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Forex Forum Archive for 10/28/2004

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Philadelphia caba 23:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Left order EUR/CHF sell @ 1.5310, TP open now.. Any comments?

Sydney EM 23:06 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Van Gecko bearing in mind your view couple of weeks ago,are we still ok for this Correction higher on the USD or is it over yet ?

Global-View Research 22:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sell Dollars Or Get Out Of The Way (FXA)

First of all this is not about me. What do I mean? I mean my being bearish on the dollar is a view...impersonal. It is the preponderance of evidence for selling dollars and not some attempt at aggrandizement that motivates my take on the dollar...See full update in our research section CLICK HERE

Ltn th 22:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Correction to my 22:07. Shold read that china only pays 40% for heavy crude that US does for light sweet. I was thinking of $20 for heavy compared to $50 light.

LDN. 22:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil Falls to Three-Week Low; China's Rate Boost May Cut Consumption
Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil futures had the biggest two- day decline in 19 months as China's first interest-rate increase in nine years may reduce growth in fuel consumption.

Prices have plunged 7.7 percent in two days on expectations of reduced Chinese demand growth and surging U.S. inventories. China last year surpassed Japan as the world's second-largest oil consumer after the U.S. China's oil use is expected to jump 15 percent to 6.3 million barrels a day this year, the International Energy Agency said this month.

``The Chinese economy will slow and as a result they will need less oil,'' said Mordechai Abir, director of energy research at Burnham Securities Inc. in New York. ``The wild rise in oil demand growth will slow and we may even see a little bit of a decline in consumption.''
In London, the December Brent crude-oil futures contract fell $1.08, or 2.2 percent, to $48.37 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange. Brent futures touched $51.95 on Oct. 27, the highest price since the contract began trading in 1988.

``China has been the catalyst that started the ball rolling as far as oil prices are concerned,'' said Fadel Gheit, oil analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York. ``Oil prices are in a speculative bubble that is likely to burst -- I don't know when.'' When it does burst, prices are likely to drop below $40 a barrel, he said.

Oil in New York has not closed below $50 since Oct. 4.

Melbourne Qindex 22:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 22:35 GMT - Good morning! Anything is possible for the next 2 months.

Syd 22:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex we need a bit of intervention to liven things up a bit

Syd 22:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD likely to sit in 0.7420-0.7475 range today
Westpac

Melbourne Qindex 22:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The defensive line for BOJ is 100.68.

Melbourne Qindex 22:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : An option idea : 97.50 in a 3 month period.

Philadelphia caba 22:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT October 28, 2004
Closed 1.1975 usd/chf longs @ 1.2007. Closed the ADD at -3 pips. CHF appears to be plateaued for now.

Good evening GEP, may I ask you on your view on EUR/CHF? Thanks.

SAIHAT 22:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
asia range

1.2714 1.2764
1.1983 1.2043

106.07 106.45
0.7431 0.7461

1.8253 1.8306
1.2215 1.2273

may work may not

WASH DC SRQ 22:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
rumored that there are people who are storing huge oil reserves with themselves and not releasing to the market to purposefully increase the price of OIL.

Melbourne Qindex 22:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : Current Comment    Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Ltn th 22:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
The Olympics must be viewed in conjunction. Also China is far less dependant on expensive light crude than US because of newer more effective refining capacity, paying only around 20% for heavy crude that US does for light sweet crude that their older refining capacity demands.`
In viewing Chinas economy the biggest negative was the risk of blow outs in some areas and instabilities arising from inequitable or widely divergent distributions of economic benefits on a regional or sectional basis. By taking action to counter irrational or s/t bubbles, the overall result, whilst giving calmer better distributed growth becomes more rather than less positive for the economy and investment.

Texas(Jksn.) PNB 22:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Took one-touch contract on eurusd for target 1.2648 in next 2 weeks...my gut says bigger move may be expected

gl everyone.
TIA:-)

Rivonia PipPirate 21:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 11:13 GMT October 28, 2004

It works like this..Without raising rates in China,the property bubble and commodity bubble will continue endangering China's credit market and economy. China can afford expensive Oil thanks to the revenue from property developers. Once rates rise,the property market will suffer and the revenue will decline and China will have less money to buy commodities. Once Oil and Commodities start stabilizing for a while Dollar may get some relief in a decling market for a shortwhile too. But Chinese economy is not in crash mode. It may record 9% gdp again this year.Dollar bounce may continue for a few more days though till it resumes its decline, perhapse after the election. China's move is highly unlikely to change the course of dollar for the remaining two months.Fwiw.

Syd 21:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Ltn th That is exactly how I would see this , a little surprised the Fed are not showing a better response I cant actually see it as being a negative at all infact the opposite , avoiding a crash landing very sensible move , but the chinese are more logical I feel ,and dont dart about like Greenspan has done in the past, as its took them 9yrs to make the move

Tallinn viies 21:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
bc if you there...
please can you enlighten us the issue behind Chinese rate hike.

as I understand there are two major oppinions.
first camp says that it was done just to show US and others that they are doing something and to buy time not to devalue reminbi just yet.
other camp says that it was sign to local commodity exporters and others that there are going to be series of rate hikes and "please take it in mind". only first in row. soon again.

how you see it?
thnks in advance

Ltn th 21:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 19:39// Funny, I missed most of last nites action due to other comittments. On looking at the charts I mused that perhaps europe thought it bad for them then US thought the same pushing the rates both directions in turn. I see Dublin Flip put it in more technical terms.
The idea that asia may do the same with their own currencies did cross my mind. However It is likely that Australia and kiwi as well as most of asia will view the rate rise as responsible and positive for chinas economy as well as its neighbours mutual benefit in immediate and long term. Not sure how MOF may react later. So far the JPY moves likely have reflected others. Perhaps Tokyo or BC could comment on this issue?

dc fxq 20:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
PADOVA FRANCESCO 20:23

One more time, lower case please! Stop shouting.

dc fxq 20:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
First time - stop shouting! Lower case please

PADOVA FRANCESCO 20:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ONE MORE TIME MY OPINION IS: EUR/USD NEAR TERM 1,2900.

Dallas GEP 19:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Will see you guys in ASIA/LONDON

perrie como 19:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
yes saw China incresed rates after 9 years to 2 1/4
not sure this could influence another round of USD selling accross the board.

fifty fifty markets are strange as this one is....It seems a never ending story of whatever

Syd 19:39 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Anyone See Asia taking their slice out of the China story??

Oil Falls as China's Interest Rate Boost May Cut Consumption http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=a82FJ8CGWKjw&refer=news_index

Wien GD 19:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP ... like SM goes (;-))

Dallas GEP 19:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Closed 1.1975 usd/chf longs @ 1.2007. Closed the ADD at -3 pips. CHF appears to be plateaued for now.

PADOVA FRANCESCO 19:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
My OPINION IS: THE eur/usd NEAR TERM is 1,2900

Manchester Daniel 19:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
glenn - I happened to be in New York last Wednesday on a visit to my home town - was a sad, sad night. Anyway, the bar I was in offered free drinks for an hour to drown our sorrows. So already eased my pain.


Guys just as a reminder after a wild day today - tomorrow is not only Friday (end of week), but also last trading day of October - so be VERY VERY careful tomorrow. If one must trade, reduced size positions recommended. GL GT to all

clonakilty glenn 19:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Daniel - take some sugar to sweeten those grapes mate...hahaha

Manchester Daniel 18:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
glenn - very funny - nice one. I know, GEP adding to a position is as rare as........well as rare as Red Sox winning the World Series. OK I'll stop now - just need to get it out of my system - its tough on us Yankee fans

Wien GD 18:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
SM looks a bit weak here ... closed my usdxxx longs. Could be wrong, maybe it will manage another leg up ... but i took my profits and consider to change the side ... once confirmed.
dyod!

clonakilty glenn 18:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP - now I'm convinced - this IS the end of the world! nice one mate - I wish you many more

nyc jk 18:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I thought that was a typo when I first read it GEP.....

well done sir.

GD Wien 18:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP: cy's are following stock market - don't know how long this rallye will last! btw: i'm also long usdchf since about 1.1980.

Dallas GEP 18:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
PLEASE note: I added to a winning position on USD/CHF. I know this will amaze some people LOL

Dallas GEP 18:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Added more usd/chf longs at 1.2007.

NewYork frankie 18:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I think we might have an AusFest coming up, or is that down!

Syd 18:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Crude Oil 51.50 -0.96

Hong Kong Ahe 18:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks a million for the URL. The hunter won. Blood has been shed and spilt to our lovely moon. hmm.....

Halifax CB 18:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Hong Kong Ahe: here's a page to start:
Lunar Eclipse Info

Hong Kong Ahe 18:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Query...the lunar eclipse????... But today is a full moon. What's the world?

Manchester Daniel 18:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
spot - i had not thought about that - a lunar eclipse and the Sox win the Series - my god - the world IS coming to an end - await the apocolypse.

GEP - very nice call on the swissy - if it can hold on to it can hold onto its gains, I owe u one.

Haifa ac 18:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 17:03 GMT // Indeed. I like the English version too.

Cuda, Shuda, Wuda, Died when Didn't was born!

Spotforex NY 17:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Daniel...the lunar eclipse may also have been a factor...

:-)

spot

houston ken 17:39 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
cad good

Dallas GEP 17:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Raton, I NEVER worked for the SWISS Bank of International Settlements!!!

Manchester Daniel 17:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Spotforex - ofcourse you understand why we had this wild wild day in Forex today - the natural order of how things should be has been disturbed. Boston winning the World Series - I knew it would happen one day - just did not think it would be in my lifetime.

As much as it "pains" me to say it - I offer my congratulations to all those Boston fans that have had to suffer so long in the great Yankee shadow. A great effort by a great team.

Dallas GEP 17:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Actually they also asked BABE RUTH one time about whether he thought he desrved to make more money than the President (which he was BTW) and he responded "Yes, I had a better year than he had!!!!"

Spotforex NY 17:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
What broke this curse???

The Yankees messed with the Baseball gods earlier this year....

Spotforex NY 15:04 GMT October 24, 2004
I noted this back in May and now I finally realize why the 'curse' of the Babino may have been lift....

The Yankees messed with the baseball gods back in may.......

May 19, 2004 9:22 am US/Eastern
NEW YORK (AP) The ballpark snack paired with peanuts in the stadium anthem "Take Me Out to the Ballgame" will no longer be around for the seventh-inning stretch at Yankee Stadium.

Cracker Jack has been replaced by the competing caramel popcorn Crunch 'n Munch at the home of the Bronx Bombers.

"Cracker Jack is a brand name," Yankees chief operating officer Lonn Trost told The New York Times for its Wednesday editions. "We're selling a caramel crunch that is the same thing as Cracker Jack."

Boston mpd004/captain 17:06 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
DALLAS/gep//thanks gep, I'm sure if other boston fans are tuned in right now, they appreciate you remarks, it's been a long time coming....last on this subject from this subject...

Spotforex NY 17:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
The curse of the Bambino is a familar story...but the 'rest of the story' is all about why he was sold.....


The owner of the red Sox back in 1918 wanted to raise money to produce several Broadway Musical plays....The Babe was sold as a step in securing the financing of the owner's Broadway dreams.........

and what play was it????

NO NO Nanette

with such memoral song as "Two for Tea (and Tea for Two)"

Dallas GEP 17:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
The Japanese have a wonderful aspect of their business philosophy whereby when something unexpected or detrimental happens. ALL efforts are put forth in a remedy. Absolutely no effort is put forth in attaching blame or determining WHY something happened if it doesn't help in coming up with a solution. The WHYS and blame game happens AFTER the problem is attended to and resolved. FX is the same way, at times one must react quickly and try not to focus too much on why. We may NEVER know WHY. Even if you KNEW why, the EXACT same situation could occurr again and the results could be much different. It is good to anticipate BUT more important to REACT. If a car is coming at you 150 KMH it is better NOT to wonder who is driving the car and WHY they are coming at you......it is BEST to first just get the censored out of the way!!!!

saint louis 17:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
long USD/CHF .1983

Calabash TarHeel 16:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Fwiw; Not only is there data tomorrow, it is the last day of the trading month, plus election on Tue. I wish all of you trading during the next five days the best of luck. To me, seems like a good time to take a few days off.
Happy Trades!

Ekb avk 16:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hi, just a thought here. i think mkt is bearish usd overall this wht i clearly felt giving out some money buying dollars trying to pick the "top" in eur/usd (usd/chf). i tend not to find an explanation for this 'cause this cud be anything from ec data to oil price changes which is true as well for the opposite opinion referring to the squeeze we have envisaged today. this is a trend or sentiment whatever. and i think we EUR will post a new YTD high for EUR as well as CHF did.

Chicago YM 16:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hi all

Dallas GEP 16:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
The RED SOX story is a wonderful example of perserverence. It is like the MIRACLE METS, 1980 Olympic MEN's HOCKEY team, SEABISCUIT, Joe Namath's NEW YORK JETS, JESSE OWENS Olympic performance, LANCE ARMSTRONG, RUSSIANS defeat of US OLYMPIC basketball team, PELE's dominance in soccer. WAYNE GRETSKY and on and on

Victory is SO sweet when nobody else thinks you could do it but yourself. Congrats to REDSOX and all boston baseball fans who perservered!!!

Sydney Alimin 16:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
if usd/cad doesnt make a dramatic come back later till NY close, i think we are set up for lower level tomorrow unless of course data provide spectacular reversal for dollar and thus could rally into next week

off for now, see you all tomorrow

Boca Raton 16:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas, what year did you work in Basle?

Dallas GEP 16:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
One thing to remeber about SWISS is that the SNB while not the internention masters the Japanese are, THEY have been known in the past to sell SWISS when they felt it was getting too overvalued against other ccy's. I don't think that will happen here AT THIS TIME but it is something to keep in mind.

saint louis 16:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
at least we agree on something Boston! :)

saint louis 16:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
short GBP .8313

Boston mpd004/captain 16:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Short gbp @ 8308

Sydney Alimin 16:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
watchout usd/cad is paving its way to make new low as a result of bearish engulfing pattern mentioned before, it's nice to see it working anyway

GA TJ 16:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 16:20 GMT October 28, 2004

I ahve been watching that too. But so far today this thing is not doing what I expected it to do. Therefore I am of the opiniion that it has to prove itself. Over the last hour or two I have not seen any signs of strength. But I am hoping it will show itself soon. Still flat but ready to pull the trigger.

Boca Raton 16:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Arafat to be flown to Paris for treatment. Paris to have national parade.

jkt-aye 16:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:13 GMT October 28, 2004
Well stop 10 pips above the daily high would be good on your EURO short BUT DOLLAR is really taking a bashing here...not sure why.

Hourly chart reading indicate "$$$ bashing" till NY close (only chf not so clear in my view). imho

Sydney Alimin 16:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:17 GMT October 28, 2004

true indeed, dollar's inability to hold the massive gain today itself is considered bearish already and no matter how i see the charts, i think it is still dollar bearish, i hope i am wrong as dollar has been really weak as late and i am not sure when this will end

Dallas GEP 16:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Longed usd/chf @ 1.1975 looking for 60 pips MINIMUM

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:19 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 15:57 GMT October 28, 2004
gbp/usd only have time 30 minutes to stay here now at 1.8314..

Boston mpd004 16:19 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas//gep//I guess I'm like anyone else except for ppl that have the right time zone. Staying up late and (for me) getting up at 5:00 est to go to work has been a workout. I'm soooo tired and glad it's over. My personal friend (and I'll say no more) Boston Police Commisioner O'toole has done a remarkable job about controlling the more than reasonable outbreak of celebrating here considering the tragic death of a fan this past week. Our grief goes out to her family. But myself and all Boston ppl are really proud of our team today. But as a last word on this, my congratulations to all the contenders, did are truly champions all.

HK Kevin 16:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sory, the date should be Jan 8.

HK Kevin 16:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 16:11 GMT, today movement of EUR is very similar to Jan 18, 2 day before the pair made a high of 1.2896, flush out weak long and surge higher again.

Sydney Alimin 16:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 16:05 GMT October 28, 2004

you are not alone mate, i am also one that thinks usd could be sold off again tomorrow but with plenty of data coming, anything can happen

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 15:57 GMT October 28, 2004
1.8275 soon..

HK Kevin 16:05 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:01 GMT, will keep these figures in mind. However, I have opposite views to you on EUR and it may soar to 1.2880 tomorrow. Need to watch caefully today's close.

GA TJ 16:05 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
And another FWIW: For those traders who are of the opinion that the Pres Election will influence the FX Market (I am not one of those) here is your early warning indicator.

For the past 13+- Elections if the Washington Redskins win their preceeding home game the incumbent has retained office and conversely if they lost the incumbent has been sent packing. This years Redskins game is Sunday against the Greenbay Packers.

And the line is (drum roll please ) Greenbay by 2 pts.


I have not confirmed this. Only read it about it from a couple of different sources.

Dallas GEP 16:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
MPD, what are you concerned about, got the best team in baseball. Went to FENWAY park and they only will sell you 2 beers per customer, said they had an issue earlier when fans would get unruly and fights would break out. What is the deal with that??? You just have to make more trips to the concession stand!!! LOL Assuming I guess one can still walk TO the concession stand.

Boston captain 16:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Nice Kev, keep up the good work processes! Gl Gt

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:58 GMT October 28, 2004
top numbers : 106.56, 107.21,107.72,108.61,109.38/46..

SAIHAT 15:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
WHTHIN 3 DAYS

EUR MAY GO 1.2880

CHF 1.1863

AUD .7528

CAD 1.2048

MAY YES MAY NO

HK Kevin 15:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:54, many thanks. Already grasp ~80 pips profits on this pair this afternoon thanks to the news of China's rate hike.

Boston mpd004 15:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Just a thought, but, considering the population of Boston and surrounding area, and considering the other forums available, could I be the only forex player in the state? Hmmm, mama always said I was the strangest of the six! :o)

Los Angeles ss 15:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Raden -- where do you see cable going for the next couple of hours?

Dublin Flip 15:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, your broker and charting service may well not be started till later but I can assure you the real FX market starts at 5am Sydney every monday. That market open where it closed on friday and remained around those rate for at least an hour.
At times there may be "gaps" but this is not one of them despite what the charting services may incorrectly show. I would personally add in my opinion say any "gap" below 50 pips is inconsequential (unless it's ones orders of course-LOL)
cheers mate.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK Kevin 15:49 GMT October 28, 2004
yes.. 105.88 is the botom. for your trade please hold until touch 106.56 (TOP)..

Dallas GEP 15:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Look at eur/chf and usd/chf, these 2 pairs haven't confirmed BUYS yet but they could soon

HK Kevin 15:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas, any views on USD/JPY. It makes a new dailt low this hr, but no follow through on the downside. I go long at 106.12 for a qucik trade.

Boston captain 15:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GA TJ 15:40 GMT October 28, 2004
FWIW: Pres Election Electoral College Numbers based on the latest Polls

1st...I like them numbers
2nd...I wish you would have advised me earlier not to play today...:o)

GA TJ 15:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FWIW: Pres Election Electoral College Numbers based on the latest Polls

Bush: Solid or leaning - 234
Kerry: Solid or Leaning - 207

Toss up States
FL Bush up 2 pts - 27 EC Votes
MN Kerry up 1 pt - 10 EC Votes
NH Kerry up 2.4 Pts - 4 EC Votes
NM Bush up 2.5 pts - 5 EC Votes
OH Kerry up 2.5 pts - 20 EC Votes
PA Kerry up 2.5 pts - 21 EC Votes
WI Bush up .6 pts - 10 EC Votes

Based on the poll results what it boils down to is MN and WI and Kerry has to win both to be elected. Those 2 states also have the smallest margins. Bush wins 1 of those 2 and he gets 4 more years. Its going to be intersting.

As far as trading goes the markets are not meeting my expectations so I have not participated today.

Boston mpd004 15:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Number 2 is just so, so!

Boston mpd004 15:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Actually, I like # 3!

Boca Raton 15:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
gu·ru Audio pronunciation of "guru" ( P ) Pronunciation Key (gr, g-r)
n. pl. gu·rus

1. Hinduism & Tibetan Buddhism. A personal spiritual teacher.
2.
1. A teacher and guide in spiritual and philosophical matters.
2. A trusted counselor and adviser; a mentor.
3.
1. A recognized leader in a field: the guru of high finance.

Sydney Alimin 15:32 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad is heading lower i believe, bearish engulfing pattern 4-hr chart, macd is turning lower

jkt-aye 15:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
seem to me GBP trying to tackle 1.8335-65.

Dallas GEP 15:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Frnd....bashing means same thing as a getting beat up . So dollar taking a bashing menas it is getting beat up or sold off

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
LOL.. I am longing for that food too.
yes.. I focuse on Oil and US election.

Sydney Alimin 15:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 15:09 GMT October 28, 2004

so there was no gap at all in fx? my platform could be opened a bit late that's why i saw some gaps
sometimes in fxtrek i saw gaps too...hmm no idea about this

Tokyo IM 15:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GL/GT all , I am off for today.

Sydney Alimin 15:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT October 28, 2004

haha dont make me feel hungry with those food, i am far far from losari beach now, only bondi beach

1 week? so 600 pips in 1 week for usd/cad? wow, i am a bit pessimistic about that, but you might be right, never say never in fx, only 1 question though, what would be the catalyst for such a move? us election (this, i think is unlikely)? commodity price sell-off?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
1.2761 is the top.sell is good for eur/usd to get bottom 1.2666..

Lndn Frnd 15:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:13 GMT , thnks for reply, but execuse me what you mean by (bashing)

Sydney Alimin 15:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 15:07 GMT October 28, 2004

looks like market is testing the invisible hands, i think they are still there, although this time we have got lower price

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 14:53 GMT October 28, 2004
hallo losari beach..
thats for long term. maybe for 1 week.
konro food. :-)

Dallas GEP 15:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well stop 10 pips above the daily high would be good on your EURO short BUT DOLLAR is really taking a bashing here...not sure why.

Tallinn viies 15:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
*DJ Tsy's Taylor: Recent Fall In Dollar `Orderly'

Lndn Frnd 15:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sold euro at 1.2740 where to place stop buy above is it around 12770 ?

Dublin Flip 15:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ooops
opens at 5am Sydney time (sorry)

Dublin Flip 15:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

Alimin there were no gaps to fill mate
from GVI Monday morning….

Singapore Sfx 19:17 GMT October 24, 2004
Opening lvls here ...

1.2685-88
107.30-33
First trade on the open usdyn was 107.35 paid (from a 107.25 cl - so not much of an fx reaction to it ...) . fwiw/
-------------------
The gaps on the charts are just anomalies as many start 7.30 to 9am Sydney time whereas the market opens at 5PM. The market was unchanged for the first hour of trade BTW.

houston ken 15:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
covering cad short and long with 10 pips st loss below

Dallas GEP 15:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Alimin, that type of thing rarely gets confirmed. YES Boca, I have been watching too much World Series action!!!!

Sydney Alimin 15:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
guys, has the gap in usd/jpy been closed?my understanding is that it hasn't or was the move to 107.15 considered enough to close the gap?

Tokyo IM 14:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP, good morning. You just skept the dancing.

Lndn Frnd 14:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
mrkt movements today maybe due to following:

28-10-04. The decision by China to raise interest rates for the first time in 9 years, increased currency market volatility. There were sharp drops in the Australian and Canadian dollars before a rebound and this helped the US dollar strengthen as well. The short-term dollar correction may, however, have concluded at 1.2650.

any idea or support to this ?

Sydney Alimin 14:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:50 GMT October 28, 2004

usd/cad 1.2838? what's your time frame for that?

LDN. 14:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
If China's move is indeed the start of a series, Jeremy Fand, director of foreign exchange at WestLB in New York.
looks for the dollar to begin trending higher versus other currencies - particularly the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, and others whose cycles depend on commodities - since China's ravenous demand for commodities could ease.
But if oil does keep falling, we're going to find that those who bought euros, betting against the U.S. economy, will start selling them for dollars," said Fand, who says that any improvements seen in the U.S. economy in the weeks following the election will likely help push the dollar higher.

Boston mpd004 14:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well it's about time you got your butt out of bed, too much world seies watching I think

Dallas GEP 14:48 GMT October 28, 2004
Damnn....The YEN was being BOUGHT across the board not SOLD. Soory guys just woke up!!!!!

Sydney Alimin 14:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT October 28, 2004

was it confirmed that it was intervention?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad
finally first station at 1.2334 was get. still 2 station that not yet be get (1.2638 and 1.2838).
maybe too early if I talk about 1.2838.. but I look chart will go there to get nice top..

Lndn Frnd 14:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sold euro at 1.2740 where to place stop buy above is it around 12770 ?

Dallas GEP 14:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Damnn....The YEN was being BOUGHT across the board not SOLD. Soory guys just woke up!!!!!

Sydney Alimin 14:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy looks set to go lower to 105 but i dont know what's cooking at 106, if the invisible hands are still there it is gonna be tough like this afternoon, 4hr chart indicates lower price is to follow, but we will just have to wait and see

Dallas GEP 14:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well last night of course we had intervention it seems at around 105.93. Could that happen again in US ??? Could but the diffrence is last night the dollar wasn't being sold off like this pretty much across the board, it was the YEN being sold off across the board. So with that in mind, don't count on intervention to save your butt this time as if and when it comes it could be at a much lower level than last night

Tokyo IM 14:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I do not think that there is a way for cable to close above 1.8300.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
oops sorry.. not 8326.. but exactly top at 8322.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:39 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Boca Raton 14:35 GMT October 28, 2004
yes. :-)

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
let gbp/usd touch 1.8326 to give us chance sell level.. for target bottom 8243.

Boca Raton 14:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Magic Box, are you female?

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I paste here if you want to now and save it. still valid until now..
"Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:25 GMT October 27, 2004
Please draw it in your forcast map and be save !
From my magic box. L OL

How to use : Top - bottom - top- bottom..and so on.. or bottom -top - bottom - and so on

Gbp/usd down will follow this map: 1.8455 (top) - 1.8190 -? - 1.8129 - ? - 1.8078 - ? - 1.7866 - ? - 1.7768- ?

Eur/usd down will follow this map : 1.2845(top) - 1.2665 -? - 1.2634 - ? - 1.2532 - ? - 1.2325- ?

Aud/usd down follow will follow this map : 0.7503(top) - 0.7422 - ? - 0.7398 - ? - 0.7257 - ?

Usd/chf up will follow this map : 1.1924(bottom) - 1.2175 - ? - 1.2334 - ? - 1.2610 -?

Usd/jpy up will follow this map : 106.20 (bottom) - 109.38 - ? - 112.53 - ?

Gold down will follow this map : 431.20(top) - 419.31 - ? - 417.12 - ? - 410.87 - ?

Raden Mas"

YVR MAXXIM 14:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP-USD
161.80%- 1.8447
100.00%- 1.8351
76.40%- 1.8314
61.80%- 1.8292
50.00%- 1.8274
38.20%- 1.8255
23.60%- 1.8233
0%---- 1.8196
gt maxx z

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
check your graph and see my map of forcast 27 Oct 2004..you will see why eur/usd move up strong from 1.2634 (in fact 1.2638).
please thinking about third station at 1.2522..
hope not thinking buy..is too risky for you !!
let see..

Tokyo IM 14:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I would sugest that we will see lot of volatality tomorrow during Asian session. I guess I am staying out of it or with very tiny orders and tight s/l.

Dallas Mauricio 14:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
This is what I do which is a variation of what Koishi posted. I take 3 lots, close one out @ an 8 pip profit, close the next lot at my predetermined profit level, change my SL to BE on the third lot & let it run. The first lot profit reduces the total loss if the next 2 reverse and are stopped out. The third lot accomplishes risk free trading which is extremely psycholigically beneficial. I highly recommend that every trader reads "Trading In The Zone" by Mark Douglas. This book turned my trading career around.

Sapporo Koishi 13:54 GMT October 28, 2004
KL, just a suggestion that may help you, try trading 2 lots, when it moves your way take the first one off the table at the level you feel you need to cut and run, then move the 2nd lot to breakeven and leave it. that way you satisfied your immediate need to take the cash but you are also still in the market if you closed the first to early. not the best R/R technique but psychologically better. g/l

Halifax CB 14:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
OK - I think you may well be right; what's the lowest point you expect it to go before that? FWIW, the SL on my long just got hit (1.2215) for a nice little gain; I'm going to go back to looking for shorts, but not aggressively. Greed (as someone pointed out here earlier) kills; or as JS Bach pointed out, Ich Haben Genug (sp?). Cheers & good luck.

Syd 14:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas do you have any time frame on that tks

prague jv 14:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
still not very good conditions for placeing bets here for short term trading . dast has not settled down just yet and will not be surprice see these levels vibrating +- into boring asian session .

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:19 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 14:12 GMT October 28, 2004
If you remember my map forcast that I called my self with magic box, you will see that 0.7378 is bottom.
now is on the selling emotion again to get 0.7257..

SAIHAT 14:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Halifax CB 14:14

FROM NOW TILL TOMMORW END

Halifax CB 14:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Saihat - CAD's already hit that level a couple of times today, going through in both directions, so chances are it'll do it again :) GL/GT

Syd 14:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas and Aud

SAIHAT 14:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FRISH

AN INDICATOR TELL ME TODAY OR TOMMOROW

EUR WILL HIT 1.2688

CHF 1.2031

AUD .7424

CAD 1.2256

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 14:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I think we are ready if gbp/usd have get enough corection today.
If you remember and follow my map forcast, you will agree with 1.8190 is bottom and then agree if move up from there.
Now is thinking for sell (dont thinking for buy). Its time for thinking about 1.8129 for second station.
I think the train with full passengers are ready to go south now..
lets see..

Halifax CB 14:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Re CAD; we are now setting the SL's to 15 pt's trailing, and aiming for 1.2241. GL/GT

SAIHAT 14:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
SAIHAT 02:30 GMT October 25, 2004
for this week will hit:

eur 1.2635(DONE)

chf 1.2134(DONE)

aud .7325 (LOW .7367)

cad 1.2432(NOT YET)

reuslt end of current week...LET WAIT

Sapporo Koishi 13:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
KL, just a suggestion that may help you, try trading 2 lots, when it moves your way take the first one off the table at the level you feel you need to cut and run, then move the 2nd lot to breakeven and leave it. that way you satisfied your immediate need to take the cash but you are also still in the market if you closed the first to early. not the best R/R technique but psychologically better. g/l

nyc jk 13:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
jf - have a feeling he won't be back........

nyc jk 12:00 GMT October 25, 2004
Perth WTR 11:54 GMT October 25, 2004

perhaps a better indicator of market psychology is when folks come out of the woodwork and on their first day joining the forex forum start posting bullish EUR posts after we have just had the biggest runup of the year. funny how these sort of folks don't come out before the move actually happens.

Dallas Mauricio 13:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks mpd004.

Boston mpd004 13:45 GMT October 28, 2004
Very nice trading there Max & Mauricio!

Dallas Mauricio 13:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Don't get me wrong KL. I am strictly a DAYTRADER. I rarely hold positions overnight as it eats me up inside. I like to be flat everyday so no matter what happens, the next day starts with a clean slate. What we are trying to tell you is to try to limit the number of trades you make. I have found out if I keep my daily trades under 5, I usually have a profitable day. I also have found out that if I make over 5 trades a day, I am operating out of impulse and I end up losing a lot! I am no expert at this game by any means. Good luck and remember this is just one trader's opinion.


KL KL 13:43 GMT October 28, 2004
Dallas Mauricio , Farmacia,,,,you are probably right...this few days have been unpredictable.... Guess the important thing is to keep making 1 pip a day at least. 250 pips a year depending on the size of your trade can be NICE!! I just hate to lose....if it goes in my direction by more than 20 pips, I lock in & let it run....I don't have your staying power...,maybe need to learn as well...the longest I held was 3 days...and only once this year...LOL

st. pete islander 13:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
jf .... Amen!

Calabash TarHeel 13:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 13:36 GMT October 28, 2004
Fwiw: I am staying out today. The numbers I have until close tonight are; (7355-7391-7437) Pivot=7473 (7519-7555-7601)
My interest would be in the 7350 or 7500 levels. Will recalcuate after tonights close.
Happy Trades

tk jf 13:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
perth wtr - goes to show you when you least expect it what can happen to your p/l

Boston mpd004 13:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Very nice trading there Max & Mauricio!

YVR MAXXIM 13:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
zee the "CHART".u can't miss the "BEAST" moves. lol

KL KL 13:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio , Farmacia,,,,you are probably right...this few days have been unpredictable.... Guess the important thing is to keep making 1 pip a day at least. 250 pips a year depending on the size of your trade can be NICE!! I just hate to lose....if it goes in my direction by more than 20 pips, I lock in & let it run....I don't have your staying power...,maybe need to learn as well...the longest I held was 3 days...and only once this year...LOL

Dallas Mauricio 13:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Ladies & Gentlemen, I am done for the day with +100 pips on Cable. GREED KILLS! Good luck to everyone & I will play the game again tomorrow.

Miami OMIL (/;-> 13:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good work MAX

Halifax CB 13:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hmmm, step out for 1/2 hr or so and bang, CAD's already dropped. That's not polite. In for for the retracement (- this time to the 0.32 fib level (maybe around 1.2240 to re-eval or so..) with 30pt SL. Just a flyer...

Sydney Alimin 13:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
it is interesting to see aud/usd daily chart, several rejection bars pattern from 0.75, let's wait today's closing

Dallas Mauricio 13:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Incredible!

YVR MAXXIM 13:31 GMT October 28, 2004
GBP-USD 1.8252-1.8349-1.8196-1.8351= 400pips for today!.

Sydney Alimin 13:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
this week has been a profitable week for those looking to grab quick pips, i wish everyday is like this

usd/cad is having an unbelievable day today..up and down more than 100 pips within hours

YVR MAXXIM 13:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP-USD 1.8252-1.8349-1.8196-1.8351= 400pips for today!.

gt maxx z.

NewYork frankie 13:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
eurgbp scalping & aussie for 20 -30 pips
Aussie will be down later on

KL KL 13:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm , thats why need to trade currency and very liquid market...market maker / floor trader are sharks too.

btw sold gbpusd 1.8345 covered 1.8334 got another 11 pips...I sense people are getting nervous again at these levels for both eur gbp aud...nice to trade...

Dallas Mauricio 13:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I agree. Forex is a trending market.

melbourne farmacia 13:25 GMT October 28, 2004
KL KL - mate.. u need to hold bit longer sometimes.. less work ..more pips ... play fibo levels ... GT

Boston mpd004 13:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Just got in and out quick scalp for +32 gbp/usd..happy now

LDN. 13:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
NewYork frankie what are you trading today GT

melbourne farmacia 13:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
KL KL - mate.. u need to hold bit longer sometimes.. less work ..more pips ... play fibo levels ... GT

NewYork frankie 13:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Nice squeezing by the big boys. I think we'll be down again from here - real soon

Sydney gvm 13:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
$ Index not far from its lows - feels like Euro is lagging this move a bit

Dallas Mauricio 13:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Cable has been a thing of beauty!

Tokyo IM 13:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
And what exectly is going on with major pairs, did they deside to go the different way ?

Bonn Karl 13:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
eur/$ above 1.2770 & say goodbye to USD ... next 1.2860/80 then 1.2930 for 1.3050 .... hehehe

Sydney gvm 13:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Tallinn viies - mate I agree ; I got killed on slippage in London Gas Oil yesterday - a $25 profit dropped to $7 with $5 slippage - man when those things move there aint no floor trader/market maker bidding I can tell you that

KL KL 13:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
out 4 pips gain

porto wwwazarentocom 13:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I agree with quito_ecuador_valdez 12:50 GMT .
2 usd is nothing! just below 49/50 is a good signal
good trades!

Tallinn viies 13:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney gvm 13:07 GMT - dont get me wrong.
yesterday morning oil was from the beginning of the year up something like 90-95%.
if look at the chart then it does look like exactly like Nasdaq100 on better days.

but it will keep going up as long as it goes :)

KL KL 13:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
short gbpusd 1.8343 sl 10 above

NewYork frankie 13:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Here we go again. Fasten seatbelts

Sydney gvm 13:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
On th eoil decline - alot of hedge funds woulda sold down their longs going into month end - re-establish next week either pre or post election - I agree - its a blip at the moment - hasn't turned the trend at all

Tallinn viies 13:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 12:50 GMT - question of intepretation.
from yesterdays top it has fallen for now 7,5%.

for the month we are still up 5,25%.

so basically keep buying it as long as last month low contains the moves. at the moment october low at 48,80.

Halifax CB 12:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
mosquito - I think that's called wishful thinking LOL...Anyway, we're looking to short again in $CAD - maybe in the 1.2260 region (I haven't worked that out yet..) since the recent spike will have cleared out nearby SL's that would tend to accelerate a movement up...But the end of the week is now near, so maybe it's time to think about early next week...

KL KL 12:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok happy to take +12 from 1.8280 long at 1.8292..flat now looking and lurking

KL KL 12:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
long 1.8280 gbpusd sl 10 below...nice channel

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I'm confused. Everyone's saying oil sharply declined yesterday but we're only talking minus 2 USD. To me that's not a sharp anything, it's just normal wiggle..4%. Sharp means to me $5-$10.

Dublin Flip 12:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Bad timing-I was out when China's brought on the big surprise. Sorry I didn't answer any questions but I'm sure the initial move would have confused me as much as any.
BC is chinaman that's for sure.
My take from GVI...
Dublin Flip 12:35 GMT October 28, 2004
I think the knee-jerk grade nine economics read of the China rate hike was a combination of long market long for stops on one side and then the double whammy when they hit the other on abject confusion.
I think the raise rates in sympathy with Fed is logical and also reminds us that while Al had been cutting rates for the past few years China has effectively been tightening by not following suit. I also think it's worthwhile remembering BCs repeated warnings that if RMB was floated there may well be a rush for high yielders and actual pressure on the RMB. Higher Yields at home sound smart and that also gives reasons for holding all those reserves.
----------
On ozz and kiwi (USD overall) I defer to BC. which was (I think) USD up short term as election encourages few to initiate positions but many to close them. My initial thoughts however are that if $jpy is still 106.50 after a surprise China rate hike the dollar still has "imbalance issues". The reaction seems based on the positioning and surprised confusion not the news itself -LOL

KL KL 12:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok lock in my 12 pip gain from 1.8292 short...let it run down now...or run me out....time to consolidate around 1.82 for leap higher...same for eur at 1.26. OIL down but China 0.27 % rise....made everyone catch a cold...nice trading day..imho

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
yes, sorry for mispost...E/$ positive, certainly not a USD pos as I misposted below..tks!! Chart went oppposte the way it should. I figured it was lagging to switch up...sheesh!

Sydney gvm 12:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
quito_ecuador_valdez 12:38 - what are you referring to that is US$ positive?

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
humm..big USD positive yet chart lags AGAIN. Big money is just not buying any information until US election results known.

KL KL 12:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd 1.8292 sl 10 above....no reason bad data US +ve, china rate hike good for who ... i don't know just have the urge to short something...I think gbp have come up too fast...need to go down again imho

Plovdiv Gotin 12:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
350K

Ldn Viewer 12:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Nice stops done today similer to the move to 1.2225 before run upto 1.2850 area. MM just flushing out some client stops and get position for run at 1.3000 odd .. oil soon a story will help that back up , a few weeks ago we had a sharp dip to 51.50 odd and many hoped it would go lower and went back sharp to 55.00 odd , will be same story ... bottom line stronger Oil price .. China needs will only grow ..
USD weaker as US accepts it ...

GL all

Plovdiv Gotin 12:32 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
350K

Calabash TarHeel 12:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:11 GMT October 28, 2004
Thanks Omil. Hope your week is going well.

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Weekly jobless claims +20K to350K. market expected +7K

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD Init'l Jobless Clms (OCT 23) 12:30 es=335k pr=329k
USD Contin'ng Claims (OCT 16) 12:30 pr=2,798k
POST DATA when you GET IT pls.

Halifax CB 12:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Closing $CAD positions for now...

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
For questions abt data times..see my calendar post today.

Question: those using WAP devices in trading..see Help forum. Anyone use WAP devices for trading/data/account data? I need 2 know..putting together WAP website for FX.

Calabash TarHeel 12:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
st. pete islander 12:16 GMT October 28, 2004
Morning again. I was serious about being lucky, went to sleep expecting trailing stops to be hit on Aud and Euro. Aud came awfully close.
Omil does very good work. I'm looking at 1.2740=1.2795-1.2870 on euro. Regarless, staying flat today, probably tomorrow also.
Maybe the noise will stay quiet for a few days till we see where the market wants to go now.
Take Care.

Ina co'z 12:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good Jobs RADEN...you good today...:-)) ,whats next ??

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 12:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
wow.. gbp/usd and eur/usd nice..
have a nice eur/usd and gbp/usd sellers..

Melbourne Qindex 12:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP/USD : Daily Cycle Quantized Levels


Curve A : ... 1.8183* // 1.8208 - 1.8233* - 1.8287* - 1.8340* // 1.8369 - 1.8434* ...


Curve B : ... 1.8131* - 1.8161 // 1.8192* - 1.8253* - 1.8375 // 1.8467 - 1.8436* ...


Curve C : ... 1.8128* - 1.8167 // 1.8206* - 1.8284* - 1.8361* - // 1.8400 - 1.8439* ...

Sydney Alimin 12:19 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
technically this is dollar negative i think, having rallied a bit but unable to maintain its gain

data out in 10 minutes isn't it? perhaps nothing much in it i guess as people wait for more important events tomorrow

wellington am 12:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
NZD/USD's seems like a buy at current levels (~68). RBNZ's statement overly dovish due to recent run up against US$, now with china statement sees 200 point sell off. Fundamentals still good. US$ still f#$^*ed.

Roumeli anka 12:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Quito... eur and lunar cycles :)

http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=27820&u=contrarian&a=contrarian's&id=497

st. pete islander 12:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
TarHeel ... Good morning .... slept through the whole spike. Safe to say that the gaps filled. We won't have to hear anymore about that. OMIL's numbers look good to me ... he does nice work. For me, the question is this .... Can data from China cause a bigger spike that USA data? We will soon see. gt

Eilat Dolphin 12:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Valdez/ I agree, but I couldn't imagine that the Chinese were going to stab me in the back and slaughter my Kiwi cold... while I was only shaving.

Ok we didn't always agree: the Viet Nam war, the red book, Tienanmain etc,
But still!
Bye!

Miami OMIL (/;-> 12:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good morning Tarheel hope you are having a good week my resistance stays the same since my last post.
Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:03 GMT October 28, 2004
what was once support is now resistance at around the 2725-35, 2760-50 and 2800-10 area for now with key resistance still to be tested at 2850-60.

Syd 12:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Cheslock Bakker strategist Michael Derks says China tightening more symbolic than substantial. "It would not be at all surprising if we saw the lending rate hiked further in coming months." Sees China's abolishment of ceiling on lending rates more important than rate rise.rts

Eilat Dolphin 12:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
London/ No but no one but his guards and doctors have seen him. So he most probably has (more) brain damage, from what I suspect was a stroke.

Just shorted the Euro
And off I go.

Sydney Ge11Ja 12:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I am confused with aud/yen here, if you are going to sell aud on back of less demand from China for commodities then surely you have to sell yen as well because of impact on Japan trade surplus from China slowdown?

quito_ecuador_valdez 12:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin// & others: Wise traders lurk sometimes while pip jockies go poor. You'd be surprised at email I've gotten recently from "big traders" & managers (who post on this forum) who are flat or nearly so. Some 'til New Year. Can't mention names but believe me, lots of pros are trading light if at all. My old saying, "Never feel compelled to trade." This chart is nuts. I'm phlat too, Dolphin...50-50 in EUR & USD (OCO) 'til sky clears for next sortie.

Calabash TarHeel 12:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:21 GMT October 28, 2004
Good Morning. Some of us were patient. See I closed the Kiwi way too early tho, thanks for the heads up just the same.
Take Care.

Sydney Alimin 12:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
geez, that was short fun, now everything back to normal pre-news
back to selling dollar?
it is amazing that usd/jpy still stayed below 107 even with that news just now, not even a spike above 107

Calabash TarHeel 12:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Miami OMIL (/;-> 11:29 GMT October 28, 2004
Morning Omil
Hope all is good down your and Islander's way. Woke up to find myself flat this morning. Very nice three days. I have 1.2605 as strong support too. Wondering now if you have res. around 1.2740.
Islander, Good Morning to you. Better to be lucky than good, Good trades

london 12:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin is he dead yet ? I mean confirmed

Eilat Dolphin 11:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
london/ So, Snow'w brain is icing, but mine is boiling, as I still don't get the move! Not smart enough.

But the Market knows, the market feeeels, it has nerves and nervous breakdown too, it even has a uterus which right now is in fibrillation (not fibonaccing).

So I am off to cool my brain in my waves, then have a cool smoke in honor of Arafat's brain.

Ldn 11:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Paris AM Gold Fixing: $421.75 ($421.48)

Halifax CB 11:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USDCAD recent history is full of short squeezes, take a look at the dailies over the last few months. This pair was ready for one with lots of SL's still in as well as more optimistic folks with entry orders, I would assume. The news is $+ but how much so? (someone asked why - prob because it implies a possible reval for China=>more expensive Chinese goods for Walmart=>lower trade def for US. Plus relaxation in oil prices & some $ support from Watanabe &co.). Anyway, we are short again and looking for shorter. GL/GT

Gen dk 11:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin// My moon doesn't eclipse. oooo. 'Nuff said. Get darts sharpened, zero'd in for next "plinking" competion in 40 min:
USD Init'l Jobless Clms (OCT 23) 12:30 es=335k pr=329k
USD Contin'ng Claims (OCT 16) 12:30 pr=2,798k

Sydney Ge11Ja 11:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
If only I had followed through on my post earlier today

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:10 GMT October 28, 2004
Is there any news out re Chinese interest rates?

Tokyo IM 11:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I have a feeling that Cable, Fiber and friends are going to go in the oposite direction of now when US will wake up.

porto wwwazarentocom 11:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
do you think us presidential elections will be important for dollar? i dont think so! forex is almost technical and not fundamental!

GA TJ 11:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Crap. Missed everything because I decided to sleep late. I thought it would be smart not to trade until after the report. Suppose I deserved that for trying to think LOL.

As far as the corrrection goes that I have posted about, it would appear to be on track. But all bets are off if report does not support my view.

Boston mpd004 11:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Based over time, it works quite well! :o)

london 11:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Reading your report once again Shanghai BC, you see the Dollar Strength continue, so its not wise to start shorting it now . We may get even better level due to the pull back in Commodities, yes smart move I would say. I dont think Snow would have thought of it , his brain is too iced up

Dallas Mauricio 11:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
LOL!

Boston mpd004 11:45 GMT October 28, 2004
My dart on my dartboard landed on cable short.

Eilat Dolphin 11:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
mos-quito/ The Kiwi, Aud, CAD, Euro, me and Arafat all just had a lunar eclipse.

Tokyo IM 11:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Seems like comodity market is on the dance. Interesting thing China did ...

Syd 11:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dollar appears to have a bit more umph

Boston mpd004 11:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
My dart on my dartboard landed on cable short.

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dr. Q goes to color ads now..QOOL!

Mtl JP 11:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
bc 11:13 / Crash mode is not anything like a trend that one can take time to get on/off and that can be discerned one day, one hour or five minutes before its manifestation. Crash mode, by definition, is massive, sudden and panties-around-the-ankles surprising to most. Giving almost NO time to MOST to react. Typical end result is a massive burning of capital - and temporary restoration of investor humility.

Tokyo IM 11:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Any ideas on direction of the cable.

Sydney gvm 11:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast/ BC ... why is the rate rise particularly US$ bullish?

Tallinn viies 11:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Im so sad, had order to buy at 1,2624. missed less than 10 pips. oooohhh. fingers crossed :)

Gen dk 11:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:32 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
gold coast martin 11:21 GMT October 28, 2004
ROFL. We had a total lunar eclipse in Ec last night at around 10PM ..does that mean Chucky's gonna lose his tail today? Sheesh. Keep posting amigo...if not at least on the GVI side where I/we can monitor those w/ brains albeit no jungle witchdoctor voodoo doll trading advisories. (pushing pins into my Greenspan doll as I write)

Miami OMIL (/;-> 11:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
shanghai bc 11:13 GMT October 28, 2004
Good post BC I hope you are having a good week. Eur/usd has tested support around the 2635-25 area now and met with some buying resistance but this pair still looks heavy next support is around the 2605-00 area and a very possible target around the 2520-30 area IMHO. GL GT

quito_ecuador_valdez 11:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai bc//Thank you VERY MUCH for your China post! Finally I've heard something I believed in for some time deeply myself. TKS, GT.


28-Oct Thursday // All times: GMT ex=expected pv=previous
Lots of important USD, CAD, Yen data yet due today.

AUD Housing Industry September New Home Sales
NZD Money Supply M1 MoM (SEP) 2:00 pr=-3.0%
EUR Fr Business Conf Indictr (OCT) 6:45 es=105.0 pr=106.0
EUR Fr Prod Outlook Indictr (OCT) 6:45 es=10.0 pr=12.0
EUR EZ M3 s.a. 3mth avge. (AUG) 8:00 es=5.5% pr=5.4%
EUR EZ M3 s.a. (YoY) (SEP) 8:00 es=5.6% pr=5.5%
GBP GfK Consumr Conf Survey (OCT) 9:30 es=-7pr=-7
EUR Ital 13-cityCPI(NIC w/tobac-MoM OCT) 10:30 es=0.2% pr=0.0%
EUR Ital 13-cityCPI(NIC w/tobac-YoY OCT) 10:30 es=2.2% pr=2.1%
NZD NBNZ Business Conf (OCT) 12:00 pr=-20.8%

USD Init'l Jobless Clms (OCT 23) 12:30 es=335k pr=329k
USD Contin'ng Claims (OCT 16) 12:30 pr=2,798k


CAD Indust Prod Price MKoM SEP 12:30 =-0.4% pr=0.1%
CAD Raw Mater'l Prce Indx MoM SEP 12:30 es=1.8% pr=3.3%
CAD Business Conditions Orders OCT 12:30 pr=6.0

USD Help Wanted Index SEP 14:00 es=37 pr=37

NZD Building Permits MoM (SEP) 21:45 pr=-4.8%

JPY Jobless Rate (SEP) 23:30 es=4.7% pr=4.8%
JPY Job-Applicant Ratio (SEP) 23:30 es=0.83 pr=0.83
JPY Wrkers' Hold Spending (YoY SEP) 23:30 es=0.4% pr=-0.2%
JPY Workers' Hhold Spending (YoY) (SEP) 23:30 es=-0.7% pr=3.6%
JPY Tkyo CPI MoM SA (OCT) 23:30 es=0.1% pr=0.1%
JPY Tkyo CPI Ex Fresh Food MoM SA OCT 23:30 es=0.1% pr=0.0%
JPY Tkyo Consumr Prces (YoY OCT) 23:30 es=-0.1% pr=-0.2%
JPY Tokyo CPI Ex Fresh Food (YoY OCT) 23:30 es=-0.2% pr=-0.1%
JPY Natl Consumr Prices (SA SEP) 23:30 es=0.2% pr=-0.3%
JPY Natl CPI ExFreshFood MoM SA (SEP) 23:30 es=0.1% pr=0.0%
JPY Natl CPI YoY SEP 23:30 es=-0.2% pr=-0.2%
JPY Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food YoY SEP 23:30 es=*0.1% pr=-0.2%

porto wwwazarentocom 11:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
its possible gbp/jpy down to 183 in a few months?
did you saw the monthly chart?
thanks!

Gen dk 11:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

london 11:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC you see a bigger shake out for the aussie or is that it thanks

gold coast martin 11:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GD WIEN....EURO UNDER 12680...AUD AT 7408 -....YEN...OVER 10680...familiar figures?,,,they should be ..they are all in my posts of today....i didnt write this to gloat as i will NOT post anymore...Just to advise:A full moon or anyother idiosyncracy has got no place in forex trading,,,,,,learn to be PATIENT....ITIS THE KEY TO SUCCES.......
apologies to the other members of the forum who have to see such unecessary post ...back to trading and back to GOLDEN SILENCE FOR ME,,,,,,,,,G/T TO ALL

melbourne 2nite 11:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Shanghai BC 1113 .. thanks for your insight . esp at this time.

to ask a silly question . is such decision (the hike) anticipated ? there was an article in today's Business Times (singapore) on this ..

China urged to up interest rates in policy tweaks
BEIJING) China should fine-tune economic cooling policies by easing state-imposed curbs on bank loans and raising interest rates when necessary instead, a top government think-tank and economist were quoted yesterday as saying.

Thanks again for your time. David

shanghai bc 11:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

It works like this..Without raising rates in China,the property bubble and commodity bubble will continue endangering China's credit market and economy. China can afford expensive Oil thanks to the revenue from property developers. Once rates rise,the property market will suffer and the revenue will decline and China will have less money to buy commodities. Once Oil and Commodities start stabilizing for a while Dollar may get some relief in a decling market for a shortwhile too. But Chinese economy is not in crash mode. It may record 9% gdp again this year.Dollar bounce may continue for a few more days though till it resumes its decline, perhapse after the election. China's move is highly unlikely to change the course of dollar for the remaining two months.Fwiw.

london 11:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip hi is that news from China Aud and kiwi negative ? tnsk

Dallas Mauricio 11:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
What's next for Cable?

pr jv 11:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Need help from Perth WTR . what to do now with eur/usd .He is the expert here . WHERE ARE YOU .

Rivonia PipPirate 11:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
$/cad 12238....12288-12300-12325-12354-12391...

melbourne farmacia 11:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
london 10:51 GMT October 28, 2004
No IMO.... ask Mr Flip..

Sydney Alimin 11:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
wow, this is a surprise then, i mean no one expected this, all focus has been directed to oil and us domestic economy, everything looked bad for the dollar, and suddenly dollar got reasons to be bought?

Melbourne Qindex 11:06 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

EUR/USD : As shown in my 3-month projection profile the market is now resting around 1.2653, the mid-point reference between 1.2332 and 1.2973. In general there are 3 options for the next market movement. (1) The market can retreat back to 1.2813 (the mid-point reference of 1.2653 and 1.2973) and continues its way to 1.2973 in a trending manner. (2) It can move ahead towards 1.2332 in a trending manner. (3) Vibrating around 1.2653 with an expected magnitude of 1.2464 - 1.2842.

See details in my page for the market movement analyses.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page

EUR/USD : Quarterly Cycle Charts



Dallas Mauricio 11:05 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Out Cable Longs. Got Stopped out on remaining poss @ +3 pips above BE.

Eilat Dolphin 11:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Alimin/ No, the Chinese raised interesr rates (9 years event) to 5+% borrowing ,and 2% + when it's your money.

So the whole world goes beserk and Ccys fall to the $.

IMO, the Kiwis, Aussies etc should go up, as the Chinese money will cost them = reevaluation. But I am no economist; so those who know, please..........................................

Dallas Mauricio 11:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks ss.

Los Angeles ss 11:00 GMT October 28, 2004
Dallas M -- news says cable move was due to China rate hike.

Sydney Alimin 11:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
usd/cad got to 1.2323 for 1st time after last weekend
good call Raden Mas, your 1.2320 was right on...any chance to hit 1.2378?

Gen dk 11:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Los Angeles ss 11:00 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas M -- news says cable move was due to China rate hike.

Melbourne Qindex 10:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 00:06 GMT October 28, 2004
EUR/USD : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.2691 - 1.2739 and the key quantized level is 1.2715. A Projected supporting level is expected at 1.2608 - 1.2619. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.2811 - 1.2822. The odds are in favour of taking short position.



Curve A : ... 1.2595* // 1.2619 - 1.2643* - 1.2667 - 1.2691* - 1.2715 - (1.2739)* - 1.2763 - 1.2787 // 1.2811 - 1.2835* ...


Curve B : ... 1.2608 - 1.2639 // 1.2669 - 1.2700 - (1.2730) - 1.2761 - 1.2791 - 1.2822 // 1.2852 ...


Curve C : ... 1.2566* // 1.2604 - 1.2641* - 1.2678 - (1.2715)* - 1.2752 - 1.2789* // 1.2826 - 1.2863* ...

Dallas Mauricio 10:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I pared some of my Cable longs & moved stop to B/E. Any reason for Cable moves?

Auckland 10:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 10:51 GMT October 28, 2004
I'woldn't say cable is finished but we will see in few min
bit tricky

Tokyo IM 10:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Currencies on steroids ...

Sydney Alimin 10:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
time to catch up with what was happening before, what caused all the sudden move? oil related?

Gen dk 10:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Sydney Alimin 10:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
wow this is actually nice, glad had the order filled, blips are immediately used to sell dollar again, move stop to B/E for cable long

Rivonia PipPirate 10:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
LOL Tie me to the whipping post

Rivonia PipPirate 10:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Suggest playing Allman Bros band CD ...T

Rivonia PipPirate 10:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Suggest playing Allman Bros band CD ...T

Rivonia PipPirate 10:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Suggest playing Allman Bros band CD ...T

Sydney Alimin 10:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
so all gaps are closed now, everyone is happy, let the real game begins

london 10:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
melbourne farmacia this should be negative for the Aud and kiwi yes

Dallas Mauricio 10:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Aulkand, What do u mean?

My aplg cabel seems goes to touch 8175 or 38.2 fibo

melbourne farmacia 10:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Fun & games.....

Auckland 10:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 09:58 GMT October 28, 2004

My aplg cabel seems goes to touch 8175 or 38.2 fibo

Dallas Mauricio 10:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Long Cable @ 1.8216 for Scalp

Sydney Alimin 10:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
wow, market went crazy
i love this game!

Dallas Mauricio 10:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
It might be time to turn off my computer!

Dallas Mauricio 10:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Just covered Cable short @ 1.8212 from 1.8272 for a 60 pip gain. It happened really fast! I am glad I was the right side of it.

Sydney Alimin 10:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok in, 1st portion 1.8208

prague jv 10:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks KL

I have short from 1.2718 and still going . stop 1.2716 now .

Syd 10:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
China Lending Rate Hikes First In More Than Nine Years
China PBOC From Friday Ups 1-Year Deposit Rate To 2.25%
China PBOC From Friday Ups 1-Year Lending Rate To 5.58%

Sydney Alimin 10:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
almost time to hit cable entry again

Syd 10:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Japan MOF Watanabe: Recent Forex Moves Too Rapid, Sharp

Haifa ac 10:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 09:17 GMT October 28, 2004
"... but overall what difference would Bush's return make in the big picture???"...//I don't think this market has ANYTHING TO DO WITH ECONOMY at the momnet. It has ONLY to do with UNCERTAINTY. Bush represents certainty and the market will rally--same as it rallied when Iraq invasion started! It means LONG TERM PEACE AND PROSPERITY IN THE WORLD!

Tallinn viies 10:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I love this game :)

on IPE oil was heavily down. brent something like -2% and diesel near 4% in red and then someone got probably in trouble....

as building was evacuated due firealarm :) :)
I wish we could do it on FX market also

Auckland 10:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas Mauricio 09:58 GMT October 28, 2004
Cable seems to bild up base for going long.
It might drop on 8220-8250 but it should be bottom line.
Straight after--toward north

KL KL 10:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
prague jv, actually the last short I exited 1.2722...mis typed...as for the entries ...yep I made 2 shorts and covered the first rather quickly....have a look....anyway I am still ahead today...hope you are too. Just keep accumulating pips and make my brokers rich ...gl gt

long 1.8269 gbpusd sl 10 below

Eilat Dolphin 10:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
So the US Crude stock grew by 4 million barrels.
Impressive!

But wait, that's about four hours of US internal consumtion...

Or two more supertankers that docked in an harbor after the hurricane delays.

prague jv 10:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

KL KL 09:22 GMT October 28, 2004
short eurusd 1.2726 sl 7 above

KL KL 10:00 GMT October 28, 2004
out eurusd short +4 pips at 1.2723

Interesting mathematicks KL . If you had entry as you said , on customer platform it was posible with spread of 1.8 pips for only very short time . mtter of 2 sec. max .

You must be very good.

Dallas GEP 10:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Closed usd/jpy @ 106.40 (guess that level will hold for now) and closed AUSSIE shorts @ .7470

KL KL 10:00 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
out eurusd short +4 pips at 1.2723

Dallas Mauricio 09:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good Day Everyone. I missed you all yesterday. What are the current Cable views. TIA

Plovdiv Gotin 09:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi mates. Some ideas about $/SF?tia.

Dublin Flip 09:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dolphin they were countries.
Terrorism is a movement or a disease. OBL didn't invent it and it won't die with him or anybody else.
Anyway be lucky

cebu praetorian 09:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
good day traders...

Eilat Dolphin 09:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Flip/ Those who knew how to defeat the Japanese and Germans mighty fighters shall succeed against AQ&co.

Melbourne Qindex 09:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:34 GMT October 28, 2004
USD/JPY : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 105.98 - 106.38. A projected resistant level is positioning at 106.94 - 107.02 and a projected supporting level is expected at 105.40 - 105.59.


Curve A : ... 105.19* - 105.59 - (105.98)* - 106.38 - 106.77* - 107.17 // 107.56* ...


Curve B : 105.43* // 105.74 - (106.06)* - 106.38 - 106.70* - 107.02 // 107.33 ...


Curve C : 105.40* // 105.65 - 105.89* - 106.14 - (106.38) - 106.63 - 106.87* // 107.11 - 107.36* ...

Dallas GEP 09:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
This 106.40/45 level on usd/jpy won't hold much longer IMO

KL KL 09:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
short eurusd 1.2726 sl 7 above

Dublin Flip 09:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ac If you think Bush or anyone else for that matter can defeat terrorism I think your hopes are misplaced. No matter how much I'd like it to be the case, the genie can't be put back into the bottle I'm afraid.

Dallas GEP 09:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
106.77 target on USD/JPY longs and .7439 target on AUSSIE shorts

Gen dk 09:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Dublin Flip 09:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ac I think the markets are likely to rally as we get closer to the election and the pre-election terrorist risk abates (just like in Australia). Junior is likely to have a little honeymoon rally as you say (JFK2 would see it melt as Stock market heavy tax-cuts are sunsetted) but overall what difference would Bush's return make in the big picture??? He'll extend the Tax cuts and add another 2 trill on the budget. We still have the same problems we have before the election. Trade imbalances and Budget irresponsibilty.
Let's hope it's not a Brittany Spears Honeymoon-LOL

Dallas GEP 09:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Look for usd/jpy to test the high if it can break thru the 106.45 resistance area

chennai jagan 09:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
This is for everyone in the forum.
A intra-day trading idea to check....any comments and critisism welcome
1. Have 2 charts
(a) 60 min with volatality index (10,2)
(b) 5 min with volatality index (10,2) and EMA 4,9 and 20
Strategy : As long as the px's are above vlty idx in 60 min look to go long.
In 5 min charts, one the px moves above vlty idx, wait for the px's to pull back to 20 ema and go long..stop loss at close below vlty idx or 10 pips below vlty idx, whichever is hit first. exit will be the 4 ema crossing the 9 ema fm above.

vice-versa for going short.

All tech guys out there are requested to check this out and come out with critisism, either in this forum or to email
[email protected]

Haifa ac 09:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dublin Flip 09:00 GMT //If Bush is elected the market MUST rally. THe chance to defeat terrorism will push prices higher. Just look at the Transport index!

Melbourne Qindex 09:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Melbourne Qindex 09:00 GMT October 28, 2004
USD/JPY : 44-Day Cycle Quantized Levels (27/10)


Curve A : ... 104.11 // 104.74 - 105.37 - 106.00* - 106.63 // 107.26 ...

Curve B : ... 104.47 // 104.94 - 105.40* - 105.87 - 106.33 - 106.80 // 107.26* ...


Curve C : ... 104.11 // 104.90* - 105.69 - 106.48* // 107.26 ...

Dublin Flip 09:00 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ac I'm not saying we can't have a stock market rally.
Of course we can. I just think there have been plenty of Post election stick market rally cheerleading coming from the mass media. I get confused. we have so many rallys Xmas, election, war etc I can't keep track of them all on my calender -LOL

Dublin Flip 08:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Ac cute stuff but second term is of course a referendum on the incumbent. 1925 and 1985 US was in the middle of a stock market resurgence after twenty years aimless meandering (who is going to kick that guy out). 1945 was a war President who saved the world and in 1965 LBJ had the biggest sympathy card in recent history. From 1900 to 1920 the Dow went from 71 to 72 and 1905 proved to be part of wildly inconsistent range trading period.
It also noting in the above years PE were in their (mainly lower) single numbers as opposed today's wildly optimistic valuations.

SIN Oski 08:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good name out of Far East bought USD/JPY ...GL

hk dad 08:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
haha sorry that should be hk daddy not abby

hk ab 08:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab did you missed daddy's diamond for you? LOL

hk dad 02:07 GMT October 26, 2004
hk ab haha! still no respect for dad and here I thought mom had finally changed you into a respectful euro bull. haha! anyways, Your eur/chf diamonds will have to wait should euro print 1.2930 by Friday.

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 08:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
BOJ not sleep....

LondonJoe 08:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
would be surprised if Jap Inc. conducted any viagra activities prior to the US elections....

SIN Oski 08:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY phuuiii...106.33 bidded GL

hk ab 08:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
picked small long 106 but sorry, too hurry to respond now. V. busy today. GL all.

hk dad/son/grandpa/grandson/mom.... relax, take it easy. If it's too nervous, just leave your hands on eur.

Dallas GEP 08:35 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
To those newer ones who are not familiar with MOF workings, that COULD have been simply a small verbal intervention or a warning shot to shorters. Also could have been larger player as well. Will never know. Also this LINE in the sand is FOREVER moving.

Sydney Alimin 08:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
it's probably true, a line has been drawn

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 08:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Any frictions from MOF-BOJ ($JAP) ???

hk dad 08:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk grandpa, honorable son is fine, just a bit impatient & need some seasoning under her mom's apron. I think he is relaxing with his favriote umbella hat under the Perth sun today.
Dolphin then he must be a divine & nice trainer.

Eilat Dolphin 08:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Haifa ac/ Some day when the US election will be over, the winter will have set in over the northern hemisphere, and the markets will be quitely purring, we should have a thoughful discussion of the addictive aspects of FX...

Haifa ac 08:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Elections , Stock market and American league. Historically Bush should win becase 12 out of 18 times last 80 years when the AL win--Republicans win (May explain yesterday rally in the market--They knew Boston would win).
Also, for the Coffe, Tarrot and Grapefruir readers:
since 1889, there have been five post election calendar years ending in 5 (1905, 1925, 1945, 1965, 1985) where all followed the re-election of a sitting President. All were positive years for the stock market as measured by the DJIA (Theodore Roosevelt in 1905, up 38%; Calvin Coolidge in 1925, up 30%; Franklin Roosevelt in 1945, up 27%; Lyndon Johnson in 1965, up 11%; and Ronald Reagan in 1985, up 28%). If Bush is re-elected next month, 2005 will be the next test for this perfect record. And, if he looses re-election......the record will remain intact until 2025

SIN Oski 08:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
MoF Jap checking market..went 106.18 bid GL

Dallas GEP 08:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well there the BOYS are PROBABLY

SIN Oski 08:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY dropped below 106.00 (low 105.96-97) on s/l, but came back up straight away to 106.05 bid.

BoE Gov to speak soon on monetary policy (8.15 GMT)
GL

Haifa ac 08:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 07:59 GMT //Shamefully I must admit--The Happy Hooker.

Melbourne Qindex 08:20 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
We are waiting GBP/JPY to penetrate through 194.

Sydney Alimin 08:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hmm...invisible hands holding it?

Melbourne Qindex 08:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : 105.07 is also possible.

Sydney Alimin 08:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
let's welcome 105 usd/jpy

Eilat Dolphin 08:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
dad: I can't tell. Jay did talk to me a couple of times, always nicely, while I've never heard from any god.

Melbourne Qindex 08:11 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The next target is 105.80 if 106.05 fails to hold. A stronger one is 105.43 - 105.44 (bid).

hk grandpa 08:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 08:04 GMT October 28, 2004
Please tech honorable grandson to put foot in mouth instead of hat...requires better than a dolphin trainer,,,,,,,,g/l

Melbourne Qindex 08:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY : The next target is 105.80 if 106.05 fails to hold. A stroger one is 105.43 - 105.44 (bid).

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 08:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
be carefull if usd/jpy touch 105.68 or 105.38.. maybe BOJ act there .
chart will go there to make dramatical movement today.
are u ready?..

hk dad 08:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
he must be a good Dolphin trainer too LOL

gold coast martin 08:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 07:59 GMT October 28, 2004
FX OR TORAH?,,,NEITHER..WHICH ONE?..THE FELAFEL MANUAL..

Melbourne Qindex 08:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

Eilat Dolphin 07:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
haifa ac/ I beg to differ, then: Jay is to FX what Guttenberg is to the Bible, but to GVI, he is still the divinity.

A better divinity even: never jealous, irascible, he doesn't even stone Lesbians!

BTW/ Which book do you open more often: FX or Tora ?

SIN Oski 07:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
European name seen selling EUR/YEN and pushed it below 00 area (below 135.00) and funds buying large amount of USD/CHD below 1.2040 GL

Haifa ac 07:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 07:28 GMT October 28, 2004
Calgary/ jay is to GVI what God is to the Bible.//Nah. Jay is to Gvie what Guttenberg is to the Bible.

Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 07:49 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hallo !!

calgary 07:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
KL will you contact me?

KL KL 07:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok out short eurusd from 1.2744 at 1.2727 + 14 SAR here long with SL 10 below

calgary 07:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
KL i use hotmail for email, and my login is locomack ;) u can add me to messenger(there i did not give away my email,lol)

sofia anmart 07:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
AUD/USD-0.7490. The pair have just completed i-st of V-th wave up at 0.7500. Expect a small retracement but 0.7455-35 should hold for 0.7550. Above 0.7512 will trigger direct gains towards 0.7550.

calgary 07:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
oh so the policy doesnt allow writing emails or websites?

Budapest Daniel 07:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
[email protected] this is one of the approved ones that can be written here

KL KL 07:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
calgary, let me know how I can get it an alternative way...give me some hints...since this site have policy on giving e-mail. Jay is the moderator here


BTW move sl eurusd to 1.2738 lock in 6 pips

calgary 07:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok,how do i contact jay to get someones email?

gold coast martin 07:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Eilat Dolphin 07:28 GMT October 28, 2004
lol....JAY may have written the Bible....

Eilat Dolphin 07:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Calgary/ jay is to GVI what God is to the Bible.

Budapest Daniel 07:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sofia Anmart, very very good calls since I've been watching you...

calgary 07:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
who's jay? i'm new to this forum,so how do i go about getting your email?

Chicago Goofy 07:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sofia anmart 07:17 GMT October 28, 2004
May I have your view on Aud/Usd? Thx.

Melbourne Qindex 07:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 06:12 GMT - It will open the gate for 191.89.

Wien GD 07:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
No problem ... except that i listened and closed several positions some hours ago which would have been profitable.
But it's ok ... it's like going to the doctor - medicin will last another half year until i will listen again to gcm.
But you are right - it's also patience, which i'm sometimes going to loose when there's full moon. It's my fault, my fault, my fault ... that i was that stupid ... Thx, it will go by.
Hopefully last post on this topic ... Sorry.

KL KL 07:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
calgary , please put me on your tester list...ask jay for my email...thanks

LDN. 07:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney 07:14 GMT October 28, 2004
Monkey boy offer 0.7505 bid ?????

LDN. 07:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney 07:14 GMT October 28, 2004
Monkey boy offer 0.7505 bid ?????

sofia anmart 07:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
USD/JPY. We sell at 106.20 for 105.00.

Eilat Dolphin 07:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Saudia Jimmy, Bahrein Within 10 pips/ Won't you people have a hint for the Crude direction today... instead of the pub directions!

It's early morning on our longitudes anyway!

Sydney 07:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Monkey boy offer 0.7505 bid

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
after 6 PM

calgary 07:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Roumeli,ok,all you would need to purchase is our security patch that allows us to stop our system from being pirated

Saudi Jimmy 07:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks for info. One more, WHat is bar hours during Rammadan.

KL KL 07:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
short eurusd 1.2744 sl 10 above.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
The levels for early of the week are now etering..ie NZ..Chf/Yen and Eur/yen

Roumeli anka 07:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
calgary... i have the software

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 07:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
My auto orders for next few days

Currency Short Long
EURUSD 1.2853 1.2571
USDJPY 107.6192 105.2608
GBPUSD 1.8473 1.8087
USDCHF 1.2217 1.1909
EURCHF 1.5404 1.5268
AUDUSD 0.7552 0.7338
USDCAD 1.2382 1.2124
NZDUSD 0.6975 0.6767
EURGBP 0.7001 0.6901
EURJPY 136.8778 133.7822
GBPJPY 196.8149 192.3651
CHFJPY 89.2658 87.1142
GBPCHF 2.2242 2.1860
EURAUD 1.7245 1.6881
EURCAD 1.5736 1.5416
AUDCAD 0.9238 0.9006
AUDJPY 80.2026 78.2974

Eilat Dolphin 07:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD/ Let me tell you that I did make enough pips on Kiwi wings rountrips this night, AND on Martin's feathers' alerts, to fly (not swim) to any gold coast on this planet.

Could it be that you have a time machine problem ? Or a patience problem ? Or a statistical one: odds against a position can line up too: toss a coin a hundred times and check the results...

By all means, happy day!

KL KL 07:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
out gbpusd sd 1.8325 take my +14 pips a good start for the day

calgary 07:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I need the testing for reference. The system will be yours to keep.

SAIHAT 07:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sofia anmart 05:46

what was your stop for euraud..thanks

calgary 07:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Anyone interested in testing a system for me. You will need to buy the software(metastock), but the system is free. Never loses since 6 months,let me know if you are interested

Dallas GEP 07:00 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ALIMIN, in order to get a real good read on EUR/GBP you have to have good reads on both eur/usd and gbp/usd and I simply don't have that now. I would say I would DEFINITELY short from 6970 and lonf from 6920 but other than that I don't have much clarity

KL KL 06:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ok short gbpusd 1.8339 sl 10 above....time to work again

hk dad 06:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd how about a mild case of itchybum after sitting stationary for 4 days now ? LOL

Sydney Alimin 06:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ggraaahhh, look at gbp now, whoever took my stop before was a thief LOL....sitting well on my hands now, no more possies

GEP, do you see any opportunity in eur/gbp? has been coiling nicely for several session, something must be developing there

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
for mid age...
Might be Warbler at Baisan Hotel
Shorlok Holmes
Trader Vics at the Maridion..(Latin Band) + $$$
Some cafe's And Resturnts...Close to each other at adliya area (Can't miss it)


Syd 06:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk dad well he must have a big bottom cos he is doing a good job so far

Wien GD 06:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP ... you know that i almost never point at somebody ... but martin is wrong that often, that i had to pray to god to NOT NOT NOT listen to martin. i know its my fault (i didn't listen to myself) , my fault my fault ... sorry. Sorry martin - you are great!

hk dad 06:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 05:16 GMT sorry didn't see you earlier, whoever is sitting on .7500 must be very nervous :)
10 Pips 06:39 GMT no

Dallas GEP 06:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GD, everybody is responsible for their own analysis and CERTAINLY their own trades. When you point a finger at somebody , look down at your hand, You will notice there are three more fingers pointing back at you.

Seeing some USD selling now near London NOT unexpected

Eilat Dolphin 06:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I accept it as a personnal gift that Chairman Arafat did make it throught this eclipsed moon night the ME just had; as otherwise, he would have even eclipsed prophet Mohammed who had no astronomical event whatsoever to announce his arrival to Virginland, contraty to Jesus who supposedly had one (a bright Venus just like before any dawn these days) for his earthly first touch'n'go.

That said, I think that Arafat ailment is a bit $bullish, but even more Bushbullish.

gold coast martin 06:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 06:41 GMT October 28, 2004
THE TIME FRAME OG MY POSTS IS STILL VALID FOR BOTH YEN AND AUD..IF YOU CLOSED PREMATURELY DONT NLAME OTHERS FOR YOUR IMPATIENCE......

BTW...This is the exac reason why i will not post anymore.....not worth the effort.........

Saudi Jimmy 06:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain,
Thanks for info about barber yesterday.
Could u recommend good bars and hang outs place in Bahrain.

Tallinn viies 06:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 04:45 GMT - tiny move down :) offeres good opportunities to buy

gold coast martin 06:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Wien GD 06:41 GMT October 28, 2004
..IF YOU BOTHER TO READ MY POSTS ABOUT KIWI YOU WOULD ACTUALLY MADE MONEY IF YOU WENT SHORT...IN RELATION TO YEN AND AUD....READ MY POSTS OF THE LAST DAY CAREFULLY AND UNDERSTAND WHAT THEY MEAN.....IF YOU DID YOU WOULD NOT LOOSE MONEY.,...AND PLEASE DONT MAKE RASH STATEMENTS ABOUT MY POSTS...I AM TRYING TO PUT IT MILDLY WITHOUT BEEN RUDE....G/T

Sydney Alimin 06:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
usd/jpy does look rather heavy here, unless there is a quick buying up i won't be surprised to see it going down further

Dallas GEP 06:44 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Bahrain, it is not confirmed yet but setting up

Wien GD 06:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Gold Coast Martin ... some hours ago closed several of my usdyen short positions because of your strong call of 107. Already used to your one way view of aud (short it until you are a kanguruh) and thanksgood didn't listen and bought some aud - but you got me another time with usdjpy - and btw also lost some feathers with your kiwi's advise ... full moon.
Please dear god, let me NOT NOT NOT listen to gold coast martin ... one way pony.

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 06:39 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Chf/Yen..any think It's long?

syd 06:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Large Stops sub 106 Yen

Sydney Alimin 06:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 06:14 GMT October 28, 2004

yes GEP, noticed that too, even the usd majors lately have been rather volatile during asian session, they used to be sleeping and woke up only at the start of London

Dallas GEP 06:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
ALIMIN, in Asia here all price action today and most days for that matter is YEN based and primarily in the crosses. That COULD change in LONDON.

Los Angeles ss 06:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Qindex -- Thanks, see that now.

Dallas GEP 06:12 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Q, when you say not good, are you suggesting that that level is strong support and LONGS could be tried from there with relatively tight stops??????????????????

Melbourne Qindex 06:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Los Angeles ss 06:06 GMT - It is under the pressure from GBP/JPY.

Sydney Alimin 06:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
#$!$% now gbp is up again, what the heck was that?

Dallas GEP 06:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks SYD, I would hope so

Zaporozhye, UA Nemo 06:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
UK Nationwide October House Prices -0.4% MM, +15.3% YY

hk dad 06:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
10 Pips 05:57 GMT euro has no legs today with the euro crosses under pressure. however, 1.2893 is a fair target after a period of dips & blips. fwiw

Melbourne Qindex 06:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP/JPY : Anything below this level 194.03 - 194.07 is not good today.

Syd 06:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP well watching them youve done a lot better than they have this month GT

Sydney Alimin 06:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
any news out? why is it only gbp made a dive?

Los Angeles ss 06:06 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Anyone have any idea what caused the drop in cable just now. Any news??

Dallas GEP 06:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
LOL...I doubt they give a sh*t about what we are doing here

Sydney Alimin 06:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
dang, stop loss hit on gbp, looking to reload long later

Miami OMIL (/;-> 06:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Hello everyone an engulfing pattern on the 26 of this month for the eur/usd pair on the daily charts, a second day in a row of lower lows lower highs and the third day looking to produce the same. We might have a retracement after all (now I can stop holding my breath). Intraday indicators are unwinding while daily indicators turn south from their O/B area. There is still more room on the weekly indicators, which indicate that the high of the year could get tested after the correction is over and before the year is over too. Retracement has change a bit since I posted last time at around 2695-2705, 2605-2615, 2530-40, 2450-60 and 2360-70 for now. I believe for this bull rally to stay alive the support (2450-60) must not be broken. A bounce from the 2680-90 support occurred today but the bears have made up their mind at this time to continue with the retracement and what was once support is now resistance at around the 2725-35, 2760-50 and 2800-10 area for now with key resistance still to be tested at 2850-60. Support stays the same right around the retracement numbers but now there is some more room left for correction. For long to mid term traders this will be a good opportunity to buy more on any significant dips for this pair IMHO. GL GT

Syd 06:00 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP hey pal think IFR are watching you, they just went short AUD for 74

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 05:57 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I keep getting 1.2893 for the euro...
any Comments any one?
TIA

Pecs Andras 05:47 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sofia anmart 05:46 GMT October 28, 2004
Great calls again from you mate. Congrats.

sofia anmart 05:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
13:14 GMT October 27, 2004
EUR/AUD -1.7070. We sell at the market for 1.6820.
15:31 GMT October 26, 2004
GBP/JPY is a sell at 196 for 194.30

Sydney Alimin 05:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
took gbp profit on half, let the rest run with stop loss still the same , if 1.8350 breaks, then will move stop further up trailing until hit

re usd/jpy will be interesting to see if this support area can hold or not, i think it can, there's got to be some buying down here

Melbourne Qindex 05:43 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : 134.99, 135.19 and 135.22 are projected resistant points.

SIN Oski 05:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY: stop losses been triggered. Should consolidate around here in line with USD/JPY support around 106.00/10 area. GL

Sydney Alimin 05:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
phew, just got back from lunch and saw usd/jpy truly went down!
gbp/usd up...nice

Melbourne Qindex 05:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : 134.31 is an easier target.

Dallas GEP 05:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
If eur/jpy closes above 135.00 the next 30 minute candle, that would be a buy signal IMO

Dallas GEP 05:30 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
OK short now on AUD/USD @ .7492. Can't help it. Until AUSSIE proves it can break this level (7510) I am shorting it. BTW usd/jpy will find MORE support than eur/jpy at this time but this eur/jpy is key no doubt.

hk dad 05:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
sorry GEP, daddy is not good in day trading noises. but testing the .7495 highs for the 4th consecutive day could see aud spiking up to .7535/50 intraday. gl & be quick with your contra & break outs pip trades :)

Dallas GEP 05:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I am taklking specifically about 134.95-135.00 ASK area SEE Q's post below...it is RIGHT ON

Syd 05:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk dad 04:31 GMT do you know if this AUD can go higher or someone on toop

Dallas GEP 05:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
BTW eur/jpy long from HERE with 30 pip stop should work as well

YVR MAXXIM 05:14 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
1.8329 p.p., gbp-usd after 1.8347(50%)?-69-
(1.8391 p.p.1st.res.)1.8396-1.8441.

gt maxx z

Dallas GEP 05:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
OK watch eur/jpy if you are in usd/jpy longs 135.00 MUST hold to be able to keep usd/jpy in. Stop now is 105.87 because platform provider is stop hunting. I see it in their feed.

gold coast martin 05:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FWIW...More than likely we will get some sort of intervention as yen approaches 10590level... either support from export related funds and if that is not enough..boj....it cannot remain at 105 for a prolonged period as it is not in the best interest of jap. economy..especially after the not so good jap data today....g/t


Melbourne Qindex 05:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Anything below this barrier of 134.99 - 135.08 is not too good for today.

Dallas GEP 05:05 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
YES KL eur/jpy longs CAN long EUR/USD while USD/JPY is longing at the same time and vice versa

Dallas GEP 05:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Stop on usd/jpy longs 105.97 NOW

Melbourne Qindex 05:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/JPY : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.

KL KL 04:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Go Red Sock...enjoy it while it lastgoing to be a long time for the next one if history is to repeat...maybe playing in Mars by then...he he

Right anybody knows why Usd jpy weak eurusd as weak...not making sense...one of them is going to spring a suprise....who can tell me gets a lolly!!! BOJ hiding there somewhere??

Dallas GEP 04:59 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
YEP that was an add on some accounts and a new possie on others

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Longed Eur/Yen Just now small

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I was shaking all for the last 12 hours

Bahrain Within 10 Pips 04:52 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GM...
Dallas I was just thinking if u got out or not..I take it U are still long right?

Dallas GEP 04:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
IN now @ 106.24 LONG on USD/JPY Target 106.84

Syd 04:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
December Nymex crude retreats more on Access, now off 96 cents at $51.50/bbl after brushing $51.40. Some talking about oil's bull run coming to end though others say this just much needed-correction. Main question is whether oil holds over $50: Some say U.S. distillate stocks likely to start building again, which prompting speculators to bail; "a lot of traders believe that as we come out of turnarounds we should start to see a rebuilding of inventories," says one

Dallas GEP 04:38 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
DAD, be more specific for the rest of the boys and girls. JUST how high can AUD/USD go today?????

hk dad 04:31 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
aud cross 101 basics for newbies, with aud/nzd breaking the 3 months high & aud/jpy well supported above 79, aussie & cousin kiwi will remain resilient and consolidate in a side to up channel targeting new highs.

Syd 04:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
NYC YIPPEE hi, is there someone sitting on the top today seems to be having a few probs , are you long ? Aud

Sydney Alimin 04:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hmm, tricky, best i think is to let it run, stop in place at +5
could be a down day for dollar, anyway off for now going for late lunch

Dallas GEP 04:26 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well lost some money on the Cardinals, NO WAY they should have lost this fourth game. Pretty pathetic performance really. remided me of Yankess 1-3 hiiters in GAMES 5,6,7. They were just useless.

NYC YIPPEE 04:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Sydney Alimin 04:16 GMT October 28, 2004
YES

YVR MAXXIM 04:23 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GBP-USD 1.8252-1.8297-1.8324-(1.8347-50% pullback.)see chart!

Sydney Alimin 04:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
LA fxnew 04:18 GMT October 28, 2004

yes got small possie from last night, looks like it is struggling going up, i think i will close it for few pips profit now and wait for lower level

LA fxnew 04:18 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hi alimin:

you play cable?

LA fxnew 04:17 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
cable is up inch by inch ..
dang ... is it targeting 84xx again?

opinion pls...
thanks!!!

Sydney Alimin 04:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
anyone seeing aud can go to 0.7550/0.76 next few weeks?

Syd 04:09 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Is there an option sitting on top of the Aussie

Chicago Irish 04:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
At least we have the best curse Tim!

Chicago Goofy 04:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Why aussie inching higher this session?

wisconsin tim 04:04 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I told my friend (a huge cubs fan) that it's a good thing this monkey got off the back of one of them.

Could you just imagine game 7 Cubs v Sox and OBL striking (or some other event) and the world series getting cancelled.

Cub fans are pathetic =)

NYC YS 03:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
thanks Wisconsin

wisconsin tim 03:58 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
wow ... red sox ... a frckin mazing now only if my brewers could get there again

wisconsin tim 03:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
for those of you following my level ... won't be posted till early morning thursday, if at all on thursday. (figure this every week on thursdays)

gts/stay safe

tim

wisconsin tim 03:55 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
NYC, reverse everything done prior day and only look for 20-30 pips max in this session if you are trading daily.

melbourne farmacia 03:37 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab - fwiw .. Aud/Usd - cycle period ( 27/10 ) from model rebound point ( 0.6852 ) see : 04:28 GMT September 10, 2004

NYC YS 03:19 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Im transitioning to the Asian session from Euro session. Advise would be appreciated on adjusting MAs and time frames for the Asian session. Thanks

hong kong nt 03:13 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
AB -- so far, AUD/NZD pays not bad this week, 1.05 maybe MT low...

Juneau CAR 03:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks folks. I had no idea where the aticle came from, but do know there is a continuous move around the world by many entities to hold a basket of currencies and not just dollars.

And I do know there are countries and people that are not happy holding dollars given the 30% depreciation this last year.

China using trade surpluses to bid for Noranda, and India using surpluses for infrastructure and Joe Blow working on curises ship paid in dollars exchanging them (i.e. Joe blow being aware of dollar fragility).

Well, it wil be interesting -:).

Juneau CAR 03:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thanks folks. I had no idea where the aticle came from, but do know there is a continuous move around the world by many entities to hold a basket of currencies and not just dollars.

And I do know there are countries and people that are not happy holding dollars given the 30% depreciation this last year.

China using trade surpluses to bid for Noranda, and India using surpluses for infrastructure and Joe Blow working on curises ship paid in dollars exchanging them (i.e. Joe blow being aware of dollar fragility).

Well, it wil be interesting -:).

gold coast martin 03:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
THE Australian dollar was trading stronger today as news of a takeover bid for Australian mining company WMC Resources supported the currency during morning trading.(HERALD SUN -BREAKING NEWS)
I Imagine this has something to do with aussie remaining resilient..as offer has been rejected we may see aussie to lower levels for remaining aussie and asian sessions....g/t

dc 03:03 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Thursday's Washington Post claims they have learned that Russian special forces troops moved many of Saddam Hussein's weapons and related goods out of Iraq and into Syria in the weeks before the March 2003 US military operation. John A. Shaw, the deputy undersecretary of defense for international technology security, reportedly said in an interview that he belives the Russian troops, working with Iraqi intelligence "almost certainly" removed the high explosive material that went missing from the Al-Qaqaa facility south of Baghdad.

Sydney Alimin 02:51 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
i believe usd/yen could still go down a bit more before a new wave of buying emerges

SIN Oski 02:42 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Inv Hs seen as notable seller in USD/JPY around 106.50 area; while AUD capped at 0.7485/90 by hkg name (could be AUD/NZD related).
USD/Asia still under selling pressure as China Yuan re-pegging is still looming. GL

houston ken 02:32 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
look guys this is a free market , i still think that dollar will still be there. you can just take out the fact that america is the largest economy. the last i heard there is the law of demand and supply. eg if you want to buy microsoft product you need dollar so if you want to invest in america you still need dollar.

Chicago Irish 02:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Here's the article Juneau.......Link Oct 2003 ......little slow getting the news in Juneau eh? :-)

Syd 02:27 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK RF I heard that or the camel (smile)

gold coast martin 02:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Chicago Irish 02:10 GMT October 28, 2004
lol Irish....should of saved my breath!!!!!....g/t

gold coast martin 02:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Juneau CAR 02:06 GMT October 28, 2004
Mr Ibrahim left out a vital fact:the greatest concentration of USD in its citizens ,outside USA,is in russia..more GREENBACKS SHOVED UNDER PILLOWS AND TRADED BY russian citizens than in any other part of the world....by Putin switching to euros and lowering the dollar value it will devaluea lot of the ordinary folks savings, and may trigger a run of USD conversion back to roubles...an unlikely fact given that the 1997 rouble crisis is still fresh in peoples minds...will be a politically unpopular manoeuvre..highly unlikely....at worst russia will accept enough payments for its oil from europe to keep its bid to join the WTO....The other bit about Bush attacking IRAQ because they were accepting euros for their oil is unrealistic....also as long as the saudi royal family stays on the payroll of Bush the petro dollar there will still be king..Also Boeing corp has more orders than it can handle at the moment thus Aerobus getting a bit busy as well...share price in boeing is high at the moment due to high orders...g/t

Chicago Irish 02:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Juneau Car........that article is a year old!!!!

Juneau CAR 02:06 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I thought you all might find this interesting. I took this out of a larger text, but it seems many countries are going to start switching to euros!

"If a Russian move to the euro were to prompt other oil producers to do the same, it could be a "catastrophe" for the United States, Ibrahim said. "There are already a number of countries within OPEC that would prefer to trade in euros." Iran, the world's No. 5 oil exporter, has also openly mulled a move into euros. And after the war in Iraq, there is growing debate in the United States' traditional ally Saudi Arabia on a switch too, though its government has not come down firmly on one side, Ibrahim said. "There is a revision going on of its strategic relationship with the United States.

Already, they're buying more [French-made] Airbuses," he said. "The Saudi Crown Prince [Abdullah Bin Abdul Aziz Al-Saud]'s visit to Russia was of great significance and the regime is talking about closer cooperation with LUKoil and other Russian companies." Under Saddam Hussein, Iraqi oil was traded in euros. "This was another reason [why the U.S. attacked]," Ibrahim said. "There is a great political dimension to this. Slowly more power and muscle is moving from the United States to the EU, and that's mainly because of what happened in Iraq," he said.

gold coast martin 01:54 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Good morning.....just wokeup....looking at the action the facr that theyenneeds to be at least at 10780 for the euro to go below 12680 still applies...also the aud is surprising resilient ,, still looking for 7408..in the aussie and asian sessions....g/t

KL KL 01:48 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Bye Bye St. Louis....?? Not trading yet cos platform a bit wobbly...nice set up for further downside probe

Dallas GEP 01:46 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
1.2735 may be a short term top for EUR/USD in Asia

Dallas GEP 01:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW,,,,1.8330 would be the first level you might try but I am not sure I would trade GBP at this time

melbourne farmacia 01:41 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
hk ab 17:09 GMT October 27, 2004
farmacia, still holding your view on 1.8273?

...& 1.8240 if seen.. GT

Melbourne Qindex 01:40 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : Current Comment.  Register with Jay at [email protected] if you have no access to my page.


HK [email protected] 01:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd 01:21 GMT October 28, 2004
To my best knowledge Israel never touched him, as they found it is useless to get rid of him.

Some suggested he is expiring from Aids. May be it is so, as he was known to be a double blade guy(AC/DC).

What is more interesting, where his private huge money accounts goes.

I think that soon the Americans will move on this or that pretext to freeze that money.

SAIHAT 01:28 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
today

old system is best

LA fxnew 01:22 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP:
what level is good for shorting cable?

Thanks

Syd 01:21 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
HK [email protected] 01:15 would imagine Dollar bullish as Israel has been trying to take him out since I can remember

HK [email protected] 01:15 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Syd :-( 00:36 GMT October 28, 2004
Can we know if Arafat death is Dollar bullish or bearish??

Sydney Ge11Ja 01:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Is there any news out re Chinese interest rates?

Dallas GEP 01:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Taking about bungee jumps. I bungee jumped out of a hot air ballon one time. What a trip...the cord seemed like it was 300 feet long and I thought I was going to rebound back into the bottom of the hot air ballon basket. This reminds nowdays EXACTLY of how price action reacts sometimes around DATA annoucement time.

Spotforex NY 01:02 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
GEP....always a pleasure. WE have our share of bungee jumps...

happy hunting.

Dallas GEP 01:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well so that 1.2678 stop seems to have been good for now on EURO

Dallas GEP 01:01 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well so that 1.2678 stop seems to have been good for now on EURO

Dallas GEP 00:56 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Hi Don.

Spotforex NY 00:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FXnew

there are times when Cable moves and it resembles a bungee jump......without the cord......

Dallas GEP 00:53 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Also FXNEW since price action is ALSO on bottom bollinger it is quite possible that GBP/USD MIGHT long back up short term FIRST (4 hour)

Dallas GEP 00:50 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
FXNEW, trends can be generally be seen if you look at a 4 hour and longer MACD . Lokk at GBP/USD MACD for instance. That MACD is pretty BEARISH so the trend on GBP right now is DOWN or SHORT. That also means your success will be greater if you SELL on RALLIES than if you BUY on DIPS against trend.

LA fxnew 00:45 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Need advice..
cable is moving down fast .. does this mean that cable is on downtrend now???

Thanks

Melbourne Qindex 00:39 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD : The market is under pressure when it is leaving the neutral zone of my daily cycle.


Melbourne Qindex 00:06 GMT October 28, 2004
EUR/USD : The neutral zone of my daily cycle is located at 1.2691 - 1.2739 and the key quantized level is 1.2715......................

Melbourne Qindex 00:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
houston st 00:32 GMT - Cheers!

Syd :-( 00:36 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
E X C L U S I V E
Arafat's Illness
TIME Exclusive: A source inside the compound says that Arafat is believed to be suffering from stomach cancer
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,516827,00.html

Dallas GEP 00:34 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Looking at the charts, it now seems that eur/usd MIGHT short down to that 1.2670 area before longing up. LOOK at 4 hour MACD

Calabash TarHeel 00:33 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 00:24 GMT October 28, 2004
Well Obviuosly a YEN play so far with all YEN pairs longing quite contrary to what I thought MIGHT happen with oil prices coming down off highs.

Add to that the Nikkei is +133 at this moment. Little help maye?

houston st 00:32 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

DR. Q -- you definitely got my attention....good trades to you.

Melbourne Qindex 00:29 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   

EUR/USD : As shown in my 3-month projection profile the market is now resting around 1.2653, the mid-point reference between 1.2332 and 1.2973. In general there are 3 options for the next market movement. (1) The market can retreat
back to 1.2813 (the mid-point reference of 1.2653 and 1.2973) and continues its way to 1.2973 in a trending manner. (2) It can move ahead towards 1.2332 in a trending manner. (3) Vibrating around 1.2653 with an expected magnitude of 1.2464 - 1.2842.



See details in my page for the market movement analyses.  Register with Jay at  [email protected] if you have no access to my page

Sydney Ge11Ja 00:25 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
I am still bearish eur/yen, oil move last night caused price to break what I believe was significant support at 135.80.

You might get rally for next 1/2 hour or so on back of end of month fixing demand but then look to sell for break below 135.00.

Dallas GEP 00:24 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Well Obviuosly a YEN play so far with all YEN pairs longing quite contrary to what I thought MIGHT happen with oil prices coming down off highs.

Dallas GEP 00:16 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Generally market thinks in terms of EVEN numbers so if you want a number a nummber that is LESS likely to be TAKEN as in a stop then 3 or 7 is LESS likely to be hit. I back tested it one time and it EVEN numbers were hit MORE often than ODD numbers, not by much mind you but every little bit helps

GA TJ 00:10 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Dallas GEP 00:08 GMT October 28, 2004

OK GEP, I will bite. Why use 3 or 7 on Stops?

Dallas GEP 00:08 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
Looking over your chart SAIHAT, I like usd/jpy long the best so I am putting that IN and waiting 106.24 with 106.03 stop (use 3 or 7 on stops) and 106.64 TP.

Syd 00:07 GMT October 28, 2004 Reply   
EUR/USD firm above 1.2650 but pair's rally toward fresh all-time highs has run course
Mitsubishi Securities senior FX trader Minoru Shioiri

 




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