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Forex Forum Archive for 10/07/2004

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GER ad 23:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
This is not a prediction just an opinion.
IMHO this "Data" today will not change anything. 100000-150000 is neutral (and for much more or much less we will find a but...). Sure the market will try both directions (stops hunters) and some will made money and some will louse.
GEP is right.

Dallas GEP 23:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
BTW Atlanta just beat Houston in Game 2, 4-2 in 11 innings on a 2 run homer, Series is 1-1 going to Houston NOW.

Chicago YM 23:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Great post GEP.

Dallas GEP 23:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I am sure before the NFP numbers are out you guys will get several warnings about this but here goes anyway. It is VERY possible that if you take a possie close to those announcements it could be a sure way to lose money REGARDLESS of whether you enter a LONG or a SHORT. The reason for this is that is NOT uncommon for the market to INITIALLY move the OPPOSITE way of what the ultimate direction is going to be AFTER the dust settles so to speak. This move would take out the stops FIRST on the people going the wrong direction (LONG for example) and THEN might go back the OTHER direction and stop the other people that went SHORT.

Some platforms are much worse about this than others (STOP HUNTING that is). The SAFEST thing to be basically is SQUARE before data and then wait at least 15-30 minutes BEFORE entring a position. NON-USD based pairs will be safer like Eur/GBP, eur/chf, etc.

30minutes to an hour before data, many times you will see some quick movement in market so it is best to be square IMO at least 2 hours before a BIG data release like NFP.

Now if there is just no way to be square prior to data, MAKE sure the stops are in place at LEAST 30 minutes prior to release. Some platforms make it difficult to amend stop and limit orders if you try to do that JUST prior to data. Have the LIMITS in place too. Also know that amending a stop or trying to run a trailing stop can be NEXT to impossible at data annoucement time.

This will help you NOT become Shark bait. Be careful the next 20 hours or so because this may be CRAZY.

Gen dk 23:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 23:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert McTeer at a forum hosted by Market News International. Thursday remarked that monetary policy isn't running on "automatic pilot," and that it's nearing the point where incoming economic data will be back in the driver's seat for Fed policy. "We've been in the mood that we need to get interest rates up" regardless of the data

AAP

Ldn 23:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Fed McTeer - Fed May Not Pause In Rate Hikes, Could Speed Up

Los Angeles ss 23:17 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
KL -- spike wasn't the right word, sorry. Price jumped on those three, up on GBP and Euro, down on CAD.

Sydney EM 23:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Australian financial markets no doubt going to be increasingly nervous ahead of the weekend federal election," Latest opinion polls point to close result, so a hung parliament remains a real risk. Such an outcome would likely weigh heavily on the AUD and steepen the yield curve.
Citigroup report

KL KL 23:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss, sorry no spike detected check your provider for $ related crosses

London Chippie 23:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
IMO if it were dollar related ....would effect gbp the same way ...most probably some one dumping thier short euro's or taking a long position.

Los Angeles ss 23:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Just read that spike due to McTeer comments regarding Federal Reserve thoughts. Caused the spike in GBP, CAD and EURO. Thanks.

usa 23:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
london

can you elaborate?? about gbp/usd

London Chippie 22:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ss -- not $ related ---watch gbp/usd ..

Los Angeles ss 22:47 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Anyone, why the sudden spike in dollar related?

Melbourne Qindex 22:45 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

London 22:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Anyone see the Aud over 73 in Asia zone could make a quick run

Ldn 22:41 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" maya sound more like Aztecs, but reading with the Volcanoes and Earthquakes of late included , sounds scary dont you agree.
My son calls it Voodoo c.ra.p

Rivonia PipPirate 22:28 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 22:23 OK, mail on the way.

LA fxnew 22:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
cable might go to 1.76xx or 1.80xx after tomorrow NPF data ...

are there people going to bet on it?
If so, what is your view on this pair pls?
I would like to take a chance if more advices are given.

Thanks

JHB JW 22:23 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
revonia/pippirate
Krugersdorp, Low rates and taxes, 20- min drive

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 22:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 21:53 GMT October 7, 2004 // I always like to read Nostradamas stuff... and 2012 as touted by the Maya ( or was it the Aztecs?) and Nostradamas both as the epoch of "great change".

Rivonia PipPirate 22:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 22:13 GMT Ok mate, I'll email you. R U in Sandton area?

JHB JW 22:13 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia/ joewolv @yahoo.com

Rivonia PipPirate 22:09 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 22:07 I will beat my drum if you beat yours:-)

JHB JW 22:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia
Can we make contact?

Rivonia PipPirate 22:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Oh and a nother thing, here in Africa(johannesburg), if you appear to know too much then you will be fed to Chief Bullywooly's pet lions.... not a nice way to go.

Ldn 21:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Any one read Prophecies of Nostradamus: part 4/8, Time of Troubles very interesting reading.LINK

JHB JW 21:52 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
calabash/ tarheel.
I did not try and be nasty with you , may your posts be nice.

Bruxville Jim 21:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
RE: Panda and oxxdx...
Yes, that's 0anda. I believe concerned parties understood what the argument goes around (hint: FxTrade). Got an identical email from them. Take care.

Calabash TarHeel 21:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
You figure it out.

Ltn th 21:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Shorting AUD is looking very unwise given that the election uncertainty has effectively capped any gains for at least 6 weeks and more likely a lot longer. That brings the big question of how to approach open AUD positions or orders over the weekend. Would those with experience of the tricks of brokers and similar situations care to advise?

JHB JW 21:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabsh
i am still waiting for your misty code?

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 21:38 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel 20:54 GMT October 7, 2004 put an * inbetween the letters, now what outfit sent you that DDS warning amigo? (!!)

JOHANNESBURG JW 21:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
This is just info:
Johannesburg is the largest city in the wolrd that is not next to natural water

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 21:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Oxxdx rhymes with panda. gee cee i has been off the air for 3 days... what's next? DDS is the way to control traders on news days.

Calabash TarHeel 21:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 21:29 GMT October 7, 2004
No problem, have a good day or evening whichever the case might be.
Happy Trades.

JHB JW 21:29 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash/tarheel
I have been here for three years . I have great respect for posters, do not think I misrespect you

Eilat Dolphin 21:21 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Egyptian sources say twenty three dead already in Hilton explosion.

Calabash TarHeel 21:21 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 21:17 GMT October 7, 2004
How long have you been around?
censored

JHB JW 21:17 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
cALABASH
WHAT DOES :OXXDXX MEAN

Calabash TarHeel 21:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 21:00 GMT October 7, 2004
Not stupid, lazy!
Oxxdx

Ldn 21:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Gold Falls on Speculation Dollar Will Rally, Reducing Demand
Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Gold prices in New York fell for the first day in three amid speculation an acceleration in U.S. job growth will spark a rally in the dollar, boosting the cost of precious metals for buyers holding euros. The Labor Department may say tomorrow that U.S. employers added 148,000 jobs in September, up from 144,000 in August and the most in four months, according to the median forecast of 74 economists polled by Bloomberg. A report on Sept. 3 showing accelerating job growth boosted the dollar and sent gold down 1.4 percent. ``The employment numbers are generally considered the most important these days because it has direct bearing on consumer activities and consumer sentiment,'' said Daniel Vaught, an analyst at A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis. ``If we get strong numbers tomorrow, the dollar will probably rally, which is somewhat negative for gold.'' Gold futures for December delivery fell 50 cents to $419.50 an ounce at on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices yesterday reached $422.20, the highest for a most-active contract since April 13. A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a commodity at a specified price, quantity and date. The job market ``has begun to improve,'' Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig said in a speech yesterday to bankers and executives in Lincoln, Nebraska, A report today showed first-time jobless claims fell last week to a one-month low of 335,000 from a revised 372,000 the previous week.
Faster job growth may help prompt the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark interest rate, boosting demand for dollars from investors seeking higher yields. Rising interest rates are ``also generally considered bearish for gold'' because it increases the opportunity cost of holding the metal rather than other investments, Vaught said. Bonds pay interest and some stocks pay dividends. Gold fell 2.1 percent on June 29, the biggest decline in seven weeks, the day before the Fed raised rates for the first time since 2000 by a quarter point to 1.25 percent. The Fed next meets on Nov. 10.


JHB JW 21:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calabash /tarheel
you have been on thish forum long enough to know to to entre the consored names in a code, dont be stupid?

Eilat Dolphin 20:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Part of the Hilton hotel could be destroyed.

Ldn 20:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan, Treasury Secretary John Snow and CEA chief Gregory Mankiw receive the employment report the night before it's released to the public

Calabash TarHeel 20:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: Just received this:

We would like to inform you that censored has just been notified that it
will be attacked again by a new "Distributed Denial of Service" attack.
According to the FBI, a number of other forex firms have received
similar threats. We are taking this threat seriously, and thought we should
let you know as soon as possible. We cannot know how this might impact
the FXTrade service. We will certainly do our upmost to keep the
service running and accessible. As usual, we highly recommend that all your
open positions have stop-loss set.

Eilat Dolphin 20:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Explosion(s)in Taba hotel, Sinai, many Israelis. Possibly Hilton.

Cape Town 20:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Re my 21:40 last night, aussie still moving nicely along.

Budapest Daniel 20:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Cairo, I haven't ever planned to long that ccy pair now because there is no sign of a reversal, btw. I just checked the 1 week chart and wow. 2000 pips within that short period of time... You are right and PD too I think... :)

Pecs Andras 20:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The parameters of the current range are 1.2265/1.2325 and stops now exist on either side of that range and should induce sustained directional price action. Add up the rising risk appetite, homeland investment act and solid stock gains, despite rising bond yields and the Dollar seems destined for a topside breakout."

This is what ifr writes. "topside breakout" here means EUR/USD will fall?

JHB JW 20:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
PD cmmingo, where are you from

pd cumino 20:47 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
QIP. Thank you very much for the info, interesting.

Dallas GEP 20:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Andras, well I expect at least 20-30 pips short out of it PRIOR to data the Who KNOWS///??

RE: eur/gbp I expect eur/gbp to have tight range of 6880 to 6915 BUT BIAS I belive is down because if Euro shorts then eur/gbp will short generally even if GBP shorts also.

Sofia QIP 20:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hallo Cumino. FWIW, JPMorgan Launches Asian Currency Index on Bloomberg HIH

JHB JW 20:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
PD where is that?

Pecs Andras 20:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
GEP
I am also considering getting in now, since it is just 20 pips to the figure.
How much do you expect of it before tomorrow's data?

pd cumino 20:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, (if you accept my opinion) it doesn't exist a currency oversold or overbought. It Exists people who is overbought/sold by his standard. So the first best question is who bought so much? The second is why? The third is, why I didn't understand that before? The fourth is, why if I didn't understand before, now I pretend to understand all?
When you answer to yourself you could be in a better mode to evaluate, I suspect.

Dallas GEP 20:37 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Just talking about that ANDRAS, YES, Aussie shorts HERE should work VERY VERY well. I don't see us printing 1.7300.

SD tht 20:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD through 1.69 can trigger a move to low 1.60. I'm using it as a proxy for AUD/USD, AUD/JPY also attacking 81. My current bet long AUD/USD, not expecting a significant dip here. Lots of luck to all.

Pecs Andras 20:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Don't you think that there will be a possibility to short Aussie close to 73 before tomorrow?
Now that it is so close, the 73 handle should at least be tested, I think.

CAIRO AG 20:31 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Daniel: Euraud longed 2000 pips ( look at the daily chart ).. from 1.56 to 1.72 or 1.76 without correcting.... GET AWAY from that pair OR SHORT IT cause itys a short after 1.69 was broken..... thats my advice to u..

I know someone very close, whos account nearly got whipped as he shorted it from 1.57 and every MINUTE he was telling himself that it is FOR SURE
overbought and will correct.... WHICH NEVER HAPPENED!!!

GL

Budapest Daniel 20:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Guys, is euraud oversold nowadays?

NewYork frankie 20:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
have put everything on aussie short at 7284 July 12 high equalled. stop 5 pips above. target 20 pips lower

Philadelphia caba 20:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT October 7, 2004

Good afternoon, may I ask you on your view EUR/GBP? Thanks.

pd cumino 20:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Anyone here knows something about the launch of a new index called ADXY?. If so, what could be in case the importance in the future? I'm quite ignorant. TIA.

Ldn 20:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Aussie had another solid performance bolstered by the strong
domestic employment gains. It seems that all is rosy for the antipodean currency, but black clouds loom. AUD/USD rallied to nearly test the 200-day moving average at 0.7296, but another failure here (3rd since July) could be devastating for longs. Aussie crosses are also seeing rallies looking mature,
though any slight correction vs. European currencies is a buy. With commodity prices staring to look toppish and the Dollar set for a major break higher,Aussie may struggle once option barriers at 0.7300 are removed. It only takes a fall below 0.7210 to signal a slide and the recent buyers would be looking for an exit. Not to be Cassandra, but if commodities roll over and stocks show solid gains in the future, the USD will be on a tear and even Aussie will falter.
IFR

ICT ML 20:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
My assault on $CAD today ended up with a very small profit. Was no way I would let that big a trade get into the red for even a second. Have to say Dr Q was dead on with 1.2531 as a key # only wish I had covered it closer to that but when you are out for blood you have to let things run and not close on the first little bounce if you are going to make any $$$$$ off it.

Saw a bit of divergence in the hourly charts going into it and will have to seriously think about whether or not to BOD for awhile now.

GER ad 19:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Look like I was right in my post on 11:22.
CAD/European crosses began to correct, took 50 pips in my CAD/CHF short but the European/CAD rally may continue IMHO.

Eilat Dolphin 19:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Cairo/ There are election in Ottawa at 22:30 GMT tonight, and the government could posibly fail to pass his own motion.
Thus expect strange moves, ahead and afterwards.

Besides that, when is the last time we have seen such overbought conditions on 4H, 8H, D, Week?

So head on shoulders, or heel-over-head?
See you a bit before election time.

Halifax CB 19:56 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thought I'd drop in for a second just to post a warning w/r to $/CAD - it's been fun for a while but tonight could get volatile (and risky for those with shallow reserves). Check out the news on the mother corp http://www.cbc.ca re the proposed admendments to the throne speech; our PM is playing chicken with the opposition & I don't want to be too close when that set of idiots collide. Putting entry order straddle could make some bucks & limit your risk. Or not. Me, I'm going back on holiday, have fun :)

Ldn 19:37 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Fed's Bernanke: Economy Currently Growing Above Potential
Mkts Well-Priced For Likely Fed Rate Path

CAIRO AG 19:21 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Is that a RIGHT SHOULDER under construction for a possible INVERTED H& S on $CAD ( 4h ) or what..?? Any thoughts pls.

LA ARTOFYEN 19:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Goofy, what about buying euro/cad for 1.5700? Seems like your bias and prob most potential there then in anything else on the horizen.......

Chicago Goofy 19:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Strategy for tomorrow morning.
neutral~Positive news---> Short CAD
Bad news---> Buy Euro

How is that, Folks?

van revdax 19:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hong kong nt //Don't you sleep at night?

Livingston nh 18:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Things should get interesting in the next 24 hours - US employment situation tomorrow, a Debate (economy? "strong" USD?), Australian (and Afghanistan) election on Saturday so maybe some squaring up and a semi-holiday in US Monday // extra doses of spin after tomorrow's employment because of last year revisions, hurricanes (remember it is NFP report, F= farms so orange pickers in Florida are not in) and the Debate (political spin as well as typical ECON babble) // The EUR refuses to close below 200 da mva and the Fed remains on automatic pilot

Dallas GEP 18:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Shorted AUSSIE 7275 half normal posiotn size

hong kong nt 18:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
17:48 AB -- The train departs from Sheung Wan and terminates in Chai Wan. Next station is Tin Hau...

LA fxnew 18:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
well ... i guess the speak didnt have any impact on fx :)

CA LOS ANGLES 18:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 18:25 GMT October 7, 2004


what is ur strigity im also short from 7783

paris jb 18:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 18:07 GMT

well i m short at 7785, i guess it was a trap entry after US data, cable droped but no follow through,

now we r stick in this ranging trading ,

failure to break 17850 and 17890 area keep south the trend,

also cad reversal may lead other currencies south

but market will make his move before NFP???

GL GT

CA LOS ANGLES 18:24 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
usa cabel seems good to buy for short term trading

usa 18:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA

I bought cable at .7825

CA LOS ANGLES 18:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 18:07 GMT October 7, 2004
anyone still short cable?


im short from 7783
cabel is short on 7825 and buy on 7810
untill break 7830 or 7850
thanks

LA fxnew 18:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
anyone still short cable?

Any advice is appreciated.
Thanks

Tallinn viies 18:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
-8% of expected GDP?
lets see

Tallinn viies 17:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
wondering which deficit numbers will come after such oil prices.

LA ARTOFYEN 17:56 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
usd drop becuz:

Fed Bernanke: US C/A deficit is a world problem

Tallinn viies 17:56 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Snow said hurricanes likely to hit employment report

what I said earlier :)

LA fxnew 17:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
will greenspan speech move this fx market?

Tallinn viies 17:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
seems to me they are preparing markets for next move

Lndn ron 17:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
dec. oil made within last 17 minutes 53 then 5265

GNYC 17:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
He probably means that it is not only a bad mix of consumption/savings in the US but a lack of domestic demand abroad that creates the c/a problem.

Tallinn viies 17:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Can someone translate to me what Bernake is saying???
world problem? initiative?
what does it mean?

hk ab 17:48 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
small short aud 0.7280 tight stop above 0.7308

Los Angeles ss 17:48 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
What just caused the sudden drop in the dollar? dollar pairs coming back down now??

Chicago Goofy 17:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
For USD/CAD, I think it is leaving 100 pips of room prepared for bad news tomorrow.

hk ab 17:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
MVS// There's always a possibility, no matter how small it is ....0.001%?
GT

Ldn Mvs 17:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - hmm cud well be - reckon mkt is pretty thin anyway ahead of tom data...key day reversal wud mean close above 1.2660...may be tough one to brk esp with crude at present lvls....cheers

hk ab 17:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
the desire to make a strong key-day reversal on dlr/cad.
Bears will try every means to stem it.

Ldn Mvs 17:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
what's pushing usd/cad up here....anybody tuned in?

dc CB 17:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USA bis; cannot know.

But when you consider the billions of dollars (both in tax revenue and private money) that will be directed into very different hands, depending on who wins this election, one can only wonder. It's all about who get's to decide where to spend money.

usa 17:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
buy GBP at .7825

ny amc 16:37 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
HK..MOM..........Great job on those calls

hk mom 16:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
good night all.

hk mom 16:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
exited aud buy from 0.7240 at 0.7272
cad sell from 1.2610 at 1.2567
eur buy from 1.2290 at 1.2291
for gecko's pips.

usa 16:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
is anyone actually trading anything right now?

USA Biscuit Boy 16:11 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
dc CB 16:09 GMT October 7, 2004

So we should expect some fiddling by the powers at be then?? hehe :)

dc CB 16:09 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
just a reminder that this is the last NFP before the Nov 2 election.....

USA Biscuit Boy 16:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Yes I have consensus at 145k. Previous was 144k. Really needs to be up at 300k at a minimum IMO.

GVI john 15:57 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
MA your numbers look high consensus forecasts CNBC +145,000
BB +150,000

Tallinn viies 15:57 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA 15:56 GMT - whatever comes out always possible to say IVAN mixed the picture

ATL MA 15:56 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Can anyone (or everyone) post the forecast NFP for tomorrow? I've seen everything from 180,000 to 150,000 forecast, and even one 190,000 forecast....is there any consensus here? Thx

Ldn 15:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Now starting to see the effect , KLM ups surcharge on long-haul flights due to oil prices

usa 15:49 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
i want to buy GBP/USD but need to wait for better price.. maybe an hour or so... waiting for 5min macd to turn

clonakilty glenn 15:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
River Falls PD

As a WorldPay user I can confirm they are having extreme difficulties at the moment as you describe. It's been a few days now and they still haven't resolved the problems - the consequences if they decide to target online brokerage could be grave - especially if they strike 5 mins before NFP !!

Haifa ac 15:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:14 GMT October 7, 2004
JK, that guy that took oil SHORT will make a TON of money//

Unfortunately, the big money makers will be , again, the OIL PRODUCERS!. They are the ONLY SELLERS now. They do not intend to cover short--only to DELIVER.
This is the same ploy that Armand Hammer (Old codger) did in the Hunt Silver debacle. He kept selling above $35/oz all they would take from him. He did not have a margin call (margin on silver at that point was HUGE I thnk above 20k). He was going to deliver all his shorts. It cost him about $7 to produce (Occicental owned some mines in Idaho Valley)and he was very happy to sell it at a SURE price of over $35. This is why money goes to money because they can play BOTH SIDES.
When Silver dropped 21 days in a row LIMIT DOWN ($110k per contract) he told someone he made $145 million in 3 weeks.
Almost as good as that la so from 11:24 GMT (already taken off by GVI) who promised 80% a month no losses. QUite an apporpriate name LASSO!. LOL.

Tallinn viies 15:41 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:38 - Im saying that as long as there is backwardation people keep buying oil. first month right now 52,55 third month at 51,35.
enough money to try long on every dip. imho of course

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
CYBERCRIME UPDATE: received this message from one of my trading platform brokers

"...quick update on our efforts to combat the denial-of-service (DoS) attacks that apparently have become increasingly pervasive across the Internet in the past several weeks. Our understanding is that among others, the online gaming industry has been attacked, the futures/forex industry has been targeted, and a variety of pay-processing systems have been hit. In fact, we've even received word that the Royal Bank of Scotland's WorldPay subsidiary has been adversely impacted by DoS attacks in recent days. WorldPay, for those not familiar with it, is an aggregated bill-payment system used by thousands of businesses around the world, both large and small, to process customer payments by credit cards, debit cards, Internet payments, and bank transfers. That a system like WordPay is struggling with these attacks suggests that this is a pretty big deal.""

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:38 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Maybe..LOL
For sure is that Your'e on lookout to critize..
You have mathematical modeling abilities...then OK..
Other..Nop!

Tallinn viies 15:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:33 - you seem to fantasize

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies 15:19 GMT October 7, 2004 ///
LOL..why would it?
..
Any Buying Fat Boy at 197.30?

RIGA RIA 15:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ZAR getting paid up this morning from the Joburg open of 6.5150/5250 by investment bank as well as interbank type player who been on the bid last couple of days. This move straight after the reserve figures which showed the SARB having bought about $300 mio. While this figure not that substantial these two players in particular did use the opportunity to push it higher. Break abv 6.60 can provoke qucik rally to 6.65/68 tgt, good offers remain at 6.70 now...GL

Halifax CB 15:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thx Atl MA, & good trading. I'm closing my positions & off for the weekend (it's a long one here.). A beautiful afternoon a Corgi that needs walking...

Colombo Marcus 15:24 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP : WHY THIS MARKET SO DULL TODAY?

Tallinn viies 15:19 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:04 - why? wishful thinkng?

nyc jk 15:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
well if it turns around big time he probably will GEP, he's been averaging all the way up, must have a big position now!

gold coast martin 15:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 15:05 GMT October 7, 2004
While China keeps buyng US debt helping reduce the yankee deficit the US in in no hurry to put pressure on them to bring RNB to market..all the noises are just diplomatic gestures...and this situation suits China,,,for now...g/t

Dallas GEP 15:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
JK, that guy that took oil SHORT will make a TON of money

ATL MA 15:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Halifax -- Thanks for the info! I took a small loss yesterday shorting the break as you know, but I still see potential on the downside. I think you are a little more aggressive than myself...I'm looking for a position I can sit on for a few days. I was considering selling closer to 1.79 as you mentioned, but just wanted to know if that level is still in play. Thanks for your help. GT

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
be carefull Aussie/usdhave high prob to move down when touch 0.7286..
not so bad if you try there..

RIGA RIA 15:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Viktor, hi,, very good info..GL

Dallas GEP 15:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I meant HALF normal possie size

Dallas GEP 15:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
e/jpy long @ 136.60 hald normal position size

Halifax CB 15:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Atl MA
Since you didn't get any Cbl experts here's what I'm doing - we've got Fib lines at about (.618) 1.7832, (.5)1.7815, (.381) 1.7899. I'm selling at the top line and going flat on retracements to the first level, or a crossing of the 5 min average. My stops are pretty tight. Boring but relatively safe (I hope). CAD is much more interesting right now, looks like we are in for another significant drop....

prauge viktor 15:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Ria ..Hi!till now the CNB sold 310m EUR--to the year end ther still about 80 to 100m--so g/l

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 15:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I echo Biscuit on Yuan. It's Vous ja de (it ain't happened!) Put the Yuan floating on your "10 least likely things to happen this year" list. Even when $=€ in 2002, Yuan was pegged to the $. It's stuck to $ like Permabond. Bush & G7 can talk themselves blue in the face, Beijing is quite independant and won't budge until they have absolutely no more time and no more alternatives, then they'll ask for 6 more months. Getting them to float the Yuan is like trying to stuff a rattlesnake in a Coke bottle. I think it's funny actually.

RIGA RIA 15:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EURSEK continue hold 9.06/9.00 range but I expect drop to 8.95 tgt near time, main key ress 9.075/77 at mom, sell prefer ahead 9.055/65.....EURNOK slide to 8.2750-- very strong oil rally sppt nok now-- very large stops remain at 8.25- talk also CB bids at 8.25....expect very choppy range 8.25/35...GL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Oil Will crash after NY Session

SanFrancisco TG 15:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Sterling range (as partly noted earlier with the 7850 potential stall comment) is 7850-7805 +/-

RIGA RIA 15:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EURCZK cud test 31.25 main key sppt soon, break below provoke rally to 31.10 with med term tgt 30.80..ress zone at 31.45 , good offers remain there n more ahead 31.50/60, expect hold 31.50/10 near time/....GL

RIGA RIA 14:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
PKO BP published the final and official version of its privatisation prospectus. The value of the 30% offering to foreign

investors amounts to EUR1.5bn - the single biggest offering in Poland.

PLN rebounded yesterday from 4.305 level - with strong foreign and corporate bids pushing rate to test 4.33 level.Good offer continue ahead 4.33/35 now with bids at 4.31/30, expect hold range...EURHUF shud hold 247/245 range now...GL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The other not as fat
137.2911 136.3012

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Fat boy 24hour range
198.6915 197.3314

USA Biscuit Boy 14:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi Viktor. I don't think anything of it as it offers no new information. Until a date is set in writing just assume it won't occur. We have a ton of variables to get thru before this matter will come to light.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
RiverFalls// LOL, point taken..Greenspan $ family are theorists who often weight models equal to real life. True, they have antenae in the form of the many fed res. banks contacting a real mkt taking pulse of the econ, but we all feel Feds are theorists. That's why I said maybe I'm weighting theory too much. (I decline your Fed Chairman nomination..tks anwyay..I wouldn't have the job.)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Greenie Has the mic Now?
why is so boooooooooorrrrrrrrr

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thu Oct/07 3:30 PM 1.2309 1.2252 Low
Thu Oct/07 5:15 PM 1.2342 1.2296 High
Euro

prague viktor 14:41 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
BB,Hi!( WASHINGTON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - U.S. President George W. Bush spoke to Chinese President Hu Jintao on Thursday about what the White House called Beijing's commitment to steadily move to a flexible exchange rate.)what u say about that mate..

KW FXSTU 14:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Raden//
I have EURO/$ long targetting 1.2350. But it seems it wants to go towards 1.2250/25/00 today.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
tk jf 14:31 GMT October 7, 2004 //
What can I say..
I try my best

FloridA vv 14:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:25 GMT October 7, 2004
The neg. side of weak USD (gotta see both sides)

Valdez I still pay almost 4 times LESS for the fuel than any euoropean dude does.
Today filled my tank with regular unleded for 1.87 a gallon.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Biscuit// I know statistically that in the USD 1.15 days US exports weren't any different so perhaps I'm weighting "theory" excessively. What US exports is technologies (hardware and software), quality machines/tools/earthmovers/tractors, some grains/food prods. There is an excellent mkt for all this and if price is a few % more or less, likely in reality the mkt deals with it. I agree with you on Yuan..too far out yet to make viable predict's.

River Falls_USA_ PB 14:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:25 GMT October 7, 2004
I think you have just described about 50% of our failing economic policy. Couple more thoughtful messages speaking to trade practices, tax changes, trade imbalance and we vote you to succeed Greenspan.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I'll short chf there 1.2674

tk jf 14:31 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:27 GMT October 7, 2004
so u didnt go long gbp 2 days ago ?? or are u adding to that 1.7960 posn ? its hard to follow your system - ill read yr response in tokyo - out the door now

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:29 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Jay OK to paste a couple of link?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I am going on aussie short at 1.7282
Chf Longing at 1.2597
cable at 1.7888 short and Long 1.7720

paris jb 14:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
dc lurker 14:02

thank u mate, well u r right much noise in the market

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The neg. side of weak USD (gotta see both sides)
1. Fuel costs will burden public "payability" regardless of oil prices. Example: Food. We use LOTS of petrol products in transporting/producing goods/food in a country as huge as USA. Industrial farms consume 10X the BTUs in diesel & electricity than we get out of the food we eat.
2. If Fed has int. hikes to counteract low USD, econ will slow (expensive loans) & another "soft spot" emerges.
3. Imported mfg raw materials priced higher for pressured consumer to ultimately absorb.

USA Biscuit Boy 14:24 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Valdez I would say eur/$ falling to 1.15 would not have much impact on US exports. Maybe small reduced profitability but nothing major. I am by no means touting a return to parity in the long run....I personally think that ship has long since set sail.

I think Yuan being revalued will hurt the dollar somewhat. As always you just have to try and estimate how the market as a whole will sum up the situation closer in. I think it is impossible to come up with an accurate prediction this far out.

ATL MA 14:24 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calling all Cable experts!! Who is looking to sell, what levels are good entry on the topside, and of course are we mostly waiting until after NFP tomorrow to enter. Thanks...all views appreciated.

hk mom 14:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
oh... what happened?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
KW FXSTU 14:02 GMT October 7, 2004
eur/usd will move up caused by eur/jpy
tgt 1.2341/50 or 1.2373/80..top..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:19 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
GENEVA FHR 14:02 GMT October 7, 2004
Bahrain for your info crude oil 52.90//
Room some for white noise...U know that!!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:17 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hallo !!!
be carefull with eur/jpy will move up fast, because have touched 136.60 to get 137.35..top
I look 136.60 is nice support..

slv sam 14:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
can we have such situation: tomorrow figuers support USD/oil sharply down/good news from Iraq/yen up and we have e/y around 134??GT

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
dc lurker// we want a moving mkt so bad we're grasping straws for anything. You're right. It's all relative tho...mkt movers or no mkt movers, if the controllers of FX (big banks, CBs) want movement, they'll make it, believe me. News has not a lot of effect other than contra indicators many times!

RiverFalls// point taken..good point.

[email protected], you've got mail amigo ref Belize.

FloridA vv 14:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:59 GMT October 7, 2004

You right again. We need a weak buck. To lower budget deficit to raise export to increase production of high tech industries and in a long run to conqure the world. Otherwise China and Japan (though they hate each other. but keep going forward on the same model) would kick our butt very very hard.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
since mkt is still bla.. The Chinese Yuan...will it yawn, the Yuan, or soar? I've read completely opposing specs. Some say a dip before it soars too adding to the confusion. Obviously if el don Yuan soars that's good for USA's jobs as Chinese imports will cost more. If Yuan dips, uh ohhhh. But if el Yuan does soar, it would have to soar A LOT as Chinese goods are so cheap they could double in price & still have a good mkt. or the Chinese could stop making 300% profit and go for 150%. LOL. There's a lot of room. What's your take on all this, Biscuit?

River Falls_USA_ PB 14:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:59 GMT October 7, 2004
conversely, if the dollar doesn't remain in competitive strength globally, who is going to fund our debt?

KW FXSTU 14:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Raden Raden Raden !!!
Please coment EUR/$ future for today with respect to US data..

dc lurker 14:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 13:49 GMT October 7, 2004

methinks jb that a lot of minor and very obscure data is being touted now as a means of moving prices in what is otherwise a pretty lifeless market by most standards.

For example, of lot very secondary or even tertiary Fed district reports are being cited by sources, particularly IFR as "market movers".

If you go to briefing.com and check their calendar you will see that they, and more importantly the US treasury market ignore or downplay this less than first tier reports to the "noise" level they deserve.

GENEVA FHR 14:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain for your info crude oil 52.90

KW FXSTU 14:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 13:55 GMT October 7, 2004 //
What do you think about EUR/USD today, about US data???

gold coast martin 13:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:47 GMT October 7, 2004
USD may need weaker dollar but Japan does not need a strong yen,,,,see the correlation?....that is reason USD will not be allowed to weaken.....g/t

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Correct me but w/ higher dollars across the board, doesn't that mean US exports will slow...giving jobs a kick in the groin as well and not helping trade deficit? I must be missing something.

SanFrancisco TG 13:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I see Sterling 7850 +/- a potential stall point, if not should target 7900.

USA Biscuit Boy 13:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I think once the flow returns to Wall St the dollar will again appreciate across the board. For that to happen we need consumers with jobs doing what they do best in this country.....spend. More jobs and I think we go to 2.50% Fed funds rate soon enough. All good news for the dollar.....but then we also have the Yuan revaluation to think about down the track.

River Falls_USA_ PB 13:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Colombo Marcus 13:27 GMT October 7, 2004
like "mosquito" said -I bet volatility spikes beginning sometime in London session right thru NY. Been consolidating all week.

paris jb 13:49 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hi traders

does this data move market usualy?

10:00 AM ET. Sept. 25 DJ-BTM Business Barometer (previous +0.7%)

10x

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:47 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Tks vv, Biscuit. But I thought US needs slow decline in USD...right? Or am I way off base here? Ah needs yo' expertise, Biscuit.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:45 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
maybe from 1.7846 will get selling attack..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd have done 1.7839..
have a nice you..

NewYork frankie 13:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Will sell euro at 1.2315 for 30pips guaranteed. What easy money if seen. stop at 1.2325. Tomorrow's figures will be massive support for the dollar. IMO

FloridA vv 13:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:20 GMT October 7, 2004

Right you are. Looks like you know much more than making friends with russian beauties and eating caviar without a spoon.
Tomorrow there will be a fireworks
I'm in allready long Usd/Gbp from 1.7809. If we close today around 1.79 I will be happy and sure that by next friday will get my 400 pips.
GT

USA Biscuit Boy 13:41 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
No worries Valdez. I think IF we get the jobs growth we sorely need its going to move us that much faster to the point where the Fed removes its "measured pace" rhetoric. Throw in lower oil prices and the dollar can climb all it wants.

hk mom 13:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, cheers on aud buy, euro buy, cad sell

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Tks Biscuit! :^]

USA Biscuit Boy 13:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi Marcus. Nobody wants to enter a big bet before NFP. Tomorrow we shall see more movement I am sure. The NFP has the ability to change the market perception of the US economy as jobs has been the one missing piece of the puzzle to date for the recovery.

Gen dk 13:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Colombo Marcus 13:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
River Falls_USA_ PB ; in USDCHF pair its hard to brake down the 1.2600 level, we waiting here the to test down that level,what do you feel , why there no much movements in market?

Colombo Marcus 13:21 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
london adk ; what s up with market there are no movements

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Chartists: check 30day €/$ chart..due for another 200-300 pip vertical climb..big news day tomorrow could be the trigger/excuse. 85% of news AT 12:30..should be amusing.

Halifax CB 13:19 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
NY frankie - 1.258 is about a .618 retracement of this morning fall, and a good place to short.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
TOMORROW: Oct 8 Friday
Times=GMT es=estimate pr=previous
AUD Australian Federal Election(may best man win)
JPY Machine Orders(YoY)(AUG) 5:00 es:6.7% pr:0.3%
JPY Machine Orders(MoM)(AUG) 5:00 es:5.0% pr:-11.3%
JPY Household Spedng(YoY)(AUG) 5:00 es:-0.2% pr:1.1%
JPY Overall Hsehold Spendng MoM(AUG) 5:00 pr:-0.5%
CHF Unemp Rate(SEP) 5:45 es:3.80% pr:3.7%
CHF Unemp Rate(sa)(SEP) 5:45 es:3.9% pr:3.9%
EUR Germ Crnt. Acct(EURO) (AUG) 6:00 es:3.5B pr:3.1B
EUR Germ Trade Blnce(AUG) 6:00 1es:2.0B pr:13.5B
EUR Germ Exprts SA(MoM)(AUG) 6:00 es:-0.5% pr:3.5%
EUR Germ Impts SA(MoM)(AUG) 6:00 es:-1.1% pr:5.7%
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Curnt(SEP) 7:00 es:7.3 pr:50.7
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook(SEP) 7:00 pr:51.7
EUR Germ Ind.Prodct'n(MoM)(AUG P) 10:00 es:-0.4% pr:1.4%
EUR Germ Ind.Prodct'n(YoY)(AUG P) 10:00 es:3.9% pr:2.0%
EUR EZ OECD Leading Ind.(AUG) 10:00 pr:105.8
CAD Unemp Rate(SEP) 11:00 es:7.2% pr:7.2%
CAD Net Change in Emp(SEP) 11:00 es:15k pr:-7k
CAD Housing Starts(SEP) 12:15 es:230k pr:241.5k

***NOTE: FIRST 6 USD EVENTSAT 12:30 GMT***

USD Unemp. Rate 12:30 es:5.4% pr:5.4%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(MoM) 12:30 es:0.3% pr:0.3%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(YoY) 12:30
USD Ch.in Nonfarm Payrls(SEP) 12:30 es:150k pr:144k
USD Ch.in Mfg.Payrolls(SEP) 12:30 es:10k pr:22k
USD Av.Wkly Hours(SEP)12:30 es:33.8 pr:33.8
- - - - -
USD Wh'sale Inven.(AUG)14:00 es:0.8% pr:1.3%
USD Bernanke speak: St. Louis Conf. 14:00
USD Treas. Taylor - Atl. Fed Pmts Conf. 16:00
USD Fed Ferguson speak: St. Louis Conf'ce 16:00

Gen dk 13:13 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

River Falls_USA_ PB 13:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
we are right at channel support in EUR/USD and channel resistance in USD/CHF. Look at at 2 hour and beyond beginning Aug 30. Without a 50 pip violation channel points to short term $ weakness

slv sam 13:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
GBP might well have bottomed and ready for at least 1.81 level aimho of course!.GT

NewYork frankie 13:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
closed my Cads at 1.2585 spot on.

BDQ 13:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD

data is good, but oil is rising

anybody seeing any opportunities

Chicago Goofy 13:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
By "long term", I mean 3-5 days...

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Oct 7 Thursday - "medium" weight news day
Times=GMT es=estimate pr=previous
Left to go:
USD Fed Ferguson speak: Cato Institute 13:30
USD Fed Guynn speak: Pmts in Americas Conf. 16:00
USD Fed Bernanke speak: Cntl Bnk Communication 17:00
USD G'span opening remarks St.Louis Conf. 8:30
USD Consumer Credit (AUG) 19:00 es: $5.9B pr: $10.9B
USD Fed McTeer speak: in NY subject: US econ21:30

Chicago Goofy 13:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Lucky day!!
Got a lowest entry point of U/CAD while sleep. Can I hold it for long term profit from now on, say, >1.2800??
Talking of today`s support after rebounce from 1.2531, It is very important to stay above 1.2600? Focus on this pair because it has better tradeoff while oil is rocket high and more importantly, itself hit the years low.

Gud Trade to you all.

BDQ 13:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD opinions

LA fxnew 13:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
since data is good .... cable is not moving at all?

KL KL 12:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
also sold gold at 419.80 earlier sl 421....I think many comodity related thing will peak this few days..imho

SanFrancisco TG 12:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The only true change I see after the data is $yen going bid, the others remain positioned per my previous post although there has been some sign of reversal of them. I am waiting for further confirmation of reversals. $yen turning bid is also lukewarm at this point.

Bruxville Jim 12:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
fxnew - of course, yes. gl.

Budapest Daniel 12:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
it seems like it is thus far...

KL KL 12:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
short audusd .7265 sl 10 above...gbpusd also sold at 1.78 sl 15 above...open possie but will set auto pilot to take profit if 40 & 60 pips respectively

LA fxnew 12:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
is data good for US dollar ?

River Falls_USA_ PB 12:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
US Sept 25 Week Jobless Claims Revised To 372K From 369K
US Jobless Claims -37K To 335K In Oct 2 Wk; Survey -19K

NewYork frankie 12:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
going in on CAD. Time for a run up to the 4 hour channel line at 1.2585 ALL IN

Global-View GVI 12:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
GVI 12:31 GMT October 7, 2004
Weekly jobless claims fell 37,000 to 335,000 (last week revised up by 3K)

Toronto Aviator 12:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Jobles claims 335,000K

Los Angeles ss 12:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
335kvs355 expected

Pta Lud 12:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Joblessclaims figure please!

Bruxville Jim 12:30 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
unexpected sharp decline in JLClaims

SanFrancisco TG 12:24 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Just ahead of the data, I have Euro and Sterling bid, Chf and $yen offered, but Cad bid. Could all change of course, but thats how I see the market positioned.

Livingston nh 12:17 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th - if the AUD stays under the 200 da mva thru today and tomorrow's US employment report then I'll hold on - personal expectation is for a bit of a shakeup on Saturday

NewYork frankie 12:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
closing my cable longs at B/E. tooooooooo chopppppppy
for me

London ADK 12:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
PAR - you make them sound like grease monkeys

PAR 12:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Central bankers resemble more and more the former Soviet Planoffice. They think they can fine tune their economies but that is not true.

Melbourne Qindex 12:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 11:26 GMT - In general the odds are on your side to take a long position at the lower barrier and a short position at the upper barrier. Location of congested barriers are used as a reference for a possible trending movement. Details of my system can be found in my website.

Ltn th 11:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts about open AUD positions or orders over the weekend?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
One gurrentee 100%..is that Jay will send U an email whe he wakes up

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:38 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
OK...not even 2 months...say about 1/.8=1.25 months=5 weeks...
OK..I will personally see that the sultane hands the nice daughter...nice party and every thing

houston st 11:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   

Calcutta Vikram 05:53 GMT -- sorry for the delay in answering...I hope everything else is going well for you and your family....looking forward to popping into your website today and seeing what you have to say...take care and good trades to you.

Livingston nh 11:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Seems like rate hikes are done in Britain, maybe one more in Aus next month, Canada and ECB on hold 'til next year (?) - Fed is still on the march so when does the market price this in

PAR 11:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ECB decision basically irrelevant. Whatever ECB decides German unemployment will keep on rising and internal european demand will keep on falling.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
We have one Sultane here...Nice daughter...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
if U gurrentie profits each month 80%
I am willing if send me profits for next two months...

Haifa ac 11:29 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
la so 11:24 GMT // 80% a month is 1000% a year.
If you take $1000 of your own and trade for yourself you will be able to marry the daughter of the sultan of Brunai or Bill Gates withing 3 years.
Somehow I think you are impotent.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
then 1.2654...it will go to sleep after that

Los Angeles ss 11:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q -- where can we go to find out exactly what your level postings mean for the day's trading?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thu Oct/07 8:40 AM 1.2629 1.2509
Lowest point

GER ad 11:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
CAD crosses against European are overextended IMHO.
The question is which one is the most promising, I am tipping on CAD/CHF. A short near 1.01 could bring 200-300 pips near term.
GT& GL

ICT ML 11:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Vikram......LOL every time I sold the new low i think this is it they are going to squeeze my b*lls hard now...........but not yet. Intresting to see if the monthly up trend holds or not. I thought it would not but not seeing $$$ weakness in euro or GBP or Yen rigfht now so it might. Don't know yet.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
1.2306 1.2262 for short term

BDQ 11:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
do u see Eur/Usd going above 1.2310

Calcutta Vikram 11:11 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ML....."everyone and his dog" includes me surely, seeing how I've got in just yesterday, at what could be the fag end of the move.

KL KL 11:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
out eurusd +15 pips at 1.2295 .....enuf stress tonight!!

ICT ML 11:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 11:02 GMT October 7, 2004

Its been in a trend all summer and I think everyone and their dog is trying to get in on it now...which makes me nervous somewhat.

Fundamentals I guess support CAD over U$D right now

sgp sp 11:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q,

Yes, have a small long position at 197.6....though the others have bigger ones....

Melbourne Qindex 10:50 GMT October 7, 2004
sgp sp 10:46 GMT - No change in my view. Did you touch GBP/JPY?

Calcutta Vikram 11:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Re: ICT ML 10:14 GMT October 7, 2004

Hi ML. I am Short USDCAD like you are (though not as heavily/ boldly as you) and can see the 1.24 Support you speak of. My question is, why is only this pair moving when everything else is stationery? I ask because this is the first time I am trading this pair. TIA

lugano f. 11:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
...nice hanging man on usd cad 15 min chart....

Pecs Andras 11:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
won't be a market mover, but the October 20 minutes will surely be

Pecs Andras 11:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Unchanged

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
shorted Cable/yen for 65 pipa

BDQ 10:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD heading for 1.23

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:52 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I would PT here and long again at your stop or less

Ldn 10:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD view is unchanged from 2Q. recovery from Apr's 1.1762 low i expected to fail in front of 1.2550-1.26 resistance, heading toward 1.14-1.12 i4Q '04. However, trading pattern in recent weeks suggests fading rallies in the 1.2370-95 region may pay dividends. RBoS

Melbourne Qindex 10:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 10:46 GMT - No change in my view. Did you touch GBP/JPY?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
cable long for 1.7860 stop 1.7760

That stop is dangreous

sgp sp 10:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Dr Q.....are you still gbp/usd bearish?

NewYork frankie 10:43 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
took 20 pips on aussie from yesterdays long position. everything is now on cable long for 1.7860 stop 1.7760

Melbourne Qindex 10:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp 10:39 GMT - Good evening! It is okay today.

Melbourne Qindex 23:15 GMT October 6, 2004
GBP/USD : The upper barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.7798 // 1.7859 and the lower barrier is expected at 1.7554 // 1.7615.


... 1.7554 // 1.7615 - 1.7676 - 1.7737 - 1.7798 // 1.7859 ...


Congested barriers of my 44-day cycle are located at 1.7585 and 1.7813.

sgp sp 10:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Good Evening Dr Q,

So nice to see your levels again....just simply lovely....could you pls pls post gbp/usd levels for us?

gl & gt 2 u.

P/S ; if u cannot...we will understand....

Melbourne Qindex 10:31 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:19 GMT October 7, 2004
USD/CAD : The critical point of my daily cycle is located at 1.2580. The upper barrier is expected at 1.2642 // 1.2673 and the lower barrier is positioning at 1.2518 // 1.2549.


... 1.2518 // 1.2549 - 1.2580* - 1.2611 - 1.2642 // 1.2673 ...

ICT ML 10:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Only thing around to possibly save $CAD now is a monthly up channel bottom somewhere between 1.2400 and 1.2450 area near as I can tell, and another daily channel bottom around 1.2515 area.
We've sold every 20 pips so far today and have one more order waiting, for 1.2515 then 1.2450. Hopefully it won't bounce much before getting decent distance between our entries and the market. Stops are all close to entry now except for the last entry.

We'll see how it goes. Could make a killing or break even on the deal depending on if it bounces hard here or not.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I think so too
Might go down from 1.7802 for a while

Ldn 10:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
A strong rebound in JPY oil price recovers with strong Chinese growth ,oil-efficient Japanese companies are best placed to reap benefit
reuters

PAR 10:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ECB should raise rates to stop inflation in Europ but German economy is too weak to survive higher interest rates. So Trichet leaves rates unchanged and tries to sound optimistic. about the economy.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
please focuse eur/usd at 1.2341/50 and 1.2373 and gbp 1.7873-1.7881. maybe sellers wait there..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Could be
Thu Oct/07 6:40 AM 197.9902 197.1908
for fat boy

LAHORE CABLE 09:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Parveen from Pakistan:
if the uk unchange the rate and other side if they will increase or decrease then what will be the behaviour of the cable?
please any person who is trading in cable tell me the effect.

thanx

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thu Oct/07 7:25 AM 198.3709 197.3707

This dude wants to along at this Local Min
syd..what do You think?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:52 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys..
Cable...
Thu Oct/07 6:35 AM 1.7789 1.7739
Local Min there...No local Max for a while...
I think it's a good buy

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 08:51 GMT October 7, 2004
based on 4 hours chart, gbp/usd will test 1.7955..
hold your buy..

KL KL 09:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
for 10 pips...long eurusd 1.228 - sl 5 below..just for quick pips till NY may SAR if 1.2315 seen!!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 09:21 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 08:51 GMT October 7, 2004
based on 30 minutes candle formation, 1.7816 still valid to be hoped..

BDQ 09:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD outlook today, ur opinion

Gen dk 09:13 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 09:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Colombo Marcus 09:07 GMT October 7, 2004
I don't use RSI

Haifa ac 09:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
houston ken 08:22 GMT October 7, 2004
i just dont get this market no long trend what is going on?
lost all my money . //How much?

Colombo Marcus 09:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Alponso Brown: do you take the advantage of the RSI indicator, I have a plan to apply it on my chart study, do you have any idea if it so which is the best suitable peariod for RSI for a hourly/30 days chart

Haifa ac 09:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY is on the CUSP.

hk mom 09:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, the cad sell is so pretty!

Roumeli anka 08:57 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Qindex thanks. It seems I have in mind the previous 3 month levels :12382/12304/12225/12145/12067 etc

Ldn 08:52 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Muslim Groups bockade Christian School in Indonesia

AP report.

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 08:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Raden, pls your next GBP levels & directions!! TIA

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 08:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Colombo Marcus 08:44 GMT October 7, 2004
How could I know? it has been a support , yesterday and today (so far) even if it got raped for some minutes today. For now it's a support but it could become a resistance. Draw a line at 1.2628 and 1.2650 on yesterday and today. As you will see, prices tested 1.2650 yesterday after a rebound on 1.2630, has retested 1.2630 and broke 1.2650 to get 1.2680. I favor this scenario.

Melbourne Qindex 08:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 08:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I have sell order now waiting on eur/chf @ 1.5543 with stop @ 1.5571 and TP at 1.5490

Ldn 08:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD: US Funds continue selling

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 08:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
sterling/dollar is bad engaged below 1.7793 (50 EMA ON WEEKLY CHART). targetting 1.7730 in this configuration.

Colombo Marcus 08:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Alponso Brown: USDCHF is now picking up, will the 1.2630 level be todays support?

Dallas GEP 08:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Well CAD has been a battle for days. While BIAS is down 1.2575 has held. Best play for now IMO is a long upon approach on 1.2575 with 20 pip stop My gut feeling is that CAD will eventually break to the upside but maybe only limited to 1.2670 area but in any case, this will happen very slowly IMO

Vancouver Paddy 08:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I like moving averages the best.

A simple set @ 50 and a exponential set @ 20. Great for midrange trading in indices commodites & curencies.

Good luck

Melbourne Qindex 08:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Roumeli anka 08:28 GMT - EUR/USD : We have to wait and see how the market tackles the barrier at 1.2249 - 1.2259. You can find the number 1.2259 in the 3-month projection profile and 1.2249 in my weekly cycle charts.

PAR 08:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
BOE will say inflation is big problem while Trichet will say he sees no inflationary pressures but he will remain vigilant whatever that may mean.

Melbourne Qindex 08:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Roumeli anka 08:28 GMT - EUR/USD : It is negative when it is trading below 1.2321.

Roumeli anka 08:28 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Qindex... you mean the range 12382-11751 ?

Dallas GEP 08:27 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
PAddy, Ranges are so narrow but 6715 intially I think

LA fxnew 08:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
ken:
play by trend ; support and resistant

Gen dk 08:23 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

houston ken 08:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
i just dont get this market no long trend what is going on?
lost all my money . last wk was 4 hr chart now 1 hr what is going on/

Vancouver Paddy 08:17 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Feeling pretty stupid about now.... opps.

GEP: what the target on the NZD/USD trade?

Melbourne Qindex 08:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Follow the 3-month projection profile, nothing has been changed.

Ldn 08:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD strength failed ahead of the summer's range-highs 1.2460, pullback has tested important pivotal support between 1.2260 and 1.2225. Breakdown here will not only give the rate a slightly weaker bias, also greatly reduce the chance of a break above 1.2460 toward 1.2650 in coming months.JPMorgan

Vancouver Paddy 08:11 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Dumped that euro short @ 12289.

Cold feet with cash in my pocket.

Looking for the next trade.

Dallas GEP 08:09 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
NZD/USD shorts working from 6760.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 08:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Colombo marcus 07:58 GMT October 7, 2004
the support is 1.2630 (1.2628 exactly), 1.2636 is an other reaction point ( I know it's close one to the other), then it's 1.2650.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
sorry.. I mean from 1.2290..the last train..

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 08:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
long usd/chf at 1.2636, this time I hope the market has really made its choice....

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
after get selling reaction 1.7834, I think now is the time to move up again to get 1.7873/81. I suggest to forget about 1.7839 (substitute of 1.7839 is 1.7934)..
start level is 1.7800-1.7805
also eur/usd from 1.2297 will broke 1.2317 to get minimal 1.2341/50..

Colombo marcus 07:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Alponso brown:
what is the immidiate support you see in the usdchf pair?

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 07:58 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf is back in buy signal, above 1.2630 . I close and I'm neutral now.

Melbourne Qindex 07:57 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hkg panda 07:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 07:13 GMT October 7, 2004 //
shorting cable @.7820 looking for 40 pts. stop at .7860.

Pta Lud 07:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Short Euro 1.23, looking for at least 1.2270, will put stop at 1.2270 if broken.

hk jn 07:51 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
is FXXX trading platform down?

colombo usdchf 07:47 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Technically there is possibility of testing the high level of 1.2700 , will it possible with the uprising oil price?

London 07:47 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Two Bombs Explode Outside Police Station In Sweden

Vancouver Paddy 07:37 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Anyone going short on the Euro??

I've gone in at 12300 -> looking for 12220.

Good Idea?

NY Raider19 07:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Market Color //// Most of the information of market color is conveyed by the financial media, the conveyors of information in the same manner that "entertainment professionals" provide entertainment. They have their network of contacts that they "work with" to get information about why the market is moving so that they can pass on this information to their subscribing customers.

For example: GBPUSD just moved a lot! Why? Ok let me call desk X from organization Z and ask them, because they see all the order flow and they really definitely must know what is going on... Oh, it was entity Y doing it, I see. Now I will write my article.... Y just did this to GBPUSD causing it to move this way.

No conflict of interest anywhere in this picture, none at all. Look at yesterday, when one of the wires gleefully spread the market rumor about a huge EUR basket sell at the London fix. Then was more than gleefully reporting how "spec's loaded short into the EURUSD drop and were caught short as an Asian Central Bank swept the market up."

It is the financial media that is the cheerleading devil in the whole picture that is supposedly "in the know" passing on "credible information" from their network of sources for everyone's "benefit", in FX in particular where frontrunning and all sorts of tricks are legal and there are a myriad of players, a necessary evil that more often than not is the fuel for anyone that is in position to light a fire in the market.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 07:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
London RHood 07:20 GMT October 7, 2004
(professionnal anyway...)
usd/chf target at 1.2530 if 1.26 breaks or long at 1.26 if prices do react ( 1.26 is the 50 ema on daily chart--->important point)

Ldn 07:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
S Africa Rand Weakens On USD Demand

London RHood 07:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Alphonse you self taught or ex-professional ?

van Gecko 07:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hk mom.. good trades.. plenty of pips to be have for all papa & mama bears when this multi month consolidation end.. stay cool, try snoozing with one eye open.. @_^

Cable 1/2 session turning point in play.. lower time frame indicator 'saturations' now affords buy on dips opportunities depending on one's greed/fear appetite..

LA fxnew 07:13 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
anyone still short cable besides me?

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 07:11 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
London RHood 07:02 GMT October 7, 2004
where do you pick this kind of info please?

sofia anmart 07:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD -1.2302. We buy break of 1.2310 for 1.2365.

London RHood 07:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Asian CB bought cable Alphonse..

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 07:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
no more short on pound, looking for a buy point;

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 07:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
short usd/chf 1.2627

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 06:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 06:36 GMT October 7, 2004
my target is not determinated yet. I sold on a technical sign (good risk/reward ratio). Covering short if usd/chf prints 1.2625 or opens below 1.2630 , euro >1.23 is also the sign to sell dollar. Ideal target at 1.7730 but gbp/usd has open below 1.7893.

LA fxnew 06:36 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Alphonse Brown :

what is your target on cable?

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 06:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:18 GMT October 7, 2004
Congratulations if you can anticipate whatever using the 1'' chart on this beast of cable!! lo! this is a joke! where is the camera?

Calcutta Vikram 06:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Wonder if there's going to be any movement tomorrow either, given that the US is on holiday on Monday. Or, possibly a data surprise will cause a discrete market movement in the US session and then everything will be quiet again through the Asian and European sessions on Monday.

So, either you catch the data right tomorrow, or try to make 4-10 trades netting 10-15 pips each till tomorrow. Or do nothing at all.

hk gengT 06:31 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
short U/J @111.10, will see 110.50 by the 8hour chart

CA LOS ANGLES 06:31 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
any view on eur/gbp
cabel, eur/usd
thanks

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 06:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd, stochastic saturated below the hourly 50 ema in sell signal..
usd/chf rebounded on its support at 1.2630
on the other hand, euro has opened (shyly) above 1.23
stop on gbp/usd at 1.7830

Calcutta Vikram 06:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Valeikoum Salaam, Sajid Bhai. Trust you are keeping well.

NY Raider19 06:19 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Managed Accounts //// Hey please contact me! I am averaging no less than 81% per month - and those are bad months!!!

melb 06:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
la so - f... off mate

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:18 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
buy now gbp/usd when at 1.7905 for next new top. see 1 minutes chart..

pakistan sajid 06:16 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram 05:53 GMT October 7, 2004
salam

Calcutta Vikram 05:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
'Morning ST. Good to see you too.
No "bad luck". The losses were kept at the bare minimum as the trades were designed to test the market direction. Normal cost of business.

But, you are correct, "Hit and Run" may be the way to make some money while the whippiness lasts.

houston st 05:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   

VIKRAM -- hello my friend...it is good to see you here...I hate to hear about your bad luck but this whippy market is very hard to predict...hit and run seems to work best for me right now...it may be better to go to Vegas and gamble at the blackjack tables - at least you can catch a show and have a drink and dinner...take care and may the force be with you! gl/gt...I'm off for a cat nap.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown15 05:49 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Short sterling at 1.7819
take your positions, quick! long usd/chf at 1.2635 ( we take the same to do it again...

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
also usd/chf before go to 1.2596 or 1.2566, ideally show us 1.2655 as start level for sell..

Calcutta Vikram 05:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
I tried both buying and selling Euro over the last two days, but there's been no follow-through on either side. As a result I've taken losses on both Long and Short trades. Looks like the market is waiting for the US NFP data tomorrow.

Possibly, there is room for a positive surprise (near +155-157K) and as such the balance may tip in favour of Dollar Bulls. Watch Resistance at 1.2320-40 today. If it continues to hold, the Euro might be worth selling for a fall towards 1.22. Should the Resistance break today, a further rise towards 1.2365 may be seen and tomorrow's data might be rendered ineffective for Dollar Bulls.

Cheers

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
covering long cable here..maybe short at 1.7831
but for sure longing at 1.7742

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:42 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd before go up to 1.2332 or 2358 ideally give bid number at 1.2279/80 before fly.
still have chance show us 1.2280 (this is the last train(IMO))
..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:38 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Prague JV 05:10 GMT October 7, 2004
if you will use my levels..there are 2 strategy you can follow :
averaging piramid or take each level for entry.
if you follow the averaging strategy..ou can use stop loss at the end of my levels for all possie with same stp.
if you dont use averaging, you can take action in each level with stp if break maximal 15 pips from my level, if you get stp..please try again for next level with the same stp rule..
dont be emotion in trade if use my levels, be patience for wait the entry level and act there with tight stp..

zappy 05:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys,

you could share your views on fx at zappy forums, a new destination for forum lovers. below is the link[s]:

http://zappyforums.proboards27.com/index.cgi

http://zappy.bravehost.com/

thanks

NY Raider19 05:32 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Turtle Traders //// Syd, Who were they? Please give yourself a break and take your assumptions with you. I have knowledge of them. IMO much of markets has not changed, but quite a lot has. I think that markets are more competitive and sophisticated now. By your comments you seem to argue that nothing has changed....

Hedge funds play a positive role in the market as do many other market participants. The fact is that many speculative traders deploy the same strategies and tactics as hedge funds. You sound like some long term currency investor. What is your holding time? Several years? I am sure you must hate the market moving around....

goldman mumbai 05:13 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hi frnds could u pls list the commodity currencies, and what qualifys them to be one as well...thnx

Prague JV 05:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA ss
can you explain to me please Radensologie ?
If I take his gbp/usd for example I end up with average sell 1.7956 and average buy 1.7765 . Problem here for me is that value for sell pos wil be much greather then buy possitions ( from q. number ) . I do not now how and where will you stop and what will you do first sell or buy?
You obviously undertand whar Raden means . THANK YOU.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:09 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Usd/CHF
Level Sell :
1.2786
1.2842
1.2874
1.2966
Level buy :
1.2644
1.2612
1.2566
Gold
Level sell :
422.30
428.20
428.20
Level buy :
418.10
413.80
412.20
..
please be carefull when your chart touch my numbers !! maybe there are enemy orders there to attack the flow order before/bomb orders.. :-)

hk lacer 05:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hi raden....

any idea bout yen?

thanks

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Usd/Jpy
Level Sell :
111.51/57
111.74
111.95
112.04
112.27
113.12
113.41
Level buy :
111.07
110.76
..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Aud/usd
Level sell :
0.7305
0.7336
0.7369
Level buy :
0.7228
0.7217
0.7161
0.7095
..

hk lacer 05:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hi there anyone.... any idea where yen is heading on the short term?

wisconsin tim 05:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
re:eur/gbp well one of these are gonna break. Either 15 to the upside or 60's to the down. In the mean time place buy at lower (sell at higher) with small stops and maybe SAR on clean break either way.

see charts posted y'day

Los Angeles ss 05:02 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, raden mas.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 05:01 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd
Level Sell :
1.2317
1.2341/50
1.2375
1.2415
Level buy :
1.2290
1.2232
1.2206
1.2181
1.2114
..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Putting some long orders for the euro around 1.2234...I think this guy wants to go to a high point of 1.2440 next week

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 04:53 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss,
GBP/usd
Level Sell :
1.7839
1.7873/81
1.7907
1.7955
1.7972
1.7983
1.8037
1.8085
Level Buy :
1.7790
1.7779
1.7727
..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 04:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
pakistan sajid 04:25 GMT October 7, 2004
son=soon

pindi sajid 04:23 GMT October 7, 2004

how are you..long time no meet your pict and gun..LOL
about your number I think maximal tomorrow will be met..

Los Angeles ss 04:33 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- do you still believe 1.7839 will be the top before turning down? Thanks.

hk mom 04:30 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, tks so much, aussie and euro are in good pips now.

Sydney EM 04:29 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
On eve of Australia election, with polls still suggesting close result, Labor leader Mark Latham says he's "quietly confident"

pakistan sajid 04:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
son=soon

pindi sajid 04:23 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas
hi
looks fresh today
i am looking for atleast 1.7950
hope to get it son
may be next week

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 04:10 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
To Daniel :
wow..gbp/usd 1.7818 (about yesterday). LOL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:09 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
entry point for aussie and ordering
Thu Oct/07 6:45 AM 0.7271 0.7227

Prague JV 04:03 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The U.S. dollar will almost certainly have to keep falling, according to most analysts, especially if China agrees to revalue its currency, as so many U.S. officials are pressing it to do.


China has recently opened up a gold-trading market and allowed its consumers to buy gold, adding to the world's demand for the metal.


A recent lack of spending on new mines, thanks in part to stiffer environmental regulation, has tightened the supply of gold.


Even if the war in Iraq somehow ends fairly quickly -- which seems unlikely, at this point -- global military spending, oil prices and the threat of terrorism will still remain high, all of which are boons to inflation and to gold.

Like Eveillard of the First Eagle funds, Holmes says investors can't get rich trading gold or gold-related stocks, which rise and fall with the price of bullion. But he also recommends investors put 5-to-10 percent their money in gold and gold-related assets until the trouble for the U.S. dollar blows over -- which could take a while.

"Right now, we have negative real rates of return on Treasury bills and massive deficit spending," Holmes said. "Historically, a currency can't be strong with those two factors."

Melbourne Qindex 04:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Syd 03:56 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Mailed ballots go missing
A "stuff-up" by the Australian Electoral Commission could lead to results in Saturday's federal election being challenged in court, a Nationals MP said yesterday.

Nationals MP for the large rural Queensland seat of Maranoa, Bruce Scott, said problems within the AEC meant about 50per cent of voters who applied for postal votes would not get one.

Mr Scott said 11,600 voters in his seat and another 5,600 in the adjoining seat of Kennedy had applied for postal votes. It was common where couples with the same surname had applied for one partner to get the papers in the mail and the other to miss out.

"It's been a monumental stuff-up and the AEC seems oblivious to the problem," Mr Scott said. He said depending on which way the vote went, he would not rule out a challenge to the Court of Disputed Returns if the result in his electorate was close.

AEC assistant commissioner Brien Hallett said the AEC was trying to contact all voters who had complained about not receiving a ballot. He said alternatives were for people travelling to get an absent vote at a polling place in another area.
AAP.

Singapore Pilot 03:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
any thots on the homeland investment act? apart from proping up the US equity market, anybody any views on the currency impact?

Sydney EM 03:07 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
AUSSIE VOTE: Mark Latham A Step Closer To Main Prize

hk mom 03:00 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Gecko, I agree and no waiting anymore.
Buy euro 1.2290
Buy aussie 0.7245
Sell cad 1.2610
Sell franc 1.2645

Last train don't wait!

Syd 02:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin no , its been put with the commodities because of high rates

SGP SGP 02:59 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Syd. Answer is NO

Sydney Alimin 02:50 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
is gbp considered commodity ccy as well?

van Gecko 02:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
the CRB Index, the global benchmark for measuring commodity price movement is on the verge of saying good bye to its 6 month seasonal consolidation..
the break over 285 is another all time high.. with 280 as the new baseline the Index could be marching up to 320 over the m/t..
a similar seasonal breakout over 250 last October pushed the Euro & the commodity trios (Aussie, Kiwi & Cad) up to new heights..

noisy ducks pushed the QDN index for her Majesty GBP up over 10 this week, a 50db drop now in the cards..


Syd 02:46 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
melb excellent hope they help the government.

melb 02:39 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Good employment figures mate

Syd 02:38 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Greenspan tonight and payrolls tomorrow should keep most ccy's rangebound + Aussie election Saturday .

NewYork frankie 02:35 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
just got back in and saw the aussie jumped quite a lot from 7220 to 7256, any reason. Btw, hk mom as posted earlier i changed my short from short to long.

London 02:30 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin Fed seems confident for some reason must know something we dont!!

FOREX-Dollar firm on expectations U.S. rates to keep rising
http://www.reuters.com/financeMarketReportArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=RXWYTZMW01ATUCRBAEOCFEY?type=usDollarRpt

Sydney Alimin 02:26 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
if he keeps saying that, let him have it, bring oil to 70 :)

London 02:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Fed's Hoenig - impact from oil on US growth modest
Record oil prices will only exert a modest impact on U.S. growth which looks set for a solid performance over the next 18 months, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig said on Wednesday."The impact will be modest because the economy is sound. We are in an expansion phase on the business side," Hoenig told an economic forum here.Forecasting 3.5 to 4 percent GDP growth for the rest of this year and 2005, Hoenig said his outlook would survive the energy shock provided there was not another upward price spike.Noting that the U.S. economy is roughly half as dependent on energy as it was during the 1970s and 1980s, Hoenig said oil would have to reach $70 a barrel to be equivalent in real terms to the peaks it scaled back then.
LINCOLN, Neb., Oct. 6 (Reuters)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 02:22 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 02:12 GMT October 7, 2004
start level before wake up at 1.7789..
maybe today I will posting often, and I hope can help you my dear..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 02:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 02:12 GMT October 7, 2004
very nice chart behavior..
buy now for target 1.7839 with stp 1.7741..

LA fxnew 02:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hi Raden:

you got any view on cable?

Thanks

hk mom 02:08 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Sing the hymn of GOOD Bye (BUY) on aud.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 02:06 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
good morning traders !!

Dallas GEP 01:55 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
YES VALDEZ, It is the MONEY that counts

London 01:54 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Aud options
Thursday
AUD 0.7200(lge).
AUD 0.7250(lge).
Friday.
AUD 0.7150,80,95
AUD 0.7250
AUD 0.7300-50 KO

Gen dk 01:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 01:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Mom seems Election spooking Aud market


hk mom 01:34 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Hope frankie has exited his aud sell.

hk mom 01:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
The euro/franc looks pretty toppish. I am gonna sell some soon.

Syd 01:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
NY Raider 19 you obviously are not aware of the Turtle Traders otherwise you wouldnt have made such a stupid statement. or understand the relevance on the commodity currencies caused through the Com index. dont bother to reply not interested

QUICK ON THE DRAW. Trading done by this crew is fast, short-term, and often highly leveraged. It is as likely to be driven by cues from a computer or technical chart as it is by any traditional stock analysis. Increasingly, the goal is not just to trade off news, but to trade ahead of the news -- to anticipate it.

Melbourne Qindex 01:05 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

NY Raider19 00:48 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Seeing a critical article about hedge funds on a currency trading site is like seeing a posting for a Toyota Prius for sale here: http://www.holley.com/nosnitrous/index.html

hk m 00:44 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
tks melbourne

melb 00:41 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
01:30 GMT.. 11.30 local

Melbourne Qindex 00:40 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk m 00:37 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Pls anyone - what time is the Aussie employment data out?

Syd 00:25 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th its seems everywhere UK, Aus ,US views are totally split if Blair continues the way he is going he will get another run at Office. Strange years ago Conservatives had it made evern Iraq hasnt tarnished Blair.

Sydney Ge11Ja 00:20 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
hk mom 00:15 GMT October 7, 2004

yep looks like some are gunning for stops, anyone know where they are placed ??? the trade might be to buy the stopfest

Melbourne Qindex 00:19 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk mom 00:15 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
It looks like this eur is going to make a false break down fast and then fast up again. I have put limit to buy again at 1.2255.

Ltn th 00:14 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Syd, Objectively a lot of people(50% of US electorate and 80% in other countries) would not see much difference to GWB's candidacy?

hk mom 00:12 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Let's enter aud buying AGAIN!.

Syd 00:04 GMT October 7, 2004 Reply   
Cairo AG.... here you go ...Saddam to Declare Candidacy for Iraqi Elections

 




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