User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  
January  February  March  April  May  June  July  August  September  October  November  December  
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Forex Forum Archive for 01/30/2004

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI john 22:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
from GVI...
Reserve Bank of Australia
Meeting: February 2
Cash Rate target: 5.25%
Last 3mo: 5.65%

Implied Futures:
MAR03: 5.630%
JUN04: 5.710%
SEP04: 5.780%

The Reserve Bank of Australia continues to manage one of the most robust economies on the globe. In its December rate hike announcement, the bank clearly left the door wide open for future rate hikes. The bank is meeting on February 2. and its decision will be announced early on Wednesday. The employment situation in Australia remains strong. We feel that the 5.25% Cash Rate target will be increased to 5.50%. The RBA has said that the Cash Rate must move to 5.50% to 6.00% to achieve its goal of monetary neutrality. Some are starting to take the view that a rate hike is unlikely.

Mtl JP 22:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
cam 20:59 / pound joining euro would add too much weight to the ccy. USD is not prepared to handle a challenge to the reserve status.

Melb mpfx 22:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I am after the historical starting dates for the majors, ie. when they first started trading or first floated on the world markets, cannot find anything on web and my charts dont go back far enough :((
Tia..

LAX-LGB SNP 22:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
a few after-hours observations

EURUSD failed thrice after june 94 closing above 1.30 & 3 months breaking above 1.2808 fibo

EURGBP monthly has given up all gains since Dec open and
price is just above lower end of 0.6802-0.7091 range

EURJPY is just above lower end of 131.62-137.89 fibo range which launched price higher twice this month

EURCHF had its 6th weekly attempt trying to close above 1.5697

GBPJPY is still below below Feb 03 top of range @ 198.62 & Jan 04 top @ 198.16 while price has launched higher above 191.05 4th time this month

GBPCHF gained 8 cents in 1 month (same as september 03 followed by 7 cent fall in Dec) - now its tres close to earlier top @ 2.3036

AUDUSD had its 5th straight month of gains and its 4th consecutive week trying to tackle 0.7773

USDCAD is still below below 1.3426 fibo after which price crashed twice already - only 1 month of gains/retracement after 5 months of losses

laterzzz

LAX-LGB SNP 22:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
london CAM
thanks for your views ... scary thought indeed

Gen dk 21:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas GEP 21:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
See you guys in Asia on Sunday. Have a good WE

Dallas GEP 21:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
One might look for some LATE squaring out of dollor short positions.

Dallas GEP 21:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
My Platform closed on USD/CAD at 1.3244. Of course you see now how AFTER close it is 1.3254 LOL

beirut jb 21:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
....will close it at 134
hope so

london cam 20:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML - I share your hope, but glad to see you've diversified your interests into other pairs.
IMVHO 'if' the global reserve currency status currently enjoyed by the dollar continues to fade, the UK may have little choice but to join the Euro so the beast may not be around after this decade.

GL and a good weekend.

beirut jb 20:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hi GEP

me too leaving long $/cad

have a nice week end

Dallas GEP 20:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
13 minutes until platform close for me. I did get that USD/CAD long from 1.3250 which I will leave open over the weekend.

ICT ML 20:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thanks CAM...makes more sense now...can't remember where I read that, it was YEARS ago...and I hope I can continue to trade GBP pairs until they put me in the wooden box myself...LOL

london cam 20:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML
I recall big George waging war on the pound in 92 but don't believe it was for the purpose of keeping Britain out of the EU. He was capitalising on the then governement's decision to link the pound the the EMU. In a nutshell, his created tremendous pressure on the UK economy resulting in a period of accelarating interest rates. Big george knew that the UK could not continue on this road for long (at that time) so he speculated and made the mega killing we all know about.

As the question of the UK going forward with Euro adoption is yet to be put into a referendum and probably won't happen until Blair is out, maybe Big George will have retired by then!!just been stuck in my head for awhile now......

ICT ML 20:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
If there are any old school style fundamental guys here...I have a question that has been in the back of my mind since Blair promised to move GB into the EU and Euro by 2007:

I recall reading that in 91-92 Big George and the group he was the front man for, waged war on the pound with the purpose of keeping GB from qualifying to join the EU.....if that was in fact half way true, what are the chances they take subversion style tactics again?

just been stuck in my head for awhile now......

ICT ML 20:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles, have a good weekend. Much enjoy reading your posts.

Raven, I souldn't have answered your question on this forum, for good reason, my apologies to GV.

What a wild month its been!

Bristol Stag 20:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Gobby kind of guy that Memphis Charles - funny though!

Memphis Charles 19:56 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
My comment referred to market action, not your question. censored, I'd like to know too.....

Memphis Charles 19:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I'm short Eur at 1.2483 for size. I'm cashing in and taking the day off.

Good weekend all.

Memphis Charles 19:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Jay hates my Coke can analogy so I do it to annoy him.

Memphis Charles 19:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Somebody just put 75 cents in a Coke machine, a can has been dispensed, and the shaking is about to commence.

Memphis Charles 19:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thanks.

ICT ML 19:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles...airport code for Wichita, Kansas...mid west USA is home currently.....

Memphis Charles 19:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ICT, location please.....

ICT ML 19:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I kearned a hard lesson on that too.....hit 9 20-50 pip losers in a row coming back from vacation in September ( when I left we were selling the helll out of cable, when I came back I was still trying to do it) and at 20% in equity in the trades at 100:1 leverage.....you can do the math on that...lost a few clients over it and some of my own $$$ as well...

Now, I stipulate clients open accounts with the mini $10K lot sizes so we aren't taking their average $10K initial investment and putting so much risk into any one particular trade. Works MUCH BETTER this way. I still have 15-20% in use at some times, but spread out over 3 to 5 different trades.

USA Biscuit Boy 19:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Raven my son is too young to trade just yet other than random ones. You would be surprised how my platform translates a small hand mashing a bunch of keys at once into numerous trades lol. But I am hoping to turn it into a family business in 12 years or so.

Va Raven 19:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
A friend of mine who opened a 10k online trading account for his son with 200:1 leverage, 4 months later, his son returned that 10k and kept 35k in the account..... last Dec. he asked his father to lend him 10k again.
How many sons and fathers here doing the same thing?

USA Biscuit Boy 19:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Agreed charles. With my broker you can tarde as little as a single dollar. Put in $500 and if you can earn 80% per year consistently in 15 years you will be a very happy camper :)

Memphis Charles 18:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I do too; if I was starting out trading I would allocate $5 to 10K in a mini account and trade a few mini-lots at a time which is a completely pressure-free situation. Allow the trader to set realistic stop loss points and profit-taking limit orders without worrying about equity.

Va Raven 18:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
NYC NYC 18:49 - Having 100:1 leverage is different from trading 100:1 leverage, no? Believe all relatively speaking.

Ga Lee 18:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
There are partial lots available...names withheld of course..but they are available..

USA Biscuit Boy 18:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles it just struck me as very large for a beginner. If you wanted to add to a position or average you could be up to $500k very quickly. I think a mini is a great way to get started.

Memphis Charles 18:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Maybe it's $50K... somebody let us know.

Memphis Charles 18:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BB... I think the $100K is the next size trade up from a mini on most of the platforms advertised here. Perhaps they'll tailor a trade size, dunno, I trade with a different broker.

NYC NYC 18:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Anyone who trades 100:1 has very short trading life expectancy rate.

Bristol Sag 18:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD - EUR now touching the 200 day EMA!

USA Biscuit Boy 18:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Do most trade 100-1 here? And $100k a beginners size trade? Seems awfully high to me :(

Memphis Charles 18:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Like I said, a very nice accomplishment.

ICT ML 18:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
SNP...believe me, it seems as if fortunes are here one day and gone the next.....

NYC 18:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
So, on a 10k account, leveraging 100-1, which most gunslingers here do, that is a return of 1,290%. Yippiecayaaaah

LAX-LGB SNP 18:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML - can't argue anymore coz you've already made your fortune ;-) wanna loan me some ? ;-)

Memphis Charles 18:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I assumed he would be trading $100,000 posis; beginner's size if you will.

NYC 18:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles, That is 1.3 million dollars a year, trading a average position size of 1 mio. Not bad.

ICT ML 18:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 17:59....shoot for 30 pips net a day per lot traded. It would seem an easy enough thing to do....but you HAVE to keep losers to 10-20 pips at most to do that.

I myself can hit the 30-100 pip gains all day long....but I take realy big losses too that make it a mute point some weeks. I am working on tightening up the stops again in Feb.....I have had 499 bpips in losers the past 2 weeks, but still actually have a net gain in equity.

USA Biscuit Boy 18:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Saint3 I think it might be better to think about percentage gains than just pips. And even better percentages per month instead of per day. But if you can make 50 pips a day consistently year after year people will be begging you to manage their money for them (including me).

Miami OMIL 18:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
What ever color turns you on as long as you are in the black(make money) in the end of the month lol. Looks like I am heading out everyone have a good and save weekend. See you on the other side. (/;->

ICT ML 18:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
SNP...well MINE cost more a month than YOURS do ...so mine are obviously much better...LOL

Memphis Charles 18:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Averaging 250 pips per week, which is what you are really saying, would be a nice accomplishment.

ICT ML 18:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Madrid GLR 17:56 ...I think it would be good to see 1.3185-1.3200 area ....a bounce there will draw in fresh buyers and help your cause in a big way.......good luck with it.

Dallas GEP 18:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Depends on size of possies but if you consistently hit +50 a day that would be EXCELLENT. Leaving now but I have an order for a BUY on CADDY @ 1.3250 with a tight stop. This is 50/50 proposition at best but like I THINK this support level will hold.

LAX-LGB SNP 18:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML
i hate to boast but my charts have 9 colour themes ... which is 7 more than you ... haha j/k

la saint3 17:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
gep and others,

may i know how many pips are approximately a trader made a day ??? 50 is reasonable?

ICT ML 17:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Look at that play...those guys are tryingto kill that blue candle..they SEE what I SEE

ICT ML 17:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Oh GEP....I got RID of those broker based charts and went back to my trusty FXTrek Desktop charts....and they are Red and Blue candles.....could change them, but I like them this way

Madrid GLR 17:56 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML, appreciate the observation. We see this, but are working with hard stops @ 131.30. Our sense is that neither 80 nor 30 will be tested. But we'll see. Thx. GLR

ICT ML 17:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP....just messing with ya........looks like you got you timing advanced now and seem to be getting spark to most cylinders now...LOL .....

for me...if I get spark on 8 of 12 pistons lately I'm a happy camper!!!! LOL

st. pete islander 17:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Maybe from getting BLACK and blue in times past?

Dallas GEP 17:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Red or Blue ML???? what happened to RED and GREEN candles????

Dallas GEP 17:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Cmom, ML you know I was just kidding!!!!

Dallas GEP 17:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2, that's something I can't really talk about.

ICT ML 17:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP...EASY.......wasn't talking about YOU!

short the pound...not me. Depending on if this hour closes red or blue we have a new game SUnday night....if closes blue, my cycle from 1.8520 appears to be broken and its a buy for 1.8460 next week....if it closes red, then I should have shorted it...LOL

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 17:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hi dallas,ml,
on eur/usd -->> any views you want to share?
happy w/e and TIA:-)

Sydney2 17:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP , also wondering who is euro buyer and who is the seller today?

GA TJ 17:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP was impressed this morning with those trades. If I had tried that I would have been 0 for all of them so I let the dust settle. My Stops are set, going to let the market do its thing, and I think I'm done for the day.

GA TJ 17:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP was impressed this morning with those trades. If I had tried that I would have been 0 for all of them so I let the dust settle. My Stops are set, going to let the market do its thing, and I think I'm done for the day.

Dallas GEP 17:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
WTH ML. I am not talking up my book. I am SQUARE and I go both short and long!!!!! LOL Talk to me about shorting POUND here????

ICT ML 17:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GLR...my read on $CAD is that the run from 1.3050 ended early this morning, and now it is heading back towards 1.3180 to test breakout support there. If holds, up and away again...if fails, 1.3125 chanel bottom is target, then 1.3050 support again........just an unbiased look ( no book on it to talk)

Dallas GEP 17:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Imagine a scenario where a large US bank buys Euros then DUMPS them in effect range trading by themselves, THEN buys them again.

I beleive this to be TRUE.

Madrid GLR 17:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP, I take note and thx. Best, GLR

hyderabad rakesh 17:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
moscow hawk... i really appreciate ur comments from where can i gey your mail adress.. and what is your view on euro..next week..awaiting ur valuble comments..regards and thx ...

GA TJ 17:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Call me NUTS guys but I am now Long Cable @ 1.8200 Stop @ BE, Long GBPJPY @192.73 Stop @ BE, Short Swissy @ 1.2577 Stop @ 1.2602 (Will move Stop to BE once profit = 25 PIPS). Missed CAD but looking for a spot. We probably over the weekend if they don't get stopped.

Dallas GEP 17:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML. I can see that now. Thnaks my friend

Belgrade Knez 17:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 17:33 GMT January 30, 2004
LOL

USA Biscuit Boy 17:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Wonder if BOJ will be up to its late Friday tricks again. Also hiping euro can take out stops at 1.2530 and get my sell order filled.

ICT ML 17:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AlexVA Dennis 17:32...YEP, nothing wrong with using conditions to ones advantage ( in this market anyway:->)

Dallas GEP 17:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GLR, I have very short term views but my belief is that 1.3360 woul be VERY hard to penetrate. In fact I played it wrong ALL day yesterday thinking it would short because the charts indicated that and ultimately I think it may short 150-200 PIPS in the next two weeks.

USA Biscuit Boy 17:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Already figured it out lol. You are a lot quicker than me hehehe.

slv sam 17:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:15 GMT January 30, 2004
will take profit on my long euro at 1.2515 hopefully today or Asia Sunday night!GT

it looks i have to wait till Asia Monday mornig!

USA Biscuit Boy 17:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Knez as I go back and read his comments in the archive a lot that one stumped me too. The trick is to use oil man in the name field with a space in between. GL and GT :)

Belgrade Knez 17:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   

GVI

OK, I see. I was looking for Oilman instead for Oil man.

Thanks.

AlexVA Dennis 17:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
This current market, as of just ahead of the European close, has all the earmarks of a bunch of "hired guns" playing with "other peoples money" taking advantage of thin and rather confused market conditions to run stops in an attempt to move the markets in their desired direction. It is definitely a surreal environment that will see a repeat of these antics into the IMM close (1500 ET) and again as we head toward the final close in NY. Monday should be quite interesting.

ICT ML 17:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP....on the contrary, I see it drifting to 1.8275 into close today...just a hunch

Madrid GLR 17:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, do not post much but have some time on my hands this afternoon. The CAD call was very, very nice.

We have been scaling in for last two weeks and since we cleared 1.3320 yesterday, we have just stayed the course. It was a pretty big confirmation. Next up 134.50 combined with with supportive momentum. I take it that you see the situation completely different. Please advise. GLR

Moscow Hawk 17:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
So we have EUR/USD not far from the day’s high as expected. The January draws to a close and I have to repeat once more that nothing done with EUR/USD downside yet while above 1.2300-50. There is no major reversal so far. Now it is getting even more interesting considering the January rule I pointed in my early posts. We have got January law around 1.2330 and high at 1.2898. What direction market will choose we will see.

And one more point. It could be not so easy to go through 1.2300-50 as many expect here. And if short it could be better to take profits ahead the zone and play the break when it occurs.

Have a good weekend

Dallas GEP 17:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML, is this pond topping out????

GVI john 17:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade Knez--
Use-- UAE in the city box as your search criteria

LAX-LGB SNP 17:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
24 hrs away from the market and its amazing how your whole perspective changes and everything appears clearer once more - next month will definitely be a lot of fun - i just hope my charts don't give out @ the most inopportune time

as far as i think - Oilman's probably partyyying in the mountains of 'bham bham Bhole' land especially since this is the best time of the year to visit

Dallas GEP 17:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Islander. CADDY May be thru for the day as far as shorting. BIAS is DOWN

Belgrade Knez 17:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   

QUESTION TO GV:

Why UAE Oilman posting cannot be find in Archive?


st. pete islander 17:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP, nice CAD call.

st. pete islander 17:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Agreed, BB. He did nice work.

Dallas GEP 17:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Out on CADDY short @ 1,3245

USA Biscuit Boy 17:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
And his tips weren't half bad either Islander. Best position trader I have ever seen posting :)

st. pete islander 17:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Knez, now that you mention it, some idiot did insult the censored out of him and I guess it finally got to be more than he was willing to take. Too bad. I always enjoyed his work and his humor. Hope he comes back just to say Hi. gt

NYC 17:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Belgrade. I just checked the archive and no sign of discontent from him.

Memphis Charles 17:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Agree.

Memphis Charles 17:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
That's a censored of an objective for a five-minute bar chart trade.

Dallas GEP 17:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I have been Charles. Euro is MIXED right now

Belgrade Knez 17:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander

He said that he will not post any more on this forum. Somebody make him to do that. Can't remeber who.

Dallas GEP 17:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I think 1.3200 MAYBE road. HAs to break 1.3250 first

Memphis Charles 17:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Penant formed on the five-minute bar chart EUR/USD... Suggest a trade, Dallas?

beijing road 17:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP: do u think usd/cad is going to 1.3150 level plz?

Memphis Charles 17:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I see them....

Memphis Charles 16:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Didn't want to navigate away from the page at the moment.

Dallas GEP 16:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML I made more money going IN and OUT than I could with just holding SHORT!!!! LOL

st. pete islander 16:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BB, I certainly hope that is exactly what he is doing. Maybe he still looks in on us and just remains quiet. Would like to see him come up for air once in awhile. gt

Global-View 16:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles, do we have to answer that? Look for yourself.

Memphis Charles 16:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
What kind of promotions....?

Pecs Andras 16:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
If cable can break the sesession high, we can see it much higher I think

Pecs Andras 16:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
VL
Sorry, I misread the number :-)
My fault

ICT ML 16:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEPPer......I told you to hold that Caddy short !!!!!!!!

Global-View 16:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
For those who haven't noticed, we have added a promotion section on our home page that is worth looking at. We will also be adding a research section soon as well.

phils VL 16:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Andras - how did you get 200 pips? not quite. Even for m/t positions, I dont allow 200.

Dallas GEP 16:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Emma, I mainly work with VERY short timeframes as in 30 minutes!!!! I am not a good position trader. I think others here are much better than I at that.

1.3275 SHORT , YES short on Caddy Lokking for support to break.

USA Biscuit Boy 16:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Islander last time I saw hime he was selling euro 1.25-1.30. Probably busy counting his money :)

st. pete islander 16:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Anybody remeber UAE Oilman?
What happened to him?

Knez .... that is a very good question!

Pecs Andras 16:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 16:38 GMT January 30, 2004
So you are running a 200 pip stop loss on this trade?

Memphis Charles 16:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Signal invalidated... closed it for six pips gain.... I'm cooking with gas.

Belgrade Knez 16:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hello to everyone.

Anybody remeber UAE Oilman?
What happened to him?


Alb Emma 16:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP do you have a slightly longer veiw on the USD say 3 weeks. not being funny but thnk we will see it lower once the funds have achieved their ideal buying level somewhere below 123 ? your view on that if poss

Memphis Charles 16:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Selling snake oil now - much better market.

USA Biscuit Boy 16:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. I will be selling eur/usd at 1.2555 before G7 or buying them at 1.2235 anytime. GL and GT.

phils VL 16:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hello Memphis Charles - long time no see. Still have your swamp land for sale??

LOL Cheers

Dallas GEP 16:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Charles, does that mean then that you walk around in circles???

Dallas GEP 16:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Ain't that something ML RE: Pound, too high to buy but NOT high enough to sell??? LOL

phils VL 16:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Andras 16.22gmt

shorted main dose at 1.2485 with the first of three limit sells up to 1.2560. s/l well abv 1.2560. Euro is still clearly bearish to me and I/m looking for a break of 1.2335 anytime btwn today and Tues nx wk. Do you frankly see any reason to bull the eur/usd?

Houston WAS 16:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
A chartist life is very, very stressful. There must be a better way. Today I feel like the bug.

Memphis Charles 16:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Might be able to sell a few Euros here for a quick profit although signal is borderline.... usual caveats. When I shop for shoes I have to break up a pair and buy two left ones.

ICT ML 16:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP...I suggest if in the pound selling mood...1.8275 TL is the place....will know more after this hour candle closes whether or not we head there first...( I think we do)

Dallas GEP 16:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Jut had an interesting conversation with a friend who believes that specs were once again deceived in to LONGING dollars today???? VERY possible.

Miami OMIL 16:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GVI john 16:25 GMT January 30, 2004

Very good comments I believe that when all the smoke is clear we will see on the eur/usd a long awaited test of 1.2320-15 on it’s way to 1.2140-35 IMHO. (/;->

Gen dk 16:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Alb Emm 16:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
tremendous amount of stops below 1.2330, says NY dealer

Dallas GEP 16:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sorry ELC ML is better than I at POUND but I would sell @ 1.8230 when seen

GVI john 16:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
From today's GVI Far East Open Strategy Session...
"...In the meantime, this latest round of dollar strength has cleared out a lot of weak euro longs and has set the stage for a robust eur/$ rally if the market can find a justification. Recall that the twin deficits are still there and that the dollar still has a negative carry vs. Europe that I don’t see going away anytime in the foreseeable future short of a dollar crisis. If I were short dollars I would be very nervous now, but I would be hard pressed to come up with a reason to start buying at these levels to go long...."

Dallas GEP 16:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
razvan We will need to break here @ 1,2460 for this to continue long.

Pecs Andras 16:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
cable soon to post session high

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 16:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd now is ideal as top at 1.2470 bid.
ready for sell. stp only at 1.2480 bid

Miami OMIL 16:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
The force is strong with this one you are on a roll GEP (Jedi Master). (/;->

Nassau QF (newb) 16:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I'm glad I closed my Euro short with a profit earlier.
Might open a new one at 1.2485

Pecs Andras 16:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
phils VL 16:19 GMT January 30, 2004
Are you long EUR?
Thought you were shorting it

Houston WAS 16:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone have an idea about the direction of the EUR/USD?

UK ELC 16:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP Do you think GBP is good to sell now?

Madrid....possie = position...This man is the KING!

Sofia Red 16:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Eurro Zorro is conspiciously abscent... )

Bucharest Razvan 16:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
well, sure glad i went long @avg 1.2401 :)

Dallas GEP 16:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
possie means position as in order

phils VL 16:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
com-on up babe..let mama..... s/l well abv 1.2560...

Sydney2 16:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
What a day!!!!!!!!!

Pecs Andras 16:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Anybody can hold a possie with 30-40 pips stop.
The big thing is the timing, the entry and the exit levels.
That is what U R so good at

Tallinn viies 16:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
good fight

beijing road 16:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
chinese monkey year!come on.

Dallas GEP 16:16 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
CADDY 1.3290 just printed

Madrid GLR 16:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, I try to follow your comments, but what is a possie? Do not understand? GLR

London HM 16:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Is there any news out???

slv sam 16:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
come on euro waiting for you at 1.2515!

Dallas GEP 16:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
To add to Athens excellent comments, I would say if you can't hold a 30-40 pip stop then DON'T enter possie

Pecs Andras 16:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I heard some rumor that there is a large cable buy order at London fix.
It turned out to be a big sell order, since tha pair dropped some 30 pips
No it is flying again, so maybe these guys are buying now??

Miami OMIL 16:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
That is a good ideas Athens thanks for your comments have a good weekend. (/;->

Dallas GEP 16:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Looks like we have some long dollar possies getting out.

Gen dk 16:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Athens 16:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I forgot to add, apart from this being a tricky week, it's going to be a tricky year as well. Don't feed the sharks by too frequent non planned casual trades and narrow stops on them, easy shark food. Have a good trading year everyone.

hk ab 0.88 16:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
before bed time,

yen crosses are being strangled at the moment. But I think the sellers will regain control later as seen in dlr/jpy in the past.

if 1.19 is called by others, I may not give a vote.
But now, it's nk and bc. Thus, it's a go.

1.200 is around the 100 dma

1.15 is the 200 dma....

Have a nice w/e

phils VL 16:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
malta mb -

on hindsight, reckon I had been too explicit with figures AND my thoughts of the possible flow... wl be scouting for shark repellents 1st thing 2moro...LOL

SNP's just wakin up 16:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Usdchf 1.2650
Gbpusd 1.8100
Eurusd 1.2350
price is facing stiff competition ahead/below these levels ... if they don't go, then expect the chariots of the FX Gods to run the US$ over

P.S. GEP congrats big time on your $cad ... especially the timing !

UK ELC 16:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
are we going to have another dive in GBP here?

Ldn Mvs 16:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy looking suspiciously bid here......or is it just my imagination?? Looks like gbp/jpy for momo

Dallas GEP 16:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Andras. The CADDY shorts were much heavier than the caddy longs because the stops could be much tighter on the short possies.

Pecs Andras 15:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
You are really amazing with these trades. Hats off.
I bet they were heave too.

GA TJ 15:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I keep hearing Euro @ 1.1900. Hmmmmm.... I not ready to say AMF to 1.2350 yet. It may go but not without a good fight. Same area and action 2 weeks ago saw this thing shoot back to 1.2750. Just a thought.

Dallas GEP 15:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sorry 1,3305

malta mb 15:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
phils

i've been bitten by sharks running my stops many a time
so when i see a fin i stay on the beach he he he

B.A. BOCA 15:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
gold could be a good guide dog next week...

out of here...GL all

Dallas GEP 15:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Tokk Profit on CADDY short from 1.3350 @ 1.3205

HK Kevin 15:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:30 GMT, I won't long USD/CAD until 1.3180

ICT ML 15:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Well GEP....I don't trade the stuff...but $CAD became a short term SOB at 4:00am EST today in my stuff and just verified it by turning down again on its breakout line......Nice trade. I'd keep it 1.3125 area maybe.....

phils VL 15:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eir/usd - will find level to add to shorts

LDN LDN 15:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Price action suggests thin Friday liquidity so be on your guard.

Dallas GEP 15:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Tony I agrred with all those possies you posted EXCEPT I wouldn't have taken usd/jpy long (no action) or usd/cad long if it was 1.3330 or higher.

Thess/nk 2004 nk..1.43 15:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Good evening..


My Ferrari is under water again..(sniff!)

and Euro is going for 1.19/1.20

and i want so much to Buy Euro here...

anyway

Good wkend!

nk

hk ab 0.88 15:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
some forces are strangling the yen crosses up?!

phils VL 15:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hi folks

small longs eur/usd n cable stopped out earlier today, also euro SAR, on shark fiesta.

Main menu limit sell eur/usd from 1.2485 still intact and going great guns.

(May consider to feed sharks with dummy stop loss figures occasionally, in the future.... good idea??)

Gen dk 15:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

slv sam 15:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i am greedy again.!

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 15:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
maybe be canceled thinking eur/usd at 1.3170 but focuse on 1.1759 before go higher at 1.3170

Athens 15:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Last week I said I expected a tricky last week in January and it has been so all week long although in the preferred direction i.e. to the USD upside more or less. I continue to see current levels as short term unstable. Too many O/B or O/S's coming into play on a single day. I have traded a little today, just hit and run for small fast pips. My only interest now is to see the weekly closings. Have a good weekend.

Barcelona Tony 15:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Alb Emm 15:31 ... chart says 0.7250 on aud

hk ab 0.88 15:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I was almost taking a nap.
but in my nap, I saw a hot knife and butter.

yen crosses have their own target, don't block the way.

Johannesburg cd 15:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Good calls GEP. Nice example of Flash Gordon trading. See you at the next GDP numbers!

Barcelona Tony 15:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP :I'm long swiss, sold euro, pound and aussie and accumulating long $yen as well. Though I have long term entries, I go on making ins and out whenever there's a $dip to maximize profits so far, at least ill either we see euro 1.1950 or aussie 7250

Alb Emm 15:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony cant see it before the Rate Decision next Wednesday in Oz because still possible hike to 5.5% which would cause rally back to 78 -80 however no hike and you may be correct pre G7

Dallas GEP 15:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Well Tony It may take an act of God to break 1,3360 today. I think we see 1.3290 mabe.

Dallas GEP 15:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Say ARTY!!! What are you in possie wise????

Barcelona Tony 15:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP .. I say I'm against you cos you're sold $cad ;-)

Barcelona Tony 15:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
what can I say GEP !!! I'm against you!!! LMAO ... wish you the best as well, but this is the time I've been waiting for ... aud near a double top breaking (wow 7250 is next) so ... euro 1.1950 ;-) (nad lower)

LA ARTOFYEN 15:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Not trading mini m's, Dr Evil!

Dallas GEP 15:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Nice calls Tony!!!

slv sam 15:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
will stick to long euro

Barcelona Tony 15:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
anyone buying euro or holding long euros? crash is just round the corner

Dallas GEP 15:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
We are now at pre-GDP annoucement levels on Euro @ 1,2380

slv sam 15:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:36 GMT January 30, 2004
already making nice money on my long euro at 1.2373 but i am sticking to t/p at 1.2515 today!GT

greed is killing me! i could have collected 100pips profit but now back break even...anybody can teach me how not to be greedy!!GT

hk ab 0.88 15:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
the eur will drop more if eur/jpy cna be tamed under 131.

Barcelona Tony 15:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
+400 PIPS SINCE LONG $ POSTED .... ENJOY

hk ab 0.88 15:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Look at the beast.....


will soon make 700 pips in all rounds in a day.

Warsaw Black Magic 15:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Total EUR and GBP sell off is very probably...especially that today is friday

B.A. BOCA 15:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
up-and-down here we go... some people are paying heavy admission to get to ride this roller coaster..

Nassau QF (newb) 15:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
1.2350 will result in much further falls on Euro right?
That was the consensus from earlier in the week.

Will take profit on current short from 1.2425 and open a new one below 1.2350.

Gen dk 15:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk ab 0.88 15:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
total trips of eur/jpy amt to 500 pips made possible soon in daily.

Dallas GEP 15:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Short Caddy again 1,3350

ICT ML 15:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
okay, got that crap out of the way...let the intended direction continue...LOL

Miami OMIL 15:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Andras anyone that can trade successfully in this environment is a miracle. With all the volatility you can also throw in the broker freezing your platform so you can’t trade (lol). (/;->

hk ab 0.88 15:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
dlr/cad above 1.34 is more illustrative.

Dallas GEP 15:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thank RAZVAN I do have trouble keeping up because platform is slowing me down. LOL!!!

Warsaw Black Magic 15:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
OMG what a day :D

singapore emperor 15:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
What an exciting mkt.... S/T trend remains intact for eur to see lower..... best to close below 1.2390.

hk ab 0.88 15:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ready, cad.

The cad/jpy once opens 79, new range sets in.

Pecs Andras 15:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hats off to anybody who can trade in this environment

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
TP at 1.2382 on Euro short

Global-View 15:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GVI 15:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Edit Delete
Chicago PMI 65.9 vs. 61.2 in Dec, stronger than expected

hk ab 0.88 15:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
underlying trend is back.

GEP, look how bearish all the jpy crosses.
That plays a GAME.

Bucharest Razvan 14:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP, I gotta tell you.. watching you trade is a pleasure.. ;) GL!

CT DB 14:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:51 ,
LOL me too at 2408!!

Dallas GEP 14:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Out at 1.3330 on CAD short

Dallas GEP 14:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
!,2410 short order got executed.

hk ab 0.88 14:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
naughty monkey bounce.

Global-View 14:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GVI 14:49 GMT January 30, 2004
U of M sentiment 103.8 vs. 103.2 in early Jan and 92.6 in Ded. Slightly above expectations of a flat reading.

Warsaw Black Magic 14:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Michigan 103,8 a bit better than estimate

hk ab 0.88 14:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
kicked in 1.3345 long dlr/cad

Dallas GEP 14:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I have BOTH a eur 1.2410 SELL order AND a 1.2440 bUY order with tight stops.

hk ab 0.88 14:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
pull donw the 1.3355 order to 1.3345.

hk ab 0.88 14:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ELC, I will put my short just made half hr ago trail 1.82 for profit locking.

hk ab 0.88 14:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sorry, shoudl be 1.3355 and 1.3320

UK ELC 14:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
You Guys are moving fast.... do we hold GBP shorts or get out?

hk ab 0.88 14:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP, put OCO order now on cad
long 1.3365 or short 1.3320

Brissy JM 14:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Barcelona Tony - thanks for the tips! they were spot on.

ICT ML 14:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
we've got about 5 minutes to get limit orders in if we want to catch the next wave guys.....wait too long and you won't get filled.

beijing road 14:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
tough week.

Dallas GEP 14:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
When we see 1.3310 on caddy I will close shorts and go back long again ASSUMING of course we see that happen.

Pecs Andras 14:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I will buy it again there. The rate cate is a sure thing now in Canada, I think

Livingston nh 14:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
If the Fed focus has really expanded to watching Capacity Utilization then the Chicago PMI will be more important than a "soft" statistic like Sentiment -- the PMI numbers may support the slowing in orders and hiring we have seen in the December figures in the last few weeks

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 14:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
my opinion is not to worry if sell eur/usd now 1.2433
1.2215-1.2187 still valid for profit target.

ICT ML 14:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
got a hunch we see 1.8275 min. high on cable today.

Dallas GEP 14:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Well, OMIL when you see smoke you know there is someone in there throwing water on it, that would be me!!! LOL

Dallas GEP 14:23 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Yes Andras 1.3310. Canadian GDP was bad and that's what caused USD/CAD to long. It should retrace back to figure again.

Miami OMIL 14:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Let the smoke clear I always say. (/;->

Pecs Andras 14:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I see.
And your target is the usual 30 pips?

AlexVA Dennis 14:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Either way on UoM CSI it will boost the EUR and GBP at least temporarily if spec players follow their usual practice of the past several months. Then to there will be another "kick at the cat" coming at 10:00 ET with the Chicago PMI.

Dallas GEP 14:16 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
STRONG resistance on CADDY @ 1.3360

Moscow Hawk 14:16 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
This week we have seen the whole range 1.2350-1.27 I pointed on Sunday. And I can not find any essential reasons why market should change the major direction of the day. More likely EUR/USD will see new highs and closing level will be not far from the high.

Moscow Hawk 16:07 GMT January 25, 2004
Selling EUR/USD 1.2740-75 as suggested proved to be very accurate money-maker. But I think market still needs more time to form the reversal pattern.

From mid term picture updated through weekend on my site:

«…The crucial for the EUR/USD mid term will be 1.2300-50 zone. Clear break of the zone will be very negative for the euro and open 1.20-21 for a test. However while above 1.23 the range trading 1.2300(50)-1.2700(50) is preferable. Move above will ease pressure downside and indicate strong probability that 1.2850-00 will be tested again...»

Good luck



Livingston nh 14:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BoC rate cut more likely - the Q3 excuses for slow growth are gone

melbourne farmacia 14:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Aud/usd closed within hourly channel fwiw

Warsaw Black Magic 14:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I opened S for GBP/USD 1.8211 and waiting

Dallas GEP 14:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AB, perhaps but I think the resistance levels will hold regardless.

Barcelona Tony 14:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
easy pips buying $ now ..

Nassau QF (newb) 14:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
From Forex News:

US Advanced Q4 GDP 4% (exp 5.0%, prev 8.2%): 2003 GDP 3.1% vs 2.2% in 2002. US Adv Q4 GDP Deflator 1% (exp 1.20%, prev 1.60%) ** Fed's PCE inflation index at 0.6%, a 42-year low -- meaning the Fed has no inclination to raise rates in the near future.

:] Black Magic 14:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GPP and EUR are falling...

PMI will be important

la saint3 14:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hk ab
michigan data .. will give more room? you mean down or up
for gbp?

TIA

Sydney2 14:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
short euro here at market?

Pecs Andras 14:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
That long CAD was a grreat idea. I also played it right after the poor CAD data. 35 pips in no time
But I would not short it now. Do you see any strong resistence somewhere?

Bratislava MB 14:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Any views what Michigan number could do if different at 14:50 GMT?

Survey shows 103.0
Prior was 103.2

hk ab 0.88 14:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
cad/jpy 79 line....

hk ab 0.88 14:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP... I suggest that is a bit agressive.

wait for the michigan may give us even more room.

AlexVA Dennis 14:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
la saint3 13:54 GMT

The report is the Univ of Michigan COnsumer Sentiment Index. It is a privately circulated survey report conducted by the University for subscribers. We see the info shortly after it is released to thewir clientele. Rather similar in some repsects to the German ZEW but consymer rather than manufacturing based.

Dallas GEP 14:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Shorted CADDY @ 1.3344

Warsaw Black Magic 14:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ok :]

Stockholm za 14:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
fwiw .... these moves did not penetrate the upper limits of todays pivot zoan.....
EUR/USD..... stability at 2447.....68 for punch line
Trade safe........

Global-View 14:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
:] Black Magic 14:02 GMT January 30, 2004 -- you need to use a recognizable location or your posts will not be permitted to stay on the FF.

Houston WAS 14:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
What is the short term (1-2 hours) now for the EUR/USD?
Anyone have any ideas?
TIA.

Dallas GEP 14:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML , perceptions man, perceptions supercede reality EVERY time.

:] Black Magic 14:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GBP and EUR gains was too strong i think

Ldn pm 14:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Interesting that $/Cad almost back to where it was ahead of the 1330GMT carnage - 1.3340

hk ab 0.88 14:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
early bird ihas moved.

ICT ML 14:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP...since when is 4% GDP BAD.....LOL...that is actually GOOD..ie..sustainable.....oh well.....I will just let it chill a bit now, although it played into my sharly post from last night pretty well.....gun for new lows and then reverse HARD....LOL

hk ab 0.88 13:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
data induced move often misleading and tilt all the weak positions.

The gbp is a good bargain here for a decent attack under 1.8

Dallas GEP 13:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BAD US data ML, I am thinking about shorting the sh*t out of the pound

Barcelona Tony 13:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Buy usdchf, sell gbpusd eurusd audusd NOW for big profit

la saint3 13:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hi

what is this data?
Jan Univ of Michigan Sentiment (final)

ICT ML 13:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
damnnn took kids to school and missed a 100 pip 15 min candle....WTF is going on here...!?

Dallas GEP 13:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Road , 2367 +- 4 pips by NY close is my WAG

hk ab 0.88 13:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
no matter which way it goes, they will oscillate back to near pre gdp level.

eur at least 1.24

PBoro JC 13:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Think gbp & eur will fall back vs usd. Dont believe players will want to stay long over weekend with g7 looming, although poss BoE hike may keep Gbp firmer (sell Eur/Gbp?)

Sold gbp/usd for punt to 1.8150

B.A. BOCA 13:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
got to love a market that leans hard one way....easy money done, off before mistakes begin to creep in.

by the way, these should be dream levels for those wanting to buy $ into the g7. personally, i'm positioned the other way..
GL

beijing road 13:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Gut feeling : eur at least 12550, gbp 1.83

Dallas GEP 13:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Out now @ 1,3330 again on CADDY

GVI john 13:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
U.S.
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FOURTH QUARTER 2003 (ADVANCE)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 4.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2003, according to advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real
GDP increased 8.2 percent.

hk ab 0.88 13:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
next cad/jpy line 79 now.,

hk ab 0.88 13:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
those jap funds are smiling with the spike now.

hk ab 0.88 13:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sell the fact sell the fact hahahaa

golden chance here added gbp short 1.8207....

kept the original 1.8360s and this .

Dallas GEP 13:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Back CADDY long 1.3304

GVI john 13:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
CANADA
Gross domestic product by industry
November 2003

Gross domestic product (GDP) remained essentially unchanged in November. For the first 11 months of 2003, GDP was up 1.8% over the same period in 2002.

beijing road 13:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
haha, great!!!!!!!!

Dallas GEP 13:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AB, cad shorted around 40 PIPS on the news

hk ab 0.88 13:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Monkey is back

dc fxq 13:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sine the EZ recovery to justify a strong EURO is dependent on US recovery - according to the ECB/EU talking heads - this does not bode well for the EU in reality. More knee jerk than reality based IMO.

GVI john 13:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Nov CDA GDP flat seen +0.2%

hk ab 0.88 13:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
cad doesn't move much though.....

hk ab 0.88 13:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
now, buy the rumour is done, sell the fact now.

add one more short aud/jpy 80.20

Dallas GEP 13:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
US adata bad

GVI john 13:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GDP 4.0%
Real Sales +3.4%
both weaker than expected

hk ab 0.88 13:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
4.7%

hk ab 0.88 13:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
2 more mins to go.

GVI john 13:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
From GVI strategy session:
"Today will see several key releases especially 4Q03 preliminary GDP, which will be closely scrutinized. Estimates are for 4Q03 Real GDP (preliminary) of around 5.0% after +8.2% in 3Q03. As we indicate every time for this data, it’s Real Final Sales that matter. The GDP data can be hopelessly distorted by inventory swings. They are seen up about 4% after +8.3% in 3Q03".

Dallas GEP 13:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Soory I meant LONGS from 1.3296

Dallas GEP 13:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Took profits on USD/CSD shorts @ 1,3330. Wamted to close before data

Pecs Andras 13:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Her Majesty is playing her nice swings, even at these quiet times

hk ab 0.88 13:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
filled 1.64 exit eur/aud long.

buy after retracement.

Stockholm za 13:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Black Magic 13:11 ..... Practice your name....... lol

hk ab 0.88 13:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sell stops trigger 79.97

Sydney2 13:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
"U.S. data will probably be scoured much more closely - today's key number is the GDP figure, and this should be firm. The Chicago PMI should be firm as well," said David Brown, Chief European Economist at Bear Stearns.

Stockholm za 13:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Panic-monger forum.....
Midday Express 30/01/2004
January 2004 : economic sentiment regains its upward trend in both the EU and the euro area
After a small setback in December, the economic sentiment indicator (ESI) for the EU regained its upward trend that had started in summer of last year. The indicator increased by 0.4 percentage points to a level of 96.6, the highest value since summer 2001. For the euro area, the indicator also rose, although by a more moderate 0.2 points, reaching a level of 95.8. The improvement of the ESI for the EU is reflected in all underlying components. In the industry sector, business confidence resumed the upward trend observed in the second half of 2003. Consumer confidence continued its slow but steady improvement since April 2003. The construction sector showed a small rise in confidence, continuing the tendency from the previous three months. Finally, confidence in retail trade made up some of the losses incurred at the end of 2003.


January 2004 : the euro area business climate indicator recovered
After a small worsening recorded in December, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area increased slightly between December and January, reaching a value of 0.04. This development was mainly driven by an improvement in opinions about production expectations and export order books, while production trend in the recent past decreased moderately. Total order books and stocks of finished products remained unchanged.


Livingston nh 13:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Last night the Fed figures on Money supply were released (with statistical revisions for prior years) - while M2 and M3 growth is still negative, M1 revised to positive// ALSO - Foreign holdings at the Fed, after last week's 20 bio jump, shows another 7.4 bio increase BUT ALLl of the increase is in non-Treasury holdings (treasuries declined) - another first and maybe first signs of concern about rates

Pecs Andras 13:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
:] Black Magic 12:57 GMT January 30, 2004
You are right. 3% will be nice as compared to the CAN GBP coming out the same time, and the estimate is 0.2% for the month, or as compared to the pathetic EZ DGP numbers.
But it wil be poor as compared to the last one at 8.2%

Pecs Andras 12:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sorry, I cannot write.
(it has to BEAT the peak in 1961)

Pecs Andras 12:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
All around I am reading that the PCE index will be at 1.2%, dow from last 1.6%
But at one place I am reading that even a 0.5% is tought to reach based on the dat up to and including November. So unless the December deflator is extremely good (it has to be the peak back in 1961!), this number will be disappointing

Sydney2 12:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
thanks Andras

hk ab 0.88 12:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
nothing is more promising than the japanese prevailing wind.

Pecs Andras 12:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2 12:41 GMT January 30, 2004
45 minutes
I expect a lot of volatility, so I am staying sidelined for now.
The US data may not be very good (definitley worse than the prev. Q), but on the other hand EUR seems to want ot go down.

Sydney2 12:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
No much movement, is the market now waiting for the USA data?

Sydney2 12:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
how long have we wait for the data to come out?

london22 12:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY:
More swords being drawn…(further to Lnd 05:39 GMT January 29, 2004):
“Okuda (Toyota Chairman), also head of the Japan Business Federation, the nation's biggest business lobby, said the BOJ should prevent the yen from gaining beyond 105 to the dollar” (BLOOMBERG)

Pecs Andras 12:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I havefound this PCE deflator stuff. It measures price changes in personal-consumption expenditures. It is derived from CPI but it is a better cost-of-living measure.

ICT ML 12:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
HK EL 12:29..my sub 191 was based on daily stuff..the intraday stuff coulkd still possibly give a bounce or two, but my daily read is that it will break below sometime soon.......but follow your plan not mine

GVI john 12:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
For information on how you can access GVI, contact [email protected]
STRATEGY SESSION --New York Open
Opening Levels:
eur/$ 1.2380…$/yen 105.70
DJIA +4 pts… 10-yr 4.19%, +1 bp
PERSONAL OPINIONS:
For a broad range of opening levels click on GVI’s “Market Snapshot”:
CLICK HERE
See GVI....

HK EL 12:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
unwind the position if fear that's the rule

Pecs Andras 12:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Anyway, I bailed out of my EUR short with 5 pips.
I may regret it though, or I may congratulate myself.
We will see in about 1 hour

Gothenburg XON 12:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Got a feeling EUR/USD gonna drop to 1,23 level
only gut feeling though...

Pecs Andras 12:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I am just reading somewhere that the US data coming out may not turn out to be that good.
The worry is said to be the core PCE deflator which will be disappointing, the estimate is +1.0% (the last), and it will be much worse, they say. We will need an extra good GDP to offset this supposed drop
Anybody knows what that is exactly?

ICT ML 12:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
triple bottom can hold.....but the same points on my indicator trend lines that correspond with the price points have failed and turned south....and they usually tell me what the price will do ...

la saint3 12:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hi expert out there ..
i have a question:
if Adv Q4 GDP Deflator is less than previous .. forecast is 1.20% and previous is 1.60%. .. is it a better data for US or worse?

Thanks

ICT ML 12:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
also have $swiss at top of daily channel at 1.2610, with next target 1.3250 if it breaks out...and my stuff says it will most likely do it today or early next week.....

HK EL 12:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sorry to say but why triple bottom cant hold?

hk ab 0.88 12:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
put a pt on eur/aud long from 1.6180, 1.6210 at 1.64 if spike to there tonight.

ICT ML 12:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hummm...triple bottom at 191.00 on hourly GBP/JPY chart....and daily stuff is saying it ain't going to hold much longer..sitting on 38.2 fib on daily ..that could be one heck of a slide when it breaks below....fwiw tgt around 188 then 186 fib levels fwiw

NYC JC 12:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
US GDP forcast 5% when previous was 8.2%, and it is actually considered "Better"??

hk ab 0.88 12:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
one recommendation is sell stop below 80 for aud/jpy.

But I have enough with this pair recently.

hk ab 0.88 12:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
also the squeeze to long dlr/cad.

hk ab 0.88 12:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
someone is trying hard on 80 line again......

nice to see it washes, rinse, and repeats.

Tonight, I want to watch the eur show.

May try to pick a bottom before NY close but would not risk.
my eur/jpy long eventually closes at breakeven trail.

melbourne farmacia 12:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Few stops hit Aud/Usd - might bounce off 0.7660 line, if not 30 i think.

Pecs Andras 12:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Still a 2way game until the data.
Most players are just positioning htemselves, I guess

hk ab 0.88 12:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Andras, that hoax implodes though someone didn't listen.

If Jap repatriates full this round, expect aud/jpy retraces 1000 pips from high.

i.e. 75 area.

Pecs Andras 12:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AB
And AUD is diving again

hk ab 0.88 11:56 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
gd indicator is still on dlr/cad.

if cad gdp is good, price fast dives then yoyo.

Indeed, I thought dlr/cad peaked out 1 hr ago but fact it didn't..... thus, signal is also mixed now.

Pecs Andras 11:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Yeah GEP, I see what you mean.
Would be nice if it just drifted slowly to 2350, and than bang! after the data.
Hope we won't get your closing price tonight

Dallas GEP 11:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
No Andras I would say it wasn't really all that strong. Things are a bit mixed now as evidenced by price action IMO

Dallas GEP 11:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I think it will test 1,2348 low but slowly IMO until all us data is out.

hk ab 0.88 11:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
very volatile tonight..

aud/jpy 80 eyed now.

Pecs Andras 11:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Is that a strong signal?

Sydney2 11:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, what is your tagart? Thanks

hk ab 0.88 11:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sam, think about a breakeven trail, jimvho.

Dallas GEP 11:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Eur/USD gave a sell signal at 1.2391

hk ab 0.88 11:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hope that the eur/chf can be closed with great profit as well.

short from 1.5694.

hk ab 0.88 11:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
reverse eur/gbp long from 36 at 43 for 7 pips.
now flat.

Melbourne Qindex 11:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:21 GMT January 24, 2004
GBP/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The lower barrier of my weekly cycle is expected at 1.8146 // 1.8238. Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below 1.8054. The upper barrier is positioning at 1.8514 // 1.8605. The market rhythm is represented by 92 pips (k=0.09193) and the weekly cycle normal trading range is 1.8146 - 1.8514 (Suggestion : Maintain a short position if the market is trading below the barrier at 1.8146 - 1.8238).


Weekly Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.7594 ... 1.7870 ... 1.8054, 1.8146 // 1.8238, 1.8330, 1.8422, 1.8514 // 1.8605 ...


:] Black Magic 11:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I have strong prediction GBP/USD 1,78 today

Pecs Andras 11:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EZ data did not hav emuch effect, so I am short EUR from 2390

Bristol Stag 11:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Tks.

Dallas GEP 11:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Stag, I don't have a confirmed sell signal yet and I may wait for US data BUT I posted earler that I thought Eruo would close NY today @ 1,2367 +- 4 pips

Bristol Stag 11:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Gep - hello. Refernece your earlier comment - are you still of a mind to short EUR @ 1.24 approx? TIA

Dallas GEP 11:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GDP supposed (projected) to be 5% which is actually GOOD

NYC JC 11:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
US data are expected to be worse, right?

Dallas GEP 11:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EU data must be good Watch for euro spurt SMALL imo. US data GDP out at 13:30. 14:45 Michican Chicago PMI 15:00

Global-View Security Warning 11:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
We have improved security so that only one computer can use a username and password. If you are running GV on more than one computer each must have its own password and username. If you encounter any problems please contact us.

NYC JC 11:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BOJ may intervene again from 10550 area

Pecs Andras 11:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Anyone know the EZ data of 11:00 GMT?

Dallas GEP 11:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY needs to watched now. LONGS should be considred

GA TJ 10:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
This is the 2nd time in the last 12 hours that CAD has moved right to the edge for my stuff to issue a Sell signal and failed. Hmmmmm is that a subtle message?

Chambery FR JFB 10:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 10:48 GMT January 30, 2004
Thx again :-)

jordan joe 10:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
so 12430 12450 is in play

Ga Lee 10:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
the slow may get trampled, but the small are also more maneuverable the the large fish too..

Dallas GEP 10:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Stoch settings are 5,3,3. Joe, big players know that spec stop loss tolerance is generally 30-50 pips so they do have a tendancy to try and run those over. I beleive that the key is to take profits EARLY and not get too greedy, It's like when you go on an African hunting safari; you have to make sure you are faster than your hunter guide in case you miss and the elephant then breaks towards you. The SLOW get trampled.

jordan joe 10:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 10:33 GMT January 30, 2004
dont you think that big players want us small fish to loose and they know that all small fishes are in short
i think they might run us up over todays high befor they short

Chambery FR JFB 10:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sorry mistyped ! tp=1.8150 of course... :-)

GA TJ 10:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
So much for that Long Cad. I swear everytime I leave a Stop in overnight it gets slammed between 4 and 4:30 EST. Or at least it seems that way. Will get Sell signal on a close (30 min) below 1.3276

slv sam 10:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
already making nice money on my long euro at 1.2373 but i am sticking to t/p at 1.2515 today!GT

Chambery FR JFB 10:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
FWIW... longed GBP @1.8086, s/l 1.8050 TP 1.8040 (upper barrier of the triangle). GL GT

GEP : may I ask your stochs setting plz? 14/3/3? TIA

Dallas GEP 10:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
For you CADDY watchers, this 1.3280 is pretty good support. A long close to here with a fairly tight stop MAY prove fruitful. Have to be watchful of EUR/USD as it generally move opposite of USD/CAD. Data notwitstanding, Euro may short down fairly soon. Probably would wait for 11:00 GMT EU data

Gen dk 10:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 10:19 GMT

ok mate,let's wait and see.thanks.

TIA:-)

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:14 GMT January 30, 2004
maybe a week may come soon,where everyone expects e/$ to again move up from that 1.23X level but only this time,it goes exactly opposite,to further lower levels...the surprise element. I am sure most of us are expecting a move up again,following recent history...so play safe all!

gl,TIA:-)

melbourne farmacia 10:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:14 GMT January 30, 2004
You will know on or before 06 feb 04 = Eur/usd turning period.

slv sam 10:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
will take profit on my long euro at 1.2515 hopefully today or Asia Sunday night!GT

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd has had 2 weeks continous in my memory,where it has come down to that 1.23Xlevels and gone up.A medium-term correction is needed,to ensure long-term "BULL" survives.A correction till 1.1800 max. would suffice to ensure a healthy LONG-TERM "BULL" run,all techo talks IMHO!

any bright ideas anyone?
TIA:-)

NYC JC 10:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
anyone interesed GBP/USD tonight?

jordan joe 10:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
can = cad

jordan joe 10:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 10:03 GMT January 30, 2004

i think can and yen are saying the same

slv sam 10:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i hear the CAD telling me to buy the euro so just bought few lots!GT

Chambery FR JFB 09:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 09:50 GMT January 30, 2004
Thanks :-)

Dallas GEP 09:56 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sydney2, probably somewhere close to 1,2400 but I may take it before then. 11:00 GMT EU data comes out and that will have an effect.

Dallas GEP 09:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thanks JFB. generally 30 minute stochs, macd, bollinger bands Having said that ALL my indicators were saying to SHORT usd/cad yesterday but it went long (LOL). Technically usd/cad still looks like a short, but I am long because of the lingering effect of the BOC rate DECREASE the other day which MAY or MAY NOT push us to new highs today in USD/CAD. Stop is relatively tight though.

NYC JC 09:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
12350?

Sydney2 09:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP , what is your planned entry level to short euro?

hyderabad rakesh 09:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hi raden how ru..well wats ur view on euro from here and can u come online on yahoo...thx n regards..rakesh

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Tu ferry 09:34 GMT January 30, 2004
yes. I think form now. that view only from my forcasting chart (not from news).

Chambery FR JFB 09:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 09:35 GMT January 30, 2004
Hi GEP... If you don't mind, which timeframe do U use to get those little moves pips? TIA (have been following your calls for a while, am impressed :-)

Dallas GEP 09:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Good Call TG. Yeah I closed on auto-pilot @ 1,2360. Will grab some more short here on bounce up.

Tu ferry 09:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
@raden_masandi

eur/usd 600 pips down / is this what your chart tells you?

Dallas GEP 09:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hit my TP on Eur/usd short @ 1.2360. Still in CAD long from 1.3296.

singapore emperor 09:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
tks polly, aud test daily 50 m.a 0.7505

Tallinn viies 09:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
keeping my short euro position. stop at 1,2540

Sydney2 09:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies, what is your plan tonite?

beijing road 09:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trailed stop to 1.8191 for cable short.

Sydney2 09:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
looks like euro bidding is very weak

Tallinn viies 09:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
lot of corporate an speculative buying in front of year low 1,2335. stops rumoured to be near 1,2315/20 area.

lets see

vienna polly 09:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Emperor,

you short ozz..glad to hear that..go go go...

singapore emperor 09:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUD .... the man..... go go go...

SanFrancisco tg 09:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hi Greg, I think be careful about shorting through 1.2300. Off, catch you later.

malta mb 09:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sydney2..im not sure that is a wise move..pretty strong support is still holding up in that area 1.2350-70

NYC JC 09:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
12320/00
18050

vienna polly 09:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
yes wait for break of 1.2320..is my plan as well

Singapore Pilot 09:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
syndey.. reckon if bad us data and usd yen craps out,then eur will be back to 1.2600...your guess as good as mine mate....

Sydney2 09:07 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
vienna polly, thanks, maybe waiting for breaking of 1.2330?

Helsinki iw 09:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Sydney, my two cents: Someone bought here yesterday and
by the looks of it 1,2365 is still his level. Bit disapointed
actually. Nothing firm however, anybody in the know care to
comment?

Singapore Pilot 09:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
polly ... patience ...i rather miss a trade than get sucked into doing something stupid ...nice w/e

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 09:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
wow... eur/usd will drop 600 pips from here (1.2370) before G-7 meeting??.

vienna polly 09:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i don't think that as it dipped a lot n still be at 60..

Sydney2 09:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
shorting euro here at 1.2370 is good?

vienna polly 08:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i am so concerned the situation in China as the info that came out looked out of date..nobody know much except China gov....
You imagine if Avian influenza joined with Sars Virus..what will happen??

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 08:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
SA BOK.
I have replied.
gbp/usd when at 1.8099 have confirmed to make lower at 1.7880 (bottom) and eur/usd when at 1.2368 have confirmed to get 1.2215-10 (bottom)

vienna polly 08:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Next solid support for set index is 680
Yah...if the data come out good, we all know what will be next
but in another way..if GDP look worse than expect , we might see eur touch 1.2600 again but not believe it cld be above 1.2650, don't you?

singapore emperor 08:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
anybody knows how s the situation in bird flu now in asian?

Sydney2 08:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Pilot , I meant what euro/$ will react if bad USA data?

singapore emperor 08:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hope technical come ahead of the US data...
ie shd be good US data tonite...

NYC JC 08:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I was wondering the same thing, what if the US data is better than expected??

vienna polly 08:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Pilot,

eurchf did not reach my target...wait to sell like ozz..
so still wait??

Singapore Pilot 08:47 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
polly..is that because of the bird flu in bkk? is it as serious as people think? or time to buy?
US data if bad then sayonara dlr yen I guess...

vienna polly 08:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
thailand's stock index fel below 700 lvl now

Sydney2 08:44 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
what will happen if USA data today is well below expected?

HK 8888 08:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I dont make 2 way prices in charsiew because I only am buyer, never seller.

Dallas DH 08:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD just hit 1.2367. This baby is going to the 1.22's.

Singapore Pilot 08:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
389 to 405 range till they stop selling Eur....reckon can wait for cheaper levels to go long... longer term its still up...

Singapore Charsiew 08:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
8888,

Heard Charsiew is bid !!!!

Singapore toto 08:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
pilot,

any view on gold ?

singapore emperor 08:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
TONITE, eur close below 1.2390, we are seeing lower to 1.2250 next week. aud kicking now...... all very panic to let go the aud.

HK 8888 08:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
short at 7640 cuts 0.7670 - 0.7540 :-)

Ldn Mvs 08:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
LONDON (Dow Jones)--Positive U.S. data expected later Friday, on top of the Fed's recent shift in terminology, should keep the dollar buoyant for now.

How buoyant, however, will depend on just how many short dollar positions investors have left to cover. And that may not be many.

ABN AMRO currency strategist Shahab Jalinoos said that, by his bank's reckoning, short dollar positions are already at minimal levels after the U.S. currency's three-week retracement from nearly $1.3000 against the euro.

Because of this, he predicts, there probably won't be enough momentum to push the euro back down through its recent low of $1.2330, especially as a break of that level would leave the single currency facing a drop as far as $1.1900.

"For that, we would need long positions in the dollar," he said, noting that is unlikely to happen ahead of next week's meeting of finance ministers from the Group of Seven leading industrial nations in Florida.

"There is big event risk at the end of next week," Jalinoos said, referring to the threat to the dollar if the U.S. fails to support European attempts to curb the currency's weakness at the meeting.

polly 08:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
not only you, 8888, as i also wait and wait hahah and still waiting

singapore emperor 08:27 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Nice to meet you...........polly.

Singapore Pilot 08:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
8888....unfortunately was too greedy ...waiting for 55 60 to sell ...aaaarrrrrhhhh..... not too late mate..sell at 25 s/l 50 now hahahahahaha

polly 08:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
do nothing now...why not talk about Australian opens instead??

singapore emperor 08:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
SEEMS ... all US investment bgt USD and sell AUD
yess agree with u 8888... tonite 0.7540-0.7500

HK 8888 08:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
pilot
hope u followed our game plan on aud at 7640/45?
7540 tonight

polly 08:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
nice to meet you..Singapore Emperor

Singapore Pilot 08:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
No brainer guys....same scenario as yesterday in the Eur and Gbp and Aud ...squeeze up first then they dump it again

polly 08:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd and eur/yen look support ard here..impressive

Helsinki iw 08:16 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw/ Still holding view that lack of bounce in EUR/USD is
ominous. There will be m/t stops below 1,2330 and if there
was any decent demand for euros above this strong level,
we should have traded higher already. IMHO

singapore emperor 08:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sabai dee mai krub, polly

Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:13 GMT January 30, 2004
EUR/JPY : As shown in my monthly cycle charts the current expected trading range is 130.40 - 132.13 and the mid-point reference is 131.27.

Melbourne Qindex 08:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

polly 08:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
on break 131???

singapore emperor 08:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
land on the smooth area.....polly.

NYC JC 08:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sell sell sell,

Singapore Pilot 08:10 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
yes yes yes ...sell eur yen and gbp yen

polly 08:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Where will we go for landing?? at 129 lvl

singapore emperor 08:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
welcome to the world of FX, polly

Singapore Pilot 08:08 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sawadee krup polly..welcome onboard....

hk ab 0.88 08:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
besides, close all aud/nzd longs at breakeven, long from 1.1480, 1.1410, 1.1360, 1.1380.

Melbourne Qindex 08:01 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk ab 0.88 07:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
see u all NY.

polly 07:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Besides peace, we need patience to get in position right level and time or you got killed like other days

hk ab 0.88 07:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
nt, I am fine.
Don't worry, I don't continue with the mess neither.

Now, I decide to remove the original buy stops.
I will decide what to do before Michi.

However, I think japs are dominating the mkt now. At least till Apr.

Hong Kong nt 07:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- need peace to make money...

NYC JC 07:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
the GBP/USD
market goes up, which was expected, but why comes down?

MONACO OGA 07:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
FX UPDATE 30/01
Good morning,

***EUR***
EUR/USD (currently 1,2400), 90 pips lower than yesterday. The post FOMC USD appreciation kept on yesterday with the european market unable to regain 1,2520 before selling the pair down to 1,2360 despite soft US unemployment.
We still believe the EUR/USD is experiencing a consolidation inside 1,23-1,29 with a equilibrium point around 1,2500. a weekly close later today below 1,23 would negate such scenario, so we will be monitoring this level.
For today we will still be looking to play the range 1,2360-1,2520. Our medium target remains at 1,3500.

Data out today:
EZ ECB balance of payments Nov expected 6Bio 09.00 GMT
EZ BUS sentiment Jan expected -7 11.00 GMT
EZ consumer sentiment Jan expected -16 11.00 GMT
EZ economic sentiment Jan expected 95,8 11.00 GMT
US GDP deflator Q4 Jan expected 1,2 13.30 GMT
US NAPM Jan 14.00 GMT
US Michigan final expected 103 14.45 GMT
US Chicago PMI Jan expected 62 15.00 GMT

Gold around 402,00 , with WTI February at 32,83.

***JPY***
USD/JPY (currently 105,90) once again could not take advantage of USD recovery yesterday (106,30) and is trapped inside a 40 pips range. MOF/BOJ are dissuading traders from speculating on the USD/JPY by keeping the pair inside 105,50-106,50. We still like to sell upticks (106,30-50) for a retest of 105,50.
EUR/JPY (currently 131,30) broke support yesterday as expected, with huge long positions beeing unwinded yesterday, next target around 129.

***GBP***
Cable (currently 1,8140) rebounded on 1,8100-20 strong support. With an interest rate differential poised to increase, we'll be looking to build up long positions in the 1,8030-1,8130 zone for another drive to 1,85.
EURGBP (0,6830) printed 0,6820. We still favour the downside for the medium term, today we'll sell 0,6860 if seen for a 0,6810 target.
Have a nice day,

Olivier

BKK 07:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUSSIE R WHIPPY AGAIN

Singapore Pilot 07:35 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eur/yen ran into brick wall at 131.65...looks like we know where the top is now ...sell with stop abv 131.80 now

HK 8888 07:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUS Trader 07:25 GMT January 29, 2004
euro below 1.25.... & once again the Macau/GV fish index are overwhelmingly euro bearish........



AUS Trader 04:37 GMT January 29, 2004
Once a fool always a fool....

These 2 comments you posted contradict your sanctimonious ramblings below. You are criticizing peoples views and calling them fools.

hk ab 0.88 07:30 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUS Trader 07:13 GMT January 30, 2004

Better think about who begins with all those unnecessary fishy stuff first...

I like your lines,

once a fool, always a fool.

PAR 07:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
If trading GBP dont listen to misinformation of BBC (Blair would face difficult political week, could loose vote of confidence etc.) and remember that UK economic releases are usually better than expected while UK interest rates are higher than necessary.

SA Bok 07:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:18 - You had Mail

Indonesia Solo raden_masandi 07:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
good evening money hunters !!!

aus fxgbp 07:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Eur$ looks like a sell around 1.2450/65 for 260/300 pips.

AUS Trader 07:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hk ab
Using the forum to exchange information & generate trading ideas is fine.
Using the forum to criticize other people's views based on your own myopic time frames is in bad taste.
Using the forum as a chat room & impose on others your constant sprouts of piker verbiage is quite comical & boring for most serious traders who visit here.
If you have any aspiration to survive and excel in this business (or in life), try to learn & accept some humility, listen & accord empathy for others as for yourself.
All of us are fools in one form or another, it all boils down to our implicit personas.
I hope you will take this as some off-beat constructive criticism & think before you go off the deep end again with your post menopause paranoias.
Remember, "Less is More"....... in trading, or talking.....



aus fxgbp 07:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Cable looks like a sell around 1.8220/40 for 320/360 pips.

Stockholm za 06:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD.... fwiw
Todays RGP.....
000% = ~1,2401
050% = ~1,2318
100% = ~1,2235
150% = ~1,2152
200% = ~1,2069
ema ( 144 ) port....
Happy trades

Melbourne Qindex 06:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 06:56 GMT January 30, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantised Levels

... 1.2261 ... 1.2279 // 1.2296, 1.2313, (1.2331), 1.2348, 1.2365, 1.2383, 1.2400 // 1.2417 ... 1.2452 ...


The market rhythm is represented by 0.00173.

Tuas Factory worker 06:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Whats is audusd downside objective ?

Bristol Stag 06:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD - are the odds to short Eur here (1.2401) plz? TIA

Melbourne Qindex 06:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : My current expected trading range is 395.7 - 401.9.

Melbourne Qindex 06:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Spot Gold : My current expecte tradig range is 395.7 - 401.9.

sarasota jf 06:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
taking today off gt today back at it next week

phils VL 06:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
my stops in place ... walking away until london session settles down in 3-4 hrs. GT all.

Pongol Ernie 06:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i AM eur/usd in the asian time zone

NYC JC 06:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Any EURO/USD, or GBP/USD traders here?

Hanoi Vin 06:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I short USD , long DONG.

good carry trade

glasgow kiss 06:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EURO SGD I SHOULD HAVE SAID SRY

glasgow kiss 06:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EURO AUD SOLD AS WELL

Singapore Pilot 06:31 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
good amounts aud/sgd selling pushing aud lower..

bkk david 06:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong nt 05:37 GMT January 30, 2004

Yes, I long usd

bkk david 06:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
all

I feel most of all of you short usd.

This should be good time to long usd .

phils VL 06:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
correction
cable - small long 1.8144 (ask), s/l below 1.8110

phils VL 06:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
cable - small long 1.8144, s/l below 1.8115

Det tm 05:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Seattle 04:53

Your going to be directed to the "Help" forum eventually
by the moderator here. Right margin "Free Forums". What is
proper for one trader's method is unorthodox for another. For your information, the term quick cash is insulting. Also, is there a company in the US, or the world, which would admit to producing loosers? Good luck.

nyc 05:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Seattle 04:57 GMT , small stops, big targets

Hong Kong nt 05:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
HK AB -- my wife and i think bias of aud turns down, sell on rebound of 100 pips. good trades...

phils VL 05:37 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd

closed all shorts y/day at 1.2385, 1.2383. Reversed, long at 1.2396 o/nite looking for 1.2485, SAR below 1.2365. Consolidation will continue although being a Friday, do not expect any extreme pressure up beyond 1.2560.

Basically looking to short btwn 1.2480-1.2560, for a break of 1.2335 low, anytime today til Tuesday nx wk.

4hrly chart- enormous descending triangle maybe in formation.

GL GT

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
seattle

Developing a system helps and brings structure to what most people do intuitively, I would give the global view seminar a go, that should at least point you in the right direction

good luck and remember its not about being right its about making money, you will never go broke making money

Ga Lee 05:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Seattle- this is a tough gig, ya hafta really want it more than anything else, email our host,[email protected] if your serious about dedicating the next few years, if not the rest of your life to this..with absolutely no guarantee of success..

Seattle 05:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Nothing helpful to share Sydney?

Stockholm za 05:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
CHF/JPY..... Today......
8572-8534
8495-8484
8434
8384-8372
8334-8295
True Ra.. ~8638-:-8238
Happy trades......

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Seattle

Or a whole career

Seattle 04:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
A year of practice yeilding losses...

Seattle 04:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hi,

Wondering about how to become properly trained in Forex trading. I took a training, quick cash approach, and loosing...
Is there a company in the US that produces winners?

melbourne farmacia 04:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 0.88 04:29 GMT January 30, 2004
Might run into some selling on 0.7660/70 line ab.

beijing road 04:36 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ML: R u around now? EUR/USD 30m BB is getting tighten and tighten?

beijing road 04:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
yesterday after eur was stopped out at BE, opened a cable short at 18220. Hope to see bloody Friday again, now stop at 18210.

hk ab 0.88 04:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
for a short run.

hk ab 0.88 04:29 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
put a buy stop on aud .7655.

hk ab 0.88 04:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
after last night vast bombing through the 80.80 line, i think many m/t players need to take a look on their profit taking business.

These biggies have longs well under 70 even 65.

However, a break through 80 line will definitely change their mindset.

syd, do u have aussie bonds maturity info? TIA!

Ldn 04:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Australian trade deficit expected to widen to A$2.0 billion in December from A$1.73 billion in November, shows consensus forecast of 21 economists surveyed by Dow Jones; ongoing large trade deficits viewed as result of strong AUD,

Australian building approvals expected to fall 2% in December from November, shows consensus forecast of 21 economists surveyed by Dow Jones; decline would be further evidence housing construction slowing from overheated levels

Australia retail sales expected to rise by very modest 0.1% in December from November, according to consensus forecast of 21 economists surveyed by Dow Jones; slowing expected after recent strong run in consumer spending and also due to pullback from Rugby World Cup boost to November figures
AAP

Ldn 03:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
RBA expected to keep cash rate steady after next Tuesday's board meeting, according to Dow Jones survey; 16 of 21 economists expect steady rates while 5 expect a hike. On-hold decision expected given currently benign inflation, strong AUD. DJ>

Beijing XS 03:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
DChan,

Agreed

Quebec YQB 03:41 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Anyone shorting USD/CAD at present levels? I just went short 1.33

Dchan Dynasty 03:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Buy usd before GDP figs.. good numbers expected.. and sell the sh.t out of it after that!

Alb Emm 03:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Thnk th Dlr will get sold off in Europe and bought just before the GDP numbers. JIMHO

Alb emm 03:11 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD breached of 1.2380-1.2400 Thu expose 1.2334-47 lows of last week to retest and an extension through here possible as daily techs retains weak tone. ?

Melbourne Qindex 03:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 03:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Well ML, I say Asia WILL sell the Euro and the London Boys will bring it back and THEN they will square out before London Close shorting back down the Euro.

My WAG on the close on the Euro for the END of NY close would be 1,2367 +- 4 pips (weekend close).

Dallas GEP 02:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
BTW, we have sellers at 1.2420 and buyers @ 1.2400 and they are both as confused as a puppy with two tails!!! Bollinger bands are tightening indicating a pending price movement break. Which direction of course is anyone's guess.

Watch CADDY carefully, it generally is a leading indicator but when it takes off it will move fairly rapidly.

ICT ML 02:53 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
GEP.....my sharky thinking is we gun for the easiest stops first than reverse hard like last week...so easiest stops are the fresh longs taken today.......maybe go for new monthly lows, than reverse on a failure like last Friday...

What say YOU?

Toa Payoh heartlander 02:51 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
heard the 1 year 45 delta r/r traded at 0.375 vols in size last couple of weeks and just looking at it is like 2 big figures between the strikes for 1 year .... like 105 agst 103.... in any other time it wud just be a pure synthethic forward ... thats a bit too far-fetch

Dallas GEP 02:50 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I meant 40pip range NOT 30 pip range. Can't count today!!!

singapore emperor 02:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hrly bearish rsi divergence in EURAUD, thats why you see EURAUD dropped back ..

Dallas GEP 02:48 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Not much volume now guys so someone that wanted to push euro long or short could do so pretty easily within I would say a 30 pip range of figure from 1.2440 to 1.2360 if they wanted to place a significant order. That being said I think the probability is HIGHER for a short down to 1.2360 than a long to 1.2440/50. Asia IMO would be MORE likely to see euro shorts than when the London boys come in. This IS Friday however so anything goes!!!

Sydney Ge11Ja 02:43 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
batam

cheap way to get long usd/yen

batam lobang 02:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
yeah thats why the risk/reversal are so huge. 1 year 25 delta risk/reversal is so high at close to 3 vols.

Sydney Ge11Ja 02:34 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Batam

There were huge amounts of those securities issued in Japan,
to cover themselves the issuers had to sell volatility. Once the securities knocked out then the issuers ended up short gamma ie they needed to sell more and more as the usd/yen went lower. those knockouts were below 110.00, 106.00 and all the way down to 100.00.......... numbers are quite large so the selling pressure just gets larger and larger the lower we go... correspondigly the BOJ buying gets larger and larger!!

they were called turbo securities.

people understand them its just they never expect to get knocked out.

Alb Emm 02:32 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD correction go to 0.7530 previous low as long as 7660 resistance caps gains, ANZ senior currency strategist view on it

Singapore Pilot 02:24 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
not understanding the product mainly....

glasgow kiss 02:22 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
go u think its told of the risk or not understanding the product

Singapore Pilot 02:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Lobang... yes what you say is true..not many where told of the risks involved and where just enticed by the yield enhancements...no wonder dlr yen is down here..

singapore emperor 02:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Look at AUD Daily and Weekly chart, started to kick in bearish signal. The AUD cross showed the way, esp AUDCHF.
Weekly just started to see lower. If tonite cannot close abv 0.7670-80, AUD in trouble. A thgt.

batam lobang 02:12 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
know of many people who 'unknowingly' short options via dual currencies deposit (short opt embedded) and caught long usdjpy at 115 to 120 still ....

batam lobang 02:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Even options trader can comastose if u short them, only safe if u are long or do simple call or put spread or some simple barrier options to express directional view

glasgow kiss 02:09 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
i think there are plenty of traders left in the markets.
options good for leverage, risk is relative like that guys missus

glasgow kiss 02:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
ok nzd comments 2 hours old

Singapore Pilot 02:04 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Razvan... I guess most people use options nowadays to hedge their fx possies...very few true blue ccy traders left in the market who dare hold naked possies anymore... alot been wiped out over the years...but then again.. you will find some brave hearts still surviving...

glasgow kiss 02:03 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
when did the finance min make the comment on kiwi, i cant see it but aud nzd higher

batam lobang 02:00 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
kelong,

near casino

Bucharest Razvan 01:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Hi all.. I was wondering how one should 'spread' across markets.. Regarding FX, are you spot all the way or do you also frequently use options/futures as part of your strategy?Thanks!

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
sng emp tks

Singapore Pilot 01:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Yo Lobang...still like to buy eur/aud on dips ...1.6200 will be a good buying area if we can get there...i'm looking at 1.6700

Alb emm 01:58 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
MARKET TALK: Recent NZD/USD Rise A Concern - NZ Fin Min

Global-View 01:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
For those who did not receive an email, we are proud to announce that we will be hosting an online class: "Learn To Design Your Own Trading Systems." If you are interested, Click Here (if the date doesn't suit, let us know and will provide you with an alternate date)

singapore emperor 01:57 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
short form : support (ss ).

USA Biscuit Boy 01:56 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Long aussie and euro possies liquidated here. GL and GT.

Bintan Kelong 01:55 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Lobang,
are you near Lucy's Oar House on Batam??

Eilat Dolphin 01:54 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Rafe/ Yeah, just like in the Carribean, when it rains you get wet. We may get a few cumulonimbus too. With the lightning strikes... and a couple of twisters to tear our positions.

batam lobang 01:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
any idea euraud ? audusd may have a rally towards 0.7665 first to bring euraud back to 1.6200 and eurusd basically unchanged 1.2420.. any thots on this pilot and hk8888 ?

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
singapore emperor

what does ss mean please?

Singapore Pilot 01:45 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hahahahahh good one 8888....

Bergen, Norway Steinar 01:42 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Does anybody have any clues wether EUR/USD 1.2420 will hold this session? TIA

HK 8888 01:40 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
It's all relative Kiss.
What I consider to be huge, apparently my missus doesn't.

Singapore Pilot 01:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
oops....basically same call as 8888...hahahahah

Singapore Pilot 01:38 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
thanks guys...oz ...sell rally towards 0.7660...s/l 0.7700 wud be good punt..

glasgow kiss 01:26 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
what sort of amount is huge bids ?

HK 8888 01:21 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Nice calls on the eur/usd pilot.
aud worked out very nicely too.
Think a chance of squeeze in aud up towards 0.7640/60 breakdown lvl, where it should be sold. Intraday s/l's above 7630 this am will get done, sell the blip for 7550 tonight I think.

singapore emperor 01:19 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Good call in your EUR, high 1.2529, close to yur stops.
well dun pilot. Agree w u the EUR, will not get too bearish here ... huge bids 1.2390-1.2360. Daily ss 1.2390. watch it

Batam Lobang 01:18 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Pilot,

Any idea/flow in audusd ?

singapore emperor 01:16 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Emma, today will be cautious in selling aud again. huge ss
ard 0.7580-90. Still remain to sell rally towards 0.7635-40 again. If NY cannot close abv 0.7665. AUD in trouble.

Gen dk 01:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Singapore Pilot 01:15 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
TGIF !!!!!....guess those short at 1.2510 yesterday wud have taken back already and get ready to enjoy the w/e...... today ...stops at 1.2430 to 50 but sells at 1.2485 90 as well... downside stops below 1.2340 ... might get messy if we break that.....prefer sell rallys still near 1.2485 ..at least I know where to put my stops ...abv 1.2530

Manchester Jim 01:05 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
NOK/CAD my rse

Philippines newtrader 00:59 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
good morning everyone. enjoy trading.........

JOCKY ON THE OCHE 00:52 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
CAD NOK WORKED A TREAT

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:49 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD UPPER BANDS 1.2425 1.2440 1.2458 1.2473 1.2487 1.2505 1.2535
LOWER BANDS 1.2396 1.2381 1.2363 1.2348 1.2334 1.2316 1.2286


USD/CHF UPPER BANDS 1.2607 1.2622 1.2641 1.2655 1.2670 1.2689 1.2718
LOWER BANDS 1.2578 1.2563 1.2544 1.2530 1.2515 1.2496 1.2467


GBP/USD UPPER BANDS 1.8182 1.8204 1.8230 1.8252 1.8273 1.8300 1.8343
LOWER BANDS 1.8140 1.8118 1.8092 1.8070 1.8049 1.8022 1.7979


GBP/JPY UPPER BANDS 192.57 192.80 193.08 193.31 193.53 193.82 194.27
LOWER BANDS 192.12 191.89 191.61 191.38 191.16 190.88 190.42


hk ab 0.88 00:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
8888, it's enough

otherwise, we will hear:

every fish has his day.

GT everyone.

now most flat except those eur crosses.
and those shorts from high.

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:46 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
dolphin// i don't understand when you say rainy season.

do you mean to imply it's a down trend in the context rain falls down?

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:39 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
I closed my euro long for a profit of about 20 pips. now flat.

possible range for today is 1.2413-1.2293

with 1.2353 being key.

will wait until later to confirm if this is going to be right

Eilat Dolphin 00:33 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Rafe/ Yes. Rainy season for a month possibly, including tomorrow.

HK 8888 00:28 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
AUD Trader

Whats tour view on Macau fish index this morning??
You called it beautifully yesterday arvo......

Houston WAS 00:25 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Rafe: I shorted EUR/USD at 1.2405.

Alb Emma 00:20 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
singapore emperor see it coming under pressure first thing and then rally to 7660/70 before NY open is that your view
also

Caribbean! Rafe... 00:17 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
anyone got view on EURO?

TIA.

Melbourne Qindex 00:14 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment . Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

singapore emperor 00:13 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
Emma, hope you took back your aud shorts..

melbourne farmacia 00:06 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - did u pick up aussie for quick pips ?

ICT ML 00:02 GMT January 30, 2004 Reply   
well guys, flat again, looking to sell euro 1.2445-50
came out today with pocket change gains on swiss long that fizzled out too soon.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube




pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
Managed Forex Accounts
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2019 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105

?>