Singapore Won Hung Low 23:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Jockey
Did you sell the NOK/CAD yday?
Fell out of bed.
jocky on the oche 23:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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i consider aud nzd longs a good idea around the 1.1340-50 with 1.1290 stops ,rba next week for a clearer picture
Dallas GEP 23:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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Understood Athens. I think dollar continues to make gains in Asia so I look for Euro to short and USD/CAD to long.
Athens 23:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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Or to put it in other words, GEP, in my market appriach "not buying" something is not equivalent to "go ahead, sell it". Good night all.
GA TJ 23:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Also Cable and Swissy are flirting with my 1st Sup/Res levels. No Orders yet on Swissy. Order to Sell Cable @ 1.8150 if it bounces of Res.
GA TJ 23:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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Gep, I got CAD showing an earlier Sell signal. That said I have an Buy Order @ 1.3320. CAD has a nasty habit of getting an early Sell Signal and bounce off it. Sell Signal looks like it might be completed when it Closes below 1.3270 area.
Melbourne Qindex 23:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 09:47 GMT January 25, 2004
USD/CAD (Weekly Cycle) : The critical point of my weekly cycle is located at 1.3130. The lower barrier is positioning at 1.2845 // 1.2940 and the mid-point reference is 1.2893. The upper barrier is located at 1.3320 // 1.3415 and the mid-point reference is 1.3368. The market rhythm is represented by 95 pips (k=0.009506) and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.2845 - 1.3415. (Suggestion : Maintain a long position when the market is trading above the lower barrier at 1.2845 // 1.2940).
Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2845 // 1.2940, 1.3035, 1.3130, 1.3225, 1.3320 // 1.3415...
Athens 23:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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GEP, in my definition O/B doesn't necessarily imply that a pair will definitely ad imminently backfire, however it does imply that there is a more-than-due risk if buying it there.
Dallas GEP 23:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Athens, perhaps you are right RE: usd/cad but it seemed like it was over bought all day yesterday and it just kept longing.
Athens 23:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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nyc sa, euro 1.2360, swissy 1.2480.
Bergen, Norway Steinar 23:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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nyc sa 23:17 GMT January 29, 2004
could someone tell me what was the low on euro and $/chf today? thnx
euro/chf low 1.5594
$/chf low 1.2478
if i remember correctly
nyc sa 23:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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could someone tell me what was the low on euro and $/chf today? thnx
Sydney Ge11Ja 23:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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Although mindful of a short squeeze in AUD to 0.7650-60 I think AUD will test 0.7530 by Monday. I think a break 0.7480 would be nasty for this very very long market.
Watch tonight in US as end of January has given rise to some wild moves in AUD (in particular end Jan 1999).
Alb Emm 22:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hearing talk of $388 oz for gold (H/S pattern forming
GVI john 22:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION �Far East Open
eur/$ 1.2415�. $/yen 105.90
DJIA 10,510, +42 pts�NASDAQ 2,068, -9 pts
10-yr 4.18%, -1 bp�s
MARKET OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
See GVI...
Athens 22:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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GEP, anything above 1.3290 is inside my first O/B territory for Friday. Just for your reference and good luck anyway.
Melbourne Qindex 22:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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The followings are still valid in Asia session :-
Melbourne Qindex 06:07 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/GBP : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 0.6808 // 0.6879 and the upper barrier is located at 0.6861 // 0.6879. The normal trading range of my daily cycle is 0.6808 - 0.6897.
... 0.6808 // 0.6826, 0.6844, 0.6861 // 0.6879, 0.6897 ...
Melbourne Qindex 08:04 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/CHF : The current expected trading range from my weekly cycle is 1.2492 - 1.2675. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.2327 // 1.2364 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.2621 // 1.2657.
... 1.2327 // 1.2364 ... 1.2437 ... 1.2510, 1.2547, 1.2584, 1.2621 // 1.2657 ... 1.2730 ...
Melbourne Qindex 05:42 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/CAD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.3142 // 1.3173 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.3297 // 1.3328.
... 1.3142 // 1.3173, 1.3204, 13235, 1.3266, 13297 // 1.3328 ... 1.3421 ...
Melbourne Qindex 01:15 GMT January 29, 2004
GBP/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.8079 // 1.8125 and the upper barrier is positioning at 1.8353 // 1.8399.
... 1.8079 // 1.8125, 1.8171, 1.8216, (1.8262), 1.8307, 1.8353 // 1.8399 ...
Melbourne Qindex 00:50 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/JPY : The normal trading range of my daily cycle is 105.07 - 106.31. The upper barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 106.31 // 106.32 and the lower barrier is positioning at 107.07 // 105.69.
... 105.07 // 105.38, 105.69, 106, 106.31 // 106.62 ... 107.24 ...
Melbourne Qindex 00:26 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD : the lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2344 // 1.2375 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2497 // 1.2527.
... 1.2222 ... 1.2283 ... 1.2344 // 1.2375, 1.2405, 1.2436, 1.2466, 1.2497 // 1.2527, 1.2558 ... 1.219 ...
Dallas GEP 22:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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OK XON, maybe I will be on the winning side on this one since I was trying to take it SHORT all day yesterday!!! LOL
Gothenburg XON 22:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dallas, GEP,
I also got in @ 1,3304 first target 1,3350...
Melbourne Qindex 22:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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Spot Gold ; As shown in my monthly cycle charts 403 would offer good resistance. The market has a good chance to tackle the extreme target at 389.1 - 393.8.
Melbourne Qindex 23:57 GMT January 15, 2004
Spot Gold (Monthly Cycle) : The critical level of my monthly cycle is located at 412.3 - 417. The market rhythm of my monthly cycle is represented by 4.7. As shown in my monthly cycle probability chart the market has hit the monthly cycle high around 430.9 and it is now trading below the critical level of 412 - 417. It is likely that the market will consolidate between 403 - 417 for the time being. The odds are good that spot gold will trade in the extreme range of 389.1 - 403 within the remaining period of this month.
Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 389.1 ... 403 // 407.7, 412.3, 417, 421.6, 426.3, 430.9 // 435.6 ...
Dallas GEP 21:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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Just took USD/CAD long from 1.3296 looking for perhaps 1.3340 later.
Alb Emm 21:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD under pressure as USD surges as investors reassess interest rate differential expectations post-FOMC also correction in commodity prices hurting AUD. RBA likely on hold next week AUD's recent gains and low CPI enough to keep rates unchanged
newsw.
Dallas GEP 21:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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BAck in Asia guys. Don't see alot of movement here for awhile. CHOW
Alb Emm 21:10 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dallas GEP Aus is following Euro step for step at moment hoping we see a run down to 122 and should see aud lower also at least 7550 GL
Alb Emm 21:10 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dallas GEP Aus is following Euro step for step at moment hoping we see a run down to 122 and should see aud lower also at least 7550 GL
Dallas GEP 21:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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Thnaks EMM. Right now I am looking for possies to take that are USD Bullish. AUSSIE to me is a sell around .7650 but it just MAY short from here.
Caribbean! Rafe... 21:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Was stopped out at minor profit from last nights [email protected], short order at 1.2548 did not execute.
Alb Emm 20:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dallas GEP perhaps thats why the aud is struggling to get higher
whats you view on that GEP pl
Alb emm 20:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hi Dallas, this has just come on one of the newswires may help ifr
EUR/USD is being slightly bid up into the close, with a pair of US nvestment names seen buying. US real money accounts have been selling into the bounce, and more sellers are seen toward 1.2415/20
Caribbean! Rafe... 20:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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got in late with a euro long from 1.2393, most likely target is 1.2458 (will see good, at least until asia comes online).
Dallas GEP 20:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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Appear to be some SELLERS here around 1.2410. Will do a short here with target of 1.2363. Don't forget them stops however. When in doubt go with the trend.
dc fxq 20:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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Actually I have the Jan low at 1.2335 on 1/19.
Helsinki iw 20:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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Also don�t see the relevance of gold as an indicator, other
than intraday perhaps, EUR/Gold and JPY/Gold have been
pretty much flatlining for months. Over time it may appreciate
if Asian demand for it picks up as wealth increases, but other
than that it is a dollar hedge just. Or has been lately.
USA Biscuit Boy 20:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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That's me done for now. Back next week to cash in. GL and GT all :)
Helsinki iw 20:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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viies, I�d say we are pretty close to Jan lows on euro?
Not quite getting you�re point, sorry I must be slower than
usual tonight.
Nottingham 19:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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Tallinn viies 19:48 GMT:
I would be amazed if euro doesnt break last weeks low tomorrow, its just too tempting...and no I'm not short but looking forward to buying 1.2250 and sub tomorrow if seen...gl gt
Tallinn viies 19:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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Helsinki iw 19:03 GMT - dont know if you follow other markets but lot of them are on extremes.
oil at 1 month low, gold at two month low. euro even not close to month low...
nyc tony 19:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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My "bankroll" is not what I am referring to. I am referring to profitable trades rather than "being right". I am st long eur vs lt short Cad. conflicting views - my point is the market is very precarious currently and views can and should change very very quickly.
USA Biscuit Boy 19:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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Who cares about the $$$ Tony? Forget about the $$$ and listen to the market. Worry about your bankroll and you won't hear the whispers.
nyc tony 19:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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This market is sitting on a fulcrum right now. Whoever says that they have a position and that's that is full of it. If eur/$ 1.2330 breaks everything changes and we are less than 100 pips from that. Be honest and be nimble and make $$$ rather than make a sermon.
USA Biscuit Boy 19:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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This price action in euro rates a 10 out of 10 on my deja vu meter. Remember when euro was ar 1.1390 and everyone was calling for 1.11 but nobody could understand why we just couldn't push lower. Everyday this euro correction lasts is a day closer to a resumption of the long term trend upwards.
LAX-LGB SNP 19:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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Nottingham 19:02 GMT January 29, 2004
i hear you loud and clear
Adding to your observation
on the fibo range (1.4170-1.2681) the 50% line comes @ 1.3426 which is where price tested and crashed TWICE already (Nov 6 & Dec 18). The rising TL @ 1.3089 which led to this bounce is the S/T kind and almost inconsequential now
GVI john 19:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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FOMC Dec 9 Minutes:
Deflation risk nil
All favored eliminating "considerable time"
Big risk in "pre-emptive action"
Inflation mild "well into the future"
Lower dollar will fuel exports.
IMHO this should calm the markets....
Alb Emm 19:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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Traders looking to take Euro down to the 122 level with everything else before the G7 meeting problem is they tried to do it in one day
Helsinki iw 19:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Market looks hungry for stops below previous low of 1,2330.
No substantial bounce whatsoever, so far at least, and judging
by how dollar buyers just rushed in on the dip, wouldn�t be
surprised to seethem go soon. IMHO
Nottingham 19:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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LAX...only on 13 time periods (1-3 days) did usdcad move more than 2% away from 10sma...and guess what, today it came in at 1.3346...imo cad has only tomorrow and at most Monday to make gains before a minimum 100 pip retracement towards mean...my plan is to short it every day it pops it's head above...gl gt
Buenos Aires Argenfx 18:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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To DALLAS Gep: Hello,friend...which�s your expectation on JPY for today ? TIA.
Ldn Mvs 18:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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GBP just briefly touched 50% retracement of tdy'd high/low....may see lower from here ...........wud short here with tight stop at 75
LAX-LGB SNP 18:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dallas GEP 17:15 GMT January 29, 2004
... USD/CAD TECHNICALLY has looked like a short
thanks for that affirmation
i was long since Tuesday night and trying to analyse why i closed rather early reasons being most tech studies (SS, MaCD, RSI, etc) have long since topped out.
Heck even this 'Awesome Oscillator' (don't even ask coz i have zero clue - it just exists) is red now
saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 18:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good night ab!
nk
Alicante RTN 18:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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Usdcad is ticking down; - usd upmove needs cad support to continue towards test of 1.2330 level. Watch your shorts.
hk ab 0.88 18:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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the hike may slow down the move but can't reverse the m/t.
USA Biscuit Boy 18:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Black Magic I don't have a nice system like most people here. I know I will never pick an exact top or bottom so I just throw my chips in when I see a good value bet. At these levels in my view dollar shorts have all the outs. That is unless of course the Bin Laden card is dealt then I am royally screwed :)
hk ab 0.88 18:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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bed time, nt. good trades.
hk ab 0.88 18:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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those yield chasers will continue to chase but overlook themselves the stock market is making even more gains in the coming years.....
phils VL 18:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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Stockholm za - read something similar years ago in mgmt developmt - reading now again most refreshing. Thank you.
hk ab 0.88 18:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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yes, nt.
hk ab 0.88 18:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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it's quite strange that no one mentioned RBNZ hike .25 this morning.....
Bergen, Norway Steinar 18:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dow heading into red. And just might stay there for the rest of this session.
nyc tony 18:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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nyc tony 23:35 GMT January 28, 2004
I don't understand sometimes. Traders- shorting the $ right now is like juggling scorpions. But whatever. I'll wait for any upticks to 1.25xx to sell the euro.
Closing short eur from 1.2510 here. Bought eur, stop with all the others. lol good trades all.
Hong Kong nt 18:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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HK AB -- 7777 works well...
Caribbean! Rafe... 18:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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moved my GBP/JPY stop at 192.00 locking in some profit.
:] Black Magic 18:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Buing Euro now is for me ....like trying to catch falling meteor
I closed half of my Euro shorts...but my system says that toomorow :
USD/CHF > 1,29
EUR/USD < 1,22
GBP/USD< 1,78
Houston KC 17:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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Short usd/jpy 106.18 target 105.55
hk ab 0.88 17:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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BB same here.
USA Biscuit Boy 17:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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Bought euro at 83. That's me setup for next week. Have a good one :)
Bergen, Norway Steinar 17:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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Shortet cable at 1.8134
Madrid GLR 17:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ict, we have every right to be nervious about the $ move. We have looked at USD / CHF every way imaginable and conclude that if we can clear 126.40 for a two day close we should be in for a medium term stability. Best, GLR
USA Biscuit Boy 17:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Bought aussie at 95.
hk ab 0.88 17:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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buy some eur/gbp .6834.
Tallinn viies 17:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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MMS: Welteke says G7 statement will mention currencies
phils VL 17:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - do it to me one more time babe...
Genoa nic 17:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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Thanks Adam
london cam 17:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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Bergen, Norway Steinar 17:20 GMT January 29, 2004
Probably NY close - Asia open.
USA Biscuit Boy 17:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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Time to start buying euros at 1.2330/50. The range is still intact and an excellent value bet IMO. Nice stops at 1.2530 dangling helplessly in mid range now. GL and GT.
Bergen, Norway Steinar 17:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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"london cam 17:17 GMT"
What is your timeframe?
london cam 17:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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Shorted cable 1.8106 aiming for 1.8030ish
Athens 17:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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Just checked in for a while.
Genoa nic, yes, it was broken in EUR/$. Re EUR/JPY, yes, it was meant intraday.
hk ab 0.88 17:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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seldom to make those nice bottom pick now.
eur today is outstanding but I admit that luck plays a heavy role on that today.
Dallas GEP 17:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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To the NEWBIES especially. Please be careful if you are trading in reagrds to TECHNICALS. You can be technically correct in your possies yet still you can margin out easily on a big move the wrong way especially when not running stops. Just as an example USD/CAD TECHNICALLY has looked like a short for the last several days yet it has longed 200 points. The CATCH 22 here is the BETTER you are technically the more you stay with your technicals at times to the detrement of your equity. Fortunately I had a 50 pip stop on my usd/cad possie SHORT but not having that safety net would have been pretty damaging to say the least. So I guess the moral of the story is it is better to take a small loss and fight another batlle than to get to hung up on the idea your possie MIGHT just turn your way eventually.
Nottingham 17:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good two way on cad...someone certainly on bid (30) but good interest above 10sma+2%...imo seen best levels for today...gl gt
sarasota jf 17:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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ab 02 was enuff for me too tired will see what happens in asia tonight and look at tomorrow fresh - seems the moves are extensive so plenty of chances to enter higher or lower - gbp see new longs put in with stops at 80- catch u tom
HK Kevin 17:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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Closed AUD short at .7584 and Cable short at 8096. Just leave my short EUR/CHF at 1.5625 open for overnight.
hk ab 0.88 17:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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jf, the crush you mentioned happened at the thinest moment....
cad doesn't make higher, should limit the bottom for aud now.
WILL NOT MOVE THE aud shorts t/p at .7565,
hk ab 0.88 17:05 GMT January 29, 2004
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road, agree. 1 side will be punished hard.
hk ab 0.88 17:05 GMT January 29, 2004
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trail aud/jpy short at 80.60.
beijing road 17:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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this Friday must be bloody again.
hk ab 0.88 17:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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watch the order at .7565......
That's where worth a contra.
hk ab 0.88 16:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 04:55 GMT January 29, 2004
sell aud/jpy 81.80. You will see a magic on this.
This hoax is going to implode
SA getFX 16:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Further Euro comment:
1.2400 is approx Fibo 23.6 for period 22.09.2003 to the high of 12 Jan 2004.....
Bucharest Razvan 16:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hi friends!
Closed a lot of EUR shorts from last week on autopilot at 1.2380 and quite happy with it (also reversed to long there but closed it at +10 pips..). I'll stay away for now until the picture is clearer.. Longing EUR sounds good though. I'm also holding on to a small GBP short since 1.8195 but may square it before the day is over.
Hope all's well with you! Happy trades to all..
phils VL 16:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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PBoro JC - GL to ya
hk ab 0.88 16:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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v. close... now people start to scream "why there's a 100 pips move opposite to my direction?"....
expect one more time to visit those highs in April before the start of m/t.
beijing road 16:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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cable made lower than yesterday a moment ago.
SA getFX 16:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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Eur/Usd - my 10 cents worth:
The calculated pivots:
1.2803 R5
1.2734 R4
1.2668 R3
1.2601 R2
1.2567 R1
1.2532 P
1.2466 S1
1.2399 S2
1.2365 S3
1.2330 S4
1.2197 S5
We also have 1.2440 and 1.2345, 1.2266...
It seems the pivot levels were well observed.
london cam 16:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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ICT ML 16:40 GMT January 29, 2004
thanks ML - I'm just waiting for my swissy trailing stop 1.2596 to kick before reassessing what to do next
As I'm writing I see cable 1.8113. maybe wait for a few minutes before shorting
ln 16:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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Has the ECB been intervening today?
PBoro JC 16:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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phils VL 16:44 GMT January 29, 2004
eur/usd - confounding me...
Same here with gbp/usd.
Closed my short pos at 1.8130. Left order to sell again at 1.8110 with trailing stop, looking for 1.8035 if 1.8120 broken.
bdg dewan 16:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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ICT ML 16:40 GMT January 29, 2004
Hello, I'm new here...
what is your target point on usd/chf?
phils VL 16:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - confounding me... back to basics..TP half posiiton at 85, other half on table
Lancaster DH 16:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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I'd also like to add profit taking as to the EURUSD & GBPUSD decline. Predicting a bounce back after EOD.
ICT ML 16:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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cam.........don't think it is done just yet myself, and I am long $swiss still, but looking like I might take it and run
Tallinn viies 16:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Reuters fwiw:
The euro's rise eroded the competitiveness of producers in the single currenc
bloc by about 2 percent in the last three months of 2003 and by 10 percent
compared with a year earlier, based on the quaterly data released by the
European Commission.
hk ab 0.88 16:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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some players may not want dlr/jpy close above 106 today.
Ldn Mvs 16:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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cam - cudn't agree more esp as the others are like watching paint dry, but it's nice to catch a trend and stay put without getting too nervous...hv done gold few times myself but hardly addicitive! Dabbled with Dow binaries too but they can be hair rising!
london cam 16:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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ML are you around?
Cable holding above the 1.8200 everyone's talking about. Any thoughts? Are you getting ready to move in?
hk ab 0.88 16:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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Jap investors will pay attention at the 80.00 line again like they did on cad/jpy....
london cam 16:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ldn Mvs 16:21 GMT January 29, 2004
thanks. I don't deserve the compliment. I rarely trade it. What spurned me was the USD move yesterday. I find forex more addictive!
GL GT
Lancaster DH 16:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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The EURUSD is getting smash.
After a bullish run overnight.
Does anyone know what's up?
phils VL 16:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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ML - the move down is nicely set-up and sync for 1.2335, and it wud not knee-jerk as it did... you need a lot of power to brake it.... a biggie is probabaly sitting there?
hk ab 0.88 16:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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aud/cad should be censored volatlie.
the two pairs show many divergence today.
PBoro JC 16:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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gbp/usd continues to fail to get through 1.8120!
Very stubborn 7 was the same last night - must be some protection going on at this level, same as Eur.
Anyone got any info on who's behind it?
Oakland Daimyo 16:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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I gotta hop guys, I will reply when I get back. Out USD/CHF and EUR/USD for now.
beijing road 16:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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beijing road 16:24 GMT January 29, 2004
From now the cable might dive fast than othen EUR ccys.
hk ab 0.88 16:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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didn't expect aud to stall at .7590.
move the t/p to .7565 and add OCO trail on the upside.
beijing road 16:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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From now the cable might dive than othen EUR ccys.
london cam 16:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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Oakland Daimyo 16:15 GMT January 29, 2004
Certainly think swissy has some steam left whilst gold remains below psychological $400. I'm still long with s/l 1.2596
Ldn Mvs 16:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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london cam 16:13 GMT January 29, 2004........well done matey!
always fun the goldie - didn't follow on it unfortunately!
ICT ML 16:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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VL...was pretty good support/resistance on the trip up, so I think it will slow it again like last time
phils VL 16:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd = hope its not BC...?
phils VL 16:18 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - Technically there's no barrier down to 1.2335, but it seems somebody's is holding it up at 65... option defense or what...?? anybody knows?
HK Kevin 16:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab, intraday bottom picking of eur/jpy is only safe around 130.80/90 area.
B.A. BOCA 16:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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good, predictable moves for a change today! cash in hand never hurt
still looking to pick up some $ shorts for next week...GL
london cam 16:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Oakland Daimyo 16:08 GMT January 29, 2004
Sell signal for GBP/USD under 1.8120, be careful w/ this one alot of bulls still holding longs. Risk/Reward not as favorable so will not take unless mkt showing strong heavy suppy.
Agree, however do you see a possible target of 1.7810?
Oakland Daimyo 16:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Swissy losing steam. I'm out if 1.2612 violated from above. Lock in profits at that point, Still think this puppy moves higher but not sure when.
hk ab 0.88 16:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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place orders to close aud short from .7777, .7785 x 2 and .7750 at .7585 if seen today.
just kept all those shorts on the .78 line for longer term play.
Stockholm za 16:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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CHF/JPY... update
8516-8489
8463-8454
8419
8384-8376
8349-8323
Happy trades...
sarasota jf 16:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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noone ever died taking profit time to rest the mind and back at it tonight - gt
london cam 16:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ldn Mvs 15:56 GMT January 29, 2004
Superb. closed my short gold possi 398.8 banking 101 pips since last night.
still holding swissy long from 1.2556. trailing stop at 1.2596.
hk ab 0.88 16:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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RBA and RBNZ mtg will be played impt next week.
hk ab 0.88 16:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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those carry trades unwind......
should take a month at least if I don't make a wrong move.
Oakland Daimyo 16:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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supply
hk ab 0.88 16:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/jpy holy interesting......
eur/gbp still reluctant to test the line?!
clos the short gbp from 1.8260 @ 1.8140.
nice 120 pips in the basket again.
Oakland Daimyo 16:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sell signal for GBP/USD under 1.8120, be careful w/ this one alot of bulls still holding longs. Risk/Reward not as favorable so will not take unless mkt showing strong heavy suppy.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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don't worry... sell again when move up. that movement is normal to make your psichology for thinking buy. oh no ... I still wait for sell. give me higher level for sell eur/usd again.
HK Kevin 16:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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Small short EUR//CHF 1.5625.
Toronto fxdc 16:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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it's time to take profits.
sarasota jf 16:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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some buying for profit taking in gbpusd here - prefer to sq audusd and sell bounce
hk ab 0.88 16:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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cool, 1.2365 filled.
Amen to eur.
flat now, plan next trade on eur later.
Nice profit for 150 pips within 12 hrs.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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YESSS.... 1.2360 BE SHOWN.
SELL MORE !!!! TO GET 1.2210 OR 1.2187
Oakland Daimyo 16:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Not playing USD/JPY, hands full w/ EUR/USD and USD/CHF
Looks like option related defense in USD/JPY for the time being. This may be just the catalyst the dollar needs.
hk ab 0.88 16:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Now, it's just a little bit bloody for all those stubborn aussie bulls.....
hk ab 0.88 16:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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come on 2 more pips!!!!
Ldn Mvs 16:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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1.2330 massive lvl - may just go for it.................
Oakland Daimyo 16:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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USD/JPY back over 106.00 Smells fishy, Is it them, anybody know?
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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hey eur/usd players.. show me 1.2360 bid, because i will sell again more !!!
nyc starbucks mgr 15:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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lax 15:55
lol I agree
saloniko 2004 nk 15:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 15:37 GMT
LOL!!
nk
Ldn Mvs 15:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ldn cam........gold just broke 400..............
Oakland Daimyo 15:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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1.2612 fractal high on USD/CHF being tested now. If we stay above this level, look for 1.2714/1.2726 Fractals
slv sam 15:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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e/gbp starts to be attractive around .68!GT
LAX-LGB SNP 15:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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the first 30 mins after NYC open are always fun - i can actually feel the caffeine kicking in 3000 miles away
Oakland Daimyo 15:41 GMT January 29, 2004
interesting to hear you mention fractals ... care to shed some light when time allows ? thanks
FWIW my charts show fractals but always AFTER the said pull-back or up
Stockholm za 15:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab...DON`t let it get to you my friend, for we have seen them come and fade away over the ages, just do your thing & keep the profit roling in .....
Happy trades to you.......
singapore emperor 15:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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close abv 1.2590 USCHF will cfm the move higher next few days. USD index watch that... break 88.00 will see USD sentiment change. happy trading.
london cam 15:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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gold getting uncomfortably close to $400. If it breaks it just watch USD fly...
hk ab 0.88 15:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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sell stops kick in 80.67
singapore emperor 15:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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The rest of short AUD buy back at 0.7600
Oakland Daimyo 15:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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Next party train is in USD/CHF we just took out the 1.2590 I mentioned earlier.
hk ab 0.88 15:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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If cad continue to stall here, will exi the eur short.
now place p/t at 1.2365 if seen for today for the short from 1.2515 today.
phils VL 15:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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Helloooo 1.2330..... !!
Ldn Mvs 15:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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when I say 'high yielders' I really mean the 'commodity currencies'........
hk ab 0.88 15:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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za, no worry, it's not on you.
look at the first line.
someone said we should leave soon......
singapore emperor 15:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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Took some profits in AUD
Ldn Mvs 15:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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What worries me about tdy's moves is a repeat of what we hv seen many a times - the big biys (ie. hedge funds) are most probably unwinding the high yielders b4 they attack the euro,swiss, gbp etc....very often they will drive the aud; cad; and kiwi b4 blazing the guns elsewhere....beware...US$ cud see a sharper move yet!
Oakland Daimyo 15:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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Patience is a virtue and necessary for this 24 hour mkt. GT to all holding strong.
Stockholm za 15:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab ... WHY are you Keep posting that post with my handle in it ?? is there some special reason ??....
singapore emperor 15:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Here we go, lower Eur and Aud.....trend is yur frd
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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maybe usefull
eur/usd step 1 to get 1.2368 and then if price show 1.2360 to get 1.2215. believe...
hk ab 0.88 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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the eur/jpy need to be wathced.....
singapore emperor 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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Happy Days...
HK Kevin 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 15:35 GMT, 1.34 seems unavoidable, then retrace 100-150 pips before a clear break for 1.42
Caribbean! Rafe... 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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very small cluster of stops hit. older stops located at 1.2368.
singapore emperor 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD stops below 0.7630, more at 0.7610-15.
hk ab 0.88 15:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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sell stops at 80.67
Alb Emm 15:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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Need some stops going off and yes very pleased
Oakland Daimyo 15:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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FWIW Not looking to be greedy but if 1.24 gives the door opens to 1.2330. Hands loose/ Mind quick! This may be a bit optimistic at this point, lets see how 1.2408 fractal decision holds. Watch for mkt behavior/energy clues
hk ab 0.88 15:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/jpy and aud/jpy get wild.....
thinking sell stops on aud/jpy
LAX-LGB SNP 15:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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with ref to 07:52 GMT January 29, 2004
USDCAD argues for a pullback towards TL @ 1.3078 ... now why would i not let a winner gain ?!!!
selling GBPJPY below 192.90 = 3 quarters plus :-) too bad thats the price of a local call here - j/k
selling GBPUSD below 1.823x (not the best entry - i know but sticking to the plan) = 2 quarters so far
sell EURUSD if it falls beneath 1.2460/70 (once again the Golden Globe for slow to enter goes to ...!) = another 2 quarters
nyc tony 15:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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You are absolutely right ab. Right now I'm hedging from my original stance. It's very hard, as many of you know, to look at a very profitable position and not want to lock that $$$$ up. No rash decisions here. A major factor will be what eur/$ does, believe it or not.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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ya..ya... eur/usd have give me info 1.2368.
hk ab 0.88 15:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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long more aud/nzd 1.1365.
hk ab aud/jpy 80.80 15:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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DONE! Hahaha
Should "trade my plan".
singapore emperor 15:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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Shd buy small back AUD shorts ard 0.7630, follow by 0.7600.
Daily EUR 50 m.a at 1.2390, break and close below, will be interesting.....
hk ab 0.88 15:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUS Trader 08:04 GMT January 29, 2004
HK 8888 07:27 that hoax bla bla is a good 1/2 lot contra/fish indicator.... sorry to see him/her leave us soon
Stockholm za 07:35 ......LOL
Good contra eh?!
Gd evening nk.
you expect them to hold USD back?
I am only waiting to long eur with you on the 1.18 line.
Oakland Daimyo 15:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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No walk for me. Too much action
saloniko 2004 nk..1.43 15:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good Evening...
The most funny will be Mr G and Mr Snow shout loud..
Euro..Euro..Euro...
nk
singapore emperor 15:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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are you happy, Emma?
AUD, go go go
hk ab 0.88 15:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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Kevin, what's your crystal ball telling on this loonie?
HK Kevin 15:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 15:31 GMT, it's not profitable than long USD/CAD at current level.
hk ab 0.88 15:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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place eur/gbp long order at .6805.
Testing my luck.
HK Kevin 15:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab, clear divergance in the weekly chart.
hk ab 0.88 15:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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nice Kevin,
eur/chf moves pretty fast.
the uptrend should be gone soon....in daily chart.
HK Kevin 15:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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Just covered my short EUR from 1.2644 this Tue at 1.2436.
hk ab 0.88 15:16 GMT, be caregul with eur/jpy, intraday resistance now at 131.90.
Oakland Daimyo 15:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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Going for my morning walk, as it is sunrise out here on the West Coast. Walk away, clear your head, enjoy life. That's what it's all about. Leaving cruise control on. GT
hk ab 0.88 15:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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a joke which reminds me v. well was:
a husband mentioned in a forum that he exited the long from .87 at .91 and his wife should be happ with this fast profit and think eur needs to digest it for a few weeks.
.....
two weeks later, eur is at .98.....
And I immediately imagine how his wife would strangle him.
hk ab 0.88 15:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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tony, when eur rebounds from .87 people also felt .91 was too fast......
hk ab 0.88 15:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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get a bit more eur/jpy 131.59 long.
Oakland Daimyo 15:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Phils VL- good work
nyc tony 15:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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The loonie is surprising even me and I am one of it's biggest oppeonents. I am considering exiting my position around 1.34xx. It's happening alot faster than expected which makes me nervous. Total pips for the entire trade if exited at 1.3400 would be 3724. Have a great day
london p 15:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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yesterdays low .2409 todays .2419
hk ab 0.88 15:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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trail done, aud/jpy finished with 72 pips daily.
and now, I place an auto pilot in aud .7585 for a contra.
phils VL 15:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - shorted at 64 when 70 failed - shud retest day low, but will be clearer in about 30 minutes
hk ab 0.88 15:10 GMT January 29, 2004
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JIMVHO, those brave aussie bull blood is still not SEEN YET.
Don't believe the hoax? now you see it.
SanFrancisco tg 15:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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Big deal for me today is bond demand and so far I get the impression it is holding.
Nottingham 15:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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Looking to sell cad on spike above day high so far...hope to short no worse than 1.3350, no stop gl gt
Oakland Daimyo 15:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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As they gasp for their final breath of air. GT to all.
london p 15:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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gbp usd not looking as strong as it was 2 hours ago might lead the down leg
hk ab 0.88 15:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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farmacia, that will only mean a failure in chart service :)
My poor memory only tells me that only Oilman has mentioned this yearly target
LOL....
I still keep my aud shorts though.
Nothing is better than bc m/t confidence.
Alb Emm 15:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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melbourne farmacia AHAH
market on best behaviour before G7 more like.
hk ab 0.88 15:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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adjust the aud/jpy short tp from 80.80 to 80.85 and OCO with trail at 81.08.
That's it for this trade at the moment.
sarasota jf 15:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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Alb Emm 15:00 GMT January 29, 2004
pls study yr hourly and daily chart
london p 15:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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usd cad showing the way
melbourne farmacia 15:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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ab - Some dude on GV today looking for Aud/Usd 0.4750 something tonight. LOL
Alb Emm 15:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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sarasota jf what target have you got when you say aud getting CRUSHED thx
singapore emperor 14:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD is kicking in now.... Hope Emma, you are on the train..
Alb Emm 14:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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singapore emperor that would be wonderful :-)
hk ab 0.88 14:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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eurgbp also good for a quick contra long.
jf. I understand and thank you. You are wonderful on these info.
singapore emperor 14:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hi Emma, am seeing lower aud..... s/t 0.7600
sarasota jf 14:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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ab i cant say enuff its all timing euryen took 3 days to do what i thought n had 2 rallies - usdyen same thing im told it will see 103.80 soon - same with aud does it happen today or tomorrow i cant say but apparently it will be a good move - study your charts while my timing is off - they dont lie - gl.gt
singapore emperor 14:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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good buy in the euraud.. ( daily bullish divergence for up ).
hk ab 0.88 14:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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bought some eur/aud few days ago at 1.6180 and 1.6210 and not close yet.
What a monkey year.
hk ab 0.88 14:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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jf, isn't that painting a good pic. of a strong eur/aud rebounds and aud/jpy dive mode?
hk ab 0.88 14:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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our first hurdle is 131.80 original strong support.
sarasota jf 14:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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ab - trade it - eurusd some stops over 70 next target personally - usdyen is heavy - talk audusd is going to be next to get crushed - but with eurusd rising short term its all timing
Caribbean! Rafe... 14:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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Eur -: we could well and again test the daily low and touch 1.2368-38. stops are at 1.2410
hk ab 0.88 14:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/aud rockets....
million thanks jf.
what are you looking for for this eur/jpy long?
I would not be very greedy....
sarasota jf 14:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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after hitting jap target for euryen we shud bounce now mainly via eur with usdyen stuck 50-90
hk ab 0.88 14:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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bought half lot eur/jpy 131.50 by autopilot
the other half pending.
Genoa nic 14:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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Athens, one more question if you can
IMO Euro/Jpy �classical� daily oscillators are in sell mode but not oversold yet on a daily basis. Right now centreline breakout in MACD, among others. Please correct me if wrong, the OS posture you mentioned in your model if 60 is broken is for intraday basis, no?
Alb Emm 14:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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CT DB I dont know
CT DB 14:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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Alb Emma 14:23,
How did they know he left?
hk ab 0.88 14:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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close half aud/jpy short at 81.20.
hk ab 0.88 14:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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very interesting yen crosses
Alb Emma 14:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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Bin Laden May Be Back In Afghanistan - CNN
ICT ML 14:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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aren't there some swiss stops above 1.2600 that you boys would like to go eat...:-) LOL
phils VL 14:18 GMT January 29, 2004
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market undecided... post your stops here and see if it follows...LOL
HK new 14:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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try message
Alb Emma 14:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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anyone see aud lower today again
Genoa nic 14:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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Athens,
do you think we can eye ambitious mid term targets in Euro/jpy with a (likely IMO) clear break of this 200 ma? TIA
Oakland Daimyo 14:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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Looks like "sneaky action" I warned of in place. Careful people. I'm not getting buy signal on EUR/USD yet.
melbourne farmacia 14:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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Covered all gbp shorts at 1.8187 from high 8300's as i don't feel good with her swings right now etc.. GT
Ldn Mvs 14:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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May have formed double-bottom in Euro here?.........Cud be bullish for Euro if we stay above there for now
phils VL 14:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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Daimyo
hope it crosses 70 and stops at even
SanFrancisco tg 14:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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I'll use FF since I'm having trouble pulling up the the GVI side this morning (Treasury is up for me Jay).
Just want to note that we are right at levels that failed on the 26th in several pairs and just shy of failure levels of around the 19th so I didn't like assuming the early $ bids were a good thing either until the levels clear.
May miss prime entry but choosing risk management instead.
Sydney gvm 14:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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its weird - my fund was up 8% mid month - now its up 1%. No fun - but if this is the best that govts/contrarian traders are capable of in terms of interrupting/trying to reverse current trends then they are done for. Sell dollars/buy gold/ buy crude - all good '04 trades IMO
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 14:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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get some aud/nzd longs at 1.1405 line.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 14:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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farmacia, very sharp view on aussie.
Oakland Daimyo 14:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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By the way, I do not allow green to turn into red. Out 1.2440 shorts even. Holding others Phils VL you may get your bounce but it may be shallow so get in as soon as you see if failing.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 14:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Today looks like Friday more than Thursday.
Oakland Daimyo 14:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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Biscuit boy Understood
Athens 13:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/JPY now at critical support 131.60-70 but getting O?S if lower.
Va Raven 13:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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sarasota jf 13:52 - under the current condition, it''s taken as an invitation.
USA Biscuit Boy 13:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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Daimyo that little move to 1.2530 or so letting "smart" people get short for 1.23 and 1.21's was a little too convenient for my liking. I think the real smart players are now eyeing those stops just above 1.2530 hehehehe. You must think one stp ahead in this game. GL and GT.
Oakland Daimyo 13:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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Scaling back but not finished w/ operations
sarasota jf 13:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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option name from asia doing the buying in euros
Oakland Daimyo 13:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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Biscuit Boy your no fun today. The pain is below. Distribution not over yet.
Genoa nic 13:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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IMVHO it�s very important that 10 Y breaks ytd post FOMC low that held at first try . C�mon!
london p 13:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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eoro .2409 yesterdays low
Oakland Daimyo 13:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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That's right Swissy Move your feet above 1.2590 and it's off to the races
USA Biscuit Boy 13:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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And thats me done......profit taken on dollar longs....looking to buy eur/usd soon for 1.27.
GVI john 13:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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Fed Dec 9 minutes at 19:00 GMT. Greenspan and Snow speak at 15:30 GMT.
HK statestreet 13:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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i type slower u are right should be 403
HK statestreet 13:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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i type slower u are right should be 403
HK statestreet 13:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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gold drop further to 405
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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It's time to move to make lower.let's go to 1.2215 for eur/usd
Ldn 13:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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Gold at 403.00 now
HK statestreet 13:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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gold price=405.60
Oakland Daimyo 13:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Come on Swissy Let's go!!!!!
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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thanks Farmacia.
will trail my aud/jpy as usual.
phils VL 13:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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Daimyo
well done.
ps - dont keep everything... leave some for me - I'm waiting to short again at higher lvls...lol
Genoa nic 13:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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After a very mild uptick after numbers, new lows for today in 10Y : Euro to follow.
Alb Emm 13:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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what is gold ? price pls
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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jf, I also want to get that long for s/t run.
131.50, thanks and will bear in mind.
Oakland Daimyo 13:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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Trading a buck going heavy
HK statestreet 13:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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not while gold price drop like hel.....
sarasota jf 13:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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price is influenced from swiss guy who wishes euryen lower - eurgbp may move down on the day as well - 131.50 is the target its been eleusive lately but we shall see gl
melbourne farmacia 13:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Aud/usd could bounce off this 0.7670 line.. be careful.
Nice one hk ab ..
london p 13:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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gbp seems a lot more resilient than the others today
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Kevin, Kung Hey fat Choi to you too.
Know what, tomorrow is Lunar birthday
Alb Emm 13:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Aud/Usd at 0.7662 is the crucial s/t prop with sub 0.7690 stops already firing up momentum lower open 0.7500
Pecs Andras 13:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Initial claims 342K nearly unch
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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scope for aud/jpy 80.80!!!
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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Kevin, yes. and I will close those lower entries and kept many at .78.
short eur is now at 1.2510 and gbp at 1.8360, 1.8310, 1.8260 x2.
Ldn 13:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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USD/CAD off to the races again......euro under pressure....GBP likely to feel the strain too.......
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUS Trader 10:11 GMT January 29, 2004
Nzd/Usd above .6730 is the highest monthly close since 1997........ combined with this month's 8 year high up at .6870 it's now too close for the big bull sharks not to finish the job prior to a retrace (only a paltry 130 pips up to the all time high .7000 zones)
AUS Trader 08:04 GMT January 29, 2004
HK 8888 07:27 that hoax bla bla is a good 1/2 lot contra/fish indicator.... sorry to see him/her leave us soon
Stockholm za 07:35 ......LOL
AUS Trader 07:25 GMT January 29, 2004
euro below 1.25.... & once again the Macau/GV fish index are overwhelmingly euro bearish........
AUD Trader 05:34 GMT January 29, 2004
haha! emperor sori to confuse you... (unless you also wish to compete for the GV fool title?)
AUS Trader 04:37 GMT January 29, 2004
Once a fool always a fool....
Note the last line......
Oakland Daimyo 13:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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I am not covering EUR/USD short.
Qindex what u think about adding to shorts under 1.2440 for quick hit to 1.2408 ?
HK Kevin 13:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab, wan choi jiu shou.
Stilll hold short EUR from 1.263? and Aussie at 78??. Add short Cable at 1.8251 this afternoon.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pec andras.
I think from here give nice level for sell again at 1.8217 to get minimum 1.8168 again.
Bratislava MB 13:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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342k as expected
Bratislava MB 13:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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ijc 342
HK statestreet 13:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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what is the initial claim?
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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Andras do you find your early bird.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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80 was an impt level for cad/jpy.......
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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momentum players set in for aud/jpy.....
Melbourne Qindex 13:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 22:53 GMT January 28, 2004
Spot Gold : the supporing strength of 402.5 / 403 is likely to be tested.
Pecs Andras 13:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:16 GMT January 29, 2004
Raden
Pound has posted that level twice this session and beyond. What makes �ou think that if it reaches that level again, it will then dive like that.
I think if it prints 8237 again, the next level will be much higher
Melbourne Qindex 13:18 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 01:15 GMT January 29, 2004
GBP/USD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.8079 // 1.8125 and the upper barrier is positioning at 1.8353 // 1.8399.
... 1.8079 // 1.8125, 1.8171, 1.8216, (1.8262), 1.8307, 1.8353 // 1.8399 ...
Oakland Daimyo 13:18 GMT January 29, 2004
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Will accept nothing less than 1.2440 looking for 1.2408 fractal low set in London. GT to all
Pecs Andras 13:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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VL
I think it is a neat strategy. You can capitalize on the general trend (if any), and you can make some money on the swings too. Fir me these swing are tricky, I lose more thanI make
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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if gbp/usd shown 1.8137 that's mean is very high probability to get 1.8080-65 as a bottom.Sell more if like that.
phils VL 13:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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Andras
Basically so, but it does not turn out to be strictly 100%. It depends on gut feel how strong I anticipate the retracement to be. The swings had been surprisingly volatile and i do tend to leave too much on the table!
Oakland Daimyo 13:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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VL 13:03
Oakland Daimyo 13:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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phils NY already in watch "sneaky action" I will fade them if they try to bounce.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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look at the key handle on cad/jpy 80.00.
be ready by those snapping down SHARP.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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looks like everything were bought against cad in the last few days.
Pecs Andras 13:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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phils VL 13:06 GMT January 29, 2004
So your atrategy is to open several shorts at didderent level, and close out the latest ones before a retracement sets in, but you leave the earlier ones open for longer term?
Sydney2 13:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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malta mb, Thanks so much
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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Thanks Qindex.
Wish you "Shum Sheung Si Shing".
phils VL 13:06 GMT January 29, 2004
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Mailman
The GL GT shud follow the old post at bottom
malta mb 13:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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sydney2
i expect a dead cat bounce at 12450, and ultimate close for the time being at 12350
phils VL 13:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Quezon Mailman- eur/usd
NY comes in soon, I square off and TP first. There will be some retracement up for another short at higher lvls hopefully. The swings have been puerty profitable - suggest you follow the swings, on the way down over next few weeks to near 1.15 imo - intrabsition of 1.21, 1.18, 1.15. Target of 1.2400 mettoday as called by me earlier this week -
phils VL 03:44 GMT January 26, 2004. For the records: -
eur/usd
shorted 1.2685 at market and sell entry order triggered at 1.2620, on Friday. Anticipate a correction to 1.2620/30, then a break of 1.2500, which if seen will head for the 1.2400 lvl later this week.
GL GT
Current stop abv 1.2650
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 13:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Andras, Qindex warning should not be overlooked on his outside range trading on cad.
It's an outside 3 month cycle.
malta mb 13:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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sydney2
i expect a dead cat bounce at 12450, and ultimate close for the time being at 12350
Pecs Andras 13:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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Guys
I stil remember good old Van Gecko (too bad he doesnt show up often here) saying that CAD is the best guide dog.
Yesterday it was posting highs well before the big dollar spike started, Cable was still well above 1.8300 and EUR above 1260
It is still way up, so beware dollar bears!
Of course bad initial claim may distort the picture initially a bit.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 13:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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good gbp/usd...!!!
1.8080.zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Sydney2 12:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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For those who shorted euro, what are your profit taking levels, thanks for your comments.
beirut jb 12:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hi traders,
$/cad update
well $/cad hit 133 as last update and start pull back,
short here is good entry with tight stop
short is only for scalp unless lod broken we may test 132
if lod hold or not seing , long should be initiated again ,133 break open the door for 134 area wich is the major test for this up trend
conclusion, long is the play on deep , short here is only for clipcoz 133 should be tested again
FWIW
GL GT
Quezon Mailman 12:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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phils VL 12:51 GMT January 29, 2004
You closed your short. Does it mean you foresee euro retracing some of its earlier losses? thanks
Melbourne Qindex 12:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 12:49 GMT - USD/CAD : 1.3905 if we are lucky.
phils VL 12:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur.usd - closed short at 1.2474(ask) from 1.2505. Wl short again in NY session
Oakland Daimyo 12:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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If you can risk back to 1.2460 or so USD/CHF is giving strong buy signal above 1.2520 If mkt can hold this level, watch for Swissy to take off
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 12:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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cool, the eur/chf brings very fast profit.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 12:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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Qindex, may I know any possible m/t target of the cad on the upside?
Melbourne Qindex 12:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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Oakland Daimyo 12:43 GMT - Good evening! Mathematics is always an interesting thing.
Melbourne Qindex 12:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 05:42 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/CAD : The lower barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.3142 // 1.3173 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.3297 // 1.3328.
... 1.3142 // 1.3173, 1.3204, 13235, 1.3266, 13297 // 1.3328 ... 1.3421 ...
Melbourne Qindex 05:07 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/CAD : As shown in my monthly cycle charts the market is currently trading outside the normal trading range of my monthly cycle. This is an indication of a strong market and the odds are against any short positions. The mid-point
reference of the barrier at 1.2950 // 1.3083 is 1.3017 and the current expected trading range is 1.3016 - 1.3485.
Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2549 // 1.2683, 1.2816, 1.2950 // 1.3083, 1.3217 ... 1.3485 ...
Oakland Daimyo 12:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good morning Dr C. It's always amazing to me how you and I use different systems but get similar #'s. Interesting. Sounds good to me C ya lower.
london p 12:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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we are at the bottom of the triangle athens was talking about was violated last night on the fomc chat
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 12:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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Tallinn viies 12:13 GMT January 29, 2004
rumour: Bank of China buying USDCAD
Are you realy viies?
Melbourne Qindex 12:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 08:04 GMT January 29, 2004
USD/CHF : The current expected trading range from my weekly cycle is 1.2492 - 1.2675. The lower barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.2327 // 1.2364 and the upper barrier is expected at 1.2621 // 1.2657.
... 1.2327 // 1.2364 ... 1.2437 ... 1.2510, 1.2547, 1.2584, 1.2621 // 1.2657 ... 1.2730 ...
Melbourne Qindex 12:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : The market rhythm is now shifting back to 31 pips.
Melbourne Qindex 00:26 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD : the lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2344 // 1.2375 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2497 // 1.2527.
... 1.2222 ... 1.2283 ... 1.2344 // 1.2375, 1.2405, 1.2436, 1.2466, 1.2497 // 1.2527, 1.2558 ...
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 12:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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hello money hunters !!!
I hope good day for you now !!
Oakland Daimyo 12:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Irish as I respect u, ask Jay for Email would love to discuss w/ you.
Oakland Daimyo 12:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Irish Sorry Can't talk right now. Look for tick volume not published use good data feed or broker.
Oakland Daimyo 12:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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However, I use volume as a secondary indicator (confirming)
Modest support at 1.2480 however do not expect to see until 1.2440 or lower.
Chicago Irish 12:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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Daimyo:The only FX volume figures I know of that are published are CME futures contracts.
GVI john 12:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2510�$/yen 106.10
DJIA +30 pts� 10-yr 4.09%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI�s �Market Snapshot�:
CLICK HERE
for more see GVI
Oakland Daimyo 12:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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OBV and Demand Index work well if u know how to use.
Oakland Daimyo 12:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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Watch for divergences between price and volume. You can see operators enter and leave mkts ahead of price usually.
Oakland Daimyo 12:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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London Cam Use tick volume
Oakland Daimyo 12:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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GVI John Thanks will take under advisement
london cam 12:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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Oakland Daimyo 12:14 GMT January 29, 2004
I notice in a few of your posts you mention volume. How do you measure or assess volume in forex?
GL GT
Oakland Daimyo 12:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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Looks like their unloading. Supply dump coming.
GVI john 12:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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GVI MONTH AHEAD DOLLAR OUTLOOK: We see no signs that Secretary Snow is about to change the foreign exchange policies of the U.S. at the G7 Finance Minister�s meeting on February 6-7 in Boca Raton. The administration likes to see the dollar weak because it is stimulating the economy and they must be worried by the ongoing lack of signs about a pick-up in employment. In the end, politics always boils down to jobs. On the other hand, both the stock and bond markets remain underpinned and Fed Chief Greenspan continues to hope that �asset inflation� will stimulate economic growth. That means that the dollar will be getting no help from the monetary side. As long as U.S. rates remain below: Europe, U.K. Canada, Australia etc., there is no compelling reason to buy dollars. European politicians must remain mightily displeased that they alone are carrying most of the burden of the U.S. adjustment for its large deficits. The original plan of the G7 last September had been focused on the need for Asia to play a major part in the adjustment process. The dollar remains vulnerable to the downside in our one month ahead view.
More see GVI (inlcudes: euro, yen, stg, cad, aud.).For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
chicago cal 12:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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via my news service: "the bomb in london has been downgraded to a gas leak"
beijing road 12:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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stopped out at BE.
Oakland Daimyo 12:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD sell signal under 1.2505 Target 1.2408
This position will allow the use of tight stop/reverses.
If 1.2535 taken out on upside w/ strong volume and momentum look for reverse. Not automatic as my account allows for larger stops and as I have been saying Distribution is in place. C ya lower.
Tallinn viies 12:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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rumour: Bank of China buying USDCAD
Gen dk 12:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
PAR 12:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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If the news is coming from the BBC it is probably not TRUE.
chicago cal 12:05 GMT January 29, 2004
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for all you breakout players and cable fans buy above 1.8315 or sell below 1.8100
gl,gt
Ldn pt 12:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Well I am mid-way between West End & City - no sirens to be heard. Just spoke with someone in Canary Wharf and nothing there so would suggest untrue - hopefully !!
QC WC 11:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Revdax, what does your Macau indicator reads now? TIA
LDN SAM 11:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pure rumour...And being based in London I perso. doubt it...But just FYI
SA Bok 11:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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nothing on networks ...Ldn Blast
Alb Emm 11:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good Morning..interesting article.dj.s
Shifting Hedgers' Sentiment
Beware of the hedgers! ABN-Amro reckons as USD hedging was so important in driving EUR/USD over 1.20, a change in sentiment among hedging community over Fed policy "could change the bullish EUR/USD dynamics seen over the last year significantly."
ln 11:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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LDN SAM: what is your source?
LDN SAM 11:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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Explosion in London???
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 11:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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And I am happy with the cable short filled at 1.8260.
hk ab 0.88 eur/gbp 11:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUS Trader 10:11 GMT January 29, 2004
Nzd/Usd above .6730 is the highest monthly close since 1997........ combined with this month's 8 year high up at .6870 it's now too close for the big bull sharks not to finish the job prior to a retrace (only a paltry 130 pips up to the all time high .7000 zones)
Watch those sharp spike down first before some dreams, imvho.
big bull sharks?? hahahaha
Then who are those summo wrestler?
There are still 4 more sessions before you dream for a monthly close above .6730.
chicago cal 11:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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short cable from here; SAR 1.8320 for 1.8420
gl, gt
beijing road 11:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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ML: thanks. Readjust stop at BE.
Chicago Irish 11:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hey Raden...Any thoughts on Euro?
Gen dk 11:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 11:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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gbp/usd still valid for hope at 1.8080
sell here (1.8247) with stp at 1.8295
ICT ML 11:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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road, right in the middle at 48, just turned down on the trend line from the 1.2670 peak....but is in a triangle and don't know what it will do.......sorry
Melbourne Qindex 11:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD (Weekly Cycle) : .......The lower barrier is expected at 1.2443 // 1.2547 and the mid-point reference is 1.2495.
beijing road 10:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sorry: not E/J but EUR/USD .
beijing road 10:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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ML: how is your RSI on EUR/JPY hourly chart plz? thanks.
Alicante RTN 10:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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Closed long eurusd & cable as especially the former may fall back. The inability to take out the first resistance of the day (eurusd) + usdcad on the rise may be hard to overcome.
Watch usdcad for direction.
Ldn Cashman 10:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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EBS low Usd/Chf 1.2485
Manama MT 10:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hello Guys. I missed the market today. what was the low for $Swiss ?
Genoa nic 10:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good morning all
FWIW, on hourlies I see a cluster of mas at 1.2560/70 area (50/100/200) which hopefully could contain upticks today. Shorting for low 1.23�s at least. The huge gap in Bunds with enormous volumes makes me confident to play the short side. Also euro/jpy seems ripe to me for a clear breakout of 200 day ma all IMVHO.
phils VL 10:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur.usd short at 1.2505, sl abv 1.2535
Melbourne Qindex 10:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below 1.2488.
Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2384 // 1.2401, 1.2419, 1.2436, 1.2454, (1.2471), 1.2488, 1.2506 // 1.2524 ...
The market rhythm of 0.001737 is used for the time being.
Gen dk 10:12 GMT January 29, 2004
Reply
Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
AUS Trader 10:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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Nzd/Usd above .6730 is the highest monthly close since 1997........ combined with this month's 8 year high up at .6870 it's now too close for the big bull sharks not to finish the job prior to a retrace (only a paltry 130 pips up to the all time high .7000 zones)
phils VL 10:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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Bok - eur/usd //agree with you in principle, but it has to cross the 1.2530 resistance first
SA Bok 10:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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EURUSD MACD on hourlies looking bid ... 21 ma and 5 ma about to cross = BID EUR .. IMHO
Helsinki iw 09:59 GMT January 29, 2004
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Fwiw, scandies: NOK/SEK accelerating downward and looks
fine still. EUR/NOK has resistance in the 8,80-85 area, but
could well break after some grinding. IMHO
BD Sing 09:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sorry Tel Aviv. Its a tough call. If the order was for that amount at my bank it would have been done but really its not a professional market amount so its hard to hold the bank to it.
Hong Kong nt 09:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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HK AB -- my wife and I want to sell again at better level...
Hong Kong nt 09:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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HK AB -- do you trade GBP recently?
Melbourne Qindex 09:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2384 // 1.2401, 1.2419, 1.2436, 1.2454, (1.2471), 1.2488, 1.2506 // 1.2524 ...
The market rhythm of 0.001737 is used for the time being.
beijing road 09:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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Raise stop from 12440 to 12470 longed at 12484
Melbourne Qindex 09:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : the current expected trading range from my weekly cycle is 1.2443 - 1.2547.
Melbourne Qindex 09:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : 1.2516 is a barrier.
Melbourne Qindex 04:40 GMT January 16, 2004
EUR/USD : the trading reference of my 44-day cycle is as follow :-
... 1.1882* // 1.2009, 1.2136*, 1.2263, 1.2389*, 1.2516, 1.2643*, 1.2770 // 1.2897* ...
beijing road 09:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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I am not surprised to see eur/usd at 1.26level by the Friday.
phils VL 09:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - finally broke-up the hourly 20ema at 1.2504 and heading to test 1.2530
phils VL 09:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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eur/usd - still clearly bearish. Wud like to see it test 1.2530 first for clearer level to short. Right now capped by hourly 20ema, and stopped cable dead on its upward track.
Waiting for a good level to short eur/usd, but may take a little while for yesterday's dip to clear out.
Brisbane L 09:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD/USD having a rough time of things, with some risk based models reported selling both it and Nzd/Usd in the wake of the FOMC statement change. It appears that a greater flexibility from the Fed to hike rates should economic data turn for the better has seen some leading banks recommend cutting out high yield carry plays against the US$, with the Aud and Nzd both losing out here. Aud/Nzd has seen some choppy trading as hedging linked to these calls are put through, though there is no sign that official action has been seen in Aud/Nzd to limit the downside following Cullen"s intervention comments in the local session. Aud/Usd for now looks heavy into 0.7730-50, while the Nzd/Usd pair should outperform given the surprise rate hike.MMS
Tel Aviv LM 09:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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SING
Sorry for the errors, here is the corrected version:
Sing,
Sing - Thanks alot,
It was for 323,000 AUD - the bank still refuse to accept the deal.
Any suggestion?
Tel Aviv LM 09:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sing,
Thanks aliot,
it was for 323,000 UAD - the bank still refuse to accept the deal.
Any suggestion?
malta mb 08:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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i have a ascending triangle 15min chrt eur/usd, should break to the downside soon GT.
Chambery FR JFB 08:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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WASH DC :any places where i can get live feeds pls? and how to link it up to MS Excel etc.
Some charts providers (FXTrek Desktop) have a DDE link... and some tading platforms do offer the same. To import in XL, just copy/paste the values, then you can watch (and do whatever you want with) changing values on your favorite spreadsheet :-)
New York GDL 08:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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WASH DC SRQ 08:39 GMT January 29, 2004
Try the new VT platform
BD Sing 08:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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I have a computer that does these things however going through the deals at the very same second 08:20:34 on Reuters Matching 0.7700 aud was given and 0.6699 NZD was paid.
WASH DC SRQ 08:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Chambery FR JFB 08:30 GMT January 29, 2004
last post missed name,sorry.
FR,any places where i can get live feeds pls? and how to link it up to MS Excel etc.
any software already into the market,which has live feeds and allows someone to create their own system? an idea?
thanks
nyc beyonding_destiny 08:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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WASH DC 08:21 GMT January 29, 2004
Personally, I simply use most indicators also by other traders...MACD, Sto Osc, RSI, Fib Ret, Bollinger band and SMA are good enough for tech analyse...just spend more time to observe the pattern of the market... IMHO, just 'random walk'...GT
BD Sing 08:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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I can confirm the high as 1.1494 at 4.20 Sing time using Reuters D2 matching prices. You should be done unless its for a non market amount.
Tel Aviv LM 08:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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guys - please your help
I had a limit to sell AUD/NZD at 1.1490
I saw it in my screens few minutes ago but my bank refuse to authorise it.
please your opinion
Ldn pm 08:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ldn Cashman 08:19 GMT - Pleased to hear it, and very good advice !!
Chambery FR JFB 08:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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WASH DC 08:21 GMT January 29, 2004
As far as you can have historical data for backtest and/or you have access to DDE links for live feed, my humble advice is to learn the very basics in programming MS XL, which then offers almost all possible testing facilities. Would be happy to help if needed :-) GL
MONACO OGA 08:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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FX UPDATE 29/01
Good morning,
***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2490), 130 pips lower than yesterday. The pair hovered inside 1,2560-1,2660 ahead of the FOMC decision yesterday evening. US Dec durable good orders were soft. The big mover yesterday was this slight change in the wording, "considerable period" replaced with "can afford to be patient"1,2450 still appears a strong support for the next sessions supports while resistance lies at 1,2550 then 1,2680 today.
Technically, the EUR/USD seems to be experiencing a consolidation inside 1,23-1,29 with a equilibrium point around 1,2500.
For today we will still be looking to play the range 1,2460-1,2560. As long as 1,2300 is not taken, we still believe in the medium term uptrend, our target remains at 1,3500.
Data out today:
EZ M3 Dec expected 7,6% 09.00 GMT
UK GFK consumer confidence survey Jan expected -3.0 10.30 GMT
US employment cost index Y/Y expected 4,2% 13.30 GMT
US initial jobless claims expected 340K 13.30 GMT
Gold around 410,00 , with WTI February at 33,60.
***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 106,00) once again could not take advantage of USD recovery yesterday evening (106,30) and retraced to current levels. Traders are less concerned of sharp USD/JPY upmoves and BOJ seems willing to keep the pair inside 105,50-106,50. We still like to sell upticks (106,30-50) for a retest of 105,50.
EUR/JPY (currently 132,30) looking heavy today. If 131,50 breaks, expect a retest of 129.
***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8190) retraced sharply from 1,8380 stronger to 1,8125. With an interest rate differential poised to increase, we'll be looking to build up long positions in the 1,8030-1,8130 zone for another drive to 1,85.
EURGBP (0,6865) finally broke 0,6870 support and printed 0,6845. We still favour the downside for the medium term, today we'll sell 0,6890 if seen for a 0,6810 target.
Have a nice day,
Olivier
WASH DC 08:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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Can anyone tell me a good forex analytical tool,where someone may be able to test their own system and methods? been trying to find one for a really long time,with no help.
thanks and help is much appreciated
Ldn Cashman 08:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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To all newbies. Last night's price action underlines the need for stop orders. I went home last night long Eur/Usd and left a stop at my entry level 1.2575. I'd have more or less wiped my month's p/l on that move down.
Melbourne Qindex 08:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : The market is pulling back from the upper barrier of my daily cycle.
Melbourne Qindex 00:26 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD : the lower barrier of my daily cycle is expected at 1.2344 // 1.2375 and the upper barrier is located at 1.2497 // 1.2527.
... 1.2222 ... 1.2283 ... 1.2344 // 1.2375, 1.2405, 1.2436, 1.2466, 1.2497 // 1.2527, 1.2558 ...
nyc beyonding_destiny 08:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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any comment on US$/HK$..? ty
Has anyone been benefited by my comments of consolidation and triangle form of majors/US$? pls place T/P, S/L more tight here that a lack of full cent upside movement in Euro and Cable may cause re-rest its last week low...watch out Eur/yen and Gbpyen....already off their highs...Gl,GT
AUS Trader 08:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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HK 8888 07:27 that hoax bla bla is a good 1/2 lot contra/fish indicator.... sorry to see him/her leave us soon
Stockholm za 07:35 ......LOL
Tallinn viies 08:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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good morning world!
sold euro rigth here @1,2510 target 1,2320 fwiw
hk ab 0.88 08:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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bye, see you NY.
LAX-LGB SNP 08:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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ok then off till NYC lunch - GL everyone TTYL
hk ab 0.88 08:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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nzd looks like a mess.
hk ab 0.88 08:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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sell order placed for gbp 1.8260 let's see.
Singapore Pilot 07:56 GMT January 29, 2004
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welcome mate....good luck to all....whatever possies u might have....
Sydney2 07:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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Singapore Pilot, thanks
LAX-LGB SNP 07:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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10 mins to go and here we go :-)
EURCHF has moved already so avoid
AUDUSD has too many conflicts so avoid
USDCAD argues for a pullback towards TL @ 1.3078
sell GBPJPY only if 192.90 can hold on the hourly
GBPUSD moved rather fast but sub-1.8230/00 sells = decent R/R
sell EURUSD if it falls beneath 1.2460/70
hk ab 0.88 07:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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In the past we have a race,
usually the goose move first followed by the sheep and then the kangaroo.
I think this race is back.
Singapore Pilot 07:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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1.25 10 .... close stop at 1.2540? Never know with these crazy mkts.. better to leave stop loss...
Ldn 07:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 ashame he was on the ball
hk ab 0.88 07:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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I only feel pity about those fishy longs above .77........
how deep their pockets could be?
soon tells.
Sydney2 07:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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Singapore Pilot , what is the entry point if shorting Euro? Thanks
Ldn 07:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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HSBC says EUR/USD's failure to close above 1.2610 Wed opens risk toward 1.2320. Now at 1.2490, immediate support comes in at 1.2445 and 1.2410. The bank notes daily Stochastics are negative and falling, supporting the selloff view.
any view from here on this call????
hk ab 0.88 07:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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a very simple view.
if stock mkts provide us ample of volatility, why waste time for that paint drying fx move?
booming is booming, river is river.
hk ab 0.88 07:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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he is refused by gvi, so he said he would not try anymore.
Anyhow, he has not been contacted lately.
and I will leave soon. Let's see.
Don't forget to put a b/e s/l just in case someone crazy sets in and mkt is there everyday to allow us to get better trade.
Ldn 07:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab has your mate been giving any good calls lately
hk ab 0.88 07:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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nzd hoaxes also explode meanwhile.
hk ab 0.88 07:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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aud/jpy p/t at 100 pips length for today.
i.e. 80.80
hk ab 0.88 07:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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congrat jf for your call on eur/jpy, do you expect 12x.xx to be seen?
hk ab 0.88 07:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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There's a custom in jap investors, they "sold" timing not level wise.
They often close their eyes when they enter mkt.....no??
hk ab 0.88 07:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUS trader, maybe you have mistyped "buy fail" into "buy fractal"....
buy point is somewhere .7570-.76, not your dreamy .78
Singapore Pilot 07:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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prop guys selling good amts oz and nzd now
Singapore Pilot 07:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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As long as 1.2530 caps... i think we see 1.2300 sooner rather than later
Stockholm za 07:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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CHF/JPY....... Today
8663-8612
8561-8545
8478
8411-8395
8344-8293
True Ra.... ~8752-:-8274
AUS Trader 07:25 ......... LOL
Happy trades.....
Singapore Pilot 07:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Don't be spooked by this censored move...Eur, Gbp, Oz and Nzd still a sell....
hk ab 0.88 07:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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I said, "short the hoax", short the aud/jpy to learn magic.
hk ab 0.88 07:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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It's enjoyable to read some comments who lies every lines.
Toa Payoh heartlander 07:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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this market, just be long gamma, short gamma sure coma
hk ab 0.88 07:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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Revdax, someone want to consult your Macau index, let him know :)
HK 8888 07:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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what do you mean AUD trader??
What fish index is this?? Is it listed on globex?
ICT ML 07:27 GMT January 29, 2004
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Road...I stayed completely FLAT yesterday...for good reason...too unpredictable FOMC ..glad I did too.
AUS Trader 07:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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euro below 1.25.... & once again the Macau/GV fish index are overwhelmingly euro bearish........
Phillipe Paris 07:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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Any clues ZAR???
TIAMC
beijing road 07:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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correction :one more time
beijing road 07:19 GMT January 29, 2004
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ML: last night i was killed ome time. I placed eur order at 12444 stop at 21 b4 i signed offline to bed. You know, when i woke up this morning, it already gone...........
Sydney2 07:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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any1 wants to short euro today?
beijing road 07:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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Will add EUR long at 12460, all stop at 1.2440
Sydney2 07:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Moscow , thanks.
Omaha Warren 07:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Listen to Mave, she know's the markets.
Belgrade Knez 07:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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Dublin Ronan 07:01 GMT January 29, 2004
take off your head phones so you will not hear anything.
ICT ML 07:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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well, today my $$$ is on London realizing that they sold off perfectly good gbp for still too low yield greenbacks yesterday and try to buy it back today.....we'll see though...kind of a crap shoot really
Liverpool Mave 07:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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Jockey
good euryen info
thks
Moscow 07:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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RTSI - Russian Trading System Index , just Russian Dow.
May not at once they will buy it.Its one way ticket frd...
batam lobang 07:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot,
tks for the advice
beijing road 07:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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long eur/usd now with 40pips stoploss,hope to see 1.2500-10, 1.2530-50, 1.2590-.2610, good luck.
Singapore Pilot 07:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Time to turn on the printing press again i guess...
Dublin Ronan 07:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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Jockey
Will you stop shouting for fooks sake?
Sydney2 07:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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Moscow, thanks, what is RTSI?
Brisbane L 06:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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you got to feel sorry for them BOJ there she goes again under 106
Singapore Pilot 06:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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yes u can sell usd cash.... selling zone? near 9000 i reckon
muizenberg jocky 06:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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SEEING SOME EURO JPY SELLING 132.20
Moscow 06:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sell DJIA.Buy RTSI.
Sydney2 06:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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Any view on DJI when the coming USA market opens?
batam lobang 06:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pilot,
Tks
So take advantage of bird flu and sell into rally ... wats a good level to go short ?
But can we sell usd/idr cash ?
Singapore Pilot 06:38 GMT January 29, 2004
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Lobang.... short to med term .. ie..6 mths to 1 year.. think this bird flu think is going to keep the dlr supported agst all the asians....Longer term..maybe 1 year or more ...see it below 7800
Singapore Pilot 06:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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yo Denmark... repect the dead man.. i had a few good friends who died in that crash
Grt Dane Denmark 06:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pilot hope your fortune doenst follow that Silk Air Pilot who crashed into the river!
batam lobang 06:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pilot,
Any view on usd/idr ?
muizenberg jocky 06:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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SORRY HARD OR HEARING
Darwin Bill 06:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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There's no need to shout Jockey! take yr caps lock off
muizenberg jocky 06:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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I THINK WITH A COUPLE OF YRDS TO BUY AT 0.6845-49
GOING TO BE TOUGH
Melbourne Qindex 05:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/GBP ; With a little bit of luck one can see the market testing the lower barrier of my daily cycle at 0.6808 // 0.6826 in New York time today.
muizenberg jocky 05:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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I WONDER WHAT THE DELTA IS OF US SEEING 0.6826 IN 3 MONTHS EUR/GBP
Brisbane L 05:49 GMT January 29, 2004
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European CBs are considering to increase the amount of GOLD they can sell by about 25% or to 500 tonnes from current 400 tonnes per yr, as the current "Washington accord" expires in Sep, according to a senior Euro zone source quoted by Reuters. The IMF meetings on Apr 24-25 are a likely venue to finalize a new accord, but the groundwork can be laid beforehand, such as G10, report MMS
Singapore Pilot 05:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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yo Solo ...good call in gbp....thanks
Melbourne Qindex 05:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 06:58 GMT January 27, 2004
EUR/GBP : My 3-month projection profile indicates that the market is pulling towards 0.6826.
Singapore Pilot 05:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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hi Jockey..reckon if u feel gbp is going to crap out then better buy the eur gbp...but then topside limited to 0.6880 90 so not much meat in that....whereas downside can get ugly if we break 0.6800
singapore emperor 05:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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enjoy the yo yo mkt...
Lnd 05:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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Toyota president says yen too strong vs dollar
TOKYO, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Toyota Motor Corp President Fujio Cho said on Thursday that the yen's current levels against the dollar were too strong and were affecting the company's profits.
"The yen is too strong now," he said at a lecture in Tokyo.
The strength of the yen -- currently around 106 per dollar -- was adversely affecting profits, he said, adding that a dollar rate of between 110 and 120 yen would be favourable.
Toyota has assumed a dollar rate of 105 yen for the second half of its business year and is expected to report record profits for the full year to March on strong growth in global sales.
muizenberg jocky 05:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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SO NO IDEAS ON EURO STG JUST EVERY THING ELSE
London Bob the Baptist 05:39 GMT January 29, 2004
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fkg hate northern monkeys I do
Singapore Pilot 05:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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sell the eur near 1.2510 s/l 30 or 40 worth a shot... buy usd yen near 105.90 s/l 50... sell oz 0.7725 s/l 40 .. lets see if the Londoners want to follow thru with the eur selling or not... personally prefer that scenario... but then again.. its the year of the monkey so... we might end up as FX monkeys
muizenberg jocky 05:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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ANY IDEAS ON EURO STG SEEMS BID AT 0.6850
AUD Trader 05:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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haha! emperor sori to confuse you... (unless you also wish to compete for the GV fool title?)
singapore censored 05:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pilot, how u see the ldn mkt..
Singapore Pilot 05:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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buy the Nok/Cad.....I think eur/Nok up here is tail end.. shudnt cross 8.75 so sell the eur/nok up here ...and buy eur/cad near 1.6500
muizenberg jocky 05:32 GMT January 29, 2004
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ahh yes i see that cheers
singapore censored 05:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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PILOT, like your mkt flows.... are u in the mkt.?
Bangkok Porn 05:30 GMT January 29, 2004
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Interesting dolphin formation on the weekly NOK/CAD charts.
If see sustained break of 0.1850 (current lvl 0.1900), cannot rule out sharp decline to 0.1300
Melbourne Qindex 05:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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NOK/CAD : It is available on a special arrangement.
muizenberg jocky 05:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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any views on nok/cad
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 05:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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ideally gbp/usd move down from 1.8200 to get 1.8070
try sell here with stp at 1.8220
hk ab 0.88 05:17 GMT January 29, 2004
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Waste too much time on jokes.
Leave it for lunch now.
singapore emperor 05:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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getting interesting man..... wanna to know more
HK 8888 05:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot,
haha busted!
Singapore Pilot 05:13 GMT January 29, 2004
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hahahha where's fei mow? he knows that joke very well
Brisbane L 05:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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The Institute of Fiscal Studies, Britain"s leading tax thinktank, has warned that Chancellor Brown will start the next economic cycle with a Gbp 11 Bln shortfall between tax receipts and current spending, putting him in breach of his "golden rule" only to borrow only for investment purposes. According to the Guardian, the thinktank argues that to meet the rule with the same safety margin built into last year"s budget forecasts would require tax increases or spending cuts of around GBp 13 Bln. Brown already faces city prediction that he will overshoot his Gbp 37 Bln borrowing forecast for this year.
MMS
HK 8888 05:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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reminds me of the old forex joke
fluctuations, and fluck you white guys too
;-)
Melbourne Qindex 05:09 GMT January 29, 2004
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USD/CAD : As shown in my monthly cycle charts the market is currently trading outside the normal trading range of my monthly cycle. This is an indication of a strong market and the odds are against any short positions. The mid-point reference of the barrier at 1.2950 // 1.3083 is 1.3017 and the current expected trading range is 1.3016 - 1.3485.
Monthly Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2549 // 1.2683, 1.2816, 1.2950 // 1.3083, 1.3217 ... 1.3485 ...
singapore emperor 05:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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8888, guess you look at monthly chart.
we are looking at daily chart, step by step
HK 8888 05:05 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot
no, meant 0.4775, the all time aud low .
emperor said he thought we see new low tonight.
limit short on that strong view.
singapore emperor 05:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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8888, guess you are trying to see a deeper correction.
we are looking at 0.7630-0.7580 region
HK 8888 05:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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if hit my 0.4775 t/p tonight can afford to take rest of year off .......censored shiok
Singapore Pilot 05:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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8888 is that typo error? u mean 0.7475 rite? not 0.4775?
Ldn 05:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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The repeated failures above 0.7800 and the triple-top between 0.7810/15 could see the AUD/USD struggle until the RBA decides on rates nest week. A break below 0.7640 would target a move towards 0.7535
singapore emperor 05:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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wowowoow....... u cna raise yur t/p
it all depends on the view... yurself...
HK 8888 05:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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emperor
wah, have shorted on your suggestion and left my t/p at 0.4775...so you think I will have to raise that?
Singapore Pilot 05:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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well I guess we have to wait till everyone trys to head out the exit door at the same time...then might see deeper correction....that will happen when people start to get infactuated with the Dlr again...until that happens... just have to go with the flow....
singapore emperor 04:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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8888... When i say new low.... is the recent low
sori to confuse you.... am bearish aud crosses...
looking at 0.7630-0.7580.
HK 8888 04:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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emperor
wah, so bearish aud??
you think we see new low in aud tonight??
old low is 0.4775....censored big move you expecting tonight.
hk ab 0.88 04:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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sell aud/jpy 81.80. You will see a magic on this.
This hoax is going to implode.
Brisbane L 04:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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The Aud has made some 30% gain this year against the USD, and aud being the animal it is when the tide turns it can slide down the elevator before you can say blink an eye - for those that missed the ride up , will be able to catch it on the way down and when that happens there is no bottom !!
singapore emperor 04:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD Trader.... so... join the club... fool always a fool
AUS Trader 04:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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Once a fool always a fool....
singapore emperor 04:31 GMT January 29, 2004
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US INVESTMENT BGT EUR TO SELL....
AUD also sell rally ... ......
ldn time, hope to see new low.
Melbourne Qindex 04:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : Basically the market is vibrating around the quantised level at 1.2462 with a mgnitude of 50 pips.
melbourne farmacia 04:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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hk ab 0.88 03:54 GMT January 29, 2004
Don't see anything etc.. yes 0.7660 is a 0.50 fibo, but as 0.7740 broke my tool, odds suggest bit more of a swing down.
Ldn 04:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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melbourne farmacia agree witht he article below , we are getting close to the view top for now and could see a deeper correction than thought , market is so censored bent on it going to 140 the Euro it probably wont market becoming untradable with no two way business ridiculous.
Ldn 03:57 GMT January 29, 2004
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(Reuters)A slight easing of the Federal Reserve's commitment to ultra-low U.S. interest rates has spurred expectations of a rate hike this year, boosting the dollar and prompting talk that the Group of Seven nations might change their currency stance next week. with the seeds may have been sown for the end of the dollar's long, relentless decline aftr the Fed statement today.In the meantime, the dollar's boost from the market's expectations of a U.S. rate hike - perhaps by midyear - is helping Japan cap the yen's rise. It could also make the tone of the Feb. 6-7 meeting of G7 finance chiefs less dollar-bearish.
Federal Open Market Committee said Wednesday the central bank "can be patient in removing its policy accommodation" - a phrase that will make it easier for the Fed to raise rates when it chooses. Investors immediately began anticipating a rate hike later this year. The futures market now rates a 25-basis-point hike in June as an 80% chance, up from 40% before the Fed statement. It prices in a hike by September of that magnitude as a certainty and gives even odds on a 50-point hike by then. Any prospect of higher interest rates should deter investors from selling the dollar and using the proceeds to buy higher-yielding currencies, and some analysts said this could be the beginning of the end for heavy dollar losses. "If what we are seeing from the Fed and the (economic) numbers are confirmed, then we will look back on the first quarter and say this was really where the big down-move of the dollar started to come to an end," said Ken Courtis, Asian vice chairman for Goldman Sachs.
"After the (dollar) moves over the last two and a half years, you don't turn on a dime," Courtis told CNBC Asia's Squawk Box program. "This is a big supertanker, and it will take time for the dollar to turn."
Fed Shift Makes BOJ's Task Easier
Indeed, the euro and most other major currencies will probably make another attempt to rally against dollar, but he said the "very large part" of their gains are already in.
If the dollar is in the process of stabilizing - it dropped 30% during the past two years against the euro - this would be welcome news for Japan's Finance Ministry, which continues to fight yen strength against the U.S. currency. "With the BOJ so desperate to stop the yen rising too much, anything that makes that task a little easier - like signs the Fed could hike by midyear - is obviously going to be welcomed," said a U.S. bank trader in Singapore.
Perceptions Fed policy stance mightn't be quite as loose for as long as previously thought could also influence next week's meeting of G7 finance ministers and central bankers in Boca Raton, Fla. Their communique could be "slightly more dollar-bullish" as a result of the Fed's subtle shift, said Jason Bonanca, director of foreign-exchange strategy at CSFB in New York. Some analysts said this could include removal of the G7's call in September for "more flexibility" in foreign-exchange regimes. That U.S.-prompted phrase from the last G7 meeting is considered a call for the Chinese and other Asian currencies to rise so the dollar can weaken in a more balanced fashion to adjust to U.S. structural imbalances. The Fed shift could also raise the chance the G7 will call for currency stability. Japan and Europe would welcome such a G7 outcome.
Eurozone financial officials have become increasingly vocal lately about the risks to their region's economic activity posed by the euro's sharp gains against the dollar. The Europeans argue the Fed is far too accommodative, contributing to the rise in the euro-dollar exchange rate, and some have called for the European Central Bank to cut rates to take the heat out of the euro.
hk ab 0.88 03:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUS Trader 03:44 GMT January 29, 2004
AUD bounced off the 20day ma support with multiple hourly buy fractals after the overnight knee-jerk FED reaction. strong support at .7665
multiple test of the .7800 daily top is a prelude to range breakout expansion.
Another big smile.
What kind of fractal do you see in hrly?
I only see a spike to .7810 ONLY and now price is trending down.
Farmacia, do you see the fractal he mentioned??
Interesting to see someone put down something virtual at all.
hk ab 0.88 03:52 GMT January 29, 2004
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off loaded most gbp short except the one made 1.8360 and wait for the string bounce back to the middle line of the triangle.
This triangle looks more and more promising now.
AUS Trader 03:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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AUD bounced off the 20day ma support with multiple hourly buy fractals after the overnight knee-jerk FED reaction. strong support at .7665
multiple test of the .7800 daily top is a prelude to range breakout expansion.
melbourne farmacia 03:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Ldn 03:25 GMT January 29, 2004
Bet RBC's Greg Gibbs doesn't have any cash on his call...
0.7612 ish looks more likely fwiw.
spore bohemian 03:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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thansk L
thats a scary thouhgt isnt it all focus on a weak usd but imagine a crisis in the emu
Ina* mr.co'z 03:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Morning All...!!
focus to strong dollar to day ! thx gl/gt..
Brisbane L 03:33 GMT January 29, 2004
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EU Currency Pact Hits New Crisis
UK Independent Newspaper
Independent states that 5 of the EZ countries have either
breached or risk beaching the laws laid down for euro membership. The EC warning comes after France and Germany have already provoked a political crisis by breaking the Stability Pact and it appears that Italy and the Netherlands may also fall short of their obligations.
The EC reports underline the weakness of the EZ recovery, but also show that the pact has become unenforceable. The credibility of the pact comes under extreme scrutiny with the prediction that the Dutch may hit the 3% ceiling given
the fact that the Dutch government is one of the EZ's few staunch defenders of the pact.
http://news.independent.co.uk/europe/story.jsp?story=485637
Ldn 03:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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Sell AUD/USD at current levels, stop-loss above 0.7855, target 0.7400, says RBC's Greg Gibbs; adds pair failed for second time yesterday above 0.7800. Recommendation comes as FOMC statement provides impetus for pullback; "the risk is still significant that news will arrive to hurt sentiment." Adds ability of AUD to perform solidly recently appears more related to strength in Asian FX than any improved outlook for global growth, judging by performance of stock, commodity markets. Pair last at 0.7714 Dow Jones
Singapore Pilot 03:23 GMT January 29, 2004
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Duh......Stay out? heheheheheheh
spore bohemian 03:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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hahahah thats japanese for you thanks pilot for that effort so whast the lvl now??
hk ab 0.88 03:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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Noody, do you see the queue still lining up for aussie?
spore bohemian 03:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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hi people what would be a low cost strategy if i am seeing a lower sti in the medium term?
AUS Trader 03:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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the next test of AUD .7780 should clear the way for .7890
Singapore Pilot 03:18 GMT January 29, 2004
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Something just came out...not really good for usd yen... wonder why they like shooting themselves in the feet? Do these guys know what they are saying? or something lost in translation?......
BOJ'S TAYA SAYS IMPACT OF YEN'S RISE ON EXPORTS IS SO FAR LIMITED
BOJ'S TAYA SAYS NEED TO WATCH IMPACT OF DLR FALL, U.S. RATES ON WORLD ECONOMY
BOJ'S TAYA SAYS STILL CANNOT HOLD VIEW THAT DEFLATION WILL BE OVERCOME
KYOTO, Japan, Jan 29 (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Policy Board member Teizo
Taya said on Thursday that the impact of the yen's rise on exports has so far
been limited. "The impact of the yen's rise can be seen as limited, with the
effective rate not having risen as much as the rate against the dollar," Taya
said in a speech to regional business leaders in Kyoto, western Japan.
He also said he still did not see Japan overcoming deflation, saying he
expected consumer prices to fall by about 0.3 percent in the fiscal year
starting in April.
Singapore Pilot 03:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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8888...yes thats what most Malaysian corps have been doing...funding their Malaysian projects via the Yen... dont forget those where the days when dlr yen was up at 125 130
so at these yen levels? can't go very wrong can you?
Philippines newtrader 03:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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big thanks mr. raden.wish me luck! till then....newtrader
Cairo Amgad 03:10 GMT January 29, 2004
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ride euro
1.2480 s/L 1.2460
spore bohemian 03:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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so good entry lvl for gbpyen?? have we missed the gbpchf??
Miami OMIL 03:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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One more thing Farmacia there is another virus you should check for here is the site to check and remove this one just came out today:
http://www.sophos.com.au/virusinfo/analyses/w32mydoomb.html
HK 8888 03:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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thanx pilot
how about Malaysian/Yen carry??
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 03:02 GMT January 29, 2004
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Brisbane and Philiphine new trader
usd/jpy 106.75
aud/usd 0.7645
Singapore Pilot 03:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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sure...you and the rest of Asia will be sitting on the bid hehehe.....reckon buy gbp/yen will be good carry trade.. in fact best to put in anything agst yen ...go for the carry man....
spore bohemian 02:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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hey pilot gbp looks like a bargain at 1.77?? well worth a punt if it ever gets theer
spore bohemian 02:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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well its subsidy buying from the cat for dlyen yep does look like usd is flavour of the week well maybe the wives r buying for their shopping spree in florida hiyah better buy that beach front property fast be4 mrs koizumi snaps it up
Singapore Pilot 02:54 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pegging means fixed exchange rate by the central Bank... forget abt the Myr for now...better concentrate on other things...Repegging is not going to happen so soon so dont hold your breathe...The govt is not going to Rock the boat now...Just buy $/jpy for the day..hahhaha
singapore emperor 02:53 GMT January 29, 2004
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as we spk usdjpy touched... higher lor
phils VL 02:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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waiting to short euro later. back in a awhile. GL GT
Singapore Pilot 02:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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yo bohemian....yeah euro bashing from 1.2495... top limited to 1.2530 now...$/sgd looking bid this morning..normally leads the way for $/yen...i wonder.....
Cairo Amgad 02:50 GMT January 29, 2004
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Eur/usd:
I might chase eur
Buy 1.2480 S/L 1.2460 Target 1.2608
Add 1.2515 and 1.2570
Sell 1.2460 S/L 1.2480 Target 1.2332
Add 1.2425 and 1.2408
spore bohemian 02:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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good morning one and all
so its eur bashing again this morning
how is life pilot?? ad the morning paying off your jet fuel?
HK 8888 02:47 GMT January 29, 2004
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thanx pilot....what does pegging mean?? that it doesn't move very much???. my colleauge from IB tell me if break support at 3.7990, very large downside move can be happening. do you think this can happen?
singapore emperor 02:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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USD REGIONAL FIRM ACROSS THE BOARD...
usdjpy will follow suit higher.
eur, gbp and aud suffer
Singapore Pilot 02:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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buy $/sgd....think good support now at 1.6965
singapore emperor 02:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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Hi VL,
Once a dealer always a dealer....
Melbourne Qindex 02:45 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD : See details in my page when the market is trading outside the range of 1.2384 - 1.2506.
Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2384 // 1.2401, 1.2419, 1.2436, 1.2454, (1.2471), 1.2488 // 1.2506 ...
The market rhythm of 0.001737 is used for the time being.
phils VL 02:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Pilot - appreciate your leads. Are you raffles place or shenton way?
Emperor - are you a dealer too?
eur/usd;clealy bearish, gunning the 1.2330 low and should breeze thru. better than average chance, we'l see 21, 18 then near 15 nx few weeks.
your kiasu kaki
Cairo Amgad 02:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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For GBP/USD:
sell at 1.8135 S/L 1.8155
Sell at 1.8101 S/L 1.8124
Target 1.7930
I consider buy if 1.8291 is broken.
Singapore Pilot 02:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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the MYR has been pegged since 1997 mate.... talk of adjustments to the Peg in the near future ..guess the Govt will only think abt it if $ yen stays below 100.... otherwise have to forget abt getting a reval in the peg...just too good for exports to rock the boat now
HK 8888 02:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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thx pilot
any wisdom on my Dollar/Malaysian question to share?
Singapore Pilot 02:40 GMT January 29, 2004
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welcome 8888....us investment hse buying some usd yen... reckon see higher if we break yesterdays higher 106.65 and previous 107.10...some extremist calling 110.00 again but i will be happy with 108 hahahhaha
HK 8888 02:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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thanx a mio pilot
any thoughts on DOLLAR/ Malaysian ccy pair??
it doesnt seem to move very much??
Brisbane L 02:36 GMT January 29, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi
also the aud today is there in your view more downside to come thank you
and Good trades.
Porto PJT 02:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Farmacia, hats off to you, good tech you are.GT.
Philippines newtrader 02:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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Halu again my friend mr. raden_masandi, whats your forcast for yen today?your new friend :-).......newtrader
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 02:22 GMT January 29, 2004
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gbp/usd have given sell signal to get 1.8080 (safety exit).
sell with stp at 1.8250 fro long term trade.
hk ab 0.88 02:21 GMT January 29, 2004
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the happiest thing of the new year is the sell stops got filled.
now shorted eur/chf 1.5694
Caribbean! Rafe... 02:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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if euro shorts then we could easily see 1.2368 then 1.2278.
emporor what is your source of information? bank buddies or news or rumors etc?
TIA.
LDn 02:10 GMT January 29, 2004
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If U.S. short-term rates continue to rise after FOMC wording change, USD could benefit as players scramble to cover USD carry trades as dollar funding costs, BNP Paribas analysts write. Say also EUR/USD's slip through support at 1.2450 opens scope for slide to 1.2340
AFT
Cairo Amgad 02:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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I close eur/usd:
1.2648 AT 1.2475 (28 pip)
1.2680 AT 1.2475 (-5 pip)
i will Add at
1.2510 S/L 1.2480
1.2563 S/L 1.2535
Target 1.2608 (corrected)
not think of Sell before break of 1.2408
GT, GL
singapore emperor 02:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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SWISS NAME SOLD HUGE EUR.... GO W IT
Alicante RTN 02:03 GMT January 29, 2004
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Eurusd retraced to 38 % fibo level and then reversed - so far behaving nicely.
melbourne farmacia 02:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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Question on help forum regarding my worm. OMIL any help please ?.
Eilat Dolphin 02:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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I sense we have seen the E top till Euroland wakes up, at best.
End of week should be below 1.2500.
ok 01:55 GMT January 29, 2004
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I know this might be a stupid question but can someone please tell me the difference between the forex and trading the euro futures on globex?
Miami OMIL 01:51 GMT January 29, 2004
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You win some you loose some. The idea here is to win more than loose. On gbp/usd fib retracement there is (give or take some pips) 1.8220-25, 1.8250-55, 1.8280-85 and 1.8325-30. For eur/usd fib retracement is 1.2495-1.2500, 1.2525-30, 1.2555-60 and 1.2585-90 IMHO. (/;-> GL GT
Cairo Amgad 01:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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I hold eur/usd from:
1.2648 S/L 1.2640 Lock profit, raise S/L 1.2475 (ON)
1.2680 S/L 1.2475 (CORRECTED)
Add at
1.2510 S/L 1.2480
1.2563 S/L 1.2535
Target 1.2608 (corrected)
Sell on break of 1.2408
GT, GL
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:44 GMT January 29, 2004
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Rivonia pip pirate.
ya.. I agree.
Singapore Pilot 01:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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yo 888 yes i m ....offers in euro up at 1.2510 20... bids 1.2435 45
melbourne farmacia 01:34 GMT January 29, 2004
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Adelaide albbar 01:14 GMT January 29, 2004
Not 100% on time frame as yet, 1.8240/50 looks very possible
as gbp's banging on 1.8190. Would look to add shorts at 1.8240 only if indicators support short signal. GT
Rivonia PipPirate 01:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi All I can say is the generation of random numbers is too important to be left to chance
Dallas GEP 01:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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ArgenFX, there WAS you 50 PIP profit on your original GBP long. Sorry I didn't post to you sooner but nothing wrong with banking 20 pips!!!!
hk 8888 01:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot
you seem close to the action in the mkts....very on the ball!
where do u see bids and offers in euro/dollar today??
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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1.2548-1.2638 are both going to be reached if uptrend continues and could be reached quickly.
just my opinion not a forecast. 1.2638 between now and friday
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:15 GMT January 29, 2004
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Rivonia Pip pirate.
yesterday I wrote here "be carefull with 1.2551 with stp 1.2540". and my Russian friend have given info by me about 1.2663 0r 1.2700 as the top.
I hope to day will get clear signal.
Cairo Amgad 01:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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I hold eur/usd from:
1.2648 S/L 1.2640 Lock profit, raise S/L 1.2460 (ON)
1.2680 S/L 1.2460 (ON)
Add at
1.2510 S/L 1.2480
1.2563 S/L 1.2535
Target 1.2608 (corrected)
Sell on break of 1.2408
GT, GL
Adelaide albbar 01:14 GMT January 29, 2004
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melbourne farmacia 00:58 GMT
any timeframe on your expectation for 8102? I anticipate max. bounce to about 8240. Any comment?
gl & gt
singapore emperor 01:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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THATS FOR THE EURUSD....STOPS ABV 1.2490-1.2505
Dallas GEP 01:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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If you want to short the dollar at this time I would suggest USD/CAD. look at four hour charts.
Rivonia PipPirate 01:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi Your accuracy is amazing.
singapore emperor 01:12 GMT January 29, 2004
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ASIAN MKT.... MADE THE LOW EARLY MORNING...
WATCH IT, WE MAY NOT VISIT THAT LVL AGAIN !!
Caribbean! Rafe... 01:11 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot// keep the info coming, it's appreciated =)
Philippines newtrader 01:08 GMT January 29, 2004
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hallooo Mr raden. ive found your a good adviser.what can you advise forecast for the yen today? new trader.
singapore emperor 01:07 GMT January 29, 2004
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tks pilot..... tricky mkt so far. really yo yo.
Daily macd goes negative. shd be sell rally.
will buy back at 1.2390 50 m.a ... unless it close below there, will be interesting one.
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 01:04 GMT January 29, 2004
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Rivonia Pip Pirate.
ya.. maybe difficult to wear. but now we see 1.2410 have be met. because in probability counting that number must be get.
Singapore Pilot 01:01 GMT January 29, 2004
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yo Emperor ..yeah i'm here...
Euro tops at 1.2500 20 now... usd swissy selling this morning forcing some guys to hedge that by buying Euro this morning at 1.2455 lvl....think eur/chf going to come off later...
Rivonia PipPirate 01:00 GMT January 29, 2004
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Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:11 GMT January 27, 2004
good morning traders!!
about eur/usd..
have given me info walking on 90% prob 1.2410
if price move up..better be againts .
it is difficult to wear a hat these days when you have to keep taking it off
melbourne farmacia 00:58 GMT January 29, 2004
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Short gbp/usd at 1.8379 picked up overnight, looking for 1.8102 again fwiw.
melbourne farmacia 11:53 GMT January 28, 2004
QF - Levels of interest on gbp/usd - 1.8379 and 1.8465 again.
Only re-posting the above, to protect myself from after the fact comments etc. GT
beirut jb 00:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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euro$ should drop here at 12470, reversal to long on hourly basis need a close above 12512
GT GL
Gen dk 00:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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Trading Signals Updated:
CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information
Toronto fxdc 00:48 GMT January 29, 2004
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i'd like to sell EUR around1.2540,and GBP around 1.8230.stop 40 pips
sarasota jf 00:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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looks like we got the initial euryen stops can see under 131.50 later once we work out the rapidness of todays move-
gep when the mkt was moving quickly today did your platform let you trade or did they freeze it on you ? tia
Cairo Amgad 00:46 GMT January 29, 2004
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as i mentioned before, I hold eur/usd from 1.2648 S/L 1.2640 (corredted)
add on break of 1.2475 S/L 1.2460, 1.2510 S/L 1.2480 and 1.2563 S/L 1.2535
Target 1.2626
I will reverse postition on break of 1.2408
GT, GL
Your comments is appritiated, Thank you
beirut jb 00:43 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good morning all,
anybody know when gold future wake up???
Thank u
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:42 GMT January 29, 2004
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about eur/usd better wait confirmation to show 1.2400 for sell to get 1.2368 bid after meet my number 1.2410
singapore emperor 00:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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pilot... u in there. ?
eur looking sick closed below 1.2550, is a sell for 1.2385
first.
hk ab 0.88 00:41 GMT January 29, 2004
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nzd looks unusual volatile, is it due to the crosses only?
Eilat Dolphin 00:37 GMT January 29, 2004
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Amgad/ Hi, I liked your comment on the E short trend, earlier.
Singapore Pilot 00:35 GMT January 29, 2004
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good morning all.....how's tricks?
Cairo Amgad 00:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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GOOD MORNING RADAN, HOW R U TODAY?
we miss your valuable views.
GL, GT
Melbourne Qindex 00:29 GMT January 29, 2004
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Melbourne Qindex 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels
... 1.2384 // 1.2401, 1.2419, 1.2436, 1.2454, (1.2471), 1.2488 // 1.2506 ...
The market rhythm of 0.001737 is used for the time being. See details in my page.
Eilat Dolphin 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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Happy sunrise Raden.
Buenos Aires Argenfx 00:28 GMT January 29, 2004
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To DALLAS Gep: Thanks friend but I just closed out my position at 1.8160 (20 pips profit). Good trading !!
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:26 GMT January 29, 2004
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g'mornin Raden. what do you think about euro for today?
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 00:25 GMT January 29, 2004
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Good morning money hunters !!
Dallas GEP 00:24 GMT January 29, 2004
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ArgenFX, based on charts presently, your 50 PIP target should not be a problem on that GBP long but there IS resistance here @ 1.8160 and at 1.8180.
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:20 GMT January 29, 2004
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EUR/USD UPPER BANDS 1.2496 1.2511 1.2529 1.2543 1.2558 1.2576 1.2606
LOWER BANDS 1.2466 1.2452 1.2433 1.2419 1.2404 1.2386 1.2356
Caribbean! Rafe... 00:16 GMT January 29, 2004
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Have a small euro order waiting at 1.2428 bid it up to 1.2548 min.. Tight stop. :)