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Forex Forum Archive for 10/18/2004

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Boston mpd004 23:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Toronto/Aviator//I know it sounds strange, but you know what? It keeps me in the right direction. It's good if you have a second screen to keep it on. Right now,, according to my screen, cable is heading down. And I of course, go for the white instead of red. But gotta be careful as I start seeing more fan outs than are there. LOL! gl gt

Toronto Aviator 23:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
boston mpd004 23:15 GMT Oct 18
Good evening Captain.
Enjoyed your post - does white or red wine make the difference!!!! GL & GT

Mfld JM 23:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I'm short GBP @ 1.7965 Will add to pos if 1.7935 seen. TP-1.7910 SL-1.8005

orlando jcr 23:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Any thoughts on cable...??

Melbourne Qindex 23:46 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Sydney Ge11Ja 23:43 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Asia opening levels suggesting to me we will see further euro weakness and AUD weakness. I am not so sure on yen and suspect like last week we could good selling in aud/yen and eur/yen

As always it is all about picking your levels but I must say I get the impression this morning folks are hesitant to get involved which is always a recipe for a bit of volatility

Have a good day all, good trading

Dallas GEP 23:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Tarheel, EXCELLENT level.....I will do it with you if seen . Only Diif. is stop @ 1.2627 and TP @ 1.2535.

Calabash TarHeel 23:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: The range I have Cad at this moment is 1.2486/1.2598 with pivot at 1.2554. If the Boc does hike .25, could get quick spike under 1.2486.
Happy Trades

Melbourne Qindex 23:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

KL KL 23:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
eur gbp against usd seems to be back close to yesterdays level before the rally. This retrace looks deeper than rally ..a sign of things to come?? Flat now and looking to buy the deep dip or sell the rally....in short I don'T know where to start...LOL

Calabash TarHeel 23:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Selling Usd/Cad 1.2595 if seen. s/l1.2625-t/p 1.2530
Happy Trades

Ldn CR 23:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Oil in retreat as speculators took profits on recent record high November Nymex crude off $1.26 at $53.67 The overbought condition of the market left it vulnerable to heavy profit taking Also Nymex move to increase margins on back-month futures 20% a contributing factor. OPEC also said oil demand to slow in 2005. Gold off $2.50 at $417.60/oz;with some saying market too long.Overall sentiment remains negative after last week's falls dealers are saying

Melbourne Qindex 23:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 23:18 GMT October 18, 2004
EUR/USD : The following is still valid but the trading reference have to be adusted a little bit.


... 1.2019* // 1.2178 - 1.2337* - 1.2495 // 1.2654* ...


Further Expansion :-


... 1.2019* // 1.2099 - 1.2178* - .1.2258 - 1.2337* - 1.2416 - 1.2495* // 1.2575 - 1.2654* ...


The mid-point reference of 1.2495* // 1.2575 is 1.2535.




Melbourne Qindex 22:22 GMT October 16, 2004
EUR/USD : In spite of the strong movement in the last two trading sessions in New York the market has not yet decided on whether it will head for 1.2654 in a trending fashion or consolidate further within the range of 1.2337 - 1.2495. The chance of seeing 1.2178 within the remaining period of this month is still fairly good. The market rhythm of this operator is represented by 317 pips.


... 1.2019* // 1.2178 - 1.2337* - 1.2495 // 1.2654* ...


In other words the market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 1.2337 with an expected magnitude of +/- 158 pips, i.e. 1.2178 - 1.2495 for the time being.

boston mpd004 23:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Since GEP gave a little hint and you've got a chart screen not doing anything and since it's a slow time, try this for laughs. Use a 3,8,13,21,34 &55 ema with diff. colors. I use red, blu,blk,mag,lt grn and lt blu. When they all come together like rope or near it, and start to fan out, follow the red. or 3 ema. try it in diff. time frames, pref. longer ones, ie: 30M and +hrs....Just if your bored and sipping favorite beverage. :o)

Dallas GEP 23:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Alot of pressure now on that EUR/USd @ 1.2480. Holding for now but Just barely IMO. It will break in ASIA IMO Once it does , I expect that the EURO woll short FASTER than the POUND

SAIHAT 22:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
0.7399 0.7386
0.7362 0.7355
0.7338 0.7336
0.7333 0.7331

AUDUSD
0.7276 0.7271
0.7287 0.7280

0.7240 0.7239
0.7235 0.7232
0.7212 0.7205
0.7174 0.7161

SAIHAT 22:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
1.2617 1.2605 R4
1.2578 1.2572 R3
1.2553 1.2551 R2
1.2547 1.2546 R1

EURUSD
1.2501 1.2502
1.2499 1.2493

1.2450 1.2448 S1
1.2444 1.2442 S2
1.2420 1.2414 S3
1.2380 1.2368 S4

Chicago Goofy 22:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I m short eur/gbp at .6949, concerns lie in the UK retails price and Euro bull trend. I do believe this pair should trade range.

Ldn CR 22:37 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
The risk aversion in AUD seems to be coming back with a European bank a persistent seller, probably heading for 7120-75 region before good bounce

Dallas GEP 22:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USE the 4 hour timeframe on the example below

Philadelphia caba 22:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Just shorted $/CAD @ 1.2579

NewYork frankie 22:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
closed aussie shorts for profit. Concentrating on just buying and selling CAD all the way up to 1.2750 at S/R

Dallas GEP 22:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hint: Normally pricing action on Eur/GBP will pivot around the 18 period Moving average line and will generally move between the UPPER bollinger band and the 18 period moving average line which is now @ 6908.

Melbourne Qindex 22:31 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 22:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
19-Oct Tuesday All times in GMT ex=expected pv=previous

EUR German Prodcr Prices (MoM SEP) 06:00 ex=0.1% pr=0.3%
EUR German Prodcr Prices (YoY SEP) 06:00 ex=2.2% pr=2.2%
CHF Swiss Nt'l.Bank Pres. Roth Speaks 06:30
EUR EZ Indus.Prod. s.a.(MoM AUG) 09:00 ex=-1% pr=0.4%
EUR Ez Indus.Prod. w.d.a.(YoY AUG) 09:00 ex=1.7% pr=2.4%
USD Consumer Price Index (MoM SEP) 12:30 ex=0.2% pr=0.1%
USD CPI Ex Food & Energy(MoM SEP) 12:30 ex=0.2% pr=0.1%
USD Consumer Price Index(YoY SEP) 12:30 ex=2.5% pr=2.7%
USD CPI Ex Food & Energy(YoY SEP) 12:30 ex=1.8% pr=1.7%
USD Housing Starts 12:30 ex=1,950K pr=2,000K
USD Building Permits 12:30 ex=1,950K pr=1,952K

CAD Bnk of Can. Mon. Policy 13:00 ex=2.5% pr=2.25%

---U.S. Fed Reserve representatives' SPEACHES:---
USD Greenspan Speak: Consumer Debt, Mortgages 14:00
USD Greenspan Speak: to Bankers Group 14:00
USD Fed Poole Speak: delta State U. in Miss. 16:00
USD Fed Olson Speak:Banking Industry Trend & Mgmt 16:30

SAIHAT 22:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
maybe asia range

1.2473 1.2537
1.2265 1.2345
109.16 109.45

0.7241 0.7269
1.7972 1.8018
1.2541 1.2579

Melbourne Qindex 22:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk ab 22:17 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EM,

According Econ 101,
Price increases lead to "quantity of demand" decreases, not "demand".
:D :)
Just a joke.

Sydney EM. 22:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Oil Falls From Record as High Prices Expected to Reduce Demand
LINK
Crude oil plunged the most in more than a month after reaching a record $55.33 a barrel in New York amid concern that rising prices will reduce the growth of demand for petroleum products.

Melbourne Qindex 22:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


Ldn CR 22:10 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Fed governors this week making several speeches said likely to be USD positive helping support Dollar

Dallas GEP 22:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Which brings up the point of confirmation. Whatever timeframe you generally use use the NEXT longer timeframe to confirm your trade and THEN you chances for success are much greater.

Dallas GEP 22:06 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
30 minute charts have confirmed a Eur/GBP short HOWEVER 1 hour charts have yet to turn to give final confirmation, (STOCHS and MACD's)

Gen dk 22:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Melbourne Qindex 21:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Budapest Daniel 21:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Is Eur/$ retracing now to a lower level?

Melbourne Qindex 21:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Melbourne Qindex 21:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn CR 21:36 GMT - I havn't updated my analysis on CRB Index.

Ldn CR 21:36 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melb Qindex, do you have a view on CRB Index , talk it is vulnerable to a sell-off down to 276.27.

Melbourne Qindex 21:28 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT October 6, 2004
EUR/USD : Quantized Levels from 3-Month Projection Profile


... 1.1888* - 1.1950 // (1.2012) - 1.2074 - 1.2135* - 1.2197 - 1.2259 - 1.2321 - 1.2382* - 1.2444 // 1.2505 ...

Melbourne Qindex 21:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market retreats a little bit and works on the barrier 1.2444 // 1.2505 again. The trading reference for this range is as follow :-


... // 1.2444* - 1.2460 - 1.2475 - 1.2490 - 1.2505* // ...


We will follow the development with daily and weekly cycles later today. See details in my page. EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.





Melbourne Qindex 08:35 GMT October 17, 2004
EUR/USD : The following reference will be referred from time to time. The mid-point reference of the barrier at 1.2444 // 1.2505 is 1.2475 :-


Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT October 6, 2004
EUR/USD : Quantized Levels from 3-Month Projection Profile


xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 1.2135* - 1.2197 - 1.2259 - 1.2321 - 1.2382* - 1.2444 // 1.2505 ...

Ldn CR 21:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bearish for the Aud in Asia CRB has the lowest close since early October.

Sydney EM. 21:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EURO/USD – Key Juncture
Max McKegg
LINK

Dallas GEP 21:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
YES BAhrain, that is confirmed, just got hit with interest charges so 21:00 GMT is when those are assessed.

Ldn 21:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USA Biscuit Boy I agree they post a lot of cr.ap, but some of their stuff is correct , its a matter of sorting the chaff from the wheat

USA Biscuit Boy 21:02 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn CR 20:38 GMT October 18, 2004

It might pay to ignore IFR and their nonsense. GL and GT.

Dallas GEP 20:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin, I am not sure regarding whether rate hike CAD has bee priced in. Until proven otherwise we should assume 1.2510 to 1.2580 range IMO

Ldn CR 20:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Middle Eastern sellers helped cap the EUR just shy of key resistance, and protected 1.2550 barriers and option-related stops. Reports are growing of significant selling interest between 1.2530 and 1.2600, US accounts relay. There is a particularly large cluster of sell orders in the 1.2565/70 zone, so take advantage of any stop loss driven buying above 1.2550 to lighten longs. US CPI is due tomorrow with rises of 0.2% seen for both the headline and core. Eurozone industrial production is seen dropping 1.0%. -- IFR

Hearing several options running up to 1.2650 not expiring until December so will no doubt be well protected.

Eilat Dolphin 20:34 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GEP/ Wouldn't you say that the 1/4% CAD has been digested long ago ?

NewYork frankie 20:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, agreed the Cad will probabaly top out at 1.26 where I intend to sell. However, i will buy at 1.2660. The BOC rate hike has already been factored in. They can't afford to have a much stronger Loonie so don't be surprised if they didn't raise rates tomorrow. Now that would throw a spanner in the works. Furthermore, the dollar index is screaming out for a correction. All beware!

tk jf 20:29 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
http://www.boj.or.jp/en/about/basic/etc/faqkainy.htm

Ldn CR 20:28 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin Hi I agree with you , get a feeling nearing a top on the Euro for now, the question is,as bad as the US deficit is the Euro economy is no better so its a toss between the devil you know !!

Dallas GEP 20:28 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
BTW a BOC hike will SHORT usd/cad if that comes to pass

Dallas GEP 20:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
1.2580/85 area I mean

Dallas GEP 20:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I would expect that the 1.2600/10 area should be tops for USD/CAD short term. This assumes that the 1.2680/85 area will give. MACD's are peaking but have NOT turned down yet.

Eilat Dolphin 20:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
frankie/ I do not believe you!

knoxville dan-k 20:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
im short $ / jpy

Eilat Dolphin 20:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
CR/ The market is telling us that it takes guts to go short USD/majors this afternoon.

NewYork frankie 20:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
The Cad has given a VERY strong buy signal based on my signals. All of them say buy me for a run of 150 pips this week!
I've put my main account on this. CAD IS A BUY!!!!

Ldn CR 19:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
German Eco Institutes report today says ECB can hold off lifting rates, willingness to challenge the technical breakout since Friday. Many traders bought above $1.2500. expecting the euro to challenge the technical breakout on Friday, whether they can endure the pain of the dollar bid will ultimately determine the staying power of the breakout. A close below $1.2462 could make traders wonder if the break above $1.25 was for real. EUR/USD selling may stem from sharp drop in oil prices

LAX-LGB SNP 19:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Gold is below last week's open/close levels ... lets see how long before contis get airsick ;-)

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 19:27 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks
Dallas GEP

Ldn CR 19:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD bears are growing a bit concerned that broad-
based USD weakness has not filtered through to the USD/CAD, which is suddenly lagging. Despite a new high in EUR/USD at 1.2535, USD/CAD could get no lower than 1.2515. Dealers point to overwhelmingly one-sided commitment of traders report from late Friday which showed the market with the largest net CAD long in two years.

Dallas GEP 19:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
bahrain I beleive it is 21:00 GMT

Gen dk 18:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
NDX time for a dive

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
small short euro aussie...don't want to really..but I'll do it anyways
1.7145 1.6984
1.7232 1.6934
1.7320 1.6885
1.7407 1.6835

Boston mpd004 18:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Long Eur/jpy @ 136.68

Budapest Daniel 18:31 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I'm also long from .7975 and hope we're both right :)

Dallas MD 18:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Your welcome. Hope I'm right.

Budapest Daniel 18:19 GMT October 18, 2004
Thank you Mauricio.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
what is exact time for FXXcm to charge interst?

Budapest Daniel 18:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Mauricio.

Dallas MD 18:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I'm long cable @ 1.7968, 1.8054 tgt, 1.7880 stp. Mauricio

Budapest Daniel 18:14 GMT October 18, 2004
any view on cable guys?

Budapest Daniel 18:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
any view on cable guys?

Haifa ac 18:12 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 17:12 GMT // I took a stab at it, today, but ONLY because this is day 34 of the rally. (Also the 55 price level should be impetus to sell ala Gann).

But, as I explained long ago--this is the same as Armand hammer selling silver above 35$ an ounce. The ONLY SHORTS ARE THE HEDGERS and they can deliver... so when the fall starts--- there will be NO DEMAND FOR OIL until we drop 10-15 dollars. This is a vicious game!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:12 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
NDTWI.X
For ndx

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 18:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
ndx
1,454.53 1,408.58
Put option ....20 bucks at least

Ina co'z 18:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Seen support for aud/usd at 0.7230..GL/GT..!
see you later..

NewYork frankie 17:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
closed my eurgbp for a few pips. I'm sure it has further to correct, but I'm a little impatient with that pair. Instead I've sold the Aussie for what I think will be a good trade down to .7230. All on!

dc CB 17:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Mcads on daily thru hourly point to more upside for USD/CAD.
Posssible to 21dma @12650. Also should get a practical shove higher based on sell-the-fact profit taking - BOC will hike tomorrow.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
more aussie at 1.7253

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 17:20 GMT October 18, 2004 //
Really...no one can do it!!
Just Traders excuses...
A wave hits the beach "Non Patern"...they say god is angry...
what is this

USA Biscuit Boy 17:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
dc CB 17:12 GMT October 18, 2004
Yes I believe lawyers will be deciding this one for a long long time.

gold coast martin 17:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:04 GMT October 18, 2004
They had a guy from Cen Bank of Japan...
Said "We can't even move the Yen 20 Pips"

LOL....It is because the funds are doing it on behalf of the BOJ ,,,,,,at the moment,,,,,,

dc CB 17:12 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
There are 10 1/2 trading days until the US elections. Early voting in some states started today. Should be an interesting 2 weeks as both sides try to game the election. Lawyers will be all over the "battleground" states. Predictions abound this weekend that the results may not be known for "weeks" ????????????????

Van jv 17:12 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Haifa--makes sense..if they can..and some longs liquidation, volatile...............would you touch it?

Ina co'z 17:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Now seen support for cable at 1.7927...GL/GT!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Longing euro around
1.252385175 1.243369866
1.256952078 1.238407757
1.26151898 1.233445649
1.266085883 1.22848354

Dallas MD 17:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hope you're right!

london iain 17:05 GMT October 18, 2004
Dallas MD - thought so. Good buy I reckon. Despite the harsh sell-off i see this as nothing more than a squeeze!!

london iain 17:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD - thought so. Good buy I reckon. Despite the harsh sell-off i see this as nothing more than a squeeze!!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
They had a guy from Cen Bank of Japan...
Said "We can't even move the Yen 20 Pips"

Lndn Frnd 17:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
November Light Sweet Crude Oil Contracts:

The last trading date for November Contracts (CL4X) will be on Wednesday,
20th October, 2004, at 14:30 (EST), and all open positions should be closed
or rolled-over to December Contracts (CL4Z) as from Sunday, 17th October,
2004, at 19:00 (EST).

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 17:02 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
even Bill Gates can't move the MKT

Dallas MD 16:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
My bad! Bought cable @ 1.7968. Sorry.

london iain 16:55 GMT October 18, 2004
Dallas MD 16:52 GMT October 18, 2004
Bought cable @ 1.8068

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Haifa,
Why is Cable going up?
Saudis are dumping it?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cable
1.808476746 1.799386202
1.814018945 1.792787645
1.819561143 1.786189087
1.825103342 1.779590529

gold coast martin 16:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac 16:56 GMT October 18, 2004
That is NOT a crazy idea haifa.....g/t

Dallas MD 16:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
You are not crazy.

Haifa ac 16:56 GMT October 18, 2004
Van jv 16:50 GMT October 18, 2004
Crude down $ 1.6//
My hunch the Saudis will crash oil 5-10 bucks into the elections to ELECT BUSH. Don't call me crazy.

OPO MW 16:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
london iain 16:55 GMT October 18, 2004
u´re not the only one...i´m also long at 1.8003; let´s see what comes out of it...:-)

Haifa ac 16:56 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Van jv 16:50 GMT October 18, 2004
Crude down $ 1.6//
My hunch the Saudis will crash oil 5-10 bucks into the elections to ELECT BUSH. Don't call me crazy.

london iain 16:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD 16:52 GMT October 18, 2004
Bought cable @ 1.8068

Ouch!! I bought at 1.8005, stop at 1.7880. Still confident with this trade in spite of the past couple of hours 'crash'.

Dallas MD 16:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bought cable @ 1.8068

Van jv 16:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Crude down $ 1.6

Dallas MD 16:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
What price?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:42 GMT October 18, 2004
bought cable here

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
bought cable here

Helsinki iw 16:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
While not making any definite statement on USD/JPY, I would like to point out that the oil/JPY trade is a very popular trade (maybe a bit crowded?) and slightly misunderstood; Japan does rely on imports of raw materials for it´s production but is very efficent in it´s production. They use 92 units of fossile fuels for every unit of GDP while the USA e.g. uses 225.

NewYork frankie 16:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
sold eurgbp @.6954 tp open. This is a good bet for a day or two as it is near the top of the 4hr channel. Stop at .6970

Chicago YM 16:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hi everyone

Athens 16:34 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/$ finally moved past 1.25 as I had expected (re my comments on Sunday here). Earlier this month I mentioned 1.2540 as an important level, being the monthly high seen last March. The market has nearly satisfied this, missing it for less than 10 pips, therefore a mild retracement is not surprsing. The next (higher) important level is 1.2645-50 or a little higher depending on when the market will rally next.

FloridA VV 16:31 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Good levels to buy Usd/Jpy for a week or so

Closed Eur/Usd 170 pips+ Gbp/Usd 130 pips+

Attention to Yen pairs

Repatriation is over, oil is high - Yen is a dead bird.
Suggest long Usd/Yen and coverind at critical points with Eur/Yen

NewYork frankie 16:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
closed Cad at 1.2570 will buy back later

Gen dk 16:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 16:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
why would
aus/jpy be buy here?
80.16 79.51
80.46 79.14
80.75 78.77
81.05 78.40

jkt-aye 16:17 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
US crude futures fall below $54/bbl on profit taking after record high .... reuters

Dallas MD 16:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Another beautiful cable dump!

OPO MW 16:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
any idea what happened to cable?
thanks

NewYork frankie 15:53 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
stop on Cad at b/e

orlando jcr 15:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD,

Was thinking same...
I set t/p sell at 1.8022...
Thoughts on that point - feels like it might be a reach.

Dallas GEP 15:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
ALIMIN, no the 70 handle on EUR/GBP is not very probable

orlando jcr 15:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD,

There does seem to be repeated support...
Are you long...??
What is your target...??

Dallas MD 15:46 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Long cable @ 1.8008 for 10 to 15 pip scalp, stp 1.7994

Dallas MD 15:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cable @ 1.8000 support. Again &again & again....

Aden PK 15:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
This is extract from market news International
EURO-STERLING: continues to hold toward the earlier highs around stg0.6939, currently trading around stg0.6937 while cable slips lower in line with euro-dollar slippage from its recent highs around $1.2535. A break above stg0.6940 seen allowing rate to push on to challenge reported offers/resistance in the stg0.6950/60 area. Above here and stg0.6985 beckons. Demand noted at stg0.6925/20, more on the approach to stg0.6900.
Good luck every one in your trades.

DHK Jessica 15:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Can any one pls tell me where i can find some good arguments in favore of ISDA/ISMA etc pls? I need to write a paper for my management to understand.

Eilat Dolphin 15:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Raton/ Seeing the CAD action, I start to think that when Frankie say he "maxes all the way", he really means it.

Sydney Alimin 15:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:09 GMT October 18, 2004

do you think eur/gbp is targetting 0.70 handle in coming days?

Boca Raton 15:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
New York frankie,

Are you sure you didn't buy it at 1.2515 now that its 62 bid?

Gen dk 15:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Eilat Dolphin 15:21 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Did a meteorite just hit Montreal ?

NewYork frankie 15:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
bought Cad 1.2536 for 1.2570. I firmly believe we might have seen the low for this week. Would not be surprised to see 1.27+ despite all the US$ negativity.

VI FT 15:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hallo Raden_masandi
wats your opinion Eur/Usd .will see 1,26xx? or will see befof 1,24xx ?
Thanks

Rivonia PipPirate 15:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:03 Suggest keeping an eye on G/Y. Been v well behaved for a week now

y/d whisper

...........19748-19633.............

Dallas GEP 15:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Actually 6952 to be more precise RE: Eur/GBP

Bonn Karl 15:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
usd now singing ... say hello and wave goodbye.

Dallas GEP 15:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Pippirate, YES I agree, It is tricky to top pick EUR/GBP. Seems we are getting some minor failure here @ 6950

Los Angeles ss 14:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD -- with you on the short. How low will it go????

Rivonia PipPirate 14:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 14:48 To tell the truth they were more like a couple of old cows, so I milked them.:-)

y/d chart did whisper E/G

6972-6963-6941-6938-6924-6897-6883-6872-6833
Tricky to pick 'n top

Dallas MD 14:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cable @ 1.8000 support.

HK Kevin 14:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
CAD & AUD still hold their recent lows, how far could the EUR goes? I really don't know. Looking at EUR/JPY and EUR/GBP, EUR still show no weakness. My short position from 1.2486 last Fri was stop out at 1.2522. Poor trades!!!

Aden PK 14:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Re: NZD/USD Big Banks and Corporates apparently having large sell orders .6935 upto allthe way .6985 look for a larger correction from there, once .6780 breaks on closing basis then target will be .6550

Eilat Dolphin 14:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Pippirte/ the Martini, before they milked you or after ?

Dallas MD 14:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Short Cable @ 1.8014 for scalp

clonakilty glenn 14:43 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   

Thanks Martin, gl/gt mate

Rivonia PipPirate 14:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 14:30 GMT Last time I led some whorse to water they asked for a martini

Bonn Karl 14:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
aud/$ target 0.7410 ... buy 0.7275/65 s/l 0.7240

Ldn 14:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin you can take a horse to water martin but you cant make it drink, you did your best

gold coast martin 14:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
clonakilty glenn 14:10 GMT October 18, 2004
The kiwi trading at the top of its range(67-70} is really a cause for concern for a country that relies for its existence in exports and a competative currency....the interest rate differential that has been attracting flows is nearing the end (as it is happening to the ozzie} ....fundamentals like high personal debt and booming real estate prices that have not been cured with interest hikes spell trouble for the Kiwi...in the short term (7 days} look for a correction of 200 pips shouls kiwi trades above 6890...medium term{21 days}lokk for correction of 300-350 pips from current trading levels....gppd trades

sofia anmart 14:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY-196.90. We place entry short at 196.76 for 195.75.

Eilat Dolphin 14:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Within 10/ Strange, I would have thought GBPCHF to "peel off"... But I'd love to see the anti $ top again, in order to short some.

Dallas MD 14:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Long Cable @1.8024

Dallas MD 14:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Will close out cable short @ 1.8024 if seen.

Toronto Silverfox 14:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
UK Rics Report out early, shows -30 expected -16 last -14.
This is lowest level in 9 years, bad for UK housing. Was suppose to be out 23.30 gmt.

lnd 14:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Dallas MD. uk data leaked.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF...might just take off really fast

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP Might go up again from the same day's low

Dallas MD 14:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cable dump a thing of beauty!

sofia anmart 14:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD. 1.2510 should hold for another wave up to 1.2550.

Dallas MD 14:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Paring more cable short @ 1.8028

gold coast martin 14:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT October 18, 2004
When the eurozone fundamentals are flawed and supossedly USA fundamentals are the same,flows have been to commodity currencies..especially jap funds..this time the Japs have a lot of faith in their own recovery and have repatriated a lot of funds back home ....the pattern of the last 3 weeks leads me to this belief....still time will tell....g/t

nyc jk 14:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
think you are right Alimin, EUR may remain firm and AUD soft in near term. Newscorp deal, commodities weigh on AUD. Can see EUR/AUD cross moving up to 1.75 in coming weeks imo.

clonakilty glenn 14:10 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin
Hi Martin - Do you have a view on NZD/AUD at the moment? TIA

LA fxnew 14:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
does anyone have problem with ooannndaa?

thanks

USA Biscuit Boy 14:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bought aud/usd at 0.7270. Target 0.74+.

Sydney Alimin 14:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 14:02 GMT October 18, 2004

good point martin, last time when euro showed this characteristic of movement, next time it dropped with 10G force destroying all the mini trend in a matter of hours, i am not sure if it will happen again this time though

Plovdiv Gotin 14:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
If 1.2510 hold that will mean market targets 1.29.

Dallas MD 14:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cable seems to never maintain daily highs.

Dallas MD 14:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Pared Cable short @ 1.8044

Gen dk 14:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

gold coast martin 14:02 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   


Sydney Alimin 13:54 GMT October 18, 2004
AUD is not attracting funds purely due to interest differential,like it did before...fear of unable to exit in their timeframe of choice .....aud may be an indicator that this whole euro upmove may be fund induced and not a shift in fundamentals as a lot of people believe...time to exercise caution in assuming a long upward trend has emerged....good trades to everyone....

USA Biscuit Boy 13:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Well right now the Fed is transitioning from accomodative to neutral bias....that is a point where rates neither help nor hinder the economy. But if we continue with the bad economic data can the Fed continue to hike.....maybe we need accommodative for a while longer yet. And we still do not know what the neutral rate is 2% or 2.5%???

I think oil prices and jobs is the key for us now. Improvements in these and the market will start to believe the Feds upbeat view.

GOES B747 13:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito";

good afternoon to you;

when it will be the best time to divert 1:1 leverage account from EUR to USD according to your view/understanding ???

gt

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
SanFrancisco TG 13:39 GMT October 18, 2004
US has wanted the $ weak for some time now.
//
This is very true but no one seems to listen, partly due to double talk from gov.. I think it's about showtime. China will bulk at unpegging Yuan to $ especially if $ slides. Could lead to import duty sanctions for Chinese goods in EZ however. One way China gets under U.S. import limit regulations is to have Chinese people set up companies in Ecuador, buying out factories completely, retaining 95% of the personnel (booting out baddies), going on manufacturing as normal, exporting all production they want to USA. Why? Ecuador enjoys unlimited exports to USA. More than one way to skin a cat.

Sydney Alimin 13:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
surprising that aud is actually coming down, euro has become some sort of vehicle for any dollar selling news

Tallinn viies 13:53 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Plovdiv Gotin 13:45 GMT - still long half of my position.
target 1,2550/60 within 24 hours.
downside target where I would be ready to buy back stands at 1,2465/75 level but I doubt we will see it. will reassess after NYC close.

Bonn Karl 13:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hello again.
eur rising nicely ... now to tackle 1.2555/65 barrier.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
BB// Tks, very very true about financing deficit. That's why the spike. 1.2560ish resistance you emailed me could hit before lunch. Good call. G'span maybe won't go more % this opportunity...maybe will. The doubt causes decrease in $ FX confidence w/ no pill for deficit pain. If G'span doesn't go 2.00% we'll see the uptrend change up for E/$ chart begin to unfold, but higher Fed rates = consumer loans hike..slows econ.. Appears the US is in a corner due to humongous deficit, is that your take too? All this spells to me big trend change for E/$ pair..upward chart. Tks again.

Dallas MD 13:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Shorted GBP/USD @ 1.8061 for scalp

Quebec Swap 13:46 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Shorting some EUR/USD @1.2525 looks like some rejection at top end levels, but just for a few pips.

Plovdiv Gotin 13:45 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Tallin/Target?TIA.

Illinois DB 13:44 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Capital flows report is at
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/js2037.htm

Tallinn viies 13:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
sold half of long euros here at 1,2529.

SanFrancisco TG 13:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
US has wanted the $ weak for some time now.

USA Biscuit Boy 13:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Valdez we need these bond purchases to finance the deficit. The risk is if Greenspan does not raise beyond 2.00% then demand for these bonds will fall and an adjustment on the fx side will have to be made (i.e. lower dollar or the world absorbing the deficit as Greenspan says). However Fed officials remain upbeat so keep your eyes on the data....nothing this week to change perceptions IMO.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:29 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Tks dolphin.

Eilat Dolphin 13:27 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EURUSD and USDCAD keep printing the exact same numbers... don't make mistakes...

GENEVA FHR 13:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
See my post 13.00GMT

Eilat Dolphin 13:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Mosquito/ I think - 59 B

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:24 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Anyone know what USD Treas Intern'tl Cap Flow Rpt (AUG) 13:00 GMT (pr=$64.0Bln) came out? Is this move related? E/$ fast approaching September's resistance line of 1.2560. If it takes that out I'm more inclined than before to prepare for a trend change UP for this pair. Will short at 1.2560.

USA Biscuit Boy 13:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Helsinki iw higher hi and lower lo for eur/$.....yes that looks very familiar. Thanks for your post.

Melbourne Qindex 13:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The mid-point reference of 1.2511 // 1.2529 is 1.2520.

Helsinki iw 13:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD resistance at 1,2560/70 and USD/CHF support at 1,2200/10 may hold initially, but I believe we are in the midst of good trend. The creeping manner in which it develops makes it difficult to trade and will suck in alot of contrarians.
IMHO

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF is a buy
2.2310052 2.217741312

Melbourne Qindex 13:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 10:43 GMT October 18, 2004
EUR/USD (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 1.2380* // 1.2399 - 1.2417* - 1.2436 - 1.2455* - 1.2474 - 1.2492* - 1.2511 // 1.2529* ... 1.2566 ...


The market has a tendency to trade between 1.2455 and 1.2529 initially.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF might rally soon..
I think 1.2130...I will check...Just a min

sofia anmart 13:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD -1.8055. We buy at the market for 1.8135.

Melbourne Qindex 13:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : The odds are good to sell if the market is trading below 1.8045.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
euro might stop here

Dallas GEP 13:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Shoreted Eur/gpb @ 6932, shorted eur/jpy @ 136.80

Tor Pumpkin 13:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bank of Cda meeting is tomorrow. They will hike then.

hk mom 13:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
euro is still bullish.
No sign of rest.
Buy eur/aud get dimonds.

quito_ecuador_valdez "mos-quito" 13:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Livingston// true..but too many deck chairs on port side can make the boast list as well to correct later the load.

18-Oct Monday All times in GMT ex=expected pv=previous

JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 5:00
Mon EUR EZ CPI (MoM) (SEP) 9:00 ex=0.2% pr=0.2%
EUR EZ CPI (YoY) (SEP) 9:00 ex=2.1% pr=2.3%
CAD Int'l Securities Tranct'ns (AUG) 12:30 ex=C$1.5 pr=C$3.7
USD Treas Intern'tl Cap Flow Rpt (AUG) 13:00 pr=$64.0Bln
USD NAHB Housing Market Index (OCT) 17:00 ex=68 pr=68
GBP RICS House Price Balance (SEP) 23:30 ex=-15 pr=-12

Lots of Euro-USD news coming up tomorrow however, will post this PM + mañana AM.

Too early to speculate this week's direction(s), an interesting pattern developed after the Asian session today closely resembles Sept8-9 ..30 day chart. Top is level, not declined (down) like the other tops after initial vertical move. The other moves slope down after the original spike such as Sept21-22, Sept30-Oct4, Oct8-12 indicating a propensity to "want" to relocate at support. Point being Biscuit Boy's range top of 1.26xx looks more possible to me now especially since 1.25 was just punctured profoundly, more resembling Sept8-9's spur to higher levels. I see the possibility of this present move not behaving as we planned (shorting) just yet, maybe a false dip to 1.2440 to take out longs' stops, then moving on a clean track back up to pass 1.2500 and going north to BB's 1.26+.

I can also see the typical drop est to 1.2400 that I hoped for last Friday.

Too early to tell much as it's only Monday and soothsaying based on the first hour on Monday is pretty silly, but those are my thoughts...lots of stuff to do downtown, won't be online this AM.

Los Angeles ss 13:06 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Q -- thank you.

Eilat Dolphin 13:06 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Did CAD CB jump another quarter% ?

sofia anmart 13:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY 109.25. We place entry sell at 109.14. Target - 108.72 and 108.20.

GENEVA FHR 13:00 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Net foreign buy us securities 59Bn August

WASH DC SRQ 13:00 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:58 GMT October 18, 2004
ok, so you use to hmmm method. great! lol

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
eur/yen
136.7783025 135.7960254
hmmmm

Melbourne Qindex 12:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 11:34 GMT - GBP/USD : ... 1.8045* // 1.8063 - 1.8081 ...

WASH DC SRQ 12:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:33 GMT October 18, 2004
how do you come to your figures honestly? could i know your method if you dont mind.
thanks.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Eur/GBP
0.69333214 0.689276329

sofia anmart 12:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD -1.2484. We buy at the market for 1.2535.

BDQ 12:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
r u expecting $ to rise?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Cad
1.257465581 1.248235239

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Placed order euro 1.2435

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/YEn 197.704931 196.3131507

Dallas MD 12:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
I grew up in Westchester (Miami Coral Park HS) Mauricio

Hialeah Fx 11:52 GMT October 18, 2004
Hi Everybody! Long time no see

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:00 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:54 GMT October 18, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:50 GMT October 18, 2004
You may still get to your 12320 target of last week in the next 48 hours,,,,,,dont dismiss it....g/t

I can't do that...I think this a major buy

Livingston nh 11:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
The GVI Poll this week should be instructive - see how many folks are moving the deck chairs to the other side of the ship // looks like a lot of concern with fundamentals here (oil seems to have outweighed the Current Account comments) and the interest rate differences are being played down // US fixed income moves may give a clue - DR. GreensPANGLOSS may not have convinced bond traders this is the best of all possible worlds

KL KL 11:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
out aud and gbp short with 1 pip gain each...never let a win turn to loss....now very confuse

gold coast martin 11:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:50 GMT October 18, 2004
You may still get to your 12320 target of last week in the next 48 hours,,,,,,dont dismiss it....g/t

Hialeah Fx 11:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi Everybody! Long time no see

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:51 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
More Short Yen here

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
If the posted levels work out guys..I think this for the euro is good
1.252393644 1.243340459
still a buy...Sorry BB and Athens..I just thought U guys were dead wrong...I Guess I was!!

knoxville dan-k 11:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
were you guys shorting the yen rolling dice ? just wondering

Ina co'z 11:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Support for cable 1.7962 and resistance 1.8035..GL/GT !

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
london iain 11:43 GMT October 18, 2004 //
I have this 1.8250..But I also have it to thining out...
So I am just gonna PT at 1.8080

london iain 11:43 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:38 GMT October 18, 2004

done the same long cable at 1.8005. This is medium term, though, with stop 1.7880 looking for 1.8500 initially, maybe more depending on momentum and other Dollar markets at the time.

Los Angeles ss 11:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
gvm 1300 GMT

Sydney gvm 11:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
What time is the US August Net Foreign Capital Flow report released ? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Just longed cable...target 1.8080

Los Angeles ss 11:34 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Q -- how about cable?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
1.23811756 1.227306251
chf might do these

KL KL 11:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
ok quick one short audusd .7285 sl 10 above gbpusd 1.8011 sl 15 above.....looking for some 20 - 30 pips below hopefully

Melbourne Qindex 11:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Next level is 1.2452 - 1.2455.

Los Angeles ss 11:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
13:00GMT – (9:00AM EST) USD Net Foreign Security Purchases (AUG) Previous $64.0B
17:00GMT – (1:00PM EST) USD NAHB Housing Market Index (OCT) Expected 68, Previous 68

Panama City Beach, FL Chris 11:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
What news release is the EUR/USD waiting for??

knoxville dan-k 11:09 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
on the jpy shorters, looks like higher levels for now imho, what do you see different?

Ldn 11:02 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
quite a lot of negative news flows this week from UK.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
why would cable be thin ranging?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Lisbon
U agree with cable levels?

lisbon ss 10:53 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain
This time gree with you...profit target 108.85 stop loss 109.70
sold at 109.43 ..
LET us learn from you bahrain!!!

knoxville dan-k 10:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
im watching the $ yen, why short it here ?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:46 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
shorted yen here
target range overall
109.6470898 108.7920482

Melbourne Qindex 10:44 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Philadelphia caba 10:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Good morning everyone!
Got filled short EUR/CHF @ 1.5400, s/l little up 1.5440, first target 1.5345.
Happy trading!

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Nbi
Try this
http://www.netdania.com/QuoteList.asp
http://www.net$$dania.com/QuoteList.asp
without the $ sign

uk guo 10:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
forextv is the best just put earphone and listen

Nbi YP 10:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dallas.

I hv tried this site as well, at times the data is delayed there as well!! Do you follow any other site please?

Melbourne Qindex 10:32 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
wollongong s 10:07 GMT - AUD/USD : It will trade within my critical level for the time being.

Melbourne Qindex 02:33 GMT October 18, 2004
AUD/USD (Weekly Cycle) : The critical level of my weekly cycle is located at 0.7286 - 0.7333. .............................................

Dallas MD 10:29 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
http://www.forexnews.com/

Nbi YP 10:23 GMT October 18, 2004
Hi Frds,

Which site can give economic data coming out for the day ? Reuters posts the date but its bit delayed...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
nz...might this out too
0.6905 0.6814

Nbi YP 10:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi Frds,

Which site can give economic data coming out for the day ? Reuters posts the date but its bit delayed...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
looks like gonna be scramled eggs this week

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Perth RJ 10:16 GMT October 18, 2004 ///
I think u are right!!!

QC PGM 10:17 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
OCT 18 13:00GMT US Net Capital InflowTICS ($64.0B)
OCT 18 17:00GMT US NAHB Housing Mkt Index OCT

Perth RJ 10:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
AUD will touch 73.33 tonight

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:15 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
aussie..might still be a buy!!
I think BB is right!!
0.7347 0.7266

Sydney gvm 10:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
uk guo 09:34

I use CSI Daily Data from Florida for futures price history

Delayed quotes at http://www.futuresource.com/quotes/quotes.jsp?s=HHA

Reserach - no idea - I am systematic so dont use fundamental reserach

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
well...Lisbon
what u got lisbon for your posi for cable?

lisbon ss 10:10 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi bahrain within 10 pips
am still in the market ...........

wollongong s 10:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne;
What do you think the Aussie Dollar has in store over night?

Dallas MD 10:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Good trading day & week everyone. Good luck to all.
Mauricio

Gen dk 10:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:04 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GM All
for those that trade cable..
any think that cable will sleep between these levels?
1.8085 1.7993

Melbourne Qindex 09:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

SAIHAT 09:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
For this week..an indicator till me that these no. will be hit

eur 1.2316
chf 1.2458
aud .7241
cad 1.2679

SAIHAT 09:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
WEEKLY RANGE

1.2337 1.2623
1.2149 1.2501
108.53 109.98

0.7218 0.7393
1.7920 1.8150
1.2418 1.2612

Plovdiv Gotin 09:40 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
US data today mates?TIA.

Ldn 09:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Some are expecting flows to be better .than forecast.helping the USD today
Treasury International Capital Flow Report (AUG) 13:00 USD$64.0B

SAIHAT 09:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
New range

1.2430 1.2530
1.2270 1.2380
108.90 109.60
0.7267 0.7343
1.7957 1.8113

uk guo 09:34 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 09:20 GMT October 18, 2004

After boring of last ranging movements in fx markets I tried HFI and I found it work well ,although its spike is lethal i find it attractive .Friend am till now know little about the index .May u tell me where can I find charts quote research and news of HFI?

Melbourne Qindex 09:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Tokyo IM 09:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
It seems like USD/JPY are loking bullish today and might be heading for 109.7 - 110, any opinions about that?

uk guo 09:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
uk guo 08:36 GMT October 18, 2004
GBP/CHF is looking good to go short 1-hour chart for short term profit


bought at 2.2251 close at 2.2239 swing swing +11 pips

Sydney gvm 09:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
uk guo

i am working on a portfolio of Asian futures markets and Hang Seng is on eof the markets I am contemplating including - what has been your experience re: slippage and general execution? TIA

london iain 09:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Believe it or not I have a March '05 forward in place on cable from spot 1.7750 a few weeks back (more luck than judgement probably?), but am keeping this position for 1.9200+ in Q1 '05. Eur purchases and options last week are more short term, but I will be looking for sub 1.800 today to place another m/t forward on cable, with the same targets as above and a s/l for spot 1.7880. If correct, I expect prices to next test 1.8500, before retracing back towards 1.8000 and then heading straight up and above 1.9000 into beginning of next year.

Melbourne Qindex 09:17 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Kamensk Andy 09:00 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
london iain - Good afternoon. I was a cable buyer during two weeks (thanks to shanghai bc) - for m/t target near 1.87-1.88. May i ask you about your targets? Thank you in advance

uk guo 08:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Trading hang seng futures index is a unique experient .anyone taste it?

hk ab 08:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
london, your qns--> hk mom.

Melbourne Qindex 08:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

uk guo 08:36 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
GBP/CHF is looking good to go short 1-hour chart for short term profit

london iain 08:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 08:13 GMT October 18, 2004

Having been USD bearish from Tue last week on this forum, I am still of the opinion that this break down across the board will be of a more sustained nature than most currently believe. I am a holder of eur longs from comments as per last week and am a buyer of cable dips this week - I feel it could be the outperformer after a slow start.

london 08:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab what's your target for the eur/chf?

Bangalore rkg 08:25 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
bangalore rkg 09:29 GMT October 14, 2004
euro likely to hit 1.2475 within 24 hours

Break above 1.2520 exposes 1.2575/1.2670. Downside to find supported at 1.2425 first - g/t

Melbourne Qindex 08:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/CHF : Current Comment.  Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ldn 08:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hk ab ok good luck

hk ab 08:13 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
ldn or london,
please let me know when you change your usd-bullish tones so that I can follow you.

Alicante RTN 07:51 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Not comfortable with long eur or chf positions from the top of the range levels.

Better (safer) picking in the crosses and especially eursek looks toppish while eurchf may have found a m/t bottom.

ldn 07:44 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today.

SF MRZ 07:36 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Chinese Showcase Fuel-Saving Cars

October 17, 2004 05:14 PM EDT ...
Hydrogen peroxide reacts with silver to produce oxygen and heat that can be used to propel a rocket, or a car.

....Associated Press

prague mark 07:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
shall we short silver - ?

hk mom 07:07 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Today speccial:
Buy eur/chf wear diamonds.
bought at 1.5419
bought more 1.5385 this morning
bought just again 1.5405.

KL KL 06:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
op of the day all... After the censored we go thru.....this article made me laugh.. In short we are in a range long term .. so trading the range hit and run is best...imho of course

There is a sense that the US dollar is weak, but this is all relative. As of the start of October, the dollar has actually gained against the euro, pound, Swiss franc and yen. For comparison purposes, the dollar ended last year as follows:

EUR/USD 1.2560
USD/JPY 107.45
GBP/USD 1.7832
USD/CHF 1.2416

As of October 1, the exchange rates were:

EUR/USD 1.2410
USD/JPY 110.40
GBP/USD 1.7975
USD/CHF 1.2500

So, the European currencies slipped ever so slightly, while the yen showed the biggest losses, at least on a relative basis.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 06:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
hello all..
Eur/usd
Level Buy : 1.2442 – 1.2414 – 1.2388 – 1.2366 – 1.2342 – 1.2248
Level Sell : 1.2525 – 1.2575

GBP/usd
Level Buy : 1.8016 – 1.8008 – 1.7981 – 1.7908 – 1.7868
Level Sell : 1.1.8094 – 1.8125

Aud/usd
Level Buy : 0.7281 – 0.7262 – 0.7188 – 0.7114
Level Sell : 0.7409 – 0.7447

Usd/jpy
Level Buy : 108.45
Level Sell : 109.35 – 109.64 – 110.15

Usd/Chf
Level Buy : 1.2261
Level Sell : 1.2432 – 1.2502 – 1.2561

gold
Level Buy : 416.70 – 416.20
Level Sell : 423.70
..

Melbourne Qindex 06:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 08:35 GMT October 17, 2004
EUR/USD : The following reference will be referred from time to time. The mid-point reference of the barrier at 1.2444 // 1.2505 is 1.2475 :-


Melbourne Qindex 00:11 GMT October 6, 2004
EUR/USD : Quantized Levels from 3-Month Projection Profile


... xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx - 1.2259 - 1.2321 - 1.2382* - 1.2444 // 1.2505 ...

Ldn 06:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex a little dollar bullish !!

SAIHAT 06:22 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
R4 1.8191 1.8182
R3 1.8130 1.8126
R2 1.8092 1.8091
R1 1.8083 1.8082

GBPUSD
1.8017 1.8022
1.8008 1.8004

S1 1.7933 1.7932
S2 1.7924 1.7922
S3 1.7886 1.7882
S4 1.7825 1.7816

Melbourne Qindex 06:05 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa 06:03 GMT - You can guess my feeling from my posts.

nyc sa 06:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi Dr .Qindex do u see any particular direction on GBP/JPY? it looks like it is stalling ? ur comment plz , thnx .

Melbourne Qindex 05:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:22 GMT October 16, 2004
EUR/USD : In spite of the strong movement in the last two trading sessions in New York the market has not yet decided on whether it will head for 1.2654 in a trending fashion or consolidate further within the range of 1.2337 - 1.2495. The chance of seeing 1.2178 within the remaining period of this month is still fairly good. The market rhythm of this operator is represented by 317 pips.


... 1.2019* // 1.2178 - 1.2337* - 1.2495 // 1.2654* ...


In other words the market is going to vibrate around the quantized level at 1.2337 with an expected magnitude of +/- 158 pips, i.e. 1.2178 - 1.2495 for the time being.

Eilat Dolphin 05:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
LA/ Cable looks weak hanging up there. Will need the help of the Euro coalition to stay aloft imo, and that's not a given.

Looks like they don't pump oil in the Northern sea no more...

Anyway, this fx planet is still asleep.

Till TIC tics...

Los Angeles ss 05:56 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Dr. Q.

Melbourne Qindex 05:55 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 05:47 GMT - Keep an eye on GBP/JPY.

Los Angeles ss 05:47 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Anyone with any thoughts on cable?

Melbourne Qindex 05:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:02 GMT October 18, 2004
USD/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 108.85 - 109.61 and the mid-point reference is 109.23.

SAIHAT 05:02 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
R4 0.7406 0.7410
R3 0.7371 0.7373
R2 0.7349 0.7350
R1 0.7344 0.7345

AUDUSD
0.7302 0.7303
0.7301 0.7303

S1 0.7258 0.7258
S2 0.7253 0.7253
S3 0.7231 0.7233
S4 0.7196 0.7200

Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 05:00 GMT October 18, 2004
USD/JPY : The congested area of my daily cycle is projected at 108.85 - 109.61.

SAIHAT 04:58 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
1.2641 1.2638 R4
1.2575 1.2573 R3
1.2533 1.2533 R2
1.2524 1.2523 R1

EURUSD
1.2454 1.2461
1.2442 1.2440

1.2359 1.2359 S1
1.2350 1.2349 S2
1.2309 1.2307 S3
1.2242 1.2239 S4

Melbourne Qindex 04:53 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 04:52 GMT October 18, 2004
USD/JPY (adjusted) : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


... 108.49 // 108.68 - 108.87 - 109.05 - 109.24 - 109.42 - (109.61) - 109.79 // 109.98 ...


Expected daily low and high is 108.68 and 109.61 respectively.

Juneau CAR 04:48 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
It has been my observation that as a species we suck at predicting anything. For 25 years I have read a zillion predictions and they are almost always wrong-lol.

I think you guys do the right thing. Just work on the next ten minutes-lol.

Juneau CAR 04:44 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Well, that is what makes a horse race-lol.

Sydney EM. 04:43 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD IMM Trader commitment data showed net
longs have risen to 24K from 17K. These are levels that haven't been seen since the AUD/USD was marching to 80-cents back in February

london 04:19 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Friday surge has likely expanded net EUR longs on IMM back to extremely high levels after slight fall to 38,095 contracts in week ended October 12, from 44,811 previously, today hourly oscillators slightly negative fading 10-hour momentum, bearish MACD crossover with initial support on minor uptrend line around 1.2437. Citigroup

Los Angeles ss 04:14 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
FXnew -- I'm no expert, but I can't believe this won't retrace after the run up as cable frequently does. I'm short at these levels waiting to see if it breaks down going into the London open. Stochs look like they are turning down, if it breaks 1.8020 looks like we might get that retrace.

LA fxnew 04:11 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
any cable expert who can share their views?

thanks

london 04:06 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Australia Westpac tips 10% fall in commodity prices through 2005 based on expectation new supply in commodities such as aluminum, copper will be developed in response to higher prices, new supply typically comes on stream around time demand waning due to slower activity, higher prices. China's soft landing has only really just begun.
reuters.

Melbourne Qindex 04:03 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:38 GMT October 18, 2004
USD/JPY : My daily cycle charts indicate that the market is likely to trade between 109.04 - 109.42 initially. The mid-point reference of 109.04 - 109.42 is 109.23. Projected resistant and supporting point is 109.80 and 108.65 respectively.


... 108.27 // 108.65 - (109.04 - 109.42) - 109.80 // 110.18 ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:59 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 03:38 GMT October 18, 2004
USD/JPY : My daily cycle charts indicate that the market is likely to trade between 109.04 - 109.42 initially. The mid-point reference of 109.04 - 109.42 is 109.23. Projected resistant and supporting point is 108.65 and 109.80 respectively.


... 108.27 // 108.65 - (109.04 - 109.42) - 109.80 // 110.18 ...

Juneau CAR 03:53 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Well for today all London Metal warehouse supplies are down and all prices are up. I tpretty much looks like this every day and I have followed it several times a day for a long time now.

Look for yourself:

http://www.kitcometals.com/

Sydney EM. 03:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
AUD struggling to push higher "we remain nervous about the potential for further clean-out in commodity markets", while expected Bank of Canada, RBNZ rate hikes in coming weeks "will again highlight the steady policy hand here in Australia". AUD/USD unlikely to get back to last week's 0.7380 high, with sellers in 0.7350 region already. Still tipping pair in broad 0.6800-0.7300 range.
Macquarie Bank
currency strategy report

Juneau CAR 03:45 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
two things London: 1) China's oil imports were 40% above a year earlier. That is quite a bit-lol. the world is producing 80 million barrels a day and consuming the same. Nothing extra. Shows the strength of demand for asia.

Secondly, China is finishing up the 3 Gorge dam which will provide electricity for millions of homes and businesses; and they are now working on 1/2 dozen other huge hyrdoelectric projects. And asia has to pretty much wire and plumb the entire population.

As long as interest rates stay low asia will continue to buy. Rember the emergence of asia as an economic power is the equlivelant of 30 Japans modernizing all at once; and like Japan they are building an infrastructre for 3 billion people from the ground up. Not to mention the rest of the world which is also consuming like crazy becasue of the huge bulge in cheap money provided courtesy of the fed-lol.

Mfld JM 03:43 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
FWIW - If copper goes to $2.88/lb, thoses copper pennies in your pocket would be worth .02 !
Just my .02 worth.

Melbourne Qindex 03:39 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Los Angeles ss 03:38 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
St -- thanks.

knoxville dan-k 03:33 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
maby prices being higher is a direct effect of oil prices u know transportation, running equipment cost has doubled and going up -- must get passed on to consumers, dosnt mean we are running out of everything

houston st 03:21 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   

SS -- as posted by GVI-John on Friday:

13:00 GMT- US- TIC data


good trades to you.

Melbourne Qindex 03:21 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & GBP/USD  Weekly Cycle Analyses. Register with [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Los Angeles ss 03:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Anyone know when the US Treasury data (TIC) is being released today / tonight?

london 02:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
What has changed over the last year only China , nothing else the same amount of Copper is around - its just the speculative market trying to create a crisis - if China have a minor slow down copper will crash like it or not - be it only temporary but it will crash taking many specs with it

Juneau CAR 02:49 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
And nyc, copper right now is $1.32 a lb. What exactly do you think the average price of copper is-lol? $1.32 reflects tremendous scarcity.

http://www.kitcometals.com/

Take a look for yourself.

Juneau CAR 02:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
What are you talking about sg. Just a few days ago copper was $1.49/50 a pound! Remember that law callaed supply and demand. They have to mine it!

LME stocks are way down. Now seqential logic tells one that if the lme is now down to 87,000 tons from 470,000 last year and the price is sky high there is not enough copper-lol.

It is also theorized there is a lot of gold in the center of the earth, but it is very tough to get out-lol.

I know of not one single resource that is not in short supply with sky high prices (in dollar terms). Look at aluminum, plywood, gasoline, coal!, tin,cobalt,uranium, string beans-lol, zinc,lead,natural gas!, and on and on.

So one has to ask, why? In a word, DEMAND. The best and easiest copper deposits have been mined out, or are located in areas like Rawanda that have pretty slim quantites of laws, infrastructure and survival mechanisms-lol.

There is speculation, uranium will go to $100. Oil will go to $100, copper to $2, nickel to $10/$20, zinc to stay above .50.

Ironically the rarest one of all may be silver and yet it lags all the rest in appreciation??

knoxville dan-k 02:23 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
well here in america, the recycling plants pay such a high price on copper and others metals that it is usually stripped out of houses and buildings prior to demolishing them vary little of that is wast

sg 01:57 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
We're in no danger of running out of copper. Known worldwide resources of this important and valuable metal are estimated at nearly 5.8 trillion pounds of which only about 0.7 trillion (12%) have been mined throughout history.

And keep in mind, nearly all of that 0.7 trillion (or 700 billion) pounds is still in circulation because copper's recycling rate is higher than that of any other engineering metal.

source:http://www.copper.org

nyc jk 01:45 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
RF - hate to ruin your thesis with bothersome details like facts, but have you happened to check the price of copper lately dear chap?? not exactly acting like a scarce commodity.........

HK [email protected] 01:41 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
OPEN YOUR EYES ALL OF YOU!!!!
From a previous post placed on this site today...

http://www.kitcometals.com/

Look at copper for instance: there were 470,000 tons in the LME last year at this time. Today there is 89,000 tons and some of the largest companies are on strike e.g Mexico and Argintina?. They are rationing uranium, cobalt, tin and nickel.

The world is turning to commodities not only because of scarce supplies, but because those who own the big money KNOW!!! that if they want to buy MADE IN USA the excess will be offered to them as BONDS!!! oh my God.
BUt all have enough bonds. So the big money returns to the markets and buys whatever can preserve it's value, B4 it will turn into non-convertible money(FIAT MONEY).
A smell of crisis is hanging around, it all remains to see how the markets will digest it.

hk ab 01:20 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
bc// good morning.
Per your mentioned dlr/jpy long under 110, what "depth" are you looking for this dip?
'cos I think if the dip is about 400-500 pips, to us small fish, the risk is too high.
Personally, I am waiting for some fib of the run 103-115, if not, ideally, the double bottom, 103.40.

Thanks.

wellington am 01:18 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
India produced some important news: it has decided to use its foreign reserves to fund infrastructure spending. Rather than “subsidizing the US economy” by holding US Treasury bonds, India intends to create its own infrastructure bonds. While there is little risk in the (unusual) policy, it suggests that Asian governments are rethinking the logic of holding so many US bonds. As such it could signal the start of a devaluation of the US currency.

COMSEC

Dallas GEP 01:12 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Well in looking at usd/cad and aud/usd, my thoughts are that usd/cad has got LOTS more potential to long in terms of pip range than what AUD/USD can do in pips should it short. As I have posted previously there is a great deal of correaltion between USD/CAD longs and AUSSIE shorts anyway, but I just feel usd/cad can MOVE more

SAIHAT 01:10 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
HI

COULD BE ASIA RANGE

1.2451 1.2509
1.2290 1.2360
109.11 109.40
0.7288 0.7323

Ltn th 00:54 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
There are so many heavy duty scrots talking down the AUD in local media this monday morn that it is either getting ready to really fly or James is out to get Rupert.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 00:52 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Hi Guys..any have these for and low for today?
euro
1.2524 1.2434

HK [email protected] 00:50 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Another way to preserve the value of their bond, may be the farmers way.
A humorous solution can be patterned after farmers who destroy part of their crop in order to maintain the product price.
So if Japan and China will place one fourth of their US debt paper in incinerators(debt forgiveness), the other half may rise and sold at better price.

HK [email protected] 00:42 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
nyc grumpy 00:35 GMT

Paper gold and/or physical gold will do too. To whatever extent.

Calabash TarHeel 00:37 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: If seen, selling Aud/Usd .7322 Eur/Usd 1.2485.
Happy Trades

nyc grumpy 00:35 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 00:30 GMT October 18, 2004

"It is therefor a must for them to hedge their coming losses, by a safe way like buying gold or Euro."

And exactly how much real liquidity do these options present?

HK [email protected] 00:30 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
wellington 00:08 GMT October 18, 2004
CNBC analyst mention Key reversal day last week for commoditiy prices. very bearish very interesting.

I suggest you to have your own analysis rather listen to these running Dog-nalists of CNBC, who will bite every one (for money) by their master's voice.


Take oil for example...prices of Light Crude Oil were rising on non abating volume. Just another point to count on.
Better rely on your analysis!!!
GL/GT

london 00:26 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
A report published Monday by ITEM Club, independent think-tank sponsored by Ernst & Young say continuing high oil prices could hit UK economic growth next year.

HK [email protected] 00:16 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
Central banks who bought American debt papers are bound to bigtime losses.
On top of the list Japan and China.
The astronomic quantities they hold are not bailable without heavy losses.
In case inflation will run out of control(though Greeny says all is under control) on top of the falling USD, higher interest rate
will wipe more of their values.
It is therefor a must for them to hedge their coming losses, by a safe way like buying gold or Euro.
But officials are of slow ignition, because they do not think like us, who survive on our thinking .
They think more or less for the salary they are being paid, and never in radical manner, so not to be booted out of their jobs. So if peoples money is lost pffft their income is secured.
So now you in central banks listen.
Look at the chart of gold cup and handle with a target of about 530$/Oz.
now 530/418= 1.2679 or long term(year or two) safe profit of 26.79%
A loss equivalent in US bonds can be offset by gold.
So with the Euro which will reach as of my post since april to 1.59.
Did they run for cover or not yet?

wellington 00:08 GMT October 18, 2004 Reply   
CNBC analyst mention Key reversal day last week for commoditiy prices. very bearish very interesting

 




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