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Forex Forum Archive for 05/1/2003

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Stockholm AGuy 23:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melb/th> gold sales, which would have a structural effect

Which kind of structural effect on EUR/USD do you have in mind? Looks neutral to me, unless you happen to believe that recent EUR strength is derived from it being "more gold-backed" than USD, which sounds a bit like a woman being "more pregnant". Either you are or you aren't.

eilat dolphin 23:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Nyc 23/ Do you see him saying anything new? Not that another "thank you" is not fully deserved!

nyc 23:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
U.S. President Bush's speech at 0100 GMT

Stockholm AGuy 23:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Stokholm/za> It is not often the city Stockholm turns up on this forum...

Expect it to turn up more often around September... :)

Happy trading to you too.

melb th 23:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy // In principle, Yes. In practice it may mean that the charts have to be interpreted differently. I was referring to his comments on gold sales, which would have a structural effect on charts and market.

Melbourne Qindex 23:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Current comment on GBP/USD, click here.

ICT ML 23:40 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Be back in about an hour. GL all

Stockholm za 23:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy ::> Nice to see your post.. It is not often the city Stockholm turns up on this forum...
Happy trades to you....

mel 23:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
National Australia Bank strategists; pair likely to head toward 117.85, vs 118.48 now.

Melbourne Qindex 23:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Current comment on EUR/USD, click here.

Gold Coast L 23:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Good Morning, as mentioned overnight should watch for a mild reversal on the Big Dollar today - being friday and not likely but, possible upside surprise on the Data out later today. Good Luck

Stockholm AGuy 23:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melb/th> if you refer to Van JV's recent post on the politicall forum this may constitute sufficient fundamental change to seriously challenge our thinking?

Not sure which post you're referring to. If it's about some piece of fundamental news, it's already in the price. Price action remains channel-bound. When the channel gets broken by some piece of fundamental news, you'll see it in the chart.

Munich Germany 23:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
start trading world, I want to see some movements ;-)

nyc DTA 23:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Dallas you mean after shorting euro all week your now long???

nyc 23:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD rise overnight might have been exacerbated by thin market conditions with much of Europe out for May Day, say NAB strategists; note of caution warranted since pair "pretty much" achieved move to 1.1290-1.1300 (Fibonacci projection on break of 1.1080), where NAB had expected rally to pull up. But longer term, target still 1.1599, so any dips are buy opportunities. Support at 1.1170-80

Dallas GEP 23:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
STL, it shouldn't too hard to LOSE money LOL. Just follow us SPECS around for the last week or so!!!!

Seriously though, I would take 20 pip deals and bank them ALL day long. You get hurt trying to get 50-60 PIP deals only to see them back up on you. Any if you are trading REAL money, Friday is by FAR the most dangerous day of the week!!!!

melb th 23:10 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
http://www.global-view.com/beta/forums/forum.html?f=5

Carol Alvin 23:07 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melb th 22:56 GMT May 1, 2003
can u please give link to that political forum

Seychelles M Shaw 23:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
thank you met ban sir,dalls and all who place comments on my silly questions a always...

thanks

St Louis STL 23:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
welkom jw and ICT ML. Thank you, I'm down a few myself.

nyc 23:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Jobs report on Friday ---- given the scope of dollar losses through the week, the risk would appear to be on the upside for the US unit, especially if the non-farm payrolls are better than market expectations.
S&P

melb th 22:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy 21:52 // I had pasted a similar comment on monday derived from the weekly charts. However if you refer to Van JV's recent post on the politicall forum this may constitute sufficient fundamental change to seriously challenge our thinking?

Dallas GEP 22:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Actually ML I am around NOW. Took Eur/USD LONG @ 1.1240 and will add more on dips. STOP @ 1.1180. Looking to take USD/JPY long here MAYBE.

Munich Germany 22:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
phoenix are you around ?

ICT ML 22:22 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
St Louis STL 20:53 GMT May 1, 2003

welcome STL, right now, WAIT. Market will start moving again in a few hours, and directions will be determined then. Some of us are down a good chunk of change right now, so be careful.

met ban 22:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
seychelles, think eur/usd would consolidate first around 1.1220/50 area in the meantime.

Seychelles M Shaw 22:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
i think 1.13 shall want to see 1.13 by next 5 hours
GL & GT ALL
TIA for any commenst on this

personally i want 1.087 by the next 40 days...comments please?

Stockholm AGuy 21:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
>Any suggestions on EUR/USD

Here's one (FWIW): look at the daily chart, draw a line from the July 2002 highs through subsequent tops. That's the current channel ceiling. See how nicely we touched it today and then bounced back down? So it's still holding.

Now look for the advance which looks the most like the latest one, with a discernible upward acceleration (typical of panic/exahustion rallies). You find it in October-November 2002. Eyeball the downward slope of the subsequent retracement. That's your best guesstimate for what the slope of the next retracement.

Third step: draw a line from the April lows last year, through the October, November and March lows. That's the floor of the current channel. Still holding. Null hypothesis: the next retracement will take us down to that floor again, at the slope you found in the previous step. The intersection between these two lines - retracement at same slope as the one in November, channel floor - is your next target.

Just eyeballing it off the screen, it looks like 1.09 or so to me, in a month or so.

welkom jw 21:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
St Louis
Welcom, but most traders are gone now, waiting for Asia to open.

nyc DTA 21:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
does anyone know if asia will be in tonight?? tia

St Louis STL 20:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hey all. i am a newcomer to the forex market. I've been doing this for the past couple o months. Looking 4ward to making some serious $$$ or giving them away for that matter. Any suggestions on EUR/USD, USD/JPY or should i wait for tomorrow's report.

bos cynical 20:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Only if the numbers come in good will it be discounted. Bad numbers will hammer the USD, good one's will be written off as an aberration.

It's been that way for many months and is not likely to change. censored, even if BoJ hit the market overnight it would be read as Euro postive because EURJPY rose.

Just my $.02 worth in any case.

NYC NYC 20:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
So the European side gets to see what it is like to walk in after a holiday to see the market make a major move. Does anyone think a bad jobs # is discounted?

eilat dolphin 19:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Kind of a strange day, trading without graphs. Why not, memory works well too.

Munich Germany 19:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA, sometimes I do.

LA 2 19:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich. Do you sleep?

Munich Germany 19:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Asia trading tonight, or is going to be as boring as last night ?

Seychelles M Shaw 19:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Ok that would be fine sir.


tia!

eilat dolphin 19:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Shaw/ Minimum two hours, maximum ten days. Average, tomorrow after the NY numbers... Unless we are looking at the wrong movie of course.

Seychelles M Shaw 19:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
didn't get that sir? string?? long? have i offended someone once again

;-)

CAIRO AG 19:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I dont think its a bad idea for if it comes NOW & not later, meaning until todays close only.

Munich Germany 19:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Cairo, how about buying at 190.62 ? GBPJPY

Eastbourne PJ 19:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Seychelles, how long is a piece of string?

Seychelles M Shaw 19:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
oops! so silly of me...why am i so clumsy...i meant 1.13

nyc moisha 18:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Shaw 1.30 next year at the earliest

Seychelles M Shaw 18:58 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
when is 1.3 likely ???

anyone please??

thank you please.

chicago 18:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

if i dont see a correction in that time frame im gone

chicago wkc 18:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

eilat....ive been of the mind that the euro has exhibited some "irrational exuberance" and has risen too fast 9overbought). but I bring a floor traders mentality here...look to cover my losses .... a quick guess...next hour

ICT ML 18:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
If EUR hits 1.1230 bid, , I think correction is over. getting buy on 15 min, pushing against TR 1.1227 with buy sig.

CAIRO AG 18:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Ok. I think u should start loading some gbpyen shorts from 191.20 to 191.80. SL 192.10 @ target 190.60 as a first target for now.GL & GT

ICT ML 18:33 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Strange, 15 & 30 min EUR/USD & BEAST charts in my system look EXACTLY the same, . Anyone else think this might be a significant sell confirmation (this time)?

eilat dolphin 18:33 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Chicago/ For how long do you expect the Euro correction to last ?

chicago 18:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

ate my small losses last nite...back again to short the euro at 11223

Munich Germany 18:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Cairo, yes I am here again.

CAIRO AG 18:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich: R u Still there?

nyc DTA 18:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tony ouch !!!

ICT ML 18:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GEP, You around today? Been scalping really small EUR/USD & BEAST pips all morning myself.

HK [email protected] 18:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Some analysts were discussing previously during the war and immediately after, about how much of a price is booked as war premium. If the war premium is in or out of the prices. I will suggest that one point of view may be that the war premium is creeping now into the markets, and that may help to understand things. By war, or post-war premium I mean the damage or cost caused to the American and world economy as a result of the war. The mistrust among western nations is definitely not helping the trade, the psychological impact and so the US money printing machine which no one knows how much.... Or war premium is a fundamental measured day by day after the end of hostilities. In other words the war premium is unfolding now into the market just before our eyes.

LA BDV 18:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Dollar and stocks seem to have decoupled but stocks are coming back and let's see if usd can come back to eurusd 1.12.

bahdad Dr Unken Kat 17:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
anyone uses the link to charts on this website ? I used it for nikkei chart , but its not working anymore im not sure if it is my computer or they ve disconected

HK [email protected] 17:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc Big Daddy 17:46 GMT May 1, 2003 TNX nice idea.

NYC NYC 17:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
HK. Good question. Some will use the artifical basket that makes up the euro but it is at best a poor susbitute as the basket did not trade as one before Jan 1, 1999.

nyc Big Daddy 17:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Yes HK I would us the old doll/mark charts and use the formula
1.4550 roughly the all-time hi equivelant to the all time lo in doll/mark

HK [email protected] 17:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Was it ever discussed on this forum what happens when Euro goes above 1.20; A price when not the Euro, but the ECU instrument was existing. Can we use the pre-Euro-historic chart for reference? Tnx in advance.

nyc DTA 17:40 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
have a good one tony
Say hello to your wife for me thanks gl/gt

malta m 17:39 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
bi fat tony and thks

NYC FatTony 17:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I am calling it an early day...have fun gentlemen...and ladies...GO EURO 1.13++++++

nyc Big Daddy 17:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
You guys CANT take the boy outaa Brooklyn can ya LOL

NYC FatTony 17:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
He was about to be from what we spoke about...lol

nyc Big Daddy 17:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Malta
Unfortunately the only action NY traders get involved in the afternoon sessions are to seek and destroy every stop level
whenever they can.
Its the only way any of them make money.

nyc DTA 17:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I hope cappy aint been trading ... Hes like a huge usd Bull !!!

NYC FatTony 17:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
lol malta..I hate those d a m n spikes!!!!

NYC FatTony 17:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
BiGDaDDY..I saw cappi 2 days ago..I may be moving a few houses from him...

sydney gvm 17:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
uuummmm 1.1248 = no where land on an Elliott Wave, on a fibonaccii, on a support/resistance, on a overbought/oversold.

Just buy it.

malta m 17:22 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
yeah fat tony that spike went right up the ole.....
he he he

nyc Big Daddy 17:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
At that point it looked like a run to 1.13 so dont blame ya
This market feels like there are still a lot of euro shorts from1.10 and below, so guess ya gotta keep buying dips til we get back below 1.1080

malta m 17:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
big daddy

whipsaws to the exact single pips which is nowhere near resistance /support are very fishy..dontcha think? been ladin' rather than bin laden...

MTL GG 17:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
VLavio - you said 21:00 twice - you said it was going up between 20:30 and 21:35 then falling - then going up again after 21:00. - 21:00 is between the first two times you mentioned. TIA

NYC FatTony 17:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I think that spike went toooo fast for my platform to even pick it up..hehehe

malta m 17:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
fat tony if u could recommend a reliable platform for tradin pse send to me at [email protected]
i'll drop the one i have

TIA

NYC FatTony 17:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
BigDaddy...i had a short at 50 with an 80 stop..went 88 and came down...LUCKY..I THINK NOT....LOL
I would have sold again but who knew,,

Tln Wlavio 17:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Pardon - GMT+03:00

nyc Big Daddy 17:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
TONYYYYYYYYY U lucky dog
21 da lo I am hearing

MTL GG 17:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
VLavio - you stated:

EUR/USD will be rising from 20:36 until 21:25. The price should fall after that and rise again after 21:00.

Could you check your times and tell me if these are correct? I'm a bit confused. TIA :)

nyc Big Daddy 17:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
malta
That Bin Laden rumour screwed ya i think

sydney gvm 17:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hmmm Tln Wlavio

which system is that? Bush-Howard or some other system??

I am part of the Home Control Rule This World System

Sell dollars and please give me your name

NYC FatTony 17:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Malta..I had a stop at 20 and it was never hit...

Tln Wlavio 17:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Well this is it. I am leaving the building.
See you all tomorrow.
If you have any comments - my mailing address is somewhere below.

GT and GT!

malta m 17:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
thanks fat tony...its very strange this 14 pip move down just to trigger the stop and then back up again..careful of the s/l' s guys...they can and will be run...

YVR MAXXIM 17:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR-USD -1.0888-1.0999-1.1111-1.1222 -1.1333 ?-> "MAGIC"

GT/TC MAXX Z. );->

Tln Wlavio 17:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD will be rising from 20:36 until 21:25. The price should fall after that and rise again after 21:00.
It is a nice game. Russians are taking part 11 days, but only 3 days will be fun.
There should appear nice rates tomorrow morning, but they will become worse closer to noon.

Tln Wlavio 17:07 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sydney gvm - don't worry. I am a part of a system.

NYC FatTony 17:06 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Malta..yes I have the same thing on charts but platform never hit that low

GC 17:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc DTA Did I say Rebound, No nothing can keep going up without a small retracement and day traders taking a bit off the table, profits can vanish in a trip to the toilet ( 10 mins away from the screen)

sydney gvm 17:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GC 16:59

Euro correction: I'm shaw're you are right.

At some stage.

But not now. Sell dollars - wear diamonds

off to bed

malta m 17:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hey guys

does youru chart give you a whipsaw in eur/usd down to 1.1217 and back up to 1.1230... i think my s/l got run 25 mins ago TIA

nyc DTA 17:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
rebound usd??? 6 months ago I would say YES today.... who knows.

HK jacky 17:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
guys, all u think US dollar will have a rebound or not???

LA Mel 16:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
cheers gvm...

GC 16:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sydney gvm Euro is due for a correction after reaching the high today
Friday will be a slight dollar strength day, so profit taking is advisable for short term traders otherwise profits will be forfeited.

sydney gvm 16:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio 16:50 GMT May 1, 2003
sydney gvm 16:18 GMT May 1, 2003

Why?

I do watch your timing counts...

but if you aint placing a trade then you do remind me of a person from Munich,

In the meantime, sell Dollars . America has no idea how much s h i t it is in. I am 43 years old and scared... I shouldn't be.

Ldond 16:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
RUMOR: Bin Laden In US Custody IFR newswire reports

GER ad 16:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Today a Bin Laden imprisonment rumor was good for only 17 pips

nyc Big Daddy 16:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sold at 35+75 bought back just now for peanuts
had 1.1232 200 month expodential MA
Will be interesting weekly close tom

NYC FatTony 16:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
DTA..I hit like 11 trades in a row till this morning...shorted at 50 with a stop at 80...And you know how that game goes...stopped...Long right here

sydney gvm 16:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
HK [email protected] 16:46

Quitely long gold in my super fund since 329.

We really are in a censored world.

nyc DTA 16:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
tryed to sell euro 3 times today took 10 pip loss and bailed also bought it about 5 times for 10-12 pip gains so on the over all up a little plus bro.

Tln Wlavio 16:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sydney gvm 16:18 GMT May 1, 2003

Why?

Monterrey Niman10-1 16:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Wlavio, How can a H&S be in the works while the head is still 'forming'? what chart are you talking about?? TIA.

nyc DTA 16:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Lots of scalping opertunities today huh

melbourne MK 16:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
International trade balance March is out in Aud Friday ll.30 aet. (01.30gmt)

NYC FatTony 16:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hey Big Guy...DTA.....How are you doing today?

nyc Big Daddy 16:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hello Lads

HK [email protected] 16:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sydney gvm 16:35 GMT May 1, 2003 You sell US assets you get pieces of paper. Euro Yen are also instruments which their fundamentals will talk. There is no place for the ordinary man to run away except Gold for the time being. GL GT

sydney gvm 16:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA Mel - I always read your stuff. Respect. I have a glass of South Australian Red that I will now consume and retire - cheers mate. All Blacks and Hurricanes take the Cups.

NYC FatTony 16:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Im here...just sitting low

nyc DTA 16:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fat tony here today??

nyc DTA 16:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
well theres a 50 pip retracement on the euro... if it closes ove 1.200 very bullish but tomorrow is friday... hmmmm

Tln Wlavio 16:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban - it is called a "Head and shoulder" formation.
Stock traders have endless numbers of formations.

Chicago LS 16:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
uk--cme globex is down, so no sp/nq mini quotes, but the open outcry contracts are still trading

London 16:39 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Any Data out in Aus on Friday ?

LA Mel 16:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
gvm, i agree with your direction, but not your reasons. at least you post your view, instead of alot of other wafflers that use the word "if". gd lk mate...

bby archie 16:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
what is a good level to buy the euro and the stg ... anyone ???????????

sydney gvm 16:35 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Forget the ego.

This is extremely serious. The world is going to censored in a hand basket and we 'all chatting about a few points on some censored fx rate.

WHO CARES !!

George Bush and his mates are takin the rates and taking the world to a place we dont wanna be.

Stand up now boys and girls - lets not agree with this state of being - it aint right

SELL US BONDS
SELL US DOLLAR

.... its your right

....coz you are the BOND VIGILANTES !!!

NYC fxdh 16:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sorry S H S

NYC fxdh 16:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
any thoughts Big Daddy....was that the head of H S H ??

LA 16:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio many thanks
I will be ok appreciate your posts - just hit the spot

HK Kevin 16:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Gaza Ibizia 15:51 GMT, sorry for the late reply. Just back after taking a bath. USD/JPY looks like to form an inverted H&S in the daily chart with 117.39 as low of the right shoulder and 116.34 as low of the head. Formation of the right shoulder is in progress with low so far at 117.60. 200ma in the weekly chart is now at 117.03 which has rejected the downmove since the end of 02. So, I think a break of the mid 117 level will negate this scenario. It's just my numble opinion.

sydney gvm 16:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
New comers - I am not Athens, I am not BC, I am not Qindex.

I am a bloke who has been hanging around the currency markets for a while. Sell dollars

Tln Wlavio 16:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA - that's ok. perhaps you should get some rest ;)

US Beast 16:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Eur USD.Daily RSI 73
Tuesday 1.09-1.1088
Wednesday 1.11
Thursday 1.12
Friday 1.13? Friday the 13th?

malta m 16:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
wlavio

eur/usd left shoulder formed with neckline 1.1235 d'you reckon?

uk 16:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
What happened to S&P 500 data. it has stalled?????

met ban 16:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln, sorry i am a newcomer. what does that mean?

sydney gvm 16:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio - do you ever trade ???

LA 16:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio sorry for sounding a bit rude apologise...just a bit stressed

LA 16:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio sorry for sounding a bit rude apologise...just a bit stressed

Tln Wlavio 16:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA - yes, pardon

LA 16:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio on the euro?

Tln Wlavio 16:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Has anybody noticed that the shoulder had been formated?
The head should follow soon.

nyc certain 16:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Re: phoenix cal

Pride (and greed) goeth before the fall. Sounds just like the old "dot com" days :)

sydney gvm 16:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Oih Munich - how ya placed mate - short and caught - high 5 now???? See ya at 108 ? Nah - guess what - something caled a margin call . Listen and learn.

phoenix cal 15:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
i'm more technical in nature i guess

GER ad 15:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Out at 1.1239

phoenix cal 15:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sorry, i'm not much of a global analyst i just no how to analize my trading account

met ban 15:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
phoenix cal, isn't that too much?

phoenix cal 15:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
i will continue to party buying euros it can go to 2.00 for all i care

sydney gvm 15:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tis good the forum is back to the good old anglo speak. Was not happy (am not a racist biggot) reading weeks before the group who talked in Bali speak, and then recently the Kraut language. Euro rules. The Americans have partied too long.

Sell dollars - wear diamonds

Gaza Ibizia 15:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Why ?

singapore jt 15:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:44
Is MOF around tom or is it a Tok hol?

HK Kevin 15:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
MOF will be in great touble if USD/JPY trade below 117.40.

Tln Wlavio 15:40 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
malta m - thanks ;)

milan gp 15:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
last few days was hearing of a number of big k/os on opt mkt all the way up from 1.11 to 1.1275. it was at 1.1030 then after having held 1.0930. wonder if nobody told me about a k/o above 1.1275 only coz it was too far away at that mom or if bcoz there aren't enough.
now if it breaks 1.1265 might be a first, weak but first sign of a temporary top and tiredness.

SGP Fion 15:35 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia
Thank you. Think I'll just stick to my original targets and hope your top at 1.6170 is seen. Great post on the EUR. Cheerios and GTs

London AL 15:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc DTA 15:30 . I know exactly what you mean. u r damned if u do and damned if u don't. that's the nature of trending markets were it will move to extract the maximum pain. Futures starting to get just a bit sloppy but only in 5 minute . GL>

met ban 15:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
aud/jpy approaching 75.

malta m 15:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
tln...youthe man...

nyc DTA 15:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
still cant buy any

Tln Wlavio 15:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Sorry that was for Milan gp 15:19 - I meant about 8 minutes of rise left

London AL 15:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Euro via June futures 1.1253 (spot equivalent add 14 pips)
the original 1.1203 target became an acceleration point leaving the next major level at 1.1347. Bigger picture for as long as we remain > 1.1160 buying dips is favoured. Intra-day we are in a trend and the first reflex rally back to 1.1228 will find support. CFTC info shows the majority are short. GL>

melbourne farmacia 15:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
SGP Fion - hi, my target for today was 1.6113, as u see she's been hit. My upper level target comes in @ 1.6148 , EUR/GBP might hold her back for now, I would like think gbp up around 1.6170 to complete Gbp's 100 pip movement per day.

Tln Wlavio 15:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
db- rising during about 8 minutes from now

met ban 15:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
good point gp. hard to go against a rampaging bull.

Milan gp 15:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I see everybody is trying to pick the top to sell. I reckon that's very tough to be done right now, and prefer to wait for a support to be broken if I wanna go short, selling with a tight stop, better risk/reward. For example now first supports imho are at 1.1250 and 1.1230, then 1.1200/05. Sell in stop entry if broken with a 15/20 pips stop, or on retest from below might be a good lowrisk trade. Otherwise, just stay long, I luckily have my long term trading system which is long from yesterday. Good trades

Milan gp 15:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Wlavio hi do you mean it'll start rising in 20 minutes from now, or start now rising for next 20 minutes. Tia

Tln Wlavio 15:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Halifax - are you sure you want to short something against the dollar today?

Tln Wlavio 15:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR - will be rising during 20 minutes now

dc fxq 15:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Oops, shud be Now not No. :(

SGP Fion 15:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio
Will drop in a note in a few moments.

dc fxq 15:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Here is cheering thought for all offshore holders of US debt:

No it can be paid off in much cheapers USD :)!

melbourne farmacia 15:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
No, just the target calculated around that time.

SGP Fion 15:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melbourne farmacia
Eveninig farmacia. Any targets for the beastie? I'm long from 1.5986, placed planning to square around 1.6150/60. A little disappointed with the lack of reaction on the part of GBP to all the market action.

Tln Wlavio 15:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fion - I had not prepared anything for today, but then I thought I can't miss such a nice bursts...
Well if you could drop me a note on e-mail, I could let you know ([email protected])

Monterrey Niman10-1 15:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
farmacia// does that mean 1.1304 is the top of it?

melbourne farmacia 15:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Something from the archives -

melbourne farmacia 06:30 GMT February 5, 2003
EUR/USD - Fibonacci Projection Studies.

Update from 12:37GMT December 30, 2002

Base at 2/12 - 0.9858 to new rolling high.
0.9858 - 1.0029 = 1.0094 ( done ) support 0.9988
0.9858 - 1.0139 = 1.0246 ( done ) support 1.0072
0.9858 - 1.0194 = 1.0332 ( done ) support 1.0114
0.9858 - 1.0258 = 1.0410 ( done ) support 1.0163
0.9858 - 1.0333 = 1.0514 ( done ) support 1.0220
0.9858 - 1.0446 = 1.0670 ( done ) support 1.0307
0.9858 - 1.0536 = 1.0794 ( done ) support 1.0375
0.9858 - 1.0610 = 1.0897 ( done ) support 1.0423
0.9858 - 1.0691 = 1.1009 ( done )
0.9858 - 1.0730 = 1.1063 ( done )
0.9858 - 1.0858 = 1.1240 ( done )
0.9858 - 1.0905 = 1.1304 ( target)

met ban 15:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
vc euro, that is too much.

SGP Fion 15:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio
I'm very interested to hear about GBP. It seems a little laggard in this uprising against the USD. But having said that feel GBP is always a tad slower in following, thought it might be interesting to compare the timing of EUR and GBP. Could you post that as well?

tokyo curious 15:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

Myopia in forex can kill.

vc euro 15:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
after...1.1276....will see...1.1339 in minutes

Tln Wlavio 14:58 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
SGP Fion - yes I do

SGP Fion 14:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio
Noticed you mainly follow EUR. Do you time other ccy too like JPY and GBP?

met ban 14:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tin Wlavio, how come it rises like that? tia

Heusden Ed 14:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
one trick that i use to see if the eur$ (or other) is about to
change direction is to look for a strong RSI and Stoch. (5 3 3, 50 3 3) peak on the 5min and 1hour chart, this gives enough time difference. The peak (down or up) must show on both times frames. You'll see these peaks at least once a week, been using it for the past five weeks and helped a great deal in my day trades. The day before yesterday 29th, we had such a formation on the eur$ (a down peak) and the price is still going up ...and it looks like there's another one forming on the top side....cheers

Tln Wlavio 14:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR - the price will rise during a minute, then again in 15 minutes

North Carolina 23 14:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
How much further can the Euro go?

FW CS 14:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Euro
Weekly chart now about 20 points above its Weekly upper Bollinger band if it can stay there would signal a trend change form sideways to up. Daily fractal sell high 3/11/03 of 1.1076 clearly violated with one close above and I am guessing we will have 2 closes above it today. So a daily buy signal as well.
$/Yen -
Weekly head and shoulders top still valid so remain bearish on that.

Chicago ifsclusa 14:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Well I am having a big 80's day EUR 1.1280, NZD .5680 AUD .6380 and USJPY supp 117.80

eilat dolphin 14:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Kevin/ It's not because of a god, but because of Karl Marx. About evey graph server is out because of May day. In Europe, the pay counts triple today, so it's vacation and they just quit graphing...

London S 14:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
AS EUR/USD edges the $1.1250 range, analysts watching to see a break beyond $1.1275, the last key level before $1.1300.

HK Kevin 14:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA 9 14:36 GMT, my chart reading show change is high for EUR to correct back to 1.0880.

LA9 14:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
HK Kevin just got a feeling euro needs a rest.

Ldn 14:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
CAn anyone give view on oversold position please and spec positions . thanks you

HK Kevin 14:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Yes, LA 9. When I am ready to short EUR at 1.1240, my dealer's server shut down. May be God don't want me to waste money. Stay sideline now.

GER ad 14:40 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Short Euro at 1.1244 S/L over 1.1280 IMHO we will return to 1.1170/80. GL!

met ban 14:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
what are the next resistance point for nzd/usd, aud/usd and euro/usd?
what is the support level for usd/jpy?

Gold Coast L 14:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc DTA this is true but circumstances change quicker than we do.

LA 9 14:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Noticed all the Euro bears have disappeared from the Forum

nyc DTA 14:35 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
in hind site how could anyone sell euro??? ( one explaination is its allways too expencive to buy) we are taught "not" to buy the highs!!!

nyc DTA 14:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
keeps going ... and going.... and going....

malta m 14:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
euro...thar she blows !!! he he he

met ban 14:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
will aud/jpy break 75 today?

eilat dolphin 14:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Canada/ And in a sandstorm.

Gold Coast L 14:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban think kiwi did better than aud, due to no options

Toronto Canada 14:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I meant long Usd/Chf

Toronto Canada 14:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
fairfield jsh - Sorry, my mistake, I meant short Usd/Chf. I didn't have a Stop/Loss.

ny bumbler 14:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc 14:12 GMT May 1, 2003
Brambles shares shoot up on takeover specualtion

Do I look like I give a ratz ...

Tln Wlavio 14:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Halifax- please hold on a minute, i will take a look.
I did not intended to do work today, but can't help it...

vc euro 14:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
guys...dont waste your money....short euro...before>>>>>1.1405/13......gl

fairfield jsh 14:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Toronto...now I am confused...you say you are long euro/$ and down 50 pips? how is this possible?

nyc DTA 14:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Big Daddy euro train keeps on rolling!!!!!!!!

met ban 14:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
breakout for eur/usd and aud/usd.

melbourne 14:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Toronto Canada - Always keep a bucket next to ya computer.

Halifax 14:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tln Wlavio in your opinion , is it un safe to short anything against the dollar please today

Toronto Canada 14:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
eilat dolphin - Thanks Eilat. Is that Eilat Israel?

Tln Wlavio 14:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR - weak during about 15 minutes and then up again.
There won't appear decent corrections today.

eilat dolphin 14:22 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Canada/ on EUR/USDIt could be in a minute, it could be monday. The market is just on autopilot as it just doesn't know.

Toronto Canada 14:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
What I meant to say is that I was long. Went to the bathroom and now I'm down 50 pips.

fairfield jsh 14:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
whoops...my mistake....now I see what you were saying...sorry, my apologies

Plovdiv Gotin 14:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
And if 1.1285 dosnot hold - 1.1309 is next.

fairfield jsh 14:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Toronto....caught on the long side of euro? that must be tough to be in the black! did you mean short side?

met ban 14:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
when will the eur/usd correct?

Toronto Canada 14:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
The Dow is down 123.03 right now. Does anyone see a change for Eur/Usd. I got caught on the long. TIA!

malta m 14:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
plovdiv

may i ask how you got the 1.1285 tg?

10x

Plovdiv Gotin 14:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
E/$ tg=1.1285.

nyc 14:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Brambles shares shoot up on takeover specualtion

Brambles Industries Ltd shares jumped more than six per cent this morning, amid speculation the 128-year-old company might be taken over.
SMH

nyc DTA 14:10 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hmmmm

NYC 14:06 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
ISM PMI 45.2

USA- AK47 14:06 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc Big Daddy // u r correct about the bull trap i see 1.1225 //

houston cj 14:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Stops keeping the Euro from running... anyone see a run one they are all exausted?

nyc Big Daddy 14:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I feel the market would expect an explosion on a break of 1.12
and pay up for euros but i think it will be tough to get thru 11220-40 window

NYC fxdh 14:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Thanks big dady

houston pichon 14:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
big daddy,
could you explain please what does it mean the bull trap ?TIA

San Juan LiL 14:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
big daddy, hi and thanks, the tip is appreciated!

nyc Big Daddy 13:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Watch for bull trap if we break 1.12 imho

nyc DTA 13:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
AK-47 usa up first than down right...

USA- AK47 13:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
eur-usd to fall to 1.1066 before up____

hk ab 13:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nyc// aud/nzd is at 1.12 already!!!

nyc 13:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
UBSW says in a yld-driven global mkt environment commodity currencies should continue to hold up well. The bk targets AUD/USD at 0.6400 in 3-mos, USD/CAD at 1.4250 in 1-mo, although this may be revised lower. However, it looks for NZD to lag the AUD due to RBNZ's easing bias and recommends long AUD/NZD as a strategy trade. That cross now at 1.1160

NYC 13:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
ISM PMI is expect to rise to 47+ after 46.2 last month but some forecasts have it lower after the Chi PMI.

met ban 13:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
will aud/usd .63 go today or not?

Ldon 13:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
MTL GG thks

Lisboa R./ 13:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
PD Cumino ... are you around,whats the spec situation on the Dollar Sales at present, would think its a little over stretched ?No

MTL GG 13:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
ISM exoected to be 47 or 47.5 - so still a pullback.

Ldon 13:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Are the ISM numbers said to be stronger today

hk ab 13:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Holy cow, will I miss my eur/chf long at 1.5115 by 1 pip?

hk ab 13:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
yahoo, 1.12 gone!!!! for aud/nzd not eur/usd.

Tokyo Jon 13:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
usdjpy(118.54),
I am expecting to see 117.50 tonight.

hk ab 13:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
seems nothing is easier than long eur/chf at or around the fig.

NYC Spot 13:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fat Tony, cal me on my cell.

hk ab 12:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
anyone heard of a large buy order in aud/nzd?

London CH 12:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
eur/usd 1.12 apparently being defended, stops said to be above it.

Global-View 12:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Our friends at FX-Strategy will be conducting Forex Trading Workshops, the first one is scheduled for next month. If interested in information on this excellent workshop, CLICK HERE

Tln Wlavio 12:40 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR - will fall again soon, but not that low as it did two times already.

FRA 12:39 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GBP well on track for 1.6200 tgt. I raise stop to 1.6025 and go to the golf course.

NYC 12:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
weekly jobless claims 448K v upward revised 461K. Labor mkt remains weak.

London SM 12:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Quiet here and waiting for U.S. for next direction. Reaction to U.S. data is what we will focus on.

Global-View GVI 11:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GVI's Daily Strategy Session has begun. For more info, LINK

hk ab 11:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
aud/nzd is tougher than the steak I have tonight!

HK Kevin 11:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab, I just wake up for the dinner. Seem nothing change. EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY still putting pressure on EUR/$.

hk ab 11:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
a bit disappointed on that .7 failure.

nyc fxdh 11:33 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nice double bottom on 4 hr $cdn chart....already on move higher

nyc 11:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Economists look for renewed growth in US nonfarm productivity in 1Q with +2.0% seen, up from 0.8% in 4Q, according to a DJ-CNBC survey. This reflects the modest growth in 1Q GDP of 1.5% already reported while separately unit labor costs expected +2.0%. Data due 1230 GMT

nyc 11:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Apr's US ISM is expected to improve to 47.1 from the 46.2 seen in Mar, according to a DJ-CNBC survey of economists

Melbourne Qindex 11:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/JPY : My current expected trading range is 131.90 -132.37 - 132.84.

cape town db 11:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 11:06,
perhaps it is possible if a community is made up of profiteers.
FWIW

Eastbourne PJ 11:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 11:06 GMT May 1, 2003

If they is any truth in this rumour then IMHP it is because of fiscal reasons. Has nothing to do with recent conflict. They would be buyers of $ as well if it were for the right reasons.

NYC fxdh 11:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Enough already...we aremissing this cdn trade

syd 11:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab cant see any revelance in it $USD is a currency not a religion
and no price should be put on freedom - just gratitude

hk ab 11:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
syd// so do you mean that USD should be bought too for the sake of freeing them?

ok, let's go back to fx.

cad shows nice fluctuation for both sides at this big fig.

syd 11:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab what do you mean by that

NYC fxdh 11:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
any views on $/CDn.... thinking of buying...around here 4hr chart looks constructive..employment tomorrow...could be cdn neg

FRA 10:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Rumors Arabs buying sterling today.

nyc Trading God 10:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
anytime fxdh.....

NYC fxdh 10:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Thanks for the help trading God.

Global-View 10:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab. Could you contact us please. TIA

Pretoria Mark 10:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hello Cairo - where do you see the EUR/USD going?

Thank you.

Mark

hk ab 10:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
provo John// are you there?

Munich Germany 10:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
thx Cairo.

CAIRO AG 10:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich: personely, i was not expecting the gbpyen to go back to that level ( however it happened cause of the GBP). Am flat now & wouldnt suggest to do anything here. My calculations states that there r 2 points, up & down, that IF ANY IS BROKEN THIS WEEK, we should be seeing 200-300 pips from it, pending on its direction. The 2 points r 188.69 down & 191.83 up. Will do some work on the daily charts & will get back to u n couple of hours if anything changes.Good luck.

Singapore Sfx 10:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Why not !

Gaza Ibizia 10:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I do so enjoy the fact when mkt is positined wrong they just blame the Desert! been happenening for years.

hk ab 10:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Does anyone have a number in mind that Arabs can shift how much more USD to EUR? 50 more yards?

hk ab 09:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Kevin// do you still see big names deliberatedly pushed up the price to load off majors?

hk ab 09:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
sth wrong with NZ, watch out.

Tln Wlavio 09:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
beijing 09:44 - are you holding or willing to get in?

Bangkok Nop 09:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fx jump start from CAD/$, the good news betaween SARS auwful situation that matching bad news in U.S.
so to have an eye on this money

beijing 09:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
how about eur/usd

Munich Germany 09:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Vratsa 09:29 GMT May 1, 2003
I agree to tri star pattern, means what ?

Munich Germany 09:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Cairo, GBPJPY at the top now ?

Vratsa 09:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Maybe on daily GBP/JPY chart have Tri-Star candle pattern.Any opinions ?

MSC eqwis 09:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
FRA 09:09 GMT May 1, 2003
What is yr stop,pls?

FRA 09:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Thanks , will be carefull and put stop at 1.5970 to be able to enjoy a long lunch.

hk ab 09:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
for those who like big mac's a few days ago, CNBC reported that the burgeronics showed EUR and USD have equal purchasing power now.

Tln Wlavio 09:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fra - I would be careful, not to forget to jump off cable in time...

Prague jv 09:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
FRA
My memory is important , cant do that .:)

Ga Lee 09:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Agreed it is time for sterling to play a bit of catch up..

FRA 09:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Today will be the day of the pound. Not too late to buy GBP. Target 1.6200 and then 1.6500. Forget the EURO.

Tln Wlavio 09:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Going up again.
This was not the low yet, it will go lower than this- probably test the 1.1150 level.
We will see the shoulder soon and then there will appear the head.

Prague jv 09:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Look , what did happen on 24.04.03 with EUR, JPY , USD.

Bangkok Cad 09:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
yep!

Heusden Ed 09:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
according to my weekly pivots we might have seen the highest eur$ levels already...imho
EUR$ pivots

R2 1.1199
M4 1.1158
R1 1.1117
M3 1.1044
PIV 1.0970
M2 1.0929
S2 1.0888
M1 1.0815
S1 1.0741

Prague jv 09:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD

Bangkok Cad 09:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Are you looking at euro 1.20 in the next few months.

Tln Wlavio 09:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR should now fall during 8 minutes and continue rising after that.

singapore 08:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Prague jv may i ask which pair you refer thanks

ldn 08:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/JPY: Option Protection Selling In EUR/USD Weighs On EUR/JPY

hk ab 08:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
UK PMI still under 50 though. cautious upon this piece.

San Juan LiL 08:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hi kev,
SAR weekly euro 1.0510

Prague jv 08:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met
It says you 'v got 20 minits to get out of longs. ;)

San Juan LiL 08:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
money flow index
tweak
set it to 7 periods (instead of standard 14)
when it falls sharply to cero it signals end of trend

HK Kevin 08:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
San Juan LiL 08:34 GMT, what is the SAR of EUR in the weekly chart? Thanks in advance

Seattle MrHuckFin 08:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fundamentals can only hold so long in the FX market, after a while the technical side has to kick in at some point and right now the USD is WAY over sold, I for one will be looking for a "Long" dollar some time in the near future. Just my 2¢ worth.:-)

Tln Wlavio 08:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban - sorry for these 5 minutes I lost...
No, I do not think we should wait.

Gold Coast,L 08:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban looking for 6240 on the Aud, but the Euro not really sure, normally i would watch to see what the Euro does before entering the aud cos a pull back further in Euro would cause further in Aud.
Sorry not to be more conclusive

the big problem for me at these levels being high, alway a little hesitant.

met ban 08:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
San Juan LiL, what is the money flow index showing now?

San Juan LiL 08:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hi guys,
Ed, hello
my mood has gotten better all of a sudden!
re euro, it gave out a sell signal yesterday in the 4hr chart, the famous MFI that maxxim uses, for a short term sell off

... but you know the euro, it doesn't seem to mind the charts...

this Money Flow Index is pretty good for giving out the signal to take profits though.

Good luck to all

met ban 08:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Tin Wlavio, shouldn't we wait for more correction?

hk ab 08:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
FRA// No.? plzz

FRA 08:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
UK manufacturing figures better than expected. High UK interest rates are not a drag on the economy on the contrary.

Tln Wlavio 08:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hello Gentlemen, Ladies!

Isn't it a splendid enter point for EUR long?

met ban 08:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Gold Coast, we are having a good correction in euro/usd and aud/usd. usd/jpy off from its lows. when do you expect second phase?

hk ab 08:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LiL// Thanks for your great job, especially the last sentence.

Heusden Ed 08:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hello Lil, you seem to be in a good mood today so i'm going to ask you your short term view on eur$ :) ...thnx

HK Kevin 08:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
San Juan LiL 08:24 GMT, I like your humour. Good post.

San Juan LiL 08:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hello everyone,

the world revolves around the euro

where is everyone? am i in the right forum?

newcomers please check the archives before you put your feet in your mouth!!

who is QIndex???? ...duuhhh!

Munich Germany 08:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Look at this GBPJPY, it came back.

London AL 08:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich Germany 08:09 re Qindex suggest you look up the archives or even go to his link then you will find out

Munich Germany 08:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Germany Munik 08:08 GMT May 1, 2003

Spread the word not to vote him again.

FRA 08:10 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Like GBP at 1.6000. Looking for substantial rise in UK PMI manufacturing. Should sent GBP to 1.6200.

Munich Germany 08:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
how good is this QIndex ?
How often is it right ? percentage ?

hk ab 08:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
It's not nice for eur if it can't bust that .7 barrier.

Germany Munik 08:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
FRA if Hitler were still alive he would have invaded iraq first.
Thank schroder for the high taxes...in the US with massive deficits, their leader still reduces taxes...and keeps them low..sometimes i wish i were american.

Gold Coast L 08:06 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab beware the USD will fall all of a sudden
we may be into the second faze now , just watch the Yen levels

HK [email protected] 08:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 07:59 GMT May 1, 2003. Do not worry. All that rally in wall street is a nonsense. The fact that U.S $$$ drops, shows that money is leaving the US or leaving US assets. US money is printed by the tons to finance the deficits.

bangkok tj 08:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 07:59 GMT May 1, 2003
It is reasonnable , I had seen such situation was happen in 1995
Dollar is weak , but US indices rise .

CAIRO AG 08:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Dont think so yet; knowing this cross, if that was the bottom, it would have been now runing towards ur buy price at least (189.90 ) or near.

Munich Germany 08:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
If you hold a dollar bill in your hand, you never know how much worth it has, aslong as you don't look at the figures.
With Euro, you can go by color.

However, doesn't matter how it looks. I love money, give me more :-)

hk ab 08:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Come on, eurgbp, you can make it!

Munich Germany 08:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Cashman 07:58 GMT May 1, 2003
No Sir, I am proud about our new "strong"
nice coloured currency. :-)
And BTW, It looks much than the dollar ;-)

Ldn Cashman 08:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Sorry Munich, I'm getting you confused with Munik. Apologies.

hk ab 07:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Anyone has a view on rising DOWJ and dropping USD to happen at the same time?? I think it's not unreasonable if all the US asset are held back by American. They will need to handle their own bubbles but not the other nations.

Munich Germany 07:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Cairo, was that the bottom now ? GBPJPY ?

Ldn Cashman 07:58 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich, well I certainly blame the politicians for this stupid experiment called the Euro. You are highlighting what absolute mess it has caused to your country. Am I right in thinking that the majority of your country want the Deutsche Mark back ?

Munich Germany 07:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
FRA 07:52 GMT May 1, 2003
Please stop this stupid conversation.
Germany Munik, don't really knows what he is talking about.

FRA 07:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Germany/ If you had to choose between Hitlers economic program and that of Schoeder . What you think would be best for Germany?

hk ab 07:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Thanks Qindex.

Munich Germany 07:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Ldn Cashman 07:48 GMT May 1, 2003
Why should I blame somebody ?

Ldn Cashman 07:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
One size does not fit all countries. Nobody would listen

Ldn Cashman 07:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich...... and blame the bloody Euro...

Melbourne Qindex 07:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 07:45 GMT - It has been posted in my page this morning.

Munich Germany 07:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Germany Munik, how about changing your name ;-)

hk ab 07:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Qindex// any target for this yen dive?

FRA 07:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Germany/ Stop blaming the ECB for Germanys problems. Blame Schroeder. UK with interest rates at 4% manages yo have unemployment down to 3.5 % and economy growing solidly. Schroeders destroyed the german wirthschaftwunder while you have to admit that Blairs third way has been working. Good leaders can make a difference and Schroeder seems to be the worst Germany had since WO II

hk ab 07:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
eur/gbp welcome explosive move on .7!

Munich Germany 07:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
selling would have been better :-(

hk ab 07:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
We will hear many people screaming on yen when a lot of commented recommending buying /jpy crosses.

Cheetah DA 07:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GERMANY Munik, you can at least move around the EU to find something to keep you going and to survive. I'm stuck here in SA and it doesn't matter where I move AA is against me whether I can do a job better than another person. That's why I decided to get involved with Forex - at least there AA can not keep me our. Struggling to survive and would appreciate all the help from the folks over here. I enjoy the positive comments and suggestions provided here

hk ab 07:39 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Also, all the CB's have their decision lining up next week. RBA and RBNZ right?

hk ab 07:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
we have many PMI's tomorrow.
I suggest to long eur after next week ECB decision. if things are ok, you won't mind getting 100 pips less for the 1000 pips move.

Munich Germany 07:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
bought GBPJPY now

CAIRO AG 07:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich: I would say it s gonna be somewhere between 189.21 & 188.71.Best of luck

HK [email protected] 07:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Germany Munik 07:24 GMT May 1, 2003...That is all what E.U is about. You have to adjust; stop being a German ,French or Greek, give up your friends ,your identity your neighbours ,your friends from childhood. Move in the E.U back and forth until you may find a good job or perish, may be in Spain or portugal, it is all a game of money and survival.

nyc 07:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
The euro is set to make more gains Thursday, with little on the immediate horizon to stop it.
Crumbling confidence in the dollar's ability to continue attracting investor flows and the prospect of even more bad news on the U.S. economy are contributing to the momentum in the euro's favor.
Also, said David Bloom, a currency strategist with HSBC in London, the market is taking the view that there is little that European officials can do to stop it. "They might say one or two things but the market will just blow them apart," he said, noting that recent market intervention by Japanese authorities against the yen has shown that official attempts to manipulate the market have little impact.
Upward pressure on the euro has built since late Tuesday, after the single currency managed to make a clean break through resistance at $1.1085.
The trend was only encouraged by a disappointing Chicago purchasing managers' report Wednesday, which showed the main index falling back to 47.6 in April from 48.4 in March, instead of rising to 50.0 as expected.
Taken along with Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan's fairly cautious comments on the U.S. economy to a congressional committee and a subsequent 23-point decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the news served to keep the dollar under steady pressure.
Bloom sees all this as helpful for European bond markets, which continue to yield at a premium to those in the U.S.
In this world of low return, you buy European bonds," he said. "If bond markets are king, the euro remains with them."

AP>news/RTS

indo arief 07:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
is euro expectation will rise again till 1.210?

Germany Munik 07:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
it does not matter to the ecb that my retail business went broke...it does not matter to them if me and my friends are unemployed....(thats y i am here trying to make a few euros from forex.).it does not matter to the ecb if my son is starving....all that matters to them is that prices remain low..times were better when hitler was in power.

Prague jv 07:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I know , its too risky . Just did buy USD/JPY. Mayby no holliday for me and will by on demo soon.

Munich Germany 07:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
GBPJPY, where is the bottom, please advice.

Melbourne Qindex 07:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
USD/JPY : Selling pressure will increase if the market is trading below 118.50.

Ldn 07:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Dim Wim says he is over the moon about the strength of the Euro, its keeping inflation at bay for him

Au Rick 07:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
they will probably cut rates to halt euro gains...i.e if they care about the german economy ...but ofcourse they dont and give more importance to inflation.

HK [email protected] 07:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I think the mode of advance Eur/Usd will continue as before; strong moves upward with shallow corrections. There are no significant Res. up to 1.1950 . The chart created by the ECB as euro was inagurated;... agressive downward pushes with no peaks, is coming now back to their face. Let us see how can they tame the animal they have created heheheh. Hope they the ECB will come with an intervention.

Prague jv 07:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
plain- vanila 1.1125 1.1110 1.1100 strikes rolling of at todays NY cut.

Singapore J 06:58 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Opton expirey on Euro 1.12 anyone know when tks

Melbourne Qindex 06:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA 06:46 GMT - I posted it in my page already.

LA 06:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex are you seeing something we need to know about

LA 06:46 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
White House officials have ordered the nation's intelligence agencies to conduct a review of whether North Korea could produce bomb-grade plutonium without being detected by the United States, according to senior administration officials, The New York Times Thursday editions.

Dubai DTD 06:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Good day friends

Melbourne Qindex 06:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LA. 06:36 GMT - Very Cautious!

LA. 06:36 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Qindex, do you see an explosive move in Europe/NY sessions to the upside for the Euro today, things seem to be brewing ?? thks

hk ab 06:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
bye, see you london opens.

Mel 06:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab...i get alot of aud/yen trade info, and there is still good demand on dips for your guide.

met ban 06:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
london, thanks. been waiting for them.

hk ab 06:20 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Don't know why but chf is strange these days......
aud/usd. Compare with the last year correction .58 to .5225=575 pips and the this year one .6180 to .5780 about 400 pips. The size is not very significant as jap buys quite a decent amount.
there's once a trader here who got a lot of aud/jpy trade info, I think he can help.

Brisbane K 06:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich Germany They cover every currency Pair - and all the lingo

London 06:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban been jawboning this today, ( warning)

syd 06:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Mel Th ...wonder if you get shareholders perks

Macau Trader 06:17 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Buy euro coz its going to 1.50

met ban 06:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
London, when will the boj come out? been waiting for them.

Munich Germany 06:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Brisbane K 06:12 GMT May 1, 2003

If you are talking about EUR it could be one of at least 6 currency pairs right ?

Mel 06:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab...i dont disagree..we have seen several healthy correction in this AUD rally.....market postioning doesnt feel extreme yet, and it hasntbacked off any of the range tops as its rallied so think any substantial correction a bit off....imvho.

hk ab 06:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Fion// it's just similar and my dad told me that when I am 10.

But these Macau index is truly powerful. 90% of traders lose money, why? 'cos they never never have info faster than the last 10% who most of them are bankers.
Unless, a bank is very poorly managed, otherwise, you seldom see banks bankrupt nowadays.

London 06:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab Beware the BOJ

melb th 06:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Be interesting to see if there is much of a spike in ASX activity today following the listing of this company . I wonder if it will make one of the major indices and if so, which one?

Brisbane K 06:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
I suggest that any novice trader, should avail themselves a FX form book, this provides all of the abbreviations needed in this trade.

Mel 06:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
2 things interesting....

CAD on fire...to lead the next leg down for the USD?

USD index under extreme pressure and approaching important level at 97.

US stocks up, USD down....a dichotomy that cant hold for much longer?..

thoughts?

met ban 06:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
forgive me but i am a newcomer in forex trading. the thing i did right before was to shift my real usd to real aud last year. hope you guys are patient with newcomers like me.

hk ab 06:11 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
MEI//For aud/usd, I have no doubts. But aud/jpy, I think I will keep it for a bit longer while as the 4hrs show some toppish here. In fact, a healthy correction for aud is not bad for the pair indeed. It's good to exchange ideas here.

So far, this year movement and mkt habit looks similar to last year. The only one different is chf. I am looking at some monthly chart of dlr/chf in 1991.

Brisbane K 06:09 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
take a look at CAD up 100pips in Asia

Munich Germany 06:08 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Excuse me everybody, but could you try to write the full currency pair names and the full prices, otherwise, people probably don't know what you are talking about.
THANK YOU.

Mel 06:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
no, because imho 74 isnt an important level for aud/yen in the medium term now.....i know you have been calling a top for aud/yen from 70 to up here, but i can tell you that there is still very good demand for aud/yen on any dip, and it is a strong medium term bull trend......as with aud/usd you can make money from the short side if nimble but thats not my game.

HK Kevin 06:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab, EUR needs to break 0.70 against GBP and 133.65 against JPY to show its own strength.

SGP Fion 06:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
hk ab 05:59 GMT May 1, 2003
.....It's always cool to have an experience that when the women in the market also know about a certain trend, that means, a near end is approaching.

Revdex uses the Macau Index, and you use the Women Index. How very interesting.

Brisbane K 06:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban sorry was thinking out loud, meant hoping for pullback to load up again, anywhere between 62 and here cheers Euro may be lucky if we see 1.1085 again nearterm

osaka sakimonohito 06:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
anyone else have a low on GBP/USD at 1.5970 last night? My broker stopped me out but I don't see that traded on other brokers

hk ab 06:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
MEI// what if it breaks 74 first? does it mean the opposite thing work too? Just ask.

hk ab 05:59 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
The good thing in fx rather than stocks is that there's a tadpole point.
You can have a stock drops 90% and stayed there but you don't see that in fx. Real flows show shifting dlr to eur, aud and chf but seems it's already half way done so far unless sth nasty from Arab union want to happen, otherwise, m/t ship is what you need to note.
It's always cool to have an experience that when the women in the market also know about a certain trend, that means, a near end is approaching.
JIMVHO. In short, when go long, long with cautions when you see many many long around.

ap7Poland Bialystok 05:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR/USD - 1.1145

daily support 1.1099 > 1.1018 >1.0936
daily resistance 1.1226 > 1.1272 >1.1317


Sell now!!!!!!!!!!

Prague jv 05:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hi Munich
It is too late IMVHO to go long and price did hit my sell target. I think we are ready for correction , which could begain selling panick with profit takeing on previous longs.
It is only my speculation , and again , it offers good risk/reward ratio.

Mel 05:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban......if you a short term trader i would look to buy dip in aud at 6210/30 area......watch aud/yen..if that cross breaks 75 i believe we will see aud/usd off to the races.....imho.

Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 05:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hello forum !!
Thursday,01 may 2003
EUR/USD
eur/usd short term will up to 1.1226 and this level give potential pullback. For buy position stop loss at 1.1160. From monthly chart formation 1.1226 is a target and be carefull this level can give pullback so far. If price still break high untuil 1.1240 better cut switch your position.
GBP/USD
gbp/usd short term will up to 1.6052 (pullback) and if still break high that’s mean price will get weekly candle formation at 1.6100. This level can give chance potential pullback so far.
USD/JPY
usd/jpy middle term will down to 116.90. This level give chance potential pullback. Stop loss level at 119.10 (bid).
USD/CHF
usd/chf is the opposite with eur/usd .
AUD/USD
aud/usd short term will up to 0.6321 (pullback) with stop loss at 0.6255 (bid).
GOLD LONDON
Gold will up to 340.10 with stop loss at 336.00

Hope you are well and succes for today trading.
Have a nice trade and hope good day

Best regards

Technical analyst

met ban 05:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Brisban k, i am sorry i did not understand what you said. the factors you said were good for aud but you are expecting it to decline? any suggested pick up price for aud and eur? tia

Mel 05:52 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
there will be dips on the way up for sure, and nimble traders can make money from the short side, but being a medium term trader thats not my game......if you are not long you will probably get better levels to buy if you are patient, but then again you may not.

nyc 05:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
State Street Global Investors retains long AUD/USD position in latest global portfolio, citing yield advantage and domestic economy insulated from global woes; on this basis, also recommends adding overweight Polish zloty, Mexican peso to existing overweight EUR, AUD and ZAR, while moving to neutral JPY, CAD, staying underweight USD.
Reuters

Munich Germany 05:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Prague jv 05:48 GMT May 1, 2003
Why would you go short here ?

Brisban, K 05:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Mel, believe you and the M&A pending , drought over and budget in surplus - are we going to be able to buy some euro and aud ? thats the question . we should see a pull back soon

met ban 05:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
mel, thanks for the info. any recommended price to pick it up?

Prague jv 05:48 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
OK. Going by my self.

Mel 05:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
aud...medium term 65, but maybe 68

eur..medium term 1.15, maybe 1.18/20


usd is in a structural decline and the market will overshoot as much on the topside, as it did in going to 82 eur and 48 aud on the downside.

Prague jv 05:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hi traders . Do anybody want to go short EUR/USD ?

met ban 05:43 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
any short term targets and medium targets for eur/usd and aud/usd?

Seattle MrHuckFin 05:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
NYC FatTony:Why are you so sure Euro needs to go "Long"? Not that I completely disagree, but you have to go to a daily before you even see any technical indicators for a long, I'm more in favor of a "Short" my self but I do believe it's going to go up before it will go down. Just wondering what your premise was based on, I don't even trade the Euro I prefer the GBP and I think it needs to come down as well but I have a BUY in place there, so I guess we're on the same page.:-)

Gold Coast L. 05:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EUR moves up a bit U.S., Middle Eastern funds buying option is sitting at the figure

Munich Germany 05:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban 05:28 GMT May 1, 2003
no idea, I don't think it will go up.

Mksr co 05:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
arief
sorry not yet register for hotmail account

NYC FatTony 05:31 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
1.12 ....whats taking so long?????? Break already!!!

Mksr co 05:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
ind arief
U can down load ICQ lite.I have nick name that. other just my yahoo email.

hk ab 05:29 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
provo John// do you think it's worth to chase it? to short?

met ban 05:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich germany, i also have the same question for usd/jpy?

Mel 05:27 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
er yeh...dont understand..you asked whether it will turn and go up......it has been going up so if it turns it can only turn down...or it will continue on its medium term up trend.

Mksr co 05:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Hello guys!!!
Gbp/usd broke through the 1.5980 resistance, although it pulled back somewaht thereafter. We take this as snother bullish indication and perhaps a huge positive signal for at least 1.6050, but 1.6200 is easily a target too if this break happens.gd luck

Munich Germany 05:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Mel 05:19 GMT May 1, 2003
So you don't understand my question ?
I asked if it will go up or down before it went up.

hk ab 05:22 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
cad/dlr marks new horizon after .7000 broken

Mel 05:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
CAD is leading this move down for the usd.

hk ab 05:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
eur/chf safely and firmly breaks the historical 1.5150. mark.

Mel 05:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich///aud/yen has been going up, dont understand your question.....basically its pausing during a multi big figure medium term rally..75 is a big level for this cross.

dol/cad just collapsed.

Munich Germany 05:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
whats going on with EURCAD ?

Indo Arief 05:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
excusez-moi, mr_co_z, do you have hotmail account + hotmail messengger?
I have problem in connecting to my yahoo messengger...

Melbourne MK 05:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Texas hat good day to you Sir, with his committments at the moment finishing off the terrorists, he should be a little more cautious, no need doing the job Saddam and Bin Laden want to do, I bet his missus isnt too pleased

Munich Germany 05:02 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
where is next restistance for GBPUSD ?

Munich Germany 05:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Is AUDJPY going to turn or will it continue to fall ?

Ldn city 05:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
'Saddam letter' urges uprising

London Arabic newspaper has printed what it believes to be a handwritten letter from ousted Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein

Texas hat 04:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

landing on a moving vessel is certainly less dangerous than going to Vietnam to fight.

Mel 04:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
further to that m and a frenzy article......brambles shares on the asx are up over 7 pct today, rumours a US corp are going to launch a takeover bid.....market cap of brambles over 5 bn.

Munich Germany 04:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
LOL Sydney

sydney gm 04:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
DAREDEVIL BUSH: PLANE TO LAND ON MOVING CARRIER
Bush plans to make history today by landing in a small four-person plane on a moving aircraft carrier hundreds of miles from shore... President will be in co-pilot's seat... Drudgereport

Well lets hope all goes well, you think the dollar is low now !!

Dallas GEP 04:45 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Update: Well that EUR/USD Short position I had got blown out at a 125 PIP loss. I was looking at it and in hindsight I can't say I would do anything differently. Dammmmm Saudi's or however dump 12 yards in Euros and WTH are we supposed to do???? Will make it back up in a day or two but it still irks me a little but that's the game we CHOOSE to play. You got to be like an old Timex watch "It takes a lickin but it keeps on tickin!!!" LOL

Melbourne MK 04:38 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
So many potential targets in M&A frenzy
Overseas companies are increasingly buying their Australian competitors,
Fund managers are bracing themselves for a wave of merger activity as fears about the war in Iraq recede and companies search for ways to improve earnings growth in a poor economic environment.

After being taken by surprise by two mid-cap takeovers in two days - Coca-Cola Amatil's hostile tilt at Neverfail Springwater and OPSM's recommendation of a bid by Italy's Luxottica - fund managers are scoping the market for the next marks.
"Companies the world over are struggling to find genuine organic growth and the two transactions this week are classic examples of this," says Perpetual Investments head of equities, John Sevior. "Companies are filling gaps both in terms of product lines and geographic base."
This week's deals follow a frenzy of takeover activity in the first few months of 2003, when Burns Philp bought Goodman Fielder, Jupiters merged with Tabcorp and Constellation Brands of the US took out BRL Hardy.
The deals are showing an increasing shift towards overseas companies buying their Australian competitors, seeking stability of earnings and taking advantage of the still-weak Australian dollar.
"Australia has proved a relatively solid performer against a backdrop of economic turmoil elsewhere around the globe," says Andrew King, portfolio manager at Investors Mutual. "Maybe international parties may be looking again at Australian targets."
Merger activity is now moving to the small-cap sector. "When you look at the returns of smaller companies, a significant part comes from takeovers," says Paul Jenkins, managing director of Jenkins Investment Management, "and you can ignore takeover returns at your peril."
Top among the targets is farm services conglomerate Futuris, being besieged by grain giant AWB, which is all but ready to launch a takeover bid. AWB submitted an application in mid-April to the federal Treasurer, Peter Costello, to extend its existing 14.2 per cent stake to beyond 15 per cent.
Eley Griffiths Group's portfolio manager, Brian Eley, says the companies' rural distribution networks that deliver financial products to farmers are largely complementary but AWB might sell Futuris's non-rural businesses, which include making automotive components.
Further over the horizon, though, fund managers and investment bankers are lining up potential targets. MIA Group - the largest player in Australia's $1.5billion radiology market - has seen its shares drop dramatically recently, and the vultures are already lining it up with Mayne Group and Sonic Healthcare, although both could have difficulties rejuvenating MIA's ailing UK business, Omnilabs.
Mayne may also be interested in the Gribbles Group, which would take it into Western Australia and fits neatly with its pathology businesses.
In the building sector, Crane Group and Reece Australia have been tagged as potential fits with Wesfarmers, which does not have a plumbing business.
Mr Jenkins says Wesfarmers' Bunnings has good synergies with Reece, which operates a national network of retail stores built on relationships with plumbers and has expanded into the mechanical services, gas spares and irrigation supply markets.
Another deal that has been on the cards for more than a year is a merger of the Sydney Futures Exchange and the Australian Stock Exchange, although it is understood that ASX managing director Richard Humphry is against the deal.
In the media sector, the scrapping of cross-media ownership restrictions on radio could lead to any of the three major television networks bidding for Austereo.
Nine Network's owner, Publishing and Broadcasting, is also touted as a bidder for Perth casino Burswood, which would fit neatly with its Crown casino. Elsewhere in the gaming sector, punters are holding their breath for NSW's TAB and Queensland's UNiTAB to get together. Right now regulatory hurdles restrict the type of deal that could be done, but the fit is perfect and next year the main restrictions are lifted.
AFR.

Mel 04:35 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
aud/yen breaking above 75 will be the rocket launcher for the next leg up in aud/usd

Au Rick 04:26 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
tokyo tm please read my archives in the past week for aud. yes i was long but i just turned short.

Mel 04:21 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich.....been structurally long AUD for months and months.....its a genuine bull market, ...have had medium term target of 65, but , to be honest, I can see it trading up to 68-70 range in the next 3-6 months.


short term, any dip 6150-6180 is a tremendous buy.

tokyo tm 04:19 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

rick,sonny,aussie has risen from .49 to .62........a drop of a few pip will not doom the rising baloon.......think of all the money you could have made if you held onto your longs.....maybe you held onto your shorts instead.........

ny 04:18 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EURO subdued in Asia after Wed's surge higher. Talk of possible option-related selling into 1.1200 barriers & the May Day holidays in most centres today is serving to cap upside impetus for now. There are also some key data due from the US today, including ISM, weekly initial claims (which pre-curses tomorrow's Apr Payrolls report), the Fed watched productivity report for Q1 and construction spending.

Munich Germany 04:16 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Morning everybody,

are you guys trading the AUDUSD long ?

Mel 04:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
NY...1.0180 for the euro?!!!!...dont hold your breath

Tokyo 04:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
U.S. could yet take things up a notch with North Korea after dismissive comments of Pyongyang's proposal to end nukes program in return for concessions: Kyodo reports U.S. mulling imposing naval blockade on North or boarding ships for inspection if it upgrades nukes development. Still, doesn't seem there's concrete plan for this now, and such move could strain U.S.-Japan ties in particular; also, North would likely view it as sanctions, which it has said in past would be green light for war
reuters

Mel 04:15 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
rick...

aud is bid bid bid......65 the target.

London city 04:07 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Scattered U.S. fund sales pushing EUR/JPY toward lower end of day's range. Japan trust banks likely to continue buying on dips, as they have in recent sessions, to invest in high-yielding eurozone assets. "They have no reason to change their plan," says European bank trader

Au Rick 04:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Aud/usd: Break below 6221 will be first sign of doom.

Au Rick 04:03 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
tonite

NY 03:37 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Can someone tell me what is worng with the euro? When can we see 1.0180

Montreal 03:25 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

Can anyone tell me how much affect the CBI and CIPS surveys have on the currency, respective to which country comes out with the news.

syd sn 02:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich, I trade just about every currency, a few futures
markets as well. Been doing this for about 17 years now.
Leider, weil meine Frau heimweh hat , muss ich möglicherweise zurück nach Deutscland. Na ja.

houston pichon 02:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
ich sprache auch ein wenig deutch, aber ich schreibe es sehr sclecht
cheers
sorry guys, nothing important besides the fact that i went short in short eur/us prematurely

Munich Germany 02:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
syd sn 02:07 GMT May 1, 2003

Heimweh, kenn ich. 10 Jahre ist ne lange Zeit.
What are you trading ? Which currencies ?

syd sn 02:07 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich Germany ,

Aus Sydney. Aber ich habe zehn jahre in deutschland gewohnt. Heimweh ist schlimmer als durst. Ha ha.

Munich Germany 01:57 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
WOW, Germans all over the planet.
I am actually from Austria, at least my passport is.
Hi Freunde.

brisbane 01:55 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
nicht wenn Sie versuchen, einen Dollar zu bilden

Munich Germany 01:53 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
syd, aus sydney ?
Gutes Deutsch :-)
Ich hab zur Zeit einen gestörten Schlafrythmus. LOL

syd sn 01:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Munich Germany,

Kannst du nicht schlafen?

Tko 01:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
U.S. could yet take things up a notch with North Korea after dismissive comments of Pyongyang's proposal to end nukes program in return for concessions: Kyodo reports U.S. mulling imposing naval blockade on North or boarding ships for inspection if it upgrades nukes development. Still, doesn't seem there's concrete plan for this now, and such move could strain U.S.-Japan ties in particular; also, North would likely view it as sanctions, which it has said in past would be green light for war
Nikkie

Munich Germany 01:50 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
you too. ;-)

melb th 01:49 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban// I phrased my questions the same way because I suspect eurjpy might weigh more on his thinking.

chicago 01:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich

thkx for your input...just seems the whole world is beastly long and im afraid its ob

enough for tonight...be in touch tomorrow...good luck and good trades

Munich Germany 01:47 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
but double DOJI at the bottom, most likely it will go up.

Munich Germany 01:44 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
small range trading ?

Munich Germany 01:42 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
chicago 01:41 GMT May 1, 2003
Well, probably not objective. I am in. LONG

chicago 01:41 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich----how are you reading the euro now? 112? or 11150?

met ban 01:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
melb th, was referring to usd/jpy. it was a pondering question?

mel 01:32 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
DJ MARKET TALK/AU: AUD/USD Rally No Longer Fragile

melb th 01:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
met ban 01:05 // When you say "time to short are you referring to JPY or USDJPY? Maybe Misoguchi is feeling his oats?

Melbourne Qindex 01:30 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Current comment on EUR/USD, click here.

Melbourne Qindex 01:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

Current comment on EUR/JPY, click here.



Munich Germany 01:28 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
SHENZHEN Laowen 01:12 GMT May 1, 2003
Hi Laowen, may I ask where SHENZEN is ?

SHENZHEN Laowen 01:12 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
In a short term Usd/Chf is poised to test the former
low @1.3226.

However, Eur/Usd's long term target is aiming at 1.2396,imho.
So,Usd/Chf has long way to go to bottom up.

Munich Germany 01:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
USDCHF chart looks like fishing for stops

met ban 01:05 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
it seems that the warnings of mof was a dud. usd/jpy broke through 119.1/.2 levels. time to short?

Melbourne Qindex 01:01 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   

Current comment on USD/JPY, click here.



mel 00:56 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Japan's Mizoguchi warns FX players MOF prepared to cap latest JPY surge

Munich Germany 00:54 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
no I bought it. If I write,
bought EURUSD now
or
sold EURUSD now
then I did it.
I don't do paper trades thru this forum anymore

nyc DTA 00:51 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
munich one question... did you really buy it or another paper trade??/

sydney 00:34 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Rise in Australian manufacturing index in April points to continued solid growth for manufacturers up 54.8 points in April vs 54.0 in March, shrugging off effects of Iraq war

Munich Germany 00:24 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
USDCHF

Munich Germany 00:23 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Dealers Eyeing Key Support Around 1.3490
Good morning

HKT PS 00:14 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
Morning to everybody.
Every market in Asia is closed apart from Tokyo.
Cheers.

Munich Germany 00:13 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
bought EURUSD now

Munich Germany 00:04 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
EURUSD, next breakout up or down, please express yourself!!!

Tokyo 00:00 GMT May 1, 2003 Reply   
North Korea: Sanctions equal war
North Korea said on Thursday that it would regard any US move to seek UN sanctions against the communist country as "the green light to a war".

The warning came after South and North Korea agreed to try to peacefully resolve the nuclear crisis, though Pyongyang has said further talks with the United States are useless unless it drops its demand that the North first scrap suspected atomic weapons programs.

North Korea says abandoning such programs would leave it defenceless and has in the past said sanctions would be seen as a step toward war.

Pyongyang "will take self-defensive measures, regarding it as the green light to a war" if Washington seeks a UN resolution authorising economic sanctions against it, North Korea said in a statement on KCNA, its official news agency
AP

 




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