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Forex Forum Archive for 10/01/2004

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Texas(Jksn.) PNB 23:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
And the next short i would try would be on 8th oct,2004, when I expect a bear candle to end the week succeeding 8 oct,2004.

Ok see ya everyone. hope everyone B/E at least on the move on eurusd at least.

TIA:-)

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 23:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Looks like my 1.2400 finally reached. good week-end and gl for next week all.

test 21:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
.

SanFrancisco TG 21:19 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I had to post this in GVI in response to a comment that the US economy has been floundering ....


JP - we can pick apart levels and cycles until it appears we've seen both sides of the fence. The bottom line is that since 911 (about the point the anti US/and or Bush crowd began calling for an inflated dollar and double dip recessions) the economy has gained significantly on the back of a weak dollar and tax relief, and of course the virtual crushing of terror.

This of course happened against the calls that tax relief/weak dollar/war born of defense, would cause the double dip recession, stock collapse, out of control USD, and irreversable deficit "within months" as quoted by one source in 2001.

Never happened. In fact, we've seen systematic repeipts increase since 2002 offsetting any war cost, consumer spending robust, holding the same US enemployment rate seen in the 90's after a historic shock to the system that still dominates the employment cycle, a string of 40 year old economic records broken at a pace never seen in history on the back of arguably the worst economic shock in US history (911 compounded by a Clinton recession).

Bottom line is the negative hype monger en large is eating his dust.

Soros/Roach .. 0
Forbes/TG .. 10

NYC YIPPEE 21:06 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I am getting a feeling that Sunday/Monday is gonna see some fireworks !!!!!!

ICT ML 20:51 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Think the idea of carry trades was questioned because of the rate spread that allowed them in the first place has apparantly peaked and is on he decline. With the UK data this week I don't see rates going up any farther, but it is a certainty that US rates will head to neutral which is between 3.4-4.5% according to Greenspan last I read. I would expect the Aud rates to peak as well.

So rates are converging and the market will have to focus on other things in the near future. That is my take anyway.

Toronto YV 20:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Spotforex.

Spotforex NY 20:30 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
from GVI

GVI Jay 17:00 GMT October 1, 2004
It appears G7 communique is due at 21:45 GMT (5:45 EDT). Expecting a non-event.

CAIRO AG 20:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Valdez: can u explain more... thanks

Quito_Ecuador Valdez "mos-quito" 20:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tip from Valdez's collection:
If you look at a €/$ daily chart such as 30 days, note sometimes you see a broadening peak-dip pattern, that is, the rmini ange broadens with time, then the price reverses.

I saw this tip here in FF some time ago..(forget from whom) thought I'd repost it anew now that tradin' permits. Excellent posts from the get go today..thanks all.

Toronto YV 20:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Could anybody confirm G7 communique will be released today 21.45 GMT?

Sydney MR 19:38 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
GBP took a dive, especially against AUD. Any hope for a reversal within the next couple of weeks?

SanFrancisco TG 19:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd - I don't subscribe to, read, or receive IFR.

Dallas GEP 19:30 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Also TP on Eur/usd shorts, Some AUSSIE shorts still working, took profit on others

Dallas GEP 19:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
RE: my eur/gbp shorts...closed HALF of them @ .6897 to lighten load. Still carrying half of the lots. Target still 6880 SundayOR lower if we have no huge G7 surprises

Syd 19:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG sorry should have been to you... back later

Syd 19:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
HCM MI notice that post , re carry trades, have a suspicion it was written by IFR because have seen similar points on the daily write ups . Over the recent years carry trades have been unwound gradually therefore not creating such a shock to the markets example late September the Aussie for instance when contracts were actually short - so in effect where are the so called carry trades. .. Just a thought ..
back later.

SanFrancisco TG 18:56 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
HCM MI 17:58 - in FF. Regarding the idea of carry trades being dead. While ridiculous, I have been analyzing a group of models which show across the board reduced pip cultivation over the last three years, with the Euro and the AUD being the least volatile in terms of results.

Perhaps it is only a matter of conviction vs consolidation. This was called for several years ago by many (the range) and I think accurately so due to geo-dynamics.


The answer if you are a "carry trader" ... SCALE THEM. By the the time the "carry" is winding down you will know and be on top of it.

pd cumino 18:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
HCM MI 17:58 GMT October 1, 2004
I guess that the best thing everyone can do is judging by himself, rather than read only what are saying "the experts".
There are several types of carry trades, but mainly investors have choices among 3 sources: credit premia being long credit, term premia being long duration, and FX risk premia being long high-yielders currencies.
Each needs to be judged in combination with other drivers as value, volatility, positions, and momentum.
Everyone should study what in every markets reflects a possible carry behaviour, then select measures and then have a judgment.
For istance with oil so high, vol so low, positions so light, in FX isn't so surprising that carry is actractive overall for emerging currencies and indeed there are (were) building positions.
The measures in FX are the yield, the volatility, the positions.
In a simple way the yield normalized for vol with an eye to positions.

Gen dk 18:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

saloniko 2004 nk...1.4088 18:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening..

Everything is under control while rest time knock my door...

To all the Gold posts and all the friends Lotsa Cherrios..!

Zorro ask my mail frome GV and mail me there..cos the other is past..

Cross my hurt to all GL..
and wish the Dreams be GOLD painting with Blue and White Up to the Sky..

nk


HCM MI 17:58 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Anyone notice that a certain major FX dealer has been writing reports about how the carry trade is dead? Anyone think the carry trade is no longer a viable strategy?

http://dailyfx.com/article_daily_brief_100104.html

ICT ML 17:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
If anyone can explain WTH is up with GBP-USD the past two days I am all ears...............its starting to resemble that nickname that shall never be spoken in the forum again.

Sydney Alimin 17:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:49 GMT October 1, 2004

thanks, i was thinking of shorting it up in the 0.6910 level but a bit hesitated holding any trades this weekend....will look at it again on monday
cheers...see you next week, good luck with your trades

Dallas GEP 17:49 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Well IMO 6880 for sure will be hit, probably not today and then the 6850 area again.

Sydney Alimin 17:45 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, is your eur/gbp short still working mate? what would be a reasonable target short term for this pair?

Dallas GEP 17:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
JIm, very well could be true. May be done for today.

Bruxville Jim 17:20 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
GEP// there are still people out there looking to get out of euro shorts. they won't let the pair go down more today. imho.

Dallas GEP 17:12 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Forgot to add, perhaps the G7 meeting is preventing this, but IMO the break of the EURO to the downside is imminent and may very well still happen today but if it does I don't expect the price action to take it short very far 1.2360/70 maybe. Market may very well be too thin for this today but becasue of this a bigger player could more easily move the market his direction. 1.2500 very TOUGH resistance and the 1.2440/50 may very well hold any upside attempts.

Dallas GEP 16:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Well looking at price action in US session, Euro seems to be tightly range bound and the GBP has BOTH IMO more upside potential and downside potential. This no doubt has been greatly influenced by eur/gbp action in no small part.

THE AUSSIE has been interesting in that it had gone very long then has shorted down to the low of around 7225 where buyers were found and stabilize what has been so far a very methodical aud/usd short play. Pivot point appears to be around this 7245 area and if 7225 breaks on the downside 7160/70 will be seen not long after. Conversely they COULD be a restest of AUD/USD highs but the downmove IMO is MORE likely.

NON-USD based open positions prior to the G7 meeting would be much preffered to USD based pairs.

jkt-aye 16:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Many thanks to Revdax for the special menu. I got 40 pips on that. Thx

ATL MA 16:26 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
vanrevdax -- Looking at the dollaryen chart...I think that low will be tough to break near term...It marks a lower trend line...healthy bounce off of that low, validating that trendline once again...also, the downward trendline that was broken before comes in around those levels as well, and the bounce back above that line validates the upward break. Hats off to those who longed that pair during the madness yesterday. I was tempted, but I tend to focus mostly one one pair, eurusd...so I stayed out. That's my reading on that dollaryen right now. I think the recent low is going to hold in the near term.

vanrevdax 16:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
$/JY has not taken out yesterday's low yet.

gold coast martin 16:12 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma A B 16:05 GMT October 1, 2004
Due to thinning liquidity no pair has enough momentum to make a 20-30 pip break on either side...the only one i can see going under 198 again is GBP/JPY.....its the hardest to trade but once direction is established it is a pip rainer...its bias today has been downwards....g/t

Tacoma A B 16:05 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I'm somewhat with Miami. Live to fight another day. Are there any short-term technical plays anyone is looking at right now? I really am not seeing anything set up. Missed a 20 pip run on usd/jpy that I've been killing as of late, just missed the entry, so shyed away. Like I said, anyone seeing anything short term for the last few hours?

Miami OMIL (/;-> 15:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Time to shut down the shop for the weekend. A word of caution about leaving open positions over the weekend for intraday traders. Market is sensetive especially when break out levels are so close and some platforms do not honor your stops in the weekend. I hope every one has a good and safe weekend. See you on the other side. GL GT

RIVER FALLS_USA_ PB 15:51 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma A B 15:37 GMT October 1, 2004

///Look at post 11:17 - good ideas

ATL MA 15:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
AB -- I agree with JNYC that there is probably not going to be any news coming out of G7 to move the market. But the fact that there is no news may very well move the market. I think a lot of traders dumped their dollars ahead of the meeting just because it was risky to hold dollars going into it (because you never know what could happen). After the meeting, if there is nothing new (and there probably won't be) we could see the traders buy back those dollars, and this could cause the dollar shorts to get squeezed.

Captain Underpants 15:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Dublin -- Ah, my arch enemy Bill Murray....I have heard of his evil exploits; He has tried to stain Captain Underpants with his words. But I quote my wise master, "Man who wears no underpants is man with bloody zipper."

NYC JNYC 15:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma. G7 issues a communique after the meeting (usually on a Saturday) and this meeting is not expected to produce any market moving initiatives.

Tacoma A B 15:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
In reguards to the G7 meeting. How is this going to be able to be played in the markets. How can one obtain any information about this meeting fast enough to make a play on it?

CHC kiwi 15:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have any thoughts on AUD/NZD, How much left in this run?

Global-View 15:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

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CAIRO AG 15:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Wiaconsin.. Tim// Thanks my friend for the reply...

GL & GT

RIVER FALLS_USA_ PB 15:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
NY Raider19 15:16 GMT October 1, 2004

Good Point! lot of TA folks "flip and rig" pairs charts - mostly to confirm opposing trends.

istanbul cil-y 15:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
i think we'll see depreciation of other majors in coming days maybe contrary to most views...

NY Raider19 15:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
EURGPB //// It is incredible that this exchange rate is not traded as GBPEUR given the impact that a few EURGBP points have. It is one of the trickiest tools out there... And yes I know that EUR is supposed to be "more important". Just curious if any out there completley look at it as GBPEUR to get a better look at how it moves... TIA

swidnica profi-forex 15:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
c short gbp/usd 1,7940

praga jan 15:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
thank you,guys!

Bris TW 15:11 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
praga jan I doubt we will see as big ani mpact that we saw early last year. The meeting wont really do much untill most platforms close so better have a broker that will allow stops and limits where you place them.

Dublin Flip 15:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
monday morning sorry

Dublin Flip 15:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
5.00 to 5.15 am Sydney Morning morning most likely mate.

praga jan 15:06 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
anyone has an idea what time the g7 meeting will begin to influence the market?thanx.

gold coast martin 15:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Bris TW 14:57 GMT October 1, 2004
Solid reading bris.////g/t

Bris TW 14:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Looking at Sterling long term I see it on the egde of a cliff at the moment and at the same time ready to grind higher. Looking at a daily chart I have a few voodoo lines and several rising channels that cross each other @ 1.7756. This number has now risen to 1.7858.

There is another steep downward channel starting at 1.8768 in July which was breached on Friday last week. Todays low is exactly on top of this downward channel. If we close today below 1.7927 there is a very good chance that the downward channel will continue for a end year target of 1.7450-1.7500 and a Eur/GBP target of .7150+.

If this we close at the current price of 1.7950-60 or above then there looks to be the making of a new upward channel which has a base very close to where we are now.

Im not holding at trades this weekend but will decide to enter some 3-6 month ones next week.

RIVER FALLS_USA_ PB 14:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 14:45 GMT October 1, 2004
///I shortly became WISCONSIN, but will just as quickly defer to your handle - hope this is allright with Jay. Yup - the Chiefs still train here after testy negotiations with the University each year. How was the party in LaCrosse- did you make it to the barrels?

Halifax CB 14:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Just a thought - today would be a good day for someone with a little money to cause big trouble ovr the lunch hour......

wisconsin tim 14:45 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
hello, river falls ... nice to see someone nearby. Parents live in Hudson. Do the Chiefs still train up there?

wisconsin tim 14:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
cairo ag: sorry for the late reply just woke up =)
I have no ST target, just based on the breakout we should see at least 7020-7150 sometime.
I am waiting for a return to the TL to start buying/selling hopefully we will see that before the higher end

gts

GER ad 14:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP out at 0.6899
USD/CAD out at 1.2635

QC Swap 14:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Still holding my EUR/USD long. not feeling too much pain as of yet, and it seems like any move is now mitigated until next week with more data especially with this G7 summit this weekend.

houston st 14:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- took some profit on 1/3 possie in usd/chf @ 1.2500...moved s/l to BE...looking for higher today for remainder (1.2525+), but will be flat before G7...good trades.

swidnica profi-forex 14:33 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
short gbp/usd 1,7960 sl 1,8010

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:32 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Yea Hoorah Biscuit baby! My short at 1.2420 would appreciate the unrefined version! Keep a programmin' 'n postin', y'all come back, hear?

Dallas GEP 14:31 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Well this market is not too sleepy!!!Euro shorting now but GBP showing to be better supported` Delayed reaction to data seems to be USD bullish.

Pecs Andras 14:28 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 14:23 GMT October 1, 2004
U R not kidding about this expected EUR level?
That would be nice for me:-)

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:26 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Yea ML, I owned Charbon Outfitters (8,000 sq ft of sporting goods) 257 W.Broad St..sold it in '82 moved to CA, it sold again..last I heard Charbon's at 5 points coming into town at Milledge Av. Sm world. :^> No wonder we think alike..but you're more alike than I am. ;-()

USA Biscuit Boy 14:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Hi Raider....yes am adding a few filters to my model and working it side by side with another new one based on game theory. I am expecting eur/usd to end up around 1.2280 today so that will tell you how much work is needed before this one gets posted.

ATL MA 14:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito -- UGA is still barking! He'll be on the sidelines as always. I was born in Athens about the time you were in school there! Small world I suppose.

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA// Do they still have an "UGA" white bulldog as the mascot? I'm U.Ga alumnus..Athens..69-73 engineering. How 'bout dem dawgs!

dxb start_raider 14:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 14:06 GMT
HI biscuit! Good to see u. Have you stopped updating your freeweb site.
It is good to read your views here.GT

ATL MA 14:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Biscut Boy....I dig that name! My no-touches expire about this time, this day, next week. Yeah I didn't want to short the spot too soon until a good peak was in place, so I checked on no-touches well above 1.2460-5....they were just too cheap to pass up...sometimes days like yesterday where everybody freaks out are the best opportunities. Good luck and have a good weekend! Georgia vs. LSU, tomorrow 3:30...I've been waiting on that game all week! Go Dogs! GT and GL

ATL MA 14:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Ahhhh...sleepy market. I"m leaving my sell order and calling it a week guys. Lots of great football games tomorrow here in the US. For you lucky people sitting on profits from dollar shorts taken just in time, do what your strategy tells you to do, but my suggestion is to square up and take profits now. I've a got feeling (and info to support it) that dollars may get bought back after the weekend, especially after the G7 meets...so those profits could vanish pretty quickly. I'd go into this weekend square if I were in your position...but that is what I would do...it's your money! Have a good weekend everybody!

USA Biscuit Boy 14:06 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA 13:36 GMT October 1, 2004

Very nicely played mate. When do your DNT's expire? I am not getting excited about this move until we close above 1.2450. Short till then.

Sydney Alimin 14:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
data is ok i think for some usd bullish stances but no follow thru or not yet?

WISCONSIN PB 14:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
DJ * US Construction Spending +0.8% In August
DJ * July Construction Spending Revised To +1.1% From +0.4%

Global-View GVI 14:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
From GVI:
GVI 14:01 GMT October 1, 2004
ISM PMI 58.5 vs. 59.0 in Aug, in line with forecasts
Employment 58.1 vs, 55.7 in Aug
Prices Paid 76.0 vs. 81.5 in Aug

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Rob// no offence..hence "to your smiling face"..knew U were joking..yankee humor. Events today will likely not be chart movers unless the numbers are WAY OFF concensus. Wolverine's (U of M) consumer conf. isn't a mover unless it's way off or way down or parallels other news w/ radical diff to prev's...besides USD is already got weights on its shoulders.

Ldn Rob 13:56 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 13:50 GMT / The market has gone a little quiet and I was only joking. I know you mean well. Take care mate.

Sydney Alimin 13:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
thx people for the info...no reaction whatsoever...ok next data out in 10 min, probably no big move either only slight position adjustment prior to weekend

Madrid CAB 13:51 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
13.50 GMT
US University of Michigan Confidence index expected 96,0
14.00 GMT
US construction spending Aug expected 0,4%
US ISM manufacturing Sept expected 58,3

US UMC 94.2 bad number

Los Angeles ss 13:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Almin --Down to 94.2

Toronto YV 13:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
UMICH SEPT. CONSUMER SENTIMENT REVISED TO 94.2 VS 95.8

Portugal MW 13:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
94.2, worst than expected

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
tks Robbie, I always need more help mattie! Signing off..adios (to your smiling face)

Pecs Andras 13:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Michigan down to 94.2

Sydney Alimin 13:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
is michigan sentiment rev data out yet?

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ATL ma// Now that's a good post! We post same view, yours is more detailed, more precise, more reasons. (SHEESH hope we're both right!)
"amigo mos-quito"

Ldn Rob 13:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 13:25 GMT // Tips are one thing, continuous chit-chat another. Tips?

eur/usd. buy 1.2390 target 1.2465 s/l 1.2375. below 1.2375 re-buy 1.2330 s/l 1.2205.

gbp/usd. sell 1.8000 target 1.7890 s/l 1.8050

eur/gbp. buy 0.6890 target 0.6945 s/l 0.6875

.... need more help?

Pecs Andras 13:45 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
MA
Great post, thanks and good luck

Dallas GEP 13:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
MA, excellent analysis

Global-View 13:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
RIVER FALLS PB 13:35 GMT October 1, 2004 - better but what country? There is a reason to our madness, which is being a global community, it is useful to view postings within the context of the geographical region they come from so it is helpful to know what country you are located in. Some locations are obvious. others are not, such as River Falls (Wisconsin).

ATL MA 13:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
For what it's worth, here's where I am at the moment....

eurusd posted some divergneces yesterday, and after the market settled out, it looks to me like we have at least a near term top at 1.2440...and of course 1.2460 is very significant, and the market didn't test it. Now, it could be that we've started a new bull trend, or it could be that we will stay within the broad range which remains as long as we are below 1.2460. Either way, 1.2440-60 looks like a good place to short. The signals I'm getting tell me that even if this is the start of a new bull-trend, we're going to get a dip back toward 1.2350 level, if this isn't a new trend, then we're close to the top of the range and it's still a short. I will sell in the 1.2440-60 area if we see it again, have an initial target of 1.2350...if the pair bounces strongly from that level, then I will take profit. Yesterday, when the market was abuzz about the dollar being doomed to slide and slide and slide, short term no-touch options in the 1.2500 area were really cheap, so I bought a few as the pair peaked out and the divergences became clear. Trading spot, my view is that selling eurusd on another test to the upside should be worth at least about a 100 pop within the next few trading days, and perhaps more if this new "trend" turns out not to be a trend (we'll know that if 1.2350 holds up). For a day trader looking to open a position right now, the pair is not attractive to me for a buy or a sell right now. If you are looking for a trade over the next few trading days, I'd short above here as mentioned. New trend or not, the 1.2440-60 area should cap for the next several days at least and should see the pair correct downward. My near term plan is to sit on my no-touches which are good throught the next week, sell rallies toward the topside (if seen), probably take profit and reverse at 1.2350, and if that level gives way, stop and reverse for more downside. I've been a dollar bull medium term, betting on the range and selling the tops all summer...I will change my medium term outlook to bull if the range breaks...I'm not convinced yet of this...not enough evidence just yet to support this in my view. Good luck and trades everyone, and be safe this weekend.

RIVER FALLS PB 13:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Global-View 13:27 GMT October 1, 2004 /// my home town - is this good?

Halifax CB 13:28 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
prev YHZ,
Sorry Jay...

Global-View 13:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
YHZ - see Global-View 13:27 GMT October 1, 2004

YHZ CB 13:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
well, CAD is still cycling nicely for pip raiding. I'm out again, will wait to over 40 to short again. Using the falling secondary support on the on minutes (5:50, 6:57, 7:50) & RSI for close signals.

Global-View 13:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
FALLS (and Others): Could you use a more recognizable location rather than an abbreviation. We have a save feature in the posting box so it only has to be typed in once. Thanks for cooperating.

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Then whatcha got for us this AM, Rob? When the charts don't buzz or the news isn't flashing I post to help folks. Note I don't post trades much (long term possie men don't), I post info.
Tip:
Note a 250-270 day cycle in €/$ 1 yr & 3 yr charts. :^] 10/1/03 being start of cycle (peak). Look for cycles...they're $ makers. Pointed out to me by Mex sjs. In the same space you criticized me you could have given us tip$, Rob.

nyc jk 13:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito - you were on a good roll, but do you really think you should be recommending Martingale double/triple down technique to beginners?

prague mark 13:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
will cable close above 1.8 - TIA

Rivonia PipPirate 13:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Rob 13:16 LOL Nothing like a swarm of mos_quitos to get those "newbies" itching to trade.

FALLS PB 13:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
fwiw cybercrime hit home at one of my trading platform services yesterday - posted are portions of the explanation.

"As you probably know by now, we were the victim of a serious cybercrime today, known as a "denial-of-service attack." What this means, in essence, is that an avalanche of literally millions of bogus hits and queries was unleashed on our network, which buried our servers and interrupted your ability to access your account online. Even our e-mail was crippled during this attack, so we were unable to send this update until service was restored......

.... beginning in the very early morning hours, we started to receive a number of e-mail messages from an anonymous sender threatening to launch an attack and demanding immediate payment of thousands of U.S. Dollars, to be transferred overseas via Western Union. Because we (probably like many online businesses) receive any number of bizarre e-mails practically each day, this correspondence didn't strike us as a true and imminent threat, and we essentially ignored it. Even if it were real, we considered this to be extortion, plain and simple, and as a matter of principle, we did not comply. Unfortunately, this was not a bluff, and the assailant carried out his threat. Our network was overwhelmed and swamped throughout the day by the resulting attack. An avalanche of bogus traffic was directed at our network from tens of thousands of IP addresses around the world, and it didn't let up all day.

...The FBI tells us that similar attacks have occurred in the past several days on other financial institutions, and authorities are doing their best to trace the attacker, believed to be operating somewhere in the Baltic republics in Eastern Europe....In addition, maddeningly, the FBI often receives very little assistance from local law enforcement in the Baltic states, which have become a hotbed for all kinds of financial crime, including fraud, extortion, and money laundering. It turns out that some of these countries, eager for an incoming flow of Dollars and always happy to stick it to the U.S. and American companies, deliberately look the other way and don't provide much help to the FBI."

Toronto YV 13:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
start_raider, so far so good .

Los Angeles ss 13:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Try foxnewsdotcom for the transcript.

cork g 13:19 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
could anyone tell me where I can read the script of the Bush vs Kerry debate?

dxb start_raider 13:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Hi anyone here trading in O-anda, IS the server down?? cant access their website even?
Thanks for your info

Pecs Andras 13:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Ldn Rob 13:16 GMT October 1, 2004
Don't you see any quality difference?

Ldn Rob 13:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
First we had an overdose of Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas and now quito_ecuador_valdez replaces him. LOL @ quito debating himself.

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
When do I play NY opening spikes? When Ny opens..from 11:45 to 12:30 GMT, like minutes ago..gets my eyes open while the coffee sets in.

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Beginners: note GEP's post..he gives reasons for his trades very often when he's got time...that's good. Others do here as well. Study this type of "reasoning" post carefully to enhance your learning curve, be curious yet be your own individual. If a poster's advice goes wrong, AND EVERY ONE WILL at some point, don't bash them, be thankful, gain from it, afterall, no one HAS to post here. Many of these guys control millions of cash unleveraged bucks..it's darned nice and considerate of them to post.

Pecs Andras 13:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 12:59 GMT October 1, 2004
Very smart, mate, hats off.
What is the time frame within which you play these trades?

Budapest Daniel 13:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez thanks for the tips! Good to collect a lot of ideas from this forum. :)

Helsinki iw 13:00 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Total says it makes a significant discovery in Nigeria.
Not too sure if significant for markets --fwiw

YHZ CB 12:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorted EUR$; it's looking near the top of a long term oscillation on the dailies. Big SL though, & will use the 14 pt PPMA for guidane as to when to close. Definite close this PM, though.

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Daniel// Yes, I do play the NY opening peak but as to shorting... Reasons:
1. I already know with reasonable doubt where the small peak will have topped out, I wait a few pips down to make sure then enter the short.
2. Sometimes on an uptrend I play the small long on the NY opening peak then close with an immediate short for the other side immediately. Most mornings I can tally a win of some 8-20 pips to start the day off sweet. Today the chart wants to short so I didn't long the NY peaklet this time...should have tho. The NY opening peak in the €/$ is basically big banks in the Eastern USA dumping some USD for the foreign exchange "change box" that day for their import/export customers I theorize. Anyone with an op on that?

Tip: on an uptrend, you're more likely to win at longing, on a down trend you are more likely to win by shorting. This increases your odds somewhat (10% maybe..depending on the slope of the chart). It doesn't mean you don't short in an uptrend nor long in a downtrend but it doesn't hurt to know your odds. Watch the Learning Center link at right at the end of this month with tips etc. such as this.

Dallas GEP 12:56 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
OK closed USD/CAD longs at -10PIPS, Just don't trust USD?CAD longs right now EVEN if USD rebounds some more, Aussie shorts still working. Have Euro short from earlier @ 1.2419` eur/gbp shorts working but underwater right now.

NY Raider19 12:55 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
NY Open //// Would it be possible to confirm what time this occurs in GMT (assuming 1200-1220 GMT). Also, for what market is it referring to? I have CME FX futures open at 1220 GMT... TIA

Pecs Andras 12:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
sorry, meant: 7271
GEP, u around, friend?

Pecs Andras 12:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I bet there are some who got burned on cable long from yesterday. Sorry for those!
Still short AUD and lightened up a bit, so my average is now 6271

Pecs Andras 12:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
OK guys, thanks, I can see now. Worse than exp. data and the Blair issue. But still, 200 pips!! My golly! This is really her treacherous Majesty LOL

Budapest Daniel 12:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Where should I read in the archieves? Can you pls. tell me a GMT hour? :)

Toronto YV 12:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Andras , there were talking about massive buying EUR/GBP .

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Pecs Andreas// Howdy. Catch up on the posts to this forum the last 12 hours...your answer is waiting. Careful today...it's tricky stuff.

Budapest Daniel 12:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_equador_valdez, do you ussually ride the downside of the peak(after the spike sets in)?

Pecs Andras 12:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Hi and good trading to everbody
Just got to my computer. Whatever has happaned to the pound today? Any bad bews? I am totally out of the picture. I can see that the dollar regained some of the losses in most pairs, but almost 200 pips in cable? All of yesterday's gains wiped out in London?

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, just for fun I do a little pip raiding on that spike (more shortlets than longlets) , & when I'm awake at the Tokyo open too, although less dramatic usually. This was pointed out to me likewise in a post here not long ago for the life of me I can't see how I missed that all these years. Live 'n learn. It pays to read all posts when you log on that you missed overnight.

JHB CDB 12:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:32 GMT October 1, 2004
LOL! Will post Belgium bier inv next calendar. I included past events on today's roster so beginners could see what effect if any they had earlier "today" while waiting for charts to activate. I get my calendar info HERE FWIW.

Your sharing of information is much appreciated.

Thank You
Newbie

KL KL 12:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd long 1.7938 + 15 pips....now working on the other loss

Livingston nh 12:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
If USD/CHF has been the leader since its failure at 1.2625 then a break above 1.5520 EUR/CHF level might tip a EUR/USD retracement here

Anybody think part of cable weakness is related to PM Blair's hospital stay?

Budapest Daniel 12:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 11:49 GMT October 1, 2004
There's normally a spike on NY open, careful..place your bets when it's peaked.


I've just checked back in time on my chart and you're right. 85% of the time the market did a small spike at NY Open.

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:32 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
LOL! Will post Belgium bier inv next calendar. I included past events on today's roster so beginners could see what effect if any they had earlier "today" while waiting for charts to activate. I get my calendar info HERE FWIW.

Livingston nh 12:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Mel - OKtoberfest drawdown in thise inventories expected?

LA Mel 12:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
valdez, you forgot belgium beer inventories...

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
-Oct 1 "EVENTS"
KEY:
number Values when 2 given: 1st = concensus, 2nd = prev.
Times are GMT.

G7 Fin Ministers (Wash DC) (close time unk)
USD Total Vehicle Sales (SEP)(time unk)16.7M 16.6M
USD Domestic Veh Sales(SEP)(time unk)13.5M 13.5M
EUR Ital.Bud't Def't(Net)(SEP)(time unk)prev=4.2B
EUR Ital.Bud't Def't(Cum'tve)(SEP)(time unk)prev=42.5B
AUD Building Approvals(AUG) 1:30 -1.5% -0.70%
JPY Vehicle Sales (YoY)(SEP) 5:00 prev=2.10%
DEM Retail Sales (MoM)(AUG) 6:00 -0.30% 0.90%
DEM Retail Sales (YoY)(AUG) 6:00 0.90% -0.90%
EUR Ital. Lg Co. Emp'mnt(YoY)(JUL) 7:30 prev-0.80%
EUR Ital. ADACI/Reuters PMI Manufact. 7:45 52.3
EUR Ital. PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:45 52.3 52.3
EUR Fr. PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:50 54 54
DEM PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:55 65.9 55.1
EUR PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 8:00 53.7 53.9
GBP CIPS Purchasing Mgrs Index (Mfg) 8:30 55.9
GBP PMI Manufacturing (survey) (SEP) 8:30 53.5
CHF SVME-Purchasing Mgrs Index (SEP) 9:00 55.5 55.1
EUR French New Car Registration 10:00 prev=2.80%
EUR French New Car Registr'n (YoY) (SEP) 10:00 2.80%
USD U. of Mich Confidence (SEP F) 13:50 96 95.8
USD Construc'n Spending MoM(AUG) 14:00 0.30% 0.40%
USD ISM Manufacturing (SEP) 14:00 58.5 59
USD ISM Prices Paid (SEP) 14:00 79.9 81.5
USD Fed's Geithner speaks:bank insolvencies 23:30

YHZ CB 12:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Just closed $CAD, now it either heads south w/o us or I short again in around 1.2640. GL all.

hk ab 12:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
oilman, have you given up the usd bullish stance?

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:14 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
U could be rigtht QC swap...the bets are on. May the luckiest feller win. Here's that false peak I warned about at NY open..happens just about every time hence my caution til we know, didn't get to 1.2399 did it!

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:06 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Today off 'n on I'll be giving notes for beginners. Am considering letting this "NY open" €/$ peaklet mature & fall back to 1.2399 before placing a short, avoiding a false peak here. Am trading with 5 minute 12 hr Intellichart today.

QC Swap 12:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/USD, I suspect a cap at 1.2440-5. but if that breaks its going further upward.

YHZ CB 11:56 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
GT MD. FWIW - I am (alas) a born contrary indicator :( So I hope there's lots of folks taking advantage & going long $CAD....

Dallas MD 11:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
First 2 TGTS Hit.

I'm long GBP/USD @ 1.7935 SL 1.7919, TP 1.7942, 1.7952

YHZ CB 11:49 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
$CAD appears to be into an oscillation after yesterday with the peaks around 1.265. So we'll short above 1.264 but not go long at the bottom since the LT trend is down. TP whenever, but I'd look for another large break. Maybe. Re-evalute after NA open.

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:49 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
There's normally a spike on NY open, careful..place your bets when it's peaked.

CAIRO AG 11:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Now down or break??

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
No prob OMIL..your posts are highly prized (and by this old duffer anyway). Note for beginning traders: Today can be either nasty or rewarding, I'd say pip raiding today (5-10 pips) would be like pickpocketing Lady Luck in a park full of cops...so be careful. Even my €/$ short is giving me twinges, I could dine on crow this PM. Go small, enjoy the adrenalin, limit losses tightly. GL all, gonna BBQ/beer myself out at the farm mañana, hopefully no BBQ crowmeat.

CAIRO AG 11:39 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Shorting E$ here with 20 pips stop is not a bad idea IMO.

Budapest Daniel 11:38 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
thanks for all of the good opinions here guys. apperciate your helps

Miami OMIL (/;-> 11:38 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 10:59 GMT October 1, 2004
Thank you for your kind words. Hope you have a good weekend. GL GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
who ever is talking today...
I think it will be towards USD/Cad..going Up

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 11:18 GMT October 1, 2004
I'd say yes, lots of room for decline, the questions are (as all FX questions) if & when. It could go either way w/ USD crosses. Personally I shorted €/$ yesterday same time I closed my long nearish peak @ 1.2420 tgt 1.2350 as I see a decline in that pair's chart in the very near future before another yet incline similar to yesterday's (yet less pips) as the triangle seen on the 1 yr chart tightens the range. Towards Oct 25-Nov 10 is suspected breakout time for that pair, U can bet your shorts I'll be OUT of the game 'til the pair gives me indication of what it's going to do, if anything.

Budapest Daniel 11:32 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
thanks for your opinions guys

VloridA VV 11:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 11:18 GMT October 1, 2004
Yes off course, but now you have to place yous s/l @ 1.80
More interesting is Usd/Cad still did not quit trying to long it
GT

U.K. J.B. 11:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Keeping a close eye on cable now. Prefer selling rallies to buying dips but the improvement in Euro/stg i feel is giving us a nice opportunity to buy stg as i have good supp. 1.7925.
I will be long today just viewing the price action at moment....

Dallas MD 11:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I'm long GBP/USD @ 1.7935 SL 1.7919, TP 1.7942, 1.7952 & 1.8014. FWIW

Mauricio

YHZ CB 11:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
In for a penny, in for a loonie....shorts on $CAD with stops at 0.618 Fib line from yesterdays drop. Tgt 1.259 for revaluation, definitely close this afternoon w/o regrd to PL (FM paper release this evening)

KL KL 11:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
out eurusd with 6 pips loss long gbpusd at 1.7938...sl 15 below...getting a bit angry...c'mon make up your [email protected]#$#$#

Budapest Daniel 11:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Anybody opinion on gbp/usd? Are there still some room for declining?

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:17 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
mumbai goldman// & others concerned about G7 meeting today: The general guru concensus of the G7 meeting today is a non event for FX. Likely they're right. The most important topic of the meeting in Wash DC today likely would be China's monitary peg to the USD which it will not relinquish, riding the "cheap USD" wave of prosperity to the max. Getting China to move on releasing its currency to the whims of FX, manipulation et al is like backing up to Mt. Gibralter and saying "heave ho!" Everyone's upset at China's surge in exports when they should be thanking China for it's parallel surge in imports of materials. G7 jealousy if you ask me. The only significance I can see of the G7 meeting is possible terrorist action against it which hopefully US security has under it's thumb.

Excellent post below: Russia's massive purchases of blns of $$ of Au this year. Evidently Putin's gov has opened up their eyes about the percieved € instability (I agree) as well as continued USD devaluation, so he doesn't want as much of those currencies laying around in the safe, Russia is taking advantage of medium priced gold. $400 gold is medium? Well, as posted earlier on today, the Viet Nam war saw $800 gold, this Iraq war is even a bigger snafu and more costly...gold may "heave to" similarly during this Iraq war tenure.

prague viktor 11:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney almin(yes, now who says market is boring :)mr soros said that on the cnbc..

gold coast miko 11:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 10:59 GMT October 1, 2004
China won't bend on it's currency policy anyway,

What is chinas policy

Regards Miko

KL KL 11:05 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
short eurusd 1.2390, sl 10 pips above...sometimes need to obey trend.....lets go!!

CAIRO AG 11:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Wiscinson// if u re here, i just looked at ur Eurgbp chart but figures are not that clear.... where does ur chart states eurgbp will top short term??? thanks & GL

mumbai Goldman 11:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
frnds any idea on the G7 communique???what is expected of it..

Sydney Alimin 11:01 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 10:53 GMT October 1, 2004

yes, now who says market is boring :) this is not boring at all right? 100 pips up one day and 100 pips down the next day, as if this is teasing g7 meeting to once again comment on excessive volatility...

i dont have any position with euro yet, will wait till monday...but just watch if gbp's move can influence euro tonite, perhaps us data could be the trigger....as mentioned before if gbp dives like this, can expect the next wild move in euro too...

if i am to enter a position i think short eur/gbp is worth a try with stop loss above 0.6920, good luck mate

Dallas MD 11:00 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I stayed in bed & things went my way.

Moral of the story. Stay in bed, waking up leads to second guessing :)

quito_ecuador_valdez 10:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Goldcoast Martin ( 07:47, 09:11) & Goldcoast Miko's question (09:05), OMIL (07:39): excellent posts below.
Goldcoast Miko (09:43) : possibly my post can help you with your question about weird €/$ chart:
quito_ecuador_valdez 02:15 GMT October 1, 2004
G7 meeting : "non event" on Treasury Forum (GV). Don't sweat it. China won't bend on it's currency policy anyway, leastwise not now.

Recoup of Wednesday's $ values:

Assuming that Thurs NY session's surprize €/$ action was due to a 2.6 bln $ sell off in the Mid East, (some say also some end of month adjustments in big portfolios) that dollar dump effect was more pronounced than usual by a thinish market which didn't absorb it well, hence the 100 pip+ hike in the charts. US data was non eventful in NY Thursday session as well. All this tells me that Friday's trading (starting with Asian session RIGHT NOW) could recoup a major part if not all of Wednesday's USD values as the USD recoups part if not all of it's Thursday NY session tumble. Let's face it, nothing happend bad to the US nor to its economy, there was no real bad news either to justify a 100 pip $ tumble, it's just unimportant and temporary market happenstances that caused Thrusday's dollar bear activity. I see Friday (now) a good time to watch for an uptrend in USD value vs it's crosses. If Friday doesn't recoup the $, then look for Monday and Tuesday to if €/$ 1.2380 can't hold its ground. We've got to see 4 days to a week 1.2380 (or higher) for us to say we've got a true longterm breakout.

If 1.2380 is not sustained, we're into a very likely cycling back to €/$1.2300 or below..nice juicy short, then the pattern says we'll long again, gathering lunch money on the way back to 1.24XX.
````````````````````````
I might add that I see no real confirmation of a €/$ breakout YET, we're still on the slow incline for that pair. The triangle formed on the 1 year €/$ chart which would indicate a likely trend change at it's future (pivot) point has NOT come to a point yet. Chartists would say something like late Oct or early Nov for that.

Refer to Goldcoast Martin's post (07:47)concerning why USD charts haven't obeyed fundamentals. Excellent post amigo. I also thank you for your position trader's advice (09:11).

For inclusive trade schedule today, refer to quito_ecuador_valdez 02:53 GMT October 1, 2004
If you want me to repost it, say so and I will.

YHZ CB 10:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Why sleep is more profitable than trading....Yesterdat=y sold GPB/JPY at 199.25 avg; watched it oscillate in about an 80 pip range (199 - 199.80). Woke up early this am to do some other work, decided to check the markets. The oscillations were holding in range, the UK report came out & there was some drop then it seemed to flatten so I figured I might as well kill the trade for neutral. Went off to do some other things; came back & GPBJPY looked to be at the bottom of the range so I figured I had done ok. Then I looked again & saw the bottom of the range was now 100 pips lower, and if I had just stayed in bed I'd have been 100 pips richer.
Moral of the story. Stay in bed, waking up leads to second guessing :)

prague viktor 10:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 10:13 GMT October 1, 2004:thx to the G7 mate the mkt becoming very wild,are u shorting or longing the euro @this levelG/T

Budapest Daniel 10:45 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, which file? :)

Sydney Alimin 10:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
UAE Oil man 11:50 GMT September 21, 2004
UAE Oil man 13:56 GMT September 16, 2004
£/$ good downside potential for long marcher's to SOB close to 1.8150 during the next few sessions with a risk reversal over 1.8250(where things might be changing direction yet again ,or just ranging , but eyes always open for an adversary move against existing positions , as analysis are fine as long as they are not too costy) for potential targets 1.7500 and once 1.7460 breaks 1.6899..

wonderful call Oil man, hats off....do you still call SOB for euro and aud as well or are they outside the risk tolerance level already?

sgp sp 10:31 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Thank you bc....am looking to buy on dips here....

shanghai bc 08:07 GMT October 1, 2004


gt 2 u

wisconsin tim 10:31 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Thoughts?
eur/gbp could go to 7020-7150 confirming daily double bottom break

wisconsin tim 15:27 GMT September 29, 2004
Eur/GBP to GBP/usd chart

gbp/usd has much more room to run. Possibly 4 figs down based on first SHS to ~400 pips down based on second. It's kinda amazing the magnetism and repellent of this daily TL. Well I think it is.
wisconsin tim 15:22 GMT September 29, 2004
gbpusd

Bruxville Jim 10:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
KL KL// "I feel fine. You just get a flutter every so often," he [Cable] said. :)

Gen dk 10:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 10:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I think gbp is having an "irregular heart beat"....should have seen that .....some jitters no doubt in the ccy community....Get well soon mr blair....

Sydney PJW 10:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
hearing a trust bank has bought an enormous amount of eur/stg...

Sydney Alimin 10:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
usually when gbp dives like this, aud is to follow and then euro, and when euro did follow it is massive...just an observation, good luck people

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:12 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 10:09 GMT October 1, 2004
Bahrain// You still long GBP on its crosses? Hope you had an exit plan...
//...I was never long for some time now
Dan...Use that risk thing Cell a1 around 6 or more
Thanks

Syd 10:12 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Russia central bank may have plans to buy additional $3.5 billion worth of gold, writes Goldman Sachs; adds bank may have bought some $2.4 billion worth of gold since Feb. 2003. Also says these estimates based on overall size of Russia's FX reserves having risen significantly to $92.6 billion now from $51.4 billion Feb. 2003, while gold accounts for around 7% of FX reserves reuters

Bruxville Jim 10:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain// You still long GBP on its crosses? Hope you had an exit plan...

Global-View 10:08 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

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Sydney Alimin 10:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
wow gbp is KO'ed back to yesterday's level...any reason why?
euro and aud are still hanging tough

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Dan...U got that file?

GER ad 09:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
G7 meeting, October1,2004 in Washington-
Schedule
http://www.g7.utoronto.ca/finance/fm040928_sked.htm

gold coast miko 09:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Confused! check out the EUR/USD now thats confusing.

Budapest Daniel 09:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Today at 1600 GMT

Babuyan Isl MGW 09:39 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
does anyone know the day and time of the g7 meeting? thanks all.

Budapest Daniel 09:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
To buy or not to buy gbp/usd that is the question... I'm very confused...

gold coast martin 09:33 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
...in the meantime lets see if the 12385 support level holds for the euro...g/t

GER ad 09:33 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD,
Closed 1/2 position at 1.2640 and moved S/L for the rest at cost.

gold coast martin 09:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
tk jf 09:16 GMT October 1, 2004
Might be even cheaper to use my posts as a contra indicator!......g/l g/t

tk jf 09:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
martin- get yrself a contra indicator maybe cheaper - theres plenty availible at moment!! lol

gold coast martin 09:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac 09:09 GMT October 1, 2004

Mary a Banker's daughter?!


LOL...Either that or sell kosher -pork felafels in the Gaza strip....g/t

gold coast martin 09:11 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
gold coast miko 09:05 GMT October 1, 2004
best method is to avoid position trades with a 3-7 day timeframe...trade the ranges because with every wild swing comes retracement....even if you cannot pick the absolute tops and bottoms of these swings as long as you are in the direction you will make some pips.......with the introduction of such variables in the forex market it is getting toughr and tougher for position traders...that is why hedge funders have not been making money on their forex part of their portfolio.....g/t

KL KL 09:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Long cable 1.8010...not sure why the drop...sl 15 below...lets see

Haifa ac 09:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
gold coast miko 09:05 GMT October 1, 2004 "...If this is to be true and correct, Can you advise the best method to trade in these conditions. "//
Mary a Banker's daughter?!

GER ad 09:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/GBP at 0.6894

gold coast miko 09:05 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 07:47 GMT October 1, 2004
In case no one has noticed the recent USD weakness in the market has been largely responsible by the inteference of central banks....that is why all data releases whether they were good or bad have had no effect on the dollar and have been perceived by many traders that the market was ignoring all data....that is why with more central bank involvememt to come we will see lots of wild swings for no logical reason both to the upside and downside...the analysts will always try to make logical sense out of it and there will be lots of conflicting views which will have an effect on the normal trader.

If this is to be true and correct, Can you advise the best method to trade in these conditions.

Regards Miko

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Cad and NZ are probably the best picks for now

Haifa ac 08:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney PJW 08:36 GMT // It must be afraid of the unbearable lightness of being. It also had four days of selling above 180. Those sellers would like to cover around 177.

HK [email protected] 08:41 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Those who took seriously my post yesterday and believed in it by mistake (or not), could make few bucks today.

[email protected] HK 07:56 GMT September 30, 2004
Short term view for GOLD.

...............................
So for those who hope for a fast 425 target. Watch your AZZEs at 420 (hidden short term pivot)for a pull back to around 417.
.........................

Gen dk 08:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney PJW 08:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Any idea why STG so heavy.....apart from the obvious ones !!

Haifa ac 08:25 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 07:57 GMT October 1, 2004
...rarely have we seen one actually THINKING!//True but when they do--they bring down the house:

Mr. Benny had one of the greatest jokes of all time on one of his radio shows. Jack was said to be tighter than a Scotsman on the dole; it was said that he could make Washington scream holding on so tight to a dollar. (In real life, Jack Benny was a very charitable man, by the way–this was just a stage personna.) In this bit, he’s accosted by a robber, who says, “Alright, Mister! Your money or your life!”

Silence. The studio audience begins to chuckle, building up to histerical laughter as Benny milks the pause (something he was a master at). Finally, the robber says, “I told ya, your money or your life!!!!”

To which Jack shoots back, “I’m thinking it over!!!” (The studio audience doesn’t stop laughing for TEN minutes.)


moon land afraid of america 08:11 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 08:07 GMT October 1, 2004
can u pliz post ur view on cable here
i never seen u speaking on cable
thx

shanghai bc 08:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

SP -- Good afternoon..Aud/Usd is basically dancing to the tune of commodity market while that market is dancing to the tune of China's demand..And we are still in Dollar bear market..Expecting Aud/Usd to move towards .78-80 region for the remainder of the year.Good trades.

sgp sp 07:58 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Good Afternoon bc,

May I ask for your views regarding aud/usd.....

Thanks, gt 2 u.

HK [email protected] 07:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
For Haifa AC...May be this can answer your question ..today in...

http://www.dailyreckoning.com/

We've seen thousands and thousands of Americans...over many, many years...but rarely have we seen one actually THINKING! Americans are people who prefer action. That's why George W. Bush is president; he doesn't even pretend to think. It's why people buy stocks for many times what they are worth...why they believe that they can spend money their grandchildren haven't even earned yet...

shanghai bc 07:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

SKIP -- Good afternoon..Eur/usd may have a momentum to touch 1.2500 in this run before a good correction..For today,it may range in 1.2370--1.2470..I believe Dollar's last downleg this year started around 1.20 in early Sep and we are still in progress now,step by step, towards the new high this year..Good trades.

Haifa ac 07:51 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Stocks did not crash overnight despite poor debate for Bush. I find it interesting.

gold coast martin 07:49 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Just to add to that...that is why one should not fall into the trap of thinking the market is finally moving in a sustained upward direction.....

Dallas GEP 07:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
AUSSIE in my view could EASILY short to 7160/65 but it won't happen quickly in my view. (maybe today or sunday night).

gold coast martin 07:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
In case no one has noticed the recent USD weakness in the market has been largely responsible by the inteference of central banks....that is why all data releases whether they were good or bad have had no effect on the dollar and have been perceived by many traders that the market was ignoring all data....that is why with more central bank involvememt to come we will see lots of wild swings for no logical reason both to the upside and downside...the analysts will always try to make logical sense out of it and there will be lots of conflicting views which will have an effect on the normal trader...good trades to all.....

brisbane 07:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc more appropriate name for the Labour leader Latham

prague viktor 07:44 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I think the G7 will make a nice gap down b4 the final strugle to the euro to go to the higher high imo.

Ldn Skip 07:44 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc. Can I have your Eur/$ view pls?

Dallas GEP 07:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD should see at least 1.2360/65 short term IMO.

shanghai bc 07:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

FM is called Mr.Downer?..What an appropriate name for the foreign office job downunder..

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:39 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 07:14 GMT October 1, 2004
It is quiet in the Asian session most of the time because there is nothing happening in the market but good order flow info and not to mention good ideas too. They have a trade of the day and week from the participants and that is always interesting to compare notes with. You are not a rookie so you have different preference and might not like it but for the new traders I really recommend it. Anyway it is free to try out so what is there to lose to give it a try IMHO. BTW I am not convinced yet on any breakout for eur/usd pair yet. I will be back later GL GT
Miami OMIL (/;-> 00:26 GMT September 28, 2004
Even though there is a bullish channel for eur/usd since the beginning of this month for intraday and mid term charts I still have this pair in a bearish channel on the weekly indicators and within the (Bermuda triangle) so expect range trading until 1.2390-2400 and 2460-80 is taken out. I know I have mentioned this before but the triangle on the weekly charts is a bullish symmetrical triangle something to think about as the triangle closes the range every day IMHO. GL GT

JHB CDB 07:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I Agree GEP, what are your view on the EUR/USD ?

Dallas GEP 07:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Friday has the beginnings of a USD bull comeback day. May be different LATE day before NY close but that is how it looks to me now. I would look for 68% retracements from yesterdays USD bear highs or lows depending on the pair of course.

LAX-LGB SNP 07:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
8 hrs have passed ... 14 hrs to go to go
yet £/¥ cannot go past 199.87-199.54 while €/¥ is barely hanging above 136.86-137 - matter of time before a dive but can't discount upside risk

Sydney EM 07:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
MELBOURNE (AP)--Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer said Friday the government would help boost security at the Australian school in Jakarta, after the principal warned it might be targeted by terrorists.
Downer said the Indonesian government was already installing security measures to protect the school, including new barriers and closing nearby lanes during school hours.

Tallinn viies 07:14 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:00 GMT - Im maybe even too serious about trading but GVI doesnt work for me.
most of the talk comes during Ldn afternoon till NYC close.
other times its dead. have it changed?

london 07:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
USD Overview
Bearish US dollar view remains clearly in place and greatly encouraged.

Continue to suggest this is just the start of the resumption of the major US dollar down-trend. As mentioned several days ago the market had finally reached a level of complacency that allows for a fresh trend to develop. That is exactly what we are seeing.

As more and more market participants awake to the idea that the big trend has already started, the train is already moving, there are many bears in “view” who have yet to establish their positions. The momentum will continue to build to the downside. Things will probably get really exciting once the EUR levels at 1.2470 1.2550 are taken out.
By Clifford Bennett, FxMax

slc tg 07:08 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Syd. Sorry Martin. Things stirred after U.S. pres. debate.

Still shell-shocked from yesterdays market moves. Waiting for more to go on. Have expected Eur/Usd and Cable to trickle downward, but want to wait for London to give some direction. Maybe wait till after G7 mtg. gt

Ldn skip 07:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Okay, thanks Miami. GL.

Dallas GEP 07:01 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Aussie shorts starting to work, eur/gbp shorts STAGNANT, usd/cad longs starting a small comeback.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 07:00 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Ldn skip 06:53 GMT October 1, 2004
If you are serious about trading then GVI is the place to be. This not a commercial they have a trial period so there is nothing to lose IMHO. GL GT

prague viktor 06:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
bc g.day! is the range 90-87still valid .thx

Ldn skip 06:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Anyone here reads GVI? Is it any good?

Syd 06:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
slc tg well said,

Gold Coast Martin how are you today

gold coast martin 06:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
i just logged in and i think i am in the wrong forum..this is a forex foerum still?...anyhow...no point posting anymore....g/t

Bris RR 06:44 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
It is very difficult to read end of month/quarter moves. There are a lot of flows related to end of period index adjustments...so be careful ...

ceu city mgs 06:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
data for yen

slc tg 06:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
pakistan sajid 04:49 - Pardon me but why would this war you referred to be against Islam? It is not. It is only a war on terror, or cowardly backstabbers wherever they are, who commit crimes on others. History proves that when society rises up and roots out such elements, the civilization is preserved. Aren't we all the same for the most part? We are all of the same human race, and should be united in a common effort to work for peace by stopping foolish extremism. We can work together in this whether we are Islam, Christian, Budhist, etc.

It is the people in any culture that destroy and undermine innocence and honest effort to live respectfully that should be our common enemy, not each other simply because of race or religion or geography. gt

Honolulu ck1 06:24 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
gbp beginning to take off after minimum movement this morning... hunch that someone know something about that g7 meeting....

Melbourne Qindex 06:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
moon land afraid of america 05:54 GMT - Thank you for your interest in my analysis. Send an e-mail to Jay at [email protected] and he will arrange you to see my page.

brisbane sunstate 06:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
moon land afraid of america 05:54
with that statement i think you just blew your chances

Syd 06:00 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
London Chippie have you also heard about Goldman
leak of no change in FX portion of weekend G7 meeting statement

moon land afraid of america 05:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex
hi
i want to view ur page
pliz tell mee how
do u have ur picture there?

KL KL 05:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
London Chippie, you believe me if I have their statement leaked?? Basically world growth strong till 04 at 4.5 % and then slow to 3.5% in 05-mid06. I have the info and there is no position I can take!! That shows how useless some information are...looking at the charts just be dollar and yen bull cos there is agreement among these Killer Whale to put a band on all currency...if you believe me!!

moon land afraid of america 05:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
but politicts do effect forex trading so why not discuss politics here .but a little bit

Illinois DB 05:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
imports = exports

Illinois DB 05:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 04:54 maybe 911 was even made in a hollywood studio under the threat of death by Bush eh?
Yes of course TG, I'm just a fringe "conspiracy theorist" who would distort the tragedy of a terrorist attack like 911, and since that horrific crime was inflicted on the US, then obviously the current administration couldn't POSSIBLY be using that event for its own POLITICAL GAIN, and of course it also proves that NO criticisms of GB could POSSIBLY be true. btw that's SARCASM!

As for the euro, I have no idea, and I really don't feel like commenting on it right now. I still don't understand why cad should be so high, we don't have a reflation trade anymore, and the Canadian economy is closely tied to the US w 90% of their imports coming here.

ny chill 05:29 GMT October 1, 2004 this is a trading forum....politics belong on the political forum

moon land afraid of america 05:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
London Chippie 05
i think statement will come when trading will be closed
wil it effect the trading tonight or it will effect trading monday morning?

London Chippie 05:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Please be advised that Finance ministers and
central bankers from the G7 will release a statement
on the global economy after the close on Friday
at 5:45 PM EDT.........from my broker .....slow day ahead today?

LA fxnew 05:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
any view on cable guys???

moon land astrounaut 05:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
any views on cable and euro?
tony any views pliz regarding g7
any one knows wuts the agenda of g7

Syd 05:39 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin yes was watching thinking the same, shame but your probably correct lets just see what happens Good Luck anyway.

Barcelona Tony 05:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Greg, u around? msn

ny chill 05:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
this is a trading forum....politics belong on the political forum

Sydney Alimin 05:28 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Syd 05:08 GMT October 1, 2004

looks like the train has started, we are left behind :) i think i will wait till monday as well...the risk of this g7 is unpredictable

personally though i thought 0.7250 is important, so if we manage to stay above it for some time, more upside potential is there to be exploited

ny chill 05:28 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
asian men are hung like fleas, and so are you sajid

pakistan sajid 05:17 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
bahdad Art ,Sex & Mon

ey 05
i know your women do like asian men
i dont know why?
can u explain

bahdad Art ,Sex & Money 05:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
pakistan sajid 04:49 GMT

thats becouse youre useless look at society you ve built over the centuries , youre still stuck in the 5th century , you live with rats and cockroaches and bang the floor 5X a day
you follow the white men not the other way , ever since i came to america i look for new place to live when too many pakis and indians move in its why the appartheid is good becouse it sepparates the races and "cultures " , i can work with you but i dont wanna live , sleep and smell your awfull disgusting smells next to my door

Sydney Ge11Ja 05:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 04:50 GMT October 1, 2004

sorry just had to step out a sec, that is the way of it I think but as far as tonight goes I think it best to let the big boys play in the sandpit, it will be thin and for the most part a stopfest ahead of this w/e . I think best to keep powder dry and wait until Monday

but if normal market that is exactly what I would do IMHO

Syd 05:12 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
right off it

Syd 05:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
All this talk of religion, puts you right it completely
what if we all die and find out there is nothing anyway, what a shock

pakistan sajid 05:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG
muslim were and are more cultured and civilized than others
not long ago
people living in uk were living life of animals
they dont even know how to go to toilet
they were use to do it in public places just as animals do these days
it was islam which told the world about education and living the life

about 9/11
i will say if u tease a rat continuesly he will try to bite u
and thats it

Melbourne Qindex 05:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 05:08 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin May join you there as long as it does it early europe .

sing 05:08 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sajid, you've got a short or selective memory. Wasn't US who stopped killing of muslims in Bosnia and Kosovo, only a few years back?

SanFrancisco TG 04:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
sajid - Are you saying 911 (the first strike of the war) was against Islam? Are you saying the millions killed by Islamic extremists since the year 1AD are the work of the US?

What is your view on the CHF please for the next six months? I am truly curious. I will give mine if you show yours.

SanFrancisco TG 04:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Illinois DB 04:34 - I suppose you are right, maybe 911 was even made in a hollywood studio under the threat of death by Bush eh?

What is your assessment for the Euro in the next six months by chance?

Sydney Alimin 04:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja 04:44 GMT October 1, 2004

i am thinking of buying a bit around 0.7220/0.7240 stop loss 0.72 and targetting 0.7280 and 0.73 level perhaps, what do you think?

pakistan sajid 04:49 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
hi guys
i dont want to be aYING ANY THING ON IRAQ WAR
BUT I DO THINK its war against islam
we all know all the wars in recent time are against muslim
so
look at behaviour of nonmuslim (jews and christians)
if one of them dies then watch their media
but they dont see thousands of muslim die
all the muslim die r terrorist?
i dont think so and all of muslim dont think so
the only thing against muslim is they r not united
and reality is america is only superpower in the world
lets hope god will help muslims to reemerge as power
and lets pray from god that some other superpower emerge on the seen so america will not try to be terrorist state
sorry jay

Syd 04:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja probably the safest play

Sydney Alimin 04:46 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
how's the performance of aud historically during election time?

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:44 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney 04:31 GMT October 1, 2004

Yeh lot of folks sold longs due to election and then retail sales yesterday and that down spike the night before (which stopped me first up as well) and yet it just kept coming back...

I have put forward my view but you never know what the pwers that be might say over the w/e .. I will be sq tonight for sure and reinstate monday

Syd 04:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Just thinking aloud here but dont be suprised if the dollar makes a run for it (Higher) rally thursday didnt sit right somehow .

Ltn th 04:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
TG. Did you ever think about trying out as spin bowler for the US cricket team?

Sydney Alimin 04:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
dollar index looks bad at a glance, for the time being i am selling dollar on rallies

Illinois DB 04:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 03:34 GMT October 1, 2004
Kerry did a moderately better job as a schooled debater, he has an inate ability to lie without flinching.


No TG, that's not true. George Bush lied to the American People when he said Saddam had WMDs at the time of the US invasion. George Bush lied when he said Iraq was cooperating with Al Qaeda. Bush lied about Iraq trying to buy yellow-cake uranium from Niger, he lied when he said he served his time in the National Guard, he lied when he claimed to be a "compassionate" conservative while at the same time criticizing Democrats for being compassionate. Bush lied when he said going to war would be a "last resort", and he lied when he said he had strong dollar policy.

George Bush is a liar so experienced, so accomplished, that he lies without even thinking about it anymore, without "flinching" as you say. His neocon advisors lie, he forced Colin Powell to lie to the UN, and Republicans and the corporate media lie on a daily basis to protect and support him.

SanFrancisco TG 03:45 GMT October 1, 2004 ny - You are the very reason I avoid public bathrooms.
TG, you and people like you are the reason that I and I'm sure many other people avoid supposedly nonpolitical internet forums.

Sydney 04:31 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja Not a bear , just cautious due to election and Aussie having one of its severe attacks of acrophobia

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma A B 04:16 GMT October 1, 2004

Might be longer out but think market needs to get 0.7400 first, yield, commodities, usd nervousness etc providing support at mom

so for immediate outlook I prefer to buy dips as opposed to sell rallies

Sydney 04:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Tacoma A B its gone through 7230 so can see 7350+ while euro is on a roll and gold/oil making new highs , but do see a retracement pre 9th october slight fear factor . Trading to the probable top of its range before back . See ranges 68-73 smaller range 65-80 wider range for rest of year unless something unforeseen happens.

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney 04:13 GMT October 1, 2004

I was as per post on Monday but to be honest took profit far too early... here I am buying the dip as per my last post for retest of highs

If you want to stay short only strategy is to put s/l above overnight high which I believe was 0.7285

wisconsin tim 04:19 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I am working on making an excel sheet using the Livermore market key. You can see the initial state machine here based on the book "How to Trade Stocks"

If anyone is familar with this get my email from jay, I have a few questions

Thanks,
Tim

Tacoma A B 04:16 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sidney:
So you don't think this is on its way back down to the .71's?

Sydney 04:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Ge11Ja
waving the white flag here
are you long aud ?

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I think a lot of the top-pickers in aud/usd would have sold around 0.7230-50 ... as such there will be bids in that level on the way back down . I think there will be residual shorts from those that couldnt bring themselves to pay 0.7275-85 overnight.

longer term if nothing special from G7 expect aud/usd to continue rally to 0.7400 with a couple of small speedbumps along the way ie 0.7320

VloridA VV 04:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:55 GMT October 1, 2004
TG 03:34 GMT October 1, 2004
It depends how you mesure the globe

Singapore Sfx 03:55 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
TG 03:34 GMT October 1, 2004
... "Every analyst from Catmandou to Cambodia is counting on the US stock market to rally if Bush wins or nose dive if Kerry wins " ...

Does every analyst having the same view make it a right view?

p.s. spelt Kathmandu ..
pps. Kathmandu to Cambodia still leaves a big set of players outside the equation, geographically speaking !

nyc ny 03:54 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
San Francisco ,I will not stoop to your level .. Good nite all .

hk ab 03:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Re://++++++++++ 02:57 GMT October 1, 2004

We Chinese taught our next generation not to buy any japanese goods after the war in 1940s. However, it seems it doesn't work at all......

SanFrancisco TG 03:45 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ny - You are the very reason I avoid public bathrooms.

nyc ny 03:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Farmacia , as to Israel's role in the US-Irak war ,manyaround the world think Sharon master-minded this war , the analogy between israel-palestine war and us-irak war is quite clear,same tactics have been used .

ICT ML 03:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ny ny.....I agree with that. There are going to be scandals involving everyone. There will be no shortage of mud slung. We will deserve much of what is slung our way, and those we are slinging at will deserve what is slung their way.

Unfortunately from a military perspective....it will make it harder to do the job. THat is the only thing a military guy fears right now. SOmeone saying or doing something that gives the enemy reason to think they can prevail. But that is politics for you.....a dirty mud wrestling match.

wisconsin tim 03:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 10/1/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
9/30/2004 AUDUSD 0.7318 0.7232 0.7342 0.7111
9/30/2004 EURGBP 0.6878 0.6836 0.6901 0.6829
9/30/2004 EURUSD 1.2490 1.2393 1.2503 1.2288
9/30/2004 EURYEN 137.28 136.26 138.11 136.04
9/30/2004 GBPUSD 1.8209 1.8059 1.8174 1.7903
9/30/2004 GBPYEN 200.28 198.43 201.06 198.03
9/30/2004 NDZUSD 0.6819 0.6744 0.6824 0.6661
9/30/2004 USDCAD 1.2644 1.2523 1.2762 1.2502
9/30/2004 USDCHF 1.2498 1.2401 1.2644 1.2385
9/30/2004 USDYEN 110.33 109.53 111.59 109.50

SanFrancisco TG 03:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Kerry did a moderately better job as a schooled debater, he has an inate ability to lie without flinching. He failed in his credibility however, he truly is a flip flop with no answers other than what has never worked in our life time, and he can't escape it. Every analyst from Catmandou to Cambodia is counting on the US stock market to rally if Bush wins or nose dive if Kerry wins.

nyc ny 03:33 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ICT , let the "game of nations " unfold in the next few years or even months ,many scandals will be revealed .I just cannot talk too much.. in a nutshell , this has to do with dirty politics .

melbourne farmacia 03:33 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Funny u guys don't mention Israel in the US/Iraq discussion...

ICT ML 03:29 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
As for the debate itself, Kerry is a very good debater. He won hands down style points and did really well. But what I really saw was a lot of "Monday Morning Quarterbacking" on his part. Anyone can say "I'd have done it better"...they have history to look back on and that gives no real indication as to how they handle things real time.

Unfortunately, my guy, GWB this go around, is not a very good public speaker unless he can put emotion into play. And that hurt him in the debate format.

Kerry probably won the debate but I don't think it changed a single mind. I think the lines were drawn in the sand months ago for this election.

SanFrancisco TG 03:28 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ny - It worked against the Nazis. It was the ONLY answer. Same scenario. Just 2 days ago an islamic man was apprehended selling enriched weapons grade uranium in a country very close to Iraq that I cant pronouce and had never heard of. I'm sure your inviting him to a hotel in NY would turn out just great.

nyc ny 03:26 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney ,agree ,expect more killings from these "Die-Hards " Djihad people , the more they are challenged the more they will kill .Declaring war against Islam will not put an end to terrorism ,it will only lead to an escalation of terrorist acts around the world as they will always apply the Talion principle "eye for eye .."

Tacoma A B 03:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
looks like aussie dollar and usd/cad are rebounding from yesterday.

ICT ML 03:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ny ny
TG is talking about stuff that lackies at the UN didn't get to see. He is talking about stuff that happened within 48 hrs of the launch of the war and the then the fall of Baghdad. This stuff is still classified although a few recently retired generals have given hints.

The truth will come out after all the palyers have been rounded up. it is much worse than anybody dared thought going in..... what was really taking place in the M.E. ...we stumbled accross something much worse than any OBL threat.

Libya is the key, and will be the october surprise star witness if we have our way.

Juneau CAR 03:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Iraq did not attack us-lol! Give me a break. 16 of the 19 were Saudis. Sadam was the butcher of Bahgdad, but he is secular non religous guys who hated the clerics. He killed them. Everyone who apposed him he killed. He killed sadre's father. There was no religous power group even left in Iraq. Sadam killled them all. 1/2 the time with his own hands.

He had no interest in the religous wars spawned by the terrorist extremest Wahabi sect which is located in Saudi Arbia and the Saudi's give billions to every year and even raise money for suicde bombers on TV!

One can make a better case for attacking almost any country in the middle east before Iraq. Iran (can you say nuclear weapons), syria, Lybia.

There is/was NO connection between 9/11 and Iraq--geesh. The $200 billion we spent on Iraq would have been better spent fighint terorism and Al queda. Like in Afghanistan-geeesh-lol.

Do you guys read?

OK SZ 03:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
TG, I forget that republicans have the moral and integrity high ground..get off it please..bush made another complete censored of himself..good night all

Sydney 03:14 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
nyc ny just be thankful it was the two towers and not a smart bomb taking out New York , it could be the next time

nyc ny 03:14 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
read "believe me "

nyc ny 03:13 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
San Francisco ,the film you are talking about that of a truck alledgedly moving fissile material was very much like a cartoon movie beliee me ,I saw it live when Powell presented the so-called evidence to the security council .Please americans stop blindfolding yourselves , or else stop being naive ! the only evidence that was clear to the rest of the world was american oil and strategic interests in the middle east ,american imperialism e punto !

Sydney 03:11 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm I can't believe in this day and age people can be so naive as to think a good talking to works . 9/11 happened out of the blue while Clinton was busy with Monica and the cigars in the Oval office . If any one is to blame Clintons presidency should have seen it coming . and as far as turning the other cheek your Opponent has a hammer behind his back waiting to whack you on the head as you walk away. give me a break

SanFrancisco TG 03:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Jakarta - We have found Al Qaeda. We also know Hussein used WMD for decades and have him on film moving wmd during the UN hearings.

Sydney gvm 03:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I said diplomacy with the moderates not the terrorists - ah well never mind - guess the world just needs more turmoil

SanFrancisco TG 03:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
This is strictly monetary. Appeasement has not worked by anyone over this issue at any time since any of us have been alive. If a house does not have a strong foundation, the costs of issues such as yard care will not matter if the house falls. Thus, if we do not protect the house, and remove the termites that are destroying the house, the rest such as education and health care wont matter. Bush is flat purely correct. The other guy has no answer other than what has not worked since any of us have been alive. One more 911 and there wont be any money available for healthcare and education.

quito_ecuador_valdez 03:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
€/$ coming down slowly...maybe a fast recoup at end of Asian today, they like bull $. Am short €/$ @1.2420 from this afternoon, tgt 1.2350. Outahere..GL. GT. GNight. zzzz

Jakarta 02:58 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
btw, have we found the WMD in Iraq?

++++++++++ 02:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
1.2-1.4 billion MUSLIMS.....since usa goverment fight muslim muchine

THEY(muslims) build education not to buy US GOODS

AND IT IS GROWNING DAY BY DAY....I GUESS TODAY IT IS JUST 20-30%

THIS EDUCATION WILL CRASH $ BY YEARS

UK Neville Chamberlain 02:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I agree with gvm, appeasement is a great strategy. let's have a conference with the terrorists, put them up at the best hotels, give them the best meals and listen with a sympathetic ear to their concerns. believe me, I know what I am talking about.

VloridA VV 02:55 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 02:27 GMT October 1, 2004
You guys would make very bad mechanics.

BRAVO, COMPLETELY AGREE. As I said before - you can not talk a palm tree to give you some apples next year - the same reaction is seen in relationship with muslim countries. They respect (they did and do and will do) only the power of force, look into history. You want to be a friend for the short term - give them some money, you want to be a slave - give them your hart and help, you want to be the host in the house - have the weapon which they dont have and never will have. Its not only a difference in religions - its more than even a way of life.
GWB doing a right job, not all understand it but real talant and historical changes have never been appreciated at times those happened. Just remember Paganini.

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:53 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
gvm..respectfully, terroism is non negociable. They're martyrs..they WANT to die jihad. Seriously.

-Oct 1
KEY:
number Values when 2 given: 1st = concensus, 2nd = prev.
Times are GMT.

ALL c'ncys G7 Fin Ministers (Wash DC) (time unk)
USD Total Vehicle Sales (SEP)(time unk)16.7M 16.6M
USD Domestic Veh Sales(SEP)(time unk)13.5M 13.5M
EUR Ital.Budget Def't(Net)(SEP)(time unk)prev=4.2B
EUR Ital.Budget Def't(Cum'tve)(SEP)(time unk)prev=42.5B
AUD Building Approvals(AUG) 1:30 -1.5% -0.70%
JPY Vehicle Sales (YoY)(SEP) 5:00 prev=2.10%
DEM Retail Sales (MoM)(AUG) 6:00 -0.30% 0.90%
DEM Retail Sales (YoY)(AUG) 6:00 0.90% -0.90%
EUR Ital. Lge Co. Emp'ment(YoY)(JUL) 7:30 prev-0.80%
EUR Ital. ADACI/Reuters PMI Manufact. 7:45 52.3
EUR Ital. PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:45 52.3 52.3
EUR Fr. PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:50 54 54
DEM PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 7:55 65.9 55.1
EUR PMI Mfg (survey)(SEP) 8:00 53.7 53.9
GBP CIPS Purchasing Mgrs Index (Mfg) 8:30 55.9
GBP PMI Manufacturing (survey) (SEP) 8:30 53.5
CHF SVME-Purchasing Mgrs Index (SEP) 9:00 55.5 55.1
EUR French New Car Registration 10:00 prev=2.80%
EUR French New Car Registr'n (YoY) (SEP) 10:00 2.80%
USD U. of Mich Confidence (SEP F) 13:50 96 95.8
USD Construc'n Spending MoM(AUG) 14:00 0.30% 0.40%
USD ISM Manufacturing (SEP) 14:00 58.5 59
USD ISM Prices Paid (SEP) 14:00 79.9 81.5
USD Fed's Geithner speaks:bank insolvencies 23:30

wisconsin tim 02:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
there can be no diplomacy when dealing with extremist scum. I didn't hear them trying to parlay before 9/11, russia, train explosion and the countless other terrorist activities around the globe throughout the years.

Problem is the EURO area has a tendancy to sit on their collective arses until the next Hitler has nukes/striking against their people.

The only truth is governments/people truly never learn from history.

Sydney gvm 02:47 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney 02:40 GMT October 1, 2004 - Muslim threat : so dont we have a choice? Take them on and try to beat them or begin a dialogue with the moderates. I think they see our leaders as being just as extreme as their terrorists - dont get me wrong I am not supporting the terrorists - just saying diplomacy must be given a go

houston st 02:42 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

AMC -- done...

ny amc 02:41 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
HOUSTON...ST...hit me up on yahoo if your around

Sydney 02:40 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm was watching a programe here in oz last year BBC documentary from the early 60's warning of the gradual Muslim threat to the world .

london 02:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Kerry seemed to have come up on top there but even so , 9/11 happened as we all know just as Bush came to power thats all I am going to say .

nyc ny 02:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I was a live witness in the negociations of the UN resolution declaring war on Irak ,I saw the debates live and all I can tell you is that the resolution passed only under coercition, deals struck with the weaker nations ,and pressure on the stronger nations to bend them all .The position of France was more than honourable in defending legitimacy considering that the US position was illegal and unjustified by all international law standards and rules .The evidence brought to the the security council by Colin Powell was sheer mockery , an insult ,an outrage to the intelligence of all those who were present at the meeting ,but they still could not stand in the way of a mad man as a lot was at stake and they were threatened !

Sydney gvm 02:36 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG - not sure you can blame only Islam for the state of the global financial system - plenty of other reasons for its current state and most of them the result of the Wests actions

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:35 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco// You are correct, we got ourselves into this mess, we have to get ourselves out, as quickly as we can and with no loss to the people of Iraq in their/our quest for their liberty. The Iraqi police and part of the Iraqi military are actually collaborting with the enemy however making things go double slow. This is a very very big mess and for the USD IMHO. Expect to see the continuance of USD devaluation internationally as this war expence hits the deficit, there's no free lunch. (not bad for US exports). But Bruxville made a point, Iraq is not the only issue facing the American people...inflating medical costs for elderly/poor, education issues (big ones), ecology issues, other social issues..yet these are not debated..it's all about war and mud slinging. Kerry evidently did well in the debate but I don't think it's an FX event that he did. Besides, he's gonna lose.

SanFrancisco TG 02:27 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
You guys would make very bad mechanics. The engine (islamic extremism) is out of control, costing the globe hundreds of billions, it almost brought the world economy to a standstill on 911 and we have still not fully recovered, the cost from that alone outweighs the cost of the war on terror.

Will it go away because we say "we want to be your friends now"? Oh boy.

A mechanic who says we should "do nothing" is not a mechanic with an answer.

houston st 02:26 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- chart looking better...bought usd/chf @ 69; sl 39; tp 1.26xx...good trades.

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:22 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
CAR// There are millions who agree with you, me included. I was in Nam, twice...I just wrote a letter to my nephew who's in the US Army citing the Taylor interview..anyone got hold of that and can give a URL it would be appreciated by all. Taylor is a Canadian journalist who was captured recently by mujahadin Islamics and held for a week, released..tells it from the ground view in Northern Iraq THE WAY IT IS. Highly intersting. He witnessed major US military foul ups, underestimates in enemy potential, been in Iraq almost 20 times himself on reporting ventures.

SanFrancisco TG 02:21 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
If an engine is out of control you had better fix it or it will cost more in the long run when it fails. The global financial system has been out of control due to islamic extremism. If we do not fix it, it costs us all more. The costs have been offset already. Don't get me started.

london 02:19 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR one thing you say is correct, US should have had other countries on board , the UN did their normal trick sit around and talk about it and in the end do nothing - and the French the same as they did in WW2 f.ck all

Juneau CAR 02:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
David Halberstram who wrote the "Best and the Brightest" said Iraq is a bigger mistake than Viet Nam, will be harder to extricate ourselves from than Vietnam; and he also said it would cost more money.

The vietnam war gave us huge inflation and 21% interest rates and $850 gold, at a time we were in much better shape economically than now.

Iraq is going to break us financially.

What will that do to the dollar and inflation?

And Iraq was an arbitrary war. We should have let the world body deal with Iraq and Sadam IMO.

quito_ecuador_valdez 02:15 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
I just visited the Treasury Forum, good to scan that a few times a week..good write ups by John and Jay today...G7 meeting seen as non event etc.

Assuming that Thurs NY session's surprize action was due to a 2.6 bln $ sell off in the Mid East, (some say also some end of month adjustments in big portfolios) that dollar dump effect was more pronounced than usual by a thinish market which didn't absorb it well, hence the 100 pip+ hike in the charts. US data was non eventful in NY Thursday session as well. All this tells me that Friday's trading (starting with Asian session RIGHT NOW) could recoup a major part if not all of Wednesday's USD values as the USD recoups part if not all of it's Thursday NY session tumble. Let's face it, nothing happend bad to the US nor to its economy, there was no real bad news either to justify a 100 pip $ tumble, it's just unimportant and temporary market happenstances that caused Thrusday's dollar bear activity. I see Friday (now) a good time to watch for an uptrend in USD value vs it's crosses. If Friday doesn't recoup the $, then look for Monday and Tuesday to if €/$ 1.2380 can't hold its ground. We've got to see 4 days to a weak 1.2380 (or higher) for us to say we've got a true longterm breakout.

If 1.2380 is not sustained, we're into a very likely cycling back to €/$1.2300 or below..nice juicy short, then the pattern says we'll long again, gathering lunch money on the way back to 1.24XX.

Syd 02:09 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Kerry is typical of someone who was would have been in the debate society at uni , like G. W. sincere approach

Syd 02:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD expected to climb above 0.7350, at bare minimum, medium term, based on technical analysis
Morgan Stanley's

VloridA VV 02:06 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
chicago joe 02:00 GMT October 1, 2004
Kerry is good at debates!

Karry sucks and he will never be a presidend.
We need GWB to clean up the mess he started, and make friends with russians and germans during his next 4 years.
So that our grand suns could die in their 90s in their beds but not somwhere in arabia trying to teach those people things they dont need

nyc jk 02:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Bruxville Jim 01:55 GMT October 1, 2004

No. The broad topic of tonight's debate however is Foreign Policy so of course that is going to dominate the discussion. The other debates will focus on different topics.

chicago joe 02:00 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Kerry is good at debates!

Syd 01:57 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Get a feeling Fed Bies talking down previous view of CNY immediate devaluation.

Bruxville Jim 01:55 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Watching this makes me wonder - is Iraq the single most important issue for Americans? Could anyone explain why?

Chicago YM 01:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
The one on http://www.dallasnews.com/ is video just in case the one on yahoo isn't

Chicago YM 01:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
http://www.dallasnews.com/

click watch it live on the left hand side below the story

houston st 01:48 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 01:43 GMT -- yahoo.com should have a link.
either video or audio.

Sydney gvm 01:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
anyone know of a website where I can view the debate ? TIA

wisconsin tim 01:07 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
think we'll see 136.50 or 137.00 eur/yen first?

quito_ecuador_valdez 01:04 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
worcester js// I'm not plugging Global View but if you email one of it's hosts at [email protected] he can guide you in what books are good to start with...he's been in this a LONG time. Keep an eye in late October on the "Learning Center" link at right for a nice suite of free info for beginners and pros alike.

School of Hard Knocks 01:03 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
We have placement openings now

melbourne farmacia 01:01 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
worcester js 00:43 GMT October 1, 2004
Try the School of hard Knocks.... FX department GT

Tacoma A B 00:59 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
what can we expect post debate from all these dollar falloffs that happened today?

wellington am 00:56 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
worcester js 00:43 GMT October 1, 2004

How about a golf course? Far safer.

Haven't been on any FX courses, but just read Trading for a Living by Alexander Elder - it's a classic, and had i read it sometime ago, would/should have saved myself a lot of money

hk ab 00:52 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
vv//No worry, I understand your pain from the *heavy* dlrcad longs margin call....just relax and prepare for another one in the future.

Off now, as mentioned in my previous posts....

dc CB 00:51 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
ICT
sorry but I'm off to watch the Bush bash...Skull against Bones. back later

hk ab 00:50 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
vv//I thought you were totally chilled with the dlr/cad longs.
Stuff like your sort doesn't deserve any attention at all.....big mouth

VloridA VV 00:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 00:37 GMT October 1, 2004
The move we saw last night

And you leave your hopes behind thie doors of h.e.l.ll
Kneejerk - nothing more Monday will greeet you @ 1.22.
GT
BTW ab how was full moon for you still shaving long hair and cutting big teeth ;)) ??

worcester js 00:43 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
can anyone reccomend a course for a novice?

hk ab 00:37 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
The move we saw last night on eur, chf and aud was once seen when the mega USD fall began in 2002, fwiw.......

It has made to change the stance now.

ICT ML 00:34 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
CB on one hand the dailes channel bottom held that cable collaspe and it took off from there today. $Y is on its daily channel bottom too....so that is a definite possible outcome on $Y as well. In my weekly and monthly studies $Y still looks bid as heck to me. A bounce out of here could confirm that perhaps.

dc CB 00:30 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
maybe I'm glad I sold my JY IMM calls today....but I guess we'll see.

however:
van revdax 18:53 GMT September 30, 2004
Today's Special(Sept 30)//Buy $/JY

ICT ML 00:23 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
dc CB 00:18 GMT October 1, 2004

same here. But got a decent sell signal when it was at 110.10 on 30 min charts that could be worth 50-75 pips. But has to break under NY lows first.

dc CB 00:18 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
FWIW
even with the tank survey USD/JPY has yet to take out thurs G7 driven low.....on my system at any rate

Global-View QIndex Special 00:10 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   

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quito_ecuador_valdez 00:02 GMT October 1, 2004 Reply   
fxnew// check on navigation menu Data & Tools, FX Charts. They're my fav. realtime, each chart launches 2 duplicate charts. Once up, click View/Change Background for more contrast.

 




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