Forex Forum Archive for 01/13/2004

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 23:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sorry.. I mean like this :
My message :
be carefull BOJ seen ready to act.
so welcome eur/usd and Gbp/usd for up. STRONG !!
I think Eur/usd and GBP/usd final corection were finished after get arround 1.2710 (my expectation is at 1.2701) and GBP/usd at 1.8400 (my expectation low is at 1.8400-8394).
today I support for USD index BEARISH. Yes.. BEARISH sooo faaaar

Brisbane L 23:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
NYC YIPPEE
tend to agree, it was an American Analyst talking to Ben Pedely CNBC.
only thing is it could have been larger - I suppose thats the worry that it could have happened at all

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 23:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning world !!
Good Morning all my friends here !!
I hope today good day for you .

My message :
be carefull BOJ seen ready to act.
so welcome eur/usd and Gbp/usd for up. STRONG !!
I think Eur/usd and GBP/usd final corection were finished after get arround 1.2710 (my expectation is at 1.2701) and GBP/usd at 1.8400 (my expectation low is at 1.8400-8394).
today I support for USD BULLISH. Yes.. BULLISH sooo faaaar

NYC YIPPEE 23:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 23:24 GMT January 13, 2004
That is such a stupid comment to make. Amazing !

TL LM 23:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ab, whats your prediction for the AUD / NZD?

Brisbane L 23:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Anyone Watching CNBC squawk, analyst suggesting that the NAB problem could cause credibility Crisis in Australian Banks ?? I suppose it because they were said to be beyond reproach.

TL LM 23:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Guys, any based opinion on the GBP/CHF for the next 24 Hrs?

hk ab 0.88 23:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
switch aud/nzd longs to shorts 1.14.

Brisbane L 23:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Quite a good article as its quiet.sorry for the size

Forbes predicts dollar dilemma
BY Michael Sainsbury, Economics
January 14, 2004
UNLESS the Australian dollar falls back to around US65c it could cause long-term damage to the economy, according to US economist and magazine publisher Steve Forbes.
The dollar closed yesterday at US77.89c and the trade weighted index against a basket of major currencies is at 15-year highs.
Mr Forbes said much of the local currency's fate lay in the hands of the US Federal Reserve, which was holding interest rates at historic 1 per cent lows, weakening the greenback's appeal.
Mr Forbes, in Sydney yesterday for a meeting of business leaders, believes the Fed must raise rates soon or risk inflation next year.
"They will try and hold it back as long as possible. I fear they will do too little too late," he said.
"The stock market will have a good year - companies have cut costs and margins are improving," he said. "But you will have to pick stocks this year. Last year you could have just thrown your money at the list."
Mr Forbes said he would put his money on blue chips and, if interest rates were increased, the technology-heavy Nasdaq list. "Businesses have not invested since 1999, particularly in hi-tech," he said. "Investment will pick up this year."
Mr Forbes said that US debt levels did not concern him too much. "The pick-up in the market will increase government receipts." Mr Forbes, who has previously run for the Republican presidential nomination on a flat tax platform, believes George Bush will win this year's US election easily from Howard Dean. Mr Forbes said the Chinese economy would get a rapid flow-on effect from US inflation next year as its currency, the renmimbi, was pegged to the US dollar. This would take the heat out of surging commodity prices driven by booming demand from China.

hk ab 0.88 23:11 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I would like to see how boj can twist the mkt to destroy the daily reversal on aud/jpy pair.

Brisbane L 23:07 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
NZ chases SARS death report
The New Zealand embassy in Moscow said it was attempting to check a news agency report of a NZ man dying of apparent severe acute respiratory syndrome in Siberia
The German DPA agency, quoting Russia's Itar-Tass news agency, reported the man who died was a 44-year-old New Zealander invited to Russia by a marriage agency
After his death, pathologists discovered a severe infection of both lung chambers which had been caused by the Sars virus, the report said.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade spokesman Brad Tattersfield said nothing more was known.

"We're asking our guys to give us some information about it," he said.
SMH

beirut jb 23:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Belgrad VM 22:08 GMT

sorry last post wasnt for L ,it was for u VM

GL GT

beirut jb 23:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 22:00 GMT

Hi L,

well it's hard to say at this level GBP where it will go,

if 185 break then long is favored with first resistance at 18545, second one 18590~186 area,

If didnt break then short will find support at 184,
so watch this level and go long on 185 break and short on 185

rejection,

GL GT

GVI john 22:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
STRATEGY SESSION �Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2770�. $/yen 106.20
DJIA 10,427, -58 pts�NASDAQ 2,096, -15 pts
10-yr 4.01%, -8 bp�s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
access via GVI. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]

Longmeadow JSB 22:20 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
My Pivot at 1.8487. Getting pretty risky for me.

Brisbane L 22:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Newswire is saying the NAB scam on a par with Bearings saying confidence in NAB's Credibility has been hit ,and has in the bank's control systems foreign exchange and derivatives dealings, where amounts of money and exposure can be very high has been .

Belgrad VM 22:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Friends I need your opinions for GBP/USD for the next few hours? TIA and GL

Brisbane L 22:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
from the Wall Street Journal..not sure what affect it will have on the markets over here .

There are Concern is spreading across Asia over the health risks and economic implications of an outbreak of bird flu in Vietnam, South Korea and Japan.

The most serious bout of infections has struck in Vietnam, where chicken-to-human transmission of so-called H5N1 avian influenza has resulted in the deaths of two Vietnamese children and one adult, the World Health Organization said.

Alicante RTN 22:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Porto PJT:
Messenger?

la 21:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks all!!!

Porto PJT 21:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la 21:47 GMT , i have 01 bid

st. pete islander 21:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la 21:47 GMT

I have 1.8401.

brisbane sunstate 21:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la 21:47 GMT January
I have low 1.8401

la 21:47 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
may I know what is the low for gbp/usd .. on your trading platform? Anyone??
Cuz censored gives me 8400 which is different from other platform.

TIA

LAX-LGB SNP 21:44 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
looking @ session open/close levels re: EURJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD and EURUSD ... am going to let them run their due course since the market has sought stops during NYC but retraced its steps
expect the flows to resume their due course soon

LAX-LGB SNP 21:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
with reference to 13:23 GMT January 13, 2004

initial eurusd bids stopped @ breakeven but rebought and 1.274x held for eurusd second time around and price is a quarter higher

buying gbpusd @ 1.842x ushering in almost 2 quarters

selling usdchf below 1.2280 yields nearly 3 quarters

buying audusd ahead of 0.7780 is barely breaking even but no loss thanfully
buying eurgbp ahead of 0.6900 and eurjpy on top of 135.45 is worth a collective quarter

gbpchf bids stopped @ break-even
never managed to short gbpjpy below 196.90

pretty much flat now

Det tm 20:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
November Trade data @ 8:30 EST tomorrow

US$ Index was mostly above 90 in Nov., its Dec.
data that ought to reflect the bigger recent break.

Gen dk 20:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

lahore FM 20:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
PJT,
There was nothing dollar supportive in Mr.Greenspan's speech.He downplayed both the trade deficit and the dollar value,saying that he does not see any crisis there.

Porto PJT 20:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I didnt hear on Mr G speech nothing that could reverse the trend, or anyone have seen any intention to raise rates soon?market really could and should make a correction, but not reverse, not talking about the euro but the usd overall, imo.

lahore FM 20:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF an ideal buy here add at 1.2270 stops at 1.2210.

lahore FM 20:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I believe market needs a fresh kick from Boj as far as USD/JPY is concerned,but if the kick start came today i think BOJ will not need to intervene rest of the winter,as the charts are quite primed fora rally in USD/JPY,better than three days before,and this once it might sustain too.

beirut jb 19:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 19:25 GMT

well if u can stomack 500 pip i think u r safe, i guess 130 should provide some retracement if we get there, anyway i wish u GL and a lot of serious people started to build short positions here like our dear Athen I think

USA Biscuit Boy 19:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi JB. I am only using very small leverage on euro shorts and no leverage for the other pairs at the moment. I will add every big figure if the trend goes my way. I don't mind holding for 500 pips or so against me but in my view of course I won't need to :)

midlands dave 19:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
looks like theres some sterling selling going on too... big gap below to fill over the past few months.... �$ at support, looks like it will give as the dow looks like its going to rise, boosting the $ possibly...

beirut jb 19:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 19:02 GMT

take care mate, the question is when and where will start
this Correction evrybody waiting for , untill this time i prefere
to ride the trend

USA Biscuit Boy 19:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Looks like we have some people trying to get short euro on any blips toward 1.28. I added some small dollarswiss longs and dollarcad longs to my euro short and long dollaryen possies. In my view Jan/Feb going to be a nice couple weeks for the dollar. Gl and GT all :)

jkt-aye 18:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR --- Just want to add that we are sitting close to H&S neckline on hourly chart with 20 ema below 50 ema. Still hold short with stp 1.2816 and tgt 1.2677.

Helsinki iw 18:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Off market topic - looks like men are still men in Spain:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/3393501.stm

Sorry for not being able to link directly.

Genoa nic 18:10 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Good evening all
FWIW, 1.2685 is also TL on weekly chart. Tomorrow it will be the same on the daily.

Oakland Daimyo 18:10 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Also, 1.2700 is where my ema (based on 28 day commodity cycle) is located. Moves are known to move slightly below or above before moving the other way. So therefore, since this is a counter trend trade, it becomes extremely important for me to see markets not only move under this level but stay under. If not, there is a strong likelihood of bounce off that level (big gun support) This would be resumption of primary trend which is a buy dip strategy and the preferred choice.

Oakland Daimyo 18:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Viies-- 1.2687 is 61.8% fibo retrace of 1.2557 to 1.2898 upmove. Actually, my system gives sell signal under 1.2720, I'm using break of 1.2687 as confirmation of further downside moves. I also believe this level represents good value for longs if buying pressure > Selling pressure at that time. For now this is not so, as sellers still in charge for the time being.

Bdg Dewan 18:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 17:24 GMT January 13, 2004
any expert .. can give a comment on gbp pls
thanks

I'm not an expert, but i got this number from my master:
buy dollar. target to 1.8350 and then 1.8335

la saint3 17:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
gbp movement seems to slow down / stop!

belden mb 17:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
1.2690 is the .618 fib retracement from 1.2560 low to 1.2901 high.an hourly close below 1.2730 should keep pressure on the down side. 1.2730>1.2690>1.2636>1.2560> (consolidation) 1.2469

Tallinn viies 17:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo 17:42 -hi, why 1,2690? cant see anything there. I see rising trendlie at 1,2650. I see lower low and low high. I see 13 day ema at 1,2640/50 which contained correction last time . I see stochastic crossing down 5th or 6th time...

oki got to run now,
cu later maybe

Oakland Daimyo 17:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint 3 17:24-- Just a thought -- ref Oakland Daimyo 13:19 & 13:40 Jan 13

Tallin viies-- Nice to see you again-- I believe 1.2690/ 1.2680 will be tested before we see next move higher. If this level does not hold w/ convincing institutional support, I expect to see adjustment lower. Not fighting the trend just looking for a good place to reload longs. Keeping Shanghai BC comments in mind always. GT to u

Porto PJT 17:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 , gbp bounced right on hourly trendline.06.Seams range so far.

hk ab 0.88 17:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
big money is on dlr/cad long.....
couldn't imagine my order was filled so easily prior dowj opens.

Tallinn viies 17:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
heard rumoured stops down at 1,2680. I really doubt
left my take profit order to 1,2675 FWIW

Tallinn viies 17:29 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Thess/nk 2004 nk - Gecko is busy right now, making money

hk ab 0.88 17:29 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk// currently, I am flat. I just shorted it for day-trade.

@o@
O

Thess/nk 2004 nk 17:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ab..Where is ur euro/gbp 0.88?lol


U lost ur faith on that?

smile... 8(-!-)8

Ps: i missed Gecko
nk

la saint3 17:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
any expert .. can give a comment on gbp pls
thanks

Oakland Daimyo 17:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: Watch 1.2720 for behavior/energy clues--
Institutional support expected around 1.2700. If they do not show, mark down phase will accelerate and shorts will become favored strategy until big guns show again. Target 1.2560 or much lower

ref: Oakland Daimyo
13:37 GMT Jan 12, 2004
12:28 GMT Jan 13, 2004

hk ab 17:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp is reluctant to go down under .69 though.

hk ab 17:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EL, now you could see the difference after the moves on both pairs.

hk ab 17:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk, note my reference was towards the "forum" not the "person". ;)

Smile.

hk ab 17:14 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Only BOE hasn't complaint about a low dollar yet....

Thus, all bird flew to there.

Thess/nk 2004 nk 17:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ab..

Never said i dont like someone ..but i said i want Buy Euro lower and when i mean lower ...i mean lower..not some pips

That what i said was to stop trading in 2004 but i saw Gr888 opportunity to do some long $ pos..for short term and spend my free time...

nk

Indonesia RV 17:07 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
close shorts buy euro 1.2735

Tallinn viies 17:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
dont run it of course

SA Bok 17:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Gspan will not comment on USD ... saying that is Snow's Job ..Sell the USD .. lol

Tallinn viies 17:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 17:03 - short term negative effect.
look sterling!
if it is too costly to run position then usually people run it.

HK EL 17:04 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
no joke dollar hero win today hehe

hk ab 17:04 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
another analyst in the forum that you don't like.

Livingston nh 17:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
viies - G'span could raise rates

hk ab 17:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
jap investors are so nervous.....

Thess/nk 2004 nk 17:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ab..

who is Chorek?

nk

Hong Kong Ahe 17:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
viies 16:57 - Rates can be cut to below zero and be negative. See Japan or Hong Kong.

Tallinn viies 17:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I didnt really expect that member of ECB board will show up with such words before 1,40000 taken....

usually decision makers send nonimportant persons to deliver first message...

Tallinn viies 16:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I would like to see how Greenspan can weaken the dollar.
cutting rates???

hk ab 16:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Let's see if Chorek still holds his eur/jpy 149 dream tomorrow.

dc fxq 16:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
how about cutting off oil exports ... no, no ... ok no more Mercedes, BMW's and Porsche's for export to the US instead.

Atlantis 16:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
W will borrow a Samurai sword from Japan and do it to G himself.

belden mb 16:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
he cain't do it.

dc fxq 16:51 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Atlantis 16:49 GMT

how do you propose he do that?

Atlantis 16:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Its quite simple - G said US loves a weak dollar & W said if US carries on with its silly game any longer he's going to cut off their B*lls!

chicago jack 16:47 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
long eur/jpy here. seems to be area of pretty good support on the 30 minute chart.

hk ab 16:45 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
aud/jpy daily chart need to watch, another outside day reversal furnishing.

But seems BOJ will notice this too.

Tallinn viies 16:44 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
maybe I have too lively imagination but have noticed lately that tier2 Asian central banks have started to use situation where all rumours about Asian central bank buying moved euro immideately higher...

hk ab 16:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
the crisis may lie on eur/jpy now.

hk ab 16:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
viies, this is my sudden thought...

W's comment is putting the nail on eur/jpy top....

When jap can't see any further move, they shift.............
Seem some of them have shifted to gbp already.
And I wonder if all CBs do the same kind of call, what will happen on USD......

PAR 16:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
How big is the UK current account deficit ?

hk ab 16:38 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EL, speed is more important than level sometimes.

HK EL 16:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
but think aud will be dragged to be lower anyway

hk ab 16:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I think there're still much more room for eur/aud to drop fwiw.

HK EL 16:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

PAR 16:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Current account deficits are bad for most countries which run current account deficits but not for USA.

hk ab 16:34 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EL, try eur or chf, rather than aud.

HK EL 16:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Ab should we try to short AUD?

Tallinn viies 16:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
yes, as G can do mambojambo only, no power to act.
W is a big guy. his words mean more at this matetr

hk ab 16:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
oic, thanks viies,

what a coincidence to come at such a right time.

W's effect is larger than the G's effect.

Indonesia RV 16:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
wait for 1.285 spike before 1.25

HK EL 16:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I mean A in writing subject

HK EL 16:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I got a in cert level english so i should be better : )

hk ab 16:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Thought Green's was supporting the euro... maybe my English is not good enough.

HK EL 16:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
think he need dollar strength to finance difcient if us dollar continue to decline it will be difficult to fill the gap

Indonesia RV 16:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
euro train to 1.25 here we come

Ldn 16:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Extract from Greenspan speech tdy - does this imply he is OK with present US$ level?? :


"There is, for the moment, little evidence of stress in funding U.S. current account deficits. To be sure, the real exchange rate for the dollar has, on balance, declined about 15 percent broadly and roughly 25 percent against the major foreign currencies since early 2002. Yet inflation, the typical symptom of a weak currency, appears quiescent. Indeed, inflation premiums embedded in long-term interest rates apparently have fluctuated in a relatively narrow range since early 2002. More generally, the vast savings transfer has occurred without measurable disruption to the balance of international finance. Certainly, euro area exporters have been under considerable pressure, but in recent months credit risk spreads have fallen, and equity prices have risen, throughout much of the global economy."

chicago jack 16:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
any views on jpy? I feel it can be sold based on intervention fears right no. TIA and GT.

NYC Cox 16:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
..

hk ab eurgbp 0.88 16:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Green starts.

PAR 16:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Does Greenspan himself still understands what he is saying and how does that correlates to Snows strong dollar policy ?

Tallinn viies 16:19 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
fwiw, verbal intervention has started?
Reuters:
ECB'S Welteke said he fears the euro's rise could put the brakes on economic
recovery in the euro zone. He said he is monitoring the impact of euro prices
action very carefully.

Brisbane L 16:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Dlr Fall Puts Much 'Pressure' On EU Exporters
FewGreenspan says in Berlin that the dropping dollar is putting "pressure" on EU exporters Signs US Curr Acct Gap Is Hard To Finance

HK EL 16:14 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
better buy dollar now

HK EL 16:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Think US hero win today

LONDON RB 16:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
RE LASAINT 3..JUST STARTING NOW FRD.NIOTHING OUT YET

Global-View 16:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan's speech should be posted on this LINK

la saint3 16:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
where can i find the result of greenspan speech?

FW CS 16:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Daily Euro trendline still containing downside and market still correcting in time not price so maybe another extension can be seen here.

beijing road 15:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
wo, usd back to downside.

HK EL 15:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
is it high enough now?

Thess/nk 2004 nk 15:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

No one can move the market but sometimes contra trades give good profit..

Solution to SELL HIGH ..BUY LOW make Rich the 2% of traders and poor the 98%

IMHO
nk

Deauville Izaak 15:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
well, I'm not sure about what I'm referring to! I'm long on euro , tha's for sure!

dc fxq 15:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Deauville Izaak 15:05 GMT

If you are referring to monetary policy it is not the proper venue to do so, if you infer currency issues it is simply not his turf. It belongs tro Snow and the Tsy.

Isle of Wight DHE 15:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Deauville Izaak 15:19 GMT January 13, 2004

well that's one guy who is long then :->. In the absence of any other news, what is said or not said in the next hour will probably move the market

U.K. J.B. 15:20 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I think we can safely say we are in a rather narrow trading range until Greenspan Euro looks good value near 1.2700 mind you doll/yen near 106 and euro/yen 135/40- 137.40 range for the short term

Deauville Izaak 15:19 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
A trader on bloomberg is saying that it's still possible to play 1.35!!!

Deauville Izaak 15:11 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Although, they said ECB will not allow 1.30 and began to work in order to change the situation. The evolution of euro has been too fast and is inappropriated. Maybe the ultimate double top is on the way....

London Misha 15:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Possible intervention - major jap +$JPY in NY!

Deauville Izaak 15:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Right...
I heard on Bloomberg the point of view of different analysts and Economic Chief who say that Greenspan will not annonce any change in the actual politic. So, expect a big bullish wave... IMO

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about greenspan.
Hope he speak on my rail way technical view ;-)

Gen dk 14:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Cairo MDR 14:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
1hour for greenspan

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
actually I will inform you about gbp/usd just now get 1.8535 is top ( i know that after break 1.8510) but i am sorry can not inform here because still serious do something. LOL
but now I have spare time ..still 2 hours from now. ;-)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about eur/usd when at 1.2753
seen price have get nice number low at 1.2742 (lowest =IMO)
you can plan like this :
buy at 1.2753 for target 1.2805 with stp at 1.2735
buy at 1.2701 for target 1.2755 with stp at 1.2680
buy at 1.2690 for target 1.2928 (first plan) with stp at 1.2680
sell at 1.2806 for target 1.2760 with stp at 1.2815
sell at 1.2835 for target 1.2806 with stp at 1.2840
sell at 1.2928 for target (still looked for) with stp at 1.2935
sell at 1.2954 for target (still look for) with stp at 1.2865

Gen dk 14:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

melbourne farmacia 14:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:25 GMT January 13, 2004
Check out Dollar Index and watch the daily macd for clues.

sleep time - good night all.

Cairo MDR 14:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
india sunil chopra
A friend told me that it was 0.07 Egyptian Pound yesterday and today it is 0.13 Egyptian POund
this is not official or anything
there is a url that might help you:
http://www.cpa-iraq.org/budget/IraqCurrencyExchange.html

india sunil chopra 14:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Madrid CAB
thx
but price is around
1500 iraqi= 1 dollar

Oakland Daimyo 14:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Farmacia 14:09 ---Thanks for the info Standing aside letting this fractal compression process take place.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
update view when at 1.8466 of gbp/usd
I hope to forget about 1.8394 for bottom for a while. seen difficult to get.
now let's focuse on 1.8584 again
you can plan like this :
buy at 1.8466-57 for target 1.8580 with stp at 1.8450
buy at 1.8394 for target 1.8468 with stp at 1.8380

Cairo MDR 14:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
india sunil chopra
A friend told me that it was 0.07 Egyptian Pound yesterday and today it is 0.13 Egyptian POund

sarasota jf 14:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
belgina finance minister calls for ecb rate cut if eur reaches abt 1.3000

Madrid CAB 14:38 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
india sunil chopra 14:29 GMT January 13, 2004
Iraqi Dinar = 3.34236 US Dollar
1 US Dollar (USD) = 0.29919 Iraqi Dinar (IQD)

Learn about the new Iraqi Dinar
Median price = 3.10068 / 3.34236 (bid/ask)
Minimum price = 3.10068 / 3.34236
Maximum price = 3.10068 / 3.34236

o a n d a dot com source
GL/GT

sarasota jf 14:38 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
frances mer says will try to send correct signal to mkt at florida g7

india sunil chopra 14:37 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
india sunil chopra 14:29 GMT January 13, 2004
any one knows
what is the price of new iraqi dinar today

Miami OMIL 14:34 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:25 GMT January 13, 2004
I would wait a bit longer to see where this dollar strength goes. (/;->

india sunil chopra 14:29 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
any one knows
what is the price of new iraqi dinar today?

dc fxq 14:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 14:25 GMT

it's your money :-)

melbourne farmacia 14:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL 14:18 GMT January 13, 2004
Taking it easy today omil - yeah the aussie was worth a go, closed at entry. Trying another small long from 0.7760 for 0.7825. Small trade, stop at entry again for now. GT

Road - post tommorow mate, still counting days back from Jan 2002.

beijing road 14:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I see it is time to open new usd short position now, any1 agree ?

Miami OMIL 14:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Hello Farmacia hope you are having a good day the aussie did not take the .7750-40 support line out yesterday that sums up the half hearted attempt by the dollar to gain some ground on the majors. Even with the alarms ringing about future intervention the dollar is slow to react. (/;-> GT

beijing road 14:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia : Turning period has worked out, sir? thks.

HK EL 14:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
can anyone help to comment on AUD...?

melbourne farmacia 14:09 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Gbp/usd's just swinging around my major model level being 1.8465 at the moment. Expecting this to continue for a while longer. Would not open fresh longs until 1.8603 and shorts under 1.8350. ( not for intraday stuff ) Flat on gbp now as longs covered at 1.8551 monday. GT

Gen dk 14:09 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Miami OMIL 14:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
SNP you are most gracious with your information thanks for your time and effort. BTW don't spend it all in one place lol. (/;->

LAX-LGB SNP 13:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL 13:52 GMT January 13, 2004
oh i am truly (hot and) bothered now, LoL
well the rule of the thumb is to watch at least 8 time frames from quarterly to hourly - esp the 480/240
the 480 shows session open/close levels and confirms better than a pre-post lunch 240 session that signals better than confirms ... hope i didnt lose anything in the translation there ;-) write me a line from a common friend (via MSN) and i'll send ya some charts next time around

Oakland Daimyo 13:49 GMT January 13, 2004
impressive stuff - GL

Ind Tonny 13:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
cable up and down so fast......
what next?

Miami OMIL 13:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Never mind SNP I must be blind you answered the question thanks again. (/;-> GL GT

Gen dk 13:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Miami OMIL 13:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Hope not to trouble you much SNP but I was wondering if you could tell me what time frame you were looking at for closing prices you posted earlier when you can. (/;-> tia

beijing road 13:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
WO, cable dives so fast!

melbourne farmacia 13:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Was just wondering about those NAB dudes, O well, no friday drinks on them this week.

Oakland Daimyo 13:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 13:24 Thanks I've been here since Aug. I'm attending Golden Gate University in San Francisco, they have a great tech analysis program. I'm working on my Masters in Finance w/ a concentration in investment mgmt. Also working on my CMT (Chartered Market Technician) just passed level I. Working on cutting edge stuff out here and loving it. Science of Complexity (Chaos Theory), Wyckoff Method,etc

LAX-LGB SNP 13:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
OMIL wazzupp
am running a little late today but lunch time to close(NYC) will see most orders hit

Ldn 13:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
By Eric Johnston
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

MELBOURNE (Dow Jones)--National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB) warned Tuesday that rogue foreign exchange options trades may
wipe up to A$180 million from its pretax profit, and then prompted a rally by the Australian dollar as it scrambled to cover
its losses, dealers said.
The situation was reported to the Australian Stock Exchange after an emergency board meeting was called early Tuesday after irregularities were discovered in trading accounts on Monday. Four unidentified employees have been suspended in relation to the trading.

These losses represent the biggest single foreign exchange scandal since Allied Irish Banks PLC (ALBK.DB) lost US$691.2 million in 2002 at the hands of one of its U.S.-based traders.

Australia's largest bank has contacted domestic financial services regulator Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, or APRA, which said it was "examining the matter."

The main concern is how such huge losses - usually prevented by internal financial parameters - managed to escape detection, and puts into question the bank's monitoring and supervisory regime.

A source at the bank said members of its foreign exchange options dealing team tried to claw back hefty losses on Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar options contracts incurred by one staff member since at least October.

"This looks like they've made some trading losses and tried to cover it up and trade their way out of it and failed," the source said.

It is understood losses had been compounded by a steep rise in the value of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar in recent months, and local players are surprised the exposure wasn't noticed sooner by the bank.

As one senior foreign exchange dealer from a rival bank said: "If you go over your (trading) limit, it doesn't matter whether you're in the money or out, you get marched out the door."

He also pointed out that there are many "weird and wonderful" options in the market that can complicate risk management. "They can hide land mines that occasionally blow up."

Others said it has been apparent for those in the foreign exchange options market that the bank has been holding unorthodox positions for some time.

"We have been aware for some time the National Australia Bank has been running some very, very large and unprofitable trades but this is even a surprise to us," another senior foreign exchange dealer said.

The extent of the losses has even caught members of NAB's dealing room by surprise.

"I'm shocked and dumbfounded," said one senior NAB foreign exchange staffer.

Ldn 13:45 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
13 Jan 2004 14:38 BS *DJ Germany's Schroeder, Fed's Greenspan Discuss Euro -Paper
DJ

Tallinn viies 13:45 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
someone mentioned earlier today a fraud case in Australian bank.
some of the Eur Aud Gbp and Nzd moves today rumoured to be conetced with unwinding of an option portfolio. Rumour in the market NAB has lost 180 mio AUD on options.

Miami OMIL 13:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo 13:40 GMT January 13, 2004
Good advice thanks for posting it. (/;-> GT

Miami OMIL 13:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
LAX-LGB SNP 13:23 GMT January 13, 2004
What time scale are you looking for the close price? (/;-> tia

Oakland Daimyo 13:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Road and others--I knew GBP/USD would move over 1.8490 but it caught me somewhat by surprise. I still get the feeling that dealers are offerring higher to generate spec deal flow. This happens during distribution phase as large operators use the "slingshot". Dealers holding large inventory will buy on a widely known support to give the impression of a reversal only to use the bounce as an opportunity to sell more lots on the uptick. After this process is over, they will mark down the prices because they know that weak handed longs were drawn in on the last uptick and now have "juicy" stops under them to hunt for. Thus the phrase "shark feeding" Stand Aside during this process helps preserve trading ammo and emotion. Think about using a stop-reverse if we go the other way, probably will be able to make up losses quickly.

Isle of Wight DHE 13:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
taking a short on EUR$ at 1.2776 v. tight stop - looks like some trend resistance is building up for now at least

Jakarta Onk 13:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden, what next?
thanks

beijing road 13:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo : I will keep tight stop in this situation now.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
wow...gbp/usd up.
get stp. but only small ya ..

Gen dk 13:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

beijing road 13:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Oakland Daimyo : Thanks. If it closes above 18530 today, i will feel much better.

hk ab 0.88 13:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
leave small buy order at 1.2705 dlr/cad
home now, see ya all later.

LAX-LGB SNP 13:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Oakland/ATL Daimyo 13:19 GMT
long time ! anyway welcome to sunny Cali @ its coldest :-)

hk ab 0.88 13:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
does cad have data out ?

Oakland Daimyo 13:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Road If you "feel it" Take the trade. It's been very hard to guage this one. It's been very strong. I'm gonna hold off for now, but current price action looks good for accumulation.

LAX-LGB SNP 13:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
eurusd - buy on close above 1.2775 IF 1.274x holds
gbpusd - buy on close above 1.8470 IF daily lows are not plumbed by NYC
usdchf - sell from 1.2328 to 1.2280
audusd - buy IF 0.7780-90 zone holds
eurgbp - buy if 0.6900-05 zone can hold
eurchf looks to test lower in NYC but prefer to avoid
eurjpy - buy IF 135.45 holds
gbpchf - buy IF 2.26 holds
gbpjpy - sell upticks below 196.90
usdcad looks mixed since price maybe aiming for S/L rather than limits

Houston KC 13:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 12:47 GMT January 13, 2004
Boj seems to be in.

? They usually leave ~ 200 pip greeting card for usd bears. Are you referring to holding the line at the current usd/jpy bottom or are we in for some possible fireworks? Thanks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:20 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd at 1.8505.. is the top alternative.
I think from there price will down.

Oakland Daimyo 13:19 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Road 12:34 GBP/USD--1.8480/ 1.8490 is my next buy trigger but buy/sell pressure is still favoring distribution at this point. Sellers still have the upper hand for the time being. Would like to see 1.8385 tested first as I believe immediate risk is back to this level. If EUR/GBP sees further weakness, we might finish this current corrective move in GBP/USD and start uptrend again. Be patient, current mkt feels more like "shark feeding" than resumption of trend. Keep risk/reward in mind. GL & GT

Gen dk 13:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

beijing road 13:12 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I guess the cable has bottom out already.

hk ab 0.88 13:12 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
John, I am afraid that he spook the eur bulls by saying his famous phrase 'considerably long period of time' :)

GVI john 13:11 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
My pleasure. He is unlikely to say anything at all about forex in the Q&A session. Forex policy is not under his control.

hk ab 0.88 13:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
thanks very much John.

dc fxq 12:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
He speaks at 1600GMT, it is NOT the second coming however.

GVI john 12:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan 16:15 GMT

hk ab 0.88 12:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
very simple psychology.

when people ask you not to go one way,at times, we will choose the other way.

hk ab 0.88 12:53 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
How long do we need to wait till Mr. Green show up?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
seen eur/usd have get top at 1.2771 again. you can sell now at 1.2760 with stp at 1.2778 for target 1.2704

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
seen 1.8591 is top. you can plan sell at 1.8580 now to get 1.8450 with stp at 1.8498 bid.
sell again at 1.8505 to get 1.8450 with stp at 1.8512 bid.

beirut jb 12:47 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Dhahran maz

maz neither long or short, just posting current levels ahead their report

hk ab 0.88 12:47 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Boj seems to be in.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I am back.

hk ab 0.88 12:44 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk.... buy dlr/chf slowly.....

Dhahran maz 12:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
GVI john
Opening levels for long or short?(excuse my question pls.)

hk ab 0.88 12:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
long some eur/chf 1.5625

GVI john 12:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2735�$/yen 106.40
DJIA +5 pts� 10-yr 4.10%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
See GVI for more. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]

beijing road 12:34 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
IF 1.8480-18510 is taken out, probably the cable finish the retracemant.

HK EL 12:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
can we short aud on 0.78?

Oakland Daimyo 12:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Dr. C nice to see you again. As well as others, this is formally ATL Daimyo, Gulf Coast Daimyo-- I now live in Oakland, CA Anyway, this is how I see it--Update from my post yesterday-- Distribution in the EUR/USD not over yet. We're slowly approaching 1.2696/1.2676 buy-zone I mentioned yesterday. I'm expecting institutional support at this level,will go long again when buy pressure > sell pressure. Target 1.29 KO options.

If no show, I can say with confidence that the mark down phase has begun and will short with both hands as this would open up 1.2560/1.2550 and potential for much lower.

Patience is a virtue. Please note EUR/USD trading above 1.2780/1.2790 before the above scenario plays out will set off the "party train leaving without me" alert. If system confirms, will go long with buy-stop. Not a likely scenario as risk/reward may not be worth it at this point. Only an extremely strong move would bring this scenario into play.

hk ab 0.88 12:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
close 1/2 eur/gbp short at .6900 too stress here. trail the rest.

new york ys 12:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
What is the best to identify a support level that will hold? All help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks

chicago cal 12:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
i think cable has reached it's lo for the day str8 up from here

Gen dk 12:14 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 0.88 12:07 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ok, I will trail the eur/gbp short here at .6915.

12:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sold 10 more lots nzd .6851.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I think is enough profit today. exit all your floating profit position now.
I will rest. too tired in thinking and typing.
CU...

NYC Curtis 11:51 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
H&S on 60M chart maybe comin'

11:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sold 10 more lots .6858

Melbourne Qindex 11:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : The market rhythm of my daily cycle is represented by 31 pips.

11:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
after 20 lots nzd longs,

sell nzd 10 lots .6870

Melbourne Qindex 11:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.8412 // 1.8443, 1.8474, 1.8505*, 1.8536, 1.8567, 1.8598 // 1.8629 ...


Melbourne Qindex 23:09 GMT January 12, 2004
GBP/USD : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 1.8438 - 1.8569. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.8412 // 1.8443 and the upper barrier is located at 1.8598 // 1.8629.


... 1.8412 // 1.8443, 1.8474 ... 1.8536, 1.8567, 1.8598 // 1.8629 ...

hk ab 0.88 11:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
v. volatile now.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 11:37 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD could be really heading well down in next 24 hours...IMHO
TIA:-)

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
: eur/usd seen faster get target 1.2701 because eur/gbp seen still down to get 0.6881 or 0.6854 and then eur/usd up an d gbp/usd will finish the number 1.8394 and then eur/gb flat and eur/usd and gbp/usd move up together

hk ab 0.88 11:29 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
aud/nzd cargos will be loaded again at the lower 1.1's

mkt make use of this morning news to sell aud/nzd lower.

Gen dk 11:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 0.88 11:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
watch out eur/gbp stops under .69.

Melbourne Qindex 11:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : It seems to me that the market has decided where to go after vibrating around the daily cycle quantised level at 1.2769 with a magnitude of +/- 30 pips, i.e. 1.2738 - 1.2799.


Melbourne Qindex 22:51 GMT January 12, 2004
EUR/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2646 // 1.2676 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2829 // 1.2859. The odds are in favour of taking short position when the market is trading below 1.2738.

... 1.2646 // 1.2676, 1.2707, 1.2738 ... 1.2799, 1.2829 // 1.2859 ...

Thess/nk 2004 nk 11:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Euro ...

Im waiting u @1.2188 and i will Buy u infront of 1.1888..


nk

Nairobi,Kenya JK 11:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Jakarta ACDC 11:15 GMT
He speaks 1600GMT

Melbourne Qindex 11:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:35 GMT January 13, 2004
EUR/GBP : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 0.6832 // 0.6850 and the upper barrier is positioning at 0.6921 // 0.6939. Initially the market has a tendency to trade beyween 0.6850 - 0.6903.


... 0.6832 // 0.6850*, 0.6868, 0.6886, 0.6903*, 0.6921 // 0.6939 ...

EUR/GBP : Once the market can penetrate through the barrier at 0.6826 - 0.6871, the long term target at 0.6723 - 0.6746 will be challenged.

hk ab 0.88 11:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
friends, I think eur/gbp is trying to tell us the truth.

Jakarta ACDC 11:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
WHAT TIME I GREENSPAN SPEECH? TIA

Hong Kong nt 11:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Online version of the Reminiscence of a Stock Operator

http://www.stock-market-seminars.com/downloads/reminiscences-of-jesse-livermore.pdf

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
go !!!

Cairo MDR 11:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
greenspan speach will be determine whether we will see further correction today or will open a the path to 1.3

cork g 10:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 10:51 GMT January 13, 2004
Yes, the objections are getting louder and louder.
But the point is how US will respond to this, if Bush guys still say "strong dollar, but it should be decided by market", how the market will think?

hk ab 0.88 10:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
bc has reminded us that the major pairs movement might highly related to the japs funds flow in Jan. fwiw.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
my suggest of gbp/usd.
when at 1.8446 after get 1.8461.
sell more to get 1.8400 and then cut reverse there. (see my trade strategy archieve).
also eur/usd when at 1.2744
sell more an dthen cut reverse at 1.2703-93 area. (see my archieve).

Thess/nk 2004 nk 10:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Sam..

Thanks..Mr Super Sam! lol ...


nk

Brisbane L 10:51 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Lookes like the objections are getting louder.
OECD chief says concern over speed of dollar fall
ANKARA, Jan 13 (Reuters) - The head of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said on Tuesday the speed of the dollar's decline rather than its actual level was a cause for concern Donald Johnston, on a visit to Turkey, also said the dollar's weakness was affecting many countries, not only those of the euro zone, thus spreading the impact widely."Obviously it's a matter of concern...I think it's the speed (of the decline), from what our economists say, rather than the level...," Johnston told reporters."I think everyone is surprised by the pace with which the dollar has retreated against the euro and other currencies as well, which has been seen by the economic community as a mitigating factor because it is not just against the euro."Whatever impact it has on the exports of other countries, this is shared by many countries, not just the euro zone

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd after get 1.8461 ussualy in this type, price hav eno time to stay here too long. usually will move down so fast.

beirut jb 10:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 10:42 GMT

Hi mate,

today devellopement will tell us, if eur hold this level and didnt break 127 and close under 12645 then likely 130 to be print before anything else,

The Correction didnt happen yet but we had last week 250 pip
pullback and this week ~200 pip so far, so euro took a breath
and The Correction may be delayed coz of this

in these conditions still think best way to trade is scalping

GL GT

Kollam Treasurer 10:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Correction : Trend is strongly down. Those willing to play long trades should have tight stops.

hk ab 0.88 10:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
maybe the spect needs to see some unexpected multi-hundred pips gun before they realize trend is changing (still not totally changed) gl.

beirut jb 10:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
bluecat cairo thank u :)

Kollam Treasurer 10:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
We have probably seen the high in cable. Suggest long trades backed by tight stops. Enough gravitational pull on cable!!

beirut jb 10:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Cairo MDR 10:32 GMT

hi mate,

127 shouldnt break if euro still strong, also any close under 12645 is reversal daily trend,

I think 12715,12730 good oppurtunity to buy,with stop 12690 for intraday and 12635 for multiday swing with add buy on 126.5 hold

GL GT

Cairo MDR 10:32 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
my optimistic scenario for today:
2735-00 act as a bottom for the current correction and start heading towards 2900 and hopefully this would be backed up by green span speach.
otherwise if 2700-35 fails to hold next support will be 2635

beirut jb 10:31 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:21 GMT

hi mate,$/cad pair

I would sell here 12770 with tight stop or buy if clear break at 12790,

I may play the range 70/30

I whould sell at 12730 break for tgt1 12680 T2 12620 level

GL GT

Gen dk 10:30 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Zurich bluecat 10:28 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   

6:00:00 PM Fed Chair Greenspan speaks at Bundesbank
local time

Cairo MDR 10:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
greenspan 11:00am EST

Cairo MDR 10:26 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
took the small profit from my euro short...right now flat with now scenario in mind.

beirut jb 10:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hi traders,
anyone know when greenspan speech??

beijing road 10:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Will add small eur long position at 1.27-1.2730 level stop at 12690 with open target

slv sam 10:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk/ you are super human and this is a genuin compliment..your call e/$ 1.2888 long time ago is recorded...Gl and GT to you..

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad when at 1.2766
strategy :
buy at 1.2644 tgt 1.2720 stp 1.2630
buy 1.2766 tgt 1.2807 stp 1.2732
sell at 1.2808 tgt 1.2756 stp 1.2822

Thess/nk 2004 nk 10:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:02

Im human ok?..and i dont move market but im trying to think logical and posts like BC help me a lot..

hk ab..
healthy and peacfull ..first...All the other will try to manage it..


nk

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about gbp/usd when at 1.8447
only get 1.8463 maximal for swing you can sell there with stp at 1.8478 for target 1.8394

Ina- mr.co'z 10:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hourly chart gbp/usd make head and shoulder formation with support at 1.8420 , if a break will going to next support at 1.8330...gl/gt..

Jakarta Onk 10:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
will beast up again from here?
thanks

hk ab 0.88 10:14 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
took the quick profit on chf, reload later.

Seems people are dreaming of a green talk.

Tallinn viies 10:14 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
as u heard alreay, US helicopter crashed near Baghdad fwiw

Tallinn viies 10:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
thnks

Geneva DC 10:09 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
LDN SAM 09:11 GMT January 13, 2004
TALINN : Is the US name in for size on EUR plse?
name is GS

chicago cal 10:04 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
took 1/2 cable profits will let other 1/2 run south or b-even

PBoro JC 10:04 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
1.8430 is a tough level to break & sustain for Gbp. Is there a name on that level doing the buying?

Nairobi Tn 10:04 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Today cable making very nice swings supporting at 1.8420/30 and resisting at 1.8495/05. Not bad for pipraiding!

slv sam 10:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sorry read: reversed

slv sam 10:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
if nk started to buy $ then surely the US$ trend has reverded!GT

hk ab 0.88 10:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
short eur/gbp .6920 first.

hk ab 0.88 10:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk, let's wish a prosperous year 2004 on chf!


Thanks very much.

Thess/nk 2004 nk 09:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..
hk ab 0.88 09:36 GMT January 13,


Im Buying slowly $ vs chf and waiting..


nk

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:54 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint 3.
1.8394

la saint3 09:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   

raden ..
how did u see the cable will drop?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
numbers are still numbers for me now, but now that numbers are money/big money for you. LOL

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
yesterday losses have be covered today.
seen today chart so kind with me or"mine". LOL

Cairo MDR 09:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I want to short euro at this level but i have no confirmation yet

hk ab 0.88 09:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
long chf 1.2234

hk ab 0.88 09:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk, did you enter the chf long?

think the level is comign to you now.

hk ab 0.88 09:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
watch out the yenny. Seems it want to sneak down quietly while everyone focuses on the eur.

Miami OMIL 09:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
FWIW eur/usd looks like for the moment it could not take out the last fib retracement line 1.2700-1.2690 now heading north with purpose. Fib retracement for the up move is 1.2783, 1.2805 and 1.2829. The move must take out the 1.2829 level to continue the upward movement IMHO. (/;-> GL GT

Tallinn viies 09:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
LDN SAM 09:11 - just passed message I got from our sources. dont know more

Alicante RTN 09:15 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Should eurusd take out the 50% fibo retracement at 1.2806, chances are that we will see a new attempt at the recent highs.

Tallinn viies 09:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
planning to sell eurstg at 0,6935 and euryen at 136,60 for quick profit

Deauville Izaak 09:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Personnaly, I think euro is well oriented to get 1.2830
Invalid scenario at 1.2767

hk ab 0.88 09:11 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
those crosses are not helping.

LDN SAM 09:11 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
TALINN : Is the US name in for size on EUR plse?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:05 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
also gbp/usd at 1.8485 is ideal for sell too to get 1.8394 area stp at 1.8520

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd now I think is ideal level for sell also at 1.2806. maybe sellling attck come to this level soon.

09:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
covers 20 lots nzds.
USD stinks........ 10 lots x 53 pips = 530 pips
10 lots x 20 pips = 200 pips.
Total 730 pips in days. Goodbye

nyc beyonding_destiny 09:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
this restless aussie run is very dangours.....sell at 78 and 7830 to get 77 is very possible

chicago cal 09:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
i'm selling into this little cable rally; with a stop just above todays hi around 1.8510

slv sam 08:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
buying more euros...no time to loose!GT

hk ab 0.88 08:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sell some aud .7797, nt, joined yours.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Kuwait.
sure I mean at 1.8434. LOL

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about eur/usd sell plan.
at 1.2797 is okay too than 1.2806. ok please focuse with my plan and see what will happen.

Tallinn viies 08:51 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sold euros at 1,2782 fwiw
target 1,2650/60.
stop 1,2915

Tallinn viies 08:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
US investmentbank is buying euros

hk ab 0.88 08:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ok, reset all the stuff and retry again at 1.29.

hk ab 0.88 08:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
same here. Waiting to see the movie.

Cairo MDR 08:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
i got stopped out of my euro short @ entry level

kuwait RH 08:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:27 GMT January 13, 2004
about gbp/usd now better exit here at 1.8534 ...... ETC.

YOU MEAN 1.8434?

hk ab 0.88 08:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
take profit on eur/gbp long contra for 8 pips.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about gbp/usd now better exit here at 1.8534 from your sell arround 1.8513.
now wait and see again and entry if my entry numbers meet.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
chicago jack 08:02 GMT January 13, 2004
I am sorry..difficult to answer that because now I prefer help everyone here with daily trade especially trade strategy about entry level with tight stp and safety exit. Now I thinking about more important is strategy entry and safety exit. Not thinking will catch all move (high-low) but for safety profit.

sarasota jf 08:22 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
audusd - offshore fund bought large audusd today - goldmans lehmans and merrills all selling at this 80 level

sarasota jf 08:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
eurusd - ubs - has buy orders for asian cb at 15-25 - us cta bids 1.2700 and then some stops placed at 95 - abn rbs the main sellers of eurusd

Cairo MDR 08:19 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
anybody shorting euro??
what's ur targets?
TIA

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
now buy usd/chf at 1.2232 and 1.2245 for target 1.2275 have done.
now status ON only gbp/usd position sell at 1.8511 for target 1.9394

NY Curtis 08:17 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
.

MONACO OGA 08:09 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 13/01
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (Currently 1.2750), 100 pips lower than monday's opening. The USD made another low (1,2899) before ECB Trichet voiced his concern of too much volatility in the EUR/USD, together with euro politicians. Market retraced to 1,2800 amid rumours of various central banks selling euros. Later the move was extended to 1,2735 in NY and 1,2715 earlier today in Asia. The pair seems to consolidate on current levels and levels to monitor closely today will be 1,2700-20 which should provide strong support. We still believe we have not seen the end of the uptrend yet, some technical retracement is much wellcome for the trend to consolidate before resuming. Medium target today around 1,2840-50 while long term target still is around 1,3500.

Data out today:
UK Ind production Dec expected 0.10% 09.30 GMT
US import prices Dec expected 0.4% 13.30 GMT
US export prices Dec 13.30 GMT
CA building permits 13.30 GMT

Gold around 425 , with WTI February at 34,89.

***JPY***
Usd/Jpy (currently 106,50), exactly like yesterday, the market is currently trapped inbetween selling pressure and fear of another round of BOJ intervention at 106,15 (where it all started last week). Because of this new situation, we have now turned neutral on the JPY market and wait for further developments to determine our next strategy.EUR/JPY (135,80) following EUR/USD price action. Support now stands around 135 with resistance at 136,50..

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1.8455) printed another new high yesterday (1,8565) before retracing to 1,8425 support zone. The market seems to have overstreched from here and we would be looking for some further test of 1,8420 with a possibility of retracement to 1,8330.
EUR/GBP (0.6905), broke 0,6930 support as we feared yesteday and is on its way to 0,6810 for the coming trading sessions.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

nyc beyonding_destiny 08:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
loonie hanging around 1.275...not good sign for US$ if it doesn't regain 1.28 mark..imho, however, it's difficult to see euro double top 1.29 before Fri...

chicago jack 08:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
raden are you buying euro at 1.274 here for 1.29+ tomorrow or wednesday? TIA.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
kuwait RH 07:33 GMT January 13, 2004
I still don't trade. only suggest to all my friends here.
I still count my trade mental before go for real trade for my self or for someone or for company.
about your question my answer is like this :"I still learn about that and I learn about most of players emotion"

hk ab 0.88 07:57 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
protect eur short with trail even stop

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:45 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
see my view archieve :
until now result like this if you follow my strategy :
1. buy eur/usd at 1.2844 and get stp at 1.2859 (loss 15 pips)
2.sell eur/usd at 1.2871 -done profit 26 pips
3.buy gbp/usd at 1.8530 for target 1.8513 (fact 1.8511), but my suggest exit at 1.8584. done profit 54 pips
still floating profit :
1.buy usd/chf at 1.2245
2.sell gbp/usd at 1.8511

that is not real trade, just calculation . Hope not admire if I always give tight stp for each entry. that's not suicide trade (LOL) but safety trade with strictly risk control management.
Do you interest or like my view like that?
You only just follow if trust.

kuwait RH 07:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi
Hello Sir, I had been away from visting this form since some time. I noticed now that your postings are very precise and decisive, amazingly accurate. You have a mastery over the tracking of GBP movements particularly. My appreciations. I wonder a) how you can be so accurate, and, b) how you can afford your time in posting them so fast, rather than attending to your personal trading.

Melbourne Qindex 07:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2646 // 1.2676, 1.2707, 1.2738, 1.2769*, 1.2799, 1.2829 // 1.2859 ...



Melbourne Qindex 22:51 GMT January 12, 2004
EUR/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2646 // 1.2676 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2829 // 1.2859. The odds are in favour of taking short position when the market is trading below 1.2738.

... 1.2646 // 1.2676, 1.2707, 1.2738 ... 1.2799, 1.2829 // 1.2859 ...

sarasota jf 06:59 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
uk bank buying gbp running into the abnl selling - same mid asia buyers we seen 2-3 times recently

Tallinn viies 06:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about euro today,
I think euro need correction.
planning to be on the short side today. attractive sell area seems to be 1,2775/1,2800. first target down there is ,2650/60
gl

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 06:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
to MR. Noname
unusable your post here. not will help your friends here.

hk ab 0.88 06:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
reshort small eur 1.2762

Melbourne Qindex 06:53 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:53 GMT January 13, 2004
EUR/USD The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle is 1.2389 - 1.2897 and the mid-point reference is 1.2643. Projected supporting and resistant point is expected at 1.1882 and 1.3151 respectively.

Stockholm za 06:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
06:40 GMT January 13, 2004
nzd in 45 pips profit!

hurray!
---------------------------------------------------------
FWIW..... Post without identity is of little ( or ) no value to this forum....
Happy trades to you, Who ever you are........ ??

HK EL 06:49 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
how about AUD?

Melbourne Qindex 06:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:42 GMT January 13, 2004
EUR/USD : My 3-month projection profile suggests that the market may vibrate around the projected chart point at 1.2569 with a magnitude of +/- 0.0314, i.e. 1.2255 - 1.2883

06:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nzd in 45 pips profit!

hurray!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 06:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
be carefull with gbp/usd arround 1.8511 (have get selling plan at 1.8513). STATUS ON

Melbourne Qindex 06:36 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SF MB 06:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Qindex 6:20GMT Thank you very much.

Brisbane L 06:32 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan talking with the Bundesbank later today

Tallinn viies 06:25 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
good morning world!

closed my euro long at 1,2762 fwiw

Melbourne Qindex 06:20 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
SF MB 05:39 GMT - EUR/USD : Basically the market is still consolidating between 1.25 - 1.30 and the mid-point reference is 1.275. One can use my daily cycle barrier for entry/exit reference. If you are a position trader one can establish short positions only if the market is trading below the lower barrier of my weekly cycle which would serve as an indicator for a possible change of the upward trending movement.

Stockholm za 06:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
fwiw ... EUR/USD >>
1,2534 = 1,2718 = 1,2952 = fibo still in play....
1,2625 on channel brake...
Weekly pivot ~1,2750
Todays Value P ~1,2789
Price on go ~1,2803
ema ( 13 & 21 ) on Key...
ema band ( 8 & 13 ) in focus
Escape velocity on ~ 1,2856.....
Happy trades to all ..........

Brisbane L 06:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Talk of stops below 7750 and a option Barrier 78.
also today a large 7700 option expiries NY cut and small 7600 and 7650 expiries so hopefully the Aud may pull towards this area first up

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:58 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nyc beyonding destiny.
LOL.
hope enough your profit from your buy. 2.2689 have done like I said before. have a nice.
I think now gbp/chf is under selling attack.

nyc beyonding_destiny 05:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
SOLO, what's ur view of GbpChf...2.27-2.22-2.3 or 2.27-2.3-2.22-2.18? thanx

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
seen gbp/usd not good if be hold until now.
please exit your buy at 1.8584 (now) from my recomendation buy from 1.8530. ENOUGH

nyc beyonding_destiny 05:42 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
As I said last night, it's a week for profit taking...be careful about big downside movement of BEAST...1.2 area of Swissie is a very very sweet buy if see...T/P as Solo said...

SF MB 05:41 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Sorry. Dr Qindex. What is the target.

SF MB 05:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Quindex Could you share with your opinion about the trend for eur/usd. Does the euro keep going up? And is the target?.TIA

ICT ML 05:30 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
jack....I been watching that myself.......almost looks like a mini hourly H&S wanting to complete on both pairs, and tgts are 1.2550 and 1.8100 if they do...........but that is a "stretch" right now.....just seems previous breakout resistance is holding them again for now....

chicago jack 05:24 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
seem there's some resistance for the euro and gbp, maybe further long squeeze or retest the day's lows before up. any thoughts?

new york ys 05:23 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Cairns OS

So you have anything to do with FXGuide or do you just use it as a reference. I first saw it last night and it seemed to be very well on target. Thanks in advance for your thoughts

Brisbane L 05:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
05:03 GMT January 13, 2004
wonderful nzds

Who are you ,who who who who

05:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
wonderful nzds

always be able to fly back...

.7000 in days....

10 lots .6800, 10 lots on .6830.

Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:16 GMT January 12, 2004
USD/CHF : the congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 1.2244 - 1.2372. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is located at 1.2182 // 1.2213 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.2336 // 1.2367.


... 1.2120 ... 1.2182 // 1.2213, 1.2244 ... 1.2305, 1.2336 // 1.2367 ... 1.2459 ...

Brisbane L 04:55 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
sarasota jf Hi there, with the fx generating so much this year , I have heard traders who never considered fx trying to get in on the act, the thing is its just like the Equities run and the Enrons of this world , once the money looks that good they just cant help themselves no matter what level sticking their fingers in the pie.
I have been to Sarasota really nice.

Cairns OS 04:50 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Forecasts/10 pairs for Jan 13 at http://www.fxguide.net/

sarasota jf 04:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane L 04:27 GMT January 13, 2004
the us one had 2 sides- one was a total scam and the second a cash points scheme - this one without knowing complete facts was hiding losses probably to secure bonuses - so essentially fraud in all cases but its a diff style - it would be unrealistic not to think these things go on just more often handled privately

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about usd/chf when at 1.2244
trade plan strategy :
buy at 1.1980 for target 1.2831 stp at 1.1965
buy at 1.1776 for target 1.2780 stp at 1.1760
buy at 1.2232 for target 1.2275 stp at 1.2220 (Status ON)
buy at 1.2207 for target 1.2316 stp at 1.2190
buy at 1.2245 for target 1.2275 stp at 1.2230 (status ON)
sell at 1.2316 for target 1.1980 stp at 1.2330
sell at 1.2369 for target 1.1980 stp at 1.2385

Brisbane L 04:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Same as the traders on Wall Street prior to Xmas, couldnt keep their sticky fingers out the till

NYC YIPPEE 04:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Yeah saw that. Still no names however..

Brisbane LJ 04:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hi
Illicit currency deals rock NAB

NYC YIPPEE 04:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Mate

I am very interested in learning more before seeing the WSJ in the morning. I have a history in currency options too. And have no knowledge of whom you speak of.

syd 04:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
NYC YIPPEE 03:16 GMT January 13, 2004
Any names released yet ?

The options guys in the market have know this has been going on for years. Took the move in the Aud and NZD to flush them out. Senior management should have known it a long time ago and they buried it. Some big heads will role on this.
The guys are well known.

bdg zilfallon 03:52 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Good mornin all :)

Still holding my long in cable...

Big week for UK... hope the data is good...

GL/GT

Ina- mr.co'z 03:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Morning all !!..

Ina- mr.co'z 14:48 GMT January 12, 2004
Ina- mr.co'z 13:29 GMT January 12, 2004
cable support at 1.8450 ...good luck !

now next support at 1.8430...gl..

...now support at 1.8460 or..continue climbing from this price (1.8480) to resistance 1.8518 .
thought !.. this level good for LONG to get resistance ...and place your stop at 1.8445...imo gl/gt !!

Saihat 03:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
any one see NZDUSD made new high
i guess AUD will do

NYC YIPPEE 03:37 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Funny... Must be near the top.. Always works that way. Allfirst/AIB cut their JPY positions over 20 big figures ago.

HK EL 03:37 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
can we short aud on this lvl?

sydney 03:29 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
NAB buying a lot of aud and nzd as a result of these unauthorised activities.......dear o dear.

NYC YIPPEE 03:16 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Any names released yet ?

syd oh dear 03:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   

13:43 13Jan2004 RTRS-NAB SAYS HAS LOSSES FROM IRREGULAR FOREX TRADING
13:43 13Jan2004 RTRS-NAB SAYS LOSSES NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED A$180 MLN PRE-TAX
13:55 13Jan2004 RTRS-Irregular trades may cost Australia's NAB A$180 mln

SYDNEY, Jan 13 (Reuters) - National Australia Bank Ltd , the country's biggest bank, said on Tuesday it has incurred losses from unauthorised foreign exchange trading which could reach A$180 million ($141 million) on a pre-tax basis.
Four employees of the bank have been suspended in relation to the unauthorised activity, which NAB said came to light after its accounts were closed for the year to September 30, 2003.
The bank said it took immediate action to close out the losses and minimise any further losses being incurred.
Shares in NAB last traded down 1.4 percent at A$30.10, compared to the A$30.76 they were trading at prior to the announcement.

Tasmania 03:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Natl Australia Bk Shares Slide After Forex Losses

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about eur/usd when at 1.2840
I suggest you to plan like this strategy :
sell at 1.2844 for target 1.2705 with stp at 1.2859 ...status on (be activated)
sell 1.2771 for target 1.2745 with stp at 1.2780
sell at 1.2806 for target 1.2701/90 with stp at 1.2680
buy at 1.2702 for target 1.2806 with stp at 1.2680
buy at 1.2690 for target 1.2780 with stp at 1.2680
be note your trade or your demo and let's look how is the result with this strategy.

Ldn 02:10 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD showing signs of short-term peaking pattern with support at 7750 key level to watch, says ANZ senior currency strategist Craig Ferguson; adds overwhelming market calls for pair to rally to 8000 also makes him wary
rtss

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 01:43 GMT January 13, 2004

aboout gbp/usd when at 1.8430
I suggest trade strtaegy like this in your plan and do strickly/konsistent :
buy at 1.8430 for target 1.8513 with stp at 1.8420....status on (was activated)
buy at 1.8394 for target 1.8500 with stp at 1.8385
buy at 1.8250 for target 1.8380 with stp at 1.8240
sell at 1.8315 for target 1.8394 with stp at 1.8325
please do this plan or be noted on your demo and let's look..how is about result with this plan .

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:02 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 01:43 GMT January 13, 2004

aboout gbp/usd when at 1.8430
I suggest trade strtaegy like this in your plan and do strickly/konsistent :
buy at 1.8430 for target 1.8513 with stp at 1.8420
buy at 1.8394 for target 1.8500 with stp at 1.8385
buy at 1.8250 for target 1.8380 with stp at 1.8240
sell at 1.8315 for target 1.8394 with stp at 1.8325
please do this plan or be noted on your demo and let's look..how is about result with this plan .

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:48 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish.
LOL

Stockholm za 01:46 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY >> update
8840-8800
8760-8748
8696
8644-8632
8592-8552
25,5% BU over todays R
Happy trades....

Chicago Irish 01:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden........Terminator 4 :-)

la saint3 01:43 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   

Hi again raden ..
Your view on gbp pls ...
THanks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:40 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I am back

hk ab 0.88 01:39 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
order placed, gl.

hk ab 0.88 01:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
mind me to have some counter at .69?

hk ab 0.88 01:21 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
left pips on table......

la saint3 01:18 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Today gbp is heading south???
Hope it wont break the support around 20..

Gen dk 01:13 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 0.88 01:10 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
nk, seems eur/gbp will have a long way this time..... what do ya think?

worldy wise 01:06 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
re: London Paul_ex trader 00:08 GMT remarks:

r-m would do well to stand back a bit and not try try so hard to catch every minor swing and concentrate a lot more on broader trends. It might be why the position he so fiercely desires with a bank is eluding him.

Please understand this is only a constructive criticism nor a knock on him or his work. It sometimes gives an almost frantic air about his analysis that would be off-putting to a prospective employer.

hk ab 0.88 01:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
one need to watch out overheat property market.

A crash of 30-50% of the property price within months is not a surprise to any bubblish economy.

hk ab 0.88 01:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
toat = toast

hk ab 0.88 01:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
I think every nation has its cycle.....

aud has been healthy for such a long time would not be surprised to have some cold/flu periodically.

Just make sure not to overheat them too much, otherwise, it will be come toat.

Ga Lee 01:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
syd 22:53 GMT January 12, 2004
Very well done..amazing imo to hold on for that long..

melbourne farmacia 00:56 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
syd 22:53 GMT January 12, 2004
Nice trade mate. Fwiw - I feel aussie wouldn't pass 0.7973 this round. She might pullback to 0.7587 - 0.7349 before another run higher. GT

Tasmania 00:35 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
syd hearing talk of negative M&A for Aud have you heard this

syd 00:33 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
ldn MDB......cheers, no problem.

from a medium term view, i am not yet prepared to go long USD agst anything.....I would be in Fed rate hikes were close, but I dont think they are, and as such I think the deficits will still weigh on USD sentiment, hence I will look for dips to buy euros, aud etc. I do think the USD is in a long term down trend that has legs, but a correction that i thought was a few months away I feel might be coming sooner.

Not being a day trader, i dont have too much to add to most here that are much better at it, and more involved, hence dont post that often.

gd luck to all.

Ldn 00:31 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Sellers get desperate as flats glut hits suburbs
The oversupply problem that has dogged the city apartment market has spread to the suburbs, with some off-the-plan buyers having trouble recouping costs when they try to sell.
A property analyst, Angie Zigomanis of BIS Shrapnel, said some units had been re-sold for less than the off-the-plan price.

sm
h.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:30 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
about eur/usd when at 1.2730
for today.
price will go to 1.2800 again
plan buy at 1.2730 (possible as bottom here) and plan too for buy at 1.2680 (extreme bottom) to get 1.2928 . all with stop loss at 1.2665

About cable
1.8439 is potential for bottom. I think this deep corection will be finished there. you can buy there to get 1.8513 with stp 1.8420 bid.

I am sorry.. need time for a while for morning briefing and broadcast.
CU...

Tasmania 00:27 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
US wants Australia to share cost of missile system
The United States' first reason for enlisting Australian support in its missile defence system was cost sharing, a former US defence official said today.

Phillip Coyle, assistant defence secretary in the Clinton administration, said the US always tried to sell interest in defence systems, as it had with the Joint Strike Fighter

http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2004/01/13/1073877800669.html

London Paul_ex trader 00:08 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
raden: how long have you been away from your screen (3hrs maximum?) dont you ever stop?

Neuville Max 00:03 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Raden,
What are your view on euro by this brand new day?

nyc sa 00:01 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
hi indonesia ,congratulations for great calls and thnx for ur help .

Neuville Max 00:00 GMT January 13, 2004 Reply   
Welcome back Raden,
Get connect on yahoo..