User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  2020  
January  February  March  April  May  June  July  August  September  October  November  December  
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Forex Forum Archive for 10/14/2004

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Dallas GEP 23:58 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I apologize for bringing this up, Better in political forum. My basic point was I feel artificially high oil prices which as we all know are affecting currency prices will subside after election.

SanFrancisco TG 23:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Yes GEP, throughout history there has been the gullible voter who goes for the sensitive liar. This point in history depends on a great leader, wether or not he is a good debator or not.

If you think we have high oil prices/weak dollar/unemployed/deficits now, wait for 911 part 2, which would be the result of pandering to certain values, through weakening the US/Western resolve.

Bush will not allow it.

boston mpd004 23:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
DALLAS/gep....did we see the same debate? Not to get into the politics of it, but I'm from Boston and this Kerry was Mike Dukakis' Lt. Gov. As a Senator, living on Beacon Hill, for those who don't know, is the best that boston has to offer, called the Public Works Dept. a few years ago and demanded that they remove the fire hydrant from in front of his house because he didn't like the looks of it in total disregard of the people living near him that might need it. They took it away. Only one of many true stories.

Dallas GEP 23:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
TG, I like you will vote for Bush, however I could see how an undecided voter might vote for Kerry based on the debates.

Melbourne Qindex 23:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Livingston nh 23:48 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB 22:49 GMT October 14, 2004
Hi Halifax - CAD showing good exports despite strength - MACD may be leading a bit here // are you folks up there going to open your stores on Sunday?

nyc jk 23:44 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Brisbane - I guess it is tough to put an exact number on the offshore ownership, but I have heard similar to you for estimates , $5 bio AUD seems to be a common view. I was told by friend that they saw some selling starting to go through today. From Newcorps announcement April 6, 2004, they said they hoped to have it completed by the end of this year. The News Corp Ltd Australia shareholders meet the end of this month to vote (expected to go through no problem), then just have to sort through a few more legal / regulatory steps. So it appears that as it becomes increasingly likely and the exact timeframe becomes clearer, the various offshore holders will all start to hedge their AUD exposures.........

SanFrancisco TG 23:44 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Bush is a terrible debater, but a historically great President, one of the elite. Kerry is a top notch debater, and a complete liar. For example his claims of defending the US, versus his almost 300 recorded votes against defending the US.

In an ideal world, we would have a great President and debater. That might be Powell, but he will not run.

Go with the one who is truthful.

Dallas GEP 23:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Idon't know if all you guys saw the US Presidential debate last night but BUSH was absolutely horrible (and I basically lean towards the Republican party view). I have been saying all this time that I though the election would be close but Bush would win. HOWEVER, an undecided voter in my view certainly would have been more impressed with KERRY last night. So currently I see that it will be close but that KERRY could possibly win.

The rising oil prices in my view have been artificially kept at a level that has put tremendous pressure on Bush's handling of domestic issues in general. Once the elction is over, no matter who WINS, oil prices will come down to at least the 40-45 dollar a barrell level.

Melbourne Qindex 23:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Brisbane L 23:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk heard the tail end of interview this morning but missed most, do you know the amounts going out , its said to be quite substantial and negative A$, be my luck to start buying dips and get hit

SanFrancisco TG 23:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP - Good to see some universal American respect :)

Weekly fEuro orecast projected 2420 top end, we entered as sellers. Called further for stagnation at, followed by acceleration to the downside from 2310. Initial Target of 2230. Stagnation/accelration seen, target pierced by a few pips before pulling up. Heavy cover at the 2420 area.

london 23:29 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Perhaps its Bin Ladin buying up all these oil contracts on Margin to squeese the financial markets wonder if they can check

nyc jk 23:28 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Bribane L 22:21 GMT October 14, 2004

some of the AUD selling started today. the next key event in the timetable is the shareholder vote at end of month.

london 23:26 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP like it , however, depends how fat -

Economists would scale back growth forecasts if crude oil is sustained above $50 a barrel, WSJ.com survey found

Dallas GEP 23:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Actually TG Montanna to Rice was perhaps one of the top three QB, receiver combos.

Melbourne Qindex 23:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SanFrancisco TG 23:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
G Man - Can you imagine Aikman throwing to Rice? Whew

Dallas GEP 23:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
TH, that's a good point because the way copper dumped today, AUSSIE didn't react all that much yet.

Dallas GEP 23:16 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
YES London, the fat LAdy is about to sing the "EURO going to go down on ME!!!!" (pun intended) May not be a very quick song tho so be prepared for an all night opera that may be as slow as a one legged man in an assss kicking contest. ALL IMO of course and no offense to the longers.

Ltn th 23:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Gep// Not cure of coppers significance in the broarder Australian picture. Particularly since most of the companies invllved can turn the tap on and off more easily than most.

Melbourne Qindex 23:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 23:09 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
JPY pairs with the possible exception of USD/JPY will short in Asia IMO FWIW. Watch aud/jpy VERY closely,,,it shorts and AUSSIE will short or vice versa,

london 23:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Is the fat lady about to sing ? thats what I want to know

Dallas GEP 23:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
BTW, for those unaware Australia is a VERY large copper supplier. That in itseld SHOULD be Aussie negative.

Melbourne Qindex 23:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 23:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
KL, never really a mistake in my mind to square out and reneter especially if no losses are involved. This range trading market will give you multiple chances to enter at whatever you may have goyyen in before at generally.

london 23:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Hi mommy hope you well done well of late.

Oil price is near or at extreme. copper prices collapse may be giving us a warning sign of a nasty drop and not to get too greedy ,analysists call for price to peak next week - Melbourne Farmacia noticed your quite up cylcle days do you also have them for commodities appreciate your opinion on that thanks

KL KL 23:01 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Top of the morning or night or evening all... right all my position from last night eur short and aud short covered. So after going thru censored and worry I made 1 puny pip :). Never go home a loser....Now waiting to reshort although it seems so obvious so I wait for a few more minutes to short aussie then eur then euryen....

Philadelphia caba 22:58 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hk mom 22:49 GMT October 14, 2004
Today is the day to buy eur/chf.

Reason?

hk mom 22:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Today is the day to buy eur/chf.

Halifax CB 22:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hi livingston; we've got a neutral on CAD here, with the only things looking good being shorts on USDJPY, short term longs on GBPUSP, and long term shorts on the same....I'm going to watch it develop though before putting any real money on things....GL

Bribane L 22:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Good Morning

The NSW newspaper market continued to suffer circulation declines in the year to September 30, according to figures released yesterday by the Audit Bureau of Circulation.
John Fairfax Holdings, publisher of The Sydney Morning Herald, attributed the sales decline to a "subdued real estate and tight employment market".

Also in the
News Corp listing from ASX to the US . with estimates funds will have to sell around AUD$4-5 Billion for the move , heard the tail end from Bloomberg morning report. anyone know more

Philadelphia caba 22:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Any comments on EUR/CHF?

Livingston nh 22:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD showing a bottom on MACD and AUD/USD below 200 da sma - for o/n I am long USD/CAD at 65 and short AUD/USD at .7280 // s/l 30 pips away on both

Quebec Swap 21:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Still holding my long EUR/USD from this morning @1.2403

OK SZ 21:29 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ok I am short but have been since 12389..gl, gt

Dallas GEP 21:29 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
With 1.5 trillon dollars in cuurency transactions daily with with some CB's making as much as 40% of their bottom line profits on currency transactions I doubt our little SPEC world here could do much if anything in regards to moving a market

Chicago JMI 21:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
JHB JW 20:53 GMT October 14, 2004
i would assume that most traders here are technical traders. And we cannot realy influence the market. Why do we not stand together and make the market move in our way?

Ok, I'm short euro now. Everybody do the same ;)

JHB JW 21:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
For the people that do not know JHB= Johannesburg, We are the city in the world with the most trees. FWIMBW

Syd 20:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Increase In Nymex Crude Futures Margins Gets Attention
does anyone know anything about this report thanks.?

JHB JW 20:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
i would assume that most traders here are technical traders. And we cannot realy influence the market. Why do we not stand together and make the market move in our way?

JHB JW 20:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
He will raise his horns to 1.2393 once more and will go to sleep

JHB JW 20:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hopefully the bull wil die. heheheheh

Philadelphia caba 20:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Good evening GEP, how's your trading today? May I ask you on your view on EUR/CHF as I did yesterday? Thanks.

JHB JW 20:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I must be the worst forex in the world, I saw the 8:25 candle on eur/$ as a matator; sable

Ldn 20:22 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Talk $56.54 target on oil for now, curious if the Specs decide to bail before first, or wait for the rush to door Like metals earlier making the 16 year low on copper - reminiscent to Bubble on the Dow !!

Halifax CB 20:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Sorry to take so long to get back to you nyc yippee; I've just been out walking the dog. A lovely day here in HFX. Anyway, risk reward estimates need probabilities to calculate, and those are rather hard to come by in a chaotic market. Sometimes an estimate is straightforward but usually not, and even if one comes up with a probability model it's as likely as not to be out to lunch because the assumptions underlying the model only hold for a short period. Kind of like trying to estimate weather patterns...g/l

london 20:12 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
The general strike in Nigeria over fuel prices, which stoked fears about the country's oil exports, will end at midnight on Thursday, union chief Adams Oshiomhole said. reuters.

Dallas GEP 20:01 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
VV, techically there is SUPPORT there at 7260 NO doubt so I don't want to give up all those PIPS if it DOESN'T break there. Appreciate your post. I just hope it cab break thru this 7280 level

Livingston nh 20:01 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
It's a bit hard to make a case for USD weakness - the Dow is down 180 points in 2 days, the trade deficit at a record high, but very little movement - and GM announces 12 to 13,000 job cuts in Germany, VW demanding some changes and expanding budget deficits - energy prices are a problem everywhere not just US

VloridA VV 19:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:58 GMT October 14, 2004

Hey mate do your game. I just dont want to be responsible of that you didn't milk it out completely.

Dallas GEP 19:58 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
VV, yep you may be correct in that view. I have modified TP to be .7265

Dallas GEP 19:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Well FXNEW, I would say other than being a SELLER @ 1.8030 I am not sure of it's final destination. Shorts could also be tried from 1.8000. It WAS setting up for a nice short earlier but it really needs to close below 1.7950 to confirm that.

Sydney EM. 19:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Treasurer, Peter Costello, said the biggest risk facing the economy was the rising oil price, particularly if the current high level was sustained."Oil, metals prices and Costello's remarks about the risks to the economy - all those issues have caused the market to fall," said Bell Potter adviser Stuart Smith.
press.

LA fxnew 19:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GEP:

what is your view on cable ?

VloridA VV 19:45 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:37 GMT October 14, 2004

Dont think so .7260 is the limit. After that its going to turn to a whipsaw. Look at the Eur/Aud chart , with the break of 1.7070 and overall weaknes of the $ Eur/Usd will run and Aussie will stay on the backstage untilll bias with Eur/Aud change.

houston st 19:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

time=team

houston st 19:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- well, at least their bats are working, let's hope the pitching can come through as well...it took 43 years to get through the post-season jinx, so I'm hoping their good fortune continues for a split in St. Louis so we can finish them off here in game five...keep in mind a wild-card time has been world champs the past two years...gl/gt.

Dallas GEP 19:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
No offense taken VV. I am just pisssed because while the last two days have been OK, they could have been great but I missed a couple of entries by a couple of pips. if AUSSIE will short tho to 7250 area, the party will begin at least here!! LOL

Dallas GEP 19:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ST, astros have uphill battle with cards with a 2 good starter pitching lineup on the astros end.

VloridA VV 19:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:26 GMT October 14, 2004
Good Luck mate
No offence - just healthy, sometimes, heated discussions won't do any harm.

Still long Eur/Usd . Gbp/Usd longs reinstated @ 1.7060 after profit stopped @1.7990 s/l now below 1.7930. Will wait till 1.8150 is hit

Dallas GEP 19:26 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
VV, as you know I work with very short timeframes IF I can get 135.60 out of this I will happy and that in my opinion is PROBABLE

houston st 19:24 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

GEP -- the level you sold is close to the 50% retrace of 137.54-134.62...good luck & mind your risk.

VloridA VV 19:22 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT October 14, 2004

Probably, But look at 4 hour chart MACD just crossed 0 line It states that this pair is going to fly at least to 136.39 though pull back to 135.70 is not excluded

Dallas GEP 19:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Aussie shorts are starting to work well but we need a close below .7280 to get those really rolling.

NYC YIPPEE 19:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
"....$1.2400-$1.2420 range..."

??? NONSENSE

Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
VV maybe it's the reading of the charts YOU need help with. MACD's on both the 30 minute and 1 hour are peaking. PLUS this is a key resistance level.

London 19:08 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
After the very short-lived selloff in the dollar Thursday in response to August's U.S. trade deficit the rebound was that the dollar was already near its key support levels so once it got into the $1.2400-$1.2420 range and near Y109, there were a lot of pre-set dollar buying positions "Buy The Rumor, Sell The Fact" according to Ashraf Laidi, chief currency strategist at censored Financial Group in New York, traders were particularly reluctant to be short dollars ahead of what are expected to be decent U.S. retail and industrial production data Friday.

VloridA VV 19:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:00 GMT October 14, 2004
Took some eur/jpy short @ 135.95 stop 136.10

Sometimes I wonder If you really make something from your trades except just participating in DEMO. Cuz every chart, even a tick one would tell you Eur/Jpy is long now.

Dallas GEP 19:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Took some eur/jpy short @ 135.95 stop 136.10

NYC YIPPEE 18:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB 17:41 GMT October 14, 2004

Wouldn't it make sense for your stop loss to equal a percentage of your possible gain ?

Risk/Reward ?

Gen dk 18:51 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

NewYork frankie 18:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Bought eurchf @1.5426 tp 1.5450 stop 1.5412

Ldn 18:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Nigeria Union Leader: Strike To End At Midnight Thu

Halifax CB 17:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Re. stops - one of the things I've just started doing is modeling the effect of stops on profit, as taking a large one can often be more risky than a small one (other things considered) if you have access to a true trailing stop (e.g. one that moves with each pip improvement in the rates).

But FWIS, - and I'm not familiar with many platforms - most trailing stops only get moved after the market moves so many pips. On a time basis that increases the exposure to adverse movements (it would seem). Anyway, this is just some intuitive guesses on my part; has anyone looked into it in detail? TIA..

paris jb 17:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NewYork frankie

yes it is a solution but the problem is when scalping u r bias

by ur position trade, it need a lot of skills to just forget about position when scalping,

NewYork frankie 16:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Just to add my 2 cents worth regarding position trading and scalping, money management and discipline.

Firstly, I think it's a good idea to have 2 accounts at 2 different brokers. I have my main (position trading account at R^^efco_) and a small intraday account with (o??anda). My main system comes in during London time. Ny scalps, if you can call them that are from late mid London to Late New York. Sometimes, if I have the urge I might trade during the Asian session.

I find that having 2 accounts helps my tremendously with my money management and discipline.

You must have a system however. That is key. Also, putting in stops and letting them hit if need be is key number 2.

london iain 16:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 16:07 GMT October 14, 2004

No truer words spoken. For personal biz, it is agonizing, but controlling volume is key to winning at this game. I also now have a solid system, but it's sticking to it that's the difficult part.

GER ad 16:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF,
Out at 2.2381

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 16:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
If this week EUR/USD closes anywhere between 1.2370-1.2390, 1.2500 will be easier to get than earlier, all IMVHO.

gl everyone.
TIA:-)

paris jb 16:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
daimyo
he is damm right, after learning TA and method hard way,
i m fighting now my ego to be able to control size and money management, Since I have a solid trading system I blowed up my account 4 times coz of size and money management,

london iain, tossed a coin could be good system if u stick to a good management system

london iain 15:58 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
just tossed a coin. heads = 1.2405?!!

BDQ 15:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd @ 1.2390

which way is it going to go? 1.2375 or 1.2405?

Oakland daimyo 15:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 15:30 GMT October 14, 2004

He was here for our TSAASF (Technical Securities Analyst Association of San Francisco) meeting this past monday. Very good teacher, encyclopedia of trading knowledge. I can only hope to have his success in this business. He said that money mgmt and position sizing is far more important than news, entry techniques ,etc. 2-3 day swings are most profitable but they must be in line w/ longer term view (incorporating fundamentals) This is something I'm trying to focus on this coming year. I'm a technician by training but I now see the benefit of understanding the longer term fundamental view.

paris jb 15:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
HI Gep , yes $/cad bounced twice from it's low

12512 to 12560 and now 12504 to 12544

gold coast martin 15:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Boca Raton 15:20 GMT October 14, 2004
Nice going HK Mom. By the way, can I go out and play?

..To which HK MOM asked "with them clothes?"
..To which Junior Boca replied "no mom,with the kids across the street!!"..

Oakland daimyo 15:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Not sure if I have the patience to be an effective positon trader. I prefer 2-3 day swings. I rather take 5 lots x 100 pips in a short time frame than 1 lot hold for 500 pips on a longer time frame.

Sydney Alimin 15:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
even if euro breaks 1.2450 i just cant see strong reason to have a trending market straightaway, it is more likely that we are just trading into new range

Dallas GEP 15:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
BTW guys, usd/cad had a very nice bounce from it's LOWS

paris jb 15:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Oakland daimyo 15:23 GMT

yes very tough issue, sometime holding position more profitable and sometime in and out beter

it's like stop issue , very tough to place the correct stop

according to Larry williams 2 to 3 days is the most profitable

Dallas GEP 15:28 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, it's always a gamble to enter possies around these resistance levels and hope they hold. The SAFER play would be as you suggest HOWEVER I think Euro is losing some of it's steam LONG for the time being. So because of THAT and because the other YEN pairs won't going crazy long, that;'s was the reson behingd the short from lower level but AFTER seeing 135.75 penetrated, had I NOT be in Already I would probably wait as you suggest.

Oakland daimyo 15:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb 14:56 GMT October 14, 2004

That is my goal over the next year. I'm finally getting enough of a book to consider these type of strats. When I look back at my calls from last year, I would have made alot more money if I would have held original positions instead of trading in/out. Once you lose your position it's hard to get it back @ decent price. My Wyckoff analysis favors this type of trading but my intraday background tends to get in the way. My larger accounts can handle the volatility but my smaller ones cannot. Different strats for different accounts.

HK Kevin 15:22 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:54 , I think it's better to watch the resistance of 135.96, 200ma in the hourly chart, before entering sell position.

Boca Raton 15:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Nice going HK Mom. By the way, can I go out and play?

Gen dk 15:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

hk mom 15:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
close all the euro short at breakeven.

USA Biscuit Boy 15:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Toronto d.b 15:00 GMT October 14, 2004

If it is a large one off transaction that has to be done by the end of this month I would do a third today, a third on the 21st and a third on the 28th.

Dallas GEP 15:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Added some more AUUSIE shorts @ 7324.....AUD/JPY was driving AUSSIE long

hk ab 15:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Another show tonight. GL all.

Toronto d.b 15:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Hi guys, sorry to bother with a silly question :).
What would be the best time to exchange U.S. Dollars in Canadian Dollars? I mean not only today, like what would be the best time during this month based on your predictions...
Thanks for the answer
Best Regards
Joni

GER ad 14:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Long GBP/CHF at 2.2354

paris jb 14:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Oakland daimyo 14:49

day or 2 early? r u position trader?

Dallas GEP 14:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
135.75 is strong resistance of Euro JPY

Halifax CB 14:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
re GBPUSD - the only consistent readig I'm getting is a 200 point drop but will require at least 120 pt stop loss to get there. Do I believe it? Nope. I don't even have a time frame. Otherwise it's all quite mixed.

Oakland daimyo 14:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy 14:43 GMT October 14, 2004
Thanks--Sitting on my hands for now. Last few months have taught me to be more patient w/ spot trades. I tend to be a day or two early.

USA Biscuit Boy 14:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Oakland daimyo 14:28 GMT October 14, 2004

This is the only thing I could dig up from 4CAST:

There is talk of a substantial expiry today at 15.00bst that looked to have been blown out of the equation immediately after the US trade data but is now back in the frame. We've heard suggestions that EUR/USD will be more free to go up afterwards; we are not so sure. not long until we find out.

Nothing about 1.250 yet.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
9/21/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7963;1.8009;1.7871;1.7932
for next day..if goes down..
sort use last day for next day's forecast...
Crude fibnoocho

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
closest day was
9/22/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7932;1.8045;1.7926;1.7960
Maybe same same

Oakland daimyo 14:28 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
If selling EUR/USD, would advise waiting for uptick/ then failure. We could see bounce to test that 1.2420 level (current Fractal top). More than likely no more than 1.2414 weekly pivot. Do not believe we have enough ammo to take out these levels, as most are long already. Time will tell, be patient. Nothing in FX is easy. C.O. is tricky (must anticipate order book) Make phone calls guys, check around. I'm hearing about a good size 1.2450 KO, can anyone confirm?

Udine Cael 14:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 14:17 GMT / Whatever amount Japanese exports lose on operating costs, they make up for it selling USD. Either way they're covered. gl

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:26 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
10/9/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7932;1.7977;1.7932;1.7964
seems the same as ?

9/18/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7938;1.8093;1.7814;1.8037
9/11/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7961;1.8033;1.7738;1.7938

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
do the same as this week
9/11/2004 5:00:00 PM;1.7961;1.8033;1.7738;1.7938

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:24 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
please plan aud/usd about 0.7141..

hk ark 14:24 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
can anybody inform the data out already

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:22 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
gbp/usd will down soon to get 1.7922..
its time..

Mission Viejo FXtrader4u 14:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Cable close below 1.7960 by 15:00 GMT would favor short term downward bias, though 1.7932 is key pivot point and a close below this level by 16:00 GMT favors 1.7850.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dow 10064.68 9944.52
La...
Generally should be coming down...within now and next day...
More sure from 1.8112 today and 1.8060 next day
bottoming at 1.7780 friday

Livingston nh 14:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
fwiw - on a longer term basis the 200 da sma is on EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD is starting to rollover (very early and slight) as the range trade is starting to undo the rally of late last year - EUR has not closed below 200 da in the last two weeks and AUD is struggling around the avg - USD/JPY has been well supported the last few tests at the 200 da since midsummer // Cable was the last to break down thru 200da and has not shown much pressure to go back above --IMO EUR will have a hard time dragging Cable back up

Gen dk 14:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Ldn 14:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
http://biz.yahoo.com/censored/041014/1097750851_37802_1.html
censored = f.x.c.m

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
gold if show 411.70 thats mean will go to 404.70..

gold coast martin 14:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Udine Cael 14:11 GMT October 14, 2004
China is certainly worth a look...if you can bother to go back 4 months and read my post about BOJ and look at ranges you will see correlation....105 is an old rule of thumb that was valid until july......september october has a 10950 flavour to appease the powerful exporter lobby due to high energy prices......good luckwith your trades....

ldn 14:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
FOREX POINTS: Japan Market Update

Mission Viejo Fxtrader4u 14:16 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Cable long from 1.7985 hit profit stop at 1.8115 and USD/CHF short hit profit stop at 1.2445 for +80 total pips.
Technical indicators are a bit mixed, eur/usd close above 1.2341 favors more upside potential.

LA fxnew 14:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
bahrain:
whats the meaning of your statment ?

Rather short from 1.8110...
But carefull 1.7850 today
and 1.7780 next day...

Ldn 14:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
US Investment Bank leads EUR/USD: US lnvestment Bank leads selling

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ldn
aud/usd 0.7141 is a target bottom..
keep and add your sell !!..

Udine Cael 14:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 14:00 GMT / Had the JPY to strengthen, they would intervene between 103.50/100.50. Otherwise, not here and not in the near future. Eyes on China.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
cable...
Rather short from 1.8110...
But carefull 1.7850 today
and 1.7780 next day...

Ldn 14:08 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas
what about AUD tia

BDQ 14:08 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
today? currently eurusd at 1.2380

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/usd will go to 1.2315 or 1.2265
raden_masandi: gbp/usd will go to 1.7922

BDQ 14:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
i missed the EUR/USD climb from 123XX to 12419

LA fxnew 14:01 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
anybody has target for this dropping cable?

thanks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Yen will steal the show today

gold coast martin 14:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Udine Cael 13:57 GMT October 14, 2004
NOT YET.......

paris jb 13:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
rejected

paris jb 13:58 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
second 12360 attempt

Udine Cael 13:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
To put things in their proper perspective.
re: BOJ. There has been no intervention.
Trade the broad range. eur/$ 1.2135/1.2485

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
SISOSiG = what euro is saying now.
SISOSIG = Should I stay or should I go

paris jb 13:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
seems another selling wave here

Oakland daimyo 13:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I will not be posting as I have found that I trade much better when I keep my big mouth shut. GT to all. As I said, Oct should be a good month to start looking for position trades. I'm intraday punting for now, moving in/out w/ speed and flexibility. I agree w/ Athens, do not get married to any scenario as summer doldrums are somewhat longer this year. I will stick to selling options to over-anxious public for the time being.

paris jb 13:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Athens , hi mate

indeed always eagle eyes yours

Oakland daimyo 13:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
PSY= Preliminary supply
BC = Buying climax
AR = Automatic reaction
ST = Secondary test
UTAD = Upthrust after distribution
SOW= sign of weakness
LPSY = Last point of supply

I will revise everyything to re-accumulation if 1.2462 can be taken w/ strength.

london iain 13:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
i have m/t channel support coming in at 1.2320, hence stop at 10.

Oakland daimyo 13:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
To all my Wyckoff fans, this is how I see it:Re-Distribution from Jan-Mar 2004
PSY= 1.2437---- 07/12/04
BC= 1.2462---- 07/18/04
AR= 1.1967---- 08/04/04
ST = 1.2389---- 08/17/04
UTAD (ST 2)= 1.2443---- 09/30/04
SOW= 1.2243 ---- 10/06/04
LPSY= 1.2433---- 10/08/04

Please note: Trading range is subjective, not sure if this is re-distribution or much longer term re-accumulation. Will wait and let mkt decide.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dow is going up today

Athens 13:45 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Re today's choppy market, my 22:18 last night:
"...Therefore the picture remains unclear and one should not commit to a rigid position. Trade flexibly, keep the head down and good luck."

GOES B747 13:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
closed USD/JPY and USD/CHF longs, while EUR/JPY gave k/o...
lowered s/l on EUR/USD to 1.2369...and will go to pay for my favorite drinks.

fwiw, EUR/USD daily range looks going towards 120/30 pips, odds are better for 1.2420-1.2290.

I hope you all were lucky as me today...sorry that I do not see good trades as smartness, just pure luck :-)

gt all

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
5:30 AM...U guys have to take that flight friday...
What happened to the good old traders?

paris jb 13:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
london iain 13:30

yes mate 12250 great long entry also above 125 whould be a good one,

for intraday if 12360 broken and especialy 12345 long could be in trouble

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ladies..
We are heading south...to 1.2130 friday

Oakland daimyo 13:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Mancheste Daniel 13:32 GMT October 14, 2004
I always post most recent Fractals as they are the only important ones- showing current decision points/energy behavior clues (hourly & 15 min before data release) Daily Fractal top is 1.2433

gold coast martin 13:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...As posted earlier now the fund boys had their run it is the BOJs turn to sing...berare if longing euro...ride the tide and long USD/JPY....BE PATIENT AND BE CAREFUL.....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Now the dive Ladies..

Oakland daimyo 13:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
1.2356 is last chance for bulls to show.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 13:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
A Small change: I would BUY eurusd on 19 OCT 2004 opening price for 100 pips above and not on 18th as posted yesterday.

TIA:-) and gl everyone for next week.

Mancheste Daniel 13:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Daimyo - can u please advise what date on chart is the 12373 fractal for euro - thanks

hk mom 13:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
For daytrade, SELL euro, wear diamonds.

paris jb 13:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Oakland daimyo 13:24

well agree south is likely, the only thing against drop now is that whould make 2 reversals day in a row , very rare patern

but since like u said yesterday move was tricky (time + volume) we should expect anything untill this USA election finish

Oakland daimyo 13:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Careful guys--be patient--sharks in the water. I wanted to be long EUR/USD but current price action does not favor this, so I will look to take specs for a ride lower. COT data supports this.

london iain 13:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb. I admit there's a huge chance that i'm wrong and that we continue to chop sideways for a while to come. I'm working with good forwards bought yesterday as per comments at 1.2245 and 1.2250 spot and now have stops at 1.2310. Only reason i bought calls earlier today at 1.2356 average is because of the money I have locked in with yesterdays trades. I now have a net positive position should it all go tits up. On the other hand, if we do go up and through the levels above I doubt very much that we'll come back down for months..
p.s. not doing anything else until i get stopped or we go through the stops.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
more yen here

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:26 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Let's ignore learning anything today and just have a food fight. Outahere for now 'til this gets cleaned up. GL all! (Valdez heads back into the "mosquito coast" jungle on his borrowed burro atop a coffee sack to enjoy the day.)

paris jb 13:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
LOndon iain

well it's improbable to make such move before election but anything could happen

Oakland daimyo 13:24 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
paris jb---EUR/USD 1.2373 is major Fractal top. If mkt cannot hold this level we will confirm upside spec trap. Nothing yet. FWIW: it appears that the risk is to the downside as composite operator has been promoting higher in order to unload last bit of supply. Yesterdays sharp bounce off 1.2220 was accomplished with little volume (no OBV b/o, sitting @ channel line) Also, spike high (long candle wick) shows big dogs sitting on 1.2420. KO defense of 1.2450 is holding for now. I have just received my first reversal on the 10 x 3 P&F. bulls should adjust stops or consider reverse IMHO

LA JC 13:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ldn, give the count my best...he is a well respected man!

NY DB 13:22 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Global-View 13:04

thks jay, once upon a time there was a website that offered relativley quality contributions. then the web master became enamoured with the idiots at the gate and the profits that they could contribute to his personal cause, and so began the demise of global view.

As for the pratt (GOES b747), i stick by my guns. anyone who has to boast about size is a small-dick-man.

gl & gt to all, i wont bother posting again

london iain 13:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I'm working with a count that labels this accent as a high potential wave 3 advance in a much bigger 5th wave advance to new highs above 1.2930 eventually. If i'm right it will need to start moving North pretty soon. It also seems to be turning back up on daily stochastics. Long eur IMM positions are my main concern to this outlook! In effect i'm gambling that all of this range trading complacency will give way to a sustainable trend sooner rather than later.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
SPOTFOREX// LOFL! |^{"]

paris jb 13:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
london iain

hi mate, well it could test 12460 area but never be confident

always manage according to ur system and especialy money management rule, trust me and look reversal day yesterday : it happened at dead zone time and without any reason

gL GT

manila stubbs 13:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex NY 13:17 GMT October 14, 2004
hahaha!

GOES B747 13:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 13:04 GMT October 14, 2004

good afternoon to you,

personally, I play big lots and my targets for the trades posted were taken so I play now for fun...but 1.2330/35 still today and some USD positive news due to global news may bring the pair towards 1.2240/50 before tomorrow's data.
again, I play currently among the fear factors that make the markets move...large lots for large money....cannot look for pips.

gt all

Spotforex NY 13:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
On the next episode of

"All my Traders"
......

Will Euro finally break out of the 1.22 to 1.2450 range????

Will Radan open up a LIVE trading account????

Will the major hedge funds continue to use spot as the market jubb???

Will Jay finally state his true age????


These questions will be answered..stay tuned....as the globe turns...so do the traders stomach......

Quebec Swap 13:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
london iain 13:09 GMT

Yes I agree, EUR/USD will need some clear reason to break 1.2490. I don't think I'll hold my long until then though.

paris jb 13:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
big fight outhere at this level, 12380 make or break level

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
london iain 13:09 GMT October 14, 2004//I'm in your camp..pls clue me/FF on WHY you are confident 1.25 will be ticked...keeps my hopes up! TIA

Sydney gvm 13:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
call this an FX forum - this is a joke

london iain 13:09 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Swap. I bought eurusd as per comments yesterday at 1.2250 and various calls earlier at average 1.2356. Stops are huge between 1.2450 to 1.2500. I am confident these will be tested in the next few days.

GOES IDIOT 13:08 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NY DB:

this is my last post to you; so read it good:

blocked with s/l (list below) profit of USD 36K...not so bad, ah?

EUR/USD @ 1.2392
USD/JPY @ 109.26
USD/CHF @ 1.2448
EUR/JPY @ 135.43

actual t/p will take place during the next 73mins...I will post it to make you feel smarter !!!

cheers to you (you love free drinks!) and gt all

KL KL 13:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
move sl of eurusd to 1.2390...lock in 10 pips loss now let it run and working on aussie shorts move sl to .7310...still 20 pips loss for the day if aussie turn around and bite me....beware boys are playing...best to buy retracement up later imho

Sydney Alimin 13:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
what happens with the ticker? it is going nuts

paris jb 13:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
eur/$ break 12380, 12360 next support, dunno if it's bear trap or we will c a reversal like yesterday!!!!

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES// You're a gentleman, strong enough to take abuse from biting insects, means you're a tough trader/trooper. Hats off to you. Let's get back to trading, hype has fizzled, holding long for later...hope $$ were made...feel strongly rest of day will be good for pip raiders.

Quebec Swap 13:05 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Going long EUR/USD now.

prague viktor 13:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 :what is ur tgt for the EURO short..tia

Global-View 13:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Personal attacks are not permitted so let's get back to the market. NY DB, could you email us. Your email got bounced back.

GOES B747 12:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NY DB 12:48 GMT October 14, 2004

I love you too, but very sorry to inform you that I love my trade much more...personally, I lost two trades during the last 30mins but the current running are 3 times more profitable...so, I am maybe what ever you say....but made much more than you with my tardes...i guess it is idiots luck and prayings...

thank you SIR ... I love your tie !!!

gt all

Dublin Flip 12:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Whatever someone's reasoning and style of execution is their own business guys. A relaxed style isn't necessarily a bad thing as long as the person has factored in his risk. This business is 97% market noise not direction.

NY DB 12:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
River Falls_USA_ PB,

thks for the advice, i agree. Bit GOES B747 is not a trader, he said so himself, he is a gambler.

perhaps he should go to poker.net - odds suit him better there

ta

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
please exit your buy gbp/usd now if not yet be executed. please.. please..please.. I am worry eur/usd and gbp/usd will down.. so far !!!..

River Falls_USA_ PB 12:52 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NY DB 12:48 GMT October 14, 2004 ///this site is not to be used for trader bashing. please refrain. tia

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Yes, fat cats lurking...remember, news tomorrow as well as speculation on Greenie's oil speach is a 2nd stage booster rocket engine. I'll close my long mañana or if >1.2450 is hit today...still have tgt of 1.25, maybe @ 1.2450 if I get scared. If US data tomorrow doesn't hit 1.2450, normal movement will...all fat cats didn't get their cookies yesterday..others inline to surprize us in order for them to profit.

BB, did U close those cheap Euros at >1.2400?? Hope so...Today may see delayed reaction, or just sleep, impossible to tell.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hello.. we all meet eur/usd at 1.2421 (rpresentative 1.2425)
and gbp/usd at 1.8044(representative 1.8036).
my message only this : be carefull now !!! better exit your enough profit for your buy. I am worry if not be executed your buy position..

NY DB 12:48 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 12:41

u an censored! no planning, buying into volatility, u r a fraud.

i think some village is missing an idiot...go home!

dont bother responding, lets watch your trades and let then speak for themselves.

GL

KL KL 12:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
and again sell aud at 73 and everybody follow quick ....sl 15 above

Pecs Andras 12:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Obviously the market was expecting much worse data, something close to 60bn

GOES B747 12:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NY DB 12:36 GMT October 14, 2004

smile because of your jokes and I will laugh thanks to my trades...maybe one day you will understand what FX trading is about !!!


gt all

KL KL 12:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ok hk mom follow you sold eurusd at 1.24 ... lets us get the big boys now...lets sell sl 15 above...

hk ab 12:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Look like c9 wins again.

GOES B747 12:38 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
short EUR/USD @ 1.2416 with s/l @ 1.2435
long USD/CHF @ 1.2435 s/l @ 1.2419

never took such big lots...we will see within 2 HRS !!!

gt all

stavanger risktaker 12:38 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
censored, all data worse than exspected and all we see is a 40pip move. Any idea of what's lurking?

hk ab 12:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Andras, I thought it could be 60 B.

NY DB 12:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 12:25

should have taken the free drinks! LOL

hk mom 12:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
All the posted "anti-usd" trades are cleared.
sell euro as planned at 1.24.
now think.

KL KL 12:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Data not moving $$$ that much??? hmmm big bys are lurking

Dallas GEP 12:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
OK Aussie shorts stopped out, Eur/JPY shorts in @ 135.60

Ramadhan Ramadhan 12:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ramadhan

mex sjs 12:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
shorted gbp here at 1.8030 s/l= 1.8070 tgt= 1.7750.....gl & gt

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
BB and I are home.

Budapest Daniel 12:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
30 pips+ in one go

Pecs Andras 12:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
54 bn

Gen dk 12:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Chicago Goofy 12:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Gud trade to you all.

GOES B747 12:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
NY DB 12:23 GMT October 14, 2004

do not like places that give free food and drinks !!!
at least I know what will be the lose and what I am playing forl we will see very soon... :-)

gt

NY DB 12:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 12:19,

Trading/gambling? wtf is that!

why dont u go to atlantic city rather?

Good Luck, u will need it!

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Most FX pertinent news story of the day: Click Here.

GOES B747 12:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
took the following trades/gambles:

short EUR/USD @ 1.2377 with s/l @ 1.2403 (BID)
long USD/CHF @ 1.2481 with s/l @ 1.2463 (BID)
long USD/JPY @ 109.40 with s/l @ 108.94 (BID)
short EUR/JPY @ 135.40 with s/l @ 135.63 (BID)
t/p when 190pips will collect per all the positions.

crazy day, crazy feeling, crazy trades !!! :-)

gt all

Melbourne Qindex 12:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Dallas GEP 12:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
.7285 Aussie Sell order was taken. Stop 7307

Gen dk 12:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 12:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I might add if pairs would even want to obey some semblance of fundamental logic, two days of heavy news (today & tomorrow could whip this around so violently that only luck would sustain a win.

Rest of events today (tomorrow's news - much more US data)
Oct4 Mon. Cheat Sheet Times=GMT es=estimate prev=previous

Oct4 Mon. Cheat Sheet Times=GMT es=estimate prev=previous

USD US Fed Santomero speak: Monetary Policy 12:00 NOW
USD US Fed Bernanke speak:cross-border banking 12:30

USD Factory Orders (AUG) 14:00 es:0.10% prev:1.30%
USD US Fed Poole speak: Lincoln University 14:30
USD US Fed Bies speak: international fin risks 15:00
USD US Fed Bies speak: risk management 15:00
USD US Fed Gramlich speak: predatory lending 16:00
USD US economist Klein speak: NABE meeting 16:30

~~~~<><<>><>~~~~


15-Oct. Friday....Times:GMT....es=estimate......pr=previous

NZD Non Resident Bond Holdings (SEP) 2:00 pr=63.1%
JPY Ldng Econ. Indx (AUG F) 5:00 es=65.00% pr=72.2%
JPY Coincident Indx (AUG F) 5:00 es=35% pr=38.9%
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 5:00
EUR Fr. Crnt Acct(€s AUG) 6:45 es=-120.0Mln pr=-765.0Mln
EUR Ital.Trd.Bal.(Tot. in €s AUG) 7:30 es=580Mln pr=3,181Mln
EUR Ital.Trd.Bal.Eu (€s AUG) 7:30 es=0(zero) pr=1.902Bln

USD Prod.Price Indx (MoM SEP) 12:30 es=0.1% pr=-0.1%
USD Prod.Price Indx (YoY SEP) 12:30 es=3.3% pr=3.4%
USD PPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM SEP) 12:30 es=0.2% pr=-0.1%
USD PPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY SEP) 12:30 es=1.8% pr=1.5%
USD Advance Retail Sales(SEP) 12:30 es=0.7% pr=-0.3%
USD Retail Sales Less Autos(SEP) 12:30 es=0.3% pr=0.2%
USD Empire Manufacturing(OCT) 12:30 es=25.00 pr=28.34
CAD Manufacturing Shipments (MoM AUG) 12:30 es=1.0% pr=0.5%
CAD New Orders (MoM) (AUG) 12:30 es=-0.2% pr=1.4%
USD Fed Kohn Speak: on ECB Mon. Panel in Germany 12:30
USD Industrial Production (SEP) 13:15 es=0.4% pr=0.1%
USD Capacity Utilization (SEP) 13:15 es=77.5% pr=77.3%
USD U. of Michigan Confidence (OCT P) 13:50 es=94.5 pr=94.2
USD Business Inventories (AUG) 14:00 es=0.7% pr=0.9%
USD Greenspan Speak: Oil (Washington) 16:00 (important)
See Treasury Forum for free scoop on Greenspan-oil!!!!

prague mark 12:03 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
can not get real time data - how Nokia is performing after earnings - TIA

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 11:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES & others, due to the quantity of material coming out to day AND tomorrow, the unpredictability of it (better or worse than estimates), the market's propensity in the last couple days to (within parameters) disregard technicals, the market's propensity to be volitile & controlled by outside forces such as metals/commodities, really, not to offend anyone, the outcome at 12:30 purely is a coin toss. That means if gurus say long €/$, I'll have a 50% chance of winning. Shorting would also have 50% chance. Taking in consideration all factors it makes no difference who says what RIGHT NOW. Done. (hoping my 1.2320 €.$ long and longs of Biscuit Boy will haul butt.)

The mkt is not controlled by logic, us, luck, what we want/dont want, it is controlled by as Shanghai bc said posted 6 hours ago the speed in executing a BIG order by a BIG player and I'll add the plural - players. Due to the recent stop order & limit order slippage, lag/sag/no go/requotes in platforms, you be the judge of whether you should place a bet. If you do bet, bet very conservatively, expect to lose & if you win it is like pickpocketing Lady Luck in a park full of cops.

Budapest 11:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
thanks for the link Auckland

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:45 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
sorry..I was wrong in typing. I use 4 hours candle chart ,I mean like this :
gbp/usd will get big selling emotion when touch 1.8030/35 to get 1.7935/22 and 1.7911
maybe in present 4 hours candle gbp/usd now will go to 1.8032 and then down sharply from there. be carefull !!
thanks for yopur post.
LOL

GOES B747 11:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Alimin,

please help me, it is very quite now (even BORING!!!) and I have to make my mind within 45mins; I have free 4-5 HRS later so I want to place my boat to the direction of the wind (do not feel to use the motor) to enjoy earth friendly sailing.

from which direction is the wind coming @ 12:30 GMT ???

gt

Auckland 11:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest
Check this address http://www.reuters.com/home.jhtml and then U.S. Market Report... often you will find informations you need- instance for today looks like normal trading range

Budapest Daniel 11:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
OK Sydney, thats what I'm thinking about now too, but just wanted to get some views... :)

GOES B747 11:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
http://www.news24.com/News24/Backpage/Offbeat/0,,2-1343-1347_1604776,00.html

please read the link and tell me if markets can do the same while we sleep...tia !!!

gt

Sydney Alimin 11:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 11:10 GMT October 14, 2004

look, even if everyone is thinking good data or bad data, it doesn't make any difference yet..when the time is right, you will know the answer and even when the number is out, it is the market's reaction that matters...so rather than guessing numbers, it is better if one would concentrate to follow the flow..that's my take

Chicago Goofy 11:12 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Market prelude is going to be much like last Friday. I expect a 20 points drop on Euro before the flight take off. Be cautious on the upper level. It might be tricky this time....or 1.2500 will be broken.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
you can buy gbp/usd for short term trade now from 1.7995 , but please exit and cut reverse when gbp/usd chart touch 1.8032 !!!!!

Budapest Daniel 11:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
What are your expectations guys on today's US data? Better or worse than expected? :)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I mean :
aud/usd still hold sell for 0.7188 or 0.7165/55

Sydney Alimin 11:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 10:59 GMT October 14, 2004

LOL if you think that just because market doesnt follow your way and it is dangerous then it is always dangerous everyday....come on mate

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 11:05 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GOES B747 10:23 GMT October 14, 2004
sorry..today I was bussy in training.
oh..still OK.
I still keep my selling in Eur/usd, GBP/usd,Aud/usd.
will be added sell position at 1.2383 or 1.2416-25
will be added sell position at 1.8032
aud/usd still hold sell for 1.7188 or 1.7165/55
eur/usd will get selling emotion from 1.2383 to get 1.2301/95 - 1.2285 - 1.2265
gbp/usd will get big selling emotion when touch 1.8030/35 to get 1.7935/22 and 1.7911
maybe in this hours gbp/usd will go to 1.8032 and then down sharply from there. be carefull !!
thanks for yopur post.

Gen dk 11:01 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Philadelphia caba 11:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Good morning GEP, may I ask you what TA do you use for 4 hr chart?

KL KL 10:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Well lost 20 pips on both eurusd short and usdcad long...no happy...that means today is dangerous day!!

Melbourne Qindex 10:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:52 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Just trying this with Aus/Cad for a few pips

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dudes...Day Trade with these for the day
EURUSD 15 minutes Sell 1.2417 1.2296
USDJPY 15 minutes Buy 109.8518 109.3958
GBPUSD 15 minutes Sell 1.8003 1.7900
USDCHF 15 minutes Buy 1.2563 1.2441
EURCHF 15 minutes Buy 1.5464 1.5433
AUDUSD 15 minutes Sell 0.7278 0.7234
USDCAD 15 minutes Buy 1.2663 1.2522
NZDUSD 15 minutes Sell 0.6804 0.6765
EURGBP 15 minutes Sell 0.6894 0.6853
EURJPY 15 minutes Sell 136.1290 135.1506
GBPJPY 15 minutes Sell 197.3475 196.5128
CHFJPY 15 minutes Sell 88.0461 87.3853
GBPCHF 15 minutes Buy 2.2531 2.2400
EURAUD 15 minutes Sell 1.7095 1.7000
EURCAD 15 minutes Sell 1.5568 1.5468
AUDCAD 15 minutes Sell 0.9122 0.9073
AUDJPY 15 minutes Buy 79.7026 79.2336

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Can Hedge with another posi..yen
around here...Long

Budapest Daniel 10:44 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
do you expect worse than expected data at 08:30?

Budapest Daniel 10:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
:))

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:42 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
unless u remove it!!

GOES B747 10:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
did someone read the ; Goldman-Sacks' report published yesterday?

gt

Budapest Daniel 10:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I'll be stopped out if it go as high as 1.24xx

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dan...Hang in there 3 more hours
Lisbon...I don't see a written appology...

Philadelphia caba 10:38 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 10:34 GMT October 14, 2004
CABA, did you get that eur/gbp short IN and closed for profit????

No, unfortunately, I've been stopped out, too tight s/l. Good call GEP!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
1.2420 to 1.2409 should be good to short there

Budapest Daniel 10:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Auckland: I have a short position on eurusd... but i'm confused now... :-/

Dallas GEP 10:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
CABA, did you get that eur/gbp short IN and closed for profit????

Auckland 10:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Good day folks,
anybody SHORT EUR/USD GBP/USD jet

GOES B747 10:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Raden,

are you OK, it looks you harmed yourself while jumping from the roof...please post.

gt

Melbourne Qindex 10:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:04 GMT October 13, 2004
USD/CHF : The critical point of my daily cycle is located at 1.2518. The lower barrier is positioning at 1.2488 // 1.2503 ....................

Melbourne Qindex 10:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 09:30 GMT - USD/JPY : 109.00

Melbourne Qindex 10:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 07:17 GMT October 14, 2004
GBP/USD : The upper barrier of my daily cycle is positioning at 1.8000 // 1.8045 ..................

Congested barriers of my 44-day cycle are located at 1.7769 and 1.8023.

praga jan 10:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
jv-i am not short un eur,i am giong to long it,but i am just witing to see if that divergence will be confirmed or not.if it will be i'll buy cheaper.

Van DMX 10:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
whatcha thinking... 12390 short?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
should short eur within 2 hours

prague jv 10:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ahoj jan

Be carefull with traditional tech. analysis these days .
I am for now long eur/usd , not for that eur is geting stronger , but coz usd is still in softer mode and I am only waiting for the change so I can jump on the other side . Who nows when it happen . GL

Plovdiv Gotin 10:09 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Athens, Sure but it seems to me so.

Van DMX 10:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Euro/usd is starting to look good for a a sell

Dallas GEP 09:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Euro weakness more in comnnection with non-USD based currencies

Athens 09:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Gotin, nothing is for permanent use.

Dallas GEP 09:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
OK made +20 pips on eur/gbp short, Flat now but looking at possibility of Euro weakness coming into market

praga jan 09:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
for eur/usd on the 1h chart i see a clear divergence between quotes and rsi.i think the trend is bearish on short term.any ideas on that?

Plovdiv Gotin 09:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Temporary

Melbourne Qindex 09:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Athens 09:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Both cable and $/CHF bumped at their lines (re my 08:40).

GENEVA FHR 09:47 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Watch Nokia results at 12.00CET it may move indices and also forex

prague jv 09:45 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Do not rely on ony FX advisor , or you and up on fishing hook for fishermen . Be smart fish so you can grow to shark .

prague jv 09:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
If you smart fish , wait in litle hole till they start to eat each other and from there will be plenty food for litle fish . GL

Gen dk 09:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Chicago Goofy 09:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
What worried me on this euro is tat there wasnt a rest around 2330, which could make it under pressure of the upper STARC band.

prague jv 09:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I have got the feeling from the market , that there use to be sharks and plenty food for them . Thay did breed and now there are more and bigger sharks in the ocean , but no much little fishis left in the ocean and thay starve for food . LOL

hk ab 09:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q, do you have any important point to note for dlr/jpy (downside) today? TIA.

bangalore rkg 09:29 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
euro likely to hit 1.2475 within 24 hours

hk mom 09:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
After many rallying days, we should sell some euro today.
At 1.24 maybe.

Ldn 09:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Sterling buying is linked to Thu's GBP2.25B gilt auction trader, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD cross buying after base metals collapsed

KL KL 09:14 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ok sold eurusd 1.2350 sl 10 above long usdcad 1.2570 sl 10 below...hit and run!!

Ldn 09:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Euro-Zone Growth Slowed More Sharply In 2Q

Athens 08:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
A couple od moderate strength lines today:
$/CHF support line around 1.2485
Cable resistance line around 1.8025

JHB CDB 08:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
There are 2 news bulletins:

euro-zone GDP at 09H00 GMT
British BCC quarterly economic survey at 10H00GMT

Is there anything here to watch for??

U.K. J.B. 08:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
U.K. J.B. 00:41 GMT October 5, 2004
Short euro/chf 1.5535 tar. 1.5425 s/l 1.5570 to late in the day to explain my reasoning lets say good r/r

Positioned closed at 1.5448 and long trade established for a move back to 1.55 30/50 good r/r trade and good channel support at current levels. GL

prague jv 08:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
coz eur/usd went the other way firs than I thought , waiting with buying usd/jpy litlle bit longer .... usd/jpy downmove is stronger then first thought . for now small long eur/usd and short eur/jpy with tight stops and trailing buy order on usd/jpy comming down from 65

London 08:31 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
December gold futures broke out of their September to October uptrend line Tuesday and are likely to fall in the days ahead, once the current short-term bounce back to the trendline has run its course Downside targets come in at $408 and $403.1, the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels of the September to October rally, and at the psychological $400 support zone. reuters

Mission Viejo Fxtrader4u 08:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Technical Update: In my previous update I took the position that the euro daily close below key pivot 1.2316 would see the euro test offers at 1.2230, followed by 1.2160 and 1.2135.
In that the eur/usd also had strong bearish alignment on the 30, 1, 2, 4, daily and montly also supported this position. A weekly close below 1.2406 would also bring the weekly charts into alignment. The US session rally and subsequent close above 1.2316 daily pivot, now suggest further euro appreciation against the USD. Currently, 1, 2, and 4 hour studies support this position, with daily studies now somwwhat neutral though beginning to lean towards a bullish bias, and trendline supporting euro longs while above 1.2330. Currently, holding gbp/usd long from 1.7985 and usd/chf short from 1.2505.

Gen dk 08:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 08:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
A little late for ECB to start realising that oil prices have been rising and that this will reduce european growth and have secondary inflationary impact. Has Trichet been in hibernation for the last three years ?

wellington am 08:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Wary about the USD and commodities? Trade the crosses

staying short nzd/gbp and nzd/aud

BEIRUT MK 08:16 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
sold eurusd at 1.2348 (all my fortune) target 1.2175

london iain 08:16 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
AB, you still still long eurusd from lows yesterday?

london iain 08:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I'm still pretty confident that buying eurusd/ cable on dips is the trade that will finally pay off in the weeks/months to come. The count that I'm working with has a high potential third wave advance just around the corner. Further to this, all serious money is long eur and I would look for a catalyst (trade number?) for, in particular, some predominant asian names to try and push for a decisive range breakout.

London 07:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ECB said to reiterate in its monthly bulletin at 0800 GMT,
the door to a rate hike was closed at the Oct press conference ,economic acticity holds the key to opening it again

prague jv 07:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
will be looking to buy usd/jpy around 109.30/45 with stop 108.90 for target 110.20 , take /2 profit there and let the rest run to 111.00

Chicago Goofy 07:48 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Wat about Gold stay up, euro stand above 2380 area before news? It is splendid fire work show, huh?
Dont trade novice, it is a market indicators cant explain again.

prague viktor 07:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dr.Q..many thanks..G/T

Sydney Ge11Ja 07:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 07:38 GMT October 14,

thanks very much

Auckland 07:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Sidney USD/JPY 6.00GMT 109,51 and current low 109,48

Melbourne Qindex 07:38 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
prague viktor 07:33 GMT - I don't know. It is because my weekly cycle normal range is very big for this week. The effective pulling range of my super magnet at 1.2332 is +/- 100 - 150 pips. This week is very difficult.

Singapore Sfx 07:38 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ge11Ja 07:34 - 109.49 EBS

Sydney Ge11Ja 07:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
can anyone please tell me the low usd/yen last hour?

prague viktor 07:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex..G.day,do u see the 1,2432as a top for this week .thanks

Melbourne Qindex 07:30 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The odds are high that the market will head for the level at 1.2332 - 1.2336, the super magnet level.

Tallinn viies 07:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
good morning world
short euro position from 1,2330 wasnt too bad idea yesterday. unfortunatelly wasnt able to cover it as recovery was too sharp and came unexpectedly.
so, today my first plan to get of my short euro as huge trade numbers due high oil prices may push dollar even further cheaper. I think 1,2320/30 is reachable.
good luck

gold coast martin 07:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 07:17 GMT October 14, 2004
Be prepared for another show tonite ab...Boj will fire gun and so will the funds.....very volatile but beneficial by end of this week...g/t

hk ab 07:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
some rooms left for gbp.

Melbourne Qindex 07:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


hk ab 07:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Maybe, my choice to watch show yesterday is correct.
And BOJ gave us nice shows at 18:00 right.
However, my gut feeling is the deficit number may simply go to near 60 bil.

Buy RMB now?......

houston ken 07:16 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
still has stop loss
15 pips

London 07:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Metals could be the precursor to oil

Ldn 07:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hk ab
Exactly greed draws traders in a the top only to be crushed .by the avalanche

houston ken 07:12 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
shorting cable

hk ab 07:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ldn// Maybe a potential fast collapse, which seems many don't aware.

London 07:09 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
KL KL
Funds making a trap for the specs. their way of game hunting

KL KL 07:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
everything imo is heading the right direction...comodities, currency,gold, world indexes, oil....one can say lookout below or above. I think trade gap will suprise and jobless too...all due to Hurricane. I mean $ positive...we shall see. hit & run day

Ldn 07:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Tokyo stocks fell Thursday as a sharp decline in copper and other commodity prices overnight rekindled investors' concerns about the outlook for the world economy.
Some players said the fall in global commodity prices simply came after weeks of speculative buying. But others were worried about a potential slowdown in the global economy, citing a report Tuesday by the International Copper Study Group that showed a slump in China's copper demand for July.
reuters

hk mom 07:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
hk mom 09:00 GMT October 13, 2004
Forget the myth euro will follow the aud. euro will be supported by eur/aud cross anyway.
Get your diamonds yet?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Eur/usd
Level Buy : 1.2330 – 1.2221 – 1.2215 – 1.2299 – 1.2285 – 1.2263
Level Sell : 1.2383 – 1.2416 – 1.2121 – 1.2425 – 1.2456

GBP/usd
Level Buy : 1.7922 – 1.7907 – 1.7873
Level Sell : 1.7986 – 1.8013 – 1.8032 – 1.8125

Aud/usd
Level Buy : 0.7188 – 0.7155
Level Sell : 0.7256 – 0.7277 – 0.7306 – 0.7318

Usd/jpy
Level Buy : 108.99 – 108.45
Level Sell : 109.88 – 110.00 – 110.30 – 110.51 – 110.75

Usd/Chf
Level Buy : 1.2456
Level Sell : 1.2583 – 1.2568 – 1.2557

gold
Level Buy : 404.70
Level Sell : 416.00 – 418.70 – 420.00 – 420.70
..

hk mom 06:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
close all my euro longs for fun, bye.

Syd 06:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Australian Shares End Down 0.4% After Metals Crack

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:23 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
€/$ chart continuing now as if nothing had happened last NY session. Evidently the mkt wasn't effected up or down past the spike down. Bed time (01:20 here) join you for the next thrill packed episode at 12:30. Hi yo Silver.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
PT some posi...to long yen more here

Melbourne Qindex 06:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GBPUSD Daily minutes Buy 1.8265 1.7316
Might go there...might take time
I think 1.8250 area is short for sure

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 06:09 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:48 GMT October 14, 2004
I'd be satisfied with 1.2450 at this stage, hope you/we are right. I normally don't get nervous before showtime but this time for some reason I don't feel as confident...likely backlash over Wednesday's roller coaster. You can ditto that for a lot of traders, hence the slow chart at this time. I think as range is attempted to be crunched by the triangle it will get wilder and wilder. It is a sign of a breakout when it gets ants in the pants. This slow €/$ chart is because no one wants to do much to this pair until data releases at 12:30 GMT in 7+ hours.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
week

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:06 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
These are my trend expectations for next
EURUSD Daily minutes Sell
USDJPY Daily minutes Buy
GBPUSD Daily minutes Buy
USDCHF Daily minutes Buy
EURCHF Daily minutes Sell
AUDUSD Daily minutes Sell
USDCAD Daily minutes Buy
NZDUSD Daily minutes Sell
EURGBP Daily minutes Sell
EURJPY Daily minutes Sell
GBPJPY Daily minutes Buy
CHFJPY Daily minutes Sell
GBPCHF Daily minutes Buy
EURAUD Daily minutes Buy
EURCAD Daily minutes Buy
AUDCAD Daily minutes Sell
AUDJPY Daily minutes Sell

Sydney EM. 06:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Base Metals Collapse Puts A$ Rally In Peril The outlook for the Australian dollar is hanging in the balance Thursday after collapsing base metals prices caused the currency to gap lower against the U.S. dollar in overnight trade.
Rising commodity prices have been key to the currency's strong gains in the past month and analysts are now wondering if the commodity market is about to turn, taking the Australian dollar with it.

Bahrain 05:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
1.2450 is ok for a good few days into monday
bottom 1.2020 into tues
2020 is funny...been doing this alot

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 05:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
BDQ 05:32 GMT October 14, 2004 // Checked GBP/CHF doesn't look like as yet anything happened to GBP ref: the diverted flight from HK to Heathrow, girating wildly usual. The plane landed safely. British intel almost guarantees a terrorist attack, likely it's partly priced in. US intel is about on the same alert. Terrorist activities, depending on severity are getting less shock value and intel in many countries has made arrests of sho' nuff covert Muslims..so the system is working. I think focus should be on USD events today and tomorrow. It may (may) be a double whammy in that typical of US event days, $ slides no matter if news is good or bad. Two news days in a row could act like a primary engine and a second one firing delayed reaction. Underscore the word "could". Nothing is a certainty in this "remote controlled" market dependant on commodities for power.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:48 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
euro...all I have is that some drop again 7:00 AM..Pre NY MKT
I Think we might see 1.2430 today

BDQ 05:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GM Baharin

where do you see the market going today?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:42 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GM all
to start with..just buying Yen..for a couple of days
lisbon..I think u should appoligise...I saved Your "a" the day before

BDQ 05:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
glod needs to fall below 414 to predict a strong dollar IMHO

LAX-LGB SNP 05:36 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Gold losing 3+ cents under 415.21-415.85 ... sign of $$$ strength to come ?

seems very mixed since the $$$ major pairs look well supported ahead of yesterday's levels so far

nonetheless
$/cad needs to stay below 1.2586 and get under 1.2559 to aim for sub-1.25 (risk is pullback to 1.27)
aud/$ below 0.7259 looks headed for sub 0.72
normally i avoid $/¥ but mkt might squeeze till mid-110 before the weekend

ldn 05:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Flash polls from major U.S. TV networks after final presidential debate put things in Kerry's favor

BDQ 05:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
could be that both GBP, expecting a terrorist attack & USD, expecting some weak US data, could be in trouble!!

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 05:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Sky News alert:A Virgin Atlantic plane from Hong Kong to Heathrow has been diverted to Stansted following a security alert. It is not known how many passengers are on board. The plane has landed safely at Stansted.

Britain is about to be hit by one of the coldest winters in recent memory, according to the same weather experts who predicted 2004's summer would be a washout.

Heating costs to absorb part of consumer's Xmas activity...GBP...retail sales affected?




BDQ 05:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD @ 1.2360

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 05:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Note: on calendar I posted earlier, US data is estimated as being worse than previous on most accounts:
almost 1 bln more trade deficit, continuing jobless claims 4k more, initial jobless 5 k more, trade balance 1.1 bln more.

If those data are = or lower at news time..neg USD.

The EZ: GDP's MoM, YoY est=prev

KL KL 05:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
dejavu day... well looking to sell now....short term dollar bull..all looks interesting aud cad eur gbp....with oil imo will test 55 tonight....and blow off...everything is in a mess now...commodities too. Next Financials?? time bomb ticking and last blast from terrorist before Ramadan?? Make sure you have exit strategy!! g; gt

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:37 GMT October 14, 2004

Chf never lies!

Dallas GEP 04:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
CABA...use 4 hour charts...should short back down to 6860 aarea in 8-12 hours

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:37 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
€/$ current upmove confirmed by $/CHF corresponding downmove, it's the buck losing ground, not el € gaining.

Sydney Ge11Ja 04:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
USD/YEN looks like it its about to breakdown to Monday's low around 109.10. Wrong above 110.00

hk mom 04:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
now the diamonds stop is at 1.2280.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
wellington//my wife's email is plagued with viagra spam, my email is spammed for rounder firmer breasts. We've consulted each other for views, we've concluded neither of us needs THE OTHER'S email. (Whew! Pushing freekin' 60 here! When's it gonna "short"?) On to pertinent FX commentary:

Russia now has #4 in the world c'ncy-gold (combination..not both) reserves according to recent Ruskie news story (not Pravda nor Moscow Times thank you very much). Sounds legit. Have found other "legit" references to similar info (not on commie or conspiracy websites). Am putting together a "gold link list" which I'll publish and update once a month on the Help Forum for juicy Au tidbits..since Au and Fx stroll together (the path greased by oil). 12 M.E. and similar Muslim countries have adopted the gold dinar as a medium of trade fearing instability of word's fiat c'ncys, Jakarta said to have OK'd it too. I'll publish this Au link list Friday sometime on Help Forum for all to flyspeck. Livingston nh, you did this, mate! (he was motivating force)

€/$ has a wicked shimmy right now..rattling the $bear cage? Am + 43 pipskies..must be pricing in some US data leaks.

KL KL 04:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
covered gold long 409.9 at 416.2....now sold some gold here for 410 later...sl 417.5...you sell i buy and vice versa

wellington am 04:15 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:12 GMT October 14, 2004
I agree, best to be short on this. Although i was alluding to your "kinky" reference. At 40 this year, I've learnt at least one thing in life - either that size doesn't matter, or I have a long dong. Given the amount of spam I receive about what can be done to the length and girth of my member, I postulate the former - that size is of no consequence.

GT.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:12 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
wellington am 04:02 GMT October 14, 2004// LOL! Actually $/¥ on 1 year and 6mo charts looks like it's past a double peak low & due to long to 111 ish, but Valdez doesn't have a yen for ¥. Sushi, yes.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 04:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
..is Valdez halucinating (on a "hope" trip) or is E/$ testing its wings for tomorrow? Scratching the belly of yesterday NY session's high...uh...

wellington am 04:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
mos-quito, would you be happier going long some $/yen. LOL.

hk mom 04:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Just like what I said yesterday, buy euros wear diamonds.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 03:54 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
It's bed time..brain crystallized:
"Holding my 1.2320 short" should read: "Holding my 1.2320 long". (sounds kinky albeit in cm a disgrace)

wellington am 03:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Still chance to load up on some ozzy/kiwi longs below 1.07

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 03:49 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 03:25 GMT October 14, 2004
Yea, Dolphin, right on amigo. LOL That "record E/$ long" post below has me concerned since I'm long. Holding my 1.2320 short tho, "hope" (bad word in FX) for US news Thurs-Fri to rocket the rogue pair to 1.24xx whereby we close el long, immediately to short. My % of error is increasing on this trade. bc's com'nt below abt commods moving FX mkt, commod dip supports USD...China rumored diminished commod buys, humm..$ bulls are about to awaken. But the shorter the rogue pair goes (one poster suggested kissing 1.20), the more we make, the higher and more recoiled the long would be later, the more we make. Contradiction: but but but we're nearing a pivot point in the triangle, supposedly tightening range, not giving it steroids. An interesting month.

London 03:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin agree with that, thought may have reduced however considering the move in New York probably made no difference. Citigroup Tokyo are seeing short term bearish .FWIW

Halifax CB 03:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
sorry, those were supposed to be links...

start of the day




the rise gets underway





The rise is fully developed




the end is nigh


Eilat Dolphin 03:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
London 03:20/ IMO Your explanation (excessive Euro COTs) doesn't convince, as enough Cots longs would have sold into the emerging counterpuch and flatten it to oblivion.
So we search...

hk mom 03:34 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Yes, I agree and I want to see it to be higher than 60 B tonight.

Buy buy buy many euros, chf and gbp.

Halifax CB 03:32 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
One way of estimating the degree of manipulation is just trying to use math techniques - more or less because they are impersonal rather than actually any good. I'm finding that what works in a reputedly loose market (like USDCAD) doesn't work at all in JPY trades. (we're working on pattern recognition programs - here's the overall results from todays USDCAD on a one-minute track, which are quite encouraging. the red & green lines are estimated closing level for shorts taken with specific trailing stops; trades that are estimated to be non-profitable aren't plotted - i.e it didn't pick up on going long at all. But what the chart says almost from the beginning is short the rise:



start of the day:
http://www3.ns.sympatico.ca/brobeck/CAD_0000_0300.jpg


the rise gets underway:
http://www3.ns.sympatico.ca/brobeck/CAD_0150_0450.jpg


The rise is fully developed:
http://www3.ns.sympatico.ca/brobeck/CAD_0300_600.jpg


the end is nigh:
http://www3.ns.sympatico.ca/brobeck/CAD_final.jpg

(some days are just fun, but I do wish I trusted my math more. :) gl.

Chicago Goofy 03:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I would say for day traders, forget the further correction on commondities. It is Trade deficit rules todays!! No matter what happen later, anything above $50 B will take major pairs to the post-NFP level. In this sense, Euro might be less attrative compared to Aussies. If there is a chance being commondity trader, I would wait for today`s news to sell (given the correlatioin is >80% correct). I am just jittering to read BC`s post, but nothing wrong with either side...Timeframe is unique to each one.

Gud Trades to ALLL

London 03:27 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Fundamental picture for base metals "darkening" as crude prices rise, interest rates are up and China takes more steps to cool economy
David Thurtell CBA

Eilat Dolphin 03:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Mos-quito O1:53/ Interesting post and interesting figure on the charts: looks like a tuning fork instrument on the 4H, which makes no sense if there are no surprizing and important news, which there weren't, and even with such news, we haven't since such a figure in the last year and a half for sure.

Thus if it's manipulation, it must be done by an "Alliance of Financial groups", and if not, the fx community needs a hysterical defibrillaor.

London 03:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD bias weak likely to test 1.1950 support, bottom of recent range. IMM data shows net EUR-long positions building up to record high levels, suggests unwinding of these positions may drive down EUR/USD. Advises selling EUR/USD at 1.2325 a1-month target at 1.2000.
Nikko Citigroup

houston ken 03:19 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
sell gpd for long term correction

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 03:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
bc, thanks..was writing my post as you were answering..THANK YOU AMIGO!! :^[]

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 03:11 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
bc//if commod mkt is now seen to at least temporarily support U$D, that explains the vertical rebound after the 100 pip dip to 1.23ism. Possible scenario 'til US news later in NY session: pair consolidates, shorts again on news hype in one of its historic and recent block formations? Wow, this breaks off my easy streak on E/$ chart.

I still say..mkt controlled..bc, you didn't comment. Rehash of last London/NY sessions: E/$ 1 day chart.. 02:25 NY, pair trading for 1.2315. A bluff rise, kneejerk longs punted, stops for shorts taken to lessen $ demand to grease the skids. Then 100 pips dip with false corrections til "mother support line" almost hit, immediate reversal suprize attack on any remaining shorts, then plateau to take out/close obvious kneejerk longs. Traders anticipate bounce..didn't happen instead the opposite which was a truly boggling steep 115 pip ascent to hit 1.2357 (42 pips past former 02:25 1.2315) with immediate reversal to 1.2331 which closes lucky longs...level off at 1.2336ish takes out knee jerk shorts. To me this is definitely calculated, manipulated, not happenstance. What's your take, bc? TIA

wisconsin tim 03:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 10/14/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1 R1 High S1 Low
10/13/2004 AUDUSD 0.7289 0.7214 0.7346 0.7184
10/13/2004 EURGBP 0.6896 0.6862 0.6902 0.6836
10/13/2004 EURUSD 1.2392 1.2299 1.2403 1.2178
10/13/2004 EURYEN 135.70 134.77 135.89 134.10
10/13/2004 GBPUSD 1.8006 1.7869 1.8000 1.7784
10/13/2004 GBPYEN 197.26 195.78 197.57 195.13
10/13/2004 NDZUSD 0.6802 0.6732 0.6822 0.6686
10/13/2004 USDCAD 1.2615 1.2521 1.2728 1.2500
10/13/2004 USDCHF 1.2568 1.2470 1.2708 1.2456
10/13/2004 USDYEN 109.95 109.17 110.53 109.02

Ldn 03:05 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC (obe-wan-kenobe) is said with the greatest of respect and hope I have not offended.

shanghai bc 02:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

TH 02:13 -- Good morning..Good to see you here..Good trades to you..

shanghai bc 02:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

MOS-QUITO 02:13 -- Some folks always try to manipulate any market with varing degree of success..It is all a matter of timing too..Some succeed in manipulating market for a short-while while some fail miserably..You can find such folks in forex market all the time..Good trades.

ny amc 02:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai..........understood. Thanks

shanghai bc 02:41 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

AMC 01:59 -- Good morning..Forex market is somehow dancing to the tune of Commodity market for a while..And the correction in commodity market may support USD for a while..Good trades.

Melbourne Qindex 02:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 02:40 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ I think Shanghai BC (obe-wan-kenobe's) words of wisdom just said it all, the drop in Oil will be the catalyst to the trend change ,all be it a temporary one, but no doubt fiece giving the impression the dollar is Big King Kong Dollar again - but giving us better levels to sell it. Auss may be in for a little grief short term, but problems is you get the ambulance chaser calling for 50cent again.

ny amc 02:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Singapore....Thanks for the explanation. I follow and read your posts on the other side . Keep'em coming

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 02:39 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Tks TJ...good commentary.

24 hours from now..Friday: 2nd big day in a row for U$D. Here's an advance warning of events:

15-Oct. Friday....Times:GMT....es=estimate......pr=previous
NZD Non Resident Bond Holdings (SEP) 2:00 pr=63.1%
JPY Ldng Econ. Indx (AUG F) 5:00 es=65.00% pr=72.2%
JPY Coincident Indx (AUG F) 5:00 es=35% pr=38.9%
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 5:00
EUR Fr. Crnt Acct(€s AUG) 6:45 es=-120.0Mln pr=-765.0Mln
EUR Ital.Trd.Bal.(Tot. in €s AUG) 7:30 es=580Mln pr=3,181Mln
EUR Ital.Trd.Bal.Eu (€s AUG) 7:30 es=0(zero) pr=1.902Bln

USD Prod.Price Indx (MoM SEP) 12:30 es=0.1% pr=-0.1%
USD Prod.Price Indx (YoY SEP) 12:30 es=3.3% pr=3.4%
USD PPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM SEP) 12:30 es=0.2% pr=-0.1%
USD PPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY SEP) 12:30 es=1.8% pr=1.5%
USD Advance Retail Sales(SEP) 12:30 es=0.7% pr=-0.3%
USD Retail Sales Less Autos(SEP) 12:30 es=0.3% pr=0.2%
USD Empire Manufacturing(OCT) 12:30 es=25.00 pr=28.34

CAD Manufacturing Shipments (MoM AUG) 12:30 es=1.0% pr=0.5%
CAD New Orders (MoM) (AUG) 12:30 es=-0.2% pr=1.4%
USD Fed Kohn Speak: on ECB Mon. Panel in Germany 12:30
USD Industrial Production (SEP) 13:15 es=0.4% pr=0.1%
USD Capacity Utilization (SEP) 13:15 es=77.5% pr=77.3%
USD U. of Michigan Confidence (OCT P) 13:50 es=94.5 pr=94.2
USD Business Inventories (AUG) 14:00 es=0.7% pr=0.9%
USD Fed. Greenspan Speaks on Oil in Washington 16:00


Particularly at the last, Greenspan's oil speach at GMT 16:00...see GV's "Analysis & News" link for details on why this is actually an important event. (that free GV resource is gold BTW..hope all are aware.)

GA TJ 02:28 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 02:13 GMT October 14, 2004

It would appear that some of the majors as well as the crosses are attempting to make some counter moves. Pairs have been walking in OB and OS status on the daily's for a while now. So the question for me is correction or trend change. For trend change there needs to econ data to support AND follow thru. None of this up 200 following report and to see it evaporate 48 hours later. My guess at this time would be leaning toward the correction camp (Can also be read as Range) . I think too much nutsy crap in the world today to get a majority of the biggies to aggree on anything. I think the Ali style of trading will win - " Float like a Butterfly and Sting like a Bee"

Good trades to all.

shanghai bc 02:26 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

KL 02;00 -- Good morning..The king of commodities,the Crude Oil, is hugely overbought and needs a good medium-term correction..It is just that the attack started on Copper front first while the Crude Oil is still struggling to maintain the altitude..The main trophy/money must be stil be on Crude Oil front at some stage targeting 45-40 region..I guess the commodity market may correct for a while affecting commodity currencies and others via Yen crosses to the downside..But I guess the correction may not last that long..The commodity bulll market is alive and well for all purposes..It is just a good earned corection and rest before another leg up..Same for commodity currencies too..Imho..Good trades.

Singapore Sfx 02:21 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
ny amc 02:17 -

Thats just a interbank price action recap of the ny session for the various currencies - using interbank (EBS & Reuters D3000) prices.

So for instance
Eurusd 1.2265-24-360-2350 cl
is basically saying that eurusd opened the ny session at 1.2265 - then down to 1.2224 low - subsequent high 1.2360 before closing at 1.2350.

Just a price action commentary - fwiw. Cheers

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 02:18 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Back 2 U bc. Thanks, you straightened me out. But personally, do you feel the mkt is being "controlled" the last 45 days? (if not always!) Please critique my comments below as they pertain to a LOT of email I get constantly from other traders...it would benefit many. Constructive critique is the essence of a successful forum. TIA, you're gold amigo.

ny amc 02:17 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Singapore ..SFX Singapore Sfx 00:46 GMT October 14, 2004
Ny recap Oct 13

Usdyn 109.90-110.22-109.55-109.75 cl
Eurusd 1.2265-24-360-2350 cl
Eurjpy 134.80-60-135.57-135.50 cl
Gbpusd 1.7885-40-962-1.7945 cl
Usdchf 1.2610-65-505-1.2515 cl
Eurgbp 0.6858-52-0.6882 cl
Can you explain what the different numbers mean. I think they are the closes at the different sessions but want to make sure

Ldn 02:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
traders say aud tests key support on uptrend line from early September a break would be quite bearish targeting 7183 weak oscillators say there's good chance of uptrend line support breaking in next 24 hours.FWIW

Ltn th 02:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 01:48 GMT
BC. Congratulations. Judging fom your post and your recent absences from this and other forums, you have most definitely come out of any retirment. Best wishes GL and GT.

shanghai bc 02:10 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

MOS-QUITO --Good morning..Overall liquidity must be huge..But forex operations are like "karate-chops" too,with speed being the essence of the matter to knock out the barriers/stops..Like BOJ folks using the maximum speed with not so large cash to maximize their effect..So, with some decent amount with maximum speed, one can do a lot of damage,especially in a thin market..Shanghai Copper market is a good example too..Speedy chop-chop by not so large cash with maximum speed and the whole commodity market swoons for a while even affecting whole forex market.

Philadelphia caba 02:07 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Philadelphia caba 02:05 GMT October 14, 2004
Dallas GEP 22:54 GMT October 13, 2004
Shorted eur/gbp 6883 looking for 6860

& what's your s/l?

Philadelphia caba 02:05 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 22:54 GMT October 13, 2004
Shorted eur/gbp 6883 looking for 6860

GEP if are you around, what is your time frame for this short? Thanks.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 02:03 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
amc// pls see my post regarding the benefit of using laymen's terms, in Help Forum, and the criticism I got. What's a "yard" please? I got the rest of bc's message. And yes, bc is a golden (platinum!) asset to this forum.

KL KL 02:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
bc, do you think current commodity slump is very short term. China selling?? I am looking to buy some futures soon ...they looked whacked big time or am I catching a falling knife. This thing of demands of metals from China reducing..any credibility? Also your view on aud gbp eur thanks!!

nyc jk 02:00 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
lol London, thanks. just not in the mood to watch this one. gl

ny amc 01:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai.BC.. Can you put your last post in laymans terms please. I follow all your posts and would like a little more clarity on your last one. Thanks in advance Shanghai. You are a major benefit to this site.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 01:56 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
bc// While I was preparing my post you had posted yours. I don't want to seem in conflict with you as you know much more about funds than I. But could you comment with what FX liquidity is? I read 2 days ago it is now 1.9 trillion USD equivalent per day. Is that really so? Thank you bc, as always.

London 01:55 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk Bush appears to be doing better this time Kerry reminds me of one of those ventriloquist dummy just needs a stripped suit and a glass on his eye Jeeves

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 01:52 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
All investment funds (hedge & otherwise) are said to total to a new high of 32% of FX. That's weight. But consider how many funds there are & what % of their total cap invested is actually in FX. I can't see how 1 hedge fund's X% of cap, given today's FX had "usual-normal-average" liquidity, could bounce the mkt down then up, 200 pips round trip. That's 1 cent per trip! And note right before the big dip this AM NY time 02:30 a 33 pip spike up started building, followed by the 100 pip plunge. You can't tell me that was not stop taking before the move, deliberate, calculated & viscious. Please don't use technicals nor fundamentals the next 48 hours, this rogue chart is totally on its own (within limits..but even the limits are debatable.) Still holding long €/$ 1.2320, orig. tgt 1.2500. May change tgt to 1.2450 cautiously.

shanghai bc 01:48 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   

For some reasons,less than a half yard can kick around some major currencies these days..Then,more money is made/lost in commodity plays these days..Forex market looks like a garden-party for retired folks these days..So,heavy commodity players who are also heavy forex players seem to force forex market to be reduced as nothing more than commodity derivatives market for a while.. Every dog has his day .

nyc jk 01:46 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
not sure London, but the Yankees are up 1-0 on the Red Sox at the moment!

London 01:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
debate Bush v Kerry anyone view on who is winning

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 01:35 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
I posted earlier 2day the €/$ chart looked artificial. I am soooo glad I'm not day trading. I wanted to buy cheap Euros but waited...my BIG mistake today. Dam. Athens I believe is right on the dot with a double bluff being done. If it was a big hedge fund that squirrels the chart like this then I would have to look at low FX liquidity in the last 24 hours which couldn't absorb a hedge fund move. No. It probably isn't lack of liquidity. It it wasn't lack of liquidity therefore it wasn't a hedge fund that did today's radical moves. Then what did this double whammy? I swear, this pair is being played with (manipulated) seriously by some extremely big money players (from one player to the other and back to "create" market). Money big enough it would make most funds look like piggy banks. Am I wrong here? 200 pip moves off and on like a light switch? I've never seen a BLOCKY "straight up-consolidate-straight down, repeat" chart as we've seen in the last couple months. I've done nicely on it because it's been so easy (until today). The whole thing is beyond normal trading..this is being controlled at will, when & how much. Therefore all the technicals and fundamentals are worthless unless purely coincidental w/moves.

GL tomorrow & Fri. I think the rogue chart will be random, so it's anyone's guess (technics + fundamentals=nothing) as to what direction the lose firehose will squirt.

4-Oct. Thursday....Times:GMT....es=estimate......pr=previous
Big stuff for € + U$D (USD all at 12:30 GMT!!!).

JPY Ind. Prod SA revised (AUG) 4:30 es=0% pr=0%
JPY Shipmnts Revised SA (AUG) 4:30 es=0.50% pr=0.50%
JPY BoJ Monitory Policy Monthly Report 5:00
JPY Consumer Confidence (SEP) 5:00 es=48.7 pr=49.1
JPY Machine Tool Orders (YoY) (SEP F) 6:00 pr=54.1%
EUR Ital.CPI(NIC incl. tobacco)(MoM SEP F) 7:30 pr=0.2%
EUR Italian CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (YoY) (SEP F) 7:30 2.3%
EUR Italian CPI-EU Harmonized (MoM SEP F) 7:30 pr=-0.2%
EUR Italian CPI-EU Harmonized (YoY SEP F) 7:30 pr=2.4%
EUR ECB to Release October Monthly Report 8:00
EUR EZ GDP s.a. (QoQ) (2Q 2) 9:00 es=0.5% pr=0.5%
EUR EZ GDP s.a. (YoY) (2Q 2) 9:00 es=2.0% pr=2.0%
EUR Europ.Com'sn 3rd Q & 4th Q GDP Forcast 9:00 pr=0.3%-0.7%
GBP BCC Latest Qtly Econ.Survey 10:00 pr=0.3%-0.7%

USD Trade Balace (AUG) 12:30 es=-$51.2B pr=-$50.1B
USD Import Price Index (MoM) (SEP) 12:30 es=0.4% pr=1.7%
USD Import Price Index (YoY) (SEP) 12:30 pr=7.2%
USD Intl.Jobless Claims (OCT 9) 12:30 es=340K pr=335K
USD Continuing Claims (OCT 2) 12:30 es=2,868K pr=2,864K


CAD Int'l Merchandise Trade (AUG) 12:30 es=C$6.9 pr=C$6.2
CAD New Mtr Veh. Sales (MoM) (AUG) 12:30 es=-1.3% pr=2.3%

USD Fed. Bernanke Speak: Monetary Conference Wa.DC 13:00
USD Fed. Geithner Speak: Fn'cl Services Growth in Atl 18:30
NZD Consumer Prices (QoQ) (3Q) 21:45 es=0.5% pr=0.8%
NZD Food Prices (MoM) (SEP) 21:45 es=0.4% pr=0.0%


Melbourne Qindex 01:33 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Em 01:20 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Broker at major bank expects fall for S&P/ASX 200 index after metal prices slumped overnight

Chicago Goofy 01:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Crude oil $54
Commodities drive yen and Aussie. Euro in the way of correction. Am i right?

Melbourne Qindex 01:04 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Em 00:59 GMT - AUD/USD : It doesn't look good in the Asian session.

Melbourne Qindex 01:02 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Hemel UK AlanFX 00:57 GMT - EUR/USD : When the market is moving around my key reference at 1.2332 I have to find some idea from USD/CHF.

Sydney Em 00:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Qindex hi, looks like the Aussie is still under pressure today and USD still King for now

.Current environment for AUD/USD suggests "it will get
slapped" lower, clean out in metal prices overnight could invite sustained weakness. Possible short-term factors in play for metals are unwinding on speculative longs, thin liquidity with LME weak, heavy China copper sales in recent days. AUD/USD still heavy and on track for below 0.7200 next few sessions will determine if moves short-term or start of fresh trend this is the view of ANZ's Craig Ferguson who has been quite accurate of late.

Prague JV 00:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
commodity > only shake out < no change in longer trend .
Same situation as eur/usd was from 0.86 to 1.00 , it did seamed as top and expensive . gl

Melbourne Qindex 00:59 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Hemel UK AlanFX 00:57 GMT - You are welcome. USD/CHF : It will serve as a key indicator for the movement of EUR/USD.

Hemel UK AlanFX 00:57 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Dr Q. Thankyou for the swiss update on your page, appreciated.

Melbourne Qindex 00:53 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:37 GMT October 13, 2004
AUD/JPY : Anything trading below 79.92 is not a good sign.


... // 78.15* - 78.59 - 79.03 - 79.48 - 79.92* // ...

Ldn 00:50 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Asia TECH view

Syd 00:45 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
AUD/JPY bias weak in Asian session on falling commodity prices, . "I think copper, gold and oil are already toppish, so aussie/yen should trend lower," Initial support for rest of Asian session said 78.50, resistance very strong above 80 as many players will rush to take profits
Takeshi Iba head of Forex sales at Calyon Bank

)toronto( Dr Unken Kat 00:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
swap i dont think you can expect anything yen at this moment is resting on supp line /1hr and the indicators are rathe r against you

Syd 00:43 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD: Under Pressure On Heavy Cross Selling

Gen dk 00:29 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Quebec Swap 00:25 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Shorted USD/JPY, i'm not expecting for a huge run.

Ldn 00:13 GMT October 14, 2004 Reply   
Max TLR anyone know his view todate ??

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube




pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
Managed Forex Accounts
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2019 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105

?>