Melbourne Qindex 23:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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Spot Gold (Monthly Cycle) : The critical level of my monthly cycle is located at 412.3 - 417. The market rhythm of my monthly cycle is represented by 4.7. As shown in my monthly cycle probability chart the market has hit the monthly cycle high around 430.9 and it is now trading below the critical level of 412 - 417. It is likely that the market will consolidate between 403 - 417 for the time being. The odds are good that spot gold will trade in the extreme range of 389.1 - 403 within the remaining period of this month.
Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 389.1 ... 403 // 407.7, 412.3, 417, 421.6, 426.3, 430.9 // 435.6 ...
Brisbane L 23:56 GMT January 15, 2004
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Gold down overnight can weaken further after break under $417.50 targeting $404.50.
Melbourne Qindex 23:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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Spot Gold (Monthly Cycle) : The critical level of my monthly cycle is located at 412.3 - 417. The market rhythm of my monthly cycle is represented by 4.7. As shown in my monthly cycle probability chart the market has hit the monthly cycle high around 430.9 and it is now trading below the critical level of 412 - 417. It is likely that the market will consolidate between 403 - 417 for the time being. The odds are good that spot gold will trade in the extreme range of 389.1 - 403 within the remaining period of this month.
Monthly
Cycle Quantised Levels
...
389.1 ... 403 // 407.7, 412.3, 417, 421.6, 426.3, 430.9 // 435.6 ...
sarasota jf 23:50 GMT January 15, 2004
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g/l ab catch u in my time
lahore FM 23:31 GMT January 15, 2004
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CK,
It was a massive wave of selling of the dollar from traders of all continents in face of clear and imminent intervention.Even other cebtral banks used to regularly join and news falshed on Reuters screens all the time that Federal Reserve and Boe in collusion with Boj are buying dollar gainst the yen.It was a fine Revenge Of The nerds lesson to Central Bankers.Quite unforgettable.
Melbourne Qindex 23:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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Crude Oil (NYMEX) : The critical point of my monthly cycle is located at 33.53. The monthly cycle normal trading range is 30.34 - 35.12. A projected resistant barrier is positioning at 35.12 - 35.80. A
projected supporting barrier is expected at 31.74 - 31.94.The distribution profile of my monthly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has a good chance to tackle the lower barrier at 28.75 // 30.34. The market closed at 33.44 (Feb) in the last session.
Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 28.75 // 30.34, 31.94, 33.53, 35.12 // 36.71...
Dublin CK 23:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good evening gents,
hk ab 0.88 23:12 GMT what caused the "100" barrier to be fully broken?
I cant remember off hand.
Thks
hk ab 0.88 23:17 GMT January 15, 2004
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jf, seem dlr/cad worth a long.
hk ab 0.88 23:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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any aussie news today?
hk ab 0.88 23:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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I see they have more eur/jpy repatriate than dlr/jpy probably this year.
Gen dk 23:13 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
hk ab 0.88 23:12 GMT January 15, 2004
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jf, yes, things kept in my mind very well, thanks.
Also need to note is bc mentioned before.
In history, we all remember very well what has happened in 1995.
The 100 line was "thought" to be well guarded.
However, once it's broken, it generated the wave 5 and carry all the deadbodies to 79. I just need to keep this pain in my mind as well. Pictures look similar here.
sarasota jf 23:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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ab also if you missed my post before- i deal with alot of jap funds and they were told by boj that usdyen would not fall below 105 prior to march 31 - that they had plenty of money to prevent usdyen from falling the question remains how wide a range it can have in this time period and what the meeting in florida says - but one thing abt that regardless of what the other countries say you know the japanese are going to say they agreed with us
hk ab 0.88 23:03 GMT January 15, 2004
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I just find it happy to see eur/chf gain some lives again.
hk ab 0.88 23:02 GMT January 15, 2004
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jf, maybe we can have a bigger movemnt in dlr/jpy than dlr/cad today :)
hk ab 0.88 23:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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bear in mind that aud/jpy has made a key day reversal. So, should not long aud/jpy until the cycle completes.
sarasota jf 23:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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euryen i think can see 134.20 and eur back up to 20-30 = i guess the question is for usdcad - does fri ny become profit taking day and fall back to 1.2850 or the completion of the buying of usdcad and the attempted take back of the 1.30 handle - to be honest im not sure im hppy to accept any thoughts - and just because eur rises a little i dont think that has to press usdcad lower - it cud just sit still
hk ab 0.88 23:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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Maybe those big players refuse to my success equation and unloaded large amt of aud/jpy (just kidding).
hk ab 0.88 22:58 GMT January 15, 2004
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FM, if you try long dlr/jpy try to build it up near the line, not too above the line.
I longed 106.08 and 106.04 yesterday.
hk ab 0.88 22:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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jf, the japs seem have some more legs to run in cad/jpy.
also, I think they will repatriate more from cad than aussie.
I think the dlr/cad is very tense now.
I closed my long for 80 pips profit yesterday already. Now flat.
What do you think?
lahore FM 22:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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ab,
There are visble gains of dollar against all currencies but nothing against Yen.With all te inside information from ur invaluable resources,can u possibly say something about an intervention.I am pretty long here.Many reversal patterns have been false so far and in a likewise situation BOJ had intervened the last Friday,but now charts are more promising than before.Do u see any shove coming from BOJ?TIA.
sarasota jf 22:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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hi ab what do u think of usdcad?
hk ab 0.88 22:38 GMT January 15, 2004
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YIPPEE, look at the dlr/jpy we are sitting. ;)
Tel Aviv LM 22:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thanks Lee
GVI john 22:17 GMT January 15, 2004
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STRATEGY SESSION �Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2580�. $/yen 106.40
DJIA 10,554, +15 pts�NASDAQ 2,109, -2 pts
10-yr 3.97%, -4 bp�s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
See GVI for more. For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
Ga Lee 22:16 GMT January 15, 2004
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Well LM imo, ws up today on the back of eur/$ weakness..hugging the upper bollinger on the dailies, could continue it's rise for another 100 pips or so, depending on what eur/$ does..don't think I'd jump in it now tho, rather wait to see if it eases a bit 1st, if not, wait for the next round I'd think..again, for me on gbp/chf, i always watch eur for clues..
Ltn th 22:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Port Louis YH 19:15 GMT// Re GBPUSD. Some medium term players seem to be looking towards ard 1.7580 within the next month. You may not see 18264 again till after that but asian session might get up in the 8250's today. No guarantees; just my interpretation of wiser heads.
Tel Aviv LM 22:07 GMT January 15, 2004
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Anyone forecast about GBP / CHF?
Brisbane L 22:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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IFR talk of Large opton strike rolling off today at 7700 either in Tokyo or NY and gamma players were seen on either side of it overnight. FWIW (AUD)
NYC YIPPEE 21:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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Big heads are gonna roll.. (Shame they couldn't do the same with the big spot position a bit longer) !!!!
Brisbane L 21:19 GMT January 15, 2004
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One of the National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB) traders embroiled in the bank's foreign exchange options scandal says NAB knew for months that trading was going on above permissible limits,
"It has been going on and off for a year and consistently every day since October," the newspaper quotes suspended trader David Bullen as saying. "It was signed off on every day by the risk management people."
The Australian Financial Review
Stockholm za 20:46 GMT January 15, 2004
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CHF/JPY >> At the moment...
8714-8670
8626-8613
8555
8498-8484
8440-8396
Todays low hit S3
5,2% BU over todays range...
inside key S zoan with P ~8509
Happy trades......
Tel Aviv LM 20:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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Anyone forecast about GBP / CHF?
I have a limit to sell on 2.27
Gen dk 20:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
Oakland Daimyo 19:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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USA Biscuit Boy 19:07 GMT January 15, 2004
Agreed. This was a tough fight and I'm not up for much more so have fun guys/gals, I'm outta here w/ (EUR/USD +140 ),(GBP/USD +180) for +320 pips. I think there's more to come but maybe not this round. Kinda disgusted as I cutout on USD/CAD too soon. (1.2880-1.2780= +100) Now look at it, missed some of the party train because I got caught up in the Europeans. I did however catch the gap fill on USD/CHF(1.2269), that�s weird I don�t see it on the charts anymore. Anyway, was able to get long @ 1.2308 & 1.2355 for ride up to 1.2400. Dumped both for no other reason than fatigue. (USD/CHF +92 +45= + 137)
Total operations for the week= +557 pips Starting weekend early. GT, I�m sure you don�t need luck.
Port Louis YH 19:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thanks Biscuit Boy, I am going to sleep for it's late, but I have no clue that GDP is going to continue down for next 8 hours, I might wake up with a surprise; I only hope it's a good surprise and that it will have moved as much up during my sleep as it has done down over the last 10 hours and that I will have get back the losses in the morning...
Thess/nk 2004 nk..1.1888/1.1950 19:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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Barcelona Tony 18:02 GMT
Agree for the targets above not for 1.15 on euro but wait *now*to SOB higher and Buy USD/CHF lower
Time for a walk with my love!
nk
Gen dk 19:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
USA Biscuit Boy 19:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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YH I think it is impossible to make such a forecast. My advice is stick with your original trading plan that way you will be happy either way.
Port Louis YH 19:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Anyone forecast about GBP/USD next 12 hours, is it going to move up again? I am long, bought at 1.8264, but it's going down, now at 1.8194. Will it reserve to up? I am at a loss, but don't want to risk more losses on way down if not going up by as much...
USA Biscuit Boy 19:07 GMT January 15, 2004
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Daimyo this is a VERY congested area in euro and may take a few attempts to get thru. But you are right the pressure is mounting all the time. Below 1.2560 the stampede will begin IMO.
LAX-LGB SNP 19:05 GMT January 15, 2004
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NIC
thanks - will look up the piece @ briefing
Genoa nic 19:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good evening all
SNP,
FWIW I went long Bunds since 5 Jan, didn�t traded 10 Y just because of dollar weakness (obviously I could hedge but did�nt want margin problems). Now I�m thinking of buying some. The pattern is very interesting, fedspeacking is adding fuel and Jap intervention will help too.
On the matter (mortgage buying) there�s a very nice article on briefing.com . "The new levels on yields floating in the ether that will attract the mortgage players run from 3.5% to (the very nearby) 3.95%, where they will be forced into the market. According to Bloomberg, the 3.7% to 3.8% area would lead to potential refinancing of $379 bln in 6% mortgages."
If you want the full article , you can ask GV for my email
Toronto YVV 19:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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U.S. DEC BUDGET DEFICIT $16.2 BLN VS $4.7 BLN SURPLUS
Oakland Daimyo 19:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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Can u hear them scream? Euro bulls are trapped. The pain will continue. Holding shorts from 1.2720 1st target met @ 1.2580. Next target 1.2390
I tried to warn the specs holding tight stops.
Please ref: Oakland Daimyo 16:39 GMT January 14, 2004
Oakland Daimyo 16:45 GMT January 14, 2004
And for all you Pound Punters, please ref:
Oakland Daimyo 13:19 GMT January 13, 2004
Oakland Daimyo 13:40 GMT January 13, 2004
Holding GBP/USD shorts from 1.8380 1st target met @ 1.8200 Next target 1.8160 GT to all
Det tm 18:45 GMT January 15, 2004
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Another long weekend ahead;
IMM will close Fri. @ 1:00 EST
Monday all US Mkts closed
Many forget Martin Luther King holiday, FWIW.
Gen dk 18:36 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
LAX-LGB SNP 18:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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re-fi rates lower again
missed the last dip
don't wanna miss the last bus
any views please ? TIA :-)
B.A. BOCA 18:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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would be nice to get the typical 'friday eur spike' and finish around 1.28...but for now a one-way market.
Deauville Izaak 18:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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It is high time to take a decision.
We are approaching a strong support on euro/dol at 1.2550/1.2565... I'll go long from there. Whatever happen, there is a big strike to do....
GL GT
B.A. BOCA 18:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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hello all....europe trying to make the most noise before the g7, but most likely the market will want to test their will. and the US certainly won't help. dont think this $ euphoria will last much longer, after meeting will be good place to pick up some eur for 2004.
gl
LA saint3 18:09 GMT January 15, 2004
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Tony ...
you sure ..gbp and euro are on their downtrend already?
Barcelona Tony 18:02 GMT January 15, 2004
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you are still in time to make nice money buying the $/chf till 1.30 selling eur/usd for 1.15 and selling gbp/us for 1.70 ... GT GL ...
Nassau QF 17:58 GMT January 15, 2004
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Guess someone here went long on the dollar so they're trying to make it spkie :)
Chicago Irish 17:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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Vilnius:Too soon....capture will be announced 2 weeks before Presidential election if GWB trails in polls :-)
Deauville Izaak 17:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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Oh??? Ben Laden has been captured????
I thought he was dead!
Where did you hear that?
Spotforex NY 17:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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I think this is more likely...from GVI
sf cc 16:58 GMT January 15, 2004
Hmmm Equities just spiked up. Did they announce that Saddam has been recaptured again?
chicago jack 17:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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bin laden captured? gee what else is new?
USA Biscuit Boy 17:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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Cheers dat. I'll write that one down this time :)
Vilnius george 17:23 GMT January 15, 2004
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Rumor Bin Laden Has Been Captured
Vilnius george 17:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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uch guys. I'm buying gbp/usd alll day , cos it's soo exciting. gl to all
Eilat Dolphin 17:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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Biscuit Boy/ Don't they put butter-n-chocolate in the biscuits in Philly no more ?
boulder dat 17:17 GMT January 15, 2004
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USA Biscuit Boy...
you're thinking of the University of Michigan Sentiment.
CH CH 17:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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buy @1,2560 ST 1,2530 target 1,2900 double top!!!
USA Biscuit Boy 17:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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It may be the beige book I was thinking about im not sure. Maybe someone who knows can help us out??? It was definately mentioned on this forum last month.
Dublin Flip 17:02 GMT January 15, 2004
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For aussie enthusiasts,
Keep an eye onthe Aud/JPy. Lats weeks low of 81.10 is all important. A breach of this sets up an outside reversal and highlights the risk of heavy Long term liquidation. Not to put to fine a point on it but aussie has a reputation for "up the stairs and down the lift well". It hasn't gained that without some pretty hairy moves over the years.
cheers
nyc jk 17:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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biscuit boy, I am not sure , but it sure looks like it based on the price action there! very suspicious
GENEVA FHR 17:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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Philly FED 38.8
USA Biscuit Boy 16:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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Nyc jk is that philly fed the report available a few mins before they release it to subscribers? I remember reading something like that last month. If so I guess it is good news for the US economy....
nyc jk 16:51 GMT January 15, 2004
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then again, maybe not oops. well Philly Fed survey out in 9 minutes, maybe set the tone for rest of the day.
Bdg Dewan 16:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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short eur/usd: 1.2560...... 1.2543............. 1.2520
slv sam 16:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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i am selling euro at 1.2660 if seen.GT
nyc jk 16:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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I think so sam, short squeeze up to 1.2665 ish hourly downtrend resistance in order....
slv sam 16:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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yesterday exactly same time e/$ jumped 45 pips! can same happen again now?GT
USA Biscuit Boy 16:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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I agree with that aussie analysis AB. I think better demand will pop up closer to 76 cents where I feel the bargain hunters will be buying. I still think USD bears may be in for a tough time in the short term. I bet a lot are caught long higher up. 50 pips or so more down and we should see some stops being taken out and an acceleration of dollar buying IMO. GL and GT all :)
hk ab 0.88 16:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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closed dlr/cad as majors closing positions.
not bad for a quick run
hk ab 0.88 16:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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closed dlr/cad as majors closing positions.
not bad for a quick run
U.K. J.B. 16:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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Long euro 1.2598 s/l 1.2550 tar 1.2875
hk ab 0.88 16:06 GMT January 15, 2004
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long 1/2 lot dlr/jpy. 106.04
hk ab 0.88 16:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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aussie might have a bit further to go.
I saw some people who used to be USD bulls now become USD bears.
2 of them long eur 1.26 and long aud .7697 respectively.
Dublin CK 16:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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Dublin Flip 15:49 GMT
Yeah NAB could do with some more auditors making sure internal controls are adhered too.
It wont be the last accounting scandal, theres loads more that gone undetected or unannounced because they were too embarassing. Accounting standards are an art in the way two different people can interpret and act on the same information.
Thanks for the advice, Ill start banging on more doors with free coffee and bewleys cakes once the rain stops going sideways.
Porto PJT 16:03 GMT January 15, 2004
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gbp usd, 1,8200, any option related?
Gen dk 15:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
hk ab 0.88 15:55 GMT January 15, 2004
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wow gold tanked 10 USD daily.
Thess/nk 2004 nk 15:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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Have a nice evening all..
Teacher u have mail
nk
Dublin Flip 15:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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CK banks want a variety of people.
As I was told long ago (repeatedly by every boss actually-LOL) we're glad to have you but we are just as glad there aren't two of you working here. When I started people hired gizzillion different types (I remember BT hiring chess players and sportsman for a while). I won't tell you my background but it's as far away from this as you could imagine. An ACA should not be an impediment at all- I'm sure National Australia Bank wished theyed hired a few more with an accounting background over the past few days -LOL
As Irish say persistance and some possible face time to meet some one is the main break. If you can get someone to spend (or waste as I'm afraid he'll see it) to have a coffee or to give you and idea is the best way forward. Dealing rooms mainly want to know if the guy can interact, stand up for himself but also doesn't have the ego that will close the place down. Everyone learns on the job as the twenty year veterans on GVI will attest to. The thing about trading is it more art than science. Economics is more of an explanation than a reason.
cheers , coffee calls
st. pete islander 15:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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AB, compared to "The Whip" (remember that one?), s/he was not a problem at all. Hope he stays short, too. gt
hk ab 0.88 15:48 GMT January 15, 2004
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BB, that's not nice for us though.
He works in a bank.
USA Biscuit Boy 15:46 GMT January 15, 2004
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Hi AB. Didn't bother me at all :) Made some nice calls and hope s/he is still short LOL.
hk ab 0.88 15:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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To all the friends here,
First of all, I need to apologize, my account was abused by one of my friends. And he used the handle "Aud"/"nzd"/"aud and nzd" to post.
Jay has resolved it and I hope that this guy didn't bother you all too much.
Chicago Irish 15:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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CK ask [email protected] for my e-mail address,can give you some pointers to get around the CV road blocks.
hk ab 0.88 15:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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orders are waiting under 106.
hk ab 0.88 15:36 GMT January 15, 2004
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look at the eur/jpy coffin.
Dublin CK 15:30 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ah Chicago Irish, I take it your a paddy making there fortunes in the US.
Id love to get into Forex trading and analysis, but I;ve gotten alot of closed doors because of my ACA qualification. Apparently I dont meet the profile.
Any suggestions on IFSC companies or traders that are worth hounding?
Cheers in advance.
slv sam 15:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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is yen a floating ccy?
hk ab 0.88 15:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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YIPPEE,
the dlr/jpy test a lot of patience.
I am prepared to play it for 3-6 months.
hk ab 0.88 15:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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thanks jk.
Dublin Flip 15:23 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thanks Pumpkin. But that's our little secret -LOL
Here at Flip International you will be expected to have experience in all the home sciencies. Coffee, mutli-cultural cooking ( that irish stuff is off limits) and most importantly we have functional creche. It does have it's spin off though. My two year old has leap-frogged his way up the organisation and will be your immediate boss. But don't worry he is a great trader. He bought euros and ozz the day he was born-LOL
Dublin CK 15:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thanks anyway, wouldnt want a price on my head from Mrs Flip.
U just seem very wise in the world of FOREX.
Id better go back to auditing then and counting boxes for a living.
nyc jk 15:20 GMT January 15, 2004
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ab - hearing a barrier at 1.3000 fwiw. capping it for now, but ultimately these things always seem to get taken out when close.
Chicago Irish 15:20 GMT January 15, 2004
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CK:Just knock on the doors at the firms at IFSC repeatedly and you'll get hired,especially if you're persistent.
hk ab 0.88 15:19 GMT January 15, 2004
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if cad fails 1.3 again, I will exit my long from 1.2895 tonight.
Dublin CK 15:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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Nah, im not good with little nippers until they can start to talk. As for cooking, let me tell u........
Jamie Oliver eat your heart out.
Dublin Flip 15:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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I tell you CK the coffee was certainly a problem for awhile but the missus spent a small fortune outfitting "Cafe Flip" the best coffee in the pale -LOL
I'd love to employ you mate but it's purely PA and if someone is going to shred the family capital it's going to be moi -LOL
Wiarton h 15:17 GMT January 15, 2004
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hk 0.88
Gold was dumped Cad$ automaticaly follows
Tor Pumpkin 15:16 GMT January 15, 2004
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CK, do you baby sit and cook? I think Flip works from home now.
Dublin CK 15:12 GMT January 15, 2004
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Dublin Flip:
How about giving me a job? Im currently unemployed reading all the technical books and articles I can get my hands on.Plus I make the best dam coffee there is.
Dublin Flip 15:10 GMT January 15, 2004
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You have the humour prerequisite mate.
welcome aboard and be lucky.
Spotforex NY 15:09 GMT January 15, 2004
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Tor Pumpkin 15:02
That is better then the 'buff' boy' demands from my starting desk job.......
hk ab 0.88 15:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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what a move in cad.
NYC YIPPEE 15:03 GMT January 15, 2004
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Yep. This market has opened up to a whole new breed of "trader". Funny, the barriers of entry are pretty much non-existent. Trading is a business. I doubt if these guys understand that though...
Tor Pumpkin 15:02 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ha, Irish. When I was the young one on the spot desk, it was get coffee, get breakfast, get coffee, get lunch, get coffee.... "But sir, i'm watching a position!" get coffee...
hk ab 0.88 15:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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close all aud/nzd shorts breakeven, sidelined.
Chicago Irish 14:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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Back in the days of the currency pits Yippee the old traders would see a new guy enter the pit and start sniffing the air before grinning at the new guy and uterring the immortal line.... "I smell fresh money".
aud aud nzd oh dear! 14:58 GMT January 15, 2004
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Crossing me fingers..........
Edi Geo 14:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good trades I would say, but why so arrogant?
NYC YIPPEE 14:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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aud and nzd DROP 14:45 GMT January 15, 2004
And ???.......
GVI Jay 14:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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AUD. Check your email
Bratislava MB 14:46 GMT January 15, 2004
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eur/usd 1.2599
aud and nzd DROP 14:45 GMT January 15, 2004
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aud shorts.
0.7765 x 20 lots
0.7745 x 10 lots
0.7722 x 10 lots
nzd shorts
0.6753 x 10 lots.
All are open.
hk ab 0.88 14:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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YIPPEE,
life is tough sometimes.
Look at the blood in aud, smelling avalanche.
Ldn 14:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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Yipee NYC - I was asking for it by typing that comment haha - knew it was coming!
NYC YIPPEE 14:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 14:31 GMT January 15, 2004
long some more doll/yen.
106.05 waiting.
WOW !! We finally agree on something.
hk ab 0.88 14:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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DROP, do you think it's time for the eur 1.26 guy to sweat?
NYC YIPPEE 14:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ldn 14:24 GMT January 15, 2004
If BoJ were smart they should come in now
Trouble is they are not !!!
Ldn Cashman 14:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good info viies. 3 yards done and we're back down here. Come on down baby.
LAX-LGB SNP 14:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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with reference to 19:25 GMT January 14, 2004
shorting EURUSD spikes till 1.2765 didn't work (sonofabeatrice !)
shorting GBPUSD breaking below 1.8340 & 1.8269 has exceeded target of 1.8240 :-)
selling EURJPY within 134.50-134.80 averaging 3 quarts so far
buying USDCHF S/T reversal from 1.23 to 1.2340-75 zone averaged 40-50 bps
buying AUDUSD ahead of 0.7722-45 brought in a couple of quarters ahead of NYC but flows look reversing now
EURGBP still looks enroute to sub-0.68 thanks to a slightly accelerated downtrend within larger macro lines
GBPJPY went through 194.20 level like a knife through butter - what was i thinking ! LoL
selling GBPCHF below 2.2628 is starting to work out but unsure since price used 2.26 to launch way higher than expected
selling EURCHF below 1.5631 closed @ entry since price launched higher from 1.5580 instead of closing below ...
Dublin Flip 14:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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to each his own ldn but conisdering they have bought USD 60bio in two weeks seems to imply there are some fairly genuine sellers to me.
That ABN bought 3 yards and Eur$ is on it's knees means similar ominous outlook. Bottomside stops could be pretty gappy.
cheers
aud and nzd DROP 14:38 GMT January 15, 2004
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The sweating guy sweats more!
Thess/nk 2004 nk..1.1888/1.1950 14:38 GMT January 15, 2004
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Come on Euro come to daddy....
I promice will Buy u there...
nk
Ldn 14:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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Oh certainly agree they are in, but not in their aggressive fashion whereby they call 10-20 banks in 100-200 each....this is more a 'smoothing' operation
hk ab 0.88 14:31 GMT January 15, 2004
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long some more doll/yen.
106.05 waiting.
Dublin Flip 14:30 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ldn what makes you think the BOJ haven't been buying aggressively for the past few days down here??
There is alot of yen crossed supply.
They'll probably need to wait for anti-dollars to muscle up before they can get any effect.
hk ab 0.88 14:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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wonder if the eur/chf is set to fly another leg again. I think it got enough rest.
Tallinn viies 14:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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old info I guess but earlier today before BUBA euro selling, tehre were talks that ABN bought euros apr 1 yard.
now guys are saying it was actually �3 yards
FWIW
aud and nzd DROP 14:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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The .77 defender is sweating now.
a u d is falling down, falling down, falling down.
Ldn 14:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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If BoJ were smart they should come in now
Ldn 14:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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All unwinding from big boys of high-yielders - taking profit - pop goes CAD again.....................have fun!
HK statestreet 14:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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what about the US economic figures?
aud and nzd DROP 14:20 GMT January 15, 2004
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SQUEAL it harder, then someone will listen.
hk ab 0.88 14:19 GMT January 15, 2004
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add aud/nzd short @1.1470
Sofia BV 14:19 GMT January 15, 2004
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Varna/GV Why do you think exactly 16/19 Jan bearish for usd?
aud and nzd DROP 14:16 GMT January 15, 2004
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nzd is falling down, falling down, falling down.
aud and nzd DROP 14:12 GMT January 15, 2004
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Fed is good guy to me and grant me a super SPIKE on nzd.
hk ab 0.88 14:10 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ldn,
I think yes, usd is dropped orderly.
but yen is dropped artificially by BOJ vs other majors.
Ldn 14:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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out on Dow Jones 10 mins ago:
15 Jan 2004 14:59 BS +DJ Fed's Guynn: Dollar Drop 'Orderly,' Not Hurting US Econ
aud and nzd DROP 14:07 GMT January 15, 2004
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add nzd shorts 10 lots .6753.
hk ab 0.88 14:03 GMT January 15, 2004
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geez, the mkt is not kind to my aud/nzd view.... think it will range bound still.
hk ab 0.88 13:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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wow, we have drop and drip........
aud DROP 13:56 GMT January 15, 2004
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The 0.77 defender is more nervous than I am.
aud DROP 13:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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sigh..................
Hk RF@ 13:52 GMT January 15, 2004
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Likely some fat euro acct. may try to minimize exposure today as tomor. will be a little harder.
aud DROP 13:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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Squealing "Where are my USD?" everywhere.
hk ab 0.88 13:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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the coffin moves again.
melbourne farmacia 13:46 GMT January 15, 2004
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Cairo MDR 12:44 GMT January 15, 2004
Nothing today on euro. It looks like a 1.2568 - 1.2938 range for now. GT
Quebec YQB 13:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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So anyone see Eur/Usd dropping further?
aud DROP 13:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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why are bulls stubborn?
though they gain a lot in the last three legs, they don't learn how to leave the table.
Look at aud/usd, you will know.
Kaunas DP 13:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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1.255 comes
Cairo MDR 13:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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market didn't choose a direction yet
Bratislava MB 13:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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IJC -11000 343 000
cpi +0.2
Vilnius george 13:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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US ECON: Jobless Claims Fall 11k to 343
hk ab 0.88 13:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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mkt wants to see some blood.. terrible.
hk ab 0.88 13:31 GMT January 15, 2004
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CPI up 0.2
ex food 0.1
Nairobi, Kenya JK 13:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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Jakarta Onk 13:11 GMT January 15, 2004.
Raden Mas left at 12.18GMT(see his posting)
aud DROP 13:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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sayonana
hk ab 0.88 13:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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small long cad 1.2895
aud DROP 13:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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same comment,
the more you buy, the more you are nervous.
Quebec YQB 13:23 GMT January 15, 2004
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Anyone taking positions on Eur/Usd? or are you waiting for CPI to come out.
aud DROP 13:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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sayonana......aud.
aud DROP 13:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Right on time.
hk ab 0.88 13:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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sell eur/gbp .6915
Jakarta Onk 13:11 GMT January 15, 2004
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Radem mas, are you on this forum??
what's your views?
thanks
Toronto YV 13:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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Brisbane L . What time ECB President- Jean-Claude Trichet with Executive board member,Tomasso Padoa-Schioppa will speak today at the bank's first Euro-Mediterranean Seminar in Italy ?
Varna GV 13:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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16/19 January expect too be bearish for USD against EUR, GBP and JPY, be cearful with long USD!!!
hk ab 0.88 12:55 GMT January 15, 2004
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This DROP looks brave.
aud DROP 12:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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add another 10 lots .7741
hk ab 0.88 12:52 GMT January 15, 2004
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nk, points taken
Varna GV 12:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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SLV/Sam, i'm following astro methods for predicting time cycles for EUR/USD and i think that the uptrend for EUR/USD is not yet finish and my time calculations give me a strong signal that the high for EUR/USD will be in Feb - March and after that i'm expecting a strong corection till Augus - Sept 2004, where i think will be the cyclical bottom for EUR/USD, for the next up leg for euro.
Thess/nk 2004 nk.. 12:46 GMT January 15, 2004
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For me 1.2550 is not a good level to long Euro..
I prefer more 1.2380 for a good bounch Up to 1.2638.
Lets see!...
Time will tell ..as always
VGecko..nice to see u back
nk*!**!*
Cairo MDR 12:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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melbourne farmacia
do u have any recommondations for euro today..
TIA
hk ab 0.88 12:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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I felt really sorry to those jap exporters.
Think the Nikkei will be dragged down first by the poor reports from them.
GVI john 12:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2635�$/yen 106.10
DJIA -22 pts� 10-yr 3.99%, -2 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
More see GVI...For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
melbourne farmacia 12:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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Interesting charactors on the forum today....
Both Eur and Gbp need to bounce from current levels ( 1.2600 & 1.8230 ) to complete this small dollar rally. If not, we all know what's coming up.GT
hk ab 0.88 12:20 GMT January 15, 2004
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options player is protecting .77 pretty hard.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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I am off.
brb
hk ab 0.88 12:16 GMT January 15, 2004
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nt, are you still keeping aud short?
hk ab 0.88 12:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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will add to long dlr/jpy if 106 tried again
slv sam 12:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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Varna GV 11:48 /
IMO if e/$ closes below 1.24 then march high (if any!) is a remote possibility and l/t trend will be down and a confirmation of this will be a close below 1.22 level.GT
aud DROP 11:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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Let me give you a hand.
10 lots short aud .7722 added.
hk ab 0.88 11:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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don't struggle aud/jpy
I know how heavy you are these two years.
aud DROP 11:52 GMT January 15, 2004
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Last chance for you to short aud above .77 this week.
Look at the nzds...
what a mess.
Gen dk 11:52 GMT January 15, 2004
Reply
Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
Varna GV 11:48 GMT January 15, 2004
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I am trading most actively this year, but i am only reading comments on forex forum!!!
For EUR/USD i think the top will be on March 2004 and will short eur/usd then!!!
hk ab 0.88 11:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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accroding to bc mentioned, 5-10% rebounce means 1200 pips for eur, 800 pips for aud and 1800 pips for gbp respectively.
Interesting.
Miami OMIL 11:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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Just my thoughts AB, I am pretty sure you know what your doing. (/;-> GT
hk ab 0.88 11:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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OMIL, I prefer to buy at 1.2550 or under level, not now. THANKS VERY MUCH.
Nassau QF 11:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thank you Bratislava MB.
Miami OMIL 11:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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AB becareful on those dead cat bounces with eur/usd. FWIW eur/usd has not taken out the bottom (1.2560) but it looks like it is heading that way. At this point I would not buy until eur/usd clears 1.2720-25 area IMHO. (/;-> GL GT
hk ab 0.88 11:38 GMT January 15, 2004
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coffin eur/jpy.
van Gecko 11:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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good morning GV!
nice to see you again..you must be enjoying the good life in Varna.. seems like we only see you once a year with euro either at the top or bottom..
good trades.. 'Same Time Next Year'?
meanwhile, our 'hard working' friend nk from Thessaloniki works 365 days a year.. *!*
hk ab 0.88 11:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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don't mean buying eur here.
buy it a bit lower.
hk ab 0.88 11:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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couldn't resist the tempt nk.
long dlr/jpy 106.08
Bratislava MB 11:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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Nassau QF 10:57 GMT January 15, 2004
Those are good rates that you have. not sure about CAD but I think that's right also
aud DROP 11:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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fear factor.
Thess/nk 2004 nk..365 days 11:31 GMT January 15, 2004
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hk ab..0.88
LOL!!
nk
hk ab 0.88 11:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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RTN, I would like to buy a bounce of s/t retracement on eur.
Alicante RTN 11:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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1.2650/55 level is good entry for a eurusd short with a tight s/l above nearby t/l resistance now at 66
aud DROP 11:17 GMT January 15, 2004
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Soon, you can hear people screaming "where are my USDs?"
"More bomblet fired, more bomblet fired...."
Happy Birthday to you, happy birthday to you.
I should not change the boat.... but don't worry, this aud will be even harder.
Varna GV 11:13 GMT January 15, 2004
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Gecko, sir good luck and trades, nice to see your comments again!!!
You, BC, Qindex and Athens, make this forum analysis very usefull for all kind of traders!!!
Ina* mr.co'z 11:10 GMT January 15, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:57 GMT January 15, 2004
ya...hope its done..happy to heard that..
(wah loba pisan anu geulis mah..."MOJANG PRIANGAN")
GOOD LUCK FOR YOU ALL....!!
van Gecko 11:09 GMT January 15, 2004
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good morning tg & george..
some of 'Beatrice's Oily Daughters' may be trying to jump the gun here to meet their SOB brothers while the more patient ones may save themselve some pips by waiting down at sub 1.25's.. good trades
ab.. dollaryen not worth trading until this pipless arm westling match between those brave samurais & bojo sans are resolved..
cheers..
hk ab 0.88 11:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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this year we have a very interesting yen game in crosses not in dlr/jpy let's put the focus on the right side.
Vilnius george 11:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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EZ Q3 GDP Confirmed at 0.4% Q/Q, As Expected
Madras KR 11:00 GMT January 15, 2004
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rome mimmuz 09:55 GMT .Perfect. Bottom may be in. Break above 1.2672 will confirm.I am long already.GL.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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INA mr_co_z
oh..I suggest them to exit at 1.8480 . want to get strike profit 250 pips for recovery after several times get small draw down.Only get nice profit in shorttrem trade since yesterday.
how is your office clients..? hope well.
"aya your RO nu geulis" see me now? salam..
Singapore FHO 10:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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BOJ is in slumberland. Can someone pls wake them up.....
Nassau QF 10:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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Anyone have current intest ratesof the major currencies?
These are the last figures I have:
"At 1 percent, the U.S. benchmark federal funds rate is at a 45-year low, compared with the ECB's equivalent interbank lending rate of 2 percent, Canada's 2.75 percent, Britain's 3.75 percent and Australia's 5.25 percent."
Gen dk 10:56 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
hk ab 0.88 10:51 GMT January 15, 2004
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make a wish...
see the move of jpy...
then, lucky people can get a very nice m/t long position.
Gecko, what do you think on yen?
Ina* mr.co'z 10:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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RADEN !! what you is gived a smile in this time ?.. now your clients in makassar floating profit..
I seen next target resis at 1.8338 ....good Raden...:)))
hk ab 0.88 10:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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now I see a high risk of big and sustain fall of aud soon. . . . .
melbourne DC 10:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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break of eurgbp hourly d/trend signal break of eurusd and gbpusd hourly d/trend?
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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Ina co_z
great call of gbp/usd. we are in the same ship.
Vilnius george 10:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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van Gecko 10:18 GMT
Sons Of Beatrices lol
Melbourne Qindex 10:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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Spot Gold : the critical supporting point is located at 403.
Melbourne Qindex 10:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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Spot Gold : It is going to challenge the supporting strength of 412.3 - 413.8.
SanFrancisco tg 10:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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Gecko - Always enjoy your commentary, going back 2 years. Agree, and eying 1.2650 as critical.
Melbourne Qindex 10:21 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 10:20 GMT January 15, 2004
AUD/JPY : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle reference is 81.11 - 83.65 and the mid-point reference is 82.38. Projected supporting and resistant point is located at 78.58 and 86.19 respectively.
AUD/JPY : The upper barrir of my daily cycle is expected at 82.28 // 82.45 and the lower barrier is located at 81.59 // 81.76.
... 80.89 ... 81.41 ... 81.59 // 81.76, 81.93 ... 82.28 // 82.45, 82.63 ...
Gen dk 10:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
van Gecko 10:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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euro..
big bad bears are in control for the first time in 2 months.. bulls may see some reactions down at the 1.2580/50's.. but looks like any meaningful bounces will be absorbed with a 'thank you vely much' by those Sons Of Beatrices now..
cheerios
Riga Nick 10:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good afthernoon!
Any ideas about cable? Don't somebody think about to take long for some near to current LVLs? TIA
hk ab 0.88 10:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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the drop under 194 of gbp/jpy is surprising me
hk ab 0.88 10:03 GMT January 15, 2004
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my eur/chf long gets some life now. hehehe
eur/gbp flip back to .6930 is tempting the bears.
Tallinn viies 10:02 GMT January 15, 2004
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rmr Buba on the offer at 1,2670
FWIW
slv sam 10:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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AUD/$ yet to drop to .7450 IMHO then i am ready to long!GT
beirut jb 10:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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rome mimmuz 09:55
I whould wait for a retest of 12556 before going any long as position trade unless 127 and 12730 break
GL GT
hk ab 0.88 09:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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Perth pm 08:08 GMT January 15, 2004
HK AB your thought on AUD/USD would be welcome. Thank you
I will only kept those short from .7797, .7810, .7785 (last night) and will not add today.
trade the speed, not the levels.
rome mimmuz 09:55 GMT January 15, 2004
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EURUSD: 1.2610 was a perfect abc target from 1.29, and a nice hourly spt-line crosses there.. so to me remains a buy with stop-rev below 1.26 targeting then 1.2480
Alicante RTN 09:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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Closed usdchf longs at 83 and reloaded at 39 after it touched t/l res in 4 hr charts at 85 and retreated.
With eurusd showing an interest in 1.25 handle, next test of 1.2385 in usdchf may break through (all imo).
Eurchf strength indicates that there is more upside potential in usdchf.
romania daniel 09:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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"short-term traders have moved back into
bearish positions and we look for their bids today at 1.2585 and at 1.2550."
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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uch...eur/usd.
after try twice and get broke. now I am flat.
But I suspected Eur/usd will get 1.2550, get diificult level for entry now.
beirut jb 09:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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Plz reply to help Forum
Thank U
HK RF@ 09:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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A weekly close below 1.2559 means catastrophy for heavy longs for the next few weeks. The long term trader should sideline and watch for the friday close. Usually the market is not too kind to give us a weekly Key Reversal, but because this threat is already on the Menu, it worth watching it.
Alicante RTN 09:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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EURUSD bounced off upper t/l at 1.2673 and may be have formed a s/t top.
beirut jb 09:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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good morning traders,
can anyone tell me where can I find good stuff on currency
options, thank u
N.B I dont need general stuff on options ,I know all about it but I find some difficulty to find spesial stuff on currency options and their notation
GL GT
nyc beyonding_destiny 09:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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any comment on Gold?
Melbourne Qindex 09:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 02:01 GMT January 15, 2004
GBP/JPY : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 193.06 // 193.52 and the upper barrier is positioning at 196.29 // 196.75.
... 193.06 // 193.52, 193.98, 194.44, 194.91 ... 195.83, 196.29 // 196.75 ...
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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ok eur/usd have get stp 1.2665 bid. for recovery you can buy here at 1.2665 to get 1.2701 with stp at 1.2645 (bid).
canberra jsh 09:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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ML...looks like that channel of yours was pretty spot on mate...
Ina* mr.co'z 09:29 GMT January 15, 2004
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Cable minor resistance 1.8285...imo! gl/gt
Cairo A 09:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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GBP/USD ( at 1.8247)
Prefer waiting buy signal located 1.8285 (lowered from 1.8310)
S/L 1.8243 (-42 PIP)
Target 1.8325 (+45 PIP)
then 1.8370 (+85 PIP)
then 1.8405 (+120 PIP)
and finally 1.8470 (+185 PIP)
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:19 GMT January 15, 2004
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eur/usd 91.2623)
seen price will get 1.2559-50 as a bottom.
plan sell at 1.2656(bid) with stp 1.2665 (bid) for that target and try cut reverse there at 1.2559-50 with stp 1.2540 (bid)
Brisbane L 09:09 GMT January 15, 2004
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German statistics office is saying the economy wasn't in a recession, but "stagnated" last year , but with GDP contracting to 0.1% its not far off , they should cut rates cos the high Euro wont do it any favours
ICT ML 09:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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jsh.....chanel top is 1.2378 on my chart.....I haven't closed yet, but thinking about it.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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ok. buy at 1.8240 get from buy at 1.8250/55
now my suggest to try buy at bid 1.8227 with atp 1.8217 for long trem trade. try bottom at 1.8250 was broken. now chance bottom is at 1.8225/27 (bid)
gold...nice !!
wait at 412.70 to buy. !
London MJM 09:07 GMT January 15, 2004
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raden_masandi// Good morning.. If yr S/L was 1.8240, you have been executed.. I still blve we shld see 1.8170/80 on this move..GL!
Madras KR 09:06 GMT January 15, 2004
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Hi frds. Dollar may be getting toppish agst EUR.GBP & Chf soon. Better wait to sell on break of support points.GL.
Bangalore RKG 09:05 GMT January 15, 2004
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Cable likely to suffer freefall and break of 1.8235 leads to 1.8100. GL
Melbourne Qindex 09:05 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 23:19 GMT January 14, 2004
EUR/USD : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 1.2563 - 1.2767. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2529 // 1.2553 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2752 // 1.2776. My daily cycle frequency profile suggests that once the market can trade above 1.2677, it has a potential to move all the way to the higher range of 1.2727 - 1.2752.
... 1.2529 // 1.2553, 1.2578 ... 1.2628 ... 1.2677, 1.2702, 1.2727, 1.2752 // 1.2776 ...
canberra jsh 09:05 GMT January 15, 2004
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ML...thanks for the heads up
Brisbane L 09:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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ECB President- Jean-Claude Trichet with Executive board member,Tomasso Padoa-Schioppa will speak today at the bank's first Euro-Mediterranean Seminar in Italy. Other ECB Governors, including Antonio Fazio, will be attending the seminar. further bearish comments from European officials could weigh on the Euro traders are saying in London.
ICT ML 09:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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jsh...might think to TP now, channel top on hourly hit on swiss
canberra jsh 08:56 GMT January 15, 2004
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Raden, thanks...ML, it ain't me..i'm long from 32! maybe throw an extra yard into it
ICT ML 08:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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which one of you yahoos is blocking my $swiss long @ 1.2360?.....LOL
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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canberra jsh 08:33 GMT January 15, 2004
for this case gbp/usd my stp suggest is like this.. if bid numbers show at 1.8240 better cut loss to control the risk.,
I prefer suggest to trade with high control risk and evaluate every week or month of cummulative result.
Cairo A 08:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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good morning,
Always your view is valuable mr. Radan. But I prefer a clear buy sign at 1.8310
S/L 1.8230
Target 1.8330 then 1.8375 then 1.8411 and finally 1.8475.
GT all
Ina* mr.co'z 08:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:27 GMT January 15, 2004
Yes...YUSTIN...good nuMber to trying BUY....and hope your resistance will getting soon...LOL...yes !! "PANCA"...
canberra jsh 08:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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Raden...what stop are you running on that gbp trade? tia
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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ina co_z..
I suggest all my clients in makassar to buy more gbp/usd here at 1.8250. Hope get nice profit.
Melbourne Qindex 08:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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GBP/USD : The mid-point reference between 1.8328 and 1.8358 is 1.8343.
Melbourne Qindex 11:40 GMT January 14, 2004
GBP/USD : The current expected trading range from my 44-day cycle reference is 1.7978* - 1.8284* - 1.8590*. After expansion of expected trading ranges the trading reference is as follow :-
... // 1.7978* - 1.8131 - 1.8284* - 1.8437 - 1.8590* // ...
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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edco... same number 1.8255,
let's get 250 pips from there...
I think noew is the climax selling. let's focuse on the major trend !! not good if still thinking down again.
"HIDUP PANCA"
Melbourne Qindex 08:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 00:21 GMT January 15, 2004
GBP/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.8236 // 1.8266 and the upper barrier is located at 1.8481 // 1.8511.
... 1.8236 // 1.8266, 1.8297, 1.8328, 1.8358*, 1.8389 ... 1.8450, 1.8481 // 1.8511 ...
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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yes... 1.8250 done.
Ina* mr.co'z 08:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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Longed cable 1.8255 ...
Thess/nk 2004 nk..365 days 08:21 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good Morning...
Have a nice day teacher!
nk
Melbourne Qindex 08:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT January 15, 2004
EUR/AUD : My 44-day cycle reference indicates that the market is bascially vibrating around the quantised level at 1.6411 with a magnitude of 152 pips, i.e. 1.6260 - 1.6563. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.6687 - 1.6739 and a projected supporting level is expected at 1.5943 - 1.6035.
EUR/AUD : The upper barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.6414 // 1.6452 and the lower barrier is expected at 1.6190 // 1.6227.
... 1.6190 // 1.6227 ... 1.6302*, 1.6340, 1.6377, 1.6414 // 1.6452 ...
Calcutta Vikram 08:11 GMT January 15, 2004
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EURGBP.....if the market closes above 0.6925 today, I'd be inclined to add to my long-term Long
Eilat Dolphin 08:10 GMT January 15, 2004
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Euro looks like its coming out of the woods. Another 15 minutes at max, if needed, will confirm it.
Perth pm 08:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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HK AB your thought on AUD/USD would be welcome. Thank you
nyc beyonding_destiny 08:01 GMT January 15, 2004
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this Cable trend is really in dangous...
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:58 GMT January 15, 2004
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gbp/usd when at 1.8289
don't forget to try buy for long trem trade at 1.8255 stp at 1.8240(bid) for target 250 pips.
nyc beyonding_destiny 07:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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anyone trades Zar? any comment ?
MONACO OGA 07:56 GMT January 15, 2004
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FX UPDATE 15/01
Good morning,
***EUR***
EUR/USD (Currently 1.2660), 40 pips lower than on yesterday opening. The pair broke through first support at 1,2700 on a related US sell order that triggered stops down to 1,2650. Some much better US trade balance for November sent the pair briefly below 1,2630 before a whipsaw move back up to 1,2730-35. For today, we believe 1,2620 should provide enough support for a rebound to 1,2730 and 1,2800. Next support zone stands at 1,2540. We still believe we have not seen the end of the uptrend yet, some technical pullback is much wellcome for consolidation purposes. Yesterday's US trade data should encourage the US government to keep on favouring a USD depreciation, so we do not expect Mr Snow to support the idea of a joined FX intervention to stabilize the USD on the next G7. Long term target still is around 1,3500.
Data out today:
Ger GDP Dec expected -0,1% 08.00 GMT
Euro zone GDP Q3 expected 0.4% 11.00 GMT
US Consumer Price Index Dec expected 0.2% 13.30 GMT
US CPI ex food/energy Dec expected 0.1% 13.30 GMT
US advanced retail sales Dec expected 0.4% 13.30 GMT
US initial jobless claims expected 350K 13.30 GMT
Gold around 418,50 , with WTI February at 34,59.
***JPY***
Usd/Jpy (currently 106,20), same situation as yesterday, the market is currently trapped inbetween selling pressure and fear of another round of BOJ intervention at 106,00-10. Because of this new situation, we have now turned neutral on the JPY market and wait for further developments to determine our next strategy.EUR/JPY (134,50) following EUR/USD price action. Important support zone around 133.50 with resistance at 136,50..
***GBP***
Cable (currently 1.8300) Today we see a test of critical support zone at 1,8270.
EUR/GBP (0.6920), rebounded from 0,6890 but finding it hard to push through 0.6930. We are looking to sell rallies and expect 0,6810 for the coming trading sessions.
Have a nice day,
Olivier
MELBOURNE PIZZA 07:50 GMT January 15, 2004
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ICT ML, hey i with you all the way , same with AUD , down towards 75.06
ICT ML 07:45 GMT January 15, 2004
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Seems there is a huge battle going on for control of cable 1.8280 area.....for good reason. If this level gives out, straight line to 1.8100 channel bottom.
GLEBE RACKA 07:45 GMT January 15, 2004
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look to the left , look to the right , THE MAJORS ARE GOING TO FALL IN MIGHT
Juneau CAR 07:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thank you very much raden.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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aussie ranj 06:52 GMT January 15, 2004
Juneau CAR 06:41 GMT January 15, 2004
I only look from the chart emotion model.
My corelation stock with gold give me information, stock players in the climax buying emotion (wall street) and then they look cheap price in gold at 412.70 and they will buy gold so big.
Because of this corelation.... I think safety position for forex is buy Eur/usd ; gbp/usd; Aussie and avoid usd/jpy. I think BOJ will use eur/jpy and gbp/jpy market to keep usd/jpy.
I think today corection for eur/usd and gbp/usd have be finished. Gold will give big energy for up to eur/usd and gbp/usd. Seen leader is Aussie to get 0.8269 as the top (minor?/major?).
Nikkei and Hang Seng have be started since several days ago for down so far... and Dow Jones is on the buying climax..yesterday.
That's my conclusion of thinking.
melbourne pizza 07:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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melba asterix, i have similar opinion, but bust not yet , not for the time being, the next 12 hours will be interesting... no doubt
MELBA ASTERIX 07:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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CHICAGO; my sentiment were towards EUR GBP AUD short for the time being , where there has been boom ,there must be bust , but only momentarily.......... follow through with targets later.....
chicago jack 07:20 GMT January 15, 2004
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melba, the grizzly bear is a dollar bear, lol.
melba asterix 07:11 GMT January 15, 2004
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go short might get caught, go long might get it wrong, which way that way , sit on my hands, i dont understand, but buyer beware there is a grizzly BEAR out there GOOD LUCK
nyc sa 07:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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could someone please explain to me how could all futures be down at the same time , stocks , euro , GBP ,etc.. this market is very tricky will be driven by indicators tomorrow in the US .
Brisbane L 06:57 GMT January 15, 2004
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Yebn could test 105.50 with options coming off in NY
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 06:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good morning world!
TIA:-)
aussie ranj 06:52 GMT January 15, 2004
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Randan masandi,
Could you please advise me where you are getting your analysis on gold. When do you think it will bottom out to 412?
Thanks
chicago jack 06:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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hk, I hope your instinct is accurate. euro has dropped 250 pips in 2 days it is due for an upward correction. I'm looking for a double top at 1.29.
hk joeyheb 06:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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hi jack.... i dont want to be biased because i have long positions for euro... but i still feel... on instinct, that euro 's gonna go up soon.... and even touch the 1.32 further out.
Juneau CAR 06:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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RE gold: very interesting raden. I invest in Canadian mining stocks and follow this thread closely. I notice how highly you are respected on this thread for your knowledge and good judgement and many rightfully so listen to you carefully, including me.
I would be very interested in your thoughts regarding gold and silver.
Can you explain a bit more why you think people will move from stocks into gold.
Thank you in advance
chicago jack 06:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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anybody else think that we'll make another run for the highs in the euro before end of this week? I tend to think we'll see 1.28 again this week.
HK EL 06:10 GMT January 15, 2004
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DROP DROP have you squared your position?
Houston KC 05:48 GMT January 15, 2004
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Out at 134.41 stop hit...would try again around 134.60 but calling it a night. At least it is good for my usd/jpy longs.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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I mean investment capital flight from stock to gold..especially from wall street.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:30 GMT January 15, 2004
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IMO..I thinking about stock and gold for this situation.
I get conclusion like that :
THERE WILL BE BIG INVESTMENT CAPITAL FROM STOCK TO GOLD.
SOON WILL GET STOCK SELLING EMOTION TO CHANGE IN GOLD.
so...gold will be favorit soon to wake up crazy to get 470 usd/troy.
first opinion is will try to move high from 412.70 usd /troy.
SA Bok 05:26 GMT January 15, 2004
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Market looking for BOJ ?? I hope for same Friday intervention ..
Have stop entry positions just above market ...
And will adjust as USDJPY trades lower ..
Good strategy works well , just needs BOJ action .LOL
Brisbane L 05:24 GMT January 15, 2004
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Citigroup in daily technical report
EUR/USD would enter bearish trend on charts if pair falls below 1.2560-1.2585 zone on weekly-closing basis
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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gbp/usd when at 1.8331.
ideal swing...
let's see go down. stp at 1.8345 (bid).
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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la saint3
I prefer see step by step.
about the trend better wait until get conclusion from Friday candle.if price still here /below here until Friday, that's danger for buy position.
melbourne DC 04:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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raden thanks for your gbp rec ..
you don''t think 1.8275/80 support (ma10, 61.8%, dip low) will hold ?
LA saint3 04:47 GMT January 15, 2004
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raden ..
it is just a pullback or trend changed???
Brisbane 04:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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Drop & Drop is on a Drip-ego mania trip.....
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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gbp/usd when at 1.8315
seen price will get 1.8250(pullback).
you can sell now.
Houston KC 04:39 GMT January 15, 2004
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Houston KC 03:28 GMT January 15, 2004
Short eur/jpy 134.42 target 133.42
Moved stop to 134.41 just in case they wake the sleeping BOJ dragon...lol
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 04:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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gold when at 418.30
gold will drop at 416.10 to get confirmation and then make swing from 416.10 to go 412.70 as a major bottom.
sell here for target 416.10 and then wait at high when pullback for sell to get target 412.70 and cut reverse there to get above 420.00 again.
nyc jk 04:31 GMT January 15, 2004
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aud DROP 03:21 GMT January 15, 2004
You can see my bomblets power soon, no?
You don't know where the selling come from at all.
mate you said you had a postion size of 40 lots in the NZD. The penciller at any AUS/NZD bank carries a bigger position than that. Give the forum a break with your power and other assorted b.s.
Stockholm za 04:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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CHF/JPY........Today
8755-8721
8687-8676
8631
8586-8575
8541-8507
18,8% BU
True ~8823-:-8463
Happy trades...
LA saint3 04:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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anyone could predict gbp movement for today?
Sydney Ge11Ja 04:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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according to RBA bulletin RBA sold net 1.68 bio AUD in Dec
aud DROP 03:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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Do you know what a weekly reversal is? Seldom see one right?
you will probably see one soon on nzd or aud.
aud DROP 03:55 GMT January 15, 2004
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11:04 GMT January 14, 2004
no use no use
the more you buy the more you scare on your nzd.
10:54 GMT January 14, 2004
nzd's. Last chance you short above 0.68 today.
You will see my bomblets soon.
add add add
Bdg Dewan 03:54 GMT January 15, 2004
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Bdg dewan 10:13 GMT January 14, 2004
eur/usd: 1.2640 and then 1.2620, and........ 1.2520
gbp/usd: 1.8350 and then 1.8335......
DONE
Taiwan js 03:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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Chinese lunar new year holidays
China 1/22-1/28
Taiwan 1/21-1/26
Brisbane L 03:43 GMT January 15, 2004
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aud DROP ok, think initially 77 and possible 7640 at best good luck
Sydney Ge11Ja 03:42 GMT January 15, 2004
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nyc sa
I have 1/2 day wed 21 and 22-23 Jan. thats for HK and Singapore
aud DROP 03:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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I don't need target. I know the size they play.
Brisbane L 03:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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below for
nz or AUD drop
Brisbane L 03:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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A drop in Gold below $417.50 triggers bearish double-top, target decline to $404.50. Bearish RSI divergence on daily charts giving out sell signal, likely to test 30-day moving average of $414.40.
nz good call on Kiwi - lets see on Aud dont you have a target or just winging it (nice to see you have a name now)
HK EL 03:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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Drop you are great
nyc sa 03:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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what is the date of the chineese holiday ?
Houston KC 03:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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Short eur/jpy 134.42 target 133.42
shanghai bc 03:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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Chinese banks in mainland are open to the public 365 days a year..Trading goes on 365 days a year too..The banks that never rest..
Ina* mr.co'z 03:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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MORNING ALL !!.............
*have nice trade to day*
aud DROP 03:21 GMT January 15, 2004
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You can see my bomblets power soon, no?
You don't know where the selling come from at all.
nyc 03:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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nz DROP, 02:28: aud made a fibo retracement perfect, bounced up, and should continue the uptrend, no?
Sydney Ge11Ja 03:08 GMT January 15, 2004
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is anyone aware of any effect of the Chinese New Year break next week? Are we likely to see p/taking on their positions built up of late?
hk ab 0.88 03:05 GMT January 15, 2004
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seems the theme is jap. repatriation on yen crosses. at least a week if not for months.
TLV SD 03:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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USD CAD - 1.3
hk ab 0.88 03:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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Good morning every one
Melbourne Qindex 02:58 GMT January 15, 2004
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TLV LM 02:44 GMT - Hi! Send an-e-mail to Jay at [email protected] and he will arrange you to see my page.
nyc sa 02:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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Hi indonesia , what's the next move on euro ? $/CHF?
TLV LM 02:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne , what is your page, I can not acces trough the link
TLV LM 02:37 GMT January 15, 2004
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guys, please your forecast for the USD/CAD and GBP/CHF
Brisbane L 02:32 GMT January 15, 2004
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All these are due to expire in NewYork today Will no doubt be stressing the BOJ out.
JPY 105.50 (lge, JPY 106.00 (lge, JPY 107.00, JPY 105.50 KO,
EUR 1.2500
nz DROP 02:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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unload nzd bombs to aud bombs.
nz: short 0.6870 - 0.6795 x 10 lots = 750 pips
0.6861 - 0.6795 x 10 lots = 660 pips
0.6856 - 0.6795 x 10 lots = 610 pips
0.6825 - 0.6795 x 10 lots = 300 pips
Total 2220 pips in days!
Now bomb the aussie 20 lots 0.7765
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:27 GMT January 15, 2004
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good morning world !!
good morning all my friends here.
I hope good day for you.
Porto PJT 01:50 GMT January 15, 2004
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Farmacia, congrats on aud call.gt.
Gen dk 01:41 GMT January 15, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
nyc 01:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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ab is missing
wordly wise 01:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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some one is notably absent from the forum today. i wqonder eho that could be?
spore mk 01:33 GMT January 15, 2004
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some tight stops abov 106.50
but dont think will be threaten as offers is thick abov 40
more above 60 and options seems having some ko below .....
think if the euryen corrects further when london is in , we may
see some bloods as the boj might refrain from interventions
in view of the coming g-10 meetg
LA saint3 01:25 GMT January 15, 2004
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mk: you traded usd/jpy??
what is your view?
yen is not moving these days
Longmeadow JSB 01:18 GMT January 15, 2004
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Yes. Agreed Melborne. This one simply gives fairly accurate projected hi/lo s and pivot.
spore mk 01:16 GMT January 15, 2004
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sori 105.85 yen stops
spore mk 01:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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huge stops in dlryen under 108.85 and g-10 meetg place emphasis on asian central banks recent interventions n also the curb of asian currencies strength.
melbourne pizza 01:14 GMT January 15, 2004
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LONGMEADOW, irrespective of what the advisors say there more on the down equation, advisors is the last of opinions i take notice of infact never..........
Longmeadow JSB 01:09 GMT January 15, 2004
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1.2690 was a significant support level from one of the trading advisories. So coming back and breaking it the other way would be very difficult. Don't you think?
melbourne pizza 01:04 GMT January 15, 2004
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L.A. SAINT , try HTTP:FX GUIDE.NET it gives you choice of bar , line or candles
LA saint3 00:59 GMT January 15, 2004
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HI experts out there ..
may i know what is the best chart to use to analyze this currency?
Or maybe some services I can use?
TIA
Dublin CK 00:53 GMT January 15, 2004
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Cheers Lads,
I've still alot to learn. My indicators still need some fine tuning during days of major market announcements are made.
Im off to bed to dream about the best two Aussie exports Elle McPherson & Fosters.
Gdnite, GL, GT.
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:49 GMT January 15, 2004
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GBP/JPY
196.06
194.89(current level.)
193.52
192.56
Japan Godzilla 00:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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hi frds
aud/usd,eur/aud view pls!
Thess/nk 2004 nk..1.1888/1.1950 00:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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Tp my Frd Zorro..
March is my favore month for 1.3888
nk
brisbane sunstate 00:44 GMT January 15, 2004
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London cam 00:40 GMT
just resistance nothing magical just to number I hope to sell
gl
London cam 00:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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brisbane sunstate 00:34 GMT January 15, 2004
Think I'll leave my EURUSD short open for the night and get some shut eye soon! By the way, what's the significance of 1.2690?
Brisbane L 00:40 GMT January 15, 2004
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Dublin CK Hi, its too hot at the moment here but we have had a few summer storms and rain . Aussie should correct just under the figure where I will be buying if seen still looking for a bit deeper correction in the Euro with a bit of Luck.
Employment data just out a bit better than expected but the aussie rallies a little to 50 and then came back, you have to remember Xmas hiring is in that number
Australian Dec Employment +29,600 but part-time work rose 13,500 many possible casual work over xmas period.
melbourne pizza 00:38 GMT January 15, 2004
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dublin, weather is great hot and sunny in melbourne, the correction has already taken place and more has yet to be revealed, i am focusing on the momentum and anticipate more downside, and the rise of the USD, then switch for the next move up on EUR GBP AUD, but the outcome will be a little while just yet, factors are pointing towards the end of cycle month of jan to early feb... hpe this helps all is in the charts and how you interept them and so on .....
Thess/nk 2004 nk..1.1888/1.1950 00:35 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thess/nk 2004 nk 00:32 GMT January 15, 2004
Good Night all!
Euro:
Its time for bed to dream 1.1888/1.1950 for 1.3888/1.39
nk
brisbane sunstate 00:34 GMT January 15, 2004
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Dublin CK 00:28 GMT
Yes sell euro on any spike to 1.2690 and cable at 1.8390 if seen Yes weather is better here but a litte to hot at times
gl. gt
melbourne pizza 00:30 GMT January 15, 2004
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calm before the storm, distribution before the fall,
Dublin CK 00:28 GMT January 15, 2004
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Thanks Melbourne & Brisbane:
I agree with you, we should see further movements towards the dollar but is this the beginning of the correction thats been due for a couple of weeks?
Ps:Hope the weather is better in Oz than it is here.Its brass monkeys outside and I watching the rain/sleet going sidewards past my window......
USA Biscuit Boy 00:23 GMT January 15, 2004
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Very quiet saint3 especially with all the nice moves going on. Everyone busy counting their profits I hope :)
melbourne pizza 00:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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dublin, i follow momentum and i am focussing on EUR, GBP,AUD on the short side of the equation i have not set targets but anticipate these currncs to fall further and the swing towards USD
brisbane sunstate 00:22 GMT January 15, 2004
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Dublin CK 00:15 GMT
Well Dublin it is morning here and I don't have a clue either. maybe some new code?
LA saint3 00:21 GMT January 15, 2004
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What a quite forum now!
Dublin CK 00:15 GMT January 15, 2004
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Melbourne - Pizza : Its late at nite on the other side of the world, im having trouble reading between the lines in what u are saying.Where are the next big moves gonna occur?