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Forex Forum Archive for 10/26/2004

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Syd 23:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Main hindrance for AUD short term is the sheer weight of AUD longs that have accumulated in this recent run higher AUD destined to pull back, with first major stop towards 0.7400, thus filling gap that opened up on Monday morning.
NAB strategy report.

SAIHAT 23:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
could be asia range

1.2718 1.2788
1.1984 1.2062

106.45 106.97
0.7432 0.7482

1.8305 1.8395
1.2213 1.2298

london 22:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Looking to buy Aud today around NY low

hk mom 22:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Buy GBP for the next crazy upleg.

pd cumino 22:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Jf you could be well right. Only it will be the a very great forecast. Because you may agree that in that case it is not only an intervention, it is a strong political sign.

tk jf 22:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
cumino - ive been wrong before and ill be wrong again - i hope they do makes life more interesting gl today

Calabash TarHeel 22:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Syd 22:11 GMT October 26, 2004
I think it is safe to say that all CB's have a domestic agenda.
gl,gt

pd cumino 22:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Jf. I don't doubt they will speak, warn, menace, and perhaps use some "friend buying" in the case.
But an intervention, just some days ahead US elections, with the possible consequences on the same vote, and a risk of a new string of commercial reprisal later, frankly I see difficult.

Syd 22:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Euro falls on Schröder remark
http://news.ft.com/censored/s/059dc97c-2738-11d9-a0dd-00000e2511c8.html

Pd..for some reason this US election has taken on a different slant than others , its probably because of Iraq - CB appear to be looking after their own needs .

tk jf 22:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
cumino - its abt respct for boj - when they say something they want mkt to py attention so i wud not be surprised to see one move to remind the mkt that unlike others we can commit real money to the market - your point is valid - but seems the risk of action are alot closer than the last few weeks

pd cumino 22:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Japan never intervened ahead US elections.
I don't see many reasons they will do this time. Instead, if possible, I see less reasons than usual.

Syd 21:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Japan ready to intervene if yen keeps rising
Japan's finance minister has signalled that the country is prepared to resume its intervention in the currency market as a rising yen threatens corporate profits and economic growth. FT.

Melbourne Qindex 21:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Melbourne Qindex 20:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

perrie como 20:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
http://yahoo.reuters.com/financeQuoteCompanyNewsArticle.jhtml?duid=mtfh72101_2004-10-26_15-16-43_n26274381_newsml


The only short-term safety valve, it seems, is a slide in the dollar that would make U.S. exports less pricey, imports more expensive and U.S. assets cheaper to buy.

Syd 20:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD slid back today after a failed rally above 0.7505 and
news that NewsCorp successful voted to change the primary listing to the US. Some have suggested a $5.6 bln shift in equity funds from Australia to the US, but the timing of any MSCI weighting shifts remains unclear
IFR

Syd 20:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
The market looks like it is set to trim USD shorts in the next few days, having priced in an eventful US election season. One sign of that came from GBP/USD's inability to rally after weaker than expected US consumer confidence. IFR

Melbourne Qindex 19:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Curve A will still be the controlling line in Asian session. Updated will be ready in my page within an hour.


Melbourne Qindex 22:06 GMT October 25, 2004
EUR/USD : The key quantized level of my daily charts is located at 1.2819 and the neutral zone is 1.2764 - 1.2875. A projected supporting level is expected at 1.2720 - 1.2723. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.2979 - 1.2986.


Curve A : ... 1.2727* // 1.2746 - 1.2764* - 1.2782 - 1.2801 - 1.2819 - (1.2838)* - 1.2856 - 1.2875* - 1.2893 - 1.2912* - 1.2930 // 1.2949* ... 1.2986* ...


Curve B : ... 1.2723* // 1.2755 - 1.2787* - 1.2819 - (1.2851)* // 1.2883 - 1.2915* ... 1.2979* ...


Curve C : ... 1.2671 // 1.2720* - 1.2770 - (1.2819)* - 1.2869 - 1.2918* // 1.2967 - 1.3017* ...


Curve D : ... 1.2708 // 1.2732 - 1.2757 - 1.2782 - 1.2807 - (1.2831) - 1.2856 - 1.2881 - 1.2905 // 1.2930 - 1.2955 - 1.2980 ...

Gen dk 19:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 19:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Consensus Growing That Definitive Election Favors USD
IFR

perrie como 19:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
given the sustained bidding on oil
think that eur/usd is ready for a
rush trough It's yearly top

guess sooner than later

maybe Kerry wins :)

Surabaya Medallion 19:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
"in the Tuesday Asia session and watching nervously as Eur/USD go to 1.282x"

Uh I mean 1.272x today level.

Surabaya Medallion 19:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good Job for the Eur/USD forecast HK sons. I think overrelying the charts w/o the emotional consideration is a bad idea. I'm still banging my head because I miss the train from the 1.248 and to think it would retrace nicely to 1.238 & prematurely sold Yen at 109.68. :(

So I've bought AUD at 74.45 since Monday with S/L at 74.10. Plan not to be greedy and will put target at 74.9x tomorrow as has printed twiced since Monday. censored, I thought Eur/USD could go to 1.288 after it breached 1.284 in the Tuesday Asia session and watching nervously as Eur/USD go to 1.282x. Anyway, it's nice to be back with the USD bearish crowds in this forum.

Gen dk 19:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Santo Domingo tht 19:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Juneau Car.. Might have to go here first

http://www.global-view.com

and then on the menu on the right side.

Syd 19:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR to you right under Home (login Forums)

london 19:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london cam thanks

Irish thank you also

Juneau CAR 19:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Could someone tell me how to access the help forum.

TIA

Eilat Dolphin 19:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I was still wet when I heard CNBC guy breaking news that tomorrow, the Euro parlament liberals are going to lose the vote for sure and a period of uncertainity was to follow; so I took a position even before the charts would F....n open.
E was at ...51.5 then.

While I was drying up, the E climbed a few pips.
Returned to the announcement level now.

I have no clue if it will be NEWS later. But the E and co still are, on the daylies, in hyperspace.

And that counts!

Gen dk 18:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Chicago Irish 18:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Seems to be decent support initially in the 1.2720-30 zone and lots of bids rumoured in the 1.2685-00 zone,shorts might start to sweat if 1.2770 is breached

london cam 18:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
interesting article.....
http://money.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2003/10/10/cnoil10.xml&menuId=242&sSheet=/money/2003/10/10/ixfrontcity.html

london 18:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish do you feel there is more profit taking to be done in Asia ?

london 18:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Boca Ratan, may be so, the fact that Schroeder is jawboning means it isnt a one way street for the Euro without Bumps as some seem to think ,so care needs to be taken

The euro retreated to session lows after German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder said he had discussed the "worrying" euro/dollar exchange rate relationship with French President Jacques Chirac.

london 18:27 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
FOREX-Dollar up as US data, European outlook help
LINK
"If you were looking for a retracement (in euro/dollar), here's a perfect reason to sell it off," said a trader with GAIN Capital in Warren, New Jersey.

slv sam 18:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Revdax/
imho, e/us$ target is 1.31xx in weeks time but first 1.2450.GT

Gen dk 18:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

london 18:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   

'I thought Peel would live forever'

london 17:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
houston st really sad, bring tears to my eyes , great guy

van revdax 17:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
slv sam 17:44 //no

houston st 17:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   

LONDON -- I used to listen to him out of Moore, OK back in '63/64 on KOMA-AM...you could pick them up all the way to Tulsa at night...he went by the name John Ravenscroft back then...seems like he even came to town for a teen hop as well...he loved the music...gl/gt.

london 17:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
John Peel champion of British music for nearly 40 years dies
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/entertainment/3955369.stm

london 17:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab no flat seller of the dollar but its been too oversold of late

HK Kevin 17:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Closed 1/2 long EUR/JPY position from 135.78 at 136.04 for 26 pips. Move stop of the remaining lower to 135.58. Good night

slv sam 17:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
van revdax 17:08 GMT October 26, 2004 /
do you have any opinion.GT

hk ab 17:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london//are you still holding usd long positions?

london 17:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Schroeder said the euro, which soared Monday to above $1.2800, "is indeed worrisome...for our economic development." A strong euro means euro-zone goods are less price-competitive on global markets. Germany's economic recovery is still export-driven, as domestic demand remains weak. The government forecasts economic growth of 1.7% in 2005 after an expected 1.8% rise in 2004. Monday, it said the high oil price is likely to damp growth next year.

manchester daniel 17:27 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Kevin - line i refer to is from 8 sep low thru the 13 oct low.

However, looks like you may have picked a bottom and I have missed this trade. So Kevin 1 Daniel 0 - haha.

As it happens, I managed to get some euro at 12733, so thats looking OK at the moment.

HK Kevin 17:23 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
manchester Daniel 17:15 GMT, may be we are looking at different charts. My chart shows the trendline support is at 135.68, which is also 200ma in the 4-hr chart and has been hold since last week.

hk son 17:22 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk stepson 17:15 GMT October 26, 2004

you will see tomorrow, back above 1.28 and by friday 1.2930!
gap is gap and until that is closed there is no reason for me to think not to long euro

KL KL 17:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Top of the day all ..yawn...huh....nice currency move...but I am flat...amazing. So it went up then down...consumer confidence not good so dollar drop then pop....he he. DOW up, Oil up...all don't make sense. Maybe better keep sleeping, this is just a dream.

AUD close to not moving...believe it or not I dare not trade now...LOL...maybe need to get into the rhythm

hk stepson 17:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
stepbrother - why you argue with market on your underwater position? you should follow mom and buy low, sell high instead of buy high and argue.

stepson say "he who is underwater, should not open mouth to speak"

manchester Daniel 17:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin - please note T-line support for eur/yen at 135.63.

You may want to change your stop to allow for test of this line.

I agree with your trade, but will try to enter about 15 pips lower, around 134.65-70 area. GL GT

hk son 17:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 17:00 GMT October 26, 2004

i might be too young for you, but i am old enough to make new son , again prove it that the gap will be closed, i will put my body on the line even between the last available gap to slot my body in!! come on bring it on! this is an open challenge to usd bulls!

van revdax 17:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
How low is Euro going to go down? TIA

HK Kevin 17:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Long EUR/JPY at 135.78, s/l slightly below 135.68, looking for 136.40
hk son, you ae too young.

Bonn Karl 16:57 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Everyone check out the Help Forum ... missing a great fight ... quito_ecuador_valdez, showing his nasty side ... LOL.

hk son 16:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
yeah buy some euros here until the gap is closed....come on bring it on.....mom might be afraid but i won't be, i am still young, risk taker! go euro!

Gen dk 16:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Chicago Goofy 16:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK Family, your gud point to long euro is here.

Sydney Alimin 16:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Livingston nh 16:24 GMT October 26, 2004

thx nh, and the result won't be known until Asian session on Nov 5?
but it should be known some time before that in case we have a decisive win by either candidate, shouldn't it? i mean like the case of australian election few weeks back

would be interesting to see any radical moves in fx before and after the election but i would agree with quito, the election itself would be non-event for fx market

Livingston nh 16:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Alimin - FYG the election is next tuesday (NOV 2)

hk mom 16:23 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
never say never in this fx-wonderland.

quito_ecuador_valdez 16:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
You're welcome Alimin..let Help Forum see your view too. Some don't post there to offer a helping hand, yet chastize those who do. Sum it up: street buzz "consensus" (FWIW):

Kerry= $pos (terrorists won't hate US so much)
Kerry= $neg (unknown factor in the formula)
Net: Kerry= zero effect..OCO?

Bush = $ zero effect (business as usual)
Bush = $neg (the terroist hate target)
Net: slightly $ neg.

I see US election non event...OCO. Pent up USD buyers will buy for 1-2 weeks after election results (Nov 5 Asian session), another factor.

Gen dk 16:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 16:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 15:59 GMT October 26, 2004

thanks a lot quito, appreciate it...that's very kind of you, will check it soon

BDQ 16:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
baharin,

do u think that GBP/JPY would break 197?

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 15:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Forex Forum// You asked what's it goona do.
I'll be posting something in a few minutes on your question in Help Forum from consensus mainstream data I've collected per the US election effects on USD, plus my own predictions/ops as well.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Longed Cable/Jpy for 100 Points

Sydney Alimin 15:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
all 20 MAs 4 hr chart have held so far, that's good sign for usd bears, but i agree with Helsinki, iw...only time will tell

whatever lies ahead this has been a very good trading week, all volatile even during asian session, very profitable for pip raiders (KL must be smiling)

BDQ 15:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
will EUR/$ fall back to 1.2735

hk ab 15:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
iw, Alimin. I don't have doubt at 1.2690. But I give some more tolerance at 1.2883.

FWIW, TV just showed hkers selling GOLD.
Interesting......

Helsinki iw 15:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Time will tell, but I too have a bid slightly lower. gl.

hk son 15:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
there is no way that could happen in euro, it that happens today i'll munch my new hat bought by mom! all this little usd jump is just teasing last usd bulls, we will be back above 1.2770 by NY close

Helsinki iw 15:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
A key day reversal would be a close today under 1,2690 (on my system yesterdays low). Then again we could just be testing the gap, a reversal off that would be quite bullish. But we aren´t there yet, best to wait and see.

Sydney Alimin 15:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LOL that aud price just now is really bad 0.7444....i dont wanna buy or sell at that price and hold it haha might destroy my fortune, hk ab i am sure you understand it

Sydney Alimin 15:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 15:30 GMT October 26, 2004

are you sure about this 1.2883? that's new high for euro for this leg up, isn't it?

hk ab 15:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I just wonder if anyone has some T.A. view on cable.

sofia anmart 15:31 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY is for sell to 194.30.

hk ab 15:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, 1.2890. But for some smart mkt maker sake, I will treat it 1.2883. A close under this is key day.
For chf, 1.21 will be better.

Dallas GEP 15:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Took usd/jpy long @ 106.65

Dallas Mauricio 15:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good Luck to everyone. See you all tomorrow.

Sydney Alimin 15:27 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab: which closing price do you consider key day?

hk ab 15:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
my plan is still the same, limit long eur 1.2701, SAR 1.2684 (ask).

Calabash TarHeel 15:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I am guessing that 1.2750 and under, if seen, should start flushing out weak longs. If so, I have 1.2707 as S2.
gl,gt

hk ab 15:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
both naughty boys, a key day will tell 1.26++, if not, it's not hard to gather some stray momentum to get to 1.29xx.

hk ab 15:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
both naughty boys, a key day will tell 1.26++, if not, it's not hard to gather some stray momentum to get to 1.29xx.

Dallas Mauricio 15:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I am done for the day with a great gain. Thanks again Bahrain.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good Level Dallas
:)
I am Longing on 1.8290 area till asian

hk son 15:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk stepson 15:09 GMT October 26, 2004

and you are proud just by this little usd's jump? keep buying those usd and you will be crushed soon, if euro manages to close the gap from friday/monday then you can be proud of it....let's see friday who's got the price 1.29++ or 1.26++

hk ab 15:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Kevin, do it with great care. It could be quite beasty after this Sat.

Gen dk 15:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dallas Mauricio 15:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Covered Cable short @1.8359 Thanks Bahrain.

HK Kevin 15:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 15:08 GMT, I am watching EUR/JPY support at 136.00 for strengh of EUR.

BDQ 15:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
i just started trading this month. I have traded in EUR/$, GBP/$ & USD/CHF. I am in the learning stage.

USD/INR = 46.3 for today. the pair usually trades at 47/48.

hk stepson 15:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hope nobody listened to my stepbrother and buy EUR with him at 1.28+.
stepson say "he who get bullish on EUR at highs of year finds profit elusive"

hk ab 15:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I hope my 1.2701 can be filled.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 15:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL
I am using my chart..
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD.gif

Sydney Alimin 15:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
guys, whenever i read news about gold forecast, everything is pointing to higher price and when they say high, they mean very high

one source is talking about dollar index is going down much much lower since we have got triple bottoms so far and it was mentioned that the pattern usually fail

what's your take? and is this view shared by many? it sounded like us economy is going to collapse or something or is it just another doom and gloom source? TIA

hk ab 15:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
nt// look! once we change our minds, it moves.....

BDQ 15:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Chicago,

that was not an accurate review of BDQ, i.e. Baroda Airport

quito_ecuador_valdez 15:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Baroda// what pairs do you trade most often? How is USD traffic in India right now..sell off or normal??

KL 15:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips
Any targets for GPB/USD and EUR/USD. Appreciate your comments

BDQ 15:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
i m not a frequent flyer, but i do travel a lot

BDQ 14:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ = Baroda / Vadodara, India

Upington kalahari 14:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thanks gold coast martin will keep a close eye on this one, it has not budge for 4 weeks

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
any have a target for eur/jpy? PT A short posit?
TIA

Chicago Irish 14:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ Hope you are not a frequent flyer Vadodara airport India code BDQ

houston st 14:56 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   

BDQ = Vadodara, India?

gold coast martin 14:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Upington kalahari 14:48 GMT October 26, 2004
prior to settling at 195 level it was swinging wildly in the 201-203 range...short term i expect it to swing to 197-198 due to its consolidation stage in the 195 for one week ,,,g/t with it...lots of reward and high risk ..best advice is to open small position with wide stops...g/t

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ 14:46 GMT October 26, 2004
someone told me to mention...BDQ stands for my city's airport

Well, ya got me partner, never flew there. What city? We're family, we wanna know where you hang yer hat.

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
zurich pr 14:33 GMT October 26, 2004// I think generally you are correct but in Middle Europe for expl the last 4 weeks has involved a net $ sell off from bigger banks there (and hence CBs) of EXCESS USD rather than to stockpile $. In the Middle East also. I think those CBs and their member banks are squared at this point as the sellers (their banks and bank customers) have already liquidated a fair amount of USD...beyond the initial "$ bear" hype anyway. I can't divulge my sources but that's straight down the pipe from Middle Europe. I do not think the present USD price too extreme necessarily in the sence we are still long term range trading below 1.2927 (all time rogue high).Above that, it's "extreme" to me. Tks for responding, I value your posts.

If rogue retraces soon for a "rest", I my model shows a double peak to form in 1st Q 05, from then rogue will decline ($ goes up against €) for the next 2-3 years after that likely to parity. I realize I'll get a lot of flak from this but my model's prediction from Jan 1 this year has been right on target.

Upington kalahari 14:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I agree gold coast martin , where do you see this one goes?

gold coast martin 14:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Speaking of rogues..the real rogue has been sitting in his cage for the last 7 days.....expect a big break out soon from GBP/JPY....G/T

BDQ 14:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
someone told me to mention my location,

BDQ stands for my city's airport, like LAX for LA, LHR for London Heathrow, DXB for Dubai, etc

Chicago YM 14:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
morning

Global-View 14:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ- see Global-View 13:55 GMT October 26, 2004

BDQ 14:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
even "runner" sounds good for eur$

Upington kalahari 14:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
short the yen .....its going to be a nice roller coaster ride it reminds me of six flags

Rivonia PipPirate 14:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez "vampirez budgie"14:29 GMT I prefer the word "bugger" for the E/$, could we use this, as everytime I see "rouge" I have a mental image of fingernails being scratched across a schoolroom blackboard. tia

Gen dk 14:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 14:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
watch usd/jpy, perhaps it wants to go down lower and lower from here, it failed to touch 20 EMA on 4hr chart

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
singapore evo 14:28 GMT October 26, 2004 retracement considered done?// Hardly..give this a day or 2 amigo. As posted below, US data today wasn't all that neg, and not important data either INHO. If it's gonna retrace at all we will probably see it after 1-2 days more of consolidation. If hasn't retraced in 2-3 days, $ bears probably ate all the bullmeat. My take anyway.

zurich pr 14:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
valdez 13.40
I don't know your source of information but in my experience cb s never dump USD at extreme levels. By defenition USD being the reserve currency and every cb having a net long position they would rather add then reduce at prevailing rates. Some cb s might be more active than others managing their currency reserves or have some commercial selling interest but on a net basis cb s will be net buyers of USD at these levels, in fact I think they are the only buyers at the mom. all imho gt and gl to you

Gen dk 14:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Stockholm AGuy 14:21 GMT October 26, 2004//You are very correct, (to wit USD/CHF just did opposite EUR/USD) it's as you said a USD thing, but I like to "pick" on this pair, afterall it's the only pair I trade...LOL. Since other major $ crosses have "names" I chose "rogue" for E/$.

singapore evo 14:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
is usd retracement considered done here?

BDQ 14:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
with the data [ok for usd] coming out & some more to come, what r the chances of eur$ crossing 1.2825 again? r v going to c a correction soon?

Dallas Mauricio 14:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Short Squeeze @ 1.8390 level.

Dallas Mauricio 14:22 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
1.8390 is key support on Cable.

Stockholm AGuy 14:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 14:14 GMT: "I call E/$ rogue because it does what it wants, often unexpected, like right now"
All USD pairs are doing the same: shorted ahead of figure, reflecting bearish sentiment leading to expectation of negative surprise; bailed out of shorts when figure was in line (no, 93 vs. 94 expected is not a significant negative). It's a USD thing, not a "rogue" thing.

Dallas Mauricio 14:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
1.8405 & 1.8390 Tgts hit. Whoopee!

Eilat Dolphin 14:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thareel/ Great. Was waiting till now, out to the real waves.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thank u Dallas... :)
Good Day Trading Man!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
If we see little net change in rogue pair within 2 hours or a downturn in rogue's chart lower than 1.2770 it signifies big funds are squared in their USD possies as well as CBs and the rest of big players for the time being. This being the case at NY close today then I'd say rogue is finally about to short and test some level of support. As to what level, I have no idea, but I don't look for a radical move (less than 200 pips) for $ bulls to charge as smiling bears (sellers) will support rogue as it goes downslope. Normally US econ data good or bad is USD neg..especially if dissappointment such as 12 mins ago..I call E/$ rogue because it does what it wants, often unexpected, like right now...opposite of what it has in the past.Testing overnight low as I speak.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
and will stay in post till NY afternoon session

Dallas Mauricio 14:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thank you again Bahrain.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:08 GMT October 26, 2004
Dallas I am Trageting 1.8360
I will use your stop 1.8418 trail it with 30 pips


Calabash TarHeel 14:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004
Allowing for the price of oil and gas, it is pretty good.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 14:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas I am Trageting 1.8360
I will use your stop 1.8418 trail it with 30 pips

Halifax CB 14:07 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
While the number looks good for ST shorts (like mine) remember that a lower consumer confidence also implies more realistic consumption (e.g. lowering borrowing). So I'm not expecting a lot out of this....

Austin RF 14:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, Can you tell me where you go to get the kalzayani chart that you displayed earlier. Thanks.
Richard

Dallas Mauricio 14:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thank you Bahrain.

Medford, OR sm 14:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Wow I did good on Eur/Aud last night missed it only by a couple of pips, still made a really nice run up and called the high off by 2 pips. I wish I could do that more often :)

Eilat Dolphin 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
With VP Cheney talking about nukes in US cities etc, I feel this number is rather good.

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
less than expected.

hk ab 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Mauricio... new lamp.
watch when this euro bent. However I prefer 1.2930 to be seen first.

Dallas Mauricio 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
This is good for Cable?!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
92.8

Budapest Daniel 14:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
why do you guys are so confident that it will go down?

Dallas Mauricio 14:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Yes!!

gold coast martin 14:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
DATA...92.8

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas...Good man!!
Hang in there

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
When you get the US data in a minute, please post ASAP.

Dallas GEP 13:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Aussie order @ 7500 SHORT waiting

Dallas Mauricio 13:57 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Added more to my Cable shorts also. Bear trap?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:55 GMT October 26, 2004
I Just doubled mu euro and cable shorts as well

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I Just doubled mu euro and cable shorts as well

Global-View 13:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ 13:49 GMT October 26, 2004 (and others). Please write out your lcoation so we can all recognize where you are located. There is a save feature so you only have to do it once. TIA.

Tokyo IM 13:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
US$ bear market is back on track ...

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ most often it ends up usd neg.
USD Consmr Confidence (OCT) 14:00 es=94.0 pr=96.8

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Here she goes..whipsaw ahead of the US data

BDQ 13:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
some data is coming out at 14.00 GMT, right? what would be its implications on $?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son 13:37 GMT October 26, 2004
plenty will go long dollar and wrong again///

Please Son!!
Stating what are doing is appreciated alot...
Words like "wrong"...??

Dallas Mauricio 13:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Excellent point. Sell on the news.

Dallas GEP 13:45 GMT October 26, 2004
Well if form holds, even POSITIVE US data will be used as a way to SELL USD after the intitial swing the dollar's way. So beware of that.



NewYork frankie 13:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Ok, for those wobblers out there. Don't buy any dollars until after the election next week. In fact, buy more Euros and Cable now at these "cheap" levels. You'll be rewarded, trust me.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=514&e=1&u=/ap/20041026/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_rdp

Dallas GEP 13:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Well if form holds, even POSITIVE US data will be used as a way to SELL USD after the intitial swing the dollar's way. So beware of that.

Dallas Mauricio 13:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, I was just going to ask you this. I should not put a Stop on it as I just doubled my size @ 1.8405? TIA

Livingston nh 13:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Valdez - what CB's are dumping? holdings at the Fed seem pretty steady - fixed income under no pressure yet // maybe some Asians moving into EUR from USD but Eur/yen is not making new up moves so if Eur CBs are selling what are they buying? // this looks like specs into the election

SAIHAT 13:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT 23:08 GMT October 25, 2004
MAY ASIA RANGE

eur-1.2761(low-1.2770) 1.2838(high-1.2843)
chf-1.1931(1.1921) 1.2019(1.2000)

jpy-106.43(106.52) 107.09(107.03)
aud-0.7438(.7452) 0.7494(.7506)

gbp-1.8359(1.8350) 1.8465(1.8454)
cad-1.2163(1.2180) 1.2253(1.2256)

see low - high for today

not so accurate

gold coast martin 13:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK ..ab..If you are around..the QAKING DUCK syndrome must be contagious....g/t

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
In line with CBs dumping USD, check €/$ 30 day chart..see 6 definite moves up..calculated..reserved for only X amount of USD sales each time since Oct/13. I count 6 sales. Sales spurts crowded into 3 sales yesterday..tells me CBs are trying to lighten the load as they accumulate USD w/o disturbing mkt much each time they sell. Banks are closed in Europe at this point, maybe reason consolidation/inactivity continuing albeit slight down mvt. Good oscillation now for 10-15 pip raids.

hk son 13:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
plenty will go long dollar and wrong again

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas...I hate to ask u do this on the stop for cable...
if U like to remove it for an hour

Dallas Mauricio 13:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I'm wrong! What about the US Cons Conf Report?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
for cable...don't know...for dow up for sure...
eur...from here it's going down...already sold euro

Dallas Mauricio 13:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I doubt that we will see 1.8405 today. I have a concern with the US Consumer Confidence Report which is out in 30 minutes. What do u think Bahrain? TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:21 GMT October 26, 2004
Dallas U are short cable Now...right?
placed an order 1.8405

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas
Thanks

I am gonna put an order (all day) at 1.2700
for euro just in case of a fast drop...PT 1.280

quito_ecuador_valdez 13:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son 12:28 GMT October 26, 2004
Hope so but GEP's right...el rogue could run either way at this point...only posted what I know; unfortunately FX (Cbs, big banks, funds) has own ideas.

Dallas Mauricio 13:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I closed out that previous short. Short Now @ 1.8393,Tgts 1.8385, 1.8372 & 1.8359. SL 1.8418.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:21 GMT October 26, 2004
Dallas U are short cable Now...right?
placed an order 1.8405
but is your day trade target?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas U are short cable Now...right?
placed an order 1.8405
but is your day trade target?

Dallas Mauricio 13:19 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
That's 100 Pips!!

hk ab 13:12 GMT October 26, 2004
son//If you have no positions posted up here and yelling day/night, I think your posts summed up <1 cent.

gold coast martin 13:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 13:12 GMT October 26, 2004
lol...rehabilatation has worked wonders AB...welcome back,....BAHRAIN should love the rehabilatated ab...
...good trades....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
1.8410 to 1.8430 is OK for cable

hk ab 13:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
son//If you have no positions posted up here and yelling day/night, I think your posts summed up <1 cent.

FYI, I posted that I am waiting for 1.2701, of course, that would not be a short.

Auckland 13:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 12:47 GMT October 26, 2004
I just check gold- "YES" it is joke, delete site

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I am Just following this Chart
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD.gif

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
sorry I mean Eur
around 1.2800 to 1.2810 shoting for 45 pips

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 13:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
shorting Cable with next 30 minutes
shting for 45 pips

hk son 13:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP//like MTR said, there is no significant pullback to this..too many people wish this will happen, dollar cant even make 23.6% retracement and it is frustrated unable to push higher
when this happens, the next thing is the resumption of previous trend

Dallas GEP 12:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hmm.....that's a thought Pippirate!!!!

Rivonia PipPirate 12:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 12:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Slipped out your shorts, now walking down Fxstreet all naked? Noody girl might be interested.

Dallas GEP 12:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I do nOT have a clear view of this market right now. It has been USD bearish NO DOUBT but whether or not we will have any significant pullback I don't have a clue right now. The surerest thing I had lately was a short on AUSSIE at 7500 and like a DA I hesitated and missed it.

Dallas Mauricio 12:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
1.8390 next resistance level for Cable.

hk son 12:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 12:47 GMT October 26, 2004

LOL, that forecast for november indicates that's what happens when people are desperate, when nothing else works even intervention threats...wishful thinking perhaps

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Gold Maybe topping at
Wed-10/27/04 03:05 AM 430.3549 427.9780
Wed-10/27/04 03:10 AM 430.3550 427.8567
Wed-10/27/04 03:15 AM 430.3551 427.8567

to maybe
Thu-10/28/04 02:10 AM 423.7920 422.4208
Thu-10/28/04 02:15 AM 423.7919 422.4207

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 12:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Auckland Is it joke??? http://www.neatideas.com/economic-indicator/gold-price.htm

Auckland 12:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
dc fxq 12:13 GMT October 26, 2004
thank you very much; in same time i found this:http://www.neatideas.com/economic-indicator/gdp.htm
fundamental forecast

hk son 12:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 12:23 GMT October 26, 2004

very true indeed, enough breathing space for those usd bulls, time for some a$$ kicking, bulls slaying, we have got nice entry here for next wave up, this time it is gonna break the recent high and all we go to 1.2930

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:26 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 12:22 GMT October 26, 2004
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:19 GMT October 26, 2004
It is clear that playing those drums have caused you brain damage...couple that with the sun and the sand that getsin your ears......lol.....

I Love it!!!!!!!!...Even More!!!!
PS: Martin Just be cool...average Yourself around my figure...and don't give anyone here a hard time...
AB has been in rehab...he is OK now...U too Man...Just cool it!!

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:23 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
USD selling still happening..CBs in cntrl Europe & other locals need to dump accumulated USDs before more bear mvm't; depositors/businesses still net exchange USD for other c'ncys. Therefore today could see end of consolidation & resumption of uptrend on €/$ chart, esp if US consumer conf. (minor news impact at best) is disappointment at 14:00 GMT. 1.2770 is temp support..closing in now for posible long.

gold coast martin 12:22 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:19 GMT October 26, 2004
It is clear that playing those drums have caused you brain damage...couple that with the sun and the sand that getsin your ears......lol.....

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Martin VS. Euro
I correlated that...OK
when euro gets to 1.2760...martin is buy

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:19 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Let me try to forecast when Martin is gonna reply...
ohh..I think when is about 1.2750 area

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bonn Karl 12:11 GMT October 26, 2004
gold coast martin 11:58 GMT / For pure entertaiment all we need is your presence, as the archives clearly display your short comings. The eternal USD BSer ... LOL.

I Love it!!
Yeah...go Back to your golden rule books!!

dc fxq 12:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 12:08 GMT

link fior you in Help Forum

hk son 12:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:58 GMT October 26, 2004

now you have what you asked for LOL :)

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Popular belief that Tokyo will intervene USD when US elections over. Oil still weighs on mkt, lower Mon. close judged temporary. This means USD may be unrestrained until US elections, let the $ bears run. EZ didn't show particularly good on latest econ news...maybe 1 reason for consolidation of the rogue yesterday & today's Asia session. Possible €/$ long 50 pipsto 1.2845-50 today using 5 min - 2 day chart.
YET TO GO TODAY:

USD Consmr Conf (OCT) 14:00 es=94.0 pr=96.8
USD Fed Ferguson Speak:Investm't- The Citadel 15:15
EUR ECB Mersch Speaks 16:00
CAD Prime Minstr Martin Announce 1st Minister Mtng

Dallas GEP 12:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Out of Eur/gbp shorts, Those aren't doing much anyways

Bonn Karl 12:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:58 GMT / For pure entertaiment all we need is your presence, as the archives clearly display your short comings. The eternal USD BSer ... LOL.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
AUK
Try this
http://64.227.153.165/cfdcharts.htm
carefull with the accuracy

dc fxq 12:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Auckland 12:08 GMT

What type? end of day?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 12:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Looks Like china gonna have a good year till
March ...wow...around for the index ^ssec

1,756.02 1,402.46
1,756.26 1,402.51

Auckland 12:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Does anybody got idea where i can find "long T-bond" data
Thanks

KL KL 12:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
out 1.8365 long at 1.8381 +16 pips , out ftse 4979 +19 pips....and again short 1.8381...sl 10 above....nicely set up for data later...hopefully. Today usd will get some help

Dallas Mauricio 12:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP!!!

Dallas GEP 12:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hello ALL

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
all aussie and euro crosses will be dead..won't move as much these days

gold coast martin 11:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LOL...All we need is HERR KLEBERDIK Bonn Carl and the circus will be complete...bring it on!,,,,,

Dallas Mauricio 11:56 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thanks Bahrain

Babuyan Isl MGW 11:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Friends, what time is NY open in GMT? TY.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
cable 1.8320...shoot for 1.8440
Place stop after NY Open around 1.8280 with trail 42 pips

hk son 11:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
nyc jk 11:46 GMT October 26, 2004

man, you dont seem to be able to grasp the meaning in the stanza
it is exactly what i mean, a fool is longing for the moon to come to him, whereas a wise will take action and go to the moon instead

gold coast martin 11:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
The FF is going to be an entertainment site soon rather than an info site...still entertainment is good for the soul while trading,,,,,,,,,lol..g/t

nyc jk 11:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son 11:38 GMT October 26, 2004
son says:

"He who puts usd-bull badge on is wishing something that will never come, like a fool longing for the moon"

hk son - in case you don't get the news there, man walked on moon many years ago. perhaps the fool isn't the person longing for the moon.......

hk son 11:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:42 GMT October 26, 2004

why sir? me think the opposite, it is a nice entry for trip to 1.2930 by Friday
i dont think there is any reason for the opposite move at least, it is either sideways consolidation at this tight range or blasting to the top

Dallas Mauricio 11:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
views

Dallas Mauricio 11:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain What are your vies on Cable. TIA

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable at 1.8300 area Only

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I don't think u should long the euro for two days (at Least)

Dallas Mauricio 11:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable has been a bore.

hk son 11:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:36 GMT October 26, 2004

that's exactly what happens to usd bulls you know, slayed by euro matador :) that's end of story...a sad one too

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hang sing would a buy in april
Corr: January..around
13,595 11,058
13,595 11,057
13,595 11,056
13,595 11,055
13,595 11,054
13,595 11,053
13,596 11,052
13,596 11,051

hk son 11:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
son says:

"He who puts usd-bull badge on is wishing something that will never come, like a fool longing for the moon"

Dallas Mauricio 11:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable testing 1.8360 level again.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hang sing would a buy in april

gold coast martin 11:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
he!!!...matador always wins...bull almost always is slayed with sword.....

Spotforex NY 11:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
spot says:

'He who follows bull run may also step into cow dung'

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hang Sing index

13,651 12,180
13,651 12,179
13,652 12,178
13,652 12,177
13,652 12,176
13,653 12,175
13,605 12,174
13,562 12,173
13,541 12,172
13,542 12,171
13,491 12,170
13,338 12,169
13,335 12,084

Melbourne Qindex 11:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK Nicole 10:30 GMT - You got mail!

hk son 11:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK CONFUCIUS 11:24 GMT October 26, 2004

perfect, i am one of the bulls, euro bull...so let's charge at the matador 1.2930

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 11:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
aussie stock mkt these days

3,831 3,568
3,832 3,568
3,832 3,567
3,832 3,567
3,828 3,567
3,825 3,566
3,825 3,566
3,825 3,566

KL KL 11:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ok covered short from 1.8382 at 1.8365... +17 now long here with sl 10 below....looks like a spring is coming. ...going to get some food and freshen up...it has been a long day...rather tired.. FTSE move SL to 4571 lock in 11 pips at least

Dallas Mauricio 11:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable needs to break 1.8360 for next leg downward.

Halifax CB 11:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Ok hk son; I appreciate your compassion :)

HK CONFUCIUS 11:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
CONFUCIUS say"Matador who wave red flag at bull invite charge"....

hk son 11:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB 11:06 GMT October 26, 2004

patience and you shall get it, we have to give some room for the usd bull to breathe, they have been crying for this for the past 9 days, cant kill all of them at once otherwise we won't hear them scream out the pain anymore :)

Halifax CB 11:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hmmm, not the best of nights for short USD against CAD or JPY; time for a rethink as my targets weren't reached.ON USDCAD, the ST point to watch is 1,2250 ( 1.62 retracement of the 1 hr decline that started about 0100 gmt. If that's breached, the next up target is 1.2318, in which case we're outa here re. CAD...OTOH, if the 1.2250 point isn't breached, we'll set out aim at 1.217 (as before) and then 1.211;

Re JPY, in the past little while upwards retracements of down moves seem to have been limited to about the 0.382 level; the most recent though is around the 0.500 mark which may indicate changing ground.. With that in mind I'm taking 107.25 as a level to review ( or SL), but keeping the longer term targets perhaps around 105.20. We'll see. GL/GT

Melbourne Qindex 11:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

hk son 10:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
BDQ 10:51 GMT October 26, 2004

why not? that will bring you euro 1.2930

BDQ 10:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
sorry, did u mean cablewill go some 300 pips up?

Dallas Mauricio 10:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Not in the next 60 minutes. I daytrade.

hk son 10:48 GMT October 26, 2004
dont be trapped, cable is going to 1.88, gl

BDq 10:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
cable going some 500 pips up? to 1.8800?!

hk son 10:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
dont be trapped, cable is going to 1.88, gl

bDQ 10:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL,

it sounds as if u had another good day

keep up the good work

Dallas Mauricio 10:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Short Cable @ 1.8371. Tgts 1.8363, 1.8350 & 1.8337. Stp 1.8389. FWIW as Cable has been screwy today.

KL KL 10:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Rivonia PipPirate, unfortunately I only have 2 eyes....and gbp is the prefered one today due to its weakness & Ftse today cos that the other eye job LOL.. In fact once I tried the gbpusd and gbpjpy...I never tried that again...I was like Charlie Chaplin on fastforward....LOL...my eyes was like those cartoon spinning round & round...

Syd 10:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
USD Consumer Confidence (OCT) 14:00 94.0 96.8
USD US Fed's Ferguson Speaks on Investment at The Citadel 15:15
EUR ECB Mersch Speaks 16:00
CAD Consumer Price Index (MOM) (SEP) 11:00 0.2% -0.2%
CAD Consumer Price Index YoY (SEP) 11:00 1.8% 1.9%
CAD CPI Excluding Core 8 MoM (SEP) 11:00 0.2% -0.2%
CAD CPI Excluding Core 8 YoY (SEP) 11:00 1.4% 1.5%

BDQ 10:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
GBP/$ nearing its low, is it time to take a long position? Or will it go down further?

Melbourne Qindex 10:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK Nicole 10:30 GMT - EUR/JPY : I will post the analysis in my page within an hour. Send me an e-mail if you have no access. qindex @ hotmail & yahoo.

hk son 10:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
watch out as the euro sellers got frustrated for not being able to push down any further for their longggg-waited 'retracement' and watch when the bulls come out from their temporary rest, it will be bloody as soon as recent high is taken out later today or tomorrow

BDQ 10:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
r there any reports/data coming out today? if so then what would be its implications?

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 10:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
wow...msft is a sell

BDQ 10:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hi everyone

so what's your take on eur$ today?

Melbourne Qindex 10:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Rivonia PipPirate 10:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 10:17 GMT LOL If you can play Gbp AND Euro channel simultaneously I will get you a nice job in a circus as a juggler

HK Nicole 10:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dear Qindex,
May I have your view on EUR/JPY? TIA.

KL KL 10:26 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
sorry short gbpusd at 1.8382 again sl 10 up there....

Manchester Daniel 10:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
uk hh - just curious, where in UK are you from??

BTW, read about your results for past 6 months - keep up the great work. well done sir.

KL KL 10:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd 1.8384 + 24 fro long at 1.8360....now to calculate and record pips in my diary.

hk son 10:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk grandpa 10:18 GMT October 26, 2004

is raden gay grandpa? how do you know? ;)
we are euro bulls family, have to keep the tradition alive
can't let the sellers win over us, grandpa is converted now?what a shame then :)

uk hh 10:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
and me ........
k4ectomy at yahoo

Budapest Daniel 10:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
pls. try to get in touch me with yahoo messenger.. my nick there is GV_Daniel I hope you'll be faster than the guys at GV who will delete this :)

hk grandpa 10:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
honourable grand son..take moms advise...get your hand off your trigger,study hard and dont hang out with C9s ..you will become gay...thats why you want to play 69 with raden....

KL KL 10:17 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew, as long as I make a pip its ok. this last 5 minutes is incredible for me so far....

short gbpusd 1.8385 cover 1.8365 so fast less than 30 sec 20 pips, reshort 1.8373 sl 10 above...wow....move sl to 1.8368 at least lock in 5 pips. ok cover at 1.8359 for another 14 pips...now long from 1.8360 sl 5 below ...you're right this can be tiring especially when I need to flip between typing this note and looking at the trade. I am also longing FTSE at 4560.....I am moving SL to 4565...equties like tortise..ok now can send note relax...he he

uk hh 10:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 10:13 GMT October 26, 2004
always use a simple method .You need only to look at a chart for seconds to know is threre opportunity or not..

friend have you yahoo or hotmail messenger?

Budapest Daniel 10:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
btw thanks for trying to help me, can we get in touch via email?

Budapest Daniel 10:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hmm what methods? very difficult ones( :-) ), mostly trying to ride with the waves in the very short term.

hk son 10:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
aahh that's it for the supposedly dollar rebound, nothing has changed keep selling dollar, new low after data to the rest of this week and beyond

hk ab you are buying dollar here arent you?

Melbourne Qindex 10:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

uk hh 10:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 10:00 GMT October 26, 2004
what methods you used to trade?I think we can discuss together so as to make a profits

Ldn 10:07 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil 54.54 is that right on oil?

uk hh 10:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
sorry -8.0 what expected but the released one dont know?cable drop now

Dallas Mauricio 10:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
In Line with estimate.

uk hh 10:01 GMT October 26, 2004
2004.10.26 06:00 UK Oct CBI orders -8.0 -6.0

uk hh 10:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
2004.10.26 06:00 UK Oct CBI orders -8.0 -6.0

Dallas Mauricio 10:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
UK News?

Budapest Daniel 10:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
UK, I had already known about that the fx world is difficult when I began to trade with a live account although I recently realised that it is MUCH more difficult than I thought. Thats why I choose the mini account. Thus far I'm $2000 far from break even :) So a little bit disapointing but I wont give it up. Trying to be more cautious.

uk hh 09:56 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel
yes and that what I want to say o newbie fx trading is difficult..BTW what about you ?your account in the 3 months?

Dallas Mauricio 09:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
In 5 minutes & I don't know.

UK honyx 09:52 GMT October 26, 2004
Dallas. Cable

Thanks Dallas, what exact time is the data out and what do you reckon the impact will be on the c

Budapest Daniel 09:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
btw congrats for that 300%. Decent job.. If only I could do that I'd be very happy :)

UK honyx 09:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas. Cable

Thanks Dallas, what exact time is the data out and what do you reckon the impact will be on the cable

Budapest Daniel 09:52 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
So basically you started to win only in the last 6 months?

uk hh 09:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest..
This time I am in the market for six months my account now 300% doubled three times

LA fxnew 09:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL:
man .. arent u tired ? hehe

Budapest Daniel 09:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
uk, you meant you still lose more than you win?

uk hh 09:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel
am in the market for 2 years but am part time trader..friend I urged several time to be out of the markets several times but I came back and insist to win....so take care friend

KL KL 09:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd long +1 pip....USD power is gaining momentum..gold dropping

Budapest Daniel 09:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
since 3 months

uk hh 09:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel
how long you are in the market?

Dallas Mauricio 09:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Oct CBI Orders at top of the hour.

UK honyx 09:34 GMT October 26, 2004
what is happening to cable?, is there any data coming out today

GER ad 09:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
12.00 U.K. October CBI Trends -orders

hk son 09:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
if even CBs cant work it out themselves to support dollar, what can one hope from BOJ to intervene? nah, it is just talk, proveee ittt

UK honyx 09:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
what is happening to cable?, is there any data coming out today

Dallas Mauricio 09:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
"The Trend is Your Friend" You can still scalp with the trend.

KL KL 09:25 GMT October 26, 2004
ok long gbpusd 1.8368 sl 10 below....everything in obvious down trend...can still play hit and run

Ldn 09:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cairo MDR this is what was said yesterday just because the ECB are happy keeping inflation low with the high Euro , doesnt mean everyone else is , comments that the burden should be shared

Dallas Mauricio 09:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable can't make up it's mind today.

hk son 09:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
as usual little bit of dollar gain and everyone is screaming as predicted by WTR and yet euro hasn't even touched 1.2770

Cairo MDR 09:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Watch out: ECB Concern and MOF is ready to move...
European Central Bank council member Axel Weber said in an interview yesterday the euro alone can't take the burden of a declining dollar, suggesting he's worried Europe's single currency may appreciate too quickly.

Weber's comments ``show that not everybody at the ECB is happy about a stronger currency,'' said Kenichiro Ikezawa, who manages $1 billion of overseas bonds at Daiwa SB Investments in Tokyo. ``Any acceleration in the euro's rally will prompt other officials to join in and talk down the currency.'' The euro may weaken to $1.26 this week, he said.


Hiroshi Watanabe, vice finance minister for international affairs, said late yesterday that ``if the pace of the fall is not justified by fundamentals, we will take action'' on the dollar's decline against the yen, Reuters reported.

``An acceleration in the yen's rally looms as a threat to Japan's equity markets and the economy. That's what Japan cares about,'' Toyahara said. The yen may drop to 107.50 per dollar this week, he said

Gen dk 09:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

KL KL 09:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ok long gbpusd 1.8368 sl 10 below....everything in obvious down trend...can still play hit and run

hk ab 09:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
adjust it to 1.2701 and leave the screen gl to all.

son=dad=mom.
To show yourself as a respectable person, I think you should first learn when to zip up the mouth fast. That's it.

Sydney gvm 09:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
PAR 09:19 GMT October 26, 2004
UK CBI industrial trends survey

What time is that survey due? TIA

Dallas Mauricio 09:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good Day & GL everyone. Cable on a downtrend today.

PAR 09:19 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Expect some major improvement in UK CBI industrial trends survey after last month big fall. Surprise could be as big as with UK retail sales.

KL KL 09:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
this time no waiting out & lock in 16 pips at 1.8379...

Budapest Daniel 09:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
i see uk.. btw i'm out with 1 pip loss.. not that bad :)

hk ab 09:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
waiting eur dip to 1.2705.

uk hh 09:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
sorry I mean ..it is better to wait todays.....

uk hh 09:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest ...I think it is better todays US consumer confidence data at 14:00 GMT expected 94.0

KL KL 09:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ok sold gbpusd 1.8395 sl 10 above

Budapest Daniel 08:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
long eur/usd at 1.2800 lets see what happens

KL KL 08:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
arrgh gbpusd long sl hit again at least made still have 2 pips ...should have taken the 10 earlier...now angry & hungry...look at it go now

SIN Oski 08:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
GBP: stop-losses below 1.8370
YEN: tky names on the bid below 106.75..GL

Sydney Alimin 08:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
well done gbp/usd has got my 1.84 target

frankie: looks like your 1.85 might need some more time

B747: thx for the email, looks like your usd/jpy 106 lucky target finally materialised but we closed the short possie too early, anyway that monday morning/sunday afternoon move was a surprise

sitting on my hands now, wait and see

hk son 08:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 08:28 GMT October 26, 2004

agree there, going back below 106.50 will mean 105 handle tomorrow

KL KL 08:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
move sl to 1.8377 lock in +2 and off to get some food...this is another trading day

SIN Oski 08:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Heard some authority sitting on the offer EUR at 1.2810/20.
Thus just a reminder to everybody beware if you long EUR.
It could be just a smoothing operation. GD&GL

Sydney gvm 08:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
while Bunds continue to rally to new highs cant see euor retracing much altho it is flirting with RSI trendlines on 8 hour chart. While yen holds 107 on topside looking for some more downside.

Hangover last Saturday morning was wicked - hope I didnt offend too many on Friday - apologies if I did

KL KL 08:26 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ok long gbpusd 1.8375 sl 10 below

HK GRANDPA 08:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
MoM..please buy honorouble grand son euros so he can lose it and then play 69 with raden mas for free....

hk son 08:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
mom, i want some euros to play 69 with my friend RadenMas, buy some for me
dad said it won't get much cheaper coz then the guys at 1.24 block will seize everything

Syd 08:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
After the unbelievable streak of nine consecutive higher closes, it appears that EUR/USD may finally be ready for a bit of consolidation in the next couple of days. The recent rally has brought a huge sentiment shift and that sentiment may need to cool its heels a bit before we can gear up for another push higher. EUR/USD - rallied as high as 1.2840 overnight, but has corrected back a bit this morning. EUR/USD may correct lower towards the first Fibonacci retracement area just below 1.2700. A deeper correction or surprisingly strong US confidence number could beat EUR/USD back even further to the 1.2620 area. Further out, EUR/USD looks to gather steam for a break through the 1.2900+ high seen earlier this year.

sax.o

Los Angeles ss 07:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Thanks, cannes

cannes 07:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 07:36 GMT October 26, 2004
RE E.SIGNAL

I CALLED IN LONDON, HAVE TECNICAL PROBLEMS

Brisbane 07:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
SIN Oski could you clarify please

Perth WTR 07:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
time for some break here...whatever you do, stops are important
good luck

ICT ML 07:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Anyone got an opinion of gbp-Chf long from 2.0020-50 area having any legs at all to run a hunndred pips or so?

Perth WTR 07:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
SIN Oski 07:31 GMT October 26, 2004

nah, bring it on! show me where is the intervention? 200 pips from here in one go, deal or no deal?

Los Angeles ss 07:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Does anyone use e**signal charts? I haven't been able to connect for the past hour or so.

Budapest Daniel 07:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
In nowadays situation it is a reasonably good income i think :)

SIN Oski 07:31 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Becareful of those who long Eur, some authority might have showed her hands already(above 1.28). GT

Perth WTR 07:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 07:27 GMT October 26, 2004

LOL that's probably true as we have heard so many times every 20 pips gain by dollar people were partying here, patting each other's shoulders and say congrats, strange world

Budapest Daniel 07:27 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I'm not sure either cos' I've read somewhere(maybe here on GV) that the head of BOJ said they can only move the market by a merely 20 pips in one go... So thats very disapointing if someone wants to take profit after they intervene.

Perth WTR 07:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 07:19 GMT October 26, 2004

in the times of doom and gloom, people cry for a hero, when everything else doesn't work, BOJ is expected to come out as a hero :)

Perth WTR 07:22 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Budapest Daniel 07:19 GMT October 26, 2004

not me surely, in fact i am teasing and challenging them to come out if they have the guts...some people here put a lot of faith in the intervention though, not sure why

Dallas DH 07:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Is there any important news releases for the GBP & EUR today?

Budapest Daniel 07:19 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Why do you guys wait for the BOJ intervetion that much? Is there anything that they can do permanently in such a situation?

Perth WTR 07:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
come on, where is the much talked BOJ? bring it on! you have got chance here


Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
all the last posted orders are now in FXXCM
see u guys

Perth WTR 07:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
the only pair with usd supported in it is just usd/jpy...the others are hopeless...usd/cad?wee wee, usd/chf?wee wee, talking about aud,gbp and eur? forget it

nyc sa 07:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
it/s likely they will say the consumer number is better than expected to give a little boost to the dollar , but then u have the durable goods wednesday , so I would say one day up ,next down in the new range .

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
OK these have to the perfect day trade levels
Currency Short Long Short Cover Long Cover
EURUSD 1.2948 1.2664 1.2906 1.2705
USDJPY 107.9021 105.5379 107.6037 105.8297
GBPUSD 1.8603 1.8215 1.8562 1.8256
USDCHF 1.2116 1.1808 1.2079 1.1844
EURCHF 1.5388 1.5252 1.5365 1.5275
AUDUSD 0.7572 0.7358 0.7544 0.7385
USDCAD 1.2337 1.2079 1.2311 1.2105
NZDUSD 0.7106 0.6896 0.7080 0.6921
EURGBP 0.7004 0.6904 0.6984 0.6924
EURJPY 138.2658 135.1142 137.6918 135.6752
GBPJPY 198.7179 194.2421 198.0614 194.8838
CHFJPY 90.2696 88.0704 89.9174 88.4140
GBPCHF 2.2214 2.1828 2.2150 2.1891
EURAUD 1.7325 1.6961 1.7258 1.7027
EURCAD 1.5793 1.5475 1.5735 1.5532
AUDCAD 0.9229 0.8997 0.9198 0.9028
AUDJPY 80.6258 78.7142 80.2511 79.0800

Perth WTR 07:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
with dollar on the edge of collapsing, any meaningless number could just provide the little blow needed to push it off the cliff, good luck

Helsinki iw 06:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
They could get the consumer confidence number up just by distributing Prozac for free. Soft indicator, not much meaning

Perth WTR 06:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
bad consumer confidence and that's it, game over for 85 dollar index...it has been pierced, just waiting to close decisively below 85

gold coast martin 06:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
wellington am 06:18 GMT October 26, 2004
In relation to the ozzie/kiwi cross we all know that despite the kiwi been running ahead of itself due to interest differentials,this pair will never achieve parity..not economically possible or viable...to best determine the direction of the aud/nzd pair its best to examine both individually against the USD...KIWI at the moment over 70 does not serve a commodity economy best...neither does AUSSIE over 72...both commodity currencies fates like the USD will be decided in ASIA..in a nutshell both currencies after reaching highs respectively will retreat back to levels of 59 for the aud and 54 for nzd...timeframe:well mine is the 31st of december as part of my 12 month cycle..if i have to make the timeframe expandable i will depending on the monthly flow of my microwaves....an expandable timeframe ensures a trade turns positive....
Unfortunately if you are a day trader this system does not work and the greatest enemy to a day trader is the timeframe...that is why some of my day/2/3/ day trades do not occur all the time.....g/t
In relation to the ozzie/kiwi pair personally i would not trade it as the timeframe does not offer enough reward due to lack of comparative liquidity....one that i love to trade is the aud/cad and nzd/chf although i am flat on those at the moment....g/t

Chicago Goofy 06:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
It is the fault of my trading style, I just cant wait a second to brace the active market. 0:00 3:00, 6:00 9:00, 12:00 is the time to observe and enter market. I just got hurt each time by the small move with my small stop in the non-active market. Cant tell how much I pay for the broker(KL, I am in the style like you) and how frustrated within very short moment, I trade against my daily idea. What the censored, I am passionate on this game, why i dont get what i deserved?

If this euro move higher today, another depressed day for me.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
chf
Long 1.1865 target 1.2220
stop 1.1820 trail 41 pips

Perth WTR 06:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
o ow, more noises about dollar rebound :) it will die prematurely i am afraid, cant believe it, everytime there is 20-pip gain by dollar people immediately jump in and think dollar is rebounding, but anyway i am happy too, euro bulls engine is self-sustaining

Helsinki iw 06:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
With the euro so o/b, I expect the old top at 1,2925/35 to offer quite strong resistance for now. If/when it breaks the move should easily go closer to 1,35.

USD/JPY is still very offered and support at 105,50/60 might not hold for long. Better support only at 103,30/40.

IMHO

Sing 06:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 06:33 GMT October 26, 2004
Thanks.. GT

nyc sa 06:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
anyone expecting a dollar rebound after the US consumer confidence number NY time today ?

Eilat Dolphin 06:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hi all! FWIW: My platform just announced 10 minutes ago that OPEC pres. says that market oil is oversupplied by 2,1 to 2.5 MBD.
(The did write Oversupply!)

Ths should explain that move we have just had. However the USDCAD is not synchoronized. The are still asleep up there...

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cable in general
1.8500 -1.8520 is a sell
PT 1.81
stop at 1.8592 Trail stop 60 pips

Gold Coast DS 06:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
After the rbnz hiked the last time the aud/nzd went from
106 to 108

I have been averaging from below 107 with my lowest buy at 105.80 .. looking pritty sweet now ..

i expected the rally to continue to back above 110.00 however obvious resistence at 1.0780

totally agree the hike is already factured into the market
and the focus has changed to when will rba move.

gold coast martin 06:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Sing 06:16 GMT October 26, 2004
At the risk of getting stoned..lol

EURO selling will continue until the US election but i dont think it will Proceed with the same impetus as the last 9 days...the market movers that were going to dump dollars have already done withi the last 9 days..from now until election we will stiil have a market that wants to sell dolars but the the liquidity will not be there to have the same impact on the dollar as the last 9 days...the big boys have made their moves...what we will see from now until the 2nd of december will be the rest of the bottom feeders that provide fodder for the food chain,folowing the same direction,,,albeit late.....timeframes are important!.....
To quantify the above, euro will creep up to 12890-12940 before the election after which we will see a correction or a downward bias developing as it will head back towards the lower end of the macrowave.ie.11950 range...with a possibility of 110....timeframe:my systems macrowaves are in 12 month cycles with 12 microwave cycles in between
As i am into the 10 microwave of my 12 month macro cycle i still think we will have enough timeframe to achieve my 110 by end of december...
beyond that..well as i said before the primary dollar direction will be decided in Asia and not inside the the USA....G/T

KL KL 06:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
arrgh sl got hit ...good sl trigger is working...oh well flat now and hunting.....should have made gbpusd sl a 2 pip lower...never mind sticking to plan

Bribane 06:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Early buying of Aud in Sydney was related to 1.5 bln EUR raised by Macquarie infrastructure group from Cintra's (Spain) IPO. topping out at 7495 and falling to the low around 7470, when the purchase done. FWIW

wellington am 06:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin

Welcome your views on kiwi/ozzy (ozzy/kiwi). I'm short from around here, but have held on to it.

Although a rate hike is almost a certainty, it would seem the market's already priced it in, and is factoring in a dovish december rates announcement. Also, the last run up to .9440 was lower that the one before it, forming something of a double top. That said, another run up to .95/.96 area seems plausible.

I have heard bankers talk about a top being in place, and that the kiwi is about 18 months ahead of the ozzy. Also, I've seen RBNZ rate announcements come and go, with little more than a blib on the markets.

Anyway, welcome your thoughts on this pair.

Sing 06:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 06:11 GMT October 26, 2004
What's a good level to start selling euro for next wave ?

Perth WTR 06:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 06:11 GMT October 26, 2004

absolutely spot on, i am always ready to be proven wrong and flexible enough to jump ship and that's what stop loss is there for and got to be disciplined, until that time i am absolutely determined to fight for what i believe in
good trades to you

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Longin cable at 1.8290 to 1.8300

gold coast martin 06:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR 05:58 GMT October 26, 2004
Just a correction... my long term position has not been decided yet...the date for that is 31st of dec.
Irrespective of that,if a trader does not have absolute conviction in his positions he will never succeed...
Over the years the same scenario appears again and again...market trades at the low end of the MACRO WAVE and all is good ..then as it shifts with a series of micro waves to the higher end of the macro wave you are expected to change positions and become a villain...with shallow minded traders not thinking that the upper end of the macro wave reverts back to the lower end ...market has only 2 movements...up and down....timeframes decide how much your maximize the ride of the macro wave in either direction...good trades, and maximize the current micro wave that is at the upper end of the macro wave..while youare enjoying the ride prepare for the ride the other way....as all good traders do......

KL KL 06:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
move sl to 1.8399 +4 pips is ok...happily trading and making money for broker....symbiosis. Will reshort higher...need coffee rest for tonight trading

KL KL 06:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
SAR 1.8395 +53 pips now long here sl 10 below..not sure wat happened but...lock it in now with another long risk at work. Looks like trading day for me...BOJ in stealth mode??

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Currency Short Long Short Cover Long Cover
EURUSD 1.3041 1.2571 1.2908 1.2699
USDJPY 108.56 104.88 107.61 105.80
GBPUSD 1.8644 1.8174 1.8513 1.8302
USDCHF 1.2211 1.1713 1.2093 1.1827
EURCHF 1.5401 1.5239 1.5328 1.5311
AUDUSD 0.7623 0.7307 0.7532 0.7394
USDCAD 1.2390 1.2026 1.2308 1.2106
NZDUSD 0.7159 0.6843 0.7074 0.6924
EURGBP 0.7021 0.6887 0.6957 0.6950
EURJPY 138.62 134.76 136.80 136.52
GBPJPY 199.13 193.83 197.05 195.86
CHFJPY 90.64 87.70 89.52 88.78
GBPCHF 2.2306 2.1736 2.2102 2.1935
EURAUD 1.7360 1.6926 1.7145 1.7136
EURCAD 1.5822 1.5446 1.5636 1.5628
AUDCAD 0.9252 0.8974 0.9152 0.9071
AUDJPY 80.81 78.53 79.62 79.68

Melbourne Qindex 06:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Speculative selling will increase when the market is trading below 1.2818. Speculative buying interest are expected in the range of 1.2746 - 1.2764. Anything trading below 1.2720 at 22.00GMT is not good today.

Melbourne Qindex 03:43 GMT October 26, 2004
EUR/USD : Curves A & C are the two controlling lines in the Asian session for the time being.

Melbourne Qindex 03:38 GMT October 26, 2004
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels

Curve C : ... 1.2671 // 1.2720* - 1.2770 - (1.2819)* - 1.2869 - 1.2918* // 1.2967 - 1.3017* ...



Melbourne Qindex 22:06 GMT October 25, 2004
EUR/USD : The key quantized level of my daily charts is located at 1.2819 and the neutral zone is 1.2764 - 1.2875. A projected supporting level is expected at 1.2720 - 1.2723. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.2979 - 1.2986.


Curve A : ... 1.2727* // 1.2746 - 1.2764* - 1.2782 - 1.2801 - 1.2819 - (1.2838)* - 1.2856 - 1.2875* - 1.2893 - 1.2912* - 1.2930 // 1.2949* ... 1.2986* ...


Brisbane 06:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
anyone on here follow CAM financial richard cunningham

Perth WTR 05:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 05:48 GMT October 26, 2004

thanks, you deserve the best too, i saw your conviction but it is just unfortunate that it didn't go your way...

every now and then some reality checks should be given or else people will just fall into complacency such as the range trading back in summer

dont be surprised if i will be 'stoned to death' by the same people that did that to you, dont feel bad about it, you have done and given your best, it is just these people that need some shock therapy and learn how to be flexible and thankful to those contributed

ks snk 05:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hello all,

I did some calculation and let me share levels that i got.

AUDUSD: 0.7556-0.7524-0.7491-0.7462-0.7432-0.7399-0.7367
EURGBP: 0.7005-0.6988-0.6970-0.6947-0.6924-0.6906-0.6889
EURJPY: 137.45-137.03-136.62-136.32-136.02-135.61-135.19
EURUSD: 1.2902-1.2860-1.2818-1.2782-1.2746-1.2704-1.2662
GBPUSD: 1.8551-1.8496-1.8441-1.8389-1.8336-1.8281-1.8226
USDCAD: 1.2306-1.2260-1.2225-1.2190-1.2144-1.2098-1.2052
USDCHF: 1.2124-1.2077-1.2030-1.1990-1.1951-1.1904-1.1857
USDJPY: 108.0-107.64-107.28-106.92-106.55-106.18-105.82-105.46


ps. thanks to hk nt

GL & GT.

gold coast martin 05:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   


Perth WTR 05:44 GMT October 26, 2004
admire your conviction...dont know about your direction....on your conviction alone you deserve to succed in forex....g/t

YVR MAXXIM 05:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Long term and short term indicators say buy Eur-Usd/sell Usd Index.

gt maxx z.

Perth WTR 05:48 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
won't be surprised to see some people scream later when euro approach 1.2770 again and thought they have won all the retracements in the world when in fact reality hasn't changed at all, and it is just providing more fuel for euro bulls to go higher the next day

Chicago Goofy 05:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Have we seen the short correction on euro already?? where it head for next...I point a 1.2880 target and 1.2800 support line for this midnight. Gud trade to you all.

Perth WTR 05:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 05:07 GMT October 26, 2004

yeah, let's kick some more a$$e$ :) it's great to see some more euro bulls come out so it won't be one man show in the forum facing all these reality-blinded euro bears

Gold Coast DS 05:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
This dollar break out does look a bit over done, long term the dollar should be heading lower however tonight I would not be surprised to see some profit taking.

tonight i am standing aside in the US dollar crosses
looking for higher levels to sell the USD/CHF above 120

audnzd cross should be interesting later in the week with the market expecting the rbnz to hike on interest rates
I am currently long however looking to reduce position ahead of the announcment

has any one herd of any intervention levels from the boj??
or has anyone herd of any major option strikes levels ??


KL KL 05:31 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
No war no money to US economy, no peg no money, like China/Malaysia dollar Peg also a way to make SLAVES of Chinese/Malaysian people unless of course you are the corrupted elite. Both equally bad in my books. 100 billion is chicken feed when oil opportunity is there. expenses should be covered in 3 years. At the rate oil is going maybe 1.5 years....keep pumping until dry!!!keep working until die??

Right...now back to work...that was lunch talk...LOL now USD showing some resilience...so I will continue to short the other currency rally.....my gbpusd nicely working taking its own sweet time to come down as usual-elegantly, showing some strength ...so it seems move sl to 1.8328 + 20 pips lock in. I hope today like yesterday...more volitility is good for trader!!

Syd 05:13 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] could possibly see a clear out of stale long first seems to be stuck around this level may need a flush.

tokyo nyan 05:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hi anybody think news that Cuba will end USD circulation as of Nov 8 has negative implication to USD? the govt encourages Cuban to ask relativers to send money them in other currencies to avoide 10% commision. annual remmitance to cuba is estimated around $1bln thanx

HK [email protected] 05:07 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Few days ago at...HK [email protected] 12:03 GMT October 15, 2004
I suggested that if 1.2460 will be breached one may throw his charts out of the window.

So a baby-DOLLAR_BLACK_HOLE was formed.

Definition: A DOLLAR_BLACK_HOLE is a point in the Time-Price space where the VALUE of your dollars will disappear in a staggering rate, where you may not even have time to escape(or a radical price change in short time).

So now I think we are approaching the
......MOTHER_DOLLAR_BLACK_HOLE !!!!!

Just let us break above 1.29XX !!!!




pr jv 05:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 04:50 GMT October 26, 2004
hk son / mom & dad
Which one of you dudes is seeking treatment Schizophrenia?


farmacia ... haha ..., we got more interesting people now on the forum . even those who talk to I as Him as not I :>) lol
It is just starting to get better and better every day .


best aproach is to sit back and relax .

hk Aunty 05:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk uncle now your spoiling the kid

hk uncle 05:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son...be cool son ur uncle will buy the toy...the EUR..will break the 1,293...IMO

hk dad 04:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
son please be patient, you are just like your mom haha! anyways, don't think you have to wait long to see your 1.30++ the bull market is now too advanced to give those sellers at 1.24 a chance to get out.

Calabash TarHeel 04:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia 04:50 GMT October 26, 2004
Think it is one person, multiple personality disorder

Ina co'z 04:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 04:39 GMT October 26, 2004

Resistance euro 1.2929 and cable 1.8465..GL !

melbourne farmacia 04:50 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son / mom & dad
Which one of you dudes is seeking treatment Schizophrenia?

Calabash TarHeel 04:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 04:39 GMT October 26, 2004
hi all ..
it seems that all of you guys are shorting cable, euro right now..

Not all of us, not yet.
gl,gt

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:46 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Help Your Self :)
http://www.geocities.com/kalzayani/EURUSD.gif

hk son 04:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 04:36 GMT October 26, 2004

oh come on dad, please don't spoil my party and mum, alright then, if no 1.2930 by friday, how about 1.30++ then you can buy me and mom some toys and toppies (mom said she was topless when quito asked her yesterday)

how long should i wait dad? don't tell me we have to go through censored and come back again only to give those sellers at 1.24 a chance to get out

LA fxnew 04:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hi all ..
it seems that all of you guys are shorting cable, euro right now..

If i may know ,, what are the strong resistance for those pairs pls
thanks

Perth WTR 04:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
he (WTR) is saying now that it is time for euro to rise higher, let's see tomorrow....he (WTR) won't say 'i' anymore to avoid more direct style

hk dad 04:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR 03:20.. good post.. this is another one of those recurring "fx blood transfusion" runs by the Dollar in the real time.. the sad reality is that many newbies & oldies will be wasted by their refusal to face reality until its too late..

hi son, welcome back to the euro bull family! even tho mom is now a raging euro bull, but your daddy can't see euro hits 1.2930 by friday from here, so you may have to wait a bit longer for your new toys.
dad

hk ab 04:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son=dad=mom

I think if a BIG surprise of Bush coming down and Rubin is under the spot light, the scenario will be more interesting.

With Bush being next President --> more wars --> higher deficit --> lower usd --> worse econ --> more wars.......

Perth WTR 04:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
the case of swissy he (WTR) was absolutely right, people kept calling for 1.20 support and he clearly said NO, and he expected 1.19...and here we are now lower part of 1.19

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Orlando:
Those levels are as max...I have it as the chart is at max with time...it might shoot up 50 pips real quike...but I am shorting cause I make sure I got it..

hk son 04:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
although i might be biased as i am an euro bull myself but i honestly think WTR has got a very strong point here, if 1.27 is not taken by end of the week, euro can rise high...being overbought short term doesn't mean that it can't go any higher, just a little consolidation could be enough to unwind the indicators and make more room to further upside

orlando jcr 04:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
10 Pip,

Help me understand your position...

you stated "1.2870 to 1.2764 Range for asian"
And yet you're shorting from here (~1.2828 at posting).
Weren't you calling for a rise through 2870 first?

hk son 04:26 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
man, this guy (Bush) is gonna destroy usd's economy with his war plans, what's so good about going to war? no one wins in the end

hk son 04:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
DJ Bush Admin To Seek Increase In War Funding - WP
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The Bush administration intends to seek about $70 billion in emergency funding for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan early next year, pushing total war costs close to $225 billion since the invasion of Iraq early last year, Pentagon and congressional officials said, The Washington Post reports in its Tuesday edition.
White House budget office spokesman Chad Kolton emphasized that final decisions on the supplemental spending request will not be made until shortly before the request is sent to Congress, the Post reported. That may not happen until early February, when President Bush submits his budget for fiscal 2006, assuming he wins reelection.

tk jf 04:22 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
wtr - u dont get it - no matter how hard people try to communicate with you - dont burn out your keyboard in your first week of getting one

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Target 1.2770...sorry

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
short euro here target 1.2670

Calabash TarHeel 04:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Sorry
Sup: 1.2773, 1.2716, 1.2682

Calabash TarHeel 04:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: Eur/Usd S/R for Tue.
Rs: 1.2864, 1.2898. 1.2955
Pv: 1.2807

melbourne farmacia 04:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:15 GMT October 26, 2004
Agree with your cable assessment: This 1.8465 area is a long standing pivot in my book ( based on system levels posted throughout first half of 2004 ) ie :1 st block – 1.7920 – 1.8102.. 2nd - 1.8187 – 1.8465 with 1.8517 overshoot… Chart supports overshoot level ( moving resistance ) 1.8800 looks possible at this stage on any decent pullback to 1.8360 / 1.8273.. GT

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
1.2870 to 1.2764 Range for asian
1.2855 to 1.2726 Range for Europe
1.2830 to 1.2730 range for US

Melbourne Qindex 03:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
USD/CAD : It is vibrating around the level at 1.2203 with an expected magnitude of 1.2166 - 1.2240 for the time being.


... // 1.2166 - 1.2203* - 1.2240 // ...

ICT ML 03:45 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:20 GMT October 26, 2004
Well those levels are fib projections from the 1.6190 > 1.2680 > 1.4000> 1.2680 move.

And to make the more valid in my mind, the fib projections from the last bounce to 1.3050 >1.2500 were 1.2330 > 1.2155 > 1.1945 > 1.1600.

I like that the 1.1600 comes out in both sets of fib projections. Tells me I may be half way on the right track in my analysis.

All I fear is some jokers get enough ballls to pull off a huge short squeeze on us .

Melbourne Qindex 03:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Curves A & C are the two controlling lines in the Asian session for the time being.

Chicago Goofy 03:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Caddy is interesting. It is a pair with no direction.

Melbourne Qindex 03:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels

Curve C : ... 1.2671 // 1.2720* - 1.2770 - (1.2819)* - 1.2869 - 1.2918* // 1.2967 - 1.3017* ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:36 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:06 GMT October 25, 2004
EUR/USD : The key quantized level of my daily charts is located at 1.2819 and the neutral zone is 1.2764 - 1.2875. A projected supporting level is expected at 1.2720 - 1.2723. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.2979 - 1.2986.


Curve A : ... 1.2727* // 1.2746 - 1.2764* - 1.2782 - 1.2801 - 1.2819 - (1.2838)* - 1.2856 - 1.2875* - 1.2893 - 1.2912* - 1.2930 // 1.2949* ... 1.2986* ...

Melbourne Qindex 03:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 22:52 GMT October 25, 2004
EUR/USD : My current 44-day cycle indicates that a projected barrier is positioning at 1.2852 - 1.2875..............................

Perth WTR 03:32 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
pr jv 03:27 GMT October 26, 2004

LOL what's wrong with martin? leave that poor fellow alone mate;
as harsh as i could be, i won't disturb him anymore...he has taken lots of punches from you guys, see you

Dallas GEP 03:30 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
YEah PERTH, your God's gift to trading all right. LOL

hk son 03:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
well expounded WTR! i will always remember you in my heart LOL
you can come back when euro is beyond 1.30 together with saloniko nk when euro is over 1.40
anyone knows where saloniko nk now?

pr jv 03:27 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR / go and play table tennis with martin and dont spend your pocket money on forex till you grow up . Have some fun till you young .

nyc sa 03:23 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
thnx a million Singapore for ur views ,I am stuck long 2.20+ GBP/SFR and would like to build a position on this pair below 2.19 as the bank has a target of 2.40 .However I am kind of worried it might revisit 2.10 or less and never sees over 2.20 for a long time . Any advice would be appreciated .

Singapore Sfx 03:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Cheers ML - wow - those are obscener than I had bargained for - but agree - worth keeping an eye on ..

Was just thinking - using the 1.6x-1.28x-1.40x moves as benchmarks - that a important tgt / support zone projects at 1.2055-60 on this usdcad in my view. Feel quite confident that sooner or later that has to be met .. and will look for some sort of support there but in no hurry to start turning long on it ..

Perth WTR 03:20 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LOL, the problem is actually with you who got irritated by the fact, reality hurts you know....you can't blame me or others who point the bitter reality to you...you only have yourself to blame

LOL, i think this is now more than arguing trading strategy...that's ok then, i won't post anymore...let you guys have your pathetic retracement plans....just remember that even if it is not me, there will be someone else showing the bitter reality and until you can learn from it, you will always be irritated loser

ICT ML 03:17 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Singapore Sfx 03:02 GMT October 26, 2004

How about 1.1585-1.1600 > 1.0485-1.0500 > 0.9150 in the weekly and monthly projections over time.

There are smaller targets in there off 4 hour charts but I think we head to the bigger pic targets now unless the euro gets stopped cold at 1.1930.

What you thinking SFX?

Calabash TarHeel 03:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Goofy 03:10 GMT October 26, 2004
Anyone got a feeling, Euro is on the way to correction?

Yep, I'm going to wait and see if London is selling or buying first.
gl,gt

Singapore Sfx 03:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
nyc sa - hello, frd - i'm sorry - i dont really follow the pair closely from a trading perspective - just posted that bit abt stgsf as like to keep an eye on it from the point of view of overall trend perspective. Just feel that Gbpusd been a underperformer so far this usd run - and usdchf been the leader - and so the pair of them the ones to keep an eye out on. Chart wise, below this 2.20 - dont see much till 2.1870-00 downchannel base.

Of the other relevant pairs, see 6990 eurgbp as res area and poss tgt - so that mite coincide assuming eurchf doesnt fall desperately out of bed.

and had posted this on gvi earlier on the cbl itself.
Cbl ..... Strongish congestion zone from day close basis in the 1.8460-00 area and also prev highs connecting at 1.8530 seem to suggest a visit there mite be followed by a setback. Such setback presents 1.8290-1.8300 (prev res) now as strong supp zone to build longs in -
Muti-day next serious res at 1.8770 still.

Calabash TarHeel 03:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR 03:06 GMT October 26, 2004

It's good that you don't care, guess being an irritating sort just comes naturally to you.

Dallas GEP 03:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Fine WTR, I guess then just take USD short at whatever price the market gives you, take a 150 pip stop and just wait a couple of months and grow rich. USD will NEVER retrace, it is a one way street now, USD is lost forever as a currency as it has now become absolutely worthless. I applaud your view. I just hope we don't run out of people who are willing to buy USD from us as we short our way straight to 1.35 Euro, 1.90 GBP .8000 Aussie and 100.00 USD/JPY.

Chicago Goofy 03:10 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Anyone got a feeling, Euro is on the way to correction?

KL KL 03:07 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
out gbpchf 1.2008 +10 is good not sure why have not bounce harder

Perth WTR 03:06 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ICT ML 03:00 GMT October 26, 2004

haha i dont care really...they are either with my trading or against my trading...it is just a sign that plenty are nervous with their stalled positions entered on thursday, hoping for profit taking could help them on friday only to wake up on monday morning seeing the massive break away gap and never look back ever since

hong kong nt 03:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
AB -- dare not to fight against the trend, using ma/zero line to join the trend for day trade maybe a better idea..

nyc sa 03:03 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
singapore SFX ,what would be a good entry point for GBP/CHF to go long ? thnx .

Singapore Sfx 03:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
ML - What are the "really obscene" tgts pls ? tia

Perth WTR 03:01 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 02:58 GMT October 26, 2004

well i have always been here whenever i get chance.....63 pips what? if all u think is 63 pips retracement, then that's a pity
where is your long usd/cad on thursday now? LOL

ICT ML 03:00 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth you sure aren't making many new friends.....LOL...but thats a good sign in a market like this. I always tell people I will always get caught long at the top and short at the bottom but that is because I try to make the MARKET tell me the move is toast and not try to pick them even with all my fancy lines and indicators.

We're long euro and short $Cad again and going to buy a sustained break of Aussie .7500 for .8000 again.

I last posted a $Cad view at 1.2500 that if it was going to bounce hard that was the level and we went long a few times just in case it took off, but made no real $$$$$. But the downside has hit most all of my posted projected targets over the summer and is now gunning for the really obscene targets.

Kamensk Andy 02:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good morning... Took half profit at 1.8440 (longs with average 1.7925) - expecting a short pullback 100-150 pips maximum before breaking 1.85 - then 1.87-90 imho.

Perth WTR 02:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
lalala, and suddenly 1.27 euro is doubted too, 1.2750 could be the best one will get

usd/cad is fun to watch, it is waiting to be hammered down there helplessly...no one wants usd even at this level..poor thing

Dallas GEP 02:58 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
WTR, where were you when EURO retreated 63 pips off today's earlier high???? That hardly seems like 5-10 pips to me. Trend is LONG no doubt but it won't be a crash or a straight line so a short term player can get hurt by simply just going long.

Perth WTR 02:51 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad is helpless now, 1.19 is in for it

hk ab 02:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
nt//did you withdraw the dlr/cad long?

KL KL 02:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
in gbpchf long 1.2198 sl 15 below...this is interesting...have a look.

Perth WTR 02:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
o ow, no sign of strong rejection...the usual 5-10 pips retreat after new highs and then boom strong up again

orlando jcr 02:41 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
So Euro hits 1.2830+...
What's next...???
Does it retrace from there or will there be new highs in Asia/Europe??

KL KL 02:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
in gbpusd short 1.8448 sl 10 above

Dallas GEP 02:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Better entry on EUR/GBP short is around 6570-75 BTW, mine was taken off an order

Juneau CAR 02:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I have to say as an outside oberserver perth has sure been right on for two days now.

Now I watch gold and silver - quite a close for euro!

Dallas GEP 02:39 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Careful of AUSSIE shorts very tempting but .7500 is a VERY key break

Perth WTR 02:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
take that, new highs aud, euro...poor little usd/cad
asian session is done now...

Dallas GEP 02:37 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
In eur/gbp short @ .6957

KL KL 02:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew, not really...but just to keep my mind sharp...hate to see all cashed up and not the best time to long or short long term...all currency are just dancing on tight wire now...sometimes my 4-10 pips turn out bigger if the direction flows correctly. As from yesterday most currency have been ranging 40 - 60pips.... collect a few pips here and there and you will be right by the end of the week!! I am a hit and run person. I try not to allow a profit turn into loss so I move quickly to move sl to the 1,3, 5...etc pip gain - good enough!!

BTW out gbpusd 1.8427 +10 pip...will reshort again higher

LA fxnew 02:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL:

you always played by 4-10 pips ... is it worth?

Melbourne Qindex 02:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son 01:34 GMT - EUR/USD : I didn't say it can't go to 1.2973 within the next two weeks. I am trying to point out that 1.1049 is also possible within the time frame of 3 months. We are dealing with probability and anything can happen unless the chance is zero.

KL KL 02:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR, those people are not scared...they have probably fainted by now if SL was not triggered or may have entered very very small shorts there and the biggest coming at 1.2890....evens out if it get down to 1.27....roughly - just assuming.

Btw move gbpusd short sl to 1.8433 lock in +4 pips from1.8437...I know it is just peanuts better than loss and keeps my mind alert!

Rye, NY et 02:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Short EUR/USD 1.2816; cut 1.2885; take 1.2615

hk son 02:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 02:07 GMT October 26, 2004

hi dad, are we all now a family of euro bulls? please buy me new toys when euro hits 1.2930 by friday

gold coast martin 02:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Good morning....just woke up to find that that this forum is starting to allow lunatics gratify their own sense of insecurity by continually attacking others....FF knows who i am talking about..it happened last week and now this week while i didnt get a chance to respond to all the selective cutting and pasting that gives the wrong impression..i normally dont worry about it..but in this case this person has to either be made to stop or the posts stop and the FORUM becomes another idle chat site.....g/t

Juneau CAR 02:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
gold-that is my backyard. If the dollar breaks through 1.2850 gold will blow through $430 and silver will follow. The dollar has led gold and silver right through every resistance ceiling like a hot knife through butter.

Watch and see if this doesn't happen.

You can follow gold and silver here:

www.kitco.com

SanFrancisco TG 02:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
I hope you are all keeping something in perspective. The Euro is not appreciating due to "concerns over US economic weakness" as is the headline notation everyone who has no clue is grabbing. The real issues are that the weak US dollar policy is in full gear and supported by oil gains. The EU economy is anemic compared to the US, and even some asian sectors in relative terms. Dont listen to the headline, its all flow driven.

Perth WTR 02:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
[Dow Jones] AUD/USD likely to try 0.7550 resistance this week (level not seen since April 13), as options-related selling around 0.7500 can't stem powerful tide of broad USD-bearishness for long, says Japan bank dealer. Profit-taking by speculators in past few days didn't affect AUD/USD much, showing that buying interest so strong; also, hedge funds "seem to be selling the dollar not for carry trades but for the sake of selling the dollar." AUD/JPY penned in 79.00-80.50 band this week.

hk dad 02:07 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk ab haha! still no respect for dad and here I thought mom had finally changed you into a respectful euro bull. haha! anyways, Your eur/chf diamonds will have to wait should euro print 1.2930 by Friday.

hello son! good to see you

Syd 02:02 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Some speculators eager to Gold test higher while others placing offers to book profit traders saying With analysts pointing to EUR/USD as surest indicator of near-term direction; while all agree fresh USD losses will equate to higher gold, some concerned even a lull in EUR's ascent could trigger more sell orders, strong resistance remains between $430-$432

Perth WTR 01:59 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL KL 01:49 GMT October 26, 2004

you wanna talk about SCARED, talk to those trapped shorting all the way 1.24, 1.25, 1.26....now that's really SCARY and soon those wishing 1.2830 will hold also feel the same

london 01:56 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR ok ok , agree with that as long as you make pips
pips makes prizes

Perth WTR 01:53 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london 01:47 GMT October 26, 2004

again, why should i feel like that? i am not a one-way trader like some, i trade based on what i see from the chart, let the chart feels and shows the way, with discipline, there is no feeling attached

if it shows the other way, then follow it, simple...what i dont understand is plenty are making life harder for themselves

KL KL 01:49 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8437 sl 10 above....Tarheel it is still a trading day....never mind what they say just trade and collect the pips both way....The eur bull are NOT nervous they are SCARED of the retracement...my analysis of price action tells me so. Who would'nt...the eurusd SL is around 1.2770 40 20...for the bears 1.2830 60 80. One can only buy so much until a 20 pip move put them in margin call

london 01:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Calabash TarHeel thought they already do :-)

Perth WTR dont be so aggressive it may do , but you will feel like a real pr.att if it drops like a hot potato

Perth WTR 01:47 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london 01:40 GMT October 26, 2004

problems come when one is wrong all the way and yet still blindly follow the wrong path

btw looking at dollar index, people were expecting to see an island reversal pattern, and yet that gap is now a good resistance for usd bull, so expect more downside for usd...85 is soon gone

Juneau CAR 01:44 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Gold and silver following dollar like tail on a dog. Go and have a look.

www.kitco.com

Calabash TarHeel 01:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london 01:40 GMT October 26, 2004
At 1.35, what's left of the EU economy will be printing their data on toilet paper. IMO
gl,gt

Perth WTR 01:43 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
london 01:40 GMT October 26, 2004

no i won't back off, why should i? only when i am proved wrong, i will admit it...it's simple

SanFrancisco TG 01:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
With Euro parked at 2815, USD is beginning to come under pressure again in Asia. Things get touchy around 2840. Euro 2980 is next objective, but the first objective (2840) has to prove its wanted.

hk mom 01:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
euro 1.2930 by Friday is more than 50% chance. That is, higher than guessing whether a coin is head/tail.

london 01:40 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Perth WTR would be careful on the forum making such predictions you have seen the stick that Gold Coast Martin receives for exactly the same calls the opposite way around

Calabash TarHeel 01:35 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 01:04 GMT October 26, 2004
Very true, really hasn't been a correction yet, think we are looking at 10 straight days of higher closes, can't last too many more days. Till I see a decent correction, will continue to sell into what I think is the high of the day. If it's going to 1.30, will be happy to see it there, then everyone can shut up and we'll see who's who then.
Take Care

hk son 01:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:09 GMT October 26, 2004

i have checked the link you provided, the best i could understand from your explanation about reading your analysis is that euro is easier to go 1.2973 from your pivot 1.2332, those probability and frequency charts indicate so, so i am surprised that you actually took the hard choice of euro going to 1.1049

Perth WTR 01:29 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
usd bulls can say byebye to the rest of this year, come back next year when euro is above 1.35, day by day the same remark 'today is gonna be correction day' is uttered and yet at the end of the day the same disappointment resulted...today is the same too, by NY close euro those stops above 1.2830 will be hit and it is another UP day for euro

wisconsin tim 01:28 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Projections for 10/26/2004
Date Currency Close R1 Close S1
10/25/2004 AUDUSD 0.7558 0.7455
10/25/2004 EURGBP 0.6970 0.6932
10/25/2004 EURUSD 1.2908 1.2755
10/25/2004 EURYEN 137.16 136.14
10/25/2004 GBPUSD 1.8523 1.8352
10/25/2004 GBPYEN 197.18 195.85
10/25/2004 NDZUSD 0.7072 0.6979
10/25/2004 USDCAD 1.2244 1.2077
10/25/2004 USDCHF 1.2008 1.1822
10/25/2004 USDYEN 107.04 105.99

Medford, OR sm 01:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Sydney thanks for your thoughts on this one.

SanFrancisco TG 01:24 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Luxumburg has approximately the same GDP as Arkansas. Not much to talk about. De-socialize it, let it roll, let the people set their own limits, reduce the constricting high end "one world" state taxes, then it will have a real GDP. Look at Hong Kong.

Calabash TarHeel 01:23 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR 01:21 GMT October 26, 2004
Think China is now 3rd. not sure tho.

Juneau CAR 01:21 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Wow, what a turn around in euro.

Germany has the 3rd largest GDP I think, after the USA and Japan.

Calabash TarHeel 01:17 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Ldn 01:08 GMT October 26, 2004

Oil prices hitting German economy
Exports aren't going to show any growth with a 1.30 Euro either. Germany's economy (5th largest GDP, I think) is already sick, good luck to them. IMO

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:16 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Medford, OR sm 01:12 GMT October 26, 2004

Metals are softer overnight, gold unable to break 430.00 which might slow aud rise. Yet the USD still feels weak and market keen to buy eur/usd on dips. I was actually just looking at same trade myself, my problems is I dont have any technical levels and I hate leaving stops based on monetary levels

Perth WTR 01:14 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
despite all the talk about profit taking and all supposedly usd bullish news, we are still very much usd bearish and in fact it is getting closer and closer for resuming the bear trend, where is the correction and retracement? all i can see is narrow range consolidation, refuelling and then another rocket launch
everybody seems to think euro is expensive now, well i say it is very cheap, let's see at the end of this week whether one still thinks that euro is expensive here and let alone after 3 months

Medford, OR sm 01:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
What does anything about Eur/Aud right now, I think it is going up to about 1.750 in the next couple of hours. I usually don't do much in other than USD as I am still learning the ropes but wanted to see what others think.

Please don't make a trade based on what I am saying unless you have looked at it and came to that conclusion on your own.

Thanks

Syd 01:12 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
News Corp. accounts for up to 6% of the Australian market, with a market capitalization of about A$42 billion that ranks it among the four largest on the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index. S&P will start removing News Corp. from local indexes next month amid speculation that up to US$6 billion of News Corp. stock might be sold over the next year by index-tracking fund managers who had been obliged to hold the often volatile stock.

Medford, OR sm 01:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
What are everyones thoughts on Eur/Aud. It is really looking good from my limited knowlege. I think it will top out at about 1.7150 (or at least I hope so)

Please don't make a trade based on my note, just wanted to see what others think on this one. Since I am new I have mostly stuck to USD currency pairs but this one looks good right now.

hk ab 01:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
The mkt wants to see 1.2930 v. much now.
dma 5 is what I am waiting for to tell me the truth.

Ldn 01:08 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   

Oil prices hitting German economy
LINK

st. pete islander 01:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel ... Congrats on the New Model. Pays to be quick these days. Corrections seem to be quick and short lived. Summer is over in more ways than one. Good fortune .... still sitting firmly on hands for the moment. gt

Calabash TarHeel 00:55 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Hey Islander
I have closed, sold and closed again since this morn. All for a grand total of +40 pips. Oh well.
Yes it is about time everything settled down to some peace and quiet, now we have 9/10 months to relax. I have a new grandaughter, so I have been here in an off and on fashion this month.
Do hope you have resumed life as normal.
Take Care

KL KL 00:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
FWIW OUT gbpusd at 1.8398 +2 pips...start the day in the + is a good start...will sell again higher around 1.8416...maybe..lets see what asian session brings. The way I trade must be making the broker happy...oh well that the price you pay. they make easy $200 I make hard $100....as long as I am +ve its o.k starts to bite when I am in -ve

Syd 00:54 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Proprietary bank dealers, some U.S. funds, covering USD shorts broadly to book profits, pushing EUR/USD down while boosting USD/JPY in generally liquid market, says Tokyo bank dealer; "today is a profit-taking day" for players long on non-USD currencies.

Syd 00:42 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Macquarie Bank is warning AUD vulnerable to turnaround in metals which fell last night with the impact of oil starting to affect sentiment, to downgraded global growth forecasts, narrowing interest rate premiums , gold is also off this morning in Asia

Sydney EM 00:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
US funds heavily selling EUR/USD to take profit on longs, a Singapore dealer says

st. pete islander 00:38 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel, Good evening .... still hanging in on your sell? Sure is boring without a storm each weekend. gt

Syd 00:34 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
News up 3pc on US move support
SHARES in The News Corporation Ltd rocketed higher in opening trade today after proxy votes by shareholders approved a shift of the media group's corporate base to the United States.


Calabash TarHeel 00:33 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw: Eur/Usd The numbers that I have at the moment:
Supp.: 1.2744, 1.2707, 1.2664
Pivot: 1.2787
Rst.: 1.2824, 1.2867, 1.2904
Happy Trades

Dallas GEP 00:25 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
A 1.2765 LONG on Euro with stop @ 1.2735 could be a nice little possie

nyc grumpy 00:18 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
geez, grumpy, goofy, where are sneezy, sleepy ('cause I know we got a bunch of dopey's), etc?

london 00:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL KL you may be right

Chicago Goofy 00:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
KL, I feel buying dip is still today`s strategy but with caution. I would try 1.2750-1.2770 area.

Melbourne Qindex 00:15 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : There is a lot of uncertainty when the market is trading below my daily cycle neutral zone. See detailsi my page. Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


Melbourne Qindex 22:06 GMT October 25, 2004
EUR/USD : The key quantized level of my daily charts is located at 1.2819 and the neutral zone is 1.2764 - 1.2875. ........................

KL KL 00:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
top of the day all -inability to break 1.2840 for eurusd is a worrying sign...lets hope the retracement don't go too deep otherwise bye bye. Sold gbpusd 1.84 sl 15 above...time to retrace...Retracement day is today!!

Syd 00:11 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
News Corp: Proxy Votes For Delaware Move 863.81M
News Corp: Proxy Preferred Votes In Favor 96.2%, Proxy Ord Votes In Favor 91.3%,News Corp: Proxy Votes Against 81.86M

Melbourne Qindex 00:09 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
hk son 15:42 GMT - Follow the comments in my page and try to understand my 3-month projection charts. For the time being we have to wait and see.

EUR/USD : Quarterly Cycle Charts

Dallas GEP 00:05 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Of majors GBP/USD looks the heaviest at this time IMO. That DOESN"T necessarily mean it will short the most but TECHNICALLY it should.

Gen dk 00:04 GMT October 26, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

 




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