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Forex Forum Archive for 10/08/2004

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Melbourne Qindex 23:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Rome Alex 20:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
great channel indeed ....

Budapest Daniel 20:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Yes, sorry, forgot to write that down.

Rome Alex 20:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 20:19 GMT : euro?

Budapest Daniel 20:19 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
what do you guys think about this?
Click here

Syd 20:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
A bit of insight to the whacky Loonies running in Australia today Greens say prisoners should be paid

Ldn 20:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
IMM Commitment Data Released On 1 October
AUD/USD - Net Long 16,900 From Net Long 7,085



Pecs Andras 19:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
This is how I see the post-NFP situation.
Last time this figure was very bad EUR longed some 200 pips but then corrected. Otherwise all the up and down spikes after these data were corrected every month, so we are still in this wide range since the beginning of the summer. I do not see anything to be especially exited about until 1.2500 is convincigly broken.
As for Aussie, I am keeping this short because I think it is way overbought and needs some correction, 50-100 pips before the next upleg.

Chicago Goofy 19:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Vilnius georgas 12:20 GMT October 8, 2004
Chicago Goofy 12:17 GMT
about this forum lol
-------------------------
Those who know do not speak
Those who speak do not know


IT is quite true buddy, but I would change it!!

gold coast martin 19:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
...BACK TO 7250 BY END OF MONDAYS THIN TRADING..i forgot to add ...

gold coast martin 19:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The fact that the election over the week end will be close and the balance of power in parliament will be taken away from the 2 major parties,will create volatility with the currency and be good for a pip gain..not to mention that the euro has failed to break the top range of the resistance level and the yen is due for a rebound from 10950....g/wend...g/t

Budapest Daniel 19:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
My original plan was that I would quit after 10 pips surplus, but I dunno about it now if you guys say that it is quite safe now. What levels do you expect it will reach by next Monday?

Pecs Andras 19:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Daniel, yes

sofia anmart-forex 19:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/GBP-0.6918. We buy at 0.6915 for 0.6965 enroute to 0.7095.

Budapest Daniel 19:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Andras did you sold it at 0.7348 also?

Dallas GEP 19:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well Andras, I beleive that to be pretty safe. I think the AUSSIE elections are this weekend but I don't really see a gap up because of that. If Anything it should gap down over the weekend IMO. Safest to square out of course but I am leaving mine open.

Pecs Andras 19:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi mate
Just wanted to ask you about your Aussie short. I got in at 48 and planning to keep it over the weekend, and possibly for a medium term.

Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
YEP still lingering

BDQ 19:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
at what price will EUR/USD is likely to close

Pecs Andras 18:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GEP
Are you still around?

Chicago Goofy 18:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Aye and Gep.
After a shower, missed a few pips.........really second on the 109.27 as the bottom...

jkt-aye 18:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Goofy ... as per my reading on 1h chart, there is a possibility it will test 109.90 (risking low as stp). imvho

Dallas GEP 17:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Goofy, the SAFEST thing would be simply to close it . But I beleive it will long Sunday night if not today before platfform close TODAY. If your platfrom will honor stops over the weekend you might try to enter one at 109.07. You might also consider a TP entry as well

Chicago Goofy 17:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Anyone there can help me in USD/YEN, I just got entered at 109.40 while sleep. Should I carry it to weekend? It is really oversold........

SanFrancisco TG 17:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Question of the day ... "Who's buying stocks right now? Are you?"

SanFrancisco TG 17:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
SPOT - The market seems to play the Jester against many of us. Who in the end could envision anything but Usd weakness these days when considering economics? The question of course is timing. I have been reduced to not doing anything until I see a move and then a retrace that holds. Then I buy or sell.

Dallas GEP 17:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well at the end of today, I have only Aussie shorts still open. the last batch from 7357. Have a nice weekend ALL.

GER ad 17:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF,
out at 2.2424 have a nice weekend

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 17:21 GMT October 8, 2004
I have the same views with the eur/usd pair I feel that a close above the 2380-2400 area today and Monday will secure a shot at the 2460-80 resistance but I am a bit weary about these false breakouts we have had for this summer. I will be a believer when I see the resistance break completely. Have a good weekend. GL GT

Spotforex NY 17:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I would like to see the euro test the 1.2450 level and stay above it.....That would be the 'all clear' signal for me to test the 1.26 area.

I have been liking a stronger euro, but I have 'mis-played' this recent move.....I was stopped out at 1.2315 earlier in the week..I pulled my order to buy at 1.2250 trying to get them in at 1.2210 area.....

I like the upside for the euro as long as 1.2350 holds for now....add if 1,2450 is taken out....

Miami OMIL (/;-> 17:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Congratulation FLIP and I hope everyone did not get hurt to bad by the market today. Time to call it a week have a good safe weekend. See you on the other side. GL GT

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 17:03 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 16:58 GMT October 8, 2004
Tks mucho for the addition, I've got tunnel vision here in my posts because of "the day". I'm one of your "regulars" but U don't know that ;^D . Tks again.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
So Far...not Bad...
This turo system...

Spotforex NY 16:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 16:54

I would not call it planned or limit it to just before major news events......bigger players will always tend to 'gun' for stops on their order books...taking advantage of thin conditions....

That has always been the nature of the beast....

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 16:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
New traders: free Lesson # 1: almost without exception, news events are pre planned by banks and other heavies to take out stops/possies. Take heed to nyc jk 16:36 GMT October 8, 2004 and study chart history to see 4 yourself typical stop eating patterns of news provoked spikey terrain. Knee jerk is what the stop hunters are looking for as well. I've seccummed to it too.

Had I only sold half my Euros at 1.2400 I would still have had the other half in right now to enjoy 20+ pips more (and more possibly later today). Count that (my) f.u. as free trading Lesson #2. |:^.

Gen dk 16:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

LA ARTOFYEN 16:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Pumpkin, does that mean you're a "dead ringer"??

KL KL 16:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
time to set some traps sell limit eurusd 1.2449 gbpusd 1.7979...open sl. As for the jobs ... well at least some were created & interest rate will keep going up to stop property and twin deficit bubble...imho. At the end of day ....looking from a distance it is not looking any better....Now we can focus on oil.....$55 here we come! gold $430??

Spotforex NY 16:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
cigs....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/GBPYenTrailDayTrade.gif
Check out this trade cannot get riskier then this

Tor Pumpkin 16:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Kudlow's got some crazy horse shoe up his arse. Guy shoulda been washed up a long time ago.

nyc jk 16:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
spot - cigarettes, or back to the pipe?

Spotforex NY 16:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I bumped into Kudlow yesterday afternoon in Midtown Manhattan.....He was very nervious in his posture and chain smoking away as he headed down 6th Ave.....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
as a test for my system
I Bought GBP/Yen around here at Date Time thing..two lots..

Gen dk 16:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

nyc jk 16:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
wlv - that move pre numbers was purely stop loss running, with brokers / banks trying to take out orders like yours. nothing to do with Kudlow, in fact, the vast majority of professional traders/banks/funds could not give a crap what Kudlow thinks.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 16:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
WLB// And the soothsayer on TV probably had his own stake in this, right? Glad he lost if he did. Goes to show you, it pays to know what you know and plan your trade...forgetting fat cats who soothsay themselves to em-bar-censored-ment
...stressing the third sylable.

See my newest post in Help Forum, as soon as I can click it myself, covering what you are not being told by your trusty toilet bowl media.

Helsinki iw 16:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Completly agree nh, and surprised we are still seeing a very muted reaction.

Vancouver BC WLV 16:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Anybody watching CNBC before the job report? This guy Kudlow started blabbing the report will be fabulous... and USD shoots up... only to come crashing down in a second when the report was out. One could bet right but wiped out by such irresponsible remarks. It's a good thing my broker smoothed out the fluctuations and I got to ride it up but a second before my EUR/USD stoploss was nearly hit by a hairline (4 pips)!!!

Livingston nh 16:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw - it is so unusual for the Fed talkers to be making any comments about FX that bells of some sort should be ringing - Cable is still struggling (no more rate hikes?) while swissy is leading the EUR again but only CAD and AUD have recovered the post G7 correction // There is a "fundamental" lurking out there someplace

USA Biscuit Boy 16:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
My low for dollaryen this week was projected at 109.34. It will be tough for it to fall further today I think.

Helsinki iw 16:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
MA, alot of people out there, myself included,surely hope so.

hong kong nt 16:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
MARTIN -- can you spare me a change? all my margin got wiped from selling kangaroo...

Eilat Dolphin 16:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Imagine yourself last month as a CEO of any size company you want, located anywhere on the US southern or eastern seabord, and with your eyes on the meteorological charts of the Atlantic:
and wondering:
"Should I add 1% to my work force before all this heat is soaked up?"

IMHO, the job report was rather good.

ATL MA 16:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Rivoni....lol, yeah, maybe in Amsterdam

Singapore NewKid 16:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sell EUR/Drl here

ATL MA 16:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki -- agree with oversold probablynot reliable right now. The question I'm asking myself is are new trends beginning yet or not....if so, then it's time to put the oscillators away and start using trend-following indicators. GL GT

Rivonia PipPirate 16:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA 16:05 Actually thot that was what most mothers tell their daughters

Helsinki iw 16:07 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
With MacTeer guiding the markets on the FED:s view on currency policy and the rumblings of China agreeing to review its stance, Monday wont bring any new buyers of the USD.

Intraday technicals quite oversold on the USD on most pairs, but no sign of a turnaround. And being oversold doesnt mean it cant get more oversold.

1,2480/90 critical resistance on EUR/USD may well hold today, but it is under fire. A breach there and well very likely see the top and more again. USD/JPY broke 109.80/90 and is looking very very soft indeed, but o/s intraday here as well.

fwiw

USA Biscuit Boy 16:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Valdez here in my new state we have quite a large latino population and a significant "illegal" population. Bush's plan to legalise them and collect their taxes is spot on. Baby-boomers will be relying upon this ever expanding group to support them. We need all the working immigrants we can get at the moment all earning the increasing minimum wage, all paying taxes and all spending their dollars here. Finally marketing firms are catching on to this fast growing consumer base. All bodes well for the US in the future.

ATL MA 16:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The last thing my father told me before I left for college: "The mind pays better than the back."

Spotforex NY 16:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I was gonna sell Dollar Yen below 110.80....but I guess I am just too lazy......

plus I have no vertical leap whatsoever.....

nj dude 16:03 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
what has the low in usd/yen been so far?

Eilat Dolphin 16:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
"mos-quito"/ The fall of the Roman empire all over again. Same causes, same effects.

We whities have lazy hands, but agile fingers.

SanFrancisco TG 15:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
As thought, $CAD slowing into the figure, but again, no time to buy USD. GBPUsd finally the first pair to show any real indication of abating. But do you sell GbpUsd? On a day like this? No. This is not a day for range trading tactics or picking bottoms/tops. You are either on the right side of the market or you are not in.

Monday will need a very good reason to continue selling like this, so bidders should apprehensively come in.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 15:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML// Marc, to add but not to put political stuff here, it's FX pertinent: living in Ecuador I see at least 100 men/month leaving via illegal human trafficers (coyotes) to the USA alone JUST FROM MY PROVINCE (I lose workers constantly). Multiply that by 24 provinces. Multiply that by all the other banana republics plus the biggies Chile, Brazil, Mex, Argentina and you've got just from Latin Am thousands per month entering USA illegally. And staying..INS/border patrol is a total joke. True story. There's your secondary job force Marc.

A friend who has three large hardwood flooring companies in the midwest US had major labor probs..emergency resulted..almost out of business because of druged/boozed employees, tardiness, no shows, frequent accident claims on rising insurance prems (whadya expect?)..lousey sorry work force, went on for 3 years. Went to Mex border before taking Chapter 7, rented 4 busses, brought back real men..fired rest of white crew after a Latino labor trial run, imported some 90% of total present workforce from border..now profitable, now happy, stockholders & bank applaud. Payroll remained the same, Latinos happy. Nuff said? This is only one story, one company.

Haifa ac 15:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la so 15:43 GMT // I would LOVE TO RING YOUR NECK IN A LASSO! From a TALL TREE!

ICT ML 15:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la so 15:43 GMT October 8, 2004
what happened there La So...I thought I saw a trend developing where you lowered your performance fee 5% every other post...guess I was seeing things.

NewYork frankie 15:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I've read that the British hostage Ken Bigley has been killed. Very, very sad. If this is so, then Blair is going to be in big Sh&*. Pound could sell off if pressure is put on him to resign. We live in very uncertain times and the forex market reflects this.

ATL MA 15:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Radan mas -- I was short from 136.90 but squared it at 20 early today...looks like i should have held out for more! Oh well....as the saying goes, "losing profit is better than losing capital."

With not much in the way of data for the US for the first half of next week, we may see some flow into dollars early in the week because of the lack of event risks on the calendar. I would short eurusd again (and I will above here, closer to 1.2450), but i'm looking now to other pairs because eurusd has been doing nothing but idling until something big happens....I see better potential in other pairs right now as far as liquidity. I may regret this because it is really dangerous to try to pick tops just yet, but I went short gbpusd at 1.7940 with stops at 75....I'm not putting much on it. But the daily chart looks bearish to me, and the 10/20 MA's on on the verge of a cross and seem to be capping the pair...so this could either be a great place to short or it may not be...but at this price one doesn't need to risk much. Above that I see 1.8050 being real tough resistance, and a potential shoulder for another head and shoulders (the third one in a row on the daily chart!) formation. And I should mention I'm not a day-trader...I get out of a position quickly if I think I"m not in a good spot...but when I get positioned in the right place I hold positions usually for at least a few days, sometimes weeks. Oh, and I took yet another small loss on eurgbp...all of these small losses are killing my spot profits this week...ouch...but I've been playing a little loose the last couple of days knowing I'd probably have a good option payout this morning which I did. And after today I'm not posting any more of my positions because I feel obgliated to update and explain each one...gets annoying. GL and GT all.

LA fxnew 15:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
LA So:

why dont u give me 5k and I turn it into 10k within 10 days. and charge you 25% of the profit ?

Chicago YM 15:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
i must continue to do it

Van jv 15:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 15:22/////Agree...prehaps we are in a transition period to a "new Society" with , temporarily, lower materialistic expectations....redefine objectives of our society,,,
and among other steps, we may reduce /remove min. wage

taipei jim 15:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
good day mates, can anybody kindly show me the high of eurjpy after non-farm payroll pls. thx vmvmvmvm !!

USA Biscuit Boy 15:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Two thirds of the US economy is consumer driven so without jobs growth of at least 300k per month the simple fact is downside and upside risks will continue to be balanced as per Greenspan. We will get there it is just a question of time. At least one more rate hike this year I think.

FWIW I believe early next week eur/$ goes for 1.25 before the pullback. May even be a good spot to get in for 1.15. Just MO. Remember jobs are the lagging indicator and I already see plenty hiring and spending again in my local area.

Eastbourne PJ 15:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I tried out my neighbour's monkey for making fx calls, but on balance I found that tossing a coin gave me better results

paris jb 15:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
long $/yen here, should give us ~30 pip here

River Falls_USA_ PB 15:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
am flat for the weekend - sold my channel positions in usd/chf and eur/usd as we covered 80% of that ground today. It's a beautiful thing when technicals and fundamentals line up together. Don't know how long this channel thing can hold - 30 trading sessions is more than I bargained for. Good weekends to all.

nyc jk 15:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hey Raden , your monkey made a couple good calls then dissappeared, you not feeding him enough bananas?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sorry I mean 135.80..not 1.2580.LOL
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:25 GMT October 8, 2004
If you remember my view about eur/jpy when at 1.2580 will up to get 136.36 (check your chart!!).I look ur/jpy will go to 135.71 now..

Haifa ac 15:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 15:22 //Thanks. Now can you please say it in English?!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
If you remember my view about eur/jpy when at 1.2580 will up to get 136.36 (check your chart!!).I look ur/jpy will go to 135.71 now..

Cape Town 15:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Re my 21:40 GMT October 5, 2004... aussie longs still looking good with target getting a lot closer. Want to spend your 'ill-gotten' forex gains?...check out my help forum post! Have a good weekend.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 15:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
no more or short or long on whatever. Enough for today. Have a good week end. Raden ,you're a money pitt!

ICT ML 15:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 15:08 GMT October 8, 2004
Just to add; imo ,in this new tech. age we will see lower and lower employment and still good economic performance,....

Good point JV. All this clammor about "New Jobs".....but tell me please just who the heck is going to perform all these "New Jobs"? With an unemployment rate sub 6.0 which is the historical hard core laziness figure, are we going to invite more illegal border crossings to fill all the "New Jobs"...or better yet the existing workers will jump to the "new jobs" and the new illegals will get their old jobs.....

It is supply and demand friends. Populations in Europe and now America have been began to decline and are tilted to the baby boomers which are retiring soon. There are not enough able bodies around to fill their place without resorting to out sourcing or importing labor. It will only get worse over time. IMHO

SanFrancisco TG 15:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ac - Are you serious? Obviously puts a crimp in Bush's prospects, but I get the sense the market is positioned in a "defensive" posture, not a "cataclysmic" posture. The obvious positioning is one of "lets be defensive in case the public is gullible enough to buy into the negative hype".

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 15:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Van jv, ICT ML: correct. Van, you're right, this $ move WAS overdone..hyped all week by 100's of websites-news like Super Bowl-why I'm in USD now to enjoy a very very very likely short back to 1.2300 or less once the hype wears off. But look at the 30 day "rogue" (&euro/$) chart..it's blocky, easy.

ICT ML: Right on Leon (as usual).
Praque Viktor: you asked...made phone call 1/2 hr ago..closed long € (entered-1.2380 closed-1.2400 exactly 120 piparoos - love round #s, that's net AFTER only 2 pips commish to el banco!), have U$D now. GL all. (now watch it zoom to 1.25! euuuuuw.) Question is how the CBs, funds & big banks (i.e. FX) will interpret NFP relative to G'span & possible (big "if") future Fed hikes. I predicted no more hikes 'til 05 but what do I know, I was wrong on last one, Fed stepped in fresh cow dung IMHO. Remember hurricanes bashed the NFP, US econ actually a little better than what it seems this A.M. (a little) so -that fact- is the counter indicator to above post.

As this pair's range tightens (big triangle formed pointing at Nov-Dec for trend change - breakout -if so..cheaper USD), it will get stranger. Contention: some say breakout, some say dip trend-stronger $. If breakout, dollar will bust 'till 3rd qtr or late 05 to complete present trend (see 3 yr chart). (Why? - $ negs stronger than $ positives: Negs are: Iffy but possible China partial float, oil sabotage/Iran crap & geopoliticals gettin worse not better & high oil is $ neg, M.E. turmoil-oil supply at risk..worse not better, big guys-CBs selling USD swapping for € & Au for position change in reserves as fear mounts for $--happening now big time, Iraq costing US astronomically & gettin worse..deficit soaring, Russia/Putin/his boys accuse US of secretly backing Chechan terrorism @ school & homeland (right or wrong) meaning Russian gov & citizens now angry again at US (easy - Ruskie citizens propogandized 3 generations against US), all spells a warm-cold war again...maybe a hot one..more $$ for US defense..more deficit. Russia stockpiling arms..buying gold, ditching $..bad $ signs. So nawp, horse sence says I don't see $ gaining longrun no matter what fancy math & modelsmay say.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy will go to 110.17 again..

LA fxnew 15:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
raden :
whats ur view on cable?

TiA

Sydney Alimin 15:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
london xyz 15:13 GMT October 8, 2004

no probs, if that is the case i have another prepared gun at 0.7380 and will only accept and take my loss if they show me 0.74 which could imply that 0.75 is in the cards

good luck to everyone here, out for now, have a safe and nice w/e and see you all next week

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
why 2:00 PM NY...I have no idea!!

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
please hold your sell eur until 1.2361..

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
U guys think these chart are possible to do or what?...I am lost

Haifa ac 15:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 15:13 //Being the LAST report before elections--what do you think the market is making of its effect on the elections?

Athens 15:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Popping in briefly for a fast comment on $/CAD. Without implying that a low is already in place, my tech suggest that this is not the time to start opening medium term short positions on this pair. My last model break was marked on Auhyst 19 at 1.3010, so the time elapsed and the distance covered plus my time parameter value indicate that the downtrend is approaching an end or, at least, it should see much more diwnmove not extend much longer in time. All these only according to my tech and not meant as an intraday trading suggestion FWIW. Out again.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
test

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ger
Take a look
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/GBPCHF.gif

SanFrancisco TG 15:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Stocks say it all this time. Lack of a melt down agrees that while the data may not be what was expected, it isn't bad either. Unemp at 5.4%, better than 1970's and 1980's, and consistent with the higher end of the 1990's. Who could realistically expect more after 911? Growth is there, its simply not robust. To do better would be on the high end of performance without the shock of 911. Yet, the pace needs to improve and become more consistent in 2005, but even that may continue to be hampered by the overall global weakness in employment and economic performance.

london xyz 15:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sydney guys, you have a fair point about greens and balance of power undoubtedly a negative.

however, if you recall the day after the election was called the aud was sold, so some of theuncertainty is in the price already (though granted not a hung parl), hence if howard eases his way back in, the aud will respond to that as well as the uncertainty is lifted......especially after price action today.

gd weekend to all.

ATL MA 15:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Austin -- the forex market will not close, but trading is likely to be thin...as for whether your particular broker will be dealing during the holiday, you'd have to contact them and ask them.

NY Raider19 15:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
CME Holiday Hours Friday Oct 8th //// Close at 12:00 Noon
(Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates)



Regular Close(Commodities, Equity Indexes, GSCI)

gold coast martin 15:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 15:01 GMT October 8, 2004
With the yen looking at 10950,and the euro not breaking the 12423 resistance level,the aud been at 7350 o/b levels ...a short is a good trade move with the election volatility that may add extra pips...g/l

Van jv 15:08 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Estimates ranged from a decline of 10,000 to a 250,000 increase, the second biggest spread of the year, because economists disagreed about the hurricanes' potential effect. The unemployment rate matched the median forecast. Bloomberg////
This move is overdone---just because some economic lunatics expected 200k+ in this huricane season,
..
Just to add; imo ,in this new tech. age we will see lower and lower employment and still good economic performance,....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:08 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
around 2:00 PM NY...I am not sure

Austin rb 15:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
the US holiday hours for forex are altered or not if so what are the changes where can I find this info

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 15:02 GMT October 8, 2004
Bahrain, it seems a little strange, do you try to play that?

Scary...but I would like to the system to this level of predictablity

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 15:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
(for 1.2520)

Budapest Daniel 15:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, it seems a little strange, do you try to play that?

Halifax CB 15:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Can't keep away - as it's a short day, it's a good time to pick up on the short covering (maybe)....

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 15:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
cover short on usd/chf as 1.2480 has reacted.
long at this price for 1.2420

Sydney Alimin 15:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Syd 14:55 GMT October 8, 2004

yes, i think the greens got a good chance here and as a trader i like uncertainty which will create volatility :) good luck to both of us if you short aud too mate

Gen dk 15:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
any expect this to cable
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/CableEndofToday.gif
Jay with all respect..

Sydney Alimin 14:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
just checked economic calendar for next week, well no us data till trade balance figure on thursday, so might see technical play early in the week

Syd 14:55 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin dont think there will be a decision Monday if John Anderson is correct polls showing a statistical dead heat, censored saying The worst news would be if Greens gained balance of power with Labor as this would increase uncertainty over economic policy

Looking to short very soon also

GER ad 14:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/CHF at 2.2389

HK Kevin 14:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
NYC, million thanks.

Eilat Dolphin 14:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko/ But the Can employment data shows that they only hired teachers up there... 35K of them. That's not sound.

Must be some of de Gaulle's kid plot (Chirak) trying to infiltrate some more "Quebec Libre" into "washable" minds.

1.25 Will hold, or we'll send the de Gaulle airplane carrier up the st. Laurent. (If his prop doesn't break. Again.)

NYC 14:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
US futures markets close early today, US, Canada, Japan all closed Monday

NewYork frankie 14:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
These bums at the hostel don't know their arm from their a$. My aussie stop was just triggered, will wait for a pullback and then long for 7375

HK Kevin 14:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Does today a half-day market for US and off next Mon? Thanks in advance

Sydney Alimin 14:45 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ok aussie short in play my 0.7350 just hit, let's see

Eilat Dolphin 14:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko/ Right, usdcad felt like I was swimming all across Goose bay with icebergs biggers than Hiltons befalling upon me.

SanFrancisco TG 14:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko - fully agree haha. $CAD is below its January 2004 lows now.

london xyz 14:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
i am now out of my long aud and aud crosses cash positions though still holding an aud call which is in the money....not worth running the risk over an election weekend.

trimmed nzd and nzd crosses today as well but maintain token long nzd interest.

Sofia anmart 14:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF-2.2400. Our short from 2.2495 will test soon the target at 2.2385.

USA Biscuit Boy 14:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
It looks like next week's play for me will be to sell eur/$ around 1.2550/60 for the pullback to 1.22's. Cheers.

Eilat Dolphin 14:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Only 375000 French speaking Vietnamense out of 81 million total population ? Surely a mistake! I hope it's not US cultural hegemony at work.
Anyway time to help the $ some...

van Gecko 14:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
TG.. not a vely nice day to be h'issing away pips against the wind.. 20 pip stops are being eaten.. the meats are above 1.2450.. combined with buying from "Bail On Dippers", the market could be self feeding here..

Dolphin.. spending lotsa relaxing days under the fadding summer sun here.. hows the weather in beautiful Eilat ?
still shedding the pounds with your lean meat Goose diet ?

Sofia anmart 14:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/AUD-1.6905. We sell at the market for 1.6850.

Spotforex NY 14:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
French is a beautiful language....but the tech age is hampering it in its 'purity'.

SanFrancisco TG 14:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Regarding my $CAD comment, I wouldn't consider touching a long unless the offer pulls back to a solid 2520 or less if you are not already long. And frankly even that is potentially touchy.

Alicante RTN 14:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Friday evening European time can be tricky and tonight it will be a balance between those long euro taking profit vs. those avoiding holding usd over the week-end.

Could still see a 30 to 40 pip move either way in eurusd before cob today.

ATL MA 14:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
...and they call Bush the polarizing and devisive leader....well Bush isn't going around telling people that the French language will be the eventual downfall of the world LOL...this guy has smoked way too much crack

SanFrancisco TG 14:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Only pair I see at this stage worth considering is $CAD short, which is just beginning the very first hints of such activity. Shorting anything non USD here looking for a reversal is a gamble, subject to getting whipped. Maybe it changes as things progress.

ICT ML 14:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 14:20 GMT October 8, 2004
Just the voice of a ghost from a long dead empire is all.........sad really.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd have get key level 2415.see my archieve several days ago !!
sell !!!

ATL MA 14:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ldn -- LOL yeah either the ghost busters or those five gay guys that go around doing make-overs

Ldn 14:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ATL MA I seriously cant believe that article he has to be totally the man is crazy but who does he call for help when in the dog pile (ghost busters)

GER ad 14:19 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Out at 1.2396 & 1.2522 will reconsider later

slv sam 14:19 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
NewYork frankie 14:10 GMT /
0.75 first!.GT

Dallas GEP 14:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
OK ATHENS. Thanks I am NOW short AUSSIE from .7338 As always appreciate your post

Ldn 14:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Difficult to go Long Aud Kiwi at these heights - overbought territory should get a good pull back.

ATL MA 14:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ldn -- now that's funny...I would have liked to heard the speech and see exactly how Chirac connects the English language with "ecological disaster." LOL...that's funny...what a fruitcake that guy is....

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 14:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
(1.2515)

Athens 14:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GEP, above 7325 the Aussie is inside my O/B territory for the day and also considering the election we should see some squaring begore the end is over. Good luck. P.S. I am not in it anyway.
I am out, till next week, enjot your w/e everyone.

Sydney Alimin 14:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
NewYork frankie 14:10 GMT October 8, 2004

yes and i am still waiting for my 0.7350 to be filled, good luck and good trades to you

SanFrancisco TG 14:14 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko - Thank you, thats what I thought you meant haha. In the end, I think Euro will not clear 1.2450, the US unemployment figure remains at 5.4%, which is better than the 1970's, 1980's, and is consistent with the 1990's levels. So the net result is the gains are not as swift as many would like, but after 911 who could realistically expect better?

Ldn 14:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
This wont win France any friends.LINK

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 14:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
set an other sell order on usd/chf at 1.2615

ATL MA 14:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
woo-hoo! my 1.2500 not-touches just payed out...the most exciting thing that's happened all week, for me at least. I have to agree with an earlier post that the eurusd range will hold...i say that because for the range to break I think the market will need to have a reason to BUY euros, not just excuses to sell the dollar, and the eurozone clearly has its woes at the moment. In my view, a close above 1.2470 on good volume would change my stance on this pair. For those keeping up, I just closed usd/yen for 9 pip loss...don't like it. Still sitting on my eurgbp shorts from current levels with a stop tight above...there's a little macd divergence, and at these levels it's low risk, so i'm going to sit on that one. I'm done for the week. Good luck everybody.

Ina co'z 14:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sold cable 1.7935...!

Dallas GEP 14:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well basically I took my own advice and got flat except for my NZD/USD shorts and a small possie on AUSSIE short all prior to data. I had usd/cad longs, usd.jpy longs, aud/usd shorts. Total pip loss on those possies about 23 pips AFTER data same possies would have been -220 PIPS down at least presently. I do still have some Aussie shorts (small) on another account along with the NZD/USD short I mentioned previously. I took these possies about 18 hours prior to data and though thye would have a chance to work before then but NO SUCH luck.

NewYork frankie 14:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
my friends here at the Salvation army hostel in New York are telling me that the aussie that has now hit a triple daily top in the last 6 months i.e. may, july, today is ripe for a monster sell. beware, this may be a day where we finish at the high point, ir there could be a sharp sell off. Even now you can see the Euro is hesitating about making a new high. Careful, my gut feeling is telling me to run, and fast.

Rivonia PipPirate 14:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
samuelojineka has been posting here for years, no ways to stop him, anyone stupid enough to make use of his "services" deserves to be cleaned out. Somewhere, sometime, sam will get lucky.

CT DB 14:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London 14:03
Brent @ 49.10
crude @ 52.65
FWIW

mex sjs 14:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
might be crazything to do, but I just shorteduro here at 1.2404 stop loss= 1.2425, after this it will be long for at least 200 pips....gl & gt

Sydney gvm 14:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Nov crude futs @ 52.48

GENEVA FHR 14:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil 52.40

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 14:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
prauge viktor 13:48 GMT October 8, 2004 // Yes, I'm still Euro possie open, studyting now when to close..don't want to be a pig here.

London 14:03 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Anyone got the oil price. cheers

Chicago Goofy 14:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ok, Gonna sleep now. Not bad stayingover night and made some money on it. Getting better and better on my analysis. For today`s conclusion, My key point for Euro is at 1.2496 (dynamic adjusted next weeek. probably will not exceed 1.25 based on today`s rush), For today`s trade, euro might stay up above 1.2400, hitting 1.2426 high. My view still no changed: unless comes some things negative on dollar, the broad range still hold(Euro not worth these values).

I would suggest next special from my analysis. Short GBP/USD 20 pips around at upper level comfirmed today(it would be a better shot than Euro); Keep an eye on CAD, 1.2435 is my very very very bottom line, cant go through any further from any perspective. If the big stop didnt trigger around 1.2500, I would enter a lot to hold long.

Thanks, Gud weekend to you all.

Bonn Karl 14:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 13:44 GMT // samuelojineka is a member of ewealthclub .... ROTFLMAO!!! Check the website.

Ldn 14:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Jobs Report Shows 13 Straight Months Of Growth Snow.

Eilat Dolphin 13:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko/ Relax, another ten pips or so, and time'll be ripe to defend the $.
After the news...?

HK [email protected] 13:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Eilat dolphin. Do not worry! He will not make even one trade...He will just walk away with his victim's money. Hahahaha

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 13:44 GMT October 8, 2004// Your solicitations are not allowed here. The forum hosts will eventually contact you with reasons why you can not post advertising for free on this forum. The rules clearly state this, seel the rules link when you post at the top. This is not a Yahoo chat room and is for trading data only. Please stop this, advertising for free is not welcome material. DO YOU UNDERSTAND PLEASE?

Rivonia PipPirate 13:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 13:44 lol. To phone Mr La So dial Lagos-419-419419

Eilat Dolphin 13:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
LA so/ Sir, I have no doubt that you can achieve that 80%/month profit you peddle every other day... provided you totally wipe out at least eight "customers" out of ten. Per month!

In other words, you can't keep any customer account alive more than a few months.

Yes; I know, some Japanese soldiers even made it alive out of Ivo Jima.

van Gecko 13:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
TG.. imo this is turning out to be a No Fun Party friday for the Dollar.. cheers

HK RF 13:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
La so !!! looks like you are relentless in trying to victimize people. I am not sure you are in the right forum.

slv sam 13:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
expecting e/$ to close the week @1.2420/30. Next week is make or break!!GT

Calcutta Vikram 13:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, Athens, I will.
Thanks, Farmacia. You guys have the edge surely, because our boys seem to be more interested in things other than cricket. Sourav (our captain) is inaugurating his 3-storied restaurant here in Calcutta in about a week's time.

See you, folks. Need to take my son to the Doc. Nothing serious, just a slight fever. Have a great weekend all.

prauge viktor 13:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito:[email protected] level u will T/P from ur EURO long..or do u have it open tgt???tia

nyc jk 13:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
so - I know a couple folks who tested out your "skills" with a demo account. they said you were very very proficient at losing money.

Chicago YM 13:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
morning

SanFrancisco TG 13:45 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gecko - Are you implying $ regaining the bid or continue to be offered? TIA

Athens 13:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Vikram, I've lost all old adresses and my program erases all e-mails which are not in my save list. Probably this has been the proble. Ask Jay to send me your address.

melbourne farmacia 13:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram - evening ... wish your side well this test series mate... GT

HK [email protected] 13:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
It is also advised to place one eye on the USD/HKD chart. The pressure on the HKD$ looks like mounting. The market likes the Idea of the Yuan Revaluation, whether one thinks it is possible or not.

london 13:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin....


been long of theyielders for a lot longer than 1 evening and 70 points...and you've been consistent in telling all and sundry that the kiwi would hit 59c by mid nov and the aud 62c by mid dec.....they are both now in pretty solid up trends from the summer lows, making new highs as we go...you are just in denial about it.

USA Biscuit Boy 13:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin please don't tell me you STILL have your aud/usd short from 0.77???? The rollover must be killing you......in fact almost under water right now!!!!!

NewYork frankie 13:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
selling aussie here at 7333 stop at 7355
tp open

Calcutta Vikram 13:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Athens!!!!
I've been TRYING to get in touch with you for the last couple of months. I sent you 2-3 e-mails and even tried calling you on the phone, but could not get through. Is it possible for you to e-mail me, please?

Yes, I noted your 1.2410 and 1.2495 respectively. Your accuracy, as always, is amazing.

Bonn Karl 13:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 13:11 GMT // The same could have been said of the USD when it was standing at 1.2250. Mommy is feeding you too much soda pop.

GER ad 13:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/USD at 1.2409 S/L over 1.2450
Long USD/CAD at 1.2509 S/L under 1.2450

van Gecko 13:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
the majors are barely pushing the average daily bar enevelopes for this NFP friday.. so expect more pain & pleasure to come..

HK [email protected] 13:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
HI! If one believes that Gold is somehow correlated to euro, I am afraid to say that gold is on the way for some more gains.
You shorted Euro. Just always watch the usdx; As all know a move below 87 will bring some more drops. The high for gold today was 424.24...Thus the long awaited breach of the 422/423 range is done and gold is on the way for additional gains. Likely in the next few days at 434.

Athens 13:33 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
1.2495 (not 1.2485, sorry for typo).

Sydney Em 13:33 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Australian Deputy Prime Minister John Anderson warned the missing ballots could change the result, with two Queensland National Party seats experiencing the greatest known delays. THE integrity of the 2004 election in question last night after hundreds, if not thousands, of people failed to receive their postal ballots in time to vote. "It could involve a very considerable number of people not being able to cast their vote on Saturday and in a tight election as you will understand I am very concerned about that," Mr Anderson said threatening Court Action to resolve it
News.com

Athens 13:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi Vikram, old chap. 1.2485 and 1.2445 next support levels in $/CHF. Meanwhile EUR/$ is testing its next resistance 1.2410.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 13:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
next reaction points on usd/chf 1.2488 and 1.2476, I know is close one to the other but don't ask me why!

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I've posted reasons behind my €/$ entry 4-Oct @ 1.2280 on Help Forum if anyone's interested and they are not "mainstream standard rhetorical" reasons. Livingston nh 13:17 GMT October 8, 2004// RIGHT ON. Thanks for posting this clean logic! Anticipation/speculation of Fed action is an important factor. GL all...

VV, my handle string is my yahoo...email me..wanna go over some things w/U. OK amigo? Be nice now fella...let's trade.

Calcutta Vikram 13:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Orlando.....sorry for the mistake and confusion. Yes, I mean 109.75 or 109.70.

Scalping works well in a ranging market (like we've had for the last few months), but does not work at all in a trending market, which is likely to begin anytime now......with the NOW ranging from anywhere between tonight and the next 6-8 weeks.

Calcutta Vikram 13:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London 13.17.....Agree with you. I personally don't see the BOJ coming in either. Especially not during the US session and 1 week after the G7.

Marcus 13.18....No prediction really, sorry. Would not be surprised to see 1.2480. That said, 1.2450 needs to break on the downside for the range of the last few months to break. Gut feel is that the Dollar will eventually find its way downward. FWIW

ATL MA 13:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Livingston -- I think the Fed will fire, at least once more..those are the odds if you ask me.

Went long usdjpy at 109.97, tight stop just below 80

orlando jcr 13:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Vickram,

Thank you again for your advice...

Point of clarification, you say to put my SL in at 110.75/70.
Do you mean 109.75/70, or are you saying it may rise to 110.70 on its own without BOJ. I think you're saying the latter, correct?

Also, if you are saying the latter, you recommend taking my loss before seeing if BOJ comes in at 109.50. If it stays above 109.75 I should let it ride over the w/e...???

Again, sorry for the "newbie" type questions. I've mostly traded small intraday type actions (5-10 pip scalping) and have been fairly successful. A long play is different thinking for me.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 13:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
thank you for eur/usd and gbp/usd players..
gbp/usd move up strong from 1.7830 and eur/usd ,move up strong from 1.2285. thanks.

gold coast martin 13:19 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
london 13:11 GMT October 8, 2004
I dont sidestep anything or anyone....without wishing to reminisce on what was really was warranted at the time,a move of 70 od pips on both the kiwi and aussie and one nights of trading does not constitute a trend..i dont wish for further debate ..just dont get too excited...good trading if you were on the right side of tonites data...g/t

Colombo Marcus 13:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram ; HELLO VIKRAM DO YOU HAVE ANY PREDICTION ABOUT USDCHF

London 13:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Calcutta Vikram hello, I am not sure if they have the BOJ been iin the market lately , cant see any reason its above 105 and below 115 would think not necessary.

Livingston nh 13:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
A lot of USD selling is probably based on the belief that the Fed will pause in its "automatic pilot" hikes to a neutral level -- if the Treasury is concerned that the market expectation of these hikes was supporting the USD while it was hoping for a weaker currency it would explain recent Fed comments -- weaken the dollar between meetings to give a cushion for rate hikes

So the question is "Do you believe the Fed will hold fire?"

VloridA VV 13:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:00 GMT October 8, 2004
vv//No matter what you say, than
Hey I'm trying to be polite here. If you chose to fight me here is my E-mail No need to go to Jay cuz he can charge you say 20 bucks for giving my Email
But You know what you are not interesting. You llook like all chinese gun members they talk when they censored see their money dissappear and what I usually do - just shoot

london xyz 13:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
with gold nzd and cad busting the summer highs, its a matter of time before the euro goes, imvho



the gold/ccys rise agst the dollar is quite impressive given that the number wasnt that far below expectations.

ATL MA 13:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
anyone buying dollars here??? I thought we'd get a bigger sell off than this...maybe it isn't through yet...but the move hasn't been huge, at least in eurusd...maybe it needs more time Gt

Calcutta Vikram 13:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Orlando....
Welcome to the market.
Technically, I'd suggest you place at SL at 110.75 or 110.70 (take your pick) on your Long positions. IF the BOJ come in later (at 109.50) with guns blazing, you can go Long again in an attempt to recoup your losses.

At the moment, your focus should be on limiting your loss. Its not a matter of being right or wrong. Its about losing as little as you can and making as much as you can. Forget what you did not do/ could have done.

It normally takes at least 3-4 years for most people to start doing the right things. So, hang in there for the long haul if you are serious about this business. Opportunities will come again. Best of Luck. MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU!

PS......with apologies, where concerned.....The BOJ does not usually intervene in the US session.

london 13:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin.

i notice you have sidestepped to talk yen matters.

care to share any aud and nzd views, having told the world to short them at 70c and 65c respectively, and calling a couple of us "fools" the other day for calling them higher from 72c and 6680?

gold coast martin 13:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
An important point...considering the significance of the data euro is not out of the summer trading range yet and the aud while the euro is trading at 12380-90 will not stay at the 7320 level..expect a gradual retreat back to 7250 range by monday ... good trades to all that were on the right side of the fence....my short aud and euro possies are out but medium to and long term ones still intact....g/t

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 13:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Colombo Marcus 13:01 GMT October 8, 2004
No! lol! usd/chf is fundamentally too high! opened below 1.2530 which was the support of monday's rally. The fall is strong enough to suggest a restest of 1.2450 next week. Stop at 1.2540

van Gecko 13:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Kiwi @ .6820.. above 6 month high..
Aussi @ .7330.. going to break above 6 month high..
Canada @ .7990.. the mother Goose, broke above 6 month high over a month ago..
where is the Dollar going ?
Cheerios..

Cairo MDR 13:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
longed euro at 2285 then added more at 2264, looking to lock my profits at 2440, although euro may be climbing up to the 2480 next week, then we can see a 38.2% correction of that move.
GL

SD DC 13:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hello,
Does anyone know where to fing the trading holidays (US stock market)(Weekdays) for the whole year. I am just doing some trading studies, I need to exclude those days. Any help would be appreciated.
TIA

gold coast martin 13:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
orlando jcr 13:02 GMT October 8, 2004
It is no secret that the big gun is the BOJ..they have been active in yen trade for the month of september and right through into october if it necessitates...i did post this numerous timed in the oast 2 months....g/t

Chicago Goofy 13:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Any one knows what is wholesale inventory? how big was the impact on the dollar before?

Sydney gvm 13:03 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I am finding the 8 hour MACD is working quite well on the recent currency moves (position trading) - does anyone use this time frame?

orlando jcr 13:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Gold Coat Marting & Hong Kong Ahe for your input...
Others are appreciated if you have them.

I'm new enough at Forex that I haven't had this type of upside-down position before... To date it's been fairly steady earnings.

I'm assessing where to exit and where to put a stop. I'm looking for 110.80 for b/e (I know a horrible place to be). I don't believe we'll see that today, but is there an opinion whether I should let it ride into next week to see those levels again or cash out at some point today.

Martin, do you think to set below 109.50 and look for this mysterious "big gun"...??

Colombo Marcus 13:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Le Havre Alphonse Brown; DO YOU THINK THAT THIS USDCHF IS A TECNICAL MOVEMENT?

River Falls_USA_ PB 13:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF and EUR/USD channels: how does that song go?: "stuck in the channel with you?"

Tokyo IM 13:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
What a spike on a CABLE,
almost stoped me out but collected profit and ran away.
Teaches a lesson not to trade during anouncements.
GL

hk ab 13:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
vv//No matter what you say, thanks for your agorance and ignorance which made a lot of disturbance to others. A lot of good ideas/plans totally vanished just owning to some stubborn bone here.
I don't mind to take the loss, it's fine. But the pity is you never understand why you are so hateful.
Winning and losing, after all, just a zero sum game. Indeed, I think Dr. Q and I have never "dealt" anything with you. If you don't like it, send Jay an email. Can't see YOU ARE THE BOSS here.
Enough said.

No matter what you write on the people in the future, it's just a pile of "V".....

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 12:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi, guru's!!! Will be 1.24 level hold today? Or no? TIA

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 12:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
add on short on usd/chf at 1.2520 for 1.2480

VloridA VV 12:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
SEll Sell Sell my lovely buck .
Now its clear will meet you at the year high.
Sorry if I.m wrong.
HK AB I Love you Babe

london xyz 12:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
yielding ccys on the march.


nzd above 68c.


very good buying coming through now in treasurys.

Athens 12:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/$ gas seen my nearest target 1.2380 mentioned in the morning. 1.2410 also a resistance. $/CAD has again met the long term loweer parallel line in the low 125's, a bounce off is possible.

Hong Kong Ahe 12:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
jcr 12:46 GMT - You need to watch closely the movement of EURYEN for your USDYEN position. It is the oil currency. When it is still supported at EURYEN 135.60 or above, USDYEN is still favoring north above 110. You need to inspect your money management risk. IMO.

Vancouver Paddy 12:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Man did that hedge work out for me.

I'm going to close out a 12400

Good luck too all. Have a great week end.

Sydney Alimin 12:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
this is interesting show now to watch presidential debate later on
aussie election tomorrow too, so i think if i see 0.7350 later i might try small short

VloridA VV 12:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 12:43 GMT October 8, 2004
vv// you just only worth a bit more than a pile of "vv"....

Hey could you tell me what vv means in chinese Maybe i picked a wrong name but its my name and you AB know it as"Valeriy" far back as 3 yars ago

Budapest Daniel 12:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
quito pls. check the help forum

Gen dk 12:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 12:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
well that early sign on euro few hours ago proved to be right
to B747 if you are online, congrats on your usd/jpy short, perhaps not being online till monday is good for you or else you could have taken 50 pips profit instead of 150 pips now, well done :)

gold coast martin 12:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   


orlando jcr 12:46 GMT October 8, 2004
Fwiw...should the yen fall to 10950 the big gun from Japan will fire a shot ....that will bring yen back to 11055-75...g/t

Tallinn viies 12:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sold euros here at 1,2393. stop at 1,2458

KL KL 12:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sold gbpusd 1.7942 sl 10 above, set limit buy usdcad at 1.2409....we shall see

orlando jcr 12:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well people mostly only post wins...
I'll post a BIG mistake...
I got caught in the drop last night in the USD/JPY and did not make it up before the jobs report....

Now I am REALLY upside down.

What do we see the USD/JPY hitting today amidst profit taking from all you smart guys who were not caught long...??

Trying to figure out where to cut my losses or expect an actual gain...

Looking for 110.80 - Do we see that coming back, or are we stuck in a new channel?

Chicago Goofy 12:45 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I also recommend to sell GBP/USD at future resistance level

Colombo Marcus 12:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
IF UDCHF BRAKE DOWN 1.2530 NEXT LEVEL WILL BE 1.2503

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
About orders that didn't get filled..PLEASE see my post as to the reason why in Help Forum posted early this AM. Budapest Daniel 12:39 GMT October 8, 2004 ---you probably don't have a bad platform. It's the nature of the beast and pot luck...read my post (lips).

VloridA VV 12:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thats my life babe
Having all

hk ab 12:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
vv// you just only worth a bit more than a pile of "vv"....

dc CB 12:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The Bushies are going to have to "work hard" to spin this. It's hard work....

"The four hurricanes striking Florida and other coastal states the past two months "appears to have held down employment growth, but not enough to change materially," the Labor Department said Friday in assessing September's national employment situation.

The nation's civilian unemployment rate remained at 5.4 percent.

Job growth was held down by losses in manufacturing, retail and information services. September's net increase of 96,000 payroll jobs was less than August's rise, which was revised down in Friday's report from 144,000 to 128,000. (AP)

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 12:34 GMT October 8, 2004 // (Valdez suggests decaf VV) Easy big guy...let's have fun now...no spitballs amigo, cold Russian vodka afterwards 4 us. OK? ;^() Trasbidanya.

hk ab 12:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
You should drink your own "Wee" to refresh yourself instead of "weeing" here and there.

USA Biscuit Boy 12:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well I guess that means we head to the upper region of the channel for eur/$ next week. Good weekend all :)

VloridA VV 12:40 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 12:36 GMT October 8, 2004
The day is long.......

Oh Oh Oh But your account is toooo short to sustain todays run fur 300 pips
LOL

slv sam 12:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
shall buy euro @1.2340 if seen for 12430!GT

Chicago Goofy 12:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Long more Eur/CAD ...

Budapest Daniel 12:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
censored, my order didn't executed at 1.2350!! What a c.r.a.p system I use.....

River Falls_USA_ PB 12:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
US Sep Nonfarm Payrolls +96K; Consensus +145K

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Entry was @ 1.2280 BTW...but this ain't over..can't count the coins yet..the whip saw hasn't cycled. Tks BB. ;^/

hk ab 12:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
reshort small aud 0.7310.

KL KL 12:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
out both short aud +13 pips gbp +22 pips....no nerve LOL

Pta Lud 12:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
What was the non farm figure?

hk ab 12:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Take a look on eur/jpy.

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 12:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
(1.2530)

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 12:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
usd/chf
expect a reaction at 1.2630/25. If not the prices will point 1.2480

hk ab 12:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The day is long.......

KL KL 12:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
long audusd .73 and gbpusd 1.7912...sl 10 and 15 below respectively...

VloridA VV 12:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Yahooooo here we are
Where is qundex mindex can he predict that
BULL shttt

hk ab 12:33 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
long cad 1.2535.

hk ab 12:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
tight stop above 1.2380 now.

hk ab 12:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
add short euro 1.2360.

USA Biscuit Boy 12:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hehe hero Valdez mate!!!!!

Pecs Andras 12:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
96 thousand

New York frankie 12:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
no soup today! caviar only, please

nyc jk 12:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Daniel - but once you enter into position, you will put a stop on it, no? in any case good luck, just think chance the reaction to today's data may not be as clear cut as some of the recent NFP figures.

NewYork frankie 12:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
took my Euro profits early 1.2290 from 1.2335 go baby

WASH DC SRQ 12:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 12:23 GMT October 8, 2004
post your levels here and let's see if they can be taken out? sharks do roam outside the sea here you know LOL

play safe

London ADK 12:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 12:22 - Note that McTeer is a non-voting member

GER ad 12:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 12:23 ,
This could be more then 80 pips loss...

Budapest Daniel 12:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I've got only 2 stop losses... one at 1.2270 sell and one @ 1.2360 buy

Pecs Andras 12:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
jk
same thought LOL

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well, I'll confess. I bought 50k Euros at the bank so essentialy I longed €/$. So publicly on this forum I stand to be a hero at risk or short term poorer. Whatever, I'm longing for some time in the future..I'm a position trader, and I figured as long as I long, may as well be for today as well to enjoy the hype..what's the diff?

Pecs Andras 12:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Daniel
Dangerous. Beware of the whipsaw effect, especially if data is close to exp.

Vancouver Paddy 12:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
opening a hedge with stops 20 up/down

Limits at 100

Goodluck

nyc jk 12:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
well Daniel, be careful of the whipsaw, what you may get from this is 4 stop orders executed....gl

Budapest Daniel 12:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I've put two stop loss orders on both directions each is 40 pips away from the current price... I hope I can get something from this.

Livingston nh 12:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
G'span has always studiously avoided currency commentary but some of his fellows at the Fed don't seem as constrained as before - Yellen, a few weeks ago and now McTeer plus the current account deficit getting Ferguson's attention // also the fear of becoming too predictable may have triggered the "not on automatic pilot" comment

Maybe Tsy Secretary Snow will weigh in on interest rate levels next -- if they are working together, to what end?

Lndn ron 12:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
bt euro @ 1.2317 stp 1.2280 profit 1.2410

Vancouver Paddy 12:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
10 minutes til the usic starts,

Good luck all

Vilnius georgas 12:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Goofy 12:17 GMT
about this forum lol
-------------------------
Those who know do not speak
Those who speak do not know

USA Biscuit Boy 12:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Well while I would love a very nice fig but I think the group has it about right on this one. I would expect something around consensus oin either side and the dollar to be sold off.....however notice I don't have my money where my mouth is lol.

Chicago Goofy 12:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Who can give me a joke plz........

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 12:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
the buy point on my system was 1.2604, usd/chf opens below and the 4H chart looks pessimistic. This down scenario is compatible with the chart of euro. As the statistics coming are a "big issue", as expect a possible quick move to 1.2630. Stop at 1.2640 even if 1.2650 is a strong resistance. I'll wait and see from this point. Good Luck.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
G'mornin' Biscuit (Valdez pours a cup for BB). These are not my estimates, the range I described are compiled by an economist working for a FX broker from various estimates from one extreme to the other..somewhere hopefully towards the middle = truth. True what U said. 18 min to H hour.

USA Biscuit Boy 12:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Good morning guys. Missed my 1.2360 target for eur/$ overnight so taking profit now at 1.2320 from 1.2260. This data is going to be very interesting. Let's hope the US economy is really back on track. Valdez -10k for NFP and I would be extremely disappointed in this recovery mate.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   

*******NOTE: FIRST 6 EVENTS: 12:30 GMT*******

USD Unemp. Rate 12:30 es:5.4% pr:5.4%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(MoM) 12:30 es:0.3% pr:0.3%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(YoY) 12:30
USD Ch.in Nonfarm Payrls(SEP) 12:30 es:150k pr:144k
USD Ch.in Mfg.Payrolls(SEP) 12:30 es:10k pr:22k
USD Av.Wkly Hours(SEP)12:30 es:33.8 pr:33.8

USD Wh'sale Inven.(AUG)14:00 es:0.8% pr:1.3%
USD Bernanke speak: St. Louis Conf. 14:00
USD Treas. Taylor - Atl. Fed Pmts Conf. 16:00
USD Fed Ferguson speak: St. Louis Conf'ce 16:00

Colombo Marcus 11:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Alphonse Brown : hi Alponso its looks like you trade on usdchf pair

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 11:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The concensus (estimate of soothsayers) for the soon coming US data is still a sorry indicator for what's gonna pop. The following (exerpted from FxCapMkt's website) is about the only honest words I've seen on it:

Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist
"The market could be poised for some interesting price action given the wide disparity between the non farm payrolls forecast among economists on the street. The forecasts range from +250k to -10k with the latest median estimate according to Bloomb'rg at 148k. In the first of two auctions of the US payrolls derivatives, traders expect payrolls to increase by 134k."

Ldn pm 11:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Zarqawi group kills UK hostage Bigley in Iraq according to Abu Dhabi TV quoting Iraq sources - Reuters

Le Havre Alphonse Brown 11:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi,
Short usd/chf at 1.2605, stop if above this level in 20 minutes.

Los Angeles ss 11:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Yes, banks and the stock markets are both closed, as well as many businesses.

Haifa ac 11:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 11:13 //I think Only financials are closed. Rest normal hours.

Los Angeles ss 11:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
KL -- about to close my positions now, don't like to hold over announcements, too risky if platform doesn't execute. Good luck!

KL KL 11:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Los Angeles....that means I can still do some kamikaze work..LOL...not sure which one to short now. As I see it the NFP is non event or not ccy moving ...I think the Inventories will be the mover. Too many excuses due to Hurricane...if it is 250K people will dismiss it as one off again of 100K people will say due to Hurricane. Anyway looking to long usdcad at 1.25 +/- 35 pips...just waiting for the right moment

Los Angeles ss 11:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
KL -- one hour and ten minutes.

KL KL 11:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
out short audusd at .7274 +4pips now wait for NFP....is it due in 10 mins or 1hr 10 mins...not sure what is 8.30 am in this forum time?? Too lazy to look up!!gl gt all

SA Newbie 11:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks

Los Angeles ss 11:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Tia--Markets are closed in U>S> Monday for Columbus Day.

QC Swap 11:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Established Short USD/CAD

SA Newbie 11:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi, is there a holiday in the USA Monday, and will the markets be open? TIA

orlando jcr 11:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
raden,
usd/jpy...
looking fot 110.85
do you see that today

dc CB 11:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Employment increased by an estimated 43,000 in September following two months of little change. The unemployment rate edged down 0.1 percentage points to 7.1%. Over the first nine months of 2004, employment has grown by 1.0% (+156,000) while hours worked have increased at twice the pace (+2.1%).

All of the gains so far this year have been in full-time employment (+229,000) while the number of part-time jobs has fallen by 74,000. (Statcan)

Los Angeles ss 10:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Raden-- what do you think Euro/Dollar will do for the next hour?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
eur/jy will test to 135.36..
make usd/jpy move up fast, but eur/usd will be blocked at 1.2295-90..

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 10:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
prague mark 08:56 GMT October 8, 2004
of course..gbp/usd hold your sell..
I think will test low at 1.7830-20 today before up again..

dc CB 10:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Re: CAD
Canadian Sept employment figs out at 11:00 expect flat 7.20% and +15K vs -7.0K

Vancouver Paddy 10:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
We're getting real closr $53.00 crude.

I should have held my contracts for another week... rats :(

GER ad 10:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD,
out at 1.2321

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
china cant revalue so soon as usa itself is quite a lot dependent on china for many financial aspects. even if china revalues, it will control the revaluation speed. on the outset usa says it wants china to revalue like other countries, to get a seta on G7 but still internaly they pretty much know a slow revalauation is best fo rtheir own concerns too. let's see what happens. off this topic, china is buying Gold heavily. anyone here investing in gold themselves?

Safest trade i always feel is eurgbp,never let's me down.
gl everyone, take it easy.

TIA:-)

Chicago Goofy 10:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Strategy for morning 12:30-12:25 (Euro Long bias)

Hit the expectation: Buy at 1.2280/1.2260 depends on the level, 17k>x>15k should be at level 1.2260. Target, today`s high.

Out of expectation <12k, Buy at 1.2345/1.2366, depends on the closing price at 12:25, if above 1.2330, prefer 1.2366 entry point. Target, 1.2435 to 1.2496 depends on whether 1.2460 break or not.

Out of expectation 2, >17,18K see the 200ma support 1.2240 break or not. Suggest hold back for next week.

Generally, this night`s euro movement is not convincing enough to predict any morning move. I agree with GEP`s previous post about trading around 12:30, better avoid if the NFP is within concensus.

Related pair-Eur/Jpy, range 135.57-136.76 not expecting much movement for this pair in the morning.

Yen is appreciating from Yuan rumor, it is fake news IMHO. Its bottom is at strong support 109.30, 111.50 still need to be challenged whatever neutral news from Labor Department.

First detailed jobs done on this forum, plan to do Usd/Cad later....Welcome your comments and lets see how is my midnight analysis work, Thanks.


prague mark 10:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
in case data is better than exp - where is cable support - TIA

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 10:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
As I posted last week-am taking one-touch contract eur/usd for target 1.2240 by next week-end. last week's 1.2400 was touched.

gl everyone.
TIA:-)

london xyz 10:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
china is not going to reval imminently...anyone pushing that is doing so for their own means.....isnt going to happen.


i suggest anyone with a genuine interest in the matter look up shanghai bc in the archive for that and other excellent stuff on the real medium/long term trends and factors relating to china, the dollar and commodities cycles.

hk mom 10:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Close all euro positions.

KL KL 10:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
short audusd .7278 sl 10 above

PAR 10:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
A chinese revaluation would lead to huge losses on their Us bond holdings and probably lead to a collaps of the Chinese banking system if not don gradually.

hk mom 10:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
bc has told us the break point is this Non-Farm tonight.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
88.2616 87.4806
chf/yen

Gen dk 09:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
May be as a rule of thumb...use multiples of the spread as white noise

sgp sp 09:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Athens, .....appreciates your reply.....

gt 2 u

ln 09:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 09:29 GMT. It is also worth keeping in mind that the world will end. What rubbish on yuan. Did anyone read what they said after the G7 meeting?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 09:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
2.2567 2.2399
GBP/CHF

HK [email protected] 09:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
It is worth giving a second look at an excerpt from a June 13 Goldmoney.
About an October Yuan revaluation.
.........
The interesting aspect is that an October revaluation of the yuan would be the ideal time from the Bush administration's point of view. The publicity garnered from the revaluation would deliver to him a pre-election fillip. But the consequences of a Chinese revaluation would not occur until after the election has passed, which is a good thing given that the consequences will probably on balance be bad for the US consumer, which has been the beneficiary of cheap Chinese goods.

If for example the yuan revalues 57% to bring purchasing power parity back into line, Chinese goods - which have become the mainstay of Walmart and some other retailers - will increase 57% in price, all other things being equal. A price increase like that would put a serious dent in consumer confidence, but it will take time to run-down existing inventories of Chinese made goods and replace them with new ones which will take more dollars to purchase. So the price rise resulting from a yuan revaluation and therefore the hit to consumer confidence would occur after the election.

...................
If Yuan revaluation is imminent next week massive dollar sell may begin sometime soon.

sofia anmart 09:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF-2.2490. We sell at the market for 2.2385.

Athens 09:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sgp sp, thank you for acknowledging. Taking my time parameter as an indicator, this pair isapproaching the end of its current cycle and I don't know whether a new one will be towards a reversed direction or a new GBP strength, too early to tell. What I ca say at the moment is that my techs still favor mildly the upside. A break under 195.40 today (looks unlikely, though) or under 196 in a few days would change my technical bias.

sgp sp 09:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning Athens,

The last time u posted abt gbp/jpy turning point was great...may I know what is ur opinion on it pls?

Thanks, gl & gt 2 u.

Athens 09:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
2004, although not over yet, is pulling to an end and has thus far justified my expectation for a year that should see no big trends afte lastr February's USD sizable correction, an opinion I posted here at the time and repeated several times later. I believe 2005 will be quite different with quite a few sgnificant trends to develop. Care should be taken by new traders who came for the first time in the FX market this year and have seen only narrow ranges where one's price is seen every now and then and this may give them the impression that the easy solution is to just sit back and wait until the market obliges. Don't take such action for granted next year, when sitting on a "wrong" position for a long time could prove fatal.

PAR 09:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
By not raising interest rates when inflation is up and economy is expanding ECB is putting Europ in a Japanese scenario when the next recession hit and ECB will be obliged to bring Euro rates to zero.

prague mark 08:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Raden,
is cable still sell for today?

NYC MadisonFX 08:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Jay are you online now?

wellington am 08:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Have been watching this market about once a day while on holiday. Funny the different impressions you get when you take your eyes off the screen for a while.

My possies are short EUR/JPY - now in the money; short NZD/GBP - soon to be in the money.

All this talk of shorting cable, and waiting for a bounce in the $/jpy sounds like shutting the door after the horse has bolted. IMHO go with the change - buying cable on dips, shorting $/yen on rallies.

NYC MadisonFX 08:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
anyone here trade fx futures?

Sydney Alimin 08:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
euro, gbp looks bid now, i wonder if this is also the action after NFP

Gen dk 08:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
anyone here understand this (k-ln(k)/k)
or should i just close my mouth before Jay does that for me?

Haifa ac 08:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Dollar. For all the bears. This week is 21 from last high. The weekly chart already made a higher high. We may have a very strong day for the dollar today.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
with white noise U make risk work for you...not as something u are afraid of...
Diversifed levels...not really diversifed portfolio..as in MBA Programs

KL KL 08:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
cover gbpusd short from 1.7886 at 1.7878 + 8 pips...re short higher

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:40 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Syd...my post 24 hours ago

Syd 08:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Oil is falling quite considerably $51.98 now,
CNBC saying Shell Strike over people taking profits before NY opens

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
increase the lots by a factor of the form of (k-ln(k)/k)
LN=Natura Log...say you want to do 100 lots (Small)

sofia anmart 08:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
DJI. We place entry sell at 10161 for 9976.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Albert..
Further for periods (ie..1 day two day...so on)
Use this for white noise(t)=white Noise(Table)*n^.5

HK..No I am not..

HK [email protected] 08:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips
Are you using information theory for your computation???

ldn einstein 08:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
very interesting calculations

Helsinki iw 08:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Being told the insomniac bank is very good seller of USD/JPY, so if nothing else, at least the play is on.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
few hrs ago i Posted close to this level for yen...
white noise here...so 110.29-1/3*(30)=110.19
another order at
110.29-2/3*(30)=110.09...so on

HK [email protected] 08:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
A revaluation of the Yuan seems more likely if USDX will break below 87. To get some good rebound(temporary reprieve) and range trading to election time.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
syd U agree with me on oil?
for chf
try this
1.2700 1.2539
mybe use white noise

Helsinki iw 08:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
RF, the story is dated the 7th, but please note Im just passing on info without claiming to know its accurate.

KL KL 08:08 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd at 1.7886 - sl 10 above will take 10 pips

HK [email protected] 08:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw 07:51 GMT October 8, 2004
Can you tell me please on what day?
I will give an order to buy Yuan. It is not easy to make 7% just like that.
May be one can buy Yen too!!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 08:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
so say if hand out a level
say 1.8785 for cable short...try to add portions into it from the table..=Level+(0 to 1)*white Noise

HK [email protected] 08:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
You like to short at 1.2370 or little above???
You may take a risk of... not seeing that price for long time !!!

Athens 07:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ADK, thank you my friend.

Gotin, no doubt 1.2375-1.2400 are far out downside targets for $/CHF, but for the time being 1.2545-50, 1.2495-2500 and 1.2445-50 are fairly tough. In any case, the Swissy has lost its leading role this year and so $/CHF has rather become a side effect of EUR/$ and EUR/CHF.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
for white noise use these for day trading these days...(Pips)
Short Long
EURUSD 40.83 37.65
USDJPY 31.43 30.00
GBPUSD 41.53 38.29
USDCHF 40.24 36.67
EURCHF 30.00 30.00
AUDUSD 30.00 30.00
USDCAD 30.00 30.00
NZDUSD 30.00 30.00
EURGBP 30.00 30.00
EURJPY 57.73 53.22
GBPJPY 66.81 61.55
CHFJPY 35.26 32.28
GBPCHF 67.09 63.02
EURAUD 71.17 66.04
EURCAD 60.58 56.30
AUDCAD 32.03 30.00
AUDJPY 36.81 33.60

orlando jcr 07:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
raden,
additional thoughts on usd/jpy...?
10pip says 110.91

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy from 110.35 is valid to hope 110.76 again..
buy !!..

Los Angeles ss 07:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas -- my Messenger just took a dive. Could you send me another invite?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
If we see stoch gbp/usd in 30mintes chart and hourly chart..seem ready for sell..

Plovdiv Gotin 07:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Athens/ If US data is bad I think $/SF can visit 1.24/1.2380 today. Your opinion pls. TIA.

Helsinki iw 07:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The Korea Economic Daily, citing unidentified Chinese sources, today said that China will revalue the Yuan by 7% next week.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:50 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/aussieoct16.gif
Assusie for some time chart

Syd..
I am sure oil will see 43 again from a top level of 153

HK [email protected] 07:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
1.2360 at most 1.2370 is likely where the longs would like to close. Doubt if there are many braves who will wait for 1.2380.

KL KL 07:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
he he out at 1.7865...+10 pips is good in 10 secs...attack later

Haifa ac 07:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 06:01 GMT // Rpeat of yesterday:
Haifa ac 11:29 GMT October 7, 2004
la so 11:24 GMT // 80% a month is 1000% a year.
If you take $1000 of your own and trade for yourself you will be able to marry the daughter of the sultan of Brunai or Bill Gates withing 3 years.
Somehow I think you are impotent.

Addition: You name should be LASSO!

KL KL 07:45 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Ok short gbpusd 1.7875...nice number thats all + 15 pips above sl. I think gone too far too fast...and only looking for 30 pips below

nc desiree 07:45 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Moskow Best data 07:33
Is it worth?

London ADK 07:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Good calls Athens.

Athens 07:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Please read 1.2380 (not 1.2280)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
prague mark 07:23 GMT October 8, 2004
thinking about 1.7824-7818 now..

Athens 07:40 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
As I suggested here earlier this week the mid 1.22's and 1.77's were opportunity levels to buy EUR/$ and cable respectively. My suggestion today (Friday always being a potentially tricky day) is to take the profit if the two pairs fail to clear 1.2280 and 1.7885 on the upside. In any case, use at least trailing stops to protect part of the profit. Good luck and good weeken everyone here.

Sydney gvm 07:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips ; whats your current view on Crude at these levels? I dumped my longs yesterday just above here.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
orlando jcr //
Nothing is going on///
Just went down fast...has to go up again
111.91 as max for today

London 07:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
British Airways To Increase Fuel Surcharge UK press

orlando jcr 07:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
10pip,

111.20 on friday...?
that's 75 pip... what is going to get it there?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
1.7885 1.7770
cable

Los Angeles ss 07:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thoughts on Euro/$ between now and data release?

prague mark 07:23 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:20 GMT October 8, 2004

u mean the rock will fall - TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
maybe 111.20

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:20 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hello !!!!
be carefull with gbp./usd now..!!
have touched target 1.7873..
have a nice you who hold buy since yesterday..

orlando jcr 07:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy....
110.80/90....?
can it get there friday

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
melb
I try to get any thing within minimal pips as far as I can.
The math is not easy ..
having the date in mind with level compliment each other for better posi..
this stuff is not easy when one tries to forecast it as far as a week or more...so

gold coast martin 07:14 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
newYork frankie 07:10 GMT October 8, 2004
There will be a lot of fund managers joining the queu at the soup kitchen by the end of the year...you are not alone pal...lol...good fortune to you....g/l

NewYork frankie 07:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:51 GMT October 8, 2004
Frankie// Check the 30 day /$ chart..whadya see? You don't feel the US data hasn't been all or mostly priced in? Get back to me. GT

*********************************

Agreed. The euro is trying to break back up into the daily channel. I'm a big fan of channels and S/R lines. However, the Euro is due a correction and a new mini down channel to boot. We'll see later today. Hasta pronto

Los Angeles ss 07:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
You there Raden?

newYork frankie 07:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GER ad 06:54 GMT October 8, 2004
NewYork frankie 06:42,
"NO STOP"
Just in case if you need some warm soup...LOL
_________________
The Salvation Army of Greater New York
120 W. 14th Street
New York, NY 10011
_________________
I am with you short at 1.2338 but with S/L over 1.2370. GL & GT


****************************************
I'm currently there trading my account. Soup ain't that great tho and don't ask about the nits in my blanket!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
melb
white noise.. :)

pakistan sajid 07:07 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London, October
8: Stops above 1.2325 tripped on the latest move higher in [EUR/USD] as USD
shorts scramble for cover on successive [EUR/USD] rallies. The bout of short-
covering tripped the stops and trading has now ripped to 1.2340, where offers
have capped the price. Overnight the plethora of Fed speakers has now had their
say and the most notable comments from McTeer. He stated that "over time there
is only one direction for the dollar to go" and that is lower. His comments were
in relation to the current account deficit. The USD looks on the rocks this
morning with the impending event-risk of US non-farm payrolls and the persistent
China rumours. A Japanese media report has now surfaced that Bush was in a
telephone conference with China"s President Hu and he has received a commitment
from the Chinese leader for a flexible currency policy in the future. If U.S.
payroll data comes in less than plus 130K, then [EUR/USD] could test 1.2400
whilst a better than 150K release could result in the pair test 1.2240. Trading
should now pullback to 1.2320 as overbought levels correct. --Matthew.Foster-
[email protected]

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:07 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
melb
??

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I think next thurs euro will peak at 1.2470 +/- 10 pips
Might want to long at 1.2240 and keep over week end

Vancouver Paddy 07:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I'm done with those Nymex boys for the time being.

Their just seeing how high they can push it now.

melb 07:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips
u said that @ 5150....

orlando jcr 07:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
where do you see usd/jpy by end of day...
could it come back into 110.80/90

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
paddy..
Oil going back to where you bought it!!
So..53 is really good level...for 10 bucks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:55 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
roll that die 1-3-5 down 2-4-6 up//
Runs test...in nonparamatic Stats

GER ad 06:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
NewYork frankie 06:42,
"NO STOP"
Just in case if you need some warm soup...LOL
_________________
The Salvation Army of Greater New York
120 W. 14th Street
New York, NY 10011
_________________
I am with you short at 1.2338 but with S/L over 1.2370. GL & GT

Vancouver Paddy 06:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
valdez...

That's the truth, is always one or another. Always the extremes.

I'm taking a break from oil for the next two weeks. I went long at 43.00 and closed out yesterday. Not bad $9500 a contract. But, I know not to push my luck.

So on to some quick day trading the euro. Hope October is as nice to me as Sept was.

Good Luck

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Frankie// Check the 30 day €/$ chart..whadya see? You don't feel the US data hasn't been all or mostly priced in? Get back to me. GT

pakistan sajid 06:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas
hi

NewYork frankie 06:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
ok. in keeping in step with my all or nothing strategy I'm placing a Euro short here 1.2335 NO STOP. I feel confident that we will see a 120+ pip move down tomorrow. I think the market is trying to currently preempt a move. Also, the market is being driven of course by external market factors such as terrorism and oil. However, I believe the market will spike down tomorrow sharply upon the relese of the NFP number. If in doubt, roll that die 1-3-5 down 2-4-6 up. Btw, has ayone ever read the Dice man - highly recommended by yours truly

Los Angeles ss 06:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Raden Mas = What do you see for EUR/USD?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hello..
eur/usd have done 1.2342..

slv sam 06:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 08:12 GMT October 6, 2004
sold $/yen at 111.23 target 110.60 s/l 111.60.GT

Profits collected.
shall choose a new opportunity soon!GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
eur
1.2357 1.2240

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Vancouver Paddy 06:29 GMT October 8, 2004// click Analysis & News link at right for euro views. Answer: yes, after 12:30 GMT you could see 1.2400. And you could also see 1.2200. Soothsaying at this point Paddy me man is nuts.

ATL MA 06:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
My old broker did pretty well...there was some slippage, but it wasn't so bad really...and understandable amount...my current broker needs to learn how to count or hire more dealers because I think they must be understaffed or something.

Update... short eurusd I squared earlier for tiny 5 pips since all h*ll is going to break loose in the morning....eurjpy short form 90 I hit target of 20 not too long ago....usdjpy long I just got out of for a 12 pip loss, don't want to hold dollars....And finally, trying to stay away from any pair with USD involved, I decided to short eurgbp at 6908 with a tight stop just above 20. So, just tiny profits this week...this very, very dull week. I still have my 1.2500 no-touches eurusd that will expire at 10 a.m. tomorrow, so I'll be crossing my fingers.

Tomorrow is going to be a big day...I anticipate, or at least I HOPE, that the majors get some direction because i am growing weary of 30 pip ranges on eurusd. I hope the range of the summer holds on eurusd....I know a lot of people hate it...I've heard more moaning and complaining over this than I care to hear...but ranges are easy money if they are big enough...and on eurusd this summer I've made 300+pips going and coming on almost every wave within this range. I kind of wish it would never end LOL! Good luck to all and be smart in the morning, not impulsive...should be interesting...I'm going to get some sleep...for a few hours at least.

prague jv 06:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
La So // it make sence what you said . I d encarage you to say here , when would your order be executed ( as it might be moving with market ) at what level and stop loss , when situation comes . Also say curr.pairs you trade for some sort of hedgeing and so on . I am very curious . I know it is possible to make that sort of money , just like to know your stile .

Vancouver Paddy 06:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have a view on the euro...

Broken through 12230 resistance. Could we see 12400 today?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So..
Are u a realtive of Gann..pascal...or poisson...maybe Guess?

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
pakistan sajid 06:00 GMT October 8, 2004
Exactly what I percieve happening as well...low $ = happy Fed/gov. Like it or not, agree with it or not, I've senced that the US wants a low $ for at least time enough to get things moving solidly & we are not moving solidly..in spurts and "soft spots" (whata name) at best. The US can't come out & say they want a cheap $ or they'll irritate the Europeans even more with whom they trade..having already fanagled an export subsidy to US exporters which was punished in Europe by a 12% import tarrif/sanction as it's supposedly illegal by the WTO. So to rectify, GWB wants to reduce taxes (campain timing) to mfg's (bill in the senate) to try to legally do his deed without the 12% sanctions of US goods on European shelves. If we don't see 1.30 or higher €/$ by New Years I'll be very very very disappointed. I'm just observing..don't bite me if you disagree with the US.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
FXXCM now might get ideas from interactive dudes...
Message: "As market volitily increase + of the many emails and call...there will be a charge of 50 c/ min if you call us and 22 c / kb of email"

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 06:01 //
Send me the profits for two months first...(gurrented)...
The account is yours forever...next of ken

SLC tg 06:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
la So 06:01 - along with the dubious nature of your offer, it is also troubling that your offer doesn't add up. 80% of profits plus 30% of profits is more than 100%. ?? (Don't give up your day job just yet)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The best so far was interactive Brokers..everything was good for two years...then they made this charge in cancelation of orders...
Very creative Dudes

NewYork frankie 06:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
euro stop hit. Man today is going to be difficult I can see!

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Don't get La so'd into suckering for this. This forum is not an advertising base. Get it?

--------


I have noted some lament about platforms not honoring stops and limit orders. Being knowledgeabe about programming principles and understand the data stream quirks of prices which the platform gets, process, spits out to us. I've posted a detailed summary as to exactly why NO PLATFORM which has honest owners can guarantee orders in high traffic times. Please when you get a chance click the Help forum link, I just posted it. It should provide reasonable people with enough inside info to help understand why platforms (no platforms) CAN NOT and never have honored orders in highly congeted times like today at 12:30 GMT. If a platform says it can, it's a bald faced liar or the spread widens to compensate for losses sustained in such a BS guarantee.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The eye Excerises...maybe will be done automatic

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
To be a good Trader:
1) Must Jog 4 - 10 KM/Day...before NY session.
2) Heavy amounts of fruits in asian (Some noodels)
3) Some light weights focus on nick parts two hours after 2)
4) Very little salad and Maybe soap...no salt...during Europe session.
5) Heavy breathing ( 30 to an hour before NY Session) Include some eye excerise..using Yoga type deal.
Thank You!!

prague jv 06:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
La So // Give us here on GV some of your calls , so we can see you are that good . it wil be your best advertiseing for you .

ATL MA 06:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain -- True...I've paid them enough in interest and slippage to buy a Ferrari by now....seriously...they kick me in the sack every way they can find LOL

pakistan sajid 06:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
The comments from two Fed officials about the need for a lower USD to help
correct the USD current account deficit and revelations in the Japanese media
that Bush and Chinese President Hu had a telephone conference on Thursday that
confirmed China"s commitment to flexible rates have combined to broadly weigh on
the USD. Traders say that there is "something in the air" to suggest that U.S.
officials want to push for a lower USD ahead of the November election. Getting
China to agree is another issue. Despite rhetoric from Chinese officials that
they are moving towards a more flexible currency regime, most analysts feel that
the timing of such a change could be a long way off.
Sellers of EUR/USD are lined up between 1.2310/30. The 1.2330 level is the 38.2
fibo of the 1.2445/1.2260 move. The EUR/USD trades 1.2305/10.--

ATL MA 05:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain -- you aren't joking either, I know...they aren't too great on execution either...they make our work more difficult

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sometimes I get the feeling that all traders work for brokerage firms..not the other way

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
FXXCM...with the way they charge interst...they got the ideas from the depletion of options...
need exrem prayer with Yoga to make money

london jack 05:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
http://hedgefundmgr.blogspot.com has an interesting political odds board with real money on the line....taking all polls into account...its moving tonight...check it out!

NewYork frankie 05:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
sold euro 1.2319 stop 1.2330 tp 1.2285 during London session

London 05:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
[EUR/USD] option expiries including vanillas at
1.2200, large 1.2265, 1.2355, 1.2400, and 1.2450.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
yen range
111.9345 110.2911

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Oil Should Be intersting today

Los Angeles ss 05:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Thanks GEP, looking for it!

Melbourne Qindex 05:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:00 GMT October 2, 2004
USD/JPY (Weekly Cycle ) : The key quantized level of my weekly cycle is located at 110.36 and the market is negative if it is trading below this point.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 05:15 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Although most know I am not friendsies w/ certain posters on FF I manage to "pretty much" hold my tongue, not attacking people by name with name calling, pseudoprofanity & direct insults on FF itself. It's not important what we think about posters or their trades or data, it is important what we think about OUR OWN PERSONAL trade$.

Please, today, a day full of uncertainty (if you even want to trade the snafu "USSA" data) let's stick to keen trading & good post, not bashing. One doesn't have to "like" what is posted here as far as systems, models, levels & trades etc. but one does have to excercise restraint of posting needles foul emotions. Political Forum is for that. If we don't agree with posts, OK, let's be civil, courteous & respectful, giving educated reason for constructive contra opinions (what FF is about) not "he's full of crap", leaving the board open for trade pertinent data. Best of all, let's do some careful clean profitable trading today picking only the safe good moves to enter (if such would exist!)

6 juicy USA news items come out at the same time: 12:30 GMT. I would not be a bit surprized if they were all self cancelling non events as the estimates (consensus) have already been priced in. If the estimates match the data, smooth sailing. If not..stay out..like fighting with a bushel of razor blades. Historically we'd see an initial up down whip (assasination of stops) as Biscuit Boy said below. Please, no crying that your platform didn't honor some stops/limit orders when price gaps prevent it from happening. Ya know that. Trading whipsaw = risk IMHO. GL GT ;^.

Oct 8 Friday
Times=GMT es=estimate pr=previous

AUD Australian Federal Election

EUR Germ Crnt. Acct(EURO) (AUG) 6:00 es:3.5B pr:3.1B
EUR Germ Trade Blnce(AUG) 6:00 1es:2.0B pr:13.5B
EUR Germ Exprts SA(MoM)(AUG) 6:00 es:-0.5% pr:3.5%
EUR Germ Impts SA(MoM)(AUG) 6:00 es:-1.1% pr:5.7%
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Curnt(SEP) 7:00 es:7.3 pr:50.7
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook(SEP) 7:00 pr:51.7
EUR Germ Ind.Prodct'n(MoM)(AUG P) 10:00 es:-0.4% pr:1.4%
EUR Germ Ind.Prodct'n(YoY)(AUG P) 10:00 es:3.9% pr:2.0%
EUR EZ OECD Leading Ind.(AUG) 10:00 pr:105.8
CAD Unemp Rate(SEP) 11:00 es:7.2% pr:7.2%
CAD Net Change in Emp(SEP) 11:00 es:15k pr:-7k
CAD Housing Starts(SEP) 12:15 es:230k pr:241.5k

***NOTE: FIRST 6 EVENTSAT 12:30 GMT***

USD Unemp. Rate 12:30 es:5.4% pr:5.4%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(MoM) 12:30 es:0.3% pr:0.3%
USD Av. Hourly Earngs(YoY) 12:30
USD Ch.in Nonfarm Payrls(SEP) 12:30 es:150k pr:144k
USD Ch.in Mfg.Payrolls(SEP) 12:30 es:10k pr:22k
USD Av.Wkly Hours(SEP)12:30 es:33.8 pr:33.8

USD Wh'sale Inven.(AUG)14:00 es:0.8% pr:1.3%
USD Bernanke speak: St. Louis Conf. 14:00
USD Treas. Taylor - Atl. Fed Pmts Conf. 16:00
USD Fed Ferguson speak: St. Louis Conf'ce 16:00

AUD/USD SPIKING NOW!

Melbourne Qindex 05:14 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : After 110.31, the next target is 109.53.

Dallas GEP 05:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
SS 1.2265-1.2270

ATL MA 05:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Dallas -- Agreed...just went long at 55 dollar yen, tight stop, looking to square ahead of NFP. GL

Melbourne Qindex 05:12 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 05:10 GMT - That is what I guess.

Los Angeles ss 05:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex -- meaning Euro/Dollar will go down as well?

Dallas GEP 05:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
If usd/jpy breaks 110.40 not good dump USD/JPY shorts

ATL MA 05:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles -- Thanks and good luck to you too...It just irritates me because they are so bad about slippage...I mean 30 and 40 pips slippage...and I'm sitting on a comfortable position that I now am forced to close...I'd hold it if I had any confidence at all that they could at least execute within 20 pips of my stop...I'm well in profit on this one....but I have no confidence in them at all, and that is a frustrating way to trade when you spend time positioning yourself correctly. AH! I need a beer...and a new broker. GL

Melbourne Qindex 05:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London 05:06 GMT - Keep an eye on EUR/AUD.

Melbourne Qindex 05:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London 05:06 GMT - AUD/JPY : I am not following this pair today.

Melbourne Qindex 05:07 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : It will feel the pressure from EUR/JPY if EUR/JPY is trading below 136.

Dallas GEP 05:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Look for bounce on all YEN pairs NEAR HERE!!! 136.00 197.00 and 110.50

NewYork frankie 05:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Just got back in to see my aussie short TP'd for 20 pips. Just missed selling euro at 1.2315 which is easy money for 30 pips London time. Patience is the name of the game. Oh, and tight stops and good risk reward!

London 05:06 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex do you see Yen strength will cause aud/yen pressure ? thanks

Los Angeles ss 05:04 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
MA -- yeah, I've been on the good side of these spikes in the past, but not worth the risk if they don't honor your stops, slippage or not. I'm curious if any broker is honoring them now. Only other alternative I've come up with is that I use a commercial charting program that is about 2 seconds ahead in rates that my broker dealing platform, so if I am quick enough I can close a position or enter an order, but like I said, no longer worth the risk for me, especially with the NFP data. Good luck and be careful.

ATL MA 05:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles -- I understand a little slippage, but not being able to trade or execute orders at all for a full 15 minutes at a crucial time is ridiculous to me...I may not find 100% fills but I can do better than that.

Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : It doesn't look good at all!

Los Angeles ss 04:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GEP -- I'm short around that level also, hoping it will retrace to the low 1.2280's. Where do you see it going around the European open?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:58 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Cad heading to 1.2525

London 04:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss its just hit the newswires now
PARIS (AP)--An explosion rocked the Indonesian Embassy in Paris on Friday, slightly wounding nine people, a French radio station reported. Europe-1 radio quoted firefighters as saying the explosion took place on the embassy's ground floor. The cause was not immediately clear. Police set up barriers to block access to the area. Windows were blown out nearby, and rescue workers warned nearby residents to stay indoors, according to the radio report. Rescue workers led several people from the scene, which was crowded with fire trucks and ambulances. The firefighters cited by Europe-1 said nine people received light wounds. The embassy is located in the exclusive 16th district of Paris. Indonesia is preparing to inaugurate a new leader after President Megawati Sukarnoputri was defeated in an election last month.
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono won a landslide victory in the Sept. 20 polls. The U.S.-educated retired army general was to be inaugurated on Oct. 20. The election was the first in which Indonesia's 210 million people voted for their president directly. The ballot was praised as a key step in the country's transition to democracy after the downfall of ex-dictator Suharto in 1998.

Dallas GEP 04:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Shorted EUR/USd @ 1.2313

Ina co'z 04:56 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
PARIS (AP)--An explosion rocked the Indonesian Embassy in Paris on Friday,
slightly wounding nine people, a French radio station reported.
Europe-1 radio quoted firefighters as saying the explosion took place on the
embassy's ground floor. The cause was not immediately clear.
Police set up barriers to block access to the area. Windows were blown out
nearby, and rescue workers warned nearby residents to stay indoors, according to
the radio report.
Rescue workers led several people from the scene, which was crowded with fire
trucks and ambulances. The firefighters cited by Europe-1 said nine people
received light wounds.
The embassy is located in the exclusive 16th district of Paris.
Indonesia is preparing to inaugurate a new leader after President Megawati
Sukarnoputri was defeated in an election last month.
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono won a landslide victory in the Sept. 20 polls. The
U.S.-educated retired army general was to be inaugurated on Oct. 20.
The election was the first in which Indonesia's 210 million people voted for
their president directly. The ballot was praised as a key step in the country's
transition to democracy after the downfall of ex-dictator Suharto in 1998.

Los Angeles ss 04:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
MA -- every brokerage I talked to last month told me the same thing. Let us know if you find a broker that will guarentee your stops/limits 100%, be interested in considering them.

SYD ASD 04:53 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
"London 04:36 GMT October 8, 2004
Blast at Indonesia Embassy in Paris no more info yet"

Any more news?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Buying GBP/Yen at 197.30 - 10 - 20 pips
Target 198.60

Dallas GEP 04:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
lONGED usd/jpy at 110.71

ATL MA 04:46 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
My broker just sent out a message saying that execution CANNOT be garaunteed because they have over 55,000 clients and will be very busy...and then they advise not to trade until 8:45 (15 mins AFTER NFP comes)......utterly pathetic...so, they've got too may clients to deal with them? Well, now they've got one less to worry about just as soon as I can set up another account with a broker who can actually do their job....pathetic

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:38 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Eur/Yen going north

London 04:36 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Blast at Indonesia Embassy in Paris no more info yet

Ldn 04:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Reuters.The European Central Bank, while leaving interest rates unchanged, signaled that it has grown more pessimistic about the outlook for the euro-zone economy as a result of soaring oil prices, a shift from its upbeat stance just a month ago.

"Some uncertainty has recently arisen concerning the expected strengthening of activity," Jean-Claude Trichet, the bank's president, told journalists after a meeting of the bank's policy-making body. "If oil prices were to remain high, or even increase further, it could dampen the strength of the recovery, both inside and outside the euro area."

Melbourne Qindex 04:33 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:44 GMT October 7, 2004
USD/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 110.79 - 111.44. The lower barrier is expected at 110.70 // 110.95 and the upper barrier is positioning at 111.69 // 111.94.


... 110.70 // 110.95 - 111.19 - 111.44 - 111.69 // 111.94 ...


Congested barriers of my 44-day cycle are located at 109.53, 110.31 and 112.10.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
GM All

U.K. J.B. 04:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
chester wb

I totally agree- Unfortunately we have the oil situation causing a distortion and a generally soft dollar but if we can hold those levels you metioned i am totally in your camp. I see a higher funds. We also have NFP of course but looking to buy funds with a 1.25 handle. I personally dont see funds lower.

chester wb 04:03 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad generally has at least a 400 pip monthly range so if 1.2533 holds as the low then price should at least visit the 1.2900 area this month. Thats IF 1.2533 is the low

USA Biscuit Boy 03:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys. Just a word of caution stops for eur/$ might get run on the topside before the NFP fig just as they were run on the downside 2 days ago. Off to sleep back before tomorrows data. GL and GT.

VloridA VV 03:59 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:52 GMT October 8, 2004
VloridA VV 03:37 GMT October 8, 200

Yeh No one likeks when the money bag starts leaking

chester wb 03:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
looking like usd/cad may have found a bottom @1.2533--will buy the next bounce from a pull back as long as 1.2580 holds

VloridA VV 03:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I dont know if you know antique farsi but I will put it on this site


Dar in Jhahine be Ohda Chero Magrur migardi - Suleymon gar shavy -- Ahir nasibe Mur migardy ' Omare Hayoum

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:52 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 03:37 GMT October 8, 2004
I would say to that, to each his own. Live and let live. I will only respond to this because you have refrained from disrespecting me and you obviously are unhappy with Qindex but that does not give you the right to use the forum for personal attacks. One of the RULES of this forum is no personal attacks. You would not like it if some one goes to your house and disrespects you and your family there. I hope in the future you refrain from personal attacks and can contribute your FOREX ideas with the rest of us. After all this is what this forum was made for. GL GT

Global-View 18:28 GMT September 28, 2004
vv. While it is a public forum it is not a democracy and we set the rules. Our simple rules have worked very well maintaining a high quality flow of information. They are few but work well so all we ask for is cooperation. There are plenty of chat rooms elsewhere where you can say what you want. There is a reason why so many come here. You have a choice to go elsewhere if you don't agree with the way we run our site. Anytime we edit a post, and it is rare, it is not personal and designed to maintain the flow for the greater good of our members. As we have said many times, we run an open door policy and are available if you have feedback, both positive or negative, and we are open to suggestions and new ideas.

melb 03:49 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VV - come on young Bush...be true:

FloridA vv 18:36 GMT September 28, 2004
Probably my last post in this forum.

pakistan sajid 03:44 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 03:37 GMT October 8, 2004
hi
i dont think u should be too much against him
what ever he says is his opinion
some time he is very good.mostly in range trading
but when fundamentals r there
he is totaly out
but overall he is ok
i think no one of us should be personal

OK SZ 03:41 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, he is nothing but a piece of crap. it's people like that who are basically worthless and have nothing positive to say. my hunch is that he is a person of a low denominator and will always be until he decides to see the glass half full. sometimes my patience runs out fast with these useless individuals..take care Q.

OMIL, good to see your positive posts again. I have been away for awhile and will stop in more often. gl, gt mate

VloridA VV 03:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:28 GMT October 8, 200

Nothing is free in this world and if that guy is still making money that's because you and me are stupid enough to bow him when he appeares on this site to proclame some super duper magnets at work.

People be simple and you will gain respect.

hk ab 03:37 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
got the eur, bye.

hong kong nt 03:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 03:10 -- sadly, not all people have the wise to appreciate the good work of the others...

hk ab 03:35 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
put a small sell eur limit at 1.23 before I go. GL.

Ina co'z 03:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Keep doing well Sir "Q"...GL ! :-))

pakistan sajid 03:33 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
some one doing my duties
but i do feel sorry for qindex

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:28 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Unlike other free advertisers here Qindex is one of the reasons we have a FREE Global-View forum but respect, courage and dignity have disintegrated as the years go by IMHO. Enough said about this. GL and GT to all later today.

Melbourne Qindex 03:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:21 GMT - Good evening! You are right it is better for me to say less and have a peace of mind.

melbourne 2day 03:26 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Wee Wee
if you do not know how to drive a ferrari , go ride a bicycle. GT to you .

Los Angeles ss 03:24 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I second OMIL for Qindex.

VloridA VV 03:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:18 GMT October 8, 2004

Thats what I'm doing - ignoring completely since 2002 cuz its totally absolutely bullshittely fricken scam. I wonder how you still can make some pennies on this site o fool people.

hk ab 03:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VV = Wee Wee........
Off screen for the good day. same aud short and same stop.
when aud moves lower than 50, will adjust the short to b/e at .7280.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 03:21 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex I hope you are doing well. First of all I think you are to kind to have to respond to this sort of attack sir. I think better yet is to ignore his post. It is attitude like this that has many good traders not commenting here like before. Hope you have a good week. GL GT

Melbourne Qindex 03:18 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 03:10 GMT - Young fellow, there is no point of doing any personal attack. It is not real until we see it. This is pure an academic discussion. It is better for you to ignore my posts.

Melbourne Qindex 03:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
VloridA VV 03:10 GMT - Young fellow, there is no point of doing any personal attack. It is not real until we see it. This is pure an academy discussion. It is better for you to ignore my posts.

VloridA VV 03:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market rhythm of this operator i

Wow -- new term OPERATORS What about Super Duper Magnets?
And what is Your real name? qundex mindex thats for the fools, tell mee how to call you if your super duper magnets will not work as a rule.

Melbourne Qindex 03:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market rhythm of this operator is determined by my system and the value is 641 pips (k=0.0641433) and its reference is located at 1.2332 (1.23322778).


1.2332 - constant k = 1.2973

1.2332 - 2 x constant k = 1.1049

Melbourne Qindex 02:55 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
London 02:47 GMT - AUD/USD : Unlike EUR/USD the recent market movement can be best descibed by my Weekly Cycle Charts. This would suggest that major "Operators" are in a neutral position.

Melbourne Qindex 02:51 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market rhythm of this operator is determined by my system and the value is 641 pips (k=0.0641433) and its reference is located at 1.2332 (1.23322778).


1.2332 + constant k = 1.2973

1.2332 + 2 x constant k = 1.1049

London 02:47 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex How do you feel about the aud and the election are you quietly bullish?

prague jv 02:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
for traders with more than 5 years of exp. on forex .....

Has been the market always that slow as last 6 months????
tia

Austin rb 02:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex

Best seafood platter I ever had was a restaurant on beach at Coolongata I think they had location at Surfers Paradise also. IT was the late 80's and can not wait to visit Australia again

prague Jv 02:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
US Congress agrees new tax breaks

US goods have been hit by punitive tariffs
The US Congress has agreed in principle a huge corporate tax bill providing tax breaks for manufacturers in return for repealing export subsidies.
The bill could end a long-running dispute with the European Union over $5bn(2.8bn) worth of export subsidies which the WTO has said are illegal.

The EU slapped tariffs of up to 12% on 1,600 US goods in March in response.

In order to win support for the repeal, legislators have offered $130bn in tax breaks for manufacturers.

Unusual beneficiaries

Among those who will benefit from the package will be construction, engineering and shipping industries.

However, tax relief is also being offered for tackle box makers, producers of bows and arrows and fan importers, which has led critics of the bill to claim that it does little to benefit ordinary taxpayers.

Legislators hope the House of Representatives and Senate will both pass the bill before close of business on Friday when the two chambers adjourn ahead of next month Presidential elections.

"There are a lot of things in this bill that are very popular with senators of both parties," said Republican Senator Mitch McConnell.

The bill's provisions include a controversial one year tax relief enabling US multinational firms to repatriate earnings at 5.25% instead of the normal 35% rate.

Critics of the measure, which include Treasury Secretary John Snow, have argued that it will encourage firms to move jobs overseas.


Melbourne Qindex 02:30 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 02:02 GMT October 6, 2004
EUR/USD : My 3-month projection profile indicates that if the market retreats further and penetrates through the key quantized level at xxxxxxx, the extreme trading range of 1.0901 - 1.1641 is likely to be challenged within this quarter. Speculative selling will increase if the market is trading below xxxxxxxxxx and the target is 1.1049.

Melbourne Qindex 02:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Austin rb 02:11 GMT - It is very difficult to find live Morton Bay Bugs in Melbourne but I can get live one from the Hong Kong Fishmarket.

nyc jk 02:22 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
thanks Q, gl to you.

Melbourne Qindex 02:16 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 02:09 GMT - It is unrelated to option. This obversation is based on the distribution profile of my Quarterly Cycle probability chart. It is a pure mathematical model.

Austin rb 02:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
When I visited Australia I believe I had bugs Morton Bay and they were delicious in the lobster family

nyc jk 02:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Q - what do you mean your system shows that "someone" is aiming at 1.1049 in 3 months? does it take into account options interest or how else do you make that determination? tia

Melbourne Qindex 02:09 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
wisconsin tim 01:57 GMT - Yes, It was reported by a fellow from Sydney. Our system detected it on last Friday and reported it on Oct 6. The usual suspects are US Funds which are technically driven.

hk ab 02:02 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex// Your insight is always treasured. Top trades.
My suggestion is that some players might like to see a quick bounce first to furnish the 1.25 s/t goal and the true journey starts.

wisconsin tim 01:57 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Q -- didn't someone on here a few days ago say a bunch of options were bought around 1.1050?

Melbourne Qindex 01:55 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:48 GMT - I am coming back to Hong Kong on November 6. EUR/USD : My system notices that someone is aiming at 1.1049 in 3-month period. I know it is too early to say that the market can go dowm that much in the last quarter. We have to wait and see.

wisconsin tim 01:54 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 10/8/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
10/7/2004 AUDUSD 0.7323 0.7245 0.7329 0.7196
10/7/2004 EURGBP 0.6925 0.6884 0.6934 0.6878
10/7/2004 EURUSD 1.2341 1.2254 1.2358 1.2238
10/7/2004 EURYEN 137.26 136.32 137.41 136.16
10/7/2004 GBPUSD 1.7884 1.7737 1.7875 1.7699
10/7/2004 GBPYEN 198.80 197.32 198.95 196.88
10/7/2004 NDZUSD 0.6803 0.6735 0.6812 0.6716
10/7/2004 USDCAD 1.2642 1.2539 1.2654 1.2453
10/7/2004 USDCHF 1.2675 1.2582 1.2700 1.2572
10/7/2004 USDYEN 111.61 110.85 111.76 110.73

hk ab 01:48 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q, one of my relatives own a restaurant in Boston and I still remember that I tried 4 different styles of lobsters in a dinner with him 10 years ago. :P.....

Tonight NFP may spark whether a trend mkt emerging or the range is rescheduled on the table again.
Thanks very much for your HARD work!

Many hk fellas just can't wait to meet you again in hk.

Melbourne Qindex 01:43 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:34 GMT - I have a really disturbing observation from the distribution profile of my recent 3-month probability chart. I may have a better idea next week.

Melbourne Qindex 01:42 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:34 GMT - I have a really disturbing observation from my the distribution profile of my recent 3-month probability chart.

Melbourne Qindex 01:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 01:34 GMT - Good morning! The texture of Boston lobster is very difference from the Hong Kong local lobsters which are really Crayfish.

hk ab 01:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Qindex, don't forget that the hk address should be sent :D
Today is the Detrimental day.

Melbourne Qindex 01:32 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Duxbury DAB 01:27 GMT - Thank you for your offer but I guess the Australian Government would not allow any Boston lobsters to be imported. I tasted some last month when I was in Settle and Vancouver.

Duxbury DAB 01:27 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne, Soon they will hard shelled and full of meat. Dec. are the best. Send me an address and ill send you and your family some for x-mass

Melbourne Qindex 01:17 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Duxbury DAB 01:10 GMT - Hi! Send me some cyber - Boston lobsters.

Melbourne Qindex 01:13 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Em 01:11 GMT - You are welcome.


Melbourne Qindex 01:11 GMT October 8, 2004
EUR/USD : The congested barriers of my daily cycle are located at 1.2257, 1.2265, 1.2305 and 1.2329.

Sydney Em 01:11 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex Thanks away

Duxbury DAB 01:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I apologize for my inexpience in this arena. I am a commercial fisherman in the greater Boston area. I would love to be a small participant in this community. Thank you for your consideration. DAB

London Chippie 01:10 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
some data on nonfarm payroll....http://data.bls.gov/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?request_action=wh&graph_name=CE_cesbref1

Melbourne Qindex 01:05 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane novice 01:01 GMT - It will give one some idea about the likely daily trading range.

Brisbane novice 01:01 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sydney- what impact on the EURUSD will your info have??

Melbourne Qindex 00:55 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney EM 00:39 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Large EUR/USD option expiry today. 1.2200, 65 also
EUR 1.2355

prague jv 00:34 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
where is Raden ... he can fill up the space well

Mfld JM 00:31 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
Sheess!! For a second there I thought this forum was attacked by a terrorist!

dc lurker 00:29 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I don't know what has happened here but ...


could we learn how to post, please.

Duxbury DAB 00:25 GMT October 8, 2004 Reply   
I believe that you are 100% correct

 




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