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Forex Forum Archive for 01/22/2004

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brisbane 23:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
It's important to keep interest rates low in Australia by running disciplined fiscal policy, Treasurer Costello says in radio interview. Adds strong AUD hurting economic growth
ABC news.

Ldn 23:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
The economic recovery in continental Europe is "distinctly weak" and could easily be wrecked should the euro continue to rise, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has warnedIn contrast, growth in the United States should "remain very strong," said the OECD's chief economist, Jean-Philippe Cotis, at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Brisbane L 23:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Reuters
DAVOS-Senior China banker calls for wider currency band
A senior Chinese banker on Thursday said shock therapy to revalue the Chinese currency and redress a huge trade gap with the United States was not appropriate, but China should gradually float its currency instead.
Zhu Min, general manager and advisor to the president for the Bank of China, said the renminbi could, as a first step, trade in a band of 0.3 to 2.5 percent against the U.S. dollar. It is now pegged near 8.28 to the dollar.

http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/040122/economy_china_zhu_1.html

Melbourne Qindex 23:13 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Livingston nh 23:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Foreign holdings at the Fed jumped by 22 bio last week - biggest increase I have ever seen

Melbourne Qindex 23:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment  . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

ICT ML 23:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
this is excellent...in London time, my hourly cable channel that formed last 2 days top will be at 1.8550-75 area....a perfect setup.

Melbourne Qindex 22:41 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Melbourne Qindex 22:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 22:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   

Australia not immune from bird flu: expert

LINK
It will be virtually impossible stop it getting to Australia and it can travel very, very quickly."

Brisbane L 22:04 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
The Lunar New Year holiday in Singapore
and Hong Kong today and the Australian holiday on Monday

Ldn 22:03 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Mtl JP Both

Mtl JP 21:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn / which: the boom or the bust ? :-)

Ldn 21:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
washingtonpost.com
Economists Say Recession Started in 2000
"Clearly the boom happened under Clinton, and the boom generates the bust. And no administration has the power to change that."

Ldn 21:39 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
FXcast saying that Funds buying aud in hope that it will panic real money to join them.

GVI john 21:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
STRATEGY SESSION —Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2715…. $/yen 106.05
DJIA 10,623, -0 pts…NASDAQ 2,119, -23 pts
10-yr 3.97%, -5 bp’s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
see GVI, for info contact: [email protected]

toronto Dr Unken Kat 21:36 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
anyone has opinion on sterling/yen ? ,looks pretty good short on 1H,2 H

Brisbane L 21:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
If the RBA need another reason to hold off on rates :

ABC News 'Biggest flood in decades' brings heartbreak to outback Qld

Graziers in Queensland's south-west are reporting the biggest flood in decades as the Bulloo River breaks it banks.

A station near Quilpie, west of Charleville, may have lost as many as 15,000 head of sheep in last week's floods.

Major flooding is being experienced in Thargomindah with the Bulloo River expected to peak tomorrow.

The Bulloo Shire Council though says it is not anticipating any threat to property or homes in the town.

But grazier from Autumn Vale Brigid Hughes says she has been on the property for 21 years and has never seen such a big flood.

"1989 is the highest that we've ever experienced and it went two inches into the shearing shed and we're expecting this is a bit bigger," she said.

"So we're expecting it's actually gone through our shearing shed and our quarters.

"You know it was 13 years ago or 14 years ago that we had our last flood so it's really tested our levee banks, we're just not sure what's going to happen next."

Further north near Quilpie, Thylungra Station, which had been running more than 30,000 sheep, could suffer stock losses at between 10 and 50 per cent.

Station spokesman David Boyd says while the exact numbers are still unclear, they are sure to be significant.

"In dollars I'm frightened to work it out," he said.

"They're class breeding ewes most of them, probably worth $100 a head .. so it's frightening figure, it's pretty heartbreaking, we probably had three times as much rain in a day as we had in the two previous years put together but we'll live to fight another day and I must say the community spirit in Quilpie has been fantastic."

Ldn 21:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
The World Health Organisation said yesterday that it was concerned the H5N1 strain of bird flu was spreading across Asia and providing mounting opportunities for it to mutate into a far more lethal virus.

Gen dk 20:48 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 20:31 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Gold down $1.10 at $410.10 in spite of the further weakness in the US dollar suggests the recent floor at the $405.70 low from Friday vulnerable if the US dollar happens to bounce, putting pressure on the $402.10 low from December 15 as the next benchmark. The $387.00-391.00 lows next objective if these nearby levels fail

Mtl Ash 20:09 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ottawa nirma:
Jan 22, 2003 14:25 CET
Daily Report.
By FX-Dealer.

Dollar-CAD was trying to break above 1.3050 resistance. RSI well supported above 50% level. MACD is below zero level but rose above signal line.
Trend: Neutral.
Try longs from 1.2950 target 1.3050 stop 1.2910.
Supports: 1.2930, 1.2880
Resistances: 1.3050, 1.3120

ottawa nirma 20:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
what is the future for usd/cad?will cad go up.Can anyone comment on this.
Thanks

Brisbane L 19:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP on the Aud do you see evidence of a h/S pattern emerging with the right hand shoulder forming

Dallas GEP 19:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Recent history would seem to suggest that MOF intervention is MORE likely on Fridays. They MOF may in fact pull their bids here @ 106.00 and let it short down getting the shorters in and THEN running in with some MOF bids. Usually they will let it swing short BEFORE longing it (USD/JPY)

beijing road 18:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Will take profit Friday.

zurich rain 18:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP is approaching high of 1.857 from 12th of january, probably tomorrow. Think that the GBP steam will vanish then -I'll sell it at that level 1.855 and hope to keep that position until far below 1.80.

Ldn 18:23 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ha well yes - anyway it's all down to US politics AGAIN! It's election year and they need to be seen saying the right things - slapping punitive tariffs would be a big mistake...the Chinese first need to get their banks in state - anyway the Asians are the biggest buyers of US treasuries so they should be careful what they say!

Mtl JP 18:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 17:52 / Joke of the day: the Senators know best!

Japan and China (and hopefuly EZ) expanding their money supply = one thing: eventual competitive ccy devaluation. Next, they should start to pump all that newly printed money into tangible assets: national strategic (oil, copper, cotton, gold ect) reserves. And reduce/stop buying US paper assets LoL

Moscow Hawk 18:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY eventually broke 106.30-60 and it has tested 105.75-00 zone as expected. So what is now? As I pointed in my previous post now I would not be surprised to see 105 by the end of week or early next week. Moreover currently I favour this scenario (and below 105) while 107 limits upside.

Have a good weekend

Nassau QF 18:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi Saratoga.
Not treating it as an actual promise :)
They do seem to jump in when it gets below 1.06 though.

saratoga sam 18:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi Nassa treat this endeavor as a business and get rid of hope and other people promising you some magical number. Stick to your stops...

Helsinki iw 18:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
By the way, appreciate you sharing your view Athens. Feel
much better already, as I bought some ATM EUR/USD and
EUR/JPY puts today, over G7 weekend. Always enjoy reading
your thoughts.

Nassau QF 17:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I'm hoping BOJ will step in.
They promised that it would go no lower than 1.05 so that means a max risk of 100 PIPs if they keep their promise.

Hoping for maybe 1.07 on upside.

GER ad 17:54 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I warned today about a false break on EUR/JPY:

GER ad 00:42 GMT January 22, 2004
If EUR/JPY 135.40/50 is clear broken expecting some fireworks but could be false break and correct after much deeper. Take care.

Closed short at 134.65

Ldn 17:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Why usd/jpy has come off in past hour:

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--A bipartisan group of five senators Thursday urged U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney to make China's practice of pegging the yuan to the dollar a top issue at the World Economic Forum in Davos. One of the Senators is sponsoring legislation that would punish China with tariffs until it floated its currency.
To put pressure on China, Schumer has sponsored legislation that would slap a tariff of 27.5% on Chinese imports into the U.S. The tariffs would kick in after a 180-day grace period and last until the president certifies that China has moved to a market-based currency.

"We believe China's currency policies and the deep undervaluation of its currency, the yuan or renminbi, have not only contributed to job loss and business failure in the United States, but they are also leading to major international exchange rate and trade imbalances and have become a destabilizing force in the global economy," the senators said in the letter they all signed.

"In your capacity as the leader of the U.S. delegation, we respectfully urge you to make this issue a top priority at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland," the senators wrote.

The senators said they believe the yuan is undervalued against the dollar by between 15% and 40%. This has helped push the Chinese trade surplus to $126 billion.

The senators also noted Chinese exports are hammering European manufacturers. The dollar has lost considerable ground against the Euro, but, because the yuan is tied to the dollar, the Chinese currency has also lost ground to the Euro.

The senators also contended the low value of the yuan is hurting China's economy by expanding its money supply, which in turn makes credit easily available. This in turn has led to problem loans in the Chinese economy.

Helsinki iw 17:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Bid tone returning to EUR/NOK as large American bank
been buying it today. NOK/SEK looking offered again and
well on it´s way lower. Expect switching from NOK debt into
SEK debt to be seen. IMHO

sarasota jf 17:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
one options style guy sold abit of euryen - in usdyen its all japanese names buying at this level -

Nassau QF 17:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
1.06 long entry order hit at USD/JPY
I hope it's profitable.
Again, I'm a newb at Forex so don't go by my trades.

Chambery FR JFB 17:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Quebec YQB 17:32 GMT January 22, 2004
My pleasure :-)

Athens 17:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
On the big picture in my opinion-- It's a typical case of a market which in EUR/$ for example got extremely O/S short term while remaining extremely O/B long term, hence the price pattern. It was for this reason I was so openly against a further decline under 1.23 a few days ago and actually was buying it there, knowing that it would return. What I prbably measured wrong was where to re-establish shorts as my 1.2650 cost certainly indicates, but I have ample room to improve it if I wanted to sell and hold today at higher levels (I prefer to maintain a smallish position and use an increment in-out to improve the core cost). My plan is to keep my cost as much as possible at a shooting distance from prevailing market prices until we see the next major corrective downleg. Surely a market is a market and nothing can be precluded, but my personal estimation is that it is too soon for any resumption of the long term uptrend and I blieve that 1.2330 is not a long term bottom. Good luck all.

Quebec YQB 17:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB 16:59 GMT

Nice to know that someone else is on my side of trade.

PAR 17:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Looks like tomorrows UK GDP and Retail Sales will be much better than expected,hence the exceptional strength of sterliing.Blair needs good economic numbers before next week political problems.

Dallas GEP 17:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
There definitely is some buying @ 106.00. Whether it is strong enough to break the fall I don't know. Crosses will have to be watched carefully.

FW CS 17:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
We need to see a close again above 1.2768 Euro futures before we can say if it will be possible to resume the long term uptrend. This snap back has been too quick. Levels again:

1.125 1/8 Gann extension = 1.2347
1.250 1/4 Gann extension = 1.2768
1.382 Fibbonacci extension = 1.3210
1.5 1/2 Gann extension = 1.36115
1.618 Fibbonacci extension = 1.401
1.75 3/4 Gann Extension = 1.445

Dallas GEP 17:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Well Gang topside on USD/JPY is probably 106.40/50 WO BOJ. Downside MAYBE as low as 105.00. It does look long from here though. 30 minutes shows a bottoming out here but with lower BB at 45 degree angle DOWN I think it has chance of breaking down just as easily.

Brisbane L 17:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP think your feeling is in line with many at the moment , trading is risky but in the present market near impossible .

Chambery FR JFB 17:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Chambery FR JFB 16:59 GMT January 22, 2004
Quebec YQB 16:49 GMT January 22, 2004
I would also state that RSI on 4 hours turning up @ very low level and Slow Stoch 50.3.3 on hourlies beginning to head north as well is the(my) reason to buy now. fwiw :-)

Nassau QF 17:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
If BOJ is working today, a buy of USD/JPY at 1.058 might be good.
They promised that they wont let it drop below 1.05 so they might step in quick to push it up above 1.065 or higher.
That's what I'm hoping at least.
Keep in mind that I'm a newb at Forex.

Mtl JP 17:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GEP, how about a 1:1rr long dlryen at market ?

Dallas GEP 17:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello Friends Trying to identify some SAFE trades for 20-30 PIPS with risk of same but quite frnakly I don't see them presently unless I am missing something.

What are your views on this????

Chambery FR JFB 16:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Quebec YQB 16:49 GMT January 22, 2004
Yes I am :-) My scenario (middle term) is that : on the daily, we are in the wave IV... and we are are beginning wave 3 of this wave IV, that could well go up to the 1.30ish before resuming downtrend for wave V... Of course, just my very humble opinion... I would say that target be the 38.2 Fib from 1.3803 to 1.2145 @1.2780... GT and GL à la belle Province :-)

Quebec YQB 16:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone going long USD/CHF at present levels?

beijing road 16:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Correction to :beijing road 16:39 GMT January 22, 2004
Even though I do not think last high of eur will be taken out soon, better keep going with the trend until my stop is hit.
Take a break and see u all later.

beijing road 16:39 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Even though I do not think last high of eur will not be taken out, better keep going with the trend until my stop is hit.
Take a break and see u all later.

beijing road 16:36 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR and cable probably made daily low already, so trail stop to 1.2620.

Brisbane 16:31 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Bird flu scare prompts Australian alert
Australian authorities are closely monitoring the bird flu epidemic in Asia.

Florida 16:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks London. I'll start over there and, hopefully,, work my way over here ;-)

Ldn 16:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
The Bank of Canada cut its 2004 growth forecast by a whopping half-percentage point to 2.75 percent on Thursday, with the weaker U.S. dollar acting as a drag on domestic growth

Gothenburg XON 16:04 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
To me it looks like EUR/GDP has some support @ 0,6885....

GA TJ 16:03 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML

I think 1.8370 might be wishful thinking. But I will be stubborn and hold out for it. Otherwise we will get a run up here and I will catch the next opportunity.

Gothenburg XON 16:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Anybody trading EUR/GBP on the forum?

ICT ML 15:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I mean my ultimate, maximum target for any deeper correction on cable will be a test of my weekly channel it broke out of, and that line is going to be around 1.7250-1.7300 in a few weeks time projection.......if the patterns hold true, that is going to happen before any strong moves above 1.9000 IMHO.....just a big picture look ahead is all.

Mumbai jay 15:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 1534 GMT.. You mean 1.8250 or 1.7250?

ICT ML 15:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
TJ....cable is in a bull flag inside an hourly channel....I think at the end of the day we will get an opportunity to buy it at 1.8370 bid if it doesn't breakout of this flag in this little rise here......fwiw

GA TJ 15:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Well that was interesting. Closed Cad Long for 19 Pips. Now looking at Short. Entered Euro long 1.2675 w Stop now at B/E. Entered Aussie long 7452 w Stop at B/E. Missed the Cable entry

Will sit back for a while


beijing road 15:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML: Right, 70 level is much better. Friday is often crazy like monkey==chinese new year.

London England 15:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Florida,... Its best to use the "Help" forum, in the list on the left hand side of this page.. (Under Free Forums)

ICT ML 15:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Road.....I hope we get so lucky as to get to buy it @ 1.8370 bid.....that would be icing on the cake IMHO.......

new highs on Friday, than maybe sell off again on Monday towards 1.7250.....LOL (it could happen)...it is a long shot, but it could happen.

Florida 15:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Gentlemen: I've traded futures/options in the past and I'd like to make the switch to Forex. My current job (one of those stupid 9 to 5 things) inhibits me from watching the markets. Currently, I am 'studying' the very early trading formations in the Euro/US$ on an hourly time scale and I'm starting to 'see' a few patterns during that time. I'm developing a method where I can place a complete order with an entry, limit, and stop order for a complete trade so I don't have to watch the chart. I'd put the order in before work and return after work to see how things worked out. I'm open to any advice, ideas, or suggestions about trading this way, the currency pair, or Forex in general. I thank you for your time.

Good Trading To All

Nassau QF 15:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I don't know beijing road.
Don't forget the Bin Laden announcement at 11am :)

beijing road 15:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Buy cable at 1.8380-1.8410 maybe is a good bet .

NYC 15:08 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Dec leading indicators _0.2%, as expected.

Moscow Hawk 15:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
So far idea to short EUR/USD at 1.2740-75 with stop above the zone or at entry has worked pretty well and to be frank I expect to see new lows for the day in this pair.

beijing road 15:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
US data out?

Nassau QF 15:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD analysis from censored:

"GBP/USD - went to as high as 1.8475, but stalls temporarily. We still see a chance of a retracement of part of recent gains, but if the currency takes out the 1.8500 swing level, then the uptrend will likely go through the 1.8578 top. Barring that event however, there is still a small chance of a corrective decline to 1.8200 before the upcycle resumes in earnest. . . . . . . . "

Ldn 15:03 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading scandal deepens for NAB
SCRUTINY of National Australia Bank's rogue trading scandal has escalated, with the corporate watchdog joining four other bodies already investigating the loss of up to $600million in a series of disastrous currency deals.
The Australian Securities & Investments Commission launched a formal inquiry yesterday into possible breaches of the Corporations Act by "employees involved in foreign exchange options trading".

Bernie Fraser, a former Reserve Bank governor, yesterday urged banks' boards to ensure they understood complex derivative products such as currency options.

"Derivatives can be a bit like electricity: they can be very helpful but in the wrong hands they can be pretty bloody dangerous as well," he said
fridays press

Ldn 14:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GV1 that would cut the Deficit , it could be what Snow has been talking about , when he said he has got ways of cuting the defiict.

london p 14:54 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
euro gbp and chf all bounced perfectly of there hourly up trend lines lets see if they hold again

Helsinki iw 14:51 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Wild swings on political news tend to retrace fairly quickly
oftentimes. Personally can´t see how Osama´s capture would
influence the value of the dollar, as he must be pretty well
isolated from his troops both in practice and financially.
Then again it might not be this rumour that moved the dollar.

Global-View 14:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GVI 14:44 GMT January 22, 2004
Does the Osama rumor have to do with this

MEDIA ADVISORY
Department of the Treasury to Announce Joint Action with Saudi Arabia in
the Financial War on Terror

Treasury Secretary John Snow today will announce a joint United States action with Saudi Arabia in the financial war on terror. The announcement will be followed by a briefing by officials from the Department of the Treasury, Department of State and the Saudi Arabian government. Today’s joint action with Saudi Arabia is another important step in our ongoing war against terrorism and terrorist financing. The briefing will be an on the record, on camera briefing.

WHAT: Announcement and Briefing

WHEN: 11:00 AM EST

CT DB 14:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
osama was caught 6 months ago and has been in solitary confinement, he will be shown to the world as newly captured down the bush election straight (LOL)

Ldn 14:47 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
He just could be this time , its gettinga bit nippy where he is needs some hot soup

Nassau QF 14:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I feel sorry for any tall skinny guys with beards.
The US and UK probably has dozens in custody :)

Nassau QF 14:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I feel sorry for ant tall skinny guys with beards.
The US and UK probably has dozens in custody :)

GA TJ 14:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ah yes. The OBL rumor. If I had a dollar everytime I heard that rumor I would not have to trade or work for that matter. But then again one of these days it will be true.

Geneva 14:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Even the rumor is true, So what?

Nassau QF 14:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Third week in a row.

Geneva 14:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Even the rumor is true, So what?

nyc jk 14:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Bin Laden has been captured more times than Boris Yeltsin has died!

Nassau QF 14:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Does he keep getting loose???

Nassau QF 14:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
LOL! Another week, another Bin Laden capture!!!

To BA 14:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
TJ
Well ...I took Euro long at 8:00 (am - est)...didn't take the profit (I'm trading with a trailing stop) and @#@! !!! - just got stoped...(-25)

LONDON RB 14:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
rumour doing the rounds in london bin laden been captured..f.w.i.w.

Tallinn viies 14:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
rumour Osama captured

LDN SAM 14:39 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Anybody hearing an upcoming anouncement by Saudi Arabia?

sf cc 14:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
nh - Thanx for the insights. Pretty much confirms that Easy Al will stay pat for 2004 then. States-wise, the picture could have been much worse, as constitutionally they're supposed to run balanced budgets but have managed to sell longer-term bonds to meet operating expenses.

Ldn 14:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Market News reports that ECB sources have not ruled out solo intervention

GA TJ 14:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
BA

Missed Euro and Cable this morning. Was making coffee when the move hit. Oh well. Snagged 22 from Aussie - it was delayed behing the the other two. Currently waiting to get lond Euro @ 1.2680 with Stop @ 1.2650. 1.2650 might indicate a intraday trend change. Cable @ 1.8350 with stop @1.8320. The latter possibly indicating an intrday trend change. These numbers are subject to drift upwards based on market movement. Looking strongly at getting long the Canadian here with a Stop @ 1.2980

Thats it for now

Livingston nh 14:24 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
sf cc - I don't see a growth industry for jobs that would produce anywhere near the 200k level - for the five years up to 2003 the individual states had been major source of employment (particularly education) but the deficits are just starting to force state firings// the weekly claims figures continue to show manufacturing job losses which belies the pundits who see a brighter picture

To BA 14:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ - did you take the profit already? (I suppose you're long on EURO and GBP)

To BA 14:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Is Euro going to go up already !?! Come on...

sf cc 14:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
nh - you put out a good reminder some time ago that the continueing claims would be dropping sharply, as the extension of unemployment benefits beyond 6 mths would not be renewed. I'm just wondering.. since this has been a more than atypical 'recovery', the forecasting gurus who tell us that claims of <350K is equivalent to 200K jobs a month may be barking up the wrong tree again - in the sense that anyone who has a job is likely glad to have one and not liable to just jump ship easily, thereby reducing the number of claims due to 'frictional' unemployment.

london cam 14:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
viies many thanks. Let's hope they're smart GL GT

Livingston nh 14:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw - don't believe the hype -treas sec Snow may think the employment figures are anomalous but the longer term unemployed are the big problem - weekly claims just released show that 22 states had increased claims of more than 1,000 (9 of these states above 5000) while only 4 had decreased claims of more than 1,000 (none more than 5,000) -- Congress has not approved an extension of temporay benefits program // continuing claims rose 17,000 in the current week and is only 220,000 less than last year (the long term folks in the program Congress did not extend are higher by 260,000)

Leading indicators at 10 est should only show positives in building permits, stock market and interest rates - indicator could be negative (-.2)

Melbourne Qindex 13:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 13:56 GMT January 22, 2004
GBP/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.8126 // 1.8157 ... 1.8218, 1.8249 ... 1.8310 ... 1.8372, 1.8402 ... 1.8464, 1.8494 // 1.8525 ...

Gothenburg XON 13:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD on the knife's edge 1.27....

Tallinn viies 13:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
london cam 13:52 - yes, city flashed decent euro selling by the names called "smar tmoney"
fwiw

HK statestreet 13:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

london cam 13:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 13:49 GMT January 22, 2004

smart money selling - usd, or euro. guess you mean the latter

Kaunas DP 13:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Nassau QF 13:50 GMT
sound trade

melbourne farmacia 13:51 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML - 1.8465 gbp/usd is one of my major projection levels from 1.6565 base. On the break, 1.8603 should be printed.
just shorted at that fig for quick pips fwiw.

Nassau QF 13:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Is any one besides me shorting GBP/USD?
If so, what are your targets?
I opened a short at 1.8464

Tallinn viies 13:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
IB talks: smart money is selling at the mom

Melbourne Qindex 13:47 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:58 GMT January 22, 2004
USD/CHF : The upper barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2464 // 1.2495 and the lower barrier is positioning at 1.2279 // 1.2310. The critical point of my daily is located at 1.2341.


... 1.2279 // 1.2310, 1.2341 ... 1.2403 ... 1.2464 // 1.2495 ... 1.2557 ... 1.2618 ...

Melbourne Qindex 13:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 13:45 GMT January 22, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2463 ... 1.2558 // 1.2589, 1.2621 ... 1.2684, 1.2715, 1.2745 ... 1.2810 // 1.2841 ...

Tartu kuues 13:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR is running out of steam

bne rk 13:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Statestreet,
Try http://www.mfr.com/Extra/Calendar/MFRUSCalendar.htm
GL

Tor Pumpkin 13:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
MPR @ 15:30 GMT.

Stockholm za 13:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD .. At the moment .... fwiw......
~728= EV
~660= GV
~705-:-682 on Key
64,7% bullish over todays Range, with full capacity for ~793
S2 = ~578
Happy trades.....

dc CB 13:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Re: USD/CAD. What time does the BOC release its Monetary Policy Report.
thanks

HK statestreet 13:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
yes the number where i can find those infomation?

dc fxq 13:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
U.S. CONTINUING CLAIMS FALL TO 3.21M, LOWEST SINCE 9/01

Global-View 13:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GVI 13:32 GMT January 22, 2004
Weekly jobless claims 341K, -1k

ICT ML 13:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
high risk strategy...buy cable 1.8450, 1.8400, 1.8350, 1.8500 for potential 1.8815 soon.........

Eilat Dolphin 13:31 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
NUMBER ?

Melbourne Qindex 13:30 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 13:30 GMT January 22, 2004
USD/JPY : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 106.22 // 106.38 and the upper barrier is expected at 107.45 // 107.60.


... 106.22 // 106.38, 106.53, 106.68, 106.83, (106.99), 107.14, 107.29, 107.45 // 107.60 ...

HK statestreet 13:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
where can i find all those usa data when it come out? Thanks for this info.

beijing road 13:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies : but if new high is seen, i will buy into deep.LOL

Buenos Aires Argenfx 13:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
News about US unemployment ? Thanks & GT.

beijing road 13:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies : Thanks. I also expect double top at 1.2880 level. and will book prifit around 1.2850-1.2880 level if it is seen.

prague mark 13:25 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
which pair will outperform down correction
eur/usd or cable - TIA

Tallinn viies 13:21 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 12:54 - no, I dont think so. I think euro will start drop soon. at least I dont believe we gonna see new high

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ,
I must say thanks for your input about trending
very important to me. txs

Istanbul exx 13:11 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD seems to have a good support at 1.2700 Can it brake that level?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
TEST.

beijing road 12:54 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies : I am wondering if eur can take last high 1.2880 within this week, whats your view plz? thks.

Hong Kong nt 12:51 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Happy Chinese New Year to all. Have a healthy and profitable Year of Monkey...

beijing road 12:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
dc fxq : It is because of my tight stop. If it is good, I buy into
1.2650-1.27 level . If it is bad, maybe I can buy into daily new high.

Tallinn viies 12:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
dc fxq 12:44 - yes it hasbeen trend but hasnt influenced too much (positively)

dc fxq 12:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
And why not if the data is "good"? That has been the pattern in recent months.

beijing road 12:41 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Will heavily buy EUR/USD for quick money if us data is bad for .

GVI john 12:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2710…$/yen 106.50
DJIA -1 pts… 10-yr 4.03%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI. For info contact: [email protected]

Nairobi, Kenya Jk 12:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
OECD chief economist Cotis says further euro rise will require ECb to do fx intervention and to cut rates as last resort.

Aden PK 12:24 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 12:18 GMT January 22, 2004
Thks. Pls educate me about the time of Trichet and Issing speeches also, which I could not find due to hurry. I read those can also likely to move the market.

GA TJ 12:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
22Jan 13:30 USD Initial Claims
22Jan 15:00 USD Leading Indicators

Aden PK 12:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 11:54 GMT January 22, 2004
excuse my ignorance. but which report and atwha time pls? GLGT

Tallinn viies 12:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2 11:34 GMT - I dont know your risk appetite.
I would buy it here @ 1,2710. stop uder 1,2630 if you need stop.
I dont usually use stops...
target at least 1,28

PA dessi 12:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: According to my analysis based on weeklies and crosses, seems this week corrects the previous one, unless we see a nice engulfing on Friday. So, lets not get confused, next big movement will be downward for sub 1.20. Guess, sell the eur babe is a good r/r opportunity. IMVHO> GL+GT

melbourne farmacia 12:09 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Closed Aud/usd short for 15 pips as euro was moving up. We could expect 0.7825 if 0.7780 breaks ( or double top ? )

GA TJ 11:54 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Looks like the USD wants to drift around until Initial Claims comes out. That report will probably be irrelevant. By that I mean the Euro and Cable want to go up so no matter what the number is the Euro and Cable will probably go up.

GA TJ 11:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Looks like the USD wants to drift around until Initial Claims comes out. That report will probably be irrelevant. By that I mean the Euro and Cable want to go up so no matter what the number is the Euro and Cable will probably go up.

ICT ML 11:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
TJ...just experience with it....she has to "TEST" everything..like my wife..LOL ..cable is a speculators pair.....so next buy sig I get, will be for the throat.

GA TJ 11:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML

That Cable thing, was it Super Trader, Super Hope or Super Conviction? I agree with you, I think. For me I am not sure if I am that good, that hopeful or that stubborn. :).

No ositions yet today

Sydney2 11:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies
could you please suggest me a stop/loss level for euro long at 1.2740?

Moscow Hawk 11:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD has just bounced from 1.2740-75 zone I indicated as possible selling zone if above 1.27. But it is crucial for the euro to hold below 1.28 for position to make sense and I would suggest to place stop above the zone or to entry.

So far EUR/USD has repeated the last autumn fluctuations. Then it fell fast from 1.1860 to 1.1380 and very fast returned back above 1.1860 and it indicated resumption of uptrend. Last week we have seen fast move from 1.29 to 1.2340 and this week back above 1.27
In first case move above 1.17 was crucial and week closed around 1.1770-00. It is still dubious will the same pattern be repeated but it is not bad to bear it in mind.

Good luck

ICT ML 11:23 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I'm sure you guys all know that cable is going to test 1.8575 sometime soon (next few sessions) right?.....another one of those bet the farm trades ....LOL

beijing road 11:23 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
raised EUR/USD stop to 1.2570now.

Sydney2 11:21 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
longed euro at 1.2740, not a good entry, I think so.

Sydney2 11:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
possible for an euro further up tonite?

MELBOURNE nikname 11:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
A break now below .7740 and it is dangerous being long.

Only a close today above .7750 makes me bullish from current levels.

beijing road 11:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
this time i use 4h SAR to trail stop for cable.

GA TJ 11:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
That should be is NOT follwing

saloniko 2004 nk..1.40 11:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning..


Likely area for me to Buy again USD/CHF is 1.2222-1.1888 area..


Have a nice day!

nk

GA TJ 11:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone notice that the AUDUSD is following the GBPUSD and EURUSD. Opppotunity to long the AUDUSD or warning for a short term pullback for the others? Or is AUDUSD out of steam?

???

beijing road 11:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL : Sorry, cable is 300pips now. I am waiting for it to retrace and raise stop again to that low.

Tallinn viies 10:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2 10:54 - short??? I said buy on every dip

Melbourne Qindex 10:56 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:58 GMT January 22, 2004
USD/CHF : The upper barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2464 // 1.2495 and the lower barrier is positioning at 1.2279 // 1.2310. The critical point of my daily is located at 1.2341.


... 1.2279 // 1.2310, 1.2341 ... 1.2403 ... 1.2464 // 1.2495 ... 1.2557 ... 1.2618 ...

ICT ML 10:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
swiss and euro are paused here at some loose hourly channel tops I just found......might soon close my swiss short if it don't get through next try...its at 1.2295 area

Sydney2 10:54 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies
short euro?

MELBOURNE nikname 10:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
1.2775-85 is critical resistance. A break and close above here will see 1.3000 come into play

Gen dk 10:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tallinn viies 10:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Reuters: ECB monthly bulletin - gradual firming ok

clear sigal for us buy as much as you can :)


fwiw

beijing road 10:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
For EUR/usd, my stoploss is at 1.2530(+60pips),cable is at 1.8250 now(+400pips).

slv sam 10:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
bought more euro here for 1.30 soon.GT

ICT ML 10:50 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
might have to raise my limits on the gbp longs .....

beijing road 10:48 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL 09:48 GMT January 22, 2004
beijing road 09:38 GMT January 22, 2004
If you don’t mind me asking how many pips behind the real price do you keep your stop loss as an average?

Atually I use "Dow theory"(new low and new high) to adjust the stop based on the 8h ,sometimes daily chart. If 200pips floating profit already is make, I would like to lock in small pips profit and let the profit run.But at the begining , i keep tight stoploss.It only works well on crazy market.


Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:47 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ok. I follow this trend because that is must. :-)

GA TJ 10:41 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
raden_masandi

I am not an expert trader so take this with that in mind. I also try to grab 20 to 40 PIPs multiple times per day. IMO the weekly chart is not relevent to this type of trading. My routine is as follows.

1) Check the daily chart for any reversal candles. 2) Get trend of the 60 min chart, 3) trade the 30 min chart. 15 min chart will confuse me and the 5 min chart will cost me. I have no idea what to do with the 1 min chart.

Didn't get my ugly but outa bed early enough to catch this last move. Oh well. There well be another.

TJ

Moscow Hawk 10:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY is again testing crucial 106.30-60. Dollar looks vulnerable to further losses and good chance it will be broken. As for the possible intervention think the best way to do it was at higher levels two days ago to push the dollar above 108 and to change the technical picture. But on the contrary they allow the rate to close at the day’s low and to increase pressure downside. I expect no intervention on current levels.

Moscow Hawk 18:23 GMT January 20, 2004
There are very interesting developments in USD/JPY front. Eventually USD has sunk below 107.15 and I expect acceleration of downside in this pair soon. Inability of USD to hold 106.30-60 zone will confirm the USD weakness and open again 105.75-00 for the test. Moreover if USD will fall to the last indicated zone I would not be surprised to see the test of 105 by the end of the week or early next week.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:39 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I hope not get answer,"raden..you must wait and see !!". LOL
That's my step of thinking before make decision, maybe usefull for you.
yeah...I still do live research/testing system directly until now.
I note often get the specific situation/signal for my learning.

honest is the key..include in trade/analisis/result. right? I don't hide behind my self.

okay.. happy trade. !!!

FRA 10:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Looks like jobless claims and leading indicators will be dramatically worse than expected.Also Kodak firing a lot of employees.

Gen dk 10:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Rivonia PipPirate 10:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/$ bouncing between trendlines of this up-leg with almost surgical precision...FWIW

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 10:26 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I get confuse with the "trend".
In my opinion trending depend on variable : time frame, far of movement.
If I trade to get 30 pips-50 pips only with stp 30-50 pips too.
analisis like this :
daily candle formation say dark cloud after strong up.
weeklycandle formation say engulfing bullish after up trend so far.
hourly chart make bullish divergence after down sharp
30 minutes chart no information
15 minutes chart say bearish divergence after up 70 pips
5 minutes chart say rsi at 50
1 minutes chart rsi at 85 after up 20 pips

anybody can help me get conclusion what position must I take to follow the trend? which trend I must follow?

FRA 10:26 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Being long GBP is the best trade. High UK interest rates, lowest inflation and unemployment, and UK is apart from China one of the fastest growing economies in the world. For the economy Blair did a brilliant job.

slv sam 10:25 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
london cam 10:22 GMT /
be sure BOJ agents are now in the market! may be some big boys who are watching this forum can give us their thinking!GT

london cam 10:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:18 GMT January 22, 2004
We can all understand BOJ aims in supportting the USD, however, the USD just took another bashing, so I think it most unlikely that BOJ intervened when you felt they did

Ga Lee 10:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I believe 105 was the BOJ's latest alarm level..could be a bit lower now tho..a controlled drop as it were :-)

slv sam 10:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
london cam 10:11 GMT/
do not get confused! Japanese officials just want slow yen appreciation not few hundreds pips moves every week..this means continued support for the US$.IMHO.GT

dc fxq 10:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:06 GMT January 22, 2004
price action tells us BOJ intervening in the last few moments.IMHO.GT

.... are you serious?

london cam 10:11 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:06 GMT January 22, 2004
price action tells us BOJ intervening in the last few moments.IMHO.GT

Confused by your post! I would have thought if BOJ intervened the USD would rise not drop?

Calabash TarHeel 10:08 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello

Anyone have any thoughts about where to short lb/$.

TIA
Gl/GT

slv sam 10:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
price action tells us BOJ intervening in the last few moments.IMHO.GT

Ldn 10:03 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone see intervention on yen blow 106 ?

Gen dk 10:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

slv sam 09:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
let us meet $/y at 105.50 soon!GT

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:56 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Road.
you are right. I agree. thanks.

sarasota jf 09:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
there you have clear difference between trading with trend and agst trend - 15 points down and 50 up

Miami OMIL 09:48 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
beijing road 09:38 GMT January 22, 2004
If you don’t mind me asking how many pips behind the real price do you keep your stop loss as an average? (/;-> tia

beirut jb 09:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
FWIW $/cad clear break of 130, 12950 is first target

JKT ABCD 09:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Beijing Road
Good call on GBP/CHF

MELBOURNE nikname 09:43 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Thanks
KNEZ

MELBOURNE nikname 09:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Fair enough mate,
If thats the case you better milk this trend for all it is worth,
because when the market goes back to normal, you will get killed. Do not fall in love with your position!! Well not in normal rangy markets anyway. But I do accept that in trends you will make censored loads if you are disciplined

Belgrade Knez 09:41 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE nikname 09:40 GMT January 22, 2004

yahoo messenger
call [email protected]

MELBOURNE nikname 09:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
guys any other live FX chat room out there,
as posting is too slow and rigid.

We need a live chat room to kick but.!!

Sell eur @ 1.2720 today guys if seen!

beijing road 09:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE nikname : I like to trade based on my stupid "endless trend" assumption.If the market goes my way,I just follow the trend until my adjusted stoploss is hit.

Ina- mr.co'z 09:36 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ops my stop done !! :(

slv sam 09:36 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
CAD $ just started to strengthen..this is a bad sign for US$ against the euro!GT

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:33 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
my suggest is :
hope not thinking for buy eur/usd now (1.2660). too risky if buy here, so if my this emotion selling attack your position suddenly, you get the position buy at antene.
maybe can be used by you. (IMVHO).

MELBOURNE nikname 09:31 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
road
The trend is your friend, but as I am a technician, I can not ut trade on euro here. I will be selling euro @ 1.2720 with S/L @ 1.2755 T/P @ 1.2555

beijing road 09:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE nikname : yes, I see eur still in buy into dip mode. In case of my risk management, I would like to add new EUR long position after data comes out.

beijing road 09:26 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
But still expect eur consolidate btw 1.2650 -1.2550 now.

MELBOURNE nikname 09:25 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
road, it seems that no matter how good the data out of the states is, ASIAN central bank dollar sell-orders are activated.

beijing road 09:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
If today's data out from US is far from expectation, the market's movement will be very interesting, and probably will decide EUR's direction this week.

MELBOURNE nikname 09:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
hi there guys

1.2985 and 1.3060 seems triggers now on cad?

A break now below 134.75 in eur/yen will see critical support at 134.30 tested

Miami OMIL 09:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Good calls Raden keep it up. Sure going to miss you when you start working at a bank. (/;-> GT

Brisbane L 09:21 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
DAVOS: Qatari Oil Min Says OPEC Won't Price Oil In Euros
live on CNBC now

Ina- mr.co'z 09:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:15 GMT January 22, 2004
hi buaya...darat..
yes i was shorted 1.2650 wti stop at 1.2665..gl

Melbourne Qindex 09:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The mid-point reference of 1.2553 - 1.2685 is 1.2619.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:15 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ina co_z
hi "buaya buntung"..(LOL).
my suggest is placing sell again although price give you change good level at 1.2660.lets say thanks for this level max.
tell them in Bandung to sell eur/usd now, but don't forget to place stp with your risk management.today will get "tsunami" in your monitors. LOL

Melbourne Qindex 09:14 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:25 GMT January 22, 2004
EUR/USD : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 1.2553 - 1.2685. The upper barrier is positioning at 1.2671 // 1.2707 and the lower barrier is expected at 1.2524 // 1.2560.


... 1.2524 // 1.2560, 1.2597, 1.2634, 1.2671 // 1.2707 ... 1.2818 ...

ICT ML 09:13 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
man...her majesty just has a death grip on that 30 min ema20...might be buying from there later if she won't let go......

beirut jb 09:11 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok 09:08 GMT

welll $/cad found support again at 130 but hourly just reversed to short

so I expect 130 to break


GL

FRA 09:09 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
What is needed for a stronger dollar and a stronger US economy is not a change in FED policy but regime change in the USA.

SA Bok 09:08 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
That USDCAD bit on the wild side 1.3000-50 area , 50 pip swings and very quickly ... GL all

beirut jb 09:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
hi traders

hope u r safe in this made euro

I expect it to range here or drop again

GL GT

Ina- mr.co'z 09:04 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:55 GMT January 22, 2004
yes got support at 1.2620 - * 1.2560..

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:02 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML.
no..not single candle...but if single candle only to go there..who know? :-)

Miami OMIL 08:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML a bit of pressure going down the 50 ma might not hold the down fall. (/;->

ICT ML 08:56 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Raden, you mean a single candle...are you SURE?

Ldn 08:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Although the U.S. money market isn't pricing in a rise in Fed funds rate until the middle of August, the Fed could start shifting market expectations in that direction when it meets next week. "If they were to remove that 'considerable period' (from their statement) this would give the dollar a little boost," Rabobank's Ferridge said, referring to the dovish comment that the Fed has used in the past for suggesting how long rates will remain unchanged.
rts.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
there will be wide ranging down hourly candle to get 1.2574

ICT ML 08:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
swiss and euro mission accomplished, now to see where the candle closes and if there is a good buy signal in the next few bars or not

Miami OMIL 08:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
For eur/usd the pressure level it has been riding could be broken around 1.2625-20 as long as the top (1.2680-1.2700) holds the upward movement then the logical thing is to go down from here. Fib retracement is updated now to 1.2550-55, 1.2505-10 and 1.2465-70. The support is at the moment at 1.2570-75 and 1.2520-25 IMHO. (/;-> GL GT

Ina- mr.co'z 08:41 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
SA Bok 08:37 GMT January 22, 2004
Guys just an observation - GBPUSD since 1.7850 the Mid BB has held all the way up here .. if we break Currently at 1.8323 we could see 1.8280 at least ... IMVHO

yes with you...break 1.8325..going to 1.8275 ! imo

ICT ML 08:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
euro and swiss getting closer and closer to 30 min ema50....the key is to let it bounce off before going long, as it could easily head lower to the ema200, 1.2570 area and 1.2475 respectively...

SA Bok 08:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Guys just an observation - GBPUSD since 1.7850 the Mid BB has held all the way up here .. if we break Currently at 1.8323 we could see 1.8280 at least ... IMVHO

Athens 08:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Interesting upward move in USD/CAD, very nicely along the new model direction since Wednesday. The "buy on dips" strategy worked well (re my 16:01 Wednesday).

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
let it show in your monitors 1.2629 (eur/usd)

MONACO OGA 08:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 22/01
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2660), 70 pips higher than yesterday opening. The pair consolidated around 1,2625, with european officials not against a strong EUR but against too much volatility. Mr WELLINK stated that the appreciation of the EUR against the USD was not excessive and that there was no need to adopt specific measures on the next G7 meeting.
For today we will still be looking to build up long positions on retracements to 1,2600-20 for a short term target at 1,2760. We still believe in the uptrend, our target remains at 1,3500

Data out today:
CAN CPI M/M Dec expected 0,10% 12.00 GMT
US jobless claims expected 347K 13.30 GMT
US leading indicators expected 0,2% 15.00 GMT

Gold around 410,00 , with WTI February at 34,75.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 106,80) still hedging lower in USD general weakness. Traders still looking concerned of BOJ action, support currently stands at 106,50 while resistance should now appear above 107,20.
EUR/JPY (currently 135,30) reached our target at 135,50, next upside resistance at 136 while support remains around 134,50.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8360) is looking to test 1,8500 once 1,8400 is broken, with the BOE minutes mentioning a probable continuation of the weakening of the US currency for 2004.
EURGBP (0,6900) hedged lower yesterday but was unable to break 0,6880. We still favour the downside for the medium term.

Have a nice day,
Olivier

ICT ML 08:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
RADEN MAS....well done friend. You are the MAN....LOL

Melbourne Qindex 08:24 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:28 GMT January 22, 2004
USD/CHF : My 22-day cycle indicates that the market has a tendency to move between 1.2340 - 1.2516. The odds are good to take a long position at the current level (1.2355). The trading reference of my 22-day reference is as follow :-

... // 1.2340*, 1.2428, 1.2516*, 1.2604, 1.2692 // ...


Melbourne Qindex 02:17 GMT January 22, 2004
GBP/USD (22-day) : The mid-point reference of the barrier at 1.7752 // 1.7908 is 1.7830. The upper barrier of my 22-day cycle is positioning at 1.8531 // 1.8686.


... 1.7284 ... 1.7596 ... 1.7752 // 1.7908, 1.8063, 1.8219, (1.8375), 1.8531 // 1.8686 ...


Melbourne Qindex 22:15 GMT January 21, 2004
EUR/USD : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2221* // 1.2300, 1.2378*, 1.2457, 1.2535*, 1.2614 // 1.2692* ....


slv sam 08:23 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
statestreet/
on dips and be patient!GT

Ldn 08:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Talk on newswire investigation into forex losses. is weighing on the AUD being higher than thought Japanese players easing their position v yen

Belgrade Knez 08:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   

Raden
connect to your yahoo messenger.
Cheers

HK statestreet 08:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
sam should I buy euro then?

tassie judda 08:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
absolute nasty move on short for majors, turbulent times ahead, cheer on usd, happy shorts............

slv sam 08:17 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
i learned this simple lesson: if you want not to loose money do not sell the euro!GT

SA Bok 08:17 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Charts seem to be calling it well ...

HK statestreet 08:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Is euro going down?

Melbourne Qindex 08:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

sarasota jf 08:14 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
some funds selling eurusd and talk cb offers just above here

Ina- mr.co'z 08:13 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:49 GMT January 22, 2004
Ina co_z
hi buaya air..
you don;'t follow this counting down of eur/usd now?

- gelo sia maneh..yes i counter eur/usd, seen hourly top at 1.2700..., what do think ?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
just my opinion (rumour).
seen eur/usd chart get difficult situation now. seen no have time again to stay there.
I predict today movement of eur/usd will give me key signal for big pips.

Ldn 08:09 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:59
any level you recommend selling aud today thx

SA Bok 08:09 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Also leaving BOJ Stop Entries orders just above market ...
Think they may do a weekly pump up soon ... get 50 pips on a few lots and run for the Pub ... LOL

Gong Xi Fa Cai
Xin Xiang Shi Chen

Good Trades to all

SA Bok 08:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
1 hour charts looking Bearish ? TIA

EURUSD
GBPUSD

Thoughts Appreciated

Alicante RTN 08:04 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
eurusd pulled back slightly from 1st touch of 61.8 % fibo retracement level. Will shortly make new attmpt which - if succesful (likely) - will open up the topside for both eurusd and cable.

If trying the short side, good r/r with s/r at 90.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
gold will be carried to 402-398 caused by drop of eur/usd and seen Aussie will down too.(IMO)

Moscow Mishanya 07:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
good morning, forum! is it a good idea to sell EUR from here?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:56 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
seen gbp/usd and eur/usd will move down together from nice number of gbp/usd at 1/8380 as the top. LOL

Stockholm za 07:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
fwiw ... the bearish presence on this up move was seen at
~12770/80..... with ~1,2821 ( given )inside the trend pivot....
The time decay equation is unstable..
The panic equation should kick in today...
Happy trades....

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML
step-3 buy gbp/usd exit at 1.8380 was nice done. thanks.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:49 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ina co_z
hi buaya air..
you don;'t follow this counting down of eur/usd now?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:46 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
if you feel have big money..maybe you can againts this counting down.. LOL

ICT ML 07:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Liverpool CE.....I use it as a target, and a rough one at that, some slop either side is allowed. but it rarely just bounces off it, it usually lingers there for a bit, so I can decide then what to do......it is a heads up kind of thing

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:44 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
wow..now Eur/usd is on the key situation for big pips movement.seen ideal for down for get minimal 1.2215 as the first station.
just a joke..now is on the count down to me.

Ina- mr.co'z 07:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
gbp/jpy buy on correction top target at 196.80 ..imo..gl/gt..
haloo andi !!

Liverpool CE 07:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML

I think you mentioned the other day that you use this as a launch for trades. Do you wait for a confirmation of some sort. Here you have decided to buy! Do you take the trade and if it goes through use your stop?

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd. when at 1.2668
you can buy here again to get 1.2690 and exit there.
be carefull when at 1.2693 is very potential as a top and can make down sharply to get 1.2215 area.
you can try stop reverse there

Tokyo Jon 07:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML, that would coincide with my buy levels nicely on the gbpjpy too. have now the pullback to under 195.90 which resets the signals and waiting for the chance. If it closes under 195.60 this hour then the downward trend will kick into effect, but still expecting atleast a visit to 197.30 first

Stockholm za 07:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY ... Today
8747-8714
8681-8671
8628
8585-8575
8542-8509
True ex ~8789-:-8445
happy trades......

ICT ML 07:14 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
might think about buying euro into 1.2635, cable into 1.8300, sell $swiss into 1.2400..all 30 min EMA50 targets due a visit soon

ICT ML 06:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
jf....that is the ultimate carry trade..borrow Yen for 0.001% or whatever it is now, and swap it for GBP and live off the interest, and push the price wherever you want it as well..........can't wait till I can try that stuff...LOL

sarasota jf 06:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ict-ml those guys average over 20 years something between 10-40 % year in and year out - i thought perhaps you could identify what they used as a signal to initiate as im not a gbpyen follower normally - gt today

beijing road 06:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Now I am getting a little bit neverous abt my usd short positions and really wanna book profit even though there is any daily selling signal yet.lol

phils VL 06:36 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hi folks - just returned from a 6 week overseas tour. A happy Lunar NY to all who celebrate it.

eur/usd
just liquidated all med-term long positions near 2day's current high, and now flat. Seems to me market may be attempting to push this pair a little higher for stale bulls to bail out, maybe not. I see any move up will be achieved with much effort and caution, since EZ CBs are closely monitoring to prevent any further "brutal assault".
It is probable that when the next downmove begins, the slide will take it to near 1.15 which is about the 61.8%R from the Sept low of 1.0760 and Jan high of 1.2860 in the next coupla months.
My next move will be to enter shorts below ard 1.2580 for a test of 1.2330 initially.

Gl GT

ICT ML 06:27 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
JF...thanks for the gbp/jpy tip earlier.......Tonight I have a hunch that cable starts off south to support areas before launching above 1.8400.

Euro might try to break the fib at 1.2680, $swiss broke it briefly...so mixed feelings on that set of twins out of the box in London......

sarasota jf 06:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
i always love to read the comments from the fx powerhouses westpac/anz/westlb that people post - i would suggest reading ubs and deutsche that more of the fund managers pay attention too than the also rans of fx - what are the main players reading and seeing that we arent and this information holds alot more value - imo

hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 06:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
farmacia u r the ONE!

Swakopmund Liz 05:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR also at 61.8 retrace of last down movement

Swakopmund Liz 05:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:55 GMT January 22, 2004
Thank you, just wanted to make sure I read your levels correctly. GL & GT ;)

Melbourne Qindex 05:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Swakopmund Liz 05:51 GMT - EUR/USD : The odds are good to open short position.

Bahrain naf 05:52 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Any view on euro/ cad pls ? tks

Swakopmund Liz 05:51 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:32 GMT January 22, 2004
EUR is at top of cycle levels now. Does it mean the probability of going short from here is high?

Chicago ES 05:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hey, if it can happen to Natwest, it can happen to NAB...

Ldn 05:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
NAB unearths audit flaws
The National Australia Bank has identified flaws in its audit and risk-management processes as it investigates why it failed to detect rogue foreign currency options trading that has cost the bank between $185million and $600 million. B

This is quite disgraceful seeing as its Australias largest bank.

Melbourne Qindex 05:32 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:15 GMT January 21, 2004
EUR/USD : 22-Day Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2221* // 1.2300, 1.2378*, 1.2457, 1.2535*, 1.2614 // 1.2692* ....


Melbourne Qindex 05:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:28 GMT January 22, 2004
USD/CHF : My 22-day cycle indicates that the market has a tendency to move between 1.2340 - 1.2516. The odds are good to take a long position at the current level (1.2355). The trading reference of my 22-day reference is as follow :-

... // 1.2340*, 1.2428, 1.2516*, 1.2604, 1.2692 // ...

Sydney Andrew 05:16 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Then probably it must be a good time to buy AUD...while it's 0.77

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
sydney andrew

I think the wide range near term is 0.7350-0.7850. Overall I think we are getting to upper end of the range and I think the emphasis will be on p/taking, covering by longs etc especially b4 G7. I feel a lot of the aud positives are already reflected in the price

Melbourne Qindex 04:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Andrew 04:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Hello everyone,
Any ideas what's gonna happen with AUD in the near future?
My friend reckons it's gonna reach 0.8 USD finally ...

Brisbane L 04:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja will have to see. thanks

Ina- mr.co'z 04:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo Jon 04:13 GMT January 22, 2004
When we see now cross rate jpy playing important role in movement of Euro and Pound. what is your opinion for the matter of this ? thx..

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:28 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane

I am not sure if there will be huge redemptions as int rate differential still greatly in their favour and I am not sure if there are many maturities in the short term. There might be a large number of interest payments though back to Japan that although the number is nowhere near the size of the face value it will still be a significant amount

Brisbane L 04:18 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo Jon that level seems to be talked about a lot noticed that Aud tends to suffer when they start due to the Bond redemption , and they have poured into Aussie bonds over the last year, imagine it to start around early Feb if my memory serves me correctly.
The Guy to ask I suppose is BC.

Tokyo Jon 04:13 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
imo the japs repat wont have major effects on the usdjpy once again this year as BOJ will surely intervene and keep it stable during the repat week. We know that there forex capital has been increased again recently just for this purpose. I wont be suprised to see usdjpy back above 108 in the coming weeks. The long term view is however sideways with a downward pattern and should bottom out around high 103's or low 104's

Ina*- mr.co'z 04:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Morning my Friends !...

"Gong Xi Fat Choi "
Happy new year for all celebrating ...
Hoping us can be Lucky always and get the big profit !!...

Brisbane L 04:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Westpac favors push below 105 in coming months Dlr/Yen
Just wonder anyone who knows when the repatriation back home starts in Japan for book closing.?? and will they be cashing in the Uridashi Bonds

Tokyo Jon 04:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
gbpjpy waiting for the pullback in this hour to buy, entry at 195.90 still waiting for the rise mid term. short term money take profit at 196.30

waterloo newbie 03:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
hi.. good moring everyone..especially to all chinese here.. Happy New Year...Best Luck TO all for this whole year..
BTW, what's the big trend for today.. anyone got some view?

Tokyo Jon 03:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
morning, afternoon, evening all, I'm Back

hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 03:55 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Kung Hei Fat Choi!

Seems everything is being bought against cad at the moment.

beijing road 03:38 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Buy GBP/CHF around 2.26 level for 2.28.2.29and 2.30.

Perth AS 03:30 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
MARKET TALK/AU: Housing Mkt Turning, RBA On Hold - TD

Early signs mounting of downturn in Australian housing market including falling prices, auction clearance rates, finance approvals, says TD Securities chief strategist Stephen Koukoulas. Says this points to RBA rates on hold near term, any signs of more sustained weakening in February/March selling season may spark market talk of RBA rate cuts.
TD Sec.

melbourne farmacia 03:05 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ok sold small amount aud/Usd at 0.7742, stop above 70, open target for now.

Brisbane L 02:59 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Australian farmers will urge the government to walk away from a proposed free-trade agreement with the U.S. unless it includes a "comprehensive" package on agriculture, Peter Corish, president of lobby National Farmers' Federation
APT

Ldn 02:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia ok thanks . think you are correct also.

Ldn 02:43 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
(Reuters) - The blue-chip Dow rose to its highest mark in 22 months on Wednesday after some big financial services companies reported good earnings,

melbourne farmacia 02:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 01:20 GMT January 22, 2004
Ldn - .There's still a correction pattern in the making with 0.7765 being the key .If Aud stays below 0.7765 today, odds suggest possible pull back within my expected daily range of 0.7685 - 0.7765. Need more time for things to pan out.

Brisbane L 02:25 GMT January 22, 2004
Just watching at this stage.

Ldn 02:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex market trying to squeeze last drop of blood out dollar at present , think Athens and BC got it right . back off for now.

belden mb 02:25 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
this might be a good level to short euro/usd @ 1.2673

Brisbane L 02:25 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia saw you closed out your long aud overnight , did you take another long today ? or are you waiting for better levels again cheers.

Quebec YQB 02:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Anyone going long Usd/Cad at present levels?

Melbourne Qindex 02:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 02:19 GMT - Very Cautious! See my page on the analysis of EUR/USD this morning.

Ldn 02:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
more bearish than some (should read)

Ldn 02:19 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Qindex notice in his postings Athens more bearish Euro than some wonder if your in the same thought. tks.

Melbourne Qindex 02:17 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:17 GMT January 22, 2004
GBP/USD (22-day) : The mid-point reference of the barrier at 1.7752 // 1.7908 is 1.7830. The upper barrier of my 22-day cycle is positioning at 1.8531 // 1.8686.


... 1.7284 ... 1.7596 ... 1.7752 // 1.7908, 1.8063, 1.8219, (1.8375), 1.8531 // 1.8686 ...

waterloo newbie 02:11 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
seems buy eur and GBP now..

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
okay. ICT ML.
step -5 was nice done.. and now step-6 for sell at 1.2414 be canceled

ICT ML 02:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
eur/gbp just broke out of hourly channel that appears to be a bull flag......fwiw

Ldn 02:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ANZ senior currency strategist Craig Ferguson;Aud/USD likely to run out of steam so recommends caution going long above 0.7760.

Brisbane L 01:58 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
The National Bureau of Economic Research declared more than two years ago that the last recession began in March 2001, meaning that it fell on President Bush's watch. But the NBER committee that determines recession dates is considering whether to make the date as early as November 2000, when Bill Clinton was president
Wash.P.

Brisbane L 01:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Bris th sad to say agree, if RBA are not careful could bust the economic bubble

Melbourne Qindex 01:40 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bris th 01:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane ..Howdy ..Real Esate is my main biz ..15 years now..The market has more or less died in the Suburbs ...I really think it is personal debt that is causing it ...I am not sure of the exact figure but I think personal debt in oz is up around 130% of household income ...That is a huge increase over the last 10 years or so...So my point is that every little tick up in rates will have a leveraged effect...I think there is going to be a lot of pain in the market over he enxt 3 years..
fwiw Think euro will blow through 1.2680 b4 long...Happy hunting....

Brisbane 01:30 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ACT housing industry 'cooling off'
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) says investment lending figures for last November show a cooling off in the sector in the ACT.

HIA executive director Caroline Lemezina says there has been a 25 per cent fall in Canberra in the number of loans for investment properties.

She says building approvals and home loans for owner occupiers also fell, indicating interest rate rises had an immediate impact.

Ms Lemezina says there is no need for further interest rate rises.

"What we're saying to the Reserve Bank is that the industry is returning to what it wanted and that's more sustainable levels, so there is no need for a further interest rate rise next month," Ms Lemezina said.
ABC.news.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:29 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
step-8: I am curious usd/jpy will be finished at 106.38

Brisbane L 01:21 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
US Snow: Strong Dollar In US National Interest - Radio

Ldn 01:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia Hi , some eg. JPM talk of pull back in aud what are you seeing first cheers.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
aud/usd when at 0.7740
step-7 : buy aud/usd at 0.7742 tgt 0.7762 stp 0.7725

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:17 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
step-5 :sell usd/chf at 1.2373 tgt 1.2350 stp at 1.2439 (bad for r/r but high prob)
step-6 : sell usd/chf at 1.2414 tgt 1.2350 stp at 1.2439

if price have get 1.2350 before give chance 1.2414..so plan sell at 1.2414 be canceled.

Gen dk 01:08 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

melbourne farmacia 01:07 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:01 GMT January 22, 2004
Hello Rafe - i think many guy's were knocked out in some way this week.

Aud/USD looks to be making a move very soon.

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:06 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd when at 1.8338.
step-3 : buy gbp/usd at 1.8338 tgt 1.8380 stp 1.8270
step-4 : buy gbp/usd at 1.8315/05 tgt 1.8415 stp 1.8270

still on the buy signal.

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:04 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
farmacia// did you get my mail mate?

Caribbean! Rafe... 01:01 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
I was stopped out 2 times this week on GBP/JPY with very minor losses thinking that 189.61 was going to be touched..

It moved in a narrow trading range on sunday-monday then took off on monday-tuesday instead from pivot point 191.11.

sunday-monday was a witch hunt to shake out the shorts...IMO

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:00 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
when eur/usd at 1.2662
step-1 : buy eur/usd at 1.2662 tgt 1.2690 stp 1.2620
step-2 : buy eur/usd at 1.2630 tgt 1.2710 stp 1.2620

melbourne farmacia 00:57 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ML - It was a fibo calculation between two major fib's which gave me a series of levels as entry/exit points , hence 1.8370 being one. I do not hold much weight on fib's above 618 retracement as the direction has changed and projections need to be considered. Yesterday i was expecting Gbp to short around 1.8220 as this was a 618 level ( it did for 50 odd pips ) Once gbp bounced back above this fig, the correction is OVER short term at least. GT

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:56 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD UPPER BANDS 1.2650 1.2665 1.2683 1.2698 1.2713 1.2732 1.2761
LOWER BANDS 1.2620 1.2605 1.2587 1.2572 1.2557 1.2539 1.2509



USD/CHF UPPER BANDS 1.2422 1.2437 1.2455 1.2470 1.2484 1.2502 1.2532
LOWER BANDS 1.2393 1.2378 1.2360 1.2346 1.2331 1.2313 1.2283


GBP/USD UPPER BANDS 1.8333 1.8355 1.8382 1.8403 1.8425 1.8451 1.8495
LOWER BANDS 1.8290 1.8268 1.8242 1.8220 1.8198 1.8172 1.8128


GBP/JPY UPPER BANDS 196.06 196.29 196.57 196.80 197.04 197.32 197.78
LOWER BANDS 195.59 195.36 195.08 194.85 194.62 194.33 193.87

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:53 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
San Roque CK 00:35 GMT January 22, 2004
thanks.
ICT ML. why not?
yes...in Amerika session we got the pressure of usd buyers...thanks...give profit to "easy recovery".
Totally... nice in net profit. :-)

hk revdax 00:45 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Kung Hay Fat Choy(wish you get rich) to all fx traders!

GER ad 00:42 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
If EUR/JPY 135.40/50 is clear broken expecting some fireworks but could be false break and correct after much deeper. Take care.

ICT ML 00:37 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning Raden Mas...you ready to make some more $$$$ today?

San Roque CK 00:35 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Good morning to you Raden, GL/GT

Its a good nite for me

ICT ML 00:34 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia...WHICH one?....I missed it, and added to my long at the top thinking it was heading for my fib level @ 1.8400....

You made a nice play then....

melbourne farmacia 00:23 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:41 GMT January 21, 2004
Anyone have a magic # reason for cable to stop @ 1.8370 earlier?

MlL - fibo level mate, got my s/r picked up for quick 100 pip swing.

Ldn 00:22 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EBay Inc.'s (EBAY) profit for the fourth quarter jumped 64% on a 57% increase in revenue

Ldn 00:20 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
EBay's 4Q Profit Rises On Higher Sales EBAY

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:12 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
good morning world.
good morning forum.
good morning all my friends here.

I hope nice day for you today.

Livingston nh 00:10 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
Intraday high on DJIA was 11,908 I think - wild swings between the 12th and 19th Jan

Brisbane L 00:08 GMT January 22, 2004 Reply   
NAB begs for time as sell-off gains pace
National Australia Bank chairman Charles Allen yesterday pleaded for patience from shareholders calling for executive blood, as the bank's market worth dropped another $511 million
the age

 




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The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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