 100 aeroplanes from Boeing for a cost of
6bio USD, according to newswire reports.

Toronto BA 11:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Dallas- what is your reasoning for this plz?

thx
BA

Tallinn viies 11:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Almaty SZ 10:25 GMT - what do you mean by that?

Dallas GEP 11:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
USD/CHF suggested trade LONG HERE from 1.3560 Stop @ 1.3530, target 1.3650. Risk Reward is excellent.

Dallas GEP 11:17 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
No impact with Europeon data. THAT FIGURES!!! Michigan Sentiment however SHOULD move markets one way or other. Expected Estimate is 83.5 (slightly down).

portsmut amateur 11:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino Hi, what is the sourse ( how can we find) this 15 analysis? Thanks

Gen dk 11:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Toronto BA 11:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Plus i never sleep anymore playing this game
.......

Toronto BA 11:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

thx Cumino-
This is a game for sure-The money management strategy is key-
I think I will start to play the eminis- they are more predictable-

Dallas GEP 11:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
-17 on Europeon Consumer Confidence, worse than expected. Equals MAY 97 LOW. 98.4 vs. 98.6 January Economic Sentiment. Should be slightly negative on EURO

Bonn db 11:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Eurozone January economic sentiment 98.4 (exp 98.6, prev 98.6) E-12 Eurozone January business sentiment -10 (exp -8.5, prev -9.0) -12 Eurozone January consumer sentiment -17 (exp -16.3, prev -16.0) E-12 Eurozone January business climate -0.29 (exp -0.2, prev -0.2)

pd cumino 11:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA. EU-USD This morning I read 15 tech. analysis (and recommended day's trades) of the head strategists at the most important banks at world.
5 of these sell EUR here or a little higher, 5 buy EUR here or a little lower, 5 are neutral.
Also in this forum people ask continuosly if EUR will go higher or lower, what is the outlook, what are the levels and so.
But I take a simple view: the two parameters are 1.0735 and 1.09. We are in the middle. No good risk-reward to buy or to sell.

Gen dk 10:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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beijing bc 10:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
MPFX 04:41 -- Good evening..Thanks for your kind words..Hope you are doing fine..Good trades to you..

VIIES 06:46 -- Good evening..Thanks for your kind words..Hope you are doing fine..USD Index 100 and USD/CHF 1.35 all call for some profit taking for some medium-term players..So, they may be some correction around these levels for a few weeks or so..But the medium-term USD weak trend which started last year is not over yet and highly likely to play out as the primary trend of this year again ..Asian money and Japanese money are still flowing into Euro assets from USD assets and unlikely to stop unless ECB clearly state their public objection to rising Euro or Fed publically object to the fall of dollar..For medium-term position players a preferred startegy is still buying Euro,Gold and Aud on dips..Imho..Good trades..

Dallas GEP 10:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DOW futures up +34 right now

Dallas GEP 10:40 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
No actually everyone is waiting on the WEALTH of data that is coming out the MOST important of which is Eurpeon Consumer Confidence @ 11:00 GMT (15 minutes) and Michigan Sentiment @ 14:45 GMT (expected 83.5).

mumbai 10:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
all jpy crosses....eurjpy , gbpjpy, chfjpy, audjpy look a little tired in the short term.....could see a fast pullback if it fails to maintain the momentum.....given their proximity to crucial resistances......imho...

Dallas GEP 10:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hasn't been too exciting but the suggested USD/JPY long made 45 points from 118.85 to 119.30 off a limit order.

Toronto BA 10:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Waiting to catch a bunch of people off guard, that is-

Toronto BA 10:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

So what is happening here-
some smart alec bankers buying lots of currency and waiting to catch a buch of people off gurad?

Just a guess-

Almaty SZ 10:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn, what is the base for your target of eurjpy as 129.35

Nsk 10:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi ppl plz tell me why is that side on EURUSD now? What market waits for?

Gen dk 10:20 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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yvr maxxim 10:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
14 hours of nothing when is it gonna end ? :-(

Helsinki iw 09:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
viies/ Good call and nice run there. Im long some AUDJPY my-
self.

Gen dk 09:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 09:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
euryen tested 129,00/05 and failed first time,
now its second time to try it.
and I bet it will break it.
buying here is still favoured strategy and first target I have is 129,35

Ga Lee 09:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Would that be a neckline at 1.3550ish...lining up with the 100 average on the hourlies..$/swiss I mean..

yvr maxxim 09:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Markets in korea, hong kong, taiwan closed friday for holiday . that's why no action zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.

Calcutta Vikram 09:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
If 1.35 goes, yes, its a possibility

London Rhood 09:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Any of the chart boys over here think dollar swiss is going down the bog ?

Melb mpfx 09:17 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
melb th 09:08 GMT // Lol.. :))

Nairobi, Kenya JK 09:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Soft1000.
Your software looks like only developed for europe and then USA!
Why not snub S.America,Larger Asia,far East and Africa?

Melb mpfx 09:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
soft1000 soft1000 09:03 GMT January 31, 2003
Dear Sirs ! Why dont u take all your software and learn how to use it, then u will not have to bother the forum with your free adds...just a thought

Can. Ma. 09:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
soft 1000.
I guess & you are really soft....
Ma.

la GOLDD 09:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
its like a first date, with a girl. you dont know if you should
make a move to hug and kiss the girl, or wait for the second
date. in the meantime nothing is happening.

melb th 09:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
This market is seriously deranged and in need of an analyst. Possibly Freudian?

Stockholm za 09:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
A typical friday- everybody is watching and no body want`s to make the first move... love this business

soft1000 soft1000 09:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
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melbourne farmacia 09:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax - not to confident with Yen today, but chart wise,
yen's still above my rising trend line with bottom at 118.64 / mid 119.18 and top @ 119.73. I think Qindex's top range was 119.56?
out for dinner, spending some pips on the girlfriend.

ny friend 08:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
remember the trend is your friend.

Can. Ma. 08:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
PA dessi,
Bullish flag pattern or any other in this respects is not giving you a " green " ticket.
All I am trying to say is that in this case PROBABILITY that this pair might go up is higher.
Ma.

Helsinki iw 08:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning. Pretty mixed outlook intraday for EUR/USD now.
We have retraced pretty well exactly 61,8% of the drop from
1,0897 now and this level needs to hold or another test to
1,0900/20 is on the cards. If we are going to test higher, the
dailies are not so overbought anymore, and there is a better
chance to break, which will probably target levels around 1,11
then.I will buy on stop basis at 1,0850 and will add on a break
the previous top. IMHO.

PA dessi 08:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Can. Ma. 08:12 GMT January 31, 2003
Gbp looks overstretched, the real risk being 1.66, but if eur/usd stays below 1.0830, I cannot see it any further.
Would not buy at these levels, r/r does not look favorable.
Also, keep an eye on eur/gbp. Looks like 0.6520 will hold, so any upmove on this cross won't bode well for cable, unless eur/usd turns decisively up. GL+GT

hk revdax 08:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
farmacia//Do you think we have seen the top of $/JY today?

los angeles dat 08:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
euro seems to be wedged pretty tightly between 1.0830 and 1.0800. a break above or below should see a decent size move. however, i favor a move to the downside. cable has been bought in the past few moments, but euro failed to move as much. it appears that traders are reluctant to want to add to new longs in euro at these prices.

yvr maxxim 08:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Looks like resistance us/chf at 1.3550 is holding things up. Dealers quoted as $ bullish.

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Can. Ma. 08:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
maelbourne farmacia...
Bullish flag on the 1 h GBP/USD.
Ma.

melbourne farmacia 08:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
sydney ny - be careful of GBP/JPY, watch USD/JPY for direction.

Stockholm za 08:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good day ::> Today is the mirror of friday the 13 so let`s all trade safe today.......

sydney ny 08:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Farmacia.How about GBP/YEN todey?yesterday it runs up 200 pips.

London AL 07:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
GBP: via March Futures currently 1.6506 (equivalent spot add 49 pips) targets 1.6579 but bigger picture 1.6799 1.6998 and possibly 1.7336. looking to buy any pull back near tpo 1.6338 especially if this pm it opens <1.6434. not very likely imho/gl/gt

melbourne farmacia 07:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
GBP/USD - If we take out 1.6580 next target 1.6601.

saloniko 2003 nk 1.18 07:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning..

Mix Warsalad most of the currencies here..

GBP/USD Seems Bull ,Euro/usd seems strong ,.....So i think some days holidays will be fine ..LOL..

Germany im coming...
nk

sydney ny 07:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi forum help,where is the resistance of GBP/USD?Tia

yvr maxxim 07:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Small size Long at 1.0808 s/l 1.0790

Dubai DTD 07:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Goo day friends. GBP looks like a one way bet. What do you all think friends.?

yvr maxxim 07:24 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
All SAR on 5-60 min. charts above price lvl.

Tallinn viies 07:20 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
and if we see hourly close over 129,10 we would be very very bullish on that cross

Madras KR 07:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
NYC ny 06:53 GMT EUR/JPY should reach 129.30/40 first & 129.65/85 later.GL.

yvr maxxim 07:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FWIW - I'm short from 1.0828 moved s/l to 15 . if 1.0797 not taken out will reverse posistion and go long with 10 pip t/s. and buy (load up) more on the way above 1.0840. GL/GT

Gold Coast 07:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Euro will be heading lower short term enabling most to pick up cheapy Euros around 104..105 so dont be in too much of a hurry to get on the train if you looking for longer term

yvr maxxim 06:57 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Stochastics all below 50 (5,15,30,60 min.) eu/us lower I believe.

NYC ny 06:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
TY Tallinn....hats off to you by the way..You are very good with your targets

Tallinn viies 06:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
NYC ny 06:44 GMT - my eur/yen target is 129,85

left stop to 128,23.
should be ok r/r ?

Tallinn viies 06:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Provo John 06:42 GMT - EURUSD also looks ok, but it hasnt took out the yesterdays high, so need to see it first OR if hourly charts oversold and slow stochastic crosses up.
as long as eurusd is ovr 1,0840 it is going up. imho

Tallinn viies 06:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
BC - long time no see.
as I understand you are doing extremly good,
and also you are probably very busy?

we all miss you here.
Can you share your views? What do you think about eur/usd and eurgbp here, lets say for next 3-4 weeks?
thnks in advance n keep it going!

yvr maxxim 06:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
YES - chance to load up for higher I hope 1.0760 long with s/l 1.0700 again and buy more below 60 to bring BEP down from 60 lvl. GL/GT

NYC ny 06:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tallinn...whats your target on eur/jpy?

Provo John 06:42 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
allinn viies 06:34, What of eur$?

sarasota jf 06:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
yvr maxxim 06:37 GMT January 31, 2003
hopefully we see gbp down to 80-90 eur down to 75-80 and chf up to 1.3610-20 to get some gd posns set for later
gl gt

yvr maxxim 06:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
With gold up , stocks down, war on horizon - 1.1000 next.

Tallinn viies 06:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
good morning world!
buing the eur/yen here at 128,76 is strongly adviced.
after nice run up yesterday it resisted little bit here and now is ready to spurt again!

yvr maxxim 06:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
swk s - pp 1.0797 not 92 - below short above long. and a good place to put s/l for SAR. GL/GT

sarasota jf 06:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Provo John 06:31 GMT January 31, 2003
grt minds think alike

sarasota jf 06:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
yest gold sold off down to 363 and eur corrected strongly lower - today gold now 371 and bid - could this mean better to buy eur dips for a run higher later ? time will tell

Provo John 06:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
You may want to rethink that...look at the price of gold! Just went thru 371.35 resistance.

Almaty SZ 06:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD: Euro - trend down: S1-1.076, S2 - 1.072, S3 - 1.068

swk s 06:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
yvr maxxim Morning friend. I see you have posted pivot point and R an S. How do u trade pivots? Entry on cross of pivot or retrace from S and R. Just curious. Thanks

yvr maxxim 06:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
EU/US - support - s2 - 1.0690 - s1 - 1.0753 - pivot point 1.0792 - r1 - 1.0860 - r2 - 1.0904

osaka eh 05:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
bick=big

osaka eh 05:43 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Philly Brm, if you watch a tick chart you get bick ticks. stick to the hourlies in my opinion.

Montreal SJ 05:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Any tips for a newbie ?

thanks

Philly brm 05:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
thanks - nothing worse than a bad tick :)

Provo John 05:11 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Philly brm 05:09, No, most likely you have some bad ticks.

Philly brm 05:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
did something just happen to cable - a couple charts have some biggish moves down

Bishkek kg 05:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hello Chicago nad Berkely/ Thanks for the story. Chicago you are not still sleeping. We have 10.00 morning.

Berkeley AG 04:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Thanks chicago. i had trouble putting the link on the messageboard.
by the way, how is chicago lately? still freezing cold? (i lived in chicago for awhile)

Chicago Irish 04:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
The "dirty Bomb"story

Bishkek kg 04:50 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi Berkely/ what is the 'dirty bomb"

Berkeley AG 04:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I'm surprised there wasn't much reaction to the "dirty bomb" rumours..

Melb mpfx 04:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
beijing bc // Hi bc, wishing u all the best also for the year of the goat, gt to u sir for coming year...

Melb mpfx 04:33 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Gold Coast th / Hi th, hope u well and enjoying the view from your balconey... :))
gt to u

Melb mpfx 04:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
FWIW..
Below is a listing from my system. These are NOT recco's.
I have only posted it to illustrate that in my syst 4 out the 6 are now $$ positive, one is neutral but Her Majesty is still a buy against dollar. Could be just some consolidation but the trend against dollar is not as strong as it was at start of week.
Amvho....gt

Cross Action Entry Stop Target

EUR/USD SELL 1.0819 1.0859 1.0768

USD/JPY BUY 118.63 118.17 119.80

AUD/USD SELL 0.5896 0.5918 0.5862

USD/CHF BUY 1.3545 1.3499 1.3616

GBP/USD BUY 1.6446 1.6407 1.6579

CAD Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral

Bishkek kg 04:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hELLO TO EVERYBODY !!
I am for the first time here!! What is going on with GBP?

beijing bc 04:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Gong he xin xi..Kung hei fat choi..Wish all of traders who celebrate the year of Goat a happy,healthy and wealthy new year..May the trend be with you..

Gold Coast th 04:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Melb mpfx .....Howdy.......

Melb mpfx 04:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Punctuation Police 02:01 GMT // lol.. :))

Gold Coast th 04:02 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Closed short @820 square ..not behaving..Think it might shoot up early europe will try to sell it then...Going for a surf.

Tokyo Jon 03:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hello all,
just a quick hello.

LA ARTOFYEN 03:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I thought about being a farmer but I couldn't seem to be able cultivate forex profits so naturally, I decided to become a currency trader. Basically same hours since I'm up at 3 am reaping what I sow. Actually almost time for bed or that rooster will surprise me. Good luck gang and be ready for Europe's arrival this time around.

LA ARTOFYEN 03:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela, a case can be made for 1.0840 holding again in Tokyo so a sell around 25-35 with a 1.0852 s/l seems like a decent r/r play for some a little bearish euro. Seems that market may want to run the stops above 1.0840-50 the way it has snapped back and held onto its gains after making new lows earlier. I am most likely going to try and sell some around 1.0875-85 but if tomorrow is bloody again in the DOW it could be another gap above previos high Friday as mentioned before.

Hi Sydney...Hope all going well. Seems the .5950 sellers have become impatient and now good offers at .5900-15. I have been bearish this pair but lack of follow through around .5860 concerns me a bit. A break of .5820 would set some wheels in motion for a long over due stop hunt down to .5650. If we don't see a solid break of .5860 soon, then you need to focus on a break above .5900 and then .5920 behind. Not sure enough juice to break .5950 tom if bulls prevail so I will be a .5935 seller up there. GL pal.

hk revdax 03:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
JN//I am not a farmer but I from time to time do use the word farmer to describe myself as a simple-minded person. It is figurative in speech. Being outspoken is a character trait, like your being critical of others.

London 03:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Blair To Press Bush To Stick To U.N. Route Re Iraq - FT

Toronto VY 03:17 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino:good approach on risk management,thank You to share with us.Any trading system to be profitable has to imply positive mathematical expectation otherwise it is only loosing money , that means trading method is primary and then risk management on that.On what You consider to build system if it is not TA?

HOng Kong JN 03:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Revdax,
Being grown up in HK and experienced working in Beijing can find the difference. Totally agree with you. Yet we being HKer can do a part in this culture. I wonder why you mentioned yourself as farmer and being so outspoken, I think you can do more for HK people. Actually I live in Yuen Long too.

hk 03:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Despite hard line U.S. and U.K. stance on Iraq, Bush-Blair meeting tonight may not be as hawkish as some fear; Financial Times says Blair will ask Bush to seek 2nd UN resolution authorizing military action vs Iraq, while giving UN inspectors as much as 6 more weeks; quotes U.S. officials as saying Bush likely to lend sympathetic ear. Giving inspectors more time could garner more international cooperation, potentially USD-positive on view unilateral U.S. action less likely

hk revdax 03:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Thank you In Adance

houston pichon 03:14 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
stupid question :TIA stands for what ? thanks

hk revdax 03:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Fxtrader//You might be right. The brokers in NA would not slam on telephones like the Hong Kong fx order takers in dealing rooms. MIND YOU, even the girl secretaries in many HK offices are that rude. I once got very pizzed and told a memo to the manager of a company and complained about his secretaries. The title of the memo was:"The daughters of the souther barbarians". The people in Hk are mostly from the southern provinces and used to be called 'southern barbarians' by the people in the north. These southerners are less cultured and less polite than the mandarin speakers in the north. The lower class HKers have the propensity to initiate their conversation by first of all insulting each other's mothers...very rude people.

LA saint3 03:05 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
what is ppl's view on usd/jpy?

Rome angela 03:00 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
LA ARTOFYEN
do you think euro will get to the 1.085 level again this friday

HOng Kong JN 02:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Fxtrader,

any recommendation? please send to my email [email protected] if not covenient to publish here. I have check f*x*c*m and several mini account provider, trying their demo and asking some questions make me feel uncomfortable to trade with them. I believe experience is very very important. Are you Chinese, why you trade in HK? TIA.

SYdney 02:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
LA ARTOFYEN while you are around today, can you give your opinion on theAUD rare to see you inAsia Zone this early :-))

crawford hk 02:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Hi, I am new to the site, was wondering if alerts for day trading are given here. Also just wanted to see how it worked. thanks

Sydney FXtrader 02:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
HOng Kong JN, I'd recommend you to check brokers in US and Europe. They are far more advanced and polite...
I remember I used to deal with a broker in HK. They are really lousy and doggy...

melbourne farmacia 02:51 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
nyc sa 02:12GMT January 31, 2003.
I don't have any views on long term targets, I work with hours/day(s) timeframes. UK in Euro, These are fundamental questions of which I can't help you with. Try BC. cheers.
ps , I have so many numbers to remember in my head, I always forget to put the rubbish out on sunday nights.

LA ARTOFYEN 02:49 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Angela, Isn't it little early to be up in Italia? TRading without sleep will soon catch up to the best of them. Good luck regardless.


It seems that the market is trading very cautiously after last sessions big whip saw action. !.0840-50 should be next pivot point for EURO. Above there and I'd be more inclined to wait for 1.0875-85 with s/l at 1.0918 if so inclined. Today being Friday should make usd bulls nervous on approach of new EURO highs as last few Fridays have seen NY take it above week's high. GL to all.

HOng Kong JN 02:44 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Revdax,
thank you

hk revdax 02:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
angele//I am not a very good person to talk to regarding your question. But people like Sfx who sits by the monitors all day long may be able to provide a better answer. He is around somewhere. All you need is to shout him out.

ny 02:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Ok, what have we learned today? I will tell you. It is still to early to think about buying the dollar unless your quick about it . The geopolitical situation is still fluid and will keep a tight lid on any dollar rally. The market is not really ready to turn the corner on the euro yet. It seems pullbacks will be limited until and or when the Us markets stabilize and can mount a reasonable rally. This appears way off. So in conclusion if you buy dollars make sure you are dancing near the doors.

hk revdax 02:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
angele//I know you are very anxious to get an answer to your question. I can give you a 'guess' In my view, Euro will drop by next Monday the latest but I have no idea if it will drop back to the level you want.

Rome Angela 02:36 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax

can you tell me what momentum is the best to use, i mean the number i am using 15 now what do you think

hk revdax 02:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
JN//I am using Sung Hung Kai because the order takers in the dealing room there are very polite and seldom swear. I have dealt with other outfits too but most of them have vey rude people. And they speak to their clients like HK taxicab drivers.

Rome Angela 02:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax

not common at all. i dont know if anyone who does it. the reason i do it is because i travelled to USA and found out about it. do you think eruo will fall back by tomorow before closing?? i really appreciate it

hk revdax 02:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
angela//How common it is in Italy for people to trade spot fx?

HONG kONG JN 02:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Revdax,
I want to trade in Forex, I am totally new. What broker do you use in Hong Kong, please send to my email [email protected] tks

Wish you good and prosperous goat year., GL TIA

LA saint3 02:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
who got mas raden's view about the currency?

OZ deanobravo 02:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Melb th 01:34 have'nt seen it here, but caught it in Central NSW...

HK JR 02:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Just woke up & checked the spot prices.....look at the censored cable ! I was thinking of selling the thing last night . Cable overbought ?

ROme Angela 02:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino
i got it. well i am kinda new in this and i know some about charts and all. but thanks a lot

sarasota jf 02:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 02:01 GMT January 31, 2003
thanks ... also 197.20 is quite good resistance in gbpyen so that should help to see gbp lower first .. but i dont discount yr move still up to 80 just that asia may have made a mistake taking it there too soon.. anyway as long as it moves thats the main thing gl n thks

pd cumino 02:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome Angela 01:55 Angela.....Angela....Angela. I try to explain.
Do you know the most important rationale behind charts? It is the so called "self fulfilling prophecy". It is more important that people are persuaded of a level than the scientific base on which this level is called. Currencies are very particular, because they are assets like stocks or bonds, but they are also the usual way of payment. They have to do with financial but also with real economy.
Fx market partecipants are spec., but also commercial, or investors.
Only a specialist or fx amateur usually knows the intraday levels, the others just know if today is higher or lower than yesterday, and this week is higher or lower than the earlier. But these are those who move a relevant part of market. So, if you want assign an importance to charts, i.e. if a publicized level can affect anyone, it is logically better derived from a daily chart than a 5 min chart.
Hope I have explained. Cheers.

van Gecko 02:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sfx.. cheers.. the best for you & yours in the up & coming year of the Goat !

Rome Angela 02:16 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
can anyone tell me some direction about euro

Singapore Sfx 02:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Gecko 02.04 // Well said ... particularly the "manage the risk objectively" bit .. Just think that free flow of information (such as GV) tends to give us all ambitions which our risk profiles cannot handle. Sort of "ego writing cheques that the wallet can't cash" .. Tks for your thoughts as always. Cheers

nyc sa 02:12 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Melbourne farmacia , do u have a longer term target on $/chf and cable ? what are we to expect when Britain joins EU ? where would our pound sterling be trading ? I suspect it's being pumped because it might fall hard if and when they decide to deal in euro . Do u have any view on the subject ?

hk revdax 02:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
angela//Just use any technical indicator to detest the level of resistance in Euro. If you were not using a technical indicator on the side, you may want to ask for some level forecast of Euro from people around here.

van Gecko 02:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Ldn..:)) sorry.. i have no crystal balls.. imo it's absolutely useless to forecast or worry about the long term.. the average small spec trader should only try to manage their risk objectively over the next 2 to 3 figures at a shot instead of wasting their time discussing & forecasting long term directions..

melbourne farmacia 02:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
sarasota jf - below from early today

"1.5906 - 1.6394* = 1.6580 ( target ) * Overnight low

Closed short from 1.6490 from yesterday @ 1.6400, Entered long @ 1.6446, now looking for 1.6580, S/R @ 1.6523.
Lets see how she goes."

I am at a cross roads at moment, closed my long from 446, momentum not strong enough to penarate my 80 target. I will see how 1.6523 holds up. Placed S/L above 80 target just in case queen wants to rule the world. Your inside would be good, thanks

Punctuation Police 02:01 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome Angela, sorry, you have used up your quota of periods, question marks and exclamation points for today. Please use only commas, colons, semi-colons and dashes for the balance of the evening. Thank you for your cooperation.

Rome Angela 01:55 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino.............pd cumino............pd cumino

so you totaly would disregard what the chart says??? i mean does the chart have any significant?????

Ldn 01:54 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
van Gecko so what do your crystal Balls tell you?

Sydney 01:53 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Costello noted the main contributor to the increase in the trade deficit was A$1.3 billion of civil aircraft imports, the highest monthly value of aircraft imports since the data series began in 1981.

"Imports of civil aircraft will remain strong in coming months as major airlines continue their well-publicized programs of fleet expansion and renewal," Costello said.

Rome Angela 01:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino............pd cumino
i am sory i am new in this. so you are saying that it is all about how much risk i wana take and howmuch profit i expect to make. am i understanding you righ??????

van Gecko 01:52 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
well.. mk, yes, its a 100% do or dive situation here! the onus are on the market moving European/geopoltic/momentum funny bulls to keep pushing them up to the moon.. or dive!

pd cumino 01:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ROME ANGELA 01:23 GMT Whatever thing I say, I have only this kind of requests: Where it will be a currency 2/3/4 hours later? And this kind of assertions: charts are saying so or so.
But the only true I can say is that if 1 or 2 a great guys want to push a currency higher, then other great guys join quickly them. And the currency go higher. This is the fx market. To trade 2/3/4 hours is for very few people, with a lot of instruments, and charts don't matter at all. If you want to trade with this horizon is perfectly the same thing if you throw a coin. You will save at least the time you spend in watching charts, and you better can concentrate at least on risk-management. Sorry for this answer, but it is the simple true.

nyc 01:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
US Senate Confirms Snow As Treasury Secretary

Sydney 01:46 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Australia's Trade Mininster Trade Data Hit By Jets, Drought



Vaile said that while the December trade deficit was the widest on record, "the majority of the increase reflects the impact of aircraft imports and the (negative) effect of drought on rural exports."

Qantas Airways Ltd. (A.QAN) purchased four new jet aircraft worth about A$1.3 billion in December, he said.

"The purchase reflects the success and stability of the Australian airline industry during what is a very challenging time for the global aviation sector," he said.

Overall, the December figures signal "investor confidence in the future growth" of the economy, he said.
AP.


Fairfax mk 01:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Yes, Gecko, seems fairly do-or-die m/t levels for all the Europeans around here. Price and time parameters for GBP seem perfectly set up for ... a false break to the upside from here, if such a break is seen.

rome angela 01:42 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax .......hk revdax .....hk revdax
what do you mean by hourly sell divergency????

van Gecko 01:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
mk vely interesting l/t GBP Index chart.. seems like the decrease in voilatiies since the 90's mirrors the recent 21th century snoozy markets across the board.. may be we are vely near another l/t market b/o up or down.. back to the old wild west gunslinging days soon..

hk revdax 01:37 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ANGELA//I don't trade Euro at all. Never had any luck with it. As a pip picker, I have found trading into Euro to be like walking into a pile of mud. At any rate, you may want to check if the hourly divergency indicator has given a sell or not, or consult the other price analysts in this forum if they have something inspiring to offer.

Melb th 01:34 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Deano // I think NoodyG has the right idea. She is over in the west having a few days off now. I warned her about the Drop Bears. BTW Do you have the Bundaberg Rum ads featuring the bears in Crowland?

ROME ANGELA 01:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax
THANKS A LOT, VERY GOOD EXPLANANTION.....do you think euro is aproching any resistance now

sarasota jf 01:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 01:27 GMT January 31, 2003
did gbp satisfy your last upside target on that move? if just failed think we see a dip to 80-90 then up is my thght-- what are yr thghts ... thks

Dallas GEP 01:32 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
This stategy is based on the theory that an order should be executed at either end of the anticipated trading range.

Dallas GEP 01:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
These are LIMIT orders NOT EXECUTED yet but I have them there where they will fill automatically if the market takes them. In the case where I have BOTH a SELL and a BUY on the same pair, I don't really care which one is filled first. This was in response to a queestion RE: if I have any LIMIT orders in place.

Livingston nh 01:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Boston akm - re: IRS - are you full time or substantial trader - qualifying as a business is different than an individual investor rule

hk revdax 01:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
angela//There are two ways by which something will fall:
(1)It will touch a resistance and then stay there struggling to overcome gravity until the closing bell rings...then falls the following day.
(2)It goes up to the resistance level and then drops right away.

Please note that the resistance level in (1) and (2) is the same!

Toronto BA 01:28 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Thx Dallas- I am going to make money here sooner or later!

Thx cumino- I understand you, just wondering if many people think we will see a major correction before uptrend continues-

GL to all- going out for a beer in frigid Toronto!

melbourne farmacia 01:27 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
OZ deanobravo - welcome back to the screen, hope you didnt get caught in any bush fires.

hk revdax 01:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Sir Fairfax mk//nh might have used a longer term approach which someone like myself, who trades with tight stops, might not be able to use. At any rate, fwiiw, today does not seem to be the day to go long on $/JY...imvho.

ROME ANGELA 01:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
DALLAS

but euro is not even close to 1.085 how can we buy it at that. do you think it will fall below 1.08 again????

melb th 01:26 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Deano // In a bad mood. Was going to grab some of the dip in AUD but some blighter kept me talking on the phone and I missed it. Had to make do with a few yen pips on the odd cross which was a bit late responfing. Much chance of correction?

ROME ANGELA 01:23 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hk revdax............hk revdax
thanks. so are you saying it wont fall??? i am sorry about my english but i just try to make the point. i think it is going to fall again. but as i understand you are saying that it will keep touching the resistance

Dallas GEP 01:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA,

Yes I currently have limit BUY order on USD/JPY @ 118.85, stop @ 118.45 looking for target 119.45 and possibly 119.60. Nikkei should get beat up today.

Limit BUY on USD/CHF @ 1.3525, STOP @ 1.3460 looking for target 1.3650.

Limit SELL on Euro 1.0850, STOP 1.0890, Target 1.0785 initially. LIMIT Buy Euro 1.0740 STOP 1.0710 target 1.0825.

van Gecko 01:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Boston akm.. sorry, no idea.. hope you didn't incur your loses by following the forum blindly..
good luck in 2003..

hk revdax 01:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Geckco//Kung Hay Fat _fx_ Choi.

Fairfax mk 01:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Nothing miraculous to report, revdax. I can add nothing to what Livingston nh 00:19 GMT has already said quite well. I believe USD should be bought on dips for the time being.

Ga Lee 01:21 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good thoughts Cumino..thank you very much for your time spent here...

rome angela 01:20 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino..........pd cumino

what do you think about the euro in the next few hours. i mean the charts say it is falling, what do you think. thanks

OZ deanobravo 01:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
hi everybody...back from a week in the aussie bush...come back and the screen has all changed...for the better hopefully....anyway hearing modeltraders selling aussie after that trade no. good luck all

hk revdax 01:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome Angela/I like your name....and i like the way you think but my work is incapable of telling how low it will fall. My work says Euro is running into resistance to day.

Provo John 01:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ROME ANGELA 01:15, Check previous posting from earlier today.

pd cumino 01:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA 00:58 GMT Begin to have faith in your words, and think what mean your words. If you say: "I want to have a long position until 1,12....where I have to start?" It means first of all that you are not sure that this is the point, because you had already bought. Ask to yourself: Why I haven't bought? If you think roughly 400 pips gain, then it cannot be not an entry 10 or 20 pips better or worse which make the difference.
Are you sure of your call? Are you asking for a level, or because someone may share your call? And if it is so, isn'it only a way to alleviate your responsability? But tomorrow the money unfortunately lost is not shared, is your, only your.

van Gecko 01:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tokio Lee 01:07.. please save some for us..
;)
GER ad .. so, spike+hope=right?
;)
brother revdax.. Kung hay fat choi..
;
ASIA FAT CHOI 00:54 !


ROME ANGELA 01:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Who thinks EUR/uSD will fall back again below 1.08. comeon guys i need some feedback here

hk revdax 01:13 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Fairfax mk//In case you are around, kindly comment on $/JY in accordance with your miraculous numbers. TIA

Tokio Lee 01:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome/ only my gut feeling, good luck if you come with me!

Boston akm 01:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Van Gecko
The tax season is coming up soon(USA) and am wondering,I had a net loss for the previous accounting year.This includes expenses, startup cost and trading losses.To as you professionals who have been following your comments thro the year 2002, how should i treat my actual trading loses for tax purposes.Dont tell me to consult a tax pro yet.The thing is that trading currency is so different from trading stocks.

Tokio Lee 01:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
usdjpy - crucial moment here - I'm buying all below 119.00

Rome Angela 01:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
TOKYO

are you kidding, based on what do yousay that. i am actually planing to sell just need feedback, thanks

SYDNEY 01:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Aus Dec Trade Balance came worse than expected, with a record deficit of -$2.995bn, although this was largely attributable to $1.3bn in imports of civil aircraft. This accounts for the 57.1% m/m increase in capital goods imports and saw total imports at 12.2%

Tokio Lee 01:04 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome/ 1,0770 is possible in next 2 hours

GER ad 01:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Spike in Cable; sell order at 1.6569 filled hope that Raven is right...

melbourne farmacia 01:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Jay - email for you.

hk revdax 01:03 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Cumino//Your 00:47 post. You wrote:"If you accept only trades with a good risk reward you are on the right way. ..."

Right on, brother!

Rome Angela 00:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
TOKYO

what do you mean be more specific, are you saying EURO is going to fall or what?

LA saint3 00:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
does anyone got new view on gbp?

Toronto BA 00:58 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Cumino- you are very generous to share your experience-

To anyone- I am planning to build a long Eur/USD position and hold until it reaches the $1.12 area (if it does).

Any suggestions on where to start buying?

thx in advance-

Tokio Lee 00:56 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Be careful, big volume to come!

ASIA CHOI 00:54 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

...special menu...

...SELL EURUSD...profit 35 pips
...BUY USDJPY....profit 30 pips

Berkeley AG 00:54 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Pd cumino,

I agree with your views. I measure my confidence by setting different leverages to my trades. BTW, I use multiple sets of analysis in making my trades, whether it be tech, fundamental, or on the basis of price action..

However, your risk/reward calculations are very interesting. I will definately use that to set out more stop orders. Thank for sharing your views.

van Gecko 00:48 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Tony, i agree.. nothing beats a profit conscious nagging Juillett to keep a greedy bull (or bear, or pig..:) in check.. especially during those times when we think we can 'see' into the future with absolute certainity & have the bull (or bear, or pig..:) by the tail..
;)
good evening islander.. thank you.. trust you & 'Tampa Lil' is flying United these days ?
:o))


pd cumino 00:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
People in this forum are fully concentrated in charts. But tech. is only a point of view. You will be astonished to know that the best traders in the world have just 55/57% of right decisions (on direction). What make the difference is the risk-management.
Also if you look "only" at charts you should misure a confidence of your call. You can agree that not all your tech. points of view are equal, i.e. very strong. So you should always assign a confidence (30%, 50%, 70%) to your call. This is the first step. The second step is to assign an objective gain to your trade. The third is to multiply the "hoped" gain by the confidence, then to consider if the possible loss accepted related to this result may form a decent risk-reward.
If you accept only trades with a good risk reward you are on the right way.

Rome Angela 00:47 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG

so where do you think euro will bottom tomorow?

Berkeley AG 00:45 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Yes rome angela.

I havent shorted the Euro yet, theres still room for it to go up to the 1.0840 areas as u said. However, im minimizing my leverage, i still have a long order bought from 1.0815. T/P at 1.0845.

I have a stop and short order at 1.0780. T/P at 1.0740.

ROME ANGELA 00:41 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Berkeley AG

are you going short Euro, i would hold on if i were you, i feel like it is going to hit the 1.084 and then fall back

St. Pete islander 00:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Good evening, Gecko. Friendly skies had lots of bumps today. Round trip ticket and only paid one way. Think we spend some time on the observation deck tomorrow. Hope your flight south departs soon. :o)

Berkeley AG 00:39 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Closed one of my Eur/USD position with a 5 pip loss. Holding onto the 1.0815 order with a stop reversal order at 1.0780.
Just studied some charts, the difference in my oscillators and rsi point to the Eur/USD looking to head down before moving back to its bullish trend.

Rome Tony 00:35 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
van Gecko 00:31 GMT January 31, 2003
Well from my side I already have my Juillet sitting next to me and alwayes reminding me not be so greedy .

van Gecko 00:31 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Rome & rome (how about Romeo & Juillet.. :) lotsa crytalball tradres here.. :)

Gold Coast th 00:30 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
pd cumino Yep agree with my execution may be premature..but my time zone is a difficult one for fx..So I try to make a few pips in asia....Find tight stops saves my bullits for better ops..Got on the run 826 to 754 ...yesterday..(in europe) .....If I get stopped ..I'll go for a run ...don't want to get DVT :-)

ldn 00:29 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
LONDON (AP)--Osama bin Laden's al-Qaida terrorist network successfully built a crude radiological device known as a "dirty bomb" in Afghanistan, the British Broadcasting Corp. reported Thursday.

British intelligence agents infiltrated the network and learned that terrorists had built the device near Herat in western Afghanistan, the BBC said, citing unidentified British government officials.

Britain's Foreign Office said Thursday the report substantiated expert opinion that al-Qaida wanted to develop a nuclear weapon.

"The evidence presented in the BBC report speaks for itself," a spokesman said on customary condition of anonymity.

"It provides proof to substantiate expert opinion that al-Qaida was interested in developing nuclear weapons," he added.

According to the BBC, the Taliban regime helped al-Qaida construct the device, which has not been recovered, by providing medical isotopes.

There has been previous evidence of al-Qaida's interest in developing a "dirty bomb" - a conventional bomb that would scatter radioactive material. Such a radiological weapon would be far less deadly and damaging than a nuclear explosion.

Computers found by journalists and U.S. troops at a variety of facilities in Afghanistan indicated al-Qaida had sought to obtain and develop nuclear and other potent weapons.

During a New York trial two years ago stemming from bombings at two U.S. embassies in Africa, a former bin Laden aide testified he was ordered in 1993 to try to buy uranium on the black market for an effort to develop a nuclear weapon. Jamal Ahmed Al-Fadl said al-Qaida was prepared to spend $1.5 million, but he didn't know if a purchase was ever made.

In addition, U.S. officials have said captured al-Qaida lieutenant Abu Zubaydah told American interrogators the terrorist network was working on a "dirty bomb."

Authorities also have said that Jose Padilla, the former Chicago gang member charged with plotting with al-Qaida, attended two meetings in Karachi, Pakistan, at which senior al-Qaida operatives discussed the possible use of a "dirty bomb."

A United Nations report issued by experts monitoring al-Qaida movements warned that al-Qaida has the potential to obtain nuclear material and build "some kind of dirty bomb."

The BBC said documents discovered by the intelligence agents were sent to the British government's weapons research facility in Porton Down, southern England. Scientists concluded al-Qaida had constructed a small "dirty bomb," not a full blown nuclear device.

In November the British government issued - and then hurriedly withdrew - a statement warning that al-Qaida might be prepared to use a "dirty bomb," or some kind of poison gas. It was replaced with a more general warning of terrorist threats

Rome Tony 00:28 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
ANGELA
there ways for predecting the market move only but as you might read here these predictions are very diffrent from one to onther , and if there's someone who really knows where the market will go, he wouldnt be here with us un this forum

rome Angela 00:25 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
I also have problems with the chart, what is yours

Sterling Heights 00:23 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
(off topic)Is anyone else having a problem with the live forex charts in here??

Rome Angela 00:22 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
shenzen

i dont think europians will like that

Livingston nh 00:19 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
USD?JPY is at unteresting junction around 119 - daily has moved above 21 da ma and MACD is rising but hourly MACD is declining -- could see buying early w/daily trend dominating - 121 lvl (small holding from 118.04)

Cable way overextended - looks like a sell here at 62 level for another quick trip down below 1.65

Out of long GBP/CAD and looking to short

Shenzhen Laowen 00:18 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Euro/$ is now heading directly to 1.17xx.
Every dip of one big number should be seen as a buy
opportunity until it arrive at 1.17.

After then, either 1.26xx or 0.82xx is cards.

Rome ANGELA 00:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
TONY
why is that, there is always a way of knowing

Toronto BA 00:15 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   

Cumino- where is PD? Just wondering where you are from-

Rome Tony 00:10 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
only God knows where Eur will close tomorow !

pd cumino 00:09 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Gold Coast th 23:47 GMT Thanks. A little I disagree with entry point and especially with so thight s/l. Not even a central banker may use 15 pips at a level not so near a significative resistence.
Another thing you may look at is that it seems we are near a "final phase" in the Iraq history. As such, investors are growing increasingly jumpy, taking profit and re-entering USD positions more frequently. They recall the dollar bounce in 1991 when Gulf War began and the "end game" was perceived to have started. No one today want to miss a similar move. It is the true that history doesn't repeat itself, but people tends to repeat himself......

ROME AMGELA 00:08 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
can any one comment on where EURo may stop tomorow

Berkeley AG 00:07 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
Toronto BA

You need to close one position and wait for the other one to either gain more or retrace back. Better yet, use some analysis to figure out which position has a stronger trend or a clearer oversold/overbought signal.

Rome Angela 00:06 GMT January 31, 2003 Reply   
does any one think that EURO will fall back to 1.07s, NY what do you think??

 




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